Leoopl
2021-11-22

AMD reached $158.89 & closed at ATH of 155.2, up 65% this year! The reason for an annual price increase of about 100% in the past 3 years (2018-2020) was due to increases in PC sales, especially the servers!

Can this amazing revenue increase (45% in 2020 & 65% this year) continue?

It won't be easy, but if the recent success in new high tech areas can continue, it may do it again in the next few years:

(1) Server (data center): ATM (total addressable market) is about $23B in 2021. AMD market share near 20% and is growing strongly because all the new data centers are using EPYC chips now. It may pass 50% market share soon!

(2) Smart phone: Revenue in 2020 was $409B. With Samsung Exynos pre-sell order of 200 mil, even a $5 per unit fee will give AMD an $1B revenue, not counting revenues from the others!

(3) Metaverse: Revenue is expected to grow from $47.7B in 2020 to 828.9B in 2028. Even 1 or 2% for AMD is huge!

(4) WIFI: Revenue is expected to grow from 9.4B in 2020 to 25.2B by 2026, at a CAGR of 17.8%. The new partnership with Mediatek could bring significant amount of revenue to AMD.

(5) Laptop: Revenue was 137B in 2020. With AMD's great performance and much better energy consumption, revenue is expected to increase sharply.

(6) GPU: The global GPU market was valued at 32.8B in 2020 and likely will grow to 246B at a compound annual CAGR of 32.82 %t in 2028.

(7) Others: Gaming, 5G, auto-driving. supercomputer..

AMD price may remain volatile short term, but with an extreme low PEG of 0.25, price may quadruple (4x) to around $600 to give a fair value of PEG=1, perhaps in 2-3 years!

Just some thoughts (guesses) to share! GLTA!$AMD(AMD)$

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精彩评论

  • PorterLamb
    2021-11-22
    PorterLamb
    I think these aspects you mentioned have great prospects. Especially for mobile phones and meta, people's demand for these scientific and technological products is becoming stronger and stronger, and relevant industries will continue to develop! There is no doubt about it!
  • EricVaughan
    2021-11-22
    EricVaughan
    I firmly believe that this trend will continue. The development of science and technology is the general trend of human development at this stage! We can't live without high technology.
  • MamieBenson
    2021-11-22
    MamieBenson
    Thank you very much for sharing. Rich data and arguments! I agree with you very much. The prospect of high technology is broad!
  • TASOGARE
    2021-11-22
    TASOGARE
    AMD belongs to the future, it's not wrong to buy it
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