梦玥
2022-06-27
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (Asia)
@期权小班长：
抄底伯克希尔
免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。
分享至
微信
复制链接
精彩评论
我们需要你的真知灼见来填补这片空白
打开APP，发表看法
APP内打开
发表看法
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":683661644,"tweetId":"683661644","gmtCreate":1656307468690,"gmtModify":1704864383592,"author":{"id":4119068231552860,"idStr":"4119068231552860","authorId":4119068231552860,"authorIdStr":"4119068231552860","name":"梦玥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89fd710012b6b8eb435819cd315d26a2","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":1,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (Asia)</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (Asia)</p></body></html>","text":"Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (Asia)","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/683661644","repostId":689733803,"repostType":1,"repost":{"magic":2,"id":689733803,"tweetId":"689733803","gmtCreate":1655822068840,"gmtModify":1704863302665,"author":{"id":3527667590215376,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorId":3527667590215376,"authorIdStr":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","vip":2,"userType":2,"introduction":"最简单的期权策略实践者","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"99ab5418acee46419c22b9c7ac12257b-1","templateUuid":"99ab5418acee46419c22b9c7ac12257b","name":"月度最佳创作者","description":"每月精华帖数量及质量位于社区TOP3的创作者","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0cad6192443c33dca826a001250fbd4","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ccd98c646815ce7610b0df338e060cc","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.03.02","individualDisplayEnabled":0},"individualDisplayBadges":[{"badgeId":"3f8f4b8c193b4343a88817ce07587dbd-1","templateUuid":"3f8f4b8c193b4343a88817ce07587dbd","name":"星级创作者","description":"社区优质创作者：发表过3篇及以上精华帖，且30天内发表过至少一篇精华帖并参与过评论","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1866dcf97a73be1c330f85862546aedc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f5c5fa8e2c7683bb5a7fce8753ee456","redirectLinkEnabled":1,"redirectLink":"https://www.laohu8.com/activity/market/2023/star-contributors/","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.11.24","individualDisplayEnabled":1,"backgroundColor":{"dark":"#675a37","tint":"#f9ebc2"},"fontColor":{"dark":"#ffffff","tint":"#ab7a0e"}}],"fanSize":32262,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[{"themeId":"bc6e8e4b405b43429905237d8c15ff4c","categoryId":"20b8d1944bae4805b371322c2ab986d4","name":"期权Q&A：期权知识，你问我答","type":0,"rnLink":"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&page=/theme/detail&rndata={\"themeId\":bc6e8e4b405b43429905237d8c15ff4c}&rnconfig={\"headerBarHidden\": true}","description":"你想知道的期权知识都在这里，咨询期权问题@期权小助手","image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/672d6bc9cf055ebef009d5ee69bfef82"}],"images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/632a4f561fb2ffe5ec258971929a7493","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99ff75787f6d01647caa225690b68007","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16a2cd679bada4e8d666fd71e9a72b5c","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"coverImages":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/632a4f561fb2ffe5ec258971929a7493","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99ff75787f6d01647caa225690b68007","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16a2cd679bada4e8d666fd71e9a72b5c","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"title":"抄底伯克希尔","extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>本轮加息过后美股再次迎来阶段性大底，虽然感觉大盘没有跌透，但也可以理解这两天的反弹逻辑。</p><p>本轮加息75基点的主要诱因是通胀继续走高，而让通胀居高不下的核心因素就是能源价格。如果原油价格继续走高，那么可以想见6月CPI数据依然无法降低，那么美联储还会采取更为“符合市场预期“的加息手段。</p><p>美股走势和能源价格就这样绑定在了一起。</p><p>但比较诡异的是，加息过后，不光是美股大跌，原油也发生了暴跌。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLMAIN\">$WTI原油主连 2208(CLmain)$</a> 上周下跌8%，美股石油公司比如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">$雪佛龙(CVX)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">$西方石油(OXY)$</a> 跌幅甚至达到15%～20%。</p><p>油价的下跌让美股市场看到了通胀缓和的希望，这就是我总结这两天的反弹逻辑。</p><p>如果油价持续下跌，那么美股将继续企稳，目前油价主要有三个利空因素：</p><ol> \n <li>美联储大幅加息，市场逐步计价衰退提前，拖累大类资产表现</li> \n <li>拜登将于7月中访问沙特，市场解读为欧佩克或在为期两年半的减产框架结束后自由增产，缓解供应问题</li> \n <li>俄罗斯原油产量有望进一步提升</li> \n</ol><p>我认为第二点会成为近期牵制油价的主要动因。民主党不能光靠加息，还要解决高昂的原油价格，进一步遏制通胀，不然恐怕难以赢得接下来的中期选举。</p><p>对于目前的市场行情总体维持观望，不过在一轮大跌后还想捡一些物美价廉的便宜货。用股票筛选器，我查了一下市值1000亿以上，PE<10的股票，筛选结果如下：<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16a2cd679bada4e8d666fd71e9a72b5c\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99ff75787f6d01647caa225690b68007\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">20只股票涵盖石油、银行、制药、大盘ETF，其中最亮眼的一只股票，莫过于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.B\">$伯克希尔B(BRK.B)$</a> ，现在市盈率只有7了，处于历史低位。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/632a4f561fb2ffe5ec258971929a7493\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">最后的午餐可能拍不起，但如此便宜的伯克希尔不容错过，我选择做行权价为250的sell put。</p><p>sell put推荐表：</p><table> \n <colgroup></colgroup> \n <tbody> \n <tr> \n <td>标的代码</td> \n <td>年化收益</td> \n <td>到期日</td> \n <td>行权价</td> \n <td>权利金</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BRK.B%2020220708%20250.0%20PUT\">$BRK.B 20220708 250.0 PUT$</a></td> \n <td>14%</td> \n <td>2022/7/8</td> \n <td>250</td> \n <td>1.86</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ATVI%2020220715%2072.5%20PUT\">$ATVI 20220715 72.5 PUT$</a></td> \n <td>26%</td> \n <td>2022/7/15</td> \n <td>72.5</td> \n <td>0.97</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VMW%2020220715%20115.0%20PUT\">$VMW 20220715 115.0 PUT$</a></td> \n <td>40%</td> \n <td>2022/7/15</td> \n <td>115</td> \n <td>2.3</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SIMO%2020220715%2080.0%20PUT\">$SIMO 20220715 80.0 PUT$</a></td> \n <td>33%</td> \n <td>2022/7/15</td> \n <td>80</td> \n <td>1.4</td> \n </tr> \n </tbody> \n</table><p></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>本轮加息过后美股再次迎来阶段性大底，虽然感觉大盘没有跌透，但也可以理解这两天的反弹逻辑。</p><p>本轮加息75基点的主要诱因是通胀继续走高，而让通胀居高不下的核心因素就是能源价格。如果原油价格继续走高，那么可以想见6月CPI数据依然无法降低，那么美联储还会采取更为“符合市场预期“的加息手段。</p><p>美股走势和能源价格就这样绑定在了一起。</p><p>但比较诡异的是，加息过后，不光是美股大跌，原油也发生了暴跌。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLMAIN\">$WTI原油主连 2208(CLmain)$</a> 上周下跌8%，美股石油公司比如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">$雪佛龙(CVX)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">$西方石油(OXY)$</a> 跌幅甚至达到15%～20%。</p><p>油价的下跌让美股市场看到了通胀缓和的希望，这就是我总结这两天的反弹逻辑。</p><p>如果油价持续下跌，那么美股将继续企稳，目前油价主要有三个利空因素：</p><ol> \n <li>美联储大幅加息，市场逐步计价衰退提前，拖累大类资产表现</li> \n <li>拜登将于7月中访问沙特，市场解读为欧佩克或在为期两年半的减产框架结束后自由增产，缓解供应问题</li> \n <li>俄罗斯原油产量有望进一步提升</li> \n</ol><p>我认为第二点会成为近期牵制油价的主要动因。民主党不能光靠加息，还要解决高昂的原油价格，进一步遏制通胀，不然恐怕难以赢得接下来的中期选举。</p><p>对于目前的市场行情总体维持观望，不过在一轮大跌后还想捡一些物美价廉的便宜货。用股票筛选器，我查了一下市值1000亿以上，PE<10的股票，筛选结果如下：<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16a2cd679bada4e8d666fd71e9a72b5c\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99ff75787f6d01647caa225690b68007\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">20只股票涵盖石油、银行、制药、大盘ETF，其中最亮眼的一只股票，莫过于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.B\">$伯克希尔B(BRK.B)$</a> ，现在市盈率只有7了，处于历史低位。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/632a4f561fb2ffe5ec258971929a7493\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">最后的午餐可能拍不起，但如此便宜的伯克希尔不容错过，我选择做行权价为250的sell put。</p><p>sell put推荐表：</p><table> \n <colgroup></colgroup> \n <tbody> \n <tr> \n <td>标的代码</td> \n <td>年化收益</td> \n <td>到期日</td> \n <td>行权价</td> \n <td>权利金</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BRK.B%2020220708%20250.0%20PUT\">$BRK.B 20220708 250.0 PUT$</a></td> \n <td>14%</td> \n <td>2022/7/8</td> \n <td>250</td> \n <td>1.86</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ATVI%2020220715%2072.5%20PUT\">$ATVI 20220715 72.5 PUT$</a></td> \n <td>26%</td> \n <td>2022/7/15</td> \n <td>72.5</td> \n <td>0.97</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VMW%2020220715%20115.0%20PUT\">$VMW 20220715 115.0 PUT$</a></td> \n <td>40%</td> \n <td>2022/7/15</td> \n <td>115</td> \n <td>2.3</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SIMO%2020220715%2080.0%20PUT\">$SIMO 20220715 80.0 PUT$</a></td> \n <td>33%</td> \n <td>2022/7/15</td> \n <td>80</td> \n <td>1.4</td> \n </tr> \n </tbody> \n</table><p></p></body></html>","text":"本轮加息过后美股再次迎来阶段性大底，虽然感觉大盘没有跌透，但也可以理解这两天的反弹逻辑。 本轮加息75基点的主要诱因是通胀继续走高，而让通胀居高不下的核心因素就是能源价格。如果原油价格继续走高，那么可以想见6月CPI数据依然无法降低，那么美联储还会采取更为“符合市场预期“的加息手段。 美股走势和能源价格就这样绑定在了一起。 但比较诡异的是，加息过后，不光是美股大跌，原油也发生了暴跌。$WTI原油主连 2208(CLmain)$ 上周下跌8%，美股石油公司比如$雪佛龙(CVX)$ $西方石油(OXY)$ 跌幅甚至达到15%～20%。 油价的下跌让美股市场看到了通胀缓和的希望，这就是我总结这两天的反弹逻辑。 如果油价持续下跌，那么美股将继续企稳，目前油价主要有三个利空因素： 美联储大幅加息，市场逐步计价衰退提前，拖累大类资产表现 拜登将于7月中访问沙特，市场解读为欧佩克或在为期两年半的减产框架结束后自由增产，缓解供应问题 俄罗斯原油产量有望进一步提升 我认为第二点会成为近期牵制油价的主要动因。民主党不能光靠加息，还要解决高昂的原油价格，进一步遏制通胀，不然恐怕难以赢得接下来的中期选举。 对于目前的市场行情总体维持观望，不过在一轮大跌后还想捡一些物美价廉的便宜货。用股票筛选器，我查了一下市值1000亿以上，PE<10的股票，筛选结果如下：20只股票涵盖石油、银行、制药、大盘ETF，其中最亮眼的一只股票，莫过于$伯克希尔B(BRK.B)$ ，现在市盈率只有7了，处于历史低位。最后的午餐可能拍不起，但如此便宜的伯克希尔不容错过，我选择做行权价为250的sell put。 sell put推荐表： 标的代码 年化收益 到期日 行权价 权利金 $BRK.B 20220708 250.0 PUT$ 14% 2022/7/8 250 1.86 $ATVI 20220715 72.5 PUT$ 26% 2022/7/15 72.5 0.97 $VMW 20220715 115.0 PUT$ 40% 2022/7/15 115 2.3 $SIMO 20220715 80.0 PUT$ 33% 2022/7/15 80 1.4","highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/689733803","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["CVX","CLmain","BRK.B","OXY"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":1427,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1522,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":["CAAS"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":40,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/683661644"}
精彩评论