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@期权小班长：Q3财报季第一周：看跌银行股

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">$富国银行(WFC)$</a> 的净利润预计将分别下降32%和17%。另外预计<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">$摩根士丹利(MS)$</a> 利润将下降28%，而其竞争对手高盛<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">$高盛(GS)$</a> 利润将大幅下降46%，原因是企业对并购和IPO的兴趣减弱；预计<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">$美国银行(BAC)$</a> Q3利润将下降近14%，预计其消费者部门的强劲增长将部分抵消咨询费的下降。</p><p>在这样的预期下，看跌银行，策略采用put价差.</p><p>MS:</p><ul> \n <li>买入<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MS%2020221021%2077.0%20PUT\">$MS 20221021 77.0 PUT$</a></li> \n <li>卖出<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MS%2020221021%2070.0%20PUT\">$MS 20221021 70.0 PUT$</a></li> \n</ul><p>花旗：</p><ul> \n <li>买入<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/C%2020221021%2042.0%20PUT\">$C 20221021 42.0 PUT$</a></li> \n <li>卖出<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/C%2020221014%2038.0%20PUT\">$C 20221014 38.0 PUT$</a></li> \n</ul><p>JPM：</p><ul> \n <li>买入<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/JPM%2020221021%20105.0%20PUT\">$JPM 20221021 105.0 PUT$</a></li> \n <li>卖出<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/JPM%2020221021%2099.0%20PUT\">$JPM 20221021 99.0 PUT$</a></li> \n</ul><p></p><p></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>炸桥影响比我预想的要低，不过两国局势持续升温始终是个隐患，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/666099970\" target=\"_blank\">我觉得买个保险也挺好</a>。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VIX%2020230322%20150.0%20CALL\">$VIX 20230322 150.0 CALL$</a></p><p>此外就是本周四的CPI，没什么好说的，核心CPI肯定依然很强劲儿。所以如果市场前三天涨，周四数据公布后肯定跌，反之跌了可能会反弹。</p><p>财报预期基本上维持负面看法，看跌为主。低开高走还是低开低走主要跟随大盘行情。</p><p>本周首先是银行股财报：</p><p>市场预计银行业绩将显示净利润下滑，因为市场动荡抑制投行活动，银行拨出更多应急资金，以弥补借款人拖欠还款造成的损失。Refinitiv数据显示，分析师预计<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">$摩根大通(JPM)$</a> 利润将下降24%，而<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">$花旗(C)$</a> 和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">$富国银行(WFC)$</a> 的净利润预计将分别下降32%和17%。另外预计<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">$摩根士丹利(MS)$</a> 利润将下降28%，而其竞争对手高盛<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">$高盛(GS)$</a> 利润将大幅下降46%，原因是企业对并购和IPO的兴趣减弱；预计<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">$美国银行(BAC)$</a> Q3利润将下降近14%，预计其消费者部门的强劲增长将部分抵消咨询费的下降。</p><p>在这样的预期下，看跌银行，策略采用put价差.</p><p>MS:</p><ul> \n <li>买入<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MS%2020221021%2077.0%20PUT\">$MS 20221021 77.0 PUT$</a></li> \n <li>卖出<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MS%2020221021%2070.0%20PUT\">$MS 20221021 70.0 PUT$</a></li> \n</ul><p>花旗：</p><ul> \n <li>买入<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/C%2020221021%2042.0%20PUT\">$C 20221021 42.0 PUT$</a></li> \n <li>卖出<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/C%2020221014%2038.0%20PUT\">$C 20221014 38.0 PUT$</a></li> \n</ul><p>JPM：</p><ul> \n <li>买入<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/JPM%2020221021%20105.0%20PUT\">$JPM 20221021 105.0 PUT$</a></li> \n <li>卖出<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/JPM%2020221021%2099.0%20PUT\">$JPM 20221021 99.0 PUT$</a></li> \n</ul><p></p><p></p></body></html>","text":"炸桥影响比我预想的要低，不过两国局势持续升温始终是个隐患，我觉得买个保险也挺好。$VIX 20230322 150.0 CALL$ 此外就是本周四的CPI，没什么好说的，核心CPI肯定依然很强劲儿。所以如果市场前三天涨，周四数据公布后肯定跌，反之跌了可能会反弹。 财报预期基本上维持负面看法，看跌为主。低开高走还是低开低走主要跟随大盘行情。 本周首先是银行股财报： 市场预计银行业绩将显示净利润下滑，因为市场动荡抑制投行活动，银行拨出更多应急资金，以弥补借款人拖欠还款造成的损失。Refinitiv数据显示，分析师预计$摩根大通(JPM)$ 利润将下降24%，而$花旗(C)$ 和$富国银行(WFC)$ 的净利润预计将分别下降32%和17%。另外预计$摩根士丹利(MS)$ 利润将下降28%，而其竞争对手高盛$高盛(GS)$ 利润将大幅下降46%，原因是企业对并购和IPO的兴趣减弱；预计$美国银行(BAC)$ Q3利润将下降近14%，预计其消费者部门的强劲增长将部分抵消咨询费的下降。 在这样的预期下，看跌银行，策略采用put价差. MS: 买入$MS 20221021 77.0 PUT$ 卖出$MS 20221021 70.0 PUT$ 花旗： 买入$C 20221021 42.0 PUT$ 卖出$C 20221014 38.0 PUT$ JPM： 买入$JPM 20221021 105.0 PUT$ 卖出$JPM 20221021 99.0 PUT$","highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/666397195","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["C","BAC","WFC","GS","MS","JPM"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":929,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1221,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":6,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/666475992"}