Steven卢聪
2022-09-19
fedex也跌了而且CEO预测了下季度的业绩下滑及原因,全球经济特别是亚洲疲软及欧洲经济衰退,已经是铁板钉钉了。
@美股解毒师:
经济晴雨表弱势信号,联邦快递调降的是整个美国经济前景!
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陈国阳1
2022-09-19
陈国阳1
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wh快乐投资
2022-09-19
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milkTF
2022-09-19
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX\">$联邦快递(FDX)$</a> 因为财报大跌16%在其交易历史中也不常见,这一大跌发生在9月15日盘后。公司本应在9月22日公布财报,但是却提前一周公布了截止于2022年8月31日的23财年一季度财报“初步结果”,<span><b>主要是降低市场的预期,并撤销了23财年的业绩指引。</b></span>同时,刚上任的CEO表示:全球货运量的疲软导致了联邦快递令人失望的业绩。公司曾预计需求会增加,但实际上却下降了。</p> <p>这是不是一种再次印证“全球经济陷入衰退”的信号?</p> <p>初步估算截至今年8月31日的2023财年第一财季调整后运营利润12.3亿美元,远逊于分析师预期的17.4亿美元。同时调整后的EPS为3.44美元,低于去年同期的4.37美元,且远低于市场普遍认为的5.14美元。</p> <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0940267bfe9ec7e0ef734187f533b6fd\" tg-width=\"570\" tg-height=\"133\"></p> <p>公司特意说明,业绩不佳主要是受到报告期内最后几周加速的全球销量疲软的不利影响。</p> <p>联邦快递的业务主要分为三块:联邦快递(Fedex Express)、联邦快递地面(FedEx Ground)以及联邦货运(FedEx Freight)。这次管理层认为所有业务都在季末受到了影响。但是我们从与市场预期共识相比来看<span><b>,联邦快递(Fedex Express)的部分受到的影响最大。</b></span></p> <p>公司认为,亚洲的宏观经济疲软和欧洲业务遭到挑战,是影响这部分业绩的主要因素。毕竟,地面和货运服务主要还在美国国内,而<span><b>全球业务则更容易在强势美元的影响下遭到打击</b></span>。</p> <p>同时还削减了Q2的预期:随着商业状况进一步减弱,Q2调整后EPS为2.75美元,低于市场预期公司的5.46美元,营收预期为235-240亿美元,低于预期共识的248.7亿美元。</p> <p>公司CEO表示:</p> <blockquote>\n 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因为财报大跌16%在其交易历史中也不常见,这一大跌发生在9月15日盘后。公司本应在9月22日公布财报,但是却提前一周公布了截止于2022年8月31日的23财年一季度财报“初步结果”,<span><b>主要是降低市场的预期,并撤销了23财年的业绩指引。</b></span>同时,刚上任的CEO表示:全球货运量的疲软导致了联邦快递令人失望的业绩。公司曾预计需求会增加,但实际上却下降了。</p> <p>这是不是一种再次印证“全球经济陷入衰退”的信号?</p> <p>初步估算截至今年8月31日的2023财年第一财季调整后运营利润12.3亿美元,远逊于分析师预期的17.4亿美元。同时调整后的EPS为3.44美元,低于去年同期的4.37美元,且远低于市场普遍认为的5.14美元。</p> <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0940267bfe9ec7e0ef734187f533b6fd\" tg-width=\"570\" tg-height=\"133\"></p> <p>公司特意说明,业绩不佳主要是受到报告期内最后几周加速的全球销量疲软的不利影响。</p> <p>联邦快递的业务主要分为三块:联邦快递(Fedex Express)、联邦快递地面(FedEx Ground)以及联邦货运(FedEx Freight)。这次管理层认为所有业务都在季末受到了影响。但是我们从与市场预期共识相比来看<span><b>,联邦快递(Fedex Express)的部分受到的影响最大。</b></span></p> <p>公司认为,亚洲的宏观经济疲软和欧洲业务遭到挑战,是影响这部分业绩的主要因素。毕竟,地面和货运服务主要还在美国国内,而<span><b>全球业务则更容易在强势美元的影响下遭到打击</b></span>。</p> <p>同时还削减了Q2的预期:随着商业状况进一步减弱,Q2调整后EPS为2.75美元,低于市场预期公司的5.46美元,营收预期为235-240亿美元,低于预期共识的248.7亿美元。</p> <p>公司CEO表示:</p> <blockquote>\n 随着报告期内后期不论是国际还是美国的宏观经济趋势显著恶化,全球货运量下降。我们正在迅速应对这些不利因素,但鉴于形势变化的速度,第一财季的业绩低于我们的预期。 \n</blockquote> <blockquote>\n 虽然这一表现令人失望,但我们正在积极加快降低成本的努力,并评估其他措施以提高生产力、降低可变成本并实施结构性成本降低举措。这些努力与我们在6月概述的战略相一致,我仍然有信心实现我们的2025财年财务目标。 \n</blockquote> <p>那公司打算如何应对呢?</p> <p><span><b>削减成本</b></span><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a4e435b97b068cf4b32a94c71be092a\" tg-width=\"119\" tg-height=\"151\"></p> <p>成本削减包括减少航班频率、减少与数量相关的工时、整合分拣操作、取消计划的网络容量和其他项目、推迟招聘以及关闭 90 多个联邦快递办事处。它还计划关闭五个公司办公设施。</p> <p>由于联邦快递业绩其实反应了供应链活动的强度,<span><b>因此也常常拿来观察美国实体经济的活力,市场常常将其业绩视作美国经济活力的晴雨表。</b></span>因此,于此相关的都跌了,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$亚马逊(AMZN)$</a> 跌了1.5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPS\">$联合包裹(UPS)$</a> 跌了6%。</p> <p>看来,寒意吹到了美利坚。</p></body></html>","text":"$联邦快递(FDX)$ 因为财报大跌16%在其交易历史中也不常见,这一大跌发生在9月15日盘后。公司本应在9月22日公布财报,但是却提前一周公布了截止于2022年8月31日的23财年一季度财报“初步结果”,主要是降低市场的预期,并撤销了23财年的业绩指引。同时,刚上任的CEO表示:全球货运量的疲软导致了联邦快递令人失望的业绩。公司曾预计需求会增加,但实际上却下降了。 这是不是一种再次印证“全球经济陷入衰退”的信号? 初步估算截至今年8月31日的2023财年第一财季调整后运营利润12.3亿美元,远逊于分析师预期的17.4亿美元。同时调整后的EPS为3.44美元,低于去年同期的4.37美元,且远低于市场普遍认为的5.14美元。 公司特意说明,业绩不佳主要是受到报告期内最后几周加速的全球销量疲软的不利影响。 联邦快递的业务主要分为三块:联邦快递(Fedex Express)、联邦快递地面(FedEx Ground)以及联邦货运(FedEx Freight)。这次管理层认为所有业务都在季末受到了影响。但是我们从与市场预期共识相比来看,联邦快递(Fedex Express)的部分受到的影响最大。 公司认为,亚洲的宏观经济疲软和欧洲业务遭到挑战,是影响这部分业绩的主要因素。毕竟,地面和货运服务主要还在美国国内,而全球业务则更容易在强势美元的影响下遭到打击。 同时还削减了Q2的预期:随着商业状况进一步减弱,Q2调整后EPS为2.75美元,低于市场预期公司的5.46美元,营收预期为235-240亿美元,低于预期共识的248.7亿美元。 公司CEO表示: 随着报告期内后期不论是国际还是美国的宏观经济趋势显著恶化,全球货运量下降。我们正在迅速应对这些不利因素,但鉴于形势变化的速度,第一财季的业绩低于我们的预期。 虽然这一表现令人失望,但我们正在积极加快降低成本的努力,并评估其他措施以提高生产力、降低可变成本并实施结构性成本降低举措。这些努力与我们在6月概述的战略相一致,我仍然有信心实现我们的2025财年财务目标。 那公司打算如何应对呢? 削减成本 成本削减包括减少航班频率、减少与数量相关的工时、整合分拣操作、取消计划的网络容量和其他项目、推迟招聘以及关闭 90 多个联邦快递办事处。它还计划关闭五个公司办公设施。 由于联邦快递业绩其实反应了供应链活动的强度,因此也常常拿来观察美国实体经济的活力,市场常常将其业绩视作美国经济活力的晴雨表。因此,于此相关的都跌了,$亚马逊(AMZN)$ 跌了1.5%,$联合包裹(UPS)$ 跌了6%。 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