鑫鑫洋
2022-03-09
好帖
@期权小班长:
没办法确定涨跌,那就交易更确定的波动率
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VXX%2020220311%2030.0%20CALL\" target=\"_blank\">$VXX 20220311 30.0 CALL$</a>(可自行换成更高的行权价比如32)</li> \n</ul> <p></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>下周真是群魔乱舞,既有四巫日,又有美联储加息。</p> <p>考虑今晚可能反弹,也可能继续探底再反弹,差不多就在这两天见分晓吧,今晚先不做操作了,反正明天也得跳空,我们就随便聊两句行情的看法。</p> <p>上一次经历四巫日还是在上一次:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/690687251\" target=\"_blank\">4.3万亿美元的股票期权即将到期,恐怖四巫日再临</a>。</p> <p>9月和12月的四巫日我没怎么提前准备,基本到了当天看资讯才发现,哦四巫日到了。四巫日在前几年其实是个挺平淡的日子,这两年随着散户入场,期权持仓量的增加,未平仓期权数量巨大,媒体用的标题也十分恐慌(当然我也是),所以让人不得不重视起来。</p> <p>今天回过头再看前两次四巫日,发现波动最大的除了四巫日前一天,也就是周四,四巫日当周的前一周行情波动也十分惊人,没错,就像现在这样。所以等到6月份四巫日,我要记得提前两周对大盘波动做准备。</p> <p>没错,四巫日和美联储议息之前,唯一确定的就是大盘波动率不会下跌!所以<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/632454999\" target=\"_blank\">昨天的方法</a>到下周一都有效。</p> <ul> \n <li>买入<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VXX%2020220414%2026.0%20CALL\" target=\"_blank\">$VXX 20220414 26.0 CALL$</a></li> \n <li>卖出<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VXX%2020220311%2030.0%20CALL\" target=\"_blank\">$VXX 20220311 30.0 CALL$</a>(可自行换成更高的行权价比如32)</li> \n</ul> <p></p></body></html>","text":"下周真是群魔乱舞,既有四巫日,又有美联储加息。 考虑今晚可能反弹,也可能继续探底再反弹,差不多就在这两天见分晓吧,今晚先不做操作了,反正明天也得跳空,我们就随便聊两句行情的看法。 上一次经历四巫日还是在上一次:4.3万亿美元的股票期权即将到期,恐怖四巫日再临。 9月和12月的四巫日我没怎么提前准备,基本到了当天看资讯才发现,哦四巫日到了。四巫日在前几年其实是个挺平淡的日子,这两年随着散户入场,期权持仓量的增加,未平仓期权数量巨大,媒体用的标题也十分恐慌(当然我也是),所以让人不得不重视起来。 今天回过头再看前两次四巫日,发现波动最大的除了四巫日前一天,也就是周四,四巫日当周的前一周行情波动也十分惊人,没错,就像现在这样。所以等到6月份四巫日,我要记得提前两周对大盘波动做准备。 没错,四巫日和美联储议息之前,唯一确定的就是大盘波动率不会下跌!所以昨天的方法到下周一都有效。 买入$VXX 20220414 26.0 CALL$ 卖出$VXX 20220311 30.0 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