Winstonlou
2022-03-10
Like and comment
@捷克Jack:
现在的BABA可能是最适合期权获利的标的
免责声明:上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点,不构成本平台的任何投资建议。
分享至
微信
复制链接
精彩评论
我们需要你的真知灼见来填补这片空白
打开APP,发表看法
APP内打开
发表看法
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":635356660,"tweetId":"635356660","gmtCreate":1646865540943,"gmtModify":1646865541088,"author":{"id":3572078772819787,"idStr":"3572078772819787","authorId":3572078772819787,"authorIdStr":"3572078772819787","name":"Winstonlou","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/872d534505dadd9f2bcdebec4b5df367","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":6,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>Like and comment</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>Like and comment</p></body></html>","text":"Like and comment","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635356660","repostId":632090921,"repostType":1,"repost":{"magic":2,"id":632090921,"tweetId":"632090921","gmtCreate":1646128089266,"gmtModify":1646200337815,"author":{"id":212008496769156,"idStr":"212008496769156","authorId":212008496769156,"authorIdStr":"212008496769156","name":"捷克Jack","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cc48e563d37c21562541a2874ce20e4","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"f48104d3aff74204841356e6c91c4d07-1","templateUuid":"f48104d3aff74204841356e6c91c4d07","name":"周度最佳创作者","description":"每周获得最佳精华帖的创作者","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/271475ceaf67d40016c8cfa16c08c8b3","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a6336061b9ba82ba9177c7ec476f5f2","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":3,"allocatedDate":"2022.07.05","individualDisplayEnabled":0},"individualDisplayBadges":[{"badgeId":"3f8f4b8c193b4343a88817ce07587dbd-1","templateUuid":"3f8f4b8c193b4343a88817ce07587dbd","name":"星级创作者","description":"社区优质创作者:发表过3篇及以上精华帖,且30天内发表过至少一篇精华帖并参与过评论","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1866dcf97a73be1c330f85862546aedc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f5c5fa8e2c7683bb5a7fce8753ee456","redirectLinkEnabled":1,"redirectLink":"https://www.laohu8.com/activity/market/2023/star-contributors/","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.11.24","individualDisplayEnabled":1,"backgroundColor":{"dark":"#675a37","tint":"#f9ebc2"},"fontColor":{"dark":"#ffffff","tint":"#ab7a0e"}}],"fanSize":18974,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[{"themeId":"bc6e8e4b405b43429905237d8c15ff4c","categoryId":"20b8d1944bae4805b371322c2ab986d4","name":"期权Q&A:期权知识,你问我答","type":0,"rnLink":"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&page=/theme/detail&rndata={\"themeId\":bc6e8e4b405b43429905237d8c15ff4c}&rnconfig={\"headerBarHidden\": true}","description":"你想知道的期权知识都在这里,咨询期权问题@期权小助手","image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/672d6bc9cf055ebef009d5ee69bfef82"}],"images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd288c41e6cc6a8c3bfdd37ece38327d","width":"1757","height":"733"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ced7ea70d28163182b389c8c498be32","width":"590","height":"342"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20742f1d38218a6937b40ce9ce6a572e","width":"1756","height":"730"}],"coverImages":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd288c41e6cc6a8c3bfdd37ece38327d","width":"1757","height":"733"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ced7ea70d28163182b389c8c498be32","width":"590","height":"342"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20742f1d38218a6937b40ce9ce6a572e","width":"1756","height":"730"}],"title":"现在的BABA可能是最适合期权获利的标的","extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>上一次参与<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3542528121404732\">@麦麦max</a> 的直播中,我们聊到了<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a></p> <p>关于阿里巴巴,大家最近关注的几个点无非就是:</p> <ol> \n <li>最新季度的财报收入增速创下IPO以来新低;</li> \n <li>阿里云因为某些原因被人为限制了;</li> \n <li>淘系电商面临短视频竞争激烈;</li> \n <li>“反垄断”政策的影响后续;</li> \n <li>芒格的基金开始大量抄底。</li> \n</ol> <p>其实,这些所有散户都能很容易触达的信息,往往都是明牌,是很容易“已经”体现在股价中的(Already Priced-in)。而对于投资者来说,无论你下注“多头”(Long)还是“空头”(Short),参与的都是对未来的预期。</p> <p>刚刚发完财报的公司,往往会有一段时间来消化完财报信息,而这时候的股价波动就并不会特别显著。除非对于财报的一致性预期特别大,比如说强烈的看好或者强烈地看衰,要不然股价都会呈现出“均值回归”的特点。</p> <p>BABA的股票,已经回到了2017年的水平。</p> <p><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20742f1d38218a6937b40ce9ce6a572e\" tg-width=\"1756\" tg-height=\"730\"></p> <p>而且目前空头占比只有1.71%,与其说是回补得差不多,不如说是都不愿有人去空它了。</p> <p><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ced7ea70d28163182b389c8c498be32\" tg-width=\"590\" tg-height=\"342\"></p> <p>说实话,面对这样基本面的一家公司,抄底的确是个好选择。但是对于我们期权玩家来说,可以用一些期权策略获得更大概率的收益。</p> <p>我个人认为,一份简单的垂直差价(vertical Spread)就够,当然,是一份看涨的Spread。</p> <blockquote>\n 卖出,3月18日90美元的PUT,获得权利金1.31美元, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BABA%2020220318%2090.0%20PUT\"> $BABA 20220318 90.0 PUT$</a> \n</blockquote> <blockquote>\n 买入,3月18日85美元的PUT,付出权利金0.88美元, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BABA%2020220318%2085.0%20PUT\"> $BABA 20220318 85.0 PUT$</a> \n</blockquote> <p>按照2月28日收盘的价格,一份策略就是0.43美元,即43美元。保证金是500美元,扣除费用后的持有到期收益率为8%。</p> <p>至于为啥是这两张?就正好是95%概率下20周内均价可以落到的下限范围。</p> <p><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd288c41e6cc6a8c3bfdd37ece38327d\" tg-width=\"1757\" tg-height=\"733\"></p> <p>当然,如果你想要直接接盘抄底BABA,问题也不大,就直接卖出3月18日90美元的PUT就可以。</p> <p>或者,再激进一点,卖到100整数心理关口的PUT。</p> <p>主要下行风险:</p> <ol> \n <li>目前的俄乌战争疑云,给整个股票市场加深不确定性;</li> \n <li>美联储的加息行动,对科技股的打击</li> \n <li>不可明说的原因。</li> \n</ol> <p>Happy Trading!</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>上一次参与<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3542528121404732\">@麦麦max</a> 的直播中,我们聊到了<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a></p> <p>关于阿里巴巴,大家最近关注的几个点无非就是:</p> <ol> \n <li>最新季度的财报收入增速创下IPO以来新低;</li> \n <li>阿里云因为某些原因被人为限制了;</li> \n <li>淘系电商面临短视频竞争激烈;</li> \n <li>“反垄断”政策的影响后续;</li> \n <li>芒格的基金开始大量抄底。</li> \n</ol> <p>其实,这些所有散户都能很容易触达的信息,往往都是明牌,是很容易“已经”体现在股价中的(Already Priced-in)。而对于投资者来说,无论你下注“多头”(Long)还是“空头”(Short),参与的都是对未来的预期。</p> <p>刚刚发完财报的公司,往往会有一段时间来消化完财报信息,而这时候的股价波动就并不会特别显著。除非对于财报的一致性预期特别大,比如说强烈的看好或者强烈地看衰,要不然股价都会呈现出“均值回归”的特点。</p> <p>BABA的股票,已经回到了2017年的水平。</p> <p><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20742f1d38218a6937b40ce9ce6a572e\" tg-width=\"1756\" tg-height=\"730\"></p> <p>而且目前空头占比只有1.71%,与其说是回补得差不多,不如说是都不愿有人去空它了。</p> <p><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ced7ea70d28163182b389c8c498be32\" tg-width=\"590\" tg-height=\"342\"></p> <p>说实话,面对这样基本面的一家公司,抄底的确是个好选择。但是对于我们期权玩家来说,可以用一些期权策略获得更大概率的收益。</p> <p>我个人认为,一份简单的垂直差价(vertical Spread)就够,当然,是一份看涨的Spread。</p> <blockquote>\n 卖出,3月18日90美元的PUT,获得权利金1.31美元, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BABA%2020220318%2090.0%20PUT\"> $BABA 20220318 90.0 PUT$</a> \n</blockquote> <blockquote>\n 买入,3月18日85美元的PUT,付出权利金0.88美元, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BABA%2020220318%2085.0%20PUT\"> $BABA 20220318 85.0 PUT$</a> \n</blockquote> <p>按照2月28日收盘的价格,一份策略就是0.43美元,即43美元。保证金是500美元,扣除费用后的持有到期收益率为8%。</p> <p>至于为啥是这两张?就正好是95%概率下20周内均价可以落到的下限范围。</p> <p><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd288c41e6cc6a8c3bfdd37ece38327d\" tg-width=\"1757\" tg-height=\"733\"></p> <p>当然,如果你想要直接接盘抄底BABA,问题也不大,就直接卖出3月18日90美元的PUT就可以。</p> <p>或者,再激进一点,卖到100整数心理关口的PUT。</p> <p>主要下行风险:</p> <ol> \n <li>目前的俄乌战争疑云,给整个股票市场加深不确定性;</li> \n <li>美联储的加息行动,对科技股的打击</li> \n <li>不可明说的原因。</li> \n</ol> <p>Happy Trading!</p></body></html>","text":"上一次参与@麦麦max 的直播中,我们聊到了$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ $阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$ 关于阿里巴巴,大家最近关注的几个点无非就是: 最新季度的财报收入增速创下IPO以来新低; 阿里云因为某些原因被人为限制了; 淘系电商面临短视频竞争激烈; “反垄断”政策的影响后续; 芒格的基金开始大量抄底。 其实,这些所有散户都能很容易触达的信息,往往都是明牌,是很容易“已经”体现在股价中的(Already Priced-in)。而对于投资者来说,无论你下注“多头”(Long)还是“空头”(Short),参与的都是对未来的预期。 刚刚发完财报的公司,往往会有一段时间来消化完财报信息,而这时候的股价波动就并不会特别显著。除非对于财报的一致性预期特别大,比如说强烈的看好或者强烈地看衰,要不然股价都会呈现出“均值回归”的特点。 BABA的股票,已经回到了2017年的水平。 而且目前空头占比只有1.71%,与其说是回补得差不多,不如说是都不愿有人去空它了。 说实话,面对这样基本面的一家公司,抄底的确是个好选择。但是对于我们期权玩家来说,可以用一些期权策略获得更大概率的收益。 我个人认为,一份简单的垂直差价(vertical Spread)就够,当然,是一份看涨的Spread。 卖出,3月18日90美元的PUT,获得权利金1.31美元, $BABA 20220318 90.0 PUT$ 买入,3月18日85美元的PUT,付出权利金0.88美元, $BABA 20220318 85.0 PUT$ 按照2月28日收盘的价格,一份策略就是0.43美元,即43美元。保证金是500美元,扣除费用后的持有到期收益率为8%。 至于为啥是这两张?就正好是95%概率下20周内均价可以落到的下限范围。 当然,如果你想要直接接盘抄底BABA,问题也不大,就直接卖出3月18日90美元的PUT就可以。 或者,再激进一点,卖到100整数心理关口的PUT。 主要下行风险: 目前的俄乌战争疑云,给整个股票市场加深不确定性; 美联储的加息行动,对科技股的打击 不可明说的原因。 Happy Trading!","highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/632090921","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["09988","BABA"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":1443,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":243,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":14,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/635356660"}
精彩评论