跌跌撞撞不放弃
2022-02-14
不亏就是赚
@期权小班长:
了解华尔街的小套路,少亏钱。
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<p>所以大盘一下就崩了。别给自己的股票找下跌原因啦,都是大盘带的。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p> <p>2、很可惜迪士尼财报赌失败了,不过没关系,从今天发布财报的公司来看<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DOCS\">$Doximity, Inc.(DOCS)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWLO\">$Twilio Inc(TWLO)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOS\">$加拿大鹅(GOOS)$</a> ,暴涨暴跌是本季报常态,尤其是成长股。所以继续用利润押注就是了,依然采取小赌策略。</p> <p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFRM\">$Affirm Holdings, Inc.(AFRM)$</a> 由于昨天暴涨,期权调整一下<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AFRM%2020220211%2060.0%20PUT\">$AFRM 20220211 60.0 PUT$</a>,依然看跌。明天公布财报的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CFLT\">$Confluent, Inc.(CFLT)$</a> 和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NET\">$Cloudflare, Inc.(NET)$</a> 也值得关注一下。</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>如果每次都是套路,那么套路就不是套路了。</p> <p>美股老玩家或者一直追我文章的朋友可以发现,美股市场每次大事公布前后涨跌幅肯定是相反的:好事落地前一天市场下跌,坏事落地前一天市场上涨,这个规律简直屡试不爽。</p> <p>了解这个规律可以阻止暴涨暴跌时的头脑发热,告诉自己再等等。所以这个规律对我来说也只是起到一种信号作用,也只是不亏钱,这也就够了。事实上我印象中也是有概率事件落地前后大盘走势相同。</p> <p>1、CPI</p> <p>本周最大事件美股1月CPI落地,比预期中还要差,同比上涨7.5% ,高于预期7.3%,创1982年2月以来新高。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15a9491aeb07f31f738fa06c64c32b08\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">数据公布后国债收益率迅速飙升至1.974%,奔向2%。</p> <p>具体这样的数据带给市场的观感是什么样呢?公布前市场认为今年加息为5次左右,而现在美国利率期货显示2022年加息近6次。在3月加息点数上,大部分人都知道不是25个基点就是50个基点,但认为50基点概率只有27%,而本次数据公布后美国利率期货暗示市场押注有43%的机会在加息50个基点。</p> <p>所以大盘一下就崩了。别给自己的股票找下跌原因啦,都是大盘带的。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p> <p>2、很可惜迪士尼财报赌失败了,不过没关系,从今天发布财报的公司来看<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DOCS\">$Doximity, Inc.(DOCS)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWLO\">$Twilio Inc(TWLO)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOS\">$加拿大鹅(GOOS)$</a> ,暴涨暴跌是本季报常态,尤其是成长股。所以继续用利润押注就是了,依然采取小赌策略。</p> <p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFRM\">$Affirm Holdings, Inc.(AFRM)$</a> 由于昨天暴涨,期权调整一下<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AFRM%2020220211%2060.0%20PUT\">$AFRM 20220211 60.0 PUT$</a>,依然看跌。明天公布财报的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CFLT\">$Confluent, Inc.(CFLT)$</a> 和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NET\">$Cloudflare, Inc.(NET)$</a> 也值得关注一下。</p></body></html>","text":"如果每次都是套路,那么套路就不是套路了。 美股老玩家或者一直追我文章的朋友可以发现,美股市场每次大事公布前后涨跌幅肯定是相反的:好事落地前一天市场下跌,坏事落地前一天市场上涨,这个规律简直屡试不爽。 了解这个规律可以阻止暴涨暴跌时的头脑发热,告诉自己再等等。所以这个规律对我来说也只是起到一种信号作用,也只是不亏钱,这也就够了。事实上我印象中也是有概率事件落地前后大盘走势相同。 1、CPI 本周最大事件美股1月CPI落地,比预期中还要差,同比上涨7.5% ,高于预期7.3%,创1982年2月以来新高。数据公布后国债收益率迅速飙升至1.974%,奔向2%。 具体这样的数据带给市场的观感是什么样呢?公布前市场认为今年加息为5次左右,而现在美国利率期货显示2022年加息近6次。在3月加息点数上,大部分人都知道不是25个基点就是50个基点,但认为50基点概率只有27%,而本次数据公布后美国利率期货暗示市场押注有43%的机会在加息50个基点。 所以大盘一下就崩了。别给自己的股票找下跌原因啦,都是大盘带的。$特斯拉(TSLA)$ $英伟达(NVDA)$ 2、很可惜迪士尼财报赌失败了,不过没关系,从今天发布财报的公司来看$Doximity, Inc.(DOCS)$ $Twilio Inc(TWLO)$ $加拿大鹅(GOOS)$ ,暴涨暴跌是本季报常态,尤其是成长股。所以继续用利润押注就是了,依然采取小赌策略。 $Affirm Holdings, Inc.(AFRM)$ 由于昨天暴涨,期权调整一下$AFRM 20220211 60.0 PUT$,依然看跌。明天公布财报的$Confluent, Inc.(CFLT)$ 和$Cloudflare, Inc.(NET)$ 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