TT_8888
2022-01-20
Got English version?
@价值投资为王:
日内暴涨17%,基因测序龙头即将起飞?
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target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300685\">$艾德生物(300685)$</a> </p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>本周二,美股基因测序龙头Illumina高开高走,日内大涨17%,惊艳了世人。</p><p>消息面上,公司在摩根大通第40届年度医疗会议上预告四季度营收约11.9亿美元,同比增长24.9%,单季收入创历史记录。</p><p>公司同时预测2022年营收约51.5亿美元至52.4亿美元,增长14%至16%。</p><p>两项数据皆超出市场预期,股价闻声拔地而起也就不难理解了。</p><p>从季度收入趋势看,由于2020年新冠疫情突发,对基因测序业务影响较大,Illumina2020年全年营收罕见下滑8.6%。</p><p>受益于基数较低影响,2021年防疫常态化后,公司业务恢复增长,从单季增速看,2021年二季度营收增速77.9%,看似很高,但实际上是因为2020年二季度收入下滑24.5%造成。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86317204257889de10e8baf02d90fe52\" tg-width=\"632\" tg-height=\"362\"></p><p>去除2020年疫情影响,2019年-2021年,Illumina年复合营收增速为12.9%。</p><p>根据历年营收增速来看,若2022年营收同比增速为15%(预测值中位数),则是2016年以来较快的增长年份。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2a8c5185e8f09b92a1733e9105c5182\" tg-width=\"632\" tg-height=\"358\"></p><p>估值方面,Illumina市销率14.7倍,2022年营收下估值12.7倍,仍有向上空间。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/847b47f29e56022d4c2182fa4e313b09\" tg-width=\"632\" tg-height=\"342\"></p><p>从商业模式上看,Illumina主要的收入来源于耗材,2020年营收占比达到65%。</p><p>仪器销售方面,2021年的出货量创下历史最高纪录,超过3200台,累计安装量达到2万台。</p><p>每卖出一台仪器,都意味着会带来源源不断的耗材销售,Illumina业绩极具确定性。</p><p>因此,从2000年上市至今,Illumina多数年份保持上涨态势,是美股的长牛股。</p><p>考虑到2022年美国开启加息,Illumina估值上限或可承压,一日17%的激情过后,往后的生活或将回归平淡!</p><p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ILMN\">$Illumina(ILMN)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06606\">$诺辉健康-B(06606)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300685\">$艾德生物(300685)$</a> </p></body></html>","text":"本周二,美股基因测序龙头Illumina高开高走,日内大涨17%,惊艳了世人。 消息面上,公司在摩根大通第40届年度医疗会议上预告四季度营收约11.9亿美元,同比增长24.9%,单季收入创历史记录。 公司同时预测2022年营收约51.5亿美元至52.4亿美元,增长14%至16%。 两项数据皆超出市场预期,股价闻声拔地而起也就不难理解了。 从季度收入趋势看,由于2020年新冠疫情突发,对基因测序业务影响较大,Illumina2020年全年营收罕见下滑8.6%。 受益于基数较低影响,2021年防疫常态化后,公司业务恢复增长,从单季增速看,2021年二季度营收增速77.9%,看似很高,但实际上是因为2020年二季度收入下滑24.5%造成。 去除2020年疫情影响,2019年-2021年,Illumina年复合营收增速为12.9%。 根据历年营收增速来看,若2022年营收同比增速为15%(预测值中位数),则是2016年以来较快的增长年份。 估值方面,Illumina市销率14.7倍,2022年营收下估值12.7倍,仍有向上空间。 从商业模式上看,Illumina主要的收入来源于耗材,2020年营收占比达到65%。 仪器销售方面,2021年的出货量创下历史最高纪录,超过3200台,累计安装量达到2万台。 每卖出一台仪器,都意味着会带来源源不断的耗材销售,Illumina业绩极具确定性。 因此,从2000年上市至今,Illumina多数年份保持上涨态势,是美股的长牛股。 考虑到2022年美国开启加息,Illumina估值上限或可承压,一日17%的激情过后,往后的生活或将回归平淡! $Illumina(ILMN)$ $诺辉健康-B(06606)$ 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