荆棘谷大龙虾
2022-12-11
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@期权小班长:
反弹机会或出现在下周?
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referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/229ed9dc49691bb2dcefb662ebb653f2\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"698\"></p></body></html>","text":"继银行股之后,芯片板块也开启回调,三大指数继续下跌,就当前趋势来看本周大概率收跌,打破了我周一震荡向上的预期,目前更接近震荡向下。 鉴于下周是FOMC,提前回调也许不失为一件好事,下调预期才能更容易对结果满足。不过最好的结果大概率还是摸一下前高。 从历史经验来看,12月通常延续趋势,不是转折的月份。更形象的解释就是周k收阴后从哪里跌倒就从哪里爬起来,紧接着下周反弹,勉勉强强支撑到1月份然后陡然下跌。就连股灾的2007年和2008年也是这种规律,近几年唯一例外的是2018年。 所以昨天的异动榜也很好的体现了这种投机心理:空单很多,但成交金额止于试探:不过银行和半导体板块下注金额较大。银行以put价差为主,半导体put目标价正好打击的是sell 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