smartzhang
2023-01-04
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@期权小班长:
特斯拉会跌到哪儿?一些大单线索
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target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020230317%20125.0%20PUT\">$TSLA%2020230317%20125.0%20PUT$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20230317 125.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20230317 125.0 PUT$ </a> ,属于保守型明确近期看跌,选择平价行权价,从行权日期的时间损耗估算看跌周期,基本上本周还是看跌状态。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dccc8a5088a7fd5cd8d3cb1a2a449e4d\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"></p><p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020230120%20105.0%20PUT\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20230120 105.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20230120 105.0 PUT$ </a> 行权日不足30天,时间损耗很快,在这种情况下依然选择价外看跌,分为两种情况考虑交易思路:1是本周会跌到105,2是本周有急跌(周二盘前),赚iv价值。看交易者周二平不平仓就知道周三四五还会不会跌了。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81fd6eaca94c068d345de91db066cb3c\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"></p><p>这是周四的大单,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020230217%20120.0%20PUT\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20230217 120.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20230217 120.0 PUT$ </a> 思路同 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20230317 125.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20230317 125.0 PUT$ </a><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94e61312b3c06bb447399af5d9ff043d\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">这也是周四的大单,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020230120%20115.0%20PUT\">$TSLA%2020230120%20115.0%20PUT$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20230120 115.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20230120 115.0 PUT$ </a>思路同<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20230120 105.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20230120 105.0 PUT$ </a>,不确定他今天获利平仓然后移仓操作。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0cec7db435acbdbc8a95ffac737ba5a4\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"></p><p>这也是周四的大单,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020230120%2085.0%20PUT\">$TSLA%2020230120%2085.0%20PUT$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20230120 85.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20230120 85.0 PUT$ </a> 更加投机,和上面的接近百万大单相比,这两张单子总交易金额才40多万,这个数字基本上是标准的投机数额了,更偏向急跌,所以交易者会更加在意平仓时间点位,今天平仓说明特斯拉跌不到85,今天不平那就有意思了。。。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29c2db193bfabf2b96375d7829461e5c\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"></p><p>最后顺便说一下,本周大盘整体不看跌,很适合sell put。另外入境取消全员核酸检测以及集中隔离+对新馆病毒感染实施乙类管理,利好旅游类股票<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HTHT\">$华住(HTHT)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TCOM\">$携程网(TCOM)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOUR\">$途牛(TOUR)$</a> </p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>目前特斯拉的腹泻式下跌给我整不会了。虽然从CPI来看二手车和新车市场需要进一步向19年行情靠拢,股价会向2020年3月靠拢,但特斯拉的回调速度还是在各方面原因作用下出乎预料,尤其是在圣诞季。</p><p>今天继续从期权大单里寻找市场对于特斯拉的预期支撑点位。我用的是老虎pc端的期权筛选,功能比手机多一些,比如可以按照时间顺序排列,手机上是按成交量排列的。</p><p>大单筛选排除远期(2023年6月以后),因为远期代表可以无视一段时间内的价值衰减,利用价外行权价上更大的杠杆,对于近期目标价是干扰;以及排除深度价内套利大单,行权价非常离谱,也没有目标价的指导意义。近期到期开仓期权就是一个很好的筛选目标了。</p><p>以下几张期权本周可以关注交易者是否平仓。</p><p>那么从时间排序来看,临近收盘时买入的近期看跌期权就很有参考价值,比如<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020230317%20125.0%20PUT\">$TSLA%2020230317%20125.0%20PUT$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20230317 125.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20230317 125.0 PUT$ </a> ,属于保守型明确近期看跌,选择平价行权价,从行权日期的时间损耗估算看跌周期,基本上本周还是看跌状态。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dccc8a5088a7fd5cd8d3cb1a2a449e4d\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"></p><p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020230120%20105.0%20PUT\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20230120 105.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20230120 105.0 PUT$ </a> 行权日不足30天,时间损耗很快,在这种情况下依然选择价外看跌,分为两种情况考虑交易思路:1是本周会跌到105,2是本周有急跌(周二盘前),赚iv价值。看交易者周二平不平仓就知道周三四五还会不会跌了。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81fd6eaca94c068d345de91db066cb3c\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"></p><p>这是周四的大单,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020230217%20120.0%20PUT\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20230217 120.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20230217 120.0 PUT$ </a> 思路同 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20230317 125.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20230317 125.0 PUT$ </a><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94e61312b3c06bb447399af5d9ff043d\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">这也是周四的大单,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020230120%20115.0%20PUT\">$TSLA%2020230120%20115.0%20PUT$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20230120 115.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20230120 115.0 PUT$ </a>思路同<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20230120 105.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20230120 105.0 PUT$ </a>,不确定他今天获利平仓然后移仓操作。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0cec7db435acbdbc8a95ffac737ba5a4\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"></p><p>这也是周四的大单,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020230120%2085.0%20PUT\">$TSLA%2020230120%2085.0%20PUT$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20230120 85.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20230120 85.0 PUT$ </a> 更加投机,和上面的接近百万大单相比,这两张单子总交易金额才40多万,这个数字基本上是标准的投机数额了,更偏向急跌,所以交易者会更加在意平仓时间点位,今天平仓说明特斯拉跌不到85,今天不平那就有意思了。。。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29c2db193bfabf2b96375d7829461e5c\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"></p><p>最后顺便说一下,本周大盘整体不看跌,很适合sell put。另外入境取消全员核酸检测以及集中隔离+对新馆病毒感染实施乙类管理,利好旅游类股票<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HTHT\">$华住(HTHT)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TCOM\">$携程网(TCOM)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOUR\">$途牛(TOUR)$</a> </p></body></html>","text":"目前特斯拉的腹泻式下跌给我整不会了。虽然从CPI来看二手车和新车市场需要进一步向19年行情靠拢,股价会向2020年3月靠拢,但特斯拉的回调速度还是在各方面原因作用下出乎预料,尤其是在圣诞季。 今天继续从期权大单里寻找市场对于特斯拉的预期支撑点位。我用的是老虎pc端的期权筛选,功能比手机多一些,比如可以按照时间顺序排列,手机上是按成交量排列的。 大单筛选排除远期(2023年6月以后),因为远期代表可以无视一段时间内的价值衰减,利用价外行权价上更大的杠杆,对于近期目标价是干扰;以及排除深度价内套利大单,行权价非常离谱,也没有目标价的指导意义。近期到期开仓期权就是一个很好的筛选目标了。 以下几张期权本周可以关注交易者是否平仓。 那么从时间排序来看,临近收盘时买入的近期看跌期权就很有参考价值,比如$TSLA%2020230317%20125.0%20PUT$ $TSLA 20230317 125.0 PUT$ ,属于保守型明确近期看跌,选择平价行权价,从行权日期的时间损耗估算看跌周期,基本上本周还是看跌状态。 $TSLA 20230120 105.0 PUT$ 行权日不足30天,时间损耗很快,在这种情况下依然选择价外看跌,分为两种情况考虑交易思路:1是本周会跌到105,2是本周有急跌(周二盘前),赚iv价值。看交易者周二平不平仓就知道周三四五还会不会跌了。 这是周四的大单,$TSLA 20230217 120.0 PUT$ 思路同 $TSLA 20230317 125.0 PUT$ 这也是周四的大单,$TSLA%2020230120%20115.0%20PUT$ $TSLA 20230120 115.0 PUT$ 思路同$TSLA 20230120 105.0 PUT$ ,不确定他今天获利平仓然后移仓操作。 这也是周四的大单,$TSLA%2020230120%2085.0%20PUT$ $TSLA 20230120 85.0 PUT$ 更加投机,和上面的接近百万大单相比,这两张单子总交易金额才40多万,这个数字基本上是标准的投机数额了,更偏向急跌,所以交易者会更加在意平仓时间点位,今天平仓说明特斯拉跌不到85,今天不平那就有意思了。。。 最后顺便说一下,本周大盘整体不看跌,很适合sell put。另外入境取消全员核酸检测以及集中隔离+对新馆病毒感染实施乙类管理,利好旅游类股票$华住(HTHT)$ $携程网(TCOM)$ 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