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@期权小班长：虎口拔牙，趋势见顶下的期权应对策略

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src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/702864f7c7b0da58d79f2bcf166f76b8\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"></p><p>我觉得这对大单组合特别适合现在的情况，近期看涨，远期看衰：</p><ul><li>买<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/KWEB%2020230120%2036.0%20CALL\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/KWEB 20230120 36.0 CALL\">$KWEB 20230120 36.0 CALL$&nbsp;</a></li><li>卖<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/KWEB%2020230217%2040.0%20CALL\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/KWEB 20230217 40.0 CALL\">$KWEB 20230217 40.0 CALL$&nbsp;</a></li></ul><p>这对组合偏向赌近期还有一次利好消息冲顶暴涨，最高涨不到40（去年KWEB最高39.8）；如果没有也没什么问题，两个call的权利金正好相抵消，也不亏。非常勤俭持家，即使是2块钱的彩票钱，也要靠薅羊毛赚回来。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ae651371730a78ea979cc657af62765\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"></p><p>也不是所有股票都见顶，也有单向大call：</p><ul><li><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SE%2020230217%2070.0%20CALL\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SE 20230217 70.0 CALL\">$SE 20230217 70.0 CALL$&nbsp;</a></li></ul><p>周五电商板块异军突起，可能是财报前看涨吧。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff99c1ea696a82525ae45c3cf5e39ce3\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">1月19号盘后奈飞财报，先说结论：期权异动尚没有明显趋势。权利金十分昂贵，建议财报后再交易；或者19号当天刷期权异动，参考提前抢跑选手下单。</p><p>按照官方的预期，奈飞2022 年第四季度新增 450 万订阅用户。Netflix 第四季度营收将同比增长 1.6% 至 78.3 亿美元，高于该公司预期的 77.8 亿美元。其主要盈利指标营业收入预计将比去年下降 43% 至 3.624 亿美元，而稀释后的每股收益将大幅下降近 70% 至 0.41 美元。尽管如此，市场共识仍高于 Netflix 季度营业利润 3.3 亿美元和每股收益 0.36 美元的预期。</p><p>目前，华尔街认为 Netflix 将在 2023 年增加 1400 万订阅用户，比 2022 年计划增加了 580 万，但仍是过去十年中增长最慢的之一。在广告收入增加和价格上涨的推动下，每位用户的平均收入预计今年将继续升至历史新高。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68b7ca225b4f9aabc739a492b901dcf8\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">从期权链预测涨跌幅大约在5%上下，很有套利空间，但权利金过于昂贵，所以建议密切关注期权异动。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef9306b8da2fa3eb4063811ccab78f6c\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"></p><p>最后马斯克14号发的推特，我总感觉他在暗示什么。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41d05c6cf7f09189aae9983ecafe375a\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>下周就要过春节了，近期中概股利好消息一个接着一个，滴滴也重新恢复注册了。不过图形上，很多股票已经处于高位，涨势渐缓。被套不舒服，但踏空同样令人心痛，这要怎么办呢？<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/702864f7c7b0da58d79f2bcf166f76b8\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"></p><p>我觉得这对大单组合特别适合现在的情况，近期看涨，远期看衰：</p><ul><li>买<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/KWEB%2020230120%2036.0%20CALL\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/KWEB 20230120 36.0 CALL\">$KWEB 20230120 36.0 CALL$&nbsp;</a></li><li>卖<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/KWEB%2020230217%2040.0%20CALL\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/KWEB 20230217 40.0 CALL\">$KWEB 20230217 40.0 CALL$&nbsp;</a></li></ul><p>这对组合偏向赌近期还有一次利好消息冲顶暴涨，最高涨不到40（去年KWEB最高39.8）；如果没有也没什么问题，两个call的权利金正好相抵消，也不亏。非常勤俭持家，即使是2块钱的彩票钱，也要靠薅羊毛赚回来。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ae651371730a78ea979cc657af62765\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"></p><p>也不是所有股票都见顶，也有单向大call：</p><ul><li><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SE%2020230217%2070.0%20CALL\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SE 20230217 70.0 CALL\">$SE 20230217 70.0 CALL$&nbsp;</a></li></ul><p>周五电商板块异军突起，可能是财报前看涨吧。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff99c1ea696a82525ae45c3cf5e39ce3\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">1月19号盘后奈飞财报，先说结论：期权异动尚没有明显趋势。权利金十分昂贵，建议财报后再交易；或者19号当天刷期权异动，参考提前抢跑选手下单。</p><p>按照官方的预期，奈飞2022 年第四季度新增 450 万订阅用户。Netflix 第四季度营收将同比增长 1.6% 至 78.3 亿美元，高于该公司预期的 77.8 亿美元。其主要盈利指标营业收入预计将比去年下降 43% 至 3.624 亿美元，而稀释后的每股收益将大幅下降近 70% 至 0.41 美元。尽管如此，市场共识仍高于 Netflix 季度营业利润 3.3 亿美元和每股收益 0.36 美元的预期。</p><p>目前，华尔街认为 Netflix 将在 2023 年增加 1400 万订阅用户，比 2022 年计划增加了 580 万，但仍是过去十年中增长最慢的之一。在广告收入增加和价格上涨的推动下，每位用户的平均收入预计今年将继续升至历史新高。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68b7ca225b4f9aabc739a492b901dcf8\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">从期权链预测涨跌幅大约在5%上下，很有套利空间，但权利金过于昂贵，所以建议密切关注期权异动。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef9306b8da2fa3eb4063811ccab78f6c\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"></p><p>最后马斯克14号发的推特，我总感觉他在暗示什么。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41d05c6cf7f09189aae9983ecafe375a\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"></p></body></html>","text":"下周就要过春节了，近期中概股利好消息一个接着一个，滴滴也重新恢复注册了。不过图形上，很多股票已经处于高位，涨势渐缓。被套不舒服，但踏空同样令人心痛，这要怎么办呢？ 我觉得这对大单组合特别适合现在的情况，近期看涨，远期看衰： 买$KWEB 20230120 36.0 CALL$ 卖$KWEB 20230217 40.0 CALL$  这对组合偏向赌近期还有一次利好消息冲顶暴涨，最高涨不到40（去年KWEB最高39.8）；如果没有也没什么问题，两个call的权利金正好相抵消，也不亏。非常勤俭持家，即使是2块钱的彩票钱，也要靠薅羊毛赚回来。 也不是所有股票都见顶，也有单向大call： $SE 20230217 70.0 CALL$  周五电商板块异军突起，可能是财报前看涨吧。1月19号盘后奈飞财报，先说结论：期权异动尚没有明显趋势。权利金十分昂贵，建议财报后再交易；或者19号当天刷期权异动，参考提前抢跑选手下单。 按照官方的预期，奈飞2022 年第四季度新增 450 万订阅用户。Netflix 第四季度营收将同比增长 1.6% 至 78.3 亿美元，高于该公司预期的 77.8 亿美元。其主要盈利指标营业收入预计将比去年下降 43% 至 3.624 亿美元，而稀释后的每股收益将大幅下降近 70% 至 0.41 美元。尽管如此，市场共识仍高于 Netflix 季度营业利润 3.3 亿美元和每股收益 0.36 美元的预期。 目前，华尔街认为 Netflix 将在 2023 年增加 1400 万订阅用户，比 2022 年计划增加了 580 万，但仍是过去十年中增长最慢的之一。在广告收入增加和价格上涨的推动下，每位用户的平均收入预计今年将继续升至历史新高。从期权链预测涨跌幅大约在5%上下，很有套利空间，但权利金过于昂贵，所以建议密切关注期权异动。 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