trendtrading
2023-02-13
这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看
@期权小班长：
哪里是顶？sell call狠单分享
免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。
分享至
微信
复制链接
精彩评论
我们需要你的真知灼见来填补这片空白
打开APP，发表看法
APP内打开
发表看法
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":625374028,"tweetId":"625374028","gmtCreate":1676262299564,"gmtModify":1676262301346,"author":{"id":4102426680604660,"idStr":"4102426680604660","authorId":4102426680604660,"authorIdStr":"4102426680604660","name":"trendtrading","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93ac63d0863368e2155d07ed1363172f","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":0,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"html":"<html><head></head><body>这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看</body></html>","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/625374028","repostId":622501864,"repostType":1,"repost":{"magic":2,"id":622501864,"tweetId":"622501864","gmtCreate":1675696218459,"gmtModify":1675698306374,"author":{"id":3527667590215376,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorId":3527667590215376,"authorIdStr":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","vip":2,"userType":2,"introduction":"最简单的期权策略实践者","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"99ab5418acee46419c22b9c7ac12257b-1","templateUuid":"99ab5418acee46419c22b9c7ac12257b","name":"月度最佳创作者","description":"每月精华帖数量及质量位于社区TOP3的创作者","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0cad6192443c33dca826a001250fbd4","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ccd98c646815ce7610b0df338e060cc","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.03.02","individualDisplayEnabled":0},"individualDisplayBadges":[{"badgeId":"3f8f4b8c193b4343a88817ce07587dbd-1","templateUuid":"3f8f4b8c193b4343a88817ce07587dbd","name":"星级创作者","description":"社区优质创作者：发表过3篇及以上精华帖，且30天内发表过至少一篇精华帖并参与过评论","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1866dcf97a73be1c330f85862546aedc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f5c5fa8e2c7683bb5a7fce8753ee456","redirectLinkEnabled":1,"redirectLink":"https://www.laohu8.com/activity/market/2023/star-contributors/","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.11.23","individualDisplayEnabled":1,"backgroundColor":{"dark":"#675a37","tint":"#f9ebc2"},"fontColor":{"dark":"#ffffff","tint":"#ab7a0e"}}],"fanSize":32258,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[{"themeId":"bc6e8e4b405b43429905237d8c15ff4c","categoryId":"20b8d1944bae4805b371322c2ab986d4","name":"期权Q&A：期权知识，你问我答","type":0,"rnLink":"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&page=/theme/detail&rndata={\"themeId\":bc6e8e4b405b43429905237d8c15ff4c}&rnconfig={\"headerBarHidden\": true}","description":"你想知道的期权知识都在这里，咨询期权问题@期权小助手","image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/672d6bc9cf055ebef009d5ee69bfef82"}],"images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ef2cf71c5b62726466a3e965d941488","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f2a38741ab6fea68e338f758880a5dc","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6126fde7923ef32e2031019131cc970c","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"coverImages":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ef2cf71c5b62726466a3e965d941488","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f2a38741ab6fea68e338f758880a5dc","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6126fde7923ef32e2031019131cc970c","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"title":"哪里是顶？sell call狠单分享","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>股市也讲究欲抑先扬，下跌之前先拉高。</p><p>周五非农数据非常出乎意料，虽然鲍威尔泄露了数据很强，但大家以为最强顶多就25～26万，没想到能达到50万以上，从就业数据来看何止硬着陆，连一点软着陆的迹象也没有。就业市场如此强劲，那1月的CPI似乎可能就不大好看了。</p><p>美元触底大反弹，三天时间从100.8涨到103。而美元一涨，风险资产价格比如股价就不好说了，市场近期触顶概率极大。</p><p>然后我在苹果期权异动里翻到这么一张单子：sell <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL%2020230519%20170.0%20CALL\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL 20230519 170.0 CALL\">$AAPL 20230519 170.0 CALL$ </a></p><p>到期日是2023年5月19日，总成交额250多万，名副其实的大单。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6126fde7923ef32e2031019131cc970c\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">为什么行权价是170？</p><p>170是去年4月份的高点。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ef2cf71c5b62726466a3e965d941488\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">对于这个位置大家应该都不陌生，奈飞双卖期权的那张大单，sell call行权价选择也是这个位置。从奈飞的近期表现来看，行权价选择还是较为准确的。虽然选择8月高点会更为安心。</p><p>目前不太确定这张大单是单纯的sell call还是在持有股票的情况下做的备兑，我觉得后者可能性也很大，做备兑会更为划算。</p><p>在美元反弹趋势下，上涨有限，下跌风险开始凸显，做见顶策略显然更为靠谱。</p><p>有人可能会琢磨现在是不是buy put会更好。我的答案是也可以，不过见顶是持续震荡过程，多空双方互相拉锯，显然赚取时间价值更为有利。</p><p>就比如上周五这张大单 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL%2020230217%20175.0%20CALL\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL 20230217 175.0 CALL\">$AAPL 20230217 175.0 CALL$ </a> ，苹果涨至高点sell call赚了60万。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f2a38741ab6fea68e338f758880a5dc\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">buy put本周不一定会有收获，不过也分板块，很明显有的板块已经开始回调了。</p><p>本文主要讨论两个问题，1是见顶时sell call 好还是buy put好，2是见顶价格大约在哪里。</p><p>延伸问题2就可以发现，如果某股票距离去年4月股价位置特别远，那还是不要sell call比较好，比如特斯拉。。。</p><p>但特斯拉能否在近期冲击300，那又是另一个问题了。最好不要sell call，不代表可以买call。</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>股市也讲究欲抑先扬，下跌之前先拉高。</p><p>周五非农数据非常出乎意料，虽然鲍威尔泄露了数据很强，但大家以为最强顶多就25～26万，没想到能达到50万以上，从就业数据来看何止硬着陆，连一点软着陆的迹象也没有。就业市场如此强劲，那1月的CPI似乎可能就不大好看了。</p><p>美元触底大反弹，三天时间从100.8涨到103。而美元一涨，风险资产价格比如股价就不好说了，市场近期触顶概率极大。</p><p>然后我在苹果期权异动里翻到这么一张单子：sell <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL%2020230519%20170.0%20CALL\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL 20230519 170.0 CALL\">$AAPL 20230519 170.0 CALL$ </a></p><p>到期日是2023年5月19日，总成交额250多万，名副其实的大单。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6126fde7923ef32e2031019131cc970c\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">为什么行权价是170？</p><p>170是去年4月份的高点。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ef2cf71c5b62726466a3e965d941488\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">对于这个位置大家应该都不陌生，奈飞双卖期权的那张大单，sell call行权价选择也是这个位置。从奈飞的近期表现来看，行权价选择还是较为准确的。虽然选择8月高点会更为安心。</p><p>目前不太确定这张大单是单纯的sell call还是在持有股票的情况下做的备兑，我觉得后者可能性也很大，做备兑会更为划算。</p><p>在美元反弹趋势下，上涨有限，下跌风险开始凸显，做见顶策略显然更为靠谱。</p><p>有人可能会琢磨现在是不是buy put会更好。我的答案是也可以，不过见顶是持续震荡过程，多空双方互相拉锯，显然赚取时间价值更为有利。</p><p>就比如上周五这张大单 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL%2020230217%20175.0%20CALL\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL 20230217 175.0 CALL\">$AAPL 20230217 175.0 CALL$ </a> ，苹果涨至高点sell call赚了60万。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f2a38741ab6fea68e338f758880a5dc\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">buy put本周不一定会有收获，不过也分板块，很明显有的板块已经开始回调了。</p><p>本文主要讨论两个问题，1是见顶时sell call 好还是buy put好，2是见顶价格大约在哪里。</p><p>延伸问题2就可以发现，如果某股票距离去年4月股价位置特别远，那还是不要sell call比较好，比如特斯拉。。。</p><p>但特斯拉能否在近期冲击300，那又是另一个问题了。最好不要sell call，不代表可以买call。</p></body></html>","text":"股市也讲究欲抑先扬，下跌之前先拉高。 周五非农数据非常出乎意料，虽然鲍威尔泄露了数据很强，但大家以为最强顶多就25～26万，没想到能达到50万以上，从就业数据来看何止硬着陆，连一点软着陆的迹象也没有。就业市场如此强劲，那1月的CPI似乎可能就不大好看了。 美元触底大反弹，三天时间从100.8涨到103。而美元一涨，风险资产价格比如股价就不好说了，市场近期触顶概率极大。 然后我在苹果期权异动里翻到这么一张单子：sell $AAPL 20230519 170.0 CALL$ 到期日是2023年5月19日，总成交额250多万，名副其实的大单。为什么行权价是170？ 170是去年4月份的高点。对于这个位置大家应该都不陌生，奈飞双卖期权的那张大单，sell call行权价选择也是这个位置。从奈飞的近期表现来看，行权价选择还是较为准确的。虽然选择8月高点会更为安心。 目前不太确定这张大单是单纯的sell call还是在持有股票的情况下做的备兑，我觉得后者可能性也很大，做备兑会更为划算。 在美元反弹趋势下，上涨有限，下跌风险开始凸显，做见顶策略显然更为靠谱。 有人可能会琢磨现在是不是buy put会更好。我的答案是也可以，不过见顶是持续震荡过程，多空双方互相拉锯，显然赚取时间价值更为有利。 就比如上周五这张大单 $AAPL 20230217 175.0 CALL$ ，苹果涨至高点sell call赚了60万。buy put本周不一定会有收获，不过也分板块，很明显有的板块已经开始回调了。 本文主要讨论两个问题，1是见顶时sell call 好还是buy put好，2是见顶价格大约在哪里。 延伸问题2就可以发现，如果某股票距离去年4月股价位置特别远，那还是不要sell call比较好，比如特斯拉。。。 但特斯拉能否在近期冲击300，那又是另一个问题了。最好不要sell call，不代表可以买call。","highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/622501864","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["AAPL%2020230519%20170.0%20CALL","AAPL","AAPL%2020230217%20175.0%20CALL"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":1328,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1190,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":27,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/625374028"}
精彩评论