smartzhang
2022-12-28
这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看
@期权小班长：
我一回来就发现，散户指标又破位了
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$游戏驿站(GME)$</a> 也走出了破位趋势，有些类似8月中的走势，可见这次回调下方的支撑并不是那么稳固：<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66ac31117db8845d7ffe62d917bccf28\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">目前就是典型的震荡下行趋势：涨不上去，前高是别想摸了，但也跌的不怎么痛快。所以和震荡上行趋势完全相反，这种趋势最适合的策略就是sell call。</p><p>sell call行权价选择的要点就是找到一个反复冲击都无法到达的前高，拿<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KWEB\">$中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares(KWEB)$</a> 来举例比如年初的36就是一个难以逾越的高点，年中股价曾反复几次冲击34失败，所以36是一个相对安全的sell call选择<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/KWEB%2020230120%2036.0%20CALL\">$KWEB%2020230120%2036.0%20CALL$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/KWEB 20230120 36.0 CALL\">$KWEB 20230120 36.0 CALL$ </a><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1271e2c5d030e487b090a3c192e386a\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">对于震荡下行可能有人会第一时间想到买put。不过就跟震荡上行买call一样，震荡下行买put同样面临着时间价值损耗，建议搭配sell put做价差策略更合适。或者对于想要接盘的股票来说，等待回调也是不错的选择。比如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TLT\">$债券20+美公债指数ETF-iShares(TLT)$</a> 102是一个不错的接盘价格。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63dab689bc8b73c2ffd783dd12ce4b8a\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">一般下跌趋势中的不同股票往往处于不同阶段，有的股票刚开始回调，有的可能已经回调到了末期。这时候极端大单往往是不错的阶段参考。比如特斯拉和COIN都出现了非常极端行权价的期权看跌大单：</p><p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020230217%2070.0%20PUT\">$TSLA%2020230217%2070.0%20PUT$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20230217 70.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20230217 70.0 PUT$ </a></p><p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN%2020240119%2017.5%20PUT\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN 20240119 17.5 PUT\">$COIN 20240119 17.5 PUT$ </a></p><p>说明这两只股票现阶段可能快回调到位了。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/939ff31094be877fca75843b29b06f67\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b69f7cafcbb8f5925a5f7a91d64dd59\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"></p><p></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>上周阳了，没有多余精力看盘，但周末得闲看了看，三大指数走势并不意外，美联储鹰派发言后如期回调。比较令我意外的是之前被当作散户逃跑指数的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$游戏驿站(GME)$</a> 也走出了破位趋势，有些类似8月中的走势，可见这次回调下方的支撑并不是那么稳固：<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66ac31117db8845d7ffe62d917bccf28\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">目前就是典型的震荡下行趋势：涨不上去，前高是别想摸了，但也跌的不怎么痛快。所以和震荡上行趋势完全相反，这种趋势最适合的策略就是sell call。</p><p>sell call行权价选择的要点就是找到一个反复冲击都无法到达的前高，拿<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KWEB\">$中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares(KWEB)$</a> 来举例比如年初的36就是一个难以逾越的高点，年中股价曾反复几次冲击34失败，所以36是一个相对安全的sell call选择<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/KWEB%2020230120%2036.0%20CALL\">$KWEB%2020230120%2036.0%20CALL$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/KWEB 20230120 36.0 CALL\">$KWEB 20230120 36.0 CALL$ </a><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1271e2c5d030e487b090a3c192e386a\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">对于震荡下行可能有人会第一时间想到买put。不过就跟震荡上行买call一样，震荡下行买put同样面临着时间价值损耗，建议搭配sell put做价差策略更合适。或者对于想要接盘的股票来说，等待回调也是不错的选择。比如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TLT\">$债券20+美公债指数ETF-iShares(TLT)$</a> 102是一个不错的接盘价格。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63dab689bc8b73c2ffd783dd12ce4b8a\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">一般下跌趋势中的不同股票往往处于不同阶段，有的股票刚开始回调，有的可能已经回调到了末期。这时候极端大单往往是不错的阶段参考。比如特斯拉和COIN都出现了非常极端行权价的期权看跌大单：</p><p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020230217%2070.0%20PUT\">$TSLA%2020230217%2070.0%20PUT$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20230217 70.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20230217 70.0 PUT$ </a></p><p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN%2020240119%2017.5%20PUT\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN 20240119 17.5 PUT\">$COIN 20240119 17.5 PUT$ </a></p><p>说明这两只股票现阶段可能快回调到位了。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/939ff31094be877fca75843b29b06f67\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b69f7cafcbb8f5925a5f7a91d64dd59\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"></p><p></p></body></html>","text":"上周阳了，没有多余精力看盘，但周末得闲看了看，三大指数走势并不意外，美联储鹰派发言后如期回调。比较令我意外的是之前被当作散户逃跑指数的$游戏驿站(GME)$ 也走出了破位趋势，有些类似8月中的走势，可见这次回调下方的支撑并不是那么稳固：目前就是典型的震荡下行趋势：涨不上去，前高是别想摸了，但也跌的不怎么痛快。所以和震荡上行趋势完全相反，这种趋势最适合的策略就是sell call。 sell call行权价选择的要点就是找到一个反复冲击都无法到达的前高，拿$中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares(KWEB)$ 来举例比如年初的36就是一个难以逾越的高点，年中股价曾反复几次冲击34失败，所以36是一个相对安全的sell call选择$KWEB%2020230120%2036.0%20CALL$ $KWEB 20230120 36.0 CALL$ 对于震荡下行可能有人会第一时间想到买put。不过就跟震荡上行买call一样，震荡下行买put同样面临着时间价值损耗，建议搭配sell put做价差策略更合适。或者对于想要接盘的股票来说，等待回调也是不错的选择。比如$债券20+美公债指数ETF-iShares(TLT)$ 102是一个不错的接盘价格。一般下跌趋势中的不同股票往往处于不同阶段，有的股票刚开始回调，有的可能已经回调到了末期。这时候极端大单往往是不错的阶段参考。比如特斯拉和COIN都出现了非常极端行权价的期权看跌大单： $TSLA%2020230217%2070.0%20PUT$ $TSLA 20230217 70.0 PUT$ $COIN 20240119 17.5 PUT$ 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