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@期权小班长：2022Q1财报季投机指南（下）

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<p>在此情况下，股价想要有好的表现，企业需要在前瞻指引里下功夫：市场会重点关注公司对于成本的控制与转嫁，供应链的控制，以及盈利前景与利润保护。</p> <p>而供应链障碍让芯片汽车板块成为重灾区，供应链问题不仅增加成本，同时也影响企业的营收。所以芯片和汽车股票才会跌的这么惨。</p> <p>和上面的通胀问题一样，也有解决方案，就是看前瞻指引如何描述需求强劲以及提高生产力的方法，比如特斯拉德州工厂落地就是一个支撑点。</p> <p>至于财报前跌太多以至于财报披露后不会继续跌这种乐观希望，还要等一个例子，比如本周的金融股。从技术面来看贼差，基本面也贼差，市场同比盈利预期显示下降 -24.2%。如果财报披露后没有勇创新低，那我会认为这个季度提前自罚三杯是有用的，否则就要好好评估一下现在手中的股票了。</p> <p>今日sell&nbsp;put池子</p> <table> \n <colgroup></colgroup> \n <tbody> \n  <tr> \n   <td>标的代码</td> \n   <td>年化收益</td> \n   <td>到期日</td> \n   <td>行权价</td> \n   <td>权利金</td> \n  </tr> \n  <tr> \n   <td><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MSFT%2020220422%20275.0%20PUT\">$MSFT 20220422 275.0 PUT$</a></td> \n   <td>38%</td> \n   <td>2022/4/22</td> \n   <td>275</td> \n   <td>3.25</td> \n  </tr> \n  <tr> \n   <td><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL%2020220422%20160.0%20PUT\">$AAPL 20220422 160.0 PUT$</a></td> \n   <td>32%</td> \n   <td>2022/4/22</td> \n   <td>160</td> \n   <td>1.59</td> \n  </tr> \n  <tr> \n   <td><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMD%2020220422%2085.0%20PUT\">$AMD 20220422 85.0 PUT$</a></td> \n   <td>24%</td> \n   <td>2022/4/22</td> \n   <td>85</td> \n   <td>0.7</td> \n  </tr> \n  <tr> \n   <td><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020220422%20800.0%20PUT\">$TSLA 20220422 800.0 PUT$</a></td> \n   <td>12%</td> \n   <td>2022/4/22</td> \n   <td>800</td> \n   <td>3.65</td> \n  </tr> \n  <tr> \n   <td><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020220422%20195.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20220422 195.0 PUT$</a></td> \n   <td>33%</td> \n   <td>2022/4/22</td> \n   <td>195</td> \n   <td>2.2</td> \n  </tr> \n  <tr> \n   <td><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC%2020220520%2042.5%20PUT\">$INTC 20220520 42.5 PUT$</a></td> \n   <td>周五平仓</td> \n   <td>2022/5/20</td> \n   <td>42.5</td> \n   <td>1.01</td> \n  </tr> \n </tbody> \n</table> <p>跟昨天一样，因为底部价格没什么太大区别。</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>今天盘前公布了美国3月CPI，同比上涨8.5%，续创40年来新高，预期为8.4%，前值为7.9%。CPI数据公布后，大盘迅速拉高，纳指期货一度涨幅达到2%。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4379338ff79ed6ce4c7a8e824de71ec8\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">对此现象分析师解释为：尽管总体通胀与预期一致，升至40年来的新高，但核心通胀低于预期；美国国债收益率正在下跌，市场对CPI数据的初步解读是，价格压力看起来并不像担心的那样白热化。</p> <p>对此现象小班长的解释为：对于本次CPI布雷纳德已经唱过红脸了，所以对于本次通胀数据市场早有预期。这数据可怕也是抽象的可怕，这能有上周美联储副主席直接在会上说老百姓都快吃不起饭了可怕吗？</p> <p>本轮财报季有两大影响因素，通胀是其一，供应链障碍是其二。如何应对通胀和供应链障碍，就是本财报季大部分企业的考题。</p> <p>面对通胀环境，市场已经对大部分企业的财报表现作出了预期：营收同比上涨超预期，因为成本压力盈利同比下降低于预期。</p> <p>所以本季度公司营收高于预期股价却大跌应该会成为常态，就不要在评论区到处问为什么超预期了股价还会跌了。</p> <p>在此情况下，股价想要有好的表现，企业需要在前瞻指引里下功夫：市场会重点关注公司对于成本的控制与转嫁，供应链的控制，以及盈利前景与利润保护。</p> <p>而供应链障碍让芯片汽车板块成为重灾区，供应链问题不仅增加成本，同时也影响企业的营收。所以芯片和汽车股票才会跌的这么惨。</p> <p>和上面的通胀问题一样，也有解决方案，就是看前瞻指引如何描述需求强劲以及提高生产力的方法，比如特斯拉德州工厂落地就是一个支撑点。</p> <p>至于财报前跌太多以至于财报披露后不会继续跌这种乐观希望，还要等一个例子，比如本周的金融股。从技术面来看贼差，基本面也贼差，市场同比盈利预期显示下降 -24.2%。如果财报披露后没有勇创新低，那我会认为这个季度提前自罚三杯是有用的，否则就要好好评估一下现在手中的股票了。</p> <p>今日sell&nbsp;put池子</p> <table> \n <colgroup></colgroup> \n <tbody> \n  <tr> \n   <td>标的代码</td> \n   <td>年化收益</td> \n   <td>到期日</td> \n   <td>行权价</td> \n   <td>权利金</td> \n  </tr> \n  <tr> \n   <td><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MSFT%2020220422%20275.0%20PUT\">$MSFT 20220422 275.0 PUT$</a></td> \n   <td>38%</td> \n   <td>2022/4/22</td> \n   <td>275</td> \n   <td>3.25</td> \n  </tr> \n  <tr> \n   <td><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL%2020220422%20160.0%20PUT\">$AAPL 20220422 160.0 PUT$</a></td> \n   <td>32%</td> \n   <td>2022/4/22</td> \n   <td>160</td> \n   <td>1.59</td> \n  </tr> \n  <tr> \n   <td><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMD%2020220422%2085.0%20PUT\">$AMD 20220422 85.0 PUT$</a></td> \n   <td>24%</td> \n   <td>2022/4/22</td> \n   <td>85</td> \n   <td>0.7</td> \n  </tr> \n  <tr> \n   <td><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020220422%20800.0%20PUT\">$TSLA 20220422 800.0 PUT$</a></td> \n   <td>12%</td> \n   <td>2022/4/22</td> \n   <td>800</td> \n   <td>3.65</td> \n  </tr> \n  <tr> \n   <td><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020220422%20195.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20220422 195.0 PUT$</a></td> \n   <td>33%</td> \n   <td>2022/4/22</td> \n   <td>195</td> \n   <td>2.2</td> \n  </tr> \n  <tr> \n   <td><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC%2020220520%2042.5%20PUT\">$INTC 20220520 42.5 PUT$</a></td> \n   <td>周五平仓</td> \n   <td>2022/5/20</td> \n   <td>42.5</td> \n   <td>1.01</td> \n  </tr> \n </tbody> \n</table> <p>跟昨天一样，因为底部价格没什么太大区别。</p></body></html>","text":"今天盘前公布了美国3月CPI，同比上涨8.5%，续创40年来新高，预期为8.4%，前值为7.9%。CPI数据公布后，大盘迅速拉高，纳指期货一度涨幅达到2%。对此现象分析师解释为：尽管总体通胀与预期一致，升至40年来的新高，但核心通胀低于预期；美国国债收益率正在下跌，市场对CPI数据的初步解读是，价格压力看起来并不像担心的那样白热化。 对此现象小班长的解释为：对于本次CPI布雷纳德已经唱过红脸了，所以对于本次通胀数据市场早有预期。这数据可怕也是抽象的可怕，这能有上周美联储副主席直接在会上说老百姓都快吃不起饭了可怕吗？ 本轮财报季有两大影响因素，通胀是其一，供应链障碍是其二。如何应对通胀和供应链障碍，就是本财报季大部分企业的考题。 面对通胀环境，市场已经对大部分企业的财报表现作出了预期：营收同比上涨超预期，因为成本压力盈利同比下降低于预期。 所以本季度公司营收高于预期股价却大跌应该会成为常态，就不要在评论区到处问为什么超预期了股价还会跌了。 在此情况下，股价想要有好的表现，企业需要在前瞻指引里下功夫：市场会重点关注公司对于成本的控制与转嫁，供应链的控制，以及盈利前景与利润保护。 而供应链障碍让芯片汽车板块成为重灾区，供应链问题不仅增加成本，同时也影响企业的营收。所以芯片和汽车股票才会跌的这么惨。 和上面的通胀问题一样，也有解决方案，就是看前瞻指引如何描述需求强劲以及提高生产力的方法，比如特斯拉德州工厂落地就是一个支撑点。 至于财报前跌太多以至于财报披露后不会继续跌这种乐观希望，还要等一个例子，比如本周的金融股。从技术面来看贼差，基本面也贼差，市场同比盈利预期显示下降 -24.2%。如果财报披露后没有勇创新低，那我会认为这个季度提前自罚三杯是有用的，否则就要好好评估一下现在手中的股票了。 今日sell put池子 标的代码 年化收益 到期日 行权价 权利金 $MSFT 20220422 275.0 PUT$ 38% 2022/4/22 275 3.25 $AAPL 20220422 160.0 PUT$ 32% 2022/4/22 160 1.59 $AMD 20220422 85.0 PUT$ 24% 2022/4/22 85 0.7 $TSLA 20220422 800.0 PUT$ 12% 2022/4/22 800 3.65 $NVDA 20220422 195.0 PUT$ 33% 2022/4/22 195 2.2 $INTC 20220520 42.5 PUT$ 周五平仓 2022/5/20 42.5 1.01 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