羊坑
2022-05-13
可以啊
@期权小班长:
大盘到底了吗?苹果特斯拉英伟达能抄底吗?还要再买put吗?
免责声明:上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点,不构成本平台的任何投资建议。
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIX\">$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$</a> 。</p> <p>昨天公布CPI数据后,大盘先跌后涨,后半夜持续滑落,最终收盘纳斯达克大跌3.18%。但是你们有没有注意,道琼斯只跌了1%而标普500只跌了1.65%。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5adb64f5f2ee41d1815c278c2055d962\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">通过板块热力图可以看出,领跌主力是科技,电商、软件、云、电动汽车、芯片以及小市值成长股。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abeb637bbc26c2efbce39b180d8339e6\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">也就是说传统板块波澜不惊,权重股跌的稀里哗啦。今天盘前特斯拉罕见跌到6开头,似乎检验价值投资的时刻又到了。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a2942281ac8aaca972e9df97d7d957b\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">从价格来看现在的股票很有投资吸引力,但从恐慌指数来看,市场离恐慌爆发的极值似乎还差一点距离。通常来说,当VIX涨到36时,市场反弹的概率更大。而从目前的k线来看,VIX似乎远未达到恐惧底线。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29be2d5ca053ce73d61713277bcd2323\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">这也是这两天股市的奇怪之处,科技巨头大跌对比VIX的无动于衷。主要原因在于虽然科技股大跌,但其他板块托住了标普500,而标普500不大跌,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIX\">$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$</a> 就不怎么涨,股市也迟迟无法到底。</p> <p>今日盘前巨头们继续下跌,毫无反弹的意思。虽然我之前买了vix put,不过看来这笔订单想获得盈利还需要再等一阵。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02b7c7292466b3b86adea2ccde175947\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">关于昨天的大跌有两种说法,一个是CPI数据不尽如人意,虽然同比下降了但核心通胀并没有减缓,没能达到预期目标,所以美联储或在之后考虑更加激进的加息。</p> <p>另一个说法就和最近币圈有关了。有种猜测是,因为Luna事件,币圈做市商为了更多现金支撑流动性而大量抛售手上的其他资产,其中就包括股票。</p> <p>我认为还有第三种可能,就是机构正常对因为业绩而下调估值的股票进行清算时,正好赶上了两个黑天鹅叠加事件。于是就看到了昨天标普和科技巨头脱钩的怪现象。</p> <p>所以经过上面的分析发现,科技巨头的抛售节奏和大盘的整体节奏似乎有点脱钩,科技巨头进入了极其恐慌的暴跌状态,但其他板块显然并没有跟进,所以就大盘氛围而言并不适合抄底,但如果你觉得现在价格合适,可以小仓位建仓。</p> <p>那么现在要不要买put做保护呢?现在买put就不像前两周一样从容了,除了价格昂贵之外,近期权重股的下跌空间其实不太大了,远期不太好估算,近期差不多有6%吧。如果无法忍受账户一片赤字,购买put后可以结合VIX考虑平仓点位。</p> <p>今天在异动榜翻出来的大单是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$京东(JD)$</a> 。京东将于5月17日盘前财报,就近期状况而言可以想象这份财报不会太好看。这张大单做的事put价差,买入行权价40put卖出30put。不过我打算直接做40的这张,然后在财报前平仓<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/JD%2020220520%2040.0%20PUT\" target=\"_blank\">$JD 20220520 40.0 PUT$</a><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d28f891eebacbbdcb89426af161236b\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"></p> <p>昨天有人问大单异动榜单在哪里,在发现页面。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c68e6ea0d02c295a003413e2bc75f74\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"></p> <p></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>如果你准备抄底,需要关注一下<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIX\">$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$</a> 。</p> <p>昨天公布CPI数据后,大盘先跌后涨,后半夜持续滑落,最终收盘纳斯达克大跌3.18%。但是你们有没有注意,道琼斯只跌了1%而标普500只跌了1.65%。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5adb64f5f2ee41d1815c278c2055d962\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">通过板块热力图可以看出,领跌主力是科技,电商、软件、云、电动汽车、芯片以及小市值成长股。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abeb637bbc26c2efbce39b180d8339e6\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">也就是说传统板块波澜不惊,权重股跌的稀里哗啦。今天盘前特斯拉罕见跌到6开头,似乎检验价值投资的时刻又到了。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a2942281ac8aaca972e9df97d7d957b\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">从价格来看现在的股票很有投资吸引力,但从恐慌指数来看,市场离恐慌爆发的极值似乎还差一点距离。通常来说,当VIX涨到36时,市场反弹的概率更大。而从目前的k线来看,VIX似乎远未达到恐惧底线。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29be2d5ca053ce73d61713277bcd2323\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">这也是这两天股市的奇怪之处,科技巨头大跌对比VIX的无动于衷。主要原因在于虽然科技股大跌,但其他板块托住了标普500,而标普500不大跌,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIX\">$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$</a> 就不怎么涨,股市也迟迟无法到底。</p> <p>今日盘前巨头们继续下跌,毫无反弹的意思。虽然我之前买了vix put,不过看来这笔订单想获得盈利还需要再等一阵。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02b7c7292466b3b86adea2ccde175947\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\">关于昨天的大跌有两种说法,一个是CPI数据不尽如人意,虽然同比下降了但核心通胀并没有减缓,没能达到预期目标,所以美联储或在之后考虑更加激进的加息。</p> <p>另一个说法就和最近币圈有关了。有种猜测是,因为Luna事件,币圈做市商为了更多现金支撑流动性而大量抛售手上的其他资产,其中就包括股票。</p> <p>我认为还有第三种可能,就是机构正常对因为业绩而下调估值的股票进行清算时,正好赶上了两个黑天鹅叠加事件。于是就看到了昨天标普和科技巨头脱钩的怪现象。</p> <p>所以经过上面的分析发现,科技巨头的抛售节奏和大盘的整体节奏似乎有点脱钩,科技巨头进入了极其恐慌的暴跌状态,但其他板块显然并没有跟进,所以就大盘氛围而言并不适合抄底,但如果你觉得现在价格合适,可以小仓位建仓。</p> <p>那么现在要不要买put做保护呢?现在买put就不像前两周一样从容了,除了价格昂贵之外,近期权重股的下跌空间其实不太大了,远期不太好估算,近期差不多有6%吧。如果无法忍受账户一片赤字,购买put后可以结合VIX考虑平仓点位。</p> <p>今天在异动榜翻出来的大单是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$京东(JD)$</a> 。京东将于5月17日盘前财报,就近期状况而言可以想象这份财报不会太好看。这张大单做的事put价差,买入行权价40put卖出30put。不过我打算直接做40的这张,然后在财报前平仓<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/JD%2020220520%2040.0%20PUT\" target=\"_blank\">$JD 20220520 40.0 PUT$</a><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d28f891eebacbbdcb89426af161236b\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"></p> <p>昨天有人问大单异动榜单在哪里,在发现页面。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c68e6ea0d02c295a003413e2bc75f74\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"></p> <p></p></body></html>","text":"如果你准备抄底,需要关注一下$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$ 。 昨天公布CPI数据后,大盘先跌后涨,后半夜持续滑落,最终收盘纳斯达克大跌3.18%。但是你们有没有注意,道琼斯只跌了1%而标普500只跌了1.65%。通过板块热力图可以看出,领跌主力是科技,电商、软件、云、电动汽车、芯片以及小市值成长股。也就是说传统板块波澜不惊,权重股跌的稀里哗啦。今天盘前特斯拉罕见跌到6开头,似乎检验价值投资的时刻又到了。从价格来看现在的股票很有投资吸引力,但从恐慌指数来看,市场离恐慌爆发的极值似乎还差一点距离。通常来说,当VIX涨到36时,市场反弹的概率更大。而从目前的k线来看,VIX似乎远未达到恐惧底线。这也是这两天股市的奇怪之处,科技巨头大跌对比VIX的无动于衷。主要原因在于虽然科技股大跌,但其他板块托住了标普500,而标普500不大跌,$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$ 就不怎么涨,股市也迟迟无法到底。 今日盘前巨头们继续下跌,毫无反弹的意思。虽然我之前买了vix put,不过看来这笔订单想获得盈利还需要再等一阵。关于昨天的大跌有两种说法,一个是CPI数据不尽如人意,虽然同比下降了但核心通胀并没有减缓,没能达到预期目标,所以美联储或在之后考虑更加激进的加息。 另一个说法就和最近币圈有关了。有种猜测是,因为Luna事件,币圈做市商为了更多现金支撑流动性而大量抛售手上的其他资产,其中就包括股票。 我认为还有第三种可能,就是机构正常对因为业绩而下调估值的股票进行清算时,正好赶上了两个黑天鹅叠加事件。于是就看到了昨天标普和科技巨头脱钩的怪现象。 所以经过上面的分析发现,科技巨头的抛售节奏和大盘的整体节奏似乎有点脱钩,科技巨头进入了极其恐慌的暴跌状态,但其他板块显然并没有跟进,所以就大盘氛围而言并不适合抄底,但如果你觉得现在价格合适,可以小仓位建仓。 那么现在要不要买put做保护呢?现在买put就不像前两周一样从容了,除了价格昂贵之外,近期权重股的下跌空间其实不太大了,远期不太好估算,近期差不多有6%吧。如果无法忍受账户一片赤字,购买put后可以结合VIX考虑平仓点位。 今天在异动榜翻出来的大单是$京东(JD)$ 。京东将于5月17日盘前财报,就近期状况而言可以想象这份财报不会太好看。这张大单做的事put价差,买入行权价40put卖出30put。不过我打算直接做40的这张,然后在财报前平仓$JD 20220520 40.0 PUT$ 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