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@期权小班长：既怕大跌，又怕踏空，现在的行情怎么了

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<p>如果昨日大盘继续像周三一样萎靡，那么大概率下周一就要低开了。然而英伟达和英特尔公布了一些消息，让两家公司带动了整个芯片板块上涨，继而芯片板块又带动大盘。最终周四纳斯达克和标普500都收涨于日k&nbsp;MA60之上。</p> <p>如果说周三看跌概率是80%的话，那今天再看跌概率仅有50%了。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3dfef8aeb0885c88edfd7b340af59ed9\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"2290\">今天是比较关键的变盘点，如果今天大盘下跌，那么说明趋势突破失败，周一大概率跳空低开；如果今天继续突破，那么财报前这段时间就要转变看空思路了。</p> <p>从上面的判断来看，似乎应该做两手准备，等周一再进行操作。然而英伟达的突破趋势表明，低开概率并不大。如图所示经过昨天的暴涨后，英伟达日k站上了MA60&nbsp;和120趋势线，下跌趋势即将反转。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/649fc63b0c5bbb12eb20feeec0acd4ce\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"1843\">英特尔也有同样的趋势。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26ea9480ca70df9763359b159e165202\" tg-width=\"1136\" tg-height=\"1746\">这就是目前最令人棘手的地方，大盘趋势表明多空方向还在选择中，但权重股英伟达苹果已经率先突破。从整体行情来看做多有一定风险，但是行情踏空会更令人难受。</p> <h4>买英伟达还是买英特尔</h4> <p>所以我选择将大盘和个股分开对待，强势股票有自己的行情就选择做多，不要当作大盘替代品，大盘行情就去做大盘自己的ETF。</p> <p>那么<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a>和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$</a>那只股票更适合做多呢？从昨天的消息来看，英特尔上涨不是昙花一现，公司打算进入晶圆代工厂业务，于美国和德国开设工厂。而且这个决定得到了芯片巨头英伟达的支持，英伟达同时宣布两家公司间的晶圆代工合作。可能后续世界晶圆代工格局会有所变动。</p> <p>总结过去的历史经验，不要怕高，涨幅最好的股票永远会涨的最好，第二名永远是第二名。</p> <p>当然都买也可以，从大单异动来看，有些交易者十分看好英特尔接下来的走势。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae739b05fe18cc075ab934f922b3b33a\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"2339\">我选择卖出<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020220401%20260.0%20PUT\" target=\"_blank\">$NVDA 20220401 260.0 PUT$</a>，下周一看情况再选择加不加仓。</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>因为周四异动，这周五打算做一笔交易。</p> <p>如果昨日大盘继续像周三一样萎靡，那么大概率下周一就要低开了。然而英伟达和英特尔公布了一些消息，让两家公司带动了整个芯片板块上涨，继而芯片板块又带动大盘。最终周四纳斯达克和标普500都收涨于日k&nbsp;MA60之上。</p> <p>如果说周三看跌概率是80%的话，那今天再看跌概率仅有50%了。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3dfef8aeb0885c88edfd7b340af59ed9\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"2290\">今天是比较关键的变盘点，如果今天大盘下跌，那么说明趋势突破失败，周一大概率跳空低开；如果今天继续突破，那么财报前这段时间就要转变看空思路了。</p> <p>从上面的判断来看，似乎应该做两手准备，等周一再进行操作。然而英伟达的突破趋势表明，低开概率并不大。如图所示经过昨天的暴涨后，英伟达日k站上了MA60&nbsp;和120趋势线，下跌趋势即将反转。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/649fc63b0c5bbb12eb20feeec0acd4ce\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"1843\">英特尔也有同样的趋势。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26ea9480ca70df9763359b159e165202\" tg-width=\"1136\" tg-height=\"1746\">这就是目前最令人棘手的地方，大盘趋势表明多空方向还在选择中，但权重股英伟达苹果已经率先突破。从整体行情来看做多有一定风险，但是行情踏空会更令人难受。</p> <h4>买英伟达还是买英特尔</h4> <p>所以我选择将大盘和个股分开对待，强势股票有自己的行情就选择做多，不要当作大盘替代品，大盘行情就去做大盘自己的ETF。</p> <p>那么<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a>和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$</a>那只股票更适合做多呢？从昨天的消息来看，英特尔上涨不是昙花一现，公司打算进入晶圆代工厂业务，于美国和德国开设工厂。而且这个决定得到了芯片巨头英伟达的支持，英伟达同时宣布两家公司间的晶圆代工合作。可能后续世界晶圆代工格局会有所变动。</p> <p>总结过去的历史经验，不要怕高，涨幅最好的股票永远会涨的最好，第二名永远是第二名。</p> <p>当然都买也可以，从大单异动来看，有些交易者十分看好英特尔接下来的走势。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae739b05fe18cc075ab934f922b3b33a\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"2339\">我选择卖出<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020220401%20260.0%20PUT\" target=\"_blank\">$NVDA 20220401 260.0 PUT$</a>，下周一看情况再选择加不加仓。</p></body></html>","text":"因为周四异动，这周五打算做一笔交易。 如果昨日大盘继续像周三一样萎靡，那么大概率下周一就要低开了。然而英伟达和英特尔公布了一些消息，让两家公司带动了整个芯片板块上涨，继而芯片板块又带动大盘。最终周四纳斯达克和标普500都收涨于日k MA60之上。 如果说周三看跌概率是80%的话，那今天再看跌概率仅有50%了。今天是比较关键的变盘点，如果今天大盘下跌，那么说明趋势突破失败，周一大概率跳空低开；如果今天继续突破，那么财报前这段时间就要转变看空思路了。 从上面的判断来看，似乎应该做两手准备，等周一再进行操作。然而英伟达的突破趋势表明，低开概率并不大。如图所示经过昨天的暴涨后，英伟达日k站上了MA60 和120趋势线，下跌趋势即将反转。英特尔也有同样的趋势。这就是目前最令人棘手的地方，大盘趋势表明多空方向还在选择中，但权重股英伟达苹果已经率先突破。从整体行情来看做多有一定风险，但是行情踏空会更令人难受。 买英伟达还是买英特尔 所以我选择将大盘和个股分开对待，强势股票有自己的行情就选择做多，不要当作大盘替代品，大盘行情就去做大盘自己的ETF。 那么$英伟达(NVDA)$和$英特尔(INTC)$那只股票更适合做多呢？从昨天的消息来看，英特尔上涨不是昙花一现，公司打算进入晶圆代工厂业务，于美国和德国开设工厂。而且这个决定得到了芯片巨头英伟达的支持，英伟达同时宣布两家公司间的晶圆代工合作。可能后续世界晶圆代工格局会有所变动。 总结过去的历史经验，不要怕高，涨幅最好的股票永远会涨的最好，第二名永远是第二名。 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