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@期权小班长：市场还会继续暴跌吗？

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<p>这些消息叠加起来十分恐怖，但周五大盘走势有些玩味。</p> <p>首先没有出现开盘暴跌，开盘所有股票拉涨然后缓慢下跌。导致我周五文章论述的交易方法不可行。</p> <p>原油倒是符合印象中卖末日put的走势，但我不会去抄底原油市场，2020年跌成负数的那一幕依然让我心有余悸，对于这类大宗金融产品，sell&nbsp;put风险很大。</p> <p>说回市场，开盘后标普500持续下跌， 但你会发现周一大跌的成长股反而按兵不动，跌的都是权重股票，比如英伟达特斯拉亚马逊苹果，虽然看起来跌的很吓人，但从趋势线观察，也只是正常回调的幅度。</p> <p>那么这种情况就需要观察一下周一和周二的大盘走势了，而从目前盘前情况来看。目前市场反馈很积极，纳斯达克止跌于周k&nbsp;MA10，15300点，那么就按部就班继续吧，这次震荡可以暂时定义为分批次落实的大盘正常回调。</p> <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97897bda224af1995f0b8f14938bc28\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"></p> <p>今日卖put池：</p> <table> \n <colgroup></colgroup> \n <tbody> \n  <tr> \n   <td>标的代码</td> \n   <td>年化收益</td> \n   <td>到期日</td> \n   <td>行权价</td> \n   <td>权利金</td> \n   <td>隐含波动率</td> \n  </tr> \n  <tr> \n   <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NIO%2020211203%2034.0%20PUT\" target=\"_blank\">$NIO 20211203 34.0 PUT$</a></td> \n   <td>29.0%</td> \n   <td>2021/12/3</td> \n   <td>34</td> \n   <td>0.16</td> \n   <td>101%</td> \n  </tr> \n  <tr> \n   <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20211203 900.0 PUT\" target=\"_blank\">$TSLA 20211203 900.0 PUT$</a></td> \n   <td>41.0%</td> \n   <td>2021/12/3</td> \n   <td>900</td> \n   <td>6.1</td> \n   <td>119%</td> \n  </tr> \n  <tr> \n   <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020211203%20270.0%20PUT\" target=\"_blank\">$NVDA 20211203 270.0 PUT$</a></td> \n   <td>11.8%</td> \n   <td>2021/12/3</td> \n   <td>270</td> \n   <td>0.51</td> \n   <td>79%</td> \n  </tr> \n  <tr> \n   <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SE%2020211203%20250.0%20PUT\" target=\"_blank\">$SE 20211203 250.0 PUT$</a></td> \n   <td>9.0%</td> \n   <td>2021/12/3</td> \n   <td>250</td> \n   <td>0.37</td> \n   <td>82%</td> \n  </tr> \n  <tr> \n   <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMD%2020211203%20135.0%20PUT\" target=\"_blank\">$AMD 20211203 135.0 PUT$</a></td> \n   <td>14.6%</td> \n   <td>2021/12/3</td> \n   <td>135</td> \n   <td>0.31</td> \n   <td>74%</td> \n  </tr> \n  <tr> \n   <td>月权</td> \n  </tr> \n  <tr> \n   <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020211217%20800.0%20PUT\" target=\"_blank\">$TSLA 20211217 800.0 PUT$</a></td> \n   <td>14.7%</td> \n   <td>2021/12/17</td> \n   <td>800</td> \n   <td>8.3</td> \n   <td>97%</td> \n  </tr> \n  <tr> \n   <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020211217%20250.0%20PUT\" target=\"_blank\">$NVDA 20211217 250.0 PUT$</a></td> \n   <td>7.0%</td> \n   <td>2021/12/17</td> \n   <td>250</td> \n   <td>1.16</td> \n   <td>66%</td> \n  </tr> \n </tbody> \n</table> <p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> 由于盘前普涨，外加理想汽车财报大涨利好，蔚来盘前上涨2%，这张单子实际年化应该是15%左右。个人目前不是很想上调行权价，所以年化过低可以考虑放弃。</p> <p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 依然是最划算的卖权。周权行权价选择900，月权保守选择行权价800。</p> <p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 由于盘前上涨，我会在270～280行权价之间选择，但270肯定足够保险。圣诞节肯定是购物高峰，包括买游戏买电脑买显卡，所以消息面上英伟达表现不会差。月权选择周k&nbsp;MA10。</p> <p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a> se价格选择比较保守，毕竟跌到了支撑位，而如果跌破了支撑位，就要奔260去了，所以行权价定的比较低。</p> <p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a> 和英伟达一样，行权价选择日k&nbsp;MA30。说起来AMD现在价格跟苹果一样，但苹果本周135的put权利金才0.08。</p> <p><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec0654fba76ec56216fc8b8fbfcb9ff9\" tg-width=\"1079\" tg-height=\"1394\"><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a9fb8cd053a552cacda862a32dfbd5c\" tg-width=\"1079\" tg-height=\"1396\"></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>本来以为周一会低开，但市场意想不到的强势，感觉我摆好姿势的大招放空了，有点遗憾，只好继续执行每周计划。</p> <p>首先整理一下大盘思路，上一周都发生了些什么：</p> <p>次新股暴跌、鲍威尔连任、感恩节休假，Omicron病毒传播、美国国债收益率暴跌、原油暴跌、全球市场暴跌。。。</p> <p>这些消息叠加起来十分恐怖，但周五大盘走势有些玩味。</p> <p>首先没有出现开盘暴跌，开盘所有股票拉涨然后缓慢下跌。导致我周五文章论述的交易方法不可行。</p> <p>原油倒是符合印象中卖末日put的走势，但我不会去抄底原油市场，2020年跌成负数的那一幕依然让我心有余悸，对于这类大宗金融产品，sell&nbsp;put风险很大。</p> <p>说回市场，开盘后标普500持续下跌， 但你会发现周一大跌的成长股反而按兵不动，跌的都是权重股票，比如英伟达特斯拉亚马逊苹果，虽然看起来跌的很吓人，但从趋势线观察，也只是正常回调的幅度。</p> <p>那么这种情况就需要观察一下周一和周二的大盘走势了，而从目前盘前情况来看。目前市场反馈很积极，纳斯达克止跌于周k&nbsp;MA10，15300点，那么就按部就班继续吧，这次震荡可以暂时定义为分批次落实的大盘正常回调。</p> <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97897bda224af1995f0b8f14938bc28\" tg-width=\"-1\" tg-height=\"-1\"></p> <p>今日卖put池：</p> <table> \n <colgroup></colgroup> \n <tbody> \n  <tr> \n   <td>标的代码</td> \n   <td>年化收益</td> \n   <td>到期日</td> \n   <td>行权价</td> \n   <td>权利金</td> \n   <td>隐含波动率</td> \n  </tr> \n  <tr> \n   <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NIO%2020211203%2034.0%20PUT\" target=\"_blank\">$NIO 20211203 34.0 PUT$</a></td> \n   <td>29.0%</td> \n   <td>2021/12/3</td> \n   <td>34</td> \n   <td>0.16</td> \n   <td>101%</td> \n  </tr> \n  <tr> \n   <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20211203 900.0 PUT\" target=\"_blank\">$TSLA 20211203 900.0 PUT$</a></td> \n   <td>41.0%</td> \n   <td>2021/12/3</td> \n   <td>900</td> \n   <td>6.1</td> \n   <td>119%</td> \n  </tr> \n  <tr> \n   <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020211203%20270.0%20PUT\" target=\"_blank\">$NVDA 20211203 270.0 PUT$</a></td> \n   <td>11.8%</td> \n   <td>2021/12/3</td> \n   <td>270</td> \n   <td>0.51</td> \n   <td>79%</td> \n  </tr> \n  <tr> \n   <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SE%2020211203%20250.0%20PUT\" target=\"_blank\">$SE 20211203 250.0 PUT$</a></td> \n   <td>9.0%</td> \n   <td>2021/12/3</td> \n   <td>250</td> \n   <td>0.37</td> \n   <td>82%</td> \n  </tr> \n  <tr> \n   <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMD%2020211203%20135.0%20PUT\" target=\"_blank\">$AMD 20211203 135.0 PUT$</a></td> \n   <td>14.6%</td> \n   <td>2021/12/3</td> \n   <td>135</td> \n   <td>0.31</td> \n   <td>74%</td> \n  </tr> \n  <tr> \n   <td>月权</td> \n  </tr> \n  <tr> \n   <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020211217%20800.0%20PUT\" target=\"_blank\">$TSLA 20211217 800.0 PUT$</a></td> \n   <td>14.7%</td> \n   <td>2021/12/17</td> \n   <td>800</td> \n   <td>8.3</td> \n   <td>97%</td> \n  </tr> \n  <tr> \n   <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020211217%20250.0%20PUT\" target=\"_blank\">$NVDA 20211217 250.0 PUT$</a></td> \n   <td>7.0%</td> \n   <td>2021/12/17</td> \n   <td>250</td> \n   <td>1.16</td> \n   <td>66%</td> \n  </tr> \n </tbody> \n</table> <p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> 由于盘前普涨，外加理想汽车财报大涨利好，蔚来盘前上涨2%，这张单子实际年化应该是15%左右。个人目前不是很想上调行权价，所以年化过低可以考虑放弃。</p> <p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 依然是最划算的卖权。周权行权价选择900，月权保守选择行权价800。</p> <p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 由于盘前上涨，我会在270～280行权价之间选择，但270肯定足够保险。圣诞节肯定是购物高峰，包括买游戏买电脑买显卡，所以消息面上英伟达表现不会差。月权选择周k&nbsp;MA10。</p> <p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a> se价格选择比较保守，毕竟跌到了支撑位，而如果跌破了支撑位，就要奔260去了，所以行权价定的比较低。</p> <p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a> 和英伟达一样，行权价选择日k&nbsp;MA30。说起来AMD现在价格跟苹果一样，但苹果本周135的put权利金才0.08。</p> <p><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec0654fba76ec56216fc8b8fbfcb9ff9\" tg-width=\"1079\" tg-height=\"1394\"><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a9fb8cd053a552cacda862a32dfbd5c\" tg-width=\"1079\" tg-height=\"1396\"></p></body></html>","text":"本来以为周一会低开，但市场意想不到的强势，感觉我摆好姿势的大招放空了，有点遗憾，只好继续执行每周计划。 首先整理一下大盘思路，上一周都发生了些什么： 次新股暴跌、鲍威尔连任、感恩节休假，Omicron病毒传播、美国国债收益率暴跌、原油暴跌、全球市场暴跌。。。 这些消息叠加起来十分恐怖，但周五大盘走势有些玩味。 首先没有出现开盘暴跌，开盘所有股票拉涨然后缓慢下跌。导致我周五文章论述的交易方法不可行。 原油倒是符合印象中卖末日put的走势，但我不会去抄底原油市场，2020年跌成负数的那一幕依然让我心有余悸，对于这类大宗金融产品，sell put风险很大。 说回市场，开盘后标普500持续下跌， 但你会发现周一大跌的成长股反而按兵不动，跌的都是权重股票，比如英伟达特斯拉亚马逊苹果，虽然看起来跌的很吓人，但从趋势线观察，也只是正常回调的幅度。 那么这种情况就需要观察一下周一和周二的大盘走势了，而从目前盘前情况来看。目前市场反馈很积极，纳斯达克止跌于周k MA10，15300点，那么就按部就班继续吧，这次震荡可以暂时定义为分批次落实的大盘正常回调。 今日卖put池： 标的代码 年化收益 到期日 行权价 权利金 隐含波动率 $NIO 20211203 34.0 PUT$ 29.0% 2021/12/3 34 0.16 101% $TSLA 20211203 900.0 PUT$ 41.0% 2021/12/3 900 6.1 119% $NVDA 20211203 270.0 PUT$ 11.8% 2021/12/3 270 0.51 79% $SE 20211203 250.0 PUT$ 9.0% 2021/12/3 250 0.37 82% $AMD 20211203 135.0 PUT$ 14.6% 2021/12/3 135 0.31 74% 月权 $TSLA 20211217 800.0 PUT$ 14.7% 2021/12/17 800 8.3 97% $NVDA 20211217 250.0 PUT$ 7.0% 2021/12/17 250 1.16 66% $蔚来(NIO)$ 由于盘前普涨，外加理想汽车财报大涨利好，蔚来盘前上涨2%，这张单子实际年化应该是15%左右。个人目前不是很想上调行权价，所以年化过低可以考虑放弃。 $特斯拉(TSLA)$ 依然是最划算的卖权。周权行权价选择900，月权保守选择行权价800。 $英伟达(NVDA)$ 由于盘前上涨，我会在270～280行权价之间选择，但270肯定足够保险。圣诞节肯定是购物高峰，包括买游戏买电脑买显卡，所以消息面上英伟达表现不会差。月权选择周k MA10。 $Sea Ltd(SE)$ se价格选择比较保守，毕竟跌到了支撑位，而如果跌破了支撑位，就要奔260去了，所以行权价定的比较低。 $AMD(AMD)$ 和英伟达一样，行权价选择日k MA30。说起来AMD现在价格跟苹果一样，但苹果本周135的put权利金才0.08。","highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600471178","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["NVDA","SE","NIO","TSLA","AMD"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":1814,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":607,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":4,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/609871066"}