mamaroar
2021-12-15
good
@期权小班长:
年化收益22%,比较省心
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<p>怎么判断是市场最乐观的顶峰呢?5天内股价翻倍,啪啪打上市估值的脸,我隐约记得去年新股上市狂欢顶峰也是这种情况。</p> <p>没有特斯拉护航,唇亡齿寒,所以<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 我先平一半,然后今天盘中考虑sell put。这个市场现在做多做空都难受,那就回归老本行,在最不可能跌到价格上做文章吧,比较省心。</p> <p>今日推荐卖put池:</p> <table> \n <colgroup></colgroup> \n <tbody> \n <tr> \n <td>标的代码</td> \n <td>年化收益</td> \n <td>到期日</td> \n <td>行权价</td> \n <td>权利金</td> \n <td>隐含波动率</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020211217%20850.0%20PUT\" target=\"_blank\">$TSLA 20211217 850.0 PUT$</a></td> \n <td>13.0%</td> \n <td>2021/12/17</td> \n <td>850</td> \n <td>1.46</td> \n <td>74%</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020211217%20250.0%20PUT\" target=\"_blank\">$NVDA 20211217 250.0 PUT$</a></td> \n <td>22.0%</td> \n <td>2021/12/17</td> \n <td>250</td> \n <td>0.7</td> \n <td>78%</td> \n </tr> \n </tbody> \n</table> <p>确实是做多难受做空也难受,iv上没有特别明确的提示恐慌,但从股价支撑位来看,很多公司都不能按常规折价找行权价了。比如我今天就把<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a> 刨除了,程序给的行权价价位是120,更安全的110put权利金没有肉,所以不做推荐。</p> <p>今天我考虑盘中做一下这两只<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> ,都是本周到期的,比较可控。</p> <p>其他put比如AMD可以盘中去做,但切记远离成长股,前期龙头<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASAN\">$Asana, Inc.(ASAN)$</a> 继续跌破周MA50均线,这一波杀估值真的很恐怖。</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>大盘现在这种行情是最难受的。</p> <p>今天朋友圈看到一张图,非常形象的描绘了市场状况:<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/674266fc135358c74a73819bf602d649\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"791\">本周即将召开为期两天的FOMC会议,并于周三下午两点公布利率决定以及对经济和利率的最新预估,也就是说在决议落地之前,难受的市场行情还要继续持续1天。</p> <p>目前广泛说法是市场参与者已经将加快缩表进程纳入了预期之中,所以决议公布后行情大概率反弹,这种先抑后扬的手法之前也见过很多次了。但不怕一万就怕万一啊,比如鲍威尔突然搞个大惊喜说我们要提前宣布加息啦!那就都完蛋了。</p> <p>不过这种决策的可能性不大,因为通胀看起来恐怖,其实现在已经是山顶了,普遍预期是明年会下降。</p> <p>我觉得这个行情中最不给力的是特斯拉,如果特斯拉能撑住,那FOMC会议不足为据。但现在这个市场,再加上马斯克一点一点的套现,完全消耗了市场的积极情绪。之前我错怪马斯克了,以为他跟贝索斯闹矛盾所以在RIVN上市前天砸盘。现在看来他抛售在了市场最乐观的顶峰,出手时机过于精准。</p> <p>怎么判断是市场最乐观的顶峰呢?5天内股价翻倍,啪啪打上市估值的脸,我隐约记得去年新股上市狂欢顶峰也是这种情况。</p> <p>没有特斯拉护航,唇亡齿寒,所以<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 我先平一半,然后今天盘中考虑sell put。这个市场现在做多做空都难受,那就回归老本行,在最不可能跌到价格上做文章吧,比较省心。</p> <p>今日推荐卖put池:</p> <table> \n <colgroup></colgroup> \n <tbody> \n <tr> \n <td>标的代码</td> \n <td>年化收益</td> \n <td>到期日</td> \n <td>行权价</td> \n <td>权利金</td> \n <td>隐含波动率</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020211217%20850.0%20PUT\" target=\"_blank\">$TSLA 20211217 850.0 PUT$</a></td> \n <td>13.0%</td> \n <td>2021/12/17</td> \n <td>850</td> \n <td>1.46</td> \n <td>74%</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020211217%20250.0%20PUT\" target=\"_blank\">$NVDA 20211217 250.0 PUT$</a></td> \n <td>22.0%</td> \n <td>2021/12/17</td> \n <td>250</td> \n <td>0.7</td> \n <td>78%</td> \n </tr> \n </tbody> \n</table> <p>确实是做多难受做空也难受,iv上没有特别明确的提示恐慌,但从股价支撑位来看,很多公司都不能按常规折价找行权价了。比如我今天就把<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a> 刨除了,程序给的行权价价位是120,更安全的110put权利金没有肉,所以不做推荐。</p> <p>今天我考虑盘中做一下这两只<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> ,都是本周到期的,比较可控。</p> <p>其他put比如AMD可以盘中去做,但切记远离成长股,前期龙头<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASAN\">$Asana, Inc.(ASAN)$</a> 继续跌破周MA50均线,这一波杀估值真的很恐怖。</p></body></html>","text":"大盘现在这种行情是最难受的。 今天朋友圈看到一张图,非常形象的描绘了市场状况:本周即将召开为期两天的FOMC会议,并于周三下午两点公布利率决定以及对经济和利率的最新预估,也就是说在决议落地之前,难受的市场行情还要继续持续1天。 目前广泛说法是市场参与者已经将加快缩表进程纳入了预期之中,所以决议公布后行情大概率反弹,这种先抑后扬的手法之前也见过很多次了。但不怕一万就怕万一啊,比如鲍威尔突然搞个大惊喜说我们要提前宣布加息啦!那就都完蛋了。 不过这种决策的可能性不大,因为通胀看起来恐怖,其实现在已经是山顶了,普遍预期是明年会下降。 我觉得这个行情中最不给力的是特斯拉,如果特斯拉能撑住,那FOMC会议不足为据。但现在这个市场,再加上马斯克一点一点的套现,完全消耗了市场的积极情绪。之前我错怪马斯克了,以为他跟贝索斯闹矛盾所以在RIVN上市前天砸盘。现在看来他抛售在了市场最乐观的顶峰,出手时机过于精准。 怎么判断是市场最乐观的顶峰呢?5天内股价翻倍,啪啪打上市估值的脸,我隐约记得去年新股上市狂欢顶峰也是这种情况。 没有特斯拉护航,唇亡齿寒,所以$苹果(AAPL)$ 我先平一半,然后今天盘中考虑sell put。这个市场现在做多做空都难受,那就回归老本行,在最不可能跌到价格上做文章吧,比较省心。 今日推荐卖put池: 标的代码 年化收益 到期日 行权价 权利金 隐含波动率 $TSLA 20211217 850.0 PUT$ 13.0% 2021/12/17 850 1.46 74% $NVDA 20211217 250.0 PUT$ 22.0% 2021/12/17 250 0.7 78% 确实是做多难受做空也难受,iv上没有特别明确的提示恐慌,但从股价支撑位来看,很多公司都不能按常规折价找行权价了。比如我今天就把$AMD(AMD)$ 刨除了,程序给的行权价价位是120,更安全的110put权利金没有肉,所以不做推荐。 今天我考虑盘中做一下这两只$特斯拉(TSLA)$ $英伟达(NVDA)$ ,都是本周到期的,比较可控。 其他put比如AMD可以盘中去做,但切记远离成长股,前期龙头$Asana, Inc.(ASAN)$ 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