eeez
2021-12-14
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@期权小班长：
苹果市值要冲3万亿了，我要减仓了吗？
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tg-height=\"1080\">怎么判断赶顶呢，如果股价一直贴着布林上轨并突破就要警惕了。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/428050d8770e23402603c7e836c3afc9\" tg-width=\"1079\" tg-height=\"1738\"></p> <p>今晚苹果市值突破3万亿，如果之后两天连续大涨，直冲200元关口，那回调也就不远了。</p> <p>我们上周卖了一张call<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL%2020211231%20205.0%20CALL\" target=\"_blank\">$AAPL 20211231 205.0 CALL$</a>，12月31日到期行权价205，此时就有些尴尬了。根据持仓成本分两种情况。</p> <p>如果你的苹果持仓成本是174.9，或者上周刚买入想做圣诞波段， 那么股价很有可能会在本周末下周初回调，此时为了0.28权利金等到31号很不划算，因为你不知道31号股价会去往何方。</p> <p>第二种情况就是段永平的持仓成本了，如果你苹果成本价几十块，常年持仓做备兑，不在意之后的股价回调，也不在意之后可能的横盘，回调到160或者150也毫发无伤，那么继续做备兑也没有任何问题。</p> <p>总之，如果你的持股成本不低于175，建议先把备兑的sell call 平仓。截止此时你的正股赚了(181.79-174.9)*100=689，平了call也不亏，保留机动性最重要。</p> <p>没做备兑只拿着正股，那就继续持有正股直到回调卖出即可。</p> <p>今日卖put池：</p> <table> \n <colgroup></colgroup> \n <tbody> \n <tr> \n <td>标的代码</td> \n <td>年化收益</td> \n <td>到期日</td> \n <td>行权价</td> \n <td>权利金</td> \n <td>隐含波动率</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020211217%20900.0%20PUT\" target=\"_blank\">$TSLA 20211217 900.0 PUT$</a></td> \n <td>20.0%</td> \n <td>2021/12/17</td> \n <td>900</td> \n <td>2.81</td> \n <td>72%</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020211217%20260.0%20PUT\" target=\"_blank\">$NVDA 20211217 260.0 PUT$</a></td> \n <td>10.0%</td> \n <td>2021/12/17</td> \n <td>260</td> \n <td>0.42</td> \n <td>73%</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMD%2020211217%20120.0%20PUT\" target=\"_blank\">$AMD 20211217 120.0 PUT$</a></td> \n <td>9.0%</td> \n <td>2021/12/17</td> \n <td>120</td> \n <td>0.18</td> \n <td>70%</td> \n </tr> \n </tbody> \n</table> <p>还是这三只股票<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a> ，本周到期，特斯拉AMD行权价同上周。英伟达比较疲软所以行权价下调，虽然我觉得一周跌到日K MA50线270概率也不太大，稳妥起见选了260。</p> <p>我持有苹果，以上都没做。</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>今天<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 就会突破3万亿市值，没想到上周五突然加速赶顶，和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/602563645\" target=\"_blank\">我上周四的预期不太一样</a>，今天来谈谈之后怎么办。</p> <p>对于很多美股老股民来说，加速赶顶是一场盛宴但也同时意味着撤退。苹果达到2万亿市值是在2020年8月19日，盘中苹果超越467.72美元，随后三天内股价突破500大关，4天后迎来拆股，股价横盘4个月。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0507bdcf211392c804385ebcd789516a\" tg-width=\"2339\" tg-height=\"1080\">怎么判断赶顶呢，如果股价一直贴着布林上轨并突破就要警惕了。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/428050d8770e23402603c7e836c3afc9\" tg-width=\"1079\" tg-height=\"1738\"></p> <p>今晚苹果市值突破3万亿，如果之后两天连续大涨，直冲200元关口，那回调也就不远了。</p> <p>我们上周卖了一张call<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL%2020211231%20205.0%20CALL\" target=\"_blank\">$AAPL 20211231 205.0 CALL$</a>，12月31日到期行权价205，此时就有些尴尬了。根据持仓成本分两种情况。</p> <p>如果你的苹果持仓成本是174.9，或者上周刚买入想做圣诞波段， 那么股价很有可能会在本周末下周初回调，此时为了0.28权利金等到31号很不划算，因为你不知道31号股价会去往何方。</p> <p>第二种情况就是段永平的持仓成本了，如果你苹果成本价几十块，常年持仓做备兑，不在意之后的股价回调，也不在意之后可能的横盘，回调到160或者150也毫发无伤，那么继续做备兑也没有任何问题。</p> <p>总之，如果你的持股成本不低于175，建议先把备兑的sell call 平仓。截止此时你的正股赚了(181.79-174.9)*100=689，平了call也不亏，保留机动性最重要。</p> <p>没做备兑只拿着正股，那就继续持有正股直到回调卖出即可。</p> <p>今日卖put池：</p> <table> \n <colgroup></colgroup> \n <tbody> \n <tr> \n <td>标的代码</td> \n <td>年化收益</td> \n <td>到期日</td> \n <td>行权价</td> \n <td>权利金</td> \n <td>隐含波动率</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020211217%20900.0%20PUT\" target=\"_blank\">$TSLA 20211217 900.0 PUT$</a></td> \n <td>20.0%</td> \n <td>2021/12/17</td> \n <td>900</td> \n <td>2.81</td> \n <td>72%</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020211217%20260.0%20PUT\" target=\"_blank\">$NVDA 20211217 260.0 PUT$</a></td> \n <td>10.0%</td> \n <td>2021/12/17</td> \n <td>260</td> \n <td>0.42</td> \n <td>73%</td> \n </tr> \n <tr> \n <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMD%2020211217%20120.0%20PUT\" target=\"_blank\">$AMD 20211217 120.0 PUT$</a></td> \n <td>9.0%</td> \n <td>2021/12/17</td> \n <td>120</td> \n <td>0.18</td> \n <td>70%</td> \n </tr> \n </tbody> \n</table> <p>还是这三只股票<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a> ，本周到期，特斯拉AMD行权价同上周。英伟达比较疲软所以行权价下调，虽然我觉得一周跌到日K MA50线270概率也不太大，稳妥起见选了260。</p> <p>我持有苹果，以上都没做。</p></body></html>","text":"今天$苹果(AAPL)$ 就会突破3万亿市值，没想到上周五突然加速赶顶，和我上周四的预期不太一样，今天来谈谈之后怎么办。 对于很多美股老股民来说，加速赶顶是一场盛宴但也同时意味着撤退。苹果达到2万亿市值是在2020年8月19日，盘中苹果超越467.72美元，随后三天内股价突破500大关，4天后迎来拆股，股价横盘4个月。怎么判断赶顶呢，如果股价一直贴着布林上轨并突破就要警惕了。 今晚苹果市值突破3万亿，如果之后两天连续大涨，直冲200元关口，那回调也就不远了。 我们上周卖了一张call$AAPL 20211231 205.0 CALL$，12月31日到期行权价205，此时就有些尴尬了。根据持仓成本分两种情况。 如果你的苹果持仓成本是174.9，或者上周刚买入想做圣诞波段， 那么股价很有可能会在本周末下周初回调，此时为了0.28权利金等到31号很不划算，因为你不知道31号股价会去往何方。 第二种情况就是段永平的持仓成本了，如果你苹果成本价几十块，常年持仓做备兑，不在意之后的股价回调，也不在意之后可能的横盘，回调到160或者150也毫发无伤，那么继续做备兑也没有任何问题。 总之，如果你的持股成本不低于175，建议先把备兑的sell call 平仓。截止此时你的正股赚了(181.79-174.9)*100=689，平了call也不亏，保留机动性最重要。 没做备兑只拿着正股，那就继续持有正股直到回调卖出即可。 今日卖put池： 标的代码 年化收益 到期日 行权价 权利金 隐含波动率 $TSLA 20211217 900.0 PUT$ 20.0% 2021/12/17 900 2.81 72% $NVDA 20211217 260.0 PUT$ 10.0% 2021/12/17 260 0.42 73% $AMD 20211217 120.0 PUT$ 9.0% 2021/12/17 120 0.18 70% 还是这三只股票$特斯拉(TSLA)$ $英伟达(NVDA)$ $AMD(AMD)$ ，本周到期，特斯拉AMD行权价同上周。英伟达比较疲软所以行权价下调，虽然我觉得一周跌到日K MA50线270概率也不太大，稳妥起见选了260。 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