Twelve_E
2021-12-02
I like his slight but clear analysis sharing.
@荒野侦探:
Snowflake盘前大涨近16%!Q3财报好在哪儿?
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target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">$Snowflake(SNOW)$</a> 大涨近16%分外吸睛。</p> <p><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bbf2bd29bd1919bb44e0f01779ba5fa\" tg-width=\"800\" tg-height=\"446\"></p> <p><b>关于Snowflake的分析,历来两个点非常关键:1、估值;2、增长。</b></p> <p><b>它们之间也互相关联,因为高估值需要完美的增长预设。</b></p> <p><b>而季度业绩则是对增长的检验,其中两个点很重要:1、增速,2、留存率。</b></p> <p><b>根据Q3财报,Snowflake营收同比增速109.5%,略高于上一季度104.4。</b></p> <p>通常对于高增长企业的推演,增速将有序下滑。<b>好消息是,Snowflake本季增速上扬,也自然对应了营收超出预期。</b></p> <p><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cda42d7db7acb557134882727e84e25\" tg-width=\"1909\" tg-height=\"607\"></p> <p>如同我们已在新闻头条中知道的利好,营收超预期,EPS超预期,指引超预期。<b>在此之外,作为运营指标的留存率,继续攀高至173%。分析师只好大呼优秀。</b></p> <p><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f65e610ff66495e8a4eb8d583feff42e\" tg-width=\"1371\" tg-height=\"683\"></p> <p><b>至此,我们已经复习财报方面的利好,总结如下:</b></p> <p>Snowflake的产品保持在大企业客户中的领先地位和吸引力,使其在数据仓库和分析市场上有很长的发展空间。在新客户的推动下,公司处于有利地位,能够保持超大型的产品销售增长,不断增加的订单规模以及其一流的净留存率超过160%。</p> <p><b>即使面对来自亚马逊AWS、微软和谷歌云等超大规模云计算同行的竞争,相信Snowflake的数据云市场和多云支持可能会使它加速从Oracle、Teradata、HP Enterprise和Cloudera等本地设备提供商那里获得市场份额。</b></p> <p></p> <h2>关于估值:</h2> <p>过往四个季度Snowflake营收为10.26亿美元,以盘后涨幅计算公司市值为1087亿美元。对应市销率TTM超过100倍,对应下一年的市销率也超过50。</p> <p><b>如往昔观点所说,理解Snowflake的估值正常化,意味着需要将眼光放长远至5年后。</b>参看下图:</p> <p><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2e616395ab5492b60b546127748786f\" tg-width=\"1617\" tg-height=\"240\">这大概是当代投资者的自我修养。</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>在股市周三你大跌映衬下,周四盘前<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">$Snowflake(SNOW)$</a> 大涨近16%分外吸睛。</p> <p><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bbf2bd29bd1919bb44e0f01779ba5fa\" tg-width=\"800\" tg-height=\"446\"></p> <p><b>关于Snowflake的分析,历来两个点非常关键:1、估值;2、增长。</b></p> <p><b>它们之间也互相关联,因为高估值需要完美的增长预设。</b></p> 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<p><b>如往昔观点所说,理解Snowflake的估值正常化,意味着需要将眼光放长远至5年后。</b>参看下图:</p> <p><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2e616395ab5492b60b546127748786f\" tg-width=\"1617\" tg-height=\"240\">这大概是当代投资者的自我修养。</p></body></html>","text":"在股市周三你大跌映衬下,周四盘前$Snowflake(SNOW)$ 大涨近16%分外吸睛。 关于Snowflake的分析,历来两个点非常关键:1、估值;2、增长。 它们之间也互相关联,因为高估值需要完美的增长预设。 而季度业绩则是对增长的检验,其中两个点很重要:1、增速,2、留存率。 根据Q3财报,Snowflake营收同比增速109.5%,略高于上一季度104.4。 通常对于高增长企业的推演,增速将有序下滑。好消息是,Snowflake本季增速上扬,也自然对应了营收超出预期。 如同我们已在新闻头条中知道的利好,营收超预期,EPS超预期,指引超预期。在此之外,作为运营指标的留存率,继续攀高至173%。分析师只好大呼优秀。 至此,我们已经复习财报方面的利好,总结如下: Snowflake的产品保持在大企业客户中的领先地位和吸引力,使其在数据仓库和分析市场上有很长的发展空间。在新客户的推动下,公司处于有利地位,能够保持超大型的产品销售增长,不断增加的订单规模以及其一流的净留存率超过160%。 即使面对来自亚马逊AWS、微软和谷歌云等超大规模云计算同行的竞争,相信Snowflake的数据云市场和多云支持可能会使它加速从Oracle、Teradata、HP Enterprise和Cloudera等本地设备提供商那里获得市场份额。 关于估值: 过往四个季度Snowflake营收为10.26亿美元,以盘后涨幅计算公司市值为1087亿美元。对应市销率TTM超过100倍,对应下一年的市销率也超过50。 如往昔观点所说,理解Snowflake的估值正常化,意味着需要将眼光放长远至5年后。参看下图: 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