JoinMe
2021-02-11
事实上股票一两个月很容易走出趋势,一但走出趋势或者波动率变大了,你会出现赚的少赔得多的情况,盈亏比很不划算,你可以算一下就算你策略胜率能达到90%,若干的90%相乘,你的胜率很快就低于50%,更不会出现你能攒够几万去玩微软等大股票的情况。所以理论上长期盈利恐怕站不住脚。 本评论从概率与数理统计角度告诉你长期靠它不可行!不服来战!
@Raytroninvs:
我本金只有3500,我不好赌但也不想赔钱
免责声明:上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点,不构成本平台的任何投资建议。
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元卫南的爹
2021-03-03
元卫南的爹
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本评论从概率与数理统计角度告诉你长期靠它不可行!不服来战!","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/388309255","repostId":381616659,"repostType":1,"repost":{"magic":2,"id":381616659,"tweetId":"381616659","gmtCreate":1612961540771,"gmtModify":1703767507101,"author":{"id":3539164066154947,"idStr":"3539164066154947","authorId":3539164066154947,"authorIdStr":"3539164066154947","name":"Raytroninvs","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9ea6a08d0b146942ea8bfde8d243755","vip":2,"userType":2,"introduction":"韭菜保护协会会长","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":10501,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[{"themeId":"bc6e8e4b405b43429905237d8c15ff4c","categoryId":"20b8d1944bae4805b371322c2ab986d4","name":"期权Q&A:期权知识,你问我答","type":0,"rnLink":"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&page=/theme/detail&rndata={\"themeId\":bc6e8e4b405b43429905237d8c15ff4c}&rnconfig={\"headerBarHidden\": 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src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f395091e05a674bbe1d9e7b56d594a96\" tg-width=\"1003\" tg-height=\"680\"><span></span></p><p>wheel一般选月度期权,正好2月份的只有9天了,我们卖出2月19号行权价为35的put option,可以获得2.3*100=230美金的权利金,这时候我们账户持仓为3500+230=3730美金+(-1)pltr Feb19 35 put</p><p>然后就是等待,等到期,到期后有2种结果</p><p>1.股价低于35,被行权,这时候账户持仓为100股pltr+230美金</p><p>2.股价高于35,期权作废,这时候持仓为3730美金</p><p>先说2,当出现第二种情况时重复前面步骤</p><p>当出现第一种情况时,打开期权链</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f292524425b5bc6b76974cf6f1309da3\" tg-width=\"1003\" tg-height=\"680\"><span></span></p><p>由于我们手里有100股pltr,我们卖出3月到期43的call,获得455权利金,这时候我们账户为230+455=685美金+100股pltr+(-1)pltr Mar19 43 call </p><p>然后继续等待,等到期后又有2种情况</p><p>1.股价高于43,被行权,账户持仓为685+4300=4985美金,然后重复文章开头步骤</p><p>2.股价低于43美金,期权作废,账户持仓为685美金+100股pltr,然后重复着个步骤的前一个步骤</p><p>最糟糕情况为股价大幅下跌,所以选择wheel的标的最好选不会爆雷的,也可以做<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>,记住攒够13500后换成aapl的wheel,攒够22000后换成<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$</a>的wheel,攒够38500后换成<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a>的wheel</p><p>这个策略有耐心,收益率年化35%是最基本的</p><p> 但股市里最重要的不是年化收益,而是保住本金</p><p><br></p><p>ps:感觉股市里还是有很多小白啊,想开个公众号但是懒,没精力弄,怎么破?<span>[捂脸] </span></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p><b> 写在开头,想以小博大,怀着海盗信仰的投资者们可以不用往下看了</b></p><p> 加入美股大军的身边朋友越来越多了,但部分朋友用于投资的资金预期并不多,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>的wheel可能做不起来,今天换一个标的,做<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>的wheel strategy</p><p>wheel strategy又叫车轮循环策略也叫小本生意策略<span>[捂脸] </span></p><p>小本生意无非2点,进货,卖货</p><p>首先存入账户3500美金</p><p>现在pltr的价格是38.54</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f395091e05a674bbe1d9e7b56d594a96\" tg-width=\"1003\" tg-height=\"680\"><span></span></p><p>wheel一般选月度期权,正好2月份的只有9天了,我们卖出2月19号行权价为35的put option,可以获得2.3*100=230美金的权利金,这时候我们账户持仓为3500+230=3730美金+(-1)pltr Feb19 35 put</p><p>然后就是等待,等到期,到期后有2种结果</p><p>1.股价低于35,被行权,这时候账户持仓为100股pltr+230美金</p><p>2.股价高于35,期权作废,这时候持仓为3730美金</p><p>先说2,当出现第二种情况时重复前面步骤</p><p>当出现第一种情况时,打开期权链</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f292524425b5bc6b76974cf6f1309da3\" tg-width=\"1003\" tg-height=\"680\"><span></span></p><p>由于我们手里有100股pltr,我们卖出3月到期43的call,获得455权利金,这时候我们账户为230+455=685美金+100股pltr+(-1)pltr Mar19 43 call </p><p>然后继续等待,等到期后又有2种情况</p><p>1.股价高于43,被行权,账户持仓为685+4300=4985美金,然后重复文章开头步骤</p><p>2.股价低于43美金,期权作废,账户持仓为685美金+100股pltr,然后重复着个步骤的前一个步骤</p><p>最糟糕情况为股价大幅下跌,所以选择wheel的标的最好选不会爆雷的,也可以做<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>,记住攒够13500后换成aapl的wheel,攒够22000后换成<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$</a>的wheel,攒够38500后换成<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a>的wheel</p><p>这个策略有耐心,收益率年化35%是最基本的</p><p> 但股市里最重要的不是年化收益,而是保住本金</p><p><br></p><p>ps:感觉股市里还是有很多小白啊,想开个公众号但是懒,没精力弄,怎么破?<span>[捂脸] </span></p></body></html>","text":"写在开头,想以小博大,怀着海盗信仰的投资者们可以不用往下看了 加入美股大军的身边朋友越来越多了,但部分朋友用于投资的资金预期并不多,$苹果(AAPL)$的wheel可能做不起来,今天换一个标的,做$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$的wheel strategy wheel strategy又叫车轮循环策略也叫小本生意策略[捂脸] 小本生意无非2点,进货,卖货 首先存入账户3500美金 现在pltr的价格是38.54 wheel一般选月度期权,正好2月份的只有9天了,我们卖出2月19号行权价为35的put option,可以获得2.3*100=230美金的权利金,这时候我们账户持仓为3500+230=3730美金+(-1)pltr Feb19 35 put 然后就是等待,等到期,到期后有2种结果 1.股价低于35,被行权,这时候账户持仓为100股pltr+230美金 2.股价高于35,期权作废,这时候持仓为3730美金 先说2,当出现第二种情况时重复前面步骤 当出现第一种情况时,打开期权链 由于我们手里有100股pltr,我们卖出3月到期43的call,获得455权利金,这时候我们账户为230+455=685美金+100股pltr+(-1)pltr Mar19 43 call 然后继续等待,等到期后又有2种情况 1.股价高于43,被行权,账户持仓为685+4300=4985美金,然后重复文章开头步骤 2.股价低于43美金,期权作废,账户持仓为685美金+100股pltr,然后重复着个步骤的前一个步骤 最糟糕情况为股价大幅下跌,所以选择wheel的标的最好选不会爆雷的,也可以做$蔚来(NIO)$,记住攒够13500后换成aapl的wheel,攒够22000后换成$微软(MSFT)$的wheel,攒够38500后换成$标普500ETF(SPY)$的wheel 这个策略有耐心,收益率年化35%是最基本的 但股市里最重要的不是年化收益,而是保住本金 ps:感觉股市里还是有很多小白啊,想开个公众号但是懒,没精力弄,怎么破?[捂脸]","highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/381616659","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["NIO","SPY","PLTR","MSFT"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":1341,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1557,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":["MSFT"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":308,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[{"id":3701136,"commentId":"3701136","gmtCreate":1614730953260,"gmtModify":1614730953260,"authorId":3449476012436259,"author":{"id":3449476012436259,"idStr":"3449476012436259","authorId":3449476012436259,"name":"元卫南的爹","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":388309255,"objectIdStr":"388309255","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"書籤","text":"書籤","html":"書籤","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0}],"isCommentEnd":false,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/388309255"}
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