4000万美刀押注川普的神秘巨鲸浮出水面

前段时间在polymarket 上面下注了4000万美金川普的人，终于在大选前浮出水面了。

其本人是一名来自法国的交易员，他通过对历史数据进行追溯研究，认为纽约时报这样的媒体，大量造假民意调查数据，只为了给哈里斯造势。并且认为在矫正完造假数据之后，川普有90%的可能性赢的总统大选。

A gambler or a trader？

难道polymarket 真的要“暴击”美国民调？还挺期待这个交易员能够一战封神！ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $特朗普媒体科技集团(DJT)$ $Phunware, Inc.(PHUN)$

“特朗普交易”终于降温！现在应该怎么买？

市场等待美国CPI数据。特朗普交易有所退潮。美国大选日后，标普、纳指首次下跌，止步五连涨，跌离新高。小盘股跌1.8%。特斯拉跌超6%，特朗普媒体跌近9%。【“特朗普交易”，现在是已经退潮，还是会继续走高？你的操作策略是？】

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

中国第一美股高手
11-06
中国第一美股高手
答案很肯定，川普肯定胜利！未来特斯拉股票增长空间巨大，有胆的人都持股特斯拉。
- 天天天天涨停板:
  我从去年初就开始买入特斯拉了，但这两年特斯拉真的是令人失望，还好我守住了今天[流泪]
- 伦敦钢丝球:
  兄弟建议djt什么时候出，今天盘前还是盘中
- 体道合德:
  不见得，除非计票公正
业余的全职专业投资人
11-06
业余的全职专业投资人
遥遥领先！特朗普己领先，特朗普胜选总统的概率非常大，特朗普有望胜选！据美联社报道，截至美国东部时间当天21时30分，美国一半以上的州已经关闭了投票站。根据多家美媒初步测算，特朗普选举人票已升至178张，哈里斯暂获99张。
嗷呜
11-06
嗷呜
他居然没有去趟义乌[捂脸][捂脸][捂脸]
卯巳
11-06
卯巳
恐怕事与愿违。
- Xzhouz:
  已经出结果了
Juliusdk
11-06
Juliusdk
一举成名

发表看法

9

18

10

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":368001259929632,"tweetId":"368001259929632","gmtCreate":1730861649209,"gmtModify":1730864409839,"author":{"id":740450932848,"idStr":"740450932848","authorId":740450932848,"authorIdStr":"740450932848","name":"33_Tiger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa2c2a58a713dadbb19ede7c4c37d61d","vip":2,"userType":2,"introduction":"老虎国际社区运营","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-3","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"传说交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到300次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"93.72%","individualDisplayEnabled":0},"individualDisplayBadges":[{"badgeId":"3f8f4b8c193b4343a88817ce07587dbd-1","templateUuid":"3f8f4b8c193b4343a88817ce07587dbd","name":"星级创作者","description":"社区优质创作者：发表过3篇及以上精华帖，且30天内发表过至少一篇精华帖并参与过评论","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1866dcf97a73be1c330f85862546aedc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f5c5fa8e2c7683bb5a7fce8753ee456","redirectLinkEnabled":1,"redirectLink":"https://www.laohu8.com/activity/market/2023/star-contributors/","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.11.18","individualDisplayEnabled":1,"backgroundColor":{"dark":"#675a37","tint":"#f9ebc2"},"fontColor":{"dark":"#ffffff","tint":"#ab7a0e"}}],"fanSize":539048,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[{"themeId":"35bd401ed8b441e4bb7ca33fad4b31f7","categoryId":"d316d8bd4a714fab9ea15fd7157c45e7","name":"“特朗普交易”终于降温！现在应该怎么买？","type":3,"rnLink":"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&page=/theme/special/discussion&rndata={\"themeId\":35bd401ed8b441e4bb7ca33fad4b31f7}&rnconfig={\"headerBarHidden\": true}","description":"市场等待美国CPI数据。特朗普交易有所退潮。美国大选日后，标普、纳指首次下跌，止步五连涨，跌离新高。小盘股跌1.8%。特斯拉跌超6%，特朗普媒体跌近9%。【“特朗普交易”，现在是已经退潮，还是会继续走高？你的操作策略是？】","image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7a1588ebb852c6522f60c935116e5ae"}],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"title":"4000万美刀押注川普的神秘巨鲸浮出水面","extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>前段时间在polymarket 上面下注了4000万美金川普的人，终于在大选前浮出水面了。</p><p>其本人是一名来自法国的交易员，他通过对历史数据进行追溯研究，认为纽约时报这样的媒体，大量造假民意调查数据，只为了给哈里斯造势。并且认为在矫正完造假数据之后，川普有90%的可能性赢的总统大选。</p><p>A gambler or a trader？</p><p>难道polymarket 真的要“暴击”美国民调？还挺期待这个交易员能够一战封神！ <a data-mention-id=\"COIN\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Coinbase Global, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"DJT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特朗普媒体科技集团\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DJT\">$特朗普媒体科技集团(DJT)$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"PHUN\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Phunware, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PHUN\">$Phunware, Inc.(PHUN)$</a></p><video poster=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71537ac2ab1ff5a960f31a8738bccf1e\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"716\" class=\"ql-video\" controls=\"true\" id=\"te-video\" controlslist=\"nodownload\" playsinline=\"true\" webkit-playsinline=\"true\"><source src=\"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/b9972fcfvodtranscq1254107296/273bd83b1397757897002647866/v.f30.mp4\"></video><p></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>前段时间在polymarket 上面下注了4000万美金川普的人，终于在大选前浮出水面了。</p><p>其本人是一名来自法国的交易员，他通过对历史数据进行追溯研究，认为纽约时报这样的媒体，大量造假民意调查数据，只为了给哈里斯造势。并且认为在矫正完造假数据之后，川普有90%的可能性赢的总统大选。</p><p>A gambler or a trader？</p><p>难道polymarket 真的要“暴击”美国民调？还挺期待这个交易员能够一战封神！ <a data-mention-id=\"COIN\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Coinbase Global, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"DJT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特朗普媒体科技集团\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DJT\">$特朗普媒体科技集团(DJT)$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"PHUN\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Phunware, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PHUN\">$Phunware, Inc.(PHUN)$</a></p><video poster=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71537ac2ab1ff5a960f31a8738bccf1e\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"716\" class=\"ql-video\" controls=\"true\" id=\"te-video\" controlslist=\"nodownload\" playsinline=\"true\" webkit-playsinline=\"true\"><source src=\"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/b9972fcfvodtranscq1254107296/273bd83b1397757897002647866/v.f30.mp4\"></video><p></p></body></html>","text":"前段时间在polymarket 上面下注了4000万美金川普的人，终于在大选前浮出水面了。 其本人是一名来自法国的交易员，他通过对历史数据进行追溯研究，认为纽约时报这样的媒体，大量造假民意调查数据，只为了给哈里斯造势。并且认为在矫正完造假数据之后，川普有90%的可能性赢的总统大选。 A gambler or a trader？ 难道polymarket 真的要“暴击”美国民调？还挺期待这个交易员能够一战封神！ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $特朗普媒体科技集团(DJT)$ $Phunware, Inc.(PHUN)$","highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":18,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":10,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368001259929632","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"e167c1a87f5a49dfa4c62be41b81fbdd","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/b9972fcfvodtranscq1254107296/273bd83b1397757897002647866/v.f30.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71537ac2ab1ff5a960f31a8738bccf1e","desc":""},"viewCount":16262,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":["DJT","PHUN","COIN"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":true,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":409,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[{"id":368000830869592,"commentId":"368000830869592","gmtCreate":1730862602830,"gmtModify":1730862606325,"authorId":145605149293695,"author":{"id":145605149293695,"idStr":"145605149293695","authorId":145605149293695,"name":"中国第一美股高手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b7e3451a88137c911b10132e10b4eca","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-3","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"偶像虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.07.28","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":368001259929632,"objectIdStr":"368001259929632","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"答案很肯定，川普肯定胜利！未来特斯拉股票增长空间巨大，有胆的人都持股特斯拉。","text":"答案很肯定，川普肯定胜利！未来特斯拉股票增长空间巨大，有胆的人都持股特斯拉。","html":"答案很肯定，川普肯定胜利！未来特斯拉股票增长空间巨大，有胆的人都持股特斯拉。","likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"subComments":[{"id":368119532617904,"commentId":"368119532617904","gmtCreate":1730888985831,"gmtModify":1730888989548,"authorId":3513743822381928,"author":{"id":3513743822381928,"idStr":"3513743822381928","authorId":3513743822381928,"name":"天天天天涨停板","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90d3bcdd2c49a8ec314d84d8d0f1b24e","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-3","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资合伙人虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到100万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506a259a7b456f037592c3b23c779599","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.14","exceedPercentage":"93.98%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":368001259929632,"objectIdStr":"368001259929632","type":1,"supId":368000830869592,"supIdStr":"368000830869592","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"我从去年初就开始买入特斯拉了，但这两年特斯拉真的是令人失望，还好我守住了今天[流泪]","text":"我从去年初就开始买入特斯拉了，但这两年特斯拉真的是令人失望，还好我守住了今天[流泪]","html":"我从去年初就开始买入特斯拉了，但这两年特斯拉真的是令人失望，还好我守住了今天[流泪]"},{"id":367938848821376,"commentId":"367938848821376","gmtCreate":1730869320926,"gmtModify":1730869324670,"authorId":3548757119839992,"author":{"id":3548757119839992,"idStr":"3548757119839992","authorId":3548757119839992,"name":"伦敦钢丝球","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25182efda637354c7a6d61f76fccd8c6","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":368001259929632,"objectIdStr":"368001259929632","type":1,"supId":368000830869592,"supIdStr":"368000830869592","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"兄弟建议djt什么时候出，今天盘前还是盘中","text":"兄弟建议djt什么时候出，今天盘前还是盘中","html":"兄弟建议djt什么时候出，今天盘前还是盘中"},{"id":367924606177472,"commentId":"367924606177472","gmtCreate":1730865844811,"gmtModify":1730865848770,"authorId":3514419179304562,"author":{"id":3514419179304562,"idStr":"3514419179304562","authorId":3514419179304562,"name":"体道合德","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95efd4d2e410bb0dd95dde84060c146e","vip":1,"crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":368001259929632,"objectIdStr":"368001259929632","type":1,"supId":368000830869592,"supIdStr":"368000830869592","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"不见得，除非计票公正","text":"不见得，除非计票公正","html":"不见得，除非计票公正"}],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"hot","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":368010673660088,"commentId":"368010673660088","gmtCreate":1730864104171,"gmtModify":1730873441558,"authorId":4165787134050210,"author":{"id":4165787134050210,"idStr":"4165787134050210","authorId":4165787134050210,"name":"业余的全职专业投资人","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":368001259929632,"objectIdStr":"368001259929632","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"遥遥领先！特朗普己领先，特朗普胜选总统的概率非常大，特朗普有望胜选！据美联社报道，截至美国东部时间当天21时30分，美国一半以上的州已经关闭了投票站。根据多家美媒初步测算，特朗普选举人票已升至178张，哈里斯暂获99张。","text":"遥遥领先！特朗普己领先，特朗普胜选总统的概率非常大，特朗普有望胜选！据美联社报道，截至美国东部时间当天21时30分，美国一半以上的州已经关闭了投票站。根据多家美媒初步测算，特朗普选举人票已升至178张，哈里斯暂获99张。","html":"遥遥领先！特朗普己领先，特朗普胜选总统的概率非常大，特朗普有望胜选！据美联社报道，截至美国东部时间当天21时30分，美国一半以上的州已经关闭了投票站。根据多家美媒初步测算，特朗普选举人票已升至178张，哈里斯暂获99张。","likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":368072706719888,"commentId":"368072706719888","gmtCreate":1730877449790,"gmtModify":1730877453553,"authorId":3447888725522988,"author":{"id":3447888725522988,"idStr":"3447888725522988","authorId":3447888725522988,"name":"嗷呜","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f612edd23b86a398626f8475d889c786","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-2","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"宗师交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到100次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52eb88fa385cf5abe2616ed63781765","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"80.02%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":368001259929632,"objectIdStr":"368001259929632","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"他居然没有去趟义乌[捂脸][捂脸][捂脸]","text":"他居然没有去趟义乌[捂脸][捂脸][捂脸]","html":"他居然没有去趟义乌[捂脸][捂脸][捂脸]","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":368008097648824,"commentId":"368008097648824","gmtCreate":1730863475261,"gmtModify":1730863478931,"authorId":65426212610731,"author":{"id":65426212610731,"idStr":"65426212610731","authorId":65426212610731,"name":"卯巳","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/8ec18a29f8fd4dc31517bdf95fcd7030","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":368001259929632,"objectIdStr":"368001259929632","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"恐怕事与愿违。","text":"恐怕事与愿违。","html":"恐怕事与愿违。","likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"subComments":[{"id":367919133417600,"commentId":"367919133417600","gmtCreate":1730864507592,"gmtModify":1730864511640,"authorId":3574720750802706,"author":{"id":3574720750802706,"idStr":"3574720750802706","authorId":3574720750802706,"name":"Xzhouz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4412bd88c8ff752fb6d1ea8fddf1d07","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"1f74612b6f95455f970edd02b5316db8-3","templateUuid":"1f74612b6f95455f970edd02b5316db8","name":"收益排行","description":"Top 20%","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ece4391160b811e6f36b1eea9eb6ea4","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d7540817554a583ac3bf85dea074a4a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c5460a7cc80dd22560efa26813d947d","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":"https://www.itigerup.com/activity/market/2023/stock-contest?adcode=StockContest2023","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.07.13","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":5300},"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c5ceab71416b120bab4604c0754b52a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":368001259929632,"objectIdStr":"368001259929632","type":1,"supId":368008097648824,"supIdStr":"368008097648824","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"已经出结果了","text":"已经出结果了","html":"已经出结果了"}],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":367909513519312,"commentId":"367909513519312","gmtCreate":1730862160287,"gmtModify":1730862164051,"authorId":3452936632054541,"author":{"id":3452936632054541,"idStr":"3452936632054541","authorId":3452936632054541,"name":"Juliusdk","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-4","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"明星虎友","description":"加入老虎社区2000天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddf24b906c7011de2617d4fb3f76987","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53d58ad32c97254c6f74db8b97e6ec49","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6304700d92ad91c7a33e2e92ec32ecc1","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.09.09","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b6219675842600ebb42baa43c645832","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":368001259929632,"objectIdStr":"368001259929632","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"<p>一举成名</p>","text":"<p>一举成名</p>","html":"<p>一举成名</p>","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0}],"isCommentEnd":false,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/368001259929632"}