yjjjjjjj
11-01
这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看
@期权小班长：
美股双十一打折优惠
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<a data-mention-id=\"AAPL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"苹果\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> </p><p>我在纠结前两天做的230sell put有点高了，今天开盘有人跟我做对手盘花200多万买230put看跌 <a data-mention-id=\"AAPL 20241122 230.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AAPL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL%2020241122%20230.0%20PUT\">$AAPL 20241122 230.0 PUT$</a> 。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0afa80b723c6585a3603723760fd63c\" tg-width=\"2424\" tg-height=\"100\"></p><p>但其实无所谓就算财报跌了，下周总统选举完后反弹呗。</p><p>本来想说先涨一波等选完再跌，其实换换也未尝不可，等选完再涨，欢呼新总统上任，参考2016年选举。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"AMZN\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"亚马逊\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$亚马逊(AMZN)$</a> </p><p>预期波动为6.2%，波动区间在175～195之间。隐含波动率很高可以做双卖。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"INTC\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英特尔\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$</a> </p><p>牙膏厂挤了多年终于变成牙膏皮了，掉队太严重了没兴趣。不过周三有人开仓2.3万手看涨期权买入35看涨 <a data-mention-id=\"INTC 20241220 35.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"INTC\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC%2020241220%2035.0%20CALL\">$INTC 20241220 35.0 CALL$</a> 。</p><p>姑且标记一下看看有什么内幕。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d58690fdd7d2a2e48c31fb68f27ccf6\" tg-width=\"2024\" tg-height=\"1444\"></p><p>唉，说说昨天的财报预测吧。</p><p>这一季财报的期权大单都有点冤大头的味道。META财报前有人买入386万看跌到520 <a data-mention-id=\"META 20241115 520.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"META\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/META%2020241115%20520.0%20PUT\">$META 20241115 520.0 PUT$</a> ，预测暴跌12%，然后财报出来只跌了2.8%。目前这单还没有平仓。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08ed84fdc801946549ca71fbc0c971d7\" tg-width=\"2432\" tg-height=\"96\"></p><p>另外周四也就是今天开盘有人买入570万看跌到565 <a data-mention-id=\"META 20241122 565.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"META\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/META%2020241122%20565.0%20PUT\">$META 20241122 565.0 PUT$</a> ，我觉得这单什么时候平仓了，什么时候大盘就止跌了。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab082f480004ee01088d79eee32f7c59\" tg-width=\"2420\" tg-height=\"98\"></p><p>MSFT跟META互相拿错剧本了。</p><p>非常笃定的推荐了卖出平价看跌，因为 <a data-mention-id=\"MSFT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"微软\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$</a> 一旦突破430就很难回头，没想到还是继续回踩。</p><p>另外这次财报前期权大单甚至还买入1.55万手465看涨期权 <a data-mention-id=\"MSFT 20250321 465.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MSFT\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MSFT%2020250321%20465.0%20CALL\">$MSFT 20250321 465.0 CALL$</a> 。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae8a5649edb5617d7292f99ae44407f5\" tg-width=\"2028\" tg-height=\"1440\"></p><p> 微软支撑位在400，当前下跌行情很适合做sell put，行权价可以选今年低点385。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"COIN\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Coinbase Global, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 财报更离谱了，之前文章提过的220看涨大单在前一天roll仓了，从12月220roll到11月215:</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"COIN 20241115 215.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"COIN\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN%2020241115%20215.0%20CALL\">$COIN 20241115 215.0 CALL$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf8f450d9e74861b314f9e9c6ea1cb1a\" tg-width=\"2422\" tg-height=\"158\"></p><p>从220成交量图可以看出这次roll仓很匆忙，时隔不到1天。虽然成交量不变，但到期日变近了，行权价下调了，同时成交额也降低了。说明近期看涨不确定性变高，也确实如此，财报公布后股价跌了。</p><p>有人可能奇怪为什么不直接平仓，这种单子一般是机构给持股人做对赌的。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b59c443c9116249e30a229a30adf002e\" tg-width=\"1982\" tg-height=\"1432\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>做每周策略的机构选择在今天roll仓，还是看涨价差，卖140买147，机构预计下周英伟达股价将低于140:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>卖 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20241108 140.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020241108%20140.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20241108 140.0 CALL$</a> </p></li><li><p>买 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20241108 147.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020241108%20147.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20241108 147.0 CALL$</a> </p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e30492e9e8efe7849d63b1f95b655b4e\" tg-width=\"2424\" tg-height=\"254\"></p><p>我同步roll仓，不过卖出行权价选择147<a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20241108 147.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020241108%20147.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20241108 147.0 CALL$</a> ，也就是看涨价差里做保护的那条腿。</p><p>英伟达股价弹性有目共睹，从历史经验来看，虽然跟单卖出行权价140能获得更多利润，但如果不想正股因暴涨被行权还是选择更高的行权价更靠谱。</p><p>另外英伟达看跌期权没有异常放量，所以股价是正常回调。虽然很遗憾本周没有新高，但也不是蓄谋已久的大暴跌，就也勉强能接受吧。</p><p>最后分享万手以上开仓大单：</p><p>这种成交量1万手以上识别为一次性成交的大单，一般来说是机构单。卖方大单准确率较买方高一些，仅供参考。</p><p>卖出 <a data-mention-id=\"HOOD 20241101 34.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"HOOD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/HOOD%2020241101%2034.0%20CALL\">$HOOD 20241101 34.0 CALL$</a> ，成交量2.25万手</p><p>卖出 <a data-mention-id=\"AFRM 20241101 43.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AFRM\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AFRM%2020241101%2043.0%20PUT\">$AFRM 20241101 43.0 PUT$</a> ，成交量1.07万手</p><p>卖出<a data-mention-id=\"SNAP 20241220 13.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"SNAP\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SNAP%2020241220%2013.0%20CALL\">$SNAP 20241220 13.0 CALL$</a> ，成交量1万手</p><p>卖出 <a data-mention-id=\"MCD 20241220 275.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MCD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MCD%2020241220%20275.0%20PUT\">$MCD 20241220 275.0 PUT$</a> ，成交量9754手</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3848ab543d701153bd39f3054ed0121\" tg-width=\"2434\" tg-height=\"256\"></p><p></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>唉，单都下完了跟我说打折了。</p><p>虽然跌的有点突然，我还是要说今天是提前释放风险，下跌不影响长期趋势向上，可以抄底。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"AAPL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"苹果\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> </p><p>我在纠结前两天做的230sell put有点高了，今天开盘有人跟我做对手盘花200多万买230put看跌 <a data-mention-id=\"AAPL 20241122 230.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AAPL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL%2020241122%20230.0%20PUT\">$AAPL 20241122 230.0 PUT$</a> 。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0afa80b723c6585a3603723760fd63c\" tg-width=\"2424\" tg-height=\"100\"></p><p>但其实无所谓就算财报跌了，下周总统选举完后反弹呗。</p><p>本来想说先涨一波等选完再跌，其实换换也未尝不可，等选完再涨，欢呼新总统上任，参考2016年选举。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"AMZN\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"亚马逊\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$亚马逊(AMZN)$</a> </p><p>预期波动为6.2%，波动区间在175～195之间。隐含波动率很高可以做双卖。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"INTC\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英特尔\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$</a> </p><p>牙膏厂挤了多年终于变成牙膏皮了，掉队太严重了没兴趣。不过周三有人开仓2.3万手看涨期权买入35看涨 <a data-mention-id=\"INTC 20241220 35.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"INTC\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC%2020241220%2035.0%20CALL\">$INTC 20241220 35.0 CALL$</a> 。</p><p>姑且标记一下看看有什么内幕。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d58690fdd7d2a2e48c31fb68f27ccf6\" tg-width=\"2024\" tg-height=\"1444\"></p><p>唉，说说昨天的财报预测吧。</p><p>这一季财报的期权大单都有点冤大头的味道。META财报前有人买入386万看跌到520 <a data-mention-id=\"META 20241115 520.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"META\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/META%2020241115%20520.0%20PUT\">$META 20241115 520.0 PUT$</a> ，预测暴跌12%，然后财报出来只跌了2.8%。目前这单还没有平仓。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08ed84fdc801946549ca71fbc0c971d7\" tg-width=\"2432\" tg-height=\"96\"></p><p>另外周四也就是今天开盘有人买入570万看跌到565 <a data-mention-id=\"META 20241122 565.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"META\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/META%2020241122%20565.0%20PUT\">$META 20241122 565.0 PUT$</a> ，我觉得这单什么时候平仓了，什么时候大盘就止跌了。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab082f480004ee01088d79eee32f7c59\" tg-width=\"2420\" tg-height=\"98\"></p><p>MSFT跟META互相拿错剧本了。</p><p>非常笃定的推荐了卖出平价看跌，因为 <a data-mention-id=\"MSFT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"微软\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$</a> 一旦突破430就很难回头，没想到还是继续回踩。</p><p>另外这次财报前期权大单甚至还买入1.55万手465看涨期权 <a data-mention-id=\"MSFT 20250321 465.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MSFT\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MSFT%2020250321%20465.0%20CALL\">$MSFT 20250321 465.0 CALL$</a> 。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae8a5649edb5617d7292f99ae44407f5\" tg-width=\"2028\" tg-height=\"1440\"></p><p> 微软支撑位在400，当前下跌行情很适合做sell put，行权价可以选今年低点385。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"COIN\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Coinbase Global, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 财报更离谱了，之前文章提过的220看涨大单在前一天roll仓了，从12月220roll到11月215:</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"COIN 20241115 215.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"COIN\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/COIN%2020241115%20215.0%20CALL\">$COIN 20241115 215.0 CALL$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf8f450d9e74861b314f9e9c6ea1cb1a\" tg-width=\"2422\" tg-height=\"158\"></p><p>从220成交量图可以看出这次roll仓很匆忙，时隔不到1天。虽然成交量不变，但到期日变近了，行权价下调了，同时成交额也降低了。说明近期看涨不确定性变高，也确实如此，财报公布后股价跌了。</p><p>有人可能奇怪为什么不直接平仓，这种单子一般是机构给持股人做对赌的。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b59c443c9116249e30a229a30adf002e\" tg-width=\"1982\" tg-height=\"1432\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>做每周策略的机构选择在今天roll仓，还是看涨价差，卖140买147，机构预计下周英伟达股价将低于140:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>卖 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20241108 140.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020241108%20140.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20241108 140.0 CALL$</a> </p></li><li><p>买 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20241108 147.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020241108%20147.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20241108 147.0 CALL$</a> </p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e30492e9e8efe7849d63b1f95b655b4e\" tg-width=\"2424\" tg-height=\"254\"></p><p>我同步roll仓，不过卖出行权价选择147<a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20241108 147.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020241108%20147.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20241108 147.0 CALL$</a> ，也就是看涨价差里做保护的那条腿。</p><p>英伟达股价弹性有目共睹，从历史经验来看，虽然跟单卖出行权价140能获得更多利润，但如果不想正股因暴涨被行权还是选择更高的行权价更靠谱。</p><p>另外英伟达看跌期权没有异常放量，所以股价是正常回调。虽然很遗憾本周没有新高，但也不是蓄谋已久的大暴跌，就也勉强能接受吧。</p><p>最后分享万手以上开仓大单：</p><p>这种成交量1万手以上识别为一次性成交的大单，一般来说是机构单。卖方大单准确率较买方高一些，仅供参考。</p><p>卖出 <a data-mention-id=\"HOOD 20241101 34.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"HOOD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/HOOD%2020241101%2034.0%20CALL\">$HOOD 20241101 34.0 CALL$</a> ，成交量2.25万手</p><p>卖出 <a data-mention-id=\"AFRM 20241101 43.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AFRM\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AFRM%2020241101%2043.0%20PUT\">$AFRM 20241101 43.0 PUT$</a> ，成交量1.07万手</p><p>卖出<a data-mention-id=\"SNAP 20241220 13.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"SNAP\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SNAP%2020241220%2013.0%20CALL\">$SNAP 20241220 13.0 CALL$</a> ，成交量1万手</p><p>卖出 <a data-mention-id=\"MCD 20241220 275.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MCD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MCD%2020241220%20275.0%20PUT\">$MCD 20241220 275.0 PUT$</a> ，成交量9754手</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3848ab543d701153bd39f3054ed0121\" tg-width=\"2434\" tg-height=\"256\"></p><p></p></body></html>","text":"唉，单都下完了跟我说打折了。 虽然跌的有点突然，我还是要说今天是提前释放风险，下跌不影响长期趋势向上，可以抄底。 $苹果(AAPL)$ 我在纠结前两天做的230sell put有点高了，今天开盘有人跟我做对手盘花200多万买230put看跌 $AAPL 20241122 230.0 PUT$ 。 但其实无所谓就算财报跌了，下周总统选举完后反弹呗。 本来想说先涨一波等选完再跌，其实换换也未尝不可，等选完再涨，欢呼新总统上任，参考2016年选举。 $亚马逊(AMZN)$ 预期波动为6.2%，波动区间在175～195之间。隐含波动率很高可以做双卖。 $英特尔(INTC)$ 牙膏厂挤了多年终于变成牙膏皮了，掉队太严重了没兴趣。不过周三有人开仓2.3万手看涨期权买入35看涨 $INTC 20241220 35.0 CALL$ 。 姑且标记一下看看有什么内幕。 唉，说说昨天的财报预测吧。 这一季财报的期权大单都有点冤大头的味道。META财报前有人买入386万看跌到520 $META 20241115 520.0 PUT$ ，预测暴跌12%，然后财报出来只跌了2.8%。目前这单还没有平仓。 另外周四也就是今天开盘有人买入570万看跌到565 $META 20241122 565.0 PUT$ ，我觉得这单什么时候平仓了，什么时候大盘就止跌了。 MSFT跟META互相拿错剧本了。 非常笃定的推荐了卖出平价看跌，因为 $微软(MSFT)$ 一旦突破430就很难回头，没想到还是继续回踩。 另外这次财报前期权大单甚至还买入1.55万手465看涨期权 $MSFT 20250321 465.0 CALL$ 。 微软支撑位在400，当前下跌行情很适合做sell put，行权价可以选今年低点385。 $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 财报更离谱了，之前文章提过的220看涨大单在前一天roll仓了，从12月220roll到11月215: $COIN 20241115 215.0 CALL$ 从220成交量图可以看出这次roll仓很匆忙，时隔不到1天。虽然成交量不变，但到期日变近了，行权价下调了，同时成交额也降低了。说明近期看涨不确定性变高，也确实如此，财报公布后股价跌了。 有人可能奇怪为什么不直接平仓，这种单子一般是机构给持股人做对赌的。 $英伟达(NVDA)$ 做每周策略的机构选择在今天roll仓，还是看涨价差，卖140买147，机构预计下周英伟达股价将低于140: 卖 $NVDA 20241108 140.0 CALL$ 买 $NVDA 20241108 147.0 CALL$ 我同步roll仓，不过卖出行权价选择147$NVDA 20241108 147.0 CALL$ ，也就是看涨价差里做保护的那条腿。 英伟达股价弹性有目共睹，从历史经验来看，虽然跟单卖出行权价140能获得更多利润，但如果不想正股因暴涨被行权还是选择更高的行权价更靠谱。 另外英伟达看跌期权没有异常放量，所以股价是正常回调。虽然很遗憾本周没有新高，但也不是蓄谋已久的大暴跌，就也勉强能接受吧。 最后分享万手以上开仓大单： 这种成交量1万手以上识别为一次性成交的大单，一般来说是机构单。卖方大单准确率较买方高一些，仅供参考。 卖出 $HOOD 20241101 34.0 CALL$ ，成交量2.25万手 卖出 $AFRM 20241101 43.0 PUT$ ，成交量1.07万手 卖出$SNAP 20241220 13.0 CALL$ ，成交量1万手 卖出 $MCD 20241220 275.0 PUT$ 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