用户86886
2021-01-20
才疏学浅,看不懂不好意思
How To Trade Netflix Ahead Of Its Earnings Report Using Options
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{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":337110390,"tweetId":"337110390","gmtCreate":1611076668810,"gmtModify":1703747926129,"author":{"id":3548196431599658,"authorId":3548196431599658,"authorIdStr":"3548196431599658","name":"用户86886","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e02bab1b8e261adcfc95c651d1aaa6","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":1,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>才疏学浅,看不懂不好意思</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>才疏学浅,看不懂不好意思</p></body></html>","text":"才疏学浅,看不懂不好意思","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/337110390","repostId":2104173770,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2104173770","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1611076720,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2104173770?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-01-20 01:18","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"How To Trade Netflix Ahead Of Its Earnings Report Using Options","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2104173770","media":"Benzinga","summary":"The following originally appeared on Options AI","content":"<html><body><p><em>The following originally appeared on Options AI</em></p>\n<p>Earnings season goes into full gear this week. Here's a quick glance at a few popular stocks from the Options AI earnings calendar showing their expected moves as priced by the options market. Click the expected move links to see more historical detail.</p>\n<h3>Tuesday before the open</h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Goldman Sachs Group Inc</strong> (NYSE:GS) 3.9%</li>\n<li><strong>$Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$</strong> (NYSE:BAC) 3.8%</li>\n</ul>\n<h3>Tuesday after the close</h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Netflix Inc</strong> (NASDAQ:NFLX) 6.7%</li>\n<li><strong>UnitedHealth Group Inc</strong> (NYSE:UNH) 3.3%</li>\n<li><strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a></strong> (NYSE:MS) 3.8%</li>\n<li><strong>Procter & Gamble Co</strong> (NYSE:PG) 2.7%</li>\n</ul>\n<h3>Wednesday before the open</h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>United Airlines Holdings Inc</strong> (NASDAQ:UAL) 5.2%</li>\n</ul>\n<h3>Thursday after the close</h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Intel Corporation</strong> (NASDAQ:INTC) 5.3%</li>\n<li><strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a></strong> (NYSE:IBM) 4.2%</li>\n</ul>\n<hr/>\n<h3>Netflix: Using the Expected Move to Help Inform Spread Trading</h3>\n<p>With option traders currently pricing a move in NFLX of approx. 6.7% up or down on earnings, the following chart from Options AI can help visualize potential trading opportunities and form a basis for more informed strike selection when using options. Here's how:</p>\n<p>At the time of writing, with NFLX just below $500 and the expected move implying a bullish consensus around $530 and a bearish consensus near $463, an initial decision point might be whether option traders have got this right.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://learn.optionsai.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screen-Shot-2021-01-18-at-12.00.47-PM.png\"/></p>\n<p><em>Source: Options AI</em></p>\n<p>Starting with the view that the options market is overestimating the move in either direction, let's first look at ‘selling the move' to both the bulls and bears, with the expected move guiding strike selection.</p>\n<hr/>\n<h3>Netflix – Using the Move for Income Generating Strategies</h3>\n<p>When ‘selling the move', Premium (or income) received from selling options is kept if the stock stays within a specific range. Here's a look at an Iron Condor and Iron Butterfly for this week's expiration. Both trades sell both a call spread and a put spread. The key difference is that with overlapping short strikes, the Iron Fly targets a very specific price target for achieving max gain:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://learn.optionsai.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/2021-01-18-12-47-26.2021-01-18-12_49_08.gif\"/></p>\n<p><em>Source: Options AI</em></p>\n\n<p><img src=\"https://learn.optionsai.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screen-Shot-2021-01-18-at-12.49.21-PM.png\"/></p>\n<p><em>Source: Options AI</em></p>\n<p>In this example, the +460p/-497.5p/-497.5c/+535c Iron Butterfly targets a stock price of $497.50. At expiry, max. profit will be realized at this price level and profits decline the further the stock moves from that point. So, the Iron Fly is a strategy that a trader might use if highly convicted on their price view. On this chart you can see the two breakevens, just inside the expected move:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://learn.optionsai.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screen-Shot-2021-01-18-at-12.48.37-PM.png\"/></p>\n<p><em>Source: Options AI</em></p>\n<p>The Iron Condor is less precise, and establishes a range within which reward is the same. In this example the +460p/-465p/-532.5c/+537.5c Iron Condor results in max. gain at expiry if the stock stays anywhere between $465 and $532.50. A move outside of that range, beyond the long strikes, means max. loss.</p>\n<p>Both an Iron Condor and Iron Butterfly have the benefit of being defined risk spread strategies. So, when selling a move, choosing between the two may come down to conviction level and willingness to trade potential reward for higher probability. While by no means the only basis for strike selection, on Options AI, both strategies can be generated in a couple of clicks, allowing for straightforward comparison.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://learn.optionsai.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screen-Shot-2021-01-18-at-12.49.01-PM.png\"/></p>\n<p><em>Source: Options AI</em></p>\n<hr/>\n<h3><br/>\r\nNetflix – Using the Move for Bullish Strategies</h3>\n<p>With a bullish view, a trader can consider and compare a few spread trades, again using expected move strikes. With a debit spread, a call is bought, but then a spread might be created by selling a call at the expected move. A Debit Call Spread creates a range of profitability between the trade's breakeven and its short call. It lessens the cost of the long call (and therefore increases the probability of profit by lowering the breakeven). In many cases a call spread to the expected move will have a similar price to an out of the money call, yet with a greater probability of profit.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://learn.optionsai.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screen-Shot-2021-01-18-at-1.08.15-PM.png\"/>\n<em>Source: Options AI</em></p>\n<p>Also available to a bullish trader is a credit spread. The trade comparison below shows two different potential credit put spreads. One at-the-money and the other out-the-money. Both are essentially ‘selling to the bears'.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://learn.optionsai.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screen-Shot-2021-01-18-at-1.08.32-PM.png\"/>\n<em>Source: Options AI</em></p>\n<p>Note that a far out-the-money Credit Put Spread (the last trade shown) has the highest Probability of Profit (likelihood of the stock expiring higher than the breakeven level) but it also presents a relatively high risk to reward ratio (nearly 4 to 1). It can be thought of as selling to those that are extremely bearish.</p>\n<p>Below is the out-the-money Bullish Credit Put Spread on the expected move chart. As you can see, there is relatively high probability of max. gain, but when it is not, it is costly compared to the reward:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://learn.optionsai.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screen-Shot-2021-01-18-at-1.09.52-PM.png\"/>\n<em>Source: Options AI</em></p>\n<hr/>\n<p>Whether a trader chooses a debit or a credit spread might depend on their own level of bullishness, compared to the crowd.</p>\n<h3><strong>Netflix – Using the Move for Bearish Strategies</strong></h3>\n<p>The same concepts apply to spreads with a bearish view. Here's an example using the 6.7% expected move in Netflix, generating a Debit Put Spread, but also Credit Call Spreads:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://learn.optionsai.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/2021-01-18-13-15-28.2021-01-18-13_16_21.gif\"/>\n<em>Source: Options AI</em></p>\n<p>And the trades can be charted, showing their profit/loss at expiration based on different stock prices. This can help highlight some differences between the debit and credit spreads:</p>\n\n<p><img src=\"https://learn.optionsai.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/2021-01-18-13-16-59.2021-01-18-13_19_09.gif\"/>\n<em>Source: Options AI</em></p>\n<h4><strong><em>Summary</em></strong></h4>\n<p>The expected move can provide actionable insight to consider before making any trade, particularly into an uncertain event. Whether gut-checking your own expectations versus the options crowd, generating trade ideas from option market signals, or for more informed strike selection. That's why Options AI puts the expected move at the heart of its chart-based platform. Learn / Options AI has a couple of free tools as well as education on expected moves and spread trading. The concepts shown in Netflix can apply to any stock and it is simply used here for illustrative purposes.</p>\n<p><em>The post The Week Ahead in Options and Using the Expected Move to Spread Trade Netflix. appeared first on Options AI: Learn.</em></p>\n<p><em>Photo by Mollie Sivaram on Unsplash</em></p>\n</body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How To Trade Netflix Ahead Of Its Earnings Report Using Options</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow To Trade Netflix Ahead Of Its Earnings Report Using Options\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-01-20 01:18</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><body><p><em>The following originally appeared on Options AI</em></p>\n<p>Earnings season goes into full gear this week. Here's a quick glance at a few popular stocks from the Options AI earnings calendar showing their expected moves as priced by the options market. Click the expected move links to see more historical detail.</p>\n<h3>Tuesday before the open</h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Goldman Sachs Group Inc</strong> (NYSE:GS) 3.9%</li>\n<li><strong>$Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$</strong> (NYSE:BAC) 3.8%</li>\n</ul>\n<h3>Tuesday after the close</h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Netflix Inc</strong> (NASDAQ:NFLX) 6.7%</li>\n<li><strong>UnitedHealth Group Inc</strong> (NYSE:UNH) 3.3%</li>\n<li><strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a></strong> (NYSE:MS) 3.8%</li>\n<li><strong>Procter & Gamble Co</strong> (NYSE:PG) 2.7%</li>\n</ul>\n<h3>Wednesday before the open</h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>United Airlines Holdings Inc</strong> (NASDAQ:UAL) 5.2%</li>\n</ul>\n<h3>Thursday after the close</h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Intel Corporation</strong> (NASDAQ:INTC) 5.3%</li>\n<li><strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a></strong> (NYSE:IBM) 4.2%</li>\n</ul>\n<hr/>\n<h3>Netflix: Using the Expected Move to Help Inform Spread Trading</h3>\n<p>With option traders currently pricing a move in NFLX of approx. 6.7% up or down on earnings, the following chart from Options AI can help visualize potential trading opportunities and form a basis for more informed strike selection when using options. Here's how:</p>\n<p>At the time of writing, with NFLX just below $500 and the expected move implying a bullish consensus around $530 and a bearish consensus near $463, an initial decision point might be whether option traders have got this right.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://learn.optionsai.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screen-Shot-2021-01-18-at-12.00.47-PM.png\"/></p>\n<p><em>Source: Options AI</em></p>\n<p>Starting with the view that the options market is overestimating the move in either direction, let's first look at ‘selling the move' to both the bulls and bears, with the expected move guiding strike selection.</p>\n<hr/>\n<h3>Netflix – Using the Move for Income Generating Strategies</h3>\n<p>When ‘selling the move', Premium (or income) received from selling options is kept if the stock stays within a specific range. Here's a look at an Iron Condor and Iron Butterfly for this week's expiration. Both trades sell both a call spread and a put spread. The key difference is that with overlapping short strikes, the Iron Fly targets a very specific price target for achieving max gain:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://learn.optionsai.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/2021-01-18-12-47-26.2021-01-18-12_49_08.gif\"/></p>\n<p><em>Source: Options AI</em></p>\n\n<p><img src=\"https://learn.optionsai.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screen-Shot-2021-01-18-at-12.49.21-PM.png\"/></p>\n<p><em>Source: Options AI</em></p>\n<p>In this example, the +460p/-497.5p/-497.5c/+535c Iron Butterfly targets a stock price of $497.50. At expiry, max. profit will be realized at this price level and profits decline the further the stock moves from that point. So, the Iron Fly is a strategy that a trader might use if highly convicted on their price view. On this chart you can see the two breakevens, just inside the expected move:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://learn.optionsai.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screen-Shot-2021-01-18-at-12.48.37-PM.png\"/></p>\n<p><em>Source: Options AI</em></p>\n<p>The Iron Condor is less precise, and establishes a range within which reward is the same. In this example the +460p/-465p/-532.5c/+537.5c Iron Condor results in max. gain at expiry if the stock stays anywhere between $465 and $532.50. A move outside of that range, beyond the long strikes, means max. loss.</p>\n<p>Both an Iron Condor and Iron Butterfly have the benefit of being defined risk spread strategies. So, when selling a move, choosing between the two may come down to conviction level and willingness to trade potential reward for higher probability. While by no means the only basis for strike selection, on Options AI, both strategies can be generated in a couple of clicks, allowing for straightforward comparison.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://learn.optionsai.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screen-Shot-2021-01-18-at-12.49.01-PM.png\"/></p>\n<p><em>Source: Options AI</em></p>\n<hr/>\n<h3><br/>\r\nNetflix – Using the Move for Bullish Strategies</h3>\n<p>With a bullish view, a trader can consider and compare a few spread trades, again using expected move strikes. With a debit spread, a call is bought, but then a spread might be created by selling a call at the expected move. A Debit Call Spread creates a range of profitability between the trade's breakeven and its short call. It lessens the cost of the long call (and therefore increases the probability of profit by lowering the breakeven). In many cases a call spread to the expected move will have a similar price to an out of the money call, yet with a greater probability of profit.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://learn.optionsai.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screen-Shot-2021-01-18-at-1.08.15-PM.png\"/>\n<em>Source: Options AI</em></p>\n<p>Also available to a bullish trader is a credit spread. The trade comparison below shows two different potential credit put spreads. One at-the-money and the other out-the-money. Both are essentially ‘selling to the bears'.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://learn.optionsai.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screen-Shot-2021-01-18-at-1.08.32-PM.png\"/>\n<em>Source: Options AI</em></p>\n<p>Note that a far out-the-money Credit Put Spread (the last trade shown) has the highest Probability of Profit (likelihood of the stock expiring higher than the breakeven level) but it also presents a relatively high risk to reward ratio (nearly 4 to 1). It can be thought of as selling to those that are extremely bearish.</p>\n<p>Below is the out-the-money Bullish Credit Put Spread on the expected move chart. As you can see, there is relatively high probability of max. gain, but when it is not, it is costly compared to the reward:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://learn.optionsai.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/Screen-Shot-2021-01-18-at-1.09.52-PM.png\"/>\n<em>Source: Options AI</em></p>\n<hr/>\n<p>Whether a trader chooses a debit or a credit spread might depend on their own level of bullishness, compared to the crowd.</p>\n<h3><strong>Netflix – Using the Move for Bearish Strategies</strong></h3>\n<p>The same concepts apply to spreads with a bearish view. Here's an example using the 6.7% expected move in Netflix, generating a Debit Put Spread, but also Credit Call Spreads:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://learn.optionsai.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/2021-01-18-13-15-28.2021-01-18-13_16_21.gif\"/>\n<em>Source: Options AI</em></p>\n<p>And the trades can be charted, showing their profit/loss at expiration based on different stock prices. This can help highlight some differences between the debit and credit spreads:</p>\n\n<p><img src=\"https://learn.optionsai.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/2021-01-18-13-16-59.2021-01-18-13_19_09.gif\"/>\n<em>Source: Options AI</em></p>\n<h4><strong><em>Summary</em></strong></h4>\n<p>The expected move can provide actionable insight to consider before making any trade, particularly into an uncertain event. Whether gut-checking your own expectations versus the options crowd, generating trade ideas from option market signals, or for more informed strike selection. That's why Options AI puts the expected move at the heart of its chart-based platform. Learn / Options AI has a couple of free tools as well as education on expected moves and spread trading. The concepts shown in Netflix can apply to any stock and it is simply used here for illustrative purposes.</p>\n<p><em>The post The Week Ahead in Options and Using the Expected Move to Spread Trade Netflix. appeared first on Options AI: Learn.</em></p>\n<p><em>Photo by Mollie Sivaram on Unsplash</em></p>\n</body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PG":"宝洁","NFLX":"奈飞","MS":"摩根士丹利","UAL":"联合大陆航空","BAC":"美国银行","UNH":"联合健康","INTC":"英特尔","IBM":"IBM","GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/node/19218343","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2104173770","content_text":"The following originally appeared on Options AI\nEarnings season goes into full gear this week. Here's a quick glance at a few popular stocks from the Options AI earnings calendar showing their expected moves as priced by the options market. Click the expected move links to see more historical detail.\nTuesday before the open\n\nGoldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE:GS) 3.9%\n$Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$ (NYSE:BAC) 3.8%\n\nTuesday after the close\n\nNetflix Inc (NASDAQ:NFLX) 6.7%\nUnitedHealth Group Inc (NYSE:UNH) 3.3%\nMorgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) 3.8%\nProcter & Gamble Co (NYSE:PG) 2.7%\n\nWednesday before the open\n\nUnited Airlines Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:UAL) 5.2%\n\nThursday after the close\n\nIntel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC) 5.3%\nIBM (NYSE:IBM) 4.2%\n\n\nNetflix: Using the Expected Move to Help Inform Spread Trading\nWith option traders currently pricing a move in NFLX of approx. 6.7% up or down on earnings, the following chart from Options AI can help visualize potential trading opportunities and form a basis for more informed strike selection when using options. Here's how:\nAt the time of writing, with NFLX just below $500 and the expected move implying a bullish consensus around $530 and a bearish consensus near $463, an initial decision point might be whether option traders have got this right.\n\nSource: Options AI\nStarting with the view that the options market is overestimating the move in either direction, let's first look at ‘selling the move' to both the bulls and bears, with the expected move guiding strike selection.\n\nNetflix – Using the Move for Income Generating Strategies\nWhen ‘selling the move', Premium (or income) received from selling options is kept if the stock stays within a specific range. Here's a look at an Iron Condor and Iron Butterfly for this week's expiration. Both trades sell both a call spread and a put spread. The key difference is that with overlapping short strikes, the Iron Fly targets a very specific price target for achieving max gain:\n\nSource: Options AI\n\nSource: Options AI\nIn this example, the +460p/-497.5p/-497.5c/+535c Iron Butterfly targets a stock price of $497.50. At expiry, max. profit will be realized at this price level and profits decline the further the stock moves from that point. So, the Iron Fly is a strategy that a trader might use if highly convicted on their price view. On this chart you can see the two breakevens, just inside the expected move:\n\nSource: Options AI\nThe Iron Condor is less precise, and establishes a range within which reward is the same. In this example the +460p/-465p/-532.5c/+537.5c Iron Condor results in max. gain at expiry if the stock stays anywhere between $465 and $532.50. A move outside of that range, beyond the long strikes, means max. loss.\nBoth an Iron Condor and Iron Butterfly have the benefit of being defined risk spread strategies. So, when selling a move, choosing between the two may come down to conviction level and willingness to trade potential reward for higher probability. While by no means the only basis for strike selection, on Options AI, both strategies can be generated in a couple of clicks, allowing for straightforward comparison.\n\nSource: Options AI\n\n\r\nNetflix – Using the Move for Bullish Strategies\nWith a bullish view, a trader can consider and compare a few spread trades, again using expected move strikes. With a debit spread, a call is bought, but then a spread might be created by selling a call at the expected move. A Debit Call Spread creates a range of profitability between the trade's breakeven and its short call. It lessens the cost of the long call (and therefore increases the probability of profit by lowering the breakeven). In many cases a call spread to the expected move will have a similar price to an out of the money call, yet with a greater probability of profit.\n\nSource: Options AI\nAlso available to a bullish trader is a credit spread. The trade comparison below shows two different potential credit put spreads. One at-the-money and the other out-the-money. Both are essentially ‘selling to the bears'.\n\nSource: Options AI\nNote that a far out-the-money Credit Put Spread (the last trade shown) has the highest Probability of Profit (likelihood of the stock expiring higher than the breakeven level) but it also presents a relatively high risk to reward ratio (nearly 4 to 1). It can be thought of as selling to those that are extremely bearish.\nBelow is the out-the-money Bullish Credit Put Spread on the expected move chart. As you can see, there is relatively high probability of max. gain, but when it is not, it is costly compared to the reward:\n\nSource: Options AI\n\nWhether a trader chooses a debit or a credit spread might depend on their own level of bullishness, compared to the crowd.\nNetflix – Using the Move for Bearish Strategies\nThe same concepts apply to spreads with a bearish view. Here's an example using the 6.7% expected move in Netflix, generating a Debit Put Spread, but also Credit Call Spreads:\n\nSource: Options AI\nAnd the trades can be charted, showing their profit/loss at expiration based on different stock prices. This can help highlight some differences between the debit and credit spreads:\n\nSource: Options AI\nSummary\nThe expected move can provide actionable insight to consider before making any trade, particularly into an uncertain event. Whether gut-checking your own expectations versus the options crowd, generating trade ideas from option market signals, or for more informed strike selection. That's why Options AI puts the expected move at the heart of its chart-based platform. Learn / Options AI has a couple of free tools as well as education on expected moves and spread trading. The concepts shown in Netflix can apply to any stock and it is simply used here for illustrative purposes.\nThe post The Week Ahead in Options and Using the Expected Move to Spread Trade Netflix. appeared first on Options AI: Learn.\nPhoto by Mollie Sivaram on Unsplash","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":519,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":23,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/337110390"}
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