井渣渣
2021-03-09
[强]
@小虎周报：
港股周策略：美债冲击料有限，这三支新晋成分股值得关注！
免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。
分享至
微信
复制链接
精彩评论
我们需要你的真知灼见来填补这片空白
打开APP，发表看法
APP内打开
发表看法
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":329411733,"tweetId":"329411733","gmtCreate":1615267800522,"gmtModify":1703486503541,"author":{"id":10000000000005164,"idStr":"10000000000005165","authorId":10000000000005164,"authorIdStr":"10000000000005165","name":"井渣渣","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/tiger_upload_file_1447077564476699428373png","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":7,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"title":"","extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>[强] </p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>[强] </p></body></html>","text":"[强]","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/329411733","repostId":320745788,"repostType":1,"repost":{"magic":2,"id":320745788,"tweetId":"320745788","gmtCreate":1615182583240,"gmtModify":1703485306250,"author":{"id":36979109942400,"idStr":"36979109942400","authorId":36979109942400,"authorIdStr":"36979109942400","name":"小虎周报","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/f7b172cf773c77a3f0df67695c126b51","vip":4,"userType":4,"introduction":"老虎股票官方帐号","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":564878,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[{"themeId":"2782f14fb4044387bb6c40e93b4eca31","categoryId":"ab3d937a5fd848c08008411a9be702b5","name":"老虎官方出品","type":0,"rnLink":"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&page=/theme/detail&rndata={\"themeId\":2782f14fb4044387bb6c40e93b4eca31}&rnconfig={\"headerBarHidden\": true}","description":"关于老虎的一切~~","image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b463960d0a5791a40e961f7e16628352"}],"images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f1e67063b244492943e22880a8f0485","width":"983","height":"688"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac8eab4bc60f4e8625c5fac5383a2293","width":"986","height":"633"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16ab0de8165585585ac4873a43b81451","width":"1197","height":"689"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faf23f2ec981bc70ed809c68cf163d99","width":"840","height":"471"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b18d0555614838be25195834b502ddf","width":"840","height":"471"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0726c9afb3ea39259a5fcbcaf1ca6091","width":"1185","height":"703"}],"coverImages":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f1e67063b244492943e22880a8f0485","width":"983","height":"688"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac8eab4bc60f4e8625c5fac5383a2293","width":"986","height":"633"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16ab0de8165585585ac4873a43b81451","width":"1197","height":"689"}],"title":"港股周策略：美债冲击料有限，这三支新晋成分股值得关注！","extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p><span style=\"color:rgba(147,21,21,1);\">投资要点</span></p> <p>一、市场风格评注： 美债冲击对恒指影响相对有限</p> <p>三、陆港通观察：新经济赴港提速，金融股持续获青睐</p> <p><span style=\"color:rgba(142,23,23,1);\">正文部分</span></p> <h4><b>一、美债冲击对恒指影响相对有限</b></h4> <p>美债收益率作为资产定价的锚，目前是全球关注的焦点。港股同样是更加依仗流动性的国际市场。我们看，尤其是在2005年之后，在10年期美债收益率小于4%的低利率环境下，恒指表现通常与美债收益率，多数时间呈现正相关。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f1e67063b244492943e22880a8f0485\" tg-width=\"983\" tg-height=\"688\">从周线窗口看，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$</a> 仍然处在去年Q4探底以来的上升趋势中，显示近期印花税和美债波动的以外冲击，</p> <p>目前为止并没有对恒指构成逆转；一如过往，基于海外市场流动性中期依然向好的判断，我们延续年初时的观点：继续看好恒指Q1整体保持强势表现，同时年内冲击33000点历史最强水平。</p> <h4>二、龙头股纳入指数后表现、陆港通观察</h4> <p><b> 2.1纳入恒生指数后的表现对</b></p> <p>月初恒指季度检讨，成份股数目将由52只增加至55只，3月15日阿里健康、龙湖和海底捞即将加入恒生指数成份股，其中<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00241\">$阿里健康(00241)$</a> 将占恒指成份股比重的0.89%，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00960\">$龙湖地产(00960)$</a> 占0.62%，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06862\">$海底捞(06862)$</a> 占0.58%。</p> <p>地产股作为价值板块，凭借低估值属性，重新回到投资者视野，<span style=\"color:rgba(160,42,42,1);\">相关报告参考：</span><a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/post/312285515\" target=\"_blank\">《龙湖集团：调控收紧后，龙头房企机会在哪里》20210201</a>；</p> <p><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faf23f2ec981bc70ed809c68cf163d99\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"471\">海底捞以回落至年中时期的盘整中枢，这类现金流较好的消费股，部分和外资热情阶段降温有关，相关报告参考：<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/post/971954564\" target=\"_blank\">《涨疯了！海底捞、九毛九疫情时代的反扑》20210</a>831</p> <p><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b18d0555614838be25195834b502ddf\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"471\"><span style=\"color:rgba(155,46,46,1);\">相关报告参考：</span><a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/post/971954564\" target=\"_blank\">《涨疯了！海底捞、九毛九疫情时代的反扑》20210</a>831</p> <p>从过去<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a> 的走势中，我们可以看到，纳入恒指对股价的催化较为明显。</p> <p>除此之外，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATHM\">$汽车之家(ATHM)$</a> 赴港二次上市，近期<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">$百度(BIDU)$</a> 二次上市也获港交所批准。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac8eab4bc60f4e8625c5fac5383a2293\" tg-width=\"986\" tg-height=\"633\"><b>2.2一周陆港通观察</b></p> <p>上周陆港通成分股表现分化。资金持续流入金融股，其中<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600036\">$招商银行(600036)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601318\">$中国平安(601318)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601939\">$建设银行(601939)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600030\">$中信证券(600030)$</a> 获得资金青睐。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0726c9afb3ea39259a5fcbcaf1ca6091\" tg-width=\"1185\" tg-height=\"703\"><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16ab0de8165585585ac4873a43b81451\" tg-width=\"1197\" tg-height=\"689\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSCCI\">$红筹指数(HSCCI)$</a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSCEI\">$国企指数(HSCEI)$</a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YANG\">$三倍做空FTSE中国ETF-Direxion(YANG)$</a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YINN\">$三倍做多FTSE中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$</a></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p><span style=\"color:rgba(147,21,21,1);\">投资要点</span></p> <p>一、市场风格评注： 美债冲击对恒指影响相对有限</p> <p>三、陆港通观察：新经济赴港提速，金融股持续获青睐</p> <p><span style=\"color:rgba(142,23,23,1);\">正文部分</span></p> <h4><b>一、美债冲击对恒指影响相对有限</b></h4> <p>美债收益率作为资产定价的锚，目前是全球关注的焦点。港股同样是更加依仗流动性的国际市场。我们看，尤其是在2005年之后，在10年期美债收益率小于4%的低利率环境下，恒指表现通常与美债收益率，多数时间呈现正相关。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f1e67063b244492943e22880a8f0485\" tg-width=\"983\" tg-height=\"688\">从周线窗口看，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$</a> 仍然处在去年Q4探底以来的上升趋势中，显示近期印花税和美债波动的以外冲击，</p> <p>目前为止并没有对恒指构成逆转；一如过往，基于海外市场流动性中期依然向好的判断，我们延续年初时的观点：继续看好恒指Q1整体保持强势表现，同时年内冲击33000点历史最强水平。</p> <h4>二、龙头股纳入指数后表现、陆港通观察</h4> <p><b> 2.1纳入恒生指数后的表现对</b></p> <p>月初恒指季度检讨，成份股数目将由52只增加至55只，3月15日阿里健康、龙湖和海底捞即将加入恒生指数成份股，其中<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00241\">$阿里健康(00241)$</a> 将占恒指成份股比重的0.89%，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00960\">$龙湖地产(00960)$</a> 占0.62%，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06862\">$海底捞(06862)$</a> 占0.58%。</p> <p>地产股作为价值板块，凭借低估值属性，重新回到投资者视野，<span style=\"color:rgba(160,42,42,1);\">相关报告参考：</span><a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/post/312285515\" target=\"_blank\">《龙湖集团：调控收紧后，龙头房企机会在哪里》20210201</a>；</p> <p><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faf23f2ec981bc70ed809c68cf163d99\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"471\">海底捞以回落至年中时期的盘整中枢，这类现金流较好的消费股，部分和外资热情阶段降温有关，相关报告参考：<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/post/971954564\" target=\"_blank\">《涨疯了！海底捞、九毛九疫情时代的反扑》20210</a>831</p> <p><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b18d0555614838be25195834b502ddf\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"471\"><span style=\"color:rgba(155,46,46,1);\">相关报告参考：</span><a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/post/971954564\" target=\"_blank\">《涨疯了！海底捞、九毛九疫情时代的反扑》20210</a>831</p> <p>从过去<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a> 的走势中，我们可以看到，纳入恒指对股价的催化较为明显。</p> <p>除此之外，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATHM\">$汽车之家(ATHM)$</a> 赴港二次上市，近期<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">$百度(BIDU)$</a> 二次上市也获港交所批准。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac8eab4bc60f4e8625c5fac5383a2293\" tg-width=\"986\" tg-height=\"633\"><b>2.2一周陆港通观察</b></p> <p>上周陆港通成分股表现分化。资金持续流入金融股，其中<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600036\">$招商银行(600036)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601318\">$中国平安(601318)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601939\">$建设银行(601939)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600030\">$中信证券(600030)$</a> 获得资金青睐。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0726c9afb3ea39259a5fcbcaf1ca6091\" tg-width=\"1185\" tg-height=\"703\"><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16ab0de8165585585ac4873a43b81451\" tg-width=\"1197\" tg-height=\"689\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSCCI\">$红筹指数(HSCCI)$</a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSCEI\">$国企指数(HSCEI)$</a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YANG\">$三倍做空FTSE中国ETF-Direxion(YANG)$</a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YINN\">$三倍做多FTSE中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$</a></p></body></html>","text":"投资要点 一、市场风格评注： 美债冲击对恒指影响相对有限 三、陆港通观察：新经济赴港提速，金融股持续获青睐 正文部分 一、美债冲击对恒指影响相对有限 美债收益率作为资产定价的锚，目前是全球关注的焦点。港股同样是更加依仗流动性的国际市场。我们看，尤其是在2005年之后，在10年期美债收益率小于4%的低利率环境下，恒指表现通常与美债收益率，多数时间呈现正相关。从周线窗口看，$恒生指数(HSI)$ 仍然处在去年Q4探底以来的上升趋势中，显示近期印花税和美债波动的以外冲击， 目前为止并没有对恒指构成逆转；一如过往，基于海外市场流动性中期依然向好的判断，我们延续年初时的观点：继续看好恒指Q1整体保持强势表现，同时年内冲击33000点历史最强水平。 二、龙头股纳入指数后表现、陆港通观察 2.1纳入恒生指数后的表现对 月初恒指季度检讨，成份股数目将由52只增加至55只，3月15日阿里健康、龙湖和海底捞即将加入恒生指数成份股，其中$阿里健康(00241)$ 将占恒指成份股比重的0.89%，$龙湖地产(00960)$ 占0.62%，$海底捞(06862)$ 占0.58%。 地产股作为价值板块，凭借低估值属性，重新回到投资者视野，相关报告参考：《龙湖集团：调控收紧后，龙头房企机会在哪里》20210201； 海底捞以回落至年中时期的盘整中枢，这类现金流较好的消费股，部分和外资热情阶段降温有关，相关报告参考：《涨疯了！海底捞、九毛九疫情时代的反扑》20210831 相关报告参考：《涨疯了！海底捞、九毛九疫情时代的反扑》20210831 从过去$小米集团-W(01810)$ 、$美团-W(03690)$ 的走势中，我们可以看到，纳入恒指对股价的催化较为明显。 除此之外，$汽车之家(ATHM)$ 赴港二次上市，近期$百度(BIDU)$ 二次上市也获港交所批准。2.2一周陆港通观察 上周陆港通成分股表现分化。资金持续流入金融股，其中$招商银行(600036)$ 、$中国平安(601318)$ 、$建设银行(601939)$ 、$中信证券(600030)$ 获得资金青睐。$红筹指数(HSCCI)$$国企指数(HSCEI)$$三倍做空FTSE中国ETF-Direxion(YANG)$$三倍做多FTSE中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$","highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320745788","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["06862","601318","00241","03690","601939","600030","BIDU","ATHM","00960","600036","HSI","01810"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":1572,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":22,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":4,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/329411733"}
精彩评论