T20211210631
2021-01-27
[思考] [思考]
@小斯新报道:
微创心通中签概率分析——太难中签怎么办?
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00853\">$微创医疗(00853)$</a> 旗下的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02160\">$心通医疗-B(02160)$</a> 分拆IPO,强势撞档快手,实力和人气具备。</p> <p>不过今天看了一下,中签率依然不够乐观,以下是我的预测:</p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87d9fdff629bb1a23662c84d74a2b082\" tg-width=\"491\" tg-height=\"133\"><span>心通中签率</span></p> <p>预计申购人数50万,其实非常保守了,<span style=\"color:rgba(255,0,0,1);\"><b>一手3%,稳中需350手(甲组倒数第二档),打和点29%。</b></span>当然,如果70万人申购的话,稳中则到甲尾400手了,一手中签率2%和3%本质上没什么区别。</p> <p>乙组3万人来算,乙头稳1争2,争2的概率35%左右,也是非常难了。</p> <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4376c098e1260d6be2be1890fdd4dc\" tg-width=\"1485\" tg-height=\"1552\"></p> <p><span style=\"color:rgba(255,0,0,1);\"><b>相比快手几乎是半斤八两</b></span>。</p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/738aa1410ff84b100795b928a4cb2efa\" tg-width=\"477\" tg-height=\"133\"><span>快手中签率</span></p> <p>现在问题出现,要怎么解决?</p> <p><span style=\"color:rgba(255,0,0,1);\"><b>1. 如果特别看好,就暗盘捞。</b></span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">$快手科技(01024)$</a> 的650亿美元估值其实也刚刚好,但考虑到目前港股情绪上升,且这么重要的票肯定要进指数、进港股通,上市后上涨概率也不低,详情参看<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06618\">$京东健康(06618)$</a> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23882809b6d0c386e3b9ab8068727041\" tg-width=\"839\" tg-height=\"469\"></p> <p>2. 心通的估值到达了288亿,加上绿鞋可能就要超过300亿港元了,其实相对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02500\">$启明医疗-B(02500)$</a> 来说,空间也并不大了,因此,如果上市涨幅特别大,<span style=\"color:rgba(255,0,0,1);\"><b>可以选择同类型的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09996\">$沛嘉医疗-B(09996)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02500\">$启明医疗-B(02500)$</a> ,反正荣辱与共。</b></span></p> <p>当然,这些带B的医疗股其实都有一定的博彩性质,因为还在发展阶段,现阶段上市也更多是情绪罢了。</p> <p>此外,选择不打新,跟随当前南下资金对港股的炒作,也不失为良策。</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00853\">$微创医疗(00853)$</a> 旗下的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02160\">$心通医疗-B(02160)$</a> 分拆IPO,强势撞档快手,实力和人气具备。</p> <p>不过今天看了一下,中签率依然不够乐观,以下是我的预测:</p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87d9fdff629bb1a23662c84d74a2b082\" tg-width=\"491\" tg-height=\"133\"><span>心通中签率</span></p> <p>预计申购人数50万,其实非常保守了,<span style=\"color:rgba(255,0,0,1);\"><b>一手3%,稳中需350手(甲组倒数第二档),打和点29%。</b></span>当然,如果70万人申购的话,稳中则到甲尾400手了,一手中签率2%和3%本质上没什么区别。</p> <p>乙组3万人来算,乙头稳1争2,争2的概率35%左右,也是非常难了。</p> <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4376c098e1260d6be2be1890fdd4dc\" tg-width=\"1485\" tg-height=\"1552\"></p> <p><span style=\"color:rgba(255,0,0,1);\"><b>相比快手几乎是半斤八两</b></span>。</p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/738aa1410ff84b100795b928a4cb2efa\" tg-width=\"477\" tg-height=\"133\"><span>快手中签率</span></p> <p>现在问题出现,要怎么解决?</p> <p><span style=\"color:rgba(255,0,0,1);\"><b>1. 如果特别看好,就暗盘捞。</b></span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">$快手科技(01024)$</a> 的650亿美元估值其实也刚刚好,但考虑到目前港股情绪上升,且这么重要的票肯定要进指数、进港股通,上市后上涨概率也不低,详情参看<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06618\">$京东健康(06618)$</a> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23882809b6d0c386e3b9ab8068727041\" tg-width=\"839\" tg-height=\"469\"></p> <p>2. 心通的估值到达了288亿,加上绿鞋可能就要超过300亿港元了,其实相对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02500\">$启明医疗-B(02500)$</a> 来说,空间也并不大了,因此,如果上市涨幅特别大,<span style=\"color:rgba(255,0,0,1);\"><b>可以选择同类型的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09996\">$沛嘉医疗-B(09996)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02500\">$启明医疗-B(02500)$</a> ,反正荣辱与共。</b></span></p> <p>当然,这些带B的医疗股其实都有一定的博彩性质,因为还在发展阶段,现阶段上市也更多是情绪罢了。</p> <p>此外,选择不打新,跟随当前南下资金对港股的炒作,也不失为良策。</p></body></html>","text":"$微创医疗(00853)$ 旗下的$心通医疗-B(02160)$ 分拆IPO,强势撞档快手,实力和人气具备。 不过今天看了一下,中签率依然不够乐观,以下是我的预测: 心通中签率 预计申购人数50万,其实非常保守了,一手3%,稳中需350手(甲组倒数第二档),打和点29%。当然,如果70万人申购的话,稳中则到甲尾400手了,一手中签率2%和3%本质上没什么区别。 乙组3万人来算,乙头稳1争2,争2的概率35%左右,也是非常难了。 相比快手几乎是半斤八两。 快手中签率 现在问题出现,要怎么解决? 1. 如果特别看好,就暗盘捞。$快手科技(01024)$ 的650亿美元估值其实也刚刚好,但考虑到目前港股情绪上升,且这么重要的票肯定要进指数、进港股通,上市后上涨概率也不低,详情参看$京东健康(06618)$ 2. 心通的估值到达了288亿,加上绿鞋可能就要超过300亿港元了,其实相对$启明医疗-B(02500)$ 来说,空间也并不大了,因此,如果上市涨幅特别大,可以选择同类型的$沛嘉医疗-B(09996)$ $启明医疗-B(02500)$ ,反正荣辱与共。 当然,这些带B的医疗股其实都有一定的博彩性质,因为还在发展阶段,现阶段上市也更多是情绪罢了。 此外,选择不打新,跟随当前南下资金对港股的炒作,也不失为良策。","highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/313095748","repostId":0,"isVote":2,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"vote":{"id":1319,"gmtCreate":1611632666507,"gmtModify":1611632666507,"gmtBegin":1611632666507,"gmtEnd":1612323850428,"objectId":313095748,"type":1,"upper":1,"title":"你选择趁热打新吗?","introduction":"你选择趁热打新吗?","totalSize":372,"choices":[{"id":4928,"gmtCreate":1611632666507,"gmtModify":1611632666507,"voteId":1319,"sort":1,"name":"打快手","userSize":115,"voted":false},{"id":4929,"gmtCreate":1611632666507,"gmtModify":1611632666507,"voteId":1319,"sort":2,"name":"打心通","userSize":62,"voted":false},{"id":4930,"gmtCreate":1611632666507,"gmtModify":1611632666507,"voteId":1319,"sort":3,"name":"心通快手都打","userSize":132,"voted":false},{"id":4931,"gmtCreate":1611632666507,"gmtModify":1611632666507,"voteId":1319,"sort":4,"name":"打其他新股","userSize":10,"voted":false},{"id":4932,"gmtCreate":1611632666507,"gmtModify":1611632666507,"voteId":1319,"sort":5,"name":"选择暗盘捞或上市买","userSize":24,"voted":false},{"id":4933,"gmtCreate":1611632666507,"gmtModify":1611632666507,"voteId":1319,"sort":6,"name":"不参与打新,跟随南下资金","userSize":29,"voted":false}]},"symbols":["02500","02160","09996","01024","00853"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":921,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1016,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":12,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/313204207"}
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