$蔚来(NIO)$美_老虎社区_美港股上老虎 - 老虎社区

$蔚来(NIO)$美国大选预估

目前美国民意调查是拜登领先，但我依然认为特朗普连任概率九成以上，这一点像极了四年前希拉里与特朗普的选战。特朗普为什么会连任呢？原因如下：

一、美国主流媒体主要由民主党控制。所以媒体主要报对拜登有利的信息，这一点让我们看到了四年前希拉里民调一路领先，最终特朗普成功当选的黑天鹅事件。

二、拜登太弱太老。这家伙已经七十八周岁了，在电视镜头前都经常说错话，我感觉有老年痴呆的前奏，实力比当年希拉里差了不是一个档次“选民多少还是有点担心他的健康问题的”。

三、特朗普在任四年，美国经济和美股表现都是不错的“通常在任期间股市表现不错的总统连任概率极高”。

综上所述，我认为特朗普连任概率超九成。

晒晒更赚钱

晒晒你的盈亏单，秀秀虎友们的实力！

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

财神爷显灵
2020-11-01
财神爷显灵
特朗普在任的时候，美股市场熔断几次了都 [捂脸]
- 冥王星老兵:
  熔断之后人家还能站起来，a股5178都没再爬上去过
- 王辚清7687:
  全球性黑天鹅
王老九
2020-11-02
王老九
谁当选美国总统，几天后揭晓。美国股市还有一波z上涨行情
- 王辚清7687:
  强势上涨
减肥的小猫咪
2020-11-02
减肥的小猫咪
一般没什么大错，再加上新人没太强的实力，基本连任。考虑拜登78岁，4年后82岁，再连任就86岁了，很难
- 王辚清7687:
  分析到位
男人味春哥
2020-11-04
男人味春哥
美国，您不要再做些小朋友的事了！打遍全球反到说别国威胁，真的是贼喊捉贼！
- 王辚清7687:
  捍卫他的霸权地位
程桂华
2020-11-03
程桂华
从年纪到气场，我认为特朗普的连任有九层。
- 程桂华回复王辚清7687:
  谢谢
- 王辚清7687:
  💯💯
乾禛zhen
2020-11-02
乾禛zhen
别介样吧？

发表看法

83

297

25

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