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@小斯新报道：蚂蚁集团中签概率猜测表

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true}","description":"身为全球最大独角兽——蚂蚁集团近年几乎每过一阵就会“被上市”一次。这次，靴子终于落地。","image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/625c20d926a525a86371641ad24c7379"}],"images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edb633ac26c9268c1fa114d76df57f22","width":"1305","height":"1816"}],"coverImages":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edb633ac26c9268c1fa114d76df57f22","width":"1305","height":"1816"}],"title":"蚂蚁集团中签概率猜测表","extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>本表纯属偶然瞎猜，如有雷同，纯属巧合。</p> <p>由于某些原因，预计申请1手的人会比较多，最终甲组人数有望突破100万。在此情况下，一手中签率可能达不到100%这么高，但是80%还是有戏的（参考农夫山泉和保利物业）</p> <p>由于大甲组的优势可能会被一手党摊平，甲尾预计11-12手（更多那就再好不过啦），因此拉平了斜率，稳中一手的概率估计5-6手。</p> <p>对乙组来说，若超过8万人，则竞争会相当激烈，乙头人数有望占比40%以上，则大概14-15手左右，再往下的变数太大，随便看看就好。</p> <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edb633ac26c9268c1fa114d76df57f22\" tg-width=\"1305\" tg-height=\"1816\"></p> <p>对普通散户融资党来说，不算认购手续费的情况下，打和点在7%以下，但是乙组网上，如果你用的是融资，可能打和点很高。这也是为什么我认为乙组大部分都会集中在头部，因为高金额融资不划算。</p> <p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06688\">$蚂蚁集团(06688)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688688\">$蚂蚁集团(688688)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a> </p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>本表纯属偶然瞎猜，如有雷同，纯属巧合。</p> <p>由于某些原因，预计申请1手的人会比较多，最终甲组人数有望突破100万。在此情况下，一手中签率可能达不到100%这么高，但是80%还是有戏的（参考农夫山泉和保利物业）</p> <p>由于大甲组的优势可能会被一手党摊平，甲尾预计11-12手（更多那就再好不过啦），因此拉平了斜率，稳中一手的概率估计5-6手。</p> <p>对乙组来说，若超过8万人，则竞争会相当激烈，乙头人数有望占比40%以上，则大概14-15手左右，再往下的变数太大，随便看看就好。</p> <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edb633ac26c9268c1fa114d76df57f22\" tg-width=\"1305\" tg-height=\"1816\"></p> <p>对普通散户融资党来说，不算认购手续费的情况下，打和点在7%以下，但是乙组网上，如果你用的是融资，可能打和点很高。这也是为什么我认为乙组大部分都会集中在头部，因为高金额融资不划算。</p> <p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06688\">$蚂蚁集团(06688)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688688\">$蚂蚁集团(688688)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a> </p></body></html>","text":"本表纯属偶然瞎猜，如有雷同，纯属巧合。 由于某些原因，预计申请1手的人会比较多，最终甲组人数有望突破100万。在此情况下，一手中签率可能达不到100%这么高，但是80%还是有戏的（参考农夫山泉和保利物业） 由于大甲组的优势可能会被一手党摊平，甲尾预计11-12手（更多那就再好不过啦），因此拉平了斜率，稳中一手的概率估计5-6手。 对乙组来说，若超过8万人，则竞争会相当激烈，乙头人数有望占比40%以上，则大概14-15手左右，再往下的变数太大，随便看看就好。 对普通散户融资党来说，不算认购手续费的情况下，打和点在7%以下，但是乙组网上，如果你用的是融资，可能打和点很高。这也是为什么我认为乙组大部分都会集中在头部，因为高金额融资不划算。 $蚂蚁集团(06688)$ $蚂蚁集团(688688)$ $阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 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