我想吃鱼了
02-28
得调仓了吗?
@美股解毒师:
风格转换?AI喘气,小盘股吃饱?
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<a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 标志性的财报而迎来的全市场AI盛宴,本周相比AI股的蓄力,反而是其他中小盘个股迎来了机会。Morning Star的Barometer显示,小盘成长和小盘价值股更受投资者欢迎。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce8f9ba36e810d159ef75140b282a151\" tg-width=\"445\" tg-height=\"510\"></p><p>其中,本周以来,小盘成长股的涨幅更大一些。</p><h4 id=\"id_3369362824\">首先,投资者风险偏好的增大是最根本的原因。</h4><p>以偏好较高的机构投资者Cathie Wood为例,在没有持仓 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 的情况下(没有受益于AI狂欢),本周的表现远超大盘。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e845af143f9a6848323743c20cd5327b\" tg-width=\"1150\" tg-height=\"712\"></p><p>数字货币概念股,如 <a data-mention-id=\"COIN\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Coinbase Global, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"MARA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Marathon Digital Holdings Inc\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$</a> 等,在近期的数字货币暴涨行情中迎来热潮。</p><p>医药概念股,也在小盘的生物科技公司的崛起中迎来机会。 <a data-mention-id=\"VKTX\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Viking Therapeutics, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VKTX\">$Viking Therapeutics, Inc.(VKTX)$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"BEAM\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Beam Therapeutics, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEAM\">$Beam Therapeutics, Inc.(BEAM)$</a> 等</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58a60f683a07b97719d186b6379300ba\" tg-width=\"1765\" tg-height=\"709\"></p><h4 id=\"id_3325186449\">其次,本周正值部分二线成长股公布财报,也增加波动性。</h4><p>有些公司在财报前预期强,提前透支走势,这类公司往往有更强的一致性预期,但若是而财报后的“差异”很大,更容易造成市场波动。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"LMND\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Lemonade, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LMND\">$Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$</a> 在财报前大涨8%,而实际比预期差额很大,则盘后跌了回去。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"BYND\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Beyond Meat, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BYND\">$Beyond Meat, Inc.(BYND)$</a> 业绩超预期,同时触发空头回补,则出现了70%以上的暴涨。空头集中回补往往也会有连锁反应。</p><p>而空头回补也成为部分小盘股回弹的助推剂。2023年的做空之王<a data-mention-id=\"CVNA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Carvana Co.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVNA\">$Carvana Co.(CVNA)$</a> 以及回弹不少,当前, <a data-mention-id=\"BETS\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Bit Brother Limited\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BETS\">$Bit Brother Limited(BETS)$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"PLCE\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"儿童之家\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLCE\">$儿童之家(PLCE)$</a> 的做空比例甚至超过140%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a52d4458cd3f7e055afdd43fcd64be8d\" tg-width=\"729\" tg-height=\"758\"></p><h4 id=\"id_2710232971\">此外,PCE指数公布之前,空头会更谨慎管理自己的头寸,而多头也是希望抓紧时机累积更高的安全垫。</h4><p>如果PCE的数据超预期太多(通胀回扑厉害),市场会再一次走向“暂缓降息”的一致性预期,可能出现更谨慎的回调;如果PCE数据不及预期,则有利于3月降息,也是更利好成长股,尤其是小盘成长股。</p><p>如果PCE数据与预期相差不大,全市场的波动率会进一步下行,尤其是期权市场IV可能会加速回调,也会导致短期内方向不明,空头可能更不愿意长期持仓。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img alt=\"United States Core PCE Price Index Annual Change\" title=\"United States Core PCE Price Index Annual Change\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54a454fc34d1800b3f7f4208e803032d\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"400\"><span>United States Core PCE Price Index Annual Change</span></p><p></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>比起上周因 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 标志性的财报而迎来的全市场AI盛宴,本周相比AI股的蓄力,反而是其他中小盘个股迎来了机会。Morning Star的Barometer显示,小盘成长和小盘价值股更受投资者欢迎。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce8f9ba36e810d159ef75140b282a151\" tg-width=\"445\" tg-height=\"510\"></p><p>其中,本周以来,小盘成长股的涨幅更大一些。</p><h4 id=\"id_3369362824\">首先,投资者风险偏好的增大是最根本的原因。</h4><p>以偏好较高的机构投资者Cathie Wood为例,在没有持仓 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 的情况下(没有受益于AI狂欢),本周的表现远超大盘。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e845af143f9a6848323743c20cd5327b\" tg-width=\"1150\" tg-height=\"712\"></p><p>数字货币概念股,如 <a data-mention-id=\"COIN\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Coinbase Global, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"MARA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Marathon Digital Holdings Inc\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$</a> 等,在近期的数字货币暴涨行情中迎来热潮。</p><p>医药概念股,也在小盘的生物科技公司的崛起中迎来机会。 <a data-mention-id=\"VKTX\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Viking Therapeutics, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VKTX\">$Viking Therapeutics, Inc.(VKTX)$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"BEAM\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Beam Therapeutics, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEAM\">$Beam Therapeutics, Inc.(BEAM)$</a> 等</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58a60f683a07b97719d186b6379300ba\" tg-width=\"1765\" tg-height=\"709\"></p><h4 id=\"id_3325186449\">其次,本周正值部分二线成长股公布财报,也增加波动性。</h4><p>有些公司在财报前预期强,提前透支走势,这类公司往往有更强的一致性预期,但若是而财报后的“差异”很大,更容易造成市场波动。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"LMND\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Lemonade, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LMND\">$Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$</a> 在财报前大涨8%,而实际比预期差额很大,则盘后跌了回去。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"BYND\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Beyond Meat, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BYND\">$Beyond Meat, Inc.(BYND)$</a> 业绩超预期,同时触发空头回补,则出现了70%以上的暴涨。空头集中回补往往也会有连锁反应。</p><p>而空头回补也成为部分小盘股回弹的助推剂。2023年的做空之王<a data-mention-id=\"CVNA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Carvana Co.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVNA\">$Carvana Co.(CVNA)$</a> 以及回弹不少,当前, <a data-mention-id=\"BETS\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Bit Brother Limited\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BETS\">$Bit Brother Limited(BETS)$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"PLCE\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"儿童之家\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLCE\">$儿童之家(PLCE)$</a> 的做空比例甚至超过140%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a52d4458cd3f7e055afdd43fcd64be8d\" tg-width=\"729\" tg-height=\"758\"></p><h4 id=\"id_2710232971\">此外,PCE指数公布之前,空头会更谨慎管理自己的头寸,而多头也是希望抓紧时机累积更高的安全垫。</h4><p>如果PCE的数据超预期太多(通胀回扑厉害),市场会再一次走向“暂缓降息”的一致性预期,可能出现更谨慎的回调;如果PCE数据不及预期,则有利于3月降息,也是更利好成长股,尤其是小盘成长股。</p><p>如果PCE数据与预期相差不大,全市场的波动率会进一步下行,尤其是期权市场IV可能会加速回调,也会导致短期内方向不明,空头可能更不愿意长期持仓。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img alt=\"United States Core PCE Price Index Annual Change\" title=\"United States Core PCE Price Index Annual Change\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54a454fc34d1800b3f7f4208e803032d\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"400\"><span>United States Core PCE Price Index Annual Change</span></p><p></p></body></html>","text":"比起上周因 $英伟达(NVDA)$ 标志性的财报而迎来的全市场AI盛宴,本周相比AI股的蓄力,反而是其他中小盘个股迎来了机会。Morning Star的Barometer显示,小盘成长和小盘价值股更受投资者欢迎。 其中,本周以来,小盘成长股的涨幅更大一些。 首先,投资者风险偏好的增大是最根本的原因。 以偏好较高的机构投资者Cathie Wood为例,在没有持仓 $英伟达(NVDA)$ 的情况下(没有受益于AI狂欢),本周的表现远超大盘。 数字货币概念股,如 $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$ 等,在近期的数字货币暴涨行情中迎来热潮。 医药概念股,也在小盘的生物科技公司的崛起中迎来机会。 $Viking Therapeutics, Inc.(VKTX)$ $Beam Therapeutics, Inc.(BEAM)$ 等 其次,本周正值部分二线成长股公布财报,也增加波动性。 有些公司在财报前预期强,提前透支走势,这类公司往往有更强的一致性预期,但若是而财报后的“差异”很大,更容易造成市场波动。 $Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$ 在财报前大涨8%,而实际比预期差额很大,则盘后跌了回去。 $Beyond Meat, Inc.(BYND)$ 业绩超预期,同时触发空头回补,则出现了70%以上的暴涨。空头集中回补往往也会有连锁反应。 而空头回补也成为部分小盘股回弹的助推剂。2023年的做空之王$Carvana Co.(CVNA)$ 以及回弹不少,当前, $Bit Brother Limited(BETS)$ $儿童之家(PLCE)$ 的做空比例甚至超过140%。 此外,PCE指数公布之前,空头会更谨慎管理自己的头寸,而多头也是希望抓紧时机累积更高的安全垫。 如果PCE的数据超预期太多(通胀回扑厉害),市场会再一次走向“暂缓降息”的一致性预期,可能出现更谨慎的回调;如果PCE数据不及预期,则有利于3月降息,也是更利好成长股,尤其是小盘成长股。 如果PCE数据与预期相差不大,全市场的波动率会进一步下行,尤其是期权市场IV可能会加速回调,也会导致短期内方向不明,空头可能更不愿意长期持仓。 United States Core PCE Price Index Annual 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