Ohwgo
01-19
$蔚来(NIO)$
之前哪些个杠精们说不可能跌破发行来
[开心]
[开心]
天天怼我 现在可好了 亏的裤衩子都没了
@百亿身价经验
免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。
分享至
微信
复制链接
精彩评论
我就一手希尔伯克A
01-19
我就一手希尔伯克A
汇款到位了，分阶段买入，跌倒五块的话满仓。
GP黑白熊
:
$NIO 20250117 7.5 PUT$
啥时候下单 哥们带一带
Ohwgo
:
狠人
百亿身价经验
01-20
百亿身价经验
我看你大概连你错在哪儿都不知道，再强调一遍
1.逻辑错误
2.预测失败
百亿身价经验
回复
Ohwgo
:
只要它到了那你就没错，那就不要预测时间，错了就错了，又不是一次两次了，我看你错多次了
百亿身价经验
回复
GP黑白熊
:
赚不赚钱和对不对是两码事
GP黑白熊
:
知行合一的结果应该是赚钱了 嘴硬的结果是亏钱了
Ohwgo
:
嘴硬哥你好[开心]
L情情
01-19
L情情
这么牛叉？股神挣了多少美刀了？
GP黑白熊
:
$NIO 20250117 7.5 PUT$
感谢斌子的大火箭
Ohwgo
回复
L情情
:
啥时候我成股神乐？ 过奖了[开心]
L情情
回复
Ohwgo
:
原来股神没买啊！我还以为你挣了几百万美刀了，天天预言这么准的，屈才了 [开心]
Ohwgo
回复
L情情
:
我又没买，我为啥玩不起
L情情
回复
Ohwgo
:
亏这点也叫亏，你玩的起吗？
全部6条回复
美港股韭菜
01-19
美港股韭菜
5块指日可待
Ohwgo
:
5块我几个月前就预测了
yokikikikiki
01-20
yokikikikiki
[财迷][财迷][财迷]
查看全部18条评论
APP内打开
发表看法
18
3
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":264816880333040,"tweetId":"264816880333040","gmtCreate":1705675004118,"gmtModify":1705692002035,"author":{"id":4109416008385830,"idStr":"4109416008385830","authorId":4109416008385830,"authorIdStr":"4109416008385830","name":"Ohwgo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33ab0fac32f7e1f5ece18a349be8a291","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":9,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"html":"<html><head></head><body><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>之前哪些个杠精们说不可能跌破发行来<span>[开心] </span><span>[开心] </span> 天天怼我 现在可好了 亏的裤衩子都没了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3572130445577337\">@百亿身价经验 </a></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>之前哪些个杠精们说不可能跌破发行来<span>[开心] </span><span>[开心] </span> 天天怼我 现在可好了 亏的裤衩子都没了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3572130445577337\">@百亿身价经验 </a></body></html>","text":"$蔚来(NIO)$ 之前哪些个杠精们说不可能跌破发行来[开心] [开心] 天天怼我 现在可好了 亏的裤衩子都没了 @百亿身价经验","highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":18,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/264816880333040","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4690,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":["NIO","09866"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":104,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[{"id":264832107614360,"commentId":"264832107614360","gmtCreate":1705678706417,"gmtModify":1705678710148,"authorId":3532871133861998,"author":{"id":3532871133861998,"idStr":"3532871133861998","authorId":3532871133861998,"name":"我就一手希尔伯克A","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f4718edf5802ac912ce9e3dd3de063f","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":264816880333040,"objectIdStr":"264816880333040","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"汇款到位了，分阶段买入，跌倒五块的话满仓。","text":"汇款到位了，分阶段买入，跌倒五块的话满仓。","html":"汇款到位了，分阶段买入，跌倒五块的话满仓。","likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"subComments":[{"id":264851014570224,"commentId":"264851014570224","gmtCreate":1705683337692,"gmtModify":1705683868936,"authorId":3539928148899666,"author":{"id":3539928148899666,"idStr":"3539928148899666","authorId":3539928148899666,"name":"GP黑白熊","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":264816880333040,"objectIdStr":"264816880333040","type":1,"supId":264832107614360,"supIdStr":"264832107614360","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NIO 20250117 7.5 PUT\">$NIO 20250117 7.5 PUT$</a> 啥时候下单 哥们带一带 <t-t type=\"img\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3e7cc657d589e23e8d59751d9c4d346\"></t-t>","text":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NIO 20250117 7.5 PUT\">$NIO 20250117 7.5 PUT$</a> 啥时候下单 哥们带一带 <t-t type=\"img\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3e7cc657d589e23e8d59751d9c4d346\"></t-t>","html":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NIO 20250117 7.5 PUT\">$NIO 20250117 7.5 PUT$</a> 啥时候下单 哥们带一带 <t-t type=\"img\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3e7cc657d589e23e8d59751d9c4d346\"></t-t>"},{"id":264832192401736,"commentId":"264832192401736","gmtCreate":1705678736591,"gmtModify":1705678740745,"authorId":4109416008385830,"author":{"id":4109416008385830,"idStr":"4109416008385830","authorId":4109416008385830,"name":"Ohwgo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33ab0fac32f7e1f5ece18a349be8a291","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84d87792f02cf78e80ee34979fd31e5","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":264816880333040,"objectIdStr":"264816880333040","type":1,"supId":264832107614360,"supIdStr":"264832107614360","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"狠人","text":"狠人","html":"狠人"}],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":264884743782544,"commentId":"264884743782544","gmtCreate":1705691473690,"gmtModify":1705691477431,"authorId":3572130445577337,"author":{"id":3572130445577337,"idStr":"3572130445577337","authorId":3572130445577337,"name":"百亿身价经验","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0632ad189c6299680913be65096ba4a","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":264816880333040,"objectIdStr":"264816880333040","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"我看你大概连你错在哪儿都不知道，再强调一遍<br>\n1.逻辑错误<br>\n2.预测失败","text":"我看你大概连你错在哪儿都不知道，再强调一遍<br>\n1.逻辑错误<br>\n2.预测失败","html":"我看你大概连你错在哪儿都不知道，再强调一遍<br>\n1.逻辑错误<br>\n2.预测失败","likeSize":0,"commentSize":4,"subComments":[{"id":265696526893168,"commentId":"265696526893168","gmtCreate":1705889801347,"gmtModify":1705889805002,"authorId":3572130445577337,"author":{"id":3572130445577337,"idStr":"3572130445577337","authorId":3572130445577337,"name":"百亿身价经验","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0632ad189c6299680913be65096ba4a","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":4109416008385830,"repliedAuthor":{"id":4109416008385830,"idStr":"4109416008385830","authorId":4109416008385830,"name":"Ohwgo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33ab0fac32f7e1f5ece18a349be8a291","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84d87792f02cf78e80ee34979fd31e5","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"objectId":264816880333040,"objectIdStr":"264816880333040","type":1,"supId":264884743782544,"supIdStr":"264884743782544","prevId":264916864147760,"prevIdStr":"264916864147760","content":"只要它到了那你就没错，那就不要预测时间，错了就错了，又不是一次两次了，我看你错多次了","text":"只要它到了那你就没错，那就不要预测时间，错了就错了，又不是一次两次了，我看你错多次了","html":"只要它到了那你就没错，那就不要预测时间，错了就错了，又不是一次两次了，我看你错多次了"},{"id":265696853078080,"commentId":"265696853078080","gmtCreate":1705889740173,"gmtModify":1705889743842,"authorId":3572130445577337,"author":{"id":3572130445577337,"idStr":"3572130445577337","authorId":3572130445577337,"name":"百亿身价经验","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0632ad189c6299680913be65096ba4a","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":3539928148899666,"repliedAuthor":{"id":3539928148899666,"idStr":"3539928148899666","authorId":3539928148899666,"name":"GP黑白熊","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"objectId":264816880333040,"objectIdStr":"264816880333040","type":1,"supId":264884743782544,"supIdStr":"264884743782544","prevId":265201746706576,"prevIdStr":"265201746706576","content":"赚不赚钱和对不对是两码事","text":"赚不赚钱和对不对是两码事","html":"赚不赚钱和对不对是两码事"},{"id":265201746706576,"commentId":"265201746706576","gmtCreate":1705768866990,"gmtModify":1705768870746,"authorId":3539928148899666,"author":{"id":3539928148899666,"idStr":"3539928148899666","authorId":3539928148899666,"name":"GP黑白熊","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":264816880333040,"objectIdStr":"264816880333040","type":1,"supId":264884743782544,"supIdStr":"264884743782544","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"知行合一的结果应该是赚钱了 嘴硬的结果是亏钱了","text":"知行合一的结果应该是赚钱了 嘴硬的结果是亏钱了","html":"知行合一的结果应该是赚钱了 嘴硬的结果是亏钱了"},{"id":264916864147760,"commentId":"264916864147760","gmtCreate":1705699363815,"gmtModify":1705699367415,"authorId":4109416008385830,"author":{"id":4109416008385830,"idStr":"4109416008385830","authorId":4109416008385830,"name":"Ohwgo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33ab0fac32f7e1f5ece18a349be8a291","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84d87792f02cf78e80ee34979fd31e5","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":264816880333040,"objectIdStr":"264816880333040","type":1,"supId":264884743782544,"supIdStr":"264884743782544","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"嘴硬哥你好[开心]","text":"嘴硬哥你好[开心]","html":"嘴硬哥你好[开心]"}],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":264822972670088,"commentId":"264822972670088","gmtCreate":1705676391793,"gmtModify":1705676395517,"authorId":3525121711918404,"author":{"id":3525121711918404,"idStr":"3525121711918404","authorId":3525121711918404,"name":"L情情","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7de9b212386ceefd19aca09a2c6061c5","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":264816880333040,"objectIdStr":"264816880333040","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"这么牛叉？股神挣了多少美刀了？","text":"这么牛叉？股神挣了多少美刀了？","html":"这么牛叉？股神挣了多少美刀了？","likeSize":1,"commentSize":6,"subComments":[{"id":264851189579928,"commentId":"264851189579928","gmtCreate":1705683365109,"gmtModify":1705683872895,"authorId":3539928148899666,"author":{"id":3539928148899666,"idStr":"3539928148899666","authorId":3539928148899666,"name":"GP黑白熊","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":264816880333040,"objectIdStr":"264816880333040","type":1,"supId":264822972670088,"supIdStr":"264822972670088","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NIO 20250117 7.5 PUT\">$NIO 20250117 7.5 PUT$</a> 感谢斌子的大火箭 <t-t type=\"img\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5207808a34df15b5382e2cae82ab294a\"></t-t>","text":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NIO 20250117 7.5 PUT\">$NIO 20250117 7.5 PUT$</a> 感谢斌子的大火箭 <t-t type=\"img\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5207808a34df15b5382e2cae82ab294a\"></t-t>","html":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NIO 20250117 7.5 PUT\">$NIO 20250117 7.5 PUT$</a> 感谢斌子的大火箭 <t-t type=\"img\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5207808a34df15b5382e2cae82ab294a\"></t-t>"},{"id":264830551298168,"commentId":"264830551298168","gmtCreate":1705678302762,"gmtModify":1705678306457,"authorId":4109416008385830,"author":{"id":4109416008385830,"idStr":"4109416008385830","authorId":4109416008385830,"name":"Ohwgo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33ab0fac32f7e1f5ece18a349be8a291","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84d87792f02cf78e80ee34979fd31e5","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":3525121711918404,"repliedAuthor":{"id":3525121711918404,"idStr":"3525121711918404","authorId":3525121711918404,"name":"L情情","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7de9b212386ceefd19aca09a2c6061c5","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"objectId":264816880333040,"objectIdStr":"264816880333040","type":1,"supId":264822972670088,"supIdStr":"264822972670088","prevId":264828497113392,"prevIdStr":"264828497113392","content":"啥时候我成股神乐？ 过奖了[开心]","text":"啥时候我成股神乐？ 过奖了[开心]","html":"啥时候我成股神乐？ 过奖了[开心]"},{"id":264828497113392,"commentId":"264828497113392","gmtCreate":1705677789840,"gmtModify":1705677793481,"authorId":3525121711918404,"author":{"id":3525121711918404,"idStr":"3525121711918404","authorId":3525121711918404,"name":"L情情","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7de9b212386ceefd19aca09a2c6061c5","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":4109416008385830,"repliedAuthor":{"id":4109416008385830,"idStr":"4109416008385830","authorId":4109416008385830,"name":"Ohwgo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33ab0fac32f7e1f5ece18a349be8a291","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84d87792f02cf78e80ee34979fd31e5","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"objectId":264816880333040,"objectIdStr":"264816880333040","type":1,"supId":264822972670088,"supIdStr":"264822972670088","prevId":264827454939376,"prevIdStr":"264827454939376","content":"原来股神没买啊！我还以为你挣了几百万美刀了，天天预言这么准的，屈才了 [开心]","text":"原来股神没买啊！我还以为你挣了几百万美刀了，天天预言这么准的，屈才了 [开心]","html":"原来股神没买啊！我还以为你挣了几百万美刀了，天天预言这么准的，屈才了 [开心]"},{"id":264827454939376,"commentId":"264827454939376","gmtCreate":1705677585835,"gmtModify":1705677589538,"authorId":4109416008385830,"author":{"id":4109416008385830,"idStr":"4109416008385830","authorId":4109416008385830,"name":"Ohwgo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33ab0fac32f7e1f5ece18a349be8a291","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84d87792f02cf78e80ee34979fd31e5","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":3525121711918404,"repliedAuthor":{"id":3525121711918404,"idStr":"3525121711918404","authorId":3525121711918404,"name":"L情情","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7de9b212386ceefd19aca09a2c6061c5","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"objectId":264816880333040,"objectIdStr":"264816880333040","type":1,"supId":264822972670088,"supIdStr":"264822972670088","prevId":264825081778416,"prevIdStr":"264825081778416","content":"我又没买，我为啥玩不起","text":"我又没买，我为啥玩不起","html":"我又没买，我为啥玩不起"},{"id":264825081778416,"commentId":"264825081778416","gmtCreate":1705677006447,"gmtModify":1705677010110,"authorId":3525121711918404,"author":{"id":3525121711918404,"idStr":"3525121711918404","authorId":3525121711918404,"name":"L情情","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7de9b212386ceefd19aca09a2c6061c5","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":4109416008385830,"repliedAuthor":{"id":4109416008385830,"idStr":"4109416008385830","authorId":4109416008385830,"name":"Ohwgo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33ab0fac32f7e1f5ece18a349be8a291","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84d87792f02cf78e80ee34979fd31e5","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"objectId":264816880333040,"objectIdStr":"264816880333040","type":1,"supId":264822972670088,"supIdStr":"264822972670088","prevId":264824034963712,"prevIdStr":"264824034963712","content":"亏这点也叫亏，你玩的起吗？","text":"亏这点也叫亏，你玩的起吗？","html":"亏这点也叫亏，你玩的起吗？"}],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":264817791263048,"commentId":"264817791263048","gmtCreate":1705675220678,"gmtModify":1705675224402,"authorId":3548236649718288,"author":{"id":3548236649718288,"idStr":"3548236649718288","authorId":3548236649718288,"name":"美港股韭菜","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/591264d1f5db7ee1088ae142c5900fda","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-1","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"精英交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到30次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab0f87127c854ce3191a752d57b46edc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9835ce48b8c8743566d344ac7a7ba8c","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76754b53ce7a90019f132c1d2fbc698f","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.01.30","exceedPercentage":"60.21%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":264816880333040,"objectIdStr":"264816880333040","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"5块指日可待","text":"5块指日可待","html":"5块指日可待","likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"subComments":[{"id":264818135433520,"commentId":"264818135433520","gmtCreate":1705675260128,"gmtModify":1705675263918,"authorId":4109416008385830,"author":{"id":4109416008385830,"idStr":"4109416008385830","authorId":4109416008385830,"name":"Ohwgo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33ab0fac32f7e1f5ece18a349be8a291","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84d87792f02cf78e80ee34979fd31e5","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":264816880333040,"objectIdStr":"264816880333040","type":1,"supId":264817791263048,"supIdStr":"264817791263048","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"5块我几个月前就预测了 ","text":"5块我几个月前就预测了 ","html":"5块我几个月前就预测了 "}],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":264854143996056,"commentId":"264854143996056","gmtCreate":1705684086394,"gmtModify":1705684090088,"authorId":3568908768026287,"author":{"id":3568908768026287,"idStr":"3568908768026287","authorId":3568908768026287,"name":"yokikikikiki","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":264816880333040,"objectIdStr":"264816880333040","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"[财迷][财迷][财迷]","text":"[财迷][财迷][财迷]","html":"[财迷][财迷][财迷]","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0}],"isCommentEnd":false,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/264816880333040"}
精彩评论
1.逻辑错误
2.预测失败