小钢炮们又闻风而动了_老虎社区_美港股上老虎 - 老虎社区

出没在交易圈的情报员

小钢炮们又闻风而动了，水军突然泛滥让人觉得回到了北京被淹的7月份，有很明显的拉踩行为，不过黑人家也得看文章。说的对了还攻击就让人怀疑你们的目的了，还想来黑的尽管来，大不了终身禁言嘛

@Ivan_甘灿荣：“超鹰”美联储引发的下跌仍未完结

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

黄老怪
2023-09-26
黄老怪
黑子直接拉黑就行
迷之微笑
2023-09-26
迷之微笑
甘老师说的挺好的，那什么独立分析师下面一堆捧的，怎么这个说的对的一个都没有
- 大米饭:
  你懂的
Rfb
2023-10-02
Rfb
阅

发表看法

4

3

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":223903762317568,"tweetId":"223903762317568","gmtCreate":1695701286996,"gmtModify":1695701289648,"author":{"id":3493247054408315,"idStr":"3493247054408315","authorId":3493247054408315,"authorIdStr":"3493247054408315","name":"出没在交易圈的情报员","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f410ba1d5e642b32faa3d84b28820597","vip":2,"userType":2,"introduction":"消息圈垃圾过滤人，只唠有价值的事儿。","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-3","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资合伙人虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到100万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506a259a7b456f037592c3b23c779599","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.22","exceedPercentage":"93.73%","individualDisplayEnabled":0},"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":21679,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"html":"<html><head></head><body><p>小钢炮们又闻风而动了，水军突然泛滥让人觉得回到了北京被淹的7月份，有很明显的拉踩行为，不过黑人家也得看文章。说的对了还攻击就让人怀疑你们的目的了，还想来黑的尽管来，大不了终身禁言嘛</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>小钢炮们又闻风而动了，水军突然泛滥让人觉得回到了北京被淹的7月份，有很明显的拉踩行为，不过黑人家也得看文章。说的对了还攻击就让人怀疑你们的目的了，还想来黑的尽管来，大不了终身禁言嘛</p></body></html>","text":"小钢炮们又闻风而动了，水军突然泛滥让人觉得回到了北京被淹的7月份，有很明显的拉踩行为，不过黑人家也得看文章。说的对了还攻击就让人怀疑你们的目的了，还想来黑的尽管来，大不了终身禁言嘛","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/223903762317568","repostId":223634993840144,"repostType":1,"repost":{"magic":2,"id":223634993840144,"tweetId":"223634993840144","gmtCreate":1695618308262,"gmtModify":1695618382050,"author":{"id":3534312224764596,"idStr":"3534312224764596","authorId":3534312224764596,"authorIdStr":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","vip":2,"userType":2,"introduction":"芝商所特约讲师。曾任证券期货、大型国企民企期货部门投资经理。十多年来从事金融投资管理工作","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[{"badgeId":"3f8f4b8c193b4343a88817ce07587dbd-1","templateUuid":"3f8f4b8c193b4343a88817ce07587dbd","name":"星级创作者","description":"社区优质创作者：发表过3篇及以上精华帖，且30天内发表过至少一篇精华帖并参与过评论","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1866dcf97a73be1c330f85862546aedc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f5c5fa8e2c7683bb5a7fce8753ee456","redirectLinkEnabled":1,"redirectLink":"https://www.laohu8.com/activity/market/2023/star-contributors/","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.12.19","individualDisplayEnabled":1,"backgroundColor":{"dark":"#675a37","tint":"#f9ebc2"},"fontColor":{"dark":"#ffffff","tint":"#ab7a0e"}}],"fanSize":12292,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[{"themeId":"4acff6d67b634baaa687d55bb310a366","categoryId":"668e932558344973ba7d6c73e0e3c96b","name":"期货达人俱乐部","type":0,"rnLink":"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&page=/theme/detail&rndata={\"themeId\":4acff6d67b634baaa687d55bb310a366}&rnconfig={\"headerBarHidden\": true}","description":"这里是期货讨论大本营，无论行情怎么波动，我们这边的盈利总是先人一步。","image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb6e4b480d7725b744f497f0d18ad0f5"}],"images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c963ad6a5e785562332a2eeb2a954414","width":"1154","height":"674"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56f4b6f7c05e8074a294f79239460dd5","width":"1153","height":"749"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afe54b1317977943649821c1a7b30bbb","width":"1157","height":"757"}],"coverImages":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c963ad6a5e785562332a2eeb2a954414","width":"1154","height":"674"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56f4b6f7c05e8074a294f79239460dd5","width":"1153","height":"749"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afe54b1317977943649821c1a7b30bbb","width":"1157","height":"757"}],"title":"“超鹰”美联储引发的下跌仍未完结","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>9月美联储会议已经结束，结果并不让人意外，最少看过我帖子的朋友都应该有一定心理准备。其实当下的美联储会议结果并不十分重要，因为都被市场充分预期了，唯一的变量就是会议后的鲍威尔讲话，嘴上鹰派与政策鸽派是美联储平衡市场的惯用方式，所以对于当前的快速下跌，大家不应感到意外。</p><p>当前市场有种说法是，由于明年美国需要选举，拜登政府为了连任，会尽量通过一系列措施维持经济数据的美好，而经济数据美好则导致美联储无需急于降息甚至继续加息而打压通胀，导致市场的快速降息预期一下子被拖后，因而引发下跌。</p><p>&nbsp;</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c963ad6a5e785562332a2eeb2a954414\" tg-width=\"1154\" tg-height=\"674\"></p><p>&nbsp;</p><p>在8-10月美股看跌的时间窗口内，其实理由只是诱因，毕竟上半年累积的涨幅足够大，引发大幅调整是很容易的事情。那么当下美股调整的底部大概在哪里？以标普为基准，按照当前技术状态，头肩顶的技术形态形成<span style=\"color:#E67E23;\" class=\"color-mark\">，那么测量跌幅大概在280点左右，标普主力合约大概跌至4100点附近。当然这只是测量跌幅，持续有利空消息加入都可能增大下跌幅度，因此大家没有必要急于抄底，最少要等10月份再观察。至于纳指跌幅也不会太少，13500也只是一个暂时的猜测，还是顺势观察为好，简单的20日均线追踪即可。</span></p><p>&nbsp;</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56f4b6f7c05e8074a294f79239460dd5\" tg-width=\"1153\" tg-height=\"749\"></p><p>&nbsp;</p><h4 id=\"id_2360038430\">美股下跌会带动其它商品一同下跌吗？</h4><p>美联储的“超鹰”说辞所引发了美债收益率的提升，同时提振了美元指数，对于大宗商品来说，都是利空的存在。但是不同商品由于基本面不同，波幅也会差异很大。以贵金属为例，金价的向上突破需要美联储的鸽派指引<span style=\"color:#E67E23;\" class=\"color-mark\">，而当前的走势仍然被60日均线压制着，所以策略非常简单，不破60日均线，无需看涨，至于会不会大幅下跌，当前也没有太确定的消息，还是按震荡市处理吧。</span>而最近大家讨论的最多的黄金内外盘套利，建议大家回看我上周的直播，里面有详细的解说，这类价差的存在有其政策背景，没有现货基础最好少碰。</p><p>&nbsp;</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afe54b1317977943649821c1a7b30bbb\" tg-width=\"1157\" tg-height=\"757\"></p><p>至于能源类商品，原油已经触及 90美元区间，也即我前期所说的美国战略石油储备的抛储成本价区间，在此极其容易受到美国政府的一些政策打压，因此不建议持续看涨，但有减产托底，跌幅估计也十分有限，<span style=\"color:#E67E23;\" class=\"color-mark\">还是按80-90的区间交易为好。而美国天然气通常在原油强势期间，表现都不太行，所以不要太抱有希望，不然合约间的价差损失也会很大。</span></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"CLmain\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"WTI原油主连 2311\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连 2311(CLmain)$</a> </p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"NQmain\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NQ100指数主连 2312\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2312(NQmain)$</a>    <a data-mention-id=\"ESmain\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"SP500指数主连 2312\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2312(ESmain)$</a>    <a data-mention-id=\"YMmain\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"道琼斯指数主连 2312\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/YMmain\">$道琼斯指数主连 2312(YMmain)$</a>    <a data-mention-id=\"GCmain\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"黄金主连 2312\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2312(GCmain)$</a> </p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>9月美联储会议已经结束，结果并不让人意外，最少看过我帖子的朋友都应该有一定心理准备。其实当下的美联储会议结果并不十分重要，因为都被市场充分预期了，唯一的变量就是会议后的鲍威尔讲话，嘴上鹰派与政策鸽派是美联储平衡市场的惯用方式，所以对于当前的快速下跌，大家不应感到意外。</p><p>当前市场有种说法是，由于明年美国需要选举，拜登政府为了连任，会尽量通过一系列措施维持经济数据的美好，而经济数据美好则导致美联储无需急于降息甚至继续加息而打压通胀，导致市场的快速降息预期一下子被拖后，因而引发下跌。</p><p>&nbsp;</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c963ad6a5e785562332a2eeb2a954414\" tg-width=\"1154\" tg-height=\"674\"></p><p>&nbsp;</p><p>在8-10月美股看跌的时间窗口内，其实理由只是诱因，毕竟上半年累积的涨幅足够大，引发大幅调整是很容易的事情。那么当下美股调整的底部大概在哪里？以标普为基准，按照当前技术状态，头肩顶的技术形态形成<span style=\"color:#E67E23;\" class=\"color-mark\">，那么测量跌幅大概在280点左右，标普主力合约大概跌至4100点附近。当然这只是测量跌幅，持续有利空消息加入都可能增大下跌幅度，因此大家没有必要急于抄底，最少要等10月份再观察。至于纳指跌幅也不会太少，13500也只是一个暂时的猜测，还是顺势观察为好，简单的20日均线追踪即可。</span></p><p>&nbsp;</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56f4b6f7c05e8074a294f79239460dd5\" tg-width=\"1153\" tg-height=\"749\"></p><p>&nbsp;</p><h4 id=\"id_2360038430\">美股下跌会带动其它商品一同下跌吗？</h4><p>美联储的“超鹰”说辞所引发了美债收益率的提升，同时提振了美元指数，对于大宗商品来说，都是利空的存在。但是不同商品由于基本面不同，波幅也会差异很大。以贵金属为例，金价的向上突破需要美联储的鸽派指引<span style=\"color:#E67E23;\" class=\"color-mark\">，而当前的走势仍然被60日均线压制着，所以策略非常简单，不破60日均线，无需看涨，至于会不会大幅下跌，当前也没有太确定的消息，还是按震荡市处理吧。</span>而最近大家讨论的最多的黄金内外盘套利，建议大家回看我上周的直播，里面有详细的解说，这类价差的存在有其政策背景，没有现货基础最好少碰。</p><p>&nbsp;</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afe54b1317977943649821c1a7b30bbb\" tg-width=\"1157\" tg-height=\"757\"></p><p>至于能源类商品，原油已经触及 90美元区间，也即我前期所说的美国战略石油储备的抛储成本价区间，在此极其容易受到美国政府的一些政策打压，因此不建议持续看涨，但有减产托底，跌幅估计也十分有限，<span style=\"color:#E67E23;\" class=\"color-mark\">还是按80-90的区间交易为好。而美国天然气通常在原油强势期间，表现都不太行，所以不要太抱有希望，不然合约间的价差损失也会很大。</span></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"CLmain\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"WTI原油主连 2311\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连 2311(CLmain)$</a> </p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"NQmain\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NQ100指数主连 2312\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2312(NQmain)$</a>    <a data-mention-id=\"ESmain\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"SP500指数主连 2312\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2312(ESmain)$</a>    <a data-mention-id=\"YMmain\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"道琼斯指数主连 2312\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/YMmain\">$道琼斯指数主连 2312(YMmain)$</a>    <a data-mention-id=\"GCmain\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"黄金主连 2312\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2312(GCmain)$</a> </p></body></html>","text":"9月美联储会议已经结束，结果并不让人意外，最少看过我帖子的朋友都应该有一定心理准备。其实当下的美联储会议结果并不十分重要，因为都被市场充分预期了，唯一的变量就是会议后的鲍威尔讲话，嘴上鹰派与政策鸽派是美联储平衡市场的惯用方式，所以对于当前的快速下跌，大家不应感到意外。 当前市场有种说法是，由于明年美国需要选举，拜登政府为了连任，会尽量通过一系列措施维持经济数据的美好，而经济数据美好则导致美联储无需急于降息甚至继续加息而打压通胀，导致市场的快速降息预期一下子被拖后，因而引发下跌。 在8-10月美股看跌的时间窗口内，其实理由只是诱因，毕竟上半年累积的涨幅足够大，引发大幅调整是很容易的事情。那么当下美股调整的底部大概在哪里？以标普为基准，按照当前技术状态，头肩顶的技术形态形成，那么测量跌幅大概在280点左右，标普主力合约大概跌至4100点附近。当然这只是测量跌幅，持续有利空消息加入都可能增大下跌幅度，因此大家没有必要急于抄底，最少要等10月份再观察。至于纳指跌幅也不会太少，13500也只是一个暂时的猜测，还是顺势观察为好，简单的20日均线追踪即可。 美股下跌会带动其它商品一同下跌吗？ 美联储的“超鹰”说辞所引发了美债收益率的提升，同时提振了美元指数，对于大宗商品来说，都是利空的存在。但是不同商品由于基本面不同，波幅也会差异很大。以贵金属为例，金价的向上突破需要美联储的鸽派指引，而当前的走势仍然被60日均线压制着，所以策略非常简单，不破60日均线，无需看涨，至于会不会大幅下跌，当前也没有太确定的消息，还是按震荡市处理吧。而最近大家讨论的最多的黄金内外盘套利，建议大家回看我上周的直播，里面有详细的解说，这类价差的存在有其政策背景，没有现货基础最好少碰。 至于能源类商品，原油已经触及 90美元区间，也即我前期所说的美国战略石油储备的抛储成本价区间，在此极其容易受到美国政府的一些政策打压，因此不建议持续看涨，但有减产托底，跌幅估计也十分有限，还是按80-90的区间交易为好。而美国天然气通常在原油强势期间，表现都不太行，所以不要太抱有希望，不然合约间的价差损失也会很大。 $WTI原油主连 2311(CLmain)$ $NQ100指数主连 2312(NQmain)$ $SP500指数主连 2312(ESmain)$ $道琼斯指数主连 2312(YMmain)$ $黄金主连 2312(GCmain)$","highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/223634993840144","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["NQmain","GCmain","YMmain","ESmain","CLmain"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":1800,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":14634,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":173,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[{"id":223905420976160,"commentId":"223905420976160","gmtCreate":1695701548981,"gmtModify":1695701552748,"authorId":3479274732372511,"author":{"id":3479274732372511,"idStr":"3479274732372511","authorId":3479274732372511,"name":"黄老怪","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d01265730fbb9a0b9e195d51c4c1680","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":223903762317568,"objectIdStr":"223903762317568","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"<p>黑子直接拉黑就行</p>","text":"<p>黑子直接拉黑就行</p>","html":"<p>黑子直接拉黑就行</p>","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"hot","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":223905282461808,"commentId":"223905282461808","gmtCreate":1695701636191,"gmtModify":1695701639908,"authorId":3465380601702914,"author":{"id":3465380601702914,"idStr":"3465380601702914","authorId":3465380601702914,"name":"迷之微笑","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":223903762317568,"objectIdStr":"223903762317568","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"<p>甘老师说的挺好的，那什么独立分析师下面一堆捧的，怎么这个说的对的一个都没有</p>","text":"<p>甘老师说的挺好的，那什么独立分析师下面一堆捧的，怎么这个说的对的一个都没有</p>","html":"<p>甘老师说的挺好的，那什么独立分析师下面一堆捧的，怎么这个说的对的一个都没有</p>","likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"subComments":[{"id":223905442664560,"commentId":"223905442664560","gmtCreate":1695701675314,"gmtModify":1695701678947,"authorId":7438578456800583,"author":{"id":7438578456800583,"idStr":"7438578456800583","authorId":7438578456800583,"name":"大米饭","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":223903762317568,"objectIdStr":"223903762317568","type":1,"supId":223905282461808,"supIdStr":"223905282461808","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"你懂的","text":"你懂的","html":"你懂的"}],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":8074386,"commentId":"8074386","gmtCreate":1696261539932,"gmtModify":1696261543457,"authorId":3524230072128606,"author":{"id":3524230072128606,"idStr":"3524230072128606","authorId":3524230072128606,"name":"Rfb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/142d7c2d1647e97a77b4fba687d57901","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-2","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资总监虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到30万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d20b23f1b6335407f882bc5c2ad12c0","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ada3b4533518ace8404a3f6dd192bd29","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/177f283ba21d1c077054dac07f88f3bd","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.01.25","exceedPercentage":"80.07%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},"crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":223903762317568,"objectIdStr":"223903762317568","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"阅","text":"阅","html":"阅","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0}],"isCommentEnd":false,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/223903762317568"}