Jasongan
2021-06-10
Maybe as hYpe get in early and out Early.not For long term.Big brands stil will crush them
@价值投资为王:
【悬赏】奈雪的茶估值300亿,你会买单吗?
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<p>2020年,奈雪营收30.57亿元,同比增长22.3%,主要受疫情拖累,增速并不亮眼。</p> <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4eae2fca9c80f57838856fed92a16066\" tg-width=\"821\" tg-height=\"442\"></p> <p>同行业的喜茶和茶颜悦色尚未上市,无公开数据可对比,加上奈雪对标星巴克,奶茶与咖啡又同属饮品,不妨将两者估值进行PK。</p> <p>2020财年(2019.9.30-2020.9.27),星巴克营收235.18亿美元,同比下降11.3%,目前市值1314亿美元,PS估值为5.6倍。</p> <p>如果奈雪估值300亿,则对应2020年的营收,PS估值为9.8倍。</p> <p>看似奈雪的估值比星巴克高出一大截,但实际上,星巴克已是壮年,增速缓慢,而奈雪则二十郎当岁,正值当打之年。</p> <p>根据招股书,奈雪2020年底的店铺数量为491家,计划2021年新开300家,2022年350家,2023年不低于2022年。</p> <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a68973218ea9107f78099727b5a34537\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"467\"></p> <p>假设单店收入能够维持,不足1年,奈雪便可扩大一倍,PS估值就十分接近星巴克。</p> <p>而从更长远的角度看,星巴克在我国有4700多家店铺,奶茶相比咖啡,受众更广,未来的奈雪,潜在的店铺数量可超过5000家。</p> <p>因此,300亿估值个人看并不贵,似乎已看到一场打新盛宴即将来临!<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBUX\">$星巴克(SBUX)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> </p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>明星股奈雪的茶6月6日通过港交所聆讯,上市在即。</p> <p>对于奈雪,投资者争议颇大,很多人diss奈雪的茶齁贵齁贵,但结果,公司竟然还是巨亏,2020年账面亏损额2个亿。</p> <p>另外,奈雪的茶时常被拿来和喜茶、茶颜悦色做对比,有人觉得奈雪盈利能力、店铺数量不如喜茶,有人觉得奈雪不如其他品牌好喝,总之,奶茶第一股徒有虚名。</p> <p>这样流血上市的新股,目前市场传言的估值为300亿。</p> <p><b>这样的价格,你会买单吗?欢迎在评论区留言,有价值的评论会有虎币打赏哦!</b></p> <p>下文谈谈我的看法:</p> <p>之前我写过奈雪的分析文章,详细可点击这里《<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/https://www.laohu8.com/post/341707016?f=recommend\" target=\"_blank\">连锁是牛股的温床,奈雪的茶也不会例外!</a>》。</p> <p>由于奈雪尚未盈利,因此PS(市值/营收)来衡量高估与否。</p> <p>2020年,奈雪营收30.57亿元,同比增长22.3%,主要受疫情拖累,增速并不亮眼。</p> <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4eae2fca9c80f57838856fed92a16066\" tg-width=\"821\" tg-height=\"442\"></p> <p>同行业的喜茶和茶颜悦色尚未上市,无公开数据可对比,加上奈雪对标星巴克,奶茶与咖啡又同属饮品,不妨将两者估值进行PK。</p> <p>2020财年(2019.9.30-2020.9.27),星巴克营收235.18亿美元,同比下降11.3%,目前市值1314亿美元,PS估值为5.6倍。</p> <p>如果奈雪估值300亿,则对应2020年的营收,PS估值为9.8倍。</p> <p>看似奈雪的估值比星巴克高出一大截,但实际上,星巴克已是壮年,增速缓慢,而奈雪则二十郎当岁,正值当打之年。</p> <p>根据招股书,奈雪2020年底的店铺数量为491家,计划2021年新开300家,2022年350家,2023年不低于2022年。</p> <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a68973218ea9107f78099727b5a34537\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"467\"></p> <p>假设单店收入能够维持,不足1年,奈雪便可扩大一倍,PS估值就十分接近星巴克。</p> <p>而从更长远的角度看,星巴克在我国有4700多家店铺,奶茶相比咖啡,受众更广,未来的奈雪,潜在的店铺数量可超过5000家。</p> <p>因此,300亿估值个人看并不贵,似乎已看到一场打新盛宴即将来临!<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBUX\">$星巴克(SBUX)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a> </p></body></html>","text":"明星股奈雪的茶6月6日通过港交所聆讯,上市在即。 对于奈雪,投资者争议颇大,很多人diss奈雪的茶齁贵齁贵,但结果,公司竟然还是巨亏,2020年账面亏损额2个亿。 另外,奈雪的茶时常被拿来和喜茶、茶颜悦色做对比,有人觉得奈雪盈利能力、店铺数量不如喜茶,有人觉得奈雪不如其他品牌好喝,总之,奶茶第一股徒有虚名。 这样流血上市的新股,目前市场传言的估值为300亿。 这样的价格,你会买单吗?欢迎在评论区留言,有价值的评论会有虎币打赏哦! 下文谈谈我的看法: 之前我写过奈雪的分析文章,详细可点击这里《连锁是牛股的温床,奈雪的茶也不会例外!》。 由于奈雪尚未盈利,因此PS(市值/营收)来衡量高估与否。 2020年,奈雪营收30.57亿元,同比增长22.3%,主要受疫情拖累,增速并不亮眼。 同行业的喜茶和茶颜悦色尚未上市,无公开数据可对比,加上奈雪对标星巴克,奶茶与咖啡又同属饮品,不妨将两者估值进行PK。 2020财年(2019.9.30-2020.9.27),星巴克营收235.18亿美元,同比下降11.3%,目前市值1314亿美元,PS估值为5.6倍。 如果奈雪估值300亿,则对应2020年的营收,PS估值为9.8倍。 看似奈雪的估值比星巴克高出一大截,但实际上,星巴克已是壮年,增速缓慢,而奈雪则二十郎当岁,正值当打之年。 根据招股书,奈雪2020年底的店铺数量为491家,计划2021年新开300家,2022年350家,2023年不低于2022年。 假设单店收入能够维持,不足1年,奈雪便可扩大一倍,PS估值就十分接近星巴克。 而从更长远的角度看,星巴克在我国有4700多家店铺,奶茶相比咖啡,受众更广,未来的奈雪,潜在的店铺数量可超过5000家。 因此,300亿估值个人看并不贵,似乎已看到一场打新盛宴即将来临!$星巴克(SBUX)$ 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