盘前时间，猜猜财报

老虎肖西耶

2016-04-20

今日有多家公司发布财报，由于我不是基本面投资者，所以我只会从期权链的状况去猜测，所以为何会涨会跌，基本面我不知道……

我主要关注了以下几家，4月20日盘前公布财报的：

$(KO)$ $(USB)$ $(EMC)$

我的个人判断：KO财报会涨；USB会涨；EMC会跌。

有人说VMW涨8%，作为母公司，为什么会跌？

这个我不知道……我只能说从期权链的角度，看下图

PUT>CALL也太明显了……

既然EMC想让子公司VMW收购，是不是自己整体问题比较大……这个就不是我的讨论范围了。

另外KO/USB的财报大家也可以根据期权链分析一下。

等晚上验证结果吧。

#有奖活动#

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

日牙湖小小凡
2016-04-20
日牙湖小小凡
呵呵 EMC被DELL收了都不知道 ...
- 老虎肖西耶:
  收了和财报关键性是否一定很大不知道呢😊
paperfish
2016-04-20
paperfish
盘前都打脸了。。。(∪㉨∪)｡｡｡zzz
- 老虎肖西耶回复paperfish:
  哈哈，对
- paperfish回复老虎肖西耶:
  哈哈，可以统计下这个方法押中的几率有多高。
- 老虎肖西耶:
  USB还行涨一点
- 老虎肖西耶:
  是啊。可见期权链本身和财报的关联没有那么大。可口可乐下跌真是猛
去哪啊
2016-04-20
去哪啊
可口可乐beat了0.01
- 老虎肖西耶:
  那也是beat 财报猜对了涨跌就不好说了
老虎肖西耶
2016-04-20
老虎肖西耶
很有意思的是emc确实涨了，ko下跌，usb微跌。就当前而言，这个根据期权链的判断就都错了。由此可见，期权链并非万能

发表看法

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