‘Not a chance’ Tesla will dominate car industry in 20 years: legendary investor Bruce Greenwald

Yahoo Finance2021-05-26

Tesla (TSLA) short sellers are up $4 billion so far this year, driven by the stock's fall back to earth after a steep rise of more than 695% last year, according to an analysis by S3 partners that CNN...

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精彩评论

tkj
2021-05-27
tkj
It is a given, there is no way Tesla is going to dominate the market in the long term. The big and famous boys will be in with full force, Mercs, BMWs with established branding. Competition will heat up
- WX86:
  Lol... there's BMW solar and Mercedes powerwalls?
- Brandon2207:
  Keep dreaming, they are making EVs at losses right now. And dont have the technology that Tesla have
- Greenfirefox:
  Hmmm i think its debatable
- Josh99:
  Yes boomer
- holkkie:
  which other auto company is trading at 800PE? this is redeculous.. tesla at this price seem priced in next 10 year growth
GiselleC
2021-05-27
GiselleC
Pls like n comment thanks. Always follow Elon tweet!
JCai
2021-05-27
JCai
Like and comment pls
Acella
2021-05-27
Acella
Good😀
- JCai:
  comment back and like pls
- szueyann:
  👍👍👍
- WayneLo:
  😃
- WayneLo:
  comment pls 🙏
- Acella:
  😀
TerenceD
2021-05-27
TerenceD
That’s 👍🏻
nananan
2021-05-27
nananan
At least 20% of total market in 20 years.Tesla has always been supply constrainted, even before the pandamic. That is the only reason why the number isnt higher now.Greenwald is a fool, every other automakers share their profits with distributors, 3rd party vendors, marketing...Tesla does none of those.

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But Greenwald acknowledged he wouldn't short Tesla because many have gotten \"slaughtered\" doing it.\nIn a new interview, Greenwald predicted that Tesla will fail to dominate the auto industry over the long term because of a likely explosion in the size of the electric vehicle market and a lack of differentiation between Tesla's products and those of its competitors.\n\"Twenty years from now — you really think that they're going to dominate the auto market?\" Greenwald tells Yahoo Finance Editor-in-Chief Andy Serwer. \"Not a chance.\"\n\"We know what a competitive auto market looks like,\" he adds. \"Because in that market, most of the big companies have flirted with bankruptcy at one time or another.\"\nFor nearly three decades, Greenwald taught a popular course at Columbia University on \"value investing,\" which identifies stocks trading at a price lower than their book value, and patiently waits for them to rise. The approach owes its worldwide renown to its most famous advocate, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-A, BRK-B) CEO Warren Buffett, who occasionally spoke as a guest in Greenwald's course.\n'Not comfortable' putting the family fortune in Tesla\nTesla's long-term struggle to live up to its market cap will stem from its difficulty holding onto a large share of the auto market, Greenwald predicted. Between 2018 and 2019, Tesla's market share grew from 11.8% to 16.2%, according to a study released by McKinsey & Company in July. But that figure will drop over the coming years as electric vehicles become more popular, Greenwald said.\nFILE - In this March 9, 2020, file photo, Tesla and SpaceX Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk speaks at the SATELLITE Conference and Exhibition in Washington. Electric car maker Tesla will stop accepting Bitcoin as a payment, CEO Elon Musk tweeted on Wednesday, May 12, 2021 citing environmental concerns. (AP Photo/Susan Walsh, File)ASSOCIATED PRESS\n\"If a market is small, like the electric car market is today, you probably need to get to 20% of that market to be viable,\" he says. \"In the mature automobile market that is global, you can be viable at 2%.\"\n\"Well, at the 20% requirement, Tesla may be able to keep rivals out. But at 2%, nobody's going to keep anybody down,\" he adds. \"And guess where the electric car market is going? It's going from 700,000 [vehicles sold] a year to 7 million a year.\"\nSerwer asked Greenwald about Tesla CEO Elon Musk's view that the company differentiates itself not only with its electric vehicles but also its onboard computer system, database, and solar panels. But Greenwald rejected the point.\n\"You think other car makers don't have that?\" he says. \"They don't have computers? They don't have databases, [and] they don't have solar panels? Give me a break.\"\nGreenwald said the company would face a challenge taking advantage of its technology.\n\"When you have charging stations, they're going to serve all the cars,\" he says. \"Elon Musk is talking his book.\"\nWhile pessimistic about Tesla, Greenwald said he wouldn't short the company. Last year, Tesla short sellers lost $40.1 billion, according to the analysis by S3 partners that CNN reported.\n\"People have gotten slaughtered doing that,\" Greenwald says. \"I've had my own terrible experiences with shorts.\"\nBut he's staying away from the stock.\n\"If I were going to put the family fortune into Tesla,\" he says. \"I would not be comfortable doing it.\"","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":132418107,"gmtCreate":1622106243409,"gmtModify":1634183799618,"author":{"id":"3582020830270271","authorId":"3582020830270271","name":"tkj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4db3635974ce189ed8129eca6b5b618","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3582020830270271","authorIdStr":"3582020830270271"},"htmlText":"It is a given, there is no way Tesla is going to dominate the market in the long term. The big and famous boys will be in with full force, Mercs, BMWs with established branding. Competition will heat up","listText":"It is a given, there is no way Tesla is going to dominate the market in the long term. The big and famous boys will be in with full force, Mercs, BMWs with established branding. Competition will heat up","text":"It is a given, there is no way Tesla is going to dominate the market in the long term. The big and famous boys will be in with full force, Mercs, BMWs with established branding. Competition will heat up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":38,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132418107","repostId":2138486271,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":4476455,"gmtCreate":1622159745446,"gmtModify":1635397122063,"authorId":3574914733914037,"author":{"id":3574914733914037,"idStr":"3574914733914037","authorId":3574914733914037,"name":"WX86","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d2bf6285c05dd8b1286c7ee506deca6","vip":1,"crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":132418107,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Lol... there's BMW solar and Mercedes powerwalls?","text":"Lol... there's BMW solar and Mercedes powerwalls?","html":"Lol... there's BMW solar and Mercedes powerwalls?"},{"id":4544336,"gmtCreate":1622625738809,"gmtModify":1635391390863,"authorId":3578540042073632,"author":{"id":3578540042073632,"idStr":"3578540042073632","authorId":3578540042073632,"name":"Brandon2207","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0335fafe87a5d7a8728bb3763ba20dc","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":132418107,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Keep dreaming, they are making EVs at losses right now. And dont have the technology that Tesla have","text":"Keep dreaming, they are making EVs at losses right now. And dont have the technology that Tesla have","html":"Keep dreaming, they are making EVs at losses right now. And dont have the technology that Tesla have"},{"id":4545872,"gmtCreate":1622634886565,"gmtModify":1635391288631,"authorId":3579225325376117,"author":{"id":3579225325376117,"idStr":"3579225325376117","authorId":3579225325376117,"name":"Greenfirefox","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f8a02efbcd5913de0f514930d43c908b","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":132418107,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Hmmm i think its debatable","text":"Hmmm i think its debatable","html":"Hmmm i think its debatable"},{"id":4547068,"gmtCreate":1622640999070,"gmtModify":1635391202655,"authorId":3550230513368034,"author":{"id":3550230513368034,"idStr":"3550230513368034","authorId":3550230513368034,"name":"Josh99","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4eaa7d04821cc7d6cca51a6f9573bc12","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":132418107,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Yes <u>boomer</u>","text":"Yes <u>boomer</u>","html":"Yes <u>boomer</u>"},{"id":4547573,"gmtCreate":1622642581568,"gmtModify":1635391166204,"authorId":3562812780788043,"author":{"id":3562812780788043,"idStr":"3562812780788043","authorId":3562812780788043,"name":"holkkie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":132418107,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"which other auto company is trading at 800PE? this is redeculous.. tesla at this price seem priced in next 10 year growth","text":"which other auto company is trading at 800PE? this is redeculous.. tesla at this price seem priced in next 10 year growth","html":"which other auto company is trading at 800PE? this is redeculous.. tesla at this price seem priced in next 10 year growth"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":132815953,"gmtCreate":1622079422272,"gmtModify":1634184045741,"author":{"id":"3571093498557443","authorId":"3571093498557443","name":"GiselleC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/179da162ff2a45271bfe253a23405416","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3571093498557443","authorIdStr":"3571093498557443"},"htmlText":"Pls like n comment thanks. Always follow Elon&nbsp;tweet!","listText":"Pls like n comment thanks. Always follow Elon&nbsp;tweet!","text":"Pls like n comment thanks. Always follow Elon tweet!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132815953","repostId":2138486271,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":132185824,"gmtCreate":1622076026468,"gmtModify":1634184114086,"author":{"id":"3574897713454581","authorId":"3574897713454581","name":"JCai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4408059854d4abfa5d3e8513d447a16","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3574897713454581","authorIdStr":"3574897713454581"},"htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132185824","repostId":2138486271,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":132116969,"gmtCreate":1622075508251,"gmtModify":1634184125233,"author":{"id":"3563150446821026","authorId":"3563150446821026","name":"Acella","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2712c4bb0bfbec4d2773e012189db3bc","vip":1,"crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3563150446821026","authorIdStr":"3563150446821026"},"htmlText":"Good😀","listText":"Good😀","text":"Good😀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132116969","repostId":2138486271,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":4463673,"gmtCreate":1622076078682,"gmtModify":1635398107498,"authorId":3574897713454581,"author":{"id":3574897713454581,"idStr":"3574897713454581","authorId":3574897713454581,"name":"JCai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4408059854d4abfa5d3e8513d447a16","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":132116969,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"comment back and like <u>pls</u>","text":"comment back and like <u>pls</u>","html":"comment back and like <u>pls</u>"},{"id":4464733,"gmtCreate":1622079258489,"gmtModify":1635398009969,"authorId":3573721781255613,"author":{"id":3573721781255613,"idStr":"3573721781255613","authorId":3573721781255613,"name":"szueyann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cba9c6b1e785a9cf7301a7e6a2ff2354","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":132116969,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"👍👍👍","text":"👍👍👍","html":"👍👍👍"},{"id":4476262,"gmtCreate":1622159288510,"gmtModify":1635397139824,"authorId":3571463229344698,"author":{"id":3571463229344698,"idStr":"3571463229344698","authorId":3571463229344698,"name":"WayneLo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14093ba883674abafbe66f8cf1adf5d3","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":132116969,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"😃","text":"😃","html":"😃"},{"id":4476285,"gmtCreate":1622159368378,"gmtModify":1635397137744,"authorId":3571463229344698,"author":{"id":3571463229344698,"idStr":"3571463229344698","authorId":3571463229344698,"name":"WayneLo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14093ba883674abafbe66f8cf1adf5d3","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":132116969,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"comment pls 🙏","text":"comment pls 🙏","html":"comment pls 🙏"},{"id":4479405,"gmtCreate":1622169323820,"gmtModify":1635396860969,"authorId":3563150446821026,"author":{"id":3563150446821026,"idStr":"3563150446821026","authorId":3563150446821026,"name":"Acella","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2712c4bb0bfbec4d2773e012189db3bc","vip":1,"crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":132116969,"type":1,"supId":4476285,"prevId":0,"content":"😀","text":"😀","html":"😀"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":132132820,"gmtCreate":1622075225960,"gmtModify":1634184133037,"author":{"id":"3573966231987456","authorId":"3573966231987456","name":"TerenceD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046d570a2a5c6793332b041c7628d5c3","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3573966231987456","authorIdStr":"3573966231987456"},"htmlText":"That’s 👍🏻&nbsp;","listText":"That’s 👍🏻&nbsp;","text":"That’s 👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132132820","repostId":2138486271,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":132377931,"gmtCreate":1622074325923,"gmtModify":1634184160001,"author":{"id":"3555214777256239","authorId":"3555214777256239","name":"nananan","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3555214777256239","authorIdStr":"3555214777256239"},"htmlText":"At least 20% of total market in 20 years.Tesla has always been supply constrainted, even before the pandamic. That is the only reason why the number isnt higher now.Greenwald is a fool, every other automakers share their profits with distributors, 3rd party vendors, marketing...Tesla does none of those.&nbsp;","listText":"At least 20% of total market in 20 years.Tesla has always been supply constrainted, even before the pandamic. That is the only reason why the number isnt higher now.Greenwald is a fool, every other automakers share their profits with distributors, 3rd party vendors, marketing...Tesla does none of those.&nbsp;","text":"At least 20% of total market in 20 years.Tesla has always been supply constrainted, even before the pandamic. That is the only reason why the number isnt higher now.Greenwald is a fool, every other automakers share their profits with distributors, 3rd party vendors, marketing...Tesla does none of those.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132377931","repostId":2138486271,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":107,"commentSize":59,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.1","shortVersion":"4.29.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2138486271"}