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J817

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J817

2022-01-24

$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$many people said this is overvalued,but can u all at least said what price will be reasonable that not counted as overvalued???

J817

2022-01-24

Hmmm[正经] [正经] [正经]

Want 98% to 148% Returns This Year? Wall Street Says Buy These 3 Stocks

J817

2022-01-22

[微笑]

@Buy_Sell:🚀【1月19日】深夜暴跌！科技股噩梦来袭？今天买点啥

J817

2022-01-14

@JoeLeong @Zacyai @Yan23 [微笑] [微笑] [微笑]

@爱发红包的虎妞:大改版！如何在老虎社区网页端发布内容？

J817

2022-01-07

buy tiger brokers [微笑]

@Buy_Sell:🚀【1月7日】非农要来！美联储加快收紧货币政策，今天买什么？

J817

2021-12-31

[笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭]

Sea Limited Shares Jumped More Than 4% in Morning Trading

J817

2021-12-30

@JoeLeong[笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭]

抱歉，原内容已删除

J817

2021-12-18

Tiger tiger tiger!!!

J817

2021-12-13

[微笑] [微笑] [微笑]

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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Wall Street Says Buy These 3 Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2205027031","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"All three are innovators in their respective markets.","content":"<html><head></head><body>Wall Street doesn&#39;t always get it right. Some stocks that analysts really like don&#39;t perform well. Others that they dislike can be surprising stars.However, analysts spend a lot of time poring over companies&#39; financial reports and researching their businesses and industry trends. They do plenty of number crunching to come up with price targets for stocks.It&#39;s probably fair to say that the stocks that analysts are most bullish about have at least reasonable prospects of generating solid gains. And some of those stocks could be especially big winners. If you want returns of 98% to 148% this year, Wall Street analysts think that buying these three stocks could do the trick.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4829f7c425772aea60edd8d81cf4be5a\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Image source: Getty Images.<h2>1. Shopify</h2>Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) is an e-commerce leader that analysts really like these days. The stock delivered a 22% gain in 2021. Wall Street&#39;s consensus price target for Shopify is 148% higher than the current share price.Sure, Shopify&#39;s valuation might seem terrifyingly high. The stock trades at almost 44 times sales and nearly 278 times expected earnings. However, it&#39;s important to put this premium valuation into context.The total addressable market for Shopify in serving small- to medium-sized businesses (SMB) is more than $150 billion per year. Shopify isn&#39;t limited to the SMB market, though. The company also caters to entrepreneurial start-ups and large customers.Shopify is growing rapidly, with revenue soaring 46% year over year in its latest reported quarter. The company will need to avoid missteps (such as the recent changes to its app store that displeased customers) to keep that momentum going. Barring any major blunders in the future, Shopify should be in a good position to deliver impressive returns for investors in 2022.<h2>2. Sea Limited</h2>If 2021 had ended in October, Sea Limited (NYSE:SE) would have delivered a sizzling gain last year. However, the stock plunged in the final couple of months and ended the year up only 12%.But Wall Street analysts think that Sea could make a major comeback in 2022. The average price target for the stock reflects an upside potential of 140%. There are several reasons to be optimistic about the prospects for Sea to double or more this year.Sea&#39;s Free Fire mobile game continues to pick up momentum -- and not just in Southeast Asia, where it has dominated for several years. It&#39;s also the highest-grossing mobile game in Latin America. Free Fire ranks as the highest-grossing mobile battle royale game in the U.S. and the second highest-grossing mobile game overall on Google Play.Don&#39;t think of Sea Limited as only a video game stock, though. The company also stands as a leader in e-commerce with its Shopee platform. Shopee is the top e-commerce app in Southeast Asia, Indonesia, and Taiwan. It&#39;s gaining traction in Latin America as well, especially in Brazil. Sea&#39;s mobile wallet payment volume has also increased tremendously thanks in large part to Shopee&#39;s success.There aren&#39;t many companies that claim leading positions in gaming, e-commerce, and digital payments. All three are key trends with lots of growth potential. Perhaps Sea Limited won&#39;t live up to analysts&#39; expectations this year, but it won&#39;t be surprising if it does.<h2>3. Teladoc Health</h2>Some might be tempted to throw in the towel on Teladoc Health (NYSE:TDOC). Shares of the virtual care provider lost more than half of its market cap last year. However, analysts remain very bullish about Teladoc. The average price target for the stock reflects a premium of 98% to the current share price.Teladoc doesn&#39;t have to look very far to find growth opportunities. The company currently has 76 million members. There are another 16 million potential members at existing clients who haven&#39;t enrolled in Teladoc&#39;s virtual care offerings. And there are an additional 63 million individuals within existing clients that don&#39;t yet have access to any of Teladoc&#39;s products.Increased product penetration is another way for Teladoc to grow. 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However, Teladoc should be able to deliver huge gains over the long run.</body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Want 98% to 148% Returns This Year? 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Wall Street Says Buy These 3 Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-24 09:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/23/wall-street-says-buy-these-3-stocks/>Motley Fool</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\nWall Street doesn't always get it right. Some stocks that analysts really like don't perform well. Others that they dislike can be surprising stars.However, analysts spend a lot of time poring over ...\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/23/wall-street-says-buy-these-3-stocks/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4085":"互动家庭娱乐","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BGNE":"百济神州","SHOP":"Shopify Inc","SE":"Sea Ltd","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4139":"生物科技","BK4528":"SaaS概念","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4567":"ESG概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4167":"医疗保健技术","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4116":"互联网服务与基础架构","BK4526":"热门中概股","TDOC":"Teladoc Health Inc.","SMB":"VanEck Short Muni ETF","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/23/wall-street-says-buy-these-3-stocks/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2205027031","content_text":"Wall Street doesn't always get it right. Some stocks that analysts really like don't perform well. Others that they dislike can be surprising stars.However, analysts spend a lot of time poring over companies' financial reports and researching their businesses and industry trends. They do plenty of number crunching to come up with price targets for stocks.It's probably fair to say that the stocks that analysts are most bullish about have at least reasonable prospects of generating solid gains. And some of those stocks could be especially big winners. If you want returns of 98% to 148% this year, Wall Street analysts think that buying these three stocks could do the trick.Image source: Getty Images.1. ShopifyShopify (NYSE:SHOP) is an e-commerce leader that analysts really like these days. The stock delivered a 22% gain in 2021. Wall Street's consensus price target for Shopify is 148% higher than the current share price.Sure, Shopify's valuation might seem terrifyingly high. The stock trades at almost 44 times sales and nearly 278 times expected earnings. However, it's important to put this premium valuation into context.The total addressable market for Shopify in serving small- to medium-sized businesses (SMB) is more than $150 billion per year. Shopify isn't limited to the SMB market, though. The company also caters to entrepreneurial start-ups and large customers.Shopify is growing rapidly, with revenue soaring 46% year over year in its latest reported quarter. The company will need to avoid missteps (such as the recent changes to its app store that displeased customers) to keep that momentum going. Barring any major blunders in the future, Shopify should be in a good position to deliver impressive returns for investors in 2022.2. Sea LimitedIf 2021 had ended in October, Sea Limited (NYSE:SE) would have delivered a sizzling gain last year. However, the stock plunged in the final couple of months and ended the year up only 12%.But Wall Street analysts think that Sea could make a major comeback in 2022. The average price target for the stock reflects an upside potential of 140%. There are several reasons to be optimistic about the prospects for Sea to double or more this year.Sea's Free Fire mobile game continues to pick up momentum -- and not just in Southeast Asia, where it has dominated for several years. It's also the highest-grossing mobile game in Latin America. Free Fire ranks as the highest-grossing mobile battle royale game in the U.S. and the second highest-grossing mobile game overall on Google Play.Don't think of Sea Limited as only a video game stock, though. The company also stands as a leader in e-commerce with its Shopee platform. Shopee is the top e-commerce app in Southeast Asia, Indonesia, and Taiwan. It's gaining traction in Latin America as well, especially in Brazil. Sea's mobile wallet payment volume has also increased tremendously thanks in large part to Shopee's success.There aren't many companies that claim leading positions in gaming, e-commerce, and digital payments. All three are key trends with lots of growth potential. Perhaps Sea Limited won't live up to analysts' expectations this year, but it won't be surprising if it does.3. Teladoc HealthSome might be tempted to throw in the towel on Teladoc Health (NYSE:TDOC). Shares of the virtual care provider lost more than half of its market cap last year. However, analysts remain very bullish about Teladoc. The average price target for the stock reflects a premium of 98% to the current share price.Teladoc doesn't have to look very far to find growth opportunities. The company currently has 76 million members. There are another 16 million potential members at existing clients who haven't enrolled in Teladoc's virtual care offerings. And there are an additional 63 million individuals within existing clients that don't yet have access to any of Teladoc's products.Increased product penetration is another way for Teladoc to grow. The penetration rate for the company's chronic disease management platform for diabetes is only around 21% right now. Less than 1% of members currently use Teladoc's new Primary360 virtual primary care product.Of course, Teladoc also has significant room for bringing on new customers. More than 140 million Americans don't use Teladoc yet.Consulting firm McKinsey & Company estimates that the U.S. virtual care market could reach up to $250 billion per year. Teladoc is the leader in this market and should retain its position despite increased competition. Maybe the stock won't nearly double this year as Wall Street expects. However, Teladoc should be able to deliver huge gains over the long 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港股市场 1月19日，香港恒生指数开盘上涨117.0点，涨幅0.49%，报24229.78点；国企指数开盘上涨36.5点，涨幅0.43%，报8485.5点；红筹指数开盘上涨18.46点，涨幅0.45%，报4117.48点。 恒生科技指数开涨0.31%，科技板块表现较为活跃，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">$京东集团-SW(09618)$</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09888\">$百度集团-SW(09888)$</a> 涨超2%； 内房股、物业管理股多数高开，碧桂园服务开涨3%； 体育用品股上涨，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02331\">$李宁(02331)$</a> 涨超2%； <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02359\">$药明康德(02359)$</a> 涨超2%，年度归母净利同比预增近70%； <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01913\">$普拉达(01913)$</a> 涨逾3%，集团2021年总收益同比增长41%。 美股市场 美股周二收跌，美国国债收益率大幅攀升，令高成长科技股承压。截至收盘，道琼斯指数跌1.51%，报35,368.47点；标普500指数跌1.83%，报4,577.34点；纳斯达克指数跌2.60%，报14,506.90点。 大型科技股悉数下挫，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 跌1.89%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$亚马逊(AMZN)$</a> 跌1.99%，","listText":"聊聊今日份的交易想法，包括对于大盘走势后续的看法？看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。 港股市场 1月19日，香港恒生指数开盘上涨117.0点，涨幅0.49%，报24229.78点；国企指数开盘上涨36.5点，涨幅0.43%，报8485.5点；红筹指数开盘上涨18.46点，涨幅0.45%，报4117.48点。 恒生科技指数开涨0.31%，科技板块表现较为活跃，<a 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美股周二收跌，美国国债收益率大幅攀升，令高成长科技股承压。截至收盘，道琼斯指数跌1.51%，报35,368.47点；标普500指数跌1.83%，报4,577.34点；纳斯达克指数跌2.60%，报14,506.90点。 大型科技股悉数下挫，$苹果(AAPL)$ 跌1.89%，$亚马逊(AMZN)$ 跌1.99%，","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2824dfec01176c2466605ae1339f684d","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697484754","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":900,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":697018660,"gmtCreate":1642156641250,"gmtModify":1642156641499,"author":{"id":"4099072184690960","authorId":"4099072184690960","name":"J817","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bf29313eb64438823c090e77a69b94a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4087376537728580\"></a> [微笑] [微笑] [微笑]","text":"@JoeLeong@Zacyai@Yan23 [微笑] [微笑] [微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697018660","repostId":"694499639","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":694499639,"gmtCreate":1642065936304,"gmtModify":1642128600641,"author":{"id":"20722186463466","authorId":"20722186463466","name":"爱发红包的虎妞","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/acf27be178fbc21279d1959ce5bec4e7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"大改版！如何在老虎社区网页端发布内容？","htmlText":"喜欢使用laohu8（老虎社区网页版）发帖的虎友们应该有留意到，近期大改版啦！！！ 根据最近收到的一些疑问，虎妞重新梳理了发帖流程。如有不明之处可以在此贴留言给我噢~ 网页端如何发布内容？ 第一步：用电脑浏览器打开网址https://www.laohu8.com/进行登录 第二步：找到内容输入框，短帖内容可直接编辑-发布！ Tips：关联提及的个股+选择合适的主题，可以带来更多的互动噢~ 短贴互动少，不甘心？ 长文贴值得你来了解一下 标题鲜明、图文结合的长文帖，获得的曝光和互动，和短贴不是一个等级！（悄悄告诉大家，发帖的时候，顺手关联个股和话题，曝光加倍！） 那么问题来了，长文贴如何发布呢？ 1、选择“写长文” 2、输入标题-正文 合理利用功能栏（插入图片&amp;K线图、艾特其他社区用户、排版等），完整的编辑一篇文章。内容与图片相符、观点鲜明更容易获得推荐。 另外，还有设置投票、选择合适的主题、设置展示图等更多的功能等待你去探索哟~ 3、最后一步：点击【发布】，即可发出一篇文章，审核通过后，虎友们就可以看到你的内容啦~ 主题应该怎么选？ 核心前提：优质内容可以突破常规 选择合适的主题，可以使优质内容通过更多分配渠道曝光。在这里推荐两个导向： 1、根据文章内容来选择合适的主题 2、根据社区活动/主题来写相关的内容 帖子发布之后，想修改内容怎么办？ 注意！电脑端可多次修改长文，改到你满意为止！ 依次点击：头像—个人中心，找到想要修改的长贴，光标移动到该贴上，点击「编辑」，可以对已发布的内容进行修改哟~ 移动端（手机app）如何发布内容？ 短内容发文步骤： 长内容发文步骤： 以下类型内容，更容易被加精华噢！ 用户分享自己的投资经历、投资思路、投资策略； 用户披露并分析自己的投资操作； 基于宏","listText":"喜欢使用laohu8（老虎社区网页版）发帖的虎友们应该有留意到，近期大改版啦！！！ 根据最近收到的一些疑问，虎妞重新梳理了发帖流程。如有不明之处可以在此贴留言给我噢~ 网页端如何发布内容？ 第一步：用电脑浏览器打开网址https://www.laohu8.com/进行登录 第二步：找到内容输入框，短帖内容可直接编辑-发布！ Tips：关联提及的个股+选择合适的主题，可以带来更多的互动噢~ 短贴互动少，不甘心？ 长文贴值得你来了解一下 标题鲜明、图文结合的长文帖，获得的曝光和互动，和短贴不是一个等级！（悄悄告诉大家，发帖的时候，顺手关联个股和话题，曝光加倍！） 那么问题来了，长文贴如何发布呢？ 1、选择“写长文” 2、输入标题-正文 合理利用功能栏（插入图片&amp;K线图、艾特其他社区用户、排版等），完整的编辑一篇文章。内容与图片相符、观点鲜明更容易获得推荐。 另外，还有设置投票、选择合适的主题、设置展示图等更多的功能等待你去探索哟~ 3、最后一步：点击【发布】，即可发出一篇文章，审核通过后，虎友们就可以看到你的内容啦~ 主题应该怎么选？ 核心前提：优质内容可以突破常规 选择合适的主题，可以使优质内容通过更多分配渠道曝光。在这里推荐两个导向： 1、根据文章内容来选择合适的主题 2、根据社区活动/主题来写相关的内容 帖子发布之后，想修改内容怎么办？ 注意！电脑端可多次修改长文，改到你满意为止！ 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基于宏","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cc83a56e3a507f2ca67e28671823515","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a77f23c5ca779ea15d6b8b9e8a2a74b","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34fa2e62c38cfc786de97b2c588b50c5","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694499639","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":10,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":660,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":695493670,"gmtCreate":1641537778090,"gmtModify":1641538615189,"author":{"id":"4099072184690960","authorId":"4099072184690960","name":"J817","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bf29313eb64438823c090e77a69b94a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"buy tiger brokers [微笑]","listText":"buy tiger brokers [微笑]","text":"buy tiger brokers [微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/695493670","repostId":"695529475","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":695529475,"gmtCreate":1641524653500,"gmtModify":1707367328314,"author":{"id":"3527667596890271","authorId":"3527667596890271","name":"Buy_Sell","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5f0ed79a338c758a22e0b4ea13bf9d2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"🚀【1月7日】非农要来！美联储加快收紧货币政策，今天买什么？","htmlText":"聊聊今日份的交易想法，包括对于大盘走势后续的看法？看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。 港股市场 1月7日讯，港股三大指数高开，恒指涨1.07%，国指涨0.74%，恒生科技指数涨1.36%。 盘面上，隔夜美股热门中概股逆势大涨，大型科技股集体上扬，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a> 涨4.55%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09888\">$百度集团-SW(09888)$</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">$京东集团-SW(09618)$</a> 涨超3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a> 涨2.8%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">$快手-W(01024)$</a> 、腾讯涨近2%；生物医药股反弹，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06606\">$诺辉健康-B(06606)$</a> 跳涨近15%领涨，汽车股、半导体股、保险股、在线教育股、乳业股、石油股普遍上涨，长城汽车高开超5%，12月销量同比增8.17%；另一方面，内房股与物管股领跌，中医药股回调。昨日大跌的细价股反弹，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00554\">$汉思能源(00554)$</a> 、BENG SOON MACH涨超14%。 诺辉健康跳空高开14.75%报22.1港元，最新市值95亿港元。公司昨晚宣布，旗下幽门螺杆菌检测产品幽幽管获得国家药品监督管理局(NMPA)批准的三类医疗器械注册申请。这是国家药监局批准的中国首个适用于“消费者自测”的幽门螺杆菌检测产品。近日，在美国卫生","listText":"聊聊今日份的交易想法，包括对于大盘走势后续的看法？看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。 港股市场 1月7日讯，港股三大指数高开，恒指涨1.07%，国指涨0.74%，恒生科技指数涨1.36%。 盘面上，隔夜美股热门中概股逆势大涨，大型科技股集体上扬，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a> 涨4.55%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09888\">$百度集团-SW(09888)$</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">$京东集团-SW(09618)$</a> 涨超3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a> 涨2.8%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">$快手-W(01024)$</a> 、腾讯涨近2%；生物医药股反弹，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06606\">$诺辉健康-B(06606)$</a> 跳涨近15%领涨，汽车股、半导体股、保险股、在线教育股、乳业股、石油股普遍上涨，长城汽车高开超5%，12月销量同比增8.17%；另一方面，内房股与物管股领跌，中医药股回调。昨日大跌的细价股反弹，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00554\">$汉思能源(00554)$</a> 、BENG SOON MACH涨超14%。 诺辉健康跳空高开14.75%报22.1港元，最新市值95亿港元。公司昨晚宣布，旗下幽门螺杆菌检测产品幽幽管获得国家药品监督管理局(NMPA)批准的三类医疗器械注册申请。这是国家药监局批准的中国首个适用于“消费者自测”的幽门螺杆菌检测产品。近日，在美国卫生","text":"聊聊今日份的交易想法，包括对于大盘走势后续的看法？看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。 港股市场 1月7日讯，港股三大指数高开，恒指涨1.07%，国指涨0.74%，恒生科技指数涨1.36%。 盘面上，隔夜美股热门中概股逆势大涨，大型科技股集体上扬，$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$ 涨4.55%，$百度集团-SW(09888)$ 、$京东集团-SW(09618)$ 涨超3%，$美团-W(03690)$ 涨2.8%，$快手-W(01024)$ 、腾讯涨近2%；生物医药股反弹，$诺辉健康-B(06606)$ 跳涨近15%领涨，汽车股、半导体股、保险股、在线教育股、乳业股、石油股普遍上涨，长城汽车高开超5%，12月销量同比增8.17%；另一方面，内房股与物管股领跌，中医药股回调。昨日大跌的细价股反弹，$汉思能源(00554)$ 、BENG SOON MACH涨超14%。 诺辉健康跳空高开14.75%报22.1港元，最新市值95亿港元。公司昨晚宣布，旗下幽门螺杆菌检测产品幽幽管获得国家药品监督管理局(NMPA)批准的三类医疗器械注册申请。这是国家药监局批准的中国首个适用于“消费者自测”的幽门螺杆菌检测产品。近日，在美国卫生","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c224c9889536a14f83eca563ae0bb07","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/695529475","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":718,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":692145759,"gmtCreate":1640886723324,"gmtModify":1640886818054,"author":{"id":"4099072184690960","authorId":"4099072184690960","name":"J817","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bf29313eb64438823c090e77a69b94a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;","listText":"[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;","text":"[笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692145759","repostId":"1106092668","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106092668","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1640876653,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106092668?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-30 23:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited Shares Jumped More Than 4% in Morning Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106092668","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Sea Limited shares jumped more than 4% in morning trading.Also Read:Sea Limited: A Deep Dive To Unde","content":"<html><head></head><body>Sea Limited shares jumped more than 4% in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/448dcc7d589843674730e046aa6ef96a\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Also Read:Sea Limited: A Deep Dive To Understand The Recent SelloffSummary<ul><li>Sea Limited is a highly diversified business firing on all cylinders in some of the fastest-growing economies in the world.</li><li>I dive into each of its segments to understand the recent selloff and justify the current valuation.</li><li>I consider Sea one of my ten highest conviction investments.</li></ul><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5cbe0a30acc723a2c6f62300024002\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>kokkai/iStock Unreleased via Getty ImagesThesisA by-parts analysis of Sea Limited&#39;s (NYSE:SE) segments shows that its current valuation is roughly fair, but there are many long-term growth drivers that could surprise to the upside and drive very strong returns for years to come.IntroductionI recently wrote an article highlighting my top 10 stock picks for 2022. I&#39;d already done an in-depth analysis of my other nine picks in other Seeking Alpha articles, so I thought it would be good to close out the year with an article about Sea.Furthermore, with shares down significantly over the past couple of months (but still slightly up for the year), I believe this article may prove timely. I don&#39;t speculate on short-term market movements, but I personally added to my Sea shares recently. It&#39;s one of my only losing positions that I didn&#39;t sell out of temporarily for tax-loss harvesting, and in this article, I will explain why Sea is such a high conviction holding for me.It&#39;s also worth noting that many professional investors seem to share this opinion. Sea is the 121st largest company in the world, but it&#39;s the16thmost popular holding among hedge funds. This implies that big money is overweight Sea, with 71% of shares held by institutions.Because Sea operates in many different areas, I will do a separate analysis of each of its operating segments to justify its current valuation and explain how that valuation could drive unexpectedly strong returns for years.GamingSea Limited&#39;s gaming segment Garena is best known for Free Fire, a mobile battle royale game that was developed in-house.The game was released in 2017 and has been very popular ever since. It currently has the second most monthly active users among all Android games globally. The game is available worldwide, but it&#39;s particularly popular in emerging markets like SEA, LATAM, and India, where it&#39;s been the highest-grossing mobile game for over two years.With the game having been popular for a long time already, there&#39;s some concern that gamers will move on to the next big thing. Although there are some mobile games that are older than Free Fire and still very popular - like Roblox, Clash of Clans, and Pokemon Go - there are many more that have been forgotten. Until Garena releases more games and proves that it can be successful with them too, there will always be questions about whether its studio is a one-hit wonder.Regardless, Garena is a critical part of Sea because it&#39;s the only profitable segment and it doubles a social platform that provides free advertising for Sea&#39;s non-gaming products. Cross-promotion is a huge competitive advantage for Sea.Thus, one reason for Sea&#39;s recent selloff could be the Q4 guidance implied for Garena.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e299727cc28a887a36d88831aec8f53\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"334\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Source: Earnings Call PresentationIn Q2 this year, Garena raised its guidance to $4.5B-$4.7B for 2021 bookings (up from $4.3B-$4.5B). With the first three quarters already totaling $3.5B, this implies that Q4 bookings will come in at $1.0B-$1.2B, up between 0% and 20% year over year, and likely down sequentially. This is compared to 29% growth in the most recent quarter and 44% projected growth for the full year.While 20% isn&#39;t a terrible deceleration, 0% certainly is. Even 20% growth isn&#39;t spectacular compared to the historic levels. At the 10% midpoint, Garena&#39;s growth looks more similar to that of a mature company like Activision (NASDAQ:ATVI) or Zynga (NASDAQ:ZNGA) than a fast-growing company like Roblox (NYSE:RBLX).Garena&#39;s implied valuation should - and did - suffer as a result. While a fast-growing company like Roblox can command a high double-digit P/S multiple, Activision and Zynga trade at an average P/S multiple of just 4. Garena is slightly more profitable than them and probably has more risk to the upside, so I&#39;ll use a P/S multiple of 5 for my implied valuation. This implies a P/E of about 10 for a business growing at around 10%, which is very reasonable in today&#39;s market.This means Garena is worth $23.5B based on the high end of management&#39;s guidance.I believe this valuation is actually conservative for a few reasons:<ul><li>Next year has tough comps and growth could re-accelerate in the following years or even next year, especially if Garena releases a new hit game. The growth rate past next quarter is not based on explicit guidance from the company, only industry forecasts.</li><li>The peer valuations I used are from companies also trading at the lower end of their valuation range for the past year.</li><li>Garena has a good track record and is continuing to invest in Free Fire. One example of this is the recently released Free Fire MAX, which improves the experience for users with higher-end phones and even adds a metaverse-like customizable map called Craftland. To me, this implies that Garena believes Free Fire is still in the earlier part of its lifecycle.</li><li>Although I&#39;d obviously prefer that Garena develops more games in house, in the meantime it&#39;s still not a one-trick pony. In addition to Free Fire, Garena distributes games from third-party developers like Tencent (OTCMKTS:OTCPK:TCEHY). These are popular titles like League of Legends and Call of Duty, which meaningfully diversify Garena&#39;s revenue.</li></ul>E-CommerceSea&#39;s e-commerce platform Shopee is currently its big growth driver. This platform is often considered the Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) of Southeast Asia, and it recently expanded into more markets including Brazil.There&#39;s always some debate about who is really the Amazon of a region. Shopee certainly has competition, including from Alibaba&#39;s (NYSE:BABA) Lazada, Tokopedia in Indonesia, MercadoLibre (MELI) in Brazil, and even Amazon itself. With most of the competition being private or tucked away into a larger company, many of the competitors don&#39;t publish exact revenue numbers, which makes it difficult to measure the competition. Even Sea hasn&#39;t published explicit revenue numbers for some countries like Brazil.One neutral source that can be assessed is the Alexa site rank, which as its name suggests ranks sites by their popularity. Keep in mind that these are ranks, so a lower score is better.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/180367a2b64bccebf243c5b6d8fb776a\" tg-width=\"455\" tg-height=\"353\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Source: The Author, compiled from AlexaShopee is very mobile-focused, but the above table only considers the website. To check App Store app ranks for the shopping category, we can use App Annie.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6544f014a5d70d13ee14dab0ac8b6782\" tg-width=\"422\" tg-height=\"403\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Source: The Author, compiled from AppAnnieOn the mobile side, there&#39;s no need to look at the competition because Shopee is consistently the number one shopping app in every country listed. In a mobile-first world, this bodes very well. Even on the web side, Shopee wins out except in a few specific regions like LATAM and (barely) Indonesia, which have more local competitors.Of course, traffic doesn&#39;t always translate to GMV. But for a shopping app where most people will use the app to buy something, it&#39;s a decent proxy. A third party estimates that Shopee accounts for57%of all e-commerce in Southeast Asia. It&#39;s Shopee&#39;s dominance in the mobile app ranks and market share that make me consider it the Amazon of Southeast Asia.So why would a company with so much potential sell off?After the recent earnings report, some analysts expressed concern that Shopee is branching out into other countries like Poland and Mexico before validating its business model in the current markets. In these countries, Shopee has less of a presence; it&#39;s bounced between the 3-5 spots on the Mexico App Store for shopping apps, and between spots 1 and 3 in Poland. Although analysts hate uncertainty - and the CEO&#39;s comments that they don&#39;t have a concrete measure of success in these earlier stage countries won&#39;t help with that - Shopee has a history of entering new countries successfully and I am willing to give management some time to try expanding more. After all, if they&#39;re successful, then it could drive even more unexpected growth in the future.Another complaint from analysts was that the basket size (average purchase size) is trending down. While that could also have contributed to the recent selloff, it&#39;s hard to complain when the overall sales increased a lot despite a decrease in basket size.The company raised its guidance for e-commerce again in Q3, now guiding for $5.0B-$5.2B in 2021 e-commerce revenue. That&#39;s 75%-100% growth in Q4 and about 135% growth for the year. These are much more exciting numbers than the gaming side, although the guidance still implies a slight deceleration in Q4. But compared to Amazon&#39;s $340B in 2020 e-commerce sales, Shopee looks like it&#39;s just scratched the surface. E-commerce is at only11%penetration in Southeast Asia compared to18.7%in the USA, and Southeast Asia economies are generally growing faster than the USA&#39;s.Despite being in a blue skies industry, it&#39;s more difficult to value the e-commerce segment because it operates at a loss (whereas the gaming segment is highly profitable). Shopee&#39;s success is not guaranteed because it&#39;s not clear at this point whether the platform can become profitable while retaining its market share. Stocks like this tend to experience more volatility, which could partially explain the recent selloff.For unprofitable software companies, I like to use the Rule of 40 to assess the business. But it&#39;s difficult to apply this rule to a more cyclical e-commerce company with naturally lower margins. Even so, it&#39;s worth noting that despite being unprofitable, Sea&#39;s Rule of 40 score of 104 is better than most SaaS companies&#39;, and also better than e-commerce peers Amazon (21), MercadoLibre (73), and Alibaba (43).To understand Shopee&#39;s terminal valuation once it becomes profitable, we can look at industry peers. Amazon is one profitable and slower-growing peer, and it trades at 4x P/S. AWS pushes this number up, but Amazon&#39;s high exposure to first-party sales offsets that. Other e-commerce marketplace peers trade at similar valuations: Alibaba at 3x P/S, MercadoLibre at 9x P/S. All of these valuations are basically all-time lows.If Shopee keeps doubling revenue over the next couple of years (which it&#39;s easily done every year since 2016), becomes profitable (which scaling up tends to help with), and will have Amazon&#39;s P/S multiple in two years, then at 16 P/S today it would trade flat for two years. But if it keeps growing much faster than Amazon over a longer period like a decade, and/or if the overall industry multiples expand to more normal historical levels, then even at 16x P/S this segment has potential upside. On the other hand, if it stops growing or never becomes profitable then investors will be very disappointed at any P/S.Given this wide range of outcomes, each person is going to have their own way of valuing this segment. For me, when I look at Shopee&#39;s mobile dominance, relatively small current size, the funding coming in from Garena, and the precedent set by Amazon, Alibaba, and MercadoLibre for the sustainable long-term success of this business model, I am optimistic about this segment&#39;s future. I recognize that it&#39;s currently an unprofitable and thus risky segment, but I also see the massive potential.So I am happy paying a 16x P/S multiple, which values the e-commerce segment at $83.2B. Some people will call that way too high, and those people will probably never get a chance to invest in this company, for better or for worse.Thus, with just Garena and Shopee, I have Sea being worth $106.7B. Its current market cap is $123.1B. To account for the difference, let&#39;s look at the other parts of Sea.FinTech &amp; InvestmentsThe easiest addition to my computed valuation is Sea&#39;s $12B cash pile, partially offset by $4B in debt. This adds some nice optionality to the company and ensures that it won&#39;t be bankrupt any time soon despite losing money with Shopee. Adding in the $8B cash difference puts my computed valuation at $114.7B, just $8.4B short of the actual valuation.Then there is Sea&#39;s FinTech arm, SeaMoney. The main product here is a mobile wallet, which was responsible for $4.6B in payment volume in the last quarter (~$20B over a year). This segment accounted for $132 million in Q3 revenue, up a whopping 818% year over year. This implies a &#34;take rate&#34; of 2.9%, which is even better than established FinTech companies like Visa (V). Because of this high take rate, I&#39;m not worried about SeaMoney losing money while it scales.Despite SeaMoney being a small segment, it&#39;s now reaching a point where it can be factored into the valuation. Maybe it&#39;s only worth a couple of billion, but this is just the start. Five years ago, nobody would have expected that an e-commerce platform accounting for 5% of Sea&#39;s sales would today be worth more than the gaming segment. But Sea&#39;s management - combined with Garena&#39;s ability to fund new segments and drive their viral adoption - made it happen. It&#39;s certainly not guaranteed that Sea will have the same success with FinTech, but there is precedent for it.If one day this segment is worth a third or more of Sea (in 2020, FinTech accounted for 36% of MercadoLibre&#39;s revenue) then getting it for just 7% of the business today will be well worth it, even if that implies a somewhat high 16x P/S multiple for the segment today. Actually, this multiple is already lower than Visa&#39;s, Mastercard&#39;s (NYSE:MA), and Affirm&#39;s (NASDAQ:AFRM). Realistically, a segment growing at 818% year over year should probably get a higher multiple than these slower-growing companies&#39;, but we don&#39;t even need to speculate about what a fair multiple is, since we can reach Sea&#39;s current valuation by using 16x P/S in my model valuation.One way this segment could grow even more is through the introduction of more products besides the mobile wallet. Sea noted in their recent earnings that they have started &#34;early initiatives in other digital financial services such as buy now pay later, digital bank, and insurtech.&#34; These guys sure know how to hop on the latest high growth trend.Finally, there&#39;s the investments arm. Sea is investing in early-stage tech companies, especially in Southeast Asia. There&#39;s strong precedent for companies like Tencent (which is itself an investor in Sea) and Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) managing successful investment portfolios that ultimately factor meaningfully into their valuation. Right now Sea&#39;s investment arm is very early stage, so I don&#39;t include it in my valuation model. But it doesn&#39;t have to be factored in to justify the current share price. It&#39;s just one more area that might be worth a large part of Sea one day.ConclusionLooking at each of Sea&#39;s segments, my valuation model indicates that Sea is fairly valued today. However, my model doesn&#39;t account for the significant optionality of the newer segments. Just like e-commerce did over the last five years, FinTech (and/or investments) could grow to become a very large part of Sea&#39;s business. With the FinTech segment currently growing at 818% year over year, it doesn&#39;t take much imagination to see how this happens. Just another year or two of growth at something close to that rate will make the FinTech arm impossible for investors to ignore.This optionality combined general strength in each business has allowed Sea to post an average revenue beat of 7% over the past year. Earnings haven&#39;t been as strong, and I expect that to be the main point of contention with my valuation model, as is the case for most unprofitable companies. In particular, I expect some readers will disagree with my valuation of the e-commerce segment. But even if you drop e-commerce all the way down to 5x P/S (a multiple seen today by much slower growing e-commerce companies) that implies 54% downside from today&#39;s prices. It&#39;s a steep drop for sure, but most companies in today&#39;s market would be looking at such a decline if one were to use the most conservative valuation standards possible.Only fast-growing companies like Sea can quickly offset such a decline with revenue growth. As a result, the businesses with the most long-term potential will hardly ever trade at the most conservative valuation possible. And Sea certainly has long-term potential. It&#39;s one of the few high-growth companies I own that I could see reaching a trillion-dollar market cap this decade.</body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited Shares Jumped More Than 4% in Morning Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited Shares Jumped More Than 4% in Morning Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\nTiger Newspress \n2021-12-30 23:04\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body>Sea Limited shares jumped more than 4% in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/448dcc7d589843674730e046aa6ef96a\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Also Read:Sea Limited: A Deep Dive To Understand The Recent SelloffSummary<ul><li>Sea Limited is a highly diversified business firing on all cylinders in some of the fastest-growing economies in the world.</li><li>I dive into each of its segments to understand the recent selloff and justify the current valuation.</li><li>I consider Sea one of my ten highest conviction investments.</li></ul><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5cbe0a30acc723a2c6f62300024002\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>kokkai/iStock Unreleased via Getty ImagesThesisA by-parts analysis of Sea Limited&#39;s (NYSE:SE) segments shows that its current valuation is roughly fair, but there are many long-term growth drivers that could surprise to the upside and drive very strong returns for years to come.IntroductionI recently wrote an article highlighting my top 10 stock picks for 2022. I&#39;d already done an in-depth analysis of my other nine picks in other Seeking Alpha articles, so I thought it would be good to close out the year with an article about Sea.Furthermore, with shares down significantly over the past couple of months (but still slightly up for the year), I believe this article may prove timely. I don&#39;t speculate on short-term market movements, but I personally added to my Sea shares recently. It&#39;s one of my only losing positions that I didn&#39;t sell out of temporarily for tax-loss harvesting, and in this article, I will explain why Sea is such a high conviction holding for me.It&#39;s also worth noting that many professional investors seem to share this opinion. Sea is the 121st largest company in the world, but it&#39;s the16thmost popular holding among hedge funds. This implies that big money is overweight Sea, with 71% of shares held by institutions.Because Sea operates in many different areas, I will do a separate analysis of each of its operating segments to justify its current valuation and explain how that valuation could drive unexpectedly strong returns for years.GamingSea Limited&#39;s gaming segment Garena is best known for Free Fire, a mobile battle royale game that was developed in-house.The game was released in 2017 and has been very popular ever since. It currently has the second most monthly active users among all Android games globally. The game is available worldwide, but it&#39;s particularly popular in emerging markets like SEA, LATAM, and India, where it&#39;s been the highest-grossing mobile game for over two years.With the game having been popular for a long time already, there&#39;s some concern that gamers will move on to the next big thing. Although there are some mobile games that are older than Free Fire and still very popular - like Roblox, Clash of Clans, and Pokemon Go - there are many more that have been forgotten. Until Garena releases more games and proves that it can be successful with them too, there will always be questions about whether its studio is a one-hit wonder.Regardless, Garena is a critical part of Sea because it&#39;s the only profitable segment and it doubles a social platform that provides free advertising for Sea&#39;s non-gaming products. Cross-promotion is a huge competitive advantage for Sea.Thus, one reason for Sea&#39;s recent selloff could be the Q4 guidance implied for Garena.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e299727cc28a887a36d88831aec8f53\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"334\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Source: Earnings Call PresentationIn Q2 this year, Garena raised its guidance to $4.5B-$4.7B for 2021 bookings (up from $4.3B-$4.5B). With the first three quarters already totaling $3.5B, this implies that Q4 bookings will come in at $1.0B-$1.2B, up between 0% and 20% year over year, and likely down sequentially. This is compared to 29% growth in the most recent quarter and 44% projected growth for the full year.While 20% isn&#39;t a terrible deceleration, 0% certainly is. Even 20% growth isn&#39;t spectacular compared to the historic levels. At the 10% midpoint, Garena&#39;s growth looks more similar to that of a mature company like Activision (NASDAQ:ATVI) or Zynga (NASDAQ:ZNGA) than a fast-growing company like Roblox (NYSE:RBLX).Garena&#39;s implied valuation should - and did - suffer as a result. While a fast-growing company like Roblox can command a high double-digit P/S multiple, Activision and Zynga trade at an average P/S multiple of just 4. Garena is slightly more profitable than them and probably has more risk to the upside, so I&#39;ll use a P/S multiple of 5 for my implied valuation. This implies a P/E of about 10 for a business growing at around 10%, which is very reasonable in today&#39;s market.This means Garena is worth $23.5B based on the high end of management&#39;s guidance.I believe this valuation is actually conservative for a few reasons:<ul><li>Next year has tough comps and growth could re-accelerate in the following years or even next year, especially if Garena releases a new hit game. The growth rate past next quarter is not based on explicit guidance from the company, only industry forecasts.</li><li>The peer valuations I used are from companies also trading at the lower end of their valuation range for the past year.</li><li>Garena has a good track record and is continuing to invest in Free Fire. One example of this is the recently released Free Fire MAX, which improves the experience for users with higher-end phones and even adds a metaverse-like customizable map called Craftland. To me, this implies that Garena believes Free Fire is still in the earlier part of its lifecycle.</li><li>Although I&#39;d obviously prefer that Garena develops more games in house, in the meantime it&#39;s still not a one-trick pony. In addition to Free Fire, Garena distributes games from third-party developers like Tencent (OTCMKTS:OTCPK:TCEHY). These are popular titles like League of Legends and Call of Duty, which meaningfully diversify Garena&#39;s revenue.</li></ul>E-CommerceSea&#39;s e-commerce platform Shopee is currently its big growth driver. This platform is often considered the Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) of Southeast Asia, and it recently expanded into more markets including Brazil.There&#39;s always some debate about who is really the Amazon of a region. Shopee certainly has competition, including from Alibaba&#39;s (NYSE:BABA) Lazada, Tokopedia in Indonesia, MercadoLibre (MELI) in Brazil, and even Amazon itself. With most of the competition being private or tucked away into a larger company, many of the competitors don&#39;t publish exact revenue numbers, which makes it difficult to measure the competition. Even Sea hasn&#39;t published explicit revenue numbers for some countries like Brazil.One neutral source that can be assessed is the Alexa site rank, which as its name suggests ranks sites by their popularity. Keep in mind that these are ranks, so a lower score is better.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/180367a2b64bccebf243c5b6d8fb776a\" tg-width=\"455\" tg-height=\"353\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Source: The Author, compiled from AlexaShopee is very mobile-focused, but the above table only considers the website. To check App Store app ranks for the shopping category, we can use App Annie.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6544f014a5d70d13ee14dab0ac8b6782\" tg-width=\"422\" tg-height=\"403\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Source: The Author, compiled from AppAnnieOn the mobile side, there&#39;s no need to look at the competition because Shopee is consistently the number one shopping app in every country listed. In a mobile-first world, this bodes very well. Even on the web side, Shopee wins out except in a few specific regions like LATAM and (barely) Indonesia, which have more local competitors.Of course, traffic doesn&#39;t always translate to GMV. But for a shopping app where most people will use the app to buy something, it&#39;s a decent proxy. A third party estimates that Shopee accounts for57%of all e-commerce in Southeast Asia. It&#39;s Shopee&#39;s dominance in the mobile app ranks and market share that make me consider it the Amazon of Southeast Asia.So why would a company with so much potential sell off?After the recent earnings report, some analysts expressed concern that Shopee is branching out into other countries like Poland and Mexico before validating its business model in the current markets. In these countries, Shopee has less of a presence; it&#39;s bounced between the 3-5 spots on the Mexico App Store for shopping apps, and between spots 1 and 3 in Poland. Although analysts hate uncertainty - and the CEO&#39;s comments that they don&#39;t have a concrete measure of success in these earlier stage countries won&#39;t help with that - Shopee has a history of entering new countries successfully and I am willing to give management some time to try expanding more. After all, if they&#39;re successful, then it could drive even more unexpected growth in the future.Another complaint from analysts was that the basket size (average purchase size) is trending down. While that could also have contributed to the recent selloff, it&#39;s hard to complain when the overall sales increased a lot despite a decrease in basket size.The company raised its guidance for e-commerce again in Q3, now guiding for $5.0B-$5.2B in 2021 e-commerce revenue. That&#39;s 75%-100% growth in Q4 and about 135% growth for the year. These are much more exciting numbers than the gaming side, although the guidance still implies a slight deceleration in Q4. But compared to Amazon&#39;s $340B in 2020 e-commerce sales, Shopee looks like it&#39;s just scratched the surface. E-commerce is at only11%penetration in Southeast Asia compared to18.7%in the USA, and Southeast Asia economies are generally growing faster than the USA&#39;s.Despite being in a blue skies industry, it&#39;s more difficult to value the e-commerce segment because it operates at a loss (whereas the gaming segment is highly profitable). Shopee&#39;s success is not guaranteed because it&#39;s not clear at this point whether the platform can become profitable while retaining its market share. Stocks like this tend to experience more volatility, which could partially explain the recent selloff.For unprofitable software companies, I like to use the Rule of 40 to assess the business. But it&#39;s difficult to apply this rule to a more cyclical e-commerce company with naturally lower margins. Even so, it&#39;s worth noting that despite being unprofitable, Sea&#39;s Rule of 40 score of 104 is better than most SaaS companies&#39;, and also better than e-commerce peers Amazon (21), MercadoLibre (73), and Alibaba (43).To understand Shopee&#39;s terminal valuation once it becomes profitable, we can look at industry peers. Amazon is one profitable and slower-growing peer, and it trades at 4x P/S. AWS pushes this number up, but Amazon&#39;s high exposure to first-party sales offsets that. Other e-commerce marketplace peers trade at similar valuations: Alibaba at 3x P/S, MercadoLibre at 9x P/S. All of these valuations are basically all-time lows.If Shopee keeps doubling revenue over the next couple of years (which it&#39;s easily done every year since 2016), becomes profitable (which scaling up tends to help with), and will have Amazon&#39;s P/S multiple in two years, then at 16 P/S today it would trade flat for two years. But if it keeps growing much faster than Amazon over a longer period like a decade, and/or if the overall industry multiples expand to more normal historical levels, then even at 16x P/S this segment has potential upside. On the other hand, if it stops growing or never becomes profitable then investors will be very disappointed at any P/S.Given this wide range of outcomes, each person is going to have their own way of valuing this segment. For me, when I look at Shopee&#39;s mobile dominance, relatively small current size, the funding coming in from Garena, and the precedent set by Amazon, Alibaba, and MercadoLibre for the sustainable long-term success of this business model, I am optimistic about this segment&#39;s future. I recognize that it&#39;s currently an unprofitable and thus risky segment, but I also see the massive potential.So I am happy paying a 16x P/S multiple, which values the e-commerce segment at $83.2B. Some people will call that way too high, and those people will probably never get a chance to invest in this company, for better or for worse.Thus, with just Garena and Shopee, I have Sea being worth $106.7B. Its current market cap is $123.1B. To account for the difference, let&#39;s look at the other parts of Sea.FinTech &amp; InvestmentsThe easiest addition to my computed valuation is Sea&#39;s $12B cash pile, partially offset by $4B in debt. This adds some nice optionality to the company and ensures that it won&#39;t be bankrupt any time soon despite losing money with Shopee. Adding in the $8B cash difference puts my computed valuation at $114.7B, just $8.4B short of the actual valuation.Then there is Sea&#39;s FinTech arm, SeaMoney. The main product here is a mobile wallet, which was responsible for $4.6B in payment volume in the last quarter (~$20B over a year). This segment accounted for $132 million in Q3 revenue, up a whopping 818% year over year. This implies a &#34;take rate&#34; of 2.9%, which is even better than established FinTech companies like Visa (V). Because of this high take rate, I&#39;m not worried about SeaMoney losing money while it scales.Despite SeaMoney being a small segment, it&#39;s now reaching a point where it can be factored into the valuation. Maybe it&#39;s only worth a couple of billion, but this is just the start. Five years ago, nobody would have expected that an e-commerce platform accounting for 5% of Sea&#39;s sales would today be worth more than the gaming segment. But Sea&#39;s management - combined with Garena&#39;s ability to fund new segments and drive their viral adoption - made it happen. It&#39;s certainly not guaranteed that Sea will have the same success with FinTech, but there is precedent for it.If one day this segment is worth a third or more of Sea (in 2020, FinTech accounted for 36% of MercadoLibre&#39;s revenue) then getting it for just 7% of the business today will be well worth it, even if that implies a somewhat high 16x P/S multiple for the segment today. Actually, this multiple is already lower than Visa&#39;s, Mastercard&#39;s (NYSE:MA), and Affirm&#39;s (NASDAQ:AFRM). Realistically, a segment growing at 818% year over year should probably get a higher multiple than these slower-growing companies&#39;, but we don&#39;t even need to speculate about what a fair multiple is, since we can reach Sea&#39;s current valuation by using 16x P/S in my model valuation.One way this segment could grow even more is through the introduction of more products besides the mobile wallet. Sea noted in their recent earnings that they have started &#34;early initiatives in other digital financial services such as buy now pay later, digital bank, and insurtech.&#34; These guys sure know how to hop on the latest high growth trend.Finally, there&#39;s the investments arm. Sea is investing in early-stage tech companies, especially in Southeast Asia. There&#39;s strong precedent for companies like Tencent (which is itself an investor in Sea) and Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) managing successful investment portfolios that ultimately factor meaningfully into their valuation. Right now Sea&#39;s investment arm is very early stage, so I don&#39;t include it in my valuation model. But it doesn&#39;t have to be factored in to justify the current share price. It&#39;s just one more area that might be worth a large part of Sea one day.ConclusionLooking at each of Sea&#39;s segments, my valuation model indicates that Sea is fairly valued today. However, my model doesn&#39;t account for the significant optionality of the newer segments. Just like e-commerce did over the last five years, FinTech (and/or investments) could grow to become a very large part of Sea&#39;s business. With the FinTech segment currently growing at 818% year over year, it doesn&#39;t take much imagination to see how this happens. Just another year or two of growth at something close to that rate will make the FinTech arm impossible for investors to ignore.This optionality combined general strength in each business has allowed Sea to post an average revenue beat of 7% over the past year. Earnings haven&#39;t been as strong, and I expect that to be the main point of contention with my valuation model, as is the case for most unprofitable companies. In particular, I expect some readers will disagree with my valuation of the e-commerce segment. But even if you drop e-commerce all the way down to 5x P/S (a multiple seen today by much slower growing e-commerce companies) that implies 54% downside from today&#39;s prices. It&#39;s a steep drop for sure, but most companies in today&#39;s market would be looking at such a decline if one were to use the most conservative valuation standards possible.Only fast-growing companies like Sea can quickly offset such a decline with revenue growth. As a result, the businesses with the most long-term potential will hardly ever trade at the most conservative valuation possible. And Sea certainly has long-term potential. It&#39;s one of the few high-growth companies I own that I could see reaching a trillion-dollar market cap this decade.</body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106092668","content_text":"Sea Limited shares jumped more than 4% in morning trading.Also Read:Sea Limited: A Deep Dive To Understand The Recent SelloffSummarySea Limited is a highly diversified business firing on all cylinders in some of the fastest-growing economies in the world.I dive into each of its segments to understand the recent selloff and justify the current valuation.I consider Sea one of my ten highest conviction investments.kokkai/iStock Unreleased via Getty ImagesThesisA by-parts analysis of Sea Limited's (NYSE:SE) segments shows that its current valuation is roughly fair, but there are many long-term growth drivers that could surprise to the upside and drive very strong returns for years to come.IntroductionI recently wrote an article highlighting my top 10 stock picks for 2022. I'd already done an in-depth analysis of my other nine picks in other Seeking Alpha articles, so I thought it would be good to close out the year with an article about Sea.Furthermore, with shares down significantly over the past couple of months (but still slightly up for the year), I believe this article may prove timely. I don't speculate on short-term market movements, but I personally added to my Sea shares recently. It's one of my only losing positions that I didn't sell out of temporarily for tax-loss harvesting, and in this article, I will explain why Sea is such a high conviction holding for me.It's also worth noting that many professional investors seem to share this opinion. Sea is the 121st largest company in the world, but it's the16thmost popular holding among hedge funds. This implies that big money is overweight Sea, with 71% of shares held by institutions.Because Sea operates in many different areas, I will do a separate analysis of each of its operating segments to justify its current valuation and explain how that valuation could drive unexpectedly strong returns for years.GamingSea Limited's gaming segment Garena is best known for Free Fire, a mobile battle royale game that was developed in-house.The game was released in 2017 and has been very popular ever since. It currently has the second most monthly active users among all Android games globally. The game is available worldwide, but it's particularly popular in emerging markets like SEA, LATAM, and India, where it's been the highest-grossing mobile game for over two years.With the game having been popular for a long time already, there's some concern that gamers will move on to the next big thing. Although there are some mobile games that are older than Free Fire and still very popular - like Roblox, Clash of Clans, and Pokemon Go - there are many more that have been forgotten. Until Garena releases more games and proves that it can be successful with them too, there will always be questions about whether its studio is a one-hit wonder.Regardless, Garena is a critical part of Sea because it's the only profitable segment and it doubles a social platform that provides free advertising for Sea's non-gaming products. Cross-promotion is a huge competitive advantage for Sea.Thus, one reason for Sea's recent selloff could be the Q4 guidance implied for Garena.Source: Earnings Call PresentationIn Q2 this year, Garena raised its guidance to $4.5B-$4.7B for 2021 bookings (up from $4.3B-$4.5B). With the first three quarters already totaling $3.5B, this implies that Q4 bookings will come in at $1.0B-$1.2B, up between 0% and 20% year over year, and likely down sequentially. This is compared to 29% growth in the most recent quarter and 44% projected growth for the full year.While 20% isn't a terrible deceleration, 0% certainly is. Even 20% growth isn't spectacular compared to the historic levels. At the 10% midpoint, Garena's growth looks more similar to that of a mature company like Activision (NASDAQ:ATVI) or Zynga (NASDAQ:ZNGA) than a fast-growing company like Roblox (NYSE:RBLX).Garena's implied valuation should - and did - suffer as a result. While a fast-growing company like Roblox can command a high double-digit P/S multiple, Activision and Zynga trade at an average P/S multiple of just 4. Garena is slightly more profitable than them and probably has more risk to the upside, so I'll use a P/S multiple of 5 for my implied valuation. This implies a P/E of about 10 for a business growing at around 10%, which is very reasonable in today's market.This means Garena is worth $23.5B based on the high end of management's guidance.I believe this valuation is actually conservative for a few reasons:Next year has tough comps and growth could re-accelerate in the following years or even next year, especially if Garena releases a new hit game. The growth rate past next quarter is not based on explicit guidance from the company, only industry forecasts.The peer valuations I used are from companies also trading at the lower end of their valuation range for the past year.Garena has a good track record and is continuing to invest in Free Fire. One example of this is the recently released Free Fire MAX, which improves the experience for users with higher-end phones and even adds a metaverse-like customizable map called Craftland. To me, this implies that Garena believes Free Fire is still in the earlier part of its lifecycle.Although I'd obviously prefer that Garena develops more games in house, in the meantime it's still not a one-trick pony. In addition to Free Fire, Garena distributes games from third-party developers like Tencent (OTCMKTS:OTCPK:TCEHY). These are popular titles like League of Legends and Call of Duty, which meaningfully diversify Garena's revenue.E-CommerceSea's e-commerce platform Shopee is currently its big growth driver. This platform is often considered the Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) of Southeast Asia, and it recently expanded into more markets including Brazil.There's always some debate about who is really the Amazon of a region. Shopee certainly has competition, including from Alibaba's (NYSE:BABA) Lazada, Tokopedia in Indonesia, MercadoLibre (MELI) in Brazil, and even Amazon itself. With most of the competition being private or tucked away into a larger company, many of the competitors don't publish exact revenue numbers, which makes it difficult to measure the competition. Even Sea hasn't published explicit revenue numbers for some countries like Brazil.One neutral source that can be assessed is the Alexa site rank, which as its name suggests ranks sites by their popularity. Keep in mind that these are ranks, so a lower score is better.Source: The Author, compiled from AlexaShopee is very mobile-focused, but the above table only considers the website. To check App Store app ranks for the shopping category, we can use App Annie.Source: The Author, compiled from AppAnnieOn the mobile side, there's no need to look at the competition because Shopee is consistently the number one shopping app in every country listed. In a mobile-first world, this bodes very well. Even on the web side, Shopee wins out except in a few specific regions like LATAM and (barely) Indonesia, which have more local competitors.Of course, traffic doesn't always translate to GMV. But for a shopping app where most people will use the app to buy something, it's a decent proxy. A third party estimates that Shopee accounts for57%of all e-commerce in Southeast Asia. It's Shopee's dominance in the mobile app ranks and market share that make me consider it the Amazon of Southeast Asia.So why would a company with so much potential sell off?After the recent earnings report, some analysts expressed concern that Shopee is branching out into other countries like Poland and Mexico before validating its business model in the current markets. In these countries, Shopee has less of a presence; it's bounced between the 3-5 spots on the Mexico App Store for shopping apps, and between spots 1 and 3 in Poland. Although analysts hate uncertainty - and the CEO's comments that they don't have a concrete measure of success in these earlier stage countries won't help with that - Shopee has a history of entering new countries successfully and I am willing to give management some time to try expanding more. After all, if they're successful, then it could drive even more unexpected growth in the future.Another complaint from analysts was that the basket size (average purchase size) is trending down. While that could also have contributed to the recent selloff, it's hard to complain when the overall sales increased a lot despite a decrease in basket size.The company raised its guidance for e-commerce again in Q3, now guiding for $5.0B-$5.2B in 2021 e-commerce revenue. That's 75%-100% growth in Q4 and about 135% growth for the year. These are much more exciting numbers than the gaming side, although the guidance still implies a slight deceleration in Q4. But compared to Amazon's $340B in 2020 e-commerce sales, Shopee looks like it's just scratched the surface. E-commerce is at only11%penetration in Southeast Asia compared to18.7%in the USA, and Southeast Asia economies are generally growing faster than the USA's.Despite being in a blue skies industry, it's more difficult to value the e-commerce segment because it operates at a loss (whereas the gaming segment is highly profitable). Shopee's success is not guaranteed because it's not clear at this point whether the platform can become profitable while retaining its market share. Stocks like this tend to experience more volatility, which could partially explain the recent selloff.For unprofitable software companies, I like to use the Rule of 40 to assess the business. But it's difficult to apply this rule to a more cyclical e-commerce company with naturally lower margins. Even so, it's worth noting that despite being unprofitable, Sea's Rule of 40 score of 104 is better than most SaaS companies', and also better than e-commerce peers Amazon (21), MercadoLibre (73), and Alibaba (43).To understand Shopee's terminal valuation once it becomes profitable, we can look at industry peers. Amazon is one profitable and slower-growing peer, and it trades at 4x P/S. AWS pushes this number up, but Amazon's high exposure to first-party sales offsets that. Other e-commerce marketplace peers trade at similar valuations: Alibaba at 3x P/S, MercadoLibre at 9x P/S. All of these valuations are basically all-time lows.If Shopee keeps doubling revenue over the next couple of years (which it's easily done every year since 2016), becomes profitable (which scaling up tends to help with), and will have Amazon's P/S multiple in two years, then at 16 P/S today it would trade flat for two years. But if it keeps growing much faster than Amazon over a longer period like a decade, and/or if the overall industry multiples expand to more normal historical levels, then even at 16x P/S this segment has potential upside. On the other hand, if it stops growing or never becomes profitable then investors will be very disappointed at any P/S.Given this wide range of outcomes, each person is going to have their own way of valuing this segment. For me, when I look at Shopee's mobile dominance, relatively small current size, the funding coming in from Garena, and the precedent set by Amazon, Alibaba, and MercadoLibre for the sustainable long-term success of this business model, I am optimistic about this segment's future. I recognize that it's currently an unprofitable and thus risky segment, but I also see the massive potential.So I am happy paying a 16x P/S multiple, which values the e-commerce segment at $83.2B. Some people will call that way too high, and those people will probably never get a chance to invest in this company, for better or for worse.Thus, with just Garena and Shopee, I have Sea being worth $106.7B. Its current market cap is $123.1B. To account for the difference, let's look at the other parts of Sea.FinTech & InvestmentsThe easiest addition to my computed valuation is Sea's $12B cash pile, partially offset by $4B in debt. This adds some nice optionality to the company and ensures that it won't be bankrupt any time soon despite losing money with Shopee. Adding in the $8B cash difference puts my computed valuation at $114.7B, just $8.4B short of the actual valuation.Then there is Sea's FinTech arm, SeaMoney. The main product here is a mobile wallet, which was responsible for $4.6B in payment volume in the last quarter (~$20B over a year). This segment accounted for $132 million in Q3 revenue, up a whopping 818% year over year. This implies a \"take rate\" of 2.9%, which is even better than established FinTech companies like Visa (V). Because of this high take rate, I'm not worried about SeaMoney losing money while it scales.Despite SeaMoney being a small segment, it's now reaching a point where it can be factored into the valuation. Maybe it's only worth a couple of billion, but this is just the start. Five years ago, nobody would have expected that an e-commerce platform accounting for 5% of Sea's sales would today be worth more than the gaming segment. But Sea's management - combined with Garena's ability to fund new segments and drive their viral adoption - made it happen. It's certainly not guaranteed that Sea will have the same success with FinTech, but there is precedent for it.If one day this segment is worth a third or more of Sea (in 2020, FinTech accounted for 36% of MercadoLibre's revenue) then getting it for just 7% of the business today will be well worth it, even if that implies a somewhat high 16x P/S multiple for the segment today. Actually, this multiple is already lower than Visa's, Mastercard's (NYSE:MA), and Affirm's (NASDAQ:AFRM). Realistically, a segment growing at 818% year over year should probably get a higher multiple than these slower-growing companies', but we don't even need to speculate about what a fair multiple is, since we can reach Sea's current valuation by using 16x P/S in my model valuation.One way this segment could grow even more is through the introduction of more products besides the mobile wallet. Sea noted in their recent earnings that they have started \"early initiatives in other digital financial services such as buy now pay later, digital bank, and insurtech.\" These guys sure know how to hop on the latest high growth trend.Finally, there's the investments arm. Sea is investing in early-stage tech companies, especially in Southeast Asia. There's strong precedent for companies like Tencent (which is itself an investor in Sea) and Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) managing successful investment portfolios that ultimately factor meaningfully into their valuation. Right now Sea's investment arm is very early stage, so I don't include it in my valuation model. But it doesn't have to be factored in to justify the current share price. It's just one more area that might be worth a large part of Sea one day.ConclusionLooking at each of Sea's segments, my valuation model indicates that Sea is fairly valued today. However, my model doesn't account for the significant optionality of the newer segments. Just like e-commerce did over the last five years, FinTech (and/or investments) could grow to become a very large part of Sea's business. With the FinTech segment currently growing at 818% year over year, it doesn't take much imagination to see how this happens. Just another year or two of growth at something close to that rate will make the FinTech arm impossible for investors to ignore.This optionality combined general strength in each business has allowed Sea to post an average revenue beat of 7% over the past year. Earnings haven't been as strong, and I expect that to be the main point of contention with my valuation model, as is the case for most unprofitable companies. In particular, I expect some readers will disagree with my valuation of the e-commerce segment. But even if you drop e-commerce all the way down to 5x P/S (a multiple seen today by much slower growing e-commerce companies) that implies 54% downside from today's prices. It's a steep drop for sure, but most companies in today's market would be looking at such a decline if one were to use the most conservative valuation standards possible.Only fast-growing companies like Sea can quickly offset such a decline with revenue growth. As a result, the businesses with the most long-term potential will hardly ever trade at the most conservative valuation possible. And Sea certainly has long-term potential. It's one of the few high-growth companies I own that I could see reaching a trillion-dollar market cap this decade.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":637,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":692128931,"gmtCreate":1640878243716,"gmtModify":1640878243780,"author":{"id":"4099072184690960","authorId":"4099072184690960","name":"J817","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bf29313eb64438823c090e77a69b94a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3582643296059275\">@JoeLeong</a>[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3582643296059275\">@JoeLeong</a>[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;","text":"@JoeLeong[笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692128931","repostId":"2195496423","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":480,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699676848,"gmtCreate":1639798711205,"gmtModify":1639799964881,"author":{"id":"4099072184690960","authorId":"4099072184690960","name":"J817","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bf29313eb64438823c090e77a69b94a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tiger tiger tiger!!!","listText":"Tiger tiger tiger!!!","text":"Tiger tiger tiger!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699676848","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":464,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604228409,"gmtCreate":1639405611204,"gmtModify":1639409586810,"author":{"id":"4099072184690960","authorId":"4099072184690960","name":"J817","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bf29313eb64438823c090e77a69b94a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑] [微笑] [微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604228409","repostId":"1103876293","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":584,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":630590210,"gmtCreate":1642955250878,"gmtModify":1642955250878,"author":{"id":"4099072184690960","authorId":"4099072184690960","name":"J817","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bf29313eb64438823c090e77a69b94a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$</a>many people said this is overvalued,but can u all at least said what price will be reasonable that not counted as overvalued???","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$</a>many people said this is overvalued,but can u all at least said what price will be reasonable that not counted as overvalued???","text":"$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$many people said this is overvalued,but can u all at least said what price will be reasonable that not counted as overvalued???","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f493607190d0f1c20a10bf1d43de7b1a","width":"1080","height":"3543"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":43,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630590210","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1652,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":692145759,"gmtCreate":1640886723324,"gmtModify":1640886818054,"author":{"id":"4099072184690960","authorId":"4099072184690960","name":"J817","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bf29313eb64438823c090e77a69b94a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;","listText":"[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;","text":"[笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692145759","repostId":"1106092668","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106092668","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1640876653,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106092668?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-30 23:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited Shares Jumped More Than 4% in Morning Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106092668","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Sea Limited shares jumped more than 4% in morning trading.Also Read:Sea Limited: A Deep Dive To Unde","content":"<html><head></head><body>Sea Limited shares jumped more than 4% in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/448dcc7d589843674730e046aa6ef96a\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Also Read:Sea Limited: A Deep Dive To Understand The Recent SelloffSummary<ul><li>Sea Limited is a highly diversified business firing on all cylinders in some of the fastest-growing economies in the world.</li><li>I dive into each of its segments to understand the recent selloff and justify the current valuation.</li><li>I consider Sea one of my ten highest conviction investments.</li></ul><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5cbe0a30acc723a2c6f62300024002\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>kokkai/iStock Unreleased via Getty ImagesThesisA by-parts analysis of Sea Limited&#39;s (NYSE:SE) segments shows that its current valuation is roughly fair, but there are many long-term growth drivers that could surprise to the upside and drive very strong returns for years to come.IntroductionI recently wrote an article highlighting my top 10 stock picks for 2022. I&#39;d already done an in-depth analysis of my other nine picks in other Seeking Alpha articles, so I thought it would be good to close out the year with an article about Sea.Furthermore, with shares down significantly over the past couple of months (but still slightly up for the year), I believe this article may prove timely. I don&#39;t speculate on short-term market movements, but I personally added to my Sea shares recently. It&#39;s one of my only losing positions that I didn&#39;t sell out of temporarily for tax-loss harvesting, and in this article, I will explain why Sea is such a high conviction holding for me.It&#39;s also worth noting that many professional investors seem to share this opinion. Sea is the 121st largest company in the world, but it&#39;s the16thmost popular holding among hedge funds. This implies that big money is overweight Sea, with 71% of shares held by institutions.Because Sea operates in many different areas, I will do a separate analysis of each of its operating segments to justify its current valuation and explain how that valuation could drive unexpectedly strong returns for years.GamingSea Limited&#39;s gaming segment Garena is best known for Free Fire, a mobile battle royale game that was developed in-house.The game was released in 2017 and has been very popular ever since. It currently has the second most monthly active users among all Android games globally. The game is available worldwide, but it&#39;s particularly popular in emerging markets like SEA, LATAM, and India, where it&#39;s been the highest-grossing mobile game for over two years.With the game having been popular for a long time already, there&#39;s some concern that gamers will move on to the next big thing. Although there are some mobile games that are older than Free Fire and still very popular - like Roblox, Clash of Clans, and Pokemon Go - there are many more that have been forgotten. Until Garena releases more games and proves that it can be successful with them too, there will always be questions about whether its studio is a one-hit wonder.Regardless, Garena is a critical part of Sea because it&#39;s the only profitable segment and it doubles a social platform that provides free advertising for Sea&#39;s non-gaming products. Cross-promotion is a huge competitive advantage for Sea.Thus, one reason for Sea&#39;s recent selloff could be the Q4 guidance implied for Garena.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e299727cc28a887a36d88831aec8f53\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"334\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Source: Earnings Call PresentationIn Q2 this year, Garena raised its guidance to $4.5B-$4.7B for 2021 bookings (up from $4.3B-$4.5B). With the first three quarters already totaling $3.5B, this implies that Q4 bookings will come in at $1.0B-$1.2B, up between 0% and 20% year over year, and likely down sequentially. This is compared to 29% growth in the most recent quarter and 44% projected growth for the full year.While 20% isn&#39;t a terrible deceleration, 0% certainly is. Even 20% growth isn&#39;t spectacular compared to the historic levels. At the 10% midpoint, Garena&#39;s growth looks more similar to that of a mature company like Activision (NASDAQ:ATVI) or Zynga (NASDAQ:ZNGA) than a fast-growing company like Roblox (NYSE:RBLX).Garena&#39;s implied valuation should - and did - suffer as a result. While a fast-growing company like Roblox can command a high double-digit P/S multiple, Activision and Zynga trade at an average P/S multiple of just 4. Garena is slightly more profitable than them and probably has more risk to the upside, so I&#39;ll use a P/S multiple of 5 for my implied valuation. This implies a P/E of about 10 for a business growing at around 10%, which is very reasonable in today&#39;s market.This means Garena is worth $23.5B based on the high end of management&#39;s guidance.I believe this valuation is actually conservative for a few reasons:<ul><li>Next year has tough comps and growth could re-accelerate in the following years or even next year, especially if Garena releases a new hit game. The growth rate past next quarter is not based on explicit guidance from the company, only industry forecasts.</li><li>The peer valuations I used are from companies also trading at the lower end of their valuation range for the past year.</li><li>Garena has a good track record and is continuing to invest in Free Fire. One example of this is the recently released Free Fire MAX, which improves the experience for users with higher-end phones and even adds a metaverse-like customizable map called Craftland. To me, this implies that Garena believes Free Fire is still in the earlier part of its lifecycle.</li><li>Although I&#39;d obviously prefer that Garena develops more games in house, in the meantime it&#39;s still not a one-trick pony. In addition to Free Fire, Garena distributes games from third-party developers like Tencent (OTCMKTS:OTCPK:TCEHY). These are popular titles like League of Legends and Call of Duty, which meaningfully diversify Garena&#39;s revenue.</li></ul>E-CommerceSea&#39;s e-commerce platform Shopee is currently its big growth driver. This platform is often considered the Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) of Southeast Asia, and it recently expanded into more markets including Brazil.There&#39;s always some debate about who is really the Amazon of a region. Shopee certainly has competition, including from Alibaba&#39;s (NYSE:BABA) Lazada, Tokopedia in Indonesia, MercadoLibre (MELI) in Brazil, and even Amazon itself. With most of the competition being private or tucked away into a larger company, many of the competitors don&#39;t publish exact revenue numbers, which makes it difficult to measure the competition. Even Sea hasn&#39;t published explicit revenue numbers for some countries like Brazil.One neutral source that can be assessed is the Alexa site rank, which as its name suggests ranks sites by their popularity. Keep in mind that these are ranks, so a lower score is better.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/180367a2b64bccebf243c5b6d8fb776a\" tg-width=\"455\" tg-height=\"353\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Source: The Author, compiled from AlexaShopee is very mobile-focused, but the above table only considers the website. To check App Store app ranks for the shopping category, we can use App Annie.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6544f014a5d70d13ee14dab0ac8b6782\" tg-width=\"422\" tg-height=\"403\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Source: The Author, compiled from AppAnnieOn the mobile side, there&#39;s no need to look at the competition because Shopee is consistently the number one shopping app in every country listed. In a mobile-first world, this bodes very well. Even on the web side, Shopee wins out except in a few specific regions like LATAM and (barely) Indonesia, which have more local competitors.Of course, traffic doesn&#39;t always translate to GMV. But for a shopping app where most people will use the app to buy something, it&#39;s a decent proxy. A third party estimates that Shopee accounts for57%of all e-commerce in Southeast Asia. It&#39;s Shopee&#39;s dominance in the mobile app ranks and market share that make me consider it the Amazon of Southeast Asia.So why would a company with so much potential sell off?After the recent earnings report, some analysts expressed concern that Shopee is branching out into other countries like Poland and Mexico before validating its business model in the current markets. In these countries, Shopee has less of a presence; it&#39;s bounced between the 3-5 spots on the Mexico App Store for shopping apps, and between spots 1 and 3 in Poland. Although analysts hate uncertainty - and the CEO&#39;s comments that they don&#39;t have a concrete measure of success in these earlier stage countries won&#39;t help with that - Shopee has a history of entering new countries successfully and I am willing to give management some time to try expanding more. After all, if they&#39;re successful, then it could drive even more unexpected growth in the future.Another complaint from analysts was that the basket size (average purchase size) is trending down. While that could also have contributed to the recent selloff, it&#39;s hard to complain when the overall sales increased a lot despite a decrease in basket size.The company raised its guidance for e-commerce again in Q3, now guiding for $5.0B-$5.2B in 2021 e-commerce revenue. That&#39;s 75%-100% growth in Q4 and about 135% growth for the year. These are much more exciting numbers than the gaming side, although the guidance still implies a slight deceleration in Q4. But compared to Amazon&#39;s $340B in 2020 e-commerce sales, Shopee looks like it&#39;s just scratched the surface. E-commerce is at only11%penetration in Southeast Asia compared to18.7%in the USA, and Southeast Asia economies are generally growing faster than the USA&#39;s.Despite being in a blue skies industry, it&#39;s more difficult to value the e-commerce segment because it operates at a loss (whereas the gaming segment is highly profitable). Shopee&#39;s success is not guaranteed because it&#39;s not clear at this point whether the platform can become profitable while retaining its market share. Stocks like this tend to experience more volatility, which could partially explain the recent selloff.For unprofitable software companies, I like to use the Rule of 40 to assess the business. But it&#39;s difficult to apply this rule to a more cyclical e-commerce company with naturally lower margins. Even so, it&#39;s worth noting that despite being unprofitable, Sea&#39;s Rule of 40 score of 104 is better than most SaaS companies&#39;, and also better than e-commerce peers Amazon (21), MercadoLibre (73), and Alibaba (43).To understand Shopee&#39;s terminal valuation once it becomes profitable, we can look at industry peers. Amazon is one profitable and slower-growing peer, and it trades at 4x P/S. AWS pushes this number up, but Amazon&#39;s high exposure to first-party sales offsets that. Other e-commerce marketplace peers trade at similar valuations: Alibaba at 3x P/S, MercadoLibre at 9x P/S. All of these valuations are basically all-time lows.If Shopee keeps doubling revenue over the next couple of years (which it&#39;s easily done every year since 2016), becomes profitable (which scaling up tends to help with), and will have Amazon&#39;s P/S multiple in two years, then at 16 P/S today it would trade flat for two years. But if it keeps growing much faster than Amazon over a longer period like a decade, and/or if the overall industry multiples expand to more normal historical levels, then even at 16x P/S this segment has potential upside. On the other hand, if it stops growing or never becomes profitable then investors will be very disappointed at any P/S.Given this wide range of outcomes, each person is going to have their own way of valuing this segment. For me, when I look at Shopee&#39;s mobile dominance, relatively small current size, the funding coming in from Garena, and the precedent set by Amazon, Alibaba, and MercadoLibre for the sustainable long-term success of this business model, I am optimistic about this segment&#39;s future. I recognize that it&#39;s currently an unprofitable and thus risky segment, but I also see the massive potential.So I am happy paying a 16x P/S multiple, which values the e-commerce segment at $83.2B. Some people will call that way too high, and those people will probably never get a chance to invest in this company, for better or for worse.Thus, with just Garena and Shopee, I have Sea being worth $106.7B. Its current market cap is $123.1B. To account for the difference, let&#39;s look at the other parts of Sea.FinTech &amp; InvestmentsThe easiest addition to my computed valuation is Sea&#39;s $12B cash pile, partially offset by $4B in debt. This adds some nice optionality to the company and ensures that it won&#39;t be bankrupt any time soon despite losing money with Shopee. Adding in the $8B cash difference puts my computed valuation at $114.7B, just $8.4B short of the actual valuation.Then there is Sea&#39;s FinTech arm, SeaMoney. The main product here is a mobile wallet, which was responsible for $4.6B in payment volume in the last quarter (~$20B over a year). This segment accounted for $132 million in Q3 revenue, up a whopping 818% year over year. This implies a &#34;take rate&#34; of 2.9%, which is even better than established FinTech companies like Visa (V). Because of this high take rate, I&#39;m not worried about SeaMoney losing money while it scales.Despite SeaMoney being a small segment, it&#39;s now reaching a point where it can be factored into the valuation. Maybe it&#39;s only worth a couple of billion, but this is just the start. Five years ago, nobody would have expected that an e-commerce platform accounting for 5% of Sea&#39;s sales would today be worth more than the gaming segment. But Sea&#39;s management - combined with Garena&#39;s ability to fund new segments and drive their viral adoption - made it happen. It&#39;s certainly not guaranteed that Sea will have the same success with FinTech, but there is precedent for it.If one day this segment is worth a third or more of Sea (in 2020, FinTech accounted for 36% of MercadoLibre&#39;s revenue) then getting it for just 7% of the business today will be well worth it, even if that implies a somewhat high 16x P/S multiple for the segment today. Actually, this multiple is already lower than Visa&#39;s, Mastercard&#39;s (NYSE:MA), and Affirm&#39;s (NASDAQ:AFRM). Realistically, a segment growing at 818% year over year should probably get a higher multiple than these slower-growing companies&#39;, but we don&#39;t even need to speculate about what a fair multiple is, since we can reach Sea&#39;s current valuation by using 16x P/S in my model valuation.One way this segment could grow even more is through the introduction of more products besides the mobile wallet. Sea noted in their recent earnings that they have started &#34;early initiatives in other digital financial services such as buy now pay later, digital bank, and insurtech.&#34; These guys sure know how to hop on the latest high growth trend.Finally, there&#39;s the investments arm. Sea is investing in early-stage tech companies, especially in Southeast Asia. There&#39;s strong precedent for companies like Tencent (which is itself an investor in Sea) and Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) managing successful investment portfolios that ultimately factor meaningfully into their valuation. Right now Sea&#39;s investment arm is very early stage, so I don&#39;t include it in my valuation model. But it doesn&#39;t have to be factored in to justify the current share price. It&#39;s just one more area that might be worth a large part of Sea one day.ConclusionLooking at each of Sea&#39;s segments, my valuation model indicates that Sea is fairly valued today. However, my model doesn&#39;t account for the significant optionality of the newer segments. Just like e-commerce did over the last five years, FinTech (and/or investments) could grow to become a very large part of Sea&#39;s business. With the FinTech segment currently growing at 818% year over year, it doesn&#39;t take much imagination to see how this happens. Just another year or two of growth at something close to that rate will make the FinTech arm impossible for investors to ignore.This optionality combined general strength in each business has allowed Sea to post an average revenue beat of 7% over the past year. Earnings haven&#39;t been as strong, and I expect that to be the main point of contention with my valuation model, as is the case for most unprofitable companies. In particular, I expect some readers will disagree with my valuation of the e-commerce segment. But even if you drop e-commerce all the way down to 5x P/S (a multiple seen today by much slower growing e-commerce companies) that implies 54% downside from today&#39;s prices. It&#39;s a steep drop for sure, but most companies in today&#39;s market would be looking at such a decline if one were to use the most conservative valuation standards possible.Only fast-growing companies like Sea can quickly offset such a decline with revenue growth. As a result, the businesses with the most long-term potential will hardly ever trade at the most conservative valuation possible. And Sea certainly has long-term potential. It&#39;s one of the few high-growth companies I own that I could see reaching a trillion-dollar market cap this decade.</body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited Shares Jumped More Than 4% in Morning Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited Shares Jumped More Than 4% in Morning Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\nTiger Newspress \n2021-12-30 23:04\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body>Sea Limited shares jumped more than 4% in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/448dcc7d589843674730e046aa6ef96a\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Also Read:Sea Limited: A Deep Dive To Understand The Recent SelloffSummary<ul><li>Sea Limited is a highly diversified business firing on all cylinders in some of the fastest-growing economies in the world.</li><li>I dive into each of its segments to understand the recent selloff and justify the current valuation.</li><li>I consider Sea one of my ten highest conviction investments.</li></ul><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5cbe0a30acc723a2c6f62300024002\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>kokkai/iStock Unreleased via Getty ImagesThesisA by-parts analysis of Sea Limited&#39;s (NYSE:SE) segments shows that its current valuation is roughly fair, but there are many long-term growth drivers that could surprise to the upside and drive very strong returns for years to come.IntroductionI recently wrote an article highlighting my top 10 stock picks for 2022. I&#39;d already done an in-depth analysis of my other nine picks in other Seeking Alpha articles, so I thought it would be good to close out the year with an article about Sea.Furthermore, with shares down significantly over the past couple of months (but still slightly up for the year), I believe this article may prove timely. I don&#39;t speculate on short-term market movements, but I personally added to my Sea shares recently. It&#39;s one of my only losing positions that I didn&#39;t sell out of temporarily for tax-loss harvesting, and in this article, I will explain why Sea is such a high conviction holding for me.It&#39;s also worth noting that many professional investors seem to share this opinion. Sea is the 121st largest company in the world, but it&#39;s the16thmost popular holding among hedge funds. This implies that big money is overweight Sea, with 71% of shares held by institutions.Because Sea operates in many different areas, I will do a separate analysis of each of its operating segments to justify its current valuation and explain how that valuation could drive unexpectedly strong returns for years.GamingSea Limited&#39;s gaming segment Garena is best known for Free Fire, a mobile battle royale game that was developed in-house.The game was released in 2017 and has been very popular ever since. It currently has the second most monthly active users among all Android games globally. The game is available worldwide, but it&#39;s particularly popular in emerging markets like SEA, LATAM, and India, where it&#39;s been the highest-grossing mobile game for over two years.With the game having been popular for a long time already, there&#39;s some concern that gamers will move on to the next big thing. Although there are some mobile games that are older than Free Fire and still very popular - like Roblox, Clash of Clans, and Pokemon Go - there are many more that have been forgotten. Until Garena releases more games and proves that it can be successful with them too, there will always be questions about whether its studio is a one-hit wonder.Regardless, Garena is a critical part of Sea because it&#39;s the only profitable segment and it doubles a social platform that provides free advertising for Sea&#39;s non-gaming products. Cross-promotion is a huge competitive advantage for Sea.Thus, one reason for Sea&#39;s recent selloff could be the Q4 guidance implied for Garena.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e299727cc28a887a36d88831aec8f53\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"334\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Source: Earnings Call PresentationIn Q2 this year, Garena raised its guidance to $4.5B-$4.7B for 2021 bookings (up from $4.3B-$4.5B). With the first three quarters already totaling $3.5B, this implies that Q4 bookings will come in at $1.0B-$1.2B, up between 0% and 20% year over year, and likely down sequentially. This is compared to 29% growth in the most recent quarter and 44% projected growth for the full year.While 20% isn&#39;t a terrible deceleration, 0% certainly is. Even 20% growth isn&#39;t spectacular compared to the historic levels. At the 10% midpoint, Garena&#39;s growth looks more similar to that of a mature company like Activision (NASDAQ:ATVI) or Zynga (NASDAQ:ZNGA) than a fast-growing company like Roblox (NYSE:RBLX).Garena&#39;s implied valuation should - and did - suffer as a result. While a fast-growing company like Roblox can command a high double-digit P/S multiple, Activision and Zynga trade at an average P/S multiple of just 4. Garena is slightly more profitable than them and probably has more risk to the upside, so I&#39;ll use a P/S multiple of 5 for my implied valuation. This implies a P/E of about 10 for a business growing at around 10%, which is very reasonable in today&#39;s market.This means Garena is worth $23.5B based on the high end of management&#39;s guidance.I believe this valuation is actually conservative for a few reasons:<ul><li>Next year has tough comps and growth could re-accelerate in the following years or even next year, especially if Garena releases a new hit game. The growth rate past next quarter is not based on explicit guidance from the company, only industry forecasts.</li><li>The peer valuations I used are from companies also trading at the lower end of their valuation range for the past year.</li><li>Garena has a good track record and is continuing to invest in Free Fire. One example of this is the recently released Free Fire MAX, which improves the experience for users with higher-end phones and even adds a metaverse-like customizable map called Craftland. To me, this implies that Garena believes Free Fire is still in the earlier part of its lifecycle.</li><li>Although I&#39;d obviously prefer that Garena develops more games in house, in the meantime it&#39;s still not a one-trick pony. In addition to Free Fire, Garena distributes games from third-party developers like Tencent (OTCMKTS:OTCPK:TCEHY). These are popular titles like League of Legends and Call of Duty, which meaningfully diversify Garena&#39;s revenue.</li></ul>E-CommerceSea&#39;s e-commerce platform Shopee is currently its big growth driver. This platform is often considered the Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) of Southeast Asia, and it recently expanded into more markets including Brazil.There&#39;s always some debate about who is really the Amazon of a region. Shopee certainly has competition, including from Alibaba&#39;s (NYSE:BABA) Lazada, Tokopedia in Indonesia, MercadoLibre (MELI) in Brazil, and even Amazon itself. With most of the competition being private or tucked away into a larger company, many of the competitors don&#39;t publish exact revenue numbers, which makes it difficult to measure the competition. Even Sea hasn&#39;t published explicit revenue numbers for some countries like Brazil.One neutral source that can be assessed is the Alexa site rank, which as its name suggests ranks sites by their popularity. Keep in mind that these are ranks, so a lower score is better.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/180367a2b64bccebf243c5b6d8fb776a\" tg-width=\"455\" tg-height=\"353\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Source: The Author, compiled from AlexaShopee is very mobile-focused, but the above table only considers the website. To check App Store app ranks for the shopping category, we can use App Annie.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6544f014a5d70d13ee14dab0ac8b6782\" tg-width=\"422\" tg-height=\"403\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Source: The Author, compiled from AppAnnieOn the mobile side, there&#39;s no need to look at the competition because Shopee is consistently the number one shopping app in every country listed. In a mobile-first world, this bodes very well. Even on the web side, Shopee wins out except in a few specific regions like LATAM and (barely) Indonesia, which have more local competitors.Of course, traffic doesn&#39;t always translate to GMV. But for a shopping app where most people will use the app to buy something, it&#39;s a decent proxy. A third party estimates that Shopee accounts for57%of all e-commerce in Southeast Asia. It&#39;s Shopee&#39;s dominance in the mobile app ranks and market share that make me consider it the Amazon of Southeast Asia.So why would a company with so much potential sell off?After the recent earnings report, some analysts expressed concern that Shopee is branching out into other countries like Poland and Mexico before validating its business model in the current markets. In these countries, Shopee has less of a presence; it&#39;s bounced between the 3-5 spots on the Mexico App Store for shopping apps, and between spots 1 and 3 in Poland. Although analysts hate uncertainty - and the CEO&#39;s comments that they don&#39;t have a concrete measure of success in these earlier stage countries won&#39;t help with that - Shopee has a history of entering new countries successfully and I am willing to give management some time to try expanding more. After all, if they&#39;re successful, then it could drive even more unexpected growth in the future.Another complaint from analysts was that the basket size (average purchase size) is trending down. While that could also have contributed to the recent selloff, it&#39;s hard to complain when the overall sales increased a lot despite a decrease in basket size.The company raised its guidance for e-commerce again in Q3, now guiding for $5.0B-$5.2B in 2021 e-commerce revenue. That&#39;s 75%-100% growth in Q4 and about 135% growth for the year. These are much more exciting numbers than the gaming side, although the guidance still implies a slight deceleration in Q4. But compared to Amazon&#39;s $340B in 2020 e-commerce sales, Shopee looks like it&#39;s just scratched the surface. E-commerce is at only11%penetration in Southeast Asia compared to18.7%in the USA, and Southeast Asia economies are generally growing faster than the USA&#39;s.Despite being in a blue skies industry, it&#39;s more difficult to value the e-commerce segment because it operates at a loss (whereas the gaming segment is highly profitable). Shopee&#39;s success is not guaranteed because it&#39;s not clear at this point whether the platform can become profitable while retaining its market share. Stocks like this tend to experience more volatility, which could partially explain the recent selloff.For unprofitable software companies, I like to use the Rule of 40 to assess the business. But it&#39;s difficult to apply this rule to a more cyclical e-commerce company with naturally lower margins. Even so, it&#39;s worth noting that despite being unprofitable, Sea&#39;s Rule of 40 score of 104 is better than most SaaS companies&#39;, and also better than e-commerce peers Amazon (21), MercadoLibre (73), and Alibaba (43).To understand Shopee&#39;s terminal valuation once it becomes profitable, we can look at industry peers. Amazon is one profitable and slower-growing peer, and it trades at 4x P/S. AWS pushes this number up, but Amazon&#39;s high exposure to first-party sales offsets that. Other e-commerce marketplace peers trade at similar valuations: Alibaba at 3x P/S, MercadoLibre at 9x P/S. All of these valuations are basically all-time lows.If Shopee keeps doubling revenue over the next couple of years (which it&#39;s easily done every year since 2016), becomes profitable (which scaling up tends to help with), and will have Amazon&#39;s P/S multiple in two years, then at 16 P/S today it would trade flat for two years. But if it keeps growing much faster than Amazon over a longer period like a decade, and/or if the overall industry multiples expand to more normal historical levels, then even at 16x P/S this segment has potential upside. On the other hand, if it stops growing or never becomes profitable then investors will be very disappointed at any P/S.Given this wide range of outcomes, each person is going to have their own way of valuing this segment. For me, when I look at Shopee&#39;s mobile dominance, relatively small current size, the funding coming in from Garena, and the precedent set by Amazon, Alibaba, and MercadoLibre for the sustainable long-term success of this business model, I am optimistic about this segment&#39;s future. I recognize that it&#39;s currently an unprofitable and thus risky segment, but I also see the massive potential.So I am happy paying a 16x P/S multiple, which values the e-commerce segment at $83.2B. Some people will call that way too high, and those people will probably never get a chance to invest in this company, for better or for worse.Thus, with just Garena and Shopee, I have Sea being worth $106.7B. Its current market cap is $123.1B. To account for the difference, let&#39;s look at the other parts of Sea.FinTech &amp; InvestmentsThe easiest addition to my computed valuation is Sea&#39;s $12B cash pile, partially offset by $4B in debt. This adds some nice optionality to the company and ensures that it won&#39;t be bankrupt any time soon despite losing money with Shopee. Adding in the $8B cash difference puts my computed valuation at $114.7B, just $8.4B short of the actual valuation.Then there is Sea&#39;s FinTech arm, SeaMoney. The main product here is a mobile wallet, which was responsible for $4.6B in payment volume in the last quarter (~$20B over a year). This segment accounted for $132 million in Q3 revenue, up a whopping 818% year over year. This implies a &#34;take rate&#34; of 2.9%, which is even better than established FinTech companies like Visa (V). Because of this high take rate, I&#39;m not worried about SeaMoney losing money while it scales.Despite SeaMoney being a small segment, it&#39;s now reaching a point where it can be factored into the valuation. Maybe it&#39;s only worth a couple of billion, but this is just the start. Five years ago, nobody would have expected that an e-commerce platform accounting for 5% of Sea&#39;s sales would today be worth more than the gaming segment. But Sea&#39;s management - combined with Garena&#39;s ability to fund new segments and drive their viral adoption - made it happen. It&#39;s certainly not guaranteed that Sea will have the same success with FinTech, but there is precedent for it.If one day this segment is worth a third or more of Sea (in 2020, FinTech accounted for 36% of MercadoLibre&#39;s revenue) then getting it for just 7% of the business today will be well worth it, even if that implies a somewhat high 16x P/S multiple for the segment today. Actually, this multiple is already lower than Visa&#39;s, Mastercard&#39;s (NYSE:MA), and Affirm&#39;s (NASDAQ:AFRM). Realistically, a segment growing at 818% year over year should probably get a higher multiple than these slower-growing companies&#39;, but we don&#39;t even need to speculate about what a fair multiple is, since we can reach Sea&#39;s current valuation by using 16x P/S in my model valuation.One way this segment could grow even more is through the introduction of more products besides the mobile wallet. Sea noted in their recent earnings that they have started &#34;early initiatives in other digital financial services such as buy now pay later, digital bank, and insurtech.&#34; These guys sure know how to hop on the latest high growth trend.Finally, there&#39;s the investments arm. Sea is investing in early-stage tech companies, especially in Southeast Asia. There&#39;s strong precedent for companies like Tencent (which is itself an investor in Sea) and Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) managing successful investment portfolios that ultimately factor meaningfully into their valuation. Right now Sea&#39;s investment arm is very early stage, so I don&#39;t include it in my valuation model. But it doesn&#39;t have to be factored in to justify the current share price. It&#39;s just one more area that might be worth a large part of Sea one day.ConclusionLooking at each of Sea&#39;s segments, my valuation model indicates that Sea is fairly valued today. However, my model doesn&#39;t account for the significant optionality of the newer segments. Just like e-commerce did over the last five years, FinTech (and/or investments) could grow to become a very large part of Sea&#39;s business. With the FinTech segment currently growing at 818% year over year, it doesn&#39;t take much imagination to see how this happens. Just another year or two of growth at something close to that rate will make the FinTech arm impossible for investors to ignore.This optionality combined general strength in each business has allowed Sea to post an average revenue beat of 7% over the past year. Earnings haven&#39;t been as strong, and I expect that to be the main point of contention with my valuation model, as is the case for most unprofitable companies. In particular, I expect some readers will disagree with my valuation of the e-commerce segment. But even if you drop e-commerce all the way down to 5x P/S (a multiple seen today by much slower growing e-commerce companies) that implies 54% downside from today&#39;s prices. It&#39;s a steep drop for sure, but most companies in today&#39;s market would be looking at such a decline if one were to use the most conservative valuation standards possible.Only fast-growing companies like Sea can quickly offset such a decline with revenue growth. As a result, the businesses with the most long-term potential will hardly ever trade at the most conservative valuation possible. And Sea certainly has long-term potential. It&#39;s one of the few high-growth companies I own that I could see reaching a trillion-dollar market cap this decade.</body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106092668","content_text":"Sea Limited shares jumped more than 4% in morning trading.Also Read:Sea Limited: A Deep Dive To Understand The Recent SelloffSummarySea Limited is a highly diversified business firing on all cylinders in some of the fastest-growing economies in the world.I dive into each of its segments to understand the recent selloff and justify the current valuation.I consider Sea one of my ten highest conviction investments.kokkai/iStock Unreleased via Getty ImagesThesisA by-parts analysis of Sea Limited's (NYSE:SE) segments shows that its current valuation is roughly fair, but there are many long-term growth drivers that could surprise to the upside and drive very strong returns for years to come.IntroductionI recently wrote an article highlighting my top 10 stock picks for 2022. I'd already done an in-depth analysis of my other nine picks in other Seeking Alpha articles, so I thought it would be good to close out the year with an article about Sea.Furthermore, with shares down significantly over the past couple of months (but still slightly up for the year), I believe this article may prove timely. I don't speculate on short-term market movements, but I personally added to my Sea shares recently. It's one of my only losing positions that I didn't sell out of temporarily for tax-loss harvesting, and in this article, I will explain why Sea is such a high conviction holding for me.It's also worth noting that many professional investors seem to share this opinion. Sea is the 121st largest company in the world, but it's the16thmost popular holding among hedge funds. This implies that big money is overweight Sea, with 71% of shares held by institutions.Because Sea operates in many different areas, I will do a separate analysis of each of its operating segments to justify its current valuation and explain how that valuation could drive unexpectedly strong returns for years.GamingSea Limited's gaming segment Garena is best known for Free Fire, a mobile battle royale game that was developed in-house.The game was released in 2017 and has been very popular ever since. It currently has the second most monthly active users among all Android games globally. The game is available worldwide, but it's particularly popular in emerging markets like SEA, LATAM, and India, where it's been the highest-grossing mobile game for over two years.With the game having been popular for a long time already, there's some concern that gamers will move on to the next big thing. Although there are some mobile games that are older than Free Fire and still very popular - like Roblox, Clash of Clans, and Pokemon Go - there are many more that have been forgotten. Until Garena releases more games and proves that it can be successful with them too, there will always be questions about whether its studio is a one-hit wonder.Regardless, Garena is a critical part of Sea because it's the only profitable segment and it doubles a social platform that provides free advertising for Sea's non-gaming products. Cross-promotion is a huge competitive advantage for Sea.Thus, one reason for Sea's recent selloff could be the Q4 guidance implied for Garena.Source: Earnings Call PresentationIn Q2 this year, Garena raised its guidance to $4.5B-$4.7B for 2021 bookings (up from $4.3B-$4.5B). With the first three quarters already totaling $3.5B, this implies that Q4 bookings will come in at $1.0B-$1.2B, up between 0% and 20% year over year, and likely down sequentially. This is compared to 29% growth in the most recent quarter and 44% projected growth for the full year.While 20% isn't a terrible deceleration, 0% certainly is. Even 20% growth isn't spectacular compared to the historic levels. At the 10% midpoint, Garena's growth looks more similar to that of a mature company like Activision (NASDAQ:ATVI) or Zynga (NASDAQ:ZNGA) than a fast-growing company like Roblox (NYSE:RBLX).Garena's implied valuation should - and did - suffer as a result. While a fast-growing company like Roblox can command a high double-digit P/S multiple, Activision and Zynga trade at an average P/S multiple of just 4. Garena is slightly more profitable than them and probably has more risk to the upside, so I'll use a P/S multiple of 5 for my implied valuation. This implies a P/E of about 10 for a business growing at around 10%, which is very reasonable in today's market.This means Garena is worth $23.5B based on the high end of management's guidance.I believe this valuation is actually conservative for a few reasons:Next year has tough comps and growth could re-accelerate in the following years or even next year, especially if Garena releases a new hit game. The growth rate past next quarter is not based on explicit guidance from the company, only industry forecasts.The peer valuations I used are from companies also trading at the lower end of their valuation range for the past year.Garena has a good track record and is continuing to invest in Free Fire. One example of this is the recently released Free Fire MAX, which improves the experience for users with higher-end phones and even adds a metaverse-like customizable map called Craftland. To me, this implies that Garena believes Free Fire is still in the earlier part of its lifecycle.Although I'd obviously prefer that Garena develops more games in house, in the meantime it's still not a one-trick pony. In addition to Free Fire, Garena distributes games from third-party developers like Tencent (OTCMKTS:OTCPK:TCEHY). These are popular titles like League of Legends and Call of Duty, which meaningfully diversify Garena's revenue.E-CommerceSea's e-commerce platform Shopee is currently its big growth driver. This platform is often considered the Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) of Southeast Asia, and it recently expanded into more markets including Brazil.There's always some debate about who is really the Amazon of a region. Shopee certainly has competition, including from Alibaba's (NYSE:BABA) Lazada, Tokopedia in Indonesia, MercadoLibre (MELI) in Brazil, and even Amazon itself. With most of the competition being private or tucked away into a larger company, many of the competitors don't publish exact revenue numbers, which makes it difficult to measure the competition. Even Sea hasn't published explicit revenue numbers for some countries like Brazil.One neutral source that can be assessed is the Alexa site rank, which as its name suggests ranks sites by their popularity. Keep in mind that these are ranks, so a lower score is better.Source: The Author, compiled from AlexaShopee is very mobile-focused, but the above table only considers the website. To check App Store app ranks for the shopping category, we can use App Annie.Source: The Author, compiled from AppAnnieOn the mobile side, there's no need to look at the competition because Shopee is consistently the number one shopping app in every country listed. In a mobile-first world, this bodes very well. Even on the web side, Shopee wins out except in a few specific regions like LATAM and (barely) Indonesia, which have more local competitors.Of course, traffic doesn't always translate to GMV. But for a shopping app where most people will use the app to buy something, it's a decent proxy. A third party estimates that Shopee accounts for57%of all e-commerce in Southeast Asia. It's Shopee's dominance in the mobile app ranks and market share that make me consider it the Amazon of Southeast Asia.So why would a company with so much potential sell off?After the recent earnings report, some analysts expressed concern that Shopee is branching out into other countries like Poland and Mexico before validating its business model in the current markets. In these countries, Shopee has less of a presence; it's bounced between the 3-5 spots on the Mexico App Store for shopping apps, and between spots 1 and 3 in Poland. Although analysts hate uncertainty - and the CEO's comments that they don't have a concrete measure of success in these earlier stage countries won't help with that - Shopee has a history of entering new countries successfully and I am willing to give management some time to try expanding more. After all, if they're successful, then it could drive even more unexpected growth in the future.Another complaint from analysts was that the basket size (average purchase size) is trending down. While that could also have contributed to the recent selloff, it's hard to complain when the overall sales increased a lot despite a decrease in basket size.The company raised its guidance for e-commerce again in Q3, now guiding for $5.0B-$5.2B in 2021 e-commerce revenue. That's 75%-100% growth in Q4 and about 135% growth for the year. These are much more exciting numbers than the gaming side, although the guidance still implies a slight deceleration in Q4. But compared to Amazon's $340B in 2020 e-commerce sales, Shopee looks like it's just scratched the surface. E-commerce is at only11%penetration in Southeast Asia compared to18.7%in the USA, and Southeast Asia economies are generally growing faster than the USA's.Despite being in a blue skies industry, it's more difficult to value the e-commerce segment because it operates at a loss (whereas the gaming segment is highly profitable). Shopee's success is not guaranteed because it's not clear at this point whether the platform can become profitable while retaining its market share. Stocks like this tend to experience more volatility, which could partially explain the recent selloff.For unprofitable software companies, I like to use the Rule of 40 to assess the business. But it's difficult to apply this rule to a more cyclical e-commerce company with naturally lower margins. Even so, it's worth noting that despite being unprofitable, Sea's Rule of 40 score of 104 is better than most SaaS companies', and also better than e-commerce peers Amazon (21), MercadoLibre (73), and Alibaba (43).To understand Shopee's terminal valuation once it becomes profitable, we can look at industry peers. Amazon is one profitable and slower-growing peer, and it trades at 4x P/S. AWS pushes this number up, but Amazon's high exposure to first-party sales offsets that. Other e-commerce marketplace peers trade at similar valuations: Alibaba at 3x P/S, MercadoLibre at 9x P/S. All of these valuations are basically all-time lows.If Shopee keeps doubling revenue over the next couple of years (which it's easily done every year since 2016), becomes profitable (which scaling up tends to help with), and will have Amazon's P/S multiple in two years, then at 16 P/S today it would trade flat for two years. But if it keeps growing much faster than Amazon over a longer period like a decade, and/or if the overall industry multiples expand to more normal historical levels, then even at 16x P/S this segment has potential upside. On the other hand, if it stops growing or never becomes profitable then investors will be very disappointed at any P/S.Given this wide range of outcomes, each person is going to have their own way of valuing this segment. For me, when I look at Shopee's mobile dominance, relatively small current size, the funding coming in from Garena, and the precedent set by Amazon, Alibaba, and MercadoLibre for the sustainable long-term success of this business model, I am optimistic about this segment's future. I recognize that it's currently an unprofitable and thus risky segment, but I also see the massive potential.So I am happy paying a 16x P/S multiple, which values the e-commerce segment at $83.2B. Some people will call that way too high, and those people will probably never get a chance to invest in this company, for better or for worse.Thus, with just Garena and Shopee, I have Sea being worth $106.7B. Its current market cap is $123.1B. To account for the difference, let's look at the other parts of Sea.FinTech & InvestmentsThe easiest addition to my computed valuation is Sea's $12B cash pile, partially offset by $4B in debt. This adds some nice optionality to the company and ensures that it won't be bankrupt any time soon despite losing money with Shopee. Adding in the $8B cash difference puts my computed valuation at $114.7B, just $8.4B short of the actual valuation.Then there is Sea's FinTech arm, SeaMoney. The main product here is a mobile wallet, which was responsible for $4.6B in payment volume in the last quarter (~$20B over a year). This segment accounted for $132 million in Q3 revenue, up a whopping 818% year over year. This implies a \"take rate\" of 2.9%, which is even better than established FinTech companies like Visa (V). Because of this high take rate, I'm not worried about SeaMoney losing money while it scales.Despite SeaMoney being a small segment, it's now reaching a point where it can be factored into the valuation. Maybe it's only worth a couple of billion, but this is just the start. Five years ago, nobody would have expected that an e-commerce platform accounting for 5% of Sea's sales would today be worth more than the gaming segment. But Sea's management - combined with Garena's ability to fund new segments and drive their viral adoption - made it happen. It's certainly not guaranteed that Sea will have the same success with FinTech, but there is precedent for it.If one day this segment is worth a third or more of Sea (in 2020, FinTech accounted for 36% of MercadoLibre's revenue) then getting it for just 7% of the business today will be well worth it, even if that implies a somewhat high 16x P/S multiple for the segment today. Actually, this multiple is already lower than Visa's, Mastercard's (NYSE:MA), and Affirm's (NASDAQ:AFRM). Realistically, a segment growing at 818% year over year should probably get a higher multiple than these slower-growing companies', but we don't even need to speculate about what a fair multiple is, since we can reach Sea's current valuation by using 16x P/S in my model valuation.One way this segment could grow even more is through the introduction of more products besides the mobile wallet. Sea noted in their recent earnings that they have started \"early initiatives in other digital financial services such as buy now pay later, digital bank, and insurtech.\" These guys sure know how to hop on the latest high growth trend.Finally, there's the investments arm. Sea is investing in early-stage tech companies, especially in Southeast Asia. There's strong precedent for companies like Tencent (which is itself an investor in Sea) and Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) managing successful investment portfolios that ultimately factor meaningfully into their valuation. Right now Sea's investment arm is very early stage, so I don't include it in my valuation model. But it doesn't have to be factored in to justify the current share price. It's just one more area that might be worth a large part of Sea one day.ConclusionLooking at each of Sea's segments, my valuation model indicates that Sea is fairly valued today. However, my model doesn't account for the significant optionality of the newer segments. Just like e-commerce did over the last five years, FinTech (and/or investments) could grow to become a very large part of Sea's business. With the FinTech segment currently growing at 818% year over year, it doesn't take much imagination to see how this happens. Just another year or two of growth at something close to that rate will make the FinTech arm impossible for investors to ignore.This optionality combined general strength in each business has allowed Sea to post an average revenue beat of 7% over the past year. Earnings haven't been as strong, and I expect that to be the main point of contention with my valuation model, as is the case for most unprofitable companies. In particular, I expect some readers will disagree with my valuation of the e-commerce segment. But even if you drop e-commerce all the way down to 5x P/S (a multiple seen today by much slower growing e-commerce companies) that implies 54% downside from today's prices. It's a steep drop for sure, but most companies in today's market would be looking at such a decline if one were to use the most conservative valuation standards possible.Only fast-growing companies like Sea can quickly offset such a decline with revenue growth. As a result, the businesses with the most long-term potential will hardly ever trade at the most conservative valuation possible. And Sea certainly has long-term potential. It's one of the few high-growth companies I own that I could see reaching a trillion-dollar market cap this decade.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":637,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699676848,"gmtCreate":1639798711205,"gmtModify":1639799964881,"author":{"id":"4099072184690960","authorId":"4099072184690960","name":"J817","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bf29313eb64438823c090e77a69b94a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tiger tiger tiger!!!","listText":"Tiger tiger tiger!!!","text":"Tiger tiger tiger!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699676848","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":464,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604228409,"gmtCreate":1639405611204,"gmtModify":1639409586810,"author":{"id":"4099072184690960","authorId":"4099072184690960","name":"J817","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bf29313eb64438823c090e77a69b94a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑] [微笑] [微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604228409","repostId":"1103876293","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1103876293","pubTimestamp":1639365728,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1103876293?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-13 11:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Supercharged Electric-Vehicle Stocks to Buy in 2022 and Beyond","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103876293","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These three companies involve different risks, but each could supercharge your portfolio over the long term.","content":"An investor who wants to dive into the electric-vehicle (EV) sector should be comfortable with a variety of risks. But those risks balance with potential rewards. That's what investing is all about, after all.\nThree EV stocks that could supercharge your portfolio in 2022 and beyond ironically also each bring a unique and significant risk as an investment. There's no better way to vet a potential investment than to thoroughly review its risks. If you can be comfortable with the potential downside, now might be a good time to invest in these EV-sector names.\n<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6bcb0b015b34cd60db51bb86343dcbbe\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"935\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Image source: Getty Images.\nNio: A second wind\nChinese EV-maker&nbsp;Nio(NIO)&nbsp;took advantage of excessive investor enthusiasm, which drove its valuation to nearly $100 billion before the company had earned a dime in net earnings. After flirting with bankruptcy as recently as two years ago, the company raised money in the capital markets, and now has about $7.3 billion in cash on its balance sheet as of Sept. 30, 2021.\nThat second wind has resulted in the company delivering more than 150,000 cumulative vehicles, as of the end of November. Nio reports monthly deliveries, and the below chart shows how fast they have ramped up shipments since the start of 2020.\n<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8342eca7f9e9cb69ffa016615c11bbcb\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1151\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data source: Nio. Chart by author.\nNio is also preparing to double its capacity and add new models, which hindered production in October 2021. The company took production down for the first half of the month in preparation for the new ET7 luxury sedan it will begin selling early in 2022. The increase in production capacity comes as the company is branching out of its native China into Europe. It has established a presence in Norway and intends to deliver vehicles in Germany next year.\nThose two markets should lead global growth in EVs, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). EV sales in China and Europe led the world in 2020, with a combined total of 2.7 million units. In its 2021 global EV outlook, the agency offered two scenarios for the EV sector over the next decade.\nBy 2030, it expects China and Europe to continue to lead the way with at least 16.6 million vehicles and as many as 25.3 million, if government initiatives focus more on sustainability. Nio looks to be in a prime spot in the biggest markets for explosive growth in the coming years, giving investors an opportunity, as long as the company executes well.\n<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4accec987e9af0f29cc462664deb37d4\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Lucid's luxury electric Air sedan. Image source: Lucid Group.\nLucid: High expectations\nAnalysts and investors following the EV sector have been watching&nbsp;Lucid Group(LCID)&nbsp;since well before it went public by merging with a&nbsp;special purpose acquisition company (SPAC)&nbsp;in late July. Peter Rawlinson, the company's CEO and chief technology officer (CTO), worked as lead engineer at&nbsp;Tesla&nbsp;on its Model S development program. That made some believe his new company and its luxury electric sedans could be the first true competition for the leading EV company.\nLucid provided investors with lofty goals and projections prior to its public debut. Without expecting any meaningful revenue in 2021, the company said in a July 2021 investor presentation that it expects sales to exceed $2 billion in 2022. With plans to introduce its next vehicle, the Gravity luxury SUV, in late 2023, it hopes to be close to $10 billion in revenue for 2024.\nBut the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is scrutinizing several start-up companies that have gone public via SPAC and&nbsp;is now looking into certain early projections and statements that Lucid provided. Investors don't yet know the details of that subpoena, but it illuminates another risk associated with investing in early stage EV companies.\nThe business itself is off to a good start, however. Lucid's first car launched on schedule, and the Air has won accolades, including being namedMotorTrend2022 Car of the Year. It also has the highest EV battery-range rating given by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), at 520 miles. Lucid may be on a path to greatness, but it still has a long road ahead. With a market cap of over $73 billion just as it is beginning production,it will need to execute perfectly to justify its valuation.\nChargePoint: Exceeding early projections\nEV-charging network leader&nbsp;ChargePoint Holdings(CHPT)&nbsp;also went public through a SPAC merger and has reported multiple financial updates as a public company already. How Lucid measures up to its own projections remains to be seen, but so far, ChargePoint has achieved what it told investors it would, and more.\nIn the company's fiscal third-quarter 2022 report released this week, management increased revenue guidance for the fiscal-year period ending Jan. 31, 2022 for the second time since its public debut. ChargePoint told investors in a July presentation that it expected fiscal-year revenue of $198 million. That's now been moved up to a range of $235 million to $240 million.\nChargePoint is also off to a fine start as a public company. It expects to continue to be the leading North American charging-network company and is also expanding in Europe. ChargePoint's gross margin increased 500 basis points to 25% in its most-recent quarter, compared to the prior-year period.\nThough the company reported a larger net loss year over year, it increased revenue by 79%. As it builds out its physical charging ports, it will look toward profitability through its network subscription services. Its risks should also not be minimized.\nThere will be plenty of competition, but ChargePoint has a head start and could be in position to gain a large piece of the rapidly growing EV charging-services pie.","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Supercharged Electric-Vehicle Stocks to Buy in 2022 and Beyond</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Supercharged Electric-Vehicle Stocks to Buy in 2022 and Beyond\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-13 11:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/12/3-supercharged-ev-stocks-to-buy-in-2022-and-beyond/>Motley Fool</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\nAn investor who wants to dive into the electric-vehicle (EV) sector should be comfortable with a variety of risks. But those risks balance with potential rewards. That's what investing is all about, ...\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/12/3-supercharged-ev-stocks-to-buy-in-2022-and-beyond/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","LCID":"Lucid Group Inc","CHPT":"ChargePoint Holdings Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/12/3-supercharged-ev-stocks-to-buy-in-2022-and-beyond/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103876293","content_text":"An investor who wants to dive into the electric-vehicle (EV) sector should be comfortable with a variety of risks. But those risks balance with potential rewards. That's what investing is all about, after all.\nThree EV stocks that could supercharge your portfolio in 2022 and beyond ironically also each bring a unique and significant risk as an investment. There's no better way to vet a potential investment than to thoroughly review its risks. If you can be comfortable with the potential downside, now might be a good time to invest in these EV-sector names.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nNio: A second wind\nChinese EV-maker Nio(NIO) took advantage of excessive investor enthusiasm, which drove its valuation to nearly $100 billion before the company had earned a dime in net earnings. After flirting with bankruptcy as recently as two years ago, the company raised money in the capital markets, and now has about $7.3 billion in cash on its balance sheet as of Sept. 30, 2021.\nThat second wind has resulted in the company delivering more than 150,000 cumulative vehicles, as of the end of November. Nio reports monthly deliveries, and the below chart shows how fast they have ramped up shipments since the start of 2020.\nData source: Nio. Chart by author.\nNio is also preparing to double its capacity and add new models, which hindered production in October 2021. The company took production down for the first half of the month in preparation for the new ET7 luxury sedan it will begin selling early in 2022. The increase in production capacity comes as the company is branching out of its native China into Europe. It has established a presence in Norway and intends to deliver vehicles in Germany next year.\nThose two markets should lead global growth in EVs, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). EV sales in China and Europe led the world in 2020, with a combined total of 2.7 million units. In its 2021 global EV outlook, the agency offered two scenarios for the EV sector over the next decade.\nBy 2030, it expects China and Europe to continue to lead the way with at least 16.6 million vehicles and as many as 25.3 million, if government initiatives focus more on sustainability. Nio looks to be in a prime spot in the biggest markets for explosive growth in the coming years, giving investors an opportunity, as long as the company executes well.\nLucid's luxury electric Air sedan. Image source: Lucid Group.\nLucid: High expectations\nAnalysts and investors following the EV sector have been watching Lucid Group(LCID) since well before it went public by merging with a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) in late July. Peter Rawlinson, the company's CEO and chief technology officer (CTO), worked as lead engineer at Tesla on its Model S development program. That made some believe his new company and its luxury electric sedans could be the first true competition for the leading EV company.\nLucid provided investors with lofty goals and projections prior to its public debut. Without expecting any meaningful revenue in 2021, the company said in a July 2021 investor presentation that it expects sales to exceed $2 billion in 2022. With plans to introduce its next vehicle, the Gravity luxury SUV, in late 2023, it hopes to be close to $10 billion in revenue for 2024.\nBut the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is scrutinizing several start-up companies that have gone public via SPAC and is now looking into certain early projections and statements that Lucid provided. Investors don't yet know the details of that subpoena, but it illuminates another risk associated with investing in early stage EV companies.\nThe business itself is off to a good start, however. Lucid's first car launched on schedule, and the Air has won accolades, including being namedMotorTrend2022 Car of the Year. It also has the highest EV battery-range rating given by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), at 520 miles. Lucid may be on a path to greatness, but it still has a long road ahead. With a market cap of over $73 billion just as it is beginning production,it will need to execute perfectly to justify its valuation.\nChargePoint: Exceeding early projections\nEV-charging network leader ChargePoint Holdings(CHPT) also went public through a SPAC merger and has reported multiple financial updates as a public company already. How Lucid measures up to its own projections remains to be seen, but so far, ChargePoint has achieved what it told investors it would, and more.\nIn the company's fiscal third-quarter 2022 report released this week, management increased revenue guidance for the fiscal-year period ending Jan. 31, 2022 for the second time since its public debut. ChargePoint told investors in a July presentation that it expected fiscal-year revenue of $198 million. That's now been moved up to a range of $235 million to $240 million.\nChargePoint is also off to a fine start as a public company. It expects to continue to be the leading North American charging-network company and is also expanding in Europe. ChargePoint's gross margin increased 500 basis points to 25% in its most-recent quarter, compared to the prior-year period.\nThough the company reported a larger net loss year over year, it increased revenue by 79%. As it builds out its physical charging ports, it will look toward profitability through its network subscription services. Its risks should also not be minimized.\nThere will be plenty of competition, but ChargePoint has a head start and could be in position to gain a large piece of the rapidly growing EV charging-services pie.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":584,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":630504878,"gmtCreate":1642953648714,"gmtModify":1642953648795,"author":{"id":"4099072184690960","authorId":"4099072184690960","name":"J817","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bf29313eb64438823c090e77a69b94a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmmm[正经]&nbsp;[正经]&nbsp;[正经]&nbsp;","listText":"Hmmm[正经]&nbsp;[正经]&nbsp;[正经]&nbsp;","text":"Hmmm[正经] [正经] [正经]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630504878","repostId":"2205027031","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2205027031","pubTimestamp":1642988892,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2205027031?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-24 09:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Want 98% to 148% Returns This Year? Wall Street Says Buy These 3 Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2205027031","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"All three are innovators in their respective markets.","content":"<html><head></head><body>Wall Street doesn&#39;t always get it right. Some stocks that analysts really like don&#39;t perform well. Others that they dislike can be surprising stars.However, analysts spend a lot of time poring over companies&#39; financial reports and researching their businesses and industry trends. They do plenty of number crunching to come up with price targets for stocks.It&#39;s probably fair to say that the stocks that analysts are most bullish about have at least reasonable prospects of generating solid gains. And some of those stocks could be especially big winners. If you want returns of 98% to 148% this year, Wall Street analysts think that buying these three stocks could do the trick.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4829f7c425772aea60edd8d81cf4be5a\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Image source: Getty Images.<h2>1. Shopify</h2>Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) is an e-commerce leader that analysts really like these days. The stock delivered a 22% gain in 2021. Wall Street&#39;s consensus price target for Shopify is 148% higher than the current share price.Sure, Shopify&#39;s valuation might seem terrifyingly high. The stock trades at almost 44 times sales and nearly 278 times expected earnings. However, it&#39;s important to put this premium valuation into context.The total addressable market for Shopify in serving small- to medium-sized businesses (SMB) is more than $150 billion per year. Shopify isn&#39;t limited to the SMB market, though. The company also caters to entrepreneurial start-ups and large customers.Shopify is growing rapidly, with revenue soaring 46% year over year in its latest reported quarter. The company will need to avoid missteps (such as the recent changes to its app store that displeased customers) to keep that momentum going. Barring any major blunders in the future, Shopify should be in a good position to deliver impressive returns for investors in 2022.<h2>2. Sea Limited</h2>If 2021 had ended in October, Sea Limited (NYSE:SE) would have delivered a sizzling gain last year. However, the stock plunged in the final couple of months and ended the year up only 12%.But Wall Street analysts think that Sea could make a major comeback in 2022. The average price target for the stock reflects an upside potential of 140%. There are several reasons to be optimistic about the prospects for Sea to double or more this year.Sea&#39;s Free Fire mobile game continues to pick up momentum -- and not just in Southeast Asia, where it has dominated for several years. It&#39;s also the highest-grossing mobile game in Latin America. Free Fire ranks as the highest-grossing mobile battle royale game in the U.S. and the second highest-grossing mobile game overall on Google Play.Don&#39;t think of Sea Limited as only a video game stock, though. The company also stands as a leader in e-commerce with its Shopee platform. Shopee is the top e-commerce app in Southeast Asia, Indonesia, and Taiwan. It&#39;s gaining traction in Latin America as well, especially in Brazil. Sea&#39;s mobile wallet payment volume has also increased tremendously thanks in large part to Shopee&#39;s success.There aren&#39;t many companies that claim leading positions in gaming, e-commerce, and digital payments. All three are key trends with lots of growth potential. Perhaps Sea Limited won&#39;t live up to analysts&#39; expectations this year, but it won&#39;t be surprising if it does.<h2>3. Teladoc Health</h2>Some might be tempted to throw in the towel on Teladoc Health (NYSE:TDOC). Shares of the virtual care provider lost more than half of its market cap last year. However, analysts remain very bullish about Teladoc. The average price target for the stock reflects a premium of 98% to the current share price.Teladoc doesn&#39;t have to look very far to find growth opportunities. The company currently has 76 million members. There are another 16 million potential members at existing clients who haven&#39;t enrolled in Teladoc&#39;s virtual care offerings. And there are an additional 63 million individuals within existing clients that don&#39;t yet have access to any of Teladoc&#39;s products.Increased product penetration is another way for Teladoc to grow. The penetration rate for the company&#39;s chronic disease management platform for diabetes is only around 21% right now. Less than 1% of members currently use Teladoc&#39;s new Primary360 virtual primary care product.Of course, Teladoc also has significant room for bringing on new customers. More than 140 million Americans don&#39;t use Teladoc yet.Consulting firm McKinsey &amp; Company estimates that the U.S. virtual care market could reach up to $250 billion per year. Teladoc is the leader in this market and should retain its position despite increased competition. Maybe the stock won&#39;t nearly double this year as Wall Street expects. However, Teladoc should be able to deliver huge gains over the long run.</body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Want 98% to 148% Returns This Year? Wall Street Says Buy These 3 Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWant 98% to 148% Returns This Year? Wall Street Says Buy These 3 Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-24 09:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/23/wall-street-says-buy-these-3-stocks/>Motley Fool</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\nWall Street doesn't always get it right. Some stocks that analysts really like don't perform well. Others that they dislike can be surprising stars.However, analysts spend a lot of time poring over ...\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/23/wall-street-says-buy-these-3-stocks/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4085":"互动家庭娱乐","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BGNE":"百济神州","SHOP":"Shopify Inc","SE":"Sea Ltd","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4139":"生物科技","BK4528":"SaaS概念","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4567":"ESG概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4167":"医疗保健技术","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4116":"互联网服务与基础架构","BK4526":"热门中概股","TDOC":"Teladoc Health Inc.","SMB":"VanEck Short Muni ETF","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/23/wall-street-says-buy-these-3-stocks/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2205027031","content_text":"Wall Street doesn't always get it right. Some stocks that analysts really like don't perform well. Others that they dislike can be surprising stars.However, analysts spend a lot of time poring over companies' financial reports and researching their businesses and industry trends. They do plenty of number crunching to come up with price targets for stocks.It's probably fair to say that the stocks that analysts are most bullish about have at least reasonable prospects of generating solid gains. And some of those stocks could be especially big winners. If you want returns of 98% to 148% this year, Wall Street analysts think that buying these three stocks could do the trick.Image source: Getty Images.1. ShopifyShopify (NYSE:SHOP) is an e-commerce leader that analysts really like these days. The stock delivered a 22% gain in 2021. Wall Street's consensus price target for Shopify is 148% higher than the current share price.Sure, Shopify's valuation might seem terrifyingly high. The stock trades at almost 44 times sales and nearly 278 times expected earnings. However, it's important to put this premium valuation into context.The total addressable market for Shopify in serving small- to medium-sized businesses (SMB) is more than $150 billion per year. Shopify isn't limited to the SMB market, though. The company also caters to entrepreneurial start-ups and large customers.Shopify is growing rapidly, with revenue soaring 46% year over year in its latest reported quarter. The company will need to avoid missteps (such as the recent changes to its app store that displeased customers) to keep that momentum going. Barring any major blunders in the future, Shopify should be in a good position to deliver impressive returns for investors in 2022.2. Sea LimitedIf 2021 had ended in October, Sea Limited (NYSE:SE) would have delivered a sizzling gain last year. However, the stock plunged in the final couple of months and ended the year up only 12%.But Wall Street analysts think that Sea could make a major comeback in 2022. The average price target for the stock reflects an upside potential of 140%. There are several reasons to be optimistic about the prospects for Sea to double or more this year.Sea's Free Fire mobile game continues to pick up momentum -- and not just in Southeast Asia, where it has dominated for several years. It's also the highest-grossing mobile game in Latin America. Free Fire ranks as the highest-grossing mobile battle royale game in the U.S. and the second highest-grossing mobile game overall on Google Play.Don't think of Sea Limited as only a video game stock, though. The company also stands as a leader in e-commerce with its Shopee platform. Shopee is the top e-commerce app in Southeast Asia, Indonesia, and Taiwan. It's gaining traction in Latin America as well, especially in Brazil. Sea's mobile wallet payment volume has also increased tremendously thanks in large part to Shopee's success.There aren't many companies that claim leading positions in gaming, e-commerce, and digital payments. All three are key trends with lots of growth potential. Perhaps Sea Limited won't live up to analysts' expectations this year, but it won't be surprising if it does.3. Teladoc HealthSome might be tempted to throw in the towel on Teladoc Health (NYSE:TDOC). Shares of the virtual care provider lost more than half of its market cap last year. However, analysts remain very bullish about Teladoc. The average price target for the stock reflects a premium of 98% to the current share price.Teladoc doesn't have to look very far to find growth opportunities. The company currently has 76 million members. There are another 16 million potential members at existing clients who haven't enrolled in Teladoc's virtual care offerings. And there are an additional 63 million individuals within existing clients that don't yet have access to any of Teladoc's products.Increased product penetration is another way for Teladoc to grow. The penetration rate for the company's chronic disease management platform for diabetes is only around 21% right now. Less than 1% of members currently use Teladoc's new Primary360 virtual primary care product.Of course, Teladoc also has significant room for bringing on new customers. More than 140 million Americans don't use Teladoc yet.Consulting firm McKinsey & Company estimates that the U.S. virtual care market could reach up to $250 billion per year. Teladoc is the leader in this market and should retain its position despite increased competition. Maybe the stock won't nearly double this year as Wall Street expects. However, Teladoc should be able to deliver huge gains over the long run.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":634,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":630609678,"gmtCreate":1642791767993,"gmtModify":1642791768083,"author":{"id":"4099072184690960","authorId":"4099072184690960","name":"J817","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bf29313eb64438823c090e77a69b94a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630609678","repostId":"697484754","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":697484754,"gmtCreate":1642561252008,"gmtModify":1642580485840,"author":{"id":"3527667596890271","authorId":"3527667596890271","name":"Buy_Sell","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5f0ed79a338c758a22e0b4ea13bf9d2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"🚀【1月19日】深夜暴跌！科技股噩梦来袭？今天买点啥","htmlText":"聊聊今日份的交易想法，包括对于大盘走势后续的看法？看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。 港股市场 1月19日，香港恒生指数开盘上涨117.0点，涨幅0.49%，报24229.78点；国企指数开盘上涨36.5点，涨幅0.43%，报8485.5点；红筹指数开盘上涨18.46点，涨幅0.45%，报4117.48点。 恒生科技指数开涨0.31%，科技板块表现较为活跃，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">$京东集团-SW(09618)$</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09888\">$百度集团-SW(09888)$</a> 涨超2%； 内房股、物业管理股多数高开，碧桂园服务开涨3%； 体育用品股上涨，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02331\">$李宁(02331)$</a> 涨超2%； <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02359\">$药明康德(02359)$</a> 涨超2%，年度归母净利同比预增近70%； <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01913\">$普拉达(01913)$</a> 涨逾3%，集团2021年总收益同比增长41%。 美股市场 美股周二收跌，美国国债收益率大幅攀升，令高成长科技股承压。截至收盘，道琼斯指数跌1.51%，报35,368.47点；标普500指数跌1.83%，报4,577.34点；纳斯达克指数跌2.60%，报14,506.90点。 大型科技股悉数下挫，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 跌1.89%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$亚马逊(AMZN)$</a> 跌1.99%，","listText":"聊聊今日份的交易想法，包括对于大盘走势后续的看法？看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。 港股市场 1月19日，香港恒生指数开盘上涨117.0点，涨幅0.49%，报24229.78点；国企指数开盘上涨36.5点，涨幅0.43%，报8485.5点；红筹指数开盘上涨18.46点，涨幅0.45%，报4117.48点。 恒生科技指数开涨0.31%，科技板块表现较为活跃，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">$京东集团-SW(09618)$</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09888\">$百度集团-SW(09888)$</a> 涨超2%； 内房股、物业管理股多数高开，碧桂园服务开涨3%； 体育用品股上涨，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02331\">$李宁(02331)$</a> 涨超2%； <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02359\">$药明康德(02359)$</a> 涨超2%，年度归母净利同比预增近70%； <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01913\">$普拉达(01913)$</a> 涨逾3%，集团2021年总收益同比增长41%。 美股市场 美股周二收跌，美国国债收益率大幅攀升，令高成长科技股承压。截至收盘，道琼斯指数跌1.51%，报35,368.47点；标普500指数跌1.83%，报4,577.34点；纳斯达克指数跌2.60%，报14,506.90点。 大型科技股悉数下挫，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 跌1.89%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$亚马逊(AMZN)$</a> 跌1.99%，","text":"聊聊今日份的交易想法，包括对于大盘走势后续的看法？看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。 港股市场 1月19日，香港恒生指数开盘上涨117.0点，涨幅0.49%，报24229.78点；国企指数开盘上涨36.5点，涨幅0.43%，报8485.5点；红筹指数开盘上涨18.46点，涨幅0.45%，报4117.48点。 恒生科技指数开涨0.31%，科技板块表现较为活跃，$京东集团-SW(09618)$ 、$百度集团-SW(09888)$ 涨超2%； 内房股、物业管理股多数高开，碧桂园服务开涨3%； 体育用品股上涨，$李宁(02331)$ 涨超2%； $药明康德(02359)$ 涨超2%，年度归母净利同比预增近70%； $普拉达(01913)$ 涨逾3%，集团2021年总收益同比增长41%。 美股市场 美股周二收跌，美国国债收益率大幅攀升，令高成长科技股承压。截至收盘，道琼斯指数跌1.51%，报35,368.47点；标普500指数跌1.83%，报4,577.34点；纳斯达克指数跌2.60%，报14,506.90点。 大型科技股悉数下挫，$苹果(AAPL)$ 跌1.89%，$亚马逊(AMZN)$ 跌1.99%，","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2824dfec01176c2466605ae1339f684d","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697484754","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":900,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":697018660,"gmtCreate":1642156641250,"gmtModify":1642156641499,"author":{"id":"4099072184690960","authorId":"4099072184690960","name":"J817","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bf29313eb64438823c090e77a69b94a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3582643296059275\">@</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3582643296059275\">JoeLeong</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3582643296059275\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3586342075674877\">@</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3586342075674877\">Zacyai</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3586342075674877\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4087376537728580\">@</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4087376537728580\">Yan23</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4087376537728580\"></a> [微笑] [微笑] [微笑]","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3582643296059275\">@</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3582643296059275\">JoeLeong</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3582643296059275\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3586342075674877\">@</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3586342075674877\">Zacyai</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3586342075674877\"></a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4087376537728580\">@</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4087376537728580\">Yan23</a><a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06606\">$诺辉健康-B(06606)$</a> 跳涨近15%领涨，汽车股、半导体股、保险股、在线教育股、乳业股、石油股普遍上涨，长城汽车高开超5%，12月销量同比增8.17%；另一方面，内房股与物管股领跌，中医药股回调。昨日大跌的细价股反弹，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00554\">$汉思能源(00554)$</a> 、BENG SOON MACH涨超14%。 诺辉健康跳空高开14.75%报22.1港元，最新市值95亿港元。公司昨晚宣布，旗下幽门螺杆菌检测产品幽幽管获得国家药品监督管理局(NMPA)批准的三类医疗器械注册申请。这是国家药监局批准的中国首个适用于“消费者自测”的幽门螺杆菌检测产品。近日，在美国卫生","listText":"聊聊今日份的交易想法，包括对于大盘走势后续的看法？看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。 港股市场 1月7日讯，港股三大指数高开，恒指涨1.07%，国指涨0.74%，恒生科技指数涨1.36%。 盘面上，隔夜美股热门中概股逆势大涨，大型科技股集体上扬，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a> 涨4.55%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09888\">$百度集团-SW(09888)$</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">$京东集团-SW(09618)$</a> 涨超3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a> 涨2.8%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">$快手-W(01024)$</a> 、腾讯涨近2%；生物医药股反弹，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06606\">$诺辉健康-B(06606)$</a> 跳涨近15%领涨，汽车股、半导体股、保险股、在线教育股、乳业股、石油股普遍上涨，长城汽车高开超5%，12月销量同比增8.17%；另一方面，内房股与物管股领跌，中医药股回调。昨日大跌的细价股反弹，<a 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诺辉健康跳空高开14.75%报22.1港元，最新市值95亿港元。公司昨晚宣布，旗下幽门螺杆菌检测产品幽幽管获得国家药品监督管理局(NMPA)批准的三类医疗器械注册申请。这是国家药监局批准的中国首个适用于“消费者自测”的幽门螺杆菌检测产品。近日，在美国卫生","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c224c9889536a14f83eca563ae0bb07","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/695529475","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":718,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}