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NPL_Buttons
2021-08-05
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NPL_Buttons
2021-07-22
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2021-07-06
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NPL_Buttons
2021-07-05
Nicr
@小虎周报:一周IPO观察:青瓷游戏、瑞尔集团递交招股书
NPL_Buttons
2021-07-04
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Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote>
NPL_Buttons
2021-07-04
When to buy
NPL_Buttons
2021-07-01
This is
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2021-07-01
Ok
Point72 Seeks Crypto Head While Soros Starts Bitcoin Trading<blockquote>Point72寻找加密货币主管,而Soros开始比特币交易</blockquote>
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2021-07-01
Hi, this is is is is neutral
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2021-07-01
$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$
gg
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2021-06-29
Konichiwa
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2021-06-29
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Airbnb: Not A Lot Of Upside At This Stage<blockquote>爱彼迎:现阶段上涨空间不大</blockquote>
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截止6月20日当周,港股IPO市场上,无论是申购热情,还是上市表现,都出现了两级分化。有意思的是,申购火热的票,并不一定就是上市表现好的。当周上市的公司中,名不见经传的小票<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02155\">$森松国际(02155)$</a> 承接上周末暗盘的大涨,首日收涨258%,由于乙组就个位数的认购者,单笔交易获利颇丰。不过这种意料之外的行情投资者难以捕捉。 而顶着“新式茶饮第一股”名号的<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02150\">$奈雪的茶(02150)$</a> ,虽有432倍超额认购,但暗盘破发-1.3%,首日大跌13.54%。另一家美股上市公司和黄医药暗盘大涨24.9%的情况下,首日高涨50.37%。 周五暗盘的<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02190\">$归创通桥-B(02190)$</a> 获得了1190倍的超额认购,一手中签率仅2%,160手稳中一,暗盘大涨30.21%。 当周仍在招股的公司有:<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02209\">$喆丽控股(02209)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02177\">$优趣汇控股(02177)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02165\">$领悦服务集团(02165)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09960\">$康圣环球(0996</a>","listText":"港股IPO观察 截止6月20日当周,港股IPO市场上,无论是申购热情,还是上市表现,都出现了两级分化。有意思的是,申购火热的票,并不一定就是上市表现好的。当周上市的公司中,名不见经传的小票<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02155\">$森松国际(02155)$</a> 承接上周末暗盘的大涨,首日收涨258%,由于乙组就个位数的认购者,单笔交易获利颇丰。不过这种意料之外的行情投资者难以捕捉。 而顶着“新式茶饮第一股”名号的<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02150\">$奈雪的茶(02150)$</a> ,虽有432倍超额认购,但暗盘破发-1.3%,首日大跌13.54%。另一家美股上市公司和黄医药暗盘大涨24.9%的情况下,首日高涨50.37%。 周五暗盘的<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02190\">$归创通桥-B(02190)$</a> 获得了1190倍的超额认购,一手中签率仅2%,160手稳中一,暗盘大涨30.21%。 当周仍在招股的公司有:<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02209\">$喆丽控股(02209)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02177\">$优趣汇控股(02177)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02165\">$领悦服务集团(02165)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09960\">$康圣环球(0996</a>","text":"港股IPO观察 截止6月20日当周,港股IPO市场上,无论是申购热情,还是上市表现,都出现了两级分化。有意思的是,申购火热的票,并不一定就是上市表现好的。当周上市的公司中,名不见经传的小票$森松国际(02155)$ 承接上周末暗盘的大涨,首日收涨258%,由于乙组就个位数的认购者,单笔交易获利颇丰。不过这种意料之外的行情投资者难以捕捉。 而顶着“新式茶饮第一股”名号的$奈雪的茶(02150)$ ,虽有432倍超额认购,但暗盘破发-1.3%,首日大跌13.54%。另一家美股上市公司和黄医药暗盘大涨24.9%的情况下,首日高涨50.37%。 周五暗盘的$归创通桥-B(02190)$ 获得了1190倍的超额认购,一手中签率仅2%,160手稳中一,暗盘大涨30.21%。 当周仍在招股的公司有:$喆丽控股(02209)$ 、$优趣汇控股(02177)$ 、$领悦服务集团(02165)$ 、$康圣环球(0996","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154004397","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2083,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152712164,"gmtCreate":1625356437358,"gmtModify":1633941385913,"author":{"id":"4087536816869760","authorId":"4087536816869760","name":"NPL_Buttons","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087536816869760","authorIdStr":"4087536816869760"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152712164","repostId":"1188153141","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188153141","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625276221,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188153141?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-03 09:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188153141","media":"MoneyWise","summary":"As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for th","content":"<p>As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.</p><p><blockquote>随着股市继续创下纪录,新冠肺炎的影响继续给经济带来问题。</blockquote></p><p> That clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.</p><p><blockquote>这场冲突让投资专家感到担忧,其中包括苏茜·欧曼(Suze Orman),她甚至表示,她现在正在为不可避免的市场崩盘做准备。</blockquote></p><p> And a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特推广的一项著名指标——巴菲特指标——表明奥曼可能有所发现。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.</p><p><blockquote>以下解释了这种担忧的来源,以及即使市场下跌,您也可以使用一些技巧来保持投资组合的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What does Suze Orman think?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苏西·奥曼是怎么想的?</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be8dc3ad363faad96bc575a22235562d\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Mediapunch/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>Mediapunch/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Suze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.</p><p><blockquote>几十年来,Suze Orman一直热切关注市场。她知道起起落落是意料之中的,但她所看到的像游戏驿站这样的投资时尚所发生的事情让她感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”</p><p><blockquote>“我不喜欢现在市场上发生的事情,”奥曼在CNBC的视频中表示。“经济一直很糟糕,但股市一直在上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> While investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然现在投资就像使用智能手机应用程序一样容易,但奥曼担心我们能从这些历史高点走向何方。</blockquote></p><p> And even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.</p><p><blockquote>即使刺激支票仍在发放,房地产市场去年也打破了自己的记录,奥曼仍担心冠状病毒会带来什么——特别是在新变种不断出现的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是,她觉得距离上次崩盘已经太久了,不能再保持这么高的高度了。</blockquote></p><p> “This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.</p><p><blockquote>“这让我又想起了2000年,”奥曼说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Buffett Indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巴菲特指标</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44ada32ecadcc4581fed208f4f4e4d53\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Larry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>拉里·W·史密斯/EPA/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> One metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特经常用来评估市场的一项指标,以他的名字命名,已经亮起红灯足够长的时间,以至于市场观察人士开始怀疑这是否是一个过时的工具。</blockquote></p><p> But the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.</p><p><blockquote>但衡量股市总价值与美国经济产出比率的巴菲特指标继续攀升至前所未有的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士想知道这是否是我们即将看到严重下跌的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> How to prepare for a crash<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ad912a6b4611d9e39b46d2851c78c9e\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Freedomz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>如何为崩溃做好准备Freedomz/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Orman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.</p><p><blockquote>Orman提出了三个建立简单投资策略的建议,以帮助您成功应对市场的任何急转弯。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Buy low</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.低吸</b></blockquote></p><p> Part of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼对游戏驿站等模因股票的狂热感到如此不安的部分原因是,它完全违背了普通投资者的利益。</blockquote></p><p> “All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”</p><p><blockquote>“你们所有人的头都被拧到了后面,”她说。“你想要的只是这些市场不断上涨。这对你有什么好处?”</blockquote></p><p> She points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.</p><p><blockquote>她指出,大多数人唯一的额外资金用于投资401(k)或IRA计划的退休生活。</blockquote></p><p> Because you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.</p><p><blockquote>因为你可能几十年内都不打算碰这笔钱,所以最好的长期策略是低吸。这样,你的美元现在将走得更远,为未来20年、30年或40年留下足够的增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Invest on a schedule</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.按计划投资</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4102f8a6d5002090743b1cbded32ef9\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">katjen / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>卡珍/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> While she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.</p><p><blockquote>虽然她更喜欢低价买入,但奥曼不建议你在市场上涨时完全停止投资。</blockquote></p><p> She wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.</p><p><blockquote>她希望普通投资者不要陷入市场每天的涨跌之中。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,现在为经济低迷欢呼可能是您获得更大份额利润丰厚的投资的最佳选择——就像一些幸运的投资者在2007年和2008年所做的那样。</blockquote></p><p> “When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”</p><p><blockquote>“当市场下跌、下跌、下跌时,你可以免费购买东西,”奥曼说。“现在看看15年后的它们。”</blockquote></p><p> She suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.</p><p><blockquote>她建议你建立一个平均成本策略,这意味着无论市场波动如何,你都要定期等量投资。</blockquote></p><p> This kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法很容易用目前可供DIY投资者使用的许多投资应用程序中的任何一个来实施。</blockquote></p><p> There are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.</p><p><blockquote>甚至有些应用程序会通过将您的借记卡和信用卡购买的金额四舍五入到最接近的美元来自动投资您的零钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Diversify with fractional shares</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.通过零碎股份实现多元化</b></blockquote></p><p> To help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助应对市场特定角落的下跌,奥曼建议您分散投资——通过投资多种不同类型的资产和经济部门来平衡您的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> Orman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼特别推荐零股投资。这种方法允许你购买一家知名公司的一部分股份,否则你将买不起。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.</p><p><blockquote>在流行的股票交易工具的帮助下,任何预算的人都可以负担得起碎股策略。</blockquote></p><p> “The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”</p><p><blockquote>“你越早开始,你拥有的钱就越多,”奥曼说。“只是不要停下来,当这些市场下跌时,你应该很高兴,因为你的美元找到了更多的份额。”</blockquote></p><p> “And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”</p><p><blockquote>“你拥有的股票越多,20年、40年、50年后你拥有的钱就越多。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else you can do</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你还能做什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e79c6fd1f8fa6e3a7c3a6c94f1e14b5\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">goodluz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>古德卢兹/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼在CNBC视频中表示,无论大崩盘是否即将来临,距离退休还有几十年的投资者都可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> First, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.</p><p><blockquote>第一,做最坏的打算,抱最好的希望。自从疫情爆发以来,奥曼现在建议每个人都有一个应急基金,可以支付他们一整年的费用。</blockquote></p><p> Then, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.</p><p><blockquote>然后,为了让自己过上舒适的退休生活,她建议您选择Roth账户,无论是401(k)还是IRA。</blockquote></p><p> That will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.</p><p><blockquote>这将帮助您在从退休账户中提取资金时避免纳税,因为您对罗斯账户的供款是税后进行的。另一方面,传统IRA在您缴款时无需纳税,因此您最终会稍后付款。</blockquote></p><p> If you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果您发现需要更多指导,与专业财务顾问合作可以帮助您指出正确的方向,以便您可以自信地度过任何市场波动。</blockquote></p><p> While everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.</p><p><blockquote>当其他人都在偏离路线或矫枉过正时,你将牢牢地坐在驾驶座上,计划好你的晚年。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1621813427262","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSuze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MoneyWise</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-03 09:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.</p><p><blockquote>随着股市继续创下纪录,新冠肺炎的影响继续给经济带来问题。</blockquote></p><p> That clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.</p><p><blockquote>这场冲突让投资专家感到担忧,其中包括苏茜·欧曼(Suze Orman),她甚至表示,她现在正在为不可避免的市场崩盘做准备。</blockquote></p><p> And a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特推广的一项著名指标——巴菲特指标——表明奥曼可能有所发现。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.</p><p><blockquote>以下解释了这种担忧的来源,以及即使市场下跌,您也可以使用一些技巧来保持投资组合的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What does Suze Orman think?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苏西·奥曼是怎么想的?</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be8dc3ad363faad96bc575a22235562d\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Mediapunch/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>Mediapunch/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Suze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.</p><p><blockquote>几十年来,Suze Orman一直热切关注市场。她知道起起落落是意料之中的,但她所看到的像游戏驿站这样的投资时尚所发生的事情让她感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”</p><p><blockquote>“我不喜欢现在市场上发生的事情,”奥曼在CNBC的视频中表示。“经济一直很糟糕,但股市一直在上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> While investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然现在投资就像使用智能手机应用程序一样容易,但奥曼担心我们能从这些历史高点走向何方。</blockquote></p><p> And even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.</p><p><blockquote>即使刺激支票仍在发放,房地产市场去年也打破了自己的记录,奥曼仍担心冠状病毒会带来什么——特别是在新变种不断出现的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是,她觉得距离上次崩盘已经太久了,不能再保持这么高的高度了。</blockquote></p><p> “This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.</p><p><blockquote>“这让我又想起了2000年,”奥曼说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Buffett Indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巴菲特指标</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44ada32ecadcc4581fed208f4f4e4d53\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Larry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>拉里·W·史密斯/EPA/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> One metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特经常用来评估市场的一项指标,以他的名字命名,已经亮起红灯足够长的时间,以至于市场观察人士开始怀疑这是否是一个过时的工具。</blockquote></p><p> But the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.</p><p><blockquote>但衡量股市总价值与美国经济产出比率的巴菲特指标继续攀升至前所未有的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士想知道这是否是我们即将看到严重下跌的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> How to prepare for a crash<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ad912a6b4611d9e39b46d2851c78c9e\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Freedomz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>如何为崩溃做好准备Freedomz/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Orman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.</p><p><blockquote>Orman提出了三个建立简单投资策略的建议,以帮助您成功应对市场的任何急转弯。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Buy low</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.低吸</b></blockquote></p><p> Part of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼对游戏驿站等模因股票的狂热感到如此不安的部分原因是,它完全违背了普通投资者的利益。</blockquote></p><p> “All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”</p><p><blockquote>“你们所有人的头都被拧到了后面,”她说。“你想要的只是这些市场不断上涨。这对你有什么好处?”</blockquote></p><p> She points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.</p><p><blockquote>她指出,大多数人唯一的额外资金用于投资401(k)或IRA计划的退休生活。</blockquote></p><p> Because you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.</p><p><blockquote>因为你可能几十年内都不打算碰这笔钱,所以最好的长期策略是低吸。这样,你的美元现在将走得更远,为未来20年、30年或40年留下足够的增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Invest on a schedule</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.按计划投资</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4102f8a6d5002090743b1cbded32ef9\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">katjen / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>卡珍/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> While she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.</p><p><blockquote>虽然她更喜欢低价买入,但奥曼不建议你在市场上涨时完全停止投资。</blockquote></p><p> She wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.</p><p><blockquote>她希望普通投资者不要陷入市场每天的涨跌之中。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,现在为经济低迷欢呼可能是您获得更大份额利润丰厚的投资的最佳选择——就像一些幸运的投资者在2007年和2008年所做的那样。</blockquote></p><p> “When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”</p><p><blockquote>“当市场下跌、下跌、下跌时,你可以免费购买东西,”奥曼说。“现在看看15年后的它们。”</blockquote></p><p> She suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.</p><p><blockquote>她建议你建立一个平均成本策略,这意味着无论市场波动如何,你都要定期等量投资。</blockquote></p><p> This kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法很容易用目前可供DIY投资者使用的许多投资应用程序中的任何一个来实施。</blockquote></p><p> There are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.</p><p><blockquote>甚至有些应用程序会通过将您的借记卡和信用卡购买的金额四舍五入到最接近的美元来自动投资您的零钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Diversify with fractional shares</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.通过零碎股份实现多元化</b></blockquote></p><p> To help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助应对市场特定角落的下跌,奥曼建议您分散投资——通过投资多种不同类型的资产和经济部门来平衡您的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> Orman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼特别推荐零股投资。这种方法允许你购买一家知名公司的一部分股份,否则你将买不起。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.</p><p><blockquote>在流行的股票交易工具的帮助下,任何预算的人都可以负担得起碎股策略。</blockquote></p><p> “The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”</p><p><blockquote>“你越早开始,你拥有的钱就越多,”奥曼说。“只是不要停下来,当这些市场下跌时,你应该很高兴,因为你的美元找到了更多的份额。”</blockquote></p><p> “And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”</p><p><blockquote>“你拥有的股票越多,20年、40年、50年后你拥有的钱就越多。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else you can do</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你还能做什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e79c6fd1f8fa6e3a7c3a6c94f1e14b5\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">goodluz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>古德卢兹/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼在CNBC视频中表示,无论大崩盘是否即将来临,距离退休还有几十年的投资者都可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> First, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.</p><p><blockquote>第一,做最坏的打算,抱最好的希望。自从疫情爆发以来,奥曼现在建议每个人都有一个应急基金,可以支付他们一整年的费用。</blockquote></p><p> Then, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.</p><p><blockquote>然后,为了让自己过上舒适的退休生活,她建议您选择Roth账户,无论是401(k)还是IRA。</blockquote></p><p> That will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.</p><p><blockquote>这将帮助您在从退休账户中提取资金时避免纳税,因为您对罗斯账户的供款是税后进行的。另一方面,传统IRA在您缴款时无需纳税,因此您最终会稍后付款。</blockquote></p><p> If you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果您发现需要更多指导,与专业财务顾问合作可以帮助您指出正确的方向,以便您可以自信地度过任何市场波动。</blockquote></p><p> While everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.</p><p><blockquote>当其他人都在偏离路线或矫枉过正时,你将牢牢地坐在驾驶座上,计划好你的晚年。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html\">MoneyWise</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188153141","content_text":"As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.\nThat clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.\nAnd a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.\nHere’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.\nWhat does Suze Orman think?\nMediapunch/Shutterstock\nSuze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.\n“I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”\nWhile investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.\nAnd even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.\nWhat's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.\n“This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.\nThe Buffett Indicator\nLarry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock\nOne metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.\nBut the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.\nAnd those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.\nHow to prepare for a crashFreedomz / Shutterstock\nOrman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.\n1. Buy low\nPart of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.\n“All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”\nShe points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.\nBecause you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.\n2. Invest on a schedule\nkatjen / Shutterstock\nWhile she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.\nShe wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.\nIn fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.\n“When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”\nShe suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.\nThis kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.\nThere are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.\n3. Diversify with fractional shares\nTo help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.\nOrman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.\nWith the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.\n“The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”\n“And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”\nWhat else you can do\ngoodluz / Shutterstock\nWhether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.\nFirst, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.\nThen, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.\nThat will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.\nIf you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.\nWhile everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1263,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152716242,"gmtCreate":1625356404186,"gmtModify":1633941386620,"author":{"id":"4087536816869760","authorId":"4087536816869760","name":"NPL_Buttons","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087536816869760","authorIdStr":"4087536816869760"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"When to buy","listText":"When to buy","text":"When to buy","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f98cbd5dead7382eb833de187b90cc2c","width":"1440","height":"3644"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152716242","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1846,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151480486,"gmtCreate":1625102259345,"gmtModify":1633944794287,"author":{"id":"4087536816869760","authorId":"4087536816869760","name":"NPL_Buttons","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087536816869760","authorIdStr":"4087536816869760"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This is","listText":"This is","text":"This is","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/151480486","repostId":"2148381779","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1524,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151417439,"gmtCreate":1625102229421,"gmtModify":1633944795151,"author":{"id":"4087536816869760","authorId":"4087536816869760","name":"NPL_Buttons","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087536816869760","authorIdStr":"4087536816869760"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/151417439","repostId":"1161939149","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161939149","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625100953,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1161939149?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-01 08:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Point72 Seeks Crypto Head While Soros Starts Bitcoin Trading<blockquote>Point72寻找加密货币主管,而Soros开始比特币交易</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161939149","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Some of the biggest names in the hedge fund industry are wading deeper into crypto.\nS","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- Some of the biggest names in the hedge fund industry are wading deeper into crypto.</p><p><blockquote>(彭博社)——对冲基金行业的一些大腕正在更深入地涉足加密领域。</blockquote></p><p> Steve Cohen’s Point72 Asset Management is seeking to hire a head of cryptocurrencies, while the family office of billionaire George Soros has started trading Bitcoin, according to people familiar with the matter. Spokespeople for the firms declined to comment.</p><p><blockquote>据知情人士透露,Steve Cohen的Point72资产管理公司正在寻求聘请一位加密货币主管,而亿万富翁George Soros的家族办公室已经开始交易比特币。两家公司的发言人拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p> The moves, which were both reported earlier by the TheStreet.com, come as a growing number of marquee hedge funds have begun to dabble in digital assets. Point72 rival Millennium Management has been active in crypto-related futures and exchange-traded funds, while Brevan Howard Asset Management and macro trader Paul Tudor Jones have begun investing in crypto. In March, hedge fund manager Dan Loeb said he was doing a “deep dive” into crypto.</p><p><blockquote>TheStreet.com早些时候报道了这些举措,正值越来越多的大型对冲基金开始涉足数字资产之际。Point72的竞争对手Millennium Management一直活跃于加密货币相关期货和交易所交易基金,而Brevan Howard Asset Management和宏观交易员Paul Tudor Jones已开始投资加密货币。今年三月,对冲基金经理丹·勒布(Dan Loeb)表示,他正在“深入研究”加密货币。</blockquote></p><p> The decision by Point72 follows an announcement to investors that the $22 billion firm was exploring investing in the sector either through its flagship hedge fund or its private investment unit. It wasn’t immediately clear what the new crypto position would entail.</p><p><blockquote>Point72做出这一决定之前,该公司向投资者宣布,这家价值220亿美元的公司正在探索通过其旗舰对冲基金或私人投资部门投资该行业。目前尚不清楚新的加密货币立场将意味着什么。</blockquote></p><p> “We are exploring opportunities around blockchain technology and its transformative and disruptive capabilities,” Point72 said in a May letter to investors seen by Bloomberg. “We would be remiss to ignore a now $2 trillion crypto currency market.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们正在探索围绕区块链技术及其变革性和颠覆性能力的机会,”Point72在彭博社看到的5月份致投资者的一封信中表示。“如果我们忽视目前价值2万亿美元的加密货币市场,那将是我们的失职。”</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, dedicated cryptocurrency firms say they’re struggling to find the right candidates to fill hundreds of positions. A frenzy of interest in digital currencies and other assets have pitted those shops against some of the world’s biggest financial institutions, with Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Bank of New York Mellon Corp. and DBS Group Holdings Ltd. starting to offer services and trading.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,专门的加密货币公司表示,他们正在努力寻找合适的候选人来填补数百个职位。人们对数字货币和其他资产的狂热兴趣使这些商店与一些全球最大的金融机构展开竞争,高盛集团、纽约梅隆银行和星展集团控股有限公司开始提供服务和交易。</blockquote></p><p> While the space is volatile, suffering a steep rout in May, the total market value of cryptocurrencies now stands at about $1.4 trillion, according to CoinGecko.</p><p><blockquote>根据CoinGecko的数据,虽然该领域波动较大,在5月份遭受了急剧下跌,但加密货币的总市值目前约为1.4万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Dawn Fitzpatrick, who oversees Soros Fund Management, approved traders to begin positioning in Bitcoin in recent weeks, the person said. Bloomberg first reported in 2018 that the firm was preparing to invest in cryptocurrencies but hadn’t yet put on a wager. At the time, Fitzpatrick had given macro-investing head Adam Fisher the green-light to trade virtual coins. Fisher left the firm in early 2019.</p><p><blockquote>该人士称,负责Soros基金管理的Dawn Fitzpatrick最近几周批准交易员开始在比特币建仓。彭博社于2018年首次报道称,该公司正准备投资加密货币,但尚未下注。当时,菲茨帕特里克已为宏观投资主管亚当·费舍尔(Adam Fisher)交易虚拟币开了绿灯。费舍尔于2019年初离开公司。</blockquote></p><p> In a March interview with Bloomberg Television’s Erik Schatzker, Fitzpatrick said that Bitcoin was interesting and that the firm had been making investments into crypto infrastructure, such as exchanges, asset managers and custodians.</p><p><blockquote>Fitzpatrick在3月份接受彭博电视台Erik Schatzker采访时表示,比特币很有趣,该公司一直在投资加密基础设施,例如交易所、资产管理公司和托管人。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s a real fear of debasing fiat currencies” that’s driving demand for crypto, Fitzpatrick said in the interview. “Bitcoin, I don’t think it’s a currency -- I think it’s a commodity” that’s easily stored and transferable, with a finite supply. She declined to say whether she owned any Bitcoin.</p><p><blockquote>菲茨帕特里克在采访中表示,“人们确实担心法定货币贬值”,这推动了对加密货币的需求。“比特币,我不认为它是一种货币——我认为它是一种商品”,易于储存和转移,供应有限。她拒绝透露自己是否拥有任何比特币。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Point72 Seeks Crypto Head While Soros Starts Bitcoin Trading<blockquote>Point72寻找加密货币主管,而Soros开始比特币交易</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPoint72 Seeks Crypto Head While Soros Starts Bitcoin Trading<blockquote>Point72寻找加密货币主管,而Soros开始比特币交易</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-01 08:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- Some of the biggest names in the hedge fund industry are wading deeper into crypto.</p><p><blockquote>(彭博社)——对冲基金行业的一些大腕正在更深入地涉足加密领域。</blockquote></p><p> Steve Cohen’s Point72 Asset Management is seeking to hire a head of cryptocurrencies, while the family office of billionaire George Soros has started trading Bitcoin, according to people familiar with the matter. Spokespeople for the firms declined to comment.</p><p><blockquote>据知情人士透露,Steve Cohen的Point72资产管理公司正在寻求聘请一位加密货币主管,而亿万富翁George Soros的家族办公室已经开始交易比特币。两家公司的发言人拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p> The moves, which were both reported earlier by the TheStreet.com, come as a growing number of marquee hedge funds have begun to dabble in digital assets. Point72 rival Millennium Management has been active in crypto-related futures and exchange-traded funds, while Brevan Howard Asset Management and macro trader Paul Tudor Jones have begun investing in crypto. In March, hedge fund manager Dan Loeb said he was doing a “deep dive” into crypto.</p><p><blockquote>TheStreet.com早些时候报道了这些举措,正值越来越多的大型对冲基金开始涉足数字资产之际。Point72的竞争对手Millennium Management一直活跃于加密货币相关期货和交易所交易基金,而Brevan Howard Asset Management和宏观交易员Paul Tudor Jones已开始投资加密货币。今年三月,对冲基金经理丹·勒布(Dan Loeb)表示,他正在“深入研究”加密货币。</blockquote></p><p> The decision by Point72 follows an announcement to investors that the $22 billion firm was exploring investing in the sector either through its flagship hedge fund or its private investment unit. It wasn’t immediately clear what the new crypto position would entail.</p><p><blockquote>Point72做出这一决定之前,该公司向投资者宣布,这家价值220亿美元的公司正在探索通过其旗舰对冲基金或私人投资部门投资该行业。目前尚不清楚新的加密货币立场将意味着什么。</blockquote></p><p> “We are exploring opportunities around blockchain technology and its transformative and disruptive capabilities,” Point72 said in a May letter to investors seen by Bloomberg. “We would be remiss to ignore a now $2 trillion crypto currency market.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们正在探索围绕区块链技术及其变革性和颠覆性能力的机会,”Point72在彭博社看到的5月份致投资者的一封信中表示。“如果我们忽视目前价值2万亿美元的加密货币市场,那将是我们的失职。”</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, dedicated cryptocurrency firms say they’re struggling to find the right candidates to fill hundreds of positions. A frenzy of interest in digital currencies and other assets have pitted those shops against some of the world’s biggest financial institutions, with Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Bank of New York Mellon Corp. and DBS Group Holdings Ltd. starting to offer services and trading.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,专门的加密货币公司表示,他们正在努力寻找合适的候选人来填补数百个职位。人们对数字货币和其他资产的狂热兴趣使这些商店与一些全球最大的金融机构展开竞争,高盛集团、纽约梅隆银行和星展集团控股有限公司开始提供服务和交易。</blockquote></p><p> While the space is volatile, suffering a steep rout in May, the total market value of cryptocurrencies now stands at about $1.4 trillion, according to CoinGecko.</p><p><blockquote>根据CoinGecko的数据,虽然该领域波动较大,在5月份遭受了急剧下跌,但加密货币的总市值目前约为1.4万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Dawn Fitzpatrick, who oversees Soros Fund Management, approved traders to begin positioning in Bitcoin in recent weeks, the person said. Bloomberg first reported in 2018 that the firm was preparing to invest in cryptocurrencies but hadn’t yet put on a wager. At the time, Fitzpatrick had given macro-investing head Adam Fisher the green-light to trade virtual coins. Fisher left the firm in early 2019.</p><p><blockquote>该人士称,负责Soros基金管理的Dawn Fitzpatrick最近几周批准交易员开始在比特币建仓。彭博社于2018年首次报道称,该公司正准备投资加密货币,但尚未下注。当时,菲茨帕特里克已为宏观投资主管亚当·费舍尔(Adam Fisher)交易虚拟币开了绿灯。费舍尔于2019年初离开公司。</blockquote></p><p> In a March interview with Bloomberg Television’s Erik Schatzker, Fitzpatrick said that Bitcoin was interesting and that the firm had been making investments into crypto infrastructure, such as exchanges, asset managers and custodians.</p><p><blockquote>Fitzpatrick在3月份接受彭博电视台Erik Schatzker采访时表示,比特币很有趣,该公司一直在投资加密基础设施,例如交易所、资产管理公司和托管人。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s a real fear of debasing fiat currencies” that’s driving demand for crypto, Fitzpatrick said in the interview. “Bitcoin, I don’t think it’s a currency -- I think it’s a commodity” that’s easily stored and transferable, with a finite supply. She declined to say whether she owned any Bitcoin.</p><p><blockquote>菲茨帕特里克在采访中表示,“人们确实担心法定货币贬值”,这推动了对加密货币的需求。“比特币,我不认为它是一种货币——我认为它是一种商品”,易于储存和转移,供应有限。她拒绝透露自己是否拥有任何比特币。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/point72-seeks-head-crypto-saying-181003573.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/point72-seeks-head-crypto-saying-181003573.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161939149","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Some of the biggest names in the hedge fund industry are wading deeper into crypto.\nSteve Cohen’s Point72 Asset Management is seeking to hire a head of cryptocurrencies, while the family office of billionaire George Soros has started trading Bitcoin, according to people familiar with the matter. Spokespeople for the firms declined to comment.\nThe moves, which were both reported earlier by the TheStreet.com, come as a growing number of marquee hedge funds have begun to dabble in digital assets. Point72 rival Millennium Management has been active in crypto-related futures and exchange-traded funds, while Brevan Howard Asset Management and macro trader Paul Tudor Jones have begun investing in crypto. In March, hedge fund manager Dan Loeb said he was doing a “deep dive” into crypto.\nThe decision by Point72 follows an announcement to investors that the $22 billion firm was exploring investing in the sector either through its flagship hedge fund or its private investment unit. It wasn’t immediately clear what the new crypto position would entail.\n“We are exploring opportunities around blockchain technology and its transformative and disruptive capabilities,” Point72 said in a May letter to investors seen by Bloomberg. “We would be remiss to ignore a now $2 trillion crypto currency market.”\nMeanwhile, dedicated cryptocurrency firms say they’re struggling to find the right candidates to fill hundreds of positions. A frenzy of interest in digital currencies and other assets have pitted those shops against some of the world’s biggest financial institutions, with Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Bank of New York Mellon Corp. and DBS Group Holdings Ltd. starting to offer services and trading.\nWhile the space is volatile, suffering a steep rout in May, the total market value of cryptocurrencies now stands at about $1.4 trillion, according to CoinGecko.\nDawn Fitzpatrick, who oversees Soros Fund Management, approved traders to begin positioning in Bitcoin in recent weeks, the person said. Bloomberg first reported in 2018 that the firm was preparing to invest in cryptocurrencies but hadn’t yet put on a wager. At the time, Fitzpatrick had given macro-investing head Adam Fisher the green-light to trade virtual coins. Fisher left the firm in early 2019.\nIn a March interview with Bloomberg Television’s Erik Schatzker, Fitzpatrick said that Bitcoin was interesting and that the firm had been making investments into crypto infrastructure, such as exchanges, asset managers and custodians.\n“There’s a real fear of debasing fiat currencies” that’s driving demand for crypto, Fitzpatrick said in the interview. “Bitcoin, I don’t think it’s a currency -- I think it’s a commodity” that’s easily stored and transferable, with a finite supply. She declined to say whether she owned any Bitcoin.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GBTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1711,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151414061,"gmtCreate":1625102173053,"gmtModify":1633944796964,"author":{"id":"4087536816869760","authorId":"4087536816869760","name":"NPL_Buttons","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087536816869760","authorIdStr":"4087536816869760"},"themes":[],"htmlText":" Hi, this is is is is neutral","listText":" Hi, this is is is is neutral","text":"Hi, this is is is is neutral","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da36ecba9b6d883175f66e288b7ff3fc","width":"1440","height":"2149"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/151414061","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1612,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151416260,"gmtCreate":1625102108550,"gmtModify":1631884131858,"author":{"id":"4087536816869760","authorId":"4087536816869760","name":"NPL_Buttons","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087536816869760","authorIdStr":"4087536816869760"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VOO\">$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$</a>gg","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VOO\">$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$</a>gg","text":"$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$gg","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1174efd22013204ea86b1c37e13f4eb","width":"1440","height":"2560"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/151416260","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1614,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159611833,"gmtCreate":1624961654622,"gmtModify":1633946497661,"author":{"id":"4087536816869760","authorId":"4087536816869760","name":"NPL_Buttons","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087536816869760","authorIdStr":"4087536816869760"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Konichiwa","listText":"Konichiwa","text":"Konichiwa","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159611833","repostId":"2147857893","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":629,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159613145,"gmtCreate":1624961553787,"gmtModify":1633946498600,"author":{"id":"4087536816869760","authorId":"4087536816869760","name":"NPL_Buttons","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087536816869760","authorIdStr":"4087536816869760"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159613145","repostId":"1106703008","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106703008","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624959064,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106703008?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-29 17:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Airbnb: Not A Lot Of Upside At This Stage<blockquote>爱彼迎:现阶段上涨空间不大</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106703008","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nWe believe that the upside of owning Airbnb shares is fairly limited.\nThere’s a risk that A","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>We believe that the upside of owning Airbnb shares is fairly limited.</li> <li>There’s a risk that Airbnb could face a reputational crisis, which will negatively affect its share price in the future.</li> <li>Considering that Airbnb already trades at nearly 17 times its sales, we believe that it’s better to avoid it at the current stage.</li> <li>Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of Best Short Ideas get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate.Learn More »</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5c924c06e6e942d2f9570a908bd2cbc\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1025\"><span>stockcam/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>我们认为持有爱彼迎股票的上涨空间相当有限。</li><li>爱彼迎可能面临声誉危机,这将对其未来的股价产生负面影响。</li><li>考虑到爱彼迎的交易价格已经是其销售额的近17倍,我们认为现阶段最好避开它。</li><li>在市场上寻找援助之手?Best Short Ideas的成员可以获得应对任何气候的独家想法和指导。了解更多»</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>stockcam/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Despite being one of the hottest IPOs of the last years, we believe that the upside of owning Airbnb (ABNB) shares is fairly limited. Not only the company will struggle to return to the pre-pandemic levels anytime soon, but there’s also a risk that Airbnb could face a reputational crisis, which will negatively affect its share price in the future. Considering this and the fact that Airbnb already trades at nearly 17 times its sales, we believe that it’s better to avoid it at the current stage.</p><p><blockquote>尽管是近年来最热门的IPO之一,但我们认为持有爱彼迎(ABNB)股票的好处相当有限。该公司不仅将难以很快恢复到大流行前的水平,而且爱彼迎还面临声誉危机的风险,这将对其未来的股价产生负面影响。考虑到这一点以及爱彼迎的交易价格已经是其销售额的近17倍的事实,我们认为现阶段最好避免这种情况。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lots of Challenges Ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来面临诸多挑战</b></blockquote></p><p> Founded in 2008 by students B. Chesky, J. Gebbia, and N. Blecharczyk, Airbnb has grown from couch-surfing service to one of the biggest hospitality companies in the world with 5.6 million listings and a market value of ~$90 billion. The company’s stock has appreciated by over 100% since it went public in December 2020 but in recent months Airbnb’s shares have declined by almost 40% since their peak and currently trade around ~$150 per share. Despite this, Airbnb’s stock still had a better performance than the S&P 500 Index in the last few quarters, and at the current market capitalization the company is valued higher than Marriott International (MAR), Hilton Worldwide (HLT), and Hyatt Hotels (H) combined.</p><p><blockquote>爱彼迎于2008年由学生B.Chesky、J.Gebbia和N.Blecharczyk创立,现已从沙发冲浪服务发展成为世界上最大的酒店公司之一,拥有560万个房源,市值约为900亿美元。自2020年12月上市以来,该公司股价已上涨超过100%,但近几个月来,爱彼迎股价自峰值以来已下跌近40%,目前交易价格约为每股150美元。尽管如此,Airbnb的股票在过去几个季度的表现仍然好于标普500指数,按照目前的市值,该公司的估值高于万豪国际集团(MAR)、希尔顿全球集团(HLT)和凯悦酒店(H)的总和。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ef3e4eb912dfcf2991dffb45bb17bbf\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\"><span>Chart: Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表:寻求阿尔法</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While the stock had performed relatively well for those who managed to purchase Airbnb right after its IPO, the company’s financials show that its business is still far away from recovering to the pre-pandemic levels. While Airbnb’s management tried to minimize its losses to weather the pandemic by decreasing costs of revenues and optimizing the headcount last year, its R&D expenses were still significantly up Y/Y.</p><p><blockquote>尽管对于那些在爱彼迎首次公开募股后立即购买该股的人来说,该股的表现相对较好,但该公司的财务数据显示,其业务距离恢复到大流行前的水平还很远。尽管爱彼迎管理层去年试图通过降低收入成本和优化员工人数来最大限度地减少损失以应对疫情,但其研发费用仍同比大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, in Q1 alone Airbnb reported $1.17 billion in losses, as its major markets haven’t fully opened during the three months, while some countries even tightened movement restrictions, which led to the poor performance of the bottom line. On top of that, Airbnb also spent $377 million on debt repayment, $292 million in connection with the load agreement warrants, $113 million on operating lease assets and office space improvements, and $229 million on its stock-based compensation program.</p><p><blockquote>此外,仅在第一季度,爱彼迎就报告了11.7亿美元的亏损,因为其主要市场在这三个月内尚未完全开放,而一些国家甚至收紧了流动限制,导致盈利表现不佳。除此之外,爱彼迎还花费了3.77亿美元用于债务偿还,2.92亿美元用于负载协议认股权证,1.13亿美元用于经营租赁资产和办公空间改善,2.29亿美元用于股票薪酬计划。</blockquote></p><p> On top of that, Airbnb has also reported a negative EBITDA of -$59 million in Q1, while its net operating margin fell to an unprecedented negative value. With such poor results, it’s safe to assume that it will take at least a couple of years for Airbnb’s business to return to its pre-COVID-19 levels.</p><p><blockquote>除此之外,爱彼迎还报告第一季度EBITDA为负5900万美元,而净营业利润率则跌至前所未有的负值。由于业绩如此糟糕,可以肯定的是,爱彼迎的业务至少需要几年时间才能恢复到COVID-19之前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> Another downside of Airbnb is that it seems that it’s not gaining any market share in a post-pandemic world. As travel restrictions are lifted, Americans are looking to travel again and are already preparing for summer vacations. However, according to Statista’s survey, the most popular option of booking accommodations in 2021 is through the accommodation's own website rather than through Airbnb or Booking (BKNG). On top of that, with such a variety of choices and services, it will be significantly harder for Airbnb to outperform its more popular peers due to the lack of a pricing advantage.</p><p><blockquote>爱彼迎的另一个缺点是,它似乎没有在大流行后的世界中获得任何市场份额。随着旅行限制的取消,美国人希望再次旅行,并已经在为暑假做准备。然而,根据Statista的调查,2021年预订住宿最受欢迎的选择是通过住宿自己的网站,而不是通过爱彼迎或预订(BKNG)。最重要的是,由于缺乏定价优势,爱彼迎将更难超越更受欢迎的同行。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/425b1811b12027157d4dcd81ba478a0c\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"1275\"><span>Source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:斯塔蒂斯塔</span></p></blockquote></p><p> What’s worse about Airbnb is that according to Bloomberg, the company is paying its clients, who are becoming victims of various crimes inside the booked apartments, millions of dollars for their silence. Bloomberg even found out that the company has a secret department with a budget of over $50 million, whose employees always try to resolve all incidents before they enter a public domain and before the press is involved, in order to keep its reputation intact.</p><p><blockquote>爱彼迎更糟糕的是,据彭博报道,该公司正在向其客户支付数百万美元,以换取他们的沉默,这些客户正在成为预订公寓内各种犯罪的受害者。彭博社甚至发现,该公司有一个预算超过5000万美元的秘密部门,其员工总是试图在所有事件进入公共领域和媒体介入之前解决这些事件,以保持其声誉完好无损。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> As a result, hundreds of stories remain unreported, as the company pays to offended clients in exchange for a non-disclosure agreement. By doing so, Airbnb tries to hide facts about unsafe stays in rented apartments and various cases of violence. While so far, this helped Airbnb to avoid a major reputational crisis, it shows that the company’s business model has some major flaws, as it rests on the idea that strangers can trust one another.</p><p><blockquote>结果,数百个故事仍未被报道,因为该公司向被冒犯的客户付费以换取保密协议。通过这样做,爱彼迎试图掩盖在出租公寓中不安全住宿和各种暴力案件的事实。虽然到目前为止,这帮助爱彼迎避免了一场重大的声誉危机,但它表明该公司的商业模式存在一些重大缺陷,因为它建立在陌生人可以相互信任的理念之上。</blockquote></p><p> As the company grows further and the number of available listings increases every day, there’s a risk that there might be a situation where Airbnb won’t be able to silence some of its offended clients and as a result, it will face a reputational crisis, which will negatively affect its stock.</p><p><blockquote>随着公司的进一步发展,可用上市数量每天都在增加,爱彼迎可能无法让一些被冒犯的客户保持沉默,因此,它将面临声誉危机,这将对其股票产生负面影响。</blockquote></p><p> Considering all of this, we believe that Airbnb is a risky stock to own, especially since it trades at nearly 17 times its sales. The decline in its shares from the peak a couple of months ago shows that the momentum is slowly fading away and we don’t see a potential for a stock to trade higher from the current levels in the long run anytime soon. In addition, the possible reputational crisis along with the risk of further lockdowns in Europe due to the spread of the Delta variant of COVID-19 also outweighs the opportunities of owning the company. For that reason, we believe that it’s better to avoid Airbnb at the current levels, as the company faces numerous challenges that will make it even harder for it to recover to its pre-pandemic levels anytime soon.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到所有这些,我们认为爱彼迎是一只有风险的股票,特别是因为它的交易价格接近其销售额的17倍。其股价从几个月前的峰值下跌表明,这种势头正在慢慢消退,我们认为从长远来看,该股短期内没有从当前水平走高的潜力。此外,由于COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株的传播,可能出现的声誉危机以及欧洲进一步封锁的风险也超过了拥有该公司的机会。因此,我们认为最好避免目前水平的爱彼迎,因为该公司面临着众多挑战,这将使其更难在短期内恢复到大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Airbnb: Not A Lot Of Upside At This Stage<blockquote>爱彼迎:现阶段上涨空间不大</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAirbnb: Not A Lot Of Upside At This Stage<blockquote>爱彼迎:现阶段上涨空间不大</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-29 17:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>We believe that the upside of owning Airbnb shares is fairly limited.</li> <li>There’s a risk that Airbnb could face a reputational crisis, which will negatively affect its share price in the future.</li> <li>Considering that Airbnb already trades at nearly 17 times its sales, we believe that it’s better to avoid it at the current stage.</li> <li>Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of Best Short Ideas get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate.Learn More »</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5c924c06e6e942d2f9570a908bd2cbc\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1025\"><span>stockcam/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>我们认为持有爱彼迎股票的上涨空间相当有限。</li><li>爱彼迎可能面临声誉危机,这将对其未来的股价产生负面影响。</li><li>考虑到爱彼迎的交易价格已经是其销售额的近17倍,我们认为现阶段最好避开它。</li><li>在市场上寻找援助之手?Best Short Ideas的成员可以获得应对任何气候的独家想法和指导。了解更多»</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>stockcam/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Despite being one of the hottest IPOs of the last years, we believe that the upside of owning Airbnb (ABNB) shares is fairly limited. Not only the company will struggle to return to the pre-pandemic levels anytime soon, but there’s also a risk that Airbnb could face a reputational crisis, which will negatively affect its share price in the future. Considering this and the fact that Airbnb already trades at nearly 17 times its sales, we believe that it’s better to avoid it at the current stage.</p><p><blockquote>尽管是近年来最热门的IPO之一,但我们认为持有爱彼迎(ABNB)股票的好处相当有限。该公司不仅将难以很快恢复到大流行前的水平,而且爱彼迎还面临声誉危机的风险,这将对其未来的股价产生负面影响。考虑到这一点以及爱彼迎的交易价格已经是其销售额的近17倍的事实,我们认为现阶段最好避免这种情况。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lots of Challenges Ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来面临诸多挑战</b></blockquote></p><p> Founded in 2008 by students B. Chesky, J. Gebbia, and N. Blecharczyk, Airbnb has grown from couch-surfing service to one of the biggest hospitality companies in the world with 5.6 million listings and a market value of ~$90 billion. The company’s stock has appreciated by over 100% since it went public in December 2020 but in recent months Airbnb’s shares have declined by almost 40% since their peak and currently trade around ~$150 per share. Despite this, Airbnb’s stock still had a better performance than the S&P 500 Index in the last few quarters, and at the current market capitalization the company is valued higher than Marriott International (MAR), Hilton Worldwide (HLT), and Hyatt Hotels (H) combined.</p><p><blockquote>爱彼迎于2008年由学生B.Chesky、J.Gebbia和N.Blecharczyk创立,现已从沙发冲浪服务发展成为世界上最大的酒店公司之一,拥有560万个房源,市值约为900亿美元。自2020年12月上市以来,该公司股价已上涨超过100%,但近几个月来,爱彼迎股价自峰值以来已下跌近40%,目前交易价格约为每股150美元。尽管如此,Airbnb的股票在过去几个季度的表现仍然好于标普500指数,按照目前的市值,该公司的估值高于万豪国际集团(MAR)、希尔顿全球集团(HLT)和凯悦酒店(H)的总和。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ef3e4eb912dfcf2991dffb45bb17bbf\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\"><span>Chart: Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表:寻求阿尔法</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While the stock had performed relatively well for those who managed to purchase Airbnb right after its IPO, the company’s financials show that its business is still far away from recovering to the pre-pandemic levels. While Airbnb’s management tried to minimize its losses to weather the pandemic by decreasing costs of revenues and optimizing the headcount last year, its R&D expenses were still significantly up Y/Y.</p><p><blockquote>尽管对于那些在爱彼迎首次公开募股后立即购买该股的人来说,该股的表现相对较好,但该公司的财务数据显示,其业务距离恢复到大流行前的水平还很远。尽管爱彼迎管理层去年试图通过降低收入成本和优化员工人数来最大限度地减少损失以应对疫情,但其研发费用仍同比大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, in Q1 alone Airbnb reported $1.17 billion in losses, as its major markets haven’t fully opened during the three months, while some countries even tightened movement restrictions, which led to the poor performance of the bottom line. On top of that, Airbnb also spent $377 million on debt repayment, $292 million in connection with the load agreement warrants, $113 million on operating lease assets and office space improvements, and $229 million on its stock-based compensation program.</p><p><blockquote>此外,仅在第一季度,爱彼迎就报告了11.7亿美元的亏损,因为其主要市场在这三个月内尚未完全开放,而一些国家甚至收紧了流动限制,导致盈利表现不佳。除此之外,爱彼迎还花费了3.77亿美元用于债务偿还,2.92亿美元用于负载协议认股权证,1.13亿美元用于经营租赁资产和办公空间改善,2.29亿美元用于股票薪酬计划。</blockquote></p><p> On top of that, Airbnb has also reported a negative EBITDA of -$59 million in Q1, while its net operating margin fell to an unprecedented negative value. With such poor results, it’s safe to assume that it will take at least a couple of years for Airbnb’s business to return to its pre-COVID-19 levels.</p><p><blockquote>除此之外,爱彼迎还报告第一季度EBITDA为负5900万美元,而净营业利润率则跌至前所未有的负值。由于业绩如此糟糕,可以肯定的是,爱彼迎的业务至少需要几年时间才能恢复到COVID-19之前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> Another downside of Airbnb is that it seems that it’s not gaining any market share in a post-pandemic world. As travel restrictions are lifted, Americans are looking to travel again and are already preparing for summer vacations. However, according to Statista’s survey, the most popular option of booking accommodations in 2021 is through the accommodation's own website rather than through Airbnb or Booking (BKNG). On top of that, with such a variety of choices and services, it will be significantly harder for Airbnb to outperform its more popular peers due to the lack of a pricing advantage.</p><p><blockquote>爱彼迎的另一个缺点是,它似乎没有在大流行后的世界中获得任何市场份额。随着旅行限制的取消,美国人希望再次旅行,并已经在为暑假做准备。然而,根据Statista的调查,2021年预订住宿最受欢迎的选择是通过住宿自己的网站,而不是通过爱彼迎或预订(BKNG)。最重要的是,由于缺乏定价优势,爱彼迎将更难超越更受欢迎的同行。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/425b1811b12027157d4dcd81ba478a0c\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"1275\"><span>Source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:斯塔蒂斯塔</span></p></blockquote></p><p> What’s worse about Airbnb is that according to Bloomberg, the company is paying its clients, who are becoming victims of various crimes inside the booked apartments, millions of dollars for their silence. Bloomberg even found out that the company has a secret department with a budget of over $50 million, whose employees always try to resolve all incidents before they enter a public domain and before the press is involved, in order to keep its reputation intact.</p><p><blockquote>爱彼迎更糟糕的是,据彭博报道,该公司正在向其客户支付数百万美元,以换取他们的沉默,这些客户正在成为预订公寓内各种犯罪的受害者。彭博社甚至发现,该公司有一个预算超过5000万美元的秘密部门,其员工总是试图在所有事件进入公共领域和媒体介入之前解决这些事件,以保持其声誉完好无损。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> As a result, hundreds of stories remain unreported, as the company pays to offended clients in exchange for a non-disclosure agreement. By doing so, Airbnb tries to hide facts about unsafe stays in rented apartments and various cases of violence. While so far, this helped Airbnb to avoid a major reputational crisis, it shows that the company’s business model has some major flaws, as it rests on the idea that strangers can trust one another.</p><p><blockquote>结果,数百个故事仍未被报道,因为该公司向被冒犯的客户付费以换取保密协议。通过这样做,爱彼迎试图掩盖在出租公寓中不安全住宿和各种暴力案件的事实。虽然到目前为止,这帮助爱彼迎避免了一场重大的声誉危机,但它表明该公司的商业模式存在一些重大缺陷,因为它建立在陌生人可以相互信任的理念之上。</blockquote></p><p> As the company grows further and the number of available listings increases every day, there’s a risk that there might be a situation where Airbnb won’t be able to silence some of its offended clients and as a result, it will face a reputational crisis, which will negatively affect its stock.</p><p><blockquote>随着公司的进一步发展,可用上市数量每天都在增加,爱彼迎可能无法让一些被冒犯的客户保持沉默,因此,它将面临声誉危机,这将对其股票产生负面影响。</blockquote></p><p> Considering all of this, we believe that Airbnb is a risky stock to own, especially since it trades at nearly 17 times its sales. The decline in its shares from the peak a couple of months ago shows that the momentum is slowly fading away and we don’t see a potential for a stock to trade higher from the current levels in the long run anytime soon. In addition, the possible reputational crisis along with the risk of further lockdowns in Europe due to the spread of the Delta variant of COVID-19 also outweighs the opportunities of owning the company. For that reason, we believe that it’s better to avoid Airbnb at the current levels, as the company faces numerous challenges that will make it even harder for it to recover to its pre-pandemic levels anytime soon.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到所有这些,我们认为爱彼迎是一只有风险的股票,特别是因为它的交易价格接近其销售额的17倍。其股价从几个月前的峰值下跌表明,这种势头正在慢慢消退,我们认为从长远来看,该股短期内没有从当前水平走高的潜力。此外,由于COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株的传播,可能出现的声誉危机以及欧洲进一步封锁的风险也超过了拥有该公司的机会。因此,我们认为最好避免目前水平的爱彼迎,因为该公司面临着众多挑战,这将使其更难在短期内恢复到大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436955-airbnb-not-a-lot-of-upside-at-this-stage\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ABNB":"爱彼迎"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436955-airbnb-not-a-lot-of-upside-at-this-stage","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106703008","content_text":"Summary\n\nWe believe that the upside of owning Airbnb shares is fairly limited.\nThere’s a risk that Airbnb could face a reputational crisis, which will negatively affect its share price in the future.\nConsidering that Airbnb already trades at nearly 17 times its sales, we believe that it’s better to avoid it at the current stage.\nLooking for a helping hand in the market? Members of Best Short Ideas get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate.Learn More »\n\nstockcam/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nDespite being one of the hottest IPOs of the last years, we believe that the upside of owning Airbnb (ABNB) shares is fairly limited. Not only the company will struggle to return to the pre-pandemic levels anytime soon, but there’s also a risk that Airbnb could face a reputational crisis, which will negatively affect its share price in the future. Considering this and the fact that Airbnb already trades at nearly 17 times its sales, we believe that it’s better to avoid it at the current stage.\nLots of Challenges Ahead\nFounded in 2008 by students B. Chesky, J. Gebbia, and N. Blecharczyk, Airbnb has grown from couch-surfing service to one of the biggest hospitality companies in the world with 5.6 million listings and a market value of ~$90 billion. The company’s stock has appreciated by over 100% since it went public in December 2020 but in recent months Airbnb’s shares have declined by almost 40% since their peak and currently trade around ~$150 per share. Despite this, Airbnb’s stock still had a better performance than the S&P 500 Index in the last few quarters, and at the current market capitalization the company is valued higher than Marriott International (MAR), Hilton Worldwide (HLT), and Hyatt Hotels (H) combined.\nChart: Seeking Alpha\nWhile the stock had performed relatively well for those who managed to purchase Airbnb right after its IPO, the company’s financials show that its business is still far away from recovering to the pre-pandemic levels. While Airbnb’s management tried to minimize its losses to weather the pandemic by decreasing costs of revenues and optimizing the headcount last year, its R&D expenses were still significantly up Y/Y.\nIn addition, in Q1 alone Airbnb reported $1.17 billion in losses, as its major markets haven’t fully opened during the three months, while some countries even tightened movement restrictions, which led to the poor performance of the bottom line. On top of that, Airbnb also spent $377 million on debt repayment, $292 million in connection with the load agreement warrants, $113 million on operating lease assets and office space improvements, and $229 million on its stock-based compensation program.\nOn top of that, Airbnb has also reported a negative EBITDA of -$59 million in Q1, while its net operating margin fell to an unprecedented negative value. With such poor results, it’s safe to assume that it will take at least a couple of years for Airbnb’s business to return to its pre-COVID-19 levels.\nAnother downside of Airbnb is that it seems that it’s not gaining any market share in a post-pandemic world. As travel restrictions are lifted, Americans are looking to travel again and are already preparing for summer vacations. However, according to Statista’s survey, the most popular option of booking accommodations in 2021 is through the accommodation's own website rather than through Airbnb or Booking (BKNG). On top of that, with such a variety of choices and services, it will be significantly harder for Airbnb to outperform its more popular peers due to the lack of a pricing advantage.\nSource: Statista\nWhat’s worse about Airbnb is that according to Bloomberg, the company is paying its clients, who are becoming victims of various crimes inside the booked apartments, millions of dollars for their silence. Bloomberg even found out that the company has a secret department with a budget of over $50 million, whose employees always try to resolve all incidents before they enter a public domain and before the press is involved, in order to keep its reputation intact.\nAs a result, hundreds of stories remain unreported, as the company pays to offended clients in exchange for a non-disclosure agreement. By doing so, Airbnb tries to hide facts about unsafe stays in rented apartments and various cases of violence. While so far, this helped Airbnb to avoid a major reputational crisis, it shows that the company’s business model has some major flaws, as it rests on the idea that strangers can trust one another.\nAs the company grows further and the number of available listings increases every day, there’s a risk that there might be a situation where Airbnb won’t be able to silence some of its offended clients and as a result, it will face a reputational crisis, which will negatively affect its stock.\nConsidering all of this, we believe that Airbnb is a risky stock to own, especially since it trades at nearly 17 times its sales. The decline in its shares from the peak a couple of months ago shows that the momentum is slowly fading away and we don’t see a potential for a stock to trade higher from the current levels in the long run anytime soon. In addition, the possible reputational crisis along with the risk of further lockdowns in Europe due to the spread of the Delta variant of COVID-19 also outweighs the opportunities of owning the company. For that reason, we believe that it’s better to avoid Airbnb at the current levels, as the company faces numerous challenges that will make it even harder for it to recover to its pre-pandemic levels anytime soon.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ABNB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":510,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":154707015,"gmtCreate":1625543455037,"gmtModify":1633939799472,"author":{"id":"4087536816869760","authorId":"4087536816869760","name":"NPL_Buttons","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087536816869760","idStr":"4087536816869760"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":14,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154707015","repostId":"1190430616","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1962,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172363105,"gmtCreate":1626937151307,"gmtModify":1633769566518,"author":{"id":"4087536816869760","authorId":"4087536816869760","name":"NPL_Buttons","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087536816869760","idStr":"4087536816869760"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi//<a 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09:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188153141","media":"MoneyWise","summary":"As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for th","content":"<p>As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.</p><p><blockquote>随着股市继续创下纪录,新冠肺炎的影响继续给经济带来问题。</blockquote></p><p> That clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.</p><p><blockquote>这场冲突让投资专家感到担忧,其中包括苏茜·欧曼(Suze Orman),她甚至表示,她现在正在为不可避免的市场崩盘做准备。</blockquote></p><p> And a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特推广的一项著名指标——巴菲特指标——表明奥曼可能有所发现。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.</p><p><blockquote>以下解释了这种担忧的来源,以及即使市场下跌,您也可以使用一些技巧来保持投资组合的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What does Suze Orman think?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苏西·奥曼是怎么想的?</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be8dc3ad363faad96bc575a22235562d\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Mediapunch/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>Mediapunch/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Suze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.</p><p><blockquote>几十年来,Suze Orman一直热切关注市场。她知道起起落落是意料之中的,但她所看到的像游戏驿站这样的投资时尚所发生的事情让她感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”</p><p><blockquote>“我不喜欢现在市场上发生的事情,”奥曼在CNBC的视频中表示。“经济一直很糟糕,但股市一直在上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> While investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然现在投资就像使用智能手机应用程序一样容易,但奥曼担心我们能从这些历史高点走向何方。</blockquote></p><p> And even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.</p><p><blockquote>即使刺激支票仍在发放,房地产市场去年也打破了自己的记录,奥曼仍担心冠状病毒会带来什么——特别是在新变种不断出现的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是,她觉得距离上次崩盘已经太久了,不能再保持这么高的高度了。</blockquote></p><p> “This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.</p><p><blockquote>“这让我又想起了2000年,”奥曼说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Buffett Indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巴菲特指标</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44ada32ecadcc4581fed208f4f4e4d53\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Larry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>拉里·W·史密斯/EPA/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> One metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特经常用来评估市场的一项指标,以他的名字命名,已经亮起红灯足够长的时间,以至于市场观察人士开始怀疑这是否是一个过时的工具。</blockquote></p><p> But the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.</p><p><blockquote>但衡量股市总价值与美国经济产出比率的巴菲特指标继续攀升至前所未有的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士想知道这是否是我们即将看到严重下跌的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> How to prepare for a crash<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ad912a6b4611d9e39b46d2851c78c9e\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Freedomz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>如何为崩溃做好准备Freedomz/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Orman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.</p><p><blockquote>Orman提出了三个建立简单投资策略的建议,以帮助您成功应对市场的任何急转弯。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Buy low</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.低吸</b></blockquote></p><p> Part of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼对游戏驿站等模因股票的狂热感到如此不安的部分原因是,它完全违背了普通投资者的利益。</blockquote></p><p> “All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”</p><p><blockquote>“你们所有人的头都被拧到了后面,”她说。“你想要的只是这些市场不断上涨。这对你有什么好处?”</blockquote></p><p> She points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.</p><p><blockquote>她指出,大多数人唯一的额外资金用于投资401(k)或IRA计划的退休生活。</blockquote></p><p> Because you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.</p><p><blockquote>因为你可能几十年内都不打算碰这笔钱,所以最好的长期策略是低吸。这样,你的美元现在将走得更远,为未来20年、30年或40年留下足够的增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Invest on a schedule</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.按计划投资</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4102f8a6d5002090743b1cbded32ef9\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">katjen / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>卡珍/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> While she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.</p><p><blockquote>虽然她更喜欢低价买入,但奥曼不建议你在市场上涨时完全停止投资。</blockquote></p><p> She wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.</p><p><blockquote>她希望普通投资者不要陷入市场每天的涨跌之中。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,现在为经济低迷欢呼可能是您获得更大份额利润丰厚的投资的最佳选择——就像一些幸运的投资者在2007年和2008年所做的那样。</blockquote></p><p> “When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”</p><p><blockquote>“当市场下跌、下跌、下跌时,你可以免费购买东西,”奥曼说。“现在看看15年后的它们。”</blockquote></p><p> She suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.</p><p><blockquote>她建议你建立一个平均成本策略,这意味着无论市场波动如何,你都要定期等量投资。</blockquote></p><p> This kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法很容易用目前可供DIY投资者使用的许多投资应用程序中的任何一个来实施。</blockquote></p><p> There are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.</p><p><blockquote>甚至有些应用程序会通过将您的借记卡和信用卡购买的金额四舍五入到最接近的美元来自动投资您的零钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Diversify with fractional shares</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.通过零碎股份实现多元化</b></blockquote></p><p> To help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助应对市场特定角落的下跌,奥曼建议您分散投资——通过投资多种不同类型的资产和经济部门来平衡您的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> Orman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼特别推荐零股投资。这种方法允许你购买一家知名公司的一部分股份,否则你将买不起。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.</p><p><blockquote>在流行的股票交易工具的帮助下,任何预算的人都可以负担得起碎股策略。</blockquote></p><p> “The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”</p><p><blockquote>“你越早开始,你拥有的钱就越多,”奥曼说。“只是不要停下来,当这些市场下跌时,你应该很高兴,因为你的美元找到了更多的份额。”</blockquote></p><p> “And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”</p><p><blockquote>“你拥有的股票越多,20年、40年、50年后你拥有的钱就越多。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else you can do</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你还能做什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e79c6fd1f8fa6e3a7c3a6c94f1e14b5\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">goodluz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>古德卢兹/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼在CNBC视频中表示,无论大崩盘是否即将来临,距离退休还有几十年的投资者都可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> First, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.</p><p><blockquote>第一,做最坏的打算,抱最好的希望。自从疫情爆发以来,奥曼现在建议每个人都有一个应急基金,可以支付他们一整年的费用。</blockquote></p><p> Then, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.</p><p><blockquote>然后,为了让自己过上舒适的退休生活,她建议您选择Roth账户,无论是401(k)还是IRA。</blockquote></p><p> That will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.</p><p><blockquote>这将帮助您在从退休账户中提取资金时避免纳税,因为您对罗斯账户的供款是税后进行的。另一方面,传统IRA在您缴款时无需纳税,因此您最终会稍后付款。</blockquote></p><p> If you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果您发现需要更多指导,与专业财务顾问合作可以帮助您指出正确的方向,以便您可以自信地度过任何市场波动。</blockquote></p><p> While everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.</p><p><blockquote>当其他人都在偏离路线或矫枉过正时,你将牢牢地坐在驾驶座上,计划好你的晚年。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1621813427262","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSuze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MoneyWise</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-03 09:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.</p><p><blockquote>随着股市继续创下纪录,新冠肺炎的影响继续给经济带来问题。</blockquote></p><p> That clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.</p><p><blockquote>这场冲突让投资专家感到担忧,其中包括苏茜·欧曼(Suze Orman),她甚至表示,她现在正在为不可避免的市场崩盘做准备。</blockquote></p><p> And a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特推广的一项著名指标——巴菲特指标——表明奥曼可能有所发现。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.</p><p><blockquote>以下解释了这种担忧的来源,以及即使市场下跌,您也可以使用一些技巧来保持投资组合的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What does Suze Orman think?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苏西·奥曼是怎么想的?</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be8dc3ad363faad96bc575a22235562d\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Mediapunch/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>Mediapunch/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Suze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.</p><p><blockquote>几十年来,Suze Orman一直热切关注市场。她知道起起落落是意料之中的,但她所看到的像游戏驿站这样的投资时尚所发生的事情让她感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”</p><p><blockquote>“我不喜欢现在市场上发生的事情,”奥曼在CNBC的视频中表示。“经济一直很糟糕,但股市一直在上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> While investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然现在投资就像使用智能手机应用程序一样容易,但奥曼担心我们能从这些历史高点走向何方。</blockquote></p><p> And even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.</p><p><blockquote>即使刺激支票仍在发放,房地产市场去年也打破了自己的记录,奥曼仍担心冠状病毒会带来什么——特别是在新变种不断出现的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是,她觉得距离上次崩盘已经太久了,不能再保持这么高的高度了。</blockquote></p><p> “This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.</p><p><blockquote>“这让我又想起了2000年,”奥曼说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Buffett Indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巴菲特指标</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44ada32ecadcc4581fed208f4f4e4d53\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Larry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>拉里·W·史密斯/EPA/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> One metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特经常用来评估市场的一项指标,以他的名字命名,已经亮起红灯足够长的时间,以至于市场观察人士开始怀疑这是否是一个过时的工具。</blockquote></p><p> But the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.</p><p><blockquote>但衡量股市总价值与美国经济产出比率的巴菲特指标继续攀升至前所未有的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士想知道这是否是我们即将看到严重下跌的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> How to prepare for a crash<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ad912a6b4611d9e39b46d2851c78c9e\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Freedomz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>如何为崩溃做好准备Freedomz/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Orman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.</p><p><blockquote>Orman提出了三个建立简单投资策略的建议,以帮助您成功应对市场的任何急转弯。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Buy low</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.低吸</b></blockquote></p><p> Part of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼对游戏驿站等模因股票的狂热感到如此不安的部分原因是,它完全违背了普通投资者的利益。</blockquote></p><p> “All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”</p><p><blockquote>“你们所有人的头都被拧到了后面,”她说。“你想要的只是这些市场不断上涨。这对你有什么好处?”</blockquote></p><p> She points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.</p><p><blockquote>她指出,大多数人唯一的额外资金用于投资401(k)或IRA计划的退休生活。</blockquote></p><p> Because you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.</p><p><blockquote>因为你可能几十年内都不打算碰这笔钱,所以最好的长期策略是低吸。这样,你的美元现在将走得更远,为未来20年、30年或40年留下足够的增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Invest on a schedule</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.按计划投资</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4102f8a6d5002090743b1cbded32ef9\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">katjen / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>卡珍/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> While she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.</p><p><blockquote>虽然她更喜欢低价买入,但奥曼不建议你在市场上涨时完全停止投资。</blockquote></p><p> She wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.</p><p><blockquote>她希望普通投资者不要陷入市场每天的涨跌之中。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,现在为经济低迷欢呼可能是您获得更大份额利润丰厚的投资的最佳选择——就像一些幸运的投资者在2007年和2008年所做的那样。</blockquote></p><p> “When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”</p><p><blockquote>“当市场下跌、下跌、下跌时,你可以免费购买东西,”奥曼说。“现在看看15年后的它们。”</blockquote></p><p> She suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.</p><p><blockquote>她建议你建立一个平均成本策略,这意味着无论市场波动如何,你都要定期等量投资。</blockquote></p><p> This kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法很容易用目前可供DIY投资者使用的许多投资应用程序中的任何一个来实施。</blockquote></p><p> There are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.</p><p><blockquote>甚至有些应用程序会通过将您的借记卡和信用卡购买的金额四舍五入到最接近的美元来自动投资您的零钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Diversify with fractional shares</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.通过零碎股份实现多元化</b></blockquote></p><p> To help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助应对市场特定角落的下跌,奥曼建议您分散投资——通过投资多种不同类型的资产和经济部门来平衡您的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> Orman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼特别推荐零股投资。这种方法允许你购买一家知名公司的一部分股份,否则你将买不起。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.</p><p><blockquote>在流行的股票交易工具的帮助下,任何预算的人都可以负担得起碎股策略。</blockquote></p><p> “The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”</p><p><blockquote>“你越早开始,你拥有的钱就越多,”奥曼说。“只是不要停下来,当这些市场下跌时,你应该很高兴,因为你的美元找到了更多的份额。”</blockquote></p><p> “And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”</p><p><blockquote>“你拥有的股票越多,20年、40年、50年后你拥有的钱就越多。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else you can do</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你还能做什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e79c6fd1f8fa6e3a7c3a6c94f1e14b5\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">goodluz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>古德卢兹/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼在CNBC视频中表示,无论大崩盘是否即将来临,距离退休还有几十年的投资者都可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> First, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.</p><p><blockquote>第一,做最坏的打算,抱最好的希望。自从疫情爆发以来,奥曼现在建议每个人都有一个应急基金,可以支付他们一整年的费用。</blockquote></p><p> Then, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.</p><p><blockquote>然后,为了让自己过上舒适的退休生活,她建议您选择Roth账户,无论是401(k)还是IRA。</blockquote></p><p> That will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.</p><p><blockquote>这将帮助您在从退休账户中提取资金时避免纳税,因为您对罗斯账户的供款是税后进行的。另一方面,传统IRA在您缴款时无需纳税,因此您最终会稍后付款。</blockquote></p><p> If you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果您发现需要更多指导,与专业财务顾问合作可以帮助您指出正确的方向,以便您可以自信地度过任何市场波动。</blockquote></p><p> While everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.</p><p><blockquote>当其他人都在偏离路线或矫枉过正时,你将牢牢地坐在驾驶座上,计划好你的晚年。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html\">MoneyWise</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188153141","content_text":"As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.\nThat clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.\nAnd a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.\nHere’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.\nWhat does Suze Orman think?\nMediapunch/Shutterstock\nSuze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.\n“I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”\nWhile investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.\nAnd even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.\nWhat's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.\n“This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.\nThe Buffett Indicator\nLarry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock\nOne metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.\nBut the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.\nAnd those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.\nHow to prepare for a crashFreedomz / Shutterstock\nOrman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.\n1. Buy low\nPart of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.\n“All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”\nShe points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.\nBecause you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.\n2. Invest on a schedule\nkatjen / Shutterstock\nWhile she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.\nShe wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.\nIn fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.\n“When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”\nShe suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.\nThis kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.\nThere are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.\n3. Diversify with fractional shares\nTo help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.\nOrman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.\nWith the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.\n“The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”\n“And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”\nWhat else you can do\ngoodluz / Shutterstock\nWhether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.\nFirst, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.\nThen, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.\nThat will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.\nIf you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.\nWhile everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1263,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159613145,"gmtCreate":1624961553787,"gmtModify":1633946498600,"author":{"id":"4087536816869760","authorId":"4087536816869760","name":"NPL_Buttons","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087536816869760","idStr":"4087536816869760"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159613145","repostId":"1106703008","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106703008","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624959064,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106703008?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-29 17:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Airbnb: Not A Lot Of Upside At This Stage<blockquote>爱彼迎:现阶段上涨空间不大</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106703008","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nWe believe that the upside of owning Airbnb shares is fairly limited.\nThere’s a risk that A","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>We believe that the upside of owning Airbnb shares is fairly limited.</li> <li>There’s a risk that Airbnb could face a reputational crisis, which will negatively affect its share price in the future.</li> <li>Considering that Airbnb already trades at nearly 17 times its sales, we believe that it’s better to avoid it at the current stage.</li> <li>Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of Best Short Ideas get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate.Learn More »</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5c924c06e6e942d2f9570a908bd2cbc\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1025\"><span>stockcam/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>我们认为持有爱彼迎股票的上涨空间相当有限。</li><li>爱彼迎可能面临声誉危机,这将对其未来的股价产生负面影响。</li><li>考虑到爱彼迎的交易价格已经是其销售额的近17倍,我们认为现阶段最好避开它。</li><li>在市场上寻找援助之手?Best Short Ideas的成员可以获得应对任何气候的独家想法和指导。了解更多»</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>stockcam/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Despite being one of the hottest IPOs of the last years, we believe that the upside of owning Airbnb (ABNB) shares is fairly limited. Not only the company will struggle to return to the pre-pandemic levels anytime soon, but there’s also a risk that Airbnb could face a reputational crisis, which will negatively affect its share price in the future. Considering this and the fact that Airbnb already trades at nearly 17 times its sales, we believe that it’s better to avoid it at the current stage.</p><p><blockquote>尽管是近年来最热门的IPO之一,但我们认为持有爱彼迎(ABNB)股票的好处相当有限。该公司不仅将难以很快恢复到大流行前的水平,而且爱彼迎还面临声誉危机的风险,这将对其未来的股价产生负面影响。考虑到这一点以及爱彼迎的交易价格已经是其销售额的近17倍的事实,我们认为现阶段最好避免这种情况。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lots of Challenges Ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来面临诸多挑战</b></blockquote></p><p> Founded in 2008 by students B. Chesky, J. Gebbia, and N. Blecharczyk, Airbnb has grown from couch-surfing service to one of the biggest hospitality companies in the world with 5.6 million listings and a market value of ~$90 billion. The company’s stock has appreciated by over 100% since it went public in December 2020 but in recent months Airbnb’s shares have declined by almost 40% since their peak and currently trade around ~$150 per share. Despite this, Airbnb’s stock still had a better performance than the S&P 500 Index in the last few quarters, and at the current market capitalization the company is valued higher than Marriott International (MAR), Hilton Worldwide (HLT), and Hyatt Hotels (H) combined.</p><p><blockquote>爱彼迎于2008年由学生B.Chesky、J.Gebbia和N.Blecharczyk创立,现已从沙发冲浪服务发展成为世界上最大的酒店公司之一,拥有560万个房源,市值约为900亿美元。自2020年12月上市以来,该公司股价已上涨超过100%,但近几个月来,爱彼迎股价自峰值以来已下跌近40%,目前交易价格约为每股150美元。尽管如此,Airbnb的股票在过去几个季度的表现仍然好于标普500指数,按照目前的市值,该公司的估值高于万豪国际集团(MAR)、希尔顿全球集团(HLT)和凯悦酒店(H)的总和。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ef3e4eb912dfcf2991dffb45bb17bbf\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\"><span>Chart: Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表:寻求阿尔法</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While the stock had performed relatively well for those who managed to purchase Airbnb right after its IPO, the company’s financials show that its business is still far away from recovering to the pre-pandemic levels. While Airbnb’s management tried to minimize its losses to weather the pandemic by decreasing costs of revenues and optimizing the headcount last year, its R&D expenses were still significantly up Y/Y.</p><p><blockquote>尽管对于那些在爱彼迎首次公开募股后立即购买该股的人来说,该股的表现相对较好,但该公司的财务数据显示,其业务距离恢复到大流行前的水平还很远。尽管爱彼迎管理层去年试图通过降低收入成本和优化员工人数来最大限度地减少损失以应对疫情,但其研发费用仍同比大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, in Q1 alone Airbnb reported $1.17 billion in losses, as its major markets haven’t fully opened during the three months, while some countries even tightened movement restrictions, which led to the poor performance of the bottom line. On top of that, Airbnb also spent $377 million on debt repayment, $292 million in connection with the load agreement warrants, $113 million on operating lease assets and office space improvements, and $229 million on its stock-based compensation program.</p><p><blockquote>此外,仅在第一季度,爱彼迎就报告了11.7亿美元的亏损,因为其主要市场在这三个月内尚未完全开放,而一些国家甚至收紧了流动限制,导致盈利表现不佳。除此之外,爱彼迎还花费了3.77亿美元用于债务偿还,2.92亿美元用于负载协议认股权证,1.13亿美元用于经营租赁资产和办公空间改善,2.29亿美元用于股票薪酬计划。</blockquote></p><p> On top of that, Airbnb has also reported a negative EBITDA of -$59 million in Q1, while its net operating margin fell to an unprecedented negative value. With such poor results, it’s safe to assume that it will take at least a couple of years for Airbnb’s business to return to its pre-COVID-19 levels.</p><p><blockquote>除此之外,爱彼迎还报告第一季度EBITDA为负5900万美元,而净营业利润率则跌至前所未有的负值。由于业绩如此糟糕,可以肯定的是,爱彼迎的业务至少需要几年时间才能恢复到COVID-19之前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> Another downside of Airbnb is that it seems that it’s not gaining any market share in a post-pandemic world. As travel restrictions are lifted, Americans are looking to travel again and are already preparing for summer vacations. However, according to Statista’s survey, the most popular option of booking accommodations in 2021 is through the accommodation's own website rather than through Airbnb or Booking (BKNG). On top of that, with such a variety of choices and services, it will be significantly harder for Airbnb to outperform its more popular peers due to the lack of a pricing advantage.</p><p><blockquote>爱彼迎的另一个缺点是,它似乎没有在大流行后的世界中获得任何市场份额。随着旅行限制的取消,美国人希望再次旅行,并已经在为暑假做准备。然而,根据Statista的调查,2021年预订住宿最受欢迎的选择是通过住宿自己的网站,而不是通过爱彼迎或预订(BKNG)。最重要的是,由于缺乏定价优势,爱彼迎将更难超越更受欢迎的同行。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/425b1811b12027157d4dcd81ba478a0c\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"1275\"><span>Source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:斯塔蒂斯塔</span></p></blockquote></p><p> What’s worse about Airbnb is that according to Bloomberg, the company is paying its clients, who are becoming victims of various crimes inside the booked apartments, millions of dollars for their silence. Bloomberg even found out that the company has a secret department with a budget of over $50 million, whose employees always try to resolve all incidents before they enter a public domain and before the press is involved, in order to keep its reputation intact.</p><p><blockquote>爱彼迎更糟糕的是,据彭博报道,该公司正在向其客户支付数百万美元,以换取他们的沉默,这些客户正在成为预订公寓内各种犯罪的受害者。彭博社甚至发现,该公司有一个预算超过5000万美元的秘密部门,其员工总是试图在所有事件进入公共领域和媒体介入之前解决这些事件,以保持其声誉完好无损。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> As a result, hundreds of stories remain unreported, as the company pays to offended clients in exchange for a non-disclosure agreement. By doing so, Airbnb tries to hide facts about unsafe stays in rented apartments and various cases of violence. While so far, this helped Airbnb to avoid a major reputational crisis, it shows that the company’s business model has some major flaws, as it rests on the idea that strangers can trust one another.</p><p><blockquote>结果,数百个故事仍未被报道,因为该公司向被冒犯的客户付费以换取保密协议。通过这样做,爱彼迎试图掩盖在出租公寓中不安全住宿和各种暴力案件的事实。虽然到目前为止,这帮助爱彼迎避免了一场重大的声誉危机,但它表明该公司的商业模式存在一些重大缺陷,因为它建立在陌生人可以相互信任的理念之上。</blockquote></p><p> As the company grows further and the number of available listings increases every day, there’s a risk that there might be a situation where Airbnb won’t be able to silence some of its offended clients and as a result, it will face a reputational crisis, which will negatively affect its stock.</p><p><blockquote>随着公司的进一步发展,可用上市数量每天都在增加,爱彼迎可能无法让一些被冒犯的客户保持沉默,因此,它将面临声誉危机,这将对其股票产生负面影响。</blockquote></p><p> Considering all of this, we believe that Airbnb is a risky stock to own, especially since it trades at nearly 17 times its sales. The decline in its shares from the peak a couple of months ago shows that the momentum is slowly fading away and we don’t see a potential for a stock to trade higher from the current levels in the long run anytime soon. In addition, the possible reputational crisis along with the risk of further lockdowns in Europe due to the spread of the Delta variant of COVID-19 also outweighs the opportunities of owning the company. For that reason, we believe that it’s better to avoid Airbnb at the current levels, as the company faces numerous challenges that will make it even harder for it to recover to its pre-pandemic levels anytime soon.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到所有这些,我们认为爱彼迎是一只有风险的股票,特别是因为它的交易价格接近其销售额的17倍。其股价从几个月前的峰值下跌表明,这种势头正在慢慢消退,我们认为从长远来看,该股短期内没有从当前水平走高的潜力。此外,由于COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株的传播,可能出现的声誉危机以及欧洲进一步封锁的风险也超过了拥有该公司的机会。因此,我们认为最好避免目前水平的爱彼迎,因为该公司面临着众多挑战,这将使其更难在短期内恢复到大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Airbnb: Not A Lot Of Upside At This Stage<blockquote>爱彼迎:现阶段上涨空间不大</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAirbnb: Not A Lot Of Upside At This Stage<blockquote>爱彼迎:现阶段上涨空间不大</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-29 17:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>We believe that the upside of owning Airbnb shares is fairly limited.</li> <li>There’s a risk that Airbnb could face a reputational crisis, which will negatively affect its share price in the future.</li> <li>Considering that Airbnb already trades at nearly 17 times its sales, we believe that it’s better to avoid it at the current stage.</li> <li>Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of Best Short Ideas get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate.Learn More »</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5c924c06e6e942d2f9570a908bd2cbc\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1025\"><span>stockcam/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>我们认为持有爱彼迎股票的上涨空间相当有限。</li><li>爱彼迎可能面临声誉危机,这将对其未来的股价产生负面影响。</li><li>考虑到爱彼迎的交易价格已经是其销售额的近17倍,我们认为现阶段最好避开它。</li><li>在市场上寻找援助之手?Best Short Ideas的成员可以获得应对任何气候的独家想法和指导。了解更多»</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>stockcam/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Despite being one of the hottest IPOs of the last years, we believe that the upside of owning Airbnb (ABNB) shares is fairly limited. Not only the company will struggle to return to the pre-pandemic levels anytime soon, but there’s also a risk that Airbnb could face a reputational crisis, which will negatively affect its share price in the future. Considering this and the fact that Airbnb already trades at nearly 17 times its sales, we believe that it’s better to avoid it at the current stage.</p><p><blockquote>尽管是近年来最热门的IPO之一,但我们认为持有爱彼迎(ABNB)股票的好处相当有限。该公司不仅将难以很快恢复到大流行前的水平,而且爱彼迎还面临声誉危机的风险,这将对其未来的股价产生负面影响。考虑到这一点以及爱彼迎的交易价格已经是其销售额的近17倍的事实,我们认为现阶段最好避免这种情况。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lots of Challenges Ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来面临诸多挑战</b></blockquote></p><p> Founded in 2008 by students B. Chesky, J. Gebbia, and N. Blecharczyk, Airbnb has grown from couch-surfing service to one of the biggest hospitality companies in the world with 5.6 million listings and a market value of ~$90 billion. The company’s stock has appreciated by over 100% since it went public in December 2020 but in recent months Airbnb’s shares have declined by almost 40% since their peak and currently trade around ~$150 per share. Despite this, Airbnb’s stock still had a better performance than the S&P 500 Index in the last few quarters, and at the current market capitalization the company is valued higher than Marriott International (MAR), Hilton Worldwide (HLT), and Hyatt Hotels (H) combined.</p><p><blockquote>爱彼迎于2008年由学生B.Chesky、J.Gebbia和N.Blecharczyk创立,现已从沙发冲浪服务发展成为世界上最大的酒店公司之一,拥有560万个房源,市值约为900亿美元。自2020年12月上市以来,该公司股价已上涨超过100%,但近几个月来,爱彼迎股价自峰值以来已下跌近40%,目前交易价格约为每股150美元。尽管如此,Airbnb的股票在过去几个季度的表现仍然好于标普500指数,按照目前的市值,该公司的估值高于万豪国际集团(MAR)、希尔顿全球集团(HLT)和凯悦酒店(H)的总和。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ef3e4eb912dfcf2991dffb45bb17bbf\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\"><span>Chart: Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表:寻求阿尔法</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While the stock had performed relatively well for those who managed to purchase Airbnb right after its IPO, the company’s financials show that its business is still far away from recovering to the pre-pandemic levels. While Airbnb’s management tried to minimize its losses to weather the pandemic by decreasing costs of revenues and optimizing the headcount last year, its R&D expenses were still significantly up Y/Y.</p><p><blockquote>尽管对于那些在爱彼迎首次公开募股后立即购买该股的人来说,该股的表现相对较好,但该公司的财务数据显示,其业务距离恢复到大流行前的水平还很远。尽管爱彼迎管理层去年试图通过降低收入成本和优化员工人数来最大限度地减少损失以应对疫情,但其研发费用仍同比大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, in Q1 alone Airbnb reported $1.17 billion in losses, as its major markets haven’t fully opened during the three months, while some countries even tightened movement restrictions, which led to the poor performance of the bottom line. On top of that, Airbnb also spent $377 million on debt repayment, $292 million in connection with the load agreement warrants, $113 million on operating lease assets and office space improvements, and $229 million on its stock-based compensation program.</p><p><blockquote>此外,仅在第一季度,爱彼迎就报告了11.7亿美元的亏损,因为其主要市场在这三个月内尚未完全开放,而一些国家甚至收紧了流动限制,导致盈利表现不佳。除此之外,爱彼迎还花费了3.77亿美元用于债务偿还,2.92亿美元用于负载协议认股权证,1.13亿美元用于经营租赁资产和办公空间改善,2.29亿美元用于股票薪酬计划。</blockquote></p><p> On top of that, Airbnb has also reported a negative EBITDA of -$59 million in Q1, while its net operating margin fell to an unprecedented negative value. With such poor results, it’s safe to assume that it will take at least a couple of years for Airbnb’s business to return to its pre-COVID-19 levels.</p><p><blockquote>除此之外,爱彼迎还报告第一季度EBITDA为负5900万美元,而净营业利润率则跌至前所未有的负值。由于业绩如此糟糕,可以肯定的是,爱彼迎的业务至少需要几年时间才能恢复到COVID-19之前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> Another downside of Airbnb is that it seems that it’s not gaining any market share in a post-pandemic world. As travel restrictions are lifted, Americans are looking to travel again and are already preparing for summer vacations. However, according to Statista’s survey, the most popular option of booking accommodations in 2021 is through the accommodation's own website rather than through Airbnb or Booking (BKNG). On top of that, with such a variety of choices and services, it will be significantly harder for Airbnb to outperform its more popular peers due to the lack of a pricing advantage.</p><p><blockquote>爱彼迎的另一个缺点是,它似乎没有在大流行后的世界中获得任何市场份额。随着旅行限制的取消,美国人希望再次旅行,并已经在为暑假做准备。然而,根据Statista的调查,2021年预订住宿最受欢迎的选择是通过住宿自己的网站,而不是通过爱彼迎或预订(BKNG)。最重要的是,由于缺乏定价优势,爱彼迎将更难超越更受欢迎的同行。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/425b1811b12027157d4dcd81ba478a0c\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"1275\"><span>Source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:斯塔蒂斯塔</span></p></blockquote></p><p> What’s worse about Airbnb is that according to Bloomberg, the company is paying its clients, who are becoming victims of various crimes inside the booked apartments, millions of dollars for their silence. Bloomberg even found out that the company has a secret department with a budget of over $50 million, whose employees always try to resolve all incidents before they enter a public domain and before the press is involved, in order to keep its reputation intact.</p><p><blockquote>爱彼迎更糟糕的是,据彭博报道,该公司正在向其客户支付数百万美元,以换取他们的沉默,这些客户正在成为预订公寓内各种犯罪的受害者。彭博社甚至发现,该公司有一个预算超过5000万美元的秘密部门,其员工总是试图在所有事件进入公共领域和媒体介入之前解决这些事件,以保持其声誉完好无损。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> As a result, hundreds of stories remain unreported, as the company pays to offended clients in exchange for a non-disclosure agreement. By doing so, Airbnb tries to hide facts about unsafe stays in rented apartments and various cases of violence. While so far, this helped Airbnb to avoid a major reputational crisis, it shows that the company’s business model has some major flaws, as it rests on the idea that strangers can trust one another.</p><p><blockquote>结果,数百个故事仍未被报道,因为该公司向被冒犯的客户付费以换取保密协议。通过这样做,爱彼迎试图掩盖在出租公寓中不安全住宿和各种暴力案件的事实。虽然到目前为止,这帮助爱彼迎避免了一场重大的声誉危机,但它表明该公司的商业模式存在一些重大缺陷,因为它建立在陌生人可以相互信任的理念之上。</blockquote></p><p> As the company grows further and the number of available listings increases every day, there’s a risk that there might be a situation where Airbnb won’t be able to silence some of its offended clients and as a result, it will face a reputational crisis, which will negatively affect its stock.</p><p><blockquote>随着公司的进一步发展,可用上市数量每天都在增加,爱彼迎可能无法让一些被冒犯的客户保持沉默,因此,它将面临声誉危机,这将对其股票产生负面影响。</blockquote></p><p> Considering all of this, we believe that Airbnb is a risky stock to own, especially since it trades at nearly 17 times its sales. The decline in its shares from the peak a couple of months ago shows that the momentum is slowly fading away and we don’t see a potential for a stock to trade higher from the current levels in the long run anytime soon. In addition, the possible reputational crisis along with the risk of further lockdowns in Europe due to the spread of the Delta variant of COVID-19 also outweighs the opportunities of owning the company. For that reason, we believe that it’s better to avoid Airbnb at the current levels, as the company faces numerous challenges that will make it even harder for it to recover to its pre-pandemic levels anytime soon.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到所有这些,我们认为爱彼迎是一只有风险的股票,特别是因为它的交易价格接近其销售额的17倍。其股价从几个月前的峰值下跌表明,这种势头正在慢慢消退,我们认为从长远来看,该股短期内没有从当前水平走高的潜力。此外,由于COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株的传播,可能出现的声誉危机以及欧洲进一步封锁的风险也超过了拥有该公司的机会。因此,我们认为最好避免目前水平的爱彼迎,因为该公司面临着众多挑战,这将使其更难在短期内恢复到大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436955-airbnb-not-a-lot-of-upside-at-this-stage\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ABNB":"爱彼迎"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436955-airbnb-not-a-lot-of-upside-at-this-stage","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106703008","content_text":"Summary\n\nWe believe that the upside of owning Airbnb shares is fairly limited.\nThere’s a risk that Airbnb could face a reputational crisis, which will negatively affect its share price in the future.\nConsidering that Airbnb already trades at nearly 17 times its sales, we believe that it’s better to avoid it at the current stage.\nLooking for a helping hand in the market? Members of Best Short Ideas get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate.Learn More »\n\nstockcam/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nDespite being one of the hottest IPOs of the last years, we believe that the upside of owning Airbnb (ABNB) shares is fairly limited. Not only the company will struggle to return to the pre-pandemic levels anytime soon, but there’s also a risk that Airbnb could face a reputational crisis, which will negatively affect its share price in the future. Considering this and the fact that Airbnb already trades at nearly 17 times its sales, we believe that it’s better to avoid it at the current stage.\nLots of Challenges Ahead\nFounded in 2008 by students B. Chesky, J. Gebbia, and N. Blecharczyk, Airbnb has grown from couch-surfing service to one of the biggest hospitality companies in the world with 5.6 million listings and a market value of ~$90 billion. The company’s stock has appreciated by over 100% since it went public in December 2020 but in recent months Airbnb’s shares have declined by almost 40% since their peak and currently trade around ~$150 per share. Despite this, Airbnb’s stock still had a better performance than the S&P 500 Index in the last few quarters, and at the current market capitalization the company is valued higher than Marriott International (MAR), Hilton Worldwide (HLT), and Hyatt Hotels (H) combined.\nChart: Seeking Alpha\nWhile the stock had performed relatively well for those who managed to purchase Airbnb right after its IPO, the company’s financials show that its business is still far away from recovering to the pre-pandemic levels. While Airbnb’s management tried to minimize its losses to weather the pandemic by decreasing costs of revenues and optimizing the headcount last year, its R&D expenses were still significantly up Y/Y.\nIn addition, in Q1 alone Airbnb reported $1.17 billion in losses, as its major markets haven’t fully opened during the three months, while some countries even tightened movement restrictions, which led to the poor performance of the bottom line. On top of that, Airbnb also spent $377 million on debt repayment, $292 million in connection with the load agreement warrants, $113 million on operating lease assets and office space improvements, and $229 million on its stock-based compensation program.\nOn top of that, Airbnb has also reported a negative EBITDA of -$59 million in Q1, while its net operating margin fell to an unprecedented negative value. With such poor results, it’s safe to assume that it will take at least a couple of years for Airbnb’s business to return to its pre-COVID-19 levels.\nAnother downside of Airbnb is that it seems that it’s not gaining any market share in a post-pandemic world. As travel restrictions are lifted, Americans are looking to travel again and are already preparing for summer vacations. However, according to Statista’s survey, the most popular option of booking accommodations in 2021 is through the accommodation's own website rather than through Airbnb or Booking (BKNG). On top of that, with such a variety of choices and services, it will be significantly harder for Airbnb to outperform its more popular peers due to the lack of a pricing advantage.\nSource: Statista\nWhat’s worse about Airbnb is that according to Bloomberg, the company is paying its clients, who are becoming victims of various crimes inside the booked apartments, millions of dollars for their silence. Bloomberg even found out that the company has a secret department with a budget of over $50 million, whose employees always try to resolve all incidents before they enter a public domain and before the press is involved, in order to keep its reputation intact.\nAs a result, hundreds of stories remain unreported, as the company pays to offended clients in exchange for a non-disclosure agreement. By doing so, Airbnb tries to hide facts about unsafe stays in rented apartments and various cases of violence. While so far, this helped Airbnb to avoid a major reputational crisis, it shows that the company’s business model has some major flaws, as it rests on the idea that strangers can trust one another.\nAs the company grows further and the number of available listings increases every day, there’s a risk that there might be a situation where Airbnb won’t be able to silence some of its offended clients and as a result, it will face a reputational crisis, which will negatively affect its stock.\nConsidering all of this, we believe that Airbnb is a risky stock to own, especially since it trades at nearly 17 times its sales. The decline in its shares from the peak a couple of months ago shows that the momentum is slowly fading away and we don’t see a potential for a stock to trade higher from the current levels in the long run anytime soon. In addition, the possible reputational crisis along with the risk of further lockdowns in Europe due to the spread of the Delta variant of COVID-19 also outweighs the opportunities of owning the company. For that reason, we believe that it’s better to avoid Airbnb at the current levels, as the company faces numerous challenges that will make it even harder for it to recover to its pre-pandemic levels anytime soon.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ABNB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":510,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151480486,"gmtCreate":1625102259345,"gmtModify":1633944794287,"author":{"id":"4087536816869760","authorId":"4087536816869760","name":"NPL_Buttons","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087536816869760","idStr":"4087536816869760"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This is","listText":"This is","text":"This is","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/151480486","repostId":"2148381779","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1524,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152716242,"gmtCreate":1625356404186,"gmtModify":1633941386620,"author":{"id":"4087536816869760","authorId":"4087536816869760","name":"NPL_Buttons","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087536816869760","idStr":"4087536816869760"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"When to buy","listText":"When to buy","text":"When to buy","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f98cbd5dead7382eb833de187b90cc2c","width":"1440","height":"3644"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152716242","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1846,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154018414,"gmtCreate":1625459803538,"gmtModify":1633940465787,"author":{"id":"4087536816869760","authorId":"4087536816869760","name":"NPL_Buttons","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087536816869760","idStr":"4087536816869760"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nicr","listText":"Nicr","text":"Nicr","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154018414","repostId":"154004397","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":154004397,"gmtCreate":1625458247816,"gmtModify":1625477430618,"author":{"id":"36979109942400","authorId":"36979109942400","name":"小虎周报","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/f7b172cf773c77a3f0df67695c126b51","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36979109942400","idStr":"36979109942400"},"themes":[],"title":"一周IPO观察:青瓷游戏、瑞尔集团递交招股书","htmlText":"港股IPO观察 截止6月20日当周,港股IPO市场上,无论是申购热情,还是上市表现,都出现了两级分化。有意思的是,申购火热的票,并不一定就是上市表现好的。当周上市的公司中,名不见经传的小票<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02155\">$森松国际(02155)$</a> 承接上周末暗盘的大涨,首日收涨258%,由于乙组就个位数的认购者,单笔交易获利颇丰。不过这种意料之外的行情投资者难以捕捉。 而顶着“新式茶饮第一股”名号的<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02150\">$奈雪的茶(02150)$</a> ,虽有432倍超额认购,但暗盘破发-1.3%,首日大跌13.54%。另一家美股上市公司和黄医药暗盘大涨24.9%的情况下,首日高涨50.37%。 周五暗盘的<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02190\">$归创通桥-B(02190)$</a> 获得了1190倍的超额认购,一手中签率仅2%,160手稳中一,暗盘大涨30.21%。 当周仍在招股的公司有:<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02209\">$喆丽控股(02209)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02177\">$优趣汇控股(02177)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02165\">$领悦服务集团(02165)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09960\">$康圣环球(0996</a>","listText":"港股IPO观察 截止6月20日当周,港股IPO市场上,无论是申购热情,还是上市表现,都出现了两级分化。有意思的是,申购火热的票,并不一定就是上市表现好的。当周上市的公司中,名不见经传的小票<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02155\">$森松国际(02155)$</a> 承接上周末暗盘的大涨,首日收涨258%,由于乙组就个位数的认购者,单笔交易获利颇丰。不过这种意料之外的行情投资者难以捕捉。 而顶着“新式茶饮第一股”名号的<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02150\">$奈雪的茶(02150)$</a> ,虽有432倍超额认购,但暗盘破发-1.3%,首日大跌13.54%。另一家美股上市公司和黄医药暗盘大涨24.9%的情况下,首日高涨50.37%。 周五暗盘的<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02190\">$归创通桥-B(02190)$</a> 获得了1190倍的超额认购,一手中签率仅2%,160手稳中一,暗盘大涨30.21%。 当周仍在招股的公司有:<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02209\">$喆丽控股(02209)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02177\">$优趣汇控股(02177)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02165\">$领悦服务集团(02165)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09960\">$康圣环球(0996</a>","text":"港股IPO观察 截止6月20日当周,港股IPO市场上,无论是申购热情,还是上市表现,都出现了两级分化。有意思的是,申购火热的票,并不一定就是上市表现好的。当周上市的公司中,名不见经传的小票$森松国际(02155)$ 承接上周末暗盘的大涨,首日收涨258%,由于乙组就个位数的认购者,单笔交易获利颇丰。不过这种意料之外的行情投资者难以捕捉。 而顶着“新式茶饮第一股”名号的$奈雪的茶(02150)$ ,虽有432倍超额认购,但暗盘破发-1.3%,首日大跌13.54%。另一家美股上市公司和黄医药暗盘大涨24.9%的情况下,首日高涨50.37%。 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