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Shawnn_13
2021-10-27
Ok//
@Shawnn_13
:lolz plz
Tesla Stock Closed Above $900 for First Time. What Could Come Next.<blockquote>特斯拉股价首次收于900美元以上。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>
Shawnn_13
2021-10-23
lolz plz
Tesla Stock Closed Above $900 for First Time. What Could Come Next.<blockquote>特斯拉股价首次收于900美元以上。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>
Shawnn_13
2021-10-21
Like plz
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Shawnn_13
2021-10-17
like plz
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Shawnn_13
2021-10-15
like plz
S&P 500 surges, biggest daily percentage rise since March on earnings, data<blockquote>标普500股价飙升,盈利和数据创3月份以来最大单日百分比涨幅</blockquote>
Shawnn_13
2021-10-13
like plz
Hong Kong stock exchange cancels morning trading session due to typhoon<blockquote>港交所因台风取消早盘交易时段</blockquote>
Shawnn_13
2021-10-11
like plz
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Shawnn_13
2021-10-09
Like please
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Shawnn_13
2021-10-08
lol
Favorable Outlook For GM<blockquote>通用汽车前景良好</blockquote>
Shawnn_13
2021-10-07
Like plz
Here are 10 'high conviction' stocks of companies with strong pricing power and at least 20% upside potential to UBS targets<blockquote>以下是10只“高度确信”的公司股票,它们具有强大的定价能力,比瑞银目标至少有20%的上涨潜力</blockquote>
Shawnn_13
2021-10-04
Wow
Tesla shares rose 1.4% in premarket trading<blockquote>特斯拉股价在盘前交易中上涨1.4%</blockquote>
Shawnn_13
2021-10-03
Like plz
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Shawnn_13
2021-09-30
Like ok
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Shawnn_13
2021-09-27
Wowww like plz
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Shawnn_13
2021-09-24
Like please
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Shawnn_13
2021-09-21
Oh no, like please
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Shawnn_13
2021-09-20
I agree
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Shawnn_13
2021-09-18
Like please
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Shawnn_13
2021-09-13
Like please
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Shawnn_13
2021-09-09
Really interesting
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去老虎APP查看更多动态
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3584845105860173\">@Shawnn_13</a>:lolz plz","listText":"Ok//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3584845105860173\">@Shawnn_13</a>:lolz plz","text":"Ok//@Shawnn_13:lolz plz","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/855012627","repostId":"1166213725","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166213725","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634948473,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1166213725?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-23 08:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock Closed Above $900 for First Time. What Could Come Next.<blockquote>特斯拉股价首次收于900美元以上。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166213725","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla stock hit a new all-time high in Friday trading, and closed at a record. The stock’s recent run has been incredible. How high can it go?Tesla stock closed at $909.68, up about 1.8%. The S&P 500 dropped about 0.1%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added about 0.2%.Shares of the electric-vehicle giant have been boosted by strong deliveries and earnings. Shares also got a boost Friday from a credit upgrade at S&P. Tesla debt is now BB+ rated, one notch below investment grade.Tesla stoc","content":"<p>Tesla stock hit a new all-time high in Friday trading, and closed at a record. The stock’s recent run has been incredible. How high can it go?</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在周五交易中创下历史新高,收盘价创历史新高。该股最近的走势令人难以置信。能涨到多高?</blockquote></p><p> Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock closed at $909.68, up about 1.8%. The S&P 500 dropped about 0.1%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added about 0.2%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉(股票代码:TSLA)股价收于909.68美元,上涨约1.8%。标准普尔500指数下跌约0.1%,道琼斯工业平均指数上涨约0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of the electric-vehicle giant have been boosted by strong deliveries and earnings. Shares also got a boost Friday from a credit upgrade at S&P. Tesla debt is now BB+ rated, one notch below investment grade.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的交付量和盈利提振了这家电动汽车巨头的股价。周五,标准普尔的信用升级也提振了股价。特斯拉债务目前评级为BB+,比投资级低一级。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock’s new 52-week intraday high is $910 on the nose. The old high-water mark of $900.40 was set on Jan. 25, according to Dow Jones Market Data. On Thursday, Tesla closed at a record for the first time since Jan. 26.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价创52周盘中新高910美元。根据道琼斯市场数据,900.40美元的旧高水位是在1月25日创下的。周四,特斯拉自1月26日以来首次收于创纪录水平。</blockquote></p><p> Shares are up about 40% over the past three months, pushing the market cap to roughly $910 billion. (Tesla has about 1 billion shares outstanding, making the math easy.)</p><p><blockquote>过去三个月,股价上涨了约40%,市值达到约9100亿美元。(特斯拉拥有约10亿股已发行股票,这使得计算变得很容易。)</blockquote></p><p> Bulls, naturally, see more gains ahead. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives raised his bull-case Tesla stock price target to $1,500 from $1,300 after the company reported better-than-expected earnings on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>多头自然会看到未来会有更多收益。Wedbush分析师Dan Ives将牛市特斯拉股价目标从1300美元上调至1500美元,此前该公司周三公布了好于预期的财报。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla is rising because earnings revisions are soaring,” points out Gary Black, managing partner of the Future Fund Active exchange-traded fund. Analyst estimates for Tesla’s 2022 earnings have risen to about $8 a share from $6 over the past few weeks. “Rising estimates drove Tesla to the moon in 2020. They will drive Tesla to $1,000-plus in 2022,” Black says.</p><p><blockquote>“特斯拉正在上涨,因为盈利修正正在飙升,”未来基金主动交易所交易基金管理合伙人Gary Black指出。过去几周,分析师对特斯拉2022年每股收益的预期已从每股6美元升至约8美元。“不断上涨的估值推动特斯拉在2020年登上了月球。它们将推动特斯拉在2022年达到1,000美元以上,”Black说。</blockquote></p><p> Ives rates Tesla stock Buy, and Tesla is the largest position in Black’s fund.</p><p><blockquote>Ives将特斯拉股票评级为买入,特斯拉是Black基金的最大持仓。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, there are still Tesla bears out there who believe the stock is overvalued. The bottom third of analyst price targets averages about $425, less than half of Friday’s close.</p><p><blockquote>是的,仍然有看空特斯拉的人认为该股被高估了。分析师目标价的底部三分之一平均约为425美元,不到周五收盘价的一半。</blockquote></p><p> Bears expect the sky-high valuation to give investors pause eventually. Stocks don’t usually fall just because investors, collectively, wake up one morning and feel differently about valuation. Something has to happen. The overall market could tumble, or the business could trip up. Analysts expect Tesla deliveries to grow to 1.3 million units in 2022 from about 890,000 units in 2021. Any hiccup to growth would be a negative catalyst for shares.</p><p><blockquote>看空者预计天价估值最终会让投资者犹豫不决。股票通常不会因为投资者集体某天早上醒来对估值有不同的感觉而下跌。总得有事发生。整体市场可能会暴跌,或者企业可能会陷入困境。分析师预计,特斯拉的交付量将从2021年的约89万辆增长到2022年的130万辆。增长的任何问题都将成为股市的负面催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> Whether the stock rises or falls in the short run is anyone’s guess. For now, though, the momentum belongs to Tesla bulls.</p><p><blockquote>该股短期内是上涨还是下跌,谁也说不准。不过,就目前而言,势头属于特斯拉多头。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock Closed Above $900 for First Time. What Could Come Next.<blockquote>特斯拉股价首次收于900美元以上。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock Closed Above $900 for First Time. What Could Come Next.<blockquote>特斯拉股价首次收于900美元以上。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-23 08:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla stock hit a new all-time high in Friday trading, and closed at a record. The stock’s recent run has been incredible. How high can it go?</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在周五交易中创下历史新高,收盘价创历史新高。该股最近的走势令人难以置信。能涨到多高?</blockquote></p><p> Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock closed at $909.68, up about 1.8%. The S&P 500 dropped about 0.1%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added about 0.2%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉(股票代码:TSLA)股价收于909.68美元,上涨约1.8%。标准普尔500指数下跌约0.1%,道琼斯工业平均指数上涨约0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of the electric-vehicle giant have been boosted by strong deliveries and earnings. Shares also got a boost Friday from a credit upgrade at S&P. Tesla debt is now BB+ rated, one notch below investment grade.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的交付量和盈利提振了这家电动汽车巨头的股价。周五,标准普尔的信用升级也提振了股价。特斯拉债务目前评级为BB+,比投资级低一级。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock’s new 52-week intraday high is $910 on the nose. The old high-water mark of $900.40 was set on Jan. 25, according to Dow Jones Market Data. On Thursday, Tesla closed at a record for the first time since Jan. 26.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价创52周盘中新高910美元。根据道琼斯市场数据,900.40美元的旧高水位是在1月25日创下的。周四,特斯拉自1月26日以来首次收于创纪录水平。</blockquote></p><p> Shares are up about 40% over the past three months, pushing the market cap to roughly $910 billion. (Tesla has about 1 billion shares outstanding, making the math easy.)</p><p><blockquote>过去三个月,股价上涨了约40%,市值达到约9100亿美元。(特斯拉拥有约10亿股已发行股票,这使得计算变得很容易。)</blockquote></p><p> Bulls, naturally, see more gains ahead. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives raised his bull-case Tesla stock price target to $1,500 from $1,300 after the company reported better-than-expected earnings on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>多头自然会看到未来会有更多收益。Wedbush分析师Dan Ives将牛市特斯拉股价目标从1300美元上调至1500美元,此前该公司周三公布了好于预期的财报。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla is rising because earnings revisions are soaring,” points out Gary Black, managing partner of the Future Fund Active exchange-traded fund. Analyst estimates for Tesla’s 2022 earnings have risen to about $8 a share from $6 over the past few weeks. “Rising estimates drove Tesla to the moon in 2020. They will drive Tesla to $1,000-plus in 2022,” Black says.</p><p><blockquote>“特斯拉正在上涨,因为盈利修正正在飙升,”未来基金主动交易所交易基金管理合伙人Gary Black指出。过去几周,分析师对特斯拉2022年每股收益的预期已从每股6美元升至约8美元。“不断上涨的估值推动特斯拉在2020年登上了月球。它们将推动特斯拉在2022年达到1,000美元以上,”Black说。</blockquote></p><p> Ives rates Tesla stock Buy, and Tesla is the largest position in Black’s fund.</p><p><blockquote>Ives将特斯拉股票评级为买入,特斯拉是Black基金的最大持仓。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, there are still Tesla bears out there who believe the stock is overvalued. The bottom third of analyst price targets averages about $425, less than half of Friday’s close.</p><p><blockquote>是的,仍然有看空特斯拉的人认为该股被高估了。分析师目标价的底部三分之一平均约为425美元,不到周五收盘价的一半。</blockquote></p><p> Bears expect the sky-high valuation to give investors pause eventually. Stocks don’t usually fall just because investors, collectively, wake up one morning and feel differently about valuation. Something has to happen. The overall market could tumble, or the business could trip up. Analysts expect Tesla deliveries to grow to 1.3 million units in 2022 from about 890,000 units in 2021. Any hiccup to growth would be a negative catalyst for shares.</p><p><blockquote>看空者预计天价估值最终会让投资者犹豫不决。股票通常不会因为投资者集体某天早上醒来对估值有不同的感觉而下跌。总得有事发生。整体市场可能会暴跌,或者企业可能会陷入困境。分析师预计,特斯拉的交付量将从2021年的约89万辆增长到2022年的130万辆。增长的任何问题都将成为股市的负面催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> Whether the stock rises or falls in the short run is anyone’s guess. For now, though, the momentum belongs to Tesla bulls.</p><p><blockquote>该股短期内是上涨还是下跌,谁也说不准。不过,就目前而言,势头属于特斯拉多头。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-record-high-51634913773?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-record-high-51634913773?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166213725","content_text":"Tesla stock hit a new all-time high in Friday trading, and closed at a record. The stock’s recent run has been incredible. How high can it go?\nTesla (ticker: TSLA) stock closed at $909.68, up about 1.8%. The S&P 500 dropped about 0.1%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added about 0.2%.\nShares of the electric-vehicle giant have been boosted by strong deliveries and earnings. Shares also got a boost Friday from a credit upgrade at S&P. Tesla debt is now BB+ rated, one notch below investment grade.\nTesla stock’s new 52-week intraday high is $910 on the nose. The old high-water mark of $900.40 was set on Jan. 25, according to Dow Jones Market Data. On Thursday, Tesla closed at a record for the first time since Jan. 26.\nShares are up about 40% over the past three months, pushing the market cap to roughly $910 billion. (Tesla has about 1 billion shares outstanding, making the math easy.)\nBulls, naturally, see more gains ahead. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives raised his bull-case Tesla stock price target to $1,500 from $1,300 after the company reported better-than-expected earnings on Wednesday.\n“Tesla is rising because earnings revisions are soaring,” points out Gary Black, managing partner of the Future Fund Active exchange-traded fund. Analyst estimates for Tesla’s 2022 earnings have risen to about $8 a share from $6 over the past few weeks. “Rising estimates drove Tesla to the moon in 2020. They will drive Tesla to $1,000-plus in 2022,” Black says.\nIves rates Tesla stock Buy, and Tesla is the largest position in Black’s fund.\nYes, there are still Tesla bears out there who believe the stock is overvalued. The bottom third of analyst price targets averages about $425, less than half of Friday’s close.\nBears expect the sky-high valuation to give investors pause eventually. Stocks don’t usually fall just because investors, collectively, wake up one morning and feel differently about valuation. Something has to happen. The overall market could tumble, or the business could trip up. Analysts expect Tesla deliveries to grow to 1.3 million units in 2022 from about 890,000 units in 2021. Any hiccup to growth would be a negative catalyst for shares.\nWhether the stock rises or falls in the short run is anyone’s guess. For now, though, the momentum belongs to Tesla bulls.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2360,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":858952513,"gmtCreate":1634967767980,"gmtModify":1634967768100,"author":{"id":"3584845105860173","authorId":"3584845105860173","name":"Shawnn_13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584845105860173","idStr":"3584845105860173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"lolz plz","listText":"lolz plz","text":"lolz plz","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858952513","repostId":"1166213725","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166213725","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634948473,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1166213725?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-23 08:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock Closed Above $900 for First Time. What Could Come Next.<blockquote>特斯拉股价首次收于900美元以上。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166213725","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla stock hit a new all-time high in Friday trading, and closed at a record. The stock’s recent run has been incredible. How high can it go?Tesla stock closed at $909.68, up about 1.8%. The S&P 500 dropped about 0.1%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added about 0.2%.Shares of the electric-vehicle giant have been boosted by strong deliveries and earnings. Shares also got a boost Friday from a credit upgrade at S&P. Tesla debt is now BB+ rated, one notch below investment grade.Tesla stoc","content":"<p>Tesla stock hit a new all-time high in Friday trading, and closed at a record. The stock’s recent run has been incredible. How high can it go?</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在周五交易中创下历史新高,收盘价创历史新高。该股最近的走势令人难以置信。能涨到多高?</blockquote></p><p> Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock closed at $909.68, up about 1.8%. The S&P 500 dropped about 0.1%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added about 0.2%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉(股票代码:TSLA)股价收于909.68美元,上涨约1.8%。标准普尔500指数下跌约0.1%,道琼斯工业平均指数上涨约0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of the electric-vehicle giant have been boosted by strong deliveries and earnings. Shares also got a boost Friday from a credit upgrade at S&P. Tesla debt is now BB+ rated, one notch below investment grade.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的交付量和盈利提振了这家电动汽车巨头的股价。周五,标准普尔的信用升级也提振了股价。特斯拉债务目前评级为BB+,比投资级低一级。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock’s new 52-week intraday high is $910 on the nose. The old high-water mark of $900.40 was set on Jan. 25, according to Dow Jones Market Data. On Thursday, Tesla closed at a record for the first time since Jan. 26.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价创52周盘中新高910美元。根据道琼斯市场数据,900.40美元的旧高水位是在1月25日创下的。周四,特斯拉自1月26日以来首次收于创纪录水平。</blockquote></p><p> Shares are up about 40% over the past three months, pushing the market cap to roughly $910 billion. (Tesla has about 1 billion shares outstanding, making the math easy.)</p><p><blockquote>过去三个月,股价上涨了约40%,市值达到约9100亿美元。(特斯拉拥有约10亿股已发行股票,这使得计算变得很容易。)</blockquote></p><p> Bulls, naturally, see more gains ahead. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives raised his bull-case Tesla stock price target to $1,500 from $1,300 after the company reported better-than-expected earnings on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>多头自然会看到未来会有更多收益。Wedbush分析师Dan Ives将牛市特斯拉股价目标从1300美元上调至1500美元,此前该公司周三公布了好于预期的财报。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla is rising because earnings revisions are soaring,” points out Gary Black, managing partner of the Future Fund Active exchange-traded fund. Analyst estimates for Tesla’s 2022 earnings have risen to about $8 a share from $6 over the past few weeks. “Rising estimates drove Tesla to the moon in 2020. They will drive Tesla to $1,000-plus in 2022,” Black says.</p><p><blockquote>“特斯拉正在上涨,因为盈利修正正在飙升,”未来基金主动交易所交易基金管理合伙人Gary Black指出。过去几周,分析师对特斯拉2022年每股收益的预期已从每股6美元升至约8美元。“不断上涨的估值推动特斯拉在2020年登上了月球。它们将推动特斯拉在2022年达到1,000美元以上,”Black说。</blockquote></p><p> Ives rates Tesla stock Buy, and Tesla is the largest position in Black’s fund.</p><p><blockquote>Ives将特斯拉股票评级为买入,特斯拉是Black基金的最大持仓。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, there are still Tesla bears out there who believe the stock is overvalued. The bottom third of analyst price targets averages about $425, less than half of Friday’s close.</p><p><blockquote>是的,仍然有看空特斯拉的人认为该股被高估了。分析师目标价的底部三分之一平均约为425美元,不到周五收盘价的一半。</blockquote></p><p> Bears expect the sky-high valuation to give investors pause eventually. Stocks don’t usually fall just because investors, collectively, wake up one morning and feel differently about valuation. Something has to happen. The overall market could tumble, or the business could trip up. Analysts expect Tesla deliveries to grow to 1.3 million units in 2022 from about 890,000 units in 2021. Any hiccup to growth would be a negative catalyst for shares.</p><p><blockquote>看空者预计天价估值最终会让投资者犹豫不决。股票通常不会因为投资者集体某天早上醒来对估值有不同的感觉而下跌。总得有事发生。整体市场可能会暴跌,或者企业可能会陷入困境。分析师预计,特斯拉的交付量将从2021年的约89万辆增长到2022年的130万辆。增长的任何问题都将成为股市的负面催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> Whether the stock rises or falls in the short run is anyone’s guess. For now, though, the momentum belongs to Tesla bulls.</p><p><blockquote>该股短期内是上涨还是下跌,谁也说不准。不过,就目前而言,势头属于特斯拉多头。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock Closed Above $900 for First Time. What Could Come Next.<blockquote>特斯拉股价首次收于900美元以上。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock Closed Above $900 for First Time. What Could Come Next.<blockquote>特斯拉股价首次收于900美元以上。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-23 08:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla stock hit a new all-time high in Friday trading, and closed at a record. The stock’s recent run has been incredible. How high can it go?</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在周五交易中创下历史新高,收盘价创历史新高。该股最近的走势令人难以置信。能涨到多高?</blockquote></p><p> Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock closed at $909.68, up about 1.8%. The S&P 500 dropped about 0.1%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added about 0.2%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉(股票代码:TSLA)股价收于909.68美元,上涨约1.8%。标准普尔500指数下跌约0.1%,道琼斯工业平均指数上涨约0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of the electric-vehicle giant have been boosted by strong deliveries and earnings. Shares also got a boost Friday from a credit upgrade at S&P. Tesla debt is now BB+ rated, one notch below investment grade.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的交付量和盈利提振了这家电动汽车巨头的股价。周五,标准普尔的信用升级也提振了股价。特斯拉债务目前评级为BB+,比投资级低一级。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock’s new 52-week intraday high is $910 on the nose. The old high-water mark of $900.40 was set on Jan. 25, according to Dow Jones Market Data. On Thursday, Tesla closed at a record for the first time since Jan. 26.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价创52周盘中新高910美元。根据道琼斯市场数据,900.40美元的旧高水位是在1月25日创下的。周四,特斯拉自1月26日以来首次收于创纪录水平。</blockquote></p><p> Shares are up about 40% over the past three months, pushing the market cap to roughly $910 billion. (Tesla has about 1 billion shares outstanding, making the math easy.)</p><p><blockquote>过去三个月,股价上涨了约40%,市值达到约9100亿美元。(特斯拉拥有约10亿股已发行股票,这使得计算变得很容易。)</blockquote></p><p> Bulls, naturally, see more gains ahead. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives raised his bull-case Tesla stock price target to $1,500 from $1,300 after the company reported better-than-expected earnings on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>多头自然会看到未来会有更多收益。Wedbush分析师Dan Ives将牛市特斯拉股价目标从1300美元上调至1500美元,此前该公司周三公布了好于预期的财报。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla is rising because earnings revisions are soaring,” points out Gary Black, managing partner of the Future Fund Active exchange-traded fund. Analyst estimates for Tesla’s 2022 earnings have risen to about $8 a share from $6 over the past few weeks. “Rising estimates drove Tesla to the moon in 2020. They will drive Tesla to $1,000-plus in 2022,” Black says.</p><p><blockquote>“特斯拉正在上涨,因为盈利修正正在飙升,”未来基金主动交易所交易基金管理合伙人Gary Black指出。过去几周,分析师对特斯拉2022年每股收益的预期已从每股6美元升至约8美元。“不断上涨的估值推动特斯拉在2020年登上了月球。它们将推动特斯拉在2022年达到1,000美元以上,”Black说。</blockquote></p><p> Ives rates Tesla stock Buy, and Tesla is the largest position in Black’s fund.</p><p><blockquote>Ives将特斯拉股票评级为买入,特斯拉是Black基金的最大持仓。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, there are still Tesla bears out there who believe the stock is overvalued. The bottom third of analyst price targets averages about $425, less than half of Friday’s close.</p><p><blockquote>是的,仍然有看空特斯拉的人认为该股被高估了。分析师目标价的底部三分之一平均约为425美元,不到周五收盘价的一半。</blockquote></p><p> Bears expect the sky-high valuation to give investors pause eventually. Stocks don’t usually fall just because investors, collectively, wake up one morning and feel differently about valuation. Something has to happen. The overall market could tumble, or the business could trip up. Analysts expect Tesla deliveries to grow to 1.3 million units in 2022 from about 890,000 units in 2021. Any hiccup to growth would be a negative catalyst for shares.</p><p><blockquote>看空者预计天价估值最终会让投资者犹豫不决。股票通常不会因为投资者集体某天早上醒来对估值有不同的感觉而下跌。总得有事发生。整体市场可能会暴跌,或者企业可能会陷入困境。分析师预计,特斯拉的交付量将从2021年的约89万辆增长到2022年的130万辆。增长的任何问题都将成为股市的负面催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> Whether the stock rises or falls in the short run is anyone’s guess. For now, though, the momentum belongs to Tesla bulls.</p><p><blockquote>该股短期内是上涨还是下跌,谁也说不准。不过,就目前而言,势头属于特斯拉多头。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-record-high-51634913773?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-record-high-51634913773?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166213725","content_text":"Tesla stock hit a new all-time high in Friday trading, and closed at a record. The stock’s recent run has been incredible. How high can it go?\nTesla (ticker: TSLA) stock closed at $909.68, up about 1.8%. The S&P 500 dropped about 0.1%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added about 0.2%.\nShares of the electric-vehicle giant have been boosted by strong deliveries and earnings. Shares also got a boost Friday from a credit upgrade at S&P. Tesla debt is now BB+ rated, one notch below investment grade.\nTesla stock’s new 52-week intraday high is $910 on the nose. The old high-water mark of $900.40 was set on Jan. 25, according to Dow Jones Market Data. On Thursday, Tesla closed at a record for the first time since Jan. 26.\nShares are up about 40% over the past three months, pushing the market cap to roughly $910 billion. (Tesla has about 1 billion shares outstanding, making the math easy.)\nBulls, naturally, see more gains ahead. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives raised his bull-case Tesla stock price target to $1,500 from $1,300 after the company reported better-than-expected earnings on Wednesday.\n“Tesla is rising because earnings revisions are soaring,” points out Gary Black, managing partner of the Future Fund Active exchange-traded fund. Analyst estimates for Tesla’s 2022 earnings have risen to about $8 a share from $6 over the past few weeks. “Rising estimates drove Tesla to the moon in 2020. They will drive Tesla to $1,000-plus in 2022,” Black says.\nIves rates Tesla stock Buy, and Tesla is the largest position in Black’s fund.\nYes, there are still Tesla bears out there who believe the stock is overvalued. The bottom third of analyst price targets averages about $425, less than half of Friday’s close.\nBears expect the sky-high valuation to give investors pause eventually. Stocks don’t usually fall just because investors, collectively, wake up one morning and feel differently about valuation. Something has to happen. The overall market could tumble, or the business could trip up. Analysts expect Tesla deliveries to grow to 1.3 million units in 2022 from about 890,000 units in 2021. Any hiccup to growth would be a negative catalyst for shares.\nWhether the stock rises or falls in the short run is anyone’s guess. For now, though, the momentum belongs to Tesla bulls.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2976,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853875132,"gmtCreate":1634794247738,"gmtModify":1634794247866,"author":{"id":"3584845105860173","authorId":"3584845105860173","name":"Shawnn_13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584845105860173","idStr":"3584845105860173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like plz","listText":"Like plz","text":"Like plz","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853875132","repostId":"2176848748","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2675,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":827880246,"gmtCreate":1634442400288,"gmtModify":1634442400377,"author":{"id":"3584845105860173","authorId":"3584845105860173","name":"Shawnn_13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584845105860173","idStr":"3584845105860173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like plz","listText":"like plz","text":"like plz","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/827880246","repostId":"2175146556","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2534,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824918872,"gmtCreate":1634268847648,"gmtModify":1634274407385,"author":{"id":"3584845105860173","authorId":"3584845105860173","name":"Shawnn_13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584845105860173","idStr":"3584845105860173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like plz","listText":"like plz","text":"like plz","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824918872","repostId":"1129314610","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129314610","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634253682,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129314610?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-15 07:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 surges, biggest daily percentage rise since March on earnings, data<blockquote>标普500股价飙升,盈利和数据创3月份以来最大单日百分比涨幅</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129314610","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 jumped on Thursday, its biggest daily percentage advance since earl","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 jumped on Thursday, its biggest daily percentage advance since early March, as companies including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">UnitedHealth</a> climbed following strong results, while data on the labor market and inflation soothed fears over the outlook for higher rates.</p><p><blockquote>纽约(路透社)-标普500周四跳涨,创3月初以来最大单日百分比涨幅,包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">联合健康</a>在强劲的业绩后攀升,而劳动力市场和通胀数据缓解了对加息前景的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> The technology sector jumped 2.3%, giving the S&P 500 its biggest boost, with shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc rising.</p><p><blockquote>科技板块上涨2.3%,给标普500带来最大提振,股价为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>公司和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>公司崛起。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a>, $Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$ and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> also gained after they topped quarterly earnings estimates. The rebounding economy allowed them to release more cash they had set aside for pandemic losses, while sizzling deals, equity financing and trading added to profits. The S&P bank index jumped 1.5%.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗集团</a>,$美国银行(BAC-N)$和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>在超出季度盈利预期后也有所上涨。经济的反弹使他们能够释放更多为疫情损失预留的现金,而火热的交易、股权融资和交易增加了利润。标准普尔银行指数上涨1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Also, UnitedHealth Group Inc climbed 4.2% after the health insurer reported results and raised its full-year adjusted profit forecast on strength from its Optum unit that manages drug benefits.</p><p><blockquote>此外,联合健康集团(UnitedHealth Group Inc)股价上涨4.2%,此前该健康保险公司公布了业绩,并因其管理药品福利的Optum部门的实力而上调了全年调整后利润预测。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to optimism, data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits last week fell close to a 19-month low, and a separate report showed producer prices eased in September.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示,上周美国新申请失业救济人数降至接近19个月低点,另一份报告显示,9月份生产者价格有所放缓,这增加了乐观情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Data from recent inflation reports suggested COVID-driven price increases may have peaked. Still, Federal Reserve policymakers remain divided over inflation and what to do about it.</p><p><blockquote>最近通胀报告的数据表明,新冠疫情推动的价格上涨可能已经见顶。尽管如此,美联储政策制定者在通胀以及如何应对通胀问题上仍存在分歧。</blockquote></p><p> “Some of the things that worried the market in September, and even last week, as far as the inflation aspect and higher interest rates and the Delta variant, maybe have lessened,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz & Associates Inc., an investment advisory firm, based in Toledo, Ohio.</p><p><blockquote>Alan B.Lancz&Associates Inc.总裁Alan Lancz表示:“9月份甚至上周令市场担忧的一些事情,就通胀、利率上升和德尔塔变异毒株而言,可能已经有所缓解。”</blockquote></p><p> “Not that it’s all over, but on a temporary scale at least, you can make a case for it trending in the right direction.”</p><p><blockquote>“并不是说一切都结束了,但至少在暂时的范围内,你可以证明它正朝着正确的方向发展。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 534.75 points, or 1.56%, to 34,912.56, the S&P 500 gained 74.46 points, or 1.71%, to 4,438.26 and the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite added 251.8 points, or 1.73%, to 14,823.43.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨534.75点,涨幅1.56%,至34,912.56点;标普500上涨74.46点,涨幅1.71%,至4,438.26点;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>综合指数上涨251.8点,或1.73%,至14,823.43点。</blockquote></p><p> While the S&P 500 registered its biggest daily percentage gain since March 5, the Nasdaq notched its biggest since May 20 and the Dow its biggest since July 20.</p><p><blockquote>虽然标普500创下3月5日以来最大单日百分比涨幅,但纳斯达克创下5月20日以来最大涨幅,道琼斯指数创下7月20日以来最大涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Gains were broad-based, with all but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> S&P 500 sector rising more than 1%.</p><p><blockquote>收益基础广泛,除了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>标普500板块涨超1%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Moderna Inc ended up 3.2% after a panel of expert advisers to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration voted to recommend booster shots of its COVID-19 vaccine for Americans aged 65 and older and those at high risk of severe illness.</p><p><blockquote>美国专家顾问小组表示,Moderna Inc.的股价最终上涨3.2%。美国食品药品监督管理局投票建议为65岁及以上的美国人和患有严重疾病的高风险人群注射新冠肺炎疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a> Inc jumped 7.4% after the drugstore chain reported fourth-quarter revenue and adjusted profit above estimates and forecast growth of 11% to 13% in the long term.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">沃尔格林靴子联盟</a>Inc股价上涨7.4%,此前这家连锁药店公布第四季度营收和调整后利润高于预期,并预测长期增长率为11%至13%。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. companies are expected to report strong profit growth for the third quarter, but investors have been keen to hear what they say about rising costs, labor shortages and supply problems.</p><p><blockquote>预计美国企业将公布第三季度强劲的利润增长,但投资者一直渴望听到他们对成本上升、劳动力短缺和供应问题的看法。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.58-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.97-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为3.58比1;在纳斯达克,1.97比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 32 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 46 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下32个52周新高,无新低;纳斯达克综合指数录得82个新高和46个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.26 billion shares, compared with the 10.8 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为92.6亿股,而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为108亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 surges, biggest daily percentage rise since March on earnings, data<blockquote>标普500股价飙升,盈利和数据创3月份以来最大单日百分比涨幅</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 surges, biggest daily percentage rise since March on earnings, data<blockquote>标普500股价飙升,盈利和数据创3月份以来最大单日百分比涨幅</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-15 07:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 jumped on Thursday, its biggest daily percentage advance since early March, as companies including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">UnitedHealth</a> climbed following strong results, while data on the labor market and inflation soothed fears over the outlook for higher rates.</p><p><blockquote>纽约(路透社)-标普500周四跳涨,创3月初以来最大单日百分比涨幅,包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">联合健康</a>在强劲的业绩后攀升,而劳动力市场和通胀数据缓解了对加息前景的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> The technology sector jumped 2.3%, giving the S&P 500 its biggest boost, with shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc rising.</p><p><blockquote>科技板块上涨2.3%,给标普500带来最大提振,股价为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>公司和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>公司崛起。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a>, $Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$ and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> also gained after they topped quarterly earnings estimates. The rebounding economy allowed them to release more cash they had set aside for pandemic losses, while sizzling deals, equity financing and trading added to profits. The S&P bank index jumped 1.5%.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗集团</a>,$美国银行(BAC-N)$和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>在超出季度盈利预期后也有所上涨。经济的反弹使他们能够释放更多为疫情损失预留的现金,而火热的交易、股权融资和交易增加了利润。标准普尔银行指数上涨1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Also, UnitedHealth Group Inc climbed 4.2% after the health insurer reported results and raised its full-year adjusted profit forecast on strength from its Optum unit that manages drug benefits.</p><p><blockquote>此外,联合健康集团(UnitedHealth Group Inc)股价上涨4.2%,此前该健康保险公司公布了业绩,并因其管理药品福利的Optum部门的实力而上调了全年调整后利润预测。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to optimism, data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits last week fell close to a 19-month low, and a separate report showed producer prices eased in September.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示,上周美国新申请失业救济人数降至接近19个月低点,另一份报告显示,9月份生产者价格有所放缓,这增加了乐观情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Data from recent inflation reports suggested COVID-driven price increases may have peaked. Still, Federal Reserve policymakers remain divided over inflation and what to do about it.</p><p><blockquote>最近通胀报告的数据表明,新冠疫情推动的价格上涨可能已经见顶。尽管如此,美联储政策制定者在通胀以及如何应对通胀问题上仍存在分歧。</blockquote></p><p> “Some of the things that worried the market in September, and even last week, as far as the inflation aspect and higher interest rates and the Delta variant, maybe have lessened,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz & Associates Inc., an investment advisory firm, based in Toledo, Ohio.</p><p><blockquote>Alan B.Lancz&Associates Inc.总裁Alan Lancz表示:“9月份甚至上周令市场担忧的一些事情,就通胀、利率上升和德尔塔变异毒株而言,可能已经有所缓解。”</blockquote></p><p> “Not that it’s all over, but on a temporary scale at least, you can make a case for it trending in the right direction.”</p><p><blockquote>“并不是说一切都结束了,但至少在暂时的范围内,你可以证明它正朝着正确的方向发展。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 534.75 points, or 1.56%, to 34,912.56, the S&P 500 gained 74.46 points, or 1.71%, to 4,438.26 and the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite added 251.8 points, or 1.73%, to 14,823.43.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨534.75点,涨幅1.56%,至34,912.56点;标普500上涨74.46点,涨幅1.71%,至4,438.26点;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>综合指数上涨251.8点,或1.73%,至14,823.43点。</blockquote></p><p> While the S&P 500 registered its biggest daily percentage gain since March 5, the Nasdaq notched its biggest since May 20 and the Dow its biggest since July 20.</p><p><blockquote>虽然标普500创下3月5日以来最大单日百分比涨幅,但纳斯达克创下5月20日以来最大涨幅,道琼斯指数创下7月20日以来最大涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Gains were broad-based, with all but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> S&P 500 sector rising more than 1%.</p><p><blockquote>收益基础广泛,除了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>标普500板块涨超1%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Moderna Inc ended up 3.2% after a panel of expert advisers to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration voted to recommend booster shots of its COVID-19 vaccine for Americans aged 65 and older and those at high risk of severe illness.</p><p><blockquote>美国专家顾问小组表示,Moderna Inc.的股价最终上涨3.2%。美国食品药品监督管理局投票建议为65岁及以上的美国人和患有严重疾病的高风险人群注射新冠肺炎疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a> Inc jumped 7.4% after the drugstore chain reported fourth-quarter revenue and adjusted profit above estimates and forecast growth of 11% to 13% in the long term.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">沃尔格林靴子联盟</a>Inc股价上涨7.4%,此前这家连锁药店公布第四季度营收和调整后利润高于预期,并预测长期增长率为11%至13%。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. companies are expected to report strong profit growth for the third quarter, but investors have been keen to hear what they say about rising costs, labor shortages and supply problems.</p><p><blockquote>预计美国企业将公布第三季度强劲的利润增长,但投资者一直渴望听到他们对成本上升、劳动力短缺和供应问题的看法。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.58-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.97-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为3.58比1;在纳斯达克,1.97比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 32 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 46 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下32个52周新高,无新低;纳斯达克综合指数录得82个新高和46个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.26 billion shares, compared with the 10.8 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为92.6亿股,而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为108亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-surges-biggest-daily-percentage-rise-since-march-on-earnings-data-idUSL1N2RA2WC\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-surges-biggest-daily-percentage-rise-since-march-on-earnings-data-idUSL1N2RA2WC","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129314610","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 jumped on Thursday, its biggest daily percentage advance since early March, as companies including Morgan Stanley and UnitedHealth climbed following strong results, while data on the labor market and inflation soothed fears over the outlook for higher rates.\nThe technology sector jumped 2.3%, giving the S&P 500 its biggest boost, with shares of Microsoft Corp and Apple Inc rising.\nShares of Citigroup, $Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$ and Morgan Stanley also gained after they topped quarterly earnings estimates. The rebounding economy allowed them to release more cash they had set aside for pandemic losses, while sizzling deals, equity financing and trading added to profits. The S&P bank index jumped 1.5%.\nAlso, UnitedHealth Group Inc climbed 4.2% after the health insurer reported results and raised its full-year adjusted profit forecast on strength from its Optum unit that manages drug benefits.\nAdding to optimism, data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits last week fell close to a 19-month low, and a separate report showed producer prices eased in September.\nData from recent inflation reports suggested COVID-driven price increases may have peaked. Still, Federal Reserve policymakers remain divided over inflation and what to do about it.\n“Some of the things that worried the market in September, and even last week, as far as the inflation aspect and higher interest rates and the Delta variant, maybe have lessened,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz & Associates Inc., an investment advisory firm, based in Toledo, Ohio.\n“Not that it’s all over, but on a temporary scale at least, you can make a case for it trending in the right direction.”\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 534.75 points, or 1.56%, to 34,912.56, the S&P 500 gained 74.46 points, or 1.71%, to 4,438.26 and the Nasdaq Composite added 251.8 points, or 1.73%, to 14,823.43.\nWhile the S&P 500 registered its biggest daily percentage gain since March 5, the Nasdaq notched its biggest since May 20 and the Dow its biggest since July 20.\nGains were broad-based, with all but one S&P 500 sector rising more than 1%.\nShares of Moderna Inc ended up 3.2% after a panel of expert advisers to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration voted to recommend booster shots of its COVID-19 vaccine for Americans aged 65 and older and those at high risk of severe illness.\nWalgreens Boots Alliance Inc jumped 7.4% after the drugstore chain reported fourth-quarter revenue and adjusted profit above estimates and forecast growth of 11% to 13% in the long term.\nU.S. companies are expected to report strong profit growth for the third quarter, but investors have been keen to hear what they say about rising costs, labor shortages and supply problems.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.58-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.97-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 32 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 46 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.26 billion shares, compared with the 10.8 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"SDS":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"IVV":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"SH":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3116,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":822327472,"gmtCreate":1634093770765,"gmtModify":1634093770884,"author":{"id":"3584845105860173","authorId":"3584845105860173","name":"Shawnn_13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584845105860173","idStr":"3584845105860173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like plz ","listText":"like plz ","text":"like plz","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822327472","repostId":"1189203328","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189203328","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634087217,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1189203328?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-13 09:06","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Hong Kong stock exchange cancels morning trading session due to typhoon<blockquote>港交所因台风取消早盘交易时段</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189203328","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Hong Kong stock exchange cancels morning trading session due to typhoon.\nStorm warning signal No. 8,","content":"<p>Hong Kong stock exchange cancels morning trading session due to typhoon.</p><p><blockquote>港交所因台风取消早盘交易时段。</blockquote></p><p> Storm warning signal No. 8, the third-highest on its scale, will remain in force before noon, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. Kompasu, which was about 370 kilometers (230 miles) south-southwest of the city at 7 a.m. local time, is forecast to move west at about 25 kilometers an hour toward China’s Hainan Island, it said on its website.</p><p><blockquote>据香港天文台称,八号风暴警告信号是其级别的第三高信号,将在中午之前继续生效。该公司在其网站上表示,当地时间早上7点,康帕苏位于该市西南偏南约370公里(230英里)处,预计将以每小时约25公里的速度向西移动,向中国海南岛移动。</blockquote></p><p> It is likely that securities trading, including the Hong Kong-China stock connect and derivatives market, will be affected for the whole of Wednesday. If the weather warning isn’t lowered before noon, the entire day’s trading will be abandoned.</p><p><blockquote>很可能整个周三证券交易,包括港股通和衍生品市场都将受到影响。如果天气警告在中午之前没有降低,全天的交易将被放弃。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hong Kong stock exchange cancels morning trading session due to typhoon<blockquote>港交所因台风取消早盘交易时段</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHong Kong stock exchange cancels morning trading session due to typhoon<blockquote>港交所因台风取消早盘交易时段</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-13 09:06</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Hong Kong stock exchange cancels morning trading session due to typhoon.</p><p><blockquote>港交所因台风取消早盘交易时段。</blockquote></p><p> Storm warning signal No. 8, the third-highest on its scale, will remain in force before noon, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. Kompasu, which was about 370 kilometers (230 miles) south-southwest of the city at 7 a.m. local time, is forecast to move west at about 25 kilometers an hour toward China’s Hainan Island, it said on its website.</p><p><blockquote>据香港天文台称,八号风暴警告信号是其级别的第三高信号,将在中午之前继续生效。该公司在其网站上表示,当地时间早上7点,康帕苏位于该市西南偏南约370公里(230英里)处,预计将以每小时约25公里的速度向西移动,向中国海南岛移动。</blockquote></p><p> It is likely that securities trading, including the Hong Kong-China stock connect and derivatives market, will be affected for the whole of Wednesday. If the weather warning isn’t lowered before noon, the entire day’s trading will be abandoned.</p><p><blockquote>很可能整个周三证券交易,包括港股通和衍生品市场都将受到影响。如果天气警告在中午之前没有降低,全天的交易将被放弃。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HSI":"恒生指数","HSCCI":"红筹指数","HSTECH":"恒生科技指数","HSCEI":"国企指数"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189203328","content_text":"Hong Kong stock exchange cancels morning trading session due to typhoon.\nStorm warning signal No. 8, the third-highest on its scale, will remain in force before noon, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. Kompasu, which was about 370 kilometers (230 miles) south-southwest of the city at 7 a.m. local time, is forecast to move west at about 25 kilometers an hour toward China’s Hainan Island, it said on its website.\nIt is likely that securities trading, including the Hong Kong-China stock connect and derivatives market, will be affected for the whole of Wednesday. If the weather warning isn’t lowered before noon, the entire day’s trading will be abandoned.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HSI":0.9,"HSTECH":0.9,"HSCEI":0.9,"HSCCI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2160,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828529164,"gmtCreate":1633926191858,"gmtModify":1633926191858,"author":{"id":"3584845105860173","authorId":"3584845105860173","name":"Shawnn_13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584845105860173","idStr":"3584845105860173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like plz","listText":"like plz","text":"like plz","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828529164","repostId":"2174971913","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2031,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821252055,"gmtCreate":1633750757374,"gmtModify":1633750757468,"author":{"id":"3584845105860173","authorId":"3584845105860173","name":"Shawnn_13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584845105860173","idStr":"3584845105860173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821252055","repostId":"1167388174","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3371,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821002037,"gmtCreate":1633669602422,"gmtModify":1633669602510,"author":{"id":"3584845105860173","authorId":"3584845105860173","name":"Shawnn_13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584845105860173","idStr":"3584845105860173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"lol","listText":"lol","text":"lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821002037","repostId":"1128736762","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128736762","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633662653,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1128736762?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-08 11:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Favorable Outlook For GM<blockquote>通用汽车前景良好</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128736762","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nGM has struggled with the transition to EVs and other technology-forward efforts.\nThe Wall ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>GM has struggled with the transition to EVs and other technology-forward efforts.</li> <li>The Wall Street consensus is that GM will succeed sooner rather than later.</li> <li>The market-implied outlook (derived from options prices) has shifted to a substantially more positive near-term view.</li> <li>I see GM as having a favorable risk-return profile.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/139e056979d4a81394ff8a2299dd40df\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>JHVEPhoto/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>通用汽车一直在努力向电动汽车和其他技术前沿的过渡。</li><li>华尔街的共识是通用汽车迟早会成功。</li><li>市场隐含的前景(来自期权价格)已经转向更加积极的近期观点。</li><li>我认为通用汽车具有良好的风险回报状况。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>JHVEPhoto/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> General Motors(NYSE:GM)seems to be having a moment, with the share price rising 4.5% today, following an inspirational presentation to analysts. The company outlined its plan to be a leader in EVs and a vision for building a million self-driving cars by 2030. For GM, as with Ford(NYSE:F), the company recognizes that earnings growth and share valuation depend on aggressive technology-driven development. If GM can convince the market, and then demonstrate, that there is a real roadmap to higher-margin EVs and self-driving vehicles, the shares should demand a considerably higher price. After all, GM’s forward P/E is 8.8, as compared to TSLA’s 144.8.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车(NYSE:GM)似乎迎来了一个时刻,在向分析师进行了鼓舞人心的演讲后,股价今天上涨了4.5%。该公司概述了成为电动汽车领导者的计划以及到2030年生产100万辆自动驾驶汽车的愿景。对于通用汽车来说,与福特(纽约证券交易所股票代码:F)一样,该公司认识到盈利增长和股票估值取决于积极的技术驱动发展。如果通用汽车能够说服市场,然后证明有一个真正的高利润电动汽车和自动驾驶汽车的路线图,那么该股的价格应该会高得多。毕竟,通用汽车的预期市盈率为8.8,而特斯拉的预期市盈率为144.8。</blockquote></p><p> Intriguingly, the Wall Street analysts have already priced an outlook for GM’s transformation. The Wall Street analyst consensus price target for GM has surged to $71.3, as compared to $46.6 in February of 2020, right before COVID hit and $51 at the end of 2020. At the current share price of $56.30, the Wall Street consensus (as calculated by Seeking Alpha) is for 12-month price appreciation of 26.7%.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是,华尔街分析师已经对通用汽车转型的前景进行了定价。华尔街分析师对通用汽车的一致目标价已飙升至71.3美元,而2020年2月新冠疫情爆发前为46.6美元,2020年底为51美元。按目前56.30美元的股价计算,华尔街的共识(由Seeking Alpha计算)是12个月内股价上涨26.7%。</blockquote></p><p> When I last analyzed GM on March 7, 2021, seven months ago, the Wall Street consensus outlook was already bullish, with a 12-month price target that was about 20% above the share price at that time. Of the 19 analysts included in Seeking Alpha’s consensus outlook, 17 were bullish and 2 were neutral. I assigned GM a neutral rating at that time, largely because the outlook implied by options prices, in contrast to the Wall Street consensus, was bearish. The options market to early 2022 was indicating elevated probabilities of price declines. I compromised between the bullish Wall Street and the bearish options market view with a neutral rating. Since my post was published, GM has gained 4% (including the big rise today), as compared to 15.1% in price appreciation for the S&P 500.</p><p><blockquote>当我上次在7个月前的2021年3月7日分析通用汽车时,华尔街的普遍前景已经看涨,12个月目标价比当时的股价高出约20%。在Seeking Alpha一致展望中的19名分析师中,17名分析师看涨,2名分析师中性。我当时给通用汽车的评级是中性的,主要是因为与华尔街的共识相反,期权价格所暗示的前景是看跌的。截至2022年初的期权市场表明价格下跌的可能性很高。我在看涨华尔街和看跌期权市场观点之间做出了妥协,给予了中性评级。自从我的文章发表以来,通用汽车已经上涨了4%(包括今天的大幅上涨),而标普500的价格上涨了15.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c074188d666f33a0849eb28c23242522\" tg-width=\"603\" tg-height=\"355\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Performance of GM vs. the S&P 500 over the past 7 months (Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>通用汽车与标普500过去7个月的表现(来源:Seeking Alpha)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Using options prices to build a probabilistic price return outlook is conceptually straightforward. The price of an option represents the market’s consensus estimate for the probability that the price of the underlying stock (GM, in this case) will rise above (call option) or fall below (put option) a specific level (the strike price) between now and when the option expires. By analyzing calls and puts at a range of strike prices and a common expiration date, it is possible to calculate a probabilistic outlook for the underlying security that reconciles the options prices. This is referred to as the market-implied outlook. For readers seeking more information on this approach, I have written an overview post, including links to the relevant financial literature.</p><p><blockquote>使用期权价格来构建概率价格回报前景在概念上很简单。期权价格代表市场对标的股票(在本例中为通用汽车)价格高于(看涨期权期权)或低于(看跌期权)特定水平(执行价格)的概率的一致估计。)从现在到期权到期。通过分析一系列执行价格和共同到期日的评级和看跌期权,可以计算出与期权价格相一致的基础证券的概率前景。这被称为市场隐含前景。对于寻求更多关于这种方法的信息的读者,我写了一篇概述文章,包括相关金融文献的链接。</blockquote></p><p> It is clear today, as it was for my last analysis, that GM is relying on the ability to compete with EVs and autonomous vehicles. The analysts are valuing the company assuming that GM will successfully make this transition. Even if one agrees, the challenge is in the timing. Since March, GM has suffered an expensive and embarrassing setback with the massive recall of Chevy electric vehicles. Even if one buys into management’s vision, one imagines that some car buyers will be reluctant to buy a GM EV after seeing pictures of charred Chevy Bolts.</p><p><blockquote>今天很明显,正如我上次的分析一样,通用汽车依靠的是与电动汽车和自动驾驶汽车竞争的能力。分析师对该公司进行估值时假设通用汽车将成功实现这一转型。即使有人同意,挑战也在于时机。自3月份以来,通用汽车因大规模召回雪佛兰电动汽车而遭受了代价高昂且令人尴尬的挫折。即使人们相信管理层的愿景,人们也会想象一些购车者在看到烧焦的雪佛兰Bolt的照片后不愿意购买通用汽车电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> GM is currently 11.9% below its 2021 high close of $63.92, set on June 8. With 7 months since my last analysis, and with the market and the analysts responding favorably to GM’s vision, I am revisiting my rating on GM.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车目前较6月8日创下的2021年收盘价63.92美元低11.9%。距离我上次分析已经过去7个月了,随着市场和分析师对通用汽车的愿景反应良好,我正在重新审视我对通用汽车的评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wall Street Consensus Outlook for GM</b></p><p><blockquote><b>华尔街对通用汽车的共识前景</b></blockquote></p><p> ETrade’s calculation of the Wall Street consensus outlook is calculated using the views of 13 ranked analysts who have issued ratings and price targets for GM within the past 90 days. The consensus rating is bullish and the consensus 12-month price target is 27.5% above the current share price. There is a fairly high level of dispersion in the price targets, which reduces confidence in the consensus value. Of the 13 analysts, 12 give GM a buy rating and 1 assigns a neutral rating.</p><p><blockquote>ETrade对华尔街共识前景的计算是根据过去90天内发布通用汽车评级和价格目标的13位排名分析师的观点计算得出的。共识评级为看涨,共识12个月目标价比当前股价高出27.5%。价格目标存在相当高的离散度,这降低了对共识价值的信心。在13名分析师中,12名给予通用汽车买入评级,1名给予中性评级。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b957237cbf2644c75e372831ed0714\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"838\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Wall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for GM (Source: ETrade)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>华尔街分析师对通用汽车的一致评级和12个月目标价(来源:ETrade)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Seeking Alpha’s version of the Wall Street consensus outlook is calculated using ratings and prices targets from 21 analysts. The consensus rating is bullish and the consensus price target is 26.7% above the current share price. Only 1 analyst is neutral and the other 20 are bullish.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha版本的华尔街共识前景是使用21位分析师的评级和价格目标计算得出的。一致评级为看涨,一致目标价较当前股价高出26.7%。只有1名分析师持中性态度,其他20名分析师持看涨态度。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dbd40949c8ccc5a730e0aa07c04e15a8\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"645\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Wall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for GM (Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>华尔街分析师对通用汽车的一致评级和12个月目标价(来源:Seeking Alpha)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The good news for GM shareholders is that the analysts are almost uniformly bullish on GM and the average 12-month price target is about 27% above the current level. There are somewhat cautionary considerations, however. First, the spread among the price targets is high, which means that there is not a lot of confidence in the outlook. Second, the timing of a share price recovery is hard to predict. The analysts were bullish back in March, as well.</p><p><blockquote>对于通用汽车股东来说,好消息是分析师几乎一致看好通用汽车,12个月平均目标价比当前水平高出约27%。然而,也有一些谨慎的考虑。首先,价格目标之间的利差很高,这意味着对前景没有太大信心。其次,股价回升的时机很难预测。分析师在三月份也持乐观态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market-Implied Outlook for GM</b></p><p><blockquote><b>通用汽车的市场隐含前景</b></blockquote></p><p> I have analyzed the prices of call and put options at a range of strike prices, all expiring on January 21, 2022 to generate the market-implied outlook for the next 3.5 months (from today until the expiration date). In my previous analysis, I also calculated a market-implied outlook using options with this expiration date. I have also generated the market-implied outlook to mid 2022, a period of 8.3 months, by analyzing options that expire on June 21, 2022.</p><p><blockquote>我分析了一系列执行价格的看涨期权和看跌期权的价格,这些期权都将于2022年1月21日到期,以生成未来3.5个月(从今天到到期日)的市场隐含前景。在我之前的分析中,我还使用具有此到期日的期权计算了市场隐含前景。我还通过分析2022年6月21日到期的期权,生成了2022年中期(8.3个月)的市场隐含前景。</blockquote></p><p> The standard presentation of the market-implied outlook is a probability distribution of price return, with probability on the vertical axis and return on the horizontal.</p><p><blockquote>市场隐含前景的标准表示是价格回报的概率分布,概率在纵轴,回报在横轴。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd025ceee857934bb5992eb6c234bd6d\" tg-width=\"618\" tg-height=\"356\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Market-implied price return probabilities for GM for the 3.5-month period from today until January 21, 2022 (Source: Author’s calculations using options quotes from ETrade)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>从今天到2022年1月21日的3.5个月期间通用汽车的市场隐含价格回报概率(来源:作者使用ETrade期权报价进行计算)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The market-implied outlook for GM for the 3.5-month period between now and January 21, 2022 is generally symmetric, although the peak probability is slightly tilted towards negative returns, corresponding to a price return of -1.5%. The annualized volatility derived from this distribution is 35.7%, quite high for an individual stock.</p><p><blockquote>从现在到2022年1月21日的3.5个月期间,通用汽车的市场隐含前景总体上是对称的,尽管峰值概率略有向负回报倾斜,对应的价格回报为-1.5%。这种分布得出的年化波动率为35.7%,对于个股来说相当高。</blockquote></p><p> To make it easier to directly compare the probabilities of positive and negative returns, I rotate the negative return side of the distribution about the vertical axis (see chart below).</p><p><blockquote>为了更容易直接比较正回报和负回报的概率,我围绕垂直轴旋转分布的负回报侧(见下图)。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc3728611fe98a00c0edfa693bae10b4\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"356\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Market-implied price return probabilities for GM for the 3.5-month period from today until January 21, 2022. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis (Source: author’s calculations using options quotes from ETrade)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>通用汽车从今天到2022年1月21日3.5个月期间的市场隐含价格回报概率。分布的负回报侧已绕垂直轴旋转(来源:作者使用ETrade的期权报价进行计算)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This view shows that the probabilities of positive and negative returns are almost identical for most outcomes (the solid blue line and the dashed red line are very close to one another). The exception is for small-magnitude price returns (+/- 5%).</p><p><blockquote>这种观点表明,对于大多数结果,正回报和负回报的概率几乎相同(蓝色实线和红色虚线彼此非常接近)。例外情况是小规模价格回报(+/-5%)。</blockquote></p><p> Theory predicts that the market-implied outlook will tend to be negatively biased because risk-averse investors pay more than fair value for put options to limit losses in long positions. In the financial literature, the market-implied outlook is often referred to as being risk-neutral. What this means is that the market-implied outlook would be unbiased if investors, in aggregate, were risk-neutral. Investors, collectively, are risk-averse - demanding to be paid a premium to take on risk (the equity risk premium). For this reason, a market-implied outlook with closely matching probabilities between positive and negative returns, as we see here, is actually a slightly bullish view.</p><p><blockquote>理论预测,市场隐含的前景将倾向于负面偏差,因为规避风险的投资者为看跌期权支付的价格高于公允价值,以限制多头头寸的损失。在金融文献中,市场隐含的前景通常被称为风险中性的。这意味着,如果投资者总体上风险中性,市场隐含的前景将是无偏见的。总的来说,投资者是规避风险的——要求获得承担风险的溢价(股票风险溢价)。因此,正如我们在这里看到的,正回报和负回报之间概率密切匹配的市场隐含前景实际上是一种稍微看涨的观点。</blockquote></p><p> The market-implied outlook to the middle of 2022 (8.3 months), calculated using the prices of call and put options that expire on June 17, 2022, exhibits more of a negative tilt. Qualitative consideration of the potential for a negative bias leads me to characterize this outlook as neutral, perhaps with a slight bearish tilt. The annualized volatility derived from this distribution is 36.5%.</p><p><blockquote>使用2022年6月17日到期的看涨期权和看跌期权价格计算的2022年中期(8.3个月)的市场隐含前景显示出更多的负面倾斜。对潜在负面偏见的定性考虑使我将这种前景描述为中性,也许有轻微的看跌倾向。由此分布得出的年化波动率为36.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7731002b4fcd2fbea3e50f32512c507\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"356\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Market-implied price return probabilities for GM for the 8.3-month period from today until June 17, 2022. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis (Source: author’s calculations using options quotes from ETrade)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>通用汽车从今天到2022年6月17日的8.3个月期间的市场隐含价格回报概率。分布的负回报侧已绕垂直轴旋转(来源:作者使用ETrade的期权报价进行计算)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Contrast the current market-implied outlooks for GM with the 10.6-month outlook to January 2022 from my previous analysis in March, which was substantially bearish. In this outlook, the probabilities of negative price returns were much higher relative to those for positive returns. The current market-implied outlook, slightly bullish to early 2022 and neutral to mid-2022, is much more favorable than the outlook from my earlier analysis.</p><p><blockquote>将通用汽车当前的市场隐含前景与我之前3月份分析中截至2022年1月的10.6个月前景进行对比,该分析非常悲观。在这种前景中,相对于正回报,负价格回报的概率要高得多。目前市场隐含的前景,2022年初略有看涨,2022年中期中性,比我之前分析的前景要有利得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> GM is at an important transition point in its history. The company needs to rapidly and convincingly shift away from traditional internal combustion vehicles and towards EVs and autonomous vehicles. The Wall Street analysts, as a group, are confident that GM can make strides in this direction and the analyst consensus has gotten more bullish through 2021. The Wall Street consensus rating is bullish, with about 27% expected 12-month price appreciation.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车正处于其历史上的一个重要转折点。该公司需要迅速、令人信服地从传统内燃机汽车转向电动汽车和自动驾驶汽车。华尔街分析师作为一个群体,相信通用汽车能够在这个方向上取得长足进步,并且分析师的共识在2021年变得更加乐观。华尔街一致评级为看涨,约27%的人预计12个月价格将上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The projected volatility for GM, calculated from the market-implied outlook, is about 36%. This is a fairly high level of volatility, but looks reasonable if we believe that the expected return is 27%. As a rule of thumb for a buy, I want to see expected return that is at or above ½ of the volatility.</p><p><blockquote>根据市场隐含前景计算,通用汽车的预计波动性约为36%。这是一个相当高的波动水平,但如果我们相信预期回报率为27%,那么看起来是合理的。作为买入的经验法则,我希望看到预期回报等于或高于波动率的1/2。</blockquote></p><p> Taking the analyst expected return at face value, GM easily surpasses this threshold. The market-implied outlook to early 2022 is slightly bullish, shifting to neutral by mid-2022. The market-implied outlook for GM has improved dramatically since March, when it was significantly bearish. I am changing my rating on GM from neutral to bullish.</p><p><blockquote>从分析师的预期回报率来看,通用汽车轻松超过了这一门槛。市场对2022年初的隐含前景略有看涨,到2022年中期将转向中性。自3月份以来,市场对通用汽车的隐含前景已显着改善,当时通用汽车的前景明显看跌。我将对通用汽车的评级从中性改为看涨。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Favorable Outlook For GM<blockquote>通用汽车前景良好</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFavorable Outlook For GM<blockquote>通用汽车前景良好</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-08 11:10</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>GM has struggled with the transition to EVs and other technology-forward efforts.</li> <li>The Wall Street consensus is that GM will succeed sooner rather than later.</li> <li>The market-implied outlook (derived from options prices) has shifted to a substantially more positive near-term view.</li> <li>I see GM as having a favorable risk-return profile.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/139e056979d4a81394ff8a2299dd40df\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>JHVEPhoto/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>通用汽车一直在努力向电动汽车和其他技术前沿的过渡。</li><li>华尔街的共识是通用汽车迟早会成功。</li><li>市场隐含的前景(来自期权价格)已经转向更加积极的近期观点。</li><li>我认为通用汽车具有良好的风险回报状况。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>JHVEPhoto/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> General Motors(NYSE:GM)seems to be having a moment, with the share price rising 4.5% today, following an inspirational presentation to analysts. The company outlined its plan to be a leader in EVs and a vision for building a million self-driving cars by 2030. For GM, as with Ford(NYSE:F), the company recognizes that earnings growth and share valuation depend on aggressive technology-driven development. If GM can convince the market, and then demonstrate, that there is a real roadmap to higher-margin EVs and self-driving vehicles, the shares should demand a considerably higher price. After all, GM’s forward P/E is 8.8, as compared to TSLA’s 144.8.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车(NYSE:GM)似乎迎来了一个时刻,在向分析师进行了鼓舞人心的演讲后,股价今天上涨了4.5%。该公司概述了成为电动汽车领导者的计划以及到2030年生产100万辆自动驾驶汽车的愿景。对于通用汽车来说,与福特(纽约证券交易所股票代码:F)一样,该公司认识到盈利增长和股票估值取决于积极的技术驱动发展。如果通用汽车能够说服市场,然后证明有一个真正的高利润电动汽车和自动驾驶汽车的路线图,那么该股的价格应该会高得多。毕竟,通用汽车的预期市盈率为8.8,而特斯拉的预期市盈率为144.8。</blockquote></p><p> Intriguingly, the Wall Street analysts have already priced an outlook for GM’s transformation. The Wall Street analyst consensus price target for GM has surged to $71.3, as compared to $46.6 in February of 2020, right before COVID hit and $51 at the end of 2020. At the current share price of $56.30, the Wall Street consensus (as calculated by Seeking Alpha) is for 12-month price appreciation of 26.7%.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是,华尔街分析师已经对通用汽车转型的前景进行了定价。华尔街分析师对通用汽车的一致目标价已飙升至71.3美元,而2020年2月新冠疫情爆发前为46.6美元,2020年底为51美元。按目前56.30美元的股价计算,华尔街的共识(由Seeking Alpha计算)是12个月内股价上涨26.7%。</blockquote></p><p> When I last analyzed GM on March 7, 2021, seven months ago, the Wall Street consensus outlook was already bullish, with a 12-month price target that was about 20% above the share price at that time. Of the 19 analysts included in Seeking Alpha’s consensus outlook, 17 were bullish and 2 were neutral. I assigned GM a neutral rating at that time, largely because the outlook implied by options prices, in contrast to the Wall Street consensus, was bearish. The options market to early 2022 was indicating elevated probabilities of price declines. I compromised between the bullish Wall Street and the bearish options market view with a neutral rating. Since my post was published, GM has gained 4% (including the big rise today), as compared to 15.1% in price appreciation for the S&P 500.</p><p><blockquote>当我上次在7个月前的2021年3月7日分析通用汽车时,华尔街的普遍前景已经看涨,12个月目标价比当时的股价高出约20%。在Seeking Alpha一致展望中的19名分析师中,17名分析师看涨,2名分析师中性。我当时给通用汽车的评级是中性的,主要是因为与华尔街的共识相反,期权价格所暗示的前景是看跌的。截至2022年初的期权市场表明价格下跌的可能性很高。我在看涨华尔街和看跌期权市场观点之间做出了妥协,给予了中性评级。自从我的文章发表以来,通用汽车已经上涨了4%(包括今天的大幅上涨),而标普500的价格上涨了15.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c074188d666f33a0849eb28c23242522\" tg-width=\"603\" tg-height=\"355\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Performance of GM vs. the S&P 500 over the past 7 months (Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>通用汽车与标普500过去7个月的表现(来源:Seeking Alpha)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Using options prices to build a probabilistic price return outlook is conceptually straightforward. The price of an option represents the market’s consensus estimate for the probability that the price of the underlying stock (GM, in this case) will rise above (call option) or fall below (put option) a specific level (the strike price) between now and when the option expires. By analyzing calls and puts at a range of strike prices and a common expiration date, it is possible to calculate a probabilistic outlook for the underlying security that reconciles the options prices. This is referred to as the market-implied outlook. For readers seeking more information on this approach, I have written an overview post, including links to the relevant financial literature.</p><p><blockquote>使用期权价格来构建概率价格回报前景在概念上很简单。期权价格代表市场对标的股票(在本例中为通用汽车)价格高于(看涨期权期权)或低于(看跌期权)特定水平(执行价格)的概率的一致估计。)从现在到期权到期。通过分析一系列执行价格和共同到期日的评级和看跌期权,可以计算出与期权价格相一致的基础证券的概率前景。这被称为市场隐含前景。对于寻求更多关于这种方法的信息的读者,我写了一篇概述文章,包括相关金融文献的链接。</blockquote></p><p> It is clear today, as it was for my last analysis, that GM is relying on the ability to compete with EVs and autonomous vehicles. The analysts are valuing the company assuming that GM will successfully make this transition. Even if one agrees, the challenge is in the timing. Since March, GM has suffered an expensive and embarrassing setback with the massive recall of Chevy electric vehicles. Even if one buys into management’s vision, one imagines that some car buyers will be reluctant to buy a GM EV after seeing pictures of charred Chevy Bolts.</p><p><blockquote>今天很明显,正如我上次的分析一样,通用汽车依靠的是与电动汽车和自动驾驶汽车竞争的能力。分析师对该公司进行估值时假设通用汽车将成功实现这一转型。即使有人同意,挑战也在于时机。自3月份以来,通用汽车因大规模召回雪佛兰电动汽车而遭受了代价高昂且令人尴尬的挫折。即使人们相信管理层的愿景,人们也会想象一些购车者在看到烧焦的雪佛兰Bolt的照片后不愿意购买通用汽车电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> GM is currently 11.9% below its 2021 high close of $63.92, set on June 8. With 7 months since my last analysis, and with the market and the analysts responding favorably to GM’s vision, I am revisiting my rating on GM.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车目前较6月8日创下的2021年收盘价63.92美元低11.9%。距离我上次分析已经过去7个月了,随着市场和分析师对通用汽车的愿景反应良好,我正在重新审视我对通用汽车的评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wall Street Consensus Outlook for GM</b></p><p><blockquote><b>华尔街对通用汽车的共识前景</b></blockquote></p><p> ETrade’s calculation of the Wall Street consensus outlook is calculated using the views of 13 ranked analysts who have issued ratings and price targets for GM within the past 90 days. The consensus rating is bullish and the consensus 12-month price target is 27.5% above the current share price. There is a fairly high level of dispersion in the price targets, which reduces confidence in the consensus value. Of the 13 analysts, 12 give GM a buy rating and 1 assigns a neutral rating.</p><p><blockquote>ETrade对华尔街共识前景的计算是根据过去90天内发布通用汽车评级和价格目标的13位排名分析师的观点计算得出的。共识评级为看涨,共识12个月目标价比当前股价高出27.5%。价格目标存在相当高的离散度,这降低了对共识价值的信心。在13名分析师中,12名给予通用汽车买入评级,1名给予中性评级。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b957237cbf2644c75e372831ed0714\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"838\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Wall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for GM (Source: ETrade)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>华尔街分析师对通用汽车的一致评级和12个月目标价(来源:ETrade)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Seeking Alpha’s version of the Wall Street consensus outlook is calculated using ratings and prices targets from 21 analysts. The consensus rating is bullish and the consensus price target is 26.7% above the current share price. Only 1 analyst is neutral and the other 20 are bullish.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha版本的华尔街共识前景是使用21位分析师的评级和价格目标计算得出的。一致评级为看涨,一致目标价较当前股价高出26.7%。只有1名分析师持中性态度,其他20名分析师持看涨态度。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dbd40949c8ccc5a730e0aa07c04e15a8\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"645\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Wall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for GM (Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>华尔街分析师对通用汽车的一致评级和12个月目标价(来源:Seeking Alpha)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The good news for GM shareholders is that the analysts are almost uniformly bullish on GM and the average 12-month price target is about 27% above the current level. There are somewhat cautionary considerations, however. First, the spread among the price targets is high, which means that there is not a lot of confidence in the outlook. Second, the timing of a share price recovery is hard to predict. The analysts were bullish back in March, as well.</p><p><blockquote>对于通用汽车股东来说,好消息是分析师几乎一致看好通用汽车,12个月平均目标价比当前水平高出约27%。然而,也有一些谨慎的考虑。首先,价格目标之间的利差很高,这意味着对前景没有太大信心。其次,股价回升的时机很难预测。分析师在三月份也持乐观态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market-Implied Outlook for GM</b></p><p><blockquote><b>通用汽车的市场隐含前景</b></blockquote></p><p> I have analyzed the prices of call and put options at a range of strike prices, all expiring on January 21, 2022 to generate the market-implied outlook for the next 3.5 months (from today until the expiration date). In my previous analysis, I also calculated a market-implied outlook using options with this expiration date. I have also generated the market-implied outlook to mid 2022, a period of 8.3 months, by analyzing options that expire on June 21, 2022.</p><p><blockquote>我分析了一系列执行价格的看涨期权和看跌期权的价格,这些期权都将于2022年1月21日到期,以生成未来3.5个月(从今天到到期日)的市场隐含前景。在我之前的分析中,我还使用具有此到期日的期权计算了市场隐含前景。我还通过分析2022年6月21日到期的期权,生成了2022年中期(8.3个月)的市场隐含前景。</blockquote></p><p> The standard presentation of the market-implied outlook is a probability distribution of price return, with probability on the vertical axis and return on the horizontal.</p><p><blockquote>市场隐含前景的标准表示是价格回报的概率分布,概率在纵轴,回报在横轴。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd025ceee857934bb5992eb6c234bd6d\" tg-width=\"618\" tg-height=\"356\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Market-implied price return probabilities for GM for the 3.5-month period from today until January 21, 2022 (Source: Author’s calculations using options quotes from ETrade)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>从今天到2022年1月21日的3.5个月期间通用汽车的市场隐含价格回报概率(来源:作者使用ETrade期权报价进行计算)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The market-implied outlook for GM for the 3.5-month period between now and January 21, 2022 is generally symmetric, although the peak probability is slightly tilted towards negative returns, corresponding to a price return of -1.5%. The annualized volatility derived from this distribution is 35.7%, quite high for an individual stock.</p><p><blockquote>从现在到2022年1月21日的3.5个月期间,通用汽车的市场隐含前景总体上是对称的,尽管峰值概率略有向负回报倾斜,对应的价格回报为-1.5%。这种分布得出的年化波动率为35.7%,对于个股来说相当高。</blockquote></p><p> To make it easier to directly compare the probabilities of positive and negative returns, I rotate the negative return side of the distribution about the vertical axis (see chart below).</p><p><blockquote>为了更容易直接比较正回报和负回报的概率,我围绕垂直轴旋转分布的负回报侧(见下图)。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc3728611fe98a00c0edfa693bae10b4\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"356\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Market-implied price return probabilities for GM for the 3.5-month period from today until January 21, 2022. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis (Source: author’s calculations using options quotes from ETrade)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>通用汽车从今天到2022年1月21日3.5个月期间的市场隐含价格回报概率。分布的负回报侧已绕垂直轴旋转(来源:作者使用ETrade的期权报价进行计算)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This view shows that the probabilities of positive and negative returns are almost identical for most outcomes (the solid blue line and the dashed red line are very close to one another). The exception is for small-magnitude price returns (+/- 5%).</p><p><blockquote>这种观点表明,对于大多数结果,正回报和负回报的概率几乎相同(蓝色实线和红色虚线彼此非常接近)。例外情况是小规模价格回报(+/-5%)。</blockquote></p><p> Theory predicts that the market-implied outlook will tend to be negatively biased because risk-averse investors pay more than fair value for put options to limit losses in long positions. In the financial literature, the market-implied outlook is often referred to as being risk-neutral. What this means is that the market-implied outlook would be unbiased if investors, in aggregate, were risk-neutral. Investors, collectively, are risk-averse - demanding to be paid a premium to take on risk (the equity risk premium). For this reason, a market-implied outlook with closely matching probabilities between positive and negative returns, as we see here, is actually a slightly bullish view.</p><p><blockquote>理论预测,市场隐含的前景将倾向于负面偏差,因为规避风险的投资者为看跌期权支付的价格高于公允价值,以限制多头头寸的损失。在金融文献中,市场隐含的前景通常被称为风险中性的。这意味着,如果投资者总体上风险中性,市场隐含的前景将是无偏见的。总的来说,投资者是规避风险的——要求获得承担风险的溢价(股票风险溢价)。因此,正如我们在这里看到的,正回报和负回报之间概率密切匹配的市场隐含前景实际上是一种稍微看涨的观点。</blockquote></p><p> The market-implied outlook to the middle of 2022 (8.3 months), calculated using the prices of call and put options that expire on June 17, 2022, exhibits more of a negative tilt. Qualitative consideration of the potential for a negative bias leads me to characterize this outlook as neutral, perhaps with a slight bearish tilt. The annualized volatility derived from this distribution is 36.5%.</p><p><blockquote>使用2022年6月17日到期的看涨期权和看跌期权价格计算的2022年中期(8.3个月)的市场隐含前景显示出更多的负面倾斜。对潜在负面偏见的定性考虑使我将这种前景描述为中性,也许有轻微的看跌倾向。由此分布得出的年化波动率为36.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7731002b4fcd2fbea3e50f32512c507\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"356\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Market-implied price return probabilities for GM for the 8.3-month period from today until June 17, 2022. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis (Source: author’s calculations using options quotes from ETrade)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>通用汽车从今天到2022年6月17日的8.3个月期间的市场隐含价格回报概率。分布的负回报侧已绕垂直轴旋转(来源:作者使用ETrade的期权报价进行计算)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Contrast the current market-implied outlooks for GM with the 10.6-month outlook to January 2022 from my previous analysis in March, which was substantially bearish. In this outlook, the probabilities of negative price returns were much higher relative to those for positive returns. The current market-implied outlook, slightly bullish to early 2022 and neutral to mid-2022, is much more favorable than the outlook from my earlier analysis.</p><p><blockquote>将通用汽车当前的市场隐含前景与我之前3月份分析中截至2022年1月的10.6个月前景进行对比,该分析非常悲观。在这种前景中,相对于正回报,负价格回报的概率要高得多。目前市场隐含的前景,2022年初略有看涨,2022年中期中性,比我之前分析的前景要有利得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> GM is at an important transition point in its history. The company needs to rapidly and convincingly shift away from traditional internal combustion vehicles and towards EVs and autonomous vehicles. The Wall Street analysts, as a group, are confident that GM can make strides in this direction and the analyst consensus has gotten more bullish through 2021. The Wall Street consensus rating is bullish, with about 27% expected 12-month price appreciation.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车正处于其历史上的一个重要转折点。该公司需要迅速、令人信服地从传统内燃机汽车转向电动汽车和自动驾驶汽车。华尔街分析师作为一个群体,相信通用汽车能够在这个方向上取得长足进步,并且分析师的共识在2021年变得更加乐观。华尔街一致评级为看涨,约27%的人预计12个月价格将上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The projected volatility for GM, calculated from the market-implied outlook, is about 36%. This is a fairly high level of volatility, but looks reasonable if we believe that the expected return is 27%. As a rule of thumb for a buy, I want to see expected return that is at or above ½ of the volatility.</p><p><blockquote>根据市场隐含前景计算,通用汽车的预计波动性约为36%。这是一个相当高的波动水平,但如果我们相信预期回报率为27%,那么看起来是合理的。作为买入的经验法则,我希望看到预期回报等于或高于波动率的1/2。</blockquote></p><p> Taking the analyst expected return at face value, GM easily surpasses this threshold. The market-implied outlook to early 2022 is slightly bullish, shifting to neutral by mid-2022. The market-implied outlook for GM has improved dramatically since March, when it was significantly bearish. I am changing my rating on GM from neutral to bullish.</p><p><blockquote>从分析师的预期回报率来看,通用汽车轻松超过了这一门槛。市场对2022年初的隐含前景略有看涨,到2022年中期将转向中性。自3月份以来,市场对通用汽车的隐含前景已显着改善,当时通用汽车的前景明显看跌。我将对通用汽车的评级从中性改为看涨。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4458959-favorable-outlook-for-gm\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GM":"通用汽车"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4458959-favorable-outlook-for-gm","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128736762","content_text":"Summary\n\nGM has struggled with the transition to EVs and other technology-forward efforts.\nThe Wall Street consensus is that GM will succeed sooner rather than later.\nThe market-implied outlook (derived from options prices) has shifted to a substantially more positive near-term view.\nI see GM as having a favorable risk-return profile.\n\nJHVEPhoto/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nGeneral Motors(NYSE:GM)seems to be having a moment, with the share price rising 4.5% today, following an inspirational presentation to analysts. The company outlined its plan to be a leader in EVs and a vision for building a million self-driving cars by 2030. For GM, as with Ford(NYSE:F), the company recognizes that earnings growth and share valuation depend on aggressive technology-driven development. If GM can convince the market, and then demonstrate, that there is a real roadmap to higher-margin EVs and self-driving vehicles, the shares should demand a considerably higher price. After all, GM’s forward P/E is 8.8, as compared to TSLA’s 144.8.\nIntriguingly, the Wall Street analysts have already priced an outlook for GM’s transformation. The Wall Street analyst consensus price target for GM has surged to $71.3, as compared to $46.6 in February of 2020, right before COVID hit and $51 at the end of 2020. At the current share price of $56.30, the Wall Street consensus (as calculated by Seeking Alpha) is for 12-month price appreciation of 26.7%.\nWhen I last analyzed GM on March 7, 2021, seven months ago, the Wall Street consensus outlook was already bullish, with a 12-month price target that was about 20% above the share price at that time. Of the 19 analysts included in Seeking Alpha’s consensus outlook, 17 were bullish and 2 were neutral. I assigned GM a neutral rating at that time, largely because the outlook implied by options prices, in contrast to the Wall Street consensus, was bearish. The options market to early 2022 was indicating elevated probabilities of price declines. I compromised between the bullish Wall Street and the bearish options market view with a neutral rating. Since my post was published, GM has gained 4% (including the big rise today), as compared to 15.1% in price appreciation for the S&P 500.\nPerformance of GM vs. the S&P 500 over the past 7 months (Source: Seeking Alpha)\nUsing options prices to build a probabilistic price return outlook is conceptually straightforward. The price of an option represents the market’s consensus estimate for the probability that the price of the underlying stock (GM, in this case) will rise above (call option) or fall below (put option) a specific level (the strike price) between now and when the option expires. By analyzing calls and puts at a range of strike prices and a common expiration date, it is possible to calculate a probabilistic outlook for the underlying security that reconciles the options prices. This is referred to as the market-implied outlook. For readers seeking more information on this approach, I have written an overview post, including links to the relevant financial literature.\nIt is clear today, as it was for my last analysis, that GM is relying on the ability to compete with EVs and autonomous vehicles. The analysts are valuing the company assuming that GM will successfully make this transition. Even if one agrees, the challenge is in the timing. Since March, GM has suffered an expensive and embarrassing setback with the massive recall of Chevy electric vehicles. Even if one buys into management’s vision, one imagines that some car buyers will be reluctant to buy a GM EV after seeing pictures of charred Chevy Bolts.\nGM is currently 11.9% below its 2021 high close of $63.92, set on June 8. With 7 months since my last analysis, and with the market and the analysts responding favorably to GM’s vision, I am revisiting my rating on GM.\nWall Street Consensus Outlook for GM\nETrade’s calculation of the Wall Street consensus outlook is calculated using the views of 13 ranked analysts who have issued ratings and price targets for GM within the past 90 days. The consensus rating is bullish and the consensus 12-month price target is 27.5% above the current share price. There is a fairly high level of dispersion in the price targets, which reduces confidence in the consensus value. Of the 13 analysts, 12 give GM a buy rating and 1 assigns a neutral rating.\nWall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for GM (Source: ETrade)\nSeeking Alpha’s version of the Wall Street consensus outlook is calculated using ratings and prices targets from 21 analysts. The consensus rating is bullish and the consensus price target is 26.7% above the current share price. Only 1 analyst is neutral and the other 20 are bullish.\nWall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for GM (Source: Seeking Alpha)\nThe good news for GM shareholders is that the analysts are almost uniformly bullish on GM and the average 12-month price target is about 27% above the current level. There are somewhat cautionary considerations, however. First, the spread among the price targets is high, which means that there is not a lot of confidence in the outlook. Second, the timing of a share price recovery is hard to predict. The analysts were bullish back in March, as well.\nMarket-Implied Outlook for GM\nI have analyzed the prices of call and put options at a range of strike prices, all expiring on January 21, 2022 to generate the market-implied outlook for the next 3.5 months (from today until the expiration date). In my previous analysis, I also calculated a market-implied outlook using options with this expiration date. I have also generated the market-implied outlook to mid 2022, a period of 8.3 months, by analyzing options that expire on June 21, 2022.\nThe standard presentation of the market-implied outlook is a probability distribution of price return, with probability on the vertical axis and return on the horizontal.\nMarket-implied price return probabilities for GM for the 3.5-month period from today until January 21, 2022 (Source: Author’s calculations using options quotes from ETrade)\nThe market-implied outlook for GM for the 3.5-month period between now and January 21, 2022 is generally symmetric, although the peak probability is slightly tilted towards negative returns, corresponding to a price return of -1.5%. The annualized volatility derived from this distribution is 35.7%, quite high for an individual stock.\nTo make it easier to directly compare the probabilities of positive and negative returns, I rotate the negative return side of the distribution about the vertical axis (see chart below).\nMarket-implied price return probabilities for GM for the 3.5-month period from today until January 21, 2022. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis (Source: author’s calculations using options quotes from ETrade)\nThis view shows that the probabilities of positive and negative returns are almost identical for most outcomes (the solid blue line and the dashed red line are very close to one another). The exception is for small-magnitude price returns (+/- 5%).\nTheory predicts that the market-implied outlook will tend to be negatively biased because risk-averse investors pay more than fair value for put options to limit losses in long positions. In the financial literature, the market-implied outlook is often referred to as being risk-neutral. What this means is that the market-implied outlook would be unbiased if investors, in aggregate, were risk-neutral. Investors, collectively, are risk-averse - demanding to be paid a premium to take on risk (the equity risk premium). For this reason, a market-implied outlook with closely matching probabilities between positive and negative returns, as we see here, is actually a slightly bullish view.\nThe market-implied outlook to the middle of 2022 (8.3 months), calculated using the prices of call and put options that expire on June 17, 2022, exhibits more of a negative tilt. Qualitative consideration of the potential for a negative bias leads me to characterize this outlook as neutral, perhaps with a slight bearish tilt. The annualized volatility derived from this distribution is 36.5%.\nMarket-implied price return probabilities for GM for the 8.3-month period from today until June 17, 2022. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis (Source: author’s calculations using options quotes from ETrade)\nContrast the current market-implied outlooks for GM with the 10.6-month outlook to January 2022 from my previous analysis in March, which was substantially bearish. In this outlook, the probabilities of negative price returns were much higher relative to those for positive returns. The current market-implied outlook, slightly bullish to early 2022 and neutral to mid-2022, is much more favorable than the outlook from my earlier analysis.\nSummary\nGM is at an important transition point in its history. The company needs to rapidly and convincingly shift away from traditional internal combustion vehicles and towards EVs and autonomous vehicles. The Wall Street analysts, as a group, are confident that GM can make strides in this direction and the analyst consensus has gotten more bullish through 2021. The Wall Street consensus rating is bullish, with about 27% expected 12-month price appreciation.\nThe projected volatility for GM, calculated from the market-implied outlook, is about 36%. This is a fairly high level of volatility, but looks reasonable if we believe that the expected return is 27%. As a rule of thumb for a buy, I want to see expected return that is at or above ½ of the volatility.\nTaking the analyst expected return at face value, GM easily surpasses this threshold. The market-implied outlook to early 2022 is slightly bullish, shifting to neutral by mid-2022. The market-implied outlook for GM has improved dramatically since March, when it was significantly bearish. I am changing my rating on GM from neutral to bullish.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2212,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823348598,"gmtCreate":1633590504934,"gmtModify":1633590505038,"author":{"id":"3584845105860173","authorId":"3584845105860173","name":"Shawnn_13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584845105860173","idStr":"3584845105860173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like plz","listText":"Like plz","text":"Like plz","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823348598","repostId":"2173948607","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2173948607","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1633570746,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2173948607?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-07 09:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here are 10 'high conviction' stocks of companies with strong pricing power and at least 20% upside potential to UBS targets<blockquote>以下是10只“高度确信”的公司股票,它们具有强大的定价能力,比瑞银目标至少有20%的上涨潜力</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2173948607","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"UBS expects pricing power to be even more important as shipping, raw materials and wage costs surge. Inflation and supply issues are among the buzziest words on Wall Street as the third-quarter earnings reporting season approaches, with investors waiting to see which companies were the best at managing surging cost pressures and shipping disruptions.UBS strategists believe one of the best ways to deal with these headwinds is for a company to raise prices, but not all companies can do so by enoug","content":"<p>UBS expects pricing power to be even more important as shipping, raw materials and wage costs surge</p><p><blockquote>瑞银预计,随着航运、原材料和工资成本飙升,定价权将变得更加重要</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9666acc8b6cbedd5fb585565a168bcf\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>盖蒂图片</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Inflation and supply issues are among the buzziest words on Wall Street as the third-quarter earnings reporting season approaches, with investors waiting to see which companies were the best at managing surging cost pressures and shipping disruptions.</p><p><blockquote>随着第三季度财报季的临近,通胀和供应问题是华尔街最热门的词汇之一,投资者等着看哪些公司最擅长管理飙升的成本压力和航运中断。</blockquote></p><p> UBS strategists believe one of the best ways to deal with these headwinds is for a company to raise prices, but not all companies can do so by enough to make a real difference without losing customers.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银策略师认为,应对这些不利因素的最佳方法之一是公司提高价格,但并非所有公司都能提高价格,从而在不失去客户的情况下产生真正的影响。</blockquote></p><p> A number of companies in different sectors have already cut forward guidance, given rising costs and supply-chain disruptions, such as FedEx Corp.,Nu Skin Enterprises Inc. and Dollar Tree Inc..</p><p><blockquote>鉴于成本上升和供应链中断,不同行业的许多公司已经下调了前瞻性指引,如联邦快递公司、如新企业公司和美元树公司..</blockquote></p><p> Third-quarter earnings season kicks off in earnest next week, with aggregate earnings per share of the S&P 500 companies expected to show year-over-year growth in earnings per share of about 27% and in sales of about 15%.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度财报季将于下周正式拉开帷幕,标普500公司的每股收益总额预计将同比增长约27%,销售额将同比增长约15%。</blockquote></p><p> “Pricing power should be an even more important theme for relative returns with surging shipping costs, rising raw materials, supply chain issues and accelerating wage growth,” UBS strategists wrote in a note to clients this week.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银策略师本周在给客户的一份报告中写道:“随着运输成本飙升、原材料上涨、供应链问题和工资增长加速,定价能力应该成为相对回报的一个更加重要的主题。”</blockquote></p><p> So the strategists, led by Keith Parker, asked UBS analysts across 33 industries to identify companies with the strongest relative pricing power. The analysts were also asked to pick out companies that scored in the top third of their respective sectors based on UBS Equity Strategy’s composite score for pricing power, margin momentum and input cost exposure; have “buy” ratings; and have stocks with at least 10% upside potential to their respective price targets.</p><p><blockquote>因此,由基思·帕克(Keith Parker)领导的策略师要求瑞银(UBS)33个行业的分析师找出相对定价能力最强的公司。分析师还被要求根据瑞银股票策略在定价能力、利润率势头和投入成本敞口方面的综合得分,选出在各自行业中得分排名前三分之一的公司;拥有“买入”评级;并且股票的价格目标至少有10%的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> Here are 10 “high conviction, strong pricing power stocks” on UBS’s list that have at least 20% upside to the analysts’ stock price targets, in alphabetical order:</p><p><blockquote>以下是瑞银名单上的10只“信念坚定、定价能力强的股票”,它们比分析师的股价目标至少有20%的上涨空间,按字母顺序排列:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Advance Auto Parts Inc.,with a price target of $255, which implies an upside of about 21% to prices in afternoon trading Wednesday. Analyst Michael Lasser said he believes the auto parts company’s (AAP) aftermarket fundamentals are in a strong position, and that a gradual increase in mobility and a return to working in offices should drive further recovery in vehicle miles traveled.</li> </ul> “The auto parts sector traditionally has strong pricing power, with an ability to pass along price increases to customers,” Lasser wrote. “Plus, AAP also have the largest exposure to the commercial segment of the market, which is viewed even more favorably.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Advance Auto Parts Inc.,目标价为255美元,这意味着周三下午交易的价格有约21%的上涨空间。分析师迈克尔·拉瑟(Michael Lasser)表示,他认为这家汽车零部件公司(AAP)的售后市场基本面处于强势地位,流动性的逐步增加和重返办公室工作应该会推动车辆行驶里程的进一步恢复。</li></ul>“汽车零部件行业传统上拥有强大的定价权,能够将价格上涨转嫁给客户,”拉塞尔写道。“此外,AAP在市场的商业领域也拥有最大的敞口,这一点受到了更多的青睐。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Apple Inc.,which has a price target of $175 that implies 24% upside. Analyst David Vogt said the combination of its technological capability, supported by its retention metrics from UBS surveys that indicate high customer satisfaction for Apple products, suggests the PC and smartphone giant’s brand equity should drive adoption in the battery-electric-vehicle (BEV) market.</li> </ul> “End-market demand has been improving year-over-year, leading to elevated ‘wait times’ despite increased product procurement/production,” Vogt wrote. Regarding the BEV market, Vogt said that while Apple isn’t a first mover, “its significant resources should enable the company to be a ‘fast follower,'” similar to when it entered the smartphone market in 2007.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果公司的目标价为175美元,意味着24%的上涨空间。分析师David Vogt表示,瑞银调查显示客户对苹果产品的满意度很高,其技术能力的结合表明,这家个人电脑和智能手机巨头的品牌资产应该会推动电池电动汽车(BEV)市场的采用。</li></ul>沃格特写道:“尽管产品采购/产量增加,但终端市场需求逐年改善,导致‘等待时间’增加。”关于纯电动汽车市场,Vogt表示,虽然苹果不是先行者,但“其大量资源应该使该公司成为‘快速追随者’”,类似于2007年进入智能手机市场时。</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>CME Group Inc.,with a price target of $245 implying 23% upside. Analyst Alex Kramm said the derivatives trading platform benefits from global expansion, innovation, adoption of options and pricing. And he believes regulation could provide a tailwind to growth.</li> </ul> “As primarily a U.S. futures business, CME enjoys the highest barriers of entry in the space,” Kramm wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>CME Group Inc.,目标价为245美元,意味着上涨23%。分析师Alex Kramm表示,该衍生品交易平台受益于全球扩张、创新、期权的采用和定价。他认为监管可以为增长提供推动力。</li></ul>克拉姆写道:“作为一家主要的美国期货企业,芝商所在该领域享有最高的进入壁垒。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Danaher Corp. has a price target of $365, which implies 22% upside. Analyst John Sourbeer believes the medical products and services company (DHR) is “very well positioned” within the life sciences tool and services sector, as COVID testing should hold up much better than peers and the vaccine and therapeutic opportunity appears durable.</li> </ul> “DHR sales engine is able to proactively identify areas of potential pricing pressure and [successfully] navigate customers to high-value product,” Sourbeer wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>丹纳赫公司的目标价为365美元,这意味着22%的上涨空间。分析师John Sourbeer认为,医疗产品和服务公司(DHR)在生命科学工具和服务领域“处于非常有利的地位”,因为新冠病毒检测应该比同行好得多,而且疫苗和治疗机会似乎是持久的。</li></ul>Sourbeer写道:“DHR销售引擎能够主动识别潜在定价压力的领域,并[成功地]引导客户购买高价值产品。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul> <li>EOG Resources Inc. has a $119 stock price target that suggests 38% upside. Analyst Lloyd Byrne the oil and natural gas exploration company is well positioned to mitigate inflationary pressures expected next year given well costs that are expected to be flat to lower in 2022 because of reduced drilling days, the deployment of “super zipper fracs” and contracts negotiated at lower rates.</li> </ul> “Pricing power in commodity companies is difficult to achieve. Those that can hold margins by best controlling costs, though, are better positioned,” Byrne wrote. “EOG is better positioned than most by being proactive with input and service costs, while excelling in operations.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>EOG Resources Inc.的目标股价为119美元,上涨38%。分析师劳埃德·伯恩(Lloyd Byrne)鉴于由于钻井天数减少、部署“超级拉链压裂”和合同谈判,预计2022年油井成本将持平或下降,这家石油和天然气勘探公司处于有利地位,可以缓解明年预计的通胀压力。较低的利率。</li></ul>“大宗商品公司的定价权很难实现。不过,那些能够通过最佳控制成本来保持利润的公司处于更有利的地位,”伯恩写道。“EOG比大多数公司处于更有利的地位,因为它积极主动地降低投入和服务成本,同时在运营方面表现出色。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Extra Space Storage Inc.’s stock price target of $210 implies 24% upside. Analyst Michael Goldsmith said he believes strong underlying demand, in conjunction with decelerating supply growth, support rent growth.</li> </ul> “Strong demand for self storage and elevated occupancy rates, combined with its non-discretionary nature increased pricing power of the operators,” Goldsmith wrote. “Operators are flexing their pricing power to new customers, as well as existing customer rent increases every 9-12 months.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Extra Space Storage Inc.的目标股价为210美元,意味着上涨24%。分析师迈克尔·戈德史密斯表示,他认为强劲的潜在需求,加上供应增长放缓,将支撑租金增长。</li></ul>戈德史密斯写道:“对自助存储的强劲需求和较高的入住率,加上其非自由支配的性质,增加了运营商的定价能力。”“运营商正在向新客户展示他们的定价权,现有客户的租金每9-12个月上涨一次。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Generac Holdings Inc. has a price target of $500, which implies 23% upside. Analyst Jon Windham believes the power generation equipment maker’s competitive edge lies in its customer acquisition platform, which should enable it to take market share from incumbents SolarEdge Technologies Inc. and Enphase Energy Inc..</li> </ul> “Dominant market share (~80%) and strong demand for home standby power have insulated already high residential product margins,” Windham wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Generac Holdings Inc.的目标价为500美元,这意味着上涨23%。分析师Jon Windham认为,这家发电设备制造商的竞争优势在于其客户获取平台,这将使其能够从现有企业SolarEdge Technologies Inc.和Enphase Energy Inc.手中夺取市场份额。</li></ul>温德姆写道:“主导市场份额(约80%)和对家庭备用电源的强劲需求隔离了本已很高的住宅产品利润率。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Nike Inc.’s price target of $185 implies 24% upside. Analyst Jay Sole said a UBS survey and pricing data reveal that the Nike brand currently is No. 1 in mindshare globally and the sports apparel and accessories company has significant room to reduce promotions.</li> </ul> “We believe the market doesn’t fully appreciate how Nike’s investments in product innovation, supply chain and e-commerce are working in concert to drive unit growth and [average selling price] increases,” Sole wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>耐克公司185美元的目标价意味着24%的上涨空间。分析师Jay Sole表示,瑞银的调查和定价数据显示,耐克品牌目前在全球关注度排名第一,这家运动服装和配饰公司有很大的空间减少促销活动。</li></ul>Sole写道:“我们认为市场并没有完全理解耐克在产品创新、供应链和电子商务方面的投资如何协同推动销量增长和[平均售价]上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Salesforce.com Inc. has a stock price target of $330 that implies 20% upside potential. Analyst Karl Keirstead said the customer relationship management software company appears to be moving well beyond the previous era of limited operating margin expansion, and committing to boosting annual operating margins.</li> </ul> “Importantly, the drivers behind the improved margin outlook strike us as sustainable, with topline outperformance, a permanent shift towards WFH [work from home] and Zoom-based customer interactions, and renewed expense discipline internally…the three biggest drivers,” Keirstead wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Salesforce.com Inc.的目标股价为330美元,这意味着20%的上涨潜力。分析师Karl Keirstead表示,这家客户关系管理软件公司似乎正在远远超越之前营业利润率扩张有限的时代,并致力于提高年度营业利润率。</li></ul>“重要的是,利润率前景改善背后的驱动因素在我们看来是可持续的,营收表现出色,永久转向WFH(在家工作)和基于Zoom的客户互动,以及内部更新的费用纪律……这是三个最大的驱动因素,”凯尔斯泰德写道。</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Teleflex Inc.’s price target of $480 implies 28% upside. Analyst Matthew Taylor said the medical technology products company makes a number of inexpensive products that fly under the radar, given them the opportunity to increase prices.</li> </ul> Taylor said he believes margins can go “significantly higher” over the long term, given the company’s leverage to both necessary and elective procedures, which should return quickly in a post-pandemic world.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Teleflex Inc.的目标价为480美元,意味着上涨28%。分析师马修·泰勒表示,这家医疗技术产品公司生产了许多不为人所知的廉价产品,这给了他们提高价格的机会。</li></ul>泰勒表示,鉴于该公司在必要程序和选择性程序方面的影响力,他相信从长远来看,利润率可能会“显着提高”,而在大流行后的世界中,这些程序应该会迅速恢复。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here are 10 'high conviction' stocks of companies with strong pricing power and at least 20% upside potential to UBS targets<blockquote>以下是10只“高度确信”的公司股票,它们具有强大的定价能力,比瑞银目标至少有20%的上涨潜力</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere are 10 'high conviction' stocks of companies with strong pricing power and at least 20% upside potential to UBS targets<blockquote>以下是10只“高度确信”的公司股票,它们具有强大的定价能力,比瑞银目标至少有20%的上涨潜力</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-07 09:39</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>UBS expects pricing power to be even more important as shipping, raw materials and wage costs surge</p><p><blockquote>瑞银预计,随着航运、原材料和工资成本飙升,定价权将变得更加重要</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9666acc8b6cbedd5fb585565a168bcf\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>盖蒂图片</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Inflation and supply issues are among the buzziest words on Wall Street as the third-quarter earnings reporting season approaches, with investors waiting to see which companies were the best at managing surging cost pressures and shipping disruptions.</p><p><blockquote>随着第三季度财报季的临近,通胀和供应问题是华尔街最热门的词汇之一,投资者等着看哪些公司最擅长管理飙升的成本压力和航运中断。</blockquote></p><p> UBS strategists believe one of the best ways to deal with these headwinds is for a company to raise prices, but not all companies can do so by enough to make a real difference without losing customers.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银策略师认为,应对这些不利因素的最佳方法之一是公司提高价格,但并非所有公司都能提高价格,从而在不失去客户的情况下产生真正的影响。</blockquote></p><p> A number of companies in different sectors have already cut forward guidance, given rising costs and supply-chain disruptions, such as FedEx Corp.,Nu Skin Enterprises Inc. and Dollar Tree Inc..</p><p><blockquote>鉴于成本上升和供应链中断,不同行业的许多公司已经下调了前瞻性指引,如联邦快递公司、如新企业公司和美元树公司..</blockquote></p><p> Third-quarter earnings season kicks off in earnest next week, with aggregate earnings per share of the S&P 500 companies expected to show year-over-year growth in earnings per share of about 27% and in sales of about 15%.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度财报季将于下周正式拉开帷幕,标普500公司的每股收益总额预计将同比增长约27%,销售额将同比增长约15%。</blockquote></p><p> “Pricing power should be an even more important theme for relative returns with surging shipping costs, rising raw materials, supply chain issues and accelerating wage growth,” UBS strategists wrote in a note to clients this week.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银策略师本周在给客户的一份报告中写道:“随着运输成本飙升、原材料上涨、供应链问题和工资增长加速,定价能力应该成为相对回报的一个更加重要的主题。”</blockquote></p><p> So the strategists, led by Keith Parker, asked UBS analysts across 33 industries to identify companies with the strongest relative pricing power. The analysts were also asked to pick out companies that scored in the top third of their respective sectors based on UBS Equity Strategy’s composite score for pricing power, margin momentum and input cost exposure; have “buy” ratings; and have stocks with at least 10% upside potential to their respective price targets.</p><p><blockquote>因此,由基思·帕克(Keith Parker)领导的策略师要求瑞银(UBS)33个行业的分析师找出相对定价能力最强的公司。分析师还被要求根据瑞银股票策略在定价能力、利润率势头和投入成本敞口方面的综合得分,选出在各自行业中得分排名前三分之一的公司;拥有“买入”评级;并且股票的价格目标至少有10%的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> Here are 10 “high conviction, strong pricing power stocks” on UBS’s list that have at least 20% upside to the analysts’ stock price targets, in alphabetical order:</p><p><blockquote>以下是瑞银名单上的10只“信念坚定、定价能力强的股票”,它们比分析师的股价目标至少有20%的上涨空间,按字母顺序排列:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Advance Auto Parts Inc.,with a price target of $255, which implies an upside of about 21% to prices in afternoon trading Wednesday. Analyst Michael Lasser said he believes the auto parts company’s (AAP) aftermarket fundamentals are in a strong position, and that a gradual increase in mobility and a return to working in offices should drive further recovery in vehicle miles traveled.</li> </ul> “The auto parts sector traditionally has strong pricing power, with an ability to pass along price increases to customers,” Lasser wrote. “Plus, AAP also have the largest exposure to the commercial segment of the market, which is viewed even more favorably.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Advance Auto Parts Inc.,目标价为255美元,这意味着周三下午交易的价格有约21%的上涨空间。分析师迈克尔·拉瑟(Michael Lasser)表示,他认为这家汽车零部件公司(AAP)的售后市场基本面处于强势地位,流动性的逐步增加和重返办公室工作应该会推动车辆行驶里程的进一步恢复。</li></ul>“汽车零部件行业传统上拥有强大的定价权,能够将价格上涨转嫁给客户,”拉塞尔写道。“此外,AAP在市场的商业领域也拥有最大的敞口,这一点受到了更多的青睐。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Apple Inc.,which has a price target of $175 that implies 24% upside. Analyst David Vogt said the combination of its technological capability, supported by its retention metrics from UBS surveys that indicate high customer satisfaction for Apple products, suggests the PC and smartphone giant’s brand equity should drive adoption in the battery-electric-vehicle (BEV) market.</li> </ul> “End-market demand has been improving year-over-year, leading to elevated ‘wait times’ despite increased product procurement/production,” Vogt wrote. Regarding the BEV market, Vogt said that while Apple isn’t a first mover, “its significant resources should enable the company to be a ‘fast follower,'” similar to when it entered the smartphone market in 2007.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果公司的目标价为175美元,意味着24%的上涨空间。分析师David Vogt表示,瑞银调查显示客户对苹果产品的满意度很高,其技术能力的结合表明,这家个人电脑和智能手机巨头的品牌资产应该会推动电池电动汽车(BEV)市场的采用。</li></ul>沃格特写道:“尽管产品采购/产量增加,但终端市场需求逐年改善,导致‘等待时间’增加。”关于纯电动汽车市场,Vogt表示,虽然苹果不是先行者,但“其大量资源应该使该公司成为‘快速追随者’”,类似于2007年进入智能手机市场时。</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>CME Group Inc.,with a price target of $245 implying 23% upside. Analyst Alex Kramm said the derivatives trading platform benefits from global expansion, innovation, adoption of options and pricing. And he believes regulation could provide a tailwind to growth.</li> </ul> “As primarily a U.S. futures business, CME enjoys the highest barriers of entry in the space,” Kramm wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>CME Group Inc.,目标价为245美元,意味着上涨23%。分析师Alex Kramm表示,该衍生品交易平台受益于全球扩张、创新、期权的采用和定价。他认为监管可以为增长提供推动力。</li></ul>克拉姆写道:“作为一家主要的美国期货企业,芝商所在该领域享有最高的进入壁垒。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Danaher Corp. has a price target of $365, which implies 22% upside. Analyst John Sourbeer believes the medical products and services company (DHR) is “very well positioned” within the life sciences tool and services sector, as COVID testing should hold up much better than peers and the vaccine and therapeutic opportunity appears durable.</li> </ul> “DHR sales engine is able to proactively identify areas of potential pricing pressure and [successfully] navigate customers to high-value product,” Sourbeer wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>丹纳赫公司的目标价为365美元,这意味着22%的上涨空间。分析师John Sourbeer认为,医疗产品和服务公司(DHR)在生命科学工具和服务领域“处于非常有利的地位”,因为新冠病毒检测应该比同行好得多,而且疫苗和治疗机会似乎是持久的。</li></ul>Sourbeer写道:“DHR销售引擎能够主动识别潜在定价压力的领域,并[成功地]引导客户购买高价值产品。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul> <li>EOG Resources Inc. has a $119 stock price target that suggests 38% upside. Analyst Lloyd Byrne the oil and natural gas exploration company is well positioned to mitigate inflationary pressures expected next year given well costs that are expected to be flat to lower in 2022 because of reduced drilling days, the deployment of “super zipper fracs” and contracts negotiated at lower rates.</li> </ul> “Pricing power in commodity companies is difficult to achieve. Those that can hold margins by best controlling costs, though, are better positioned,” Byrne wrote. “EOG is better positioned than most by being proactive with input and service costs, while excelling in operations.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>EOG Resources Inc.的目标股价为119美元,上涨38%。分析师劳埃德·伯恩(Lloyd Byrne)鉴于由于钻井天数减少、部署“超级拉链压裂”和合同谈判,预计2022年油井成本将持平或下降,这家石油和天然气勘探公司处于有利地位,可以缓解明年预计的通胀压力。较低的利率。</li></ul>“大宗商品公司的定价权很难实现。不过,那些能够通过最佳控制成本来保持利润的公司处于更有利的地位,”伯恩写道。“EOG比大多数公司处于更有利的地位,因为它积极主动地降低投入和服务成本,同时在运营方面表现出色。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Extra Space Storage Inc.’s stock price target of $210 implies 24% upside. Analyst Michael Goldsmith said he believes strong underlying demand, in conjunction with decelerating supply growth, support rent growth.</li> </ul> “Strong demand for self storage and elevated occupancy rates, combined with its non-discretionary nature increased pricing power of the operators,” Goldsmith wrote. “Operators are flexing their pricing power to new customers, as well as existing customer rent increases every 9-12 months.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Extra Space Storage Inc.的目标股价为210美元,意味着上涨24%。分析师迈克尔·戈德史密斯表示,他认为强劲的潜在需求,加上供应增长放缓,将支撑租金增长。</li></ul>戈德史密斯写道:“对自助存储的强劲需求和较高的入住率,加上其非自由支配的性质,增加了运营商的定价能力。”“运营商正在向新客户展示他们的定价权,现有客户的租金每9-12个月上涨一次。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Generac Holdings Inc. has a price target of $500, which implies 23% upside. Analyst Jon Windham believes the power generation equipment maker’s competitive edge lies in its customer acquisition platform, which should enable it to take market share from incumbents SolarEdge Technologies Inc. and Enphase Energy Inc..</li> </ul> “Dominant market share (~80%) and strong demand for home standby power have insulated already high residential product margins,” Windham wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Generac Holdings Inc.的目标价为500美元,这意味着上涨23%。分析师Jon Windham认为,这家发电设备制造商的竞争优势在于其客户获取平台,这将使其能够从现有企业SolarEdge Technologies Inc.和Enphase Energy Inc.手中夺取市场份额。</li></ul>温德姆写道:“主导市场份额(约80%)和对家庭备用电源的强劲需求隔离了本已很高的住宅产品利润率。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Nike Inc.’s price target of $185 implies 24% upside. Analyst Jay Sole said a UBS survey and pricing data reveal that the Nike brand currently is No. 1 in mindshare globally and the sports apparel and accessories company has significant room to reduce promotions.</li> </ul> “We believe the market doesn’t fully appreciate how Nike’s investments in product innovation, supply chain and e-commerce are working in concert to drive unit growth and [average selling price] increases,” Sole wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>耐克公司185美元的目标价意味着24%的上涨空间。分析师Jay Sole表示,瑞银的调查和定价数据显示,耐克品牌目前在全球关注度排名第一,这家运动服装和配饰公司有很大的空间减少促销活动。</li></ul>Sole写道:“我们认为市场并没有完全理解耐克在产品创新、供应链和电子商务方面的投资如何协同推动销量增长和[平均售价]上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Salesforce.com Inc. has a stock price target of $330 that implies 20% upside potential. Analyst Karl Keirstead said the customer relationship management software company appears to be moving well beyond the previous era of limited operating margin expansion, and committing to boosting annual operating margins.</li> </ul> “Importantly, the drivers behind the improved margin outlook strike us as sustainable, with topline outperformance, a permanent shift towards WFH [work from home] and Zoom-based customer interactions, and renewed expense discipline internally…the three biggest drivers,” Keirstead wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Salesforce.com Inc.的目标股价为330美元,这意味着20%的上涨潜力。分析师Karl Keirstead表示,这家客户关系管理软件公司似乎正在远远超越之前营业利润率扩张有限的时代,并致力于提高年度营业利润率。</li></ul>“重要的是,利润率前景改善背后的驱动因素在我们看来是可持续的,营收表现出色,永久转向WFH(在家工作)和基于Zoom的客户互动,以及内部更新的费用纪律……这是三个最大的驱动因素,”凯尔斯泰德写道。</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Teleflex Inc.’s price target of $480 implies 28% upside. Analyst Matthew Taylor said the medical technology products company makes a number of inexpensive products that fly under the radar, given them the opportunity to increase prices.</li> </ul> Taylor said he believes margins can go “significantly higher” over the long term, given the company’s leverage to both necessary and elective procedures, which should return quickly in a post-pandemic world.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Teleflex Inc.的目标价为480美元,意味着上涨28%。分析师马修·泰勒表示,这家医疗技术产品公司生产了许多不为人所知的廉价产品,这给了他们提高价格的机会。</li></ul>泰勒表示,鉴于该公司在必要程序和选择性程序方面的影响力,他相信从长远来看,利润率可能会“显着提高”,而在大流行后的世界中,这些程序应该会迅速恢复。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/here-are-10-high-conviction-stocks-of-companies-with-strong-pricing-power-and-at-least-20-upside-potential-to-ubs-targets-11633547178?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AEE":"阿曼瑞恩","DLTR":"美元树公司","NUS":"如新集团","CHTR":"特许通讯","FDX":"联邦快递","KO":"可口可乐","DHR":"丹纳赫","CRM":"赛富时","AAPL":"苹果","EOG":"依欧格资源","CME":"芝加哥商品交易所","AAP":"Advance Auto Parts Inc","NKE":"耐克","SBAC":"SBA通信","GNRC":"Generac控股","EXR":"Extra Space Storage Inc","SEDG":"SolarEdge Technologies, Inc.","USB":"美国合众银行","ENPH":"Enphase Energy"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/here-are-10-high-conviction-stocks-of-companies-with-strong-pricing-power-and-at-least-20-upside-potential-to-ubs-targets-11633547178?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2173948607","content_text":"UBS expects pricing power to be even more important as shipping, raw materials and wage costs surge\nGetty Images\nInflation and supply issues are among the buzziest words on Wall Street as the third-quarter earnings reporting season approaches, with investors waiting to see which companies were the best at managing surging cost pressures and shipping disruptions.\nUBS strategists believe one of the best ways to deal with these headwinds is for a company to raise prices, but not all companies can do so by enough to make a real difference without losing customers.\nA number of companies in different sectors have already cut forward guidance, given rising costs and supply-chain disruptions, such as FedEx Corp.,Nu Skin Enterprises Inc. and Dollar Tree Inc..\nThird-quarter earnings season kicks off in earnest next week, with aggregate earnings per share of the S&P 500 companies expected to show year-over-year growth in earnings per share of about 27% and in sales of about 15%.\n“Pricing power should be an even more important theme for relative returns with surging shipping costs, rising raw materials, supply chain issues and accelerating wage growth,” UBS strategists wrote in a note to clients this week.\nSo the strategists, led by Keith Parker, asked UBS analysts across 33 industries to identify companies with the strongest relative pricing power. The analysts were also asked to pick out companies that scored in the top third of their respective sectors based on UBS Equity Strategy’s composite score for pricing power, margin momentum and input cost exposure; have “buy” ratings; and have stocks with at least 10% upside potential to their respective price targets.\nHere are 10 “high conviction, strong pricing power stocks” on UBS’s list that have at least 20% upside to the analysts’ stock price targets, in alphabetical order:\n\nAdvance Auto Parts Inc.,with a price target of $255, which implies an upside of about 21% to prices in afternoon trading Wednesday. Analyst Michael Lasser said he believes the auto parts company’s (AAP) aftermarket fundamentals are in a strong position, and that a gradual increase in mobility and a return to working in offices should drive further recovery in vehicle miles traveled.\n\n“The auto parts sector traditionally has strong pricing power, with an ability to pass along price increases to customers,” Lasser wrote. “Plus, AAP also have the largest exposure to the commercial segment of the market, which is viewed even more favorably.”\n\nApple Inc.,which has a price target of $175 that implies 24% upside. Analyst David Vogt said the combination of its technological capability, supported by its retention metrics from UBS surveys that indicate high customer satisfaction for Apple products, suggests the PC and smartphone giant’s brand equity should drive adoption in the battery-electric-vehicle (BEV) market.\n\n“End-market demand has been improving year-over-year, leading to elevated ‘wait times’ despite increased product procurement/production,” Vogt wrote. Regarding the BEV market, Vogt said that while Apple isn’t a first mover, “its significant resources should enable the company to be a ‘fast follower,'” similar to when it entered the smartphone market in 2007.\n\nCME Group Inc.,with a price target of $245 implying 23% upside. Analyst Alex Kramm said the derivatives trading platform benefits from global expansion, innovation, adoption of options and pricing. And he believes regulation could provide a tailwind to growth.\n\n“As primarily a U.S. futures business, CME enjoys the highest barriers of entry in the space,” Kramm wrote.\n\nDanaher Corp. has a price target of $365, which implies 22% upside. Analyst John Sourbeer believes the medical products and services company (DHR) is “very well positioned” within the life sciences tool and services sector, as COVID testing should hold up much better than peers and the vaccine and therapeutic opportunity appears durable.\n\n“DHR sales engine is able to proactively identify areas of potential pricing pressure and [successfully] navigate customers to high-value product,” Sourbeer wrote.\n\nEOG Resources Inc. has a $119 stock price target that suggests 38% upside. Analyst Lloyd Byrne the oil and natural gas exploration company is well positioned to mitigate inflationary pressures expected next year given well costs that are expected to be flat to lower in 2022 because of reduced drilling days, the deployment of “super zipper fracs” and contracts negotiated at lower rates.\n\n“Pricing power in commodity companies is difficult to achieve. Those that can hold margins by best controlling costs, though, are better positioned,” Byrne wrote. “EOG is better positioned than most by being proactive with input and service costs, while excelling in operations.”\n\nExtra Space Storage Inc.’s stock price target of $210 implies 24% upside. Analyst Michael Goldsmith said he believes strong underlying demand, in conjunction with decelerating supply growth, support rent growth.\n\n“Strong demand for self storage and elevated occupancy rates, combined with its non-discretionary nature increased pricing power of the operators,” Goldsmith wrote. “Operators are flexing their pricing power to new customers, as well as existing customer rent increases every 9-12 months.”\n\nGenerac Holdings Inc. has a price target of $500, which implies 23% upside. Analyst Jon Windham believes the power generation equipment maker’s competitive edge lies in its customer acquisition platform, which should enable it to take market share from incumbents SolarEdge Technologies Inc. and Enphase Energy Inc..\n\n“Dominant market share (~80%) and strong demand for home standby power have insulated already high residential product margins,” Windham wrote.\n\nNike Inc.’s price target of $185 implies 24% upside. Analyst Jay Sole said a UBS survey and pricing data reveal that the Nike brand currently is No. 1 in mindshare globally and the sports apparel and accessories company has significant room to reduce promotions.\n\n“We believe the market doesn’t fully appreciate how Nike’s investments in product innovation, supply chain and e-commerce are working in concert to drive unit growth and [average selling price] increases,” Sole wrote.\n\nSalesforce.com Inc. has a stock price target of $330 that implies 20% upside potential. Analyst Karl Keirstead said the customer relationship management software company appears to be moving well beyond the previous era of limited operating margin expansion, and committing to boosting annual operating margins.\n\n“Importantly, the drivers behind the improved margin outlook strike us as sustainable, with topline outperformance, a permanent shift towards WFH [work from home] and Zoom-based customer interactions, and renewed expense discipline internally…the three biggest drivers,” Keirstead wrote.\n\nTeleflex Inc.’s price target of $480 implies 28% upside. Analyst Matthew Taylor said the medical technology products company makes a number of inexpensive products that fly under the radar, given them the opportunity to increase prices.\n\nTaylor said he believes margins can go “significantly higher” over the long term, given the company’s leverage to both necessary and elective procedures, which should return quickly in a post-pandemic world.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SBAC":0.9,"AAP":0.9,"CHTR":0.9,"EXR":0.9,"KO":0.9,"EOG":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"FDX":0.9,"NKE":0.9,"AEE":0.9,"CRM":0.9,"SEDG":0.9,"DHR":0.9,"NUS":0.9,"GNRC":0.9,"USB":0.9,"ENPH":0.9,"CME":0.9,"DLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3804,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820905419,"gmtCreate":1633335258244,"gmtModify":1633335258346,"author":{"id":"3584845105860173","authorId":"3584845105860173","name":"Shawnn_13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584845105860173","idStr":"3584845105860173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow ","listText":"Wow ","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820905419","repostId":"1137835462","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137835462","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1633334786,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137835462?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-04 16:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla shares rose 1.4% in premarket trading<blockquote>特斯拉股价在盘前交易中上涨1.4%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137835462","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla shares rose 1.4% in premarket trading.\nTesla Inc said on Saturday it had delivered a record el","content":"<p>Tesla shares rose 1.4% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在盘前交易中上涨1.</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2cab5fe12ed908fae1c4667b858ab877\" tg-width=\"885\" tg-height=\"619\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Tesla Inc said on Saturday it had delivered a record electric cars in the third quarter, beating Wall Street estimates after Chief Executive Elon Musk asked staff to \"go super hardcore\" to make a quarter-end delivery push.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉公司周六表示,第三季度电动汽车交付量创历史新高,超出华尔街预期,此前首席执行官Elon Musk要求员工“超级努力”推动季度末交付量。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla has weathered the chip crisis better than rivals, with its overall deliveries surging 20% in the July to September period from its previous record in the second quarter, marking the sixth consecutive quarter-on-quarter gains. </p><p><blockquote>特斯拉比竞争对手更好地度过了芯片危机,其7月至9月期间的整体交付量较第二季度的纪录飙升了20%,这是连续第六个季度环比增长。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivered 241,300 vehicles globally in the July to September quarter, up 73% from a year earlier. Analysts had expected the electric-car maker to deliver 229,242 vehicles, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉7月至9月季度在全球交付了241,300辆汽车,同比增长73%。根据Refinitiv的数据,分析师此前预计这家电动汽车制造商将交付229,242辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla shares rose 1.4% in premarket trading<blockquote>特斯拉股价在盘前交易中上涨1.4%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla shares rose 1.4% in premarket trading<blockquote>特斯拉股价在盘前交易中上涨1.4%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-04 16:06</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla shares rose 1.4% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在盘前交易中上涨1.</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2cab5fe12ed908fae1c4667b858ab877\" tg-width=\"885\" tg-height=\"619\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Tesla Inc said on Saturday it had delivered a record electric cars in the third quarter, beating Wall Street estimates after Chief Executive Elon Musk asked staff to \"go super hardcore\" to make a quarter-end delivery push.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉公司周六表示,第三季度电动汽车交付量创历史新高,超出华尔街预期,此前首席执行官Elon Musk要求员工“超级努力”推动季度末交付量。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla has weathered the chip crisis better than rivals, with its overall deliveries surging 20% in the July to September period from its previous record in the second quarter, marking the sixth consecutive quarter-on-quarter gains. </p><p><blockquote>特斯拉比竞争对手更好地度过了芯片危机,其7月至9月期间的整体交付量较第二季度的纪录飙升了20%,这是连续第六个季度环比增长。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivered 241,300 vehicles globally in the July to September quarter, up 73% from a year earlier. Analysts had expected the electric-car maker to deliver 229,242 vehicles, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉7月至9月季度在全球交付了241,300辆汽车,同比增长73%。根据Refinitiv的数据,分析师此前预计这家电动汽车制造商将交付229,242辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137835462","content_text":"Tesla shares rose 1.4% in premarket trading.\nTesla Inc said on Saturday it had delivered a record electric cars in the third quarter, beating Wall Street estimates after Chief Executive Elon Musk asked staff to \"go super hardcore\" to make a quarter-end delivery push.\nTesla has weathered the chip crisis better than rivals, with its overall deliveries surging 20% in the July to September period from its previous record in the second quarter, marking the sixth consecutive quarter-on-quarter gains. \nTesla delivered 241,300 vehicles globally in the July to September quarter, up 73% from a year earlier. Analysts had expected the electric-car maker to deliver 229,242 vehicles, according to Refinitiv data.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":752,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867197938,"gmtCreate":1633224136412,"gmtModify":1633224202206,"author":{"id":"3584845105860173","authorId":"3584845105860173","name":"Shawnn_13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584845105860173","idStr":"3584845105860173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like plz","listText":"Like plz","text":"Like 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interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/889224059","repostId":"2166392072","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":610,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":809287044,"gmtCreate":1627373166388,"gmtModify":1633765628348,"author":{"id":"3584845105860173","authorId":"3584845105860173","name":"Shawnn_13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584845105860173","idStr":"3584845105860173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Greats news","listText":"Greats news","text":"Greats news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":20,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809287044","repostId":"1148689588","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":716,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":823348598,"gmtCreate":1633590504934,"gmtModify":1633590505038,"author":{"id":"3584845105860173","authorId":"3584845105860173","name":"Shawnn_13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584845105860173","idStr":"3584845105860173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like plz","listText":"Like plz","text":"Like plz","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823348598","repostId":"2173948607","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2173948607","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1633570746,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2173948607?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-07 09:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here are 10 'high conviction' stocks of companies with strong pricing power and at least 20% upside potential to UBS targets<blockquote>以下是10只“高度确信”的公司股票,它们具有强大的定价能力,比瑞银目标至少有20%的上涨潜力</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2173948607","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"UBS expects pricing power to be even more important as shipping, raw materials and wage costs surge. Inflation and supply issues are among the buzziest words on Wall Street as the third-quarter earnings reporting season approaches, with investors waiting to see which companies were the best at managing surging cost pressures and shipping disruptions.UBS strategists believe one of the best ways to deal with these headwinds is for a company to raise prices, but not all companies can do so by enoug","content":"<p>UBS expects pricing power to be even more important as shipping, raw materials and wage costs surge</p><p><blockquote>瑞银预计,随着航运、原材料和工资成本飙升,定价权将变得更加重要</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9666acc8b6cbedd5fb585565a168bcf\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>盖蒂图片</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Inflation and supply issues are among the buzziest words on Wall Street as the third-quarter earnings reporting season approaches, with investors waiting to see which companies were the best at managing surging cost pressures and shipping disruptions.</p><p><blockquote>随着第三季度财报季的临近,通胀和供应问题是华尔街最热门的词汇之一,投资者等着看哪些公司最擅长管理飙升的成本压力和航运中断。</blockquote></p><p> UBS strategists believe one of the best ways to deal with these headwinds is for a company to raise prices, but not all companies can do so by enough to make a real difference without losing customers.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银策略师认为,应对这些不利因素的最佳方法之一是公司提高价格,但并非所有公司都能提高价格,从而在不失去客户的情况下产生真正的影响。</blockquote></p><p> A number of companies in different sectors have already cut forward guidance, given rising costs and supply-chain disruptions, such as FedEx Corp.,Nu Skin Enterprises Inc. and Dollar Tree Inc..</p><p><blockquote>鉴于成本上升和供应链中断,不同行业的许多公司已经下调了前瞻性指引,如联邦快递公司、如新企业公司和美元树公司..</blockquote></p><p> Third-quarter earnings season kicks off in earnest next week, with aggregate earnings per share of the S&P 500 companies expected to show year-over-year growth in earnings per share of about 27% and in sales of about 15%.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度财报季将于下周正式拉开帷幕,标普500公司的每股收益总额预计将同比增长约27%,销售额将同比增长约15%。</blockquote></p><p> “Pricing power should be an even more important theme for relative returns with surging shipping costs, rising raw materials, supply chain issues and accelerating wage growth,” UBS strategists wrote in a note to clients this week.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银策略师本周在给客户的一份报告中写道:“随着运输成本飙升、原材料上涨、供应链问题和工资增长加速,定价能力应该成为相对回报的一个更加重要的主题。”</blockquote></p><p> So the strategists, led by Keith Parker, asked UBS analysts across 33 industries to identify companies with the strongest relative pricing power. The analysts were also asked to pick out companies that scored in the top third of their respective sectors based on UBS Equity Strategy’s composite score for pricing power, margin momentum and input cost exposure; have “buy” ratings; and have stocks with at least 10% upside potential to their respective price targets.</p><p><blockquote>因此,由基思·帕克(Keith Parker)领导的策略师要求瑞银(UBS)33个行业的分析师找出相对定价能力最强的公司。分析师还被要求根据瑞银股票策略在定价能力、利润率势头和投入成本敞口方面的综合得分,选出在各自行业中得分排名前三分之一的公司;拥有“买入”评级;并且股票的价格目标至少有10%的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> Here are 10 “high conviction, strong pricing power stocks” on UBS’s list that have at least 20% upside to the analysts’ stock price targets, in alphabetical order:</p><p><blockquote>以下是瑞银名单上的10只“信念坚定、定价能力强的股票”,它们比分析师的股价目标至少有20%的上涨空间,按字母顺序排列:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Advance Auto Parts Inc.,with a price target of $255, which implies an upside of about 21% to prices in afternoon trading Wednesday. Analyst Michael Lasser said he believes the auto parts company’s (AAP) aftermarket fundamentals are in a strong position, and that a gradual increase in mobility and a return to working in offices should drive further recovery in vehicle miles traveled.</li> </ul> “The auto parts sector traditionally has strong pricing power, with an ability to pass along price increases to customers,” Lasser wrote. “Plus, AAP also have the largest exposure to the commercial segment of the market, which is viewed even more favorably.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Advance Auto Parts Inc.,目标价为255美元,这意味着周三下午交易的价格有约21%的上涨空间。分析师迈克尔·拉瑟(Michael Lasser)表示,他认为这家汽车零部件公司(AAP)的售后市场基本面处于强势地位,流动性的逐步增加和重返办公室工作应该会推动车辆行驶里程的进一步恢复。</li></ul>“汽车零部件行业传统上拥有强大的定价权,能够将价格上涨转嫁给客户,”拉塞尔写道。“此外,AAP在市场的商业领域也拥有最大的敞口,这一点受到了更多的青睐。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Apple Inc.,which has a price target of $175 that implies 24% upside. Analyst David Vogt said the combination of its technological capability, supported by its retention metrics from UBS surveys that indicate high customer satisfaction for Apple products, suggests the PC and smartphone giant’s brand equity should drive adoption in the battery-electric-vehicle (BEV) market.</li> </ul> “End-market demand has been improving year-over-year, leading to elevated ‘wait times’ despite increased product procurement/production,” Vogt wrote. Regarding the BEV market, Vogt said that while Apple isn’t a first mover, “its significant resources should enable the company to be a ‘fast follower,'” similar to when it entered the smartphone market in 2007.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果公司的目标价为175美元,意味着24%的上涨空间。分析师David Vogt表示,瑞银调查显示客户对苹果产品的满意度很高,其技术能力的结合表明,这家个人电脑和智能手机巨头的品牌资产应该会推动电池电动汽车(BEV)市场的采用。</li></ul>沃格特写道:“尽管产品采购/产量增加,但终端市场需求逐年改善,导致‘等待时间’增加。”关于纯电动汽车市场,Vogt表示,虽然苹果不是先行者,但“其大量资源应该使该公司成为‘快速追随者’”,类似于2007年进入智能手机市场时。</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>CME Group Inc.,with a price target of $245 implying 23% upside. Analyst Alex Kramm said the derivatives trading platform benefits from global expansion, innovation, adoption of options and pricing. And he believes regulation could provide a tailwind to growth.</li> </ul> “As primarily a U.S. futures business, CME enjoys the highest barriers of entry in the space,” Kramm wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>CME Group Inc.,目标价为245美元,意味着上涨23%。分析师Alex Kramm表示,该衍生品交易平台受益于全球扩张、创新、期权的采用和定价。他认为监管可以为增长提供推动力。</li></ul>克拉姆写道:“作为一家主要的美国期货企业,芝商所在该领域享有最高的进入壁垒。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Danaher Corp. has a price target of $365, which implies 22% upside. Analyst John Sourbeer believes the medical products and services company (DHR) is “very well positioned” within the life sciences tool and services sector, as COVID testing should hold up much better than peers and the vaccine and therapeutic opportunity appears durable.</li> </ul> “DHR sales engine is able to proactively identify areas of potential pricing pressure and [successfully] navigate customers to high-value product,” Sourbeer wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>丹纳赫公司的目标价为365美元,这意味着22%的上涨空间。分析师John Sourbeer认为,医疗产品和服务公司(DHR)在生命科学工具和服务领域“处于非常有利的地位”,因为新冠病毒检测应该比同行好得多,而且疫苗和治疗机会似乎是持久的。</li></ul>Sourbeer写道:“DHR销售引擎能够主动识别潜在定价压力的领域,并[成功地]引导客户购买高价值产品。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul> <li>EOG Resources Inc. has a $119 stock price target that suggests 38% upside. Analyst Lloyd Byrne the oil and natural gas exploration company is well positioned to mitigate inflationary pressures expected next year given well costs that are expected to be flat to lower in 2022 because of reduced drilling days, the deployment of “super zipper fracs” and contracts negotiated at lower rates.</li> </ul> “Pricing power in commodity companies is difficult to achieve. Those that can hold margins by best controlling costs, though, are better positioned,” Byrne wrote. “EOG is better positioned than most by being proactive with input and service costs, while excelling in operations.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>EOG Resources Inc.的目标股价为119美元,上涨38%。分析师劳埃德·伯恩(Lloyd Byrne)鉴于由于钻井天数减少、部署“超级拉链压裂”和合同谈判,预计2022年油井成本将持平或下降,这家石油和天然气勘探公司处于有利地位,可以缓解明年预计的通胀压力。较低的利率。</li></ul>“大宗商品公司的定价权很难实现。不过,那些能够通过最佳控制成本来保持利润的公司处于更有利的地位,”伯恩写道。“EOG比大多数公司处于更有利的地位,因为它积极主动地降低投入和服务成本,同时在运营方面表现出色。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Extra Space Storage Inc.’s stock price target of $210 implies 24% upside. Analyst Michael Goldsmith said he believes strong underlying demand, in conjunction with decelerating supply growth, support rent growth.</li> </ul> “Strong demand for self storage and elevated occupancy rates, combined with its non-discretionary nature increased pricing power of the operators,” Goldsmith wrote. “Operators are flexing their pricing power to new customers, as well as existing customer rent increases every 9-12 months.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Extra Space Storage Inc.的目标股价为210美元,意味着上涨24%。分析师迈克尔·戈德史密斯表示,他认为强劲的潜在需求,加上供应增长放缓,将支撑租金增长。</li></ul>戈德史密斯写道:“对自助存储的强劲需求和较高的入住率,加上其非自由支配的性质,增加了运营商的定价能力。”“运营商正在向新客户展示他们的定价权,现有客户的租金每9-12个月上涨一次。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Generac Holdings Inc. has a price target of $500, which implies 23% upside. Analyst Jon Windham believes the power generation equipment maker’s competitive edge lies in its customer acquisition platform, which should enable it to take market share from incumbents SolarEdge Technologies Inc. and Enphase Energy Inc..</li> </ul> “Dominant market share (~80%) and strong demand for home standby power have insulated already high residential product margins,” Windham wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Generac Holdings Inc.的目标价为500美元,这意味着上涨23%。分析师Jon Windham认为,这家发电设备制造商的竞争优势在于其客户获取平台,这将使其能够从现有企业SolarEdge Technologies Inc.和Enphase Energy Inc.手中夺取市场份额。</li></ul>温德姆写道:“主导市场份额(约80%)和对家庭备用电源的强劲需求隔离了本已很高的住宅产品利润率。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Nike Inc.’s price target of $185 implies 24% upside. Analyst Jay Sole said a UBS survey and pricing data reveal that the Nike brand currently is No. 1 in mindshare globally and the sports apparel and accessories company has significant room to reduce promotions.</li> </ul> “We believe the market doesn’t fully appreciate how Nike’s investments in product innovation, supply chain and e-commerce are working in concert to drive unit growth and [average selling price] increases,” Sole wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>耐克公司185美元的目标价意味着24%的上涨空间。分析师Jay Sole表示,瑞银的调查和定价数据显示,耐克品牌目前在全球关注度排名第一,这家运动服装和配饰公司有很大的空间减少促销活动。</li></ul>Sole写道:“我们认为市场并没有完全理解耐克在产品创新、供应链和电子商务方面的投资如何协同推动销量增长和[平均售价]上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Salesforce.com Inc. has a stock price target of $330 that implies 20% upside potential. Analyst Karl Keirstead said the customer relationship management software company appears to be moving well beyond the previous era of limited operating margin expansion, and committing to boosting annual operating margins.</li> </ul> “Importantly, the drivers behind the improved margin outlook strike us as sustainable, with topline outperformance, a permanent shift towards WFH [work from home] and Zoom-based customer interactions, and renewed expense discipline internally…the three biggest drivers,” Keirstead wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Salesforce.com Inc.的目标股价为330美元,这意味着20%的上涨潜力。分析师Karl Keirstead表示,这家客户关系管理软件公司似乎正在远远超越之前营业利润率扩张有限的时代,并致力于提高年度营业利润率。</li></ul>“重要的是,利润率前景改善背后的驱动因素在我们看来是可持续的,营收表现出色,永久转向WFH(在家工作)和基于Zoom的客户互动,以及内部更新的费用纪律……这是三个最大的驱动因素,”凯尔斯泰德写道。</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Teleflex Inc.’s price target of $480 implies 28% upside. Analyst Matthew Taylor said the medical technology products company makes a number of inexpensive products that fly under the radar, given them the opportunity to increase prices.</li> </ul> Taylor said he believes margins can go “significantly higher” over the long term, given the company’s leverage to both necessary and elective procedures, which should return quickly in a post-pandemic world.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Teleflex Inc.的目标价为480美元,意味着上涨28%。分析师马修·泰勒表示,这家医疗技术产品公司生产了许多不为人所知的廉价产品,这给了他们提高价格的机会。</li></ul>泰勒表示,鉴于该公司在必要程序和选择性程序方面的影响力,他相信从长远来看,利润率可能会“显着提高”,而在大流行后的世界中,这些程序应该会迅速恢复。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here are 10 'high conviction' stocks of companies with strong pricing power and at least 20% upside potential to UBS targets<blockquote>以下是10只“高度确信”的公司股票,它们具有强大的定价能力,比瑞银目标至少有20%的上涨潜力</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere are 10 'high conviction' stocks of companies with strong pricing power and at least 20% upside potential to UBS targets<blockquote>以下是10只“高度确信”的公司股票,它们具有强大的定价能力,比瑞银目标至少有20%的上涨潜力</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-07 09:39</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>UBS expects pricing power to be even more important as shipping, raw materials and wage costs surge</p><p><blockquote>瑞银预计,随着航运、原材料和工资成本飙升,定价权将变得更加重要</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9666acc8b6cbedd5fb585565a168bcf\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>盖蒂图片</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Inflation and supply issues are among the buzziest words on Wall Street as the third-quarter earnings reporting season approaches, with investors waiting to see which companies were the best at managing surging cost pressures and shipping disruptions.</p><p><blockquote>随着第三季度财报季的临近,通胀和供应问题是华尔街最热门的词汇之一,投资者等着看哪些公司最擅长管理飙升的成本压力和航运中断。</blockquote></p><p> UBS strategists believe one of the best ways to deal with these headwinds is for a company to raise prices, but not all companies can do so by enough to make a real difference without losing customers.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银策略师认为,应对这些不利因素的最佳方法之一是公司提高价格,但并非所有公司都能提高价格,从而在不失去客户的情况下产生真正的影响。</blockquote></p><p> A number of companies in different sectors have already cut forward guidance, given rising costs and supply-chain disruptions, such as FedEx Corp.,Nu Skin Enterprises Inc. and Dollar Tree Inc..</p><p><blockquote>鉴于成本上升和供应链中断,不同行业的许多公司已经下调了前瞻性指引,如联邦快递公司、如新企业公司和美元树公司..</blockquote></p><p> Third-quarter earnings season kicks off in earnest next week, with aggregate earnings per share of the S&P 500 companies expected to show year-over-year growth in earnings per share of about 27% and in sales of about 15%.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度财报季将于下周正式拉开帷幕,标普500公司的每股收益总额预计将同比增长约27%,销售额将同比增长约15%。</blockquote></p><p> “Pricing power should be an even more important theme for relative returns with surging shipping costs, rising raw materials, supply chain issues and accelerating wage growth,” UBS strategists wrote in a note to clients this week.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银策略师本周在给客户的一份报告中写道:“随着运输成本飙升、原材料上涨、供应链问题和工资增长加速,定价能力应该成为相对回报的一个更加重要的主题。”</blockquote></p><p> So the strategists, led by Keith Parker, asked UBS analysts across 33 industries to identify companies with the strongest relative pricing power. The analysts were also asked to pick out companies that scored in the top third of their respective sectors based on UBS Equity Strategy’s composite score for pricing power, margin momentum and input cost exposure; have “buy” ratings; and have stocks with at least 10% upside potential to their respective price targets.</p><p><blockquote>因此,由基思·帕克(Keith Parker)领导的策略师要求瑞银(UBS)33个行业的分析师找出相对定价能力最强的公司。分析师还被要求根据瑞银股票策略在定价能力、利润率势头和投入成本敞口方面的综合得分,选出在各自行业中得分排名前三分之一的公司;拥有“买入”评级;并且股票的价格目标至少有10%的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> Here are 10 “high conviction, strong pricing power stocks” on UBS’s list that have at least 20% upside to the analysts’ stock price targets, in alphabetical order:</p><p><blockquote>以下是瑞银名单上的10只“信念坚定、定价能力强的股票”,它们比分析师的股价目标至少有20%的上涨空间,按字母顺序排列:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Advance Auto Parts Inc.,with a price target of $255, which implies an upside of about 21% to prices in afternoon trading Wednesday. Analyst Michael Lasser said he believes the auto parts company’s (AAP) aftermarket fundamentals are in a strong position, and that a gradual increase in mobility and a return to working in offices should drive further recovery in vehicle miles traveled.</li> </ul> “The auto parts sector traditionally has strong pricing power, with an ability to pass along price increases to customers,” Lasser wrote. “Plus, AAP also have the largest exposure to the commercial segment of the market, which is viewed even more favorably.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Advance Auto Parts Inc.,目标价为255美元,这意味着周三下午交易的价格有约21%的上涨空间。分析师迈克尔·拉瑟(Michael Lasser)表示,他认为这家汽车零部件公司(AAP)的售后市场基本面处于强势地位,流动性的逐步增加和重返办公室工作应该会推动车辆行驶里程的进一步恢复。</li></ul>“汽车零部件行业传统上拥有强大的定价权,能够将价格上涨转嫁给客户,”拉塞尔写道。“此外,AAP在市场的商业领域也拥有最大的敞口,这一点受到了更多的青睐。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Apple Inc.,which has a price target of $175 that implies 24% upside. Analyst David Vogt said the combination of its technological capability, supported by its retention metrics from UBS surveys that indicate high customer satisfaction for Apple products, suggests the PC and smartphone giant’s brand equity should drive adoption in the battery-electric-vehicle (BEV) market.</li> </ul> “End-market demand has been improving year-over-year, leading to elevated ‘wait times’ despite increased product procurement/production,” Vogt wrote. Regarding the BEV market, Vogt said that while Apple isn’t a first mover, “its significant resources should enable the company to be a ‘fast follower,'” similar to when it entered the smartphone market in 2007.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果公司的目标价为175美元,意味着24%的上涨空间。分析师David Vogt表示,瑞银调查显示客户对苹果产品的满意度很高,其技术能力的结合表明,这家个人电脑和智能手机巨头的品牌资产应该会推动电池电动汽车(BEV)市场的采用。</li></ul>沃格特写道:“尽管产品采购/产量增加,但终端市场需求逐年改善,导致‘等待时间’增加。”关于纯电动汽车市场,Vogt表示,虽然苹果不是先行者,但“其大量资源应该使该公司成为‘快速追随者’”,类似于2007年进入智能手机市场时。</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>CME Group Inc.,with a price target of $245 implying 23% upside. Analyst Alex Kramm said the derivatives trading platform benefits from global expansion, innovation, adoption of options and pricing. And he believes regulation could provide a tailwind to growth.</li> </ul> “As primarily a U.S. futures business, CME enjoys the highest barriers of entry in the space,” Kramm wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>CME Group Inc.,目标价为245美元,意味着上涨23%。分析师Alex Kramm表示,该衍生品交易平台受益于全球扩张、创新、期权的采用和定价。他认为监管可以为增长提供推动力。</li></ul>克拉姆写道:“作为一家主要的美国期货企业,芝商所在该领域享有最高的进入壁垒。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Danaher Corp. has a price target of $365, which implies 22% upside. Analyst John Sourbeer believes the medical products and services company (DHR) is “very well positioned” within the life sciences tool and services sector, as COVID testing should hold up much better than peers and the vaccine and therapeutic opportunity appears durable.</li> </ul> “DHR sales engine is able to proactively identify areas of potential pricing pressure and [successfully] navigate customers to high-value product,” Sourbeer wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>丹纳赫公司的目标价为365美元,这意味着22%的上涨空间。分析师John Sourbeer认为,医疗产品和服务公司(DHR)在生命科学工具和服务领域“处于非常有利的地位”,因为新冠病毒检测应该比同行好得多,而且疫苗和治疗机会似乎是持久的。</li></ul>Sourbeer写道:“DHR销售引擎能够主动识别潜在定价压力的领域,并[成功地]引导客户购买高价值产品。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul> <li>EOG Resources Inc. has a $119 stock price target that suggests 38% upside. Analyst Lloyd Byrne the oil and natural gas exploration company is well positioned to mitigate inflationary pressures expected next year given well costs that are expected to be flat to lower in 2022 because of reduced drilling days, the deployment of “super zipper fracs” and contracts negotiated at lower rates.</li> </ul> “Pricing power in commodity companies is difficult to achieve. Those that can hold margins by best controlling costs, though, are better positioned,” Byrne wrote. “EOG is better positioned than most by being proactive with input and service costs, while excelling in operations.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>EOG Resources Inc.的目标股价为119美元,上涨38%。分析师劳埃德·伯恩(Lloyd Byrne)鉴于由于钻井天数减少、部署“超级拉链压裂”和合同谈判,预计2022年油井成本将持平或下降,这家石油和天然气勘探公司处于有利地位,可以缓解明年预计的通胀压力。较低的利率。</li></ul>“大宗商品公司的定价权很难实现。不过,那些能够通过最佳控制成本来保持利润的公司处于更有利的地位,”伯恩写道。“EOG比大多数公司处于更有利的地位,因为它积极主动地降低投入和服务成本,同时在运营方面表现出色。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Extra Space Storage Inc.’s stock price target of $210 implies 24% upside. Analyst Michael Goldsmith said he believes strong underlying demand, in conjunction with decelerating supply growth, support rent growth.</li> </ul> “Strong demand for self storage and elevated occupancy rates, combined with its non-discretionary nature increased pricing power of the operators,” Goldsmith wrote. “Operators are flexing their pricing power to new customers, as well as existing customer rent increases every 9-12 months.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Extra Space Storage Inc.的目标股价为210美元,意味着上涨24%。分析师迈克尔·戈德史密斯表示,他认为强劲的潜在需求,加上供应增长放缓,将支撑租金增长。</li></ul>戈德史密斯写道:“对自助存储的强劲需求和较高的入住率,加上其非自由支配的性质,增加了运营商的定价能力。”“运营商正在向新客户展示他们的定价权,现有客户的租金每9-12个月上涨一次。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Generac Holdings Inc. has a price target of $500, which implies 23% upside. Analyst Jon Windham believes the power generation equipment maker’s competitive edge lies in its customer acquisition platform, which should enable it to take market share from incumbents SolarEdge Technologies Inc. and Enphase Energy Inc..</li> </ul> “Dominant market share (~80%) and strong demand for home standby power have insulated already high residential product margins,” Windham wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Generac Holdings Inc.的目标价为500美元,这意味着上涨23%。分析师Jon Windham认为,这家发电设备制造商的竞争优势在于其客户获取平台,这将使其能够从现有企业SolarEdge Technologies Inc.和Enphase Energy Inc.手中夺取市场份额。</li></ul>温德姆写道:“主导市场份额(约80%)和对家庭备用电源的强劲需求隔离了本已很高的住宅产品利润率。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Nike Inc.’s price target of $185 implies 24% upside. Analyst Jay Sole said a UBS survey and pricing data reveal that the Nike brand currently is No. 1 in mindshare globally and the sports apparel and accessories company has significant room to reduce promotions.</li> </ul> “We believe the market doesn’t fully appreciate how Nike’s investments in product innovation, supply chain and e-commerce are working in concert to drive unit growth and [average selling price] increases,” Sole wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>耐克公司185美元的目标价意味着24%的上涨空间。分析师Jay Sole表示,瑞银的调查和定价数据显示,耐克品牌目前在全球关注度排名第一,这家运动服装和配饰公司有很大的空间减少促销活动。</li></ul>Sole写道:“我们认为市场并没有完全理解耐克在产品创新、供应链和电子商务方面的投资如何协同推动销量增长和[平均售价]上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Salesforce.com Inc. has a stock price target of $330 that implies 20% upside potential. Analyst Karl Keirstead said the customer relationship management software company appears to be moving well beyond the previous era of limited operating margin expansion, and committing to boosting annual operating margins.</li> </ul> “Importantly, the drivers behind the improved margin outlook strike us as sustainable, with topline outperformance, a permanent shift towards WFH [work from home] and Zoom-based customer interactions, and renewed expense discipline internally…the three biggest drivers,” Keirstead wrote.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Salesforce.com Inc.的目标股价为330美元,这意味着20%的上涨潜力。分析师Karl Keirstead表示,这家客户关系管理软件公司似乎正在远远超越之前营业利润率扩张有限的时代,并致力于提高年度营业利润率。</li></ul>“重要的是,利润率前景改善背后的驱动因素在我们看来是可持续的,营收表现出色,永久转向WFH(在家工作)和基于Zoom的客户互动,以及内部更新的费用纪律……这是三个最大的驱动因素,”凯尔斯泰德写道。</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Teleflex Inc.’s price target of $480 implies 28% upside. Analyst Matthew Taylor said the medical technology products company makes a number of inexpensive products that fly under the radar, given them the opportunity to increase prices.</li> </ul> Taylor said he believes margins can go “significantly higher” over the long term, given the company’s leverage to both necessary and elective procedures, which should return quickly in a post-pandemic world.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Teleflex Inc.的目标价为480美元,意味着上涨28%。分析师马修·泰勒表示,这家医疗技术产品公司生产了许多不为人所知的廉价产品,这给了他们提高价格的机会。</li></ul>泰勒表示,鉴于该公司在必要程序和选择性程序方面的影响力,他相信从长远来看,利润率可能会“显着提高”,而在大流行后的世界中,这些程序应该会迅速恢复。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/here-are-10-high-conviction-stocks-of-companies-with-strong-pricing-power-and-at-least-20-upside-potential-to-ubs-targets-11633547178?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AEE":"阿曼瑞恩","DLTR":"美元树公司","NUS":"如新集团","CHTR":"特许通讯","FDX":"联邦快递","KO":"可口可乐","DHR":"丹纳赫","CRM":"赛富时","AAPL":"苹果","EOG":"依欧格资源","CME":"芝加哥商品交易所","AAP":"Advance Auto Parts Inc","NKE":"耐克","SBAC":"SBA通信","GNRC":"Generac控股","EXR":"Extra Space Storage Inc","SEDG":"SolarEdge Technologies, Inc.","USB":"美国合众银行","ENPH":"Enphase Energy"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/here-are-10-high-conviction-stocks-of-companies-with-strong-pricing-power-and-at-least-20-upside-potential-to-ubs-targets-11633547178?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2173948607","content_text":"UBS expects pricing power to be even more important as shipping, raw materials and wage costs surge\nGetty Images\nInflation and supply issues are among the buzziest words on Wall Street as the third-quarter earnings reporting season approaches, with investors waiting to see which companies were the best at managing surging cost pressures and shipping disruptions.\nUBS strategists believe one of the best ways to deal with these headwinds is for a company to raise prices, but not all companies can do so by enough to make a real difference without losing customers.\nA number of companies in different sectors have already cut forward guidance, given rising costs and supply-chain disruptions, such as FedEx Corp.,Nu Skin Enterprises Inc. and Dollar Tree Inc..\nThird-quarter earnings season kicks off in earnest next week, with aggregate earnings per share of the S&P 500 companies expected to show year-over-year growth in earnings per share of about 27% and in sales of about 15%.\n“Pricing power should be an even more important theme for relative returns with surging shipping costs, rising raw materials, supply chain issues and accelerating wage growth,” UBS strategists wrote in a note to clients this week.\nSo the strategists, led by Keith Parker, asked UBS analysts across 33 industries to identify companies with the strongest relative pricing power. The analysts were also asked to pick out companies that scored in the top third of their respective sectors based on UBS Equity Strategy’s composite score for pricing power, margin momentum and input cost exposure; have “buy” ratings; and have stocks with at least 10% upside potential to their respective price targets.\nHere are 10 “high conviction, strong pricing power stocks” on UBS’s list that have at least 20% upside to the analysts’ stock price targets, in alphabetical order:\n\nAdvance Auto Parts Inc.,with a price target of $255, which implies an upside of about 21% to prices in afternoon trading Wednesday. Analyst Michael Lasser said he believes the auto parts company’s (AAP) aftermarket fundamentals are in a strong position, and that a gradual increase in mobility and a return to working in offices should drive further recovery in vehicle miles traveled.\n\n“The auto parts sector traditionally has strong pricing power, with an ability to pass along price increases to customers,” Lasser wrote. “Plus, AAP also have the largest exposure to the commercial segment of the market, which is viewed even more favorably.”\n\nApple Inc.,which has a price target of $175 that implies 24% upside. Analyst David Vogt said the combination of its technological capability, supported by its retention metrics from UBS surveys that indicate high customer satisfaction for Apple products, suggests the PC and smartphone giant’s brand equity should drive adoption in the battery-electric-vehicle (BEV) market.\n\n“End-market demand has been improving year-over-year, leading to elevated ‘wait times’ despite increased product procurement/production,” Vogt wrote. Regarding the BEV market, Vogt said that while Apple isn’t a first mover, “its significant resources should enable the company to be a ‘fast follower,'” similar to when it entered the smartphone market in 2007.\n\nCME Group Inc.,with a price target of $245 implying 23% upside. Analyst Alex Kramm said the derivatives trading platform benefits from global expansion, innovation, adoption of options and pricing. And he believes regulation could provide a tailwind to growth.\n\n“As primarily a U.S. futures business, CME enjoys the highest barriers of entry in the space,” Kramm wrote.\n\nDanaher Corp. has a price target of $365, which implies 22% upside. Analyst John Sourbeer believes the medical products and services company (DHR) is “very well positioned” within the life sciences tool and services sector, as COVID testing should hold up much better than peers and the vaccine and therapeutic opportunity appears durable.\n\n“DHR sales engine is able to proactively identify areas of potential pricing pressure and [successfully] navigate customers to high-value product,” Sourbeer wrote.\n\nEOG Resources Inc. has a $119 stock price target that suggests 38% upside. Analyst Lloyd Byrne the oil and natural gas exploration company is well positioned to mitigate inflationary pressures expected next year given well costs that are expected to be flat to lower in 2022 because of reduced drilling days, the deployment of “super zipper fracs” and contracts negotiated at lower rates.\n\n“Pricing power in commodity companies is difficult to achieve. Those that can hold margins by best controlling costs, though, are better positioned,” Byrne wrote. “EOG is better positioned than most by being proactive with input and service costs, while excelling in operations.”\n\nExtra Space Storage Inc.’s stock price target of $210 implies 24% upside. Analyst Michael Goldsmith said he believes strong underlying demand, in conjunction with decelerating supply growth, support rent growth.\n\n“Strong demand for self storage and elevated occupancy rates, combined with its non-discretionary nature increased pricing power of the operators,” Goldsmith wrote. “Operators are flexing their pricing power to new customers, as well as existing customer rent increases every 9-12 months.”\n\nGenerac Holdings Inc. has a price target of $500, which implies 23% upside. Analyst Jon Windham believes the power generation equipment maker’s competitive edge lies in its customer acquisition platform, which should enable it to take market share from incumbents SolarEdge Technologies Inc. and Enphase Energy Inc..\n\n“Dominant market share (~80%) and strong demand for home standby power have insulated already high residential product margins,” Windham wrote.\n\nNike Inc.’s price target of $185 implies 24% upside. Analyst Jay Sole said a UBS survey and pricing data reveal that the Nike brand currently is No. 1 in mindshare globally and the sports apparel and accessories company has significant room to reduce promotions.\n\n“We believe the market doesn’t fully appreciate how Nike’s investments in product innovation, supply chain and e-commerce are working in concert to drive unit growth and [average selling price] increases,” Sole wrote.\n\nSalesforce.com Inc. has a stock price target of $330 that implies 20% upside potential. Analyst Karl Keirstead said the customer relationship management software company appears to be moving well beyond the previous era of limited operating margin expansion, and committing to boosting annual operating margins.\n\n“Importantly, the drivers behind the improved margin outlook strike us as sustainable, with topline outperformance, a permanent shift towards WFH [work from home] and Zoom-based customer interactions, and renewed expense discipline internally…the three biggest drivers,” Keirstead wrote.\n\nTeleflex Inc.’s price target of $480 implies 28% upside. Analyst Matthew Taylor said the medical technology products company makes a number of inexpensive products that fly under the radar, given them the opportunity to increase prices.\n\nTaylor said he believes margins can go “significantly higher” over the long term, given the company’s leverage to both necessary and elective procedures, which should return quickly in a post-pandemic world.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SBAC":0.9,"AAP":0.9,"CHTR":0.9,"EXR":0.9,"KO":0.9,"EOG":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"FDX":0.9,"NKE":0.9,"AEE":0.9,"CRM":0.9,"SEDG":0.9,"DHR":0.9,"NUS":0.9,"GNRC":0.9,"USB":0.9,"ENPH":0.9,"CME":0.9,"DLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3804,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824918872,"gmtCreate":1634268847648,"gmtModify":1634274407385,"author":{"id":"3584845105860173","authorId":"3584845105860173","name":"Shawnn_13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584845105860173","idStr":"3584845105860173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like plz","listText":"like plz","text":"like plz","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824918872","repostId":"1129314610","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129314610","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634253682,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129314610?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-15 07:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 surges, biggest daily percentage rise since March on earnings, data<blockquote>标普500股价飙升,盈利和数据创3月份以来最大单日百分比涨幅</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129314610","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 jumped on Thursday, its biggest daily percentage advance since earl","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 jumped on Thursday, its biggest daily percentage advance since early March, as companies including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">UnitedHealth</a> climbed following strong results, while data on the labor market and inflation soothed fears over the outlook for higher rates.</p><p><blockquote>纽约(路透社)-标普500周四跳涨,创3月初以来最大单日百分比涨幅,包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">联合健康</a>在强劲的业绩后攀升,而劳动力市场和通胀数据缓解了对加息前景的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> The technology sector jumped 2.3%, giving the S&P 500 its biggest boost, with shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc rising.</p><p><blockquote>科技板块上涨2.3%,给标普500带来最大提振,股价为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>公司和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>公司崛起。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a>, $Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$ and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> also gained after they topped quarterly earnings estimates. The rebounding economy allowed them to release more cash they had set aside for pandemic losses, while sizzling deals, equity financing and trading added to profits. The S&P bank index jumped 1.5%.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗集团</a>,$美国银行(BAC-N)$和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>在超出季度盈利预期后也有所上涨。经济的反弹使他们能够释放更多为疫情损失预留的现金,而火热的交易、股权融资和交易增加了利润。标准普尔银行指数上涨1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Also, UnitedHealth Group Inc climbed 4.2% after the health insurer reported results and raised its full-year adjusted profit forecast on strength from its Optum unit that manages drug benefits.</p><p><blockquote>此外,联合健康集团(UnitedHealth Group Inc)股价上涨4.2%,此前该健康保险公司公布了业绩,并因其管理药品福利的Optum部门的实力而上调了全年调整后利润预测。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to optimism, data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits last week fell close to a 19-month low, and a separate report showed producer prices eased in September.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示,上周美国新申请失业救济人数降至接近19个月低点,另一份报告显示,9月份生产者价格有所放缓,这增加了乐观情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Data from recent inflation reports suggested COVID-driven price increases may have peaked. Still, Federal Reserve policymakers remain divided over inflation and what to do about it.</p><p><blockquote>最近通胀报告的数据表明,新冠疫情推动的价格上涨可能已经见顶。尽管如此,美联储政策制定者在通胀以及如何应对通胀问题上仍存在分歧。</blockquote></p><p> “Some of the things that worried the market in September, and even last week, as far as the inflation aspect and higher interest rates and the Delta variant, maybe have lessened,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz & Associates Inc., an investment advisory firm, based in Toledo, Ohio.</p><p><blockquote>Alan B.Lancz&Associates Inc.总裁Alan Lancz表示:“9月份甚至上周令市场担忧的一些事情,就通胀、利率上升和德尔塔变异毒株而言,可能已经有所缓解。”</blockquote></p><p> “Not that it’s all over, but on a temporary scale at least, you can make a case for it trending in the right direction.”</p><p><blockquote>“并不是说一切都结束了,但至少在暂时的范围内,你可以证明它正朝着正确的方向发展。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 534.75 points, or 1.56%, to 34,912.56, the S&P 500 gained 74.46 points, or 1.71%, to 4,438.26 and the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite added 251.8 points, or 1.73%, to 14,823.43.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨534.75点,涨幅1.56%,至34,912.56点;标普500上涨74.46点,涨幅1.71%,至4,438.26点;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>综合指数上涨251.8点,或1.73%,至14,823.43点。</blockquote></p><p> While the S&P 500 registered its biggest daily percentage gain since March 5, the Nasdaq notched its biggest since May 20 and the Dow its biggest since July 20.</p><p><blockquote>虽然标普500创下3月5日以来最大单日百分比涨幅,但纳斯达克创下5月20日以来最大涨幅,道琼斯指数创下7月20日以来最大涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Gains were broad-based, with all but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> S&P 500 sector rising more than 1%.</p><p><blockquote>收益基础广泛,除了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>标普500板块涨超1%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Moderna Inc ended up 3.2% after a panel of expert advisers to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration voted to recommend booster shots of its COVID-19 vaccine for Americans aged 65 and older and those at high risk of severe illness.</p><p><blockquote>美国专家顾问小组表示,Moderna Inc.的股价最终上涨3.2%。美国食品药品监督管理局投票建议为65岁及以上的美国人和患有严重疾病的高风险人群注射新冠肺炎疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a> Inc jumped 7.4% after the drugstore chain reported fourth-quarter revenue and adjusted profit above estimates and forecast growth of 11% to 13% in the long term.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">沃尔格林靴子联盟</a>Inc股价上涨7.4%,此前这家连锁药店公布第四季度营收和调整后利润高于预期,并预测长期增长率为11%至13%。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. companies are expected to report strong profit growth for the third quarter, but investors have been keen to hear what they say about rising costs, labor shortages and supply problems.</p><p><blockquote>预计美国企业将公布第三季度强劲的利润增长,但投资者一直渴望听到他们对成本上升、劳动力短缺和供应问题的看法。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.58-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.97-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为3.58比1;在纳斯达克,1.97比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 32 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 46 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下32个52周新高,无新低;纳斯达克综合指数录得82个新高和46个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.26 billion shares, compared with the 10.8 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为92.6亿股,而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为108亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 surges, biggest daily percentage rise since March on earnings, data<blockquote>标普500股价飙升,盈利和数据创3月份以来最大单日百分比涨幅</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 surges, biggest daily percentage rise since March on earnings, data<blockquote>标普500股价飙升,盈利和数据创3月份以来最大单日百分比涨幅</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-15 07:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 jumped on Thursday, its biggest daily percentage advance since early March, as companies including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">UnitedHealth</a> climbed following strong results, while data on the labor market and inflation soothed fears over the outlook for higher rates.</p><p><blockquote>纽约(路透社)-标普500周四跳涨,创3月初以来最大单日百分比涨幅,包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">联合健康</a>在强劲的业绩后攀升,而劳动力市场和通胀数据缓解了对加息前景的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> The technology sector jumped 2.3%, giving the S&P 500 its biggest boost, with shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc rising.</p><p><blockquote>科技板块上涨2.3%,给标普500带来最大提振,股价为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>公司和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>公司崛起。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a>, $Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$ and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> also gained after they topped quarterly earnings estimates. The rebounding economy allowed them to release more cash they had set aside for pandemic losses, while sizzling deals, equity financing and trading added to profits. The S&P bank index jumped 1.5%.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗集团</a>,$美国银行(BAC-N)$和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>在超出季度盈利预期后也有所上涨。经济的反弹使他们能够释放更多为疫情损失预留的现金,而火热的交易、股权融资和交易增加了利润。标准普尔银行指数上涨1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Also, UnitedHealth Group Inc climbed 4.2% after the health insurer reported results and raised its full-year adjusted profit forecast on strength from its Optum unit that manages drug benefits.</p><p><blockquote>此外,联合健康集团(UnitedHealth Group Inc)股价上涨4.2%,此前该健康保险公司公布了业绩,并因其管理药品福利的Optum部门的实力而上调了全年调整后利润预测。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to optimism, data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits last week fell close to a 19-month low, and a separate report showed producer prices eased in September.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示,上周美国新申请失业救济人数降至接近19个月低点,另一份报告显示,9月份生产者价格有所放缓,这增加了乐观情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Data from recent inflation reports suggested COVID-driven price increases may have peaked. Still, Federal Reserve policymakers remain divided over inflation and what to do about it.</p><p><blockquote>最近通胀报告的数据表明,新冠疫情推动的价格上涨可能已经见顶。尽管如此,美联储政策制定者在通胀以及如何应对通胀问题上仍存在分歧。</blockquote></p><p> “Some of the things that worried the market in September, and even last week, as far as the inflation aspect and higher interest rates and the Delta variant, maybe have lessened,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz & Associates Inc., an investment advisory firm, based in Toledo, Ohio.</p><p><blockquote>Alan B.Lancz&Associates Inc.总裁Alan Lancz表示:“9月份甚至上周令市场担忧的一些事情,就通胀、利率上升和德尔塔变异毒株而言,可能已经有所缓解。”</blockquote></p><p> “Not that it’s all over, but on a temporary scale at least, you can make a case for it trending in the right direction.”</p><p><blockquote>“并不是说一切都结束了,但至少在暂时的范围内,你可以证明它正朝着正确的方向发展。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 534.75 points, or 1.56%, to 34,912.56, the S&P 500 gained 74.46 points, or 1.71%, to 4,438.26 and the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite added 251.8 points, or 1.73%, to 14,823.43.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨534.75点,涨幅1.56%,至34,912.56点;标普500上涨74.46点,涨幅1.71%,至4,438.26点;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>综合指数上涨251.8点,或1.73%,至14,823.43点。</blockquote></p><p> While the S&P 500 registered its biggest daily percentage gain since March 5, the Nasdaq notched its biggest since May 20 and the Dow its biggest since July 20.</p><p><blockquote>虽然标普500创下3月5日以来最大单日百分比涨幅,但纳斯达克创下5月20日以来最大涨幅,道琼斯指数创下7月20日以来最大涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Gains were broad-based, with all but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> S&P 500 sector rising more than 1%.</p><p><blockquote>收益基础广泛,除了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>标普500板块涨超1%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Moderna Inc ended up 3.2% after a panel of expert advisers to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration voted to recommend booster shots of its COVID-19 vaccine for Americans aged 65 and older and those at high risk of severe illness.</p><p><blockquote>美国专家顾问小组表示,Moderna Inc.的股价最终上涨3.2%。美国食品药品监督管理局投票建议为65岁及以上的美国人和患有严重疾病的高风险人群注射新冠肺炎疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a> Inc jumped 7.4% after the drugstore chain reported fourth-quarter revenue and adjusted profit above estimates and forecast growth of 11% to 13% in the long term.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">沃尔格林靴子联盟</a>Inc股价上涨7.4%,此前这家连锁药店公布第四季度营收和调整后利润高于预期,并预测长期增长率为11%至13%。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. companies are expected to report strong profit growth for the third quarter, but investors have been keen to hear what they say about rising costs, labor shortages and supply problems.</p><p><blockquote>预计美国企业将公布第三季度强劲的利润增长,但投资者一直渴望听到他们对成本上升、劳动力短缺和供应问题的看法。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.58-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.97-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为3.58比1;在纳斯达克,1.97比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 32 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 46 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下32个52周新高,无新低;纳斯达克综合指数录得82个新高和46个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.26 billion shares, compared with the 10.8 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为92.6亿股,而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为108亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-surges-biggest-daily-percentage-rise-since-march-on-earnings-data-idUSL1N2RA2WC\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-surges-biggest-daily-percentage-rise-since-march-on-earnings-data-idUSL1N2RA2WC","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129314610","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 jumped on Thursday, its biggest daily percentage advance since early March, as companies including Morgan Stanley and UnitedHealth climbed following strong results, while data on the labor market and inflation soothed fears over the outlook for higher rates.\nThe technology sector jumped 2.3%, giving the S&P 500 its biggest boost, with shares of Microsoft Corp and Apple Inc rising.\nShares of Citigroup, $Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$ and Morgan Stanley also gained after they topped quarterly earnings estimates. The rebounding economy allowed them to release more cash they had set aside for pandemic losses, while sizzling deals, equity financing and trading added to profits. The S&P bank index jumped 1.5%.\nAlso, UnitedHealth Group Inc climbed 4.2% after the health insurer reported results and raised its full-year adjusted profit forecast on strength from its Optum unit that manages drug benefits.\nAdding to optimism, data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits last week fell close to a 19-month low, and a separate report showed producer prices eased in September.\nData from recent inflation reports suggested COVID-driven price increases may have peaked. Still, Federal Reserve policymakers remain divided over inflation and what to do about it.\n“Some of the things that worried the market in September, and even last week, as far as the inflation aspect and higher interest rates and the Delta variant, maybe have lessened,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz & Associates Inc., an investment advisory firm, based in Toledo, Ohio.\n“Not that it’s all over, but on a temporary scale at least, you can make a case for it trending in the right direction.”\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 534.75 points, or 1.56%, to 34,912.56, the S&P 500 gained 74.46 points, or 1.71%, to 4,438.26 and the Nasdaq Composite added 251.8 points, or 1.73%, to 14,823.43.\nWhile the S&P 500 registered its biggest daily percentage gain since March 5, the Nasdaq notched its biggest since May 20 and the Dow its biggest since July 20.\nGains were broad-based, with all but one S&P 500 sector rising more than 1%.\nShares of Moderna Inc ended up 3.2% after a panel of expert advisers to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration voted to recommend booster shots of its COVID-19 vaccine for Americans aged 65 and older and those at high risk of severe illness.\nWalgreens Boots Alliance Inc jumped 7.4% after the drugstore chain reported fourth-quarter revenue and adjusted profit above estimates and forecast growth of 11% to 13% in the long term.\nU.S. companies are expected to report strong profit growth for the third quarter, but investors have been keen to hear what they say about rising costs, labor shortages and supply problems.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.58-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.97-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 32 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 46 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.26 billion shares, compared with the 10.8 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"SDS":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"IVV":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"SH":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3116,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":860703749,"gmtCreate":1632206472481,"gmtModify":1632802064532,"author":{"id":"3584845105860173","authorId":"3584845105860173","name":"Shawnn_13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584845105860173","idStr":"3584845105860173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh no, like please","listText":"Oh no, like please","text":"Oh no, like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860703749","repostId":"2169681424","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":552,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":821252055,"gmtCreate":1633750757374,"gmtModify":1633750757468,"author":{"id":"3584845105860173","authorId":"3584845105860173","name":"Shawnn_13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584845105860173","idStr":"3584845105860173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821252055","repostId":"1167388174","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3371,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":884472257,"gmtCreate":1631930459779,"gmtModify":1632805273993,"author":{"id":"3584845105860173","authorId":"3584845105860173","name":"Shawnn_13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584845105860173","idStr":"3584845105860173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/884472257","repostId":"2168573380","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":467,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":822327472,"gmtCreate":1634093770765,"gmtModify":1634093770884,"author":{"id":"3584845105860173","authorId":"3584845105860173","name":"Shawnn_13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584845105860173","idStr":"3584845105860173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like plz ","listText":"like plz ","text":"like plz","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822327472","repostId":"1189203328","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189203328","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634087217,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1189203328?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-13 09:06","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Hong Kong stock exchange cancels morning trading session due to typhoon<blockquote>港交所因台风取消早盘交易时段</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189203328","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Hong Kong stock exchange cancels morning trading session due to typhoon.\nStorm warning signal No. 8,","content":"<p>Hong Kong stock exchange cancels morning trading session due to typhoon.</p><p><blockquote>港交所因台风取消早盘交易时段。</blockquote></p><p> Storm warning signal No. 8, the third-highest on its scale, will remain in force before noon, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. Kompasu, which was about 370 kilometers (230 miles) south-southwest of the city at 7 a.m. local time, is forecast to move west at about 25 kilometers an hour toward China’s Hainan Island, it said on its website.</p><p><blockquote>据香港天文台称,八号风暴警告信号是其级别的第三高信号,将在中午之前继续生效。该公司在其网站上表示,当地时间早上7点,康帕苏位于该市西南偏南约370公里(230英里)处,预计将以每小时约25公里的速度向西移动,向中国海南岛移动。</blockquote></p><p> It is likely that securities trading, including the Hong Kong-China stock connect and derivatives market, will be affected for the whole of Wednesday. If the weather warning isn’t lowered before noon, the entire day’s trading will be abandoned.</p><p><blockquote>很可能整个周三证券交易,包括港股通和衍生品市场都将受到影响。如果天气警告在中午之前没有降低,全天的交易将被放弃。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hong Kong stock exchange cancels morning trading session due to typhoon<blockquote>港交所因台风取消早盘交易时段</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHong Kong stock exchange cancels morning trading session due to typhoon<blockquote>港交所因台风取消早盘交易时段</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-13 09:06</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Hong Kong stock exchange cancels morning trading session due to typhoon.</p><p><blockquote>港交所因台风取消早盘交易时段。</blockquote></p><p> Storm warning signal No. 8, the third-highest on its scale, will remain in force before noon, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. Kompasu, which was about 370 kilometers (230 miles) south-southwest of the city at 7 a.m. local time, is forecast to move west at about 25 kilometers an hour toward China’s Hainan Island, it said on its website.</p><p><blockquote>据香港天文台称,八号风暴警告信号是其级别的第三高信号,将在中午之前继续生效。该公司在其网站上表示,当地时间早上7点,康帕苏位于该市西南偏南约370公里(230英里)处,预计将以每小时约25公里的速度向西移动,向中国海南岛移动。</blockquote></p><p> It is likely that securities trading, including the Hong Kong-China stock connect and derivatives market, will be affected for the whole of Wednesday. If the weather warning isn’t lowered before noon, the entire day’s trading will be abandoned.</p><p><blockquote>很可能整个周三证券交易,包括港股通和衍生品市场都将受到影响。如果天气警告在中午之前没有降低,全天的交易将被放弃。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HSI":"恒生指数","HSCCI":"红筹指数","HSTECH":"恒生科技指数","HSCEI":"国企指数"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189203328","content_text":"Hong Kong stock exchange cancels morning trading session due to typhoon.\nStorm warning signal No. 8, the third-highest on its scale, will remain in force before noon, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. Kompasu, which was about 370 kilometers (230 miles) south-southwest of the city at 7 a.m. local time, is forecast to move west at about 25 kilometers an hour toward China’s Hainan Island, it said on its website.\nIt is likely that securities trading, including the Hong Kong-China stock connect and derivatives market, will be affected for the whole of Wednesday. If the weather warning isn’t lowered before noon, the entire day’s trading will be abandoned.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HSI":0.9,"HSTECH":0.9,"HSCEI":0.9,"HSCCI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2160,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828529164,"gmtCreate":1633926191858,"gmtModify":1633926191858,"author":{"id":"3584845105860173","authorId":"3584845105860173","name":"Shawnn_13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584845105860173","idStr":"3584845105860173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like plz","listText":"like plz","text":"like plz","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828529164","repostId":"2174971913","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2031,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":858952513,"gmtCreate":1634967767980,"gmtModify":1634967768100,"author":{"id":"3584845105860173","authorId":"3584845105860173","name":"Shawnn_13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584845105860173","idStr":"3584845105860173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"lolz plz","listText":"lolz plz","text":"lolz plz","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858952513","repostId":"1166213725","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166213725","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634948473,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1166213725?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-23 08:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock Closed Above $900 for First Time. What Could Come Next.<blockquote>特斯拉股价首次收于900美元以上。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166213725","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla stock hit a new all-time high in Friday trading, and closed at a record. The stock’s recent run has been incredible. How high can it go?Tesla stock closed at $909.68, up about 1.8%. The S&P 500 dropped about 0.1%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added about 0.2%.Shares of the electric-vehicle giant have been boosted by strong deliveries and earnings. Shares also got a boost Friday from a credit upgrade at S&P. Tesla debt is now BB+ rated, one notch below investment grade.Tesla stoc","content":"<p>Tesla stock hit a new all-time high in Friday trading, and closed at a record. The stock’s recent run has been incredible. How high can it go?</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在周五交易中创下历史新高,收盘价创历史新高。该股最近的走势令人难以置信。能涨到多高?</blockquote></p><p> Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock closed at $909.68, up about 1.8%. The S&P 500 dropped about 0.1%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added about 0.2%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉(股票代码:TSLA)股价收于909.68美元,上涨约1.8%。标准普尔500指数下跌约0.1%,道琼斯工业平均指数上涨约0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of the electric-vehicle giant have been boosted by strong deliveries and earnings. Shares also got a boost Friday from a credit upgrade at S&P. Tesla debt is now BB+ rated, one notch below investment grade.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的交付量和盈利提振了这家电动汽车巨头的股价。周五,标准普尔的信用升级也提振了股价。特斯拉债务目前评级为BB+,比投资级低一级。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock’s new 52-week intraday high is $910 on the nose. The old high-water mark of $900.40 was set on Jan. 25, according to Dow Jones Market Data. On Thursday, Tesla closed at a record for the first time since Jan. 26.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价创52周盘中新高910美元。根据道琼斯市场数据,900.40美元的旧高水位是在1月25日创下的。周四,特斯拉自1月26日以来首次收于创纪录水平。</blockquote></p><p> Shares are up about 40% over the past three months, pushing the market cap to roughly $910 billion. (Tesla has about 1 billion shares outstanding, making the math easy.)</p><p><blockquote>过去三个月,股价上涨了约40%,市值达到约9100亿美元。(特斯拉拥有约10亿股已发行股票,这使得计算变得很容易。)</blockquote></p><p> Bulls, naturally, see more gains ahead. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives raised his bull-case Tesla stock price target to $1,500 from $1,300 after the company reported better-than-expected earnings on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>多头自然会看到未来会有更多收益。Wedbush分析师Dan Ives将牛市特斯拉股价目标从1300美元上调至1500美元,此前该公司周三公布了好于预期的财报。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla is rising because earnings revisions are soaring,” points out Gary Black, managing partner of the Future Fund Active exchange-traded fund. Analyst estimates for Tesla’s 2022 earnings have risen to about $8 a share from $6 over the past few weeks. “Rising estimates drove Tesla to the moon in 2020. They will drive Tesla to $1,000-plus in 2022,” Black says.</p><p><blockquote>“特斯拉正在上涨,因为盈利修正正在飙升,”未来基金主动交易所交易基金管理合伙人Gary Black指出。过去几周,分析师对特斯拉2022年每股收益的预期已从每股6美元升至约8美元。“不断上涨的估值推动特斯拉在2020年登上了月球。它们将推动特斯拉在2022年达到1,000美元以上,”Black说。</blockquote></p><p> Ives rates Tesla stock Buy, and Tesla is the largest position in Black’s fund.</p><p><blockquote>Ives将特斯拉股票评级为买入,特斯拉是Black基金的最大持仓。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, there are still Tesla bears out there who believe the stock is overvalued. The bottom third of analyst price targets averages about $425, less than half of Friday’s close.</p><p><blockquote>是的,仍然有看空特斯拉的人认为该股被高估了。分析师目标价的底部三分之一平均约为425美元,不到周五收盘价的一半。</blockquote></p><p> Bears expect the sky-high valuation to give investors pause eventually. Stocks don’t usually fall just because investors, collectively, wake up one morning and feel differently about valuation. Something has to happen. The overall market could tumble, or the business could trip up. Analysts expect Tesla deliveries to grow to 1.3 million units in 2022 from about 890,000 units in 2021. Any hiccup to growth would be a negative catalyst for shares.</p><p><blockquote>看空者预计天价估值最终会让投资者犹豫不决。股票通常不会因为投资者集体某天早上醒来对估值有不同的感觉而下跌。总得有事发生。整体市场可能会暴跌,或者企业可能会陷入困境。分析师预计,特斯拉的交付量将从2021年的约89万辆增长到2022年的130万辆。增长的任何问题都将成为股市的负面催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> Whether the stock rises or falls in the short run is anyone’s guess. For now, though, the momentum belongs to Tesla bulls.</p><p><blockquote>该股短期内是上涨还是下跌,谁也说不准。不过,就目前而言,势头属于特斯拉多头。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock Closed Above $900 for First Time. What Could Come Next.<blockquote>特斯拉股价首次收于900美元以上。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock Closed Above $900 for First Time. What Could Come Next.<blockquote>特斯拉股价首次收于900美元以上。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-23 08:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla stock hit a new all-time high in Friday trading, and closed at a record. The stock’s recent run has been incredible. How high can it go?</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在周五交易中创下历史新高,收盘价创历史新高。该股最近的走势令人难以置信。能涨到多高?</blockquote></p><p> Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock closed at $909.68, up about 1.8%. The S&P 500 dropped about 0.1%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added about 0.2%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉(股票代码:TSLA)股价收于909.68美元,上涨约1.8%。标准普尔500指数下跌约0.1%,道琼斯工业平均指数上涨约0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of the electric-vehicle giant have been boosted by strong deliveries and earnings. Shares also got a boost Friday from a credit upgrade at S&P. Tesla debt is now BB+ rated, one notch below investment grade.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的交付量和盈利提振了这家电动汽车巨头的股价。周五,标准普尔的信用升级也提振了股价。特斯拉债务目前评级为BB+,比投资级低一级。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock’s new 52-week intraday high is $910 on the nose. The old high-water mark of $900.40 was set on Jan. 25, according to Dow Jones Market Data. On Thursday, Tesla closed at a record for the first time since Jan. 26.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价创52周盘中新高910美元。根据道琼斯市场数据,900.40美元的旧高水位是在1月25日创下的。周四,特斯拉自1月26日以来首次收于创纪录水平。</blockquote></p><p> Shares are up about 40% over the past three months, pushing the market cap to roughly $910 billion. (Tesla has about 1 billion shares outstanding, making the math easy.)</p><p><blockquote>过去三个月,股价上涨了约40%,市值达到约9100亿美元。(特斯拉拥有约10亿股已发行股票,这使得计算变得很容易。)</blockquote></p><p> Bulls, naturally, see more gains ahead. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives raised his bull-case Tesla stock price target to $1,500 from $1,300 after the company reported better-than-expected earnings on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>多头自然会看到未来会有更多收益。Wedbush分析师Dan Ives将牛市特斯拉股价目标从1300美元上调至1500美元,此前该公司周三公布了好于预期的财报。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla is rising because earnings revisions are soaring,” points out Gary Black, managing partner of the Future Fund Active exchange-traded fund. Analyst estimates for Tesla’s 2022 earnings have risen to about $8 a share from $6 over the past few weeks. “Rising estimates drove Tesla to the moon in 2020. They will drive Tesla to $1,000-plus in 2022,” Black says.</p><p><blockquote>“特斯拉正在上涨,因为盈利修正正在飙升,”未来基金主动交易所交易基金管理合伙人Gary Black指出。过去几周,分析师对特斯拉2022年每股收益的预期已从每股6美元升至约8美元。“不断上涨的估值推动特斯拉在2020年登上了月球。它们将推动特斯拉在2022年达到1,000美元以上,”Black说。</blockquote></p><p> Ives rates Tesla stock Buy, and Tesla is the largest position in Black’s fund.</p><p><blockquote>Ives将特斯拉股票评级为买入,特斯拉是Black基金的最大持仓。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, there are still Tesla bears out there who believe the stock is overvalued. The bottom third of analyst price targets averages about $425, less than half of Friday’s close.</p><p><blockquote>是的,仍然有看空特斯拉的人认为该股被高估了。分析师目标价的底部三分之一平均约为425美元,不到周五收盘价的一半。</blockquote></p><p> Bears expect the sky-high valuation to give investors pause eventually. Stocks don’t usually fall just because investors, collectively, wake up one morning and feel differently about valuation. Something has to happen. The overall market could tumble, or the business could trip up. Analysts expect Tesla deliveries to grow to 1.3 million units in 2022 from about 890,000 units in 2021. Any hiccup to growth would be a negative catalyst for shares.</p><p><blockquote>看空者预计天价估值最终会让投资者犹豫不决。股票通常不会因为投资者集体某天早上醒来对估值有不同的感觉而下跌。总得有事发生。整体市场可能会暴跌,或者企业可能会陷入困境。分析师预计,特斯拉的交付量将从2021年的约89万辆增长到2022年的130万辆。增长的任何问题都将成为股市的负面催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> Whether the stock rises or falls in the short run is anyone’s guess. For now, though, the momentum belongs to Tesla bulls.</p><p><blockquote>该股短期内是上涨还是下跌,谁也说不准。不过,就目前而言,势头属于特斯拉多头。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-record-high-51634913773?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-record-high-51634913773?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166213725","content_text":"Tesla stock hit a new all-time high in Friday trading, and closed at a record. The stock’s recent run has been incredible. How high can it go?\nTesla (ticker: TSLA) stock closed at $909.68, up about 1.8%. The S&P 500 dropped about 0.1%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added about 0.2%.\nShares of the electric-vehicle giant have been boosted by strong deliveries and earnings. Shares also got a boost Friday from a credit upgrade at S&P. Tesla debt is now BB+ rated, one notch below investment grade.\nTesla stock’s new 52-week intraday high is $910 on the nose. The old high-water mark of $900.40 was set on Jan. 25, according to Dow Jones Market Data. On Thursday, Tesla closed at a record for the first time since Jan. 26.\nShares are up about 40% over the past three months, pushing the market cap to roughly $910 billion. (Tesla has about 1 billion shares outstanding, making the math easy.)\nBulls, naturally, see more gains ahead. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives raised his bull-case Tesla stock price target to $1,500 from $1,300 after the company reported better-than-expected earnings on Wednesday.\n“Tesla is rising because earnings revisions are soaring,” points out Gary Black, managing partner of the Future Fund Active exchange-traded fund. Analyst estimates for Tesla’s 2022 earnings have risen to about $8 a share from $6 over the past few weeks. “Rising estimates drove Tesla to the moon in 2020. They will drive Tesla to $1,000-plus in 2022,” Black says.\nIves rates Tesla stock Buy, and Tesla is the largest position in Black’s fund.\nYes, there are still Tesla bears out there who believe the stock is overvalued. The bottom third of analyst price targets averages about $425, less than half of Friday’s close.\nBears expect the sky-high valuation to give investors pause eventually. Stocks don’t usually fall just because investors, collectively, wake up one morning and feel differently about valuation. Something has to happen. The overall market could tumble, or the business could trip up. Analysts expect Tesla deliveries to grow to 1.3 million units in 2022 from about 890,000 units in 2021. Any hiccup to growth would be a negative catalyst for shares.\nWhether the stock rises or falls in the short run is anyone’s guess. For now, though, the momentum belongs to Tesla bulls.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2976,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":888566709,"gmtCreate":1631508889201,"gmtModify":1632807909626,"author":{"id":"3584845105860173","authorId":"3584845105860173","name":"Shawnn_13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584845105860173","idStr":"3584845105860173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/888566709","repostId":"2166303094","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":520,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":867197938,"gmtCreate":1633224136412,"gmtModify":1633224202206,"author":{"id":"3584845105860173","authorId":"3584845105860173","name":"Shawnn_13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584845105860173","idStr":"3584845105860173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like plz","listText":"Like plz","text":"Like plz","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867197938","repostId":"2172643049","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":629,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853875132,"gmtCreate":1634794247738,"gmtModify":1634794247866,"author":{"id":"3584845105860173","authorId":"3584845105860173","name":"Shawnn_13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584845105860173","idStr":"3584845105860173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like plz","listText":"Like plz","text":"Like plz","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853875132","repostId":"2176848748","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2675,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861114223,"gmtCreate":1632469840262,"gmtModify":1632721001362,"author":{"id":"3584845105860173","authorId":"3584845105860173","name":"Shawnn_13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584845105860173","idStr":"3584845105860173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861114223","repostId":"1195968989","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":819,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":177865070,"gmtCreate":1627196685090,"gmtModify":1633767220394,"author":{"id":"3584845105860173","authorId":"3584845105860173","name":"Shawnn_13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584845105860173","idStr":"3584845105860173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Amazing","listText":"Amazing","text":"Amazing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177865070","repostId":"1176552691","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176552691","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627183789,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1176552691?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-25 11:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider<blockquote>IBM股票是被低估还是被高估?要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176552691","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nIBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>IBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.</li> <li>Prior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 quarters.</li> <li>More transparency is needed regarding the Kyndryl spinoff.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c798e0536c6804d44b195f6f349fab5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1044\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Ethan Miller/Getty Images News</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>随着云收入和营业利润率的改善,IBM第二季度盈利超出了分析师的预期。</li><li>在第一季度之前,IBM连续四个季度收入下降,过去34个季度中有30个季度收入下降。</li><li>Kyndryl分拆需要更多透明度。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>伊森·米勒/盖蒂图片社新闻</span></p></blockquote></p><p> International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a company in transition. Unfortunately for investors, the transition has been in place for the better part of a decade. Those turnaround efforts include investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence and the divestiture of legacy businesses. While there are now signs of green shoots, it is yet to be seen as to whether the seeds sown have fallen on rocky ground.</p><p><blockquote>国际商业机器公司(IBM)是一家转型中的公司。不幸的是,对于投资者来说,这种转变已经持续了十年的大部分时间。这些扭亏为盈的努力包括对云计算和人工智能的投资以及剥离遗留业务。虽然现在有绿芽的迹象,但播下的种子是否落在岩石上还有待观察。</blockquote></p><p> Although the company has a rapidly growing business in hybrid cloud offerings, and a potential growth engine in quantum computing, it faces intense competition in the former industry and uncertain prospects in the latter. Most of the firm’s other businesses are in the doldrums, so IBM’s growth prospects are opaque.</p><p><blockquote>尽管该公司在混合云产品方面拥有快速增长的业务,并在量子计算方面拥有潜在的增长引擎,但它面临着前一个行业的激烈竞争和后一个行业的不确定前景。该公司的大多数其他业务都处于低迷状态,因此IBM的增长前景不明朗。</blockquote></p><p> What is certain is that as of today, IBM has a reasonable and diminishing debt load and strong free cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是,截至今天,IBM的债务负担合理且不断减少,自由现金流强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Management is attempting to address growth concerns in part by focusing on the firm’s cloud offerings, while it spins off its managed infrastructure business. That company will be named Kyndryl. However, the debt which the new entity will shoulder, along with the portion of the current dividend that it will carry, has not been divulged.</p><p><blockquote>管理层正试图通过专注于公司的云产品来部分解决增长问题,同时剥离其托管基础设施业务。该公司将被命名为Kyndryl。然而,新实体将承担的债务以及其将承担的当前股息部分尚未透露。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recent Quarterly Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最近季度业绩</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM reported Q2 results last Monday. With non-GAAP EPS of $2.33, the company beat estimates by $0.04.</p><p><blockquote>IBM上周一公布了第二季度业绩。该公司的非GAAP每股收益为2.33美元,超出预期0.04美元。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue of $18.7 billion was flat when adjusted for currency and divestitures.</p><p><blockquote>经货币和资产剥离调整后,营收为187亿美元,持平。</blockquote></p><p> The negative side of the report had Systems revenue declining by 7%. However, this was largely due to the normal IBM Z mainframe cycle, down 13% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的负面影响是系统收入下降了7%。然而,这主要是由于正常的IBM Z大型机周期,同比下降13%。</blockquote></p><p> The global financing division, which represents a low single digit percentage of overall revenues, was down 9%. Global technology services, which represents roughly a third of overall revenue and will largely be spun off as Kyndryl, had flattish growth.</p><p><blockquote>全球融资部门在总收入中所占比例较低,下降了9%。全球技术服务约占总收入的三分之一,并将主要分拆为Kyndryl,但增长平缓。</blockquote></p><p> The positive side of the report had Cloud & Cognitive Software cloud revenue up 29% and Global Business Services cloud revenue up 35%. Total cloud revenue of $27 billion increased by 15% over the last 12 months, while cloud revenue grew 13% in the quarter to $7.0 billion.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的积极一面是云和认知软件云收入增长了29%,全球商业服务云收入增长了35%。过去12个月,云总收入为270亿美元,增长了15%,而本季度云收入增长了13%,达到70亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Net cash from operating activities hit $17.7 billion, and adjusted free cash flow totaled $11 billion over the last 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>过去12个月,经营活动产生的净现金达到177亿美元,调整后的自由现金流总计110亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Since year-end 2020, the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>自2020年底以来,该公司已减少债务64亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where IBM Stands Tall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM屹立不倒的地方</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM is viewed by many as at best a third rate IT company and at worst as a dinosaur, headed towards extinction.</p><p><blockquote>许多人认为IBM往好了说是一家三流IT公司,往坏了说是一只濒临灭绝的恐龙。</blockquote></p><p> It is evident that the company’s revenues have declined for years; however, to accurately assess the stock, investors must understand that IBM’s legacy businesses have many strengths.</p><p><blockquote>很明显,该公司的收入多年来一直在下降;然而,为了准确评估该股票,投资者必须了解IBM的传统业务有许多优势。</blockquote></p><p> For example, IBM is the world’s largest IT services company and the dominant provider of mainframes. Among the Fortune 50 companies, 47 are IBM clients.</p><p><blockquote>例如,IBM是世界上最大的IT服务公司,也是大型机的主要提供商。在财富50强公司中,有47家是IBM的客户。</blockquote></p><p> Half of the world’s wireless connections are handled by the firm.</p><p><blockquote>世界上一半的无线连接由该公司处理。</blockquote></p><p> IBM's mainframe systems process nearly 90% of the globe’s credit card transactions, and 97% of the world's largest banks rely on IBM products and services. Consequently, twenty-nine billion ATM transactions are processed annually using IBM systems.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的大型机系统处理全球近90%的信用卡交易,97%的全球最大银行依赖IBM的产品和服务。因此,每年使用IBM系统处理290亿笔ATM交易。</blockquote></p><p> Eight out of 10 global retailers rely on IBM products and services while 80% of the travel industry's reservations run through IBM systems. That results in 4 billion flight reservations being processed using the company’s IT services.</p><p><blockquote>十分之八的全球零售商依赖IBM的产品和服务,而80%的旅游业预订通过IBM系统进行。这导致使用该公司的IT服务处理40亿次航班预订。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ace4f1436fd2697c5ad266b5017e1dd\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"721\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Forbes</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:福布斯</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It is evident that IBM has a massive customer base that provides large scale recurring revenues. In many cases, moving to competitors' offerings would mean risking the transfer of sensitive information, a move many are not willing to take.</p><p><blockquote>很明显,IBM拥有庞大的客户群,提供了大规模的经常性收入。在许多情况下,转向竞争对手的产品意味着冒着敏感信息转移的风险,而许多人不愿意采取这一举措。</blockquote></p><p> However, with the transition to cloud services and open source software, there is an increased adoption by firms of mix and match IT infrastructures. In turn, this is eroding IBM’s competitive advantage associated with customer switching costs.</p><p><blockquote>然而,随着向云服务和开源软件的过渡,越来越多的公司采用混合搭配的IT基础设施。反过来,这正在侵蚀IBM与客户转换成本相关的竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Sources Of Potential Growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>潜在增长的来源</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Investors are generally aware of IBM's effort to drive growth through its hybrid cloud offerings. However, when questioned at JPMorgan’s recent investor conference, CFO Jim Kavanaugh provided insight into how hybrid cloud drives revenue in some of IBM’s other divisions.</p><p><blockquote>投资者普遍了解IBM通过其混合云产品推动增长的努力。然而,在摩根大通最近的投资者会议上,首席财务官吉姆·卡瓦诺(Jim Kavanaugh)就混合云如何推动IBM其他一些部门的收入提供了见解。</blockquote></p><p> For every $1 (in business) we land on a hybrid cloud platform, we see $3 to $5 of software drag and $6 to $8 of services drag overall. Of course, Kavanaugh is using drag to refer to increased revenue in software and services associated with adoption of IBM’s hybrid cloud. If Kavanaugh’s claims are accurate, that means every dollar spent on the company’s hybrid cloud platform translates into $9 to $13 in additional revenue from the firm’s software and services offerings.</p><p><blockquote>我们在混合云平台上每投入1美元(业务),我们就会看到3到5美元的软件拖累和6到8美元的服务拖累。当然,Kavanaugh使用drag来指的是与采用IBM混合云相关的软件和服务收入的增加。如果卡瓦诺的说法准确,这意味着在该公司混合云平台上花费的每一美元都可以从该公司的软件和服务产品中获得9至13美元的额外收入。</blockquote></p><p> Because hybrid cloud uses a mix of on-premises private cloud and public cloud services, it offers clients a degree of data privacy. This is of particular concern for customers in healthcare and financial services. Consequently, I would posit that IBM might have an advantage in competing with other hybrid cloud providers as it has extensive relationships within those industries.</p><p><blockquote>由于混合云混合使用内部私有云和公共云服务,因此它为客户提供了一定程度的数据隐私。这是医疗保健和金融服务客户特别关注的问题。因此,我认为IBM在与其他混合云提供商的竞争中可能具有优势,因为它在这些行业中拥有广泛的关系。</blockquote></p><p> I reviewed a variety of prognostications regarding projected growth rates for the hybrid cloud market. The most recent study, which also falls in the middle of other predictions, is by Mordor Intelligence. That firm forecasts a CAGR of 18.73% from 2021 through 2026.</p><p><blockquote>我回顾了关于混合云市场预计增长率的各种预测。最近的研究,也属于其他预测的中间,是由魔多情报局进行的。该公司预测2021年至2026年的复合年增长率为18.73%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be aware that the major operators in this space are Cisco (CSCO), Hewlett Packard (HPE), Amazon (AMZN), Citrix Systems (CTXS), and IBM.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该知道,该领域的主要运营商是思科(CSCO)、惠普(HPE)、亚马逊(AMZN)、思杰系统(CTXS)和IBM。</blockquote></p><p> The following chart provides a record of the firm’s total cloud growth over the last six quarters.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了该公司过去六个季度的总云增长记录。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fc85156e70f6caf8ae809f76126a723\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Company reports / Chart by Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:公司报告/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Aside from cloud, there is another source of potential growth, although it is unlikely to materialize soon.</p><p><blockquote>除了云之外,还有另一个潜在增长的来源,尽管它不太可能很快实现。</blockquote></p><p> Early in 2019, IBM introduced the Q System One. IBM Q systems are the world's first quantum computer designed for scientific and commercial use.</p><p><blockquote>2019年初,IBM推出了Q System One。IBM Q systems是世界上第一台为科学和商业用途而设计的量子计算机。</blockquote></p><p> Pardon the pun, but quantum computers represent a quantum leap in technology. Prescient And Strategic Intelligence forecasts a CAGR of 56% for the industry through 2030 with the quantum computer market share reaching nearly $65 billion.</p><p><blockquote>原谅我的双关语,但量子计算机代表了技术的巨大飞跃。Prescient And Strategic Intelligence预测,到2030年,该行业的CAGR将达到56%,量子计算机市场份额将达到近650亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> For additional insights regarding quantum computing and IBM’s position within that industry, I point you to my article, “IBM: Why My Eye Is Fixed On Big Blue.”</p><p><blockquote>有关量子计算和IBM在该行业中的地位的更多见解,我向您推荐我的文章“IBM:为什么我的眼睛盯着蓝色巨人”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Understanding Kyndryl</b></p><p><blockquote><b>了解Kyndryl</b></blockquote></p><p> Once Kyndryl is launched, it will have more than 90,000 employees and more than 4,600 customers in 115 countries. With a $60 billion services backlog, the new entity will begin with projected revenues of $19 billion. At twice the size of its closest competitor, the company will be the world’s largest managed infrastructure services provider.</p><p><blockquote>Kyndryl一旦上市,将在115个国家拥有9万多名员工和4600多家客户。新实体的服务积压量为600亿美元,预计收入为190亿美元。该公司的规模是最接近的竞争对手的两倍,将成为全球最大的托管基础设施服务提供商。</blockquote></p><p> The split will transform IBM from a company that pulls half of its revenue from services to a firm with its software and solutions businesses generating over half of its revenue on a recurring basis.</p><p><blockquote>此次分拆将使IBM从一家一半收入来自服务的公司转变为一家软件和解决方案业务经常性收入超过一半的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Global Business Services, which currently constitutes 22% of the company’s revenue, will account for over 40% of sales. Here it is important to note that the division grew revenue by 12% year over year in the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>全球商业服务目前占公司收入的22%,将占销售额的40%以上。值得注意的是,该部门上季度的收入同比增长了12%。</blockquote></p><p> IBM will retain Red Hat and its solution provider business, the systems businesses, and its mission-critical public cloud service, and a software portfolio focused on big data, AI, and security.</p><p><blockquote>IBM将保留Red Hat及其解决方案提供商业务、系统业务、关键任务公共云服务,以及专注于大数据、人工智能和安全的软件组合。</blockquote></p><p> Initially, the two companies will each be the largest customer of the other.</p><p><blockquote>最初,两家公司将各自成为对方的最大客户。</blockquote></p><p> What remains to be known regarding the spinoff is how much debt each company will shoulder, and the share of the dividend that the companies will pay. Krishna stated the two companies will work together to sustain the current payout level.</p><p><blockquote>关于分拆,尚待了解的是每家公司将承担多少债务,以及公司将支付的股息份额。克里希纳表示,两家公司将共同努力维持目前的支付水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Has IBM Turned The Corner?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM转危为安了吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> Anyone who follows IBM knows the company has experienced an extended period of poor results. The following chart provides a record of the firm’s quarterly FCF over the last fourteen quarters.</p><p><blockquote>任何关注IBM的人都知道该公司经历了长期的糟糕业绩。下图提供了该公司过去十四个季度的季度自由现金流记录。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60cc8b82052f97dd449205999ee30711\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Data from ycharts / chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:数据来自ycharts/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While this is not proof positive that the company is back on track, the recent trend is at least encouraging.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这并不能证明该公司重回正轨,但最近的趋势至少令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> In 2020, IBM generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow. Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021. This excludes $3 billion in structural impacts related to the Kyndryl spinoff.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,IBM产生了108亿美元的自由现金流。2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。这不包括与Kyndryl分拆相关的30亿美元结构性影响。</blockquote></p><p> The CEO recently stated he expects IBM to generate $12 billion to $13 billion in FCF in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>这位首席执行官最近表示,他预计IBM将在2022年产生120亿至130亿美元的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Debt And Dividend</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债务和股息</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> While investors can rightfully complain of a variety of management moves over the years, the firm has maintained a reasonable debt profile while engaging in a number of acquisitions.</p><p><blockquote>虽然投资者可以理所当然地抱怨多年来的各种管理层举措,但该公司在进行多项收购的同时保持了合理的债务状况。</blockquote></p><p> The company has reduced the debt by roughly $18 billion since its peak in mid-2019. IBM maintains an investment level credit rating, and the following chart provides a record of the company’s progress paying down debt of late.</p><p><blockquote>自2019年年中达到峰值以来,该公司已将债务减少了约180亿美元。IBM维持投资级信用评级,下图记录了该公司最近偿还债务的进展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b73e613157c486a5f5e8306546121971\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: IBM Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:IBM演示文稿</span></p></blockquote></p><p> IBM has a yield of 4.64%, a payout ratio a bit below 61%, and a 5 year dividend growth rate of 4.26%. As previously noted, following the spinoff of Kyndryl, the two companies will team to provide a payout equivalent to the current dividend.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的收益率为4.64%,派息率略低于61%,5年股息增长率为4.26%。如前所述,Kyndryl分拆后,两家公司将合作提供相当于当前股息的派息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock Overvalued?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM股票是否被高估?</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM shares trade for $141.13. The average 12 month price target of 8 analysts is $153.50. The price target of the 3 analysts rating the stock since the last earnings report is $151.33.</p><p><blockquote>IBM股价交易价格为141.13美元。8位分析师的平均12个月目标价为153.50美元。自上次收益报告以来,对该股进行评级的3位分析师的目标价为151.33美元。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a P/E of 24.05x and a forward P/E of 17.67x. This compares to its five year averages of 16.42x and 13.25x respectively. It is well below the sector average which is in the low thirties for both metrics.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的市盈率为24.05倍,远期市盈率为17.67倍。相比之下,其五年平均值分别为16.42倍和13.25倍。这远低于行业平均水平,这两个指标都在三十左右。</blockquote></p><p> The 3 to 5 year PEG provided by Seeking Alpha Premium is 1.16x. Schwab calculates a PEG of 1.49x, and Yahoo does not provide a PEG ratio.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha Premium提供的3至5年期PEG为1.16倍。嘉信理财计算的PEG为1.49倍,雅虎没有提供PEG比率。</blockquote></p><p> I believe the current P/E ratios for the stock reflect investors anticipating increased growth for IBM once the spinoff is complete. The PEG ratios show the stock is reasonably valued.</p><p><blockquote>我相信该股目前的市盈率反映了投资者对分拆完成后IBM增长加速的预期。PEG比率显示该股票估值合理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM股票是一项不错的长期投资吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM has an entrenched but evolving position among many of the largest companies on the globe. Unfortunately, the cloud, which is seen as the company’s primary avenue for growth, could also lead to a slow deterioration in some of the firm’s legacy businesses.</p><p><blockquote>IBM在全球许多最大的公司中有着根深蒂固但不断发展的地位。不幸的是,被视为该公司主要增长途径的云也可能导致该公司一些遗留业务的缓慢恶化。</blockquote></p><p> That the cloud business has been growing at a rapid pace is manifest: IBM can now boast of over 3,200 clients using the firm’s hybrid cloud platform. That is nearly four times the number just prior to the Red Hat acquisition.</p><p><blockquote>云业务一直在快速增长是显而易见的:IBM现在拥有超过3,200个客户使用该公司的混合云平台。这几乎是收购红帽之前的四倍。</blockquote></p><p> If management’s claims are accurate, the hybrid cloud platform will create robust growth in the software and services division’s revenues. When combined with the spinoff of Kyndryl’s slow growing managed infrastructure services business, it is reasonable to believe IBM will witness increased growth.</p><p><blockquote>如果管理层的说法准确,混合云平台将为软件和服务部门的收入带来强劲增长。结合Kyndryl缓慢增长的托管基础设施服务业务的分拆,有理由相信IBM将见证增长。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a solid balance sheet, a robust yield, and when viewed using PEG ratios as a basis for valuing the stock, the shares are trading at a bit of a discount.</p><p><blockquote>IBM拥有稳健的资产负债表和强劲的收益率,当使用PEG比率作为股票估值的基础时,该股的交易价格略有折扣。</blockquote></p><p> All considered, I rate IBM as a BUY.</p><p><blockquote>综合考虑,我对IBM的评级为买入。</blockquote></p><p> I think the worst case short to mid-term scenario is that the company experiences slow growth while investors collect a rather robust dividend.</p><p><blockquote>我认为中短期最糟糕的情况是公司增长缓慢,而投资者则获得相当强劲的股息。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider<blockquote>IBM股票是被低估还是被高估?要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider<blockquote>IBM股票是被低估还是被高估?要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-25 11:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>IBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.</li> <li>Prior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 quarters.</li> <li>More transparency is needed regarding the Kyndryl spinoff.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c798e0536c6804d44b195f6f349fab5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1044\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Ethan Miller/Getty Images News</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>随着云收入和营业利润率的改善,IBM第二季度盈利超出了分析师的预期。</li><li>在第一季度之前,IBM连续四个季度收入下降,过去34个季度中有30个季度收入下降。</li><li>Kyndryl分拆需要更多透明度。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>伊森·米勒/盖蒂图片社新闻</span></p></blockquote></p><p> International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a company in transition. Unfortunately for investors, the transition has been in place for the better part of a decade. Those turnaround efforts include investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence and the divestiture of legacy businesses. While there are now signs of green shoots, it is yet to be seen as to whether the seeds sown have fallen on rocky ground.</p><p><blockquote>国际商业机器公司(IBM)是一家转型中的公司。不幸的是,对于投资者来说,这种转变已经持续了十年的大部分时间。这些扭亏为盈的努力包括对云计算和人工智能的投资以及剥离遗留业务。虽然现在有绿芽的迹象,但播下的种子是否落在岩石上还有待观察。</blockquote></p><p> Although the company has a rapidly growing business in hybrid cloud offerings, and a potential growth engine in quantum computing, it faces intense competition in the former industry and uncertain prospects in the latter. Most of the firm’s other businesses are in the doldrums, so IBM’s growth prospects are opaque.</p><p><blockquote>尽管该公司在混合云产品方面拥有快速增长的业务,并在量子计算方面拥有潜在的增长引擎,但它面临着前一个行业的激烈竞争和后一个行业的不确定前景。该公司的大多数其他业务都处于低迷状态,因此IBM的增长前景不明朗。</blockquote></p><p> What is certain is that as of today, IBM has a reasonable and diminishing debt load and strong free cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是,截至今天,IBM的债务负担合理且不断减少,自由现金流强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Management is attempting to address growth concerns in part by focusing on the firm’s cloud offerings, while it spins off its managed infrastructure business. That company will be named Kyndryl. However, the debt which the new entity will shoulder, along with the portion of the current dividend that it will carry, has not been divulged.</p><p><blockquote>管理层正试图通过专注于公司的云产品来部分解决增长问题,同时剥离其托管基础设施业务。该公司将被命名为Kyndryl。然而,新实体将承担的债务以及其将承担的当前股息部分尚未透露。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recent Quarterly Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最近季度业绩</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM reported Q2 results last Monday. With non-GAAP EPS of $2.33, the company beat estimates by $0.04.</p><p><blockquote>IBM上周一公布了第二季度业绩。该公司的非GAAP每股收益为2.33美元,超出预期0.04美元。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue of $18.7 billion was flat when adjusted for currency and divestitures.</p><p><blockquote>经货币和资产剥离调整后,营收为187亿美元,持平。</blockquote></p><p> The negative side of the report had Systems revenue declining by 7%. However, this was largely due to the normal IBM Z mainframe cycle, down 13% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的负面影响是系统收入下降了7%。然而,这主要是由于正常的IBM Z大型机周期,同比下降13%。</blockquote></p><p> The global financing division, which represents a low single digit percentage of overall revenues, was down 9%. Global technology services, which represents roughly a third of overall revenue and will largely be spun off as Kyndryl, had flattish growth.</p><p><blockquote>全球融资部门在总收入中所占比例较低,下降了9%。全球技术服务约占总收入的三分之一,并将主要分拆为Kyndryl,但增长平缓。</blockquote></p><p> The positive side of the report had Cloud & Cognitive Software cloud revenue up 29% and Global Business Services cloud revenue up 35%. Total cloud revenue of $27 billion increased by 15% over the last 12 months, while cloud revenue grew 13% in the quarter to $7.0 billion.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的积极一面是云和认知软件云收入增长了29%,全球商业服务云收入增长了35%。过去12个月,云总收入为270亿美元,增长了15%,而本季度云收入增长了13%,达到70亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Net cash from operating activities hit $17.7 billion, and adjusted free cash flow totaled $11 billion over the last 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>过去12个月,经营活动产生的净现金达到177亿美元,调整后的自由现金流总计110亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Since year-end 2020, the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>自2020年底以来,该公司已减少债务64亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where IBM Stands Tall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM屹立不倒的地方</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM is viewed by many as at best a third rate IT company and at worst as a dinosaur, headed towards extinction.</p><p><blockquote>许多人认为IBM往好了说是一家三流IT公司,往坏了说是一只濒临灭绝的恐龙。</blockquote></p><p> It is evident that the company’s revenues have declined for years; however, to accurately assess the stock, investors must understand that IBM’s legacy businesses have many strengths.</p><p><blockquote>很明显,该公司的收入多年来一直在下降;然而,为了准确评估该股票,投资者必须了解IBM的传统业务有许多优势。</blockquote></p><p> For example, IBM is the world’s largest IT services company and the dominant provider of mainframes. Among the Fortune 50 companies, 47 are IBM clients.</p><p><blockquote>例如,IBM是世界上最大的IT服务公司,也是大型机的主要提供商。在财富50强公司中,有47家是IBM的客户。</blockquote></p><p> Half of the world’s wireless connections are handled by the firm.</p><p><blockquote>世界上一半的无线连接由该公司处理。</blockquote></p><p> IBM's mainframe systems process nearly 90% of the globe’s credit card transactions, and 97% of the world's largest banks rely on IBM products and services. Consequently, twenty-nine billion ATM transactions are processed annually using IBM systems.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的大型机系统处理全球近90%的信用卡交易,97%的全球最大银行依赖IBM的产品和服务。因此,每年使用IBM系统处理290亿笔ATM交易。</blockquote></p><p> Eight out of 10 global retailers rely on IBM products and services while 80% of the travel industry's reservations run through IBM systems. That results in 4 billion flight reservations being processed using the company’s IT services.</p><p><blockquote>十分之八的全球零售商依赖IBM的产品和服务,而80%的旅游业预订通过IBM系统进行。这导致使用该公司的IT服务处理40亿次航班预订。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ace4f1436fd2697c5ad266b5017e1dd\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"721\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Forbes</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:福布斯</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It is evident that IBM has a massive customer base that provides large scale recurring revenues. In many cases, moving to competitors' offerings would mean risking the transfer of sensitive information, a move many are not willing to take.</p><p><blockquote>很明显,IBM拥有庞大的客户群,提供了大规模的经常性收入。在许多情况下,转向竞争对手的产品意味着冒着敏感信息转移的风险,而许多人不愿意采取这一举措。</blockquote></p><p> However, with the transition to cloud services and open source software, there is an increased adoption by firms of mix and match IT infrastructures. In turn, this is eroding IBM’s competitive advantage associated with customer switching costs.</p><p><blockquote>然而,随着向云服务和开源软件的过渡,越来越多的公司采用混合搭配的IT基础设施。反过来,这正在侵蚀IBM与客户转换成本相关的竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Sources Of Potential Growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>潜在增长的来源</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Investors are generally aware of IBM's effort to drive growth through its hybrid cloud offerings. However, when questioned at JPMorgan’s recent investor conference, CFO Jim Kavanaugh provided insight into how hybrid cloud drives revenue in some of IBM’s other divisions.</p><p><blockquote>投资者普遍了解IBM通过其混合云产品推动增长的努力。然而,在摩根大通最近的投资者会议上,首席财务官吉姆·卡瓦诺(Jim Kavanaugh)就混合云如何推动IBM其他一些部门的收入提供了见解。</blockquote></p><p> For every $1 (in business) we land on a hybrid cloud platform, we see $3 to $5 of software drag and $6 to $8 of services drag overall. Of course, Kavanaugh is using drag to refer to increased revenue in software and services associated with adoption of IBM’s hybrid cloud. If Kavanaugh’s claims are accurate, that means every dollar spent on the company’s hybrid cloud platform translates into $9 to $13 in additional revenue from the firm’s software and services offerings.</p><p><blockquote>我们在混合云平台上每投入1美元(业务),我们就会看到3到5美元的软件拖累和6到8美元的服务拖累。当然,Kavanaugh使用drag来指的是与采用IBM混合云相关的软件和服务收入的增加。如果卡瓦诺的说法准确,这意味着在该公司混合云平台上花费的每一美元都可以从该公司的软件和服务产品中获得9至13美元的额外收入。</blockquote></p><p> Because hybrid cloud uses a mix of on-premises private cloud and public cloud services, it offers clients a degree of data privacy. This is of particular concern for customers in healthcare and financial services. Consequently, I would posit that IBM might have an advantage in competing with other hybrid cloud providers as it has extensive relationships within those industries.</p><p><blockquote>由于混合云混合使用内部私有云和公共云服务,因此它为客户提供了一定程度的数据隐私。这是医疗保健和金融服务客户特别关注的问题。因此,我认为IBM在与其他混合云提供商的竞争中可能具有优势,因为它在这些行业中拥有广泛的关系。</blockquote></p><p> I reviewed a variety of prognostications regarding projected growth rates for the hybrid cloud market. The most recent study, which also falls in the middle of other predictions, is by Mordor Intelligence. That firm forecasts a CAGR of 18.73% from 2021 through 2026.</p><p><blockquote>我回顾了关于混合云市场预计增长率的各种预测。最近的研究,也属于其他预测的中间,是由魔多情报局进行的。该公司预测2021年至2026年的复合年增长率为18.73%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be aware that the major operators in this space are Cisco (CSCO), Hewlett Packard (HPE), Amazon (AMZN), Citrix Systems (CTXS), and IBM.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该知道,该领域的主要运营商是思科(CSCO)、惠普(HPE)、亚马逊(AMZN)、思杰系统(CTXS)和IBM。</blockquote></p><p> The following chart provides a record of the firm’s total cloud growth over the last six quarters.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了该公司过去六个季度的总云增长记录。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fc85156e70f6caf8ae809f76126a723\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Company reports / Chart by Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:公司报告/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Aside from cloud, there is another source of potential growth, although it is unlikely to materialize soon.</p><p><blockquote>除了云之外,还有另一个潜在增长的来源,尽管它不太可能很快实现。</blockquote></p><p> Early in 2019, IBM introduced the Q System One. IBM Q systems are the world's first quantum computer designed for scientific and commercial use.</p><p><blockquote>2019年初,IBM推出了Q System One。IBM Q systems是世界上第一台为科学和商业用途而设计的量子计算机。</blockquote></p><p> Pardon the pun, but quantum computers represent a quantum leap in technology. Prescient And Strategic Intelligence forecasts a CAGR of 56% for the industry through 2030 with the quantum computer market share reaching nearly $65 billion.</p><p><blockquote>原谅我的双关语,但量子计算机代表了技术的巨大飞跃。Prescient And Strategic Intelligence预测,到2030年,该行业的CAGR将达到56%,量子计算机市场份额将达到近650亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> For additional insights regarding quantum computing and IBM’s position within that industry, I point you to my article, “IBM: Why My Eye Is Fixed On Big Blue.”</p><p><blockquote>有关量子计算和IBM在该行业中的地位的更多见解,我向您推荐我的文章“IBM:为什么我的眼睛盯着蓝色巨人”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Understanding Kyndryl</b></p><p><blockquote><b>了解Kyndryl</b></blockquote></p><p> Once Kyndryl is launched, it will have more than 90,000 employees and more than 4,600 customers in 115 countries. With a $60 billion services backlog, the new entity will begin with projected revenues of $19 billion. At twice the size of its closest competitor, the company will be the world’s largest managed infrastructure services provider.</p><p><blockquote>Kyndryl一旦上市,将在115个国家拥有9万多名员工和4600多家客户。新实体的服务积压量为600亿美元,预计收入为190亿美元。该公司的规模是最接近的竞争对手的两倍,将成为全球最大的托管基础设施服务提供商。</blockquote></p><p> The split will transform IBM from a company that pulls half of its revenue from services to a firm with its software and solutions businesses generating over half of its revenue on a recurring basis.</p><p><blockquote>此次分拆将使IBM从一家一半收入来自服务的公司转变为一家软件和解决方案业务经常性收入超过一半的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Global Business Services, which currently constitutes 22% of the company’s revenue, will account for over 40% of sales. Here it is important to note that the division grew revenue by 12% year over year in the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>全球商业服务目前占公司收入的22%,将占销售额的40%以上。值得注意的是,该部门上季度的收入同比增长了12%。</blockquote></p><p> IBM will retain Red Hat and its solution provider business, the systems businesses, and its mission-critical public cloud service, and a software portfolio focused on big data, AI, and security.</p><p><blockquote>IBM将保留Red Hat及其解决方案提供商业务、系统业务、关键任务公共云服务,以及专注于大数据、人工智能和安全的软件组合。</blockquote></p><p> Initially, the two companies will each be the largest customer of the other.</p><p><blockquote>最初,两家公司将各自成为对方的最大客户。</blockquote></p><p> What remains to be known regarding the spinoff is how much debt each company will shoulder, and the share of the dividend that the companies will pay. Krishna stated the two companies will work together to sustain the current payout level.</p><p><blockquote>关于分拆,尚待了解的是每家公司将承担多少债务,以及公司将支付的股息份额。克里希纳表示,两家公司将共同努力维持目前的支付水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Has IBM Turned The Corner?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM转危为安了吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> Anyone who follows IBM knows the company has experienced an extended period of poor results. The following chart provides a record of the firm’s quarterly FCF over the last fourteen quarters.</p><p><blockquote>任何关注IBM的人都知道该公司经历了长期的糟糕业绩。下图提供了该公司过去十四个季度的季度自由现金流记录。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60cc8b82052f97dd449205999ee30711\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Data from ycharts / chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:数据来自ycharts/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While this is not proof positive that the company is back on track, the recent trend is at least encouraging.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这并不能证明该公司重回正轨,但最近的趋势至少令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> In 2020, IBM generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow. Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021. This excludes $3 billion in structural impacts related to the Kyndryl spinoff.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,IBM产生了108亿美元的自由现金流。2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。这不包括与Kyndryl分拆相关的30亿美元结构性影响。</blockquote></p><p> The CEO recently stated he expects IBM to generate $12 billion to $13 billion in FCF in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>这位首席执行官最近表示,他预计IBM将在2022年产生120亿至130亿美元的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Debt And Dividend</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债务和股息</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> While investors can rightfully complain of a variety of management moves over the years, the firm has maintained a reasonable debt profile while engaging in a number of acquisitions.</p><p><blockquote>虽然投资者可以理所当然地抱怨多年来的各种管理层举措,但该公司在进行多项收购的同时保持了合理的债务状况。</blockquote></p><p> The company has reduced the debt by roughly $18 billion since its peak in mid-2019. IBM maintains an investment level credit rating, and the following chart provides a record of the company’s progress paying down debt of late.</p><p><blockquote>自2019年年中达到峰值以来,该公司已将债务减少了约180亿美元。IBM维持投资级信用评级,下图记录了该公司最近偿还债务的进展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b73e613157c486a5f5e8306546121971\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: IBM Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:IBM演示文稿</span></p></blockquote></p><p> IBM has a yield of 4.64%, a payout ratio a bit below 61%, and a 5 year dividend growth rate of 4.26%. As previously noted, following the spinoff of Kyndryl, the two companies will team to provide a payout equivalent to the current dividend.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的收益率为4.64%,派息率略低于61%,5年股息增长率为4.26%。如前所述,Kyndryl分拆后,两家公司将合作提供相当于当前股息的派息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock Overvalued?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM股票是否被高估?</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM shares trade for $141.13. The average 12 month price target of 8 analysts is $153.50. The price target of the 3 analysts rating the stock since the last earnings report is $151.33.</p><p><blockquote>IBM股价交易价格为141.13美元。8位分析师的平均12个月目标价为153.50美元。自上次收益报告以来,对该股进行评级的3位分析师的目标价为151.33美元。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a P/E of 24.05x and a forward P/E of 17.67x. This compares to its five year averages of 16.42x and 13.25x respectively. It is well below the sector average which is in the low thirties for both metrics.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的市盈率为24.05倍,远期市盈率为17.67倍。相比之下,其五年平均值分别为16.42倍和13.25倍。这远低于行业平均水平,这两个指标都在三十左右。</blockquote></p><p> The 3 to 5 year PEG provided by Seeking Alpha Premium is 1.16x. Schwab calculates a PEG of 1.49x, and Yahoo does not provide a PEG ratio.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha Premium提供的3至5年期PEG为1.16倍。嘉信理财计算的PEG为1.49倍,雅虎没有提供PEG比率。</blockquote></p><p> I believe the current P/E ratios for the stock reflect investors anticipating increased growth for IBM once the spinoff is complete. The PEG ratios show the stock is reasonably valued.</p><p><blockquote>我相信该股目前的市盈率反映了投资者对分拆完成后IBM增长加速的预期。PEG比率显示该股票估值合理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM股票是一项不错的长期投资吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM has an entrenched but evolving position among many of the largest companies on the globe. Unfortunately, the cloud, which is seen as the company’s primary avenue for growth, could also lead to a slow deterioration in some of the firm’s legacy businesses.</p><p><blockquote>IBM在全球许多最大的公司中有着根深蒂固但不断发展的地位。不幸的是,被视为该公司主要增长途径的云也可能导致该公司一些遗留业务的缓慢恶化。</blockquote></p><p> That the cloud business has been growing at a rapid pace is manifest: IBM can now boast of over 3,200 clients using the firm’s hybrid cloud platform. That is nearly four times the number just prior to the Red Hat acquisition.</p><p><blockquote>云业务一直在快速增长是显而易见的:IBM现在拥有超过3,200个客户使用该公司的混合云平台。这几乎是收购红帽之前的四倍。</blockquote></p><p> If management’s claims are accurate, the hybrid cloud platform will create robust growth in the software and services division’s revenues. When combined with the spinoff of Kyndryl’s slow growing managed infrastructure services business, it is reasonable to believe IBM will witness increased growth.</p><p><blockquote>如果管理层的说法准确,混合云平台将为软件和服务部门的收入带来强劲增长。结合Kyndryl缓慢增长的托管基础设施服务业务的分拆,有理由相信IBM将见证增长。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a solid balance sheet, a robust yield, and when viewed using PEG ratios as a basis for valuing the stock, the shares are trading at a bit of a discount.</p><p><blockquote>IBM拥有稳健的资产负债表和强劲的收益率,当使用PEG比率作为股票估值的基础时,该股的交易价格略有折扣。</blockquote></p><p> All considered, I rate IBM as a BUY.</p><p><blockquote>综合考虑,我对IBM的评级为买入。</blockquote></p><p> I think the worst case short to mid-term scenario is that the company experiences slow growth while investors collect a rather robust dividend.</p><p><blockquote>我认为中短期最糟糕的情况是公司增长缓慢,而投资者则获得相当强劲的股息。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440996-is-ibm-stock-undervalued-overvalued\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IBM":"IBM"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440996-is-ibm-stock-undervalued-overvalued","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176552691","content_text":"Summary\n\nIBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.\nPrior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 quarters.\nMore transparency is needed regarding the Kyndryl spinoff.\n\nEthan Miller/Getty Images News\nInternational Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a company in transition. Unfortunately for investors, the transition has been in place for the better part of a decade. Those turnaround efforts include investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence and the divestiture of legacy businesses. While there are now signs of green shoots, it is yet to be seen as to whether the seeds sown have fallen on rocky ground.\nAlthough the company has a rapidly growing business in hybrid cloud offerings, and a potential growth engine in quantum computing, it faces intense competition in the former industry and uncertain prospects in the latter. Most of the firm’s other businesses are in the doldrums, so IBM’s growth prospects are opaque.\nWhat is certain is that as of today, IBM has a reasonable and diminishing debt load and strong free cash flow.\nManagement is attempting to address growth concerns in part by focusing on the firm’s cloud offerings, while it spins off its managed infrastructure business. That company will be named Kyndryl. However, the debt which the new entity will shoulder, along with the portion of the current dividend that it will carry, has not been divulged.\nRecent Quarterly Results\nIBM reported Q2 results last Monday. With non-GAAP EPS of $2.33, the company beat estimates by $0.04.\nRevenue of $18.7 billion was flat when adjusted for currency and divestitures.\nThe negative side of the report had Systems revenue declining by 7%. However, this was largely due to the normal IBM Z mainframe cycle, down 13% year over year.\nThe global financing division, which represents a low single digit percentage of overall revenues, was down 9%. Global technology services, which represents roughly a third of overall revenue and will largely be spun off as Kyndryl, had flattish growth.\nThe positive side of the report had Cloud & Cognitive Software cloud revenue up 29% and Global Business Services cloud revenue up 35%. Total cloud revenue of $27 billion increased by 15% over the last 12 months, while cloud revenue grew 13% in the quarter to $7.0 billion.\nNet cash from operating activities hit $17.7 billion, and adjusted free cash flow totaled $11 billion over the last 12 months.\nSince year-end 2020, the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion.\nManagement guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021.\nWhere IBM Stands Tall\nIBM is viewed by many as at best a third rate IT company and at worst as a dinosaur, headed towards extinction.\nIt is evident that the company’s revenues have declined for years; however, to accurately assess the stock, investors must understand that IBM’s legacy businesses have many strengths.\nFor example, IBM is the world’s largest IT services company and the dominant provider of mainframes. Among the Fortune 50 companies, 47 are IBM clients.\nHalf of the world’s wireless connections are handled by the firm.\nIBM's mainframe systems process nearly 90% of the globe’s credit card transactions, and 97% of the world's largest banks rely on IBM products and services. Consequently, twenty-nine billion ATM transactions are processed annually using IBM systems.\nEight out of 10 global retailers rely on IBM products and services while 80% of the travel industry's reservations run through IBM systems. That results in 4 billion flight reservations being processed using the company’s IT services.\nSource: Forbes\nIt is evident that IBM has a massive customer base that provides large scale recurring revenues. In many cases, moving to competitors' offerings would mean risking the transfer of sensitive information, a move many are not willing to take.\nHowever, with the transition to cloud services and open source software, there is an increased adoption by firms of mix and match IT infrastructures. In turn, this is eroding IBM’s competitive advantage associated with customer switching costs.\nThe Sources Of Potential Growth\nInvestors are generally aware of IBM's effort to drive growth through its hybrid cloud offerings. However, when questioned at JPMorgan’s recent investor conference, CFO Jim Kavanaugh provided insight into how hybrid cloud drives revenue in some of IBM’s other divisions.\n\n For every $1 (in business) we land on a hybrid cloud platform, we see $3 to $5 of software drag and $6 to $8 of services drag overall.\n\nOf course, Kavanaugh is using drag to refer to increased revenue in software and services associated with adoption of IBM’s hybrid cloud. If Kavanaugh’s claims are accurate, that means every dollar spent on the company’s hybrid cloud platform translates into $9 to $13 in additional revenue from the firm’s software and services offerings.\nBecause hybrid cloud uses a mix of on-premises private cloud and public cloud services, it offers clients a degree of data privacy. This is of particular concern for customers in healthcare and financial services. Consequently, I would posit that IBM might have an advantage in competing with other hybrid cloud providers as it has extensive relationships within those industries.\nI reviewed a variety of prognostications regarding projected growth rates for the hybrid cloud market. The most recent study, which also falls in the middle of other predictions, is by Mordor Intelligence. That firm forecasts a CAGR of 18.73% from 2021 through 2026.\nInvestors should be aware that the major operators in this space are Cisco (CSCO), Hewlett Packard (HPE), Amazon (AMZN), Citrix Systems (CTXS), and IBM.\nThe following chart provides a record of the firm’s total cloud growth over the last six quarters.\nSource: Company reports / Chart by Author\nAside from cloud, there is another source of potential growth, although it is unlikely to materialize soon.\nEarly in 2019, IBM introduced the Q System One. IBM Q systems are the world's first quantum computer designed for scientific and commercial use.\nPardon the pun, but quantum computers represent a quantum leap in technology. Prescient And Strategic Intelligence forecasts a CAGR of 56% for the industry through 2030 with the quantum computer market share reaching nearly $65 billion.\nFor additional insights regarding quantum computing and IBM’s position within that industry, I point you to my article, “IBM: Why My Eye Is Fixed On Big Blue.”\nUnderstanding Kyndryl\nOnce Kyndryl is launched, it will have more than 90,000 employees and more than 4,600 customers in 115 countries. With a $60 billion services backlog, the new entity will begin with projected revenues of $19 billion. At twice the size of its closest competitor, the company will be the world’s largest managed infrastructure services provider.\nThe split will transform IBM from a company that pulls half of its revenue from services to a firm with its software and solutions businesses generating over half of its revenue on a recurring basis.\nGlobal Business Services, which currently constitutes 22% of the company’s revenue, will account for over 40% of sales. Here it is important to note that the division grew revenue by 12% year over year in the last quarter.\nIBM will retain Red Hat and its solution provider business, the systems businesses, and its mission-critical public cloud service, and a software portfolio focused on big data, AI, and security.\nInitially, the two companies will each be the largest customer of the other.\nWhat remains to be known regarding the spinoff is how much debt each company will shoulder, and the share of the dividend that the companies will pay. Krishna stated the two companies will work together to sustain the current payout level.\nHas IBM Turned The Corner?\nAnyone who follows IBM knows the company has experienced an extended period of poor results. The following chart provides a record of the firm’s quarterly FCF over the last fourteen quarters.\nSource: Data from ycharts / chart by author\nWhile this is not proof positive that the company is back on track, the recent trend is at least encouraging.\nIn 2020, IBM generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow. Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021. This excludes $3 billion in structural impacts related to the Kyndryl spinoff.\nThe CEO recently stated he expects IBM to generate $12 billion to $13 billion in FCF in 2022.\nDebt And Dividend\nWhile investors can rightfully complain of a variety of management moves over the years, the firm has maintained a reasonable debt profile while engaging in a number of acquisitions.\nThe company has reduced the debt by roughly $18 billion since its peak in mid-2019. IBM maintains an investment level credit rating, and the following chart provides a record of the company’s progress paying down debt of late.\nSource: IBM Presentation\nIBM has a yield of 4.64%, a payout ratio a bit below 61%, and a 5 year dividend growth rate of 4.26%. As previously noted, following the spinoff of Kyndryl, the two companies will team to provide a payout equivalent to the current dividend.\nIs IBM Stock Overvalued?\nIBM shares trade for $141.13. The average 12 month price target of 8 analysts is $153.50. The price target of the 3 analysts rating the stock since the last earnings report is $151.33.\nIBM has a P/E of 24.05x and a forward P/E of 17.67x. This compares to its five year averages of 16.42x and 13.25x respectively. It is well below the sector average which is in the low thirties for both metrics.\nThe 3 to 5 year PEG provided by Seeking Alpha Premium is 1.16x. Schwab calculates a PEG of 1.49x, and Yahoo does not provide a PEG ratio.\nI believe the current P/E ratios for the stock reflect investors anticipating increased growth for IBM once the spinoff is complete. The PEG ratios show the stock is reasonably valued.\nIs IBM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?\nIBM has an entrenched but evolving position among many of the largest companies on the globe. Unfortunately, the cloud, which is seen as the company’s primary avenue for growth, could also lead to a slow deterioration in some of the firm’s legacy businesses.\nThat the cloud business has been growing at a rapid pace is manifest: IBM can now boast of over 3,200 clients using the firm’s hybrid cloud platform. That is nearly four times the number just prior to the Red Hat acquisition.\nIf management’s claims are accurate, the hybrid cloud platform will create robust growth in the software and services division’s revenues. When combined with the spinoff of Kyndryl’s slow growing managed infrastructure services business, it is reasonable to believe IBM will witness increased growth.\nIBM has a solid balance sheet, a robust yield, and when viewed using PEG ratios as a basis for valuing the stock, the shares are trading at a bit of a discount.\nAll considered, I rate IBM as a BUY.\nI think the worst case short to mid-term scenario is that the company experiences slow growth while investors collect a rather robust 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