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ThinkerPoet

ThinkerPoet

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04-24

本来只是想博末日彩票行情的不知道咋想的开盘一小时看着没戏就亏本抛了兴许是买了好几个想清理下账户看着轻松点吧🤷‍♀️谁知道 $NVDA 20260424 210.0 CALL$ 竟然真能实现210 日涨幅4500% 可惜与我无关没办法信心不够坚定投机心太重教训[笑哭] 0.11买的 1手买太少就会太随意要总结的心态太多了学习

04-10

稳一点意满离 [鬼脸] 落袋为安睡个好觉💤

03-08

20260302-0306一周交易小结：每日小幅盈利，一周累计盈利📈29.63% 虽然有错过一些暴涨几倍的机会，但我过程中加强了止损风控，减少赌性、增加纪律，可以留在牌桌上玩久点，复利增长的效果好过暴涨暴跌乱了心态，稳稳地很安心！另外也想保障自己的睡眠，基本在12点左右就结束掉不做隔夜盘赌不确定性，睡觉睡得比较安心！先按这个方式做一做看，慢慢总结出更适合自己更有效的交易策略[开心]

03-06

打工到深夜开盘还没结束胡乱买了一张put 昨天交易了4笔，很累很困头脑不清醒烦躁不安，胜率50%，昨日账户总盈利➕3.88%： NVDA 20260306 P180 📉8.16% NVDA 20260306 C185 📈11.78% NVDA 20260306 C180 📈29.51% NVDA 20260306 P180 📉9.06% 估计12:30就睡着了，一觉醒来凌晨3:00多，发现错过了一个峰值，有机会赚3倍的，当然前提是熬得住继续下探，哈哈，也很难讲，我赚钱的两笔就是做完止盈发现还在猛猛冲又追涨的还是赚，趋势很强。没关系的，保持交易，思考总结，看大结果！加油！新的一天继续打工了！

03-05

昨日成交4笔，盈利3笔亏损1笔，账户单日盈利📈6.44%： + NVDA 20260306 C180 📈3.09% - NVDA 20260306 C185 📉18.72% 温和看涨构建的牛市看涨价差组合，拆分平仓会提示风险，感觉是个束缚，更习惯单腿期权 + NVDA 20260306 P180 📈15.80% + NVDA 20260306 P180 📈0.92% 1:00前睡觉💤半夜两三点又醒来了，没有操作！好好睡觉，来日方长！

03-04

今日盘前没做什么分析🧐凭感觉交易三笔：预判行情震荡，购买实值看涨期权： NVDA 20260306 177.5 Call 📈3.81%，📈16.6%，📈16.02%（这笔没想到，以为要亏掉了，睡一觉醒来刚好卖掉）今日账户盈利9.87%[开心] 晚安开心🥳

03-03

介于中东局势和事件驱动，开盘先挂XOM 20260402 C160价格3.5没成交，盘中目前最低3.8。要睡觉了撤单了。而且今天正股高开5%然后回落不如预期强劲，期权更是成交了了，还是需要玩家多的标的。发战争财也不是什么好事。再现价3.9买入NVDA 20260306 C180，看了下正股财报前后进入震荡整理期，正好处在拐点位置试一下，冲高到4.85没卖下滑，然后挂4.8没成交修改为4.75成交，赶在12:00前收工不想影响睡眠，盈利20%。后来冲高到4.9，无所谓啦，不追求最高卖点最低买点，按策略纪律进行。晚安💤好梦😘

2025-01-31

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@美股投资网:我们先来算一笔特斯拉的账，特朗普胜选让特斯拉凭空多出来5000亿美元的市值，股价从240涨到480美元，现在396美元。特斯拉从上次公布财报到现在，特斯拉的财务基本面有改变了吗？答案是没有，特朗普有对特斯拉做出什么实际有利的证策了吗？没有，不仅没有，特朗普还要取消拜登7500美元的电动汽车税收抵免证策，还撤销一项行证命令，该命令确保到 2030 年在美国销售的所有新车中有一半是电动汽车。那如何解释这5000亿市值增加呢？ $特斯拉(TSLA)$ 不是小盘股公司，说炒作起来就炒作起来的，这5000亿都是用真金白银堆积出来的。你硬要用未来的增长业务来解释，说特斯拉机器人未来5年能卖多少多少，无人驾驶出租车满大街跑能带来多少利润，想象空间看似巨大，有多少能真正落地？ $Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$ $ 我们今天只想给大家客观的分析特斯拉股价是否脱离公司基本面和对这次财报的看法，我们不想唱衰也不抬高特斯拉，因为特斯拉有太多的死忠粉，他们每次一听到博主说特斯拉不好，立即评论区喷，“哎呀，你们眼光太短浅了、根本不懂特斯拉的未来潜力，马斯克改变世界的伟大。” $蔚来(NIO)$ $小鹏汽车(XPEV)$ $通用汽车(GM)$ 在这里，我们并不是要争论特斯拉5年、10年后的发展，而是专注于现在，就这个财报，以及接下来一个月内股价可能的表现，给大家提供一个更

2025-01-30

蛇年新春至，美股展新姿。灵蛇舞动间，财富涌如泉。新春纳新福，投资选好股，慧眼识珠玉，收获满仓金。愿大家在美股市场中，如灵蛇行于幽谷，灵动而精准，捕捉每一个上涨的契机，让财富如春日繁花，绚烂绽放。新春快乐，投资顺遂！ @小虎

2025-01-30

困😪明天看！特斯拉今夜开财报，预计先跌一跌？英伟达总算补跌快回本了[笑哭] 白忙活一场还睡不好觉，就当在学习在进步吧！

抱歉，原内容已删除

2025-01-29

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

《黑天鹅》作者：英伟达周一暴跌只是开始，未来回调幅度可能是两、三倍

2025-01-24

上联：特斯拉驰骋火星，星际征途启新程下联：英伟达领航AI，智能世界绘宏图横批：虎踞龙盘 @老虎Yuan 来一个

@小虎活动:【新春乐翻天】属你最有才（财），老虎春联大赛开始啦！🧧

2025-01-24

上联：特斯拉驰骋火星，星际征途启新程下联：英伟达领航AI，智能世界绘宏图横批：虎踞龙盘

2025-01-24

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

抱歉，原内容已删除

2025-01-24

1.29财报公布后，预计股价先回落，至380～390附近，理由是交付不及预期及新款低价车可能利润率更低，当然可能抢占一部分国产新势力份额，看盈亏平衡点。前期暴涨主要是老马all in川普大获全胜同时谋得官职，而川普对新能源汽车销售暂无新增利好政策支持。当然相信老马的人格魅力以及AI FSD，机器人optimus,robotaxi，Space X等（财务数据算进特斯拉吗）但对公众影响力大，包括言论谈及收购Tiktok的可能性等，预计年初调整后半年内冲击450，全年冲击500美元，值得期待！

2025-01-24

感谢老虎🐯送我的新年礼物🎁很漂亮很实用凭运气/感觉赚的钱最近凭运气/没实力亏掉尤其英伟达CES发布以来 CALL也亏 PUT也亏左右打脸把我搞懵了这咋回事儿呀说到底我还是期权小白加之思维僵化头脑发热今天回到家乡换个环境突然脑袋打开一点既然学费交了这么多总得总结点规律经验啦截图了英伟达和特斯拉20250123和去年八月以来的K线图已经T日平值、实值和虚值期权的K线图好像看出点啥又有点没看清太困了太困啦先睡一觉留个底明天清醒了再大家一起来找茬吧！😁 不着急不慌张一点一点实操中学习成长吧！虎友们晚安啦～

2025-01-09

布鲁可感觉可以参与，对标泡泡玛特，不过是长线的。短线来说，能走出毛戈平暗盘走势也是值得期待的！

2025-01-03

年头到年尾，由头涨到尾 [开心]保佑我也祝福你！2025一起在老虎发大财 [财迷]

2025-01-03

我来啦我来啦 [开心]强健的铂金交易家来啦 [财迷]

2025-01-03

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 2025，旗开得胜！困了🥱睡觉！晚安啦～[龇牙]

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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学习","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e52cec1a8d1bd1ae139b92cf95514ed","width":"1170","height":"2532"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/557106073162832","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5249,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4200588713609912","authorId":"4200588713609912","name":"Walters","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ea43b3a4653893186c554728a39d1f2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4200588713609912","idStr":"4200588713609912"},"content":"一模一样，大腿都拍断了[流泪]","text":"一模一样，大腿都拍断了[流泪]","html":"一模一样，大腿都拍断了[流泪]"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":551837347722152,"gmtCreate":1775760482910,"gmtModify":1775760495836,"author":{"id":"3582650043397063","authorId":"3582650043397063","name":"ThinkerPoet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/598a43af558544f206fc100ec24ebaba","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582650043397063","idStr":"3582650043397063"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"稳一点 意满离 [鬼脸]&nbsp; 落袋为安 睡个好觉💤","listText":"稳一点 意满离 [鬼脸]&nbsp; 落袋为安 睡个好觉💤","text":"稳一点 意满离 [鬼脸] 落袋为安 睡个好觉💤","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77cf70507a7cc792ad3f186703de90f7","width":"924","height":"1536"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/551837347722152","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":287,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":540628172423736,"gmtCreate":1772976330476,"gmtModify":1772976347670,"author":{"id":"3582650043397063","authorId":"3582650043397063","name":"ThinkerPoet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/598a43af558544f206fc100ec24ebaba","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582650043397063","idStr":"3582650043397063"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"20260302-0306一周交易小结： 每日小幅盈利，一周累计盈利📈29.63% 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晚安开心🥳","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa3a39e0ee2b05c6b7729b6347219b01","width":"972","height":"1631"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17cd5edcb77d6c68555104457bc639bb","width":"972","height":"1631"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f6b6a3767a79cb910d852a7bc735c61","width":"972","height":"1631"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/538762212368392","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1079,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":538413477795224,"gmtCreate":1772469610684,"gmtModify":1772539102984,"author":{"id":"3582650043397063","authorId":"3582650043397063","name":"ThinkerPoet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/598a43af558544f206fc100ec24ebaba","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582650043397063","idStr":"3582650043397063"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"介于中东局势和事件驱动，开盘先挂XOM 20260402 C160价格3.5没成交，盘中目前最低3.8。要睡觉了撤单了。而且今天正股高开5%然后回落不如预期强劲，期权更是成交了了，还是需要玩家多的标的。发战争财也不是什么好事。 再现价3.9买入NVDA 20260306 C180，看了下正股财报前后进入震荡整理期，正好处在拐点位置试一下，冲高到4.85没卖下滑，然后挂4.8没成交修改为4.75成交，赶在12:00前收工不想影响睡眠，盈利20%。后来冲高到4.9，无所谓啦，不追求最高卖点最低买点，按策略纪律进行。 晚安💤好梦😘","listText":"介于中东局势和事件驱动，开盘先挂XOM 20260402 C160价格3.5没成交，盘中目前最低3.8。要睡觉了撤单了。而且今天正股高开5%然后回落不如预期强劲，期权更是成交了了，还是需要玩家多的标的。发战争财也不是什么好事。 再现价3.9买入NVDA 20260306 C180，看了下正股财报前后进入震荡整理期，正好处在拐点位置试一下，冲高到4.85没卖下滑，然后挂4.8没成交修改为4.75成交，赶在12:00前收工不想影响睡眠，盈利20%。后来冲高到4.9，无所谓啦，不追求最高卖点最低买点，按策略纪律进行。 晚安💤好梦😘","text":"介于中东局势和事件驱动，开盘先挂XOM 20260402 C160价格3.5没成交，盘中目前最低3.8。要睡觉了撤单了。而且今天正股高开5%然后回落不如预期强劲，期权更是成交了了，还是需要玩家多的标的。发战争财也不是什么好事。 再现价3.9买入NVDA 20260306 C180，看了下正股财报前后进入震荡整理期，正好处在拐点位置试一下，冲高到4.85没卖下滑，然后挂4.8没成交修改为4.75成交，赶在12:00前收工不想影响睡眠，盈利20%。后来冲高到4.9，无所谓啦，不追求最高卖点最低买点，按策略纪律进行。 晚安💤好梦😘","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9abf04216db592cf63ca6805ea46c53f","width":"972","height":"1631"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/538413477795224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":10387,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3582650043397063","authorId":"3582650043397063","name":"ThinkerPoet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/598a43af558544f206fc100ec24ebaba","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3582650043397063","idStr":"3582650043397063"},"content":"0:45，5.4了[微笑]少赚好多啊 但是我要睡觉了 保持好的睡眠和身体状态好是第一要务","text":"0:45，5.4了[微笑]少赚好多啊 但是我要睡觉了 保持好的睡眠和身体状态好是第一要务","html":"0:45，5.4了[微笑]少赚好多啊 但是我要睡觉了 保持好的睡眠和身体状态好是第一要务"},{"author":{"id":"3479274779734729","authorId":"3479274779734729","name":"maroketo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/picture113","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274779734729","idStr":"3479274779734729"},"content":"纪律执行真稳，20%盈利牛！","text":"纪律执行真稳，20%盈利牛！","html":"纪律执行真稳，20%盈利牛！"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":398280046334616,"gmtCreate":1738258708774,"gmtModify":1738258709852,"author":{"id":"3582650043397063","authorId":"3582650043397063","name":"ThinkerPoet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/598a43af558544f206fc100ec24ebaba","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582650043397063","idStr":"3582650043397063"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/398280046334616","repostId":"397760643952832","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":397760643952832,"gmtCreate":1738132213072,"gmtModify":1738134030852,"author":{"id":"3478213283465426","authorId":"3478213283465426","name":"美股投资网","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1bfd2cf1aa240d7058795c83d419510","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3478213283465426","idStr":"3478213283465426"},"themes":[],"title":"美股 特斯拉1月财报预测，风险预警！","htmlText":"\n \n \n  我们先来算一笔特斯拉的账，特朗普胜选让特斯拉凭空多出来5000亿美元的市值，股价从240涨到480美元，现在396美元。 特斯拉从上次公布财报到现在，特斯拉的财务基本面有改变了吗？答案是没有，特朗普有对特斯拉做出什么实际有利的证策了吗？没有，不仅没有，特朗普还要取消拜登7500美元的电动汽车税收抵免证策，还撤销一项行证命令，该命令确保到 2030 年在美国销售的所有新车中有一半是电动汽车。 那如何解释这5000亿市值增加呢？ <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 不是小盘股公司，说炒作起来就炒作起来的，这5000亿都是用真金白银堆积出来的。你硬要用未来的增长业务来解释，说特斯拉机器人未来5年能卖多少多少，无人驾驶出租车满大街跑能带来多少利润，想象空间看似巨大，有多少能真正落地？ <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIVN\">$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$</a> $ 我们今天只想给大家客观的分析特斯拉股价是否脱离公司基本面和对这次财报的看法，我们不想唱衰也不抬高特斯拉，因为特斯拉有太多的死忠粉，他们每次一听到博主说特斯拉不好，立即评论区喷，“哎呀，你们眼光太短浅了、根本不懂特斯拉的未来潜力，马斯克改变世界的伟大。”&nbsp; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">$通用汽车(GM)$</a> 在这里，我们并不是要争论特斯拉5年、10年后的发展，而是专注于现在，就这个财报，以及接下来一个月内股价可能的表现，给大家提供一个更\n \n","listText":"我们先来算一笔特斯拉的账，特朗普胜选让特斯拉凭空多出来5000亿美元的市值，股价从240涨到480美元，现在396美元。 特斯拉从上次公布财报到现在，特斯拉的财务基本面有改变了吗？答案是没有，特朗普有对特斯拉做出什么实际有利的证策了吗？没有，不仅没有，特朗普还要取消拜登7500美元的电动汽车税收抵免证策，还撤销一项行证命令，该命令确保到 2030 年在美国销售的所有新车中有一半是电动汽车。 那如何解释这5000亿市值增加呢？ <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 不是小盘股公司，说炒作起来就炒作起来的，这5000亿都是用真金白银堆积出来的。你硬要用未来的增长业务来解释，说特斯拉机器人未来5年能卖多少多少，无人驾驶出租车满大街跑能带来多少利润，想象空间看似巨大，有多少能真正落地？ <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIVN\">$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$</a> $ 我们今天只想给大家客观的分析特斯拉股价是否脱离公司基本面和对这次财报的看法，我们不想唱衰也不抬高特斯拉，因为特斯拉有太多的死忠粉，他们每次一听到博主说特斯拉不好，立即评论区喷，“哎呀，你们眼光太短浅了、根本不懂特斯拉的未来潜力，马斯克改变世界的伟大。”&nbsp; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">$通用汽车(GM)$</a> 在这里，我们并不是要争论特斯拉5年、10年后的发展，而是专注于现在，就这个财报，以及接下来一个月内股价可能的表现，给大家提供一个更","text":"我们先来算一笔特斯拉的账，特朗普胜选让特斯拉凭空多出来5000亿美元的市值，股价从240涨到480美元，现在396美元。 特斯拉从上次公布财报到现在，特斯拉的财务基本面有改变了吗？答案是没有，特朗普有对特斯拉做出什么实际有利的证策了吗？没有，不仅没有，特朗普还要取消拜登7500美元的电动汽车税收抵免证策，还撤销一项行证命令，该命令确保到 2030 年在美国销售的所有新车中有一半是电动汽车。 那如何解释这5000亿市值增加呢？ $特斯拉(TSLA)$ 不是小盘股公司，说炒作起来就炒作起来的，这5000亿都是用真金白银堆积出来的。你硬要用未来的增长业务来解释，说特斯拉机器人未来5年能卖多少多少，无人驾驶出租车满大街跑能带来多少利润，想象空间看似巨大，有多少能真正落地？ $Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$ $ 我们今天只想给大家客观的分析特斯拉股价是否脱离公司基本面和对这次财报的看法，我们不想唱衰也不抬高特斯拉，因为特斯拉有太多的死忠粉，他们每次一听到博主说特斯拉不好，立即评论区喷，“哎呀，你们眼光太短浅了、根本不懂特斯拉的未来潜力，马斯克改变世界的伟大。” $蔚来(NIO)$ $小鹏汽车(XPEV)$ $通用汽车(GM)$ 在这里，我们并不是要争论特斯拉5年、10年后的发展，而是专注于现在，就这个财报，以及接下来一个月内股价可能的表现，给大家提供一个更","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d39cec10a76c8f1be3cefa579f3b64b"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/397760643952832","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"29529fbc4f3d4ba480451de3e9b8377a","tweetId":"397760643952832","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/73ba5544vodgzp1254107296/aa780b8e1397757903794400644/b7Oz8D1gIXYA.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d39cec10a76c8f1be3cefa579f3b64b"},"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":9,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5399,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":398050065125968,"gmtCreate":1738203031306,"gmtModify":1738206620480,"author":{"id":"3582650043397063","authorId":"3582650043397063","name":"ThinkerPoet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/598a43af558544f206fc100ec24ebaba","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582650043397063","idStr":"3582650043397063"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"蛇年新春至，美股展新姿。灵蛇舞动间，财富涌如泉。新春纳新福，投资选好股，慧眼识珠玉，收获满仓金。愿大家在美股市场中，如灵蛇行于幽谷，灵动而精准，捕捉每一个上涨的契机，让财富如春日繁花，绚烂绽放。新春快乐，投资顺遂！<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/160582331635776\"> @小虎 </a>","listText":"蛇年新春至，美股展新姿。灵蛇舞动间，财富涌如泉。新春纳新福，投资选好股，慧眼识珠玉，收获满仓金。愿大家在美股市场中，如灵蛇行于幽谷，灵动而精准，捕捉每一个上涨的契机，让财富如春日繁花，绚烂绽放。新春快乐，投资顺遂！<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/160582331635776\"> @小虎 </a>","text":"蛇年新春至，美股展新姿。灵蛇舞动间，财富涌如泉。新春纳新福，投资选好股，慧眼识珠玉，收获满仓金。愿大家在美股市场中，如灵蛇行于幽谷，灵动而精准，捕捉每一个上涨的契机，让财富如春日繁花，绚烂绽放。新春快乐，投资顺遂！ @小虎","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e42ae6aabfc2c39d6c8ff3702f50ef6f"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/398050065125968","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9264,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":397936454492608,"gmtCreate":1738174973435,"gmtModify":1738174975863,"author":{"id":"3582650043397063","authorId":"3582650043397063","name":"ThinkerPoet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/598a43af558544f206fc100ec24ebaba","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582650043397063","idStr":"3582650043397063"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"困😪明天看！特斯拉今夜开财报，预计先跌一跌？英伟达总算补跌快回本了[笑哭]&nbsp; 白忙活一场还睡不好觉，就当在学习在进步吧！","listText":"困😪明天看！特斯拉今夜开财报，预计先跌一跌？英伟达总算补跌快回本了[笑哭]&nbsp; 白忙活一场还睡不好觉，就当在学习在进步吧！","text":"困😪明天看！特斯拉今夜开财报，预计先跌一跌？英伟达总算补跌快回本了[笑哭] 白忙活一场还睡不好觉，就当在学习在进步吧！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/397936454492608","repostId":"389736559714560","repostType":1,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3624,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":397900442464792,"gmtCreate":1738166076417,"gmtModify":1738166078083,"author":{"id":"3582650043397063","authorId":"3582650043397063","name":"ThinkerPoet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/598a43af558544f206fc100ec24ebaba","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582650043397063","idStr":"3582650043397063"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/397900442464792","repostId":"2507231165","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2507231165","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1738107956,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2507231165?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-01-29 07:45","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"《黑天鹅》作者：英伟达周一暴跌只是开始，未来回调幅度可能是两、三倍","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2507231165","media":"全天候科技","summary":"《黑天鹅》一书的作者Nassim Taleb表示，周一英伟达遭遇的17%惨痛抛售，只是一个开始，考虑到行业风险，周一英伟达的下跌幅度实际上非常小。人们开始适应现实，他们现在意识到，已经不再是完美无缺的了。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>《黑天鹅》一书的作者Nassim Taleb在最新接受彭博社对话时警告称，投资者盲目追逐华尔街AI热潮面临风险，<strong>周一<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>遭遇的17%惨痛抛售，只是一个开始，未来的回调幅度可能是17%跌幅的两倍甚至三倍：</strong></p><blockquote><p>这只是开始，是人们开始适应现实。因为他们现在意识到，已经不再是完美无缺的了——玻璃杯上有了小缺口。</p><p>到目前为止，投资者都过于关注一种叙事：随着英伟达保持在AI领域的主导地位，该公司的股价将持续上涨。然而考虑到行业风险，周一英伟达的下跌幅度实际上非常小。</p></blockquote><p>英伟达周一的暴跌令其市值抹去了5890亿美元，为美股有史以来最大。周二，英伟达盘中大幅反弹。</p><p>Taleb因畅销书《黑天鹅》闻名，这本书探讨了罕见和难以预测事件的极端影响。他目前担任Universa Investments的科学顾问，这是一家专注于尾部风险对冲的基金，提供类似保险的策略，帮助投资者保护投资组合免受剧烈市场波动的冲击。</p><p>Taleb以前是期权交易员，在业内以悲观的预言而著称，但他的预言并非次次应验。例如2023年初，他曾警告许多投资者尚未为高利率时代做好准备，资产可能不再像疯了一样地膨胀。但自那以来，受AI投资狂热的推动，美股大幅飙升。</p><p>不过，Taleb和Universa Investments并非主张投资者完全撤离市场，从而错过潜在的涨势，而是建议在投资组合中配置一部分资产用于防范突发冲击。</p><p>Taleb表示，太多投资者盲目推高与AI相关公司的股价，而他们实际上并不了解这项技术的运作方式或如何成功。他形容科技公司为“灰天鹅”，因为市场往往低估了这些股票可能出现的巨大日内波动。</p><p>Taleb还再次强调他对美国债务不可持续的担忧。他警告称，如果劳动力成本上升与激进的关税政策结合，可能会引发“通胀爆发”，并认为考虑到这种风险，美国债券市场并不是明智的投资标的。</p><p></p></body></html>","source":"awtmt_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>《黑天鹅》作者：英伟达周一暴跌只是开始，未来回调幅度可能是两、三倍</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n《黑天鹅》作者：英伟达周一暴跌只是开始，未来回调幅度可能是两、三倍\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-01-29 07:45 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://api.jianyuweb.com/apiv1/content/articles/3740173?extract=1><strong>全天候科技</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>《黑天鹅》一书的作者Nassim Taleb在最新接受彭博社对话时警告称，投资者盲目追逐华尔街AI热潮面临风险，周一英伟达遭遇的17%惨痛抛售，只是一个开始，未来的回调幅度可能是17%跌幅的两倍甚至三倍：这只是开始，是人们开始适应现实。因为他们现在意识到，已经不再是完美无缺的了——玻璃杯上有了小缺口。到目前为止，投资者都过于关注一种叙事：随着英伟达保持在AI领域的主导地位，该公司的股价将持续上涨。...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://api.jianyuweb.com/apiv1/content/articles/3740173?extract=1\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7308276753c5ff6ceaac8e2cceebffd3","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://api.jianyuweb.com/apiv1/content/articles/3740173?extract=1","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2507231165","content_text":"《黑天鹅》一书的作者Nassim Taleb在最新接受彭博社对话时警告称，投资者盲目追逐华尔街AI热潮面临风险，周一英伟达遭遇的17%惨痛抛售，只是一个开始，未来的回调幅度可能是17%跌幅的两倍甚至三倍：这只是开始，是人们开始适应现实。因为他们现在意识到，已经不再是完美无缺的了——玻璃杯上有了小缺口。到目前为止，投资者都过于关注一种叙事：随着英伟达保持在AI领域的主导地位，该公司的股价将持续上涨。然而考虑到行业风险，周一英伟达的下跌幅度实际上非常小。英伟达周一的暴跌令其市值抹去了5890亿美元，为美股有史以来最大。周二，英伟达盘中大幅反弹。Taleb因畅销书《黑天鹅》闻名，这本书探讨了罕见和难以预测事件的极端影响。他目前担任Universa Investments的科学顾问，这是一家专注于尾部风险对冲的基金，提供类似保险的策略，帮助投资者保护投资组合免受剧烈市场波动的冲击。Taleb以前是期权交易员，在业内以悲观的预言而著称，但他的预言并非次次应验。例如2023年初，他曾警告许多投资者尚未为高利率时代做好准备，资产可能不再像疯了一样地膨胀。但自那以来，受AI投资狂热的推动，美股大幅飙升。不过，Taleb和Universa 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每日小幅盈利，一周累计盈利📈29.63% 虽然有错过一些暴涨几倍的机会，但我过程中加强了止损风控，减少赌性、增加纪律，可以留在牌桌上玩久点，复利增长的效果好过暴涨暴跌乱了心态，稳稳地很安心！另外也想保障自己的睡眠，基本在12点左右就结束掉不做隔夜盘赌不确定性，睡觉睡得比较安心！先按这个方式做一做看，慢慢总结出更适合自己更有效的交易策略[开心]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"20260302-0306一周交易小结： 每日小幅盈利，一周累计盈利📈29.63% 虽然有错过一些暴涨几倍的机会，但我过程中加强了止损风控，减少赌性、增加纪律，可以留在牌桌上玩久点，复利增长的效果好过暴涨暴跌乱了心态，稳稳地很安心！另外也想保障自己的睡眠，基本在12点左右就结束掉不做隔夜盘赌不确定性，睡觉睡得比较安心！先按这个方式做一做看，慢慢总结出更适合自己更有效的交易策略[开心]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"20260302-0306一周交易小结： 每日小幅盈利，一周累计盈利📈29.63% 虽然有错过一些暴涨几倍的机会，但我过程中加强了止损风控，减少赌性、增加纪律，可以留在牌桌上玩久点，复利增长的效果好过暴涨暴跌乱了心态，稳稳地很安心！另外也想保障自己的睡眠，基本在12点左右就结束掉不做隔夜盘赌不确定性，睡觉睡得比较安心！先按这个方式做一做看，慢慢总结出更适合自己更有效的交易策略[开心]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a327ceb18b7edd9474263c0183ce4d8e","width":"3442","height":"4590"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f20144afb242409fca826cdde861c646","width":"1440","height":"2560"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cb45c6bf8e72e5b44fdda8bca254154","width":"4590","height":"4590"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/540628172423736","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2592,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"5166531553792","authorId":"5166531553792","name":"房大卫","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7870f9b68b7b5f63ffd9738406bcfc3c","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"5166531553792","idStr":"5166531553792"},"content":"厉害，每个星期都是盈利","text":"厉害，每个星期都是盈利","html":"厉害，每个星期都是盈利"},{"author":{"id":"3560818482432945","authorId":"3560818482432945","name":"Yangsirisme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2166d9cedc25a9fab231e41517a39d77","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3560818482432945","idStr":"3560818482432945"},"content":"日内疲软运t纯技术面吗？","text":"日内疲软运t纯技术面吗？","html":"日内疲软运t纯技术面吗？"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":398050065125968,"gmtCreate":1738203031306,"gmtModify":1738206620480,"author":{"id":"3582650043397063","authorId":"3582650043397063","name":"ThinkerPoet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/598a43af558544f206fc100ec24ebaba","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582650043397063","idStr":"3582650043397063"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"蛇年新春至，美股展新姿。灵蛇舞动间，财富涌如泉。新春纳新福，投资选好股，慧眼识珠玉，收获满仓金。愿大家在美股市场中，如灵蛇行于幽谷，灵动而精准，捕捉每一个上涨的契机，让财富如春日繁花，绚烂绽放。新春快乐，投资顺遂！<a 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@小虎","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e42ae6aabfc2c39d6c8ff3702f50ef6f"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/398050065125968","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9264,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":614228480,"gmtCreate":1653616233743,"gmtModify":1704857705146,"author":{"id":"3582650043397063","authorId":"3582650043397063","name":"ThinkerPoet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/598a43af558544f206fc100ec24ebaba","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582650043397063","idStr":"3582650043397063"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"啊啊啊啊 好想要EP9 但应该要写长文才有机会 为了车模我要好好研究下蔚来了 虽然我是特斯拉车主和股东😄","listText":"啊啊啊啊 好想要EP9 但应该要写长文才有机会 为了车模我要好好研究下蔚来了 虽然我是特斯拉车主和股东😄","text":"啊啊啊啊 好想要EP9 但应该要写长文才有机会 为了车模我要好好研究下蔚来了 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&amp;page=/theme/special/discussion&amp;rndata={&quot;themeId&quot;:&quot;7e19ed0febdd4b9fae18ced0495314e7&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:3}\" target=\"_blank\">#蔚来正式登陆新加坡交易所，你怎么看？#</a>，将有机会将获蔚来$30股票代金券！活动内容及规则关注企业号<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3567539496958876\">@蔚来</a> ，以下话题任选其一，本帖留言： 蔚来布局美、港、新三地资本市场，你怎么看？ 晒一晒你的蔚来股票持仓，讲述为何看好蔚来？ 你认为蔚来的核心竞争力是什么？ 蔚来ET7、ET5市场反响热烈，借此聊聊你最喜欢蔚来哪款车型，为什么 工作人员将","listText":"蔚来汽车@蔚来 将于5月20日（新加坡时间）于新加坡交易所主板二次上市。此后，蔚来将成为首家在美、港、新三地上市的智能电动汽车企业全球首家三地上市的车企。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO.SI\">$蔚来(NIO.SI)$</a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09866\">$蔚来-SW(09866)$</a>借着蔚来汽车二次上市的喜气，胖虎又来为虎友们谋福利啦！动动指头在评论区留言，将有机会抱走蔚来精美周边！限量版车模、NIO Life精品在呼唤你~此外，点击参与话题讨论<a 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工作人员将","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e82c68ef18cf26d13c0a436d7617aeb9","width":"651","height":"651"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a3ae0ded70e7a99f5f81f8074a6dad3","width":"1269","height":"714"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4df82ed993ad9560c0813110a85efc02","width":"1080","height":"1080"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/615505881","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4652,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":538413477795224,"gmtCreate":1772469610684,"gmtModify":1772539102984,"author":{"id":"3582650043397063","authorId":"3582650043397063","name":"ThinkerPoet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/598a43af558544f206fc100ec24ebaba","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582650043397063","idStr":"3582650043397063"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"介于中东局势和事件驱动，开盘先挂XOM 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信心不够坚定 投机心太重 教训[笑哭]&nbsp;0.11买的 1手买太少就会太随意 要总结的心态太多了 学习","listText":"本来只是想博末日彩票行情的 不知道咋想的 开盘一小时看着没戏就亏本抛了 兴许是买了好几个想清理下账户看着轻松点吧🤷‍♀️谁知道 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20260424 210.0 CALL\">$NVDA 20260424 210.0 CALL$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;竟然真能实现210 日涨幅4500% 可惜与我无关 没办法 信心不够坚定 投机心太重 教训[笑哭]&nbsp;0.11买的 1手买太少就会太随意 要总结的心态太多了 学习","text":"本来只是想博末日彩票行情的 不知道咋想的 开盘一小时看着没戏就亏本抛了 兴许是买了好几个想清理下账户看着轻松点吧🤷‍♀️谁知道 $NVDA 20260424 210.0 CALL$ 竟然真能实现210 日涨幅4500% 可惜与我无关 没办法 信心不够坚定 投机心太重 教训[笑哭] 0.11买的 1手买太少就会太随意 要总结的心态太多了 学习","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e52cec1a8d1bd1ae139b92cf95514ed","width":"1170","height":"2532"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/557106073162832","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5249,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4200588713609912","authorId":"4200588713609912","name":"Walters","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ea43b3a4653893186c554728a39d1f2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4200588713609912","idStr":"4200588713609912"},"content":"一模一样，大腿都拍断了[流泪]","text":"一模一样，大腿都拍断了[流泪]","html":"一模一样，大腿都拍断了[流泪]"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":845497790,"gmtCreate":1636358788510,"gmtModify":1636358788510,"author":{"id":"3582650043397063","authorId":"3582650043397063","name":"ThinkerPoet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/598a43af558544f206fc100ec24ebaba","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582650043397063","idStr":"3582650043397063"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"I 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将针对亿万富们的股票和房地产等增值资产进行征税。 这种议案基本没有可能在美国通过，但可以用来抨击美国富豪们的避税行为，而马斯克成为了舆论攻击的众矢之的。 对此，马斯克回应并征询了网友的意见： 我没有从任何地方拿现金工资或奖金，我只有股票，所以我个人纳税的唯一方法就是卖出股票。 最近有很多关于未实现收益是避税手段的言论，所以我建议卖掉我10%的特斯拉股票。你们是否同意呢？ 最终，有超过200万","text":"最近，马斯克 有点烦躁。 事情是这样的，随着$特斯拉(TSLA)$市值破万亿，马斯克身价暴涨，成为世界新首富，比$亚马逊(AMZN)$ 创始人 贝索斯的1900亿美元，还高出不少。 立马他就被大家盯上了。 有联合国官员呼吁： 马斯克只要捐出2%的财富， 60 亿美元左右就能挽救全球 4200 万人的生命……如得不到协助，他们就会死。 于是，马斯克回应了一首曹植的《七步诗》，意味深长：有网友解释到，大意是说： 人类本是同根同源，何必总想着互相残杀（何必要针对我呢？）？ 但是，网友们并不买账，还是让他快捐钱。 于是，感到压力越来越大的马斯克，正式回应称： 如果联合国世界粮食计划署 (WFP)能够详细解释，如何使用 60 亿美元来解决全球饥饿问题，我会马上出售股票（捐款）。 结果，联合国WFP官员立即回应： 我们可以向马斯克保证，WFP有透明和公开的财务系统，马斯克可以和他们一起审查。我们可以在任何地方与马斯克会面——地球或者太空都行。 “逼捐”这事儿还没完，有美国政府官员又在近期提交了一份，针对亿万富翁【投资收益征税】的议案，表示： 将针对亿万富们的股票和房地产等增值资产进行征税。 这种议案基本没有可能在美国通过，但可以用来抨击美国富豪们的避税行为，而马斯克成为了舆论攻击的众矢之的。 对此，马斯克回应并征询了网友的意见： 我没有从任何地方拿现金工资或奖金，我只有股票，所以我个人纳税的唯一方法就是卖出股票。 最近有很多关于未实现收益是避税手段的言论，所以我建议卖掉我10%的特斯拉股票。你们是否同意呢？ 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