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2021-07-04

Thanks

Second-Half 2021: Market Forecasts, Thoughts and Observations<blockquote>2021年下半年：市场预测、想法和观察</blockquote>

2021-10-19

Tks

Tesla and 15 Other EV Stocks Are Worth Almost as Much as 50 Traditional Car Makers. How That Makes Sense.<blockquote>特斯拉和其他 15 只电动汽车股票的价值几乎相当于 50 家传统汽车制造商。这怎么说得通。</blockquote>

2021-08-24

Thanks for the email

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2021-08-15

//@Patrula: Tks

5 Stocks To Watch For August 10, 2021<blockquote>2021 年 8 月 10 日值得关注的 5 只股票</blockquote>

2021-08-10

Tks

5 Stocks To Watch For August 10, 2021<blockquote>2021 年 8 月 10 日值得关注的 5 只股票</blockquote>

2021-08-07

//@Patrula: //@Patrula: Thats great.

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2021-08-01

Thank you

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2021-07-29

Thank you.

Rio Tinto Pays $9.1 Billion Dividend as Profit Hits Record<blockquote>利润创历史新高，力拓支付 91 亿美元股息</blockquote>

2021-07-27

Noted

Tesla sales surge 98%; company boosts margins on its less-costly electric cars<blockquote>特斯拉销量激增98%；公司提高低成本电动汽车的利润率</blockquote>

2021-07-27

//@Patrula: Thats great.

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2021-07-27

Noted

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2021-07-23

//@Patrula: Thanks

Second-Half 2021: Market Forecasts, Thoughts and Observations<blockquote>2021年下半年：市场预测、想法和观察</blockquote>

2021-07-21

Thank you

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2021-07-10

Thank you

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2021-07-10

Thank you for the updates

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2021-07-09

Thank you

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2021-07-09

Thank you

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2021-07-08

Thank you

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2021-07-08

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2021-07-08

Thank you for the updated information.

S&P 500, Nasdaq post record closing highs after Fed minutes<blockquote>美联储会议纪要后，标普500和纳斯达克创下收盘新高</blockquote>

2021-07-06

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authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks&nbsp;","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":2,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155045745","repostId":"1192425829","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1192425829","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625362308,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1192425829?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-04 09:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Second-Half 2021: Market Forecasts, Thoughts and Observations<blockquote>2021年下半年：市场预测、想法和观察</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1192425829","media":"The Street","summary":"The stock market has given us some incredible returns in the past year or two but there are some war","content":"<p>  The stock market has given us some incredible returns in the past year or two but there are some warning signs developing -- and one key date to keep an eye on.  The stock market, commodity markets and fixed-income markets have been on some wild rides the past 18 months. We penned 2021 forecast pieces back in January (read<b>here</b>and<b>here</b>), but a fresh look at things for the balance of the year seems like a good idea with commodity plays on the rise, oil prices coming on strong while other areas of the market are cooling.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的一两年里，股市给了我们一些令人难以置信的回报，但也出现了一些警告信号——以及一个需要关注的关键日期。在过去的18个月里，股票市场、大宗商品市场和固定收益市场一直在疯狂上涨。我们早在一月份就撰写了 2021 年预测文章（阅读<b>在这里</b>和<b>在这里</b>），但重新审视今年剩余时间的情况似乎是一个好主意，因为大宗商品正在上涨，油价走强，而市场其他领域正在降温。</blockquote></p><p> Let's start our analysis with some monthly candlestick charts.</p><p><blockquote>让我们从一些月度蜡烛图开始我们的分析。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Candlestick AnalysisDow Jones Industrials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>烛台分析道琼斯工业指数</b></blockquote></p><p> In this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), below, we can see that prices have made a huge rise over the past decade and a very sharp advance since March of 2020. Taking a little liberty in our methodology we can see an 8 to 10 record high advance since the 2020 pandemic low. Notice the slowing pace of the 12-month price momentum study in the lower panel.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的道琼斯工业平均指数（道琼斯）月度日本烛台图中，我们可以看到价格在过去十年中大幅上涨，自2020年3月以来大幅上涨。在我们的方法上稍微放松一下，我们可以看到自 2020 年疫情低点以来 8 至 10 的创纪录高位上涨。请注意下方面板中 12 个月价格动量研究的步伐正在放缓。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c0c65a961cdf2a9b6bdba9757ca8c5d\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>S&amp;P 500</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500</b></blockquote></p><p> In this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the S&amp;P 500 Index (SPX) below, we can see another big advance over the past 10 years. The index made a sideways consolidation pattern in 2015-2016 around 2,000 to 2,200 and we have for most part doubled from there. I would not be surprised to see some significant profit-taking as the SPX approached 4,400. Momentum has been slowing here too.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的标普500指数（SPX）月度日本烛台图中，我们可以看到过去10年的又一次大幅上涨。该指数在 2015-2016 年在 2,000 至 2,200 点左右形成了横向盘整模式，此后我们的股价大多翻了一番。当 SPX 接近 4,400 点时，如果看到一些大幅获利了结，我不会感到惊讶。这里的势头也在放缓。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72a594dc06dc6364a1f4432334018a95\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Nasdaq</b></p><p><blockquote><b>纳斯达克</b></blockquote></p><p> In this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the Nasdaq, below, we can see that prices have doubled from their consolidation pattern in 2018 and 2019 in the 7,000 area. Prices have nearly tripled from their consolidation around 5,000 in 2015-2016. Yes, the momentum study is slowing.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的纳斯达克月度日本烛台图中，我们可以看到价格较 2018 年和 2019 年的 7,000 点区域的盘整模式翻了一番。价格较 2015-2016 年 5,000 美元左右的盘整上涨了近两倍。是的，动量研究正在放缓。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a32c8a3b8cbd6d84dc3c316188d0714c\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Russell 2000</b></p><p><blockquote><b>罗素2000</b></blockquote></p><p> In this monthly candlestick chart of the Russell 2000 index (RUT) we can see that prices have more than doubled from their March 2020 low. This could take your breath away. With the string of white candles and weakening momentum we want to be more cautious as we move forward in the third quarter.</p><p><blockquote>在罗素2000指数（RUT）的月度烛台图中，我们可以看到价格从2020年3月的低点上涨了一倍多。这会让你喘不过气来。随着一连串白色蜡烛和减弱的势头，我们希望在第三季度前进时更加谨慎。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00e2eb68915aa7fe3a35df2b5cca4c7c\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">All these charts (above) show the 8 to 10 record high pattern so we should be on our guard for a top reversal pattern.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些图表（上图）都显示了 8 到 10 的历史新高模式，因此我们应该警惕顶部反转模式。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Advance-Decline Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>进退分析</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, let's turn our attention to the Advance-Decline line.</p><p><blockquote>现在，让我们把注意力转向涨跌线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Dow Jones Industrials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>道琼斯工业公司</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily candlestick chart of the DJIA, below, we show the Advance-Decline line which has been moving sideways since early May. This difference between the price action is a bearish divergence but the DJIA is a narrow average with only 30 stocks.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的道琼斯每日烛台图中，我们显示了自 5 月初以来一直横向移动的进退线。价格走势之间的这种差异是看跌背离，但道琼斯是只有 30 只股票的窄幅平均线。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5af49f53b61d7234c47302a43ef8fc54\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>S&amp;P 500</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500</b></blockquote></p><p> In this chart of the S&amp;P 500 and its Advance-Decline line, below, we can see that prices and the Advance-Decline line are pointed up so a bearish divergence has not started.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的标普500及其上涨-下跌线的图表中，我们可以看到价格和上涨-下跌线是向上的，因此看跌背离尚未开始。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f76b13060f5ac582155923264b7fb2f\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Nasdaq</b></p><p><blockquote><b>纳斯达克</b></blockquote></p><p> In this chart of the Nasdaq, below, we can see a significant bearish divergence. The Nasdaq has been making new highs but the Advance-Decline line has been moving sideways to lower from February.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的纳斯达克图表中，我们可以看到明显的看跌背离。纳斯达克一直在创下新高，但自2月份以来，涨跌线一直在横向走低。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c202ca833085d8ae21f804e01da1d20e\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Nasdaq 100</b></p><p><blockquote><b>纳斯达克100</b></blockquote></p><p> In this chart of Nasdaq 100 and its Advance-Decline line, below, we see prices and the indicator going up together. No bearish divergence here.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02f49df814666506de6bd3a8f8cff358\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Sectors</b></p><p><blockquote>在下面的纳斯达克 100 指数及其涨跌线图表中，我们看到价格和指标一起上涨。这里没有看跌分歧。<b>部门</b></blockquote></p><p> The marketplace can be broken down into 11 sectors but I want to cover just part of the list today.<b>Energy</b>In this weekly candlestick chart of the (XLE) , the S&amp;P Energy sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have doubled from their pandemic low. Trading volume has been very heavy and the weekly On-Balance-Volume has been stalled the past four months. The 12-week price momentum study has been weakening for a bearish divergence.</p><p><blockquote>市场可以分为11个部门，但我今天只想介绍其中的一部分。<b>能源</b>在下面的标准普尔能源行业 ETF (XLE) 的每周蜡烛图中，我们可以看到价格较大流行低点翻了一番。交易量一直非常大，过去四个月每周余额交易量一直停滞不前。12周价格动量研究一直在减弱，出现看跌背离。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6c7c0cb796bbdd57de9aba933c615ce\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Two energy names that could rally further in the third quarter are EOG Resources (EOG) and ConocoPhillips (COP) . Here are the charts.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度可能进一步上涨的两个能源公司是 EOG Resources (EOG) 和康菲石油公司 (COP)。这是图表。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d2fc7721f85cac4b418a821156c714f\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/874820e1c1c54a567c399f5129e88676\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc072387bc975d38d92af5b6b3de16ac\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d2822d20c835ce4f4860d5eb45212cb\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily bar chart of the (XLF) ,&nbsp; the Financial sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have begun a topping phase. Prices have broken below the cresting 50-day moving average line. The On-Balance-Volume line has weakened from early June and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) oscillator has fallen below the zero line for an outright sell signal.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的金融部门 ETF (XLF) 的每日柱状图中，我们可以看到价格已经开始见顶阶段。价格已跌破 50 日移动平均线顶部。自 6 月初以来，平衡成交量线已走弱，移动平均线收敛背离 (MACD) 振荡指标已跌破零线，发出彻底卖出信号。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bddfbb55fad602b4a29ff4ef1ba47e0f\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Technology</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术</b></blockquote></p><p> In this weekly Japanese candlestick chart of the (XLK) , the Technology sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have more than doubled from their pandemic low. The trading volume has diminished since March 2020 and the weekly On-Balance-Volume line has been stuck in a sideways trend for the past 12 months. The 12-week price momentum study in the bottom panel shows lower highs being made the past year. This is a significant bearish divergence.</p><p><blockquote>在下面科技行业 ETF (XLK) 的每周日本烛台图中，我们可以看到价格较大流行低点上涨了一倍多。自2020年3月以来，交易量一直在减少，每周平衡交易量线在过去12个月中一直处于横盘趋势。底部面板中的 12 周价格动量研究显示，过去一年的高点较低。这是一个显著的看跌背离。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9d9a652c4c72b421556bfbd90dd8d44\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Industrials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>工业</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily bar chart of the (XLI) &nbsp;, the Industrial sector ETF, below, we can see a weakening picture. Prices have slipped below the cresting 50-day moving average line. The On-Balance-Volume line has weakened the past two months and the MACD oscillator is below the zero line in sell territory.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的 (XLI) 工业部门 ETF 的每日柱状图中，我们可以看到一幅走弱的画面。价格已跌破 50 天移动平均线峰值。在过去的两个月里，平衡成交量线已经减弱，MACD振荡指标低于卖出区域的零线。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47838029e80d6b87a83abb9f1352bdaf\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Bonds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债券</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily Point and Figure chart of the (TLT) , the iShares 20+ year Treasury Bond ETF, below, we can see a potential upside price target in the $165 area.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的 iShares 20+ 年期国债 ETF (TLT) 的每日点图图中，我们可以看到 165 美元区域的潜在上行价格目标。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/587f7bae63415985c849540d27b7ffaa\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"992\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>U.S. Dollar</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美元</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily Japanese candlestick chart of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) we can see that prices have stopped short of a test of its late March/early April highs. DXY could make a slow drift downward to retest its May lows.</p><p><blockquote>在美元指数（DXY）的每日日本烛台图中，我们可以看到价格已经停止测试3月底/4月初的高点。DXY 可能会缓慢下行，以重新测试 5 月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c086d11fb1d31f2710dc3752d158a2e7\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Mark Your Calendars</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标记您的日历</b></blockquote></p><p> A technical service that I have been using since the mid-1990s (www.pfr.com) is anticipating a large-scale \"trend change\" on or about Aug. 2 and this bears watching. This could mark the start of perhaps a 10% correction in the major averages. The next trend change is anticipated for late October, which could be the start of a year-end rally. We want to pay closer attention to the advance-decline numbers and price action as we approach Aug. 2.</p><p><blockquote>我自 20 世纪 90 年代中期以来一直使用的一项技术服务 (www.pfr.com) 预计 8 月 2 日左右将出现大规模“趋势变化”，这值得关注。这可能标志着主要平均值可能开始回调 10%。下一次趋势变化预计将在 10 月下旬发生，这可能是年终反弹的开始。随着 8 月 2 日的临近，我们希望密切关注涨跌数据和价格走势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sentiment</b></p><p><blockquote><b>情绪</b></blockquote></p><p> No discussion about the stock market would be complete without some discussion of sentiment. There are plenty of \"signs\" of the stock market being out over its skis.</p><p><blockquote>如果不讨论情绪，任何关于股市的讨论都是不完整的。有很多“迹象”表明股市正在走下坡路。</blockquote></p><p> I see a number of market letters and commentary from fellow technical analysts and they are all bullish. I get emails from Real Money subscribers asking about this stock or that stock and I have two observations:</p><p><blockquote>我看到了一些来自其他技术分析师的市场信件和评论，它们都是看涨的。我收到 Real Money 订阅者的电子邮件，询问这只股票或那只股票，我有两个观察结果：</blockquote></p><p> 1. The names they are asking about seem to be more speculative in nature. I cannot remember the last time someone emailed me about a boring utility stock.</p><p><blockquote>1. 他们询问的名字似乎更具有推测性。我不记得上次有人给我发电子邮件谈论无聊的公用事业股票是什么时候了。</blockquote></p><p> 2. The second thing that has struck me about the emails is the failure to recognize risk. Everyone wants to know the next highest price target but they never ask about where to move a stop up.</p><p><blockquote>2.关于这些电子邮件，让我印象深刻的第二件事是没有意识到风险。每个人都想知道下一个最高价格目标，但他们从不问在哪里止损。</blockquote></p><p> Sentiment is not a precise indicator and much of it is anecdotal in nature and hard to quantify. The anticipated Robinhood IPO could mark a turning point.</p><p><blockquote>情绪不是一个精确的指标，其中大部分本质上是轶事，很难量化。预期中的 Robinhood IPO 可能标志着一个转折点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom-Line Strategy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线策略</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock market has given us some incredible returns in the past year or two but there are some warning signs developing and traders need to start leaning in the other direction.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的一两年里，股市给了我们一些令人难以置信的回报，但也出现了一些警告信号，交易者需要开始转向另一个方向。</blockquote></p><p> Consider adding to commodity plays as they could be the outperformers of the third quarter.</p><p><blockquote>考虑增持大宗商品，因为它们可能会跑赢第三季度的大宗商品。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Consider becoming a scale-up profit taker. Continue to raise your stop protection to lock in more gains. Pay closer attention to where in the range prices are closing. Highs are typically made when prices close near the high of the day.Is the On-Balance-Volume line weakening as volume increases on days when the market or your favorite stock declines?</p><p><blockquote>考虑成为一个扩大规模的获利者。继续提高您的止损保护以锁定更多收益。密切关注价格在区间中的收盘价。当价格收盘接近当日高点时，通常会创出高点。在市场或您最喜欢的股票下跌的日子里，平衡成交量线是否会随着成交量的增加而减弱？</blockquote></p><p> Pay closer attention to the news and watch for stocks and the market to decline on bullish news -- this tells us that the news has been discounted.</p><p><blockquote>密切关注新闻，观察股票和市场因利多消息而下跌——这告诉我们新闻已经打折。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Second-Half 2021: Market Forecasts, Thoughts and Observations<blockquote>2021年下半年：市场预测、想法和观察</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSecond-Half 2021: Market Forecasts, Thoughts and Observations<blockquote>2021年下半年：市场预测、想法和观察</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Street</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-04 09:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  The stock market has given us some incredible returns in the past year or two but there are some warning signs developing -- and one key date to keep an eye on.  The stock market, commodity markets and fixed-income markets have been on some wild rides the past 18 months. We penned 2021 forecast pieces back in January (read<b>here</b>and<b>here</b>), but a fresh look at things for the balance of the year seems like a good idea with commodity plays on the rise, oil prices coming on strong while other areas of the market are cooling.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的一两年里，股市给了我们一些令人难以置信的回报，但也出现了一些警告信号——以及一个需要关注的关键日期。在过去的18个月里，股票市场、大宗商品市场和固定收益市场一直在疯狂上涨。我们早在一月份就撰写了 2021 年预测文章（阅读<b>在这里</b>和<b>在这里</b>），但重新审视今年剩余时间的情况似乎是一个好主意，因为大宗商品正在上涨，油价走强，而市场其他领域正在降温。</blockquote></p><p> Let's start our analysis with some monthly candlestick charts.</p><p><blockquote>让我们从一些月度蜡烛图开始我们的分析。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Candlestick AnalysisDow Jones Industrials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>烛台分析道琼斯工业指数</b></blockquote></p><p> In this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), below, we can see that prices have made a huge rise over the past decade and a very sharp advance since March of 2020. Taking a little liberty in our methodology we can see an 8 to 10 record high advance since the 2020 pandemic low. Notice the slowing pace of the 12-month price momentum study in the lower panel.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的道琼斯工业平均指数（道琼斯）月度日本烛台图中，我们可以看到价格在过去十年中大幅上涨，自2020年3月以来大幅上涨。在我们的方法上稍微放松一下，我们可以看到自 2020 年疫情低点以来 8 至 10 的创纪录高位上涨。请注意下方面板中 12 个月价格动量研究的步伐正在放缓。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c0c65a961cdf2a9b6bdba9757ca8c5d\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>S&amp;P 500</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500</b></blockquote></p><p> In this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the S&amp;P 500 Index (SPX) below, we can see another big advance over the past 10 years. The index made a sideways consolidation pattern in 2015-2016 around 2,000 to 2,200 and we have for most part doubled from there. I would not be surprised to see some significant profit-taking as the SPX approached 4,400. Momentum has been slowing here too.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的标普500指数（SPX）月度日本烛台图中，我们可以看到过去10年的又一次大幅上涨。该指数在 2015-2016 年在 2,000 至 2,200 点左右形成了横向盘整模式，此后我们的股价大多翻了一番。当 SPX 接近 4,400 点时，如果看到一些大幅获利了结，我不会感到惊讶。这里的势头也在放缓。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72a594dc06dc6364a1f4432334018a95\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Nasdaq</b></p><p><blockquote><b>纳斯达克</b></blockquote></p><p> In this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the Nasdaq, below, we can see that prices have doubled from their consolidation pattern in 2018 and 2019 in the 7,000 area. Prices have nearly tripled from their consolidation around 5,000 in 2015-2016. Yes, the momentum study is slowing.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的纳斯达克月度日本烛台图中，我们可以看到价格较 2018 年和 2019 年的 7,000 点区域的盘整模式翻了一番。价格较 2015-2016 年 5,000 美元左右的盘整上涨了近两倍。是的，动量研究正在放缓。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a32c8a3b8cbd6d84dc3c316188d0714c\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Russell 2000</b></p><p><blockquote><b>罗素2000</b></blockquote></p><p> In this monthly candlestick chart of the Russell 2000 index (RUT) we can see that prices have more than doubled from their March 2020 low. This could take your breath away. With the string of white candles and weakening momentum we want to be more cautious as we move forward in the third quarter.</p><p><blockquote>在罗素2000指数（RUT）的月度烛台图中，我们可以看到价格从2020年3月的低点上涨了一倍多。这会让你喘不过气来。随着一连串白色蜡烛和减弱的势头，我们希望在第三季度前进时更加谨慎。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00e2eb68915aa7fe3a35df2b5cca4c7c\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">All these charts (above) show the 8 to 10 record high pattern so we should be on our guard for a top reversal pattern.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些图表（上图）都显示了 8 到 10 的历史新高模式，因此我们应该警惕顶部反转模式。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Advance-Decline Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>进退分析</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, let's turn our attention to the Advance-Decline line.</p><p><blockquote>现在，让我们把注意力转向涨跌线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Dow Jones Industrials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>道琼斯工业公司</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily candlestick chart of the DJIA, below, we show the Advance-Decline line which has been moving sideways since early May. This difference between the price action is a bearish divergence but the DJIA is a narrow average with only 30 stocks.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的道琼斯每日烛台图中，我们显示了自 5 月初以来一直横向移动的进退线。价格走势之间的这种差异是看跌背离，但道琼斯是只有 30 只股票的窄幅平均线。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5af49f53b61d7234c47302a43ef8fc54\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>S&amp;P 500</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500</b></blockquote></p><p> In this chart of the S&amp;P 500 and its Advance-Decline line, below, we can see that prices and the Advance-Decline line are pointed up so a bearish divergence has not started.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的标普500及其上涨-下跌线的图表中，我们可以看到价格和上涨-下跌线是向上的，因此看跌背离尚未开始。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f76b13060f5ac582155923264b7fb2f\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Nasdaq</b></p><p><blockquote><b>纳斯达克</b></blockquote></p><p> In this chart of the Nasdaq, below, we can see a significant bearish divergence. The Nasdaq has been making new highs but the Advance-Decline line has been moving sideways to lower from February.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的纳斯达克图表中，我们可以看到明显的看跌背离。纳斯达克一直在创下新高，但自2月份以来，涨跌线一直在横向走低。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c202ca833085d8ae21f804e01da1d20e\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Nasdaq 100</b></p><p><blockquote><b>纳斯达克100</b></blockquote></p><p> In this chart of Nasdaq 100 and its Advance-Decline line, below, we see prices and the indicator going up together. No bearish divergence here.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02f49df814666506de6bd3a8f8cff358\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Sectors</b></p><p><blockquote>在下面的纳斯达克 100 指数及其涨跌线图表中，我们看到价格和指标一起上涨。这里没有看跌分歧。<b>部门</b></blockquote></p><p> The marketplace can be broken down into 11 sectors but I want to cover just part of the list today.<b>Energy</b>In this weekly candlestick chart of the (XLE) , the S&amp;P Energy sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have doubled from their pandemic low. Trading volume has been very heavy and the weekly On-Balance-Volume has been stalled the past four months. The 12-week price momentum study has been weakening for a bearish divergence.</p><p><blockquote>市场可以分为11个部门，但我今天只想介绍其中的一部分。<b>能源</b>在下面的标准普尔能源行业 ETF (XLE) 的每周蜡烛图中，我们可以看到价格较大流行低点翻了一番。交易量一直非常大，过去四个月每周余额交易量一直停滞不前。12周价格动量研究一直在减弱，出现看跌背离。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6c7c0cb796bbdd57de9aba933c615ce\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Two energy names that could rally further in the third quarter are EOG Resources (EOG) and ConocoPhillips (COP) . Here are the charts.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度可能进一步上涨的两个能源公司是 EOG Resources (EOG) 和康菲石油公司 (COP)。这是图表。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d2fc7721f85cac4b418a821156c714f\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/874820e1c1c54a567c399f5129e88676\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc072387bc975d38d92af5b6b3de16ac\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d2822d20c835ce4f4860d5eb45212cb\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily bar chart of the (XLF) ,&nbsp; the Financial sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have begun a topping phase. Prices have broken below the cresting 50-day moving average line. The On-Balance-Volume line has weakened from early June and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) oscillator has fallen below the zero line for an outright sell signal.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的金融部门 ETF (XLF) 的每日柱状图中，我们可以看到价格已经开始见顶阶段。价格已跌破 50 日移动平均线顶部。自 6 月初以来，平衡成交量线已走弱，移动平均线收敛背离 (MACD) 振荡指标已跌破零线，发出彻底卖出信号。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bddfbb55fad602b4a29ff4ef1ba47e0f\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Technology</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术</b></blockquote></p><p> In this weekly Japanese candlestick chart of the (XLK) , the Technology sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have more than doubled from their pandemic low. The trading volume has diminished since March 2020 and the weekly On-Balance-Volume line has been stuck in a sideways trend for the past 12 months. The 12-week price momentum study in the bottom panel shows lower highs being made the past year. This is a significant bearish divergence.</p><p><blockquote>在下面科技行业 ETF (XLK) 的每周日本烛台图中，我们可以看到价格较大流行低点上涨了一倍多。自2020年3月以来，交易量一直在减少，每周平衡交易量线在过去12个月中一直处于横盘趋势。底部面板中的 12 周价格动量研究显示，过去一年的高点较低。这是一个显著的看跌背离。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9d9a652c4c72b421556bfbd90dd8d44\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Industrials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>工业</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily bar chart of the (XLI) &nbsp;, the Industrial sector ETF, below, we can see a weakening picture. Prices have slipped below the cresting 50-day moving average line. The On-Balance-Volume line has weakened the past two months and the MACD oscillator is below the zero line in sell territory.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的 (XLI) 工业部门 ETF 的每日柱状图中，我们可以看到一幅走弱的画面。价格已跌破 50 天移动平均线峰值。在过去的两个月里，平衡成交量线已经减弱，MACD振荡指标低于卖出区域的零线。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47838029e80d6b87a83abb9f1352bdaf\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Bonds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债券</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily Point and Figure chart of the (TLT) , the iShares 20+ year Treasury Bond ETF, below, we can see a potential upside price target in the $165 area.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的 iShares 20+ 年期国债 ETF (TLT) 的每日点图图中，我们可以看到 165 美元区域的潜在上行价格目标。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/587f7bae63415985c849540d27b7ffaa\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"992\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>U.S. Dollar</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美元</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily Japanese candlestick chart of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) we can see that prices have stopped short of a test of its late March/early April highs. DXY could make a slow drift downward to retest its May lows.</p><p><blockquote>在美元指数（DXY）的每日日本烛台图中，我们可以看到价格已经停止测试3月底/4月初的高点。DXY 可能会缓慢下行，以重新测试 5 月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c086d11fb1d31f2710dc3752d158a2e7\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Mark Your Calendars</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标记您的日历</b></blockquote></p><p> A technical service that I have been using since the mid-1990s (www.pfr.com) is anticipating a large-scale \"trend change\" on or about Aug. 2 and this bears watching. This could mark the start of perhaps a 10% correction in the major averages. The next trend change is anticipated for late October, which could be the start of a year-end rally. We want to pay closer attention to the advance-decline numbers and price action as we approach Aug. 2.</p><p><blockquote>我自 20 世纪 90 年代中期以来一直使用的一项技术服务 (www.pfr.com) 预计 8 月 2 日左右将出现大规模“趋势变化”，这值得关注。这可能标志着主要平均值可能开始回调 10%。下一次趋势变化预计将在 10 月下旬发生，这可能是年终反弹的开始。随着 8 月 2 日的临近，我们希望密切关注涨跌数据和价格走势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sentiment</b></p><p><blockquote><b>情绪</b></blockquote></p><p> No discussion about the stock market would be complete without some discussion of sentiment. There are plenty of \"signs\" of the stock market being out over its skis.</p><p><blockquote>如果不讨论情绪，任何关于股市的讨论都是不完整的。有很多“迹象”表明股市正在走下坡路。</blockquote></p><p> I see a number of market letters and commentary from fellow technical analysts and they are all bullish. I get emails from Real Money subscribers asking about this stock or that stock and I have two observations:</p><p><blockquote>我看到了一些来自其他技术分析师的市场信件和评论，它们都是看涨的。我收到 Real Money 订阅者的电子邮件，询问这只股票或那只股票，我有两个观察结果：</blockquote></p><p> 1. The names they are asking about seem to be more speculative in nature. I cannot remember the last time someone emailed me about a boring utility stock.</p><p><blockquote>1. 他们询问的名字似乎更具有推测性。我不记得上次有人给我发电子邮件谈论无聊的公用事业股票是什么时候了。</blockquote></p><p> 2. The second thing that has struck me about the emails is the failure to recognize risk. Everyone wants to know the next highest price target but they never ask about where to move a stop up.</p><p><blockquote>2.关于这些电子邮件，让我印象深刻的第二件事是没有意识到风险。每个人都想知道下一个最高价格目标，但他们从不问在哪里止损。</blockquote></p><p> Sentiment is not a precise indicator and much of it is anecdotal in nature and hard to quantify. The anticipated Robinhood IPO could mark a turning point.</p><p><blockquote>情绪不是一个精确的指标，其中大部分本质上是轶事，很难量化。预期中的 Robinhood IPO 可能标志着一个转折点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom-Line Strategy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线策略</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock market has given us some incredible returns in the past year or two but there are some warning signs developing and traders need to start leaning in the other direction.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的一两年里，股市给了我们一些令人难以置信的回报，但也出现了一些警告信号，交易者需要开始转向另一个方向。</blockquote></p><p> Consider adding to commodity plays as they could be the outperformers of the third quarter.</p><p><blockquote>考虑增持大宗商品，因为它们可能会跑赢第三季度的大宗商品。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Consider becoming a scale-up profit taker. Continue to raise your stop protection to lock in more gains. Pay closer attention to where in the range prices are closing. Highs are typically made when prices close near the high of the day.Is the On-Balance-Volume line weakening as volume increases on days when the market or your favorite stock declines?</p><p><blockquote>考虑成为一个扩大规模的获利者。继续提高您的止损保护以锁定更多收益。密切关注价格在区间中的收盘价。当价格收盘接近当日高点时，通常会创出高点。在市场或您最喜欢的股票下跌的日子里，平衡成交量线是否会随着成交量的增加而减弱？</blockquote></p><p> Pay closer attention to the news and watch for stocks and the market to decline on bullish news -- this tells us that the news has been discounted.</p><p><blockquote>密切关注新闻，观察股票和市场因利多消息而下跌——这告诉我们新闻已经打折。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://realmoney.thestreet.com/investing/stocks/second-half-2021-market-forecasts-thoughts-and-observations-15702152?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO\">The Street</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://realmoney.thestreet.com/investing/stocks/second-half-2021-market-forecasts-thoughts-and-observations-15702152?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1192425829","content_text":"The stock market has given us some incredible returns in the past year or two but there are some warning signs developing -- and one key date to keep an eye on.\n\nThe stock market, commodity markets and fixed-income markets have been on some wild rides the past 18 months. We penned 2021 forecast pieces back in January (readhereandhere), but a fresh look at things for the balance of the year seems like a good idea with commodity plays on the rise, oil prices coming on strong while other areas of the market are cooling.\nLet's start our analysis with some monthly candlestick charts.\nCandlestick AnalysisDow Jones Industrials\nIn this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), below, we can see that prices have made a huge rise over the past decade and a very sharp advance since March of 2020. Taking a little liberty in our methodology we can see an 8 to 10 record high advance since the 2020 pandemic low. Notice the slowing pace of the 12-month price momentum study in the lower panel.\nS&P 500\nIn this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) below, we can see another big advance over the past 10 years. The index made a sideways consolidation pattern in 2015-2016 around 2,000 to 2,200 and we have for most part doubled from there. I would not be surprised to see some significant profit-taking as the SPX approached 4,400. Momentum has been slowing here too.\nNasdaq\nIn this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the Nasdaq, below, we can see that prices have doubled from their consolidation pattern in 2018 and 2019 in the 7,000 area. Prices have nearly tripled from their consolidation around 5,000 in 2015-2016. Yes, the momentum study is slowing.\nRussell 2000\nIn this monthly candlestick chart of the Russell 2000 index (RUT) we can see that prices have more than doubled from their March 2020 low. This could take your breath away. With the string of white candles and weakening momentum we want to be more cautious as we move forward in the third quarter.\nAll these charts (above) show the 8 to 10 record high pattern so we should be on our guard for a top reversal pattern.\nAdvance-Decline Analysis\nNow, let's turn our attention to the Advance-Decline line.\nDow Jones Industrials\nIn this daily candlestick chart of the DJIA, below, we show the Advance-Decline line which has been moving sideways since early May. This difference between the price action is a bearish divergence but the DJIA is a narrow average with only 30 stocks.\nS&P 500\nIn this chart of the S&P 500 and its Advance-Decline line, below, we can see that prices and the Advance-Decline line are pointed up so a bearish divergence has not started.\nNasdaq\nIn this chart of the Nasdaq, below, we can see a significant bearish divergence. The Nasdaq has been making new highs but the Advance-Decline line has been moving sideways to lower from February.\nNasdaq 100\nIn this chart of Nasdaq 100 and its Advance-Decline line, below, we see prices and the indicator going up together. No bearish divergence here.Sectors\nThe marketplace can be broken down into 11 sectors but I want to cover just part of the list today.EnergyIn this weekly candlestick chart of the (XLE) , the S&P Energy sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have doubled from their pandemic low. Trading volume has been very heavy and the weekly On-Balance-Volume has been stalled the past four months. The 12-week price momentum study has been weakening for a bearish divergence.\n\nTwo energy names that could rally further in the third quarter are EOG Resources (EOG) and ConocoPhillips (COP) . Here are the charts.\nFinancials\nIn this daily bar chart of the (XLF) ,  the Financial sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have begun a topping phase. Prices have broken below the cresting 50-day moving average line. The On-Balance-Volume line has weakened from early June and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) oscillator has fallen below the zero line for an outright sell signal.\nTechnology\nIn this weekly Japanese candlestick chart of the (XLK) , the Technology sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have more than doubled from their pandemic low. The trading volume has diminished since March 2020 and the weekly On-Balance-Volume line has been stuck in a sideways trend for the past 12 months. The 12-week price momentum study in the bottom panel shows lower highs being made the past year. This is a significant bearish divergence.\nIndustrials\nIn this daily bar chart of the (XLI)  , the Industrial sector ETF, below, we can see a weakening picture. Prices have slipped below the cresting 50-day moving average line. The On-Balance-Volume line has weakened the past two months and the MACD oscillator is below the zero line in sell territory.\nBonds\nIn this daily Point and Figure chart of the (TLT) , the iShares 20+ year Treasury Bond ETF, below, we can see a potential upside price target in the $165 area.\nU.S. Dollar\nIn this daily Japanese candlestick chart of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) we can see that prices have stopped short of a test of its late March/early April highs. DXY could make a slow drift downward to retest its May lows.\nMark Your Calendars\nA technical service that I have been using since the mid-1990s (www.pfr.com) is anticipating a large-scale \"trend change\" on or about Aug. 2 and this bears watching. This could mark the start of perhaps a 10% correction in the major averages. The next trend change is anticipated for late October, which could be the start of a year-end rally. We want to pay closer attention to the advance-decline numbers and price action as we approach Aug. 2.\nSentiment\nNo discussion about the stock market would be complete without some discussion of sentiment. There are plenty of \"signs\" of the stock market being out over its skis.\nI see a number of market letters and commentary from fellow technical analysts and they are all bullish. I get emails from Real Money subscribers asking about this stock or that stock and I have two observations:\n1. The names they are asking about seem to be more speculative in nature. I cannot remember the last time someone emailed me about a boring utility stock.\n2. The second thing that has struck me about the emails is the failure to recognize risk. Everyone wants to know the next highest price target but they never ask about where to move a stop up.\nSentiment is not a precise indicator and much of it is anecdotal in nature and hard to quantify. The anticipated Robinhood IPO could mark a turning point.\nBottom-Line Strategy\nThe stock market has given us some incredible returns in the past year or two but there are some warning signs developing and traders need to start leaning in the other direction.\nConsider adding to commodity plays as they could be the outperformers of the third quarter.\nConsider becoming a scale-up profit taker. Continue to raise your stop protection to lock in more gains. Pay closer attention to where in the range prices are closing. Highs are typically made when prices close near the high of the day.Is the On-Balance-Volume line weakening as volume increases on days when the market or your favorite stock declines?\nPay closer attention to the news and watch for stocks and the market to decline on bullish news -- this tells us that the news has been discounted.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3687,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":850700086,"gmtCreate":1634622511897,"gmtModify":1634622767454,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Tks","listText":"Tks","text":"Tks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850700086","repostId":"1147398025","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147398025","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634608414,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1147398025?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-19 09:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla and 15 Other EV Stocks Are Worth Almost as Much as 50 Traditional Car Makers. How That Makes Sense.<blockquote>特斯拉和其他 15 只电动汽车股票的价值几乎相当于 50 家传统汽车制造商。这怎么说得通。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147398025","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla and other electric-vehicle makers account for almost half of the value wrapped up in car-manuf","content":"<p>Tesla&nbsp;and other electric-vehicle makers account for almost half of the value wrapped up in car-manufacturer stocks. Does that make sense?</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉和其他电动汽车制造商占汽车制造商股票价值的近一半。这有道理吗？</blockquote></p><p> Monday, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi asked that question. He’s a&nbsp;Tesla&nbsp;(ticker: TSLA) bear—rating shares Sell with a $300 price target—mainly because he believes the stock is pricey. Still, EVs can be worth half of the industry if investors buy into three ideas.</p><p><blockquote>周一，伯恩斯坦分析师托尼·萨科纳吉提出了这个问题。他是特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）的看空者--给予该股卖出评级，目标价为 300 美元--主要是因为他认为该股价格昂贵。尽管如此，如果投资者接受三个想法，电动汽车的价值可能占该行业的一半。</blockquote></p><p> Today, 16 EV makers—including Tesla and yet-to-be public Rivian—are worth a combined $1.14 trillion. Tesla accounts for 74% of total EV value. Four of the top 10 most valuable auto makers are EV companies including: Tesla, Rivian,BYD&nbsp;(1211.Hong Kong), and&nbsp;NIO&nbsp;(NIO).</p><p><blockquote>如今，包括特斯拉和尚未上市的Rivian在内的 16 家电动汽车制造商的总市值为 1.14 万亿美元。特斯拉占电动汽车总价值的74%。十大最有价值汽车制造商中有四家是电动汽车公司，包括：特斯拉、Rivian、比亚迪（1211.香港）和蔚来（蔚来）。</blockquote></p><p> As for the makers of conventional vehicles, more than 50 auto makers are worth a combined $1.42 trillion. The most valuable traditional car companies are:Toyota Motor&nbsp;(TM),Volkswagen&nbsp;(VOW3.Germany),Daimler&nbsp;(DAI.Germany), and&nbsp;General Motors&nbsp;(GM).</p><p><blockquote>至于传统汽车制造商，50多家汽车制造商的总价值为1.42万亿美元。最有价值的传统汽车公司是：丰田汽车（TM）、大众汽车（VOW3.Germany）、戴姆勒（DAI.Germany）和通用汽车（GM）。</blockquote></p><p> Sales by the traditional companies still dominates unit volume, selling about 99% of the cars globally—97% of those are gasoline-powered, and 2% are EV. The EV pure-plays sell the remaining 1% worldwide.</p><p><blockquote>传统公司的销量仍然主导着单位销量，销售了全球约 99% 的汽车，其中 97% 是汽油动力汽车，2% 是电动汽车。EV pure-plays 在全球范围内销售剩余的 1%。</blockquote></p><p> “The thinking, of course, is that pure-play EV vendors will ultimately come to dominate the automotive world,” wrote Sacconaghi in a Monday report.</p><p><blockquote>“萨科纳吉在周一的一份报告中写道：”当然，我们的想法是，纯电动汽车供应商最终将主导汽车世界。</blockquote></p><p> That’s the first thing investors need to believe to justify EV valuations. Sacconaghi points out that 2014 pure-play EV companies accounted for 14% of electric-car sales. That’s 28% today. Pure-play EV companies’ market share is growing.</p><p><blockquote>这是投资者首先需要相信的，才能证明电动汽车估值的合理性。萨科纳吉指出，2014年纯电动汽车公司占电动汽车销量的14%。今天是 28%。纯电动汽车公司的市场份额正在增长。</blockquote></p><p> That’s the second belief required to stay bullish on EV makers’ stocks—that market share will continue to improve. “We suspect the market believes …that traditional OEMs will not be able to deliver competitive EV offerings in the future,” adds the analyst in his report. OEM is short for original equipment manufacturer, industry jargon for auto maker.</p><p><blockquote>这是继续看好电动汽车制造商股票所需的第二个信念--市场份额将继续提高。“分析师在报告中补充说：”我们怀疑市场认为.传统原始设备制造商未来将无法提供有竞争力的电动汽车产品。OEM是原始设备制造商的简称，是汽车制造商的行业术语。</blockquote></p><p> The final thing investors need to believe is that EVs will be more profitable, per car, than conventional vehicles. EV companies tend to sell direct—which can help profitability. EV makers are also the leaders in selling add-on subscription based services. Tesla’s Full Self-Driving Capability, or FSD, is probably the best example. Tesla sells the higher levels of its autonomous-driving software as a monthly subscription or for $10,000.</p><p><blockquote>投资者需要相信的最后一件事是，电动汽车每辆车的利润将高于传统汽车。电动汽车公司倾向于直接销售，这有助于提高盈利能力。电动汽车制造商也是销售附加订阅服务的领导者。特斯拉的全自动驾驶能力（FSD）可能就是最好的例子。特斯拉以每月订阅或 10,000 美元的价格出售更高级别的自动驾驶软件。</blockquote></p><p> The mix of volume and profit growth driven by superior products could justify valuations, but Sacconaghi isn’t a believer. “Our contention is that the automotive industry is an increasingly global and hypercompetitive industry and we believe that surplus profits and technology innovation will likely be competed away over time.”</p><p><blockquote>优质产品带来的销量和利润增长可以证明估值的合理性，但萨科纳吉并不相信。“我们的论点是，汽车行业是一个日益全球化且竞争激烈的行业，我们相信，随着时间的推移，超额利润和技术创新很可能会被争夺掉”。</blockquote></p><p> His views of the industry is one of the reasons he calls Tesla valuation “too rich.”</p><p><blockquote>他对该行业的看法是他认为评级-特斯拉 “太富有 ”的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> Time will tell who is right. Sacconaghi’s target price still implies Tesla should be the world’s most valuable car company, just not two to three times the value of Toyota.</p><p><blockquote>时间会证明谁是对的。萨科纳吉的目标价仍然意味着特斯拉应该是世界上最有价值的汽车公司，只是价值不是丰田的两到三倍。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock has been on a tear of late, adding 34% over the past three months as investors have become more bullish about third quarter earnings due out on Wednesday evening. Shares have gained another 3.2% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价最近一直在上涨，过去三个月上涨了 34%，因为投资者对周三晚间公布的第三季度财报更加看好。周一股价又上涨 3.2%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla and 15 Other EV Stocks Are Worth Almost as Much as 50 Traditional Car Makers. How That Makes Sense.<blockquote>特斯拉和其他 15 只电动汽车股票的价值几乎相当于 50 家传统汽车制造商。这怎么说得通。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla and 15 Other EV Stocks Are Worth Almost as Much as 50 Traditional Car Makers. How That Makes Sense.<blockquote>特斯拉和其他 15 只电动汽车股票的价值几乎相当于 50 家传统汽车制造商。这怎么说得通。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-19 09:53</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla&nbsp;and other electric-vehicle makers account for almost half of the value wrapped up in car-manufacturer stocks. Does that make sense?</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉和其他电动汽车制造商占汽车制造商股票价值的近一半。这有道理吗？</blockquote></p><p> Monday, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi asked that question. He’s a&nbsp;Tesla&nbsp;(ticker: TSLA) bear—rating shares Sell with a $300 price target—mainly because he believes the stock is pricey. Still, EVs can be worth half of the industry if investors buy into three ideas.</p><p><blockquote>周一，伯恩斯坦分析师托尼·萨科纳吉提出了这个问题。他是特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）的看空者--给予该股卖出评级，目标价为 300 美元--主要是因为他认为该股价格昂贵。尽管如此，如果投资者接受三个想法，电动汽车的价值可能占该行业的一半。</blockquote></p><p> Today, 16 EV makers—including Tesla and yet-to-be public Rivian—are worth a combined $1.14 trillion. Tesla accounts for 74% of total EV value. Four of the top 10 most valuable auto makers are EV companies including: Tesla, Rivian,BYD&nbsp;(1211.Hong Kong), and&nbsp;NIO&nbsp;(NIO).</p><p><blockquote>如今，包括特斯拉和尚未上市的Rivian在内的 16 家电动汽车制造商的总市值为 1.14 万亿美元。特斯拉占电动汽车总价值的74%。十大最有价值汽车制造商中有四家是电动汽车公司，包括：特斯拉、Rivian、比亚迪（1211.香港）和蔚来（蔚来）。</blockquote></p><p> As for the makers of conventional vehicles, more than 50 auto makers are worth a combined $1.42 trillion. The most valuable traditional car companies are:Toyota Motor&nbsp;(TM),Volkswagen&nbsp;(VOW3.Germany),Daimler&nbsp;(DAI.Germany), and&nbsp;General Motors&nbsp;(GM).</p><p><blockquote>至于传统汽车制造商，50多家汽车制造商的总价值为1.42万亿美元。最有价值的传统汽车公司是：丰田汽车（TM）、大众汽车（VOW3.Germany）、戴姆勒（DAI.Germany）和通用汽车（GM）。</blockquote></p><p> Sales by the traditional companies still dominates unit volume, selling about 99% of the cars globally—97% of those are gasoline-powered, and 2% are EV. The EV pure-plays sell the remaining 1% worldwide.</p><p><blockquote>传统公司的销量仍然主导着单位销量，销售了全球约 99% 的汽车，其中 97% 是汽油动力汽车，2% 是电动汽车。EV pure-plays 在全球范围内销售剩余的 1%。</blockquote></p><p> “The thinking, of course, is that pure-play EV vendors will ultimately come to dominate the automotive world,” wrote Sacconaghi in a Monday report.</p><p><blockquote>“萨科纳吉在周一的一份报告中写道：”当然，我们的想法是，纯电动汽车供应商最终将主导汽车世界。</blockquote></p><p> That’s the first thing investors need to believe to justify EV valuations. Sacconaghi points out that 2014 pure-play EV companies accounted for 14% of electric-car sales. That’s 28% today. Pure-play EV companies’ market share is growing.</p><p><blockquote>这是投资者首先需要相信的，才能证明电动汽车估值的合理性。萨科纳吉指出，2014年纯电动汽车公司占电动汽车销量的14%。今天是 28%。纯电动汽车公司的市场份额正在增长。</blockquote></p><p> That’s the second belief required to stay bullish on EV makers’ stocks—that market share will continue to improve. “We suspect the market believes …that traditional OEMs will not be able to deliver competitive EV offerings in the future,” adds the analyst in his report. OEM is short for original equipment manufacturer, industry jargon for auto maker.</p><p><blockquote>这是继续看好电动汽车制造商股票所需的第二个信念--市场份额将继续提高。“分析师在报告中补充说：”我们怀疑市场认为.传统原始设备制造商未来将无法提供有竞争力的电动汽车产品。OEM是原始设备制造商的简称，是汽车制造商的行业术语。</blockquote></p><p> The final thing investors need to believe is that EVs will be more profitable, per car, than conventional vehicles. EV companies tend to sell direct—which can help profitability. EV makers are also the leaders in selling add-on subscription based services. Tesla’s Full Self-Driving Capability, or FSD, is probably the best example. Tesla sells the higher levels of its autonomous-driving software as a monthly subscription or for $10,000.</p><p><blockquote>投资者需要相信的最后一件事是，电动汽车每辆车的利润将高于传统汽车。电动汽车公司倾向于直接销售，这有助于提高盈利能力。电动汽车制造商也是销售附加订阅服务的领导者。特斯拉的全自动驾驶能力（FSD）可能就是最好的例子。特斯拉以每月订阅或 10,000 美元的价格出售更高级别的自动驾驶软件。</blockquote></p><p> The mix of volume and profit growth driven by superior products could justify valuations, but Sacconaghi isn’t a believer. “Our contention is that the automotive industry is an increasingly global and hypercompetitive industry and we believe that surplus profits and technology innovation will likely be competed away over time.”</p><p><blockquote>优质产品带来的销量和利润增长可以证明估值的合理性，但萨科纳吉并不相信。“我们的论点是，汽车行业是一个日益全球化且竞争激烈的行业，我们相信，随着时间的推移，超额利润和技术创新很可能会被争夺掉”。</blockquote></p><p> His views of the industry is one of the reasons he calls Tesla valuation “too rich.”</p><p><blockquote>他对该行业的看法是他认为评级-特斯拉 “太富有 ”的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> Time will tell who is right. Sacconaghi’s target price still implies Tesla should be the world’s most valuable car company, just not two to three times the value of Toyota.</p><p><blockquote>时间会证明谁是对的。萨科纳吉的目标价仍然意味着特斯拉应该是世界上最有价值的汽车公司，只是价值不是丰田的两到三倍。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock has been on a tear of late, adding 34% over the past three months as investors have become more bullish about third quarter earnings due out on Wednesday evening. Shares have gained another 3.2% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价最近一直在上涨，过去三个月上涨了 34%，因为投资者对周三晚间公布的第三季度财报更加看好。周一股价又上涨 3.2%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-nio-51634569822?mod=hp_DAY_6\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"01211":"比亚迪股份","TSLA":"特斯拉","GM":"通用汽车","VLKAF":"Volkswagen AG","LI":"理想汽车","XPEV":"小鹏集团","DDAIF":"戴姆勒汽车","TM":"丰田汽车","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-nio-51634569822?mod=hp_DAY_6","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147398025","content_text":"Tesla and other electric-vehicle makers account for almost half of the value wrapped up in car-manufacturer stocks. Does that make sense?\nMonday, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi asked that question. He’s a Tesla (ticker: TSLA) bear—rating shares Sell with a $300 price target—mainly because he believes the stock is pricey. Still, EVs can be worth half of the industry if investors buy into three ideas.\nToday, 16 EV makers—including Tesla and yet-to-be public Rivian—are worth a combined $1.14 trillion. Tesla accounts for 74% of total EV value. Four of the top 10 most valuable auto makers are EV companies including: Tesla, Rivian,BYD (1211.Hong Kong), and NIO (NIO).\nAs for the makers of conventional vehicles, more than 50 auto makers are worth a combined $1.42 trillion. The most valuable traditional car companies are:Toyota Motor (TM),Volkswagen (VOW3.Germany),Daimler (DAI.Germany), and General Motors (GM).\nSales by the traditional companies still dominates unit volume, selling about 99% of the cars globally—97% of those are gasoline-powered, and 2% are EV. The EV pure-plays sell the remaining 1% worldwide.\n“The thinking, of course, is that pure-play EV vendors will ultimately come to dominate the automotive world,” wrote Sacconaghi in a Monday report.\nThat’s the first thing investors need to believe to justify EV valuations. Sacconaghi points out that 2014 pure-play EV companies accounted for 14% of electric-car sales. That’s 28% today. Pure-play EV companies’ market share is growing.\nThat’s the second belief required to stay bullish on EV makers’ stocks—that market share will continue to improve. “We suspect the market believes …that traditional OEMs will not be able to deliver competitive EV offerings in the future,” adds the analyst in his report. OEM is short for original equipment manufacturer, industry jargon for auto maker.\nThe final thing investors need to believe is that EVs will be more profitable, per car, than conventional vehicles. EV companies tend to sell direct—which can help profitability. EV makers are also the leaders in selling add-on subscription based services. Tesla’s Full Self-Driving Capability, or FSD, is probably the best example. Tesla sells the higher levels of its autonomous-driving software as a monthly subscription or for $10,000.\nThe mix of volume and profit growth driven by superior products could justify valuations, but Sacconaghi isn’t a believer. “Our contention is that the automotive industry is an increasingly global and hypercompetitive industry and we believe that surplus profits and technology innovation will likely be competed away over time.”\nHis views of the industry is one of the reasons he calls Tesla valuation “too rich.”\nTime will tell who is right. Sacconaghi’s target price still implies Tesla should be the world’s most valuable car company, just not two to three times the value of Toyota.\nTesla stock has been on a tear of late, adding 34% over the past three months as investors have become more bullish about third quarter earnings due out on Wednesday evening. Shares have gained another 3.2% Monday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"01211":0.9,"GM":0.9,"TM":0.9,"XPEV":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"VLKAF":0.9,"DDAIF":0.9,"LI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2643,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":834185453,"gmtCreate":1629780373972,"gmtModify":1631889344527,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Thanks for the email&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks for the email&nbsp;","text":"Thanks for the email","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834185453","repostId":"1104413070","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3346,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":897484600,"gmtCreate":1628959342100,"gmtModify":1631889344530,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3582000511223755\">@Patrula</a>: Tks","listText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3582000511223755\">@Patrula</a>: Tks","text":"//@Patrula: Tks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/897484600","repostId":"1194483102","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194483102","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga Earnings","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1628587678,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1194483102?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-10 17:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Stocks To Watch For August 10, 2021<blockquote>2021 年 8 月 10 日值得关注的 5 只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194483102","media":"Benzinga Earnings","summary":"Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:\n\nWall Street expects Sysco to report quar","content":"<p>Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:</p><p><blockquote>今天可能吸引投资者关注的一些股票是：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Wall Street expects&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYY\">Sysco</a> to report quarterly earnings at $0.60 per share on revenue of $14.23 billion before the opening bell. SYSCO shares rose 0.3% to close at $41.97 on Friday.</li>  <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDD\">3D</a> reported better-than-expected results for its second quarter on Monday. 3D Systems shares surged 12.6% to $31.92 in the after-hours trading session.</li>  <li>Analysts are expecting&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDG\">TransDigm</a> to have earned $2.93 per share on revenue of $1.22 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the opening bell. TransDigm shares rose 0.1% to close at $628.51 on Monday.</li>  <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a> reported stronger-than-expected&nbsp;results for its second quarter. The company said it currently has liquidity availability of more than $2 billion. AMC also announced plans to begin accepting apex cryptocurrency Bitcoin as payment for move tickets and concessions by the end of this year. AMC shares climbed 5.3% to $35.60 in after-hours trading.</li>  <li>Analysts expect&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase Global, Inc.</a> to report quarterly earnings at $2.24 per share on revenue of $1.77 billion after the closing bell. Coinbase shares fell 0.3% to $279.75 in after-hours trading.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>华尔街预期<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYY\">西斯科</a>开盘前公布季度收益为每股 0.60 美元，营收为 142.3 亿美元。SYSCO 股价周五上涨 0.3%，收于 41.97 美元。</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDD\">三维</a>周一公布的第二季度业绩好于预期。3D Systems 股价在盘后交易时段飙升 12.6%，至 31.92 美元。</li><li>分析师预计<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDG\">TransDigm</a>最新季度营收为 12.2 亿美元，每股收益为 2.93 美元。该公司将在开盘前发布财报。TransDigm 股价周一上涨 0.1%，收于 628.51 美元。</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>公布的第二季度业绩强于预期。该公司表示，目前拥有超过20亿美元的流动性。AMC 还宣布计划在今年年底前开始接受 apex 加密货币比特币作为搬家门票和优惠的支付方式。AMC 股价在盘后交易中上涨 5.3%，至 35.60 美元。</li><li>分析师预计<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">比特币基地全球公司。</a>收盘后公布季度收益为每股 2.24 美元，营收为 17.7 亿美元。Coinbase 股价在盘后交易中下跌 0.3%，至 279.75 美元。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Stocks To Watch For August 10, 2021<blockquote>2021 年 8 月 10 日值得关注的 5 只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Stocks To Watch For August 10, 2021<blockquote>2021 年 8 月 10 日值得关注的 5 只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga Earnings </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-10 17:27</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:</p><p><blockquote>今天可能吸引投资者关注的一些股票是：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Wall Street expects&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYY\">Sysco</a> to report quarterly earnings at $0.60 per share on revenue of $14.23 billion before the opening bell. SYSCO shares rose 0.3% to close at $41.97 on Friday.</li>  <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDD\">3D</a> reported better-than-expected results for its second quarter on Monday. 3D Systems shares surged 12.6% to $31.92 in the after-hours trading session.</li>  <li>Analysts are expecting&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDG\">TransDigm</a> to have earned $2.93 per share on revenue of $1.22 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the opening bell. TransDigm shares rose 0.1% to close at $628.51 on Monday.</li>  <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a> reported stronger-than-expected&nbsp;results for its second quarter. The company said it currently has liquidity availability of more than $2 billion. AMC also announced plans to begin accepting apex cryptocurrency Bitcoin as payment for move tickets and concessions by the end of this year. AMC shares climbed 5.3% to $35.60 in after-hours trading.</li>  <li>Analysts expect&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase Global, Inc.</a> to report quarterly earnings at $2.24 per share on revenue of $1.77 billion after the closing bell. Coinbase shares fell 0.3% to $279.75 in after-hours trading.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>华尔街预期<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYY\">西斯科</a>开盘前公布季度收益为每股 0.60 美元，营收为 142.3 亿美元。SYSCO 股价周五上涨 0.3%，收于 41.97 美元。</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDD\">三维</a>周一公布的第二季度业绩好于预期。3D Systems 股价在盘后交易时段飙升 12.6%，至 31.92 美元。</li><li>分析师预计<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDG\">TransDigm</a>最新季度营收为 12.2 亿美元，每股收益为 2.93 美元。该公司将在开盘前发布财报。TransDigm 股价周一上涨 0.1%，收于 628.51 美元。</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>公布的第二季度业绩强于预期。该公司表示，目前拥有超过20亿美元的流动性。AMC 还宣布计划在今年年底前开始接受 apex 加密货币比特币作为搬家门票和优惠的支付方式。AMC 股价在盘后交易中上涨 5.3%，至 35.60 美元。</li><li>分析师预计<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">比特币基地全球公司。</a>收盘后公布季度收益为每股 2.24 美元，营收为 17.7 亿美元。Coinbase 股价在盘后交易中下跌 0.3%，至 279.75 美元。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","TDG":"TransDigm","DDD":"3D系统","SYY":"西思科公司"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194483102","content_text":"Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:\n\nWall Street expects Sysco to report quarterly earnings at $0.60 per share on revenue of $14.23 billion before the opening bell. SYSCO shares rose 0.3% to close at $41.97 on Friday.\n3D reported better-than-expected results for its second quarter on Monday. 3D Systems shares surged 12.6% to $31.92 in the after-hours trading session.\nAnalysts are expecting TransDigm to have earned $2.93 per share on revenue of $1.22 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the opening bell. TransDigm shares rose 0.1% to close at $628.51 on Monday.\nAMC Entertainment reported stronger-than-expected results for its second quarter. The company said it currently has liquidity availability of more than $2 billion. AMC also announced plans to begin accepting apex cryptocurrency Bitcoin as payment for move tickets and concessions by the end of this year. AMC shares climbed 5.3% to $35.60 in after-hours trading.\nAnalysts expect Coinbase Global, Inc. to report quarterly earnings at $2.24 per share on revenue of $1.77 billion after the closing bell. Coinbase shares fell 0.3% to $279.75 in after-hours trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DDD":0.9,"TDG":0.9,"COIN":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"SYY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3828,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896511797,"gmtCreate":1628592754919,"gmtModify":1631889344534,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Tks","listText":"Tks","text":"Tks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/896511797","repostId":"1194483102","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194483102","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga Earnings","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1628587678,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1194483102?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-10 17:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Stocks To Watch For August 10, 2021<blockquote>2021 年 8 月 10 日值得关注的 5 只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194483102","media":"Benzinga Earnings","summary":"Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:\n\nWall Street expects Sysco to report quar","content":"<p>Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:</p><p><blockquote>今天可能吸引投资者关注的一些股票是：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Wall Street expects&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYY\">Sysco</a> to report quarterly earnings at $0.60 per share on revenue of $14.23 billion before the opening bell. SYSCO shares rose 0.3% to close at $41.97 on Friday.</li>  <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDD\">3D</a> reported better-than-expected results for its second quarter on Monday. 3D Systems shares surged 12.6% to $31.92 in the after-hours trading session.</li>  <li>Analysts are expecting&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDG\">TransDigm</a> to have earned $2.93 per share on revenue of $1.22 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the opening bell. TransDigm shares rose 0.1% to close at $628.51 on Monday.</li>  <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a> reported stronger-than-expected&nbsp;results for its second quarter. The company said it currently has liquidity availability of more than $2 billion. AMC also announced plans to begin accepting apex cryptocurrency Bitcoin as payment for move tickets and concessions by the end of this year. AMC shares climbed 5.3% to $35.60 in after-hours trading.</li>  <li>Analysts expect&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase Global, Inc.</a> to report quarterly earnings at $2.24 per share on revenue of $1.77 billion after the closing bell. Coinbase shares fell 0.3% to $279.75 in after-hours trading.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>华尔街预期<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYY\">西斯科</a>开盘前公布季度收益为每股 0.60 美元，营收为 142.3 亿美元。SYSCO 股价周五上涨 0.3%，收于 41.97 美元。</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDD\">三维</a>周一公布的第二季度业绩好于预期。3D Systems 股价在盘后交易时段飙升 12.6%，至 31.92 美元。</li><li>分析师预计<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDG\">TransDigm</a>最新季度营收为 12.2 亿美元，每股收益为 2.93 美元。该公司将在开盘前发布财报。TransDigm 股价周一上涨 0.1%，收于 628.51 美元。</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>公布的第二季度业绩强于预期。该公司表示，目前拥有超过20亿美元的流动性。AMC 还宣布计划在今年年底前开始接受 apex 加密货币比特币作为搬家门票和优惠的支付方式。AMC 股价在盘后交易中上涨 5.3%，至 35.60 美元。</li><li>分析师预计<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">比特币基地全球公司。</a>收盘后公布季度收益为每股 2.24 美元，营收为 17.7 亿美元。Coinbase 股价在盘后交易中下跌 0.3%，至 279.75 美元。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Stocks To Watch For August 10, 2021<blockquote>2021 年 8 月 10 日值得关注的 5 只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Stocks To Watch For August 10, 2021<blockquote>2021 年 8 月 10 日值得关注的 5 只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga Earnings </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-10 17:27</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:</p><p><blockquote>今天可能吸引投资者关注的一些股票是：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Wall Street expects&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYY\">Sysco</a> to report quarterly earnings at $0.60 per share on revenue of $14.23 billion before the opening bell. SYSCO shares rose 0.3% to close at $41.97 on Friday.</li>  <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDD\">3D</a> reported better-than-expected results for its second quarter on Monday. 3D Systems shares surged 12.6% to $31.92 in the after-hours trading session.</li>  <li>Analysts are expecting&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDG\">TransDigm</a> to have earned $2.93 per share on revenue of $1.22 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the opening bell. TransDigm shares rose 0.1% to close at $628.51 on Monday.</li>  <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a> reported stronger-than-expected&nbsp;results for its second quarter. The company said it currently has liquidity availability of more than $2 billion. AMC also announced plans to begin accepting apex cryptocurrency Bitcoin as payment for move tickets and concessions by the end of this year. AMC shares climbed 5.3% to $35.60 in after-hours trading.</li>  <li>Analysts expect&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase Global, Inc.</a> to report quarterly earnings at $2.24 per share on revenue of $1.77 billion after the closing bell. Coinbase shares fell 0.3% to $279.75 in after-hours trading.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>华尔街预期<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYY\">西斯科</a>开盘前公布季度收益为每股 0.60 美元，营收为 142.3 亿美元。SYSCO 股价周五上涨 0.3%，收于 41.97 美元。</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDD\">三维</a>周一公布的第二季度业绩好于预期。3D Systems 股价在盘后交易时段飙升 12.6%，至 31.92 美元。</li><li>分析师预计<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDG\">TransDigm</a>最新季度营收为 12.2 亿美元，每股收益为 2.93 美元。该公司将在开盘前发布财报。TransDigm 股价周一上涨 0.1%，收于 628.51 美元。</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>公布的第二季度业绩强于预期。该公司表示，目前拥有超过20亿美元的流动性。AMC 还宣布计划在今年年底前开始接受 apex 加密货币比特币作为搬家门票和优惠的支付方式。AMC 股价在盘后交易中上涨 5.3%，至 35.60 美元。</li><li>分析师预计<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">比特币基地全球公司。</a>收盘后公布季度收益为每股 2.24 美元，营收为 17.7 亿美元。Coinbase 股价在盘后交易中下跌 0.3%，至 279.75 美元。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","TDG":"TransDigm","DDD":"3D系统","SYY":"西思科公司"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194483102","content_text":"Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:\n\nWall Street expects Sysco to report quarterly earnings at $0.60 per share on revenue of $14.23 billion before the opening bell. SYSCO shares rose 0.3% to close at $41.97 on Friday.\n3D reported better-than-expected results for its second quarter on Monday. 3D Systems shares surged 12.6% to $31.92 in the after-hours trading session.\nAnalysts are expecting TransDigm to have earned $2.93 per share on revenue of $1.22 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the opening bell. TransDigm shares rose 0.1% to close at $628.51 on Monday.\nAMC Entertainment reported stronger-than-expected results for its second quarter. The company said it currently has liquidity availability of more than $2 billion. AMC also announced plans to begin accepting apex cryptocurrency Bitcoin as payment for move tickets and concessions by the end of this year. AMC shares climbed 5.3% to $35.60 in after-hours trading.\nAnalysts expect Coinbase Global, Inc. to report quarterly earnings at $2.24 per share on revenue of $1.77 billion after the closing bell. Coinbase shares fell 0.3% to $279.75 in after-hours trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DDD":0.9,"TDG":0.9,"COIN":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"SYY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2953,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893785279,"gmtCreate":1628301058691,"gmtModify":1631889344538,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3582000511223755\">@Patrula</a>: //<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3582000511223755\">@Patrula</a>: Thats great.&nbsp;","listText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3582000511223755\">@Patrula</a>: //<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3582000511223755\">@Patrula</a>: Thats great.&nbsp;","text":"//@Patrula: //@Patrula: Thats great.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893785279","repostId":"1176223224","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2895,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802299355,"gmtCreate":1627780733277,"gmtModify":1631889344542,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Thank you","listText":"Thank you","text":"Thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802299355","repostId":"1127308481","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2890,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801498462,"gmtCreate":1627526396656,"gmtModify":1631889344550,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Thank you.&nbsp;","listText":"Thank you.&nbsp;","text":"Thank you.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801498462","repostId":"1142598506","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142598506","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627525801,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1142598506?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-29 10:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rio Tinto Pays $9.1 Billion Dividend as Profit Hits Record<blockquote>利润创历史新高，力拓支付 91 亿美元股息</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142598506","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Rio Tinto Group, the world’s biggest iron ore miner, reported its highest-ever interi","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- Rio Tinto Group, the world’s biggest iron ore miner, reported its highest-ever interim profit and will pay $9.1 billion in dividends as the company and its global rivals cash in on this year’s commodities rally.</p><p><blockquote>(彭博社） -- 全球最大的铁矿石开采商力拓集团（Rio Tinto Group）公布了有史以来最高的中期利润，并将派发 91 亿美元的股息，因为该公司及其全球竞争对手从今年的大宗商品反弹中获利。</blockquote></p><p> Rio is the first of the majors to post earnings, kicking off a reporting season that’s expected to see record results across the board. The industry has been one of the biggest beneficiaries from the world’s efforts to emerge from the pandemic. The trillions of dollars poured into recovery packages have ignited demand for commodities like iron ore and copper, driving prices sharply higher and sending inflation pressures rippling through the global economy.</p><p><blockquote>里约是第一个公布财报的大联盟，开启了一个财报季，预计该财报季将全面创下历史新高。该行业一直是全球努力摆脱大流行病的最大受益者之一。投入复苏计划的数万亿美元点燃了对铁矿石和铜等大宗商品的需求，推动价格大幅上涨，通胀压力波及全球经济。</blockquote></p><p> Wednesday’s results are also the first period under the leadership of new Chief Executive Officer Jakob Stausholm, who was appointed after Jean-Sebastien Jacques left the company because of a backlash over Rio’s destruction of an ancient Aboriginal site last year. The surge in commodity prices means the new boss comes in on a high note for Rio, even as the company grapples with a slew of production setbacks that have dogged its operations in recent years.</p><p><blockquote>周三的业绩也是新任首席执行官雅各布-施陶霍尔姆（Jakob Stausholm）领导下的第一个任期，他是在让-塞巴斯蒂安-雅克（Jean-Sebastien Jacques）因去年里约破坏一处古老的原住民遗址而引发反弹而离开公司后被任命的。大宗商品价格的飙升意味着新老板对力拓来说意义重大，尽管该公司正在努力应对近年来困扰其运营的一系列生产挫折。</blockquote></p><p> Disruptions caused by Covid, and especially the company’s ability to move workers to its sites, added to existing problems in the first half, especially around the development of a copper project in Mongolia and at its key profit-driving iron ore mines in Western Australia. Rio’s copper business has also seen production fall as Covid takes its toll.</p><p><blockquote>Covid 造成的中断，尤其是公司无法将工人转移到工地，加剧了上半年现有的问题，尤其是在蒙古的一个铜矿项目开发和西澳大利亚的主要利润驱动铁矿开发方面。由于 Covid 的影响，力拓的铜业务也出现了产量下降。</blockquote></p><p> “In the first half we experienced too much operation instability. We have to sharpen the consistency of our performance,” the CEO said on a media call. “While today’s results clearly demonstrate the underlying quality of our asset base, our operational performance clearly is not where it has been in the past or where we want it to be.”</p><p><blockquote>“上半年，我们经历了太多的运营不稳定。我们必须提高业绩的一致性，”首席执行官在媒体看涨期权上说。“虽然今天的业绩清楚地表明了我们资产基础的基本质量，但我们的经营业绩显然没有达到过去的水平，也没有达到我们想要的水平。”</blockquote></p><p> Stausholm also sounded a cautious note on the outlook for commodities demand in top consumer China.</p><p><blockquote>施陶霍尔姆还对中国最大消费国的大宗商品需求前景发表了谨慎的言论。</blockquote></p><p> “The long-term potential for China is still intact but we probably have seen a non-sustainable high level of industrial development in some of the months in the first half of this year,” he said on a call with reporters.</p><p><blockquote>“他在与记者举行的看涨期权上说：”中国的长期潜力仍然完好无损，但在今年上半年的一些月份，我们可能看到了不可持续的高水平工业发展。</blockquote></p><p> Rio’s shares slipped 0.6% in London, in line with a wider decline among most of its peers.</p><p><blockquote>力拓股价在伦敦下跌 0.6%，与大多数同行的跌幅一致。</blockquote></p><p> The company reported first-half underlying earnings more than doubled to $12.2 billion from the same period last year as prices for iron ore and copper surged. The half-year payout -- which includes a special dividend of $3 billion -- is more than the mining giant returned to shareholders for the whole of 2020 and higher than analysts forecast.</p><p><blockquote>由于铁矿石和铜价飙升，该公司公布上半年基本盈利较去年同期增长一倍多，达到 122 亿美元。半年派息（其中包括 30 亿美元的特别股息）超过了这家矿业巨头 2020 年全年向股东返还的金额，也高于分析师的预测。</blockquote></p><p> While Rio’s paying out record amounts to shareholders, the company signaled this week it’s also keen to invest in growing production in key commodities -- particularly those that will benefit from the world’s shift toward green energy.</p><p><blockquote>虽然力拓向股东支付了创纪录的股息，但该公司本周表示，它也热衷于投资增加关键大宗商品的产量，尤其是那些将受益于全球绿色能源转型的商品。</blockquote></p><p> The company announced Tuesday it plans to spend $2.4 billion building a lithium mine in Serbia. While it’s the first big move by a mining major into lithium, used in rechargeable batteries, the investment reflects an ongoing push by the world’s biggest mining companies into “future facing” commodities like battery metals or fertilizer, at the same time that the industry is moving to get out of fossil fuels.</p><p><blockquote>该公司周二宣布，计划斥资24亿美元在塞尔维亚建设一座锂矿。虽然这是矿业巨头首次大举进军可充电电池所用的锂领域，但这项投资反映了全球最大的矿业公司在电池金属或化肥等 “面向未来 ”大宗商品领域的持续推进，同时该行业也在逐步摆脱化石燃料。</blockquote></p><p> “Rio appears to be shifting from austerity and capital returns to more of a focus on growth,” Jefferies analyst Christopher LaFemina wrote in a note. “While Rio had some operational issues in the period, the big picture here is that these are stellar financial results.”</p><p><blockquote>“杰富瑞（Jefferies）分析师克里斯托弗-拉菲米纳（Christopher LaFemina）在一份报告中写道：”里约似乎正在从紧缩和资本回报转向更注重增长。“虽然力拓在此期间遇到了一些运营问题，但总的来说，这些都是出色的财务业绩。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rio Tinto Pays $9.1 Billion Dividend as Profit Hits Record<blockquote>利润创历史新高，力拓支付 91 亿美元股息</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRio Tinto Pays $9.1 Billion Dividend as Profit Hits Record<blockquote>利润创历史新高，力拓支付 91 亿美元股息</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-29 10:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- Rio Tinto Group, the world’s biggest iron ore miner, reported its highest-ever interim profit and will pay $9.1 billion in dividends as the company and its global rivals cash in on this year’s commodities rally.</p><p><blockquote>(彭博社） -- 全球最大的铁矿石开采商力拓集团（Rio Tinto Group）公布了有史以来最高的中期利润，并将派发 91 亿美元的股息，因为该公司及其全球竞争对手从今年的大宗商品反弹中获利。</blockquote></p><p> Rio is the first of the majors to post earnings, kicking off a reporting season that’s expected to see record results across the board. The industry has been one of the biggest beneficiaries from the world’s efforts to emerge from the pandemic. The trillions of dollars poured into recovery packages have ignited demand for commodities like iron ore and copper, driving prices sharply higher and sending inflation pressures rippling through the global economy.</p><p><blockquote>里约是第一个公布财报的大联盟，开启了一个财报季，预计该财报季将全面创下历史新高。该行业一直是全球努力摆脱大流行病的最大受益者之一。投入复苏计划的数万亿美元点燃了对铁矿石和铜等大宗商品的需求，推动价格大幅上涨，通胀压力波及全球经济。</blockquote></p><p> Wednesday’s results are also the first period under the leadership of new Chief Executive Officer Jakob Stausholm, who was appointed after Jean-Sebastien Jacques left the company because of a backlash over Rio’s destruction of an ancient Aboriginal site last year. The surge in commodity prices means the new boss comes in on a high note for Rio, even as the company grapples with a slew of production setbacks that have dogged its operations in recent years.</p><p><blockquote>周三的业绩也是新任首席执行官雅各布-施陶霍尔姆（Jakob Stausholm）领导下的第一个任期，他是在让-塞巴斯蒂安-雅克（Jean-Sebastien Jacques）因去年里约破坏一处古老的原住民遗址而引发反弹而离开公司后被任命的。大宗商品价格的飙升意味着新老板对力拓来说意义重大，尽管该公司正在努力应对近年来困扰其运营的一系列生产挫折。</blockquote></p><p> Disruptions caused by Covid, and especially the company’s ability to move workers to its sites, added to existing problems in the first half, especially around the development of a copper project in Mongolia and at its key profit-driving iron ore mines in Western Australia. Rio’s copper business has also seen production fall as Covid takes its toll.</p><p><blockquote>Covid 造成的中断，尤其是公司无法将工人转移到工地，加剧了上半年现有的问题，尤其是在蒙古的一个铜矿项目开发和西澳大利亚的主要利润驱动铁矿开发方面。由于 Covid 的影响，力拓的铜业务也出现了产量下降。</blockquote></p><p> “In the first half we experienced too much operation instability. We have to sharpen the consistency of our performance,” the CEO said on a media call. “While today’s results clearly demonstrate the underlying quality of our asset base, our operational performance clearly is not where it has been in the past or where we want it to be.”</p><p><blockquote>“上半年，我们经历了太多的运营不稳定。我们必须提高业绩的一致性，”首席执行官在媒体看涨期权上说。“虽然今天的业绩清楚地表明了我们资产基础的基本质量，但我们的经营业绩显然没有达到过去的水平，也没有达到我们想要的水平。”</blockquote></p><p> Stausholm also sounded a cautious note on the outlook for commodities demand in top consumer China.</p><p><blockquote>施陶霍尔姆还对中国最大消费国的大宗商品需求前景发表了谨慎的言论。</blockquote></p><p> “The long-term potential for China is still intact but we probably have seen a non-sustainable high level of industrial development in some of the months in the first half of this year,” he said on a call with reporters.</p><p><blockquote>“他在与记者举行的看涨期权上说：”中国的长期潜力仍然完好无损，但在今年上半年的一些月份，我们可能看到了不可持续的高水平工业发展。</blockquote></p><p> Rio’s shares slipped 0.6% in London, in line with a wider decline among most of its peers.</p><p><blockquote>力拓股价在伦敦下跌 0.6%，与大多数同行的跌幅一致。</blockquote></p><p> The company reported first-half underlying earnings more than doubled to $12.2 billion from the same period last year as prices for iron ore and copper surged. The half-year payout -- which includes a special dividend of $3 billion -- is more than the mining giant returned to shareholders for the whole of 2020 and higher than analysts forecast.</p><p><blockquote>由于铁矿石和铜价飙升，该公司公布上半年基本盈利较去年同期增长一倍多，达到 122 亿美元。半年派息（其中包括 30 亿美元的特别股息）超过了这家矿业巨头 2020 年全年向股东返还的金额，也高于分析师的预测。</blockquote></p><p> While Rio’s paying out record amounts to shareholders, the company signaled this week it’s also keen to invest in growing production in key commodities -- particularly those that will benefit from the world’s shift toward green energy.</p><p><blockquote>虽然力拓向股东支付了创纪录的股息，但该公司本周表示，它也热衷于投资增加关键大宗商品的产量，尤其是那些将受益于全球绿色能源转型的商品。</blockquote></p><p> The company announced Tuesday it plans to spend $2.4 billion building a lithium mine in Serbia. While it’s the first big move by a mining major into lithium, used in rechargeable batteries, the investment reflects an ongoing push by the world’s biggest mining companies into “future facing” commodities like battery metals or fertilizer, at the same time that the industry is moving to get out of fossil fuels.</p><p><blockquote>该公司周二宣布，计划斥资24亿美元在塞尔维亚建设一座锂矿。虽然这是矿业巨头首次大举进军可充电电池所用的锂领域，但这项投资反映了全球最大的矿业公司在电池金属或化肥等 “面向未来 ”大宗商品领域的持续推进，同时该行业也在逐步摆脱化石燃料。</blockquote></p><p> “Rio appears to be shifting from austerity and capital returns to more of a focus on growth,” Jefferies analyst Christopher LaFemina wrote in a note. “While Rio had some operational issues in the period, the big picture here is that these are stellar financial results.”</p><p><blockquote>“杰富瑞（Jefferies）分析师克里斯托弗-拉菲米纳（Christopher LaFemina）在一份报告中写道：”里约似乎正在从紧缩和资本回报转向更注重增长。“虽然力拓在此期间遇到了一些运营问题，但总的来说，这些都是出色的财务业绩。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/rio-tinto-pays-9-1-063339102.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RIO":"力拓"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/rio-tinto-pays-9-1-063339102.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142598506","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Rio Tinto Group, the world’s biggest iron ore miner, reported its highest-ever interim profit and will pay $9.1 billion in dividends as the company and its global rivals cash in on this year’s commodities rally.\nRio is the first of the majors to post earnings, kicking off a reporting season that’s expected to see record results across the board. The industry has been one of the biggest beneficiaries from the world’s efforts to emerge from the pandemic. The trillions of dollars poured into recovery packages have ignited demand for commodities like iron ore and copper, driving prices sharply higher and sending inflation pressures rippling through the global economy.\nWednesday’s results are also the first period under the leadership of new Chief Executive Officer Jakob Stausholm, who was appointed after Jean-Sebastien Jacques left the company because of a backlash over Rio’s destruction of an ancient Aboriginal site last year. The surge in commodity prices means the new boss comes in on a high note for Rio, even as the company grapples with a slew of production setbacks that have dogged its operations in recent years.\nDisruptions caused by Covid, and especially the company’s ability to move workers to its sites, added to existing problems in the first half, especially around the development of a copper project in Mongolia and at its key profit-driving iron ore mines in Western Australia. Rio’s copper business has also seen production fall as Covid takes its toll.\n“In the first half we experienced too much operation instability. We have to sharpen the consistency of our performance,” the CEO said on a media call. “While today’s results clearly demonstrate the underlying quality of our asset base, our operational performance clearly is not where it has been in the past or where we want it to be.”\nStausholm also sounded a cautious note on the outlook for commodities demand in top consumer China.\n“The long-term potential for China is still intact but we probably have seen a non-sustainable high level of industrial development in some of the months in the first half of this year,” he said on a call with reporters.\nRio’s shares slipped 0.6% in London, in line with a wider decline among most of its peers.\nThe company reported first-half underlying earnings more than doubled to $12.2 billion from the same period last year as prices for iron ore and copper surged. The half-year payout -- which includes a special dividend of $3 billion -- is more than the mining giant returned to shareholders for the whole of 2020 and higher than analysts forecast.\nWhile Rio’s paying out record amounts to shareholders, the company signaled this week it’s also keen to invest in growing production in key commodities -- particularly those that will benefit from the world’s shift toward green energy.\nThe company announced Tuesday it plans to spend $2.4 billion building a lithium mine in Serbia. While it’s the first big move by a mining major into lithium, used in rechargeable batteries, the investment reflects an ongoing push by the world’s biggest mining companies into “future facing” commodities like battery metals or fertilizer, at the same time that the industry is moving to get out of fossil fuels.\n“Rio appears to be shifting from austerity and capital returns to more of a focus on growth,” Jefferies analyst Christopher LaFemina wrote in a note. “While Rio had some operational issues in the period, the big picture here is that these are stellar financial results.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2429,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809316846,"gmtCreate":1627347881685,"gmtModify":1631889344550,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Noted&nbsp;","listText":"Noted&nbsp;","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809316846","repostId":"1153028059","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153028059","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627340900,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1153028059?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-27 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla sales surge 98%; company boosts margins on its less-costly electric cars<blockquote>特斯拉销量激增98%；公司提高低成本电动汽车的利润率</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153028059","media":"Reuters","summary":" -Tesla Inc posted a bigger second-quarter profit than expected on Tuesday thanks to sharply higher sales of its less-expensive electric vehicles, as it raised prices to boost its margins on them.Tesla also cut costs which helped it offset many of the supply chain and microchip shortfalls facing the auto industry.For the first time since late 2019, Tesla profits did not rely on sales of environmental credits to other automakers, a sign of increasing financial health for the manufacturing operati","content":"<p>(Reuters) -Tesla Inc posted a bigger second-quarter profit than expected on Tuesday thanks to sharply higher sales of its less-expensive electric vehicles, as it raised prices to boost its margins on them.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社） - 特斯拉公司周二公布的第二季度利润高于预期，得益于其价格较低的电动汽车销量大幅增加，同时提高了价格以提高利润率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla also cut costs which helped it offset many of the supply chain and microchip shortfalls facing the auto industry.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉还削减了成本，这有助于抵消汽车行业面临的许多供应链和微芯片短缺问题。</blockquote></p><p> For the first time since late 2019, Tesla profits did not rely on sales of environmental credits to other automakers, a sign of increasing financial health for the manufacturing operation. Tesla boosted its performance by cutting features it said were unused or unneeded and raising U.S. vehicle prices.</p><p><blockquote>自 2019 年底以来，特斯拉的利润首次不依赖于向其他汽车制造商出售环境信用，这是制造业务财务状况不断改善的迹象。特斯拉通过削减其认为未使用或不需要的功能以及提高美国汽车价格来提高其业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of the world’s most valuable automaker rose 1.5% in extended trade.</p><p><blockquote>这家全球最有价值的汽车制造商的股价在盘后交易中上涨了 1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> In a call with investors and analysts, Tesla executives said that volume production growth will depend on parts availability, and Musk cautioned the shortage of semiconductors will continue.</p><p><blockquote>在与投资者和分析师的看涨期权上，特斯拉高管表示，批量生产增长将取决于零部件的可用性，马斯克警告说，半导体短缺将持续。</blockquote></p><p> “The global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,” Musk said.</p><p><blockquote>“马斯克说：”全球芯片短缺形势仍然相当严重。</blockquote></p><p> Still, Musk said Tesla expects to launch production this year of the Model Y SUV at factories under construction in Texas and Germany. He said the company expects battery cell suppliers to double production next year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，马斯克表示，特斯拉预计今年将在德克萨斯州和德国在建工厂开始生产 Model Y SUV。他表示，该公司预计电池供应商明年将产量增加一倍。</blockquote></p><p> Despite the pandemic and the supply chain crisis, Tesla posted record deliveries during the quarter, thanks to sales of cheaper models including Model 3 sedans and Model Ys.</p><p><blockquote>尽管面临疫情和供应链危机，特斯拉本季度的交付量仍创下历史新高，这要归功于包括 Model 3 轿车和 Model Ys 在内的廉价车型的销售。</blockquote></p><p> The carmaker, led by billionaire entrepreneur Elon Musk, said revenue jumped to $11.96 billion from $6.04 billion a year earlier, when its California factory was shut down for more than six weeks due to local lockdown orders to fight the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>这家由亿万富翁企业家埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk) 领导的汽车制造商表示，收入从去年同期的 60.4 亿美元跃升至 119.6 亿美元，当时其加州工厂因当地抗击疫情的封锁令而关闭了六周多。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts had expected revenue of about $11.3 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Refinitiv 的 IBES 数据，分析师此前预计收入约为 113 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Excluding items, Tesla posted a profit of $1.45 per share, easily topping analyst expectations for a profit of 98 cents per share.</p><p><blockquote>不包括项目，特斯拉公布的每股利润为 1.45 美元，轻松超过分析师预期的每股利润 98 美分。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla said operating income rose with volume growth and cost reduction, which offset higher supply chain costs, lower regulatory credit revenue and other items including $23 million in losses on investment in cryptocurrency bitcoin.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉表示，经营利润随着销量增长和成本降低而上涨，这抵消了供应链成本上升、监管信贷收入下降和其他项目，包括加密货币比特币投资损失 2300 万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla’s profitability has often relied on selling regulatory credits to other automakers, but in the second quarter, Tesla was profitable without these credits for the first time since the end of 2019. Its GAAP net income was $1.14 billion in the second quarter. Revenue from the credits only totaled $354 million.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的盈利能力往往依赖于向其他汽车制造商出售监管积分，但在第二季度，特斯拉自 2019 年底以来首次在没有这些积分的情况下实现盈利。其第二季度 GAAP 净利润为 11.4 亿美元。信贷收入总计仅3.54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla impressed with its numbers, as most of its revenue came from vehicle sales,” Jesse Cohen, senior analyst at Investing.com, said.</p><p><blockquote>“Investing.com 高级分析师杰西-科恩（Jesse Cohen）说：”特斯拉的数据给人留下了深刻的印象，因为其大部分收入来自汽车销售。</blockquote></p><p> Carmaker Stellantis expects to achieve its European carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions targets this year without environmental credits bought from Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>汽车制造商 Stellantis 预计今年将在不从特斯拉购买环境信用额度的情况下实现欧洲二氧化碳 (CO2) 排放目标。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla said it said it has delayed the launch of the Semi truck program to 2022 to focus on starting factories and due to limited availability of battery cells and other parts this year.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉表示，由于今年电池和其他零部件的供应有限，该公司已将半挂卡车计划的启动时间推迟到 2022 年，以专注于启动工厂。</blockquote></p><p> But the company’s new 4680 batteries are not ready for volume production; executives said it was difficult to predict when technological challenges would be resolved.</p><p><blockquote>但该公司的新型 4680 电池尚未准备好批量生产；高管们表示，很难预测技术挑战何时会得到解决。</blockquote></p><p> In an aside, Musk said he “most likely will not be on earnings calls” going forward to discuss financial results with investors and analysts. These calls have been a colorful quarterly ritual Musk has used for discourses on Tesla technology, or to fire back at rivals or critics.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克在一旁表示，他 “很可能不会在财报评级上 ”与投资者和分析师讨论财务业绩。这些评级一直是马斯克用来谈论特斯拉技术或回击竞争对手或批评者的丰富多彩的季度仪式。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla sales surge 98%; company boosts margins on its less-costly electric cars<blockquote>特斯拉销量激增98%；公司提高低成本电动汽车的利润率</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla sales surge 98%; company boosts margins on its less-costly electric cars<blockquote>特斯拉销量激增98%；公司提高低成本电动汽车的利润率</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-27 07:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) -Tesla Inc posted a bigger second-quarter profit than expected on Tuesday thanks to sharply higher sales of its less-expensive electric vehicles, as it raised prices to boost its margins on them.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社） - 特斯拉公司周二公布的第二季度利润高于预期，得益于其价格较低的电动汽车销量大幅增加，同时提高了价格以提高利润率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla also cut costs which helped it offset many of the supply chain and microchip shortfalls facing the auto industry.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉还削减了成本，这有助于抵消汽车行业面临的许多供应链和微芯片短缺问题。</blockquote></p><p> For the first time since late 2019, Tesla profits did not rely on sales of environmental credits to other automakers, a sign of increasing financial health for the manufacturing operation. Tesla boosted its performance by cutting features it said were unused or unneeded and raising U.S. vehicle prices.</p><p><blockquote>自 2019 年底以来，特斯拉的利润首次不依赖于向其他汽车制造商出售环境信用，这是制造业务财务状况不断改善的迹象。特斯拉通过削减其认为未使用或不需要的功能以及提高美国汽车价格来提高其业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of the world’s most valuable automaker rose 1.5% in extended trade.</p><p><blockquote>这家全球最有价值的汽车制造商的股价在盘后交易中上涨了 1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> In a call with investors and analysts, Tesla executives said that volume production growth will depend on parts availability, and Musk cautioned the shortage of semiconductors will continue.</p><p><blockquote>在与投资者和分析师的看涨期权上，特斯拉高管表示，批量生产增长将取决于零部件的可用性，马斯克警告说，半导体短缺将持续。</blockquote></p><p> “The global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,” Musk said.</p><p><blockquote>“马斯克说：”全球芯片短缺形势仍然相当严重。</blockquote></p><p> Still, Musk said Tesla expects to launch production this year of the Model Y SUV at factories under construction in Texas and Germany. He said the company expects battery cell suppliers to double production next year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，马斯克表示，特斯拉预计今年将在德克萨斯州和德国在建工厂开始生产 Model Y SUV。他表示，该公司预计电池供应商明年将产量增加一倍。</blockquote></p><p> Despite the pandemic and the supply chain crisis, Tesla posted record deliveries during the quarter, thanks to sales of cheaper models including Model 3 sedans and Model Ys.</p><p><blockquote>尽管面临疫情和供应链危机，特斯拉本季度的交付量仍创下历史新高，这要归功于包括 Model 3 轿车和 Model Ys 在内的廉价车型的销售。</blockquote></p><p> The carmaker, led by billionaire entrepreneur Elon Musk, said revenue jumped to $11.96 billion from $6.04 billion a year earlier, when its California factory was shut down for more than six weeks due to local lockdown orders to fight the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>这家由亿万富翁企业家埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk) 领导的汽车制造商表示，收入从去年同期的 60.4 亿美元跃升至 119.6 亿美元，当时其加州工厂因当地抗击疫情的封锁令而关闭了六周多。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts had expected revenue of about $11.3 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Refinitiv 的 IBES 数据，分析师此前预计收入约为 113 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Excluding items, Tesla posted a profit of $1.45 per share, easily topping analyst expectations for a profit of 98 cents per share.</p><p><blockquote>不包括项目，特斯拉公布的每股利润为 1.45 美元，轻松超过分析师预期的每股利润 98 美分。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla said operating income rose with volume growth and cost reduction, which offset higher supply chain costs, lower regulatory credit revenue and other items including $23 million in losses on investment in cryptocurrency bitcoin.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉表示，经营利润随着销量增长和成本降低而上涨，这抵消了供应链成本上升、监管信贷收入下降和其他项目，包括加密货币比特币投资损失 2300 万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla’s profitability has often relied on selling regulatory credits to other automakers, but in the second quarter, Tesla was profitable without these credits for the first time since the end of 2019. Its GAAP net income was $1.14 billion in the second quarter. Revenue from the credits only totaled $354 million.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的盈利能力往往依赖于向其他汽车制造商出售监管积分，但在第二季度，特斯拉自 2019 年底以来首次在没有这些积分的情况下实现盈利。其第二季度 GAAP 净利润为 11.4 亿美元。信贷收入总计仅3.54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla impressed with its numbers, as most of its revenue came from vehicle sales,” Jesse Cohen, senior analyst at Investing.com, said.</p><p><blockquote>“Investing.com 高级分析师杰西-科恩（Jesse Cohen）说：”特斯拉的数据给人留下了深刻的印象，因为其大部分收入来自汽车销售。</blockquote></p><p> Carmaker Stellantis expects to achieve its European carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions targets this year without environmental credits bought from Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>汽车制造商 Stellantis 预计今年将在不从特斯拉购买环境信用额度的情况下实现欧洲二氧化碳 (CO2) 排放目标。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla said it said it has delayed the launch of the Semi truck program to 2022 to focus on starting factories and due to limited availability of battery cells and other parts this year.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉表示，由于今年电池和其他零部件的供应有限，该公司已将半挂卡车计划的启动时间推迟到 2022 年，以专注于启动工厂。</blockquote></p><p> But the company’s new 4680 batteries are not ready for volume production; executives said it was difficult to predict when technological challenges would be resolved.</p><p><blockquote>但该公司的新型 4680 电池尚未准备好批量生产；高管们表示，很难预测技术挑战何时会得到解决。</blockquote></p><p> In an aside, Musk said he “most likely will not be on earnings calls” going forward to discuss financial results with investors and analysts. These calls have been a colorful quarterly ritual Musk has used for discourses on Tesla technology, or to fire back at rivals or critics.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克在一旁表示，他 “很可能不会在财报评级上 ”与投资者和分析师讨论财务业绩。这些评级一直是马斯克用来谈论特斯拉技术或回击竞争对手或批评者的丰富多彩的季度仪式。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/tesla-results/update-4-tesla-sales-surge-98-company-boosts-margins-on-its-less-costly-electric-cars-idUSL4N2P23I5\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/tesla-results/update-4-tesla-sales-surge-98-company-boosts-margins-on-its-less-costly-electric-cars-idUSL4N2P23I5","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153028059","content_text":"(Reuters) -Tesla Inc posted a bigger second-quarter profit than expected on Tuesday thanks to sharply higher sales of its less-expensive electric vehicles, as it raised prices to boost its margins on them.\nTesla also cut costs which helped it offset many of the supply chain and microchip shortfalls facing the auto industry.\nFor the first time since late 2019, Tesla profits did not rely on sales of environmental credits to other automakers, a sign of increasing financial health for the manufacturing operation. Tesla boosted its performance by cutting features it said were unused or unneeded and raising U.S. vehicle prices.\nShares of the world’s most valuable automaker rose 1.5% in extended trade.\nIn a call with investors and analysts, Tesla executives said that volume production growth will depend on parts availability, and Musk cautioned the shortage of semiconductors will continue.\n“The global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,” Musk said.\nStill, Musk said Tesla expects to launch production this year of the Model Y SUV at factories under construction in Texas and Germany. He said the company expects battery cell suppliers to double production next year.\nDespite the pandemic and the supply chain crisis, Tesla posted record deliveries during the quarter, thanks to sales of cheaper models including Model 3 sedans and Model Ys.\nThe carmaker, led by billionaire entrepreneur Elon Musk, said revenue jumped to $11.96 billion from $6.04 billion a year earlier, when its California factory was shut down for more than six weeks due to local lockdown orders to fight the pandemic.\nAnalysts had expected revenue of about $11.3 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.\nExcluding items, Tesla posted a profit of $1.45 per share, easily topping analyst expectations for a profit of 98 cents per share.\nTesla said operating income rose with volume growth and cost reduction, which offset higher supply chain costs, lower regulatory credit revenue and other items including $23 million in losses on investment in cryptocurrency bitcoin.\nTesla’s profitability has often relied on selling regulatory credits to other automakers, but in the second quarter, Tesla was profitable without these credits for the first time since the end of 2019. Its GAAP net income was $1.14 billion in the second quarter. Revenue from the credits only totaled $354 million.\n“Tesla impressed with its numbers, as most of its revenue came from vehicle sales,” Jesse Cohen, senior analyst at Investing.com, said.\nCarmaker Stellantis expects to achieve its European carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions targets this year without environmental credits bought from Tesla.\nTesla said it said it has delayed the launch of the Semi truck program to 2022 to focus on starting factories and due to limited availability of battery cells and other parts this year.\nBut the company’s new 4680 batteries are not ready for volume production; executives said it was difficult to predict when technological challenges would be resolved.\nIn an aside, Musk said he “most likely will not be on earnings calls” going forward to discuss financial results with investors and analysts. These calls have been a colorful quarterly ritual Musk has used for discourses on Tesla technology, or to fire back at rivals or critics.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2828,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809318443,"gmtCreate":1627347856482,"gmtModify":1631889344551,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3582000511223755\">@Patrula</a>: Thats great.&nbsp;","listText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3582000511223755\">@Patrula</a>: Thats great.&nbsp;","text":"//@Patrula: Thats great.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809318443","repostId":"1176223224","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2638,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800701264,"gmtCreate":1627315972458,"gmtModify":1631891442398,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800701264","repostId":"1136217079","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4220,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175102576,"gmtCreate":1627010831895,"gmtModify":1631891442405,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3582000511223755\">@Patrula</a>: Thanks&nbsp;","listText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3582000511223755\">@Patrula</a>: Thanks&nbsp;","text":"//@Patrula: Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175102576","repostId":"1192425829","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1192425829","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625362308,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1192425829?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-04 09:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Second-Half 2021: Market Forecasts, Thoughts and Observations<blockquote>2021年下半年：市场预测、想法和观察</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1192425829","media":"The Street","summary":"The stock market has given us some incredible returns in the past year or two but there are some war","content":"<p>  The stock market has given us some incredible returns in the past year or two but there are some warning signs developing -- and one key date to keep an eye on.  The stock market, commodity markets and fixed-income markets have been on some wild rides the past 18 months. We penned 2021 forecast pieces back in January (read<b>here</b>and<b>here</b>), but a fresh look at things for the balance of the year seems like a good idea with commodity plays on the rise, oil prices coming on strong while other areas of the market are cooling.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的一两年里，股市给了我们一些令人难以置信的回报，但也出现了一些警告信号——以及一个需要关注的关键日期。在过去的18个月里，股票市场、大宗商品市场和固定收益市场一直在疯狂上涨。我们早在一月份就撰写了 2021 年预测文章（阅读<b>在这里</b>和<b>在这里</b>），但重新审视今年剩余时间的情况似乎是一个好主意，因为大宗商品正在上涨，油价走强，而市场其他领域正在降温。</blockquote></p><p> Let's start our analysis with some monthly candlestick charts.</p><p><blockquote>让我们从一些月度蜡烛图开始我们的分析。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Candlestick AnalysisDow Jones Industrials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>烛台分析道琼斯工业指数</b></blockquote></p><p> In this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), below, we can see that prices have made a huge rise over the past decade and a very sharp advance since March of 2020. Taking a little liberty in our methodology we can see an 8 to 10 record high advance since the 2020 pandemic low. Notice the slowing pace of the 12-month price momentum study in the lower panel.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的道琼斯工业平均指数（道琼斯）月度日本烛台图中，我们可以看到价格在过去十年中大幅上涨，自2020年3月以来大幅上涨。在我们的方法上稍微放松一下，我们可以看到自 2020 年疫情低点以来 8 至 10 的创纪录高位上涨。请注意下方面板中 12 个月价格动量研究的步伐正在放缓。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c0c65a961cdf2a9b6bdba9757ca8c5d\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>S&amp;P 500</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500</b></blockquote></p><p> In this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the S&amp;P 500 Index (SPX) below, we can see another big advance over the past 10 years. The index made a sideways consolidation pattern in 2015-2016 around 2,000 to 2,200 and we have for most part doubled from there. I would not be surprised to see some significant profit-taking as the SPX approached 4,400. Momentum has been slowing here too.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的标普500指数（SPX）月度日本烛台图中，我们可以看到过去10年的又一次大幅上涨。该指数在 2015-2016 年在 2,000 至 2,200 点左右形成了横向盘整模式，此后我们的股价大多翻了一番。当 SPX 接近 4,400 点时，如果看到一些大幅获利了结，我不会感到惊讶。这里的势头也在放缓。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72a594dc06dc6364a1f4432334018a95\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Nasdaq</b></p><p><blockquote><b>纳斯达克</b></blockquote></p><p> In this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the Nasdaq, below, we can see that prices have doubled from their consolidation pattern in 2018 and 2019 in the 7,000 area. Prices have nearly tripled from their consolidation around 5,000 in 2015-2016. Yes, the momentum study is slowing.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的纳斯达克月度日本烛台图中，我们可以看到价格较 2018 年和 2019 年的 7,000 点区域的盘整模式翻了一番。价格较 2015-2016 年 5,000 美元左右的盘整上涨了近两倍。是的，动量研究正在放缓。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a32c8a3b8cbd6d84dc3c316188d0714c\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Russell 2000</b></p><p><blockquote><b>罗素2000</b></blockquote></p><p> In this monthly candlestick chart of the Russell 2000 index (RUT) we can see that prices have more than doubled from their March 2020 low. This could take your breath away. With the string of white candles and weakening momentum we want to be more cautious as we move forward in the third quarter.</p><p><blockquote>在罗素2000指数（RUT）的月度烛台图中，我们可以看到价格从2020年3月的低点上涨了一倍多。这会让你喘不过气来。随着一连串白色蜡烛和减弱的势头，我们希望在第三季度前进时更加谨慎。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00e2eb68915aa7fe3a35df2b5cca4c7c\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">All these charts (above) show the 8 to 10 record high pattern so we should be on our guard for a top reversal pattern.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些图表（上图）都显示了 8 到 10 的历史新高模式，因此我们应该警惕顶部反转模式。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Advance-Decline Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>进退分析</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, let's turn our attention to the Advance-Decline line.</p><p><blockquote>现在，让我们把注意力转向涨跌线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Dow Jones Industrials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>道琼斯工业公司</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily candlestick chart of the DJIA, below, we show the Advance-Decline line which has been moving sideways since early May. This difference between the price action is a bearish divergence but the DJIA is a narrow average with only 30 stocks.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的道琼斯每日烛台图中，我们显示了自 5 月初以来一直横向移动的进退线。价格走势之间的这种差异是看跌背离，但道琼斯是只有 30 只股票的窄幅平均线。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5af49f53b61d7234c47302a43ef8fc54\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>S&amp;P 500</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500</b></blockquote></p><p> In this chart of the S&amp;P 500 and its Advance-Decline line, below, we can see that prices and the Advance-Decline line are pointed up so a bearish divergence has not started.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的标普500及其上涨-下跌线的图表中，我们可以看到价格和上涨-下跌线是向上的，因此看跌背离尚未开始。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f76b13060f5ac582155923264b7fb2f\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Nasdaq</b></p><p><blockquote><b>纳斯达克</b></blockquote></p><p> In this chart of the Nasdaq, below, we can see a significant bearish divergence. The Nasdaq has been making new highs but the Advance-Decline line has been moving sideways to lower from February.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的纳斯达克图表中，我们可以看到明显的看跌背离。纳斯达克一直在创下新高，但自2月份以来，涨跌线一直在横向走低。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c202ca833085d8ae21f804e01da1d20e\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Nasdaq 100</b></p><p><blockquote><b>纳斯达克100</b></blockquote></p><p> In this chart of Nasdaq 100 and its Advance-Decline line, below, we see prices and the indicator going up together. No bearish divergence here.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02f49df814666506de6bd3a8f8cff358\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Sectors</b></p><p><blockquote>在下面的纳斯达克 100 指数及其涨跌线图表中，我们看到价格和指标一起上涨。这里没有看跌分歧。<b>部门</b></blockquote></p><p> The marketplace can be broken down into 11 sectors but I want to cover just part of the list today.<b>Energy</b>In this weekly candlestick chart of the (XLE) , the S&amp;P Energy sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have doubled from their pandemic low. Trading volume has been very heavy and the weekly On-Balance-Volume has been stalled the past four months. The 12-week price momentum study has been weakening for a bearish divergence.</p><p><blockquote>市场可以分为11个部门，但我今天只想介绍其中的一部分。<b>能源</b>在下面的标准普尔能源行业 ETF (XLE) 的每周蜡烛图中，我们可以看到价格较大流行低点翻了一番。交易量一直非常大，过去四个月每周余额交易量一直停滞不前。12周价格动量研究一直在减弱，出现看跌背离。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6c7c0cb796bbdd57de9aba933c615ce\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Two energy names that could rally further in the third quarter are EOG Resources (EOG) and ConocoPhillips (COP) . Here are the charts.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度可能进一步上涨的两个能源公司是 EOG Resources (EOG) 和康菲石油公司 (COP)。这是图表。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d2fc7721f85cac4b418a821156c714f\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/874820e1c1c54a567c399f5129e88676\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc072387bc975d38d92af5b6b3de16ac\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d2822d20c835ce4f4860d5eb45212cb\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily bar chart of the (XLF) ,&nbsp; the Financial sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have begun a topping phase. Prices have broken below the cresting 50-day moving average line. The On-Balance-Volume line has weakened from early June and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) oscillator has fallen below the zero line for an outright sell signal.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的金融部门 ETF (XLF) 的每日柱状图中，我们可以看到价格已经开始见顶阶段。价格已跌破 50 日移动平均线顶部。自 6 月初以来，平衡成交量线已走弱，移动平均线收敛背离 (MACD) 振荡指标已跌破零线，发出彻底卖出信号。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bddfbb55fad602b4a29ff4ef1ba47e0f\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Technology</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术</b></blockquote></p><p> In this weekly Japanese candlestick chart of the (XLK) , the Technology sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have more than doubled from their pandemic low. The trading volume has diminished since March 2020 and the weekly On-Balance-Volume line has been stuck in a sideways trend for the past 12 months. The 12-week price momentum study in the bottom panel shows lower highs being made the past year. This is a significant bearish divergence.</p><p><blockquote>在下面科技行业 ETF (XLK) 的每周日本烛台图中，我们可以看到价格较大流行低点上涨了一倍多。自2020年3月以来，交易量一直在减少，每周平衡交易量线在过去12个月中一直处于横盘趋势。底部面板中的 12 周价格动量研究显示，过去一年的高点较低。这是一个显著的看跌背离。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9d9a652c4c72b421556bfbd90dd8d44\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Industrials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>工业</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily bar chart of the (XLI) &nbsp;, the Industrial sector ETF, below, we can see a weakening picture. Prices have slipped below the cresting 50-day moving average line. The On-Balance-Volume line has weakened the past two months and the MACD oscillator is below the zero line in sell territory.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的 (XLI) 工业部门 ETF 的每日柱状图中，我们可以看到一幅走弱的画面。价格已跌破 50 天移动平均线峰值。在过去的两个月里，平衡成交量线已经减弱，MACD振荡指标低于卖出区域的零线。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47838029e80d6b87a83abb9f1352bdaf\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Bonds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债券</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily Point and Figure chart of the (TLT) , the iShares 20+ year Treasury Bond ETF, below, we can see a potential upside price target in the $165 area.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的 iShares 20+ 年期国债 ETF (TLT) 的每日点图图中，我们可以看到 165 美元区域的潜在上行价格目标。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/587f7bae63415985c849540d27b7ffaa\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"992\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>U.S. Dollar</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美元</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily Japanese candlestick chart of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) we can see that prices have stopped short of a test of its late March/early April highs. DXY could make a slow drift downward to retest its May lows.</p><p><blockquote>在美元指数（DXY）的每日日本烛台图中，我们可以看到价格已经停止测试3月底/4月初的高点。DXY 可能会缓慢下行，以重新测试 5 月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c086d11fb1d31f2710dc3752d158a2e7\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Mark Your Calendars</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标记您的日历</b></blockquote></p><p> A technical service that I have been using since the mid-1990s (www.pfr.com) is anticipating a large-scale \"trend change\" on or about Aug. 2 and this bears watching. This could mark the start of perhaps a 10% correction in the major averages. The next trend change is anticipated for late October, which could be the start of a year-end rally. We want to pay closer attention to the advance-decline numbers and price action as we approach Aug. 2.</p><p><blockquote>我自 20 世纪 90 年代中期以来一直使用的一项技术服务 (www.pfr.com) 预计 8 月 2 日左右将出现大规模“趋势变化”，这值得关注。这可能标志着主要平均值可能开始回调 10%。下一次趋势变化预计将在 10 月下旬发生，这可能是年终反弹的开始。随着 8 月 2 日的临近，我们希望密切关注涨跌数据和价格走势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sentiment</b></p><p><blockquote><b>情绪</b></blockquote></p><p> No discussion about the stock market would be complete without some discussion of sentiment. There are plenty of \"signs\" of the stock market being out over its skis.</p><p><blockquote>如果不讨论情绪，任何关于股市的讨论都是不完整的。有很多“迹象”表明股市正在走下坡路。</blockquote></p><p> I see a number of market letters and commentary from fellow technical analysts and they are all bullish. I get emails from Real Money subscribers asking about this stock or that stock and I have two observations:</p><p><blockquote>我看到了一些来自其他技术分析师的市场信件和评论，它们都是看涨的。我收到 Real Money 订阅者的电子邮件，询问这只股票或那只股票，我有两个观察结果：</blockquote></p><p> 1. The names they are asking about seem to be more speculative in nature. I cannot remember the last time someone emailed me about a boring utility stock.</p><p><blockquote>1. 他们询问的名字似乎更具有推测性。我不记得上次有人给我发电子邮件谈论无聊的公用事业股票是什么时候了。</blockquote></p><p> 2. The second thing that has struck me about the emails is the failure to recognize risk. Everyone wants to know the next highest price target but they never ask about where to move a stop up.</p><p><blockquote>2.关于这些电子邮件，让我印象深刻的第二件事是没有意识到风险。每个人都想知道下一个最高价格目标，但他们从不问在哪里止损。</blockquote></p><p> Sentiment is not a precise indicator and much of it is anecdotal in nature and hard to quantify. The anticipated Robinhood IPO could mark a turning point.</p><p><blockquote>情绪不是一个精确的指标，其中大部分本质上是轶事，很难量化。预期中的 Robinhood IPO 可能标志着一个转折点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom-Line Strategy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线策略</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock market has given us some incredible returns in the past year or two but there are some warning signs developing and traders need to start leaning in the other direction.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的一两年里，股市给了我们一些令人难以置信的回报，但也出现了一些警告信号，交易者需要开始转向另一个方向。</blockquote></p><p> Consider adding to commodity plays as they could be the outperformers of the third quarter.</p><p><blockquote>考虑增持大宗商品，因为它们可能会跑赢第三季度的大宗商品。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Consider becoming a scale-up profit taker. Continue to raise your stop protection to lock in more gains. Pay closer attention to where in the range prices are closing. Highs are typically made when prices close near the high of the day.Is the On-Balance-Volume line weakening as volume increases on days when the market or your favorite stock declines?</p><p><blockquote>考虑成为一个扩大规模的获利者。继续提高您的止损保护以锁定更多收益。密切关注价格在区间中的收盘价。当价格收盘接近当日高点时，通常会创出高点。在市场或您最喜欢的股票下跌的日子里，平衡成交量线是否会随着成交量的增加而减弱？</blockquote></p><p> Pay closer attention to the news and watch for stocks and the market to decline on bullish news -- this tells us that the news has been discounted.</p><p><blockquote>密切关注新闻，观察股票和市场因利多消息而下跌——这告诉我们新闻已经打折。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Second-Half 2021: Market Forecasts, Thoughts and Observations<blockquote>2021年下半年：市场预测、想法和观察</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSecond-Half 2021: Market Forecasts, Thoughts and Observations<blockquote>2021年下半年：市场预测、想法和观察</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Street</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-04 09:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  The stock market has given us some incredible returns in the past year or two but there are some warning signs developing -- and one key date to keep an eye on.  The stock market, commodity markets and fixed-income markets have been on some wild rides the past 18 months. We penned 2021 forecast pieces back in January (read<b>here</b>and<b>here</b>), but a fresh look at things for the balance of the year seems like a good idea with commodity plays on the rise, oil prices coming on strong while other areas of the market are cooling.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的一两年里，股市给了我们一些令人难以置信的回报，但也出现了一些警告信号——以及一个需要关注的关键日期。在过去的18个月里，股票市场、大宗商品市场和固定收益市场一直在疯狂上涨。我们早在一月份就撰写了 2021 年预测文章（阅读<b>在这里</b>和<b>在这里</b>），但重新审视今年剩余时间的情况似乎是一个好主意，因为大宗商品正在上涨，油价走强，而市场其他领域正在降温。</blockquote></p><p> Let's start our analysis with some monthly candlestick charts.</p><p><blockquote>让我们从一些月度蜡烛图开始我们的分析。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Candlestick AnalysisDow Jones Industrials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>烛台分析道琼斯工业指数</b></blockquote></p><p> In this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), below, we can see that prices have made a huge rise over the past decade and a very sharp advance since March of 2020. Taking a little liberty in our methodology we can see an 8 to 10 record high advance since the 2020 pandemic low. Notice the slowing pace of the 12-month price momentum study in the lower panel.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的道琼斯工业平均指数（道琼斯）月度日本烛台图中，我们可以看到价格在过去十年中大幅上涨，自2020年3月以来大幅上涨。在我们的方法上稍微放松一下，我们可以看到自 2020 年疫情低点以来 8 至 10 的创纪录高位上涨。请注意下方面板中 12 个月价格动量研究的步伐正在放缓。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c0c65a961cdf2a9b6bdba9757ca8c5d\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>S&amp;P 500</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500</b></blockquote></p><p> In this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the S&amp;P 500 Index (SPX) below, we can see another big advance over the past 10 years. The index made a sideways consolidation pattern in 2015-2016 around 2,000 to 2,200 and we have for most part doubled from there. I would not be surprised to see some significant profit-taking as the SPX approached 4,400. Momentum has been slowing here too.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的标普500指数（SPX）月度日本烛台图中，我们可以看到过去10年的又一次大幅上涨。该指数在 2015-2016 年在 2,000 至 2,200 点左右形成了横向盘整模式，此后我们的股价大多翻了一番。当 SPX 接近 4,400 点时，如果看到一些大幅获利了结，我不会感到惊讶。这里的势头也在放缓。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72a594dc06dc6364a1f4432334018a95\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Nasdaq</b></p><p><blockquote><b>纳斯达克</b></blockquote></p><p> In this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the Nasdaq, below, we can see that prices have doubled from their consolidation pattern in 2018 and 2019 in the 7,000 area. Prices have nearly tripled from their consolidation around 5,000 in 2015-2016. Yes, the momentum study is slowing.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的纳斯达克月度日本烛台图中，我们可以看到价格较 2018 年和 2019 年的 7,000 点区域的盘整模式翻了一番。价格较 2015-2016 年 5,000 美元左右的盘整上涨了近两倍。是的，动量研究正在放缓。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a32c8a3b8cbd6d84dc3c316188d0714c\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Russell 2000</b></p><p><blockquote><b>罗素2000</b></blockquote></p><p> In this monthly candlestick chart of the Russell 2000 index (RUT) we can see that prices have more than doubled from their March 2020 low. This could take your breath away. With the string of white candles and weakening momentum we want to be more cautious as we move forward in the third quarter.</p><p><blockquote>在罗素2000指数（RUT）的月度烛台图中，我们可以看到价格从2020年3月的低点上涨了一倍多。这会让你喘不过气来。随着一连串白色蜡烛和减弱的势头，我们希望在第三季度前进时更加谨慎。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00e2eb68915aa7fe3a35df2b5cca4c7c\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">All these charts (above) show the 8 to 10 record high pattern so we should be on our guard for a top reversal pattern.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些图表（上图）都显示了 8 到 10 的历史新高模式，因此我们应该警惕顶部反转模式。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Advance-Decline Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>进退分析</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, let's turn our attention to the Advance-Decline line.</p><p><blockquote>现在，让我们把注意力转向涨跌线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Dow Jones Industrials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>道琼斯工业公司</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily candlestick chart of the DJIA, below, we show the Advance-Decline line which has been moving sideways since early May. This difference between the price action is a bearish divergence but the DJIA is a narrow average with only 30 stocks.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的道琼斯每日烛台图中，我们显示了自 5 月初以来一直横向移动的进退线。价格走势之间的这种差异是看跌背离，但道琼斯是只有 30 只股票的窄幅平均线。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5af49f53b61d7234c47302a43ef8fc54\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>S&amp;P 500</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500</b></blockquote></p><p> In this chart of the S&amp;P 500 and its Advance-Decline line, below, we can see that prices and the Advance-Decline line are pointed up so a bearish divergence has not started.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的标普500及其上涨-下跌线的图表中，我们可以看到价格和上涨-下跌线是向上的，因此看跌背离尚未开始。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f76b13060f5ac582155923264b7fb2f\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Nasdaq</b></p><p><blockquote><b>纳斯达克</b></blockquote></p><p> In this chart of the Nasdaq, below, we can see a significant bearish divergence. The Nasdaq has been making new highs but the Advance-Decline line has been moving sideways to lower from February.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的纳斯达克图表中，我们可以看到明显的看跌背离。纳斯达克一直在创下新高，但自2月份以来，涨跌线一直在横向走低。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c202ca833085d8ae21f804e01da1d20e\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Nasdaq 100</b></p><p><blockquote><b>纳斯达克100</b></blockquote></p><p> In this chart of Nasdaq 100 and its Advance-Decline line, below, we see prices and the indicator going up together. No bearish divergence here.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02f49df814666506de6bd3a8f8cff358\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Sectors</b></p><p><blockquote>在下面的纳斯达克 100 指数及其涨跌线图表中，我们看到价格和指标一起上涨。这里没有看跌分歧。<b>部门</b></blockquote></p><p> The marketplace can be broken down into 11 sectors but I want to cover just part of the list today.<b>Energy</b>In this weekly candlestick chart of the (XLE) , the S&amp;P Energy sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have doubled from their pandemic low. Trading volume has been very heavy and the weekly On-Balance-Volume has been stalled the past four months. The 12-week price momentum study has been weakening for a bearish divergence.</p><p><blockquote>市场可以分为11个部门，但我今天只想介绍其中的一部分。<b>能源</b>在下面的标准普尔能源行业 ETF (XLE) 的每周蜡烛图中，我们可以看到价格较大流行低点翻了一番。交易量一直非常大，过去四个月每周余额交易量一直停滞不前。12周价格动量研究一直在减弱，出现看跌背离。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6c7c0cb796bbdd57de9aba933c615ce\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Two energy names that could rally further in the third quarter are EOG Resources (EOG) and ConocoPhillips (COP) . Here are the charts.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度可能进一步上涨的两个能源公司是 EOG Resources (EOG) 和康菲石油公司 (COP)。这是图表。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d2fc7721f85cac4b418a821156c714f\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/874820e1c1c54a567c399f5129e88676\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc072387bc975d38d92af5b6b3de16ac\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d2822d20c835ce4f4860d5eb45212cb\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily bar chart of the (XLF) ,&nbsp; the Financial sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have begun a topping phase. Prices have broken below the cresting 50-day moving average line. The On-Balance-Volume line has weakened from early June and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) oscillator has fallen below the zero line for an outright sell signal.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的金融部门 ETF (XLF) 的每日柱状图中，我们可以看到价格已经开始见顶阶段。价格已跌破 50 日移动平均线顶部。自 6 月初以来，平衡成交量线已走弱，移动平均线收敛背离 (MACD) 振荡指标已跌破零线，发出彻底卖出信号。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bddfbb55fad602b4a29ff4ef1ba47e0f\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Technology</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术</b></blockquote></p><p> In this weekly Japanese candlestick chart of the (XLK) , the Technology sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have more than doubled from their pandemic low. The trading volume has diminished since March 2020 and the weekly On-Balance-Volume line has been stuck in a sideways trend for the past 12 months. The 12-week price momentum study in the bottom panel shows lower highs being made the past year. This is a significant bearish divergence.</p><p><blockquote>在下面科技行业 ETF (XLK) 的每周日本烛台图中，我们可以看到价格较大流行低点上涨了一倍多。自2020年3月以来，交易量一直在减少，每周平衡交易量线在过去12个月中一直处于横盘趋势。底部面板中的 12 周价格动量研究显示，过去一年的高点较低。这是一个显著的看跌背离。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9d9a652c4c72b421556bfbd90dd8d44\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Industrials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>工业</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily bar chart of the (XLI) &nbsp;, the Industrial sector ETF, below, we can see a weakening picture. Prices have slipped below the cresting 50-day moving average line. The On-Balance-Volume line has weakened the past two months and the MACD oscillator is below the zero line in sell territory.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的 (XLI) 工业部门 ETF 的每日柱状图中，我们可以看到一幅走弱的画面。价格已跌破 50 天移动平均线峰值。在过去的两个月里，平衡成交量线已经减弱，MACD振荡指标低于卖出区域的零线。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47838029e80d6b87a83abb9f1352bdaf\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Bonds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债券</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily Point and Figure chart of the (TLT) , the iShares 20+ year Treasury Bond ETF, below, we can see a potential upside price target in the $165 area.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的 iShares 20+ 年期国债 ETF (TLT) 的每日点图图中，我们可以看到 165 美元区域的潜在上行价格目标。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/587f7bae63415985c849540d27b7ffaa\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"992\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>U.S. Dollar</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美元</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily Japanese candlestick chart of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) we can see that prices have stopped short of a test of its late March/early April highs. DXY could make a slow drift downward to retest its May lows.</p><p><blockquote>在美元指数（DXY）的每日日本烛台图中，我们可以看到价格已经停止测试3月底/4月初的高点。DXY 可能会缓慢下行，以重新测试 5 月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c086d11fb1d31f2710dc3752d158a2e7\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Mark Your Calendars</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标记您的日历</b></blockquote></p><p> A technical service that I have been using since the mid-1990s (www.pfr.com) is anticipating a large-scale \"trend change\" on or about Aug. 2 and this bears watching. This could mark the start of perhaps a 10% correction in the major averages. The next trend change is anticipated for late October, which could be the start of a year-end rally. We want to pay closer attention to the advance-decline numbers and price action as we approach Aug. 2.</p><p><blockquote>我自 20 世纪 90 年代中期以来一直使用的一项技术服务 (www.pfr.com) 预计 8 月 2 日左右将出现大规模“趋势变化”，这值得关注。这可能标志着主要平均值可能开始回调 10%。下一次趋势变化预计将在 10 月下旬发生，这可能是年终反弹的开始。随着 8 月 2 日的临近，我们希望密切关注涨跌数据和价格走势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sentiment</b></p><p><blockquote><b>情绪</b></blockquote></p><p> No discussion about the stock market would be complete without some discussion of sentiment. There are plenty of \"signs\" of the stock market being out over its skis.</p><p><blockquote>如果不讨论情绪，任何关于股市的讨论都是不完整的。有很多“迹象”表明股市正在走下坡路。</blockquote></p><p> I see a number of market letters and commentary from fellow technical analysts and they are all bullish. I get emails from Real Money subscribers asking about this stock or that stock and I have two observations:</p><p><blockquote>我看到了一些来自其他技术分析师的市场信件和评论，它们都是看涨的。我收到 Real Money 订阅者的电子邮件，询问这只股票或那只股票，我有两个观察结果：</blockquote></p><p> 1. The names they are asking about seem to be more speculative in nature. I cannot remember the last time someone emailed me about a boring utility stock.</p><p><blockquote>1. 他们询问的名字似乎更具有推测性。我不记得上次有人给我发电子邮件谈论无聊的公用事业股票是什么时候了。</blockquote></p><p> 2. The second thing that has struck me about the emails is the failure to recognize risk. Everyone wants to know the next highest price target but they never ask about where to move a stop up.</p><p><blockquote>2.关于这些电子邮件，让我印象深刻的第二件事是没有意识到风险。每个人都想知道下一个最高价格目标，但他们从不问在哪里止损。</blockquote></p><p> Sentiment is not a precise indicator and much of it is anecdotal in nature and hard to quantify. The anticipated Robinhood IPO could mark a turning point.</p><p><blockquote>情绪不是一个精确的指标，其中大部分本质上是轶事，很难量化。预期中的 Robinhood IPO 可能标志着一个转折点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom-Line Strategy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线策略</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock market has given us some incredible returns in the past year or two but there are some warning signs developing and traders need to start leaning in the other direction.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的一两年里，股市给了我们一些令人难以置信的回报，但也出现了一些警告信号，交易者需要开始转向另一个方向。</blockquote></p><p> Consider adding to commodity plays as they could be the outperformers of the third quarter.</p><p><blockquote>考虑增持大宗商品，因为它们可能会跑赢第三季度的大宗商品。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Consider becoming a scale-up profit taker. Continue to raise your stop protection to lock in more gains. Pay closer attention to where in the range prices are closing. Highs are typically made when prices close near the high of the day.Is the On-Balance-Volume line weakening as volume increases on days when the market or your favorite stock declines?</p><p><blockquote>考虑成为一个扩大规模的获利者。继续提高您的止损保护以锁定更多收益。密切关注价格在区间中的收盘价。当价格收盘接近当日高点时，通常会创出高点。在市场或您最喜欢的股票下跌的日子里，平衡成交量线是否会随着成交量的增加而减弱？</blockquote></p><p> Pay closer attention to the news and watch for stocks and the market to decline on bullish news -- this tells us that the news has been discounted.</p><p><blockquote>密切关注新闻，观察股票和市场因利多消息而下跌——这告诉我们新闻已经打折。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://realmoney.thestreet.com/investing/stocks/second-half-2021-market-forecasts-thoughts-and-observations-15702152?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO\">The Street</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://realmoney.thestreet.com/investing/stocks/second-half-2021-market-forecasts-thoughts-and-observations-15702152?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1192425829","content_text":"The stock market has given us some incredible returns in the past year or two but there are some warning signs developing -- and one key date to keep an eye on.\n\nThe stock market, commodity markets and fixed-income markets have been on some wild rides the past 18 months. We penned 2021 forecast pieces back in January (readhereandhere), but a fresh look at things for the balance of the year seems like a good idea with commodity plays on the rise, oil prices coming on strong while other areas of the market are cooling.\nLet's start our analysis with some monthly candlestick charts.\nCandlestick AnalysisDow Jones Industrials\nIn this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), below, we can see that prices have made a huge rise over the past decade and a very sharp advance since March of 2020. Taking a little liberty in our methodology we can see an 8 to 10 record high advance since the 2020 pandemic low. Notice the slowing pace of the 12-month price momentum study in the lower panel.\nS&P 500\nIn this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) below, we can see another big advance over the past 10 years. The index made a sideways consolidation pattern in 2015-2016 around 2,000 to 2,200 and we have for most part doubled from there. I would not be surprised to see some significant profit-taking as the SPX approached 4,400. Momentum has been slowing here too.\nNasdaq\nIn this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the Nasdaq, below, we can see that prices have doubled from their consolidation pattern in 2018 and 2019 in the 7,000 area. Prices have nearly tripled from their consolidation around 5,000 in 2015-2016. Yes, the momentum study is slowing.\nRussell 2000\nIn this monthly candlestick chart of the Russell 2000 index (RUT) we can see that prices have more than doubled from their March 2020 low. This could take your breath away. With the string of white candles and weakening momentum we want to be more cautious as we move forward in the third quarter.\nAll these charts (above) show the 8 to 10 record high pattern so we should be on our guard for a top reversal pattern.\nAdvance-Decline Analysis\nNow, let's turn our attention to the Advance-Decline line.\nDow Jones Industrials\nIn this daily candlestick chart of the DJIA, below, we show the Advance-Decline line which has been moving sideways since early May. This difference between the price action is a bearish divergence but the DJIA is a narrow average with only 30 stocks.\nS&P 500\nIn this chart of the S&P 500 and its Advance-Decline line, below, we can see that prices and the Advance-Decline line are pointed up so a bearish divergence has not started.\nNasdaq\nIn this chart of the Nasdaq, below, we can see a significant bearish divergence. The Nasdaq has been making new highs but the Advance-Decline line has been moving sideways to lower from February.\nNasdaq 100\nIn this chart of Nasdaq 100 and its Advance-Decline line, below, we see prices and the indicator going up together. No bearish divergence here.Sectors\nThe marketplace can be broken down into 11 sectors but I want to cover just part of the list today.EnergyIn this weekly candlestick chart of the (XLE) , the S&P Energy sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have doubled from their pandemic low. Trading volume has been very heavy and the weekly On-Balance-Volume has been stalled the past four months. The 12-week price momentum study has been weakening for a bearish divergence.\n\nTwo energy names that could rally further in the third quarter are EOG Resources (EOG) and ConocoPhillips (COP) . Here are the charts.\nFinancials\nIn this daily bar chart of the (XLF) ,  the Financial sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have begun a topping phase. Prices have broken below the cresting 50-day moving average line. The On-Balance-Volume line has weakened from early June and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) oscillator has fallen below the zero line for an outright sell signal.\nTechnology\nIn this weekly Japanese candlestick chart of the (XLK) , the Technology sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have more than doubled from their pandemic low. The trading volume has diminished since March 2020 and the weekly On-Balance-Volume line has been stuck in a sideways trend for the past 12 months. The 12-week price momentum study in the bottom panel shows lower highs being made the past year. This is a significant bearish divergence.\nIndustrials\nIn this daily bar chart of the (XLI)  , the Industrial sector ETF, below, we can see a weakening picture. Prices have slipped below the cresting 50-day moving average line. The On-Balance-Volume line has weakened the past two months and the MACD oscillator is below the zero line in sell territory.\nBonds\nIn this daily Point and Figure chart of the (TLT) , the iShares 20+ year Treasury Bond ETF, below, we can see a potential upside price target in the $165 area.\nU.S. Dollar\nIn this daily Japanese candlestick chart of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) we can see that prices have stopped short of a test of its late March/early April highs. DXY could make a slow drift downward to retest its May lows.\nMark Your Calendars\nA technical service that I have been using since the mid-1990s (www.pfr.com) is anticipating a large-scale \"trend change\" on or about Aug. 2 and this bears watching. This could mark the start of perhaps a 10% correction in the major averages. The next trend change is anticipated for late October, which could be the start of a year-end rally. We want to pay closer attention to the advance-decline numbers and price action as we approach Aug. 2.\nSentiment\nNo discussion about the stock market would be complete without some discussion of sentiment. There are plenty of \"signs\" of the stock market being out over its skis.\nI see a number of market letters and commentary from fellow technical analysts and they are all bullish. I get emails from Real Money subscribers asking about this stock or that stock and I have two observations:\n1. The names they are asking about seem to be more speculative in nature. I cannot remember the last time someone emailed me about a boring utility stock.\n2. The second thing that has struck me about the emails is the failure to recognize risk. Everyone wants to know the next highest price target but they never ask about where to move a stop up.\nSentiment is not a precise indicator and much of it is anecdotal in nature and hard to quantify. The anticipated Robinhood IPO could mark a turning point.\nBottom-Line Strategy\nThe stock market has given us some incredible returns in the past year or two but there are some warning signs developing and traders need to start leaning in the other direction.\nConsider adding to commodity plays as they could be the outperformers of the third quarter.\nConsider becoming a scale-up profit taker. Continue to raise your stop protection to lock in more gains. Pay closer attention to where in the range prices are closing. Highs are typically made when prices close near the high of the day.Is the On-Balance-Volume line weakening as volume increases on days when the market or your favorite stock declines?\nPay closer attention to the news and watch for stocks and the market to decline on bullish news -- this tells us that the news has been discounted.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1351,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178592423,"gmtCreate":1626826485862,"gmtModify":1631891442404,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Thank you&nbsp;","listText":"Thank you&nbsp;","text":"Thank 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you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141546567","repostId":"2150370120","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":718,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":141546315,"gmtCreate":1625882566137,"gmtModify":1631891442412,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Thank you for the updates&nbsp;","listText":"Thank you for the updates&nbsp;","text":"Thank you for the updates","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141546315","repostId":"2150326565","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":906,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":141080303,"gmtCreate":1625824323102,"gmtModify":1631891442417,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Thank you","listText":"Thank you","text":"Thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141080303","repostId":"1105602964","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":827,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":141014702,"gmtCreate":1625824153306,"gmtModify":1631891442419,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Thank you","listText":"Thank you","text":"Thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141014702","repostId":"2150037500","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1301,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149112591,"gmtCreate":1625709044813,"gmtModify":1631891442422,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Thank you","listText":"Thank you","text":"Thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149112591","repostId":"1135124644","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":815,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149351749,"gmtCreate":1625706400181,"gmtModify":1631893997468,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks&nbsp;","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149351749","repostId":"2149431650","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1218,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149325847,"gmtCreate":1625706117689,"gmtModify":1631893997473,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Thank you for the updated information.&nbsp;","listText":"Thank you for the updated information.&nbsp;","text":"Thank you for the updated information.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149325847","repostId":"1193960545","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193960545","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625699849,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1193960545?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-08 07:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500, Nasdaq post record closing highs after Fed minutes<blockquote>美联储会议纪要后，标普500和纳斯达克创下收盘新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193960545","media":"Reuters","summary":"Fed keen to be \"well positioned\" to act on inflation - minutes\nDow up 0.3%, S&P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq ","content":"<p><ul>  <li>Fed keen to be \"well positioned\" to act on inflation - minutes</li>  <li>Dow up 0.3%, S&amp;P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq up 0.01%</li> </ul> NEW YORK, July 7 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended higher on Wednesday and the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closing highs after minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting indicated officials may not be ready yet to move on tightening policy.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>美联储热衷于“处于有利地位”应对通胀 - 会议纪要</li><li>道琼斯指数上涨0.3%，标普500指数上涨0.3%，纳斯达克指数上涨0.01%</li></ul>路透纽约7月7日 - 美国股市周三收高，标普500和纳斯达克创下收盘新高，此前美联储上次会议纪要显示官员们可能尚未准备好继续实施紧缩政策。</blockquote></p><p> According to the minutes of the U.S. central bank's June policy meeting, Fed officials felt substantial further progress on the economic recovery \"was generally seen as not having yet been met,\" but agreed they should be poised to act if inflation or other risks materialized.</p><p><blockquote>根据美联储6月政策会议纪要，美联储官员认为，经济复苏的实质性进一步进展“通常被视为尚未实现”，但同意如果通胀或其他风险出现，他们应该做好采取行动的准备。</blockquote></p><p> \"I read this as effectively a dovish set of notes simply because they don't feel as a group that they have enough certainty around the situation to make any changes at all,\" said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer at Commonwealth Financial Network in Waltham, Massachusetts.</p><p><blockquote>马萨诸塞州沃尔瑟姆联邦金融网络首席投资官布拉德·麦克米伦 (Brad McMillan) 表示：“我认为这实际上是一套鸽派的笔记，因为作为一个群体，他们觉得自己没有足够的确定性来做出任何改变。”</blockquote></p><p> Treasury yields edged lower following the Fed minutes, while stocks mostly edged higher.</p><p><blockquote>美联储会议纪要公布后，美国国债收益率小幅走低，而股市大多小幅走高。</blockquote></p><p> The minutes reflected a divided Fed wrestling with new inflation risks but still relatively high unemployment.</p><p><blockquote>会议纪要反映出美联储在应对新的通胀风险时存在分歧，但失业率仍然相对较高。</blockquote></p><p> After its meeting and statement last month, investors began to anticipate the Fed would move more quickly to tighten than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>在上个月的会议和声明之后，投资者开始预计美联储将比之前预期更快地收紧货币政策。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street has been concerned about inflation, with investors moving between economy-linked value stocks and growth names in the past few sessions.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街一直担心通胀，过去几个交易日投资者在与经济相关的价值股和成长型股票之间转换。</blockquote></p><p> Both growth(.RLG)and value stocks(.RLV)gained on Wednesday, while industrials(.SPLRCI)and materials(.SPLRCM)led S&amp;P 500 sector gains.</p><p><blockquote>成长股 (.RLG) 和价值股 (.RLV) 周三均上涨，而工业股 (.SPLRCI) 和材料股 (.SPLRCM) 领涨标普500板块。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 104.42 points, or 0.3%, to 34,681.79, the S&amp;P 500(.SPX)gained 14.59 points, or 0.34%, to 4,358.13 and the Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)added 1.42 points, or 0.01%, to 14,665.06.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b82724f48859f601746f387b53e8bf71\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">China's market regulator said it has fined a number of internet companies including Didi Global(DIDI.N), Tencent(0700.HK)and Alibaba(9988.HK)for failing to report earlier merger and acquisition deals for approval.read more</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数 (.DJI) 上涨 104.42 点，或 0.3%，至 34,681.79 点；标普500指数 (.SPX) 上涨 14.59 点，或 0.34%，至 4,358.13 点；纳斯达克综合指数 (.IXIC) 上涨 1.42 点，或 0.01%，至 14,665.06。中国市场监管机构表示，已对滴滴全球 (DIDI.N)、腾讯控股 (0700.HK) 和阿里巴巴-SW (9988.HK) 等多家互联网公司处以罚款，原因是它们未能报告早期并购交易以供批准。了解更多</blockquote></p><p> U.S.-listed shares of Didi fell 4.6%, adding to a nearly 20% slump on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>滴滴在美国上市的股价下跌 4.6%，周二跌幅近 20%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.02-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.92-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 1.02 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.92 比 1 的比率有利于下跌者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 71 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 84 new highs and 121 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 71 个 52 周新高，没有新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下84个新高和121个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.04 billion shares, compared with the 10.7 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为 100.4 亿股，而过去 20 个交易日整个交易日的平均成交量为 107 亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500, Nasdaq post record closing highs after Fed minutes<blockquote>美联储会议纪要后，标普500和纳斯达克创下收盘新高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 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class=\"title\">\nS&P 500, Nasdaq post record closing highs after Fed minutes<blockquote>美联储会议纪要后，标普500和纳斯达克创下收盘新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-08 07:17</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul>  <li>Fed keen to be \"well positioned\" to act on inflation - minutes</li>  <li>Dow up 0.3%, S&amp;P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq up 0.01%</li> </ul> NEW YORK, July 7 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended higher on Wednesday and the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closing highs after minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting indicated officials may not be ready yet to move on tightening policy.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>美联储热衷于“处于有利地位”应对通胀 - 会议纪要</li><li>道琼斯指数上涨0.3%，标普500指数上涨0.3%，纳斯达克指数上涨0.01%</li></ul>路透纽约7月7日 - 美国股市周三收高，标普500和纳斯达克创下收盘新高，此前美联储上次会议纪要显示官员们可能尚未准备好继续实施紧缩政策。</blockquote></p><p> According to the minutes of the U.S. central bank's June policy meeting, Fed officials felt substantial further progress on the economic recovery \"was generally seen as not having yet been met,\" but agreed they should be poised to act if inflation or other risks materialized.</p><p><blockquote>根据美联储6月政策会议纪要，美联储官员认为，经济复苏的实质性进一步进展“通常被视为尚未实现”，但同意如果通胀或其他风险出现，他们应该做好采取行动的准备。</blockquote></p><p> \"I read this as effectively a dovish set of notes simply because they don't feel as a group that they have enough certainty around the situation to make any changes at all,\" said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer at Commonwealth Financial Network in Waltham, Massachusetts.</p><p><blockquote>马萨诸塞州沃尔瑟姆联邦金融网络首席投资官布拉德·麦克米伦 (Brad McMillan) 表示：“我认为这实际上是一套鸽派的笔记，因为作为一个群体，他们觉得自己没有足够的确定性来做出任何改变。”</blockquote></p><p> Treasury yields edged lower following the Fed minutes, while stocks mostly edged higher.</p><p><blockquote>美联储会议纪要公布后，美国国债收益率小幅走低，而股市大多小幅走高。</blockquote></p><p> The minutes reflected a divided Fed wrestling with new inflation risks but still relatively high unemployment.</p><p><blockquote>会议纪要反映出美联储在应对新的通胀风险时存在分歧，但失业率仍然相对较高。</blockquote></p><p> After its meeting and statement last month, investors began to anticipate the Fed would move more quickly to tighten than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>在上个月的会议和声明之后，投资者开始预计美联储将比之前预期更快地收紧货币政策。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street has been concerned about inflation, with investors moving between economy-linked value stocks and growth names in the past few sessions.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街一直担心通胀，过去几个交易日投资者在与经济相关的价值股和成长型股票之间转换。</blockquote></p><p> Both growth(.RLG)and value stocks(.RLV)gained on Wednesday, while industrials(.SPLRCI)and materials(.SPLRCM)led S&amp;P 500 sector gains.</p><p><blockquote>成长股 (.RLG) 和价值股 (.RLV) 周三均上涨，而工业股 (.SPLRCI) 和材料股 (.SPLRCM) 领涨标普500板块。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 104.42 points, or 0.3%, to 34,681.79, the S&amp;P 500(.SPX)gained 14.59 points, or 0.34%, to 4,358.13 and the Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)added 1.42 points, or 0.01%, to 14,665.06.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b82724f48859f601746f387b53e8bf71\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">China's market regulator said it has fined a number of internet companies including Didi Global(DIDI.N), Tencent(0700.HK)and Alibaba(9988.HK)for failing to report earlier merger and acquisition deals for approval.read more</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数 (.DJI) 上涨 104.42 点，或 0.3%，至 34,681.79 点；标普500指数 (.SPX) 上涨 14.59 点，或 0.34%，至 4,358.13 点；纳斯达克综合指数 (.IXIC) 上涨 1.42 点，或 0.01%，至 14,665.06。中国市场监管机构表示，已对滴滴全球 (DIDI.N)、腾讯控股 (0700.HK) 和阿里巴巴-SW (9988.HK) 等多家互联网公司处以罚款，原因是它们未能报告早期并购交易以供批准。了解更多</blockquote></p><p> U.S.-listed shares of Didi fell 4.6%, adding to a nearly 20% slump on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>滴滴在美国上市的股价下跌 4.6%，周二跌幅近 20%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.02-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.92-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 1.02 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.92 比 1 的比率有利于下跌者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 71 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 84 new highs and 121 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 71 个 52 周新高，没有新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下84个新高和121个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.04 billion shares, compared with the 10.7 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为 100.4 亿股，而过去 20 个交易日整个交易日的平均成交量为 107 亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-nasdaq-post-record-closing-highs-after-fed-minutes-2021-07-07/\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","OEX":"标普100","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","NDAQ":"纳斯达克OMX交易所",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-nasdaq-post-record-closing-highs-after-fed-minutes-2021-07-07/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193960545","content_text":"Fed keen to be \"well positioned\" to act on inflation - minutes\nDow up 0.3%, S&P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq up 0.01%\n\nNEW YORK, July 7 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended higher on Wednesday and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closing highs after minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting indicated officials may not be ready yet to move on tightening policy.\nAccording to the minutes of the U.S. central bank's June policy meeting, Fed officials felt substantial further progress on the economic recovery \"was generally seen as not having yet been met,\" but agreed they should be poised to act if inflation or other risks materialized.\n\"I read this as effectively a dovish set of notes simply because they don't feel as a group that they have enough certainty around the situation to make any changes at all,\" said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer at Commonwealth Financial Network in Waltham, Massachusetts.\nTreasury yields edged lower following the Fed minutes, while stocks mostly edged higher.\nThe minutes reflected a divided Fed wrestling with new inflation risks but still relatively high unemployment.\nAfter its meeting and statement last month, investors began to anticipate the Fed would move more quickly to tighten than previously expected.\nWall Street has been concerned about inflation, with investors moving between economy-linked value stocks and growth names in the past few sessions.\nBoth growth(.RLG)and value stocks(.RLV)gained on Wednesday, while industrials(.SPLRCI)and materials(.SPLRCM)led S&P 500 sector gains.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 104.42 points, or 0.3%, to 34,681.79, the S&P 500(.SPX)gained 14.59 points, or 0.34%, to 4,358.13 and the Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)added 1.42 points, or 0.01%, to 14,665.06.China's market regulator said it has fined a number of internet companies including Didi Global(DIDI.N), Tencent(0700.HK)and Alibaba(9988.HK)for failing to report earlier merger and acquisition deals for approval.read more\nU.S.-listed shares of Didi fell 4.6%, adding to a nearly 20% slump on Tuesday.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.02-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.92-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 71 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 84 new highs and 121 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 10.04 billion shares, compared with the 10.7 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"SH":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"QID":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"NDAQ":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1229,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154563998,"gmtCreate":1625534702314,"gmtModify":1631893997476,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154563998","repostId":"1190430616","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":982,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":155045745,"gmtCreate":1625365835287,"gmtModify":1631889344522,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks&nbsp;","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155045745","repostId":"1192425829","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1192425829","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625362308,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1192425829?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-04 09:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Second-Half 2021: Market Forecasts, Thoughts and Observations<blockquote>2021年下半年：市场预测、想法和观察</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1192425829","media":"The Street","summary":"The stock market has given us some incredible returns in the past year or two but there are some war","content":"<p>  The stock market has given us some incredible returns in the past year or two but there are some warning signs developing -- and one key date to keep an eye on.  The stock market, commodity markets and fixed-income markets have been on some wild rides the past 18 months. We penned 2021 forecast pieces back in January (read<b>here</b>and<b>here</b>), but a fresh look at things for the balance of the year seems like a good idea with commodity plays on the rise, oil prices coming on strong while other areas of the market are cooling.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的一两年里，股市给了我们一些令人难以置信的回报，但也出现了一些警告信号——以及一个需要关注的关键日期。在过去的18个月里，股票市场、大宗商品市场和固定收益市场一直在疯狂上涨。我们早在一月份就撰写了 2021 年预测文章（阅读<b>在这里</b>和<b>在这里</b>），但重新审视今年剩余时间的情况似乎是一个好主意，因为大宗商品正在上涨，油价走强，而市场其他领域正在降温。</blockquote></p><p> Let's start our analysis with some monthly candlestick charts.</p><p><blockquote>让我们从一些月度蜡烛图开始我们的分析。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Candlestick AnalysisDow Jones Industrials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>烛台分析道琼斯工业指数</b></blockquote></p><p> In this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), below, we can see that prices have made a huge rise over the past decade and a very sharp advance since March of 2020. Taking a little liberty in our methodology we can see an 8 to 10 record high advance since the 2020 pandemic low. Notice the slowing pace of the 12-month price momentum study in the lower panel.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的道琼斯工业平均指数（道琼斯）月度日本烛台图中，我们可以看到价格在过去十年中大幅上涨，自2020年3月以来大幅上涨。在我们的方法上稍微放松一下，我们可以看到自 2020 年疫情低点以来 8 至 10 的创纪录高位上涨。请注意下方面板中 12 个月价格动量研究的步伐正在放缓。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c0c65a961cdf2a9b6bdba9757ca8c5d\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>S&amp;P 500</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500</b></blockquote></p><p> In this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the S&amp;P 500 Index (SPX) below, we can see another big advance over the past 10 years. The index made a sideways consolidation pattern in 2015-2016 around 2,000 to 2,200 and we have for most part doubled from there. I would not be surprised to see some significant profit-taking as the SPX approached 4,400. Momentum has been slowing here too.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的标普500指数（SPX）月度日本烛台图中，我们可以看到过去10年的又一次大幅上涨。该指数在 2015-2016 年在 2,000 至 2,200 点左右形成了横向盘整模式，此后我们的股价大多翻了一番。当 SPX 接近 4,400 点时，如果看到一些大幅获利了结，我不会感到惊讶。这里的势头也在放缓。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72a594dc06dc6364a1f4432334018a95\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Nasdaq</b></p><p><blockquote><b>纳斯达克</b></blockquote></p><p> In this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the Nasdaq, below, we can see that prices have doubled from their consolidation pattern in 2018 and 2019 in the 7,000 area. Prices have nearly tripled from their consolidation around 5,000 in 2015-2016. Yes, the momentum study is slowing.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的纳斯达克月度日本烛台图中，我们可以看到价格较 2018 年和 2019 年的 7,000 点区域的盘整模式翻了一番。价格较 2015-2016 年 5,000 美元左右的盘整上涨了近两倍。是的，动量研究正在放缓。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a32c8a3b8cbd6d84dc3c316188d0714c\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Russell 2000</b></p><p><blockquote><b>罗素2000</b></blockquote></p><p> In this monthly candlestick chart of the Russell 2000 index (RUT) we can see that prices have more than doubled from their March 2020 low. This could take your breath away. With the string of white candles and weakening momentum we want to be more cautious as we move forward in the third quarter.</p><p><blockquote>在罗素2000指数（RUT）的月度烛台图中，我们可以看到价格从2020年3月的低点上涨了一倍多。这会让你喘不过气来。随着一连串白色蜡烛和减弱的势头，我们希望在第三季度前进时更加谨慎。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00e2eb68915aa7fe3a35df2b5cca4c7c\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">All these charts (above) show the 8 to 10 record high pattern so we should be on our guard for a top reversal pattern.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些图表（上图）都显示了 8 到 10 的历史新高模式，因此我们应该警惕顶部反转模式。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Advance-Decline Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>进退分析</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, let's turn our attention to the Advance-Decline line.</p><p><blockquote>现在，让我们把注意力转向涨跌线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Dow Jones Industrials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>道琼斯工业公司</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily candlestick chart of the DJIA, below, we show the Advance-Decline line which has been moving sideways since early May. This difference between the price action is a bearish divergence but the DJIA is a narrow average with only 30 stocks.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的道琼斯每日烛台图中，我们显示了自 5 月初以来一直横向移动的进退线。价格走势之间的这种差异是看跌背离，但道琼斯是只有 30 只股票的窄幅平均线。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5af49f53b61d7234c47302a43ef8fc54\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>S&amp;P 500</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500</b></blockquote></p><p> In this chart of the S&amp;P 500 and its Advance-Decline line, below, we can see that prices and the Advance-Decline line are pointed up so a bearish divergence has not started.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的标普500及其上涨-下跌线的图表中，我们可以看到价格和上涨-下跌线是向上的，因此看跌背离尚未开始。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f76b13060f5ac582155923264b7fb2f\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Nasdaq</b></p><p><blockquote><b>纳斯达克</b></blockquote></p><p> In this chart of the Nasdaq, below, we can see a significant bearish divergence. The Nasdaq has been making new highs but the Advance-Decline line has been moving sideways to lower from February.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的纳斯达克图表中，我们可以看到明显的看跌背离。纳斯达克一直在创下新高，但自2月份以来，涨跌线一直在横向走低。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c202ca833085d8ae21f804e01da1d20e\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Nasdaq 100</b></p><p><blockquote><b>纳斯达克100</b></blockquote></p><p> In this chart of Nasdaq 100 and its Advance-Decline line, below, we see prices and the indicator going up together. No bearish divergence here.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02f49df814666506de6bd3a8f8cff358\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Sectors</b></p><p><blockquote>在下面的纳斯达克 100 指数及其涨跌线图表中，我们看到价格和指标一起上涨。这里没有看跌分歧。<b>部门</b></blockquote></p><p> The marketplace can be broken down into 11 sectors but I want to cover just part of the list today.<b>Energy</b>In this weekly candlestick chart of the (XLE) , the S&amp;P Energy sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have doubled from their pandemic low. Trading volume has been very heavy and the weekly On-Balance-Volume has been stalled the past four months. The 12-week price momentum study has been weakening for a bearish divergence.</p><p><blockquote>市场可以分为11个部门，但我今天只想介绍其中的一部分。<b>能源</b>在下面的标准普尔能源行业 ETF (XLE) 的每周蜡烛图中，我们可以看到价格较大流行低点翻了一番。交易量一直非常大，过去四个月每周余额交易量一直停滞不前。12周价格动量研究一直在减弱，出现看跌背离。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6c7c0cb796bbdd57de9aba933c615ce\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Two energy names that could rally further in the third quarter are EOG Resources (EOG) and ConocoPhillips (COP) . Here are the charts.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度可能进一步上涨的两个能源公司是 EOG Resources (EOG) 和康菲石油公司 (COP)。这是图表。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d2fc7721f85cac4b418a821156c714f\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/874820e1c1c54a567c399f5129e88676\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc072387bc975d38d92af5b6b3de16ac\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d2822d20c835ce4f4860d5eb45212cb\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily bar chart of the (XLF) ,&nbsp; the Financial sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have begun a topping phase. Prices have broken below the cresting 50-day moving average line. The On-Balance-Volume line has weakened from early June and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) oscillator has fallen below the zero line for an outright sell signal.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的金融部门 ETF (XLF) 的每日柱状图中，我们可以看到价格已经开始见顶阶段。价格已跌破 50 日移动平均线顶部。自 6 月初以来，平衡成交量线已走弱，移动平均线收敛背离 (MACD) 振荡指标已跌破零线，发出彻底卖出信号。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bddfbb55fad602b4a29ff4ef1ba47e0f\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Technology</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术</b></blockquote></p><p> In this weekly Japanese candlestick chart of the (XLK) , the Technology sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have more than doubled from their pandemic low. The trading volume has diminished since March 2020 and the weekly On-Balance-Volume line has been stuck in a sideways trend for the past 12 months. The 12-week price momentum study in the bottom panel shows lower highs being made the past year. This is a significant bearish divergence.</p><p><blockquote>在下面科技行业 ETF (XLK) 的每周日本烛台图中，我们可以看到价格较大流行低点上涨了一倍多。自2020年3月以来，交易量一直在减少，每周平衡交易量线在过去12个月中一直处于横盘趋势。底部面板中的 12 周价格动量研究显示，过去一年的高点较低。这是一个显著的看跌背离。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9d9a652c4c72b421556bfbd90dd8d44\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Industrials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>工业</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily bar chart of the (XLI) &nbsp;, the Industrial sector ETF, below, we can see a weakening picture. Prices have slipped below the cresting 50-day moving average line. The On-Balance-Volume line has weakened the past two months and the MACD oscillator is below the zero line in sell territory.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的 (XLI) 工业部门 ETF 的每日柱状图中，我们可以看到一幅走弱的画面。价格已跌破 50 天移动平均线峰值。在过去的两个月里，平衡成交量线已经减弱，MACD振荡指标低于卖出区域的零线。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47838029e80d6b87a83abb9f1352bdaf\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Bonds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债券</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily Point and Figure chart of the (TLT) , the iShares 20+ year Treasury Bond ETF, below, we can see a potential upside price target in the $165 area.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的 iShares 20+ 年期国债 ETF (TLT) 的每日点图图中，我们可以看到 165 美元区域的潜在上行价格目标。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/587f7bae63415985c849540d27b7ffaa\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"992\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>U.S. Dollar</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美元</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily Japanese candlestick chart of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) we can see that prices have stopped short of a test of its late March/early April highs. DXY could make a slow drift downward to retest its May lows.</p><p><blockquote>在美元指数（DXY）的每日日本烛台图中，我们可以看到价格已经停止测试3月底/4月初的高点。DXY 可能会缓慢下行，以重新测试 5 月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c086d11fb1d31f2710dc3752d158a2e7\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Mark Your Calendars</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标记您的日历</b></blockquote></p><p> A technical service that I have been using since the mid-1990s (www.pfr.com) is anticipating a large-scale \"trend change\" on or about Aug. 2 and this bears watching. This could mark the start of perhaps a 10% correction in the major averages. The next trend change is anticipated for late October, which could be the start of a year-end rally. We want to pay closer attention to the advance-decline numbers and price action as we approach Aug. 2.</p><p><blockquote>我自 20 世纪 90 年代中期以来一直使用的一项技术服务 (www.pfr.com) 预计 8 月 2 日左右将出现大规模“趋势变化”，这值得关注。这可能标志着主要平均值可能开始回调 10%。下一次趋势变化预计将在 10 月下旬发生，这可能是年终反弹的开始。随着 8 月 2 日的临近，我们希望密切关注涨跌数据和价格走势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sentiment</b></p><p><blockquote><b>情绪</b></blockquote></p><p> No discussion about the stock market would be complete without some discussion of sentiment. There are plenty of \"signs\" of the stock market being out over its skis.</p><p><blockquote>如果不讨论情绪，任何关于股市的讨论都是不完整的。有很多“迹象”表明股市正在走下坡路。</blockquote></p><p> I see a number of market letters and commentary from fellow technical analysts and they are all bullish. I get emails from Real Money subscribers asking about this stock or that stock and I have two observations:</p><p><blockquote>我看到了一些来自其他技术分析师的市场信件和评论，它们都是看涨的。我收到 Real Money 订阅者的电子邮件，询问这只股票或那只股票，我有两个观察结果：</blockquote></p><p> 1. The names they are asking about seem to be more speculative in nature. I cannot remember the last time someone emailed me about a boring utility stock.</p><p><blockquote>1. 他们询问的名字似乎更具有推测性。我不记得上次有人给我发电子邮件谈论无聊的公用事业股票是什么时候了。</blockquote></p><p> 2. The second thing that has struck me about the emails is the failure to recognize risk. Everyone wants to know the next highest price target but they never ask about where to move a stop up.</p><p><blockquote>2.关于这些电子邮件，让我印象深刻的第二件事是没有意识到风险。每个人都想知道下一个最高价格目标，但他们从不问在哪里止损。</blockquote></p><p> Sentiment is not a precise indicator and much of it is anecdotal in nature and hard to quantify. The anticipated Robinhood IPO could mark a turning point.</p><p><blockquote>情绪不是一个精确的指标，其中大部分本质上是轶事，很难量化。预期中的 Robinhood IPO 可能标志着一个转折点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom-Line Strategy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线策略</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock market has given us some incredible returns in the past year or two but there are some warning signs developing and traders need to start leaning in the other direction.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的一两年里，股市给了我们一些令人难以置信的回报，但也出现了一些警告信号，交易者需要开始转向另一个方向。</blockquote></p><p> Consider adding to commodity plays as they could be the outperformers of the third quarter.</p><p><blockquote>考虑增持大宗商品，因为它们可能会跑赢第三季度的大宗商品。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Consider becoming a scale-up profit taker. Continue to raise your stop protection to lock in more gains. Pay closer attention to where in the range prices are closing. Highs are typically made when prices close near the high of the day.Is the On-Balance-Volume line weakening as volume increases on days when the market or your favorite stock declines?</p><p><blockquote>考虑成为一个扩大规模的获利者。继续提高您的止损保护以锁定更多收益。密切关注价格在区间中的收盘价。当价格收盘接近当日高点时，通常会创出高点。在市场或您最喜欢的股票下跌的日子里，平衡成交量线是否会随着成交量的增加而减弱？</blockquote></p><p> Pay closer attention to the news and watch for stocks and the market to decline on bullish news -- this tells us that the news has been discounted.</p><p><blockquote>密切关注新闻，观察股票和市场因利多消息而下跌——这告诉我们新闻已经打折。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Second-Half 2021: Market Forecasts, Thoughts and Observations<blockquote>2021年下半年：市场预测、想法和观察</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSecond-Half 2021: Market Forecasts, Thoughts and Observations<blockquote>2021年下半年：市场预测、想法和观察</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Street</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-04 09:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  The stock market has given us some incredible returns in the past year or two but there are some warning signs developing -- and one key date to keep an eye on.  The stock market, commodity markets and fixed-income markets have been on some wild rides the past 18 months. We penned 2021 forecast pieces back in January (read<b>here</b>and<b>here</b>), but a fresh look at things for the balance of the year seems like a good idea with commodity plays on the rise, oil prices coming on strong while other areas of the market are cooling.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的一两年里，股市给了我们一些令人难以置信的回报，但也出现了一些警告信号——以及一个需要关注的关键日期。在过去的18个月里，股票市场、大宗商品市场和固定收益市场一直在疯狂上涨。我们早在一月份就撰写了 2021 年预测文章（阅读<b>在这里</b>和<b>在这里</b>），但重新审视今年剩余时间的情况似乎是一个好主意，因为大宗商品正在上涨，油价走强，而市场其他领域正在降温。</blockquote></p><p> Let's start our analysis with some monthly candlestick charts.</p><p><blockquote>让我们从一些月度蜡烛图开始我们的分析。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Candlestick AnalysisDow Jones Industrials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>烛台分析道琼斯工业指数</b></blockquote></p><p> In this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), below, we can see that prices have made a huge rise over the past decade and a very sharp advance since March of 2020. Taking a little liberty in our methodology we can see an 8 to 10 record high advance since the 2020 pandemic low. Notice the slowing pace of the 12-month price momentum study in the lower panel.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的道琼斯工业平均指数（道琼斯）月度日本烛台图中，我们可以看到价格在过去十年中大幅上涨，自2020年3月以来大幅上涨。在我们的方法上稍微放松一下，我们可以看到自 2020 年疫情低点以来 8 至 10 的创纪录高位上涨。请注意下方面板中 12 个月价格动量研究的步伐正在放缓。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c0c65a961cdf2a9b6bdba9757ca8c5d\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>S&amp;P 500</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500</b></blockquote></p><p> In this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the S&amp;P 500 Index (SPX) below, we can see another big advance over the past 10 years. The index made a sideways consolidation pattern in 2015-2016 around 2,000 to 2,200 and we have for most part doubled from there. I would not be surprised to see some significant profit-taking as the SPX approached 4,400. Momentum has been slowing here too.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的标普500指数（SPX）月度日本烛台图中，我们可以看到过去10年的又一次大幅上涨。该指数在 2015-2016 年在 2,000 至 2,200 点左右形成了横向盘整模式，此后我们的股价大多翻了一番。当 SPX 接近 4,400 点时，如果看到一些大幅获利了结，我不会感到惊讶。这里的势头也在放缓。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72a594dc06dc6364a1f4432334018a95\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Nasdaq</b></p><p><blockquote><b>纳斯达克</b></blockquote></p><p> In this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the Nasdaq, below, we can see that prices have doubled from their consolidation pattern in 2018 and 2019 in the 7,000 area. Prices have nearly tripled from their consolidation around 5,000 in 2015-2016. Yes, the momentum study is slowing.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的纳斯达克月度日本烛台图中，我们可以看到价格较 2018 年和 2019 年的 7,000 点区域的盘整模式翻了一番。价格较 2015-2016 年 5,000 美元左右的盘整上涨了近两倍。是的，动量研究正在放缓。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a32c8a3b8cbd6d84dc3c316188d0714c\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Russell 2000</b></p><p><blockquote><b>罗素2000</b></blockquote></p><p> In this monthly candlestick chart of the Russell 2000 index (RUT) we can see that prices have more than doubled from their March 2020 low. This could take your breath away. With the string of white candles and weakening momentum we want to be more cautious as we move forward in the third quarter.</p><p><blockquote>在罗素2000指数（RUT）的月度烛台图中，我们可以看到价格从2020年3月的低点上涨了一倍多。这会让你喘不过气来。随着一连串白色蜡烛和减弱的势头，我们希望在第三季度前进时更加谨慎。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00e2eb68915aa7fe3a35df2b5cca4c7c\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">All these charts (above) show the 8 to 10 record high pattern so we should be on our guard for a top reversal pattern.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些图表（上图）都显示了 8 到 10 的历史新高模式，因此我们应该警惕顶部反转模式。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Advance-Decline Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>进退分析</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, let's turn our attention to the Advance-Decline line.</p><p><blockquote>现在，让我们把注意力转向涨跌线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Dow Jones Industrials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>道琼斯工业公司</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily candlestick chart of the DJIA, below, we show the Advance-Decline line which has been moving sideways since early May. This difference between the price action is a bearish divergence but the DJIA is a narrow average with only 30 stocks.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的道琼斯每日烛台图中，我们显示了自 5 月初以来一直横向移动的进退线。价格走势之间的这种差异是看跌背离，但道琼斯是只有 30 只股票的窄幅平均线。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5af49f53b61d7234c47302a43ef8fc54\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>S&amp;P 500</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500</b></blockquote></p><p> In this chart of the S&amp;P 500 and its Advance-Decline line, below, we can see that prices and the Advance-Decline line are pointed up so a bearish divergence has not started.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的标普500及其上涨-下跌线的图表中，我们可以看到价格和上涨-下跌线是向上的，因此看跌背离尚未开始。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f76b13060f5ac582155923264b7fb2f\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Nasdaq</b></p><p><blockquote><b>纳斯达克</b></blockquote></p><p> In this chart of the Nasdaq, below, we can see a significant bearish divergence. The Nasdaq has been making new highs but the Advance-Decline line has been moving sideways to lower from February.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的纳斯达克图表中，我们可以看到明显的看跌背离。纳斯达克一直在创下新高，但自2月份以来，涨跌线一直在横向走低。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c202ca833085d8ae21f804e01da1d20e\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Nasdaq 100</b></p><p><blockquote><b>纳斯达克100</b></blockquote></p><p> In this chart of Nasdaq 100 and its Advance-Decline line, below, we see prices and the indicator going up together. No bearish divergence here.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02f49df814666506de6bd3a8f8cff358\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"622\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Sectors</b></p><p><blockquote>在下面的纳斯达克 100 指数及其涨跌线图表中，我们看到价格和指标一起上涨。这里没有看跌分歧。<b>部门</b></blockquote></p><p> The marketplace can be broken down into 11 sectors but I want to cover just part of the list today.<b>Energy</b>In this weekly candlestick chart of the (XLE) , the S&amp;P Energy sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have doubled from their pandemic low. Trading volume has been very heavy and the weekly On-Balance-Volume has been stalled the past four months. The 12-week price momentum study has been weakening for a bearish divergence.</p><p><blockquote>市场可以分为11个部门，但我今天只想介绍其中的一部分。<b>能源</b>在下面的标准普尔能源行业 ETF (XLE) 的每周蜡烛图中，我们可以看到价格较大流行低点翻了一番。交易量一直非常大，过去四个月每周余额交易量一直停滞不前。12周价格动量研究一直在减弱，出现看跌背离。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6c7c0cb796bbdd57de9aba933c615ce\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Two energy names that could rally further in the third quarter are EOG Resources (EOG) and ConocoPhillips (COP) . Here are the charts.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度可能进一步上涨的两个能源公司是 EOG Resources (EOG) 和康菲石油公司 (COP)。这是图表。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d2fc7721f85cac4b418a821156c714f\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/874820e1c1c54a567c399f5129e88676\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc072387bc975d38d92af5b6b3de16ac\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d2822d20c835ce4f4860d5eb45212cb\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily bar chart of the (XLF) ,&nbsp; the Financial sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have begun a topping phase. Prices have broken below the cresting 50-day moving average line. The On-Balance-Volume line has weakened from early June and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) oscillator has fallen below the zero line for an outright sell signal.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的金融部门 ETF (XLF) 的每日柱状图中，我们可以看到价格已经开始见顶阶段。价格已跌破 50 日移动平均线顶部。自 6 月初以来，平衡成交量线已走弱，移动平均线收敛背离 (MACD) 振荡指标已跌破零线，发出彻底卖出信号。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bddfbb55fad602b4a29ff4ef1ba47e0f\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Technology</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术</b></blockquote></p><p> In this weekly Japanese candlestick chart of the (XLK) , the Technology sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have more than doubled from their pandemic low. The trading volume has diminished since March 2020 and the weekly On-Balance-Volume line has been stuck in a sideways trend for the past 12 months. The 12-week price momentum study in the bottom panel shows lower highs being made the past year. This is a significant bearish divergence.</p><p><blockquote>在下面科技行业 ETF (XLK) 的每周日本烛台图中，我们可以看到价格较大流行低点上涨了一倍多。自2020年3月以来，交易量一直在减少，每周平衡交易量线在过去12个月中一直处于横盘趋势。底部面板中的 12 周价格动量研究显示，过去一年的高点较低。这是一个显著的看跌背离。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9d9a652c4c72b421556bfbd90dd8d44\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Industrials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>工业</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily bar chart of the (XLI) &nbsp;, the Industrial sector ETF, below, we can see a weakening picture. Prices have slipped below the cresting 50-day moving average line. The On-Balance-Volume line has weakened the past two months and the MACD oscillator is below the zero line in sell territory.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的 (XLI) 工业部门 ETF 的每日柱状图中，我们可以看到一幅走弱的画面。价格已跌破 50 天移动平均线峰值。在过去的两个月里，平衡成交量线已经减弱，MACD振荡指标低于卖出区域的零线。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47838029e80d6b87a83abb9f1352bdaf\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Bonds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债券</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily Point and Figure chart of the (TLT) , the iShares 20+ year Treasury Bond ETF, below, we can see a potential upside price target in the $165 area.</p><p><blockquote>在下面的 iShares 20+ 年期国债 ETF (TLT) 的每日点图图中，我们可以看到 165 美元区域的潜在上行价格目标。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/587f7bae63415985c849540d27b7ffaa\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"992\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>U.S. Dollar</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美元</b></blockquote></p><p> In this daily Japanese candlestick chart of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) we can see that prices have stopped short of a test of its late March/early April highs. DXY could make a slow drift downward to retest its May lows.</p><p><blockquote>在美元指数（DXY）的每日日本烛台图中，我们可以看到价格已经停止测试3月底/4月初的高点。DXY 可能会缓慢下行，以重新测试 5 月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c086d11fb1d31f2710dc3752d158a2e7\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Mark Your Calendars</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标记您的日历</b></blockquote></p><p> A technical service that I have been using since the mid-1990s (www.pfr.com) is anticipating a large-scale \"trend change\" on or about Aug. 2 and this bears watching. This could mark the start of perhaps a 10% correction in the major averages. The next trend change is anticipated for late October, which could be the start of a year-end rally. We want to pay closer attention to the advance-decline numbers and price action as we approach Aug. 2.</p><p><blockquote>我自 20 世纪 90 年代中期以来一直使用的一项技术服务 (www.pfr.com) 预计 8 月 2 日左右将出现大规模“趋势变化”，这值得关注。这可能标志着主要平均值可能开始回调 10%。下一次趋势变化预计将在 10 月下旬发生，这可能是年终反弹的开始。随着 8 月 2 日的临近，我们希望密切关注涨跌数据和价格走势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sentiment</b></p><p><blockquote><b>情绪</b></blockquote></p><p> No discussion about the stock market would be complete without some discussion of sentiment. There are plenty of \"signs\" of the stock market being out over its skis.</p><p><blockquote>如果不讨论情绪，任何关于股市的讨论都是不完整的。有很多“迹象”表明股市正在走下坡路。</blockquote></p><p> I see a number of market letters and commentary from fellow technical analysts and they are all bullish. I get emails from Real Money subscribers asking about this stock or that stock and I have two observations:</p><p><blockquote>我看到了一些来自其他技术分析师的市场信件和评论，它们都是看涨的。我收到 Real Money 订阅者的电子邮件，询问这只股票或那只股票，我有两个观察结果：</blockquote></p><p> 1. The names they are asking about seem to be more speculative in nature. I cannot remember the last time someone emailed me about a boring utility stock.</p><p><blockquote>1. 他们询问的名字似乎更具有推测性。我不记得上次有人给我发电子邮件谈论无聊的公用事业股票是什么时候了。</blockquote></p><p> 2. The second thing that has struck me about the emails is the failure to recognize risk. Everyone wants to know the next highest price target but they never ask about where to move a stop up.</p><p><blockquote>2.关于这些电子邮件，让我印象深刻的第二件事是没有意识到风险。每个人都想知道下一个最高价格目标，但他们从不问在哪里止损。</blockquote></p><p> Sentiment is not a precise indicator and much of it is anecdotal in nature and hard to quantify. The anticipated Robinhood IPO could mark a turning point.</p><p><blockquote>情绪不是一个精确的指标，其中大部分本质上是轶事，很难量化。预期中的 Robinhood IPO 可能标志着一个转折点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom-Line Strategy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线策略</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock market has given us some incredible returns in the past year or two but there are some warning signs developing and traders need to start leaning in the other direction.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的一两年里，股市给了我们一些令人难以置信的回报，但也出现了一些警告信号，交易者需要开始转向另一个方向。</blockquote></p><p> Consider adding to commodity plays as they could be the outperformers of the third quarter.</p><p><blockquote>考虑增持大宗商品，因为它们可能会跑赢第三季度的大宗商品。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Consider becoming a scale-up profit taker. Continue to raise your stop protection to lock in more gains. Pay closer attention to where in the range prices are closing. Highs are typically made when prices close near the high of the day.Is the On-Balance-Volume line weakening as volume increases on days when the market or your favorite stock declines?</p><p><blockquote>考虑成为一个扩大规模的获利者。继续提高您的止损保护以锁定更多收益。密切关注价格在区间中的收盘价。当价格收盘接近当日高点时，通常会创出高点。在市场或您最喜欢的股票下跌的日子里，平衡成交量线是否会随着成交量的增加而减弱？</blockquote></p><p> Pay closer attention to the news and watch for stocks and the market to decline on bullish news -- this tells us that the news has been discounted.</p><p><blockquote>密切关注新闻，观察股票和市场因利多消息而下跌——这告诉我们新闻已经打折。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://realmoney.thestreet.com/investing/stocks/second-half-2021-market-forecasts-thoughts-and-observations-15702152?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO\">The Street</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://realmoney.thestreet.com/investing/stocks/second-half-2021-market-forecasts-thoughts-and-observations-15702152?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1192425829","content_text":"The stock market has given us some incredible returns in the past year or two but there are some warning signs developing -- and one key date to keep an eye on.\n\nThe stock market, commodity markets and fixed-income markets have been on some wild rides the past 18 months. We penned 2021 forecast pieces back in January (readhereandhere), but a fresh look at things for the balance of the year seems like a good idea with commodity plays on the rise, oil prices coming on strong while other areas of the market are cooling.\nLet's start our analysis with some monthly candlestick charts.\nCandlestick AnalysisDow Jones Industrials\nIn this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), below, we can see that prices have made a huge rise over the past decade and a very sharp advance since March of 2020. Taking a little liberty in our methodology we can see an 8 to 10 record high advance since the 2020 pandemic low. Notice the slowing pace of the 12-month price momentum study in the lower panel.\nS&P 500\nIn this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) below, we can see another big advance over the past 10 years. The index made a sideways consolidation pattern in 2015-2016 around 2,000 to 2,200 and we have for most part doubled from there. I would not be surprised to see some significant profit-taking as the SPX approached 4,400. Momentum has been slowing here too.\nNasdaq\nIn this monthly Japanese candlestick chart of the Nasdaq, below, we can see that prices have doubled from their consolidation pattern in 2018 and 2019 in the 7,000 area. Prices have nearly tripled from their consolidation around 5,000 in 2015-2016. Yes, the momentum study is slowing.\nRussell 2000\nIn this monthly candlestick chart of the Russell 2000 index (RUT) we can see that prices have more than doubled from their March 2020 low. This could take your breath away. With the string of white candles and weakening momentum we want to be more cautious as we move forward in the third quarter.\nAll these charts (above) show the 8 to 10 record high pattern so we should be on our guard for a top reversal pattern.\nAdvance-Decline Analysis\nNow, let's turn our attention to the Advance-Decline line.\nDow Jones Industrials\nIn this daily candlestick chart of the DJIA, below, we show the Advance-Decline line which has been moving sideways since early May. This difference between the price action is a bearish divergence but the DJIA is a narrow average with only 30 stocks.\nS&P 500\nIn this chart of the S&P 500 and its Advance-Decline line, below, we can see that prices and the Advance-Decline line are pointed up so a bearish divergence has not started.\nNasdaq\nIn this chart of the Nasdaq, below, we can see a significant bearish divergence. The Nasdaq has been making new highs but the Advance-Decline line has been moving sideways to lower from February.\nNasdaq 100\nIn this chart of Nasdaq 100 and its Advance-Decline line, below, we see prices and the indicator going up together. No bearish divergence here.Sectors\nThe marketplace can be broken down into 11 sectors but I want to cover just part of the list today.EnergyIn this weekly candlestick chart of the (XLE) , the S&P Energy sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have doubled from their pandemic low. Trading volume has been very heavy and the weekly On-Balance-Volume has been stalled the past four months. The 12-week price momentum study has been weakening for a bearish divergence.\n\nTwo energy names that could rally further in the third quarter are EOG Resources (EOG) and ConocoPhillips (COP) . Here are the charts.\nFinancials\nIn this daily bar chart of the (XLF) ,  the Financial sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have begun a topping phase. Prices have broken below the cresting 50-day moving average line. The On-Balance-Volume line has weakened from early June and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) oscillator has fallen below the zero line for an outright sell signal.\nTechnology\nIn this weekly Japanese candlestick chart of the (XLK) , the Technology sector ETF, below, we can see that prices have more than doubled from their pandemic low. The trading volume has diminished since March 2020 and the weekly On-Balance-Volume line has been stuck in a sideways trend for the past 12 months. The 12-week price momentum study in the bottom panel shows lower highs being made the past year. This is a significant bearish divergence.\nIndustrials\nIn this daily bar chart of the (XLI)  , the Industrial sector ETF, below, we can see a weakening picture. Prices have slipped below the cresting 50-day moving average line. The On-Balance-Volume line has weakened the past two months and the MACD oscillator is below the zero line in sell territory.\nBonds\nIn this daily Point and Figure chart of the (TLT) , the iShares 20+ year Treasury Bond ETF, below, we can see a potential upside price target in the $165 area.\nU.S. Dollar\nIn this daily Japanese candlestick chart of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) we can see that prices have stopped short of a test of its late March/early April highs. DXY could make a slow drift downward to retest its May lows.\nMark Your Calendars\nA technical service that I have been using since the mid-1990s (www.pfr.com) is anticipating a large-scale \"trend change\" on or about Aug. 2 and this bears watching. This could mark the start of perhaps a 10% correction in the major averages. The next trend change is anticipated for late October, which could be the start of a year-end rally. We want to pay closer attention to the advance-decline numbers and price action as we approach Aug. 2.\nSentiment\nNo discussion about the stock market would be complete without some discussion of sentiment. There are plenty of \"signs\" of the stock market being out over its skis.\nI see a number of market letters and commentary from fellow technical analysts and they are all bullish. I get emails from Real Money subscribers asking about this stock or that stock and I have two observations:\n1. The names they are asking about seem to be more speculative in nature. I cannot remember the last time someone emailed me about a boring utility stock.\n2. The second thing that has struck me about the emails is the failure to recognize risk. Everyone wants to know the next highest price target but they never ask about where to move a stop up.\nSentiment is not a precise indicator and much of it is anecdotal in nature and hard to quantify. The anticipated Robinhood IPO could mark a turning point.\nBottom-Line Strategy\nThe stock market has given us some incredible returns in the past year or two but there are some warning signs developing and traders need to start leaning in the other direction.\nConsider adding to commodity plays as they could be the outperformers of the third quarter.\nConsider becoming a scale-up profit taker. Continue to raise your stop protection to lock in more gains. Pay closer attention to where in the range prices are closing. Highs are typically made when prices close near the high of the day.Is the On-Balance-Volume line weakening as volume increases on days when the market or your favorite stock declines?\nPay closer attention to the news and watch for stocks and the market to decline on bullish news -- this tells us that the news has been discounted.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3687,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":850700086,"gmtCreate":1634622511897,"gmtModify":1634622767454,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Tks","listText":"Tks","text":"Tks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850700086","repostId":"1147398025","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147398025","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634608414,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1147398025?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-19 09:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla and 15 Other EV Stocks Are Worth Almost as Much as 50 Traditional Car Makers. How That Makes Sense.<blockquote>特斯拉和其他 15 只电动汽车股票的价值几乎相当于 50 家传统汽车制造商。这怎么说得通。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147398025","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla and other electric-vehicle makers account for almost half of the value wrapped up in car-manuf","content":"<p>Tesla&nbsp;and other electric-vehicle makers account for almost half of the value wrapped up in car-manufacturer stocks. Does that make sense?</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉和其他电动汽车制造商占汽车制造商股票价值的近一半。这有道理吗？</blockquote></p><p> Monday, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi asked that question. He’s a&nbsp;Tesla&nbsp;(ticker: TSLA) bear—rating shares Sell with a $300 price target—mainly because he believes the stock is pricey. Still, EVs can be worth half of the industry if investors buy into three ideas.</p><p><blockquote>周一，伯恩斯坦分析师托尼·萨科纳吉提出了这个问题。他是特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）的看空者--给予该股卖出评级，目标价为 300 美元--主要是因为他认为该股价格昂贵。尽管如此，如果投资者接受三个想法，电动汽车的价值可能占该行业的一半。</blockquote></p><p> Today, 16 EV makers—including Tesla and yet-to-be public Rivian—are worth a combined $1.14 trillion. Tesla accounts for 74% of total EV value. Four of the top 10 most valuable auto makers are EV companies including: Tesla, Rivian,BYD&nbsp;(1211.Hong Kong), and&nbsp;NIO&nbsp;(NIO).</p><p><blockquote>如今，包括特斯拉和尚未上市的Rivian在内的 16 家电动汽车制造商的总市值为 1.14 万亿美元。特斯拉占电动汽车总价值的74%。十大最有价值汽车制造商中有四家是电动汽车公司，包括：特斯拉、Rivian、比亚迪（1211.香港）和蔚来（蔚来）。</blockquote></p><p> As for the makers of conventional vehicles, more than 50 auto makers are worth a combined $1.42 trillion. The most valuable traditional car companies are:Toyota Motor&nbsp;(TM),Volkswagen&nbsp;(VOW3.Germany),Daimler&nbsp;(DAI.Germany), and&nbsp;General Motors&nbsp;(GM).</p><p><blockquote>至于传统汽车制造商，50多家汽车制造商的总价值为1.42万亿美元。最有价值的传统汽车公司是：丰田汽车（TM）、大众汽车（VOW3.Germany）、戴姆勒（DAI.Germany）和通用汽车（GM）。</blockquote></p><p> Sales by the traditional companies still dominates unit volume, selling about 99% of the cars globally—97% of those are gasoline-powered, and 2% are EV. The EV pure-plays sell the remaining 1% worldwide.</p><p><blockquote>传统公司的销量仍然主导着单位销量，销售了全球约 99% 的汽车，其中 97% 是汽油动力汽车，2% 是电动汽车。EV pure-plays 在全球范围内销售剩余的 1%。</blockquote></p><p> “The thinking, of course, is that pure-play EV vendors will ultimately come to dominate the automotive world,” wrote Sacconaghi in a Monday report.</p><p><blockquote>“萨科纳吉在周一的一份报告中写道：”当然，我们的想法是，纯电动汽车供应商最终将主导汽车世界。</blockquote></p><p> That’s the first thing investors need to believe to justify EV valuations. Sacconaghi points out that 2014 pure-play EV companies accounted for 14% of electric-car sales. That’s 28% today. Pure-play EV companies’ market share is growing.</p><p><blockquote>这是投资者首先需要相信的，才能证明电动汽车估值的合理性。萨科纳吉指出，2014年纯电动汽车公司占电动汽车销量的14%。今天是 28%。纯电动汽车公司的市场份额正在增长。</blockquote></p><p> That’s the second belief required to stay bullish on EV makers’ stocks—that market share will continue to improve. “We suspect the market believes …that traditional OEMs will not be able to deliver competitive EV offerings in the future,” adds the analyst in his report. OEM is short for original equipment manufacturer, industry jargon for auto maker.</p><p><blockquote>这是继续看好电动汽车制造商股票所需的第二个信念--市场份额将继续提高。“分析师在报告中补充说：”我们怀疑市场认为.传统原始设备制造商未来将无法提供有竞争力的电动汽车产品。OEM是原始设备制造商的简称，是汽车制造商的行业术语。</blockquote></p><p> The final thing investors need to believe is that EVs will be more profitable, per car, than conventional vehicles. EV companies tend to sell direct—which can help profitability. EV makers are also the leaders in selling add-on subscription based services. Tesla’s Full Self-Driving Capability, or FSD, is probably the best example. Tesla sells the higher levels of its autonomous-driving software as a monthly subscription or for $10,000.</p><p><blockquote>投资者需要相信的最后一件事是，电动汽车每辆车的利润将高于传统汽车。电动汽车公司倾向于直接销售，这有助于提高盈利能力。电动汽车制造商也是销售附加订阅服务的领导者。特斯拉的全自动驾驶能力（FSD）可能就是最好的例子。特斯拉以每月订阅或 10,000 美元的价格出售更高级别的自动驾驶软件。</blockquote></p><p> The mix of volume and profit growth driven by superior products could justify valuations, but Sacconaghi isn’t a believer. “Our contention is that the automotive industry is an increasingly global and hypercompetitive industry and we believe that surplus profits and technology innovation will likely be competed away over time.”</p><p><blockquote>优质产品带来的销量和利润增长可以证明估值的合理性，但萨科纳吉并不相信。“我们的论点是，汽车行业是一个日益全球化且竞争激烈的行业，我们相信，随着时间的推移，超额利润和技术创新很可能会被争夺掉”。</blockquote></p><p> His views of the industry is one of the reasons he calls Tesla valuation “too rich.”</p><p><blockquote>他对该行业的看法是他认为评级-特斯拉 “太富有 ”的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> Time will tell who is right. Sacconaghi’s target price still implies Tesla should be the world’s most valuable car company, just not two to three times the value of Toyota.</p><p><blockquote>时间会证明谁是对的。萨科纳吉的目标价仍然意味着特斯拉应该是世界上最有价值的汽车公司，只是价值不是丰田的两到三倍。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock has been on a tear of late, adding 34% over the past three months as investors have become more bullish about third quarter earnings due out on Wednesday evening. Shares have gained another 3.2% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价最近一直在上涨，过去三个月上涨了 34%，因为投资者对周三晚间公布的第三季度财报更加看好。周一股价又上涨 3.2%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla and 15 Other EV Stocks Are Worth Almost as Much as 50 Traditional Car Makers. How That Makes Sense.<blockquote>特斯拉和其他 15 只电动汽车股票的价值几乎相当于 50 家传统汽车制造商。这怎么说得通。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla and 15 Other EV Stocks Are Worth Almost as Much as 50 Traditional Car Makers. How That Makes Sense.<blockquote>特斯拉和其他 15 只电动汽车股票的价值几乎相当于 50 家传统汽车制造商。这怎么说得通。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-19 09:53</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla&nbsp;and other electric-vehicle makers account for almost half of the value wrapped up in car-manufacturer stocks. Does that make sense?</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉和其他电动汽车制造商占汽车制造商股票价值的近一半。这有道理吗？</blockquote></p><p> Monday, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi asked that question. He’s a&nbsp;Tesla&nbsp;(ticker: TSLA) bear—rating shares Sell with a $300 price target—mainly because he believes the stock is pricey. Still, EVs can be worth half of the industry if investors buy into three ideas.</p><p><blockquote>周一，伯恩斯坦分析师托尼·萨科纳吉提出了这个问题。他是特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）的看空者--给予该股卖出评级，目标价为 300 美元--主要是因为他认为该股价格昂贵。尽管如此，如果投资者接受三个想法，电动汽车的价值可能占该行业的一半。</blockquote></p><p> Today, 16 EV makers—including Tesla and yet-to-be public Rivian—are worth a combined $1.14 trillion. Tesla accounts for 74% of total EV value. Four of the top 10 most valuable auto makers are EV companies including: Tesla, Rivian,BYD&nbsp;(1211.Hong Kong), and&nbsp;NIO&nbsp;(NIO).</p><p><blockquote>如今，包括特斯拉和尚未上市的Rivian在内的 16 家电动汽车制造商的总市值为 1.14 万亿美元。特斯拉占电动汽车总价值的74%。十大最有价值汽车制造商中有四家是电动汽车公司，包括：特斯拉、Rivian、比亚迪（1211.香港）和蔚来（蔚来）。</blockquote></p><p> As for the makers of conventional vehicles, more than 50 auto makers are worth a combined $1.42 trillion. The most valuable traditional car companies are:Toyota Motor&nbsp;(TM),Volkswagen&nbsp;(VOW3.Germany),Daimler&nbsp;(DAI.Germany), and&nbsp;General Motors&nbsp;(GM).</p><p><blockquote>至于传统汽车制造商，50多家汽车制造商的总价值为1.42万亿美元。最有价值的传统汽车公司是：丰田汽车（TM）、大众汽车（VOW3.Germany）、戴姆勒（DAI.Germany）和通用汽车（GM）。</blockquote></p><p> Sales by the traditional companies still dominates unit volume, selling about 99% of the cars globally—97% of those are gasoline-powered, and 2% are EV. The EV pure-plays sell the remaining 1% worldwide.</p><p><blockquote>传统公司的销量仍然主导着单位销量，销售了全球约 99% 的汽车，其中 97% 是汽油动力汽车，2% 是电动汽车。EV pure-plays 在全球范围内销售剩余的 1%。</blockquote></p><p> “The thinking, of course, is that pure-play EV vendors will ultimately come to dominate the automotive world,” wrote Sacconaghi in a Monday report.</p><p><blockquote>“萨科纳吉在周一的一份报告中写道：”当然，我们的想法是，纯电动汽车供应商最终将主导汽车世界。</blockquote></p><p> That’s the first thing investors need to believe to justify EV valuations. Sacconaghi points out that 2014 pure-play EV companies accounted for 14% of electric-car sales. That’s 28% today. Pure-play EV companies’ market share is growing.</p><p><blockquote>这是投资者首先需要相信的，才能证明电动汽车估值的合理性。萨科纳吉指出，2014年纯电动汽车公司占电动汽车销量的14%。今天是 28%。纯电动汽车公司的市场份额正在增长。</blockquote></p><p> That’s the second belief required to stay bullish on EV makers’ stocks—that market share will continue to improve. “We suspect the market believes …that traditional OEMs will not be able to deliver competitive EV offerings in the future,” adds the analyst in his report. OEM is short for original equipment manufacturer, industry jargon for auto maker.</p><p><blockquote>这是继续看好电动汽车制造商股票所需的第二个信念--市场份额将继续提高。“分析师在报告中补充说：”我们怀疑市场认为.传统原始设备制造商未来将无法提供有竞争力的电动汽车产品。OEM是原始设备制造商的简称，是汽车制造商的行业术语。</blockquote></p><p> The final thing investors need to believe is that EVs will be more profitable, per car, than conventional vehicles. EV companies tend to sell direct—which can help profitability. EV makers are also the leaders in selling add-on subscription based services. Tesla’s Full Self-Driving Capability, or FSD, is probably the best example. Tesla sells the higher levels of its autonomous-driving software as a monthly subscription or for $10,000.</p><p><blockquote>投资者需要相信的最后一件事是，电动汽车每辆车的利润将高于传统汽车。电动汽车公司倾向于直接销售，这有助于提高盈利能力。电动汽车制造商也是销售附加订阅服务的领导者。特斯拉的全自动驾驶能力（FSD）可能就是最好的例子。特斯拉以每月订阅或 10,000 美元的价格出售更高级别的自动驾驶软件。</blockquote></p><p> The mix of volume and profit growth driven by superior products could justify valuations, but Sacconaghi isn’t a believer. “Our contention is that the automotive industry is an increasingly global and hypercompetitive industry and we believe that surplus profits and technology innovation will likely be competed away over time.”</p><p><blockquote>优质产品带来的销量和利润增长可以证明估值的合理性，但萨科纳吉并不相信。“我们的论点是，汽车行业是一个日益全球化且竞争激烈的行业，我们相信，随着时间的推移，超额利润和技术创新很可能会被争夺掉”。</blockquote></p><p> His views of the industry is one of the reasons he calls Tesla valuation “too rich.”</p><p><blockquote>他对该行业的看法是他认为评级-特斯拉 “太富有 ”的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> Time will tell who is right. Sacconaghi’s target price still implies Tesla should be the world’s most valuable car company, just not two to three times the value of Toyota.</p><p><blockquote>时间会证明谁是对的。萨科纳吉的目标价仍然意味着特斯拉应该是世界上最有价值的汽车公司，只是价值不是丰田的两到三倍。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock has been on a tear of late, adding 34% over the past three months as investors have become more bullish about third quarter earnings due out on Wednesday evening. Shares have gained another 3.2% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价最近一直在上涨，过去三个月上涨了 34%，因为投资者对周三晚间公布的第三季度财报更加看好。周一股价又上涨 3.2%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-nio-51634569822?mod=hp_DAY_6\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"01211":"比亚迪股份","TSLA":"特斯拉","GM":"通用汽车","VLKAF":"Volkswagen AG","LI":"理想汽车","XPEV":"小鹏集团","DDAIF":"戴姆勒汽车","TM":"丰田汽车","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-nio-51634569822?mod=hp_DAY_6","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147398025","content_text":"Tesla and other electric-vehicle makers account for almost half of the value wrapped up in car-manufacturer stocks. Does that make sense?\nMonday, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi asked that question. He’s a Tesla (ticker: TSLA) bear—rating shares Sell with a $300 price target—mainly because he believes the stock is pricey. Still, EVs can be worth half of the industry if investors buy into three ideas.\nToday, 16 EV makers—including Tesla and yet-to-be public Rivian—are worth a combined $1.14 trillion. Tesla accounts for 74% of total EV value. Four of the top 10 most valuable auto makers are EV companies including: Tesla, Rivian,BYD (1211.Hong Kong), and NIO (NIO).\nAs for the makers of conventional vehicles, more than 50 auto makers are worth a combined $1.42 trillion. The most valuable traditional car companies are:Toyota Motor (TM),Volkswagen (VOW3.Germany),Daimler (DAI.Germany), and General Motors (GM).\nSales by the traditional companies still dominates unit volume, selling about 99% of the cars globally—97% of those are gasoline-powered, and 2% are EV. The EV pure-plays sell the remaining 1% worldwide.\n“The thinking, of course, is that pure-play EV vendors will ultimately come to dominate the automotive world,” wrote Sacconaghi in a Monday report.\nThat’s the first thing investors need to believe to justify EV valuations. Sacconaghi points out that 2014 pure-play EV companies accounted for 14% of electric-car sales. That’s 28% today. Pure-play EV companies’ market share is growing.\nThat’s the second belief required to stay bullish on EV makers’ stocks—that market share will continue to improve. “We suspect the market believes …that traditional OEMs will not be able to deliver competitive EV offerings in the future,” adds the analyst in his report. OEM is short for original equipment manufacturer, industry jargon for auto maker.\nThe final thing investors need to believe is that EVs will be more profitable, per car, than conventional vehicles. EV companies tend to sell direct—which can help profitability. EV makers are also the leaders in selling add-on subscription based services. Tesla’s Full Self-Driving Capability, or FSD, is probably the best example. Tesla sells the higher levels of its autonomous-driving software as a monthly subscription or for $10,000.\nThe mix of volume and profit growth driven by superior products could justify valuations, but Sacconaghi isn’t a believer. “Our contention is that the automotive industry is an increasingly global and hypercompetitive industry and we believe that surplus profits and technology innovation will likely be competed away over time.”\nHis views of the industry is one of the reasons he calls Tesla valuation “too rich.”\nTime will tell who is right. Sacconaghi’s target price still implies Tesla should be the world’s most valuable car company, just not two to three times the value of Toyota.\nTesla stock has been on a tear of late, adding 34% over the past three months as investors have become more bullish about third quarter earnings due out on Wednesday evening. Shares have gained another 3.2% Monday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"01211":0.9,"GM":0.9,"TM":0.9,"XPEV":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"VLKAF":0.9,"DDAIF":0.9,"LI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2643,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":151568695,"gmtCreate":1625098856417,"gmtModify":1631893997491,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks&nbsp;","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/151568695","repostId":"2148112845","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":451,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834185453,"gmtCreate":1629780373972,"gmtModify":1631889344527,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Thanks for the email&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks for the email&nbsp;","text":"Thanks for the email","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834185453","repostId":"1104413070","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3346,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802299355,"gmtCreate":1627780733277,"gmtModify":1631889344542,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Thank you","listText":"Thank you","text":"Thank you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802299355","repostId":"1127308481","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2890,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896511797,"gmtCreate":1628592754919,"gmtModify":1631889344534,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Tks","listText":"Tks","text":"Tks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/896511797","repostId":"1194483102","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194483102","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga Earnings","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1628587678,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1194483102?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-10 17:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Stocks To Watch For August 10, 2021<blockquote>2021 年 8 月 10 日值得关注的 5 只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194483102","media":"Benzinga Earnings","summary":"Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:\n\nWall Street expects Sysco to report quar","content":"<p>Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:</p><p><blockquote>今天可能吸引投资者关注的一些股票是：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Wall Street expects&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYY\">Sysco</a> to report quarterly earnings at $0.60 per share on revenue of $14.23 billion before the opening bell. SYSCO shares rose 0.3% to close at $41.97 on Friday.</li>  <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDD\">3D</a> reported better-than-expected results for its second quarter on Monday. 3D Systems shares surged 12.6% to $31.92 in the after-hours trading session.</li>  <li>Analysts are expecting&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDG\">TransDigm</a> to have earned $2.93 per share on revenue of $1.22 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the opening bell. TransDigm shares rose 0.1% to close at $628.51 on Monday.</li>  <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a> reported stronger-than-expected&nbsp;results for its second quarter. The company said it currently has liquidity availability of more than $2 billion. AMC also announced plans to begin accepting apex cryptocurrency Bitcoin as payment for move tickets and concessions by the end of this year. AMC shares climbed 5.3% to $35.60 in after-hours trading.</li>  <li>Analysts expect&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase Global, Inc.</a> to report quarterly earnings at $2.24 per share on revenue of $1.77 billion after the closing bell. Coinbase shares fell 0.3% to $279.75 in after-hours trading.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>华尔街预期<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYY\">西斯科</a>开盘前公布季度收益为每股 0.60 美元，营收为 142.3 亿美元。SYSCO 股价周五上涨 0.3%，收于 41.97 美元。</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDD\">三维</a>周一公布的第二季度业绩好于预期。3D Systems 股价在盘后交易时段飙升 12.6%，至 31.92 美元。</li><li>分析师预计<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDG\">TransDigm</a>最新季度营收为 12.2 亿美元，每股收益为 2.93 美元。该公司将在开盘前发布财报。TransDigm 股价周一上涨 0.1%，收于 628.51 美元。</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>公布的第二季度业绩强于预期。该公司表示，目前拥有超过20亿美元的流动性。AMC 还宣布计划在今年年底前开始接受 apex 加密货币比特币作为搬家门票和优惠的支付方式。AMC 股价在盘后交易中上涨 5.3%，至 35.60 美元。</li><li>分析师预计<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">比特币基地全球公司。</a>收盘后公布季度收益为每股 2.24 美元，营收为 17.7 亿美元。Coinbase 股价在盘后交易中下跌 0.3%，至 279.75 美元。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Stocks To Watch For August 10, 2021<blockquote>2021 年 8 月 10 日值得关注的 5 只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Stocks To Watch For August 10, 2021<blockquote>2021 年 8 月 10 日值得关注的 5 只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga Earnings </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-10 17:27</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:</p><p><blockquote>今天可能吸引投资者关注的一些股票是：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Wall Street expects&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYY\">Sysco</a> to report quarterly earnings at $0.60 per share on revenue of $14.23 billion before the opening bell. SYSCO shares rose 0.3% to close at $41.97 on Friday.</li>  <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDD\">3D</a> reported better-than-expected results for its second quarter on Monday. 3D Systems shares surged 12.6% to $31.92 in the after-hours trading session.</li>  <li>Analysts are expecting&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDG\">TransDigm</a> to have earned $2.93 per share on revenue of $1.22 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the opening bell. TransDigm shares rose 0.1% to close at $628.51 on Monday.</li>  <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a> reported stronger-than-expected&nbsp;results for its second quarter. The company said it currently has liquidity availability of more than $2 billion. AMC also announced plans to begin accepting apex cryptocurrency Bitcoin as payment for move tickets and concessions by the end of this year. AMC shares climbed 5.3% to $35.60 in after-hours trading.</li>  <li>Analysts expect&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase Global, Inc.</a> to report quarterly earnings at $2.24 per share on revenue of $1.77 billion after the closing bell. Coinbase shares fell 0.3% to $279.75 in after-hours trading.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>华尔街预期<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYY\">西斯科</a>开盘前公布季度收益为每股 0.60 美元，营收为 142.3 亿美元。SYSCO 股价周五上涨 0.3%，收于 41.97 美元。</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDD\">三维</a>周一公布的第二季度业绩好于预期。3D Systems 股价在盘后交易时段飙升 12.6%，至 31.92 美元。</li><li>分析师预计<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDG\">TransDigm</a>最新季度营收为 12.2 亿美元，每股收益为 2.93 美元。该公司将在开盘前发布财报。TransDigm 股价周一上涨 0.1%，收于 628.51 美元。</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>公布的第二季度业绩强于预期。该公司表示，目前拥有超过20亿美元的流动性。AMC 还宣布计划在今年年底前开始接受 apex 加密货币比特币作为搬家门票和优惠的支付方式。AMC 股价在盘后交易中上涨 5.3%，至 35.60 美元。</li><li>分析师预计<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">比特币基地全球公司。</a>收盘后公布季度收益为每股 2.24 美元，营收为 17.7 亿美元。Coinbase 股价在盘后交易中下跌 0.3%，至 279.75 美元。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","TDG":"TransDigm","DDD":"3D系统","SYY":"西思科公司"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194483102","content_text":"Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:\n\nWall Street expects Sysco to report quarterly earnings at $0.60 per share on revenue of $14.23 billion before the opening bell. SYSCO shares rose 0.3% to close at $41.97 on Friday.\n3D reported better-than-expected results for its second quarter on Monday. 3D Systems shares surged 12.6% to $31.92 in the after-hours trading session.\nAnalysts are expecting TransDigm to have earned $2.93 per share on revenue of $1.22 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the opening bell. TransDigm shares rose 0.1% to close at $628.51 on Monday.\nAMC Entertainment reported stronger-than-expected results for its second quarter. The company said it currently has liquidity availability of more than $2 billion. AMC also announced plans to begin accepting apex cryptocurrency Bitcoin as payment for move tickets and concessions by the end of this year. AMC shares climbed 5.3% to $35.60 in after-hours trading.\nAnalysts expect Coinbase Global, Inc. to report quarterly earnings at $2.24 per share on revenue of $1.77 billion after the closing bell. Coinbase shares fell 0.3% to $279.75 in after-hours trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DDD":0.9,"TDG":0.9,"COIN":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"SYY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2953,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149351749,"gmtCreate":1625706400181,"gmtModify":1631893997468,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks&nbsp;","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149351749","repostId":"2149431650","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1218,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809316846,"gmtCreate":1627347881685,"gmtModify":1631889344550,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Noted&nbsp;","listText":"Noted&nbsp;","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809316846","repostId":"1153028059","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153028059","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627340900,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1153028059?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-27 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla sales surge 98%; company boosts margins on its less-costly electric cars<blockquote>特斯拉销量激增98%；公司提高低成本电动汽车的利润率</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153028059","media":"Reuters","summary":" -Tesla Inc posted a bigger second-quarter profit than expected on Tuesday thanks to sharply higher sales of its less-expensive electric vehicles, as it raised prices to boost its margins on them.Tesla also cut costs which helped it offset many of the supply chain and microchip shortfalls facing the auto industry.For the first time since late 2019, Tesla profits did not rely on sales of environmental credits to other automakers, a sign of increasing financial health for the manufacturing operati","content":"<p>(Reuters) -Tesla Inc posted a bigger second-quarter profit than expected on Tuesday thanks to sharply higher sales of its less-expensive electric vehicles, as it raised prices to boost its margins on them.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社） - 特斯拉公司周二公布的第二季度利润高于预期，得益于其价格较低的电动汽车销量大幅增加，同时提高了价格以提高利润率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla also cut costs which helped it offset many of the supply chain and microchip shortfalls facing the auto industry.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉还削减了成本，这有助于抵消汽车行业面临的许多供应链和微芯片短缺问题。</blockquote></p><p> For the first time since late 2019, Tesla profits did not rely on sales of environmental credits to other automakers, a sign of increasing financial health for the manufacturing operation. Tesla boosted its performance by cutting features it said were unused or unneeded and raising U.S. vehicle prices.</p><p><blockquote>自 2019 年底以来，特斯拉的利润首次不依赖于向其他汽车制造商出售环境信用，这是制造业务财务状况不断改善的迹象。特斯拉通过削减其认为未使用或不需要的功能以及提高美国汽车价格来提高其业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of the world’s most valuable automaker rose 1.5% in extended trade.</p><p><blockquote>这家全球最有价值的汽车制造商的股价在盘后交易中上涨了 1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> In a call with investors and analysts, Tesla executives said that volume production growth will depend on parts availability, and Musk cautioned the shortage of semiconductors will continue.</p><p><blockquote>在与投资者和分析师的看涨期权上，特斯拉高管表示，批量生产增长将取决于零部件的可用性，马斯克警告说，半导体短缺将持续。</blockquote></p><p> “The global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,” Musk said.</p><p><blockquote>“马斯克说：”全球芯片短缺形势仍然相当严重。</blockquote></p><p> Still, Musk said Tesla expects to launch production this year of the Model Y SUV at factories under construction in Texas and Germany. He said the company expects battery cell suppliers to double production next year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，马斯克表示，特斯拉预计今年将在德克萨斯州和德国在建工厂开始生产 Model Y SUV。他表示，该公司预计电池供应商明年将产量增加一倍。</blockquote></p><p> Despite the pandemic and the supply chain crisis, Tesla posted record deliveries during the quarter, thanks to sales of cheaper models including Model 3 sedans and Model Ys.</p><p><blockquote>尽管面临疫情和供应链危机，特斯拉本季度的交付量仍创下历史新高，这要归功于包括 Model 3 轿车和 Model Ys 在内的廉价车型的销售。</blockquote></p><p> The carmaker, led by billionaire entrepreneur Elon Musk, said revenue jumped to $11.96 billion from $6.04 billion a year earlier, when its California factory was shut down for more than six weeks due to local lockdown orders to fight the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>这家由亿万富翁企业家埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk) 领导的汽车制造商表示，收入从去年同期的 60.4 亿美元跃升至 119.6 亿美元，当时其加州工厂因当地抗击疫情的封锁令而关闭了六周多。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts had expected revenue of about $11.3 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Refinitiv 的 IBES 数据，分析师此前预计收入约为 113 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Excluding items, Tesla posted a profit of $1.45 per share, easily topping analyst expectations for a profit of 98 cents per share.</p><p><blockquote>不包括项目，特斯拉公布的每股利润为 1.45 美元，轻松超过分析师预期的每股利润 98 美分。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla said operating income rose with volume growth and cost reduction, which offset higher supply chain costs, lower regulatory credit revenue and other items including $23 million in losses on investment in cryptocurrency bitcoin.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉表示，经营利润随着销量增长和成本降低而上涨，这抵消了供应链成本上升、监管信贷收入下降和其他项目，包括加密货币比特币投资损失 2300 万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla’s profitability has often relied on selling regulatory credits to other automakers, but in the second quarter, Tesla was profitable without these credits for the first time since the end of 2019. Its GAAP net income was $1.14 billion in the second quarter. Revenue from the credits only totaled $354 million.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的盈利能力往往依赖于向其他汽车制造商出售监管积分，但在第二季度，特斯拉自 2019 年底以来首次在没有这些积分的情况下实现盈利。其第二季度 GAAP 净利润为 11.4 亿美元。信贷收入总计仅3.54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla impressed with its numbers, as most of its revenue came from vehicle sales,” Jesse Cohen, senior analyst at Investing.com, said.</p><p><blockquote>“Investing.com 高级分析师杰西-科恩（Jesse Cohen）说：”特斯拉的数据给人留下了深刻的印象，因为其大部分收入来自汽车销售。</blockquote></p><p> Carmaker Stellantis expects to achieve its European carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions targets this year without environmental credits bought from Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>汽车制造商 Stellantis 预计今年将在不从特斯拉购买环境信用额度的情况下实现欧洲二氧化碳 (CO2) 排放目标。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla said it said it has delayed the launch of the Semi truck program to 2022 to focus on starting factories and due to limited availability of battery cells and other parts this year.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉表示，由于今年电池和其他零部件的供应有限，该公司已将半挂卡车计划的启动时间推迟到 2022 年，以专注于启动工厂。</blockquote></p><p> But the company’s new 4680 batteries are not ready for volume production; executives said it was difficult to predict when technological challenges would be resolved.</p><p><blockquote>但该公司的新型 4680 电池尚未准备好批量生产；高管们表示，很难预测技术挑战何时会得到解决。</blockquote></p><p> In an aside, Musk said he “most likely will not be on earnings calls” going forward to discuss financial results with investors and analysts. These calls have been a colorful quarterly ritual Musk has used for discourses on Tesla technology, or to fire back at rivals or critics.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克在一旁表示，他 “很可能不会在财报评级上 ”与投资者和分析师讨论财务业绩。这些评级一直是马斯克用来谈论特斯拉技术或回击竞争对手或批评者的丰富多彩的季度仪式。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla sales surge 98%; company boosts margins on its less-costly electric cars<blockquote>特斯拉销量激增98%；公司提高低成本电动汽车的利润率</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla sales surge 98%; company boosts margins on its less-costly electric cars<blockquote>特斯拉销量激增98%；公司提高低成本电动汽车的利润率</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-27 07:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) -Tesla Inc posted a bigger second-quarter profit than expected on Tuesday thanks to sharply higher sales of its less-expensive electric vehicles, as it raised prices to boost its margins on them.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社） - 特斯拉公司周二公布的第二季度利润高于预期，得益于其价格较低的电动汽车销量大幅增加，同时提高了价格以提高利润率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla also cut costs which helped it offset many of the supply chain and microchip shortfalls facing the auto industry.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉还削减了成本，这有助于抵消汽车行业面临的许多供应链和微芯片短缺问题。</blockquote></p><p> For the first time since late 2019, Tesla profits did not rely on sales of environmental credits to other automakers, a sign of increasing financial health for the manufacturing operation. Tesla boosted its performance by cutting features it said were unused or unneeded and raising U.S. vehicle prices.</p><p><blockquote>自 2019 年底以来，特斯拉的利润首次不依赖于向其他汽车制造商出售环境信用，这是制造业务财务状况不断改善的迹象。特斯拉通过削减其认为未使用或不需要的功能以及提高美国汽车价格来提高其业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of the world’s most valuable automaker rose 1.5% in extended trade.</p><p><blockquote>这家全球最有价值的汽车制造商的股价在盘后交易中上涨了 1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> In a call with investors and analysts, Tesla executives said that volume production growth will depend on parts availability, and Musk cautioned the shortage of semiconductors will continue.</p><p><blockquote>在与投资者和分析师的看涨期权上，特斯拉高管表示，批量生产增长将取决于零部件的可用性，马斯克警告说，半导体短缺将持续。</blockquote></p><p> “The global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,” Musk said.</p><p><blockquote>“马斯克说：”全球芯片短缺形势仍然相当严重。</blockquote></p><p> Still, Musk said Tesla expects to launch production this year of the Model Y SUV at factories under construction in Texas and Germany. He said the company expects battery cell suppliers to double production next year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，马斯克表示，特斯拉预计今年将在德克萨斯州和德国在建工厂开始生产 Model Y SUV。他表示，该公司预计电池供应商明年将产量增加一倍。</blockquote></p><p> Despite the pandemic and the supply chain crisis, Tesla posted record deliveries during the quarter, thanks to sales of cheaper models including Model 3 sedans and Model Ys.</p><p><blockquote>尽管面临疫情和供应链危机，特斯拉本季度的交付量仍创下历史新高，这要归功于包括 Model 3 轿车和 Model Ys 在内的廉价车型的销售。</blockquote></p><p> The carmaker, led by billionaire entrepreneur Elon Musk, said revenue jumped to $11.96 billion from $6.04 billion a year earlier, when its California factory was shut down for more than six weeks due to local lockdown orders to fight the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>这家由亿万富翁企业家埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk) 领导的汽车制造商表示，收入从去年同期的 60.4 亿美元跃升至 119.6 亿美元，当时其加州工厂因当地抗击疫情的封锁令而关闭了六周多。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts had expected revenue of about $11.3 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Refinitiv 的 IBES 数据，分析师此前预计收入约为 113 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Excluding items, Tesla posted a profit of $1.45 per share, easily topping analyst expectations for a profit of 98 cents per share.</p><p><blockquote>不包括项目，特斯拉公布的每股利润为 1.45 美元，轻松超过分析师预期的每股利润 98 美分。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla said operating income rose with volume growth and cost reduction, which offset higher supply chain costs, lower regulatory credit revenue and other items including $23 million in losses on investment in cryptocurrency bitcoin.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉表示，经营利润随着销量增长和成本降低而上涨，这抵消了供应链成本上升、监管信贷收入下降和其他项目，包括加密货币比特币投资损失 2300 万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla’s profitability has often relied on selling regulatory credits to other automakers, but in the second quarter, Tesla was profitable without these credits for the first time since the end of 2019. Its GAAP net income was $1.14 billion in the second quarter. Revenue from the credits only totaled $354 million.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的盈利能力往往依赖于向其他汽车制造商出售监管积分，但在第二季度，特斯拉自 2019 年底以来首次在没有这些积分的情况下实现盈利。其第二季度 GAAP 净利润为 11.4 亿美元。信贷收入总计仅3.54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla impressed with its numbers, as most of its revenue came from vehicle sales,” Jesse Cohen, senior analyst at Investing.com, said.</p><p><blockquote>“Investing.com 高级分析师杰西-科恩（Jesse Cohen）说：”特斯拉的数据给人留下了深刻的印象，因为其大部分收入来自汽车销售。</blockquote></p><p> Carmaker Stellantis expects to achieve its European carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions targets this year without environmental credits bought from Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>汽车制造商 Stellantis 预计今年将在不从特斯拉购买环境信用额度的情况下实现欧洲二氧化碳 (CO2) 排放目标。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla said it said it has delayed the launch of the Semi truck program to 2022 to focus on starting factories and due to limited availability of battery cells and other parts this year.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉表示，由于今年电池和其他零部件的供应有限，该公司已将半挂卡车计划的启动时间推迟到 2022 年，以专注于启动工厂。</blockquote></p><p> But the company’s new 4680 batteries are not ready for volume production; executives said it was difficult to predict when technological challenges would be resolved.</p><p><blockquote>但该公司的新型 4680 电池尚未准备好批量生产；高管们表示，很难预测技术挑战何时会得到解决。</blockquote></p><p> In an aside, Musk said he “most likely will not be on earnings calls” going forward to discuss financial results with investors and analysts. These calls have been a colorful quarterly ritual Musk has used for discourses on Tesla technology, or to fire back at rivals or critics.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克在一旁表示，他 “很可能不会在财报评级上 ”与投资者和分析师讨论财务业绩。这些评级一直是马斯克用来谈论特斯拉技术或回击竞争对手或批评者的丰富多彩的季度仪式。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/tesla-results/update-4-tesla-sales-surge-98-company-boosts-margins-on-its-less-costly-electric-cars-idUSL4N2P23I5\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/tesla-results/update-4-tesla-sales-surge-98-company-boosts-margins-on-its-less-costly-electric-cars-idUSL4N2P23I5","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153028059","content_text":"(Reuters) -Tesla Inc posted a bigger second-quarter profit than expected on Tuesday thanks to sharply higher sales of its less-expensive electric vehicles, as it raised prices to boost its margins on them.\nTesla also cut costs which helped it offset many of the supply chain and microchip shortfalls facing the auto industry.\nFor the first time since late 2019, Tesla profits did not rely on sales of environmental credits to other automakers, a sign of increasing financial health for the manufacturing operation. Tesla boosted its performance by cutting features it said were unused or unneeded and raising U.S. vehicle prices.\nShares of the world’s most valuable automaker rose 1.5% in extended trade.\nIn a call with investors and analysts, Tesla executives said that volume production growth will depend on parts availability, and Musk cautioned the shortage of semiconductors will continue.\n“The global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,” Musk said.\nStill, Musk said Tesla expects to launch production this year of the Model Y SUV at factories under construction in Texas and Germany. He said the company expects battery cell suppliers to double production next year.\nDespite the pandemic and the supply chain crisis, Tesla posted record deliveries during the quarter, thanks to sales of cheaper models including Model 3 sedans and Model Ys.\nThe carmaker, led by billionaire entrepreneur Elon Musk, said revenue jumped to $11.96 billion from $6.04 billion a year earlier, when its California factory was shut down for more than six weeks due to local lockdown orders to fight the pandemic.\nAnalysts had expected revenue of about $11.3 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.\nExcluding items, Tesla posted a profit of $1.45 per share, easily topping analyst expectations for a profit of 98 cents per share.\nTesla said operating income rose with volume growth and cost reduction, which offset higher supply chain costs, lower regulatory credit revenue and other items including $23 million in losses on investment in cryptocurrency bitcoin.\nTesla’s profitability has often relied on selling regulatory credits to other automakers, but in the second quarter, Tesla was profitable without these credits for the first time since the end of 2019. Its GAAP net income was $1.14 billion in the second quarter. Revenue from the credits only totaled $354 million.\n“Tesla impressed with its numbers, as most of its revenue came from vehicle sales,” Jesse Cohen, senior analyst at Investing.com, said.\nCarmaker Stellantis expects to achieve its European carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions targets this year without environmental credits bought from Tesla.\nTesla said it said it has delayed the launch of the Semi truck program to 2022 to focus on starting factories and due to limited availability of battery cells and other parts this year.\nBut the company’s new 4680 batteries are not ready for volume production; executives said it was difficult to predict when technological challenges would be resolved.\nIn an aside, Musk said he “most likely will not be on earnings calls” going forward to discuss financial results with investors and analysts. These calls have been a colorful quarterly ritual Musk has used for discourses on Tesla technology, or to fire back at rivals or critics.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2828,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800701264,"gmtCreate":1627315972458,"gmtModify":1631891442398,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800701264","repostId":"1136217079","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4220,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":141546315,"gmtCreate":1625882566137,"gmtModify":1631891442412,"author":{"id":"3582000511223755","authorId":"3582000511223755","name":"Patrula","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e998c6729f24d01c9ba732e80da3632c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582000511223755","idStr":"3582000511223755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Thank you for the updates&nbsp;","listText":"Thank you for the updates&nbsp;","text":"Thank you for the updates","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141546315","repostId":"2150326565","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":906,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}