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薇笑达人
2021-12-02
[DOGE] [哟哟] [眼眼] [保佑] [警告]
@SPAC投资圈:近400亿美元!新加坡独角兽Grab周四登陆纳斯达克 有望成为最大SPAC交易
薇笑达人
2021-09-19
Brand marketing vs product marketing[吃瓜]
铁打的星巴克,流水的新饮品
薇笑达人
2021-09-19
是不是说苹果的挤牙膏计划将挤到明年而已[害羞]
@小虎综合资讯:媒体称苹果后年推首款折叠手机,预计将于2023年问世
薇笑达人
2021-06-20
[财迷]
抱歉,原内容已删除
薇笑达人
2021-06-10
[666]
抱歉,原内容已删除
薇笑达人
2021-06-09
哈哈哈[捂脸]
抱歉,原内容已删除
薇笑达人
2021-06-08
[强]
抱歉,原内容已删除
薇笑达人
2021-06-03
别吵了 对我来说大家都一样贵[流泪]
抱歉,原内容已删除
薇笑达人
2021-06-02
[财迷] [财迷]
@夕禾船长:盘前 2021-06-02
薇笑达人
2021-06-02
[哟哟]
抱歉,原内容已删除
薇笑达人
2021-06-01
[666]
抱歉,原内容已删除
薇笑达人
2021-05-31
[惊讶]
抱歉,原内容已删除
薇笑达人
2021-05-29
[暗中观察]
小米的成长与突围:技术驱动向高端突围
薇笑达人
2021-05-27
[微笑]
抱歉,原内容已删除
薇笑达人
2021-05-21
[强]
抱歉,原内容已删除
薇笑达人
2021-05-20
[呆住]
被吐槽抽成过高,是滴滴和美团们的“宿命”
薇笑达人
2021-05-14
好像可以[财迷]
抱歉,原内容已删除
薇笑达人
2021-05-13
[捂脸]
抱歉,原内容已删除
薇笑达人
2021-05-13
Bubble bubble bubble pop[丢脸]
特斯拉变身“黑天鹅”,新能源汽车泡沫已破?
薇笑达人
2021-05-11
[强] [强]
@股海彦祖:都卖了吗?我...继续捂
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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[哟哟] [眼眼] [保佑] [警告] ","listText":"[DOGE] [哟哟] [眼眼] [保佑] [警告] ","text":"[DOGE] [哟哟] [眼眼] [保佑] [警告]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603483053","repostId":"603504074","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":603504074,"gmtCreate":1638408660000,"gmtModify":1638486835836,"author":{"id":"3455076791749176","authorId":"3455076791749176","name":"SPAC投资圈","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0ec9af7f989244f43d0a78c847e5804","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3455076791749176","authorIdStr":"3455076791749176"},"themes":[],"title":"近400亿美元!新加坡独角兽Grab周四登陆纳斯达克 有望成为最大SPAC交易","htmlText":"新加坡科技独角兽Grab的上市计划终于落地。在周二(11月30日)的特别股东大会上,大多数股东投票批准了与一家名为Altimeter Growth Corp.的特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)合并,合并后的实体将于12月2日开始在纳斯达克交易,股票代码为“GRAB”。 Grab的A类股票将以GRAB的名义交易,其B类股将由两位创始人和总裁持有,虽然三人持股仅占3.3%,但投票权高达60.4%。 Grab的最大股东为软银愿景基金,持股比例为18.6%,拥有7.6%的投票权;Uber持股14.3%,滴滴持股7.5%,丰田汽车持股5.9%。 根据Altimeter Growth的声明,公司的大多数股东赞成了这笔交易,并且他们几乎都选择不赎回资金,赎回比例仅为0.02%。公司将在交给美国证券交易委员会(SEC)的8-K表格中公布正式的投票数字。 Grab的上市为美国投资者提供了一个投资东南亚的新机会,该地区具有强劲的增长潜力。在今年4月宣布合并时,Altimeter对合并后的Grab估值达到近400亿美元,如果进展顺利,Grab周四的上市交易成为迄今为止全球最大的SPAC交易。 东南亚版支付宝+美团+滴滴 Grab创立至今9年,专注于东南亚市场,在新加坡、马来西亚、印度尼西亚、越南、泰国、菲律宾、柬埔寨和缅甸都有业务。 Grab通过一个一站式的超级手机应用(APP)提供乘车、送餐和移动支付等服务,类似于集合了支付宝、美团、滴滴、京东到家等应用的功能。据路透社报道,截至2021年4月,Grab在400多个城市拥有超过2.14亿的应用下载量。 随着公司的不断扩张以及更多用户尝试使用,Grab对东南亚地区产生了重大影响。Grab称,大约21%的司机在加入该平台之前没有工作,大约170万使用Grab的微型企业家开设了他们的第一个银行账户。 不过与中国、美国的同业企业相比,Grab的规模小得多,","listText":"新加坡科技独角兽Grab的上市计划终于落地。在周二(11月30日)的特别股东大会上,大多数股东投票批准了与一家名为Altimeter Growth Corp.的特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)合并,合并后的实体将于12月2日开始在纳斯达克交易,股票代码为“GRAB”。 Grab的A类股票将以GRAB的名义交易,其B类股将由两位创始人和总裁持有,虽然三人持股仅占3.3%,但投票权高达60.4%。 Grab的最大股东为软银愿景基金,持股比例为18.6%,拥有7.6%的投票权;Uber持股14.3%,滴滴持股7.5%,丰田汽车持股5.9%。 根据Altimeter Growth的声明,公司的大多数股东赞成了这笔交易,并且他们几乎都选择不赎回资金,赎回比例仅为0.02%。公司将在交给美国证券交易委员会(SEC)的8-K表格中公布正式的投票数字。 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不过与中国、美国的同业企业相比,Grab的规模小得多,","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b85efc8075514f5a85f478f8bd0c56fb","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603504074","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":937,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":887662176,"gmtCreate":1632028203095,"gmtModify":1632803226152,"author":{"id":"3580198709429253","authorId":"3580198709429253","name":"薇笑达人","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88c5245bf9912b327baf5da6122aad18","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580198709429253","authorIdStr":"3580198709429253"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Brand marketing vs product marketing[吃瓜] ","listText":"Brand marketing vs product marketing[吃瓜] ","text":"Brand marketing vs product marketing[吃瓜]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/887662176","repostId":"2168572456","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2168572456","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631942820,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2168572456?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-18 13:27","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"铁打的星巴克,流水的新饮品","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2168572456","media":"创业邦","summary":"星巴克的品牌溢价,仍然远高同行。然而,当下的星巴克,问题不是优越感,而是星巴克已经难以提供小众的优越感。星巴克中国同店销售增长19%。一时的舆论,不会改变星巴克的地位。在各大商圈,主打高端饮品的喜茶与奈雪,开始与星巴克同时出现。星巴克从诞生以来,已经成为一个文化符号,出现在电影、流行歌曲、书籍之中。","content":"<p>初代小资三大圣地,哈根达斯、宜家、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBUX\">星巴克</a>,都逐渐失去原有光芒。</p>\n<p>哈根达斯已经彻底丧失原有地位,在新茶饮的进攻下不堪一击,与其曾经的高端定位已经渐行渐远。</p>\n<p>星巴克营收、利润上涨,但陷入“优越感”泥潭,过去的小资圣地光环不再。</p>\n<p>咖啡因具有成瘾性,但咖啡生意在国内并不是一直成功。研报中动辄万亿,一直声称要爆发的中国咖啡市场,熬死了各个宣称要打败星巴克的咖啡商家,最终还是只有星巴克屹立不倒。</p>\n<p>韩系咖啡一度随着韩剧流行风靡,但最终以败走中国市场告终。</p>\n<p>瑞幸燃烧自己,教育出中国咖啡市场,从财务造假风波中走出,渐渐走上正轨。再次生动证明,消费习惯的培养,靠的不是口味和疯狂开店,而是补贴。</p>\n<p>星巴克的品牌溢价,仍然远高同行。这也是网友质疑的“星巴克凭啥有优越感”?<b>优越感陷阱,挡不住星巴克赚钱</b></p>\n<p>400元自助事件中,媒体一直炮轰的,不是价格不合理,不是服务态度,而是“优越感”。</p>\n<p>“作为一个在美国本土定位如国内沙县小吃的连锁店,星巴克如此硬核的优越感从何而来?”</p>\n<p>网友蜂拥而上,想要剥掉星巴克的优越感外衣。</p>\n<p>然而,当下的星巴克,问题不是优越感,而是星巴克已经难以提供小众的优越感。</p>\n<p>小众有逼格,但难成规模,也难以推动星巴克成为国际企业。部分消费者所诟病的“优越感”来自,消费预期与星巴克现实状况之间的矛盾,也就是用户对星巴克小众逼格的要求,与其大众化规模追求之间的矛盾。</p>\n<p>华与华老板华衫曾说:“所谓 B 格,就是把自己逼进一个小格子里。像喜茶这样,400 多家店,只有头部品牌二十分之一。都排队,也做不了多大生意。”</p>\n<p>喜茶也在扩张开店,星巴克更是要做大生意。但在互联网语境下,星巴克的小资、小众人设深入人心,并在很长一段时间里成为社交资本,出现在朋友圈等社交平台。</p>\n<p>在头豹研究院《2021年中国现磨咖啡行业:国内外咖啡品牌发展差异化探析》中,“尚未成熟的市场,通常会表现为对品牌的追求大于质量,对环境的在意高于价格,能带给消费者情感共鸣与身份认同才是品牌撬动市场格局的正确姿势”</p>\n<p><b>随着咖啡市场在一线城市的成熟,星巴克所能提供的品牌溢价及社交资本不成正比。这也是其一直被诟病的原因。当网红把星巴克晒成社交资本,每一次被黑,都是星巴克应得的反噬。</b></p>\n<p>当然,优越感为人诟病,但挡不住星巴克赚钱。</p>\n<p>国内咖啡市场的受益者,首先就是星巴克。最新财报数据显示:星巴克第三财季营收同比增长78%至75亿美元;全球范围内第三财季同店销售增长73%;最大的市场美国同店销售增长83%,增长10%。星巴克中国同店销售增长19%。</p>\n<p>欲戴<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5HT.SI\">皇冠</a>、必承其重,被无限拔高的消费预期,星巴克也有义务提升品质与服务,去满足目标消费者的需求。一时的舆论,不会改变星巴克的地位。<b>资本抢滩咖啡生意</b></p>\n<p>尽管不想承认星巴克的地位,但无论瑞幸还是咖啡新势力都想要抢占星巴克的市场,发出来的通稿,标题一律推倒星巴克,再一次彰显了星巴克的品牌意义。</p>\n<p>在现阶段,国内咖啡消费群体的品牌忠诚度不高。当市场上出现更优质的品牌,消费者会进行咖啡品牌的转换与更迭。</p>\n<p>一方面,咖啡品牌趁此时机,抓住暂时领先的窗口期,快速开新店、扩品类,共同目标是尽早形成真正的“品牌壁垒”。另一方面,资本趋利,增量市场,竞争不充分,当咖啡生意展现出巨大潜力,钱就开始流入。</p>\n<p>咖啡市场成熟时,资本收割市场的镰刀也到了。</p>\n<p>Manner、M Stand、三顿半、Seesaw咖啡均已在2021年获得了融资,公开资料显示,Manner咖啡的估值已经达到28亿美元、M Stand咖啡估值约40亿元、Seesaw咖啡估值近10亿元。</p>\n<p>面对14亿人口的市场,无数商家都会有的一个美梦是,只要我把握住其中的一个细分市场,就意味着巨大的利润。</p>\n<p><b>然而,在资本推动下,快速扩张,抢占市场才是常态,资本不会做时间的朋友。</b></p>\n<p>根据IT桔子数据,中国咖啡行业从2014年开始获得资本关注,2018年的融资数量和融资金额达到顶峰,随后开始下滑。2019年中国咖啡行业完成融资金额14.62亿元,完成投融资事件11起。</p>\n<p>在这股资本咖啡热潮之前,COSTA 闭店潮、大量独立咖啡店因疫情破产。更之前,是韩系咖啡馆的破产热潮。</p>\n<p>这不禁让人产生疑问:我国咖啡市场到底大不大?</p>\n<p>当资本想要炒作咖啡市场时,咖啡市场就可以是万亿市场。但事实上,集中在一线城市的咖啡市场难以下沉,14亿人口难以转化成为咖啡的消费潜力。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20746dee842ebb9b3dd68f9be7054484\" tg-width=\"838\" tg-height=\"556\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>根据前瞻经济学人提供的数据,我国咖啡市场规模自2016年以来,没有明显增幅,甚至一度下滑。除开速溶、即饮类,现磨咖啡市场占比更小。数据显示:目前,中国咖啡消费市场规模约1000亿元左右,其中速溶咖啡占72%,现磨咖啡占18%,即饮咖啡占10%。</p>\n<p>占比18%的现磨咖啡市场,只能说咖啡馆生意“潜力巨大”,而很难说咖啡馆生意是个好生意。</p>\n<p>\"咖啡馆里,咖啡口味是最不重要的。\"因为星巴克的成功,这样的观点,一直都是主流。星巴克卖的不是咖啡,是空间。这也就解释了咖啡馆生意的成功与否,跟咖啡消耗了多少关系没那么大。毕竟,星冰乐里的咖啡,跟喜茶里的茶含量都差不多。</p>\n<p>截至2020年底,中国共有咖啡馆10.8万家,连锁品牌仅占所有咖啡馆数量的13%。尤其在三线及以下城市,独立咖啡馆占比高达97%。</p>\n<p>星巴克的标准化带来的规模化效应难以复制,在现阶段的优势,不是咖啡新势力的差异化运营可以轻易化解的。<b>星巴克还年轻</b></p>\n<p>星巴克的对手,不仅是咖啡市场。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02150\">奈雪的茶</a>则一开始就要对标星巴克。“我要开一个星巴克一样的空间,但我卖茶。”</p>\n<p>2020年,资本市场看好新茶饮。从消费决策机制,到营销平台,从Z世代的消费偏好,到国货崛起,分析新茶饮火热的内容充斥各大平台。</p>\n<p>新式茶饮,在营销中总是一股要将星巴克踩在脚下的势头。</p>\n<p>互联网企业之间的竞争,是注意力。新餐饮之间的竞争,也同样如此。</p>\n<p>在各大社交平台,新茶饮的出镜率越来越高,取代星巴克成为新的社交货币。饥饿营销,雇人排队,新茶饮也掀起一次次消费和舆论热潮。在各大商圈,主打高端饮品的喜茶与奈雪,开始与星巴克同时出现。</p>\n<p>“Z世代的年轻人觉得喜茶比星巴克更酷”的类似言论也逐渐流行,尽管现在的年轻人都已经不用“酷”这个二十年前的流行词了。</p>\n<p><b>新茶饮与星巴克之间的竞争,好像不是茶饮料与咖啡饮品之间的对决,而是Z世代年轻人到底做出什么选择。</b></p>\n<p>在600家门店的情势下,喜茶一度估值近600亿。如果说星巴克的溢价来自“第三空间”的理念与服务,喜茶的溢价来自“茶文化”?</p>\n<p>星巴克从诞生以来,已经成为一个文化符号,出现在电影、流行歌曲、书籍之中。</p>\n<p>根据艾媒咨询数据,从2021年中国咖啡爱好者购买咖啡的品牌来看,星巴克的优势也依旧显著,占比达到52.3%,仅次于雀巢,甚至将蓝山、瑞幸、中原等远远甩在后面。</p>\n<p><b>新消费领域的火爆背后,是人们对中国出现星巴克这种现象级消费品牌的期待。</b></p>\n<p>但仅仅做网红品牌是不够的,对任何商家而言,上班路上来一杯,都远比朋友圈里发一杯更加重要。</p>\n<p>正如网友所说,看看十年后,谁还活着呗!</p>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n铁打的星巴克,流水的新饮品\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-18 13:27 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202109181309537c3e228d&s=b><strong>创业邦</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>初代小资三大圣地,哈根达斯、宜家、星巴克,都逐渐失去原有光芒。\n哈根达斯已经彻底丧失原有地位,在新茶饮的进攻下不堪一击,与其曾经的高端定位已经渐行渐远。\n星巴克营收、利润上涨,但陷入“优越感”泥潭,过去的小资圣地光环不再。\n咖啡因具有成瘾性,但咖啡生意在国内并不是一直成功。研报中动辄万亿,一直声称要爆发的中国咖啡市场,熬死了各个宣称要打败星巴克的咖啡商家,最终还是只有星巴克屹立不倒。\n韩系咖啡一度...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202109181309537c3e228d&s=b\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/163e488394d621623a584031ae5c637d","relate_stocks":{"SBUX":"星巴克"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202109181309537c3e228d&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2168572456","content_text":"初代小资三大圣地,哈根达斯、宜家、星巴克,都逐渐失去原有光芒。\n哈根达斯已经彻底丧失原有地位,在新茶饮的进攻下不堪一击,与其曾经的高端定位已经渐行渐远。\n星巴克营收、利润上涨,但陷入“优越感”泥潭,过去的小资圣地光环不再。\n咖啡因具有成瘾性,但咖啡生意在国内并不是一直成功。研报中动辄万亿,一直声称要爆发的中国咖啡市场,熬死了各个宣称要打败星巴克的咖啡商家,最终还是只有星巴克屹立不倒。\n韩系咖啡一度随着韩剧流行风靡,但最终以败走中国市场告终。\n瑞幸燃烧自己,教育出中国咖啡市场,从财务造假风波中走出,渐渐走上正轨。再次生动证明,消费习惯的培养,靠的不是口味和疯狂开店,而是补贴。\n星巴克的品牌溢价,仍然远高同行。这也是网友质疑的“星巴克凭啥有优越感”?优越感陷阱,挡不住星巴克赚钱\n400元自助事件中,媒体一直炮轰的,不是价格不合理,不是服务态度,而是“优越感”。\n“作为一个在美国本土定位如国内沙县小吃的连锁店,星巴克如此硬核的优越感从何而来?”\n网友蜂拥而上,想要剥掉星巴克的优越感外衣。\n然而,当下的星巴克,问题不是优越感,而是星巴克已经难以提供小众的优越感。\n小众有逼格,但难成规模,也难以推动星巴克成为国际企业。部分消费者所诟病的“优越感”来自,消费预期与星巴克现实状况之间的矛盾,也就是用户对星巴克小众逼格的要求,与其大众化规模追求之间的矛盾。\n华与华老板华衫曾说:“所谓 B 格,就是把自己逼进一个小格子里。像喜茶这样,400 多家店,只有头部品牌二十分之一。都排队,也做不了多大生意。”\n喜茶也在扩张开店,星巴克更是要做大生意。但在互联网语境下,星巴克的小资、小众人设深入人心,并在很长一段时间里成为社交资本,出现在朋友圈等社交平台。\n在头豹研究院《2021年中国现磨咖啡行业:国内外咖啡品牌发展差异化探析》中,“尚未成熟的市场,通常会表现为对品牌的追求大于质量,对环境的在意高于价格,能带给消费者情感共鸣与身份认同才是品牌撬动市场格局的正确姿势”\n随着咖啡市场在一线城市的成熟,星巴克所能提供的品牌溢价及社交资本不成正比。这也是其一直被诟病的原因。当网红把星巴克晒成社交资本,每一次被黑,都是星巴克应得的反噬。\n当然,优越感为人诟病,但挡不住星巴克赚钱。\n国内咖啡市场的受益者,首先就是星巴克。最新财报数据显示:星巴克第三财季营收同比增长78%至75亿美元;全球范围内第三财季同店销售增长73%;最大的市场美国同店销售增长83%,增长10%。星巴克中国同店销售增长19%。\n欲戴皇冠、必承其重,被无限拔高的消费预期,星巴克也有义务提升品质与服务,去满足目标消费者的需求。一时的舆论,不会改变星巴克的地位。资本抢滩咖啡生意\n尽管不想承认星巴克的地位,但无论瑞幸还是咖啡新势力都想要抢占星巴克的市场,发出来的通稿,标题一律推倒星巴克,再一次彰显了星巴克的品牌意义。\n在现阶段,国内咖啡消费群体的品牌忠诚度不高。当市场上出现更优质的品牌,消费者会进行咖啡品牌的转换与更迭。\n一方面,咖啡品牌趁此时机,抓住暂时领先的窗口期,快速开新店、扩品类,共同目标是尽早形成真正的“品牌壁垒”。另一方面,资本趋利,增量市场,竞争不充分,当咖啡生意展现出巨大潜力,钱就开始流入。\n咖啡市场成熟时,资本收割市场的镰刀也到了。\nManner、M Stand、三顿半、Seesaw咖啡均已在2021年获得了融资,公开资料显示,Manner咖啡的估值已经达到28亿美元、M Stand咖啡估值约40亿元、Seesaw咖啡估值近10亿元。\n面对14亿人口的市场,无数商家都会有的一个美梦是,只要我把握住其中的一个细分市场,就意味着巨大的利润。\n然而,在资本推动下,快速扩张,抢占市场才是常态,资本不会做时间的朋友。\n根据IT桔子数据,中国咖啡行业从2014年开始获得资本关注,2018年的融资数量和融资金额达到顶峰,随后开始下滑。2019年中国咖啡行业完成融资金额14.62亿元,完成投融资事件11起。\n在这股资本咖啡热潮之前,COSTA 闭店潮、大量独立咖啡店因疫情破产。更之前,是韩系咖啡馆的破产热潮。\n这不禁让人产生疑问:我国咖啡市场到底大不大?\n当资本想要炒作咖啡市场时,咖啡市场就可以是万亿市场。但事实上,集中在一线城市的咖啡市场难以下沉,14亿人口难以转化成为咖啡的消费潜力。\n\n根据前瞻经济学人提供的数据,我国咖啡市场规模自2016年以来,没有明显增幅,甚至一度下滑。除开速溶、即饮类,现磨咖啡市场占比更小。数据显示:目前,中国咖啡消费市场规模约1000亿元左右,其中速溶咖啡占72%,现磨咖啡占18%,即饮咖啡占10%。\n占比18%的现磨咖啡市场,只能说咖啡馆生意“潜力巨大”,而很难说咖啡馆生意是个好生意。\n\"咖啡馆里,咖啡口味是最不重要的。\"因为星巴克的成功,这样的观点,一直都是主流。星巴克卖的不是咖啡,是空间。这也就解释了咖啡馆生意的成功与否,跟咖啡消耗了多少关系没那么大。毕竟,星冰乐里的咖啡,跟喜茶里的茶含量都差不多。\n截至2020年底,中国共有咖啡馆10.8万家,连锁品牌仅占所有咖啡馆数量的13%。尤其在三线及以下城市,独立咖啡馆占比高达97%。\n星巴克的标准化带来的规模化效应难以复制,在现阶段的优势,不是咖啡新势力的差异化运营可以轻易化解的。星巴克还年轻\n星巴克的对手,不仅是咖啡市场。奈雪的茶则一开始就要对标星巴克。“我要开一个星巴克一样的空间,但我卖茶。”\n2020年,资本市场看好新茶饮。从消费决策机制,到营销平台,从Z世代的消费偏好,到国货崛起,分析新茶饮火热的内容充斥各大平台。\n新式茶饮,在营销中总是一股要将星巴克踩在脚下的势头。\n互联网企业之间的竞争,是注意力。新餐饮之间的竞争,也同样如此。\n在各大社交平台,新茶饮的出镜率越来越高,取代星巴克成为新的社交货币。饥饿营销,雇人排队,新茶饮也掀起一次次消费和舆论热潮。在各大商圈,主打高端饮品的喜茶与奈雪,开始与星巴克同时出现。\n“Z世代的年轻人觉得喜茶比星巴克更酷”的类似言论也逐渐流行,尽管现在的年轻人都已经不用“酷”这个二十年前的流行词了。\n新茶饮与星巴克之间的竞争,好像不是茶饮料与咖啡饮品之间的对决,而是Z世代年轻人到底做出什么选择。\n在600家门店的情势下,喜茶一度估值近600亿。如果说星巴克的溢价来自“第三空间”的理念与服务,喜茶的溢价来自“茶文化”?\n星巴克从诞生以来,已经成为一个文化符号,出现在电影、流行歌曲、书籍之中。\n根据艾媒咨询数据,从2021年中国咖啡爱好者购买咖啡的品牌来看,星巴克的优势也依旧显著,占比达到52.3%,仅次于雀巢,甚至将蓝山、瑞幸、中原等远远甩在后面。\n新消费领域的火爆背后,是人们对中国出现星巴克这种现象级消费品牌的期待。\n但仅仅做网红品牌是不够的,对任何商家而言,上班路上来一杯,都远比朋友圈里发一杯更加重要。\n正如网友所说,看看十年后,谁还活着呗!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":955,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":887668289,"gmtCreate":1632028019641,"gmtModify":1632803228224,"author":{"id":"3580198709429253","authorId":"3580198709429253","name":"薇笑达人","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88c5245bf9912b327baf5da6122aad18","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580198709429253","authorIdStr":"3580198709429253"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"是不是说苹果的挤牙膏计划将挤到明年而已[害羞] 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","text":"[暗中观察]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/137381103","repostId":"1125469611","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1125469611","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622270854,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1125469611?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-29 14:47","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"小米的成长与突围:技术驱动向高端突围","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125469611","media":"中国经营报","summary":"近日,小米好消息接连不断。\n5月26日,小米集团创始人、董事长兼首席执行官雷军发微博称,“美东时间5月25日下午4时09分,美国哥伦比亚特区地方法院颁发了最终判决,解除了美国国防部门对于本公司‘中国军","content":"<p>近日,小米好消息接连不断。</p>\n<p>5月26日,小米集团创始人、董事长兼首席执行官雷军发微博称,“美东时间5月25日下午4时09分,美国哥伦比亚特区地方法院颁发了最终判决,解除了美国国防部门对于本公司‘中国军方公司’的认定,正式撤销了美国投资者购买或持有该公司证券的全部限制。”</p>\n<p>这意味着持续近4个月的诉讼终于得到了解决。消息公布后,小米26日早盘跳空高开于28.25港元/股,最高上探至28.50港元/股。</p>\n<p>值得一提的是,5月26日,小米还公布了2021年第一季度业绩报告。同时,发布了Redmi Note 10系列手机。</p>\n<p><b>小米胜诉</b></p>\n<p>笔者了解到,1 月 14 日,美国政府部门将小米等 9 家中国企业列入所谓“与中国军方相关”的黑名单中,阻止美国投资者对这些企业进行投资。美国东部时间 1 月 29 日,小米集团在美国哥伦比亚特区地方法院起诉美国国防部门和美国财政部门。</p>\n<p>当时,小米发布公告称,公司注意到,美国将本公司列入相关清单。小米在公告中称,公司一直坚持合法合规经营,并遵守经营地的相关法律法规,其服务和产品皆用于民用或商用。公司将采取合适的措施保护公司和股东的利益。小米在当时的公告中强调:“目前运转一切正常。”</p>\n<p>今年3月,小米公司发布声明称,美国法院已颁布临时禁令,暂停了把小米认定为中国涉军企业的行政命令。</p>\n<p>26日,雷军在微博称“我们赢了。”同日,“小米被移出美国制裁清单”话题已登上微博热搜第二位,引发网友热议。</p>\n<p>小米的胜诉,标志着中国科技企业在与美国政府部门的交锋中获得了“罕见的胜利”,毕竟中美两国在贸易等问题上存在不少分歧。这对于中国企业而言,是在国际上捍卫自身权益的好兆头。</p>\n<p><b>“突围”高端</b></p>\n<p>小米2021年第一季度财报显示,2021第一季度,小米集团总收入769亿元,增长54.7%,营收和利润再创历史新高。其中,手机高端效应进一步凸显,成为推动小米业绩提升的重要推动力。</p>\n<p>同时,高端产品业绩爆发及高端产品矩阵的逐渐丰富表明,小米手机已经成功站稳高端市场。未来,小米高端系列产品将持续为小米集团注入更大的增长动能和空间。</p>\n<p>小米集团合伙人、总裁王翔在电话会议上称,“我们的总收入和调整后净利都是创造了小米历史上单季的历史新高。第一季度,智能手机出货量排名稳居全球第三名,市场占有率达到了14.1%,出货同比增长62%,在主要厂商中依然维持了较快的增速。这个季度,手机业务的成绩最主要得益于我们在高端市场不断巩固的地位。”</p>\n<p>长久以来,“性价比”一直是小米的金字招牌,小米也因此吸引了大量年轻用户。可资本市场更看重利润,并因为小米手机性价比高,利润低,最初股价也迟迟没有表现,直到2020年才快速改观。</p>\n<p>透过今年一季报可以看到,小米高端手机显著增长,并在市场份额上占据优势。财报显示,一季度小米手机在中国内地定价在人民币3000元或以上及境外定价在300欧元及以上的智能手机全球出货量超过了400万台。此外,根据第三方数据,小米手机中国内地定价在人民币4000元至6000元区间的智能手机市场份额,由去年同期的5.5%提升至本季度的16.1%。</p>\n<p>据了解,3月份,小米发布了3款高端手机,小米11Pro,小米11ULtra和MIXFOLD。从1月份到4月份,包括Mi 11、Mi 11Pro和Ultra在内的几款手机全球累计的订单数突破了300万台。同时,小米11系列在中国内地市场4000~6000元的安卓手机系列里面销量排名第一名。</p>\n<p>中低端手机争夺份额,高端手机赚取利润。小米一季度净利润破纪录,小米高端手机的出色表现功不可没,这也意味着小米在高端手机领域已站稳脚跟。</p>\n<p>值得一提的是,除了线上销售渠道保持优势外,小米线下渠道短板正在被快速弥补。截至4月底,小米之家线下门店数突破5500家。</p>\n<p><b>创新驱动成长</b></p>\n<p>王翔在电话会议上称,小米之所以能够在高端市场取得还不错的成绩,最主要得益于技术创新。“举几个例子,我一直在讲我们在几个季度里面持续的研发投入,首先在相机领域里面,Ultra在DXOMARK评分里面143分,整个全球专业手机相机的排行榜排第一名。同时,我们还首发了GN2的影像传感器,这也是目前业内最大比的图像传感器。在充电方面,小米11Ultra首发了硅氧负极电池,手机触电更加快,机身更轻薄,也支持67瓦的无线闪充,在无线充电行业里面也树立一系列的典范。”</p>\n<p>和以往靠“性价比”驱动成长不同,小米产品性价比依然存在,但技术和创新在助力小米业绩成长上的作用愈发凸显。财报显示,一季度小米研发投入达到了30亿元,同比增长61.0%。</p>\n<p>核心技术能力的提升,带来的是小米整体高端产能的全面提升及产品能力的大幅进步。具体体现到产品上,小米11系列高端产品就有十多项全球首发。目前,小米在相机、音频、射频、天线、电磁兼容、基带、结构、光学、触控、热设计、功耗、电池、可靠性、软件稳定性等十几个学科领域均拥有国际领先的试验能力。</p>\n<p>比如,小米在无限充电技术上,已经实现全球领跑。3月底,在小米11系列产品发布会上,小米全球首发了硅氧负极电池。高能量密度、高寿命、高性能的硅氧负极电池,再次提升了新的行业门槛。再比如,小米的第三代屏下前摄方案已经达到了量产商用标准,在行业处于领先优势。</p>\n<p>巨额的研发投入下,小米研发成果正在不断落地。今年3月上市的小米超高端旗舰机型MIX FOLD,采用2K+全面折叠屏、液态镜头等多项黑科技,售价9999元起,将科技创新与性价比做到了完美。</p>\n<p>可见,小米手机的高端化是以技术作为支撑的高端。技术能力的突破,带来小米产能效率的提升以及产品体验、品质的提升,将持续为小米打开新的高端增长空间打下坚实的基础。而小米以技术定义的高端化,也将使高端手机的竞争进入新的阶段。</p>\n<p>与此同时,小米“手机×AIoT”战略进入了快速收获期。正在有越来越多的消费者,因为小米选择了小米智能家居;越来越多的消费者,因为小米智能家居的潜力,选择小米手机。2021年3月,人工智能助理“小爱同学”月活跃用户数达到9300万;米家APP的月活跃用户数同比增长22.8%,达到4920万。3月底,小米官宣造车,手机×AIoT+造车,能碰撞出怎样的火花,给人以无限遐想。</p>\n<p>长期以来,线上一直是小米的主场,并实现了一季度手机线上市场份额翻倍增长。一季度,小米加快了小米之家线下门店扩张步伐,截至4月底突破5500家。</p>\n<p>最初小米主攻线上,有利于节约成本,节省出更多的性价比。如今,小米AIoT大量爆款商品落地,三线以下下沉市场对小米AIoT家居设备的消费需求不断上涨。一家小米之家同时卖手机和家居设备,既可以满足消费者切实需求,同时相较只卖手机也可以有效降低营销成本。这成为小米手机品牌的独特优势。</p>","source":"lsy1571439018386","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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}\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n小米的成长与突围:技术驱动向高端突围\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-29 14:47 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/w6a0xe3q02DwKBofdkhDJA><strong>中国经营报</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>近日,小米好消息接连不断。\n5月26日,小米集团创始人、董事长兼首席执行官雷军发微博称,“美东时间5月25日下午4时09分,美国哥伦比亚特区地方法院颁发了最终判决,解除了美国国防部门对于本公司‘中国军方公司’的认定,正式撤销了美国投资者购买或持有该公司证券的全部限制。”\n这意味着持续近4个月的诉讼终于得到了解决。消息公布后,小米26日早盘跳空高开于28.25港元/股,最高上探至28.50港元/股。...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/w6a0xe3q02DwKBofdkhDJA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3df686d3a6ca977e8c6841905eb7e18c","relate_stocks":{"01810":"小米集团-W"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/w6a0xe3q02DwKBofdkhDJA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125469611","content_text":"近日,小米好消息接连不断。\n5月26日,小米集团创始人、董事长兼首席执行官雷军发微博称,“美东时间5月25日下午4时09分,美国哥伦比亚特区地方法院颁发了最终判决,解除了美国国防部门对于本公司‘中国军方公司’的认定,正式撤销了美国投资者购买或持有该公司证券的全部限制。”\n这意味着持续近4个月的诉讼终于得到了解决。消息公布后,小米26日早盘跳空高开于28.25港元/股,最高上探至28.50港元/股。\n值得一提的是,5月26日,小米还公布了2021年第一季度业绩报告。同时,发布了Redmi Note 10系列手机。\n小米胜诉\n笔者了解到,1 月 14 日,美国政府部门将小米等 9 家中国企业列入所谓“与中国军方相关”的黑名单中,阻止美国投资者对这些企业进行投资。美国东部时间 1 月 29 日,小米集团在美国哥伦比亚特区地方法院起诉美国国防部门和美国财政部门。\n当时,小米发布公告称,公司注意到,美国将本公司列入相关清单。小米在公告中称,公司一直坚持合法合规经营,并遵守经营地的相关法律法规,其服务和产品皆用于民用或商用。公司将采取合适的措施保护公司和股东的利益。小米在当时的公告中强调:“目前运转一切正常。”\n今年3月,小米公司发布声明称,美国法院已颁布临时禁令,暂停了把小米认定为中国涉军企业的行政命令。\n26日,雷军在微博称“我们赢了。”同日,“小米被移出美国制裁清单”话题已登上微博热搜第二位,引发网友热议。\n小米的胜诉,标志着中国科技企业在与美国政府部门的交锋中获得了“罕见的胜利”,毕竟中美两国在贸易等问题上存在不少分歧。这对于中国企业而言,是在国际上捍卫自身权益的好兆头。\n“突围”高端\n小米2021年第一季度财报显示,2021第一季度,小米集团总收入769亿元,增长54.7%,营收和利润再创历史新高。其中,手机高端效应进一步凸显,成为推动小米业绩提升的重要推动力。\n同时,高端产品业绩爆发及高端产品矩阵的逐渐丰富表明,小米手机已经成功站稳高端市场。未来,小米高端系列产品将持续为小米集团注入更大的增长动能和空间。\n小米集团合伙人、总裁王翔在电话会议上称,“我们的总收入和调整后净利都是创造了小米历史上单季的历史新高。第一季度,智能手机出货量排名稳居全球第三名,市场占有率达到了14.1%,出货同比增长62%,在主要厂商中依然维持了较快的增速。这个季度,手机业务的成绩最主要得益于我们在高端市场不断巩固的地位。”\n长久以来,“性价比”一直是小米的金字招牌,小米也因此吸引了大量年轻用户。可资本市场更看重利润,并因为小米手机性价比高,利润低,最初股价也迟迟没有表现,直到2020年才快速改观。\n透过今年一季报可以看到,小米高端手机显著增长,并在市场份额上占据优势。财报显示,一季度小米手机在中国内地定价在人民币3000元或以上及境外定价在300欧元及以上的智能手机全球出货量超过了400万台。此外,根据第三方数据,小米手机中国内地定价在人民币4000元至6000元区间的智能手机市场份额,由去年同期的5.5%提升至本季度的16.1%。\n据了解,3月份,小米发布了3款高端手机,小米11Pro,小米11ULtra和MIXFOLD。从1月份到4月份,包括Mi 11、Mi 11Pro和Ultra在内的几款手机全球累计的订单数突破了300万台。同时,小米11系列在中国内地市场4000~6000元的安卓手机系列里面销量排名第一名。\n中低端手机争夺份额,高端手机赚取利润。小米一季度净利润破纪录,小米高端手机的出色表现功不可没,这也意味着小米在高端手机领域已站稳脚跟。\n值得一提的是,除了线上销售渠道保持优势外,小米线下渠道短板正在被快速弥补。截至4月底,小米之家线下门店数突破5500家。\n创新驱动成长\n王翔在电话会议上称,小米之所以能够在高端市场取得还不错的成绩,最主要得益于技术创新。“举几个例子,我一直在讲我们在几个季度里面持续的研发投入,首先在相机领域里面,Ultra在DXOMARK评分里面143分,整个全球专业手机相机的排行榜排第一名。同时,我们还首发了GN2的影像传感器,这也是目前业内最大比的图像传感器。在充电方面,小米11Ultra首发了硅氧负极电池,手机触电更加快,机身更轻薄,也支持67瓦的无线闪充,在无线充电行业里面也树立一系列的典范。”\n和以往靠“性价比”驱动成长不同,小米产品性价比依然存在,但技术和创新在助力小米业绩成长上的作用愈发凸显。财报显示,一季度小米研发投入达到了30亿元,同比增长61.0%。\n核心技术能力的提升,带来的是小米整体高端产能的全面提升及产品能力的大幅进步。具体体现到产品上,小米11系列高端产品就有十多项全球首发。目前,小米在相机、音频、射频、天线、电磁兼容、基带、结构、光学、触控、热设计、功耗、电池、可靠性、软件稳定性等十几个学科领域均拥有国际领先的试验能力。\n比如,小米在无限充电技术上,已经实现全球领跑。3月底,在小米11系列产品发布会上,小米全球首发了硅氧负极电池。高能量密度、高寿命、高性能的硅氧负极电池,再次提升了新的行业门槛。再比如,小米的第三代屏下前摄方案已经达到了量产商用标准,在行业处于领先优势。\n巨额的研发投入下,小米研发成果正在不断落地。今年3月上市的小米超高端旗舰机型MIX FOLD,采用2K+全面折叠屏、液态镜头等多项黑科技,售价9999元起,将科技创新与性价比做到了完美。\n可见,小米手机的高端化是以技术作为支撑的高端。技术能力的突破,带来小米产能效率的提升以及产品体验、品质的提升,将持续为小米打开新的高端增长空间打下坚实的基础。而小米以技术定义的高端化,也将使高端手机的竞争进入新的阶段。\n与此同时,小米“手机×AIoT”战略进入了快速收获期。正在有越来越多的消费者,因为小米选择了小米智能家居;越来越多的消费者,因为小米智能家居的潜力,选择小米手机。2021年3月,人工智能助理“小爱同学”月活跃用户数达到9300万;米家APP的月活跃用户数同比增长22.8%,达到4920万。3月底,小米官宣造车,手机×AIoT+造车,能碰撞出怎样的火花,给人以无限遐想。\n长期以来,线上一直是小米的主场,并实现了一季度手机线上市场份额翻倍增长。一季度,小米加快了小米之家线下门店扩张步伐,截至4月底突破5500家。\n最初小米主攻线上,有利于节约成本,节省出更多的性价比。如今,小米AIoT大量爆款商品落地,三线以下下沉市场对小米AIoT家居设备的消费需求不断上涨。一家小米之家同时卖手机和家居设备,既可以满足消费者切实需求,同时相较只卖手机也可以有效降低营销成本。这成为小米手机品牌的独特优势。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":567,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":135961579,"gmtCreate":1622126489191,"gmtModify":1634183608305,"author":{"id":"3580198709429253","authorId":"3580198709429253","name":"薇笑达人","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88c5245bf9912b327baf5da6122aad18","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580198709429253","authorIdStr":"3580198709429253"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑] 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","text":"[呆住]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/130142624","repostId":"1196239722","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1196239722","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621519482,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1196239722?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-20 22:04","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"被吐槽抽成过高,是滴滴和美团们的“宿命”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196239722","media":"极客公园","summary":"证明商业逻辑之后,平台面临的也许是更高维度的问题。\n\n美团开始发生变化。\n近日,美团与饿了么就被曝出调整抽佣规则,商家每单的抽成被拆成了技术服务费和履约服务费两部分。其中,技术服务费(佣金)的构成,主","content":"<blockquote>\n 证明商业逻辑之后,平台面临的也许是更高维度的问题。\n</blockquote>\n<p>美团开始发生变化。</p>\n<p>近日,美团与饿了么就被曝出调整抽佣规则,商家每单的抽成被拆成了技术服务费和履约服务费两部分。其中,技术服务费(佣金)的构成,主要包括商家信息展示服务、交易服务、商服及客服服务、IT 运维等服务的费用,按固定比例收取。而履约服务费,主要用于支付骑手的工资、补贴、人员培训管理等费用。</p>\n<p>此前,外卖行业的佣金费率在 20%~25% 左右,但抽成比例是固定的,而此次调整内容里,履约服务费是动态的,受订单价格、配送距离、配送时段影响而实时变化。</p>\n<p>已经有商家摸清了这次费率调整的目标,据了解,在费率调整的情况下,近距离高客单价的商家抽成明显降低。</p>\n<p>一个例子是,更换新费率之后,三公里之内的佣金成本明显减少,整体计算下来,商家每月能节省不少成本。更新费率对高质量的商户也很友好,一定程度上遏制了低成本、刷量起来的低端门店。整体来看,费率的调整于商家、于平台都是合理的。</p>\n<p>针对抽成而被吐槽的问题早已有之,即便美团外卖在费率上有了动态调整,现在依然有不少商家认为抽成有可能比之前更多,比如部分远距离低客单外卖的抽成,可能因此在提高。</p>\n<p>美团并没有公开透露抽佣规则的细节,但另一家互联网平台之前的现身说法,有利于理解互联网平台被集中质疑的问题到底是怎么回事。</p>\n<p>前不久针对有人曝出滴滴出行抽成过高,抽成比例在 30%-40% 不等,甚至有订单抽成超过 45% 的问题,滴滴做了一次近乎「自曝型」的解释,这成了一个研究平台抽佣问题的样本。</p>\n<p><b>平台怎么抽成?</b></p>\n<p>滴滴出行的核心业务——网约车业务在 2020 年宣布盈利,而就在 2018 年,程维在在一封写给员工的内部信上说:「6 年来我们还没有实现过盈利,合计亏损约 390 亿元,其中在 2017 年主营业务亏损了 2 亿多美元。」盈利的一个原因,就是佣金比例的增长。</p>\n<p>2019 年 4 月与 2021 年 5 月,滴滴分别对消费者关心的平台抽成问题给出了回应。这也许是第一家非上市公司透露自己的核心商业模式,同时我们也能看出滴滴盈利的「秘密」。</p>\n<p>滴滴公开抽成规则,也许是行业第一次 | <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000681\">视觉中国</a></p>\n<p>2019 年,当时任滴滴网约车执行总裁的陈熙在滴滴的「有问必答」栏目中对抽成问题给出回应,他介绍,滴滴网约车业务平均抽成为 19%,用作返给司机的奖励占总流水的 7%。</p>\n<p>而在最近一次回应中,滴滴公布的 2020 年网约车业务数据显示,滴滴网约车司机收入占乘客应付总额的 79.1%,那么也就代表着,滴滴的抽成已经涨到 20.9%。</p>\n<p>佣金上涨,带来的结果自然是营收数据变得好看。滴滴并未公布具体的营收数据,但 2020 年滴滴公布的数据中,3.1% 为网约车业务净利润,这个数字在 2018 年第四季度为-2%。</p>\n<p>那么问题来了,一直被诟病的抽成问题,从官方给出的数据来看,并没有涨到夸张的地步。不到三年的时间里,抽成比例仅仅涨了不到 2%,而在抽成微涨之后,滴滴却能扭亏为盈,由此看来,抽成变高的确带来了更高的收入,但滴滴盈利背后的原因,远没有提高抽成这么简单。</p>\n<p><b>核心在于成本</b></p>\n<p>从下图中不难看出,滴滴在网约车的收入与支出都由多重因素绑定,是一个动态调整的过程。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a40cbcf29bb7930e47778f0766b53d9a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"451\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>2018 年第四季度滴滴网约车平台抽成详情,可以看出滴当时还处于亏损状态 | 滴滴出行</p>\n<p>以 2018 年 Q4 为例,滴滴的网约车订单以乘客实际支付车费总额为参照,其中平均服务费率(即抽成)占比 19%,用作返给司机的奖励占总流水的 7%;业务运营成本达到 10%,纳税、在线支付手续费等刚性成本,约占 4%。计算下来,滴滴网约车业务各项成本费用总和还要高于平均服务费率,导致其亏损 2%。</p>\n<p>其中,司机奖励指的是对司机进行的补贴,在出行高峰时段或者需求旺盛的区域激励司机多劳多得、优劳优得。业务运营成本则包含了安全保障、技术研发、客服、人力、线下运营等等。当然,亏损的 2% 由滴滴网约车业务来承担,需要从之前融资的资金拿出一部分来弥补。</p>\n<p>滴滴方面也提到,这种状态无法长期持续,否则总有一天会因为资金消耗完而不能继续正常运营。所以在近两年后,我们看到了转机。</p>\n<p>相比 2018 年 Q4,今年滴滴公布的数据在统计口径上有些许差异,计算的是司机收入占比。79.1% 的司机收入包括司机补贴与司机分成两部分,在 20.9% 的抽成里,给到乘客的补贴占 10.9%,经营成本、支付手续费、代垫费用等成本占 6.9%,最后 3.1% 则是网约车业务的净利润。</p>\n<p>简单来说,平台最终拼的是低利润率上的「大规模」,其真正的利润率并不高。</p>\n<p><b>2020 年滴滴网约车「抽成」达到 20.9% | 滴滴出行</b></p>\n<p>对比下来很容易发现,在保证增长的情况下,滴滴能盈利是靠补贴减少与成本降低两点来实现的。</p>\n<p>其中,司机补贴进一步降低,符合如今互联网平台不再烧钱换增长的策略。2018 年滴滴创始人兼 CEO 程维曾在内部信中提到,滴滴出行业务对应 GMV 的平均 TakeRate(抽成)约为 16%,全部返还给司机与消费者;现在补贴正在逐渐收窄,恰说明滴滴的出行业务回归到比较正常的商业当中来。</p>\n<p>成本降低则是实现盈利的一招「杀手锏」。可以看到,在 2018 年 Q4,滴滴的业务经营成本与支付手续费等刚性成本共占据总流水的 14%,2021 年已经压缩到 6.9%,降低超过 50%。</p>\n<p>成本压缩的背后,一定程度代表着效率的提升。在规模效应下,滴滴把它的核心业务已经运营到成熟的地步,同时也给市场打了一剂强心针,用盈利证明网约车的确能够赚到钱。</p>\n<p>需要注意的是,滴滴官方给出的数据为平均值,每笔订单抽成会因多种因素而发生变化。</p>\n<p>滴滴方面称,当一个订单成功匹配后,司机和乘客根据单独的计价规则分别计算车费。由于受不同城市、订单距离长短、时间长短、路况拥堵等因素影响,司机收入占乘客应付车费的比例也不一致。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/390a7334f7b5eb1fa627cf57a6ac7c01\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1566\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>司机端与用户端的计价规则不同,导致抽成的计算方式也会发生变化 | 滴滴出行</p>\n<p><b>从解决商业问题到解决社会问题,是大平台的宿命</b></p>\n<p>互联网平台的崛起,说明了他们切入的是个巨大的市场,但不意味着这门生意好做。</p>\n<p>说白了,无论是滴滴还是美团,平台做的是大生意,也是「苦」生意。今天最难的是在保全各方利益的情况下,还要保证生意做得下去。</p>\n<p>截至 2018 年底,滴滴累计亏损 390 亿元,尚未盈利;近期公布的 3.1% 净利润,也仅能代表滴滴在核心业务上的一个拐点,离全面盈利还有很长的路要走。</p>\n<p>根据时长与出行距离而决定的交易金额是基本固定的,平台可以对佣金比例进行深入挖掘,但它存在天花板,比如超过 30% 的抽成,就成为了网约车司机与滴滴平台的矛盾所在。此外,对于乘客和司机端的补贴,也需要持续运营。</p>\n<p>而通过对数据的运营优化等手段,平台证明了自己能够进一步降低运营成本,进而控制佣金收入,保证平台发展、用户与客户三方体验的平衡。2020 年核心业务赚了一点小钱的滴滴,和 2019 年才实现全年盈利的美团都诠释了商业上成立的逻辑。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93469ac246d9676c280749e39908cbb\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>平台证明商业逻辑之后,面临的是更高维度的问题 | 视觉中国</p>\n<p>但如今平台需要关注的问题,商业或许已经没有办法能够解释。局部的抽成问题今天之所以引起如此多的关注,与舆论对于互联网平台的不信任感增加,是有密切联系的。</p>\n<p>滴滴出行网约车公司 CEO、司机生态发展委员会主任孙枢在公布 2020 年的司机收入时也提到,确实存在一部分司机收入占比较低的订单,如顺路单;其中,抽成高于 30% 的订单占总订单的 2.7%。以 2019 年晚点 LatePost 获悉的滴滴网约车 2400 万日单量来计算,影响到的司机很可能在数十万量级。由此可见,占比极小的特殊订单,在舆论中也会被无限放大,变成人们质疑的有力证据。</p>\n<p>商业层面上的小系统,是平台建立了与消费者的双边价值关系。但是当平台的体量变大之后,它们其实需要面对的是极其复杂而多边的社会问题,是一个更大的系统。</p>\n<p>当进入到大系统里,任何一个商业上看未来的「小问题」,都有可能被社会无限放大。即便平台解决了 99% 的问题,剩下的 1% 的问题依然能够影响成千上万人,而后者的不满,则有可能让之前的 99% 问题解决功亏一篑。</p>\n<p>很显然,所有对大平台的质疑中,都很难证明大平台是「破坏性」甚至「无良」的。他们也有他们的艰难。</p>\n<p>真正的真相是,大平台还没能意识到,也还缺乏能力,在面对商业的「小系统问题」转移到到社会的「大系统问题」之时,可以迅速的思维视角切换,与「解题算法」迭代。</p>\n<p>比如对于商业问题视角下可以忽略的那些「局部」、「特例」、「小问题」,互联网平台们,越来越需要站到社会问题的视角去较真儿地解决。这是大平台的宿命,是对每个平台的必然考验。</p>","source":"jkgy","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>被吐槽抽成过高,是滴滴和美团们的“宿命”</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n被吐槽抽成过高,是滴滴和美团们的“宿命”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-20 22:04 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/f_w6vaUxy6vWFngr1RUKqw><strong>极客公园</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>证明商业逻辑之后,平台面临的也许是更高维度的问题。\n\n美团开始发生变化。\n近日,美团与饿了么就被曝出调整抽佣规则,商家每单的抽成被拆成了技术服务费和履约服务费两部分。其中,技术服务费(佣金)的构成,主要包括商家信息展示服务、交易服务、商服及客服服务、IT 运维等服务的费用,按固定比例收取。而履约服务费,主要用于支付骑手的工资、补贴、人员培训管理等费用。\n此前,外卖行业的佣金费率在 20%~25% ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/f_w6vaUxy6vWFngr1RUKqw\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1238455e09ac8d1135014cb37eb0f4d","relate_stocks":{"03690":"美团-W","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/f_w6vaUxy6vWFngr1RUKqw","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196239722","content_text":"证明商业逻辑之后,平台面临的也许是更高维度的问题。\n\n美团开始发生变化。\n近日,美团与饿了么就被曝出调整抽佣规则,商家每单的抽成被拆成了技术服务费和履约服务费两部分。其中,技术服务费(佣金)的构成,主要包括商家信息展示服务、交易服务、商服及客服服务、IT 运维等服务的费用,按固定比例收取。而履约服务费,主要用于支付骑手的工资、补贴、人员培训管理等费用。\n此前,外卖行业的佣金费率在 20%~25% 左右,但抽成比例是固定的,而此次调整内容里,履约服务费是动态的,受订单价格、配送距离、配送时段影响而实时变化。\n已经有商家摸清了这次费率调整的目标,据了解,在费率调整的情况下,近距离高客单价的商家抽成明显降低。\n一个例子是,更换新费率之后,三公里之内的佣金成本明显减少,整体计算下来,商家每月能节省不少成本。更新费率对高质量的商户也很友好,一定程度上遏制了低成本、刷量起来的低端门店。整体来看,费率的调整于商家、于平台都是合理的。\n针对抽成而被吐槽的问题早已有之,即便美团外卖在费率上有了动态调整,现在依然有不少商家认为抽成有可能比之前更多,比如部分远距离低客单外卖的抽成,可能因此在提高。\n美团并没有公开透露抽佣规则的细节,但另一家互联网平台之前的现身说法,有利于理解互联网平台被集中质疑的问题到底是怎么回事。\n前不久针对有人曝出滴滴出行抽成过高,抽成比例在 30%-40% 不等,甚至有订单抽成超过 45% 的问题,滴滴做了一次近乎「自曝型」的解释,这成了一个研究平台抽佣问题的样本。\n平台怎么抽成?\n滴滴出行的核心业务——网约车业务在 2020 年宣布盈利,而就在 2018 年,程维在在一封写给员工的内部信上说:「6 年来我们还没有实现过盈利,合计亏损约 390 亿元,其中在 2017 年主营业务亏损了 2 亿多美元。」盈利的一个原因,就是佣金比例的增长。\n2019 年 4 月与 2021 年 5 月,滴滴分别对消费者关心的平台抽成问题给出了回应。这也许是第一家非上市公司透露自己的核心商业模式,同时我们也能看出滴滴盈利的「秘密」。\n滴滴公开抽成规则,也许是行业第一次 | 视觉中国\n2019 年,当时任滴滴网约车执行总裁的陈熙在滴滴的「有问必答」栏目中对抽成问题给出回应,他介绍,滴滴网约车业务平均抽成为 19%,用作返给司机的奖励占总流水的 7%。\n而在最近一次回应中,滴滴公布的 2020 年网约车业务数据显示,滴滴网约车司机收入占乘客应付总额的 79.1%,那么也就代表着,滴滴的抽成已经涨到 20.9%。\n佣金上涨,带来的结果自然是营收数据变得好看。滴滴并未公布具体的营收数据,但 2020 年滴滴公布的数据中,3.1% 为网约车业务净利润,这个数字在 2018 年第四季度为-2%。\n那么问题来了,一直被诟病的抽成问题,从官方给出的数据来看,并没有涨到夸张的地步。不到三年的时间里,抽成比例仅仅涨了不到 2%,而在抽成微涨之后,滴滴却能扭亏为盈,由此看来,抽成变高的确带来了更高的收入,但滴滴盈利背后的原因,远没有提高抽成这么简单。\n核心在于成本\n从下图中不难看出,滴滴在网约车的收入与支出都由多重因素绑定,是一个动态调整的过程。\n\n2018 年第四季度滴滴网约车平台抽成详情,可以看出滴当时还处于亏损状态 | 滴滴出行\n以 2018 年 Q4 为例,滴滴的网约车订单以乘客实际支付车费总额为参照,其中平均服务费率(即抽成)占比 19%,用作返给司机的奖励占总流水的 7%;业务运营成本达到 10%,纳税、在线支付手续费等刚性成本,约占 4%。计算下来,滴滴网约车业务各项成本费用总和还要高于平均服务费率,导致其亏损 2%。\n其中,司机奖励指的是对司机进行的补贴,在出行高峰时段或者需求旺盛的区域激励司机多劳多得、优劳优得。业务运营成本则包含了安全保障、技术研发、客服、人力、线下运营等等。当然,亏损的 2% 由滴滴网约车业务来承担,需要从之前融资的资金拿出一部分来弥补。\n滴滴方面也提到,这种状态无法长期持续,否则总有一天会因为资金消耗完而不能继续正常运营。所以在近两年后,我们看到了转机。\n相比 2018 年 Q4,今年滴滴公布的数据在统计口径上有些许差异,计算的是司机收入占比。79.1% 的司机收入包括司机补贴与司机分成两部分,在 20.9% 的抽成里,给到乘客的补贴占 10.9%,经营成本、支付手续费、代垫费用等成本占 6.9%,最后 3.1% 则是网约车业务的净利润。\n简单来说,平台最终拼的是低利润率上的「大规模」,其真正的利润率并不高。\n2020 年滴滴网约车「抽成」达到 20.9% | 滴滴出行\n对比下来很容易发现,在保证增长的情况下,滴滴能盈利是靠补贴减少与成本降低两点来实现的。\n其中,司机补贴进一步降低,符合如今互联网平台不再烧钱换增长的策略。2018 年滴滴创始人兼 CEO 程维曾在内部信中提到,滴滴出行业务对应 GMV 的平均 TakeRate(抽成)约为 16%,全部返还给司机与消费者;现在补贴正在逐渐收窄,恰说明滴滴的出行业务回归到比较正常的商业当中来。\n成本降低则是实现盈利的一招「杀手锏」。可以看到,在 2018 年 Q4,滴滴的业务经营成本与支付手续费等刚性成本共占据总流水的 14%,2021 年已经压缩到 6.9%,降低超过 50%。\n成本压缩的背后,一定程度代表着效率的提升。在规模效应下,滴滴把它的核心业务已经运营到成熟的地步,同时也给市场打了一剂强心针,用盈利证明网约车的确能够赚到钱。\n需要注意的是,滴滴官方给出的数据为平均值,每笔订单抽成会因多种因素而发生变化。\n滴滴方面称,当一个订单成功匹配后,司机和乘客根据单独的计价规则分别计算车费。由于受不同城市、订单距离长短、时间长短、路况拥堵等因素影响,司机收入占乘客应付车费的比例也不一致。\n\n司机端与用户端的计价规则不同,导致抽成的计算方式也会发生变化 | 滴滴出行\n从解决商业问题到解决社会问题,是大平台的宿命\n互联网平台的崛起,说明了他们切入的是个巨大的市场,但不意味着这门生意好做。\n说白了,无论是滴滴还是美团,平台做的是大生意,也是「苦」生意。今天最难的是在保全各方利益的情况下,还要保证生意做得下去。\n截至 2018 年底,滴滴累计亏损 390 亿元,尚未盈利;近期公布的 3.1% 净利润,也仅能代表滴滴在核心业务上的一个拐点,离全面盈利还有很长的路要走。\n根据时长与出行距离而决定的交易金额是基本固定的,平台可以对佣金比例进行深入挖掘,但它存在天花板,比如超过 30% 的抽成,就成为了网约车司机与滴滴平台的矛盾所在。此外,对于乘客和司机端的补贴,也需要持续运营。\n而通过对数据的运营优化等手段,平台证明了自己能够进一步降低运营成本,进而控制佣金收入,保证平台发展、用户与客户三方体验的平衡。2020 年核心业务赚了一点小钱的滴滴,和 2019 年才实现全年盈利的美团都诠释了商业上成立的逻辑。\n\n平台证明商业逻辑之后,面临的是更高维度的问题 | 视觉中国\n但如今平台需要关注的问题,商业或许已经没有办法能够解释。局部的抽成问题今天之所以引起如此多的关注,与舆论对于互联网平台的不信任感增加,是有密切联系的。\n滴滴出行网约车公司 CEO、司机生态发展委员会主任孙枢在公布 2020 年的司机收入时也提到,确实存在一部分司机收入占比较低的订单,如顺路单;其中,抽成高于 30% 的订单占总订单的 2.7%。以 2019 年晚点 LatePost 获悉的滴滴网约车 2400 万日单量来计算,影响到的司机很可能在数十万量级。由此可见,占比极小的特殊订单,在舆论中也会被无限放大,变成人们质疑的有力证据。\n商业层面上的小系统,是平台建立了与消费者的双边价值关系。但是当平台的体量变大之后,它们其实需要面对的是极其复杂而多边的社会问题,是一个更大的系统。\n当进入到大系统里,任何一个商业上看未来的「小问题」,都有可能被社会无限放大。即便平台解决了 99% 的问题,剩下的 1% 的问题依然能够影响成千上万人,而后者的不满,则有可能让之前的 99% 问题解决功亏一篑。\n很显然,所有对大平台的质疑中,都很难证明大平台是「破坏性」甚至「无良」的。他们也有他们的艰难。\n真正的真相是,大平台还没能意识到,也还缺乏能力,在面对商业的「小系统问题」转移到到社会的「大系统问题」之时,可以迅速的思维视角切换,与「解题算法」迭代。\n比如对于商业问题视角下可以忽略的那些「局部」、「特例」、「小问题」,互联网平台们,越来越需要站到社会问题的视角去较真儿地解决。这是大平台的宿命,是对每个平台的必然考验。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":560,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":196934011,"gmtCreate":1621003973233,"gmtModify":1634194614190,"author":{"id":"3580198709429253","authorId":"3580198709429253","name":"薇笑达人","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88c5245bf9912b327baf5da6122aad18","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580198709429253","authorIdStr":"3580198709429253"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好像可以[财迷] ","listText":"好像可以[财迷] 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pop[丢脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/191391005","repostId":"1171153372","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171153372","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620832819,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171153372?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-12 23:20","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉变身“黑天鹅”,新能源汽车泡沫已破?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171153372","media":"华夏时报","summary":"对新势力来说,这次股市的洗礼无疑是一场及时雨。","content":"<div>\n<p>作者:翟亚男“水能载舟,亦能覆舟”,曾经在美股市场被资本捧上天的新能源汽车股,正在被迅速“打回原形”。经历近期的多轮震荡下行,特斯拉股价已从900.4美元最高点跌至617.2美元;蔚来在1月31日股价曾冲到66.99美元高点,目前下挫至34.85美元;小鹏则由去年11月的74.49美元高点下跌至25美元;理想则由47.7美元高点下挫至17美元。中美新能源汽车股为何集体暴跌?自2020年以来,特斯拉...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.chinatimes.net.cn/article/107091.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"hxsb","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉变身“黑天鹅”,新能源汽车泡沫已破?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-12 23:20 北京时间 <a href=https://www.chinatimes.net.cn/article/107091.html><strong>华夏时报</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>作者:翟亚男“水能载舟,亦能覆舟”,曾经在美股市场被资本捧上天的新能源汽车股,正在被迅速“打回原形”。经历近期的多轮震荡下行,特斯拉股价已从900.4美元最高点跌至617.2美元;蔚来在1月31日股价曾冲到66.99美元高点,目前下挫至34.85美元;小鹏则由去年11月的74.49美元高点下跌至25美元;理想则由47.7美元高点下挫至17美元。中美新能源汽车股为何集体暴跌?自2020年以来,特斯拉...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.chinatimes.net.cn/article/107091.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccf08a65163213fb22b4f94f7fb404e8","relate_stocks":{"LI":"理想汽车","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.chinatimes.net.cn/article/107091.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171153372","content_text":"作者:翟亚男“水能载舟,亦能覆舟”,曾经在美股市场被资本捧上天的新能源汽车股,正在被迅速“打回原形”。经历近期的多轮震荡下行,特斯拉股价已从900.4美元最高点跌至617.2美元;蔚来在1月31日股价曾冲到66.99美元高点,目前下挫至34.85美元;小鹏则由去年11月的74.49美元高点下跌至25美元;理想则由47.7美元高点下挫至17美元。中美新能源汽车股为何集体暴跌?自2020年以来,特斯拉、蔚来、理想、小鹏股价都出现了暴涨,特斯拉的涨幅超过10倍,蔚来涨幅超过30倍,理想和小鹏上市当年也出现了5倍左右的涨幅。对于这样暴涨,去年年底,业内就曾发出过“新能源汽车股泡沫已经出现”的警示。从“巨鳄”变身“黑天鹅”特斯拉市值蒸发超3000亿受各种因素影响,仅本周两个交易日特斯拉市值已蒸发约3700亿元。最新销量数据显示,特斯拉中国4月销量环比下降27.15%,为25845辆,相比3月少了近万辆。特斯拉给出的理由是,今年4月上海超级工厂Model Y生产线受升级产线设备影响,停工两周,影响了一定生产效率与质量。不过,特斯拉4月销量中包含了出口的14714辆,出口占比达到56.9%,国内销量大幅缩水是不争的事实。其实,特斯拉自4月上海车展“车闹”事件后,一直处在舆论的风口浪尖。近日,特斯拉上海工厂扩建计划由被按下“暂停键”。据路透社消息,由于中美紧张局势造成的不确定性,特斯拉已暂停购买土地以扩大其上海工厂并使其成为全球出口中心的计划。对此,特斯拉方面仍表示其上海工厂正在“按计划发展”。一直以来,特斯拉在全球新能源车市占据了绝对的领导地位。但近期全球多地都报道了特斯拉的事故问题,让特斯拉的品牌形象大大受挫。不仅如此,特斯拉曾引以为傲的FSD(完全自动驾驶能力)技术,也在近期特斯拉写给加州机动车管理局的邮件中暴露了其真实面目。这个象征着特斯拉科技实力的FSD技术,一直是支撑着特斯拉销量领先和天价市值的最大驱动力,随着光环的褪去,特斯拉在资本市场的热度也正在迅速消退。英国资管巨头Baillie Gifford近日在一份文件中披露,今年一季度进一步减持了特斯拉的1110万股股票,相当于特斯拉1.2%的在外流通股份,使其持股在去年年底的基础上减少了40%。Baillie Gifford曾经是特斯拉的最大外部股东,持股仅次于马斯克,目前仍持有特斯拉的1622万股股票,相当于约1.7%股份,是该公司第五大股东。该基金一季度还出售了蔚来汽车的约1590万股股票,将其持股削减了14%,目前仍持有蔚来7.12%的股份。该基金增持了疫苗生产商Moderna的股份,买入约2100万股,持股增至11.3%。此外,该基金还出售了亚马逊、谷歌母公司Alphabet和Facebook部分股份,买入了包括理想汽车在内的部分股票。理想、小鹏逼近破发新势力短期承压巨大“蔚来、理想和小鹏的销量增长、营收规模与股价的增幅并不匹配。特斯拉都在下跌,其他三家股价下跌是很正常的。新能源车市场存在很大的泡沫,逐步刺破、释放一些,让股价回归理性并不是坏事。” 有业内人士表示。从2020年交付量看,蔚来2020年交付了43728辆,小鹏交付了27041辆,理想交付了32624辆。虽然三家同比都实现了翻倍增长,但合计仍不到11万辆。理想汽车的发行价为11.5美元,小鹏汽车发行价为15美元,两家目前的股价分别是17美元和25美元,已逼近破发。去年年底至今,造车新势力股价发生巨幅波动,这与“股市风向标”高瓴公布的持仓结构变动几乎同步发生。2020年第三季度,高瓴资本新进买入蔚来、理想汽车、小鹏汽车3家中国造车新势力头部企业,持仓合计近1亿美元,开启了新能源汽车又一轮阶段性高涨的序幕。截止到2020年12月31日,蔚来、小鹏汽车、理想汽车三家公司的股价相对于第三季度末,涨幅分别高达130%、113%和66%。而仅仅三个月之后,高瓴资本清仓了蔚来、小鹏汽车、理想汽车的全部股份,造车新势力股价随之应声回落。可以说,新势力们在股市的高光时刻已经过去,更加严峻的挑战已经到来。首先是产能问题,由于全球芯片短缺,蔚来在此前就受此影响而停产一周;其次,行业竞争加剧,大众、通用等传统汽车巨头开始大力拓展新能源车市场,华为、小米、360等科技巨头也纷纷入局,未来竞争更加激烈;再次是政策风险,此前因新能源汽车产业乱象频生,多家新势力遭新华社点名,部分城市也开始陆续出台一些新的限制政策。不过,从长期看,中国新能源车市场潜力巨大,投行们对于新势力的前景还是保持乐观。近日,光大证券维持对蔚来汽车“增持”评级,目标价定位50.57美元。随着蔚来出海欧洲,光大证券看好其国内与海外的双重增长可能性。此外,小鹏汽车今年4月以来有15位分析师对其做出评级,其中8人评级买入,2人评级持有,还有4人更是强烈推荐,最高目标价至68美元。理想汽车在4月同样获得了16位分析师评级,其中7人推荐买入,2人建议持有,更有6位分析师强力推荐,最高目标价至59.6美元。从现金流看,蔚来、理想和小鹏均手握充足现金,短期内股价的大幅波动并不会对其经营造成直接影响。各家最新财报显示,蔚来现金储备为475亿元,小鹏汽车现金储备约350亿元,理想现金储备接近300亿元。尽管投行分析师较为看好,但鉴于目前整体回调的趋势和大盘存在回调的风险,有专家提醒,“贸然入市抄底的风险仍然很高,况且行业的发展需要很长的时间,因此新能源车企们的价值只会慢慢显现,这需要投资者们有足够的耐心。”泡沫多了,自然会掩盖事物的本质。对新势力来说,这次股市的洗礼无疑是一场及时雨。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":553,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":193905017,"gmtCreate":1620743097839,"gmtModify":1634196655208,"author":{"id":"3580198709429253","authorId":"3580198709429253","name":"薇笑达人","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88c5245bf9912b327baf5da6122aad18","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580198709429253","authorIdStr":"3580198709429253"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[强] 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a> 了,5月10日下午,分别约谈了这俩难兄难弟,昨晚拼多多收盘大跌9%,美团截至目前大跌6%......巧了这俩我都有持仓,港股比较少,美股的多多着实挨了一记重锤。此外<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 这俩我也都持仓不少,一个赛一个的惨啊...昨晚不爽,喝了小半杯泰斯卡,让烟熏味呛呛喉咙。社区论坛里基本是一片骂声,文明一点的也大喊珍惜生命,远离中丐。虽然也很想跟着骂两句,但炒股亏的是自己的血汗钱,骂完了解决不了问题,还是得想想怎么赚回来。仔细回想下,其实中丐被骂不是第一次了。现在纳指萎靡不振,很多人骂拜登吹特朗普,然而之前特朗普怎么针对中丐,大家都忘了吗?那会除了极个别中","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a>网抑云搜 晚安 - 尚先生。是我2018年至今听得最多的几首歌之一。这周一二的股市,跌的叫人头皮发麻。如果不是拿着传统板块周期股大宗商品,而是跟我一样持有科技股、中概股比较多,那心情估计和我是差不多的,累觉不爱,关灯吃面。福无双至,祸不单行,随着<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> 靴子落地,这边监管又盯上<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a> 和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a> 了,5月10日下午,分别约谈了这俩难兄难弟,昨晚拼多多收盘大跌9%,美团截至目前大跌6%......巧了这俩我都有持仓,港股比较少,美股的多多着实挨了一记重锤。此外<a target=\"_blank\" 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对我来说大家都一样贵[流泪]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118899873","repostId":"1178466594","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1178466594","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622726268,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1178466594?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-03 21:17","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"肉搏战来了:苹果越来越“土”,国产机越来越贵","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178466594","media":"中国经营报","summary":"苹果,要下场“肉搏”国产机了吗?","content":"<p>文/荀诗林</p>\n<p>你发现了吗,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>正在越来越“土”。</p>\n<p>5月29日,苹果天猫官方旗舰店宣布将参加中国市场的“6·18”大促,iPhone 12降到5269元。不仅如此,在天猫上购买的iPhone同在官网上购买所享受的服务是一样的,支持售后,同时还能享有12期免息。</p>\n<p>值得注意的是,这是自去年10月公开发售后的首次大幅度降价。如果按照5000元的5G手机价位来看,这几乎等同于国产手机的价格了。</p>\n<p>在很多消费者的印象里,苹果手机似乎是最保值的。但从今年苹果参加“6·18”的价格来看,一切似乎都不再是如此了。苹果,要下场“肉搏”国产机了吗?</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c1275110d24bfbdd43d5b86238be001\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>苹果向下</b></p>\n<p>“如果再给我一次机会,我可能不会选择iPhone了。”</p>\n<p>肚兜(化名)是一位苹果产品的忠实爱好者,从iPhone 6开始就持续关注苹果的产品。</p>\n<p>“尤其是在自己上学的时候,对比一众国产安卓手机,买苹果的总有一种优越感。那时候,打个游戏,大家的系统不一样不互通,就感觉自己倍儿有面。”</p>\n<p>但是,肚兜感觉,近几年的产品体验越来越差,甚至感受不到同其他国产机相比的优势。</p>\n<p>“就拿我自己刚买的iPhone 12来说,首先价格不便宜,6000多块钱一部64G内存的。结果好家伙,刚到半年,人家告诉我在网上‘6·18’大促不到5000块就能拿下,这贬值得也太快了。”</p>\n<p>而且,肚兜表示,他的iPhone 12产品使用体验极差,“信号不好不说,还掉电极快,有的时候,随随便便玩个游戏就卡得跟PPT一样,真的有种花钱找罪受的感觉”。</p>\n<p>“所以今年‘6·18’即使苹果给出了这么大的折扣,我都是劝我周围的朋友,真的没有必要买。”</p>\n<p>某第三方机构的调查数据显示,在2021年第一季度5G智能手机主力机型的保值率排名中,iPhone系列机型已经低于国产手机华为和小米。其中,华为mate40 Pro的保值率在90%以上,小米11保值率为87.5%,而iPhone系列中保值率最高的iPhone 12 Pro则为85.9%。</p>\n<p>科技行业分析师陈喆表示:“值得注意的是,这个数据还是今年第一季度统计的。如果考虑到年中的‘6·18’促销活动,这意味着iPhone 12系列产品的保值率将会变得更低。”</p>\n<p>以iPhone 12为例,上市7个月,价格从6299元跌至5269元,已经很难想象出这是原本定位轻奢品的苹果手机了。</p>\n<p>自从2019年的时候,曾负责苹果零售业务的高级副总裁安吉拉·阿伦茨宣布离职,就基本宣告了苹果之前试图走轻奢品战略的失败。等到2020年的时候,苹果更是推出了号称其史上“最廉价”的系列机型iPhone 11。</p>\n<p>而中国市场作为苹果最重要的营收来源之一,在销售策略上也显得有些“特殊”。与乔布斯相比,库克似乎显得“更接地气”。这已经是苹果连续第二年参加国内的“6·18”促销活动。实际上,去年苹果第一次参加的时候就引起了热议。</p>\n<p>“去年开始苹果参加‘6·18’活动,其实有很多维度可以解释。最重要的一点就是,在刚刚放弃轻奢品的品牌战略之后,5G技术的缺失外加疫情肆虐导致苹果不得不选择走薄利多销的路子。”陈喆这样分析。</p>\n<p>在他看来,苹果的销售策略正在变得越来越“下沉”。“从苹果如今的定价模式来看,价格正在逐渐降低。不提去年的iPhone 11,单单拎出今年的iPhone 12也要比几年前的iPhone X等机型要便宜。”</p>\n<p>同样以中国市场为例,最早的时候,iPhone的首发市场并没有中国,甚至要比其他国家和地区晚上2个月。</p>\n<p>半导体行业投资人辛琪(化名)表示,这样的市场策略有好处,也有坏处,好处就是同相对低价的国产手机相对比,竞争优势更强,坏处就是一定程度上损害了自己原本的产品调性。</p>\n<p>但对于苹果而言,也许并不这么想。</p>\n<p>第三方调研机构Strategy Analytics公布的2021年一季度全球5G智能手机出货量数据显示,苹果第一季度出货量达4040万台,同比增长100%,占据了30.2%的市场份额。</p>\n<p>而苹果最新公布的一季度财报数据显示,第二财季大中华区营收高达177.28亿美元,而去年同期则只有94.55亿美元,同比增长了87%。而根据苹果公布的数据,iPhone营收占到了苹果整体业务的53.5%,潜在说明了iPhone 12系列贡献巨大。</p>\n<p>“不得不提的一个关键点就是,华为这次跌出了一季度出货量前五,主要是因为美国方面的制裁。在这一情况下,苹果降低自家产品价格,自然有利于抢占市场。”</p>\n<p>但对于国产机来说,却是另一个情况了。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aeb6dbb9ae9b6e45b42219fa4330be9b\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"412\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>国产机向上</b></p>\n<p>现实就是,国产机正在变得越来越贵。</p>\n<p>“虽然我总在吐槽苹果机,但是换国产机的冲动也不是很大,因为这玩意真的越来越贵了。”肚兜这样表示。</p>\n<p>曾经印象里的一两千元的国产机,正在逐渐改变这种“刻板印象”,尤其是今年以来新推出的5G国产手机。华为P40 4188元起,P40 Pro 5988元起;小米10 3999元起,小米10 Pro 4999元;OPPO Find X2 5499元起,Find X2 Pro 6999元。从如今国产手机的定价来看,价位基本都已经在4000元以上。</p>\n<p>第三方机构Counterpoint Research的数据显示,除拉丁美洲以外,北美洲、欧洲、非洲、中国等手机均价都呈现出上涨趋势,其中上涨幅度最高的是中国市场,上涨率13%,位居全球第一。</p>\n<p>根据外媒Techinsights对小米10手机的拆解,预估小米10 12+256GB版的综合成本为440美元,约合人民币3089元。其中<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">高通</a>骁龙865芯片成本估计为125美元,也就是说单单芯片的成本就已经超过了整部手机成本的四分之一。</p>\n<p>如果考虑一款手机销售的其他环节的附加成本,比如销售、人工等,4699元的售价似乎就显得很良心了。</p>\n<p>“所以从这个角度来看,国产手机涨价有一部分很重要的原因就是本身硬件成本的攀升,比如芯片这块,尤其是被美国上游公司技术等方面的控制,定价权不在我们自己的手里,缺少自主权。”辛琪这样说。</p>\n<p>还有第三方机构分析,对于5nm工艺的处理器的手机,芯片的成本价格最少在238美元左右,甚至还要有108美元的设计成本等,最终售价达到426美元,约2900元人民币。</p>\n<p>按照这个预估来看,这样的手机售价最后超过5000元,都是一件很自然的事情。</p>\n<p>陈喆说:“更关键的原因在于,国产手机同苹果手机在技术层面的差距越来越小,而且在苹果不断侵占国内市场份额,国产手机厂商也许走高溢价的策略才能有一条生路。”</p>\n<p>4月末的时候,华为消费者业务CEO余承东曾在社交媒体转发了一篇名为《跌倒华为,吃饱苹果》的文章,就解释说华为手机平板的国内市场高端让给了苹果,中档及低端让给了OPPO、vivo和小米等。</p>\n<p>“当中低档市场已经逐渐饱和的时候,国产智能机涨价自然也就变成了理所当然的事情了。”陈喆说。</p>","source":"lsy1571439018386","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n肉搏战来了:苹果越来越“土”,国产机越来越贵\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-03 21:17 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/xSVH6NwqR7C_16XxdPYYrA><strong>中国经营报</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>文/荀诗林\n你发现了吗,苹果正在越来越“土”。\n5月29日,苹果天猫官方旗舰店宣布将参加中国市场的“6·18”大促,iPhone 12降到5269元。不仅如此,在天猫上购买的iPhone同在官网上购买所享受的服务是一样的,支持售后,同时还能享有12期免息。\n值得注意的是,这是自去年10月公开发售后的首次大幅度降价。如果按照5000元的5G手机价位来看,这几乎等同于国产手机的价格了。\n在很多消费者的...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/xSVH6NwqR7C_16XxdPYYrA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2046c0d9a863b085802a87950fba530","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/xSVH6NwqR7C_16XxdPYYrA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178466594","content_text":"文/荀诗林\n你发现了吗,苹果正在越来越“土”。\n5月29日,苹果天猫官方旗舰店宣布将参加中国市场的“6·18”大促,iPhone 12降到5269元。不仅如此,在天猫上购买的iPhone同在官网上购买所享受的服务是一样的,支持售后,同时还能享有12期免息。\n值得注意的是,这是自去年10月公开发售后的首次大幅度降价。如果按照5000元的5G手机价位来看,这几乎等同于国产手机的价格了。\n在很多消费者的印象里,苹果手机似乎是最保值的。但从今年苹果参加“6·18”的价格来看,一切似乎都不再是如此了。苹果,要下场“肉搏”国产机了吗?\n\n苹果向下\n“如果再给我一次机会,我可能不会选择iPhone了。”\n肚兜(化名)是一位苹果产品的忠实爱好者,从iPhone 6开始就持续关注苹果的产品。\n“尤其是在自己上学的时候,对比一众国产安卓手机,买苹果的总有一种优越感。那时候,打个游戏,大家的系统不一样不互通,就感觉自己倍儿有面。”\n但是,肚兜感觉,近几年的产品体验越来越差,甚至感受不到同其他国产机相比的优势。\n“就拿我自己刚买的iPhone 12来说,首先价格不便宜,6000多块钱一部64G内存的。结果好家伙,刚到半年,人家告诉我在网上‘6·18’大促不到5000块就能拿下,这贬值得也太快了。”\n而且,肚兜表示,他的iPhone 12产品使用体验极差,“信号不好不说,还掉电极快,有的时候,随随便便玩个游戏就卡得跟PPT一样,真的有种花钱找罪受的感觉”。\n“所以今年‘6·18’即使苹果给出了这么大的折扣,我都是劝我周围的朋友,真的没有必要买。”\n某第三方机构的调查数据显示,在2021年第一季度5G智能手机主力机型的保值率排名中,iPhone系列机型已经低于国产手机华为和小米。其中,华为mate40 Pro的保值率在90%以上,小米11保值率为87.5%,而iPhone系列中保值率最高的iPhone 12 Pro则为85.9%。\n科技行业分析师陈喆表示:“值得注意的是,这个数据还是今年第一季度统计的。如果考虑到年中的‘6·18’促销活动,这意味着iPhone 12系列产品的保值率将会变得更低。”\n以iPhone 12为例,上市7个月,价格从6299元跌至5269元,已经很难想象出这是原本定位轻奢品的苹果手机了。\n自从2019年的时候,曾负责苹果零售业务的高级副总裁安吉拉·阿伦茨宣布离职,就基本宣告了苹果之前试图走轻奢品战略的失败。等到2020年的时候,苹果更是推出了号称其史上“最廉价”的系列机型iPhone 11。\n而中国市场作为苹果最重要的营收来源之一,在销售策略上也显得有些“特殊”。与乔布斯相比,库克似乎显得“更接地气”。这已经是苹果连续第二年参加国内的“6·18”促销活动。实际上,去年苹果第一次参加的时候就引起了热议。\n“去年开始苹果参加‘6·18’活动,其实有很多维度可以解释。最重要的一点就是,在刚刚放弃轻奢品的品牌战略之后,5G技术的缺失外加疫情肆虐导致苹果不得不选择走薄利多销的路子。”陈喆这样分析。\n在他看来,苹果的销售策略正在变得越来越“下沉”。“从苹果如今的定价模式来看,价格正在逐渐降低。不提去年的iPhone 11,单单拎出今年的iPhone 12也要比几年前的iPhone X等机型要便宜。”\n同样以中国市场为例,最早的时候,iPhone的首发市场并没有中国,甚至要比其他国家和地区晚上2个月。\n半导体行业投资人辛琪(化名)表示,这样的市场策略有好处,也有坏处,好处就是同相对低价的国产手机相对比,竞争优势更强,坏处就是一定程度上损害了自己原本的产品调性。\n但对于苹果而言,也许并不这么想。\n第三方调研机构Strategy Analytics公布的2021年一季度全球5G智能手机出货量数据显示,苹果第一季度出货量达4040万台,同比增长100%,占据了30.2%的市场份额。\n而苹果最新公布的一季度财报数据显示,第二财季大中华区营收高达177.28亿美元,而去年同期则只有94.55亿美元,同比增长了87%。而根据苹果公布的数据,iPhone营收占到了苹果整体业务的53.5%,潜在说明了iPhone 12系列贡献巨大。\n“不得不提的一个关键点就是,华为这次跌出了一季度出货量前五,主要是因为美国方面的制裁。在这一情况下,苹果降低自家产品价格,自然有利于抢占市场。”\n但对于国产机来说,却是另一个情况了。\n\n国产机向上\n现实就是,国产机正在变得越来越贵。\n“虽然我总在吐槽苹果机,但是换国产机的冲动也不是很大,因为这玩意真的越来越贵了。”肚兜这样表示。\n曾经印象里的一两千元的国产机,正在逐渐改变这种“刻板印象”,尤其是今年以来新推出的5G国产手机。华为P40 4188元起,P40 Pro 5988元起;小米10 3999元起,小米10 Pro 4999元;OPPO Find X2 5499元起,Find X2 Pro 6999元。从如今国产手机的定价来看,价位基本都已经在4000元以上。\n第三方机构Counterpoint Research的数据显示,除拉丁美洲以外,北美洲、欧洲、非洲、中国等手机均价都呈现出上涨趋势,其中上涨幅度最高的是中国市场,上涨率13%,位居全球第一。\n根据外媒Techinsights对小米10手机的拆解,预估小米10 12+256GB版的综合成本为440美元,约合人民币3089元。其中高通骁龙865芯片成本估计为125美元,也就是说单单芯片的成本就已经超过了整部手机成本的四分之一。\n如果考虑一款手机销售的其他环节的附加成本,比如销售、人工等,4699元的售价似乎就显得很良心了。\n“所以从这个角度来看,国产手机涨价有一部分很重要的原因就是本身硬件成本的攀升,比如芯片这块,尤其是被美国上游公司技术等方面的控制,定价权不在我们自己的手里,缺少自主权。”辛琪这样说。\n还有第三方机构分析,对于5nm工艺的处理器的手机,芯片的成本价格最少在238美元左右,甚至还要有108美元的设计成本等,最终售价达到426美元,约2900元人民币。\n按照这个预估来看,这样的手机售价最后超过5000元,都是一件很自然的事情。\n陈喆说:“更关键的原因在于,国产手机同苹果手机在技术层面的差距越来越小,而且在苹果不断侵占国内市场份额,国产手机厂商也许走高溢价的策略才能有一条生路。”\n4月末的时候,华为消费者业务CEO余承东曾在社交媒体转发了一篇名为《跌倒华为,吃饱苹果》的文章,就解释说华为手机平板的国内市场高端让给了苹果,中档及低端让给了OPPO、vivo和小米等。\n“当中低档市场已经逐渐饱和的时候,国产智能机涨价自然也就变成了理所当然的事情了。”陈喆说。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1241,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":196934011,"gmtCreate":1621003973233,"gmtModify":1634194614190,"author":{"id":"3580198709429253","authorId":"3580198709429253","name":"薇笑达人","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88c5245bf9912b327baf5da6122aad18","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580198709429253","authorIdStr":"3580198709429253"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好像可以[财迷] ","listText":"好像可以[财迷] ","text":"好像可以[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/196934011","repostId":"2135605193","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2135605193","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620990300,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2135605193?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-14 19:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Airbnb (ABNB) Bookings Up 52% to Help Sales Beat, Seen as a 'Blow Out Quarter' as More Upside is Left","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2135605193","media":"StreetInsider","summary":"Airbnb (NASDAQ: ABNB) reported better-than-expected Q1 earnings on Thursday after the market close. ","content":"<html><body><div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<img src=\"https://www.streetinsider.com/images/summaries/1883/resize_airbnb_5fd26b39454e6.jpg\"/>\n</div>\n</div>\n<p>Airbnb (NASDAQ: ABNB) reported better-than-expected Q1 earnings on Thursday after the market close. The company reported a loss of $1.95 per share on sales of $886.9 million. This is higher than analysts' expectations of $714.4 million generated in revenues. </p><p>“The strength of our Q1 results indicate the beginning of this travel rebound, and how well positioned we are to take advantage of it. Our results also reflect our continued focus, financial discipline, and strong execution. We will never forget the lessons we learned last year, and we are prepared for what’s ahead,” the company said in a statement.</p><p>“With the rollout of vaccines and the easing of some travel restrictions, our business significantly improved in Q1 2021 compared with the same period a year ago. People’s desire to travel, combined with our tightly managed expenses, drove a return to positive topline growth with materially improved Adjusted EBITDA.”</p><p>The company reported bookings of 64.4 million nights and experiences, which is 39% higher compared to the fourth quarter and 13% year over year. Analysts were calling for 62.5 million nights and experiences booked.</p><p>Gross booking value came in at $10.3 billion to mark a 52% increase and again much higher than the $7.87 billion expected from market analysts.</p><p>The company also highlighted that 24% of nights booked came from stays of at least 4 weeks, which is much higher compared with 14% in 2019.</p><p>For the guidance, the company said it expects Q2 revenues to be “significantly higher than that of Q2 2020”, which is understandable given the impact of Covid-19 on the prior-year period, and be at “a similar level to that of Q2 2019.” the company said. </p><p>“In Q2 2021, we expect the positive momentum of recovery experienced in Q1 2021 to be partially offset by the continued uncertainty of travel restrictions and lockdowns in EMEA.”</p><p>Bernie McTernan, an analyst at Needham & Company, praised a “blow out quarter” from ABNB on the recovery in demand for travel and holidays. He reiterated a “Buy” rating on the stock but lowered the price target to $194.00 from $210.00.</p><p>“This was a blow out quarter for ABNB, showing that travel is coming back and at higher levels of profitability. We are raising our estimates significantly expecting nearly $1B of adj. EBITDA in '21, which could help migrate ABNB out of the spec tech trading bucket and into quality tech which has outperformed in the recent sell-off. While there is a near-term lock up to get past, there is also a special announcement coming May 24th, including upgrades to make it easier to become a host,” the analyst wrote in a note.</p><p>Similarly, BofA’s Justin Post lowered the price target to $180.00 per share from the prior $190.00 on the Neutral-rated stock amid recent sector multiple compression.</p><p>“Results supported three key Airbnb positives for 2021, including: an AA recovery well ahead of the rest of travel, strong direct traffic given high demand/brand, and strong cost leverage given refocus on core business. However, with stock well above its IPO price and valued at 2x Bookings P/S at 12x our 2022 revenue estimate, we retain our Neutral rating.”</p><p>“Given recent sector multiple compression, we are lowering our PO to $180 based on 11x our higher ‘23E revenues (vs. 14x prior). We think Airbnb could have more bookings upside ahead, but Booking could also surprise with a European recovery,” Post concludes.</p><p>Wells Fargo's Brian Fitzgerald upgraded shares to \"Overweight\" following the results, saying they are \"ready for a long-term stay.\"</p><p>\"ABNB produced strong 1Q results, which we view as demonstrating the company's positive momentum exiting the pandemic, with ABNB set to benefit from secular demand shifts, increasing category familiarity/favorability, and shifts in workplace flexibility, which we believe represent longterm tailwinds for the short-term rentals market,\" the analyst commented. \"Indeed, within our coverage group, we view ABNB as likely the strongest play on the future of remote and hybrid work. Our EBITDA forecasts head materially higher (our 2022E EBITDA more than doubles to $1.31B), and with shares now trading below ABNB's IPO price and well below our price target, we view risk-reward as attractive at current levels.\"</p><p>Airbnb stock is down 0.5% in pre-open Friday.</p> </div></body></html>","source":"highlight_streetinsider","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Airbnb (ABNB) Bookings Up 52% to Help Sales Beat, Seen as a 'Blow Out Quarter' as More Upside is Left</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAirbnb (ABNB) Bookings Up 52% to Help Sales Beat, Seen as a 'Blow Out Quarter' as More Upside is Left\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-14 19:05 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=18420358><strong>StreetInsider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Airbnb (NASDAQ: ABNB) reported better-than-expected Q1 earnings on Thursday after the market close. The company reported a loss of $1.95 per share on sales of $886.9 million. This is higher than ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=18420358\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ABNB":"爱彼迎"},"source_url":"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=18420358","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2135605193","content_text":"Airbnb (NASDAQ: ABNB) reported better-than-expected Q1 earnings on Thursday after the market close. The company reported a loss of $1.95 per share on sales of $886.9 million. This is higher than analysts' expectations of $714.4 million generated in revenues. “The strength of our Q1 results indicate the beginning of this travel rebound, and how well positioned we are to take advantage of it. Our results also reflect our continued focus, financial discipline, and strong execution. We will never forget the lessons we learned last year, and we are prepared for what’s ahead,” the company said in a statement.“With the rollout of vaccines and the easing of some travel restrictions, our business significantly improved in Q1 2021 compared with the same period a year ago. People’s desire to travel, combined with our tightly managed expenses, drove a return to positive topline growth with materially improved Adjusted EBITDA.”The company reported bookings of 64.4 million nights and experiences, which is 39% higher compared to the fourth quarter and 13% year over year. Analysts were calling for 62.5 million nights and experiences booked.Gross booking value came in at $10.3 billion to mark a 52% increase and again much higher than the $7.87 billion expected from market analysts.The company also highlighted that 24% of nights booked came from stays of at least 4 weeks, which is much higher compared with 14% in 2019.For the guidance, the company said it expects Q2 revenues to be “significantly higher than that of Q2 2020”, which is understandable given the impact of Covid-19 on the prior-year period, and be at “a similar level to that of Q2 2019.” the company said. “In Q2 2021, we expect the positive momentum of recovery experienced in Q1 2021 to be partially offset by the continued uncertainty of travel restrictions and lockdowns in EMEA.”Bernie McTernan, an analyst at Needham & Company, praised a “blow out quarter” from ABNB on the recovery in demand for travel and holidays. He reiterated a “Buy” rating on the stock but lowered the price target to $194.00 from $210.00.“This was a blow out quarter for ABNB, showing that travel is coming back and at higher levels of profitability. We are raising our estimates significantly expecting nearly $1B of adj. EBITDA in '21, which could help migrate ABNB out of the spec tech trading bucket and into quality tech which has outperformed in the recent sell-off. While there is a near-term lock up to get past, there is also a special announcement coming May 24th, including upgrades to make it easier to become a host,” the analyst wrote in a note.Similarly, BofA’s Justin Post lowered the price target to $180.00 per share from the prior $190.00 on the Neutral-rated stock amid recent sector multiple compression.“Results supported three key Airbnb positives for 2021, including: an AA recovery well ahead of the rest of travel, strong direct traffic given high demand/brand, and strong cost leverage given refocus on core business. However, with stock well above its IPO price and valued at 2x Bookings P/S at 12x our 2022 revenue estimate, we retain our Neutral rating.”“Given recent sector multiple compression, we are lowering our PO to $180 based on 11x our higher ‘23E revenues (vs. 14x prior). We think Airbnb could have more bookings upside ahead, but Booking could also surprise with a European recovery,” Post concludes.Wells Fargo's Brian Fitzgerald upgraded shares to \"Overweight\" following the results, saying they are \"ready for a long-term stay.\"\"ABNB produced strong 1Q results, which we view as demonstrating the company's positive momentum exiting the pandemic, with ABNB set to benefit from secular demand shifts, increasing category familiarity/favorability, and shifts in workplace flexibility, which we believe represent longterm tailwinds for the short-term rentals market,\" the analyst commented. \"Indeed, within our coverage group, we view ABNB as likely the strongest play on the future of remote and hybrid work. Our EBITDA forecasts head materially higher (our 2022E EBITDA more than doubles to $1.31B), and with shares now trading below ABNB's IPO price and well below our price target, we view risk-reward as attractive at current levels.\"Airbnb stock is down 0.5% in pre-open Friday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":506,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":114547838,"gmtCreate":1623082461924,"gmtModify":1634037126855,"author":{"id":"3580198709429253","authorId":"3580198709429253","name":"薇笑达人","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88c5245bf9912b327baf5da6122aad18","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580198709429253","authorIdStr":"3580198709429253"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[强] ","listText":"[强] 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","text":"[思考]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190920023","repostId":"2134866106","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2134866106","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620524097,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2134866106?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-09 09:34","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"台积电刘德音直言,美国做错了","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2134866106","media":"半导体行业观察","summary":"但台积电董事长刘德音抱持不同看法,认为美国不该试图改造现存的半导体供应链。疫情刚爆发时订单大量取消,之后消费需求回升,因此订单积压。目前,英特尔宣布将投资200亿美元建2座新晶圆厂,台积电随后也宣布将斥资1千亿美元投入研发、升级和建厂。","content":"<p>全球芯片短缺,已经从高端电子产品蔓延到洗衣机、电视机等家用电器,也让各国意识到半导体产业高度依赖亚洲,尤其是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>,九成高阶制程都靠它。对此,美国白宫将挹注500 亿美元给美国半导体产业,为拜登基建计划一部分;台积电竞争对手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>(Intel)也不停游说美国政府,应给予补助、复兴美国在地的半导体制造。</p>\n<p>但台积电董事长刘德音抱持不同看法,认为美国不该试图改造现存的半导体供应链。</p>\n<p>刘德音日前接受美国电视台CBS新闻远距访问,节目主持人斯塔尔(Lesley Stahl)开头就问刘德音,为何对手英特尔落后?刘德音答:「我们也很惊讶。」</p>\n<p>提及芯片制造高度集中亚洲,刘德音表示,他了解美国有此忧虑,但短缺之所以发生,直接原因并非制造地在哪,而是因Covid-19。疫情刚爆发时订单大量取消,之后消费需求回升,因此订单积压。</p>\n<p>刘德音并直指,美国应该做的,并不是改变供应链:「我认为美国应该追求更快的运转,投资研发,并培育更多博士、硕士和学士学生进入制造领域,而非试着移动供应链,不但非常花钱,且成效不高。」</p>\n<p>刘德音补充,如果一国执意要把技术锁在国内,避免全球合作,将减缓创新速度。</p>\n<p>目前,英特尔宣布将投资200亿美元建2座新晶圆厂,台积电随后也宣布将斥资1千亿美元投入研发、升级和建厂。</p>\n<p><b>汽车芯片供应还需7、8个月才能恢复</b></p>\n<p>疫情揭露的事实是,全球供应链相当脆弱,无法快速因应需求改变。CBS新闻访问英特尔执行长杰辛格(Pat Gelsinger),杰辛格表示,还需要好多年,芯片供应才跟得上各领域电子产品对芯片高涨的需求。</p>\n<p>车用芯片短缺,迫使许多车厂暂时停工,刘德音表示,12月台积电就听闻车用芯片短缺消息,1月时开始努力挤出产能给车厂,预计6月底前可以追上客户的最低需求。但因为汽车产业供应链长又复杂,因此供应要完全恢复正常,大概还需要7~8个月。</p>\n<p>以前,英特尔很少制造车用芯片,但因为短缺严重,英特尔正计划调度某些晶圆厂产能,以制造车用芯片。</p>\n<p>访谈影片尾声指出,斯塔尔向刘德音说,台湾的半导体产业称为「矽盾」,刘德音回答「是的」。由于全球依赖台湾高科技产业支持得以运作,因此世界会确保台湾安全,不然会损害全世界各国利益。</p>\n<p>根据台湾中央社引述波士顿顾问公司(BCG)与美国半导体协会于4月份发布的报告显示,台湾晶圆代工厂若营运中断,全球终端市场蒙受损失恐高达4,900亿美元。</p>\n<p>矽盾是否真能保护台湾安全?刘德音说:「我无法保证,这是变幻莫测的世界,没有人想要这些事发生,我也希望不会发生。」</p>\n<p>*免责声明:本文由作者原创。文章内容系作者个人观点,半导体行业观察转载仅为了传达一种不同的观点,不代表半导体行业观察对该观点赞同或支持,如果有任何异议,欢迎联系半导体行业观察。</p>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>台积电刘德音直言,美国做错了</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n台积电刘德音直言,美国做错了\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-09 09:34 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202105090936307dd5542b&s=b><strong>半导体行业观察</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>全球芯片短缺,已经从高端电子产品蔓延到洗衣机、电视机等家用电器,也让各国意识到半导体产业高度依赖亚洲,尤其是台积电,九成高阶制程都靠它。对此,美国白宫将挹注500 亿美元给美国半导体产业,为拜登基建计划一部分;台积电竞争对手英特尔(Intel)也不停游说美国政府,应给予补助、复兴美国在地的半导体制造。\n但台积电董事长刘德音抱持不同看法,认为美国不该试图改造现存的半导体供应链。\n刘德音日前接受美国...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202105090936307dd5542b&s=b\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03e38a3a3c63bd5a9d8d8ca2d384d1c5","relate_stocks":{"EWT":"台湾ETF-iShares MSCI","03145":"华夏亚洲高息股","TSM":"台积电"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202105090936307dd5542b&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2134866106","content_text":"全球芯片短缺,已经从高端电子产品蔓延到洗衣机、电视机等家用电器,也让各国意识到半导体产业高度依赖亚洲,尤其是台积电,九成高阶制程都靠它。对此,美国白宫将挹注500 亿美元给美国半导体产业,为拜登基建计划一部分;台积电竞争对手英特尔(Intel)也不停游说美国政府,应给予补助、复兴美国在地的半导体制造。\n但台积电董事长刘德音抱持不同看法,认为美国不该试图改造现存的半导体供应链。\n刘德音日前接受美国电视台CBS新闻远距访问,节目主持人斯塔尔(Lesley Stahl)开头就问刘德音,为何对手英特尔落后?刘德音答:「我们也很惊讶。」\n提及芯片制造高度集中亚洲,刘德音表示,他了解美国有此忧虑,但短缺之所以发生,直接原因并非制造地在哪,而是因Covid-19。疫情刚爆发时订单大量取消,之后消费需求回升,因此订单积压。\n刘德音并直指,美国应该做的,并不是改变供应链:「我认为美国应该追求更快的运转,投资研发,并培育更多博士、硕士和学士学生进入制造领域,而非试着移动供应链,不但非常花钱,且成效不高。」\n刘德音补充,如果一国执意要把技术锁在国内,避免全球合作,将减缓创新速度。\n目前,英特尔宣布将投资200亿美元建2座新晶圆厂,台积电随后也宣布将斥资1千亿美元投入研发、升级和建厂。\n汽车芯片供应还需7、8个月才能恢复\n疫情揭露的事实是,全球供应链相当脆弱,无法快速因应需求改变。CBS新闻访问英特尔执行长杰辛格(Pat Gelsinger),杰辛格表示,还需要好多年,芯片供应才跟得上各领域电子产品对芯片高涨的需求。\n车用芯片短缺,迫使许多车厂暂时停工,刘德音表示,12月台积电就听闻车用芯片短缺消息,1月时开始努力挤出产能给车厂,预计6月底前可以追上客户的最低需求。但因为汽车产业供应链长又复杂,因此供应要完全恢复正常,大概还需要7~8个月。\n以前,英特尔很少制造车用芯片,但因为短缺严重,英特尔正计划调度某些晶圆厂产能,以制造车用芯片。\n访谈影片尾声指出,斯塔尔向刘德音说,台湾的半导体产业称为「矽盾」,刘德音回答「是的」。由于全球依赖台湾高科技产业支持得以运作,因此世界会确保台湾安全,不然会损害全世界各国利益。\n根据台湾中央社引述波士顿顾问公司(BCG)与美国半导体协会于4月份发布的报告显示,台湾晶圆代工厂若营运中断,全球终端市场蒙受损失恐高达4,900亿美元。\n矽盾是否真能保护台湾安全?刘德音说:「我无法保证,这是变幻莫测的世界,没有人想要这些事发生,我也希望不会发生。」\n*免责声明:本文由作者原创。文章内容系作者个人观点,半导体行业观察转载仅为了传达一种不同的观点,不代表半导体行业观察对该观点赞同或支持,如果有任何异议,欢迎联系半导体行业观察。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":199,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":103689143,"gmtCreate":1619776636182,"gmtModify":1634210017488,"author":{"id":"3580198709429253","authorId":"3580198709429253","name":"薇笑达人","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88c5245bf9912b327baf5da6122aad18","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580198709429253","authorIdStr":"3580198709429253"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[惊讶] [惊讶] ","listText":"[惊讶] [惊讶] ","text":"[惊讶] [惊讶]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/103689143","repostId":"1107397272","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":512,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":377876254,"gmtCreate":1619519268678,"gmtModify":1634212111708,"author":{"id":"3580198709429253","authorId":"3580198709429253","name":"薇笑达人","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88c5245bf9912b327baf5da6122aad18","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580198709429253","authorIdStr":"3580198709429253"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[惊讶] ","listText":"[惊讶] ","text":"[惊讶]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/377876254","repostId":"1105129433","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105129433","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619518144,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1105129433?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-27 18:09","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"联合包裹盘前涨近4%,一季度净利润大超预期","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105129433","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"联合包裹:2021年第一季度营收229.08亿美元,市场预期204.89亿美元,去年同期180.35亿美元。一季度净利润(亿美元):47.92 ,预期:14.77,前值:9.65一季度每股盈利5.47","content":"<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPS\">联合包裹</a>:2021年第一季度营收229.08亿美元,市场预期204.89亿美元,去年同期180.35亿美元。</p><p>一季度净利润(亿美元):<b>47.92</b> ,预期:14.77,前值:9.65</p><p>一季度每股盈利5.47美元,市场预期1.69美元,去年同期1.11美元。</p><p>公司表示,本季度营收增长主要由美国中小企业业务增长带领。维持本财年资本支出40.1亿美元目标。不提供本年每股盈利指引。</p><p>截至发稿,联合包裹盘前涨3.81%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9861264a5da7270cb95f4fbd2809326c\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"373\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>联合包裹盘前涨近4%,一季度净利润大超预期</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n联合包裹盘前涨近4%,一季度净利润大超预期\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-04-27 18:09</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPS\">联合包裹</a>:2021年第一季度营收229.08亿美元,市场预期204.89亿美元,去年同期180.35亿美元。</p><p>一季度净利润(亿美元):<b>47.92</b> ,预期:14.77,前值:9.65</p><p>一季度每股盈利5.47美元,市场预期1.69美元,去年同期1.11美元。</p><p>公司表示,本季度营收增长主要由美国中小企业业务增长带领。维持本财年资本支出40.1亿美元目标。不提供本年每股盈利指引。</p><p>截至发稿,联合包裹盘前涨3.81%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9861264a5da7270cb95f4fbd2809326c\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"373\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8508adeb45182e7455c12b516129ccb1","relate_stocks":{"UPS":"联合包裹"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105129433","content_text":"联合包裹:2021年第一季度营收229.08亿美元,市场预期204.89亿美元,去年同期180.35亿美元。一季度净利润(亿美元):47.92 ,预期:14.77,前值:9.65一季度每股盈利5.47美元,市场预期1.69美元,去年同期1.11美元。公司表示,本季度营收增长主要由美国中小企业业务增长带领。维持本财年资本支出40.1亿美元目标。不提供本年每股盈利指引。截至发稿,联合包裹盘前涨3.81%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":324,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":374314269,"gmtCreate":1619418527051,"gmtModify":1634273632704,"author":{"id":"3580198709429253","authorId":"3580198709429253","name":"薇笑达人","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88c5245bf9912b327baf5da6122aad18","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580198709429253","authorIdStr":"3580198709429253"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] 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