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jkjkjkjk
2021-07-06
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jkjkjkjk
2021-04-15
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抱歉，原内容已删除
jkjkjkjk
2021-04-15
crazy crazy day
抱歉，原内容已删除
jkjkjkjk
2021-04-15
$NASDAQ-100 Index ETF(QQQ)$
decent
jkjkjkjk
2021-04-15
[微笑]
Why This Little-Known ETF Will Outperform ARKK
jkjkjkjk
2021-03-25
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What’s Up With China EVs? Here’s a Clue
jkjkjkjk
2021-03-20
wow
Fed Disappoints Market, Lets SLR Relief Expire: What Happens Next
jkjkjkjk
2021-03-20
$ARK Fintech Innovation ETF(ARKF)$
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[财迷] [财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] [财迷] [财迷] ","text":"[财迷] [财迷] [财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/347146002","repostId":"1130631284","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":773,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":347148856,"gmtCreate":1618478328775,"gmtModify":1634292665417,"author":{"id":"3579256753898144","authorId":"3579256753898144","name":"jkjkjkjk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/176af14ad9797e8e2a824d2be763f06d","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579256753898144","authorIdStr":"3579256753898144"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"crazy crazy day","listText":"crazy crazy day","text":"crazy crazy 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ETF(QQQ)$decent","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d7b7e648b8fac1c89a9256136073f17","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/347113079","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":423,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":347119329,"gmtCreate":1618474153561,"gmtModify":1634292694027,"author":{"id":"3579256753898144","authorId":"3579256753898144","name":"jkjkjkjk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/176af14ad9797e8e2a824d2be763f06d","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579256753898144","authorIdStr":"3579256753898144"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑] ","listText":"[微笑] ","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/347119329","repostId":"1158416535","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1158416535","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618473920,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1158416535?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-15 16:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why This Little-Known ETF Will Outperform ARKK","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158416535","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nARKK achieved a legendary performance in 2020.\nMLPA is an under-covered ETF in an out-of-fa","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>ARKK achieved a legendary performance in 2020.</li>\n <li>MLPA is an under-covered ETF in an out-of-favor sector.</li>\n <li>Why investors should weight MLPA over ARKK in 2021.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>ARK Invest and its founder and CEO/CIO Cathie Wood rose to stardom in 2020 as its ETFs (ARKK) (ARKQ) (ARKG) (ARKW) (ARKF) achieved remarkably strong results during the year:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9cecd280b57639291eecac1a7f51e41\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Compared to the broader indexes (SPY) (DIA) (QQQ), the amount of outperformance was simply incredible:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b79feae135773bede582c7560974885\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>By far the most popular of these funds is the Disruptive Innovation ETF (i.e., ARKK), which holds Tesla (TSLA) as its undisputed largest and highest conviction holding and complements it with other popular disruptors like Square (SQ), Teladoc (TDOC), Zoom (ZM), and Palantir (PLTR).</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbfb95d8bcac16f0d478241037e81576\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"248\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>source</i></p>\n<p>Looking at ARKK's lifetime performance, we see that it has outperformed the market indexes handily even prior to 2020:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce62d7f1798c005705f3d7a36db56d7c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"453\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Cathie Wood has been proven remarkably correct about battleground and massively outperforming stocks like TSLA, Nvidia (NVDA), Amazon (AMZN), and even Bitcoin (BTC-USD), and there's certainly a case to be made for investing in disruptive tech: The companies with the most/best data and technology will be massive winners tomorrow as we move increasingly toward a winner-take-most economy that's hyper-dependent on emerging disruptive technological platforms. Therefore, it's prudent to forego profits today in order to reinvest cash flows into developing new and better technology instead of pouring cash into dividends and repurchases today. The ability to massively scale new technologies to achieve rapid and massive profitability is routinely undervalued by the market, making disruptive tech a highly profitable investing niche.</p>\n<p>That said, while we certainly believe that disruptive tech still has - and always will have - a place in a well-diversified portfolio, we believe investors would be better served to weight their portfolios more heavily towards the out-of-favor and underfollowed Global X MLP ETF (MLPA) for the following reasons:</p>\n<p><b>#1 - Massive Fee Disparity</b></p>\n<p>As Warren Buffettonce said:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>Performance comes, performance goes. Fees never falter.</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Few investors fully appreciate the power of investing fees to alter total returns. As a result, rather than chasing the latest high-flying fund, it's generally much better over the long term to invest in low-cost well-run funds.</p>\n<p>ARKK charges a hefty 0.75% expense ratio. That means, regardless of whether or not its strategy outperforms in any given year (or even generates a positive return), ARK Invest will take 0.75% of your capital. That means that if you were to invest $100,000 into ARKK today and earn a 10% annualized return over the next decade, your total cost of fees would be a whopping $18,809.49 over that period.</p>\n<p>In contrast, MLPA only charges a 0.46% expense ratio. Not only is this substantially less than ARKK's, but it's also less than its more popular fellow MLP ETF: The Alerian MLP ETF (AMLP), which charges a hefty 0.90% expense ratio. If $100,000 invested in MLPA were held over a 10-year period, you would only have $11,687.24 charged in fund expenses over that period, providing an incredible 7.12% return on investment boost to your holdings over that period relative to a similar amount invested in ARKK.</p>\n<p><b>#2 - Even Bigger Fund Flow Disparity</b></p>\n<p>Another major headwind facing ARKK is that its assets under management have ballooned along with ARK Invest's and Cathie Wood's growing popularity:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e85734680e924a10d64d10595ddc9a1\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>While this massive growth in assets under management is great for Cathie and company as it massively boosts their management fees, it also makes it harder and harder for them to efficiently manage investor assets. With tens of billions of dollars to deploy, it forces them to take on larger total positions to maintain the same degree of concentration. This in turn forces them to be less nimble in entering and exiting positions due to liquidity constraints and thereby not getting the best pricing possible. It also pushes them to invest in more positions than just their highest conviction picks as they search for additional places to deploy capital, thereby potentially diluting returns.</p>\n<p>While the challenges that come with greater amounts of assets under management are an issue for any fund, they are even greater for ARKK given its focus on a single niche, instead of the broader market. Furthermore, their particular niche is one of the most speculative and volatile, given its focus on wildly popular and mostly unprofitable tech companies. As a result, as fund inflows and outflows experience significant day-to-day volatility, ARKK will be increasingly challenged to buy and sell holdings efficiently in an attempt to maximize shareholder returns.</p>\n<p>MLPA, in contrast, is not only far smaller in terms of total assets under management, but its total number of assets under management are much less volatile. As a result, management is much better able to efficiently buy and sell holdings and allocate investor capital. When added to the expense ratio differential, MLPA gets a massive head start over ARKK moving forward.</p>\n<p><b>#3 - Incredible Valuation Disparity</b></p>\n<p>Last, but not least, there's a massive valuation disparity between the underlying holdings of these two ETFs.</p>\n<p>Innovative tech valuations sit at near all-time highs and face growing headwinds from the COVID-19 vaccine changing consumer behavior and the economic narrative, as well as surging inflation and rising interest rates as detailed inWhy High Yield Will Keep Pummeling Tech.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, as detailed inWe Are Buying Midstream Hand Over Fist- MLPs look more attractive than ever right now with:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Historically high yields even as interest rates sit at historic lows, resulting in record spreads:</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a09a7951601c6894a09e02ad795097dd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"479\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>source</i></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Cheap valuation multiples in a market environment where major indexes are sporting record high valuations.</li>\n <li>Remarkably resilient fundamentals in the face of a double black swan event stemming from the oil price collapse and COVID-19.</li>\n <li>Strong recovery in cash flows and client profitability as energy prices have bounced back sharply in recent months.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Furthermore, MLPA holds blue chip MLPs as its top holdings, including Enterprise Products Partners (EPD), Energy Transfer (ET), Magellan Midstream (MMP), MPLX (MPLX), and Plains All American (PAA) as its top 5 positions.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb94cd983513980447f14b8b1952d49f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\"></p>\n<p><i>source</i></p>\n<p>We are very bullish on each of these MLPs as they each possess investment grade balance sheets, trade at very attractive valuations with lucrative and well-covered yields, and have high-quality asset portfolios that are positioned to remain relevant well into the future even as the global economy continues to focus increasingly on green energy alternatives.</p>\n<p><b>A Better Alternative Than Either Of Them</b></p>\n<p>Low-cost ETFs concentrated on an out-of-favor sector with strong fundamentals like MLPA is a great option for unsophisticated and/or passive investors. They provide instant diversification with the purchase of a single share along with professional portfolio management.</p>\n<p>However, just like there's no free lunch, a drawback to ETFs is that they often pursue much broader diversification than we do in our portfolios and, as a result, often force investors to invest in positions that are not high conviction.</p>\n<p>Though we ourselves may occasionally invest in a specific sector’s ETF if we see a unique opportunity to add value with it, we generally greatly prefer investing in individual securities because it enables us to target stronger risk-adjusted returns.</p>\n<p>By pursuing a simple, but time-tested value investing strategy of</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Investing in what we know</li>\n <li>Avoiding bad management</li>\n <li>Buying attractive yields below a conservative estimate of fair value</li>\n <li>Overweightingcompanies with strong balance sheets</li>\n</ul>\n<p>we are able to invest in mostly winners and minimize our losers. As a result, since its inception, our well-diversified value and income focused real money Equity Portfolio at High Yield Investor has absolutely crushed the broader market indexes along with ARKK:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f54358ccb1701431993365a154cdada3\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"289\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>source: Author</i></p>\n<p><b>Investor Takeaway</b></p>\n<p>ARKK has been on a remarkable run thanks in large part to their remarkable calls on top holding TSLA and aided significantly by the pandemic and the rise in popularity of disruptive tech. Meanwhile, as disruptive tech companies have soared to stratospheric valuations, MLPA has been weighed down by the MLP sector's deep unpopularity, the rise of renewable energy and ESG investing, and a demand plunge caused by COVID-19.</p>\n<p>We believe that rising interest rates, combined with a re-opening economy, will bring tech valuations back down to earth while giving MLPs a strong demand boost. Furthermore, we believe that MLPA's strong fundamentals of robust free cash flow generation, strong balance sheets, improved corporate governance, and well-covered and record-high distribution yields will lead to strong outperformance moving forward.</p>\n<p>While we think that intelligently following a value investing approach is best in this sector, for investors looking for a totally passive approach, MLPA is a very attractive option given its relatively low fees, easily managed assets under management, and high quality top holdings.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, ARKK will be increasingly weighed down by the runaway valuations of its core holdings, major drag from its highly volatile and enormous volume of assets under management, and - worst of all - its rather high expense ratio.</p>\n<p>Prudent investors will find room in their portfolios for both disruptive tech and high yield real assets, but we believe that the risk-adjusted return outlook for MLPA is meaningfully superior to ARKK's right now.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why This Little-Known ETF Will Outperform ARKK</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy This Little-Known ETF Will Outperform ARKK\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-15 16:05 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4418956-why-this-little-known-etf-will-outperform-arkk><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nARKK achieved a legendary performance in 2020.\nMLPA is an under-covered ETF in an out-of-favor sector.\nWhy investors should weight MLPA over ARKK in 2021.\n\nARK Invest and its founder and CEO/...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4418956-why-this-little-known-etf-will-outperform-arkk\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4418956-why-this-little-known-etf-will-outperform-arkk","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158416535","content_text":"Summary\n\nARKK achieved a legendary performance in 2020.\nMLPA is an under-covered ETF in an out-of-favor sector.\nWhy investors should weight MLPA over ARKK in 2021.\n\nARK Invest and its founder and CEO/CIO Cathie Wood rose to stardom in 2020 as its ETFs (ARKK) (ARKQ) (ARKG) (ARKW) (ARKF) achieved remarkably strong results during the year:\nData by YCharts\nCompared to the broader indexes (SPY) (DIA) (QQQ), the amount of outperformance was simply incredible:\nData by YCharts\nBy far the most popular of these funds is the Disruptive Innovation ETF (i.e., ARKK), which holds Tesla (TSLA) as its undisputed largest and highest conviction holding and complements it with other popular disruptors like Square (SQ), Teladoc (TDOC), Zoom (ZM), and Palantir (PLTR).\nsource\nLooking at ARKK's lifetime performance, we see that it has outperformed the market indexes handily even prior to 2020:\nData by YCharts\nCathie Wood has been proven remarkably correct about battleground and massively outperforming stocks like TSLA, Nvidia (NVDA), Amazon (AMZN), and even Bitcoin (BTC-USD), and there's certainly a case to be made for investing in disruptive tech: The companies with the most/best data and technology will be massive winners tomorrow as we move increasingly toward a winner-take-most economy that's hyper-dependent on emerging disruptive technological platforms. Therefore, it's prudent to forego profits today in order to reinvest cash flows into developing new and better technology instead of pouring cash into dividends and repurchases today. The ability to massively scale new technologies to achieve rapid and massive profitability is routinely undervalued by the market, making disruptive tech a highly profitable investing niche.\nThat said, while we certainly believe that disruptive tech still has - and always will have - a place in a well-diversified portfolio, we believe investors would be better served to weight their portfolios more heavily towards the out-of-favor and underfollowed Global X MLP ETF (MLPA) for the following reasons:\n#1 - Massive Fee Disparity\nAs Warren Buffettonce said:\n\nPerformance comes, performance goes. Fees never falter.\n\nFew investors fully appreciate the power of investing fees to alter total returns. As a result, rather than chasing the latest high-flying fund, it's generally much better over the long term to invest in low-cost well-run funds.\nARKK charges a hefty 0.75% expense ratio. That means, regardless of whether or not its strategy outperforms in any given year (or even generates a positive return), ARK Invest will take 0.75% of your capital. That means that if you were to invest $100,000 into ARKK today and earn a 10% annualized return over the next decade, your total cost of fees would be a whopping $18,809.49 over that period.\nIn contrast, MLPA only charges a 0.46% expense ratio. Not only is this substantially less than ARKK's, but it's also less than its more popular fellow MLP ETF: The Alerian MLP ETF (AMLP), which charges a hefty 0.90% expense ratio. If $100,000 invested in MLPA were held over a 10-year period, you would only have $11,687.24 charged in fund expenses over that period, providing an incredible 7.12% return on investment boost to your holdings over that period relative to a similar amount invested in ARKK.\n#2 - Even Bigger Fund Flow Disparity\nAnother major headwind facing ARKK is that its assets under management have ballooned along with ARK Invest's and Cathie Wood's growing popularity:\nData by YCharts\nWhile this massive growth in assets under management is great for Cathie and company as it massively boosts their management fees, it also makes it harder and harder for them to efficiently manage investor assets. With tens of billions of dollars to deploy, it forces them to take on larger total positions to maintain the same degree of concentration. This in turn forces them to be less nimble in entering and exiting positions due to liquidity constraints and thereby not getting the best pricing possible. It also pushes them to invest in more positions than just their highest conviction picks as they search for additional places to deploy capital, thereby potentially diluting returns.\nWhile the challenges that come with greater amounts of assets under management are an issue for any fund, they are even greater for ARKK given its focus on a single niche, instead of the broader market. Furthermore, their particular niche is one of the most speculative and volatile, given its focus on wildly popular and mostly unprofitable tech companies. As a result, as fund inflows and outflows experience significant day-to-day volatility, ARKK will be increasingly challenged to buy and sell holdings efficiently in an attempt to maximize shareholder returns.\nMLPA, in contrast, is not only far smaller in terms of total assets under management, but its total number of assets under management are much less volatile. As a result, management is much better able to efficiently buy and sell holdings and allocate investor capital. When added to the expense ratio differential, MLPA gets a massive head start over ARKK moving forward.\n#3 - Incredible Valuation Disparity\nLast, but not least, there's a massive valuation disparity between the underlying holdings of these two ETFs.\nInnovative tech valuations sit at near all-time highs and face growing headwinds from the COVID-19 vaccine changing consumer behavior and the economic narrative, as well as surging inflation and rising interest rates as detailed inWhy High Yield Will Keep Pummeling Tech.\nMeanwhile, as detailed inWe Are Buying Midstream Hand Over Fist- MLPs look more attractive than ever right now with:\n\nHistorically high yields even as interest rates sit at historic lows, resulting in record spreads:\n\nsource\n\nCheap valuation multiples in a market environment where major indexes are sporting record high valuations.\nRemarkably resilient fundamentals in the face of a double black swan event stemming from the oil price collapse and COVID-19.\nStrong recovery in cash flows and client profitability as energy prices have bounced back sharply in recent months.\n\nFurthermore, MLPA holds blue chip MLPs as its top holdings, including Enterprise Products Partners (EPD), Energy Transfer (ET), Magellan Midstream (MMP), MPLX (MPLX), and Plains All American (PAA) as its top 5 positions.\n\nsource\nWe are very bullish on each of these MLPs as they each possess investment grade balance sheets, trade at very attractive valuations with lucrative and well-covered yields, and have high-quality asset portfolios that are positioned to remain relevant well into the future even as the global economy continues to focus increasingly on green energy alternatives.\nA Better Alternative Than Either Of Them\nLow-cost ETFs concentrated on an out-of-favor sector with strong fundamentals like MLPA is a great option for unsophisticated and/or passive investors. They provide instant diversification with the purchase of a single share along with professional portfolio management.\nHowever, just like there's no free lunch, a drawback to ETFs is that they often pursue much broader diversification than we do in our portfolios and, as a result, often force investors to invest in positions that are not high conviction.\nThough we ourselves may occasionally invest in a specific sector’s ETF if we see a unique opportunity to add value with it, we generally greatly prefer investing in individual securities because it enables us to target stronger risk-adjusted returns.\nBy pursuing a simple, but time-tested value investing strategy of\n\nInvesting in what we know\nAvoiding bad management\nBuying attractive yields below a conservative estimate of fair value\nOverweightingcompanies with strong balance sheets\n\nwe are able to invest in mostly winners and minimize our losers. As a result, since its inception, our well-diversified value and income focused real money Equity Portfolio at High Yield Investor has absolutely crushed the broader market indexes along with ARKK:\n\nsource: Author\nInvestor Takeaway\nARKK has been on a remarkable run thanks in large part to their remarkable calls on top holding TSLA and aided significantly by the pandemic and the rise in popularity of disruptive tech. Meanwhile, as disruptive tech companies have soared to stratospheric valuations, MLPA has been weighed down by the MLP sector's deep unpopularity, the rise of renewable energy and ESG investing, and a demand plunge caused by COVID-19.\nWe believe that rising interest rates, combined with a re-opening economy, will bring tech valuations back down to earth while giving MLPs a strong demand boost. Furthermore, we believe that MLPA's strong fundamentals of robust free cash flow generation, strong balance sheets, improved corporate governance, and well-covered and record-high distribution yields will lead to strong outperformance moving forward.\nWhile we think that intelligently following a value investing approach is best in this sector, for investors looking for a totally passive approach, MLPA is a very attractive option given its relatively low fees, easily managed assets under management, and high quality top holdings.\nMeanwhile, ARKK will be increasingly weighed down by the runaway valuations of its core holdings, major drag from its highly volatile and enormous volume of assets under management, and - worst of all - its rather high expense ratio.\nPrudent investors will find room in their portfolios for both disruptive tech and high yield real assets, but we believe that the risk-adjusted return outlook for MLPA is meaningfully superior to ARKK's right now.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":939,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":358602429,"gmtCreate":1616682740861,"gmtModify":1634524567417,"author":{"id":"3579256753898144","authorId":"3579256753898144","name":"jkjkjkjk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/176af14ad9797e8e2a824d2be763f06d","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579256753898144","authorIdStr":"3579256753898144"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑] ","listText":"[微笑] ","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/358602429","repostId":"1167131291","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167131291","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616670990,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1167131291?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-25 19:16","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"What’s Up With China EVs? Here’s a Clue","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167131291","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Electric-car infrastructure is something investors would do well to watchDense as it may be, the Chi","content":"<p>Electric-car infrastructure is something investors would do well to watch</p><p>Dense as it may be, the Chinese government’s annual work report– a summary of the country’s recent economic and social developments, as well as a list of future ambitions — is worthwhile reading material. It gives some key insights into Beijing’s thinking and by extension, a hint about what investors should keep an eye on in the world’s second-largest economy.</p><p>The phrase “new energy vehicle” has been mentioned religiously in the report since 2014, in conjunction with the government's mandate to promote electric car sales. This has played a big part in positioning China as the world’s biggest market for EVs, attracting serious money from, among others, Tesla, which set up afactory in Shanghai.</p><p>This year, however, those words have been replaced by more current buzz words: EV changing stations, battery swapping facilities, and battery recycling. The change of focus is telling. Having spooled out incentives to foster mass EV adoption – the government has delivered more than 52 billion yuan ($8 billion) in subsidies, for example – China now is focused on ensuring the necessary infrastructure is in place to support the sector for the long term. This change will, in time, create pockets of opportunity in areas that may not immediately be apparent.</p><p>Take EV charging. Insufficient charging facilities have been cited as one of the key obstacles hindering EV development in China. While the situation is more advanced than in the U.S. — as BNEF analyst and Hyperdrive writer Colin McKerracher recently pointed out, China installed 112,000 public EV charging points in December alone, more than the entire U.S. public charging network — there's room for improvement<b>.</b></p><p>When you drive around Beijing these days, you still need patience and luck to find an available EV charging point, and from time to time, a lot of those two things. There’s one charging pole for every three EVs, on average, in China — about 1.7 million in total, including home and public ones. But the number of EVs is expected to surge 29-fold to over 160 million vehicles by 2035, creating a huge charging gap, and a great opportunity. For charging-pole providers like startup Qingdao TGOOD Electric Co., which operates China's largest network of EV plugs, and StarCharge, which isn’t listed yet but which plans to be in the not too distant future, that latent demand could pave the way for faster and smoother expansion, as well as provide a quicker path to profitability.</p><p>In the same vein, as batteries from the early fleets of EVs that started appearing on China’s roads in 2008 near retirement,lithium-ion battery recycling— a theme highlighted for the first time this year in the work report — is emerging as an urgent task that must be addressed, not only for environmental reasons, but also for devising efficiencies in mining the minerals used to make batteries. Some 39,000 tons of cobalt and 125,000 tons of nickel could come from spent batteries by 2030, helping to offset any shortfall in mined supply, according to BNEF. For cobalt, that could meet around 10% of projected demand. BNEF also said today that used EVs in China are losing value faster than comparable internal combustion engine vehicles, highlighting the need for battery-recycling facilities.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28e58dc2b5f29fbce89ca301f8a42e1c\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"576\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Companies are starting to respond. Chinese battery maker Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd., a Tesla supplier, last month announced a new 12-billion-yuan facility in Guangdong, a part of which will be dedicated to battery recycling. In a year when automakers globally took a hit due to the coronavirus, CATL’s Shenzhen-listed shares surged 230%.</p><p>Beijing’s vow to build more battery-swap stations is another avenue that investors who want exposure to China’s booming EV market may want to watch. Swapping out an empty cell with a charged one can be as swift as pumping up a gasoline tank, and it also ushers in a new business model that treats a car more like a shell or dumb hardware, within which the intelligent software and battery can be purchased and upgraded via subscription. The China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, a government-backed auto trade body, has referred to this sort of approach as a “battery bank” and said it’s something they’re exploring.</p><p>Battery financing, leasing and battery-swap stations are businesses in which more and more companies are starting to dabble. William Li, the CEO of Chinese EV maker Nio, mused recently that shareholder interest in the company’s battery asset-management unit was on the rise. And at a Nio press conference in November, the front-row seats were not for media. They’d been taken — by investors.</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What’s Up With China EVs? Here’s a Clue</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat’s Up With China EVs? Here’s a Clue\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-25 19:16 GMT+8 <a href=http://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-03-25/what-s-up-with-china-ev-s-here-s-a-clue?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Electric-car infrastructure is something investors would do well to watchDense as it may be, the Chinese government’s annual work report– a summary of the country’s recent economic and social ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-03-25/what-s-up-with-china-ev-s-here-s-a-clue?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LI":"理想汽车","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","09888":"百度集团-SW","NIO":"蔚来","TSLA":"特斯拉","002594":"比亚迪","01211":"比亚迪股份","BIDU":"百度"},"source_url":"http://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-03-25/what-s-up-with-china-ev-s-here-s-a-clue?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167131291","content_text":"Electric-car infrastructure is something investors would do well to watchDense as it may be, the Chinese government’s annual work report– a summary of the country’s recent economic and social developments, as well as a list of future ambitions — is worthwhile reading material. It gives some key insights into Beijing’s thinking and by extension, a hint about what investors should keep an eye on in the world’s second-largest economy.The phrase “new energy vehicle” has been mentioned religiously in the report since 2014, in conjunction with the government's mandate to promote electric car sales. This has played a big part in positioning China as the world’s biggest market for EVs, attracting serious money from, among others, Tesla, which set up afactory in Shanghai.This year, however, those words have been replaced by more current buzz words: EV changing stations, battery swapping facilities, and battery recycling. The change of focus is telling. Having spooled out incentives to foster mass EV adoption – the government has delivered more than 52 billion yuan ($8 billion) in subsidies, for example – China now is focused on ensuring the necessary infrastructure is in place to support the sector for the long term. This change will, in time, create pockets of opportunity in areas that may not immediately be apparent.Take EV charging. Insufficient charging facilities have been cited as one of the key obstacles hindering EV development in China. While the situation is more advanced than in the U.S. — as BNEF analyst and Hyperdrive writer Colin McKerracher recently pointed out, China installed 112,000 public EV charging points in December alone, more than the entire U.S. public charging network — there's room for improvement.When you drive around Beijing these days, you still need patience and luck to find an available EV charging point, and from time to time, a lot of those two things. There’s one charging pole for every three EVs, on average, in China — about 1.7 million in total, including home and public ones. But the number of EVs is expected to surge 29-fold to over 160 million vehicles by 2035, creating a huge charging gap, and a great opportunity. For charging-pole providers like startup Qingdao TGOOD Electric Co., which operates China's largest network of EV plugs, and StarCharge, which isn’t listed yet but which plans to be in the not too distant future, that latent demand could pave the way for faster and smoother expansion, as well as provide a quicker path to profitability.In the same vein, as batteries from the early fleets of EVs that started appearing on China’s roads in 2008 near retirement,lithium-ion battery recycling— a theme highlighted for the first time this year in the work report — is emerging as an urgent task that must be addressed, not only for environmental reasons, but also for devising efficiencies in mining the minerals used to make batteries. Some 39,000 tons of cobalt and 125,000 tons of nickel could come from spent batteries by 2030, helping to offset any shortfall in mined supply, according to BNEF. For cobalt, that could meet around 10% of projected demand. BNEF also said today that used EVs in China are losing value faster than comparable internal combustion engine vehicles, highlighting the need for battery-recycling facilities.Companies are starting to respond. Chinese battery maker Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd., a Tesla supplier, last month announced a new 12-billion-yuan facility in Guangdong, a part of which will be dedicated to battery recycling. In a year when automakers globally took a hit due to the coronavirus, CATL’s Shenzhen-listed shares surged 230%.Beijing’s vow to build more battery-swap stations is another avenue that investors who want exposure to China’s booming EV market may want to watch. Swapping out an empty cell with a charged one can be as swift as pumping up a gasoline tank, and it also ushers in a new business model that treats a car more like a shell or dumb hardware, within which the intelligent software and battery can be purchased and upgraded via subscription. The China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, a government-backed auto trade body, has referred to this sort of approach as a “battery bank” and said it’s something they’re exploring.Battery financing, leasing and battery-swap stations are businesses in which more and more companies are starting to dabble. William Li, the CEO of Chinese EV maker Nio, mused recently that shareholder interest in the company’s battery asset-management unit was on the rise. And at a Nio press conference in November, the front-row seats were not for media. They’d been taken — by investors.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":905,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":350175880,"gmtCreate":1616170627540,"gmtModify":1634526868517,"author":{"id":"3579256753898144","authorId":"3579256753898144","name":"jkjkjkjk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/176af14ad9797e8e2a824d2be763f06d","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579256753898144","authorIdStr":"3579256753898144"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/350175880","repostId":"1199154789","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199154789","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616164372,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199154789?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 22:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Disappoints Market, Lets SLR Relief Expire: What Happens Next","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199154789","media":"zerohedge","summary":"As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on ","content":"<p>As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.</p><blockquote>The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on March 31, 2021.The temporary change was made to provide flexibility for depository institutions to provide credit to households and businesses in light of the COVID-19 event.</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b822960da59d651f093b5113cd0c3fd0\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"319\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">This outcome is theone (again) correctly predictedby former NY Fed guru Zoltan Pozsar who following the FOMC said that \"the fact that the Fed made this adjustment practically preemptively – the o/n RRP facility is not being used at the moment, so there are no capacity constraints yet, while repo and bill yields aren’t trading negative yet –<b>suggests that the Fed is “foaming the runway” for the end of SLR exemption</b>.\"</p><p>Knowing well this would be a very hot button issue for the market, the Fed published thefollowing statementto ease trader nerves, noting that while the SLR special treatment will expire on March 31, the Fed is \"inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications\" and furthermore, \"<b>Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability</b>\" - in short, if yields spike, the Fed will re-introduce the SLR without delay:</p><blockquote>The Federal Reserve Board on Friday announced that the temporary change to its supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for bank holding companies will expire as scheduled on March 31. <b>Additionally, the Board will shortly seek comment on measures to adjust the SLR. The Board will take appropriate actions to assure that any changes to the SLR do not erode the overall strength of bank capital requirements.</b>To ease strains in the Treasury market resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and to promote lending to households and businesses, the Board temporarily modified the SLR last year to exclude U.S. Treasury securities and central bank reserves. Since that time, the Treasury market has stabilized. <b>However, because of recent growth in the supply of central bank reserves and the issuance of Treasury securities, the Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability.To ensure that the SLR—which was established in 2014 as an additional capital requirement—remains effective in an environment of higher reserves, the Board will soon be inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications.</b>The proposal and comments will contribute to ongoing discussions with the Department of the Treasury and other regulators on future work to ensure the resiliency of the Treasury market.</blockquote><p>The Fed's soothing wods notwithstanding,<b>having been primed for a favorable outcome, the Fed's disappointing announcement was hardly the news traders were hoping for and stocks tumbled...</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c341c3843a5031cd1599c2c89e198050\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"305\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Bond yields spiked...</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14173c1ce587fb45efe4c30ecc1dfbab\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"284\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">... while the stock of JPM, which is the most exposed bank to SLR relief (as noted yesterday in \"Facing Up To JP Morgan's Leverage Relief Threats\")...</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32811183fba3dbddf1c440836298c7f3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">.... slumped.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fba41463f15e79d2b8436cdd6a526fc\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"306\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In case you've been living under a rock, here's why you should care about the SLR decision: First, for those whomissed our primer on the issue, some background from JPM (ironically the one bank that has the most to lose from the Fed's decision) the bottom line is that without SLR relief,<b>banks may have to delever, raise new capital, halt buybacks, sell preferred stock, turn down deposits and generally push back on reserves (not necessarily all of these, and not in that order) just as the Fed is injecting hundreds of billions of reserves into the market as the Treasury depletes its TGA account.</b></p><blockquote>The massive expansion of the Fed’s balance that has occurred implied an equally massive growth in bank reserves held at Federal Reserve banks. <b>The expiration of the regulatory relief would add ~$2.1tn of leverage exposure across the 8 GSIBs. As well, TGA reduction and continued QE could add another ~$2.35tn of deposits to the system during 2021.</b></blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/392342c2f3e1dd008b2276172a9b3ecf\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"253\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">While the expiry of the carve-out on March 31 would not have an immediate impact on GSIBs, the continued increase in leverage assets throughout the course of the year would increase long-term debt (LTD) and preferred requirements. Here, JPM takes an optimistic view and writes that<b>\"even the “worst” case issuance scenario as very manageable, with LTD needs of $35bn for TLAC requirements and preferred needs of $15-$20bn to maintain the industry-wide SLR at 5.6%.</b></p><p>The constraint is greater at the bank entity, where the capacity to grow leverage exposure to be ~$765bn at 6.2% SLR.\"Goldman's take was more troubling: the bank estimated that under the continued QE regime, there would be a shortfall of some $2 trillion in reserve capacity, mainly in the form of deposits which the banks would be unable to accept as part of ongoing QE (much more in Goldman'sfull take of the SLR quandary).</p><p><b>So what happens next?</b></p><p>Addressing this topic, yesterday Curvature's Scott Skyrm wrote that \"<i>the largest banks are enjoying much larger balance sheets, but there are political factors in Washington that are against an extension of the exemption.... Here are a couple of scenarios and their implications on the Repo market</i>:</p><blockquote>The exemption is extended 3 months or 6 months - No impact on the Repo market. It's already fully priced-in.The exemption is continued for reserves, but ended for Treasurys. <b>Since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise. Volatility increases as Repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants.The exemption is ended for both reserves and Treasurys. Same as above.</b></blockquote><p>In other words, Skyrm has a relatively downbeat view, warning that \"since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise.\" Additionally, volatility is likely to increase as repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants...</p><p>Perhaps a bit too draconian? Well, last week, JPMorgan laid out 5 scenarios for SLR, of which two predicted the end of SLR relief on March 31, as follow:</p><blockquote><u><b>3. Relief ends March 31, banks fully raise capital</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b> <u><b>4. Relief ends March 31, banks raise capital & de-lever</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b></blockquote><p>Going back to Zoltan, let's recallthat the repo gurualso cautioned that \"ending the exemption of reserves and Treasuries from the calculation of the SLR may mean that U.S. banks will turn away deposits and reserves on the margin (not Treasuries) to leave more room for market-making activities,<b>and these flows will swell further money funds’ inflows coming from TGA drawdowns.</b>\"</p><p>More importantly, Zoltan does not expect broad chaos in repo or broader markets, and instead provides a more benign view on the negligible impact the SLR has had (and will be if it is eliminated), as he explained in a note from Tuesday.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/caeeb2b1290e084832f29d61cea6a90b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"534\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">How to determine if Zoltan's benign view is correct? He concluded his note by writing that \"given that our call for a zero-to-negative FRA-OIS spread by the end of June was predicated on the end of SLR extension and an assumption that the Fed will try to fix a quantity problem with prices, not quantities, today’s adjustments mean that FRA-OIS won’t trade all the way down to zero or negative territory.\"</p><blockquote>FRA-OIS from here will be a function of how tight FX swaps will trade relative to OIS, but Treasury bills trading at deeply sub-zero rates is no longer a risk...</blockquote><p>While Bills have occasionally dipped into the negative territory on occasion, so far they have avoided a fullblown plunge into NIRP, which may be just the positive sign the market is waiting for to ease the nerves associated with the sudden and largely unexpected end of the SLR exemption.</p><p>* * *</p><p>Finally, for those curious what the immediate market impact will be, NatWest strategist Blake Gwinn writes that the Fed announcement that they’re letting regulatory exemptions for banks expire at the end of the month \"really threads the needle and \"assuages concerns about the potential long-term impact on the markets\" as<b>the SLR \"ends it but defuses a lot of the knee-jerk market reaction” by pledging to address the current design and calibration of the supplementary leverage ratio to prevent strains from developing</b>.</p><p>“I was never worried about a day-one bank puke of Treasuries or drawdown in repo or anything like that on no renewal,” Gwinn said. “My concern was the longer run,” like as reserves continue to rise, would the SLR “become a nuisance and drag on Treasuries and spreads” Gwinn concludes that with the statement, the Fed is<b>\"really speaking to those fears and basically saying, ‘don’t worry, we are on it’.”</b></p><p>Well, with yields spiking to HOD in early quad-witch trading, the market sure seems quite skeptical that the Fed is on anything.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Disappoints Market, Lets SLR Relief Expire: What Happens Next\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-19 22:32 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-bopnds-tank-after-fed-lets-slr-relief-expire><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-bopnds-tank-after-fed-lets-slr-relief-expire\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-bopnds-tank-after-fed-lets-slr-relief-expire","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199154789","content_text":"As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on March 31, 2021.The temporary change was made to provide flexibility for depository institutions to provide credit to households and businesses in light of the COVID-19 event.This outcome is theone (again) correctly predictedby former NY Fed guru Zoltan Pozsar who following the FOMC said that \"the fact that the Fed made this adjustment practically preemptively – the o/n RRP facility is not being used at the moment, so there are no capacity constraints yet, while repo and bill yields aren’t trading negative yet –suggests that the Fed is “foaming the runway” for the end of SLR exemption.\"Knowing well this would be a very hot button issue for the market, the Fed published thefollowing statementto ease trader nerves, noting that while the SLR special treatment will expire on March 31, the Fed is \"inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications\" and furthermore, \"Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability\" - in short, if yields spike, the Fed will re-introduce the SLR without delay:The Federal Reserve Board on Friday announced that the temporary change to its supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for bank holding companies will expire as scheduled on March 31. Additionally, the Board will shortly seek comment on measures to adjust the SLR. The Board will take appropriate actions to assure that any changes to the SLR do not erode the overall strength of bank capital requirements.To ease strains in the Treasury market resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and to promote lending to households and businesses, the Board temporarily modified the SLR last year to exclude U.S. Treasury securities and central bank reserves. Since that time, the Treasury market has stabilized. However, because of recent growth in the supply of central bank reserves and the issuance of Treasury securities, the Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability.To ensure that the SLR—which was established in 2014 as an additional capital requirement—remains effective in an environment of higher reserves, the Board will soon be inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications.The proposal and comments will contribute to ongoing discussions with the Department of the Treasury and other regulators on future work to ensure the resiliency of the Treasury market.The Fed's soothing wods notwithstanding,having been primed for a favorable outcome, the Fed's disappointing announcement was hardly the news traders were hoping for and stocks tumbled...Bond yields spiked...... while the stock of JPM, which is the most exposed bank to SLR relief (as noted yesterday in \"Facing Up To JP Morgan's Leverage Relief Threats\")....... slumped.In case you've been living under a rock, here's why you should care about the SLR decision: First, for those whomissed our primer on the issue, some background from JPM (ironically the one bank that has the most to lose from the Fed's decision) the bottom line is that without SLR relief,banks may have to delever, raise new capital, halt buybacks, sell preferred stock, turn down deposits and generally push back on reserves (not necessarily all of these, and not in that order) just as the Fed is injecting hundreds of billions of reserves into the market as the Treasury depletes its TGA account.The massive expansion of the Fed’s balance that has occurred implied an equally massive growth in bank reserves held at Federal Reserve banks. The expiration of the regulatory relief would add ~$2.1tn of leverage exposure across the 8 GSIBs. As well, TGA reduction and continued QE could add another ~$2.35tn of deposits to the system during 2021.While the expiry of the carve-out on March 31 would not have an immediate impact on GSIBs, the continued increase in leverage assets throughout the course of the year would increase long-term debt (LTD) and preferred requirements. Here, JPM takes an optimistic view and writes that\"even the “worst” case issuance scenario as very manageable, with LTD needs of $35bn for TLAC requirements and preferred needs of $15-$20bn to maintain the industry-wide SLR at 5.6%.The constraint is greater at the bank entity, where the capacity to grow leverage exposure to be ~$765bn at 6.2% SLR.\"Goldman's take was more troubling: the bank estimated that under the continued QE regime, there would be a shortfall of some $2 trillion in reserve capacity, mainly in the form of deposits which the banks would be unable to accept as part of ongoing QE (much more in Goldman'sfull take of the SLR quandary).So what happens next?Addressing this topic, yesterday Curvature's Scott Skyrm wrote that \"the largest banks are enjoying much larger balance sheets, but there are political factors in Washington that are against an extension of the exemption.... Here are a couple of scenarios and their implications on the Repo market:The exemption is extended 3 months or 6 months - No impact on the Repo market. It's already fully priced-in.The exemption is continued for reserves, but ended for Treasurys. Since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise. Volatility increases as Repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants.The exemption is ended for both reserves and Treasurys. Same as above.In other words, Skyrm has a relatively downbeat view, warning that \"since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise.\" Additionally, volatility is likely to increase as repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants...Perhaps a bit too draconian? Well, last week, JPMorgan laid out 5 scenarios for SLR, of which two predicted the end of SLR relief on March 31, as follow:3. Relief ends March 31, banks fully raise capital Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates 4. Relief ends March 31, banks raise capital & de-lever Impact on BanksRatesFront-End RatesGoing back to Zoltan, let's recallthat the repo gurualso cautioned that \"ending the exemption of reserves and Treasuries from the calculation of the SLR may mean that U.S. banks will turn away deposits and reserves on the margin (not Treasuries) to leave more room for market-making activities,and these flows will swell further money funds’ inflows coming from TGA drawdowns.\"More importantly, Zoltan does not expect broad chaos in repo or broader markets, and instead provides a more benign view on the negligible impact the SLR has had (and will be if it is eliminated), as he explained in a note from Tuesday.How to determine if Zoltan's benign view is correct? He concluded his note by writing that \"given that our call for a zero-to-negative FRA-OIS spread by the end of June was predicated on the end of SLR extension and an assumption that the Fed will try to fix a quantity problem with prices, not quantities, today’s adjustments mean that FRA-OIS won’t trade all the way down to zero or negative territory.\"FRA-OIS from here will be a function of how tight FX swaps will trade relative to OIS, but Treasury bills trading at deeply sub-zero rates is no longer a risk...While Bills have occasionally dipped into the negative territory on occasion, so far they have avoided a fullblown plunge into NIRP, which may be just the positive sign the market is waiting for to ease the nerves associated with the sudden and largely unexpected end of the SLR exemption.* * *Finally, for those curious what the immediate market impact will be, NatWest strategist Blake Gwinn writes that the Fed announcement that they’re letting regulatory exemptions for banks expire at the end of the month \"really threads the needle and \"assuages concerns about the potential long-term impact on the markets\" asthe SLR \"ends it but defuses a lot of the knee-jerk market reaction” by pledging to address the current design and calibration of the supplementary leverage ratio to prevent strains from developing.“I was never worried about a day-one bank puke of Treasuries or drawdown in repo or anything like that on no renewal,” Gwinn said. “My concern was the longer run,” like as reserves continue to rise, would the SLR “become a nuisance and drag on Treasuries and spreads” Gwinn concludes that with the statement, the Fed is\"really speaking to those fears and basically saying, ‘don’t worry, we are on it’.”Well, with yields spiking to HOD in early quad-witch trading, the market sure seems quite skeptical that the Fed is on anything.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":401,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":350172666,"gmtCreate":1616170584255,"gmtModify":1631888444993,"author":{"id":"3579256753898144","authorId":"3579256753898144","name":"jkjkjkjk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/176af14ad9797e8e2a824d2be763f06d","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579256753898144","authorIdStr":"3579256753898144"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKF\">$ARK Fintech Innovation ETF(ARKF)$</a>LOL","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKF\">$ARK Fintech Innovation ETF(ARKF)$</a>LOL","text":"$ARK Fintech Innovation 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","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/347119329","repostId":"1158416535","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":939,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":347146002,"gmtCreate":1618478396206,"gmtModify":1634292665176,"author":{"id":"3579256753898144","authorId":"3579256753898144","name":"jkjkjkjk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/176af14ad9797e8e2a824d2be763f06d","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579256753898144","authorIdStr":"3579256753898144"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] [财迷] [财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] [财迷] [财迷] ","text":"[财迷] [财迷] [财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/347146002","repostId":"1130631284","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1130631284","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1618475153,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1130631284?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-15 16:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Electric vehicle stocks rally in premarket trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130631284","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(April 15) Electric vehicle stocks rally in premarket trading.Xpeng rose more than 2%. Chinese elect","content":"<p>(April 15) Electric vehicle stocks rally in premarket trading.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe6b34a2191ddc1646eb9edd155207d9\" tg-width=\"312\" tg-height=\"163\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Xpeng rose more than 2%.</b> Chinese electric carmaker Xpeng Motors is looking into making its own semiconductors for autonomous driving. Xinzhou Wu, vice president in charge of autonomous driving at Xpeng, said the company is \"looking at all possible options\" in terms of technologies, to stay ahead of rivals, including autonomous driving chips. In addition, Xpeng launched a new electric sedan called the P5 on Wednesday.</p><p><b>NIO gained nearly 2%. </b>Chinese electric vehicle maker Nio Inc. will unveil its new NIO Power plan along with the first official interior reveal of its ET7 sedan at the 19th Shanghai International Automobile Industry Exhibition next week, cnEVpost reported Wednesday. In addition，It was reported earlier this week that Nio confirmed its long-awaited partnership with oil giant China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation or Sinopec, on setting up battery swap stations at Sinopec’s gas filling stations.</p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Electric vehicle stocks rally in premarket trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nElectric vehicle stocks rally in premarket trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-04-15 16:25</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(April 15) Electric vehicle stocks rally in premarket trading.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe6b34a2191ddc1646eb9edd155207d9\" tg-width=\"312\" tg-height=\"163\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Xpeng rose more than 2%.</b> Chinese electric carmaker Xpeng Motors is looking into making its own semiconductors for autonomous driving. Xinzhou Wu, vice president in charge of autonomous driving at Xpeng, said the company is \"looking at all possible options\" in terms of technologies, to stay ahead of rivals, including autonomous driving chips. In addition, Xpeng launched a new electric sedan called the P5 on Wednesday.</p><p><b>NIO gained nearly 2%. </b>Chinese electric vehicle maker Nio Inc. will unveil its new NIO Power plan along with the first official interior reveal of its ET7 sedan at the 19th Shanghai International Automobile Industry Exhibition next week, cnEVpost reported Wednesday. In addition，It was reported earlier this week that Nio confirmed its long-awaited partnership with oil giant China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation or Sinopec, on setting up battery swap stations at Sinopec’s gas filling stations.</p><p></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","XPEV":"小鹏汽车"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130631284","content_text":"(April 15) Electric vehicle stocks rally in premarket trading.Xpeng rose more than 2%. Chinese electric carmaker Xpeng Motors is looking into making its own semiconductors for autonomous driving. Xinzhou Wu, vice president in charge of autonomous driving at Xpeng, said the company is \"looking at all possible options\" in terms of technologies, to stay ahead of rivals, including autonomous driving chips. In addition, Xpeng launched a new electric sedan called the P5 on Wednesday.NIO gained nearly 2%. Chinese electric vehicle maker Nio Inc. will unveil its new NIO Power plan along with the first official interior reveal of its ET7 sedan at the 19th Shanghai International Automobile Industry Exhibition next week, cnEVpost reported Wednesday. In addition，It was reported earlier this week that Nio confirmed its long-awaited partnership with oil giant China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation or Sinopec, on setting up battery swap stations at Sinopec’s gas filling stations.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":773,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":157213841,"gmtCreate":1625583074683,"gmtModify":1633939355814,"author":{"id":"3579256753898144","authorId":"3579256753898144","name":"jkjkjkjk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/176af14ad9797e8e2a824d2be763f06d","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579256753898144","authorIdStr":"3579256753898144"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"niceeeeeeeeee","listText":"niceeeeeeeeee","text":"niceeeeeeeeee","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecc0121d727977f1cc270e96be266fa7","width":"1125","height":"3574"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/157213841","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":559,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":347148856,"gmtCreate":1618478328775,"gmtModify":1634292665417,"author":{"id":"3579256753898144","authorId":"3579256753898144","name":"jkjkjkjk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/176af14ad9797e8e2a824d2be763f06d","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579256753898144","authorIdStr":"3579256753898144"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"crazy crazy day","listText":"crazy crazy day","text":"crazy crazy day","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/347148856","repostId":"1152649892","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1152649892","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1618474464,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1152649892?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-15 16:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Coinbase gained about 10% in premarket trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152649892","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(April 15) Coinbase gained about 10% in premarket trading.Coinbase Global popped nearly 72% intraday","content":"<p>(April 15) Coinbase gained about 10% in premarket trading.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a4243267797a533c545dd6cc5dfc290\" tg-width=\"1066\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Coinbase Global popped nearly 72% intraday Wednesday and ended the session ahead more than 30% after the cryptocurrency firmstaged its eagerly anticipated direct listing on the Nasdaq.</p><p>COIN opened at $381 at about 1:30 p.m. ET, up 52.4% from a$250-a-share reference pricethat the Nasdaq and Goldman Sachs had set for the stock Tuesday afternoon.</p><p>Coinbase later shot up to as high as $429.54 intraday before closing at $328.28, up 31.3% from the reference price.</p><p>The closing price gives Coinbase about an $85.8B market capitalization, as the company has some 261.3M shares outstandingon a fully diluted basis.</p><p>In addition, ARK Invest buys Coinbase for 3 funds. Cathie Wood bought 89,589 shares of Coinbase for the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (NYSEARCA:ARKF). She bought 512,535 shares of the crypto trading platform for the flagship ARK Innovation ETF (NYSEARCA:ARKK). And she added 147,081 Coinbase shares to the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (NYSEARCA:ARKW).</p><p>That was about $246M worth of Coinbase shares.</p><p>\"There are going to be great opportunities from now and five years to buy (Coinbase) on dips,\" Wood told Bloomberg.</p><p>ARK thinks institutional interest could add $500K to the price of Bitcoin (BTC-USD).</p><p>Wall Street has been excitedly awaiting the company's go-public move because the firm represents perhaps the first pure play on the hot cryptocurrency market.</p><p>Coinbase operates a popular trading platform for Bitcoin (BTC-USD) and other cryptocurrencies, and also offers services like hosting the digital “wallets” that store investors’ crypto holdings.</p><p>COIN went public at a time when Bitcoin has been trading at or near record highs, as have other cryptoslike Ethereum (ETH-USD) and Dogecoin (DOGE-USD).</p><p>However, the company took the unusual move of going public via a direct listing rather than a traditional IPO. Certain Coinbase pre-IPO investors simply made as many as 114.85M shares available to the public via the Nasdaq.</p><p>That led to uncertainty as to how much COIN shares are really worth. In a traditional initial public offering, underwriters set the IPO’s official price hours before the stock hits the market, selling shares to institutional investors and wealthy investors at that level.</p><p>Although a stock can open higher or lower than the official IPO price, at least that gives some investors an idea of what the shares should be worth. That’s not the case with direct listings.</p><p>That said, not only did the Nasdaq and Goldman issue their $250-a-share reference price Tuesday, but German crypto exchange FTX had been offering non-U.S. investors a futures contract that imputed the stock’s likely price ahead of official trading.</p><p>The FTX contract was trading at $463.845 right around the time that Coinbase stock opened for actual trading. As each contract represents 1/250-millionth of Coinbase’s estimated value, that implied a $116B market cap for the company.</p><p>Dividing that by Coinbase’s 261.3M fully diluted shares outstanding put COIN shares’ estimated value at about $443.79 apiece right around the stock’s official Nasdaq opening.</p><p>Coinbase's hot IPO immediately made it one of the most valuable financial companies, right up withMorgan Stanley, Charles Schwab and others.</p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Coinbase gained about 10% in premarket trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCoinbase gained about 10% in premarket trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-04-15 16:14</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(April 15) Coinbase gained about 10% in premarket trading.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a4243267797a533c545dd6cc5dfc290\" tg-width=\"1066\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Coinbase Global popped nearly 72% intraday Wednesday and ended the session ahead more than 30% after the cryptocurrency firmstaged its eagerly anticipated direct listing on the Nasdaq.</p><p>COIN opened at $381 at about 1:30 p.m. ET, up 52.4% from a$250-a-share reference pricethat the Nasdaq and Goldman Sachs had set for the stock Tuesday afternoon.</p><p>Coinbase later shot up to as high as $429.54 intraday before closing at $328.28, up 31.3% from the reference price.</p><p>The closing price gives Coinbase about an $85.8B market capitalization, as the company has some 261.3M shares outstandingon a fully diluted basis.</p><p>In addition, ARK Invest buys Coinbase for 3 funds. Cathie Wood bought 89,589 shares of Coinbase for the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (NYSEARCA:ARKF). She bought 512,535 shares of the crypto trading platform for the flagship ARK Innovation ETF (NYSEARCA:ARKK). And she added 147,081 Coinbase shares to the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (NYSEARCA:ARKW).</p><p>That was about $246M worth of Coinbase shares.</p><p>\"There are going to be great opportunities from now and five years to buy (Coinbase) on dips,\" Wood told Bloomberg.</p><p>ARK thinks institutional interest could add $500K to the price of Bitcoin (BTC-USD).</p><p>Wall Street has been excitedly awaiting the company's go-public move because the firm represents perhaps the first pure play on the hot cryptocurrency market.</p><p>Coinbase operates a popular trading platform for Bitcoin (BTC-USD) and other cryptocurrencies, and also offers services like hosting the digital “wallets” that store investors’ crypto holdings.</p><p>COIN went public at a time when Bitcoin has been trading at or near record highs, as have other cryptoslike Ethereum (ETH-USD) and Dogecoin (DOGE-USD).</p><p>However, the company took the unusual move of going public via a direct listing rather than a traditional IPO. Certain Coinbase pre-IPO investors simply made as many as 114.85M shares available to the public via the Nasdaq.</p><p>That led to uncertainty as to how much COIN shares are really worth. In a traditional initial public offering, underwriters set the IPO’s official price hours before the stock hits the market, selling shares to institutional investors and wealthy investors at that level.</p><p>Although a stock can open higher or lower than the official IPO price, at least that gives some investors an idea of what the shares should be worth. That’s not the case with direct listings.</p><p>That said, not only did the Nasdaq and Goldman issue their $250-a-share reference price Tuesday, but German crypto exchange FTX had been offering non-U.S. investors a futures contract that imputed the stock’s likely price ahead of official trading.</p><p>The FTX contract was trading at $463.845 right around the time that Coinbase stock opened for actual trading. As each contract represents 1/250-millionth of Coinbase’s estimated value, that implied a $116B market cap for the company.</p><p>Dividing that by Coinbase’s 261.3M fully diluted shares outstanding put COIN shares’ estimated value at about $443.79 apiece right around the stock’s official Nasdaq opening.</p><p>Coinbase's hot IPO immediately made it one of the most valuable financial companies, right up withMorgan Stanley, Charles Schwab and others.</p><p></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152649892","content_text":"(April 15) Coinbase gained about 10% in premarket trading.Coinbase Global popped nearly 72% intraday Wednesday and ended the session ahead more than 30% after the cryptocurrency firmstaged its eagerly anticipated direct listing on the Nasdaq.COIN opened at $381 at about 1:30 p.m. ET, up 52.4% from a$250-a-share reference pricethat the Nasdaq and Goldman Sachs had set for the stock Tuesday afternoon.Coinbase later shot up to as high as $429.54 intraday before closing at $328.28, up 31.3% from the reference price.The closing price gives Coinbase about an $85.8B market capitalization, as the company has some 261.3M shares outstandingon a fully diluted basis.In addition, ARK Invest buys Coinbase for 3 funds. Cathie Wood bought 89,589 shares of Coinbase for the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (NYSEARCA:ARKF). She bought 512,535 shares of the crypto trading platform for the flagship ARK Innovation ETF (NYSEARCA:ARKK). And she added 147,081 Coinbase shares to the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (NYSEARCA:ARKW).That was about $246M worth of Coinbase shares.\"There are going to be great opportunities from now and five years to buy (Coinbase) on dips,\" Wood told Bloomberg.ARK thinks institutional interest could add $500K to the price of Bitcoin (BTC-USD).Wall Street has been excitedly awaiting the company's go-public move because the firm represents perhaps the first pure play on the hot cryptocurrency market.Coinbase operates a popular trading platform for Bitcoin (BTC-USD) and other cryptocurrencies, and also offers services like hosting the digital “wallets” that store investors’ crypto holdings.COIN went public at a time when Bitcoin has been trading at or near record highs, as have other cryptoslike Ethereum (ETH-USD) and Dogecoin (DOGE-USD).However, the company took the unusual move of going public via a direct listing rather than a traditional IPO. Certain Coinbase pre-IPO investors simply made as many as 114.85M shares available to the public via the Nasdaq.That led to uncertainty as to how much COIN shares are really worth. In a traditional initial public offering, underwriters set the IPO’s official price hours before the stock hits the market, selling shares to institutional investors and wealthy investors at that level.Although a stock can open higher or lower than the official IPO price, at least that gives some investors an idea of what the shares should be worth. That’s not the case with direct listings.That said, not only did the Nasdaq and Goldman issue their $250-a-share reference price Tuesday, but German crypto exchange FTX had been offering non-U.S. investors a futures contract that imputed the stock’s likely price ahead of official trading.The FTX contract was trading at $463.845 right around the time that Coinbase stock opened for actual trading. As each contract represents 1/250-millionth of Coinbase’s estimated value, that implied a $116B market cap for the company.Dividing that by Coinbase’s 261.3M fully diluted shares outstanding put COIN shares’ estimated value at about $443.79 apiece right around the stock’s official Nasdaq opening.Coinbase's hot IPO immediately made it one of the most valuable financial companies, right up withMorgan Stanley, Charles Schwab and others.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":602,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":347113079,"gmtCreate":1618474243391,"gmtModify":1634292693313,"author":{"id":"3579256753898144","authorId":"3579256753898144","name":"jkjkjkjk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/176af14ad9797e8e2a824d2be763f06d","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579256753898144","authorIdStr":"3579256753898144"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$NASDAQ-100 Index ETF(QQQ)$</a>decent","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$NASDAQ-100 Index ETF(QQQ)$</a>decent","text":"$NASDAQ-100 Index ETF(QQQ)$decent","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d7b7e648b8fac1c89a9256136073f17","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/347113079","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":423,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":358602429,"gmtCreate":1616682740861,"gmtModify":1634524567417,"author":{"id":"3579256753898144","authorId":"3579256753898144","name":"jkjkjkjk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/176af14ad9797e8e2a824d2be763f06d","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579256753898144","authorIdStr":"3579256753898144"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑] ","listText":"[微笑] ","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/358602429","repostId":"1167131291","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":905,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":350175880,"gmtCreate":1616170627540,"gmtModify":1634526868517,"author":{"id":"3579256753898144","authorId":"3579256753898144","name":"jkjkjkjk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/176af14ad9797e8e2a824d2be763f06d","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579256753898144","authorIdStr":"3579256753898144"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/350175880","repostId":"1199154789","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199154789","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616164372,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199154789?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 22:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Disappoints Market, Lets SLR Relief Expire: What Happens Next","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199154789","media":"zerohedge","summary":"As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on ","content":"<p>As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.</p><blockquote>The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on March 31, 2021.The temporary change was made to provide flexibility for depository institutions to provide credit to households and businesses in light of the COVID-19 event.</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b822960da59d651f093b5113cd0c3fd0\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"319\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">This outcome is theone (again) correctly predictedby former NY Fed guru Zoltan Pozsar who following the FOMC said that \"the fact that the Fed made this adjustment practically preemptively – the o/n RRP facility is not being used at the moment, so there are no capacity constraints yet, while repo and bill yields aren’t trading negative yet –<b>suggests that the Fed is “foaming the runway” for the end of SLR exemption</b>.\"</p><p>Knowing well this would be a very hot button issue for the market, the Fed published thefollowing statementto ease trader nerves, noting that while the SLR special treatment will expire on March 31, the Fed is \"inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications\" and furthermore, \"<b>Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability</b>\" - in short, if yields spike, the Fed will re-introduce the SLR without delay:</p><blockquote>The Federal Reserve Board on Friday announced that the temporary change to its supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for bank holding companies will expire as scheduled on March 31. <b>Additionally, the Board will shortly seek comment on measures to adjust the SLR. The Board will take appropriate actions to assure that any changes to the SLR do not erode the overall strength of bank capital requirements.</b>To ease strains in the Treasury market resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and to promote lending to households and businesses, the Board temporarily modified the SLR last year to exclude U.S. Treasury securities and central bank reserves. Since that time, the Treasury market has stabilized. <b>However, because of recent growth in the supply of central bank reserves and the issuance of Treasury securities, the Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability.To ensure that the SLR—which was established in 2014 as an additional capital requirement—remains effective in an environment of higher reserves, the Board will soon be inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications.</b>The proposal and comments will contribute to ongoing discussions with the Department of the Treasury and other regulators on future work to ensure the resiliency of the Treasury market.</blockquote><p>The Fed's soothing wods notwithstanding,<b>having been primed for a favorable outcome, the Fed's disappointing announcement was hardly the news traders were hoping for and stocks tumbled...</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c341c3843a5031cd1599c2c89e198050\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"305\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Bond yields spiked...</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14173c1ce587fb45efe4c30ecc1dfbab\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"284\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">... while the stock of JPM, which is the most exposed bank to SLR relief (as noted yesterday in \"Facing Up To JP Morgan's Leverage Relief Threats\")...</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32811183fba3dbddf1c440836298c7f3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">.... slumped.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fba41463f15e79d2b8436cdd6a526fc\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"306\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In case you've been living under a rock, here's why you should care about the SLR decision: First, for those whomissed our primer on the issue, some background from JPM (ironically the one bank that has the most to lose from the Fed's decision) the bottom line is that without SLR relief,<b>banks may have to delever, raise new capital, halt buybacks, sell preferred stock, turn down deposits and generally push back on reserves (not necessarily all of these, and not in that order) just as the Fed is injecting hundreds of billions of reserves into the market as the Treasury depletes its TGA account.</b></p><blockquote>The massive expansion of the Fed’s balance that has occurred implied an equally massive growth in bank reserves held at Federal Reserve banks. <b>The expiration of the regulatory relief would add ~$2.1tn of leverage exposure across the 8 GSIBs. As well, TGA reduction and continued QE could add another ~$2.35tn of deposits to the system during 2021.</b></blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/392342c2f3e1dd008b2276172a9b3ecf\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"253\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">While the expiry of the carve-out on March 31 would not have an immediate impact on GSIBs, the continued increase in leverage assets throughout the course of the year would increase long-term debt (LTD) and preferred requirements. Here, JPM takes an optimistic view and writes that<b>\"even the “worst” case issuance scenario as very manageable, with LTD needs of $35bn for TLAC requirements and preferred needs of $15-$20bn to maintain the industry-wide SLR at 5.6%.</b></p><p>The constraint is greater at the bank entity, where the capacity to grow leverage exposure to be ~$765bn at 6.2% SLR.\"Goldman's take was more troubling: the bank estimated that under the continued QE regime, there would be a shortfall of some $2 trillion in reserve capacity, mainly in the form of deposits which the banks would be unable to accept as part of ongoing QE (much more in Goldman'sfull take of the SLR quandary).</p><p><b>So what happens next?</b></p><p>Addressing this topic, yesterday Curvature's Scott Skyrm wrote that \"<i>the largest banks are enjoying much larger balance sheets, but there are political factors in Washington that are against an extension of the exemption.... Here are a couple of scenarios and their implications on the Repo market</i>:</p><blockquote>The exemption is extended 3 months or 6 months - No impact on the Repo market. It's already fully priced-in.The exemption is continued for reserves, but ended for Treasurys. <b>Since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise. Volatility increases as Repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants.The exemption is ended for both reserves and Treasurys. Same as above.</b></blockquote><p>In other words, Skyrm has a relatively downbeat view, warning that \"since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise.\" Additionally, volatility is likely to increase as repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants...</p><p>Perhaps a bit too draconian? Well, last week, JPMorgan laid out 5 scenarios for SLR, of which two predicted the end of SLR relief on March 31, as follow:</p><blockquote><u><b>3. Relief ends March 31, banks fully raise capital</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b> <u><b>4. Relief ends March 31, banks raise capital & de-lever</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b></blockquote><p>Going back to Zoltan, let's recallthat the repo gurualso cautioned that \"ending the exemption of reserves and Treasuries from the calculation of the SLR may mean that U.S. banks will turn away deposits and reserves on the margin (not Treasuries) to leave more room for market-making activities,<b>and these flows will swell further money funds’ inflows coming from TGA drawdowns.</b>\"</p><p>More importantly, Zoltan does not expect broad chaos in repo or broader markets, and instead provides a more benign view on the negligible impact the SLR has had (and will be if it is eliminated), as he explained in a note from Tuesday.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/caeeb2b1290e084832f29d61cea6a90b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"534\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">How to determine if Zoltan's benign view is correct? He concluded his note by writing that \"given that our call for a zero-to-negative FRA-OIS spread by the end of June was predicated on the end of SLR extension and an assumption that the Fed will try to fix a quantity problem with prices, not quantities, today’s adjustments mean that FRA-OIS won’t trade all the way down to zero or negative territory.\"</p><blockquote>FRA-OIS from here will be a function of how tight FX swaps will trade relative to OIS, but Treasury bills trading at deeply sub-zero rates is no longer a risk...</blockquote><p>While Bills have occasionally dipped into the negative territory on occasion, so far they have avoided a fullblown plunge into NIRP, which may be just the positive sign the market is waiting for to ease the nerves associated with the sudden and largely unexpected end of the SLR exemption.</p><p>* * *</p><p>Finally, for those curious what the immediate market impact will be, NatWest strategist Blake Gwinn writes that the Fed announcement that they’re letting regulatory exemptions for banks expire at the end of the month \"really threads the needle and \"assuages concerns about the potential long-term impact on the markets\" as<b>the SLR \"ends it but defuses a lot of the knee-jerk market reaction” by pledging to address the current design and calibration of the supplementary leverage ratio to prevent strains from developing</b>.</p><p>“I was never worried about a day-one bank puke of Treasuries or drawdown in repo or anything like that on no renewal,” Gwinn said. “My concern was the longer run,” like as reserves continue to rise, would the SLR “become a nuisance and drag on Treasuries and spreads” Gwinn concludes that with the statement, the Fed is<b>\"really speaking to those fears and basically saying, ‘don’t worry, we are on it’.”</b></p><p>Well, with yields spiking to HOD in early quad-witch trading, the market sure seems quite skeptical that the Fed is on anything.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Disappoints Market, Lets SLR Relief Expire: What Happens Next\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-19 22:32 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-bopnds-tank-after-fed-lets-slr-relief-expire><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-bopnds-tank-after-fed-lets-slr-relief-expire\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-bopnds-tank-after-fed-lets-slr-relief-expire","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199154789","content_text":"As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on March 31, 2021.The temporary change was made to provide flexibility for depository institutions to provide credit to households and businesses in light of the COVID-19 event.This outcome is theone (again) correctly predictedby former NY Fed guru Zoltan Pozsar who following the FOMC said that \"the fact that the Fed made this adjustment practically preemptively – the o/n RRP facility is not being used at the moment, so there are no capacity constraints yet, while repo and bill yields aren’t trading negative yet –suggests that the Fed is “foaming the runway” for the end of SLR exemption.\"Knowing well this would be a very hot button issue for the market, the Fed published thefollowing statementto ease trader nerves, noting that while the SLR special treatment will expire on March 31, the Fed is \"inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications\" and furthermore, \"Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability\" - in short, if yields spike, the Fed will re-introduce the SLR without delay:The Federal Reserve Board on Friday announced that the temporary change to its supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for bank holding companies will expire as scheduled on March 31. Additionally, the Board will shortly seek comment on measures to adjust the SLR. The Board will take appropriate actions to assure that any changes to the SLR do not erode the overall strength of bank capital requirements.To ease strains in the Treasury market resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and to promote lending to households and businesses, the Board temporarily modified the SLR last year to exclude U.S. Treasury securities and central bank reserves. Since that time, the Treasury market has stabilized. However, because of recent growth in the supply of central bank reserves and the issuance of Treasury securities, the Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability.To ensure that the SLR—which was established in 2014 as an additional capital requirement—remains effective in an environment of higher reserves, the Board will soon be inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications.The proposal and comments will contribute to ongoing discussions with the Department of the Treasury and other regulators on future work to ensure the resiliency of the Treasury market.The Fed's soothing wods notwithstanding,having been primed for a favorable outcome, the Fed's disappointing announcement was hardly the news traders were hoping for and stocks tumbled...Bond yields spiked...... while the stock of JPM, which is the most exposed bank to SLR relief (as noted yesterday in \"Facing Up To JP Morgan's Leverage Relief Threats\")....... slumped.In case you've been living under a rock, here's why you should care about the SLR decision: First, for those whomissed our primer on the issue, some background from JPM (ironically the one bank that has the most to lose from the Fed's decision) the bottom line is that without SLR relief,banks may have to delever, raise new capital, halt buybacks, sell preferred stock, turn down deposits and generally push back on reserves (not necessarily all of these, and not in that order) just as the Fed is injecting hundreds of billions of reserves into the market as the Treasury depletes its TGA account.The massive expansion of the Fed’s balance that has occurred implied an equally massive growth in bank reserves held at Federal Reserve banks. The expiration of the regulatory relief would add ~$2.1tn of leverage exposure across the 8 GSIBs. As well, TGA reduction and continued QE could add another ~$2.35tn of deposits to the system during 2021.While the expiry of the carve-out on March 31 would not have an immediate impact on GSIBs, the continued increase in leverage assets throughout the course of the year would increase long-term debt (LTD) and preferred requirements. Here, JPM takes an optimistic view and writes that\"even the “worst” case issuance scenario as very manageable, with LTD needs of $35bn for TLAC requirements and preferred needs of $15-$20bn to maintain the industry-wide SLR at 5.6%.The constraint is greater at the bank entity, where the capacity to grow leverage exposure to be ~$765bn at 6.2% SLR.\"Goldman's take was more troubling: the bank estimated that under the continued QE regime, there would be a shortfall of some $2 trillion in reserve capacity, mainly in the form of deposits which the banks would be unable to accept as part of ongoing QE (much more in Goldman'sfull take of the SLR quandary).So what happens next?Addressing this topic, yesterday Curvature's Scott Skyrm wrote that \"the largest banks are enjoying much larger balance sheets, but there are political factors in Washington that are against an extension of the exemption.... Here are a couple of scenarios and their implications on the Repo market:The exemption is extended 3 months or 6 months - No impact on the Repo market. It's already fully priced-in.The exemption is continued for reserves, but ended for Treasurys. Since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise. Volatility increases as Repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants.The exemption is ended for both reserves and Treasurys. Same as above.In other words, Skyrm has a relatively downbeat view, warning that \"since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise.\" Additionally, volatility is likely to increase as repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants...Perhaps a bit too draconian? Well, last week, JPMorgan laid out 5 scenarios for SLR, of which two predicted the end of SLR relief on March 31, as follow:3. Relief ends March 31, banks fully raise capital Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates 4. Relief ends March 31, banks raise capital & de-lever Impact on BanksRatesFront-End RatesGoing back to Zoltan, let's recallthat the repo gurualso cautioned that \"ending the exemption of reserves and Treasuries from the calculation of the SLR may mean that U.S. banks will turn away deposits and reserves on the margin (not Treasuries) to leave more room for market-making activities,and these flows will swell further money funds’ inflows coming from TGA drawdowns.\"More importantly, Zoltan does not expect broad chaos in repo or broader markets, and instead provides a more benign view on the negligible impact the SLR has had (and will be if it is eliminated), as he explained in a note from Tuesday.How to determine if Zoltan's benign view is correct? He concluded his note by writing that \"given that our call for a zero-to-negative FRA-OIS spread by the end of June was predicated on the end of SLR extension and an assumption that the Fed will try to fix a quantity problem with prices, not quantities, today’s adjustments mean that FRA-OIS won’t trade all the way down to zero or negative territory.\"FRA-OIS from here will be a function of how tight FX swaps will trade relative to OIS, but Treasury bills trading at deeply sub-zero rates is no longer a risk...While Bills have occasionally dipped into the negative territory on occasion, so far they have avoided a fullblown plunge into NIRP, which may be just the positive sign the market is waiting for to ease the nerves associated with the sudden and largely unexpected end of the SLR exemption.* * *Finally, for those curious what the immediate market impact will be, NatWest strategist Blake Gwinn writes that the Fed announcement that they’re letting regulatory exemptions for banks expire at the end of the month \"really threads the needle and \"assuages concerns about the potential long-term impact on the markets\" asthe SLR \"ends it but defuses a lot of the knee-jerk market reaction” by pledging to address the current design and calibration of the supplementary leverage ratio to prevent strains from developing.“I was never worried about a day-one bank puke of Treasuries or drawdown in repo or anything like that on no renewal,” Gwinn said. “My concern was the longer run,” like as reserves continue to rise, would the SLR “become a nuisance and drag on Treasuries and spreads” Gwinn concludes that with the statement, the Fed is\"really speaking to those fears and basically saying, ‘don’t worry, we are on it’.”Well, with yields spiking to HOD in early quad-witch trading, the market sure seems quite skeptical that the Fed is on anything.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":401,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":350172666,"gmtCreate":1616170584255,"gmtModify":1631888444993,"author":{"id":"3579256753898144","authorId":"3579256753898144","name":"jkjkjkjk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/176af14ad9797e8e2a824d2be763f06d","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579256753898144","authorIdStr":"3579256753898144"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKF\">$ARK Fintech Innovation ETF(ARKF)$</a>LOL","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKF\">$ARK Fintech Innovation ETF(ARKF)$</a>LOL","text":"$ARK Fintech Innovation ETF(ARKF)$LOL","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bec1c490a83dc6021d6ecef97d5b4417","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/350172666","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":238,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
