Salibee的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Salibee

Salibee

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21关注

19粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-08-13

Wah play punk ah chinese stonks.

2021-08-03

Always innovating. 🚀

Tesla rose nearly 5% in morning trading<blockquote>特斯拉早盘上涨近 5%</blockquote>

2021-08-03

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ccant tank this

2021-08-02

Downtrend soon. Hold your horses

2021-08-02

$Apple(AAPL)$apple pen

2021-08-01

$Walt Disney(DIS)$shaft sore liao lor see this red

2021-08-01

Go je

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-01

Red red red...so many red making my balls choke

2021-08-01

Beautiful performance past quarter. It was fun while it lasted

2021-07-31

$Apple(AAPL)$juice running out lor .. time to pp it up

2021-07-31

Cathy ill remember you for this

2021-07-29

Play somemore!! When at peakdl dowan cash out...fb big trouble...FUD LOR!!

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-29

No juice one lorr

2021-07-25

No juice to pump this up

2021-07-25

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$dont disappoint me ah

2021-07-24

Juice dry up liao la

2021-07-24

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$pplay some more get burnt lorr

2021-07-23

This is one Im aiming for for quite some time. But never really had the balls to do it especially after finding out about Billy Gates affairs. Wth was I thinking damn it!!

2021-07-22

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$once your gains were 20% until cathie the fud monger came along. Ill remember that very day.

2021-07-22

Theres an obvious dip will add this and amc tonight 👻😂 YA YA YA

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play punk ah chinese stonks.","listText":"Wah play punk ah chinese stonks.","text":"Wah play punk ah chinese stonks.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0607e7b4f4e1e5bc5381f42a87ed0fb0","width":"1080","height":"3453"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894716314","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2961,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804800884,"gmtCreate":1627948308248,"gmtModify":1631886632095,"author":{"id":"3578610877384773","authorId":"3578610877384773","name":"Salibee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4171df5071ff91dad108e551fca14644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578610877384773","idStr":"3578610877384773"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Always innovating. 🚀","listText":"Always innovating. 🚀","text":"Always innovating. 🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804800884","repostId":"1155693481","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155693481","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627913458,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1155693481?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 22:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla rose nearly 5% in morning trading<blockquote>特斯拉早盘上涨近 5%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155693481","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":" $Tesla Motors$ rose nearly 5% in morning trading.Elon Musk confirms Tesla AI Day will be on August 19.In addition ,Last Thursday, Benzinga Proalerted its users 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Sulfate Manufacturing System via Electrochemical Dissolution,” would allow the EV and technology company to recover the two crucial raw battery metals and reuse them making its supply chain more efficient.</p><p><blockquote>这项名为 “通过电化学溶解制造金属硫酸盐系统 ”的专利将使这家电动汽车和技术公司能够回收这两种关键的电池金属原料并重新利用，从而提高其供应链的效率。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9faf5c64c1d04f0efe8c72c78addc130\" tg-width=\"725\" tg-height=\"633\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla rose nearly 5% in morning trading<blockquote>特斯拉早盘上涨近 5%</blockquote></title>\n<style 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2)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a> rose nearly 5% in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>（8月2日）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>早盘交易中上涨近 5%。</blockquote></p><p> Elon Musk confirms Tesla AI Day will be on August 19.</p><p><blockquote>埃隆·马斯克确认特斯拉人工智能日将于8月19日举行。</blockquote></p><p> In&nbsp;addition&nbsp;,Last Thursday,&nbsp;Benzinga Proalerted its users Tesla hadfiled a patentthat would allow it to recover and recycle nickel and cobalt from old lithium-ion EV batteries.</p><p><blockquote>此外，上周四，Benzinga 提醒其用户特斯拉已提交一项专利，允许其从旧锂离子电动汽车电池中回收和回收镍和钴。</blockquote></p><p> The patent, titled “Metal Sulfate Manufacturing System via Electrochemical Dissolution,” would allow the EV and technology company to recover the two crucial raw battery metals and reuse them making its supply chain more efficient.</p><p><blockquote>这项名为 “通过电化学溶解制造金属硫酸盐系统 ”的专利将使这家电动汽车和技术公司能够回收这两种关键的电池金属原料并重新利用，从而提高其供应链的效率。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9faf5c64c1d04f0efe8c72c78addc130\" tg-width=\"725\" tg-height=\"633\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155693481","content_text":"(August 2) Tesla Motors rose nearly 5% in morning trading.\nElon Musk confirms Tesla AI Day will be on August 19.\nIn addition ,Last Thursday, Benzinga Proalerted its users Tesla hadfiled a patentthat would allow it to recover and recycle nickel and cobalt from old lithium-ion EV batteries.\nThe patent, titled “Metal Sulfate Manufacturing System via Electrochemical Dissolution,” would allow the EV and technology company to recover the two crucial raw battery metals and reuse them making its supply chain more efficient.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3951,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804175264,"gmtCreate":1627948169758,"gmtModify":1631886632108,"author":{"id":"3578610877384773","authorId":"3578610877384773","name":"Salibee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4171df5071ff91dad108e551fca14644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578610877384773","idStr":"3578610877384773"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>ccant tank this","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>ccant tank this","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ccant tank this","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/630d2cffd055cc2571426ebfe454655c","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804175264","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3441,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805978065,"gmtCreate":1627858256457,"gmtModify":1631886632121,"author":{"id":"3578610877384773","authorId":"3578610877384773","name":"Salibee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4171df5071ff91dad108e551fca14644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578610877384773","idStr":"3578610877384773"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Downtrend soon. Hold your horses","listText":"Downtrend soon. Hold your horses","text":"Downtrend soon. 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It was fun while it lasted","listText":"Beautiful performance past quarter. It was fun while it lasted","text":"Beautiful performance past quarter. It was fun while it lasted","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/515f9a5c4fb36b520ccce94a50fcf0e5","width":"1080","height":"3300"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802780817","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4133,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802177359,"gmtCreate":1627742768271,"gmtModify":1631886632230,"author":{"id":"3578610877384773","authorId":"3578610877384773","name":"Salibee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4171df5071ff91dad108e551fca14644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578610877384773","idStr":"3578610877384773"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>juice running out lor .. time to pp it up","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>juice running out lor .. time to pp it up","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$juice running out lor .. time to pp it up","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e1074a4c4d891cd7bcb4bf83743b75d","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802177359","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3364,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802174276,"gmtCreate":1627742672195,"gmtModify":1631886632242,"author":{"id":"3578610877384773","authorId":"3578610877384773","name":"Salibee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4171df5071ff91dad108e551fca14644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578610877384773","idStr":"3578610877384773"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Cathy ill remember you for this","listText":"Cathy ill remember you for this","text":"Cathy ill remember you for this","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a9605723192d799070f9d2a808e9c61","width":"1080","height":"3300"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802174276","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1191,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801713601,"gmtCreate":1627534273103,"gmtModify":1631889462345,"author":{"id":"3578610877384773","authorId":"3578610877384773","name":"Salibee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4171df5071ff91dad108e551fca14644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578610877384773","idStr":"3578610877384773"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Play somemore!! When at peakdl dowan cash out...fb big trouble...FUD LOR!!","listText":"Play somemore!! When at peakdl dowan cash out...fb big trouble...FUD LOR!!","text":"Play somemore!! 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la","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e80348d24195b97cc1a162f28589e18","width":"1080","height":"3300"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174767385","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":786,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174765193,"gmtCreate":1627141549412,"gmtModify":1631889462397,"author":{"id":"3578610877384773","authorId":"3578610877384773","name":"Salibee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4171df5071ff91dad108e551fca14644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578610877384773","idStr":"3578610877384773"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>pplay some more get burnt lorr","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>pplay some more get burnt lorr","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$pplay some more get burnt lorr","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f9cb99e5fbdd56d0207965d7f20b2e3","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174765193","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":879,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175650686,"gmtCreate":1627029887845,"gmtModify":1631883981936,"author":{"id":"3578610877384773","authorId":"3578610877384773","name":"Salibee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4171df5071ff91dad108e551fca14644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578610877384773","idStr":"3578610877384773"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"This is one Im aiming for for quite some time. But never really had the balls to do it especially after finding out about Billy Gates affairs. Wth was I thinking damn it!!","listText":"This is one Im aiming for for quite some time. But never really had the balls to do it especially after finding out about Billy Gates affairs. Wth was I thinking damn it!!","text":"This is one Im aiming for for quite some time. But never really had the balls to do it especially after finding out about Billy Gates affairs. Wth was I thinking damn it!!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b76ac12dfdc966812a69e1b0f80b864","width":"1080","height":"3300"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175650686","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1093,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172023260,"gmtCreate":1626921816550,"gmtModify":1631889462420,"author":{"id":"3578610877384773","authorId":"3578610877384773","name":"Salibee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4171df5071ff91dad108e551fca14644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578610877384773","idStr":"3578610877384773"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>once your gains were 20% until cathie the fud monger came along. 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Ill remember that very day.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a00ca5d4bde0407fc7ccbdae96e98c48","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172023260","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":736,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172083051,"gmtCreate":1626920758273,"gmtModify":1631889462432,"author":{"id":"3578610877384773","authorId":"3578610877384773","name":"Salibee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4171df5071ff91dad108e551fca14644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578610877384773","idStr":"3578610877384773"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Theres an obvious dip will add this and amc tonight 👻😂 YA YA YA","listText":"Theres an obvious dip will add this and amc tonight 👻😂 YA YA YA","text":"Theres an obvious dip will add this and amc tonight 👻😂 YA YA YA","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a077402dab71832e641daff90426ced5","width":"1080","height":"3503"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172083051","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1481,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":181924153,"gmtCreate":1623371360472,"gmtModify":1631885485004,"author":{"id":"3578610877384773","authorId":"3578610877384773","name":"Salibee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4171df5071ff91dad108e551fca14644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578610877384773","idStr":"3578610877384773"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Time to get some&nbsp;RYCEY!!!","listText":"Time to get some&nbsp;RYCEY!!!","text":"Time to get some RYCEY!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181924153","repostId":"2142220946","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":483,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804175264,"gmtCreate":1627948169758,"gmtModify":1631886632108,"author":{"id":"3578610877384773","authorId":"3578610877384773","name":"Salibee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4171df5071ff91dad108e551fca14644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578610877384773","idStr":"3578610877384773"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>ccant tank this","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>ccant tank this","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ccant tank this","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/630d2cffd055cc2571426ebfe454655c","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804175264","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3441,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123790943,"gmtCreate":1624437535382,"gmtModify":1634006145213,"author":{"id":"3578610877384773","authorId":"3578610877384773","name":"Salibee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4171df5071ff91dad108e551fca14644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578610877384773","idStr":"3578610877384773"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hahaha please. This is absurd. Maybe in a 100 years? When elon is dead then we'll talk about it","listText":"Hahaha please. This is absurd. Maybe in a 100 years? When elon is dead then we'll talk about it","text":"Hahaha please. This is absurd. Maybe in a 100 years? 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Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$pplay some more get burnt lorr","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f9cb99e5fbdd56d0207965d7f20b2e3","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174765193","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":879,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153452442,"gmtCreate":1625044998386,"gmtModify":1633945501837,"author":{"id":"3578610877384773","authorId":"3578610877384773","name":"Salibee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4171df5071ff91dad108e551fca14644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578610877384773","idStr":"3578610877384773"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">$Facebook(FB)$</a>Too ex to load more.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">$Facebook(FB)$</a>Too ex to load more.&nbsp;","text":"$Facebook(FB)$Too ex to load more.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31b514fffc9be6515681e5e2447bd121","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/153452442","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":674,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192594820,"gmtCreate":1621214887760,"gmtModify":1634193349464,"author":{"id":"3578610877384773","authorId":"3578610877384773","name":"Salibee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4171df5071ff91dad108e551fca14644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578610877384773","idStr":"3578610877384773"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"I guess he say a \"WINDOW\" of opportunity 🤪😝🥳","listText":"I guess he say a \"WINDOW\" of opportunity 🤪😝🥳","text":"I guess he say a \"WINDOW\" of opportunity 🤪😝🥳","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192594820","repostId":"1155662507","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":955,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177649242,"gmtCreate":1627215436686,"gmtModify":1631889462363,"author":{"id":"3578610877384773","authorId":"3578610877384773","name":"Salibee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4171df5071ff91dad108e551fca14644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578610877384773","idStr":"3578610877384773"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"No juice to pump this up","listText":"No juice to pump this up","text":"No juice to pump this up","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2eaa28bd89e2162105b4531d69c5cd8","width":"1080","height":"3300"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177649242","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":111097460,"gmtCreate":1622643315050,"gmtModify":1634099639753,"author":{"id":"3578610877384773","authorId":"3578610877384773","name":"Salibee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4171df5071ff91dad108e551fca14644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578610877384773","idStr":"3578610877384773"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Lets split man im in","listText":"Lets split man im in","text":"Lets split man im in","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/111097460","repostId":"1139790754","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1139790754","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622642200,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1139790754?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-02 21:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon: The Cash Will Come<blockquote>亚马逊：现金会来的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139790754","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nAlthough Amazon benefited from COVID-induced shutdowns, the best is yet to come for free ca","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Although Amazon benefited from COVID-induced shutdowns, the best is yet to come for free cash flow.</li>  <li>Lagging free cash flow growth in 2020 and 2021 is due to investment to support growth, going after massive opportunities.</li>  <li>After lagging the market, the company is trading at an attractive valuation.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a085447e5042d959bca14408fd50b9d\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by Bet_Noire/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>尽管亚马逊受益于新冠疫情引发的停工，但最好的自由现金流尚未到来。</li><li>2020年和2021年自由现金流增长滞后是由于投资支持增长，追求巨大的机会。</li><li>在落后于市场之后，该公司的估值很有吸引力。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>照片由 Bet_Noire/iStock 提供，盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Short-sighted investors are selling Amazon (AMZN), which has been a massive beneficiary of the COVID shutdowns, to fund dubious reopening plays like General Electric (GE) and Nucor (NUE). As a result, Amazon has lagged the market year-to-date and is now trading at an attractive valuation.</p><p><blockquote>目光短浅的投资者正在出售亚马逊（AMZN），该公司一直是新冠疫情关闭的巨大受益者，以资助通用电气（GE）和纽柯（NUE）等可疑的重新开业公司。因此，亚马逊今年迄今为止的表现落后于市场，目前的估值颇具吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Although Amazon's revenue and EPS has benefited tremendously from COVID, free cash flow has not. After the current spending cycle winds down, Amazon seems poised to experience an explosion of free cash flow by 2022 and 2023. After all, it is the cash that the company gets to keep for investors that makes the company powerful and investors rich.</p><p><blockquote>尽管亚马逊的收入和每股收益从新冠疫情中受益匪浅，但自由现金流却没有。在当前支出周期结束后，亚马逊似乎有望在 2022 年和 2023 年经历自由现金流的爆炸式增长。毕竟，正是公司为投资者保留的现金让公司变得强大，让投资者变得富有。</blockquote></p><p> <b>COVID Beneficiary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>COVID受益人</b></blockquote></p><p> Amazon has been a massive beneficiary of COVID. The company generated $386 billion of revenue in 2020, up 37.6% y/y. This Amazon's fastest growth rate since 2011, even including the inorganic contribution to growth in 2017 and 2018 when it&nbsp;acquired&nbsp;Whole Foods. Amazingly, the last time the company grew faster was in 2011 when the company generated \"only\" $48 billion in revenue. Who said elephants can't dance?</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊一直是COVID的巨大受益者。该公司2020年收入为3860亿美元，同比增长37.6%。这是亚马逊自2011年以来最快的增长率，甚至包括2017年和2018年收购全食超市时对增长的无机贡献。令人惊讶的是，该公司上一次增长更快是在 2011 年，当时该公司“仅”产生了 480 亿美元的收入。谁说大象不会跳舞？</blockquote></p><p> In 2020, Amazon's e-commerce businesses experienced accelerated revenue growth:</p><p><blockquote>2020年，亚马逊电商业务收入加速增长：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>3rd Party Seller Services increased 49.6% to $80.4 billion.</li>  <li>Online stores increased 39.7% to $197 billion.</li> </ul> In 2020, the company's other businesses continued to decelerate, though likely at a lower deceleration than without COVID:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>第三方卖家服务增长 49.6%，达到 804 亿美元。</li><li>在线商店增长 39.7%，达到 1970 亿美元。</li></ul>2020 年，该公司的其他业务继续放缓，但放缓幅度可能低于没有新冠疫情的情况：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Subscription Services grew 31.2% y/y $25.2 billion, a 4.4% point y/y deceleration vs. a 10.1% point deceleration the prior year.</li>  <li>AWS grew 29.5% to $45.4 billion, a 7% point y/y deceleration vs. a 10.5% point deceleration the prior year.</li> </ul> Physical stores, not surprisingly, is the only business that got hurt by COVID, declining 5.6% to $16.2 billion. A 5.6% decline isn't even that bad, and this business is a drop in the bucket given Amazon's total revenue of $489 billion in 2020.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>订阅服务同比增长 31.2%，达到 252 亿美元，同比下降 4.4 个百分点，而上年下降 10.1 个百分点。</li><li>AWS 增长 29.5%，达到 454 亿美元，同比放缓 7 个百分点，而上年放缓 10.5 个百分点。</li></ul>毫不奇怪，实体店是唯一受到COVID影响的企业，下降了5.6%，至162亿美元。5.6% 的下降甚至没有那么糟糕，考虑到亚马逊 2020 年 4890 亿美元的总收入，这项业务只是杯水车薪。</blockquote></p><p> The COVID benefits largely extended into 2021 as consensus estimates put 2021 revenue growth at a robust 26.9% on top of tough comps.</p><p><blockquote>新冠疫情带来的好处在很大程度上延续到了 2021 年，因为普遍估计，在艰难的竞争之上，2021 年收入增长将强劲增长 26.9%。</blockquote></p><p> The company saw an even bigger increase in accounting profits. Operating income expanded to 5.9% in 2020, a 70 bps y/y expansion. It is important to note that excluding one-time $11.5 billion COVID-related expenses in 2020, Amazon's operating margin would have been 8.9% rather than the reported 5.9%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的会计利润有了更大的增长。经营利润在2020年扩大至5.9%，同比扩大70个基点。值得注意的是，如果排除 2020 年一次性 115 亿美元与新冠疫情相关的费用，亚马逊的营业利润率将为 8.9%，而不是报道的 5.9%。</blockquote></p><p> GAAP EPS grew an incredible 81.8% y/y to $41.83 per share.</p><p><blockquote>GAAP 每股收益同比增长 81.8%，达到每股 41.83 美元，令人难以置信。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where Is My Money?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>我的钱呢？</b></blockquote></p><p> Although revenue grow 37.6% y/y and EPS grew 81.8% y/y in 2020, free cash flow growth lagged materially, growing only 20.1% y/y. 2021 is expected to be worse, with free cash flow expected to grow only 16.9%, just half the growth rate of its expected EPS growth that year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管2020年收入同比增长37.6%，每股收益同比增长81.8%，但自由现金流增长严重滞后，同比仅增长20.1%。2021年预计会更糟，自由现金流预计仅增长16.9%，仅为当年预期每股收益增长率的一半。</blockquote></p><p> This because capital expenditure (\"Capex\") increased an incredible 176% y/y in 2020 to over $35 billion. This the largest y/y growth since at least 2007. In terms of absolute numbers, 2020 deployed an incremental $22 billion- an absolutely mind-boggling amount. Capex is expected to remain elevated in 2021, growing another 16% y/y to $41 billion.</p><p><blockquote>这是因为资本支出（“资本支出”）在2020年同比增长了令人难以置信的176%，超过350亿美元。这是至少自2007年以来最大的同比增幅。就绝对数字而言，2020年部署了220亿美元的增量——这是一个绝对令人难以置信的数字。预计 2021 年资本支出将保持高位，同比再增长 16%，达到 410 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> On top of all this spending, the company, on May 26, Amazon&nbsp;announced&nbsp;the acquisition of MGM Studios for $8.45 billion. I can see conservative, old-school investors' heads about to explode- but relax.</p><p><blockquote>除了所有这些支出之外，该公司于 5 月 26 日宣布以 84.5 亿美元收购米高梅影业。我可以看到保守、老派投资者的脑袋即将爆炸——但放松一下。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Spending and Free Cash Flow Cycle</b></p><p><blockquote><b>支出和自由现金流周期</b></blockquote></p><p> In my 2017 article,<i>Amazon Bears Will Get Crushed</i>, I addressed the same investor concern that Amazon is spending too much money, although the spending is at a much, much greater scale today.</p><p><blockquote>在我2017年的文章中，<i>亚马逊熊将被压垮</i>我解决了投资者同样的担忧，即亚马逊花费了太多的钱，尽管如今的支出规模要大得多。</blockquote></p><p> Back in 2017, investors were worried about Amazon's ramped up investments. In a nutshell, my argument was that investors should differentiate between investments going after large opportunities and a bloated cost structure. Generally speaking, unexpected expenses are bad, and - assuming that you trust management's ability - unexpected investments are good. If Warren Buffett said, \"I thought I was going to deploy $20 billion, but an opportunity came up where I can deploy $60 billion\", investors would be ecstatic. That opportunity, for Amazon, was the COVID-induced surge in demand.</p><p><blockquote>早在2017年，投资者就对亚马逊加大投资感到担忧。简而言之，我的论点是，投资者应该区分追求巨大机会的投资和臃肿的成本结构。一般来说，意外开支是不好的，而且——假设你信任管理层的能力——意外投资是好的。如果沃伦·巴菲特说，“我以为我要部署200亿美元，但一个机会出现了，我可以部署600亿美元”，投资者会欣喜若狂。对于亚马逊来说，这个机会是新冠病毒引发的需求激增。</blockquote></p><p> Relax, a surge in spending tends to be followed by years of moderate spending growth. After my 2017 article was published, 2018 and 2019 saw Capex growth of only 12-13% per year, while free cash flow grew 132% y/y in 2018 and 33% in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>放松点，支出激增之后往往会出现数年的适度支出增长。我2017年的文章发表后，2018年和2019年资本支出每年仅增长12-13%，而2018年自由现金流同比增长132%，2019年同比增长33%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> We can see the same cycle in the 2010 - 2015 period. In 2010, Capex surged 163% y/y, then another 85% in 2011, and another 109% in 2012. Looking back, these were puny numbers in the low-single-digit of billions per year of Capex, which of course played a key role in supporting Amazon's future growth. However, in the subsequent three years, 2013 through 2015, Capex grew only 21%-<i>cumulatively</i>.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以在2010-2015年期间看到同样的周期。2010年，资本支出同比飙升163%，2011年又飙升85%，2012年又飙升109%。回顾过去，这些数字在每年数十亿美元的低个位数资本支出中微不足道，这当然在支持亚马逊未来的增长方面发挥了关键作用。然而，在随后的三年（2013年至2015年）中，资本支出仅增长了21%。<i>累积</i>.</blockquote></p><p> By 2015, free cash flow exploded 276% to $7.3 billion, higher than the highest the company has ever generated until then by a factor of two to three.</p><p><blockquote>到 2015 年，自由现金流激增 276%，达到 73 亿美元，比该公司此前产生的最高现金流高出两到三倍。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street is expecting the same cycle to play out this time around. In 2022, free cash flow is expected to grow 58% y/y as Capex growth moderates to +3%. In 2023, free cash flow is expected to grow another 44% to a record $82.6 billion as Capex growth is expected to remain low at +2% y/y.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街预计这一次也会出现同样的周期。2022年，随着资本支出增长放缓至+3%，自由现金流预计将同比增长58%。到 2023 年，自由现金流预计将再增长 44%，达到创纪录的 826 亿美元，因为资本支出增长预计将保持在同比 +2% 的低位。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Market Opportunity</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机遇</b></blockquote></p><p> Some investors may take a little more convincing to get comfortable with those huge projected free cash flow numbers. $83 billion of free cash flow by 2023 is almost three times its 2020's free cash flow of $31 billion- already its highest ever. And an incremental $22 billion of Capex deployed in 2020 is a massive number.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者可能需要更有说服力才能对这些巨大的预计自由现金流数字感到满意。到 2023 年，自由现金流将达到 830 亿美元，几乎是 2020 年自由现金流 310 亿美元的三倍，已经是有史以来最高水平。2020 年部署的 220 亿美元增量资本支出是一个巨大的数字。</blockquote></p><p> The market opportunity, however, is much more massive.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场机会要大得多。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon's&nbsp;share&nbsp;of US e-commerce is approximately 50%. That is high, but the US retail market is sized at over $5 trillion, and Amazon has around a 9% share of the entire retail market, and only 3.3% of consumer spending. The company is poised to gain share as it adds greater convenience, more competitive prices and greater selection.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊在美国电子商务中的份额约为50%。这是很高的，但美国零售市场规模超过5万亿美元，亚马逊在整个零售市场的份额约为9%，仅占消费者支出的3.3%。该公司准备获得份额，因为它增加了更大的便利性、更具竞争力的价格和更多的选择。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon is aggressively going after the much larger global retail market, which is&nbsp;sized&nbsp;at approximately $25 trillion. Amazon's expected 2021 revenue of $490 billion is less than 2% of the global opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊正在积极争取更大的全球零售市场，该市场规模约为 25 万亿美元。亚马逊预计 2021 年收入为 4900 亿美元，不到全球机会的 2%。</blockquote></p><p> A large portion of Amazon's increase in Capex went to expanding the infrastructure necessary to meet the surge in e-commerce demand. For example, in 2020, Amazon grew its fulfillment square footage by 50% y/y.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊资本支出增长的很大一部分用于扩大满足电子商务需求激增所需的基础设施。例如，2020年，亚马逊的履行面积同比增长了50%。</blockquote></p><p> Another areas of spending is to support AWS, which is Capex intensive but highly profitable. At just 12% of 2020's revenue, AWS accounted for over 50% of the company's operating income.</p><p><blockquote>另一个支出领域是支持 AWS，这是资本支出密集型但利润丰厚的。AWS 仅占 2020 年收入的 12%，却占该公司经营利润的 50% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> The global cloud computing market is&nbsp;expected&nbsp;to grow from $371.4 billion in 2020 to $832.1 billion by 2025, at a CAGR of 17.5%. Amazon's AWS generated $59 billion of revenue in 2020 and is expected to grow 31% in 2021 and 25% in 2023. This means AWS has less than 20% market share and is expected to take market share going forward.</p><p><blockquote>全球云计算市场预计将从2020年的3714亿美元增长到2025年的8321亿美元，CAGR为17.5%。亚马逊的 AWS 在 2020 年创造了 590 亿美元的收入，预计 2021 年将增长 31%，2023 年将增长 25%。这意味着AWS的市场份额不到20%，预计未来将占据市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> If Amazon has an opportunity to deploy more capital to support this highly profitable and rapidly growing business, thatis all great news to me.</p><p><blockquote>如果亚马逊有机会部署更多资本来支持这项高利润且快速增长的业务，这对我来说是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p> Management does not tell us exactly how the Capex is allocated and what the returns could look like. I don't think it is possible as an outsider to estimate the expected return of the incremental investments in retail (e-commerce, physical stores, subscription, etc.) vs. business services (AWS, advertising, etc.), because it would require that we analyze the company as separate businesses.</p><p><blockquote>管理层没有告诉我们资本支出是如何分配的以及回报可能是什么样子。我认为作为一个局外人，不可能估计零售（电子商务、实体店、订阅等）增量投资的预期回报。）与商业服务（AWS、广告等）。），因为这需要我们将公司作为独立的业务进行分析。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon is one giant flywheel that cannot be separated into partsany more than you can separate a turtle from its shell. For example, without the traffic generated by its retail business, advertising would not be possible. This obvious. Less obvious is that fact that AWS began as an e-commerce tool, way before it became the public cloud company giant it is today. And although seemingly different on the surface, both Amazon.com and AWS are at its core IT infrastructure platforms at scale. In addition, Amazon's other major initiatives, such as Alexa and streaming, are joined at the hip with e-commerce by Prime membership.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊是一个巨大的飞轮，它无法分成几个部分，就像你无法将乌龟从壳中分离出来一样。例如，如果没有零售业务产生的流量，广告就不可能。这显而易见。不太明显的是，AWS最初是一个电子商务工具，远在它成为今天的公共云公司巨头之前。尽管表面上看起来不同，但亚马逊和AWS都是其核心的大规模IT基础设施平台。此外，亚马逊的其他主要举措，如Alexa和流媒体，也通过Prime会员加入了电子商务。</blockquote></p><p> But we do know one thing: the opportunity for continued growth is massive.</p><p><blockquote>但我们确实知道一件事：持续增长的机会是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Like most growth stocks, Amazon lagged the market so far this year, and valuation is looking attractive.</p><p><blockquote>与大多数成长型股票一样，亚马逊今年迄今为止落后于市场，而且估值看起来很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Currently, Amazon is trading at 52 times forward EPS, down from 112 times in July 2020. The stock is trading at a 140% premium to the S&amp;P 500, the lowest in 5 years.</p><p><blockquote>目前，亚马逊的远期每股收益为 52 倍，低于 2020 年 7 月的 112 倍。该股交易价格较标普500溢价 140%，为 5 年来最低。</blockquote></p><p> On free cash flow yield, Amazon is yielding 2.6% forward free cash flow, which is towards the low end of its 5-year range. If we believe in the Capex and free cash flow cycle, the stock looks attractively valued.</p><p><blockquote>在自由现金流收益率方面，亚马逊的远期自由现金流收益率为 2.6%，接近其 5 年范围的低端。如果我们相信资本支出和自由现金流周期，那么该股的估值看起来很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>外卖</b></blockquote></p><p> Although Amazon benefited from COVID-induced shutdowns, the best is yet to come for free cash flow. After lagging the market, the company is trading at an attractive valuation given the large growth opportunities ahead of it, and the potential explosion in free cash flow in 2022 and 2023.</p><p><blockquote>尽管亚马逊受益于新冠疫情引发的停工，但最好的自由现金流尚未到来。在落后于市场之后，鉴于未来的巨大增长机会以及 2022 年和 2023 年自由现金流的潜在爆炸式增长，该公司的估值具有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon: The Cash Will Come<blockquote>亚马逊：现金会来的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon: The Cash Will Come<blockquote>亚马逊：现金会来的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-02 21:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Although Amazon benefited from COVID-induced shutdowns, the best is yet to come for free cash flow.</li>  <li>Lagging free cash flow growth in 2020 and 2021 is due to investment to support growth, going after massive opportunities.</li>  <li>After lagging the market, the company is trading at an attractive valuation.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a085447e5042d959bca14408fd50b9d\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by Bet_Noire/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>尽管亚马逊受益于新冠疫情引发的停工，但最好的自由现金流尚未到来。</li><li>2020年和2021年自由现金流增长滞后是由于投资支持增长，追求巨大的机会。</li><li>在落后于市场之后，该公司的估值很有吸引力。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>照片由 Bet_Noire/iStock 提供，盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Short-sighted investors are selling Amazon (AMZN), which has been a massive beneficiary of the COVID shutdowns, to fund dubious reopening plays like General Electric (GE) and Nucor (NUE). As a result, Amazon has lagged the market year-to-date and is now trading at an attractive valuation.</p><p><blockquote>目光短浅的投资者正在出售亚马逊（AMZN），该公司一直是新冠疫情关闭的巨大受益者，以资助通用电气（GE）和纽柯（NUE）等可疑的重新开业公司。因此，亚马逊今年迄今为止的表现落后于市场，目前的估值颇具吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Although Amazon's revenue and EPS has benefited tremendously from COVID, free cash flow has not. After the current spending cycle winds down, Amazon seems poised to experience an explosion of free cash flow by 2022 and 2023. After all, it is the cash that the company gets to keep for investors that makes the company powerful and investors rich.</p><p><blockquote>尽管亚马逊的收入和每股收益从新冠疫情中受益匪浅，但自由现金流却没有。在当前支出周期结束后，亚马逊似乎有望在 2022 年和 2023 年经历自由现金流的爆炸式增长。毕竟，正是公司为投资者保留的现金让公司变得强大，让投资者变得富有。</blockquote></p><p> <b>COVID Beneficiary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>COVID受益人</b></blockquote></p><p> Amazon has been a massive beneficiary of COVID. The company generated $386 billion of revenue in 2020, up 37.6% y/y. This Amazon's fastest growth rate since 2011, even including the inorganic contribution to growth in 2017 and 2018 when it&nbsp;acquired&nbsp;Whole Foods. Amazingly, the last time the company grew faster was in 2011 when the company generated \"only\" $48 billion in revenue. Who said elephants can't dance?</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊一直是COVID的巨大受益者。该公司2020年收入为3860亿美元，同比增长37.6%。这是亚马逊自2011年以来最快的增长率，甚至包括2017年和2018年收购全食超市时对增长的无机贡献。令人惊讶的是，该公司上一次增长更快是在 2011 年，当时该公司“仅”产生了 480 亿美元的收入。谁说大象不会跳舞？</blockquote></p><p> In 2020, Amazon's e-commerce businesses experienced accelerated revenue growth:</p><p><blockquote>2020年，亚马逊电商业务收入加速增长：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>3rd Party Seller Services increased 49.6% to $80.4 billion.</li>  <li>Online stores increased 39.7% to $197 billion.</li> </ul> In 2020, the company's other businesses continued to decelerate, though likely at a lower deceleration than without COVID:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>第三方卖家服务增长 49.6%，达到 804 亿美元。</li><li>在线商店增长 39.7%，达到 1970 亿美元。</li></ul>2020 年，该公司的其他业务继续放缓，但放缓幅度可能低于没有新冠疫情的情况：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Subscription Services grew 31.2% y/y $25.2 billion, a 4.4% point y/y deceleration vs. a 10.1% point deceleration the prior year.</li>  <li>AWS grew 29.5% to $45.4 billion, a 7% point y/y deceleration vs. a 10.5% point deceleration the prior year.</li> </ul> Physical stores, not surprisingly, is the only business that got hurt by COVID, declining 5.6% to $16.2 billion. A 5.6% decline isn't even that bad, and this business is a drop in the bucket given Amazon's total revenue of $489 billion in 2020.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>订阅服务同比增长 31.2%，达到 252 亿美元，同比下降 4.4 个百分点，而上年下降 10.1 个百分点。</li><li>AWS 增长 29.5%，达到 454 亿美元，同比放缓 7 个百分点，而上年放缓 10.5 个百分点。</li></ul>毫不奇怪，实体店是唯一受到COVID影响的企业，下降了5.6%，至162亿美元。5.6% 的下降甚至没有那么糟糕，考虑到亚马逊 2020 年 4890 亿美元的总收入，这项业务只是杯水车薪。</blockquote></p><p> The COVID benefits largely extended into 2021 as consensus estimates put 2021 revenue growth at a robust 26.9% on top of tough comps.</p><p><blockquote>新冠疫情带来的好处在很大程度上延续到了 2021 年，因为普遍估计，在艰难的竞争之上，2021 年收入增长将强劲增长 26.9%。</blockquote></p><p> The company saw an even bigger increase in accounting profits. Operating income expanded to 5.9% in 2020, a 70 bps y/y expansion. It is important to note that excluding one-time $11.5 billion COVID-related expenses in 2020, Amazon's operating margin would have been 8.9% rather than the reported 5.9%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的会计利润有了更大的增长。经营利润在2020年扩大至5.9%，同比扩大70个基点。值得注意的是，如果排除 2020 年一次性 115 亿美元与新冠疫情相关的费用，亚马逊的营业利润率将为 8.9%，而不是报道的 5.9%。</blockquote></p><p> GAAP EPS grew an incredible 81.8% y/y to $41.83 per share.</p><p><blockquote>GAAP 每股收益同比增长 81.8%，达到每股 41.83 美元，令人难以置信。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where Is My Money?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>我的钱呢？</b></blockquote></p><p> Although revenue grow 37.6% y/y and EPS grew 81.8% y/y in 2020, free cash flow growth lagged materially, growing only 20.1% y/y. 2021 is expected to be worse, with free cash flow expected to grow only 16.9%, just half the growth rate of its expected EPS growth that year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管2020年收入同比增长37.6%，每股收益同比增长81.8%，但自由现金流增长严重滞后，同比仅增长20.1%。2021年预计会更糟，自由现金流预计仅增长16.9%，仅为当年预期每股收益增长率的一半。</blockquote></p><p> This because capital expenditure (\"Capex\") increased an incredible 176% y/y in 2020 to over $35 billion. This the largest y/y growth since at least 2007. In terms of absolute numbers, 2020 deployed an incremental $22 billion- an absolutely mind-boggling amount. Capex is expected to remain elevated in 2021, growing another 16% y/y to $41 billion.</p><p><blockquote>这是因为资本支出（“资本支出”）在2020年同比增长了令人难以置信的176%，超过350亿美元。这是至少自2007年以来最大的同比增幅。就绝对数字而言，2020年部署了220亿美元的增量——这是一个绝对令人难以置信的数字。预计 2021 年资本支出将保持高位，同比再增长 16%，达到 410 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> On top of all this spending, the company, on May 26, Amazon&nbsp;announced&nbsp;the acquisition of MGM Studios for $8.45 billion. I can see conservative, old-school investors' heads about to explode- but relax.</p><p><blockquote>除了所有这些支出之外，该公司于 5 月 26 日宣布以 84.5 亿美元收购米高梅影业。我可以看到保守、老派投资者的脑袋即将爆炸——但放松一下。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Spending and Free Cash Flow Cycle</b></p><p><blockquote><b>支出和自由现金流周期</b></blockquote></p><p> In my 2017 article,<i>Amazon Bears Will Get Crushed</i>, I addressed the same investor concern that Amazon is spending too much money, although the spending is at a much, much greater scale today.</p><p><blockquote>在我2017年的文章中，<i>亚马逊熊将被压垮</i>我解决了投资者同样的担忧，即亚马逊花费了太多的钱，尽管如今的支出规模要大得多。</blockquote></p><p> Back in 2017, investors were worried about Amazon's ramped up investments. In a nutshell, my argument was that investors should differentiate between investments going after large opportunities and a bloated cost structure. Generally speaking, unexpected expenses are bad, and - assuming that you trust management's ability - unexpected investments are good. If Warren Buffett said, \"I thought I was going to deploy $20 billion, but an opportunity came up where I can deploy $60 billion\", investors would be ecstatic. That opportunity, for Amazon, was the COVID-induced surge in demand.</p><p><blockquote>早在2017年，投资者就对亚马逊加大投资感到担忧。简而言之，我的论点是，投资者应该区分追求巨大机会的投资和臃肿的成本结构。一般来说，意外开支是不好的，而且——假设你信任管理层的能力——意外投资是好的。如果沃伦·巴菲特说，“我以为我要部署200亿美元，但一个机会出现了，我可以部署600亿美元”，投资者会欣喜若狂。对于亚马逊来说，这个机会是新冠病毒引发的需求激增。</blockquote></p><p> Relax, a surge in spending tends to be followed by years of moderate spending growth. After my 2017 article was published, 2018 and 2019 saw Capex growth of only 12-13% per year, while free cash flow grew 132% y/y in 2018 and 33% in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>放松点，支出激增之后往往会出现数年的适度支出增长。我2017年的文章发表后，2018年和2019年资本支出每年仅增长12-13%，而2018年自由现金流同比增长132%，2019年同比增长33%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> We can see the same cycle in the 2010 - 2015 period. In 2010, Capex surged 163% y/y, then another 85% in 2011, and another 109% in 2012. Looking back, these were puny numbers in the low-single-digit of billions per year of Capex, which of course played a key role in supporting Amazon's future growth. However, in the subsequent three years, 2013 through 2015, Capex grew only 21%-<i>cumulatively</i>.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以在2010-2015年期间看到同样的周期。2010年，资本支出同比飙升163%，2011年又飙升85%，2012年又飙升109%。回顾过去，这些数字在每年数十亿美元的低个位数资本支出中微不足道，这当然在支持亚马逊未来的增长方面发挥了关键作用。然而，在随后的三年（2013年至2015年）中，资本支出仅增长了21%。<i>累积</i>.</blockquote></p><p> By 2015, free cash flow exploded 276% to $7.3 billion, higher than the highest the company has ever generated until then by a factor of two to three.</p><p><blockquote>到 2015 年，自由现金流激增 276%，达到 73 亿美元，比该公司此前产生的最高现金流高出两到三倍。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street is expecting the same cycle to play out this time around. In 2022, free cash flow is expected to grow 58% y/y as Capex growth moderates to +3%. In 2023, free cash flow is expected to grow another 44% to a record $82.6 billion as Capex growth is expected to remain low at +2% y/y.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街预计这一次也会出现同样的周期。2022年，随着资本支出增长放缓至+3%，自由现金流预计将同比增长58%。到 2023 年，自由现金流预计将再增长 44%，达到创纪录的 826 亿美元，因为资本支出增长预计将保持在同比 +2% 的低位。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Market Opportunity</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机遇</b></blockquote></p><p> Some investors may take a little more convincing to get comfortable with those huge projected free cash flow numbers. $83 billion of free cash flow by 2023 is almost three times its 2020's free cash flow of $31 billion- already its highest ever. And an incremental $22 billion of Capex deployed in 2020 is a massive number.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者可能需要更有说服力才能对这些巨大的预计自由现金流数字感到满意。到 2023 年，自由现金流将达到 830 亿美元，几乎是 2020 年自由现金流 310 亿美元的三倍，已经是有史以来最高水平。2020 年部署的 220 亿美元增量资本支出是一个巨大的数字。</blockquote></p><p> The market opportunity, however, is much more massive.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场机会要大得多。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon's&nbsp;share&nbsp;of US e-commerce is approximately 50%. That is high, but the US retail market is sized at over $5 trillion, and Amazon has around a 9% share of the entire retail market, and only 3.3% of consumer spending. The company is poised to gain share as it adds greater convenience, more competitive prices and greater selection.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊在美国电子商务中的份额约为50%。这是很高的，但美国零售市场规模超过5万亿美元，亚马逊在整个零售市场的份额约为9%，仅占消费者支出的3.3%。该公司准备获得份额，因为它增加了更大的便利性、更具竞争力的价格和更多的选择。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon is aggressively going after the much larger global retail market, which is&nbsp;sized&nbsp;at approximately $25 trillion. Amazon's expected 2021 revenue of $490 billion is less than 2% of the global opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊正在积极争取更大的全球零售市场，该市场规模约为 25 万亿美元。亚马逊预计 2021 年收入为 4900 亿美元，不到全球机会的 2%。</blockquote></p><p> A large portion of Amazon's increase in Capex went to expanding the infrastructure necessary to meet the surge in e-commerce demand. For example, in 2020, Amazon grew its fulfillment square footage by 50% y/y.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊资本支出增长的很大一部分用于扩大满足电子商务需求激增所需的基础设施。例如，2020年，亚马逊的履行面积同比增长了50%。</blockquote></p><p> Another areas of spending is to support AWS, which is Capex intensive but highly profitable. At just 12% of 2020's revenue, AWS accounted for over 50% of the company's operating income.</p><p><blockquote>另一个支出领域是支持 AWS，这是资本支出密集型但利润丰厚的。AWS 仅占 2020 年收入的 12%，却占该公司经营利润的 50% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> The global cloud computing market is&nbsp;expected&nbsp;to grow from $371.4 billion in 2020 to $832.1 billion by 2025, at a CAGR of 17.5%. Amazon's AWS generated $59 billion of revenue in 2020 and is expected to grow 31% in 2021 and 25% in 2023. This means AWS has less than 20% market share and is expected to take market share going forward.</p><p><blockquote>全球云计算市场预计将从2020年的3714亿美元增长到2025年的8321亿美元，CAGR为17.5%。亚马逊的 AWS 在 2020 年创造了 590 亿美元的收入，预计 2021 年将增长 31%，2023 年将增长 25%。这意味着AWS的市场份额不到20%，预计未来将占据市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> If Amazon has an opportunity to deploy more capital to support this highly profitable and rapidly growing business, thatis all great news to me.</p><p><blockquote>如果亚马逊有机会部署更多资本来支持这项高利润且快速增长的业务，这对我来说是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p> Management does not tell us exactly how the Capex is allocated and what the returns could look like. I don't think it is possible as an outsider to estimate the expected return of the incremental investments in retail (e-commerce, physical stores, subscription, etc.) vs. business services (AWS, advertising, etc.), because it would require that we analyze the company as separate businesses.</p><p><blockquote>管理层没有告诉我们资本支出是如何分配的以及回报可能是什么样子。我认为作为一个局外人，不可能估计零售（电子商务、实体店、订阅等）增量投资的预期回报。）与商业服务（AWS、广告等）。），因为这需要我们将公司作为独立的业务进行分析。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon is one giant flywheel that cannot be separated into partsany more than you can separate a turtle from its shell. For example, without the traffic generated by its retail business, advertising would not be possible. This obvious. Less obvious is that fact that AWS began as an e-commerce tool, way before it became the public cloud company giant it is today. And although seemingly different on the surface, both Amazon.com and AWS are at its core IT infrastructure platforms at scale. In addition, Amazon's other major initiatives, such as Alexa and streaming, are joined at the hip with e-commerce by Prime membership.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊是一个巨大的飞轮，它无法分成几个部分，就像你无法将乌龟从壳中分离出来一样。例如，如果没有零售业务产生的流量，广告就不可能。这显而易见。不太明显的是，AWS最初是一个电子商务工具，远在它成为今天的公共云公司巨头之前。尽管表面上看起来不同，但亚马逊和AWS都是其核心的大规模IT基础设施平台。此外，亚马逊的其他主要举措，如Alexa和流媒体，也通过Prime会员加入了电子商务。</blockquote></p><p> But we do know one thing: the opportunity for continued growth is massive.</p><p><blockquote>但我们确实知道一件事：持续增长的机会是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Like most growth stocks, Amazon lagged the market so far this year, and valuation is looking attractive.</p><p><blockquote>与大多数成长型股票一样，亚马逊今年迄今为止落后于市场，而且估值看起来很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Currently, Amazon is trading at 52 times forward EPS, down from 112 times in July 2020. The stock is trading at a 140% premium to the S&amp;P 500, the lowest in 5 years.</p><p><blockquote>目前，亚马逊的远期每股收益为 52 倍，低于 2020 年 7 月的 112 倍。该股交易价格较标普500溢价 140%，为 5 年来最低。</blockquote></p><p> On free cash flow yield, Amazon is yielding 2.6% forward free cash flow, which is towards the low end of its 5-year range. If we believe in the Capex and free cash flow cycle, the stock looks attractively valued.</p><p><blockquote>在自由现金流收益率方面，亚马逊的远期自由现金流收益率为 2.6%，接近其 5 年范围的低端。如果我们相信资本支出和自由现金流周期，那么该股的估值看起来很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>外卖</b></blockquote></p><p> Although Amazon benefited from COVID-induced shutdowns, the best is yet to come for free cash flow. After lagging the market, the company is trading at an attractive valuation given the large growth opportunities ahead of it, and the potential explosion in free cash flow in 2022 and 2023.</p><p><blockquote>尽管亚马逊受益于新冠疫情引发的停工，但最好的自由现金流尚未到来。在落后于市场之后，鉴于未来的巨大增长机会以及 2022 年和 2023 年自由现金流的潜在爆炸式增长，该公司的估值具有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432586-amazon-the-cash-will-come\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432586-amazon-the-cash-will-come","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139790754","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlthough Amazon benefited from COVID-induced shutdowns, the best is yet to come for free cash flow.\nLagging free cash flow growth in 2020 and 2021 is due to investment to support growth, going after massive opportunities.\nAfter lagging the market, the company is trading at an attractive valuation.\n\nPhoto by Bet_Noire/iStock via Getty Images\nShort-sighted investors are selling Amazon (AMZN), which has been a massive beneficiary of the COVID shutdowns, to fund dubious reopening plays like General Electric (GE) and Nucor (NUE). As a result, Amazon has lagged the market year-to-date and is now trading at an attractive valuation.\nAlthough Amazon's revenue and EPS has benefited tremendously from COVID, free cash flow has not. After the current spending cycle winds down, Amazon seems poised to experience an explosion of free cash flow by 2022 and 2023. After all, it is the cash that the company gets to keep for investors that makes the company powerful and investors rich.\nCOVID Beneficiary\nAmazon has been a massive beneficiary of COVID. The company generated $386 billion of revenue in 2020, up 37.6% y/y. This Amazon's fastest growth rate since 2011, even including the inorganic contribution to growth in 2017 and 2018 when it acquired Whole Foods. Amazingly, the last time the company grew faster was in 2011 when the company generated \"only\" $48 billion in revenue. Who said elephants can't dance?\nIn 2020, Amazon's e-commerce businesses experienced accelerated revenue growth:\n\n3rd Party Seller Services increased 49.6% to $80.4 billion.\nOnline stores increased 39.7% to $197 billion.\n\nIn 2020, the company's other businesses continued to decelerate, though likely at a lower deceleration than without COVID:\n\nSubscription Services grew 31.2% y/y $25.2 billion, a 4.4% point y/y deceleration vs. a 10.1% point deceleration the prior year.\nAWS grew 29.5% to $45.4 billion, a 7% point y/y deceleration vs. a 10.5% point deceleration the prior year.\n\nPhysical stores, not surprisingly, is the only business that got hurt by COVID, declining 5.6% to $16.2 billion. A 5.6% decline isn't even that bad, and this business is a drop in the bucket given Amazon's total revenue of $489 billion in 2020.\nThe COVID benefits largely extended into 2021 as consensus estimates put 2021 revenue growth at a robust 26.9% on top of tough comps.\nThe company saw an even bigger increase in accounting profits. Operating income expanded to 5.9% in 2020, a 70 bps y/y expansion. It is important to note that excluding one-time $11.5 billion COVID-related expenses in 2020, Amazon's operating margin would have been 8.9% rather than the reported 5.9%.\nGAAP EPS grew an incredible 81.8% y/y to $41.83 per share.\nWhere Is My Money?\nAlthough revenue grow 37.6% y/y and EPS grew 81.8% y/y in 2020, free cash flow growth lagged materially, growing only 20.1% y/y. 2021 is expected to be worse, with free cash flow expected to grow only 16.9%, just half the growth rate of its expected EPS growth that year.\nThis because capital expenditure (\"Capex\") increased an incredible 176% y/y in 2020 to over $35 billion. This the largest y/y growth since at least 2007. In terms of absolute numbers, 2020 deployed an incremental $22 billion- an absolutely mind-boggling amount. Capex is expected to remain elevated in 2021, growing another 16% y/y to $41 billion.\nOn top of all this spending, the company, on May 26, Amazon announced the acquisition of MGM Studios for $8.45 billion. I can see conservative, old-school investors' heads about to explode- but relax.\nThe Spending and Free Cash Flow Cycle\nIn my 2017 article,Amazon Bears Will Get Crushed, I addressed the same investor concern that Amazon is spending too much money, although the spending is at a much, much greater scale today.\nBack in 2017, investors were worried about Amazon's ramped up investments. In a nutshell, my argument was that investors should differentiate between investments going after large opportunities and a bloated cost structure. Generally speaking, unexpected expenses are bad, and - assuming that you trust management's ability - unexpected investments are good. If Warren Buffett said, \"I thought I was going to deploy $20 billion, but an opportunity came up where I can deploy $60 billion\", investors would be ecstatic. That opportunity, for Amazon, was the COVID-induced surge in demand.\nRelax, a surge in spending tends to be followed by years of moderate spending growth. After my 2017 article was published, 2018 and 2019 saw Capex growth of only 12-13% per year, while free cash flow grew 132% y/y in 2018 and 33% in 2019.\nWe can see the same cycle in the 2010 - 2015 period. In 2010, Capex surged 163% y/y, then another 85% in 2011, and another 109% in 2012. Looking back, these were puny numbers in the low-single-digit of billions per year of Capex, which of course played a key role in supporting Amazon's future growth. However, in the subsequent three years, 2013 through 2015, Capex grew only 21%-cumulatively.\nBy 2015, free cash flow exploded 276% to $7.3 billion, higher than the highest the company has ever generated until then by a factor of two to three.\nWall Street is expecting the same cycle to play out this time around. In 2022, free cash flow is expected to grow 58% y/y as Capex growth moderates to +3%. In 2023, free cash flow is expected to grow another 44% to a record $82.6 billion as Capex growth is expected to remain low at +2% y/y.\nThe Market Opportunity\nSome investors may take a little more convincing to get comfortable with those huge projected free cash flow numbers. $83 billion of free cash flow by 2023 is almost three times its 2020's free cash flow of $31 billion- already its highest ever. And an incremental $22 billion of Capex deployed in 2020 is a massive number.\nThe market opportunity, however, is much more massive.\nAmazon's share of US e-commerce is approximately 50%. That is high, but the US retail market is sized at over $5 trillion, and Amazon has around a 9% share of the entire retail market, and only 3.3% of consumer spending. The company is poised to gain share as it adds greater convenience, more competitive prices and greater selection.\nAmazon is aggressively going after the much larger global retail market, which is sized at approximately $25 trillion. Amazon's expected 2021 revenue of $490 billion is less than 2% of the global opportunity.\nA large portion of Amazon's increase in Capex went to expanding the infrastructure necessary to meet the surge in e-commerce demand. For example, in 2020, Amazon grew its fulfillment square footage by 50% y/y.\nAnother areas of spending is to support AWS, which is Capex intensive but highly profitable. At just 12% of 2020's revenue, AWS accounted for over 50% of the company's operating income.\nThe global cloud computing market is expected to grow from $371.4 billion in 2020 to $832.1 billion by 2025, at a CAGR of 17.5%. Amazon's AWS generated $59 billion of revenue in 2020 and is expected to grow 31% in 2021 and 25% in 2023. This means AWS has less than 20% market share and is expected to take market share going forward.\nIf Amazon has an opportunity to deploy more capital to support this highly profitable and rapidly growing business, thatis all great news to me.\nManagement does not tell us exactly how the Capex is allocated and what the returns could look like. I don't think it is possible as an outsider to estimate the expected return of the incremental investments in retail (e-commerce, physical stores, subscription, etc.) vs. business services (AWS, advertising, etc.), because it would require that we analyze the company as separate businesses.\nAmazon is one giant flywheel that cannot be separated into partsany more than you can separate a turtle from its shell. For example, without the traffic generated by its retail business, advertising would not be possible. This obvious. Less obvious is that fact that AWS began as an e-commerce tool, way before it became the public cloud company giant it is today. And although seemingly different on the surface, both Amazon.com and AWS are at its core IT infrastructure platforms at scale. In addition, Amazon's other major initiatives, such as Alexa and streaming, are joined at the hip with e-commerce by Prime membership.\nBut we do know one thing: the opportunity for continued growth is massive.\nValuation\nLike most growth stocks, Amazon lagged the market so far this year, and valuation is looking attractive.\nCurrently, Amazon is trading at 52 times forward EPS, down from 112 times in July 2020. The stock is trading at a 140% premium to the S&P 500, the lowest in 5 years.\nOn free cash flow yield, Amazon is yielding 2.6% forward free cash flow, which is towards the low end of its 5-year range. If we believe in the Capex and free cash flow cycle, the stock looks attractively valued.\nTakeaway\nAlthough Amazon benefited from COVID-induced shutdowns, the best is yet to come for free cash flow. After lagging the market, the company is trading at an attractive valuation given the large growth opportunities ahead of it, and the potential explosion in free cash flow in 2022 and 2023.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":732,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":100674440,"gmtCreate":1619614094680,"gmtModify":1634211343994,"author":{"id":"3578610877384773","authorId":"3578610877384773","name":"Salibee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4171df5071ff91dad108e551fca14644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578610877384773","idStr":"3578610877384773"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Fingers crossed babes","listText":"Fingers crossed babes","text":"Fingers crossed babes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/100674440","repostId":"1179396069","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179396069","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619573853,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1179396069?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-28 09:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Could Blow the Top Off Earnings—Again. What That Would Mean for the Stock.<blockquote>苹果可能会再次夸大盈利。这对股票意味着什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179396069","media":"Barrons","summary":"Apple has its work cut out for it trying to surpass 2020’s blowout results. The thing is, the tech g","content":"<p>Apple has its work cut out for it trying to surpass 2020’s blowout results. The thing is, the tech giant just might be able to pull it off.</p><p><blockquote>苹果要超越 2020 年的井喷结果，还有很多工作要做。问题是，这家科技巨头或许能够实现这一目标。</blockquote></p><p> The buzz around Apple last year was off the charts, even for what is the buzziest of technology companies. Anticipation of the fall launch of the company’s first 5G phones, surging demand for both Macs and iPads as the pandemic rolled on, and strength in both wearables and services fed off each other. The pieces all came together in the December quarter, when Apple (ticker: AAPL) posted&nbsp;its biggest quarter ever. Sales soared 21% to $111.4 billion, more than $8 billion over the Street consensus. Every product category—iPhone, iPad, Macs, wearables, and services—notched double-digit growth. Apple stock finished the year up 81%, adding nearly $1 trillion to its market cap.</p><p><blockquote>去年围绕苹果的热议是出乎意料的，即使对于最热门的科技公司来说也是如此。预计该公司将于秋季推出首款 5G 手机，随着大流行病的持续，对 Mac 和 iPad 的需求激增，以及可穿戴设备和服务的实力相互促进。所有这些都是在 12 月季度汇集在一起的，当时苹果（股票代码：AAPL）公布了有史以来最大的季度业绩。销售额飙升 21%，达到 1114 亿美元，比华尔街共识高出 80 多亿美元。每个产品类别——iPhone、iPad、Mac、可穿戴设备和服务——都实现了两位数的增长。苹果股价年底上涨 81%，市值增加近 1 万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> That’s a tough act to follow, particularly with the March quarter, which always slows from the holiday-boosted December quarter. But Apple could pull off the quintuple double again when its results come out after the bell Wednesday. The Street certainly thinks so, even if the market, which has pushed Apple shares up less than 2% in 2021, has been more cautious. Consensus estimates call for double-digit increases from last year across the board: iPhones sales up 43%, to $41.4 billion; iPad sales up 29%, to $5.6 billion; Mac sales of $6.8 billion, up 27%; wearables sales (mostly Apple Watch and AirPods) of $7.4 billion, up 18%; and a 16% bump in services, to $15.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个很难跟上的动作，尤其是三月份的季度，与假期提振的十二月份相比，三月份的季度总是放缓。但是当苹果的结果在周三下午公布时，它可能会再次实现五双。华尔街当然这么认为，即使市场更加谨慎，这使得苹果股价在 2021 年上涨了不到 2%。普遍估计看涨期权将比去年全面增长两位数：iPhone 销量增长 43%，达到 414 亿美元；iPad销售额增长29%，达到56亿美元；Mac销售额为68亿美元，增长27%；可穿戴设备（主要是苹果手表和AirPods）销售额74亿美元，增长18%；服务业增长 16%，达到 155 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, the Street consensus expects sales of $77 billion, up 32% from a year ago, with profits of 98 cents a share. That would be the fastest top-line growth rate for any Apple quarter since March 2012, when revenues were about half what they are now. And most bullish Apple analysts seem to think their own estimates are too low—a print at $77 billion would likely trigger a selloff in the stock.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，华尔街共识预计销售额为 770 亿美元，同比增长 32%，每股利润为 98 美分。这将是苹果自 2012 年 3 月以来最快的营收增长率，当时的收入约为现在的一半。大多数看涨的苹果分析师似乎认为他们自己的估计太低了——770亿美元的印刷可能会引发该股的抛售。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is also&nbsp;expected to provide an update on its capital-allocation strategy. A year ago,the company announced a 6% dividend increase, and boosted its stock repurchase plan by $50 billion. Apple has said repeatedly that it is pushing to get to a cash neutral position, but its remarkably big cash flow has slowed progress toward that goal.</p><p><blockquote>预计苹果还将提供其资本配置策略的最新情况。一年前，该公司宣布将股息增加6%，并将股票回购计划增加500亿美元。苹果一再表示，它正在努力实现现金中性立场，但其巨大的现金流减缓了实现这一目标的进展。</blockquote></p><p> As always, the quarter is about more than just earnings.</p><p><blockquote>与往常一样，本季度不仅仅是收益。</blockquote></p><p> For one, the Street will be looking for signs that the sales surge for Macs and iPads is sustainable—and that the company is keeping up with demand despite widespread chip and display shortages. Some investors worry that the spike in PC demand could ebb as more people return to schools and offices. They’ll be looking for company guidance on that point.</p><p><blockquote>首先，华尔街将寻找 Mac 和 iPad 销量激增是可持续的迹象，以及尽管芯片和显示器普遍短缺，但该公司仍在满足需求。一些投资者担心，随着越来越多的人重返学校和办公室，个人电脑需求的激增可能会消退。他们将寻求公司在这方面的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Another is the sustainability of the resurgence in iPhone growth. There were high hopes among bulls that the iPhone 12 would drive a “supercycle” with an accelerated replacement cycle. Several analysts have noted that a clear consumer preference for the high end of the iPhone 12 line is driving up average selling prices, which should support a strong revenue quarter for the segment.</p><p><blockquote>另一个是iPhone增长复苏的可持续性。看涨者对 iPhone 12 寄予厚望，认为它将推动一个 “超级周期”，加速更换周期。几位分析师指出，消费者对 iPhone 12 系列高端产品的明显偏好正在推高平均售价，这应该会支撑该细分市场季度的强劲收入。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the later-than-seasonal launch of new iPhones in the fall of 2020, we believe iPhone demand will experience more favorable year-over-year comparisons this March quarter compared to past years,” writes Monness Crespi Hardt’s Brian White, who sees 47% iPhone revenue growth during the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Monness Crespi Hardt 的 Brian White 写道：“鉴于 2020 年秋季新款 iPhone 的上市时间晚于季节性，我们相信，与往年相比，今年 3 月季度 iPhone 的需求将出现更有利的同比增长。”他预计本季度 iPhone 的收入将增长 47%。</blockquote></p><p> And if Apple pulls it all together? Apple could crush Street estimates, writes Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty, who has an Overweight rating and a $158 price target on the stock, up 17% from Monday’s close of $134.72. She sees the top line above $80 billion, with all segments growing at least 19% year over year. She is especially bullish on Mac and iPad sales, with estimates far above consensus—53% for Macs and 52% for iPads. She also expects Apple to increase its dividend by 10% and expand its stock repurchase program by $60 billion.</p><p><blockquote>如果苹果把这一切都拉在一起呢？摩根士丹利（Morgan Stanley）分析师凯蒂-休伯蒂（Katy Huberty）写道，苹果可能会打破华尔街的预期。她预计营收将超过 800 亿美元，所有细分市场同比增长至少 19%。她尤其看好 Mac 和 iPad 的销量，预计 Mac 为 53%，iPad 为 52%。她还预计苹果将把股息增加 10%，并将股票回购计划扩大 600 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> That would certainly qualify as a job well done.</p><p><blockquote>这当然是一项出色的工作。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Could Blow the Top Off Earnings—Again. What That Would Mean for the Stock.<blockquote>苹果可能会再次夸大盈利。这对股票意味着什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Could Blow the Top Off Earnings—Again. What That Would Mean for the Stock.<blockquote>苹果可能会再次夸大盈利。这对股票意味着什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-28 09:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple has its work cut out for it trying to surpass 2020’s blowout results. The thing is, the tech giant just might be able to pull it off.</p><p><blockquote>苹果要超越 2020 年的井喷结果，还有很多工作要做。问题是，这家科技巨头或许能够实现这一目标。</blockquote></p><p> The buzz around Apple last year was off the charts, even for what is the buzziest of technology companies. Anticipation of the fall launch of the company’s first 5G phones, surging demand for both Macs and iPads as the pandemic rolled on, and strength in both wearables and services fed off each other. The pieces all came together in the December quarter, when Apple (ticker: AAPL) posted&nbsp;its biggest quarter ever. Sales soared 21% to $111.4 billion, more than $8 billion over the Street consensus. Every product category—iPhone, iPad, Macs, wearables, and services—notched double-digit growth. Apple stock finished the year up 81%, adding nearly $1 trillion to its market cap.</p><p><blockquote>去年围绕苹果的热议是出乎意料的，即使对于最热门的科技公司来说也是如此。预计该公司将于秋季推出首款 5G 手机，随着大流行病的持续，对 Mac 和 iPad 的需求激增，以及可穿戴设备和服务的实力相互促进。所有这些都是在 12 月季度汇集在一起的，当时苹果（股票代码：AAPL）公布了有史以来最大的季度业绩。销售额飙升 21%，达到 1114 亿美元，比华尔街共识高出 80 多亿美元。每个产品类别——iPhone、iPad、Mac、可穿戴设备和服务——都实现了两位数的增长。苹果股价年底上涨 81%，市值增加近 1 万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> That’s a tough act to follow, particularly with the March quarter, which always slows from the holiday-boosted December quarter. But Apple could pull off the quintuple double again when its results come out after the bell Wednesday. The Street certainly thinks so, even if the market, which has pushed Apple shares up less than 2% in 2021, has been more cautious. Consensus estimates call for double-digit increases from last year across the board: iPhones sales up 43%, to $41.4 billion; iPad sales up 29%, to $5.6 billion; Mac sales of $6.8 billion, up 27%; wearables sales (mostly Apple Watch and AirPods) of $7.4 billion, up 18%; and a 16% bump in services, to $15.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个很难跟上的动作，尤其是三月份的季度，与假期提振的十二月份相比，三月份的季度总是放缓。但是当苹果的结果在周三下午公布时，它可能会再次实现五双。华尔街当然这么认为，即使市场更加谨慎，这使得苹果股价在 2021 年上涨了不到 2%。普遍估计看涨期权将比去年全面增长两位数：iPhone 销量增长 43%，达到 414 亿美元；iPad销售额增长29%，达到56亿美元；Mac销售额为68亿美元，增长27%；可穿戴设备（主要是苹果手表和AirPods）销售额74亿美元，增长18%；服务业增长 16%，达到 155 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, the Street consensus expects sales of $77 billion, up 32% from a year ago, with profits of 98 cents a share. That would be the fastest top-line growth rate for any Apple quarter since March 2012, when revenues were about half what they are now. And most bullish Apple analysts seem to think their own estimates are too low—a print at $77 billion would likely trigger a selloff in the stock.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，华尔街共识预计销售额为 770 亿美元，同比增长 32%，每股利润为 98 美分。这将是苹果自 2012 年 3 月以来最快的营收增长率，当时的收入约为现在的一半。大多数看涨的苹果分析师似乎认为他们自己的估计太低了——770亿美元的印刷可能会引发该股的抛售。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is also&nbsp;expected to provide an update on its capital-allocation strategy. A year ago,the company announced a 6% dividend increase, and boosted its stock repurchase plan by $50 billion. Apple has said repeatedly that it is pushing to get to a cash neutral position, but its remarkably big cash flow has slowed progress toward that goal.</p><p><blockquote>预计苹果还将提供其资本配置策略的最新情况。一年前，该公司宣布将股息增加6%，并将股票回购计划增加500亿美元。苹果一再表示，它正在努力实现现金中性立场，但其巨大的现金流减缓了实现这一目标的进展。</blockquote></p><p> As always, the quarter is about more than just earnings.</p><p><blockquote>与往常一样，本季度不仅仅是收益。</blockquote></p><p> For one, the Street will be looking for signs that the sales surge for Macs and iPads is sustainable—and that the company is keeping up with demand despite widespread chip and display shortages. Some investors worry that the spike in PC demand could ebb as more people return to schools and offices. They’ll be looking for company guidance on that point.</p><p><blockquote>首先，华尔街将寻找 Mac 和 iPad 销量激增是可持续的迹象，以及尽管芯片和显示器普遍短缺，但该公司仍在满足需求。一些投资者担心，随着越来越多的人重返学校和办公室，个人电脑需求的激增可能会消退。他们将寻求公司在这方面的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Another is the sustainability of the resurgence in iPhone growth. There were high hopes among bulls that the iPhone 12 would drive a “supercycle” with an accelerated replacement cycle. Several analysts have noted that a clear consumer preference for the high end of the iPhone 12 line is driving up average selling prices, which should support a strong revenue quarter for the segment.</p><p><blockquote>另一个是iPhone增长复苏的可持续性。看涨者对 iPhone 12 寄予厚望，认为它将推动一个 “超级周期”，加速更换周期。几位分析师指出，消费者对 iPhone 12 系列高端产品的明显偏好正在推高平均售价，这应该会支撑该细分市场季度的强劲收入。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the later-than-seasonal launch of new iPhones in the fall of 2020, we believe iPhone demand will experience more favorable year-over-year comparisons this March quarter compared to past years,” writes Monness Crespi Hardt’s Brian White, who sees 47% iPhone revenue growth during the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Monness Crespi Hardt 的 Brian White 写道：“鉴于 2020 年秋季新款 iPhone 的上市时间晚于季节性，我们相信，与往年相比，今年 3 月季度 iPhone 的需求将出现更有利的同比增长。”他预计本季度 iPhone 的收入将增长 47%。</blockquote></p><p> And if Apple pulls it all together? Apple could crush Street estimates, writes Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty, who has an Overweight rating and a $158 price target on the stock, up 17% from Monday’s close of $134.72. She sees the top line above $80 billion, with all segments growing at least 19% year over year. She is especially bullish on Mac and iPad sales, with estimates far above consensus—53% for Macs and 52% for iPads. She also expects Apple to increase its dividend by 10% and expand its stock repurchase program by $60 billion.</p><p><blockquote>如果苹果把这一切都拉在一起呢？摩根士丹利（Morgan Stanley）分析师凯蒂-休伯蒂（Katy Huberty）写道，苹果可能会打破华尔街的预期。她预计营收将超过 800 亿美元，所有细分市场同比增长至少 19%。她尤其看好 Mac 和 iPad 的销量，预计 Mac 为 53%，iPad 为 52%。她还预计苹果将把股息增加 10%，并将股票回购计划扩大 600 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> That would certainly qualify as a job well done.</p><p><blockquote>这当然是一项出色的工作。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-could-blow-the-top-off-earningsagain-what-that-would-mean-for-the-stock-51619495288?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-could-blow-the-top-off-earningsagain-what-that-would-mean-for-the-stock-51619495288?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179396069","content_text":"Apple has its work cut out for it trying to surpass 2020’s blowout results. The thing is, the tech giant just might be able to pull it off.\nThe buzz around Apple last year was off the charts, even for what is the buzziest of technology companies. Anticipation of the fall launch of the company’s first 5G phones, surging demand for both Macs and iPads as the pandemic rolled on, and strength in both wearables and services fed off each other. The pieces all came together in the December quarter, when Apple (ticker: AAPL) posted its biggest quarter ever. Sales soared 21% to $111.4 billion, more than $8 billion over the Street consensus. Every product category—iPhone, iPad, Macs, wearables, and services—notched double-digit growth. Apple stock finished the year up 81%, adding nearly $1 trillion to its market cap.\nThat’s a tough act to follow, particularly with the March quarter, which always slows from the holiday-boosted December quarter. But Apple could pull off the quintuple double again when its results come out after the bell Wednesday. The Street certainly thinks so, even if the market, which has pushed Apple shares up less than 2% in 2021, has been more cautious. Consensus estimates call for double-digit increases from last year across the board: iPhones sales up 43%, to $41.4 billion; iPad sales up 29%, to $5.6 billion; Mac sales of $6.8 billion, up 27%; wearables sales (mostly Apple Watch and AirPods) of $7.4 billion, up 18%; and a 16% bump in services, to $15.5 billion.\nOverall, the Street consensus expects sales of $77 billion, up 32% from a year ago, with profits of 98 cents a share. That would be the fastest top-line growth rate for any Apple quarter since March 2012, when revenues were about half what they are now. And most bullish Apple analysts seem to think their own estimates are too low—a print at $77 billion would likely trigger a selloff in the stock.\nApple is also expected to provide an update on its capital-allocation strategy. A year ago,the company announced a 6% dividend increase, and boosted its stock repurchase plan by $50 billion. Apple has said repeatedly that it is pushing to get to a cash neutral position, but its remarkably big cash flow has slowed progress toward that goal.\nAs always, the quarter is about more than just earnings.\nFor one, the Street will be looking for signs that the sales surge for Macs and iPads is sustainable—and that the company is keeping up with demand despite widespread chip and display shortages. Some investors worry that the spike in PC demand could ebb as more people return to schools and offices. They’ll be looking for company guidance on that point.\nAnother is the sustainability of the resurgence in iPhone growth. There were high hopes among bulls that the iPhone 12 would drive a “supercycle” with an accelerated replacement cycle. Several analysts have noted that a clear consumer preference for the high end of the iPhone 12 line is driving up average selling prices, which should support a strong revenue quarter for the segment.\n“Given the later-than-seasonal launch of new iPhones in the fall of 2020, we believe iPhone demand will experience more favorable year-over-year comparisons this March quarter compared to past years,” writes Monness Crespi Hardt’s Brian White, who sees 47% iPhone revenue growth during the quarter.\nAnd if Apple pulls it all together? Apple could crush Street estimates, writes Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty, who has an Overweight rating and a $158 price target on the stock, up 17% from Monday’s close of $134.72. She sees the top line above $80 billion, with all segments growing at least 19% year over year. She is especially bullish on Mac and iPad sales, with estimates far above consensus—53% for Macs and 52% for iPads. She also expects Apple to increase its dividend by 10% and expand its stock repurchase program by $60 billion.\nThat would certainly qualify as a job well done.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":653,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179303564,"gmtCreate":1626484544858,"gmtModify":1633926378313,"author":{"id":"3578610877384773","authorId":"3578610877384773","name":"Salibee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4171df5071ff91dad108e551fca14644","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578610877384773","idStr":"3578610877384773"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"No surprise its top few. FAANG aint joking","listText":"No surprise its top few. FAANG aint joking","text":"No surprise its top few. FAANG aint joking","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/139ebf3ad26e02417ad5b8404c98ed8a","width":"1080","height":"3242"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179303564","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1009,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}