EliY的个人主页 - 老虎社区

EliY

EliY

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：未知

11关注

15粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-11-03

Hi

@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

2021-11-03

Fun game

@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

2021-11-02

$Innerscope Hearing Technologies, Inc.(INND)$Finally?!???!!!!!!!???!!! Please keep going up... 🚀

2021-11-02

.

@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

2021-10-26

$Histogenics(OCGN)$Sold only 11 of it and it’s already 56.15 USD?? Cheap thrills 😂 shall continue to have faith in OCGN... lets go!!!

2021-08-26

$Zomedica Pharmaceuticals Corp.(ZOM)$Up 30% but i’m still ay 34% loss 😂 dont know to laugh or cry hahaha

2021-08-10

$Innerscope Hearing Technologies, Inc.(INND)$Can you get any lower..: [Cry] why is it still like that after going pink current!!!

2021-08-06

W

Toplines Before US Market Open On Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>

2021-07-31

$Senseonics(SENS)$up moreeeee

2021-07-27

$Innerscope Hearing Technologies, Inc.(INND)$When will you go up.....

2021-07-23

A

How to invest as the Delta variant takes hold<blockquote>随着德尔塔变异毒株的到来如何投资</blockquote>

2021-07-21

Hey

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-19

A

Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be "Hotter But Shorter" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>

2021-07-12

$Naked Brand(NAKD)$has the position ratio in my portfolio cos I kept averaging.. but still losing 😭

2021-07-06

$Meta Materials Inc.(MMAT)$Faith in MMAT!

2021-07-06

😢

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-30

$Exela Technologies, Inc.(XELA)$Should have got out when it broke even for me just now during open market... stubborn me diamond hands at wrong time again. Was hoping it would go up at postmarket but... Finally got out but at loss [Cry]

2021-06-30

$Exela Technologies, Inc.(XELA)$I was still making profits a while ago...

2021-06-30

Cool

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-29

Hehe

抱歉，原内容已删除

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All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. 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Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1504,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":843626695,"gmtCreate":1635825698517,"gmtModify":1635825698618,"author":{"id":"3576498486893564","authorId":"3576498486893564","name":"EliY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d87b8d40fb7aafe8ee1aca53a265c5fe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576498486893564","idStr":"3576498486893564"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INND\">$Innerscope Hearing Technologies, Inc.(INND)$</a>Finally?!???!!!!!!!???!!! 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All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3114,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":852803771,"gmtCreate":1635256054803,"gmtModify":1635256109594,"author":{"id":"3576498486893564","authorId":"3576498486893564","name":"EliY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d87b8d40fb7aafe8ee1aca53a265c5fe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576498486893564","idStr":"3576498486893564"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCGN\">$Histogenics(OCGN)$</a>Sold only 11 of it&nbsp;and it’s already 56.15 USD?? Cheap thrills 😂 shall continue to have faith in OCGN... lets go!!!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCGN\">$Histogenics(OCGN)$</a>Sold only 11 of it&nbsp;and it’s already 56.15 USD?? Cheap thrills 😂 shall continue to have faith in OCGN... lets go!!!","text":"$Histogenics(OCGN)$Sold only 11 of it and it’s already 56.15 USD?? Cheap thrills 😂 shall continue to have faith in OCGN... lets go!!!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f13933807ae8e77c7ace7b037b3f11e","width":"828","height":"1434"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852803771","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2257,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":837454171,"gmtCreate":1629907701093,"gmtModify":1631885192313,"author":{"id":"3576498486893564","authorId":"3576498486893564","name":"EliY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d87b8d40fb7aafe8ee1aca53a265c5fe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576498486893564","idStr":"3576498486893564"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZOM\">$Zomedica Pharmaceuticals Corp.(ZOM)$</a>Up 30% but i’m still ay 34% loss 😂 dont know to laugh or cry hahaha","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZOM\">$Zomedica Pharmaceuticals Corp.(ZOM)$</a>Up 30% but i’m still ay 34% loss 😂 dont know to laugh or cry hahaha","text":"$Zomedica Pharmaceuticals Corp.(ZOM)$Up 30% but i’m still ay 34% loss 😂 dont know to laugh or cry hahaha","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c94d0dd80abec6288a0725dddd0000b","width":"828","height":"1434"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":15,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837454171","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4473,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896436202,"gmtCreate":1628600111906,"gmtModify":1631886457221,"author":{"id":"3576498486893564","authorId":"3576498486893564","name":"EliY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d87b8d40fb7aafe8ee1aca53a265c5fe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576498486893564","idStr":"3576498486893564"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INND\">$Innerscope Hearing Technologies, Inc.(INND)$</a>Can you get any lower..: [Cry]&nbsp;why is it still like that after going pink&nbsp;current!!!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INND\">$Innerscope Hearing Technologies, Inc.(INND)$</a>Can you get any lower..: [Cry]&nbsp;why is it still like that after going pink&nbsp;current!!!","text":"$Innerscope Hearing Technologies, Inc.(INND)$Can you get any lower..: [Cry] why is it still like that after going pink current!!!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e22e15798a35c873765f830264ef46d0","width":"828","height":"1434"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/896436202","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2614,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893860708,"gmtCreate":1628255447504,"gmtModify":1633752216820,"author":{"id":"3576498486893564","authorId":"3576498486893564","name":"EliY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d87b8d40fb7aafe8ee1aca53a265c5fe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576498486893564","idStr":"3576498486893564"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"W","listText":"W","text":"W","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893860708","repostId":"1181051774","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1181051774","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628251057,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1181051774?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-06 19:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open On Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181051774","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Payrolls data exceed estimates; U.S. index futures mixed.\nNonfarm payrolls increase 943,000 in July ","content":"<p><ul>  <li>Payrolls data exceed estimates; U.S. index futures mixed.</li>  <li><b>Nonfarm payrolls increase 943,000 in July vs. 845,000 estimate.</b></li>  <li>Futures : Dow &nbsp;up&nbsp;0.04%, S&amp;P up&nbsp;0.03%, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> down&nbsp;0.12%.</li>  <li>Oil prices rose on Friday.</li>  <li>Didi Global,&nbsp;Beyond Meat,&nbsp;Virgin Galactic&nbsp;made&nbsp;the&nbsp;biggest moves premarket.</li> </ul> <i><b>(Update: Aug 6, 2021 at 08:41 a.m. ET)</b></i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>就业数据超出预期；美国股指期货涨跌互现。</li><li><b>7月份非农就业人数增加943,000人，而预期为845,000人。</b></li><li>期货：道指涨0.04%，标普涨0.03%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>下跌0.12%。</li><li>周五油价上涨。</li><li>滴滴全球、Beyond Meat、维珍银河盘前动作最大。</li></ul><i><b>（更新：美国东部时间2021年8月6日上午08:41）</b></i></blockquote></p><p> (Aug 6)&nbsp;U.S. stock futures wavered Friday ahead of quarterly earnings and a jobs report that will give insights into the pace of business activity andthe economic rebound.</p><p><blockquote>（8月6日）美国。周五，在季度收益和就业报告公布之前，股指期货出现波动，就业报告将揭示商业活动和经济反弹的步伐。</blockquote></p><p> At 08:41 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 13 points, or 0.04%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were up 1.5&nbsp;points, or 0.03% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis fell 17.75 points, or 0.12%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午08:41，道指E-minis上涨13点，涨幅0.04%，标普500 E-minis上涨1.5点，涨幅0.03%，纳斯达克100 E-minis下跌17.75点，涨幅0.12%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be7901a56ec3778de82d93af12829dfd\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"489\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;Canopy Growth(CGC)</b> – The Canadian cannabis producer’s shares rose 1.9% premarket after it posted an unexpected quarterly profit on rising marijuana demand and cost cuts. The gain comes even as revenue falls short of Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）冠层生长（CGC）</b>-这家加拿大大麻生产商因大麻需求上升和成本削减而意外实现季度利润，该公司股价盘前上涨1.9%。尽管收入低于华尔街的预测，但这一增长还是出现了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;Gannett(GCI) </b>– The USA Today publisher earned 10 cents per share for its latest quarter, compared with forecasts of a 36 cents per share loss. Revenue also topped Wall Street forecasts. The company saw digital subscriber numbers jump 41% from a year earlier, and the stock rallied 6.3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>2）甘尼特（GCI）</b>–《今日美国》出版商最近一个季度每股盈利10美分，而预期每股亏损36美分。收入也超出了华尔街的预期。该公司的数字用户数量同比增长41%，股价盘前上涨6.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;DraftKings(DKNG)</b> – The sports betting company’s stock jumped 3.5% premarket after it reported better-than-expected quarterly profit and revenue and raised its revenue forecast for the full year. DraftKings saw significant gains in a number of key metrics, including a 26% jump in monthly revenue per user.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）DraftKings（DKNG）</b>-这家体育博彩公司公布好于预期的季度利润和收入，并上调了全年收入预期，该公司股价盘前上涨3.5%。DraftKings在许多关键指标上取得了显著增长，包括每个用户的月收入增长了26%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;Novavax(NVAX)</b> – Novavax shares tumbled 11.7% in premarket trading after the drugmaker said it would delay seeking emergency use authorization for its Covid-19 vaccine until the fourth quarter. Novavax also posted a wider-than-expected loss and saw revenue fall below Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><blockquote><b>4)诺瓦瓦克斯(NVAX)</b>–Novavax股价在盘前交易中暴跌11.7%，此前该制药商表示将推迟寻求其Covid-19疫苗的紧急使用授权至第四季度。Novavax也公布了超出预期的亏损，收入低于华尔街的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Didi Global(DIDI)</b> – Didi gained 4.1% in premarket action, following a Bloomberg report saying the China-based ride-hailing company was considering giving up control of its data to help resolve a regulatory probe by the Chinese government.</p><p><blockquote><b>5）滴滴全球（DIDI）</b>–彭博社报道称，这家总部位于中国的网约车公司正在考虑放弃对其数据的控制权，以帮助解决中国政府的监管调查，滴滴在盘前股价上涨4.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Zillow Group(ZG)</b> - Zillow reported adjusted quarterly earnings of 44 cents per share, 20 cents above estimates, with the real estate website operator’s revenue above estimates as well. Zillow also gave an upbeat growth forecast, as it scales up its home-flipping business, and said it expects sales this quarter to exceed $2 billion for the first time. Zillow added 1.8% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>6)Zillow集团(ZG)</b>-Zillow报告调整后季度收益为每股44美分，比预期高出20美分，这家房地产网站运营商的收入也高于预期。Zillow还给出了乐观的增长预测，因为它扩大了房屋翻转业务，并表示预计本季度销售额将首次超过20亿美元。Zillow盘前上涨1.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;Virgin Galactic(SPCE)</b> – Virgin Galactic lost 39 cents per share for its latest quarter, 6 cents more than expected, though the space flight company did report much better-than-expected revenue. It also announced it will sell seats for space tourism flights at $450,000 and up. The stock was up 3.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）维珍银河（SPCE）</b>-维珍银河最近一个季度每股亏损39美分，比预期高出6美分，尽管这家太空飞行公司确实报告了远好于预期的收入。它还宣布将以45万美元及以上的价格出售太空旅游航班座位。该股在盘前交易中上涨3.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;Beyond Meat(BYND)</b> – Beyond Meat slid 3.7% in premarket action after it reported a quarterly loss of 31 cents per share, 7 cents wider than expected. Revenue for the maker of plant-based meat alternatives did come in above Street forecasts, but it gave a cautious outlook due to “more conservative” orders by its customers due to Covid-related uncertainty.</p><p><blockquote><b>8）Beyond Meat（BYND）</b>-Beyond Meat公布季度亏损31美分，比预期高出7美分，盘前股价下跌3.7%。这家植物性肉类替代品制造商的收入确实高于华尔街的预测，但由于与新冠病毒相关的不确定性，客户的订单“更加保守”，该公司给出了谨慎的前景。</blockquote></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Dropbox(DBX) </b>– Dropbox shares gained 3.5% in premarket trading after its adjusted earnings of 40 cents per share beat estimates by 7 cents and the cloud storage company’s revenue came in above forecasts as well.</p><p><blockquote><b>9)Dropbox(DBX)</b>-Dropbox调整后每股收益为40美分，超出预期7美分，该云存储公司的收入也高于预期，股价在盘前交易中上涨3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Cornerstone OnDemand(CSOD) </b>– Cornerstone agreed to be bought out by private equity firm Clearlake Capital Group. Clearlake will pay about $3.8 billion, or $57.50 per share in cash for the cloud computing firm. Cornerstone surged 13.3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)基石点播(CSOD)</b>-Cornerstone同意被私募股权公司Clearlake Capital Group收购。Clearlake将支付约38亿美元，即每股57.50美元现金收购这家云计算公司。Cornerstone盘前飙升13.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>11)&nbsp;Zynga(ZNGA) </b>– Zynga shares plunged 15.8% in the premarket after the mobile gaming company gave a disappointing full-year forecast, anticipating a slowdown in gaming. Zynga also reported adjusted quarterly earnings of 4 cents per share, 5 cents shy of estimates, with revenue below estimates as well.</p><p><blockquote><b>11）Zynga（ZNGA）</b>–Zynga股价在盘前暴跌15.8%，此前这家移动游戏公司给出了令人失望的全年预测，预计游戏行业将放缓。Zynga还报告调整后季度收益为每股4美分，比预期低5美分，收入也低于预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>12)&nbsp;Carvana(CVNA) </b>– Carvana shares rallied 11.3% in premarket trading after the online used-car retailer posted an unexpected profit – its first ever - for its latest quarter. The company’s revenue also exceeded analyst forecasts by a wide margin. Auto sales, in general, have enjoyed a boom in demand since the pandemic began last year.</p><p><blockquote><b>12)Carvana(CVNA)</b>–Carvana股价在盘前交易中上涨11.3%，此前这家在线二手车零售商公布了最近一个季度的首次意外盈利。该公司的收入也大幅超出了分析师的预期。总体而言，自去年疫情爆发以来，汽车销售需求蓬勃发展。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>13)&nbsp;Yelp(YELP)</b> – Yelp earned 5 cents per share for its latest quarter, compared with consensus forecasts for a 9 cents per share loss. The online review site operator also reported better-than-expected revenue and boosted its full-year forecast as ad revenue continues to strengthen. Shares surged 12.9% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>13）Yelp（Yelp）</b>-Yelp最近一个季度每股盈利5美分，而市场普遍预测每股亏损9美分。随着广告收入持续走强，这家在线评论网站运营商还公布了好于预期的收入，并上调了全年预期。盘前股价飙升12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>In FX,</b> the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was up 0.2%; the dollar rallied ahead of key U.S. jobs data that’s set to put a focus on the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook amid calls from officials to pare bond purchases. The greenback strengthened against all its G-10 peers, with the euro and the Norwegian krone among the biggest decliners. “A strong U.S. jobs number today should see the U.S. money market rates continue to work their way back to the highs seen in early July. This should support the dollar against the low- yielders of JPY and EUR,” said ING analysts including Chris Turner. Thursday’s release showing a second weekly drop in U.S. jobless claims stoked expectations for strong payrolls data and ignoring the huge ADP payrolls miss. Short-term accounts are carrying short AUD/USD positions into the report, according to FX traders. The Thai baht led losses among emerging markets currencies, emblematic of how a surge in coronavirus infections and deaths in some countries around the world is hitting confidence in their currencies and economies. Turkey's lira was down 0.8% in its fourth straight day of losses .</p><p><blockquote><b>在FX中，</b>彭博美元现货指数上涨0.2%；在美国关键就业数据公布之前，美元上涨，由于官员们评级削减债券购买，这些数据将使人们关注美联储的政策前景。美元兑所有10国集团货币走强，其中欧元和挪威克朗跌幅最大。包括Chris Turner在内的ING分析师表示：“今天强劲的美国就业数据应该会让美国货币市场利率继续回到7月初的高点。这应该会支撑美元兑日元和欧元的低收益货币。”周四公布的美国初请失业金人数连续第二周下降，引发了人们对强劲就业数据的预期，而忽略了ADP就业人数的大幅下滑。据外汇交易员称，短期账户正在将澳元/美元空头头寸纳入报告。泰铢领跌新兴市场货币，象征着全球一些国家冠状病毒感染和死亡人数激增如何打击人们对其货币和经济的信心。土耳其里拉下跌0.8%，连续第四天下跌。</blockquote></p><p> “EUR/USD is dropping toward 1.18 as short-term U.S. rates creeps higher before NFP,” say Danske Bank analysts including Jens Naervig Pedersen. “An ongoing strengthening of the labor market combined with rising inflation as the CPI-numbers are published next week is significant for the monetary policy outlook as shown by the recent hawkish comments from Fed’s vice chairman Clarida regarding tapering and rate hikes”</p><p><blockquote>包括Jens Naervig Pedersen在内的丹斯克银行分析师表示：“随着美国短期利率在NFP之前攀升，欧元/美元正在跌至1.18。”“随着下周公布消费者物价指数数据，劳动力市场的持续走强加上通胀上升，对货币政策前景意义重大，美联储副主席克拉里达最近关于缩减购债规模和加息的鹰派言论就表明了这一点”</blockquote></p><p> <b>In rates, </b>treasuries traded heavy across long-end of the curve, with the bear steepening move extended following large block sale in ultra-long bond futures shortly after 6am ET. 10-Year Treasury yields rose u to around 1.255%, cheaper by 3.2bp on the day and underperforming bunds by 1.5bp; long-end led losses steepens 2s10s, 5s30s spread by 2.3bp and 1.6bp on the day.&nbsp; Pockets of selling also emerged during Asia session as futures drifted lower, leaving yields cheaper by up to 4bp across long-end ahead of 8:30am ET July jobs report.</p><p><blockquote><b>在费率方面，</b>美国东部时间早上6点后不久，超长债券期货大量抛售后，美国国债在曲线长端交易强劲，熊市加剧。10年期国债收益率升至1.255%左右，当日便宜3.2个基点，表现逊于德国国债1.5个基点；长端led损失使2s10s、5s30s价差在当天分别扩大了2.3个基点和1.6个基点。随着期货走低，亚洲时段也出现了少量抛售，导致美国东部时间上午8:30 7月就业报告公布前，长期收益率下跌了多达4个基点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>In commodities,</b> oil prices rose on Friday but were still set for their biggest weekly loss since October after falls earlier in the week triggered by rising COVID-19 cases and a surprise build in U.S. crude stockpiles. WTI crude was $69.99 a barrel, up 0.47%. Brent crude traded at $72.22 per barrel, up 1.29%. The stronger dollar and potential for higher yields hurt gold with the spot price down 0.41% at $1,796.52. Ether the world's second largest cryptocurrency dropped 3% a day after a major software upgrade to its underlying ethereum blockchain, which is expected to stabilise transaction fees and reduce supply of the token.</p><p><blockquote><b>在大宗商品中，</b>油价周五上涨，但仍将创下10月以来的最大单周跌幅，此前本周早些时候因COVID-19病例增加和美国原油库存意外增加而下跌。WTI原油报69.99美元/桶，涨0.47%。布伦特原油报72.22美元/桶，涨1.29%。美元走强和收益率上升的潜力损害了黄金，现货价格下跌0.41%，至1,796.52美元。全球第二大加密货币以太币在其底层以太币区块链进行重大软件升级后一天下跌3%，预计这将稳定交易费用并减少代币供应。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open On Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open On Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-06 19:57</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul>  <li>Payrolls data exceed estimates; U.S. index futures mixed.</li>  <li><b>Nonfarm payrolls increase 943,000 in July vs. 845,000 estimate.</b></li>  <li>Futures : Dow &nbsp;up&nbsp;0.04%, S&amp;P up&nbsp;0.03%, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> down&nbsp;0.12%.</li>  <li>Oil prices rose on Friday.</li>  <li>Didi Global,&nbsp;Beyond Meat,&nbsp;Virgin Galactic&nbsp;made&nbsp;the&nbsp;biggest moves premarket.</li> </ul> <i><b>(Update: Aug 6, 2021 at 08:41 a.m. ET)</b></i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>就业数据超出预期；美国股指期货涨跌互现。</li><li><b>7月份非农就业人数增加943,000人，而预期为845,000人。</b></li><li>期货：道指涨0.04%，标普涨0.03%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>下跌0.12%。</li><li>周五油价上涨。</li><li>滴滴全球、Beyond Meat、维珍银河盘前动作最大。</li></ul><i><b>（更新：美国东部时间2021年8月6日上午08:41）</b></i></blockquote></p><p> (Aug 6)&nbsp;U.S. stock futures wavered Friday ahead of quarterly earnings and a jobs report that will give insights into the pace of business activity andthe economic rebound.</p><p><blockquote>（8月6日）美国。周五，在季度收益和就业报告公布之前，股指期货出现波动，就业报告将揭示商业活动和经济反弹的步伐。</blockquote></p><p> At 08:41 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 13 points, or 0.04%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were up 1.5&nbsp;points, or 0.03% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis fell 17.75 points, or 0.12%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午08:41，道指E-minis上涨13点，涨幅0.04%，标普500 E-minis上涨1.5点，涨幅0.03%，纳斯达克100 E-minis下跌17.75点，涨幅0.12%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be7901a56ec3778de82d93af12829dfd\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"489\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;Canopy Growth(CGC)</b> – The Canadian cannabis producer’s shares rose 1.9% premarket after it posted an unexpected quarterly profit on rising marijuana demand and cost cuts. The gain comes even as revenue falls short of Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）冠层生长（CGC）</b>-这家加拿大大麻生产商因大麻需求上升和成本削减而意外实现季度利润，该公司股价盘前上涨1.9%。尽管收入低于华尔街的预测，但这一增长还是出现了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;Gannett(GCI) </b>– The USA Today publisher earned 10 cents per share for its latest quarter, compared with forecasts of a 36 cents per share loss. Revenue also topped Wall Street forecasts. The company saw digital subscriber numbers jump 41% from a year earlier, and the stock rallied 6.3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>2）甘尼特（GCI）</b>–《今日美国》出版商最近一个季度每股盈利10美分，而预期每股亏损36美分。收入也超出了华尔街的预期。该公司的数字用户数量同比增长41%，股价盘前上涨6.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;DraftKings(DKNG)</b> – The sports betting company’s stock jumped 3.5% premarket after it reported better-than-expected quarterly profit and revenue and raised its revenue forecast for the full year. DraftKings saw significant gains in a number of key metrics, including a 26% jump in monthly revenue per user.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）DraftKings（DKNG）</b>-这家体育博彩公司公布好于预期的季度利润和收入，并上调了全年收入预期，该公司股价盘前上涨3.5%。DraftKings在许多关键指标上取得了显著增长，包括每个用户的月收入增长了26%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;Novavax(NVAX)</b> – Novavax shares tumbled 11.7% in premarket trading after the drugmaker said it would delay seeking emergency use authorization for its Covid-19 vaccine until the fourth quarter. Novavax also posted a wider-than-expected loss and saw revenue fall below Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><blockquote><b>4)诺瓦瓦克斯(NVAX)</b>–Novavax股价在盘前交易中暴跌11.7%，此前该制药商表示将推迟寻求其Covid-19疫苗的紧急使用授权至第四季度。Novavax也公布了超出预期的亏损，收入低于华尔街的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Didi Global(DIDI)</b> – Didi gained 4.1% in premarket action, following a Bloomberg report saying the China-based ride-hailing company was considering giving up control of its data to help resolve a regulatory probe by the Chinese government.</p><p><blockquote><b>5）滴滴全球（DIDI）</b>–彭博社报道称，这家总部位于中国的网约车公司正在考虑放弃对其数据的控制权，以帮助解决中国政府的监管调查，滴滴在盘前股价上涨4.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Zillow Group(ZG)</b> - Zillow reported adjusted quarterly earnings of 44 cents per share, 20 cents above estimates, with the real estate website operator’s revenue above estimates as well. Zillow also gave an upbeat growth forecast, as it scales up its home-flipping business, and said it expects sales this quarter to exceed $2 billion for the first time. Zillow added 1.8% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>6)Zillow集团(ZG)</b>-Zillow报告调整后季度收益为每股44美分，比预期高出20美分，这家房地产网站运营商的收入也高于预期。Zillow还给出了乐观的增长预测，因为它扩大了房屋翻转业务，并表示预计本季度销售额将首次超过20亿美元。Zillow盘前上涨1.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;Virgin Galactic(SPCE)</b> – Virgin Galactic lost 39 cents per share for its latest quarter, 6 cents more than expected, though the space flight company did report much better-than-expected revenue. It also announced it will sell seats for space tourism flights at $450,000 and up. The stock was up 3.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）维珍银河（SPCE）</b>-维珍银河最近一个季度每股亏损39美分，比预期高出6美分，尽管这家太空飞行公司确实报告了远好于预期的收入。它还宣布将以45万美元及以上的价格出售太空旅游航班座位。该股在盘前交易中上涨3.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;Beyond Meat(BYND)</b> – Beyond Meat slid 3.7% in premarket action after it reported a quarterly loss of 31 cents per share, 7 cents wider than expected. Revenue for the maker of plant-based meat alternatives did come in above Street forecasts, but it gave a cautious outlook due to “more conservative” orders by its customers due to Covid-related uncertainty.</p><p><blockquote><b>8）Beyond Meat（BYND）</b>-Beyond Meat公布季度亏损31美分，比预期高出7美分，盘前股价下跌3.7%。这家植物性肉类替代品制造商的收入确实高于华尔街的预测，但由于与新冠病毒相关的不确定性，客户的订单“更加保守”，该公司给出了谨慎的前景。</blockquote></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Dropbox(DBX) </b>– Dropbox shares gained 3.5% in premarket trading after its adjusted earnings of 40 cents per share beat estimates by 7 cents and the cloud storage company’s revenue came in above forecasts as well.</p><p><blockquote><b>9)Dropbox(DBX)</b>-Dropbox调整后每股收益为40美分，超出预期7美分，该云存储公司的收入也高于预期，股价在盘前交易中上涨3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Cornerstone OnDemand(CSOD) </b>– Cornerstone agreed to be bought out by private equity firm Clearlake Capital Group. Clearlake will pay about $3.8 billion, or $57.50 per share in cash for the cloud computing firm. Cornerstone surged 13.3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)基石点播(CSOD)</b>-Cornerstone同意被私募股权公司Clearlake Capital Group收购。Clearlake将支付约38亿美元，即每股57.50美元现金收购这家云计算公司。Cornerstone盘前飙升13.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>11)&nbsp;Zynga(ZNGA) </b>– Zynga shares plunged 15.8% in the premarket after the mobile gaming company gave a disappointing full-year forecast, anticipating a slowdown in gaming. Zynga also reported adjusted quarterly earnings of 4 cents per share, 5 cents shy of estimates, with revenue below estimates as well.</p><p><blockquote><b>11）Zynga（ZNGA）</b>–Zynga股价在盘前暴跌15.8%，此前这家移动游戏公司给出了令人失望的全年预测，预计游戏行业将放缓。Zynga还报告调整后季度收益为每股4美分，比预期低5美分，收入也低于预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>12)&nbsp;Carvana(CVNA) </b>– Carvana shares rallied 11.3% in premarket trading after the online used-car retailer posted an unexpected profit – its first ever - for its latest quarter. The company’s revenue also exceeded analyst forecasts by a wide margin. Auto sales, in general, have enjoyed a boom in demand since the pandemic began last year.</p><p><blockquote><b>12)Carvana(CVNA)</b>–Carvana股价在盘前交易中上涨11.3%，此前这家在线二手车零售商公布了最近一个季度的首次意外盈利。该公司的收入也大幅超出了分析师的预期。总体而言，自去年疫情爆发以来，汽车销售需求蓬勃发展。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>13)&nbsp;Yelp(YELP)</b> – Yelp earned 5 cents per share for its latest quarter, compared with consensus forecasts for a 9 cents per share loss. The online review site operator also reported better-than-expected revenue and boosted its full-year forecast as ad revenue continues to strengthen. Shares surged 12.9% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>13）Yelp（Yelp）</b>-Yelp最近一个季度每股盈利5美分，而市场普遍预测每股亏损9美分。随着广告收入持续走强，这家在线评论网站运营商还公布了好于预期的收入，并上调了全年预期。盘前股价飙升12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>In FX,</b> the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was up 0.2%; the dollar rallied ahead of key U.S. jobs data that’s set to put a focus on the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook amid calls from officials to pare bond purchases. The greenback strengthened against all its G-10 peers, with the euro and the Norwegian krone among the biggest decliners. “A strong U.S. jobs number today should see the U.S. money market rates continue to work their way back to the highs seen in early July. This should support the dollar against the low- yielders of JPY and EUR,” said ING analysts including Chris Turner. Thursday’s release showing a second weekly drop in U.S. jobless claims stoked expectations for strong payrolls data and ignoring the huge ADP payrolls miss. Short-term accounts are carrying short AUD/USD positions into the report, according to FX traders. The Thai baht led losses among emerging markets currencies, emblematic of how a surge in coronavirus infections and deaths in some countries around the world is hitting confidence in their currencies and economies. Turkey's lira was down 0.8% in its fourth straight day of losses .</p><p><blockquote><b>在FX中，</b>彭博美元现货指数上涨0.2%；在美国关键就业数据公布之前，美元上涨，由于官员们评级削减债券购买，这些数据将使人们关注美联储的政策前景。美元兑所有10国集团货币走强，其中欧元和挪威克朗跌幅最大。包括Chris Turner在内的ING分析师表示：“今天强劲的美国就业数据应该会让美国货币市场利率继续回到7月初的高点。这应该会支撑美元兑日元和欧元的低收益货币。”周四公布的美国初请失业金人数连续第二周下降，引发了人们对强劲就业数据的预期，而忽略了ADP就业人数的大幅下滑。据外汇交易员称，短期账户正在将澳元/美元空头头寸纳入报告。泰铢领跌新兴市场货币，象征着全球一些国家冠状病毒感染和死亡人数激增如何打击人们对其货币和经济的信心。土耳其里拉下跌0.8%，连续第四天下跌。</blockquote></p><p> “EUR/USD is dropping toward 1.18 as short-term U.S. rates creeps higher before NFP,” say Danske Bank analysts including Jens Naervig Pedersen. “An ongoing strengthening of the labor market combined with rising inflation as the CPI-numbers are published next week is significant for the monetary policy outlook as shown by the recent hawkish comments from Fed’s vice chairman Clarida regarding tapering and rate hikes”</p><p><blockquote>包括Jens Naervig Pedersen在内的丹斯克银行分析师表示：“随着美国短期利率在NFP之前攀升，欧元/美元正在跌至1.18。”“随着下周公布消费者物价指数数据，劳动力市场的持续走强加上通胀上升，对货币政策前景意义重大，美联储副主席克拉里达最近关于缩减购债规模和加息的鹰派言论就表明了这一点”</blockquote></p><p> <b>In rates, </b>treasuries traded heavy across long-end of the curve, with the bear steepening move extended following large block sale in ultra-long bond futures shortly after 6am ET. 10-Year Treasury yields rose u to around 1.255%, cheaper by 3.2bp on the day and underperforming bunds by 1.5bp; long-end led losses steepens 2s10s, 5s30s spread by 2.3bp and 1.6bp on the day.&nbsp; Pockets of selling also emerged during Asia session as futures drifted lower, leaving yields cheaper by up to 4bp across long-end ahead of 8:30am ET July jobs report.</p><p><blockquote><b>在费率方面，</b>美国东部时间早上6点后不久，超长债券期货大量抛售后，美国国债在曲线长端交易强劲，熊市加剧。10年期国债收益率升至1.255%左右，当日便宜3.2个基点，表现逊于德国国债1.5个基点；长端led损失使2s10s、5s30s价差在当天分别扩大了2.3个基点和1.6个基点。随着期货走低，亚洲时段也出现了少量抛售，导致美国东部时间上午8:30 7月就业报告公布前，长期收益率下跌了多达4个基点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>In commodities,</b> oil prices rose on Friday but were still set for their biggest weekly loss since October after falls earlier in the week triggered by rising COVID-19 cases and a surprise build in U.S. crude stockpiles. WTI crude was $69.99 a barrel, up 0.47%. Brent crude traded at $72.22 per barrel, up 1.29%. The stronger dollar and potential for higher yields hurt gold with the spot price down 0.41% at $1,796.52. Ether the world's second largest cryptocurrency dropped 3% a day after a major software upgrade to its underlying ethereum blockchain, which is expected to stabilise transaction fees and reduce supply of the token.</p><p><blockquote><b>在大宗商品中，</b>油价周五上涨，但仍将创下10月以来的最大单周跌幅，此前本周早些时候因COVID-19病例增加和美国原油库存意外增加而下跌。WTI原油报69.99美元/桶，涨0.47%。布伦特原油报72.22美元/桶，涨1.29%。美元走强和收益率上升的潜力损害了黄金，现货价格下跌0.41%，至1,796.52美元。全球第二大加密货币以太币在其底层以太币区块链进行重大软件升级后一天下跌3%，预计这将稳定交易费用并减少代币供应。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1181051774","content_text":"Payrolls data exceed estimates; U.S. index futures mixed.\nNonfarm payrolls increase 943,000 in July vs. 845,000 estimate.\nFutures : Dow  up 0.04%, S&P up 0.03%, Nasdaq down 0.12%.\nOil prices rose on Friday.\nDidi Global, Beyond Meat, Virgin Galactic made the biggest moves premarket.\n\n(Update: Aug 6, 2021 at 08:41 a.m. ET)\n(Aug 6) U.S. stock futures wavered Friday ahead of quarterly earnings and a jobs report that will give insights into the pace of business activity andthe economic rebound.\nAt 08:41 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 13 points, or 0.04%, S&P 500 E-minis were up 1.5 points, or 0.03% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis fell 17.75 points, or 0.12%.\n\nStocks making the biggest moves premarket:\n1) Canopy Growth(CGC) – The Canadian cannabis producer’s shares rose 1.9% premarket after it posted an unexpected quarterly profit on rising marijuana demand and cost cuts. The gain comes even as revenue falls short of Wall Street forecasts.\n2) Gannett(GCI) – The USA Today publisher earned 10 cents per share for its latest quarter, compared with forecasts of a 36 cents per share loss. Revenue also topped Wall Street forecasts. The company saw digital subscriber numbers jump 41% from a year earlier, and the stock rallied 6.3% in the premarket.\n3) DraftKings(DKNG) – The sports betting company’s stock jumped 3.5% premarket after it reported better-than-expected quarterly profit and revenue and raised its revenue forecast for the full year. DraftKings saw significant gains in a number of key metrics, including a 26% jump in monthly revenue per user.\n4) Novavax(NVAX) – Novavax shares tumbled 11.7% in premarket trading after the drugmaker said it would delay seeking emergency use authorization for its Covid-19 vaccine until the fourth quarter. Novavax also posted a wider-than-expected loss and saw revenue fall below Wall Street forecasts.\n5) Didi Global(DIDI) – Didi gained 4.1% in premarket action, following a Bloomberg report saying the China-based ride-hailing company was considering giving up control of its data to help resolve a regulatory probe by the Chinese government.\n6) Zillow Group(ZG) - Zillow reported adjusted quarterly earnings of 44 cents per share, 20 cents above estimates, with the real estate website operator’s revenue above estimates as well. Zillow also gave an upbeat growth forecast, as it scales up its home-flipping business, and said it expects sales this quarter to exceed $2 billion for the first time. Zillow added 1.8% in the premarket.\n7) Virgin Galactic(SPCE) – Virgin Galactic lost 39 cents per share for its latest quarter, 6 cents more than expected, though the space flight company did report much better-than-expected revenue. It also announced it will sell seats for space tourism flights at $450,000 and up. The stock was up 3.1% in premarket trading.\n8) Beyond Meat(BYND) – Beyond Meat slid 3.7% in premarket action after it reported a quarterly loss of 31 cents per share, 7 cents wider than expected. Revenue for the maker of plant-based meat alternatives did come in above Street forecasts, but it gave a cautious outlook due to “more conservative” orders by its customers due to Covid-related uncertainty.\n9) Dropbox(DBX) – Dropbox shares gained 3.5% in premarket trading after its adjusted earnings of 40 cents per share beat estimates by 7 cents and the cloud storage company’s revenue came in above forecasts as well.\n10) Cornerstone OnDemand(CSOD) – Cornerstone agreed to be bought out by private equity firm Clearlake Capital Group. Clearlake will pay about $3.8 billion, or $57.50 per share in cash for the cloud computing firm. Cornerstone surged 13.3% in the premarket.\n11) Zynga(ZNGA) – Zynga shares plunged 15.8% in the premarket after the mobile gaming company gave a disappointing full-year forecast, anticipating a slowdown in gaming. Zynga also reported adjusted quarterly earnings of 4 cents per share, 5 cents shy of estimates, with revenue below estimates as well.\n12) Carvana(CVNA) – Carvana shares rallied 11.3% in premarket trading after the online used-car retailer posted an unexpected profit – its first ever - for its latest quarter. The company’s revenue also exceeded analyst forecasts by a wide margin. Auto sales, in general, have enjoyed a boom in demand since the pandemic began last year.\n13) Yelp(YELP) – Yelp earned 5 cents per share for its latest quarter, compared with consensus forecasts for a 9 cents per share loss. The online review site operator also reported better-than-expected revenue and boosted its full-year forecast as ad revenue continues to strengthen. Shares surged 12.9% in premarket action.\nIn FX, the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was up 0.2%; the dollar rallied ahead of key U.S. jobs data that’s set to put a focus on the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook amid calls from officials to pare bond purchases. The greenback strengthened against all its G-10 peers, with the euro and the Norwegian krone among the biggest decliners. “A strong U.S. jobs number today should see the U.S. money market rates continue to work their way back to the highs seen in early July. This should support the dollar against the low- yielders of JPY and EUR,” said ING analysts including Chris Turner. Thursday’s release showing a second weekly drop in U.S. jobless claims stoked expectations for strong payrolls data and ignoring the huge ADP payrolls miss. Short-term accounts are carrying short AUD/USD positions into the report, according to FX traders. The Thai baht led losses among emerging markets currencies, emblematic of how a surge in coronavirus infections and deaths in some countries around the world is hitting confidence in their currencies and economies. Turkey's lira was down 0.8% in its fourth straight day of losses .\n“EUR/USD is dropping toward 1.18 as short-term U.S. rates creeps higher before NFP,” say Danske Bank analysts including Jens Naervig Pedersen. “An ongoing strengthening of the labor market combined with rising inflation as the CPI-numbers are published next week is significant for the monetary policy outlook as shown by the recent hawkish comments from Fed’s vice chairman Clarida regarding tapering and rate hikes”\nIn rates, treasuries traded heavy across long-end of the curve, with the bear steepening move extended following large block sale in ultra-long bond futures shortly after 6am ET. 10-Year Treasury yields rose u to around 1.255%, cheaper by 3.2bp on the day and underperforming bunds by 1.5bp; long-end led losses steepens 2s10s, 5s30s spread by 2.3bp and 1.6bp on the day.  Pockets of selling also emerged during Asia session as futures drifted lower, leaving yields cheaper by up to 4bp across long-end ahead of 8:30am ET July jobs report.\nIn commodities, oil prices rose on Friday but were still set for their biggest weekly loss since October after falls earlier in the week triggered by rising COVID-19 cases and a surprise build in U.S. crude stockpiles. WTI crude was $69.99 a barrel, up 0.47%. Brent crude traded at $72.22 per barrel, up 1.29%. The stronger dollar and potential for higher yields hurt gold with the spot price down 0.41% at $1,796.52. Ether the world's second largest cryptocurrency dropped 3% a day after a major software upgrade to its underlying ethereum blockchain, which is expected to stabilise transaction fees and reduce supply of the token.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2480,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806513935,"gmtCreate":1627668205527,"gmtModify":1631884679600,"author":{"id":"3576498486893564","authorId":"3576498486893564","name":"EliY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d87b8d40fb7aafe8ee1aca53a265c5fe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576498486893564","idStr":"3576498486893564"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SENS\">$Senseonics(SENS)$</a>up moreeeee","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SENS\">$Senseonics(SENS)$</a>up moreeeee","text":"$Senseonics(SENS)$up moreeeee","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58244052032367e2e3daa0c9ba92c3c2","width":"828","height":"1434"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806513935","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1741,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803907049,"gmtCreate":1627399407881,"gmtModify":1631886457270,"author":{"id":"3576498486893564","authorId":"3576498486893564","name":"EliY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d87b8d40fb7aafe8ee1aca53a265c5fe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576498486893564","idStr":"3576498486893564"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INND\">$Innerscope Hearing Technologies, Inc.(INND)$</a>When will you go up.....","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INND\">$Innerscope Hearing Technologies, Inc.(INND)$</a>When will you go up.....","text":"$Innerscope Hearing Technologies, Inc.(INND)$When will you go up.....","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02d53d4a9f5c01be6bbf758a5c6cef7a","width":"828","height":"1434"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803907049","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1857,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172494628,"gmtCreate":1626970318464,"gmtModify":1633769182590,"author":{"id":"3576498486893564","authorId":"3576498486893564","name":"EliY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d87b8d40fb7aafe8ee1aca53a265c5fe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576498486893564","idStr":"3576498486893564"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172494628","repostId":"1154266565","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154266565","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626955588,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1154266565?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-22 20:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How to invest as the Delta variant takes hold<blockquote>随着德尔塔变异毒株的到来如何投资</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154266565","media":"cnn","summary":"New York When the market is plunging like it did last Friday and on Monday, it's tempting to throw in the towel and sell. Big drops can be scary.But dumping stocks on days when the Dow is getting whacked is usually the wrong thing to do. Stocks roared back Tuesday and were up again Wednesday.If you're investing for the long haul, the best thing you can do is ride out this wave of volatility.\"Stay invested,\" said Seema Shah, chief strategist at Principal Global Investors. Shah told CNN Business t","content":"<p>New York (CNN Business)When the market is plunging like it did last Friday and on Monday, it's tempting to throw in the towel and sell. Big drops can be scary.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（CNN商业）当市场像上周五和周一那样暴跌时，人们很容易认输并卖出。大跌可能会很可怕。</blockquote></p><p> But dumping stocks on days when the Dow is getting whacked is usually the wrong thing to do. Stocks roared back Tuesday and were up again Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>但在道琼斯指数遭受重创的日子抛售股票通常是错误的做法。周二股市大幅反弹，周三再次上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, the Delta variant of Covid-19 has led to an alarming uptick in coronavirus cases in the United States and around the globe. But many experts think the massive number of vaccinations that have already taken place will prevent the economy and markets from going into another tailspin.</p><p><blockquote>是的，新冠肺炎的德尔塔变异毒株导致美国和全球冠状病毒病例惊人地上升。但许多专家认为，已经进行的大量疫苗接种将防止经济和市场陷入另一场混乱。</blockquote></p><p> If you're investing for the long haul, the best thing you can do is ride out this wave of volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果你是长期投资，你能做的最好的事情就是安然度过这波波动。</blockquote></p><p> \"Stay invested,\" said Seema Shah, chief strategist at Principal Global Investors. Shah told CNN Business that the Delta variant is highly unlikely to stop the economic recovery in the US and other parts of the developed world where vaccination rates are high.</p><p><blockquote>信安全球投资者首席策略师Seema Shah表示：“保持投资。”沙阿告诉美国有线电视新闻网商业频道，德尔塔变异毒株不太可能阻止美国和其他疫苗接种率较高的发达国家的经济复苏。</blockquote></p><p> \"The vaccine is effective,\" she said. \"If cases are rising but hospitalization rates remain low, then the reopening measures from governments will continue.\"</p><p><blockquote>“疫苗是有效的，”她说。“如果病例在上升，但住院率仍然很低，那么政府的重新开放措施将继续下去。”</blockquote></p><p> Still, Shah conceded, investors should be more selective. After all, the S&amp;P 500 has nearly doubled from its pandemic lows in March 2020, and not all stocks and sectors will maintain their momentum.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，沙阿承认，投资者应该更加挑剔。毕竟，标普500较2020年3月的大流行低点上涨了近一倍，并非所有股票和板块都将保持其势头。</blockquote></p><p> She thinks defensive sectors might start to pull back a bit. Those include utilities, health care and others companies that pay big dividends and are considered good bond proxies.</p><p><blockquote>她认为防御性板块可能会开始小幅回调。其中包括公用事业、医疗保健和其他支付高额股息并被认为是良好债券代理的公司。</blockquote></p><p> The FAANGs and other big tech stocks, many of which have strong earnings momentum and tons of cash, should continue to rally, she said.</p><p><blockquote>她表示，FAANG和其他大型科技股应该会继续上涨，其中许多股拥有强劲的盈利势头和大量现金。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Not the time to bail on the market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在不是退出市场的时候</b></blockquote></p><p> So should economic recovery plays in the travel and retail sectors that have pulled back lately on Covid concerns. United (UAL), for example, issued an upbeat outlook after the closing bell Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>旅游和零售行业的经济复苏也应该如此，这些行业最近因新冠疫情担忧而回落。例如，美联航(UAL)在周二收盘后发布了乐观的前景。</blockquote></p><p> \"Airlines have been beaten up,\" Shah said. \"But if you assume the reopening will continue, they should enjoy a significant bounceback.\"</p><p><blockquote>“航空公司受到了打击，”沙阿说。“但如果你假设重新开放将继续，他们应该会享受显着的反弹。”</blockquote></p><p> Stocks may remain bumpy for the foreseeable future, but that shouldn't dissuade investors from sticking with their longer-term investments.</p><p><blockquote>在可预见的未来，股市可能仍然坎坷，但这不应阻止投资者坚持长期投资。</blockquote></p><p> \"The uncertainty of the past couple of days is warranted for the short term,\" said Peter van der Welle, multi-asset strategist at Robeco. \"But there should be a second leg to the reflation trade.\"</p><p><blockquote>荷宝多资产策略师Peter van der Welle表示：“过去几天的不确定性在短期内是合理的。”“但通货再膨胀交易应该有第二条腿。”</blockquote></p><p> Van der Welle noted that there are many reasons to be optimistic about continued gains in consumer spending and retail sales, despite a recent drop in consumer confidence.</p><p><blockquote>范德韦勒指出，尽管近期消费者信心有所下降，但仍有许多理由对消费者支出和零售额的持续增长持乐观态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy the dips</b></p><p><blockquote><b>逢低买入</b></blockquote></p><p> Any wariness on the part of consumers — and investors, for that matter — could turn out to be fleeting.</p><p><blockquote>消费者——以及投资者——的任何谨慎都可能转瞬即逝。</blockquote></p><p> \"If you are a long-term investor, take advantage of this volatility and add to positions in companies and sectors you really like,\" said Phil Orlando, chief equity market strategist at Federated Hermes.</p><p><blockquote>Federated Hermes首席股票市场策略师菲尔·奥兰多(Phil Orlando)表示：“如果你是长期投资者，请利用这种波动性，增持你真正喜欢的公司和行业。”</blockquote></p><p> He he belives stocks in cyclical industries that have gotten hit because of Delta variant fears could enjoy the biggest rebounds.</p><p><blockquote>他认为，因德尔塔变异毒株担忧而受到打击的周期性行业股票可能会出现最大的反弹。</blockquote></p><p> \"There are stocks that have hit an air pocket that could be very attractive. We love the economically sensitive sectors,\" Orlando added, saying that banks and other financials, industrial firms, retailers and energy stocks may come roaring back.</p><p><blockquote>奥兰多补充道：“有些股票已经陷入困境，可能非常有吸引力。我们喜欢对经济敏感的行业。”他表示，银行和其他金融股、工业公司、零售商和能源股可能会大幅反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How to invest as the Delta variant takes hold<blockquote>随着德尔塔变异毒株的到来如何投资</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow to invest as the Delta variant takes hold<blockquote>随着德尔塔变异毒株的到来如何投资</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">cnn</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-22 20:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>New York (CNN Business)When the market is plunging like it did last Friday and on Monday, it's tempting to throw in the towel and sell. Big drops can be scary.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（CNN商业）当市场像上周五和周一那样暴跌时，人们很容易认输并卖出。大跌可能会很可怕。</blockquote></p><p> But dumping stocks on days when the Dow is getting whacked is usually the wrong thing to do. Stocks roared back Tuesday and were up again Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>但在道琼斯指数遭受重创的日子抛售股票通常是错误的做法。周二股市大幅反弹，周三再次上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, the Delta variant of Covid-19 has led to an alarming uptick in coronavirus cases in the United States and around the globe. But many experts think the massive number of vaccinations that have already taken place will prevent the economy and markets from going into another tailspin.</p><p><blockquote>是的，新冠肺炎的德尔塔变异毒株导致美国和全球冠状病毒病例惊人地上升。但许多专家认为，已经进行的大量疫苗接种将防止经济和市场陷入另一场混乱。</blockquote></p><p> If you're investing for the long haul, the best thing you can do is ride out this wave of volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果你是长期投资，你能做的最好的事情就是安然度过这波波动。</blockquote></p><p> \"Stay invested,\" said Seema Shah, chief strategist at Principal Global Investors. Shah told CNN Business that the Delta variant is highly unlikely to stop the economic recovery in the US and other parts of the developed world where vaccination rates are high.</p><p><blockquote>信安全球投资者首席策略师Seema Shah表示：“保持投资。”沙阿告诉美国有线电视新闻网商业频道，德尔塔变异毒株不太可能阻止美国和其他疫苗接种率较高的发达国家的经济复苏。</blockquote></p><p> \"The vaccine is effective,\" she said. \"If cases are rising but hospitalization rates remain low, then the reopening measures from governments will continue.\"</p><p><blockquote>“疫苗是有效的，”她说。“如果病例在上升，但住院率仍然很低，那么政府的重新开放措施将继续下去。”</blockquote></p><p> Still, Shah conceded, investors should be more selective. After all, the S&amp;P 500 has nearly doubled from its pandemic lows in March 2020, and not all stocks and sectors will maintain their momentum.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，沙阿承认，投资者应该更加挑剔。毕竟，标普500较2020年3月的大流行低点上涨了近一倍，并非所有股票和板块都将保持其势头。</blockquote></p><p> She thinks defensive sectors might start to pull back a bit. Those include utilities, health care and others companies that pay big dividends and are considered good bond proxies.</p><p><blockquote>她认为防御性板块可能会开始小幅回调。其中包括公用事业、医疗保健和其他支付高额股息并被认为是良好债券代理的公司。</blockquote></p><p> The FAANGs and other big tech stocks, many of which have strong earnings momentum and tons of cash, should continue to rally, she said.</p><p><blockquote>她表示，FAANG和其他大型科技股应该会继续上涨，其中许多股拥有强劲的盈利势头和大量现金。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Not the time to bail on the market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在不是退出市场的时候</b></blockquote></p><p> So should economic recovery plays in the travel and retail sectors that have pulled back lately on Covid concerns. United (UAL), for example, issued an upbeat outlook after the closing bell Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>旅游和零售行业的经济复苏也应该如此，这些行业最近因新冠疫情担忧而回落。例如，美联航(UAL)在周二收盘后发布了乐观的前景。</blockquote></p><p> \"Airlines have been beaten up,\" Shah said. \"But if you assume the reopening will continue, they should enjoy a significant bounceback.\"</p><p><blockquote>“航空公司受到了打击，”沙阿说。“但如果你假设重新开放将继续，他们应该会享受显着的反弹。”</blockquote></p><p> Stocks may remain bumpy for the foreseeable future, but that shouldn't dissuade investors from sticking with their longer-term investments.</p><p><blockquote>在可预见的未来，股市可能仍然坎坷，但这不应阻止投资者坚持长期投资。</blockquote></p><p> \"The uncertainty of the past couple of days is warranted for the short term,\" said Peter van der Welle, multi-asset strategist at Robeco. \"But there should be a second leg to the reflation trade.\"</p><p><blockquote>荷宝多资产策略师Peter van der Welle表示：“过去几天的不确定性在短期内是合理的。”“但通货再膨胀交易应该有第二条腿。”</blockquote></p><p> Van der Welle noted that there are many reasons to be optimistic about continued gains in consumer spending and retail sales, despite a recent drop in consumer confidence.</p><p><blockquote>范德韦勒指出，尽管近期消费者信心有所下降，但仍有许多理由对消费者支出和零售额的持续增长持乐观态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy the dips</b></p><p><blockquote><b>逢低买入</b></blockquote></p><p> Any wariness on the part of consumers — and investors, for that matter — could turn out to be fleeting.</p><p><blockquote>消费者——以及投资者——的任何谨慎都可能转瞬即逝。</blockquote></p><p> \"If you are a long-term investor, take advantage of this volatility and add to positions in companies and sectors you really like,\" said Phil Orlando, chief equity market strategist at Federated Hermes.</p><p><blockquote>Federated Hermes首席股票市场策略师菲尔·奥兰多(Phil Orlando)表示：“如果你是长期投资者，请利用这种波动性，增持你真正喜欢的公司和行业。”</blockquote></p><p> He he belives stocks in cyclical industries that have gotten hit because of Delta variant fears could enjoy the biggest rebounds.</p><p><blockquote>他认为，因德尔塔变异毒株担忧而受到打击的周期性行业股票可能会出现最大的反弹。</blockquote></p><p> \"There are stocks that have hit an air pocket that could be very attractive. We love the economically sensitive sectors,\" Orlando added, saying that banks and other financials, industrial firms, retailers and energy stocks may come roaring back.</p><p><blockquote>奥兰多补充道：“有些股票已经陷入困境，可能非常有吸引力。我们喜欢对经济敏感的行业。”他表示，银行和其他金融股、工业公司、零售商和能源股可能会大幅反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/07/21/investing/investing-stock-market-volatility/index.html\">cnn</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/07/21/investing/investing-stock-market-volatility/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154266565","content_text":"New York (CNN Business)When the market is plunging like it did last Friday and on Monday, it's tempting to throw in the towel and sell. Big drops can be scary.\nBut dumping stocks on days when the Dow is getting whacked is usually the wrong thing to do. Stocks roared back Tuesday and were up again Wednesday.\nYes, the Delta variant of Covid-19 has led to an alarming uptick in coronavirus cases in the United States and around the globe. But many experts think the massive number of vaccinations that have already taken place will prevent the economy and markets from going into another tailspin.\nIf you're investing for the long haul, the best thing you can do is ride out this wave of volatility.\n\"Stay invested,\" said Seema Shah, chief strategist at Principal Global Investors. Shah told CNN Business that the Delta variant is highly unlikely to stop the economic recovery in the US and other parts of the developed world where vaccination rates are high.\n\"The vaccine is effective,\" she said. \"If cases are rising but hospitalization rates remain low, then the reopening measures from governments will continue.\"\nStill, Shah conceded, investors should be more selective. After all, the S&P 500 has nearly doubled from its pandemic lows in March 2020, and not all stocks and sectors will maintain their momentum.\nShe thinks defensive sectors might start to pull back a bit. Those include utilities, health care and others companies that pay big dividends and are considered good bond proxies.\nThe FAANGs and other big tech stocks, many of which have strong earnings momentum and tons of cash, should continue to rally, she said.\nNot the time to bail on the market\nSo should economic recovery plays in the travel and retail sectors that have pulled back lately on Covid concerns. United (UAL), for example, issued an upbeat outlook after the closing bell Tuesday.\n\"Airlines have been beaten up,\" Shah said. \"But if you assume the reopening will continue, they should enjoy a significant bounceback.\"\nStocks may remain bumpy for the foreseeable future, but that shouldn't dissuade investors from sticking with their longer-term investments.\n\"The uncertainty of the past couple of days is warranted for the short term,\" said Peter van der Welle, multi-asset strategist at Robeco. \"But there should be a second leg to the reflation trade.\"\nVan der Welle noted that there are many reasons to be optimistic about continued gains in consumer spending and retail sales, despite a recent drop in consumer confidence.\nBuy the dips\nAny wariness on the part of consumers — and investors, for that matter — could turn out to be fleeting.\n\"If you are a long-term investor, take advantage of this volatility and add to positions in companies and sectors you really like,\" said Phil Orlando, chief equity market strategist at Federated Hermes.\nHe he belives stocks in cyclical industries that have gotten hit because of Delta variant fears could enjoy the biggest rebounds.\n\"There are stocks that have hit an air pocket that could be very attractive. We love the economically sensitive sectors,\" Orlando added, saying that banks and other financials, industrial firms, retailers and energy stocks may come roaring back.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":750,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176817530,"gmtCreate":1626876025420,"gmtModify":1633770201048,"author":{"id":"3576498486893564","authorId":"3576498486893564","name":"EliY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d87b8d40fb7aafe8ee1aca53a265c5fe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576498486893564","idStr":"3576498486893564"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hey","listText":"Hey","text":"Hey","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176817530","repostId":"1107219983","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":481,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171910203,"gmtCreate":1626701999902,"gmtModify":1633924821286,"author":{"id":"3576498486893564","authorId":"3576498486893564","name":"EliY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d87b8d40fb7aafe8ee1aca53a265c5fe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576498486893564","idStr":"3576498486893564"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171910203","repostId":"1146536243","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146536243","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626683272,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146536243?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-19 16:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146536243","media":"zerohedge","summary":"This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","content":"<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为这个经济周期将是正常的、强劲的、短暂的。这些假设中的每一个都受到市场的激烈争论。每一项都是我们投资策略的关键。</blockquote></p><p> The debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.</p><p><blockquote>关于周期“常态”的争论是不言自明的。毫不夸张地说，疫情造成了有记录以来最大幅度的产出下降。随后，在政策支持的帮助下，经济活动迅速回升。将这种情况视为独特的，不同于其他周期性经历的理由是，这种暴力的下跌和上涨从未允许传统的“重置”。</blockquote></p><p> But 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.</p><p><blockquote>但市场中的“正常”是一个有趣的概念，记忆的粗糙边缘往往会随着时间的推移而变得光滑和抛光。2003-07年的周期以大萧条以来最大的银行和房地产危机结束。1992-2000年的周期以巨大的股票泡沫破裂、广泛的会计欺诈和难以言喻的悲剧而告终。“正常”周期在理论上很好，但在实践中更难。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.</p><p><blockquote>相反，让我们考虑一下为什么我们使用术语“周期”。经济和市场往往遵循周期性模式，这些模式往往会在市场表现中显现出来。我们关心的是那些模式，如果它们仍然适用，它们可以在不确定的地形中提供有用的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Was last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.</p><p><blockquote>去年的衰退之前是否存在收益率曲线倒挂、低波动性、低失业率、高消费者信心和股市广度收窄等周期后期条件？是的。由此产生的股票、信贷、收益率和收益率曲线的低谷是否符合市场和经济低点之间的通常节奏？他们做到了。随后反弹的领头羊是否是通常的早期周期赢家，如小型股和周期性股票、高收益信贷和工业金属？他们是。</blockquote></p><p> If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are.&nbsp;If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should&nbsp;<i>continue</i>&nbsp;to do so.</p><p><blockquote>如果它像鸭子一样走路，像鸭子一样嘎嘎叫，我们认为这是一个正常的循环。或者这些事情实际上是正常的。如果到目前为止已经发生了很多“正常”的循环行为，那么它应该<i>继续</i>这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see&nbsp;The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，这与市场复苏时的表现模式有关。随着复苏的推进，这些模式应该会发生变化。正如我的同事迈克尔·威尔逊所指出的，我们认为我们正在进入周期中期市场，尽管距离经济活动低点仅16个月。我们看到当前状况与2004年上半年有许多相似之处，2004年上半年是大幅通货再膨胀反弹之后的周期中期。重要的是，尽管最近对增长感到担忧，但我们认为全球复苏将继续推进（见增长恐慌周年纪念，2021年7月11日）。</blockquote></p><p> Because one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.<b>It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.</b></p><p><blockquote>因为人们总能找到适合他们特定周期观点的指标，所以我们长期以来一直是综合指数的粉丝。这就是我们的“周期模型”，它结合了美国宏观、信贷周期和企业侵略性的十个指标，以衡量我们在市场周期中的位置。在2019年6月进入周期后期“低迷”和2020年4月进入周期早期“修复”后，该指数飙升。<b>它上升得如此之快，以至于已经过了下一个阶段（“复苏”），直接进入了“扩张”。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Thisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',<b>and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends</b>. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.<b>It also hints at another possibility:&nbsp;this hotter cycle could be shorter.</b>This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.</p><p><blockquote>这很不寻常。“扩张”意味着捕捉“比正常情况更好且正在改善”的条件，<b>自1980年以来，“低迷”结束后平均需要35个月才能实现这一目标</b>它的迅速到来表明，在巨大的政策支持下，经济正在迅速复苏。<b>这也暗示了另一种可能性：这个更热的周期可能会更短。</b>这是我们的论点，它体现在我们的定量测量中。</blockquote></p><p> All this has a number of implications:</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都有许多含义：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>The shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases</b>. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.</li>  <li><b>In many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low</b>. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.</li>  <li><b>In equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios</b>. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.</li>  <li><b>Interest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model</b>. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.</li> </ul> This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>周期越短，信贷相对于其他风险资产越差；信贷从“繁荣”中获得的收益较少，如果下一次衰退提前到来，信贷就会面临风险，并且随着企业信心的增强，信贷将面临更多的供应</b>在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国IG和HY Credit N1200万超额回报分别比平均水平差29个基点和161个基点。</li><li><b>在其中许多时期，尽管违约率仍然很低，但信贷表现却参差不齐</b>投资者应该尝试承担违约风险而不是利差风险：我们的信用策略师喜欢持有CDX HY 0-15%，并用CDX IG付款人利差进行对冲。</li><li><b>在股票方面，我们认为我们的模型支持投资组合更加平衡</b>我们看好美国和欧洲的医疗保健行业，因为该行业具有几个良好的因素：质量、低估值、高利差和低波动性。从全球来看，欧洲和日本的股市往往跑赢“中期周期”，我们认为它们可以再次这样做。</li><li><b>利率对复苏过于悲观。在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国10年期国债1200万奈拉回报率比平均水平低97个基点</b>.Guneet Dhingra和我们的美国利率策略团队在全球资产配置中转移了跑输大盘美国10年期国债，而我们反过来又转移了跑输大盘政府债券。</li></ul>这种循环是不寻常的。大多数“正常”周期都是。我们认为复苏是可持续的，而且更有可能“更热、更短”。出售国债并相信扩张。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-19 16:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为这个经济周期将是正常的、强劲的、短暂的。这些假设中的每一个都受到市场的激烈争论。每一项都是我们投资策略的关键。</blockquote></p><p> The debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.</p><p><blockquote>关于周期“常态”的争论是不言自明的。毫不夸张地说，疫情造成了有记录以来最大幅度的产出下降。随后，在政策支持的帮助下，经济活动迅速回升。将这种情况视为独特的，不同于其他周期性经历的理由是，这种暴力的下跌和上涨从未允许传统的“重置”。</blockquote></p><p> But 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.</p><p><blockquote>但市场中的“正常”是一个有趣的概念，记忆的粗糙边缘往往会随着时间的推移而变得光滑和抛光。2003-07年的周期以大萧条以来最大的银行和房地产危机结束。1992-2000年的周期以巨大的股票泡沫破裂、广泛的会计欺诈和难以言喻的悲剧而告终。“正常”周期在理论上很好，但在实践中更难。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.</p><p><blockquote>相反，让我们考虑一下为什么我们使用术语“周期”。经济和市场往往遵循周期性模式，这些模式往往会在市场表现中显现出来。我们关心的是那些模式，如果它们仍然适用，它们可以在不确定的地形中提供有用的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Was last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.</p><p><blockquote>去年的衰退之前是否存在收益率曲线倒挂、低波动性、低失业率、高消费者信心和股市广度收窄等周期后期条件？是的。由此产生的股票、信贷、收益率和收益率曲线的低谷是否符合市场和经济低点之间的通常节奏？他们做到了。随后反弹的领头羊是否是通常的早期周期赢家，如小型股和周期性股票、高收益信贷和工业金属？他们是。</blockquote></p><p> If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are.&nbsp;If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should&nbsp;<i>continue</i>&nbsp;to do so.</p><p><blockquote>如果它像鸭子一样走路，像鸭子一样嘎嘎叫，我们认为这是一个正常的循环。或者这些事情实际上是正常的。如果到目前为止已经发生了很多“正常”的循环行为，那么它应该<i>继续</i>这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see&nbsp;The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，这与市场复苏时的表现模式有关。随着复苏的推进，这些模式应该会发生变化。正如我的同事迈克尔·威尔逊所指出的，我们认为我们正在进入周期中期市场，尽管距离经济活动低点仅16个月。我们看到当前状况与2004年上半年有许多相似之处，2004年上半年是大幅通货再膨胀反弹之后的周期中期。重要的是，尽管最近对增长感到担忧，但我们认为全球复苏将继续推进（见增长恐慌周年纪念，2021年7月11日）。</blockquote></p><p> Because one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.<b>It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.</b></p><p><blockquote>因为人们总能找到适合他们特定周期观点的指标，所以我们长期以来一直是综合指数的粉丝。这就是我们的“周期模型”，它结合了美国宏观、信贷周期和企业侵略性的十个指标，以衡量我们在市场周期中的位置。在2019年6月进入周期后期“低迷”和2020年4月进入周期早期“修复”后，该指数飙升。<b>它上升得如此之快，以至于已经过了下一个阶段（“复苏”），直接进入了“扩张”。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Thisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',<b>and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends</b>. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.<b>It also hints at another possibility:&nbsp;this hotter cycle could be shorter.</b>This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.</p><p><blockquote>这很不寻常。“扩张”意味着捕捉“比正常情况更好且正在改善”的条件，<b>自1980年以来，“低迷”结束后平均需要35个月才能实现这一目标</b>它的迅速到来表明，在巨大的政策支持下，经济正在迅速复苏。<b>这也暗示了另一种可能性：这个更热的周期可能会更短。</b>这是我们的论点，它体现在我们的定量测量中。</blockquote></p><p> All this has a number of implications:</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都有许多含义：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>The shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases</b>. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.</li>  <li><b>In many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low</b>. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.</li>  <li><b>In equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios</b>. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.</li>  <li><b>Interest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model</b>. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.</li> </ul> This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>周期越短，信贷相对于其他风险资产越差；信贷从“繁荣”中获得的收益较少，如果下一次衰退提前到来，信贷就会面临风险，并且随着企业信心的增强，信贷将面临更多的供应</b>在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国IG和HY Credit N1200万超额回报分别比平均水平差29个基点和161个基点。</li><li><b>在其中许多时期，尽管违约率仍然很低，但信贷表现却参差不齐</b>投资者应该尝试承担违约风险而不是利差风险：我们的信用策略师喜欢持有CDX HY 0-15%，并用CDX IG付款人利差进行对冲。</li><li><b>在股票方面，我们认为我们的模型支持投资组合更加平衡</b>我们看好美国和欧洲的医疗保健行业，因为该行业具有几个良好的因素：质量、低估值、高利差和低波动性。从全球来看，欧洲和日本的股市往往跑赢“中期周期”，我们认为它们可以再次这样做。</li><li><b>利率对复苏过于悲观。在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国10年期国债1200万奈拉回报率比平均水平低97个基点</b>.Guneet Dhingra和我们的美国利率策略团队在全球资产配置中转移了跑输大盘美国10年期国债，而我们反过来又转移了跑输大盘政府债券。</li></ul>这种循环是不寻常的。大多数“正常”周期都是。我们认为复苏是可持续的，而且更有可能“更热、更短”。出售国债并相信扩张。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146536243","content_text":"We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.\nThe debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.\nBut 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.\nInstead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.\nWas last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.\nIf it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are. If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should continue to do so.\nSpecifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).\nBecause one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.\nThisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.It also hints at another possibility: this hotter cycle could be shorter.This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.\nAll this has a number of implications:\n\nThe shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.\nIn many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.\nIn equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.\nInterest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.\n\nThis cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. 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stubborn me diamond hands at wrong time again. Was hoping it would go up at postmarket but...&nbsp;Finally got out but at loss [Cry]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XELA\">$Exela Technologies, Inc.(XELA)$</a>Should have got out when it broke even for me just now during open market... stubborn me diamond hands at wrong time again. Was hoping it would go up at postmarket but...&nbsp;Finally got out but at loss [Cry]&nbsp;","text":"$Exela Technologies, Inc.(XELA)$Should have got out when it broke even for me just now during open market... stubborn me diamond hands at wrong time again. Was hoping it would go up at postmarket but... Finally got out but at loss [Cry]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ac16ff665b889ff9cbaf86956d27dd1","width":"828","height":"1434"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/151357373","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1683,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184502018,"gmtCreate":1623717704334,"gmtModify":1631884680735,"author":{"id":"3576498486893564","authorId":"3576498486893564","name":"EliY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d87b8d40fb7aafe8ee1aca53a265c5fe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576498486893564","idStr":"3576498486893564"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SENS\">$Senseonics(SENS)$</a>Should I keep or sell?m when the market opens again??","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SENS\">$Senseonics(SENS)$</a>Should I keep or sell?m when the market opens again??","text":"$Senseonics(SENS)$Should I keep or sell?m when the market opens again??","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01206b45c2451f4fc0e4a3f011f1050b","width":"828","height":"1434"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/184502018","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":452,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":122284259,"gmtCreate":1624623395971,"gmtModify":1631885193173,"author":{"id":"3576498486893564","authorId":"3576498486893564","name":"EliY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d87b8d40fb7aafe8ee1aca53a265c5fe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576498486893564","idStr":"3576498486893564"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZOM\">$Zomedica Pharmaceuticals Corp.(ZOM)$</a>When are you going up 🥺","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZOM\">$Zomedica Pharmaceuticals Corp.(ZOM)$</a>When are you going up 🥺","text":"$Zomedica Pharmaceuticals Corp.(ZOM)$When are you going up 🥺","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ca4270fc80972a93b13b7e63a894484","width":"828","height":"1434"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/122284259","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":573,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172494628,"gmtCreate":1626970318464,"gmtModify":1633769182590,"author":{"id":"3576498486893564","authorId":"3576498486893564","name":"EliY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d87b8d40fb7aafe8ee1aca53a265c5fe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576498486893564","idStr":"3576498486893564"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A","listText":"A","text":"A","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172494628","repostId":"1154266565","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154266565","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626955588,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1154266565?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-22 20:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How to invest as the Delta variant takes hold<blockquote>随着德尔塔变异毒株的到来如何投资</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154266565","media":"cnn","summary":"New York When the market is plunging like it did last Friday and on Monday, it's tempting to throw in the towel and sell. Big drops can be scary.But dumping stocks on days when the Dow is getting whacked is usually the wrong thing to do. Stocks roared back Tuesday and were up again Wednesday.If you're investing for the long haul, the best thing you can do is ride out this wave of volatility.\"Stay invested,\" said Seema Shah, chief strategist at Principal Global Investors. Shah told CNN Business t","content":"<p>New York (CNN Business)When the market is plunging like it did last Friday and on Monday, it's tempting to throw in the towel and sell. Big drops can be scary.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（CNN商业）当市场像上周五和周一那样暴跌时，人们很容易认输并卖出。大跌可能会很可怕。</blockquote></p><p> But dumping stocks on days when the Dow is getting whacked is usually the wrong thing to do. Stocks roared back Tuesday and were up again Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>但在道琼斯指数遭受重创的日子抛售股票通常是错误的做法。周二股市大幅反弹，周三再次上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, the Delta variant of Covid-19 has led to an alarming uptick in coronavirus cases in the United States and around the globe. But many experts think the massive number of vaccinations that have already taken place will prevent the economy and markets from going into another tailspin.</p><p><blockquote>是的，新冠肺炎的德尔塔变异毒株导致美国和全球冠状病毒病例惊人地上升。但许多专家认为，已经进行的大量疫苗接种将防止经济和市场陷入另一场混乱。</blockquote></p><p> If you're investing for the long haul, the best thing you can do is ride out this wave of volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果你是长期投资，你能做的最好的事情就是安然度过这波波动。</blockquote></p><p> \"Stay invested,\" said Seema Shah, chief strategist at Principal Global Investors. Shah told CNN Business that the Delta variant is highly unlikely to stop the economic recovery in the US and other parts of the developed world where vaccination rates are high.</p><p><blockquote>信安全球投资者首席策略师Seema Shah表示：“保持投资。”沙阿告诉美国有线电视新闻网商业频道，德尔塔变异毒株不太可能阻止美国和其他疫苗接种率较高的发达国家的经济复苏。</blockquote></p><p> \"The vaccine is effective,\" she said. \"If cases are rising but hospitalization rates remain low, then the reopening measures from governments will continue.\"</p><p><blockquote>“疫苗是有效的，”她说。“如果病例在上升，但住院率仍然很低，那么政府的重新开放措施将继续下去。”</blockquote></p><p> Still, Shah conceded, investors should be more selective. After all, the S&amp;P 500 has nearly doubled from its pandemic lows in March 2020, and not all stocks and sectors will maintain their momentum.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，沙阿承认，投资者应该更加挑剔。毕竟，标普500较2020年3月的大流行低点上涨了近一倍，并非所有股票和板块都将保持其势头。</blockquote></p><p> She thinks defensive sectors might start to pull back a bit. Those include utilities, health care and others companies that pay big dividends and are considered good bond proxies.</p><p><blockquote>她认为防御性板块可能会开始小幅回调。其中包括公用事业、医疗保健和其他支付高额股息并被认为是良好债券代理的公司。</blockquote></p><p> The FAANGs and other big tech stocks, many of which have strong earnings momentum and tons of cash, should continue to rally, she said.</p><p><blockquote>她表示，FAANG和其他大型科技股应该会继续上涨，其中许多股拥有强劲的盈利势头和大量现金。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Not the time to bail on the market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在不是退出市场的时候</b></blockquote></p><p> So should economic recovery plays in the travel and retail sectors that have pulled back lately on Covid concerns. United (UAL), for example, issued an upbeat outlook after the closing bell Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>旅游和零售行业的经济复苏也应该如此，这些行业最近因新冠疫情担忧而回落。例如，美联航(UAL)在周二收盘后发布了乐观的前景。</blockquote></p><p> \"Airlines have been beaten up,\" Shah said. \"But if you assume the reopening will continue, they should enjoy a significant bounceback.\"</p><p><blockquote>“航空公司受到了打击，”沙阿说。“但如果你假设重新开放将继续，他们应该会享受显着的反弹。”</blockquote></p><p> Stocks may remain bumpy for the foreseeable future, but that shouldn't dissuade investors from sticking with their longer-term investments.</p><p><blockquote>在可预见的未来，股市可能仍然坎坷，但这不应阻止投资者坚持长期投资。</blockquote></p><p> \"The uncertainty of the past couple of days is warranted for the short term,\" said Peter van der Welle, multi-asset strategist at Robeco. \"But there should be a second leg to the reflation trade.\"</p><p><blockquote>荷宝多资产策略师Peter van der Welle表示：“过去几天的不确定性在短期内是合理的。”“但通货再膨胀交易应该有第二条腿。”</blockquote></p><p> Van der Welle noted that there are many reasons to be optimistic about continued gains in consumer spending and retail sales, despite a recent drop in consumer confidence.</p><p><blockquote>范德韦勒指出，尽管近期消费者信心有所下降，但仍有许多理由对消费者支出和零售额的持续增长持乐观态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy the dips</b></p><p><blockquote><b>逢低买入</b></blockquote></p><p> Any wariness on the part of consumers — and investors, for that matter — could turn out to be fleeting.</p><p><blockquote>消费者——以及投资者——的任何谨慎都可能转瞬即逝。</blockquote></p><p> \"If you are a long-term investor, take advantage of this volatility and add to positions in companies and sectors you really like,\" said Phil Orlando, chief equity market strategist at Federated Hermes.</p><p><blockquote>Federated Hermes首席股票市场策略师菲尔·奥兰多(Phil Orlando)表示：“如果你是长期投资者，请利用这种波动性，增持你真正喜欢的公司和行业。”</blockquote></p><p> He he belives stocks in cyclical industries that have gotten hit because of Delta variant fears could enjoy the biggest rebounds.</p><p><blockquote>他认为，因德尔塔变异毒株担忧而受到打击的周期性行业股票可能会出现最大的反弹。</blockquote></p><p> \"There are stocks that have hit an air pocket that could be very attractive. We love the economically sensitive sectors,\" Orlando added, saying that banks and other financials, industrial firms, retailers and energy stocks may come roaring back.</p><p><blockquote>奥兰多补充道：“有些股票已经陷入困境，可能非常有吸引力。我们喜欢对经济敏感的行业。”他表示，银行和其他金融股、工业公司、零售商和能源股可能会大幅反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How to invest as the Delta variant takes hold<blockquote>随着德尔塔变异毒株的到来如何投资</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow to invest as the Delta variant takes hold<blockquote>随着德尔塔变异毒株的到来如何投资</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">cnn</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-22 20:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>New York (CNN Business)When the market is plunging like it did last Friday and on Monday, it's tempting to throw in the towel and sell. Big drops can be scary.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（CNN商业）当市场像上周五和周一那样暴跌时，人们很容易认输并卖出。大跌可能会很可怕。</blockquote></p><p> But dumping stocks on days when the Dow is getting whacked is usually the wrong thing to do. Stocks roared back Tuesday and were up again Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>但在道琼斯指数遭受重创的日子抛售股票通常是错误的做法。周二股市大幅反弹，周三再次上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, the Delta variant of Covid-19 has led to an alarming uptick in coronavirus cases in the United States and around the globe. But many experts think the massive number of vaccinations that have already taken place will prevent the economy and markets from going into another tailspin.</p><p><blockquote>是的，新冠肺炎的德尔塔变异毒株导致美国和全球冠状病毒病例惊人地上升。但许多专家认为，已经进行的大量疫苗接种将防止经济和市场陷入另一场混乱。</blockquote></p><p> If you're investing for the long haul, the best thing you can do is ride out this wave of volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果你是长期投资，你能做的最好的事情就是安然度过这波波动。</blockquote></p><p> \"Stay invested,\" said Seema Shah, chief strategist at Principal Global Investors. Shah told CNN Business that the Delta variant is highly unlikely to stop the economic recovery in the US and other parts of the developed world where vaccination rates are high.</p><p><blockquote>信安全球投资者首席策略师Seema Shah表示：“保持投资。”沙阿告诉美国有线电视新闻网商业频道，德尔塔变异毒株不太可能阻止美国和其他疫苗接种率较高的发达国家的经济复苏。</blockquote></p><p> \"The vaccine is effective,\" she said. \"If cases are rising but hospitalization rates remain low, then the reopening measures from governments will continue.\"</p><p><blockquote>“疫苗是有效的，”她说。“如果病例在上升，但住院率仍然很低，那么政府的重新开放措施将继续下去。”</blockquote></p><p> Still, Shah conceded, investors should be more selective. After all, the S&amp;P 500 has nearly doubled from its pandemic lows in March 2020, and not all stocks and sectors will maintain their momentum.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，沙阿承认，投资者应该更加挑剔。毕竟，标普500较2020年3月的大流行低点上涨了近一倍，并非所有股票和板块都将保持其势头。</blockquote></p><p> She thinks defensive sectors might start to pull back a bit. Those include utilities, health care and others companies that pay big dividends and are considered good bond proxies.</p><p><blockquote>她认为防御性板块可能会开始小幅回调。其中包括公用事业、医疗保健和其他支付高额股息并被认为是良好债券代理的公司。</blockquote></p><p> The FAANGs and other big tech stocks, many of which have strong earnings momentum and tons of cash, should continue to rally, she said.</p><p><blockquote>她表示，FAANG和其他大型科技股应该会继续上涨，其中许多股拥有强劲的盈利势头和大量现金。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Not the time to bail on the market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在不是退出市场的时候</b></blockquote></p><p> So should economic recovery plays in the travel and retail sectors that have pulled back lately on Covid concerns. United (UAL), for example, issued an upbeat outlook after the closing bell Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>旅游和零售行业的经济复苏也应该如此，这些行业最近因新冠疫情担忧而回落。例如，美联航(UAL)在周二收盘后发布了乐观的前景。</blockquote></p><p> \"Airlines have been beaten up,\" Shah said. \"But if you assume the reopening will continue, they should enjoy a significant bounceback.\"</p><p><blockquote>“航空公司受到了打击，”沙阿说。“但如果你假设重新开放将继续，他们应该会享受显着的反弹。”</blockquote></p><p> Stocks may remain bumpy for the foreseeable future, but that shouldn't dissuade investors from sticking with their longer-term investments.</p><p><blockquote>在可预见的未来，股市可能仍然坎坷，但这不应阻止投资者坚持长期投资。</blockquote></p><p> \"The uncertainty of the past couple of days is warranted for the short term,\" said Peter van der Welle, multi-asset strategist at Robeco. \"But there should be a second leg to the reflation trade.\"</p><p><blockquote>荷宝多资产策略师Peter van der Welle表示：“过去几天的不确定性在短期内是合理的。”“但通货再膨胀交易应该有第二条腿。”</blockquote></p><p> Van der Welle noted that there are many reasons to be optimistic about continued gains in consumer spending and retail sales, despite a recent drop in consumer confidence.</p><p><blockquote>范德韦勒指出，尽管近期消费者信心有所下降，但仍有许多理由对消费者支出和零售额的持续增长持乐观态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy the dips</b></p><p><blockquote><b>逢低买入</b></blockquote></p><p> Any wariness on the part of consumers — and investors, for that matter — could turn out to be fleeting.</p><p><blockquote>消费者——以及投资者——的任何谨慎都可能转瞬即逝。</blockquote></p><p> \"If you are a long-term investor, take advantage of this volatility and add to positions in companies and sectors you really like,\" said Phil Orlando, chief equity market strategist at Federated Hermes.</p><p><blockquote>Federated Hermes首席股票市场策略师菲尔·奥兰多(Phil Orlando)表示：“如果你是长期投资者，请利用这种波动性，增持你真正喜欢的公司和行业。”</blockquote></p><p> He he belives stocks in cyclical industries that have gotten hit because of Delta variant fears could enjoy the biggest rebounds.</p><p><blockquote>他认为，因德尔塔变异毒株担忧而受到打击的周期性行业股票可能会出现最大的反弹。</blockquote></p><p> \"There are stocks that have hit an air pocket that could be very attractive. We love the economically sensitive sectors,\" Orlando added, saying that banks and other financials, industrial firms, retailers and energy stocks may come roaring back.</p><p><blockquote>奥兰多补充道：“有些股票已经陷入困境，可能非常有吸引力。我们喜欢对经济敏感的行业。”他表示，银行和其他金融股、工业公司、零售商和能源股可能会大幅反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/07/21/investing/investing-stock-market-volatility/index.html\">cnn</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/07/21/investing/investing-stock-market-volatility/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154266565","content_text":"New York (CNN Business)When the market is plunging like it did last Friday and on Monday, it's tempting to throw in the towel and sell. Big drops can be scary.\nBut dumping stocks on days when the Dow is getting whacked is usually the wrong thing to do. Stocks roared back Tuesday and were up again Wednesday.\nYes, the Delta variant of Covid-19 has led to an alarming uptick in coronavirus cases in the United States and around the globe. But many experts think the massive number of vaccinations that have already taken place will prevent the economy and markets from going into another tailspin.\nIf you're investing for the long haul, the best thing you can do is ride out this wave of volatility.\n\"Stay invested,\" said Seema Shah, chief strategist at Principal Global Investors. Shah told CNN Business that the Delta variant is highly unlikely to stop the economic recovery in the US and other parts of the developed world where vaccination rates are high.\n\"The vaccine is effective,\" she said. \"If cases are rising but hospitalization rates remain low, then the reopening measures from governments will continue.\"\nStill, Shah conceded, investors should be more selective. After all, the S&P 500 has nearly doubled from its pandemic lows in March 2020, and not all stocks and sectors will maintain their momentum.\nShe thinks defensive sectors might start to pull back a bit. Those include utilities, health care and others companies that pay big dividends and are considered good bond proxies.\nThe FAANGs and other big tech stocks, many of which have strong earnings momentum and tons of cash, should continue to rally, she said.\nNot the time to bail on the market\nSo should economic recovery plays in the travel and retail sectors that have pulled back lately on Covid concerns. United (UAL), for example, issued an upbeat outlook after the closing bell Tuesday.\n\"Airlines have been beaten up,\" Shah said. \"But if you assume the reopening will continue, they should enjoy a significant bounceback.\"\nStocks may remain bumpy for the foreseeable future, but that shouldn't dissuade investors from sticking with their longer-term investments.\n\"The uncertainty of the past couple of days is warranted for the short term,\" said Peter van der Welle, multi-asset strategist at Robeco. \"But there should be a second leg to the reflation trade.\"\nVan der Welle noted that there are many reasons to be optimistic about continued gains in consumer spending and retail sales, despite a recent drop in consumer confidence.\nBuy the dips\nAny wariness on the part of consumers — and investors, for that matter — could turn out to be fleeting.\n\"If you are a long-term investor, take advantage of this volatility and add to positions in companies and sectors you really like,\" said Phil Orlando, chief equity market strategist at Federated Hermes.\nHe he belives stocks in cyclical industries that have gotten hit because of Delta variant fears could enjoy the biggest rebounds.\n\"There are stocks that have hit an air pocket that could be very attractive. We love the economically sensitive sectors,\" Orlando added, saying that banks and other financials, industrial firms, retailers and energy stocks may come roaring back.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":750,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159543307,"gmtCreate":1624975347509,"gmtModify":1633946310907,"author":{"id":"3576498486893564","authorId":"3576498486893564","name":"EliY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d87b8d40fb7aafe8ee1aca53a265c5fe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576498486893564","idStr":"3576498486893564"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hehe","listText":"Hehe","text":"Hehe","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159543307","repostId":"2147343850","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":612,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123119620,"gmtCreate":1624411810260,"gmtModify":1631885232601,"author":{"id":"3576498486893564","authorId":"3576498486893564","name":"EliY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d87b8d40fb7aafe8ee1aca53a265c5fe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576498486893564","idStr":"3576498486893564"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRCH\">$Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH)$</a>my price is 1.86... happy to be still making profits, but&nbsp;regretted holding for so long,&nbsp;thinking it will go up. Should I&nbsp;sell later&nbsp;or wait for dividend?&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRCH\">$Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH)$</a>my price is 1.86... happy to be still making profits, but&nbsp;regretted holding for so long,&nbsp;thinking it will go up. Should I&nbsp;sell later&nbsp;or wait for dividend?&nbsp;","text":"$Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH)$my price is 1.86... happy to be still making profits, but regretted holding for so long, thinking it will go up. Should I sell later or wait for dividend?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123119620","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":489,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193395978,"gmtCreate":1620751980594,"gmtModify":1634196583059,"author":{"id":"3576498486893564","authorId":"3576498486893564","name":"EliY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d87b8d40fb7aafe8ee1aca53a265c5fe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576498486893564","idStr":"3576498486893564"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193395978","repostId":"1148549916","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148549916","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620718159,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148549916?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-11 15:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hedge Fund Gross Leverage Hits All Time High As HFs Furiously Short Tech Stocks<blockquote>HFs疯狂做空科技股，对冲基金总杠杆创历史新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148549916","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Hedge funds are currently Underweight Info Tech stocks by -1.4% vs. the MSCI World, the lowest level since last November and in the 3rd percentile vs. the past five years.","content":"<p>Hedge funds had another rough week according to Goldman's Prime Brokerage, with the GS Equity Fundamental L/S&nbsp; Performance Estimate falling -1.68% between 4/30 and 5/6 (vs MSCI World TR -0.33%), driven by alpha of -1.11% – the worst weekly alpha in two months – and to a lesser extent beta of -0.57% (from market exposure and the market sensitivity factor combined). As a result, global fundamental equity L/S hedge funds lost almost two-thirds of their YTD gains in just the past week, bringing their total YTD return to just 0.97% in what is setting up as another dismal year for the 2 and 20 crowd.</p><p><blockquote>根据高盛的大宗经纪业务，对冲基金又度过了艰难的一周，GS股票基本面L/S表现预期在4/30至5/6之间下降了-1.68%（vs MSCI World TR-0.33%），这是由-1.11%的阿尔法推动的——两个月来最差的每周阿尔法——以及较小程度上的-0.57%的贝塔（来自市场敞口和市场敏感性因素的综合）。因此，仅在过去一周，全球基本面股票L/S对冲基金就损失了近三分之二的年初至今收益，使其年初至今总回报率仅为0.97%，这将是2岁和20岁人群又一个惨淡的一年。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c1d262955a001211ed92ecfceca5b3d\" tg-width=\"501\" tg-height=\"472\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>What is remarkable is just how sensitive to overall market beta the hedge fund space has become, and there is a reason for that: according to Goldman Prime,<b>overall book Gross leverage rose +1.7 pts to 247.1%, the highest on record,</b>while Net leverage fell -0.9 pts to 88.2% (not quite an all time high, but still 87th percentile).</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，对冲基金领域对整体市场贝塔值变得多么敏感，这是有原因的：根据Goldman Prime的说法，<b>整体账面总杠杆上升+1.7个百分点至247.1%，为有记录以来的最高水平，</b>而净杠杆率下降了-0.9个百分点，至88.2%（虽然不是历史最高水平，但仍处于87百分位）。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e8665b4387577b4f2b41e5791e348b3\" tg-width=\"1087\" tg-height=\"487\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Looking at the composition of hedge fund purchases,<b>the overall GS Prime book was modestly net bought again in the past week</b>(+0.15 SDs), driven by risk-on flows as long buys outpaced short sales. Specifically, single Names were net bought while Macro Products (Index and ETF combined) were net sold. North America and to a lesser extent Europe were net bought driven by long buys, while DM Asia and EM Asia were net sold driven by short sales. 8 of 11 global sectors were net bought led in $ terms by Consumer Disc, Health Care, Staples and Real Estate, while Info Tech, Materials, and Financials were net sold.</p><p><blockquote>从对冲基金申购构成来看，<b>过去一周，GS Prime book整体再次小幅净买入</b>（+0.15 SDs），由多头买入超过空头卖出的风险偏好流动推动。具体来说，单一品种被净买入，而宏观产品（指数和ETF组合）被净卖出。北美和欧洲在较小程度上是由多头买盘驱动的净买入，而DM Asia和EM Asia则是由空头卖盘驱动的净卖出。全球11个行业中有8个行业被净买入，其中以消费光盘、医疗保健、主食和房地产为首，而信息技术、材料和金融则被净卖出。</blockquote></p><p>Meanwhile, continuing the trend first observed last weekwhen we noted that hedge funds shorted tech sharesfor 9 of the previous 10 days, Goldman notes that<b>Info Tech saw the largest net selling in nine months as managers reduced exposure for a third straight week.</b>And in a surprise reversal to months of bullishness on IT, GS Prime points out that hedge funds are currently Underweight Info Tech stocks by -1.4% vs. the MSCI World,<b>the lowest level since last November and in the 3rd percentile vs. the past five years.</b></p><p><blockquote>与此同时，高盛指出，延续上周首次观察到的趋势，当时我们注意到对冲基金在过去10天中有9天做空科技股<b>由于管理人员连续第三周减少敞口，信息技术出现了九个月来最大的净抛售。</b>GS Prime出人意料地扭转了数月来对其的看涨情绪，指出对冲基金目前对跑输大盘信息科技股的看法较MSCI世界下跌了-1.4%，<b>这是自去年11月以来的最低水平，与过去五年相比处于第3百分位。</b></blockquote></p><p>Some more details from the Goldman reports:</p><p><blockquote>高盛报告中的更多细节：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Info Tech, the worst performing sector this week,<b>was also by far the most net sold sector on the GS Prime book driven by short sales outpacing long buys 7 to 1.</b></li><li>Info Tech stocks were net sold for a third straight week and saw the largest week/week $ net selling since last August (-1.6 SDs). Net trading flow diverged on a subsector level – Semis &amp; Semi Equip, Software, and Electronic Equip were the most net sold, while Comm Equip and IT Services were the most net bought.</li><li>Hedge funds are currently U/W Info Tech stocks by -1.4% vs. the MSCI World,<b>the lowest level since last November and in the 3rd percentile vs. the past five years.</b></li><li>From an industry group standpoint, hedge funds are still O/W Software &amp; Svcs by +4.7% (28th percentile) and U/W Semis &amp; Semi Equip and Tech Hardware by -1.6% (13th percentile) and -4.3% (18th percentile), respectively</li></ul><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fd6a23b77549f58ef41bd23b5de74c0\" tg-width=\"656\" tg-height=\"385\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And while hedge funds shorted tech, the Goldman US Consumer Discretionary sector saw the largest net buying in three months driven by E-Commerce stocks. As a result, the GS Prime book is now O/W US Consumer Discretionary by +3.3% vs. the S&amp;P 500,<b>which is in the 9th percentile vs. the past year and in the 50th percentile vs. the past five years</b>.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>信息科技，本周表现最差的板块，<b>也是迄今为止GS Prime账簿上净卖出最多的板块，其推动因素是卖空超过多头买入7比1。</b></li><li>信息科技股连续第三周净卖出，创下去年8月以来最大的周/周净卖出（-1.6 SDs）。子行业层面的净交易流量出现分化——半成品和半成品设备、软件和电子设备是净卖出最多的，而通信设备和IT服务是净买入最多的。</li><li>对冲基金目前U/W信息科技股与MSCI世界相比下降了-1.4%，<b>这是自去年11月以来的最低水平，与过去五年相比处于第3百分位。</b></li><li>从行业群体的角度来看，对冲基金仍然是O/W软件和服务提供商+4.7%（第28个百分点），U/W半成品和半设备和技术硬件分别为-1.6%（第13个百分点）和-4.3%（第18个百分点）</li></ul>尽管对冲基金做空科技股，但在电子商务股票的推动下，高盛美国非必需消费品板块出现了三个月来最大的净买入。因此，GS Prime book现在与标普500相比，美国非必需消费品增长了+3.3%，<b>与过去一年相比处于第9百分位，与过去五年相比处于第50百分位</b>.</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>In $ terms, Consumer Discretionary was the most net bought US sector on the GS Prime book this week, driven by risk-on flows with long buys outpacing short sales 4 to 1.</li><li>The sector’s aggregate long/short ratio (MV) on the GS Prime book ended the week at 2.53, which is in the 2nd percentile vs. the past year and in the 77th percentile vs. the past five years. The GS Prime book is now O/W US Consumer Discretionary stocks by +3.3% vs. the S&amp;P 500, which is in the 9th percentile vs. the past year and in the 50th percentile vs. the past five years.</li></ul><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91bb2509f471f3239a9d3978a8a1581\" tg-width=\"656\" tg-height=\"383\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>以美元计算，非必需消费品是本周GS Prime账簿上净买入最多的美国行业，这是由风险偏好流动推动的，多头买入的比例超过了空头卖出的比例为4比1。</li><li>GS Prime book上该行业的总多头/空头比率(MV)本周结束时为2.53，与过去一年相比处于第2百分位，与过去五年相比处于第77百分位。GS Prime book目前与标普500相比，美国非必需消费品股票增长了+3.3%，与过去一年相比，美国非必需消费品股票处于第9百分位，与过去五年相比，美国非必需消费品股票处于第50百分位。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hedge Fund Gross Leverage Hits All Time High As HFs Furiously Short Tech Stocks<blockquote>HFs疯狂做空科技股，对冲基金总杠杆创历史新高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHedge Fund Gross Leverage Hits All Time High As HFs Furiously Short Tech Stocks<blockquote>HFs疯狂做空科技股，对冲基金总杠杆创历史新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-11 15:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Hedge funds had another rough week according to Goldman's Prime Brokerage, with the GS Equity Fundamental L/S&nbsp; Performance Estimate falling -1.68% between 4/30 and 5/6 (vs MSCI World TR -0.33%), driven by alpha of -1.11% – the worst weekly alpha in two months – and to a lesser extent beta of -0.57% (from market exposure and the market sensitivity factor combined). As a result, global fundamental equity L/S hedge funds lost almost two-thirds of their YTD gains in just the past week, bringing their total YTD return to just 0.97% in what is setting up as another dismal year for the 2 and 20 crowd.</p><p><blockquote>根据高盛的大宗经纪业务，对冲基金又度过了艰难的一周，GS股票基本面L/S表现预期在4/30至5/6之间下降了-1.68%（vs MSCI World TR-0.33%），这是由-1.11%的阿尔法推动的——两个月来最差的每周阿尔法——以及较小程度上的-0.57%的贝塔（来自市场敞口和市场敏感性因素的综合）。因此，仅在过去一周，全球基本面股票L/S对冲基金就损失了近三分之二的年初至今收益，使其年初至今总回报率仅为0.97%，这将是2岁和20岁人群又一个惨淡的一年。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c1d262955a001211ed92ecfceca5b3d\" tg-width=\"501\" tg-height=\"472\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>What is remarkable is just how sensitive to overall market beta the hedge fund space has become, and there is a reason for that: according to Goldman Prime,<b>overall book Gross leverage rose +1.7 pts to 247.1%, the highest on record,</b>while Net leverage fell -0.9 pts to 88.2% (not quite an all time high, but still 87th percentile).</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，对冲基金领域对整体市场贝塔值变得多么敏感，这是有原因的：根据Goldman Prime的说法，<b>整体账面总杠杆上升+1.7个百分点至247.1%，为有记录以来的最高水平，</b>而净杠杆率下降了-0.9个百分点，至88.2%（虽然不是历史最高水平，但仍处于87百分位）。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e8665b4387577b4f2b41e5791e348b3\" tg-width=\"1087\" tg-height=\"487\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Looking at the composition of hedge fund purchases,<b>the overall GS Prime book was modestly net bought again in the past week</b>(+0.15 SDs), driven by risk-on flows as long buys outpaced short sales. Specifically, single Names were net bought while Macro Products (Index and ETF combined) were net sold. North America and to a lesser extent Europe were net bought driven by long buys, while DM Asia and EM Asia were net sold driven by short sales. 8 of 11 global sectors were net bought led in $ terms by Consumer Disc, Health Care, Staples and Real Estate, while Info Tech, Materials, and Financials were net sold.</p><p><blockquote>从对冲基金申购构成来看，<b>过去一周，GS Prime book整体再次小幅净买入</b>（+0.15 SDs），由多头买入超过空头卖出的风险偏好流动推动。具体来说，单一品种被净买入，而宏观产品（指数和ETF组合）被净卖出。北美和欧洲在较小程度上是由多头买盘驱动的净买入，而DM Asia和EM Asia则是由空头卖盘驱动的净卖出。全球11个行业中有8个行业被净买入，其中以消费光盘、医疗保健、主食和房地产为首，而信息技术、材料和金融则被净卖出。</blockquote></p><p>Meanwhile, continuing the trend first observed last weekwhen we noted that hedge funds shorted tech sharesfor 9 of the previous 10 days, Goldman notes that<b>Info Tech saw the largest net selling in nine months as managers reduced exposure for a third straight week.</b>And in a surprise reversal to months of bullishness on IT, GS Prime points out that hedge funds are currently Underweight Info Tech stocks by -1.4% vs. the MSCI World,<b>the lowest level since last November and in the 3rd percentile vs. the past five years.</b></p><p><blockquote>与此同时，高盛指出，延续上周首次观察到的趋势，当时我们注意到对冲基金在过去10天中有9天做空科技股<b>由于管理人员连续第三周减少敞口，信息技术出现了九个月来最大的净抛售。</b>GS Prime出人意料地扭转了数月来对其的看涨情绪，指出对冲基金目前对跑输大盘信息科技股的看法较MSCI世界下跌了-1.4%，<b>这是自去年11月以来的最低水平，与过去五年相比处于第3百分位。</b></blockquote></p><p>Some more details from the Goldman reports:</p><p><blockquote>高盛报告中的更多细节：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Info Tech, the worst performing sector this week,<b>was also by far the most net sold sector on the GS Prime book driven by short sales outpacing long buys 7 to 1.</b></li><li>Info Tech stocks were net sold for a third straight week and saw the largest week/week $ net selling since last August (-1.6 SDs). Net trading flow diverged on a subsector level – Semis &amp; Semi Equip, Software, and Electronic Equip were the most net sold, while Comm Equip and IT Services were the most net bought.</li><li>Hedge funds are currently U/W Info Tech stocks by -1.4% vs. the MSCI World,<b>the lowest level since last November and in the 3rd percentile vs. the past five years.</b></li><li>From an industry group standpoint, hedge funds are still O/W Software &amp; Svcs by +4.7% (28th percentile) and U/W Semis &amp; Semi Equip and Tech Hardware by -1.6% (13th percentile) and -4.3% (18th percentile), respectively</li></ul><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fd6a23b77549f58ef41bd23b5de74c0\" tg-width=\"656\" tg-height=\"385\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And while hedge funds shorted tech, the Goldman US Consumer Discretionary sector saw the largest net buying in three months driven by E-Commerce stocks. As a result, the GS Prime book is now O/W US Consumer Discretionary by +3.3% vs. the S&amp;P 500,<b>which is in the 9th percentile vs. the past year and in the 50th percentile vs. the past five years</b>.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>信息科技，本周表现最差的板块，<b>也是迄今为止GS Prime账簿上净卖出最多的板块，其推动因素是卖空超过多头买入7比1。</b></li><li>信息科技股连续第三周净卖出，创下去年8月以来最大的周/周净卖出（-1.6 SDs）。子行业层面的净交易流量出现分化——半成品和半成品设备、软件和电子设备是净卖出最多的，而通信设备和IT服务是净买入最多的。</li><li>对冲基金目前U/W信息科技股与MSCI世界相比下降了-1.4%，<b>这是自去年11月以来的最低水平，与过去五年相比处于第3百分位。</b></li><li>从行业群体的角度来看，对冲基金仍然是O/W软件和服务提供商+4.7%（第28个百分点），U/W半成品和半设备和技术硬件分别为-1.6%（第13个百分点）和-4.3%（第18个百分点）</li></ul>尽管对冲基金做空科技股，但在电子商务股票的推动下，高盛美国非必需消费品板块出现了三个月来最大的净买入。因此，GS Prime book现在与标普500相比，美国非必需消费品增长了+3.3%，<b>与过去一年相比处于第9百分位，与过去五年相比处于第50百分位</b>.</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>In $ terms, Consumer Discretionary was the most net bought US sector on the GS Prime book this week, driven by risk-on flows with long buys outpacing short sales 4 to 1.</li><li>The sector’s aggregate long/short ratio (MV) on the GS Prime book ended the week at 2.53, which is in the 2nd percentile vs. the past year and in the 77th percentile vs. the past five years. The GS Prime book is now O/W US Consumer Discretionary stocks by +3.3% vs. the S&amp;P 500, which is in the 9th percentile vs. the past year and in the 50th percentile vs. the past five years.</li></ul><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f91bb2509f471f3239a9d3978a8a1581\" tg-width=\"656\" tg-height=\"383\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>以美元计算，非必需消费品是本周GS Prime账簿上净买入最多的美国行业，这是由风险偏好流动推动的，多头买入的比例超过了空头卖出的比例为4比1。</li><li>GS Prime book上该行业的总多头/空头比率(MV)本周结束时为2.53，与过去一年相比处于第2百分位，与过去五年相比处于第77百分位。GS Prime book目前与标普500相比，美国非必需消费品股票增长了+3.3%，与过去一年相比，美国非必需消费品股票处于第9百分位，与过去五年相比，美国非必需消费品股票处于第50百分位。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hedge-fund-gross-leverage-hits-all-time-high-hfs-furiously-short-tech-stocks\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","NDX":"纳斯达克100指数"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hedge-fund-gross-leverage-hits-all-time-high-hfs-furiously-short-tech-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148549916","content_text":"Hedge funds had another rough week according to Goldman's Prime Brokerage, with the GS Equity Fundamental L/S  Performance Estimate falling -1.68% between 4/30 and 5/6 (vs MSCI World TR -0.33%), driven by alpha of -1.11% – the worst weekly alpha in two months – and to a lesser extent beta of -0.57% (from market exposure and the market sensitivity factor combined). As a result, global fundamental equity L/S hedge funds lost almost two-thirds of their YTD gains in just the past week, bringing their total YTD return to just 0.97% in what is setting up as another dismal year for the 2 and 20 crowd.What is remarkable is just how sensitive to overall market beta the hedge fund space has become, and there is a reason for that: according to Goldman Prime,overall book Gross leverage rose +1.7 pts to 247.1%, the highest on record,while Net leverage fell -0.9 pts to 88.2% (not quite an all time high, but still 87th percentile).Looking at the composition of hedge fund purchases,the overall GS Prime book was modestly net bought again in the past week(+0.15 SDs), driven by risk-on flows as long buys outpaced short sales. Specifically, single Names were net bought while Macro Products (Index and ETF combined) were net sold. North America and to a lesser extent Europe were net bought driven by long buys, while DM Asia and EM Asia were net sold driven by short sales. 8 of 11 global sectors were net bought led in $ terms by Consumer Disc, Health Care, Staples and Real Estate, while Info Tech, Materials, and Financials were net sold.Meanwhile, continuing the trend first observed last weekwhen we noted that hedge funds shorted tech sharesfor 9 of the previous 10 days, Goldman notes thatInfo Tech saw the largest net selling in nine months as managers reduced exposure for a third straight week.And in a surprise reversal to months of bullishness on IT, GS Prime points out that hedge funds are currently Underweight Info Tech stocks by -1.4% vs. the MSCI World,the lowest level since last November and in the 3rd percentile vs. the past five years.Some more details from the Goldman reports:Info Tech, the worst performing sector this week,was also by far the most net sold sector on the GS Prime book driven by short sales outpacing long buys 7 to 1.Info Tech stocks were net sold for a third straight week and saw the largest week/week $ net selling since last August (-1.6 SDs). Net trading flow diverged on a subsector level – Semis & Semi Equip, Software, and Electronic Equip were the most net sold, while Comm Equip and IT Services were the most net bought.Hedge funds are currently U/W Info Tech stocks by -1.4% vs. the MSCI World,the lowest level since last November and in the 3rd percentile vs. the past five years.From an industry group standpoint, hedge funds are still O/W Software & Svcs by +4.7% (28th percentile) and U/W Semis & Semi Equip and Tech Hardware by -1.6% (13th percentile) and -4.3% (18th percentile), respectivelyAnd while hedge funds shorted tech, the Goldman US Consumer Discretionary sector saw the largest net buying in three months driven by E-Commerce stocks. As a result, the GS Prime book is now O/W US Consumer Discretionary by +3.3% vs. the S&P 500,which is in the 9th percentile vs. the past year and in the 50th percentile vs. the past five years.In $ terms, Consumer Discretionary was the most net bought US sector on the GS Prime book this week, driven by risk-on flows with long buys outpacing short sales 4 to 1.The sector’s aggregate long/short ratio (MV) on the GS Prime book ended the week at 2.53, which is in the 2nd percentile vs. the past year and in the 77th percentile vs. the past five years. The GS Prime book is now O/W US Consumer Discretionary stocks by +3.3% vs. the S&P 500, which is in the 9th percentile vs. the past year and in the 50th percentile vs. the past five years.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NDX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":385,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806513935,"gmtCreate":1627668205527,"gmtModify":1631884679600,"author":{"id":"3576498486893564","authorId":"3576498486893564","name":"EliY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d87b8d40fb7aafe8ee1aca53a265c5fe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576498486893564","idStr":"3576498486893564"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SENS\">$Senseonics(SENS)$</a>up moreeeee","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SENS\">$Senseonics(SENS)$</a>up moreeeee","text":"$Senseonics(SENS)$up moreeeee","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58244052032367e2e3daa0c9ba92c3c2","width":"828","height":"1434"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806513935","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1741,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146416709,"gmtCreate":1626096426301,"gmtModify":1631886477304,"author":{"id":"3576498486893564","authorId":"3576498486893564","name":"EliY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d87b8d40fb7aafe8ee1aca53a265c5fe","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576498486893564","idStr":"3576498486893564"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NAKD\">$Naked Brand(NAKD)$</a>has the&nbsp;position ratio in my portfolio cos I kept averaging.. but still losing 😭&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NAKD\">$Naked Brand(NAKD)$</a>has the&nbsp;position ratio in my portfolio cos I kept averaging.. but still losing 😭&nbsp;","text":"$Naked Brand(NAKD)$has the position ratio in my portfolio cos I kept averaging.. but still losing 😭","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5811ed25b404ed84a3fbde9fbf79487a","width":"828","height":"1434"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/146416709","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":664,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}