田岚的个人主页 - 老虎社区

田岚

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0勋章

2021-07-19

[微笑] [微笑]

@价值投资为王:财报前瞻：台积电Q2扑街，阿斯麦能否独善其身？

2021-07-02

总算反弹了

2021-06-29

启动[财迷] [财迷] [财迷] [财迷]

2021-06-28

启动，好好把握

2021-06-26

$小米集团-W(01810)$[得意] [得意] [得意] [得意] [得意]

2021-06-24

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@价值投资为王:奈雪的茶估值贵吗？会不会破发？

2021-06-24

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@老虎专刊:【老虎周刊】老虎社区一周十大精华文章

2021-06-24

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@小虎老师:想抄底别直接买，教你一个巴菲特最爱的抄底方式

2021-06-24

[财迷] [财迷] [财迷]

2021-06-23

有点起色了

2021-06-22

$小米集团-W(01810)$[财迷] [财迷] [财迷]

2021-06-22

走的不错。坚持持有

2021-06-20

$小米集团-W(01810)$还不错

2021-06-20

可以做一波反弹

2021-06-16

$小米集团-W(01810)$还不错

2021-06-15

可以获利了结了

2021-06-14

上升趋势，走的多飘亮

2021-06-13

$小米集团-W(01810)$晒晒

2021-06-11

$小米集团-W(01810)$[微笑] [微笑] [微笑]

2021-06-08

[开心] [开心] [开心] [开心]

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[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173722533","repostId":"170874889","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":170874889,"gmtCreate":1626423743441,"gmtModify":1626439128363,"author":{"id":"21347731130544","authorId":"21347731130544","name":"价值投资为王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89ffffc59ff9ac9cb9cb74f596418d44","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"财报前瞻：台积电Q2扑街，阿斯麦能否独善其身？","htmlText":"昨日，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a>打响了大型半导体科技股Q2财报第一枪，虽然营收超出市场预期，但毛利率恶化，净利润增速不及预期，股价大跌5.5%。 这一糟糕的态势拖累了阿斯麦、英伟达等一众半导体概念股。 在7月21日（下周三），光刻机龙头<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">$阿斯麦(ASML)$</a>将公布二季度财报，在今年股价大涨44%的情况下，二季度财报能否摆脱台积电阴霾？ Q1业绩回顾！ 阿斯麦在一季度的业绩可谓炸裂，营收同比暴增78.8%，创下近五年来最快单季增速，总收入达到43.64亿欧元。 从收入构成来看，阿斯麦主要有两部分收入来源，一个是系统销售收入，主要是EUV和DUV光刻机的销售，另外一部分是软件和服务收入，如计算光刻的软件以及光刻机的维修升级服务等。 在一季度中，带动阿斯麦营收实现暴增的主要功臣是系统收入。当季营收规模达到31.29亿欧元，同比暴增97.5%。 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[财迷] [财迷] [财迷]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fafd7cde15e2a7e72ac94208a06bdfb7","width":"1125","height":"1757"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/150425876","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":127662699,"gmtCreate":1624846635511,"gmtModify":1624846635511,"author":{"id":"3575963263967282","authorId":"3575963263967282","name":"田岚","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d20c9bb723acba057fab0a1eb9af0216","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"启动，好好把握","listText":"启动，好好把握","text":"启动，好好把握","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6edb50b4f1ca54819780895265b3f420","width":"1125","height":"1757"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127662699","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1334,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":124912864,"gmtCreate":1624718401558,"gmtModify":1624718401558,"author":{"id":"3575963263967282","authorId":"3575963263967282","name":"田岚","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d20c9bb723acba057fab0a1eb9af0216","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$</a>[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$</a>[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;","text":"$小米集团-W(01810)$[得意] [得意] [得意] [得意] [得意]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b02a8d485c85d6ddec9a6b0399bf1e91","width":"1242","height":"2151"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124912864","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1346,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":128114962,"gmtCreate":1624505762356,"gmtModify":1624505762356,"author":{"id":"3575963263967282","authorId":"3575963263967282","name":"田岚","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d20c9bb723acba057fab0a1eb9af0216","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128114962","repostId":"166832841","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":166832841,"gmtCreate":1624000957779,"gmtModify":1624011760435,"author":{"id":"21347731130544","authorId":"21347731130544","name":"价值投资为王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89ffffc59ff9ac9cb9cb74f596418d44","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"奈雪的茶估值贵吗？会不会破发？","htmlText":"奈雪今日开始招股，不同于时代天使，网上抵制奈雪的声音较多，主要理由有几个： 1.&nbsp;&nbsp;奶茶品类竞争者众，奈雪不是老大。 高端现制奶茶目前的老大是喜茶，虽未上市，但喜茶主打小店，盈利能力略胜一筹，加上营销力不错，奈雪只能当老二。 除了喜茶和奈雪之外，茶颜悦色、乐乐茶、伏见桃山等品牌紧随其后。 奶茶是个好品类，但是一个没有门槛的品类，在商业赛道上，奈雪败了一道！ 2.&nbsp;&nbsp;奈雪产品贵，但公司还在亏损。 一杯奶茶要25元+，卖的这么贵，消费者想当然认为这是一个暴利生意，但奈雪却连年亏损。 3.&nbsp;&nbsp;340亿港币市值有点高！ 赛道上的缺陷，加上作为奶茶第一股，奈雪没有可以对标的公司，因此，多数抵制奈雪的人认为340亿港币的估值有点太高了。 从基石上看，奈雪这次引入的多是基金公司，确实没有实力靠前的机构，与喜茶腾讯、IDG和高瓴的阵容相比，确实差了些。 那奈雪的茶到底值不值得打新？首日又会不会破发？ 没有同行上市，因此，比估值只能拿星巴克来PK。 星巴克1992年6月登陆美股，PE在上市之后不久达到97倍，资本市场认为咖啡赛道极佳，加上门店快速扩张，估值一路上行。 在2001年，星巴克大举扩张海外，打开市场想象空间，估值最高达到141PE。 金融危机之后，星巴克的快速扩张告一段落，营收增速下滑，估值维持在30倍左右。 从星巴克发展历程看，在高速扩张阶段，公司估值将明显偏高，犹如奈雪的茶当下的定位。 根据奈雪的计划，其计划在2021年及2022年分别开设约300间及350间奈雪的茶茶饮店，且预期在2023年新开设的数量不低于2022年。 也即是说，未来2年，奈雪将处于高速扩张期间，估值恐将保持在高位。 由于奈雪尚未盈利，因此采用PS估值做对比，奈雪假设2021年店铺数量能达到791家，营收粗略估计为50亿人民币，则PS估值为5.","listText":"奈雪今日开始招股，不同于时代天使，网上抵制奈雪的声音较多，主要理由有几个： 1.&nbsp;&nbsp;奶茶品类竞争者众，奈雪不是老大。 高端现制奶茶目前的老大是喜茶，虽未上市，但喜茶主打小店，盈利能力略胜一筹，加上营销力不错，奈雪只能当老二。 除了喜茶和奈雪之外，茶颜悦色、乐乐茶、伏见桃山等品牌紧随其后。 奶茶是个好品类，但是一个没有门槛的品类，在商业赛道上，奈雪败了一道！ 2.&nbsp;&nbsp;奈雪产品贵，但公司还在亏损。 一杯奶茶要25元+，卖的这么贵，消费者想当然认为这是一个暴利生意，但奈雪却连年亏损。 3.&nbsp;&nbsp;340亿港币市值有点高！ 赛道上的缺陷，加上作为奶茶第一股，奈雪没有可以对标的公司，因此，多数抵制奈雪的人认为340亿港币的估值有点太高了。 从基石上看，奈雪这次引入的多是基金公司，确实没有实力靠前的机构，与喜茶腾讯、IDG和高瓴的阵容相比，确实差了些。 那奈雪的茶到底值不值得打新？首日又会不会破发？ 没有同行上市，因此，比估值只能拿星巴克来PK。 星巴克1992年6月登陆美股，PE在上市之后不久达到97倍，资本市场认为咖啡赛道极佳，加上门店快速扩张，估值一路上行。 在2001年，星巴克大举扩张海外，打开市场想象空间，估值最高达到141PE。 金融危机之后，星巴克的快速扩张告一段落，营收增速下滑，估值维持在30倍左右。 从星巴克发展历程看，在高速扩张阶段，公司估值将明显偏高，犹如奈雪的茶当下的定位。 根据奈雪的计划，其计划在2021年及2022年分别开设约300间及350间奈雪的茶茶饮店，且预期在2023年新开设的数量不低于2022年。 也即是说，未来2年，奈雪将处于高速扩张期间，估值恐将保持在高位。 由于奈雪尚未盈利，因此采用PS估值做对比，奈雪假设2021年店铺数量能达到791家，营收粗略估计为50亿人民币，则PS估值为5.","text":"奈雪今日开始招股，不同于时代天使，网上抵制奈雪的声音较多，主要理由有几个： 1. 奶茶品类竞争者众，奈雪不是老大。 高端现制奶茶目前的老大是喜茶，虽未上市，但喜茶主打小店，盈利能力略胜一筹，加上营销力不错，奈雪只能当老二。 除了喜茶和奈雪之外，茶颜悦色、乐乐茶、伏见桃山等品牌紧随其后。 奶茶是个好品类，但是一个没有门槛的品类，在商业赛道上，奈雪败了一道！ 2. 奈雪产品贵，但公司还在亏损。 一杯奶茶要25元+，卖的这么贵，消费者想当然认为这是一个暴利生意，但奈雪却连年亏损。 3. 340亿港币市值有点高！ 赛道上的缺陷，加上作为奶茶第一股，奈雪没有可以对标的公司，因此，多数抵制奈雪的人认为340亿港币的估值有点太高了。 从基石上看，奈雪这次引入的多是基金公司，确实没有实力靠前的机构，与喜茶腾讯、IDG和高瓴的阵容相比，确实差了些。 那奈雪的茶到底值不值得打新？首日又会不会破发？ 没有同行上市，因此，比估值只能拿星巴克来PK。 星巴克1992年6月登陆美股，PE在上市之后不久达到97倍，资本市场认为咖啡赛道极佳，加上门店快速扩张，估值一路上行。 在2001年，星巴克大举扩张海外，打开市场想象空间，估值最高达到141PE。 金融危机之后，星巴克的快速扩张告一段落，营收增速下滑，估值维持在30倍左右。 从星巴克发展历程看，在高速扩张阶段，公司估值将明显偏高，犹如奈雪的茶当下的定位。 根据奈雪的计划，其计划在2021年及2022年分别开设约300间及350间奈雪的茶茶饮店，且预期在2023年新开设的数量不低于2022年。 也即是说，未来2年，奈雪将处于高速扩张期间，估值恐将保持在高位。 由于奈雪尚未盈利，因此采用PS估值做对比，奈雪假设2021年店铺数量能达到791家，营收粗略估计为50亿人民币，则PS估值为5.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0602f9b0b131c3f485964c48175e2be5","width":"945","height":"525"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166832841","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1125,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":128115541,"gmtCreate":1624505743883,"gmtModify":1624505743883,"author":{"id":"3575963263967282","authorId":"3575963263967282","name":"田岚","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d20c9bb723acba057fab0a1eb9af0216","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128115541","repostId":"162708672","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":162708672,"gmtCreate":1624074169592,"gmtModify":1624077736072,"author":{"id":"35433028694349","authorId":"35433028694349","name":"老虎专刊","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/e0b93d50cf0df54ce7b1b746f78db36c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"【老虎周刊】老虎社区一周十大精华文章","htmlText":"嗨，虎友们好~这里是老虎社区每周更新的栏目“老虎周刊”。 “老虎周刊”精选老虎社区虎友们一周精华写作，希望对您的投资有所助力。 最好发现认识志同道合的虎友，一起投资一起成长。感谢虎友们支持，祝您投资顺利！ 下面进入一周榜单： <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/https://laohu8.com/TW/187083325\" target=\"_blank\">滴滴复杂招股书的三个简单解读</a> 发布者：<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/279327367386116\">@小斯聊新股</a> 柳青和程维曾经就在2016年的公开信里就骄傲地宣称，滴滴是唯一一家同时获得<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">$百度(BIDU)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> 和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> 投资的互联网公司。 目前这个点上市，除了作为IPO给前期股东退出机会这种人尽皆知的目的之外，从业务上更重要的还是想在国际业务上博一把。 以目前的900亿美元估值来看，滴滴完全是与优步对标，至于上市后是否还有更高的空间，可能还需要看着众多的前期股东与二级市场股东的博弈了。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/https://laohu8.com/TW/188490946\" target=\"_blank\">不知道买什么ETF？试试ETF Lite！</a> 发布者：","listText":"嗨，虎友们好~这里是老虎社区每周更新的栏目“老虎周刊”。 “老虎周刊”精选老虎社区虎友们一周精华写作，希望对您的投资有所助力。 最好发现认识志同道合的虎友，一起投资一起成长。感谢虎友们支持，祝您投资顺利！ 下面进入一周榜单： <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/https://laohu8.com/TW/187083325\" target=\"_blank\">滴滴复杂招股书的三个简单解读</a> 发布者：<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/279327367386116\">@小斯聊新股</a> 柳青和程维曾经就在2016年的公开信里就骄傲地宣称，滴滴是唯一一家同时获得<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">$百度(BIDU)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> 和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> 投资的互联网公司。 目前这个点上市，除了作为IPO给前期股东退出机会这种人尽皆知的目的之外，从业务上更重要的还是想在国际业务上博一把。 以目前的900亿美元估值来看，滴滴完全是与优步对标，至于上市后是否还有更高的空间，可能还需要看着众多的前期股东与二级市场股东的博弈了。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/https://laohu8.com/TW/188490946\" target=\"_blank\">不知道买什么ETF？试试ETF Lite！</a> 发布者：","text":"嗨，虎友们好~这里是老虎社区每周更新的栏目“老虎周刊”。 “老虎周刊”精选老虎社区虎友们一周精华写作，希望对您的投资有所助力。 最好发现认识志同道合的虎友，一起投资一起成长。感谢虎友们支持，祝您投资顺利！ 下面进入一周榜单： 滴滴复杂招股书的三个简单解读 发布者：@小斯聊新股 柳青和程维曾经就在2016年的公开信里就骄傲地宣称，滴滴是唯一一家同时获得$百度(BIDU)$ 、$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 和$腾讯控股(00700)$ 投资的互联网公司。 目前这个点上市，除了作为IPO给前期股东退出机会这种人尽皆知的目的之外，从业务上更重要的还是想在国际业务上博一把。 以目前的900亿美元估值来看，滴滴完全是与优步对标，至于上市后是否还有更高的空间，可能还需要看着众多的前期股东与二级市场股东的博弈了。 不知道买什么ETF？试试ETF Lite！ 发布者：","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47e3c23dcf94dd8fa7651878197483b7","width":"1920","height":"937"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ac0dd48e8f6d4917fedf636d14fb913","width":"647","height":"440"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f725b6a79498b7a701bd23acb9b8861b","width":"480","height":"288"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162708672","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1730,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":128115940,"gmtCreate":1624505727880,"gmtModify":1624505727880,"author":{"id":"3575963263967282","authorId":"3575963263967282","name":"田岚","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d20c9bb723acba057fab0a1eb9af0216","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128115940","repostId":"169545696","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":169545696,"gmtCreate":1623845231012,"gmtModify":1631903888124,"author":{"id":"36989258284800","authorId":"36989258284800","name":"小虎老师","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/6e9d88ae16a2b401169a727cf1457404","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"想抄底别直接买，教你一个巴菲特最爱的抄底方式","htmlText":"普通人抄底和大佬抄底有什么不同？ 面对一只跌到50美元的股票， 普通人抄底：挂个50美元的买单，成本50美元。 大佬抄底：卖个50美元的看跌期权，一股空手白赚4美元，被行权后以50美元买入，成本46美元（50-4=46）老有人问能不能抄巴菲特作业，老实说，绝大部分是抄不了的，因为他买入卖出前都不会跟你说，等你知道的时候只有接盘和割肉的份儿。但是，巴菲特这个抄底动作，却是为数不多普通散户可以学的操作之一。 秘诀就是卖看跌期权（short put），说起来也并不复杂，看完这篇你就会了！ 我们先看看巴菲特的示范，再解释一下原理。 1993年4月，巴菲特希望增持可口可乐，但此时可口可乐的股价是40美元左右，而他对可口可乐股票的心理价位是35美元。 于是，他以1.5美元的权利金卖出500万份到期日（行权日）为1993年12月17日、行权价为35美元的可口可乐看跌期权（put）。 到了1993年12月17日(到期日)，会有两种情况： 如果可口可乐的股价高于35美元，那么期权就是废纸一张，巴菲特可以获得1.5美元×500万份=750万美元的权利金; 如果可口可乐的股价低于35美元，巴菲特就必须按照35美元买入500万股可口可乐股票，扣除之前收取的1.5美元权利金，最后巴菲特持有可口可乐股票的实际买入成本为33.5美元/股，低于心理价位。 这么操作还有一个额外的优势：卖完期权现金就到手，比起把钱放账户里一直挂35的买单干等，还提升了现金流。 那么对于我们个人来说，如何操作？ 如果你是纯纯的期权小白，可以看我之前的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/117146180\" target=\"_blank\">《想止盈的股票不要直接卖，这个操作能让你多赚亿点点，邻居股民馋哭了 》</a>，介绍的是巧用期权止盈的思路，这里面有对基本期权概念的解释。 在那篇的基础上，再划几个","listText":"普通人抄底和大佬抄底有什么不同？ 面对一只跌到50美元的股票， 普通人抄底：挂个50美元的买单，成本50美元。 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