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习武之人老马
知行合一,不贪不惧,敬畏市场,守正出奇。公众号同用户名
IP属地:北京
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习武之人老马
09-27
$NIO 20241018 7.0 CALL$
今年第一次交易
习武之人老马
2023-12-22
信心比黄金更重要,关键他妈没信心了。
习武之人老马
2023-12-16
1. 该留不住的还是会留不住。 2. CEO还有几个点的股份,如果免职能挽救股价,大家都好。
东方甄选人事任免通知:俞敏洪兼任东方甄选CEO,免去孙东旭CEO职务
习武之人老马
2022-07-21
作为蔚来车主,我感觉150电池的出生就是个矛盾体。目前看升级150度估计就很难换电了,这块电池就是为了灵活升级短租实现长途驾驶准备的,但长途驾驶,换电比充电又有优势,换电站短期又没有150度电池,在固态电池全面量产并在换电体系铺开之前,更像是为了解决传统新能源车和燃油车主的里程焦虑去准备的,但这块电池又是只租不卖,大部分车主用车场景还是短途,城市用车场景下月这块电池的租金应该在2000以上,又没有燃油车月费用便宜。算来算去还是70°香。 短期看,死循环无解。
蔚来将于2022年第四季度计划交付150kwh固态电池
习武之人老马
2022-03-21
$波音(BA)$
哎,年纪大了就有阴影了。
习武之人老马
2022-03-18
这次投票就你1票反对25支持加50对吧
美联储理事沃勒:数据强烈要求我们加息50个基点
习武之人老马
2022-03-14
去年就开始不看好b站,再看看吧
$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$
$哔哩哔哩-SW(09626)$
抱歉,原内容已删除
习武之人老马
2022-03-03
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$
取代法币的必要条件是不收法律监管,底层逻辑没了也就失去了投资价值。
习武之人老马
2022-03-02
$英特尔(INTC)$
国情咨文第一个提到的企业
习武之人老马
2022-03-01
$百度(BIDU)$
看不懂了,不过买的put估计要变废纸了,哈哈。
习武之人老马
2022-03-01
$美国铝业(AA)$
RUSAL - OBLIGED TO TEMPORARILY HALT PRODUCTION AT NIKOLAEV ALUMINA REFINERY LOCATED IN NIKOLAEV REGION, UKRAINE.
习武之人老马
2022-03-01
$Zoom(ZM)$
ZM预期已经到顶了,世界不可能更差,都要开放了,没什么值得期待的。
$百度(BIDU)$
BIDU To B的业务比较麻烦,上个季度指引给了个很宽的范围,个人认为四季度业绩包括一季度不会很好,to b的业务得出差,但是这货在北京。
$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$
Bili个人也不看好,没有前年的跨年,去年的S20,说唱新世代等爆款,整体看也没什么增量了。 Sea不了解。
@小虎活动:【瓜分2000虎币】百度、B站、Zoom、Sea财报大竞猜
习武之人老马
2022-02-26
$英特尔(INTC)$
德国新工厂,ARC显卡,开放X86,接代工的活儿,英特尔为了业务增长也是真拼了命了
习武之人老马
2022-02-23
$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$
继续观察
习武之人老马
2022-02-22
$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$
温水煮青蛙
习武之人老马
2022-02-20
$麦克莫兰铜金(FCX)$
$力拓(RIO)$
$巴里克黄金(GOLD)$
大盘大形势短期不太好,能做多标的太少了,先持币观察。
习武之人老马
2022-02-15
到1000粉丝我就回来[害羞] [龇牙] ,最近就偷偷赚了点跑路了。
习武之人老马
2022-02-02
$AMD(AMD)$
[财迷] [财迷] [财迷]
习武之人老马
2021-12-20
大A与美股之间反复横跳,还是A股好玩儿,不会亏光[捂脸]
习武之人老马
2021-12-18
$蔚来(NIO)$
NIOday 2021,ET5盲猜32,又是车主里面猜的最接近的车主[贱笑] [贱笑] [贱笑] [贱笑]
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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今年第一次交易","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46d5308be566378f6139f975b8a41dd4","width":"906","height":"1459"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/354053936120016","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2683,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3567829904126300","authorId":"3567829904126300","name":"西瓜皮叔","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e9962c29a98bfb1c78747b810826a95","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3567829904126300","idStr":"3567829904126300"},"content":"朋友你买了400手,你真牛","text":"朋友你买了400手,你真牛","html":"朋友你买了400手,你真牛"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":254891571282008,"gmtCreate":1703240362627,"gmtModify":1703240658637,"author":{"id":"3544162699661309","authorId":"3544162699661309","name":"习武之人老马","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b66a1ca85806df20ce3e3c83bf0b402","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3544162699661309","idStr":"3544162699661309"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"信心比黄金更重要,关键他妈没信心了。","listText":"信心比黄金更重要,关键他妈没信心了。","text":"信心比黄金更重要,关键他妈没信心了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/254891571282008","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1338,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"232529750880900","authorId":"232529750880900","name":"21克拉粉钻","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aeb8fbbaee3546b4c601204e83215502","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"232529750880900","idStr":"232529750880900"},"content":"市场A股连着港股一直弱、现在是熊市底部、要走好也需要时间去震荡","text":"市场A股连着港股一直弱、现在是熊市底部、要走好也需要时间去震荡","html":"市场A股连着港股一直弱、现在是熊市底部、要走好也需要时间去震荡"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":252685878407472,"gmtCreate":1702699118004,"gmtModify":1702699119943,"author":{"id":"3544162699661309","authorId":"3544162699661309","name":"习武之人老马","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b66a1ca85806df20ce3e3c83bf0b402","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3544162699661309","idStr":"3544162699661309"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"1. 该留不住的还是会留不住。 2. 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CEO还有几个点的股份,如果免职能挽救股价,大家都好。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/252685878407472","repostId":"1104777090","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104777090","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1702697941,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104777090?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-12-16 11:39","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"东方甄选人事任免通知:俞敏洪兼任东方甄选CEO,免去孙东旭CEO职务","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104777090","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"12月16日,东方甄选发布人事任免通知,董事长俞敏洪兼任东方甄选CEO职务,免去孙东旭的东方甄选执行董事、CEO职务,即日生效。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>12月16日,东方甄选发布人事任免通知,董事长俞敏洪兼任东方甄选CEO职务,免去孙东旭的东方甄选执行董事、CEO职务,即日生效。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n东方甄选人事任免通知:俞敏洪兼任东方甄选CEO,免去孙东旭CEO职务\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-12-16 11:39</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>12月16日,东方甄选发布人事任免通知,董事长俞敏洪兼任东方甄选CEO职务,免去孙东旭的东方甄选执行董事、CEO职务,即日生效。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0f28b07915cb89cd2719c98325f09c2\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"1870\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a767114919f3ebbc7483d50e54df18e","relate_stocks":{"EDU":"新东方","09901":"新东方-S","01797":"东方甄选"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1104777090","content_text":"12月16日,东方甄选发布人事任免通知,董事长俞敏洪兼任东方甄选CEO职务,免去孙东旭的东方甄选执行董事、CEO职务,即日生效。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1711,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":686508980,"gmtCreate":1658379993041,"gmtModify":1704869792870,"author":{"id":"3544162699661309","authorId":"3544162699661309","name":"习武之人老马","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b66a1ca85806df20ce3e3c83bf0b402","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3544162699661309","idStr":"3544162699661309"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"作为蔚来车主,我感觉150电池的出生就是个矛盾体。目前看升级150度估计就很难换电了,这块电池就是为了灵活升级短租实现长途驾驶准备的,但长途驾驶,换电比充电又有优势,换电站短期又没有150度电池,在固态电池全面量产并在换电体系铺开之前,更像是为了解决传统新能源车和燃油车主的里程焦虑去准备的,但这块电池又是只租不卖,大部分车主用车场景还是短途,城市用车场景下月这块电池的租金应该在2000以上,又没有燃油车月费用便宜。算来算去还是70°香。 短期看,死循环无解。","listText":"作为蔚来车主,我感觉150电池的出生就是个矛盾体。目前看升级150度估计就很难换电了,这块电池就是为了灵活升级短租实现长途驾驶准备的,但长途驾驶,换电比充电又有优势,换电站短期又没有150度电池,在固态电池全面量产并在换电体系铺开之前,更像是为了解决传统新能源车和燃油车主的里程焦虑去准备的,但这块电池又是只租不卖,大部分车主用车场景还是短途,城市用车场景下月这块电池的租金应该在2000以上,又没有燃油车月费用便宜。算来算去还是70°香。 短期看,死循环无解。","text":"作为蔚来车主,我感觉150电池的出生就是个矛盾体。目前看升级150度估计就很难换电了,这块电池就是为了灵活升级短租实现长途驾驶准备的,但长途驾驶,换电比充电又有优势,换电站短期又没有150度电池,在固态电池全面量产并在换电体系铺开之前,更像是为了解决传统新能源车和燃油车主的里程焦虑去准备的,但这块电池又是只租不卖,大部分车主用车场景还是短途,城市用车场景下月这块电池的租金应该在2000以上,又没有燃油车月费用便宜。算来算去还是70°香。 短期看,死循环无解。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/686508980","repostId":"1107181022","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107181022","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1658378513,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1107181022?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-21 12:41","market":"other","language":"zh","title":"蔚来将于2022年第四季度计划交付150kwh固态电池","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107181022","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"7月21日,蔚来汽车发布消息称,将于2022年第四季度计划交付150kwh固态电池,采用固态电解液、硅碳复合负极材料、超高镍正极材料,能量密度达360Wh/kg。届时在售车型全新ES8续航可达到850","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>7月21日,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车发布消息称,将于2022年第四季度计划交付150kwh固态电池,采用固态电解液、硅碳复合负极材料、超高镍正极材料,能量密度达360Wh/kg。届时在售车型全新ES8续航可达到850km,ES6可达到900km,ET7的NEDC续航可突破1000km,用户可以通过电池灵活升级方案享受该电池。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>蔚来将于2022年第四季度计划交付150kwh固态电池</title>\n<style 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车发布消息称,将于2022年第四季度计划交付150kwh固态电池,采用固态电解液、硅碳复合负极材料、超高镍正极材料,能量密度达360Wh/kg。届时在售车型全新ES8续航可达到850km,ES6可达到900km,ET7的NEDC续航可突破1000km,用户可以通过电池灵活升级方案享受该电池。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/608c0ca7f544a93854339353ff5e9ae1","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107181022","content_text":"7月21日,蔚来汽车发布消息称,将于2022年第四季度计划交付150kwh固态电池,采用固态电解液、硅碳复合负极材料、超高镍正极材料,能量密度达360Wh/kg。届时在售车型全新ES8续航可达到850km,ES6可达到900km,ET7的NEDC续航可突破1000km,用户可以通过电池灵活升级方案享受该电池。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4564,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3503309720913088","authorId":"3503309720913088","name":"Nicks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/272509980f0116528b4ca02a9a931628","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3503309720913088","idStr":"3503309720913088"},"content":"100出来的时候也这样,现在不是满大街?","text":"100出来的时候也这样,现在不是满大街?","html":"100出来的时候也这样,现在不是满大街?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":637961862,"gmtCreate":1647860803864,"gmtModify":1647860803864,"author":{"id":"3544162699661309","authorId":"3544162699661309","name":"习武之人老马","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b66a1ca85806df20ce3e3c83bf0b402","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3544162699661309","idStr":"3544162699661309"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">$波音(BA)$</a>哎,年纪大了就有阴影了。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">$波音(BA)$</a>哎,年纪大了就有阴影了。","text":"$波音(BA)$哎,年纪大了就有阴影了。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0720b3c3221c16d6c6e775d484ab0053","width":"2400","height":"1080"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":15,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/637961862","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4711,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3505260674572464","authorId":"3505260674572464","name":"冯升","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82fd94fc3c9432bf16476cca31aaf610","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3505260674572464","idStr":"3505260674572464"},"content":"师傅你是干什么工作的","text":"师傅你是干什么工作的","html":"师傅你是干什么工作的"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":634412829,"gmtCreate":1647608612139,"gmtModify":1647608612139,"author":{"id":"3544162699661309","authorId":"3544162699661309","name":"习武之人老马","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b66a1ca85806df20ce3e3c83bf0b402","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3544162699661309","idStr":"3544162699661309"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这次投票就你1票反对25支持加50对吧","listText":"这次投票就你1票反对25支持加50对吧","text":"这次投票就你1票反对25支持加50对吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/634412829","repostId":"1108284025","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1108284025","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1647608143,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1108284025?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-18 20:55","market":"other","language":"zh","title":"美联储理事沃勒:数据强烈要求我们加息50个基点","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108284025","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"3月18日,美联储理事沃勒表示:数据强烈要求我们加息50个基点,但地缘政治事件要求我们保持谨慎;应该考虑在接下来的某几次会议上加息50个基点;希望美联储的利率更接近中性;倾向于在下次或下下次会议上开始","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>3月18日,美联储理事沃勒表示:数据强烈要求我们加息50个基点,但地缘政治事件要求我们保持谨慎;应该考虑在接下来的某几次会议上加息50个基点;希望美联储的利率更接近中性;倾向于在下次或下下次会议上开始缩表。</p><p>只要我们明确沟通,市场就会自行调整;市场还没有出现太大的动荡。</p><p>到年底达到中性或略高于中性水平不应成为引发衰退的担忧。</p><p>年底前加息到中性利率上方应该会带来需求方面的压力。</p><p>预计供应链问题将在今年年底或明年初开始解决,这将有助于抑制通胀。</p><p>我确实认为明年我们会看到通货膨胀有所回落。</p><p>我们可以通过紧缩政策给物价实施下行压力。</p><p>如果未来两年的通胀预期变得不稳定,我会更担心美联储的信誉,但事实并非如此。</p><p>我真的支持提前加息,如果我们想通过大幅加息对今年/明年的通胀产生影响,现在就需要采取更多行动。</p><p>个人对中性利率的预测是2%-2.25%。(沃勒预测年底利率将高于中性利率)</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美联储理事沃勒:数据强烈要求我们加息50个基点\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-18 20:55</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>3月18日,美联储理事沃勒表示:数据强烈要求我们加息50个基点,但地缘政治事件要求我们保持谨慎;应该考虑在接下来的某几次会议上加息50个基点;希望美联储的利率更接近中性;倾向于在下次或下下次会议上开始缩表。</p><p>只要我们明确沟通,市场就会自行调整;市场还没有出现太大的动荡。</p><p>到年底达到中性或略高于中性水平不应成为引发衰退的担忧。</p><p>年底前加息到中性利率上方应该会带来需求方面的压力。</p><p>预计供应链问题将在今年年底或明年初开始解决,这将有助于抑制通胀。</p><p>我确实认为明年我们会看到通货膨胀有所回落。</p><p>我们可以通过紧缩政策给物价实施下行压力。</p><p>如果未来两年的通胀预期变得不稳定,我会更担心美联储的信誉,但事实并非如此。</p><p>我真的支持提前加息,如果我们想通过大幅加息对今年/明年的通胀产生影响,现在就需要采取更多行动。</p><p>个人对中性利率的预测是2%-2.25%。(沃勒预测年底利率将高于中性利率)</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f9e9a265cb0e7e8cb195039b2fe24a4","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108284025","content_text":"3月18日,美联储理事沃勒表示:数据强烈要求我们加息50个基点,但地缘政治事件要求我们保持谨慎;应该考虑在接下来的某几次会议上加息50个基点;希望美联储的利率更接近中性;倾向于在下次或下下次会议上开始缩表。只要我们明确沟通,市场就会自行调整;市场还没有出现太大的动荡。到年底达到中性或略高于中性水平不应成为引发衰退的担忧。年底前加息到中性利率上方应该会带来需求方面的压力。预计供应链问题将在今年年底或明年初开始解决,这将有助于抑制通胀。我确实认为明年我们会看到通货膨胀有所回落。我们可以通过紧缩政策给物价实施下行压力。如果未来两年的通胀预期变得不稳定,我会更担心美联储的信誉,但事实并非如此。我真的支持提前加息,如果我们想通过大幅加息对今年/明年的通胀产生影响,现在就需要采取更多行动。个人对中性利率的预测是2%-2.25%。(沃勒预测年底利率将高于中性利率)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1693,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635738064,"gmtCreate":1647244241763,"gmtModify":1647244241763,"author":{"id":"3544162699661309","authorId":"3544162699661309","name":"习武之人老马","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b66a1ca85806df20ce3e3c83bf0b402","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3544162699661309","idStr":"3544162699661309"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"去年就开始不看好b站,再看看吧<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/896675915?lang=zh_CN&invite=2Q1S9I\" target=\"_blank\"></a>已经快半年时间没正经做美股了,但是去年11月到今年3月份确实让我领略到了与A股不一样的市场,在此先把出金记录贴一些出来,跟大佬们还是比不了的。浮盈不算赢我这个人最大的优点是有自知之明,一直奉行的是除非你能赚到信息差的钱,否则就只能赚到趋势的钱。比如去年的大牛市就是捡钱。什么技术不技术的,咱们这些小韭菜都是塔勒布所说的那个随机漫步的傻瓜,赚钱就是运气而已。而且赚了钱就要取出来,落袋为安,浮盈不算盈!塔勒布,随机漫步的傻瓜2020年2月份为了薅老虎的入金羊毛,我开了老虎证券,当时好像入金满3000美金赠两股阿里巴巴的股票(用的董买买的邀请链接)。美股怎么开结果我没看清题干,第一笔没存够,所以羊毛没薅到倒是损失了20美金手续费(还有150元电报费)。本着不占便宜就是亏的原则,我入金了第二笔,老铁6666!薅羊毛自此,我愉快的美股人生就这么开始了!插句题外话,这6000多美金怎么来的呢? 炒了10年A股,2019年,A股收益不错,我是本着肉包子打狗的想法偷偷从我的私房钱取出来一点想来美股试试水,所以胜负心其实并没有太重,5万块钱还是输得起的。A股19年收益看收益就知道了,A股我也基本就是赚点儿取点儿,不然也不至于","text":"我摊牌了[OK] ,我也想涨涨粉[看涨] 。看这位老兄写的文章22万美金复盘,也忍不住手痒也写几句。5个月,我硬生生的做了1000万人民币的交易,佣金够我吃一辈子羊肉串儿了。已经快半年时间没正经做美股了,但是去年11月到今年3月份确实让我领略到了与A股不一样的市场,在此先把出金记录贴一些出来,跟大佬们还是比不了的。浮盈不算赢我这个人最大的优点是有自知之明,一直奉行的是除非你能赚到信息差的钱,否则就只能赚到趋势的钱。比如去年的大牛市就是捡钱。什么技术不技术的,咱们这些小韭菜都是塔勒布所说的那个随机漫步的傻瓜,赚钱就是运气而已。而且赚了钱就要取出来,落袋为安,浮盈不算盈!塔勒布,随机漫步的傻瓜2020年2月份为了薅老虎的入金羊毛,我开了老虎证券,当时好像入金满3000美金赠两股阿里巴巴的股票(用的董买买的邀请链接)。美股怎么开结果我没看清题干,第一笔没存够,所以羊毛没薅到倒是损失了20美金手续费(还有150元电报费)。本着不占便宜就是亏的原则,我入金了第二笔,老铁6666!薅羊毛自此,我愉快的美股人生就这么开始了!插句题外话,这6000多美金怎么来的呢? 炒了10年A股,2019年,A股收益不错,我是本着肉包子打狗的想法偷偷从我的私房钱取出来一点想来美股试试水,所以胜负心其实并没有太重,5万块钱还是输得起的。A股19年收益看收益就知道了,A股我也基本就是赚点儿取点儿,不然也不至于","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fcb2bc211ed2891386a147cdf6904b1b","width":"509","height":"362"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":918,"commentSize":171,"repostSize":114,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/895297610","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":114270,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000217","authorId":"9000000000000217","name":"花儿对我笑0","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/709638153318cdfce2439b29cba43798","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000217","idStr":"9000000000000217"},"content":"看来期权是可以实现财富自由的,我之前买了美国航空的看涨期权因为是新手,结果方向对了仍然亏了不少,去年可以说是散户最容易赚到钱的一年,有机会科普一些期权知识吧,我非常想和你学习。","text":"看来期权是可以实现财富自由的,我之前买了美国航空的看涨期权因为是新手,结果方向对了仍然亏了不少,去年可以说是散户最容易赚到钱的一年,有机会科普一些期权知识吧,我非常想和你学习。","html":"看来期权是可以实现财富自由的,我之前买了美国航空的看涨期权因为是新手,结果方向对了仍然亏了不少,去年可以说是散户最容易赚到钱的一年,有机会科普一些期权知识吧,我非常想和你学习。"}],"imageCount":16,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":394965904,"gmtCreate":1607928586808,"gmtModify":1703850095993,"author":{"id":"3544162699661309","authorId":"3544162699661309","name":"习武之人老马","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b66a1ca85806df20ce3e3c83bf0b402","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3544162699661309","idStr":"3544162699661309"},"themes":[],"title":"良心百度!","htmlText":"如今这个时代,“互卷”已经成为了不争的事实。前几天因为团购买菜挨板子的几位就充分证明了这点。类似买菜和打车这种消费规模一定的市场,我多吃一口你就得少吃一口。中国市场太大,大到不需要向日本韩国一样向外发展。一方面这是好事儿,危机感没有那么重,一方面这是坏事儿,没有动力去冲出中国。把社区团购作为重点拓展业务的企业包括但不限于滴滴、苏宁、拼多多、阿里巴巴、美团、字跳等。但唯独没看到的就是百度,难道百度是真的掉队了吗?大错特错!在我看来,百度这些年做了了不起的事情。如果不是百度all in 人工智能,中国在人工智能赛道不知道要被美国甩下几条大街,后尾灯都不一定能看到。就那猴精的几个所谓商界精英(包括但不限于二马),根本不会把一个看不到短期收效的AI放在眼里。如果不是百度布局自动驾驶,那下一代交通出行中国还是会在落后中求发展,自动驾驶正在以肉眼可及的速度向我们走来,而且是商用化,这一切的前提需要大规模的路测训练,谷歌的waymo领先到现在也还是数量级的,百度请继续加油。上一个互联网时代是以人为主的流量为王时代,我相信在下一个时代以物为主的IoT一定会是最重要的引爆点。中国互联网企业最该布局的是云计算,人工智能,自动驾驶,芯片等新技术,不能总是到卡脖子之后再想着去追赶。关于百度搜索的竞价排名,首先搜索引擎的垄断问题不论是现在还是将来,不论是国内还是国外,都会一直存在下去。竞价的原因是稀缺,你去360投不需要竞价而且还便宜,为什么不去呢?还不是百度效果更好吗,推广的目的不是为了省钱而是赚钱。所以,百度错在没有按广告法管理广告,而不是错在搜索排名。那些站着说话不腰疼的想一棍子打死百度对我们并没有好处,毕竟百度想发展别的事业就需要有赚钱的主业。你不能指望一个要饭的乞丐去拯救世界吧?就吹这些吧。","listText":"如今这个时代,“互卷”已经成为了不争的事实。前几天因为团购买菜挨板子的几位就充分证明了这点。类似买菜和打车这种消费规模一定的市场,我多吃一口你就得少吃一口。中国市场太大,大到不需要向日本韩国一样向外发展。一方面这是好事儿,危机感没有那么重,一方面这是坏事儿,没有动力去冲出中国。把社区团购作为重点拓展业务的企业包括但不限于滴滴、苏宁、拼多多、阿里巴巴、美团、字跳等。但唯独没看到的就是百度,难道百度是真的掉队了吗?大错特错!在我看来,百度这些年做了了不起的事情。如果不是百度all in 人工智能,中国在人工智能赛道不知道要被美国甩下几条大街,后尾灯都不一定能看到。就那猴精的几个所谓商界精英(包括但不限于二马),根本不会把一个看不到短期收效的AI放在眼里。如果不是百度布局自动驾驶,那下一代交通出行中国还是会在落后中求发展,自动驾驶正在以肉眼可及的速度向我们走来,而且是商用化,这一切的前提需要大规模的路测训练,谷歌的waymo领先到现在也还是数量级的,百度请继续加油。上一个互联网时代是以人为主的流量为王时代,我相信在下一个时代以物为主的IoT一定会是最重要的引爆点。中国互联网企业最该布局的是云计算,人工智能,自动驾驶,芯片等新技术,不能总是到卡脖子之后再想着去追赶。关于百度搜索的竞价排名,首先搜索引擎的垄断问题不论是现在还是将来,不论是国内还是国外,都会一直存在下去。竞价的原因是稀缺,你去360投不需要竞价而且还便宜,为什么不去呢?还不是百度效果更好吗,推广的目的不是为了省钱而是赚钱。所以,百度错在没有按广告法管理广告,而不是错在搜索排名。那些站着说话不腰疼的想一棍子打死百度对我们并没有好处,毕竟百度想发展别的事业就需要有赚钱的主业。你不能指望一个要饭的乞丐去拯救世界吧?就吹这些吧。","text":"如今这个时代,“互卷”已经成为了不争的事实。前几天因为团购买菜挨板子的几位就充分证明了这点。类似买菜和打车这种消费规模一定的市场,我多吃一口你就得少吃一口。中国市场太大,大到不需要向日本韩国一样向外发展。一方面这是好事儿,危机感没有那么重,一方面这是坏事儿,没有动力去冲出中国。把社区团购作为重点拓展业务的企业包括但不限于滴滴、苏宁、拼多多、阿里巴巴、美团、字跳等。但唯独没看到的就是百度,难道百度是真的掉队了吗?大错特错!在我看来,百度这些年做了了不起的事情。如果不是百度all in 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车发布消息称,将于2022年第四季度计划交付150kwh固态电池,采用固态电解液、硅碳复合负极材料、超高镍正极材料,能量密度达360Wh/kg。届时在售车型全新ES8续航可达到850km,ES6可达到900km,ET7的NEDC续航可突破1000km,用户可以通过电池灵活升级方案享受该电池。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>蔚来将于2022年第四季度计划交付150kwh固态电池</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n蔚来将于2022年第四季度计划交付150kwh固态电池\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-21 12:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>7月21日,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车发布消息称,将于2022年第四季度计划交付150kwh固态电池,采用固态电解液、硅碳复合负极材料、超高镍正极材料,能量密度达360Wh/kg。届时在售车型全新ES8续航可达到850km,ES6可达到900km,ET7的NEDC续航可突破1000km,用户可以通过电池灵活升级方案享受该电池。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/608c0ca7f544a93854339353ff5e9ae1","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107181022","content_text":"7月21日,蔚来汽车发布消息称,将于2022年第四季度计划交付150kwh固态电池,采用固态电解液、硅碳复合负极材料、超高镍正极材料,能量密度达360Wh/kg。届时在售车型全新ES8续航可达到850km,ES6可达到900km,ET7的NEDC续航可突破1000km,用户可以通过电池灵活升级方案享受该电池。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4564,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3503309720913088","authorId":"3503309720913088","name":"Nicks","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/272509980f0116528b4ca02a9a931628","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3503309720913088","idStr":"3503309720913088"},"content":"100出来的时候也这样,现在不是满大街?","text":"100出来的时候也这样,现在不是满大街?","html":"100出来的时候也这样,现在不是满大街?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864893705,"gmtCreate":1633083575757,"gmtModify":1633083575757,"author":{"id":"3544162699661309","authorId":"3544162699661309","name":"习武之人老马","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b66a1ca85806df20ce3e3c83bf0b402","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3544162699661309","idStr":"3544162699661309"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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