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Ivan_甘灿荣
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老虎认证: 芝商所特约讲师。曾任证券期货、大型国企民企期货部门投资经理。十多年来从事金融投资管理工作
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Ivan_甘灿荣
04-15
伊朗袭击以色列,局势升级后贵金属怎么走?
周末最大的事件莫过于伊朗袭击以色列了。不知道大家有没有发现,今年以来很多事件往往都发生在周末,像是约定好的一样,或许各国经济都不好大家默契地也没有想象中那么疯狂,如果这个袭击发生在周中,恐怕金融市场的波动绝对小不了。而发生在周末就有足够时间让各国去安抚市场情绪,相信周一开盘,金融市场就会理性得多。回看伊朗袭击以色列事件,其实伊朗也是师出有名,毕竟是以色列先空袭了伊朗驻叙利亚的大使馆,然后才引来伊朗的反击,我们都不认同军事报复行为,但伊朗袭击以色列也总体算是预期之内的事件,而且袭击完后,伊朗表示报复已结束,只要以色列不再“还回去”,那基本上这个事件算告一段落,金融市场情绪就缓和很多,该怎么走就还是怎么走,所以大家看看事态发展就好,没必要过分追逐事件。 对贵金属市场的影响周五晚金价的巨震,就是受伊朗袭击事件的影响,先快速上涨而后大幅下跌,跟周末的消息面十分契合,先快速袭击,而后各方表态袭击事件完结。所以下周贵金属市场开盘估计不会十分剧烈,而后就要看以色列方的措辞以及实际行动,若“还回去”,就会“打”得有来有回,贵金属市场想跌都难,如果没有什么实际动作,金价恐怕会迎来短期的快速调整。直播课的时候跟大家强调过一点,像此类逼仓行情,技术上,必须以5日均线作为判断基准,逼仓行情持续则价格不会跌破5日线,如果跌破5日线说明短期快速行情结束,将迎来较大幅度的调整。当前金价已位于5日均线边缘,视乎周一能否守住该5日线,守住了,那后续还能继续上冲,如图1(2022年俄乌冲突),守不住则如图2(金价阶段见顶),无论看涨看跌的朋友都要对当下的大幅波动有心理准备。 对于白银来说,短期方向与黄金一致,金价调整白银也好不到哪里去。而且白银刚好到了30美元/盎司的关键价位而后回撤,非常技术性,若大幅调整下来,不失为一个很好的抄底机会,做多的朋友不妨再等等,反正跌
伊朗袭击以色列,局势升级后贵金属怎么走?
Ivan_甘灿荣
04-12
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第15讲:如何做小麦和玉米的对冲交易
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第15讲:如何做玉米和小麦之间的对冲交易?
$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$
$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$
$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$
$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$
$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$
$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$
$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第15讲:如何做小麦和玉米的对冲交易
Ivan_甘灿荣
04-12
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第14讲:如何做豆油和豆粕之间的比价交易?
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第14讲:豆油,豆粕之间的比价交易如何做?
$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$
$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$
$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$
$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$
$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$
$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$
$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第14讲:如何做豆油和豆粕之间的比价交易?
Ivan_甘灿荣
04-12
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第13讲:如何做多压榨利润
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第13讲:豆油,豆粕,和美大豆之间的对冲策略如何做多压榨利润
$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$
$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$
$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$
$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$
$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$
$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$
$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第13讲:如何做多压榨利润
Ivan_甘灿荣
04-07
非农超预期难阻黄金大逼仓?
每逢月初,市场的焦点总会放在非农数据身上,尤其是最近大家都紧盯着美联储的降息路径,经济数据对市场波动影响就显得十分重要。果不然周五晚的非农数据大超市场预期,美国劳工部公布的数据显示,美国3月非农就业人数增加30.3万人,远高于经济学家们预测的20万人,也高于2月27万人,创下去年5月以来的最大增幅。但更令人意外的是,美股在短暂下行后却“意外”上涨,黄金更是续创历史新高,让很多投资者无所适从,而这种完全无视利空的现象,通常发生在期货中的逼仓行情。 黄金是否逼仓行情?金价当下的走势,如果单纯归纳为市场炒作降息预期是不够合理的,不然这么好的非农数据怎么就不跌呢?事出反常必有妖。按以往规律3-4月份的非农数据通常会导致金价走势有所降速,但周五的走势并非如此,所以市场交易黄金可能是另一个逻辑。是什么逻辑?逼仓逻辑。期货市场上所谓逼仓,就是现货少于期货可交割数量而导致的资金博弈行为,简单点说,就是市场在赌美联储和英国都交不出对应盘面数量的黄金。自俄乌冲突以来,美国冻结俄罗斯资产开始,很多国家(包括部分中东国家)陆陆续续将寄存在美联储的黄金运回本国存放,而这个过程并非公开透明的,随着时间推移,市场认为美国本土可供交割的黄金数量过少,进而形成资金博弈,发生逼仓,典型例子就是LME交易所的“镍”。尽管金价波动仍然不会像镍那么疯狂,但逼仓时的涨幅是不能猜测的,反转也可能突然而至(美联储公布黄金存量?),所以大家有多头的,持有便是,如果没有又想参与行情,请使用期权来限制损失。 技术上如何处理?面对极端行情,通常处理办法有两类,一是设好损失小量跟进,或使用趋势套利组合,如期权牛市价差;二是买入有相关性的但涨幅不及前者的影子品种,获取补涨收益,例如白银。在金价持续上涨下,带动白银行情提前启动,26的白银价格由压力位变成了支撑位,所以若日后银价回调至此可考虑
非农超预期难阻黄金大逼仓?
Ivan_甘灿荣
04-02
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第12讲:美小麦的投资策略详解
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第12讲:美小麦的投资策略详解
$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$
$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$
$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$
$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$
$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$
$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$
$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第12讲:美小麦的投资策略详解
Ivan_甘灿荣
04-02
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第11讲:美玉米的投资策略详解
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第11讲:美玉米的投资策略详解
$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$
$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$
$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$
$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$
$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$
$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$
$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第11讲:美玉米的投资策略详解
Ivan_甘灿荣
04-02
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第10讲:美大豆的投资策略详解
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第9讲:大豆的投资策略详解
$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$
$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$
$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$
$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$
$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$
$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$
$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第10讲:美大豆的投资策略详解
Ivan_甘灿荣
04-01
鲍威尔泼降息冷水,市场买账吗?
周四晚金价续创历史新高,新高表明市场对降息的充分预期。但当市场充分预期时,美联储主席鲍威尔就会出来泼市场冷水,毕竟预期管理是美联储的重要工作之一,所以甭管他怎么说,关键看美联储后续动作怎么做。即便真的延迟降息,那也只是调整重新再炒作一次降息预期而已,市场现在并不认为你真的会有超预期行动,除非本周非农数据能够超预期利好,或许会对资产价格带来一定调整。 一、关注美股指强弱分化自去年底美股一路上涨以来,上周开始首次出现了不同指数间的强弱分化,这点是值得大家注意的。一般来说科技龙头纳指是强于小盘股罗素2000指数的,但上周一改常态纳指非但没创新高,还略微下跌,而中小盘指数罗素2000则创近期新高,意味着现阶段开始,美股市场可能进入补涨行情。补涨行情是指龙头个股不怎么涨(当然也不怎么跌),而中小盘个股轮番强势的时候,而补涨行情的出现往往是阶段行情的尾声(一般情况下会持续2-3周时间),所以如果后续几周出现罗素2000持续强势而纳指高位震荡的情况,市场出现大调整的概率就会增加,需要做好相应准备。 二、油价继续强势原油突破80以后,80就成为了它的阶段性支撑位置,尽管认为当下的油价仍是磨蹭状态,但底部逐步抬升已较明确,下个阶段就是看80-90区间内,油价如何折腾,下周月初的OPEC+会议看看有没有新消息点,如果没有,就只能等到6月份沙特自愿减产到期后的政策而定,如果沙特放弃自愿减产,对油价来说会是一定程度的利空,不过估计概率不会太高,当前油价距离沙特期望的90美元以上仍有些许距离,较难轻易改变其当前态度。而且俄乌冲突仍在持续,乌克兰前阵子用无人机摧毁了俄罗斯的一个炼油厂,该油厂占俄罗斯成品油产能的11%,这也被动迫使俄罗斯减少原油产量(产出来也没法炼油,还不如顺势减产),所以当下原油除非有大量产量增加,不然供应端方面还是利多因素偏多。技术上,20日均线跟踪
鲍威尔泼降息冷水,市场买账吗?
Ivan_甘灿荣
03-29
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第9讲:农产品的报告如何跟踪?
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第8讲:农产品的报告如何查看?
$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$
$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$
$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$
$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$
$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$
$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$
$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第9讲:农产品的报告如何跟踪?
Ivan_甘灿荣
03-29
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第8讲:农产品行情如何择时?
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第8讲:农产品行情如何把握农产品价格波动的规律如何把握?如何择时?
$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$
$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$
$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$
$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$
$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$
$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$
$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第8讲:农产品行情如何择时?
Ivan_甘灿荣
03-29
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第7讲:农产品价格波动核心影响因素有哪些?
2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第7讲:农产品价格的影响核心三个要素都有哪些?
$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$
$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$
$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$
$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$
$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$
$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$
$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第7讲:农产品价格波动核心影响因素有哪些?
Ivan_甘灿荣
03-25
联储鸽派依旧,但行情开始分化
上周美联储议息会议结果无悬念,会后鲍威尔的讲话也是鸽派作风,目前市场预期美联储本年度降息三次,同时减少QT节奏。先勿论美联储是否会如市场预期的降息,最少当前的鸽派预期已经有较为充分的定价,因此后续行情对降息消息的敏感度会相对下降。资本市场的整体性将比此前有所减弱。 当降息预期变得越来越近的时候,市场对该消息的反应就会越平淡,甚至反向波动(利好出尽是利空),所以金融市场将进入分化阶段,个别事件和消息强的品种,继续趋势走势,没有新增消息及预期的品种则波动相对平缓。一、贵金属到了减速的时候周四直播课跟大家聊过,金价今年来10-3月份是其高波动的上涨时节,过了这个时间段,近三年走势都是偏弱势的,有利空消息(如22年美联储大幅加息)则跌幅较大,没有大利空消息则震荡盘整。过完本周3月就会过去,上周金价冲高回落就预示了后续行情将会降速,甚至会有一定调整。技术上,金价上周的长上影要注意,若本周不能上冲上周高点,则只能下破20日均线,形成阶段性高点,或许走势与去年3月后的走势极其雷同,短线注意2150附近的支撑位置。而白银则更为技术性,当前银价刚好碰到长期趋势线后出现的调整,若后续突破则此处调整可能需要2-3个月,虽然白银波动略大,但投机性比黄金更好,大家关注。 二、原油底部震荡特征依旧上半年原油仍是底部震荡,在今年1月份的前瞻帖子里已经充分预期,当下一季度的走势也符合预期,70-90区间上半年估计不会轻易突破的,目前基本面没有太多需要修正的地方。至于周末俄罗斯遭遇恐袭的消息,确实有点突发,或许对黄金有一定提振作用,但对原油格局并不会改变太多,毕竟俄罗斯目前与乌克兰正在冲突,除非该事件牵涉到第三方,即矛盾扩大化,若非如此,原油市场并不会对其过分定价,该怎么走还是怎么走,所以多头们也别太激动,拿着便是。跟踪技术仍以20周均线作为参考,也即75美元附近,观察该价位
联储鸽派依旧,但行情开始分化
Ivan_甘灿荣
03-20
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第6讲:农产品的影响因素都那些?
2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第6讲:带你了解不同品种的农产品期货价格走势的影响因素
$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$
$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$
$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$
$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$
$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$
$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$
$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第6讲:农产品的影响因素都那些?
Ivan_甘灿荣
03-20
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第五讲:农产品趋势规律如何把握
2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第五讲:带你了解不同品种的农产品期货的特点和走势规律
$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$
$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$
$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$
$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$
$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$
$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$
$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第五讲:农产品趋势规律如何把握
Ivan_甘灿荣
03-20
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第四讲:农产品期货如何选择
2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第三讲:带你了解不同品种的农产品期货的特点和交易要素,新入门的朋友该如何选择农产品期货来上车这轮预期中的上涨行情?
$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$
$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$
$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$
$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$
$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$
$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$
$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第四讲:农产品期货如何选择
Ivan_甘灿荣
03-18
当心降息预期的反转,计价过足的品种动荡再起
随着美国各项经济数据出台,以及美联储主席及各大官员讲话后,市场对美联储6月降息的预期已经非常极致,当利好习以为常的时候,那么微小的利空也会显得格外刺眼,而当下市场正是如此。3-5月是市场对美联储降息路径的再一次定价,降息速度不如预期,市场也将陷入震荡,对各种商品的影响也不尽相同。 状况一、降息预期足的品种,价格开始动荡价格波动与降息预期息息相关的品种,就是此前对降息预期充分定价的品种足,如美股指、黄金、美债及BTC。由于这几类品种对利率比较敏感,因此它们是先于大宗商品上涨的,而当降息预期下降时,价格也就没有之前那种快速。最近美债的走势震荡下跌,说明市场开始逐步降低降息次数的预期,3月份是美债近年来的一个价格高点,通常回调至5-6月份或10月份(这两个时点是投机者炒美联储政策的关键时点),因此美债价格近期表现会比较乏力(即美债收益率回升)。而黄金创历史新高后,短期趋势仍未破坏,值得注意的是,22年、23年的黄金高点都出现在3月份左右的时间点,所以即使金价不下跌,上涨速度也会有所减速,注意短线节奏。而币就不多说了,剧烈版的黄金,趋向雷同,但波动巨大。而美股指预期短线调整会有,大顶或大跌估计会磨蹭到5月份才出现,边走边看跟随即可。 状况二、通胀预期再起,商品轮番启动另一边厢,大宗商品迎来了久违的集体躁动,尽管幅度不大,但动作有点一致。原油、铜、棕榈油等通胀品种同步上涨,说明资金开始炒作通胀再临的预期,通胀属性强的品种在未来行情中又可以大显身手了。原油就不多说了,仍是长期看涨,目前该折腾还是折腾,速度不会太快,就是个长期底部盘升的过程,目前来说虽然价格墨迹一点,但是胜在有足够时间去介入,当油价飙升时,您会发现当下的价格实在是相对便宜。而农产品虽然也属于通胀商品,但并非每个农产品的价格波动都容易交易,相对来说大豆、豆油等商品更贴近通胀属性,
当心降息预期的反转,计价过足的品种动荡再起
Ivan_甘灿荣
03-13
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第三讲:农产品交易须知
2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第二讲:带你了解农产品期货的交易特点,用期货把握农产品行情需要注意哪些关键点?
$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$
$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$
$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$
$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$
$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$
$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$
$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第三讲:农产品交易须知
Ivan_甘灿荣
03-13
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第二讲:农产品的要素
2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第二讲:带你认识农产品期货合约的关键要素,哪些合约会是把握这轮行情的主力合约?
$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$
$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$
$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$
$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$
$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$
$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$
$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$
2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第二讲:农产品的要素
Ivan_甘灿荣
03-13
2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第一讲:
2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第一讲:带你走进农产品期货的世界,为什么我们要着重关注2024年的农产品行情?有问题可以提问到视频帖子下面。
$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$
$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$
$道琼斯指数主连 2406(YMmain)$
$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$
$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$
2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第一讲:
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对贵金属市场的影响周五晚金价的巨震,就是受伊朗袭击事件的影响,先快速上涨而后大幅下跌,跟周末的消息面十分契合,先快速袭击,而后各方表态袭击事件完结。所以下周贵金属市场开盘估计不会十分剧烈,而后就要看以色列方的措辞以及实际行动,若“还回去”,就会“打”得有来有回,贵金属市场想跌都难,如果没有什么实际动作,金价恐怕会迎来短期的快速调整。直播课的时候跟大家强调过一点,像此类逼仓行情,技术上,必须以5日均线作为判断基准,逼仓行情持续则价格不会跌破5日线,如果跌破5日线说明短期快速行情结束,将迎来较大幅度的调整。当前金价已位于5日均线边缘,视乎周一能否守住该5日线,守住了,那后续还能继续上冲,如图1(2022年俄乌冲突),守不住则如图2(金价阶段见顶),无论看涨看跌的朋友都要对当下的大幅波动有心理准备。 对于白银来说,短期方向与黄金一致,金价调整白银也好不到哪里去。而且白银刚好到了30美元/盎司的关键价位而后回撤,非常技术性,若大幅调整下来,不失为一个很好的抄底机会,做多的朋友不妨再等等,反正跌","listText":"周末最大的事件莫过于伊朗袭击以色列了。不知道大家有没有发现,今年以来很多事件往往都发生在周末,像是约定好的一样,或许各国经济都不好大家默契地也没有想象中那么疯狂,如果这个袭击发生在周中,恐怕金融市场的波动绝对小不了。而发生在周末就有足够时间让各国去安抚市场情绪,相信周一开盘,金融市场就会理性得多。回看伊朗袭击以色列事件,其实伊朗也是师出有名,毕竟是以色列先空袭了伊朗驻叙利亚的大使馆,然后才引来伊朗的反击,我们都不认同军事报复行为,但伊朗袭击以色列也总体算是预期之内的事件,而且袭击完后,伊朗表示报复已结束,只要以色列不再“还回去”,那基本上这个事件算告一段落,金融市场情绪就缓和很多,该怎么走就还是怎么走,所以大家看看事态发展就好,没必要过分追逐事件。 对贵金属市场的影响周五晚金价的巨震,就是受伊朗袭击事件的影响,先快速上涨而后大幅下跌,跟周末的消息面十分契合,先快速袭击,而后各方表态袭击事件完结。所以下周贵金属市场开盘估计不会十分剧烈,而后就要看以色列方的措辞以及实际行动,若“还回去”,就会“打”得有来有回,贵金属市场想跌都难,如果没有什么实际动作,金价恐怕会迎来短期的快速调整。直播课的时候跟大家强调过一点,像此类逼仓行情,技术上,必须以5日均线作为判断基准,逼仓行情持续则价格不会跌破5日线,如果跌破5日线说明短期快速行情结束,将迎来较大幅度的调整。当前金价已位于5日均线边缘,视乎周一能否守住该5日线,守住了,那后续还能继续上冲,如图1(2022年俄乌冲突),守不住则如图2(金价阶段见顶),无论看涨看跌的朋友都要对当下的大幅波动有心理准备。 对于白银来说,短期方向与黄金一致,金价调整白银也好不到哪里去。而且白银刚好到了30美元/盎司的关键价位而后回撤,非常技术性,若大幅调整下来,不失为一个很好的抄底机会,做多的朋友不妨再等等,反正跌","text":"周末最大的事件莫过于伊朗袭击以色列了。不知道大家有没有发现,今年以来很多事件往往都发生在周末,像是约定好的一样,或许各国经济都不好大家默契地也没有想象中那么疯狂,如果这个袭击发生在周中,恐怕金融市场的波动绝对小不了。而发生在周末就有足够时间让各国去安抚市场情绪,相信周一开盘,金融市场就会理性得多。回看伊朗袭击以色列事件,其实伊朗也是师出有名,毕竟是以色列先空袭了伊朗驻叙利亚的大使馆,然后才引来伊朗的反击,我们都不认同军事报复行为,但伊朗袭击以色列也总体算是预期之内的事件,而且袭击完后,伊朗表示报复已结束,只要以色列不再“还回去”,那基本上这个事件算告一段落,金融市场情绪就缓和很多,该怎么走就还是怎么走,所以大家看看事态发展就好,没必要过分追逐事件。 对贵金属市场的影响周五晚金价的巨震,就是受伊朗袭击事件的影响,先快速上涨而后大幅下跌,跟周末的消息面十分契合,先快速袭击,而后各方表态袭击事件完结。所以下周贵金属市场开盘估计不会十分剧烈,而后就要看以色列方的措辞以及实际行动,若“还回去”,就会“打”得有来有回,贵金属市场想跌都难,如果没有什么实际动作,金价恐怕会迎来短期的快速调整。直播课的时候跟大家强调过一点,像此类逼仓行情,技术上,必须以5日均线作为判断基准,逼仓行情持续则价格不会跌破5日线,如果跌破5日线说明短期快速行情结束,将迎来较大幅度的调整。当前金价已位于5日均线边缘,视乎周一能否守住该5日线,守住了,那后续还能继续上冲,如图1(2022年俄乌冲突),守不住则如图2(金价阶段见顶),无论看涨看跌的朋友都要对当下的大幅波动有心理准备。 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a>","text":"2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第15讲:如何做玉米和小麦之间的对冲交易?$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$ $大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$ $小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$ $豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$ $黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$ $SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$ $NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/294453091237904","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"a98bb52b66894c4ea6b677f506ac56b4","tweetId":"294453091237904","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/e2ad4227vodcq1254107296/cb1b22811397757888967750056/FvysQhTRbPAA.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e77e555066b24ff782f345fe4fe9c248"},"viewCount":9207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274694556928","authorId":"3479274694556928","name":"栋哥","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/picture20","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"看完之后突然间就对农产品提起了兴趣","text":"看完之后突然间就对农产品提起了兴趣","html":"看完之后突然间就对农产品提起了兴趣"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":294445881917456,"gmtCreate":1712912039126,"gmtModify":1712912048569,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第14讲:如何做豆油和豆粕之间的比价交易?","htmlText":"\n \n \n 2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第14讲:豆油,豆粕之间的比价交易如何做?<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZCmain\">$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZSmain\">$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZWmain\">$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZMmain\">$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a>\n \n","listText":"2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第14讲:豆油,豆粕之间的比价交易如何做?<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZCmain\">$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZSmain\">$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZWmain\">$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZMmain\">$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a>","text":"2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第14讲:豆油,豆粕之间的比价交易如何做?$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$ $大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$ $小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$ $豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$ $黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$ $SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$ $NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/294445881917456","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"f45fa4441036499ebabe756703e57e34","tweetId":"294445881917456","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/e2ad4227vodcq1254107296/7ded80cb1397757888966725983/TraO081kA6YA.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4daf35125a2882337b6defb5cd7d006e"},"viewCount":8505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274732372511","authorId":"3479274732372511","name":"黄老怪","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7175a7537ba1ab4df466537d599271b4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"你可以通过比较豆油和豆粕的价格走势来确定交易策略。","text":"你可以通过比较豆油和豆粕的价格走势来确定交易策略。","html":"你可以通过比较豆油和豆粕的价格走势来确定交易策略。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":294467436986456,"gmtCreate":1712910234433,"gmtModify":1712910251868,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第13讲:如何做多压榨利润","htmlText":"\n \n \n 2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第13讲:豆油,豆粕,和美大豆之间的对冲策略如何做多压榨利润<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZCmain\">$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZSmain\">$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZWmain\">$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZMmain\">$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a>\n \n","listText":"2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第13讲:豆油,豆粕,和美大豆之间的对冲策略如何做多压榨利润<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZCmain\">$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZSmain\">$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZWmain\">$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZMmain\">$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a>","text":"2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第13讲:豆油,豆粕,和美大豆之间的对冲策略如何做多压榨利润$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$ $大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$ $小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$ $豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$ $黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$ $SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$ $NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/294467436986456","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"219593e192eb49eab9679bbc22bcfd57","tweetId":"294467436986456","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/e2ad4227vodcq1254107296/74e1af091397757888966366296/rS1XyaIIwYsA.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff28376034a6cc4415543178a51eb66d"},"viewCount":7839,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000296","authorId":"9000000000000296","name":"互联网第N代","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ea9864649ba1d63aa64beeb3e478748","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"国内的大豆是不是都是转基因?","text":"国内的大豆是不是都是转基因?","html":"国内的大豆是不是都是转基因?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":292697352392768,"gmtCreate":1712482667129,"gmtModify":1712484289666,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"非农超预期难阻黄金大逼仓?","htmlText":"每逢月初,市场的焦点总会放在非农数据身上,尤其是最近大家都紧盯着美联储的降息路径,经济数据对市场波动影响就显得十分重要。果不然周五晚的非农数据大超市场预期,美国劳工部公布的数据显示,美国3月非农就业人数增加30.3万人,远高于经济学家们预测的20万人,也高于2月27万人,创下去年5月以来的最大增幅。但更令人意外的是,美股在短暂下行后却“意外”上涨,黄金更是续创历史新高,让很多投资者无所适从,而这种完全无视利空的现象,通常发生在期货中的逼仓行情。 黄金是否逼仓行情?金价当下的走势,如果单纯归纳为市场炒作降息预期是不够合理的,不然这么好的非农数据怎么就不跌呢?事出反常必有妖。按以往规律3-4月份的非农数据通常会导致金价走势有所降速,但周五的走势并非如此,所以市场交易黄金可能是另一个逻辑。是什么逻辑?逼仓逻辑。期货市场上所谓逼仓,就是现货少于期货可交割数量而导致的资金博弈行为,简单点说,就是市场在赌美联储和英国都交不出对应盘面数量的黄金。自俄乌冲突以来,美国冻结俄罗斯资产开始,很多国家(包括部分中东国家)陆陆续续将寄存在美联储的黄金运回本国存放,而这个过程并非公开透明的,随着时间推移,市场认为美国本土可供交割的黄金数量过少,进而形成资金博弈,发生逼仓,典型例子就是LME交易所的“镍”。尽管金价波动仍然不会像镍那么疯狂,但逼仓时的涨幅是不能猜测的,反转也可能突然而至(美联储公布黄金存量?),所以大家有多头的,持有便是,如果没有又想参与行情,请使用期权来限制损失。 技术上如何处理?面对极端行情,通常处理办法有两类,一是设好损失小量跟进,或使用趋势套利组合,如期权牛市价差;二是买入有相关性的但涨幅不及前者的影子品种,获取补涨收益,例如白银。在金价持续上涨下,带动白银行情提前启动,26的白银价格由压力位变成了支撑位,所以若日后银价回调至此可考虑","listText":"每逢月初,市场的焦点总会放在非农数据身上,尤其是最近大家都紧盯着美联储的降息路径,经济数据对市场波动影响就显得十分重要。果不然周五晚的非农数据大超市场预期,美国劳工部公布的数据显示,美国3月非农就业人数增加30.3万人,远高于经济学家们预测的20万人,也高于2月27万人,创下去年5月以来的最大增幅。但更令人意外的是,美股在短暂下行后却“意外”上涨,黄金更是续创历史新高,让很多投资者无所适从,而这种完全无视利空的现象,通常发生在期货中的逼仓行情。 黄金是否逼仓行情?金价当下的走势,如果单纯归纳为市场炒作降息预期是不够合理的,不然这么好的非农数据怎么就不跌呢?事出反常必有妖。按以往规律3-4月份的非农数据通常会导致金价走势有所降速,但周五的走势并非如此,所以市场交易黄金可能是另一个逻辑。是什么逻辑?逼仓逻辑。期货市场上所谓逼仓,就是现货少于期货可交割数量而导致的资金博弈行为,简单点说,就是市场在赌美联储和英国都交不出对应盘面数量的黄金。自俄乌冲突以来,美国冻结俄罗斯资产开始,很多国家(包括部分中东国家)陆陆续续将寄存在美联储的黄金运回本国存放,而这个过程并非公开透明的,随着时间推移,市场认为美国本土可供交割的黄金数量过少,进而形成资金博弈,发生逼仓,典型例子就是LME交易所的“镍”。尽管金价波动仍然不会像镍那么疯狂,但逼仓时的涨幅是不能猜测的,反转也可能突然而至(美联储公布黄金存量?),所以大家有多头的,持有便是,如果没有又想参与行情,请使用期权来限制损失。 技术上如何处理?面对极端行情,通常处理办法有两类,一是设好损失小量跟进,或使用趋势套利组合,如期权牛市价差;二是买入有相关性的但涨幅不及前者的影子品种,获取补涨收益,例如白银。在金价持续上涨下,带动白银行情提前启动,26的白银价格由压力位变成了支撑位,所以若日后银价回调至此可考虑","text":"每逢月初,市场的焦点总会放在非农数据身上,尤其是最近大家都紧盯着美联储的降息路径,经济数据对市场波动影响就显得十分重要。果不然周五晚的非农数据大超市场预期,美国劳工部公布的数据显示,美国3月非农就业人数增加30.3万人,远高于经济学家们预测的20万人,也高于2月27万人,创下去年5月以来的最大增幅。但更令人意外的是,美股在短暂下行后却“意外”上涨,黄金更是续创历史新高,让很多投资者无所适从,而这种完全无视利空的现象,通常发生在期货中的逼仓行情。 黄金是否逼仓行情?金价当下的走势,如果单纯归纳为市场炒作降息预期是不够合理的,不然这么好的非农数据怎么就不跌呢?事出反常必有妖。按以往规律3-4月份的非农数据通常会导致金价走势有所降速,但周五的走势并非如此,所以市场交易黄金可能是另一个逻辑。是什么逻辑?逼仓逻辑。期货市场上所谓逼仓,就是现货少于期货可交割数量而导致的资金博弈行为,简单点说,就是市场在赌美联储和英国都交不出对应盘面数量的黄金。自俄乌冲突以来,美国冻结俄罗斯资产开始,很多国家(包括部分中东国家)陆陆续续将寄存在美联储的黄金运回本国存放,而这个过程并非公开透明的,随着时间推移,市场认为美国本土可供交割的黄金数量过少,进而形成资金博弈,发生逼仓,典型例子就是LME交易所的“镍”。尽管金价波动仍然不会像镍那么疯狂,但逼仓时的涨幅是不能猜测的,反转也可能突然而至(美联储公布黄金存量?),所以大家有多头的,持有便是,如果没有又想参与行情,请使用期权来限制损失。 技术上如何处理?面对极端行情,通常处理办法有两类,一是设好损失小量跟进,或使用趋势套利组合,如期权牛市价差;二是买入有相关性的但涨幅不及前者的影子品种,获取补涨收益,例如白银。在金价持续上涨下,带动白银行情提前启动,26的白银价格由压力位变成了支撑位,所以若日后银价回调至此可考虑","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16a714b923a457ec25f2b295d304b516","width":"1018","height":"597"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e62330ef2c70b4ceeffdbe3223ecce","width":"752","height":"530"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/705dcba063c3cb985079076d9f7f8466","width":"989","height":"441"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":19,"commentSize":10,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/292697352392768","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":16946,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4131409357956500","authorId":"4131409357956500","name":"ruan_7128","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ad7f9c1716c3dead55c9cc240346dcb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"content":"甘老师,问下:黄金白银每天都在大幅上涨,不需要休息调整一下吗?上涨还会有多大空间?是否存在诱多转手空杀下来?","text":"甘老师,问下:黄金白银每天都在大幅上涨,不需要休息调整一下吗?上涨还会有多大空间?是否存在诱多转手空杀下来?","html":"甘老师,问下:黄金白银每天都在大幅上涨,不需要休息调整一下吗?上涨还会有多大空间?是否存在诱多转手空杀下来?"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":290933713322000,"gmtCreate":1712050840840,"gmtModify":1712050852524,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第12讲:美小麦的投资策略详解","htmlText":"\n \n \n 2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第12讲:美小麦的投资策略详解<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZCmain\">$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZSmain\">$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZWmain\">$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZMmain\">$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a>\n \n","listText":"2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第12讲:美小麦的投资策略详解<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZCmain\">$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZSmain\">$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZWmain\">$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZMmain\">$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a>","text":"2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第12讲:美小麦的投资策略详解$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$ $大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$ $小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$ $豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$ $黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$ $SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$ $NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/290933713322000","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"ab1876d75c1e42b6a4566b355cdfafaf","tweetId":"290933713322000","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/e2ad4227vodcq1254107296/b4874e681397757888325002701/WeQ4kt4XNAYA.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ea134378cfb5a3d52fee21ee21b24f0"},"viewCount":6331,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000210","authorId":"9000000000000210","name":"XD绿意盎然","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f20dbb02d38eebfd4b768781cc568594","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"真是太赞了!你的内容非常干货,让我受益匪浅。 🙏","text":"真是太赞了!你的内容非常干货,让我受益匪浅。 🙏","html":"真是太赞了!你的内容非常干货,让我受益匪浅。 🙏"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":290926233288720,"gmtCreate":1712049014660,"gmtModify":1712049023644,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第11讲:美玉米的投资策略详解","htmlText":"\n \n \n 2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第11讲:美玉米的投资策略详解<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZCmain\">$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZSmain\">$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZWmain\">$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZMmain\">$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a>\n \n","listText":"2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第11讲:美玉米的投资策略详解<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZCmain\">$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZSmain\">$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZWmain\">$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZMmain\">$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a>","text":"2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第11讲:美玉米的投资策略详解$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$ $大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$ $小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$ $豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$ $黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$ $SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$ $NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/290926233288720","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"55f557116fc74cfeac27340935355620","tweetId":"290926233288720","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/e2ad4227vodcq1254107296/6a5fbc4a1397757888324170320/MHs1EGLmcLQA.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e00f7cdd1c177ce05516d79f43cbbe94"},"viewCount":5546,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000501","authorId":"9000000000000501","name":"仙气护体","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"同时也不要忽视大宗商品和指数的影响,谨慎应对整体市场波动。","text":"同时也不要忽视大宗商品和指数的影响,谨慎应对整体市场波动。","html":"同时也不要忽视大宗商品和指数的影响,谨慎应对整体市场波动。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":290918027214864,"gmtCreate":1712047011224,"gmtModify":1712047032257,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第10讲:美大豆的投资策略详解","htmlText":"\n \n \n 2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第9讲:大豆的投资策略详解<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZCmain\">$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZSmain\">$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZWmain\">$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZMmain\">$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a>\n \n","listText":"2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第9讲:大豆的投资策略详解<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZCmain\">$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZSmain\">$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZWmain\">$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZMmain\">$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a>","text":"2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第9讲:大豆的投资策略详解$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$ $大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$ $小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$ $豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$ $黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$ $SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$ $NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/290918027214864","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"f692b50483af4b7b9f0cccb6f69cc1f8","tweetId":"290918027214864","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/e2ad4227vodcq1254107296/e2ced7791397757888322935067/TjgkgP5xS4gA.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3061cec2cff2f0667db79444714ee06d"},"viewCount":6065,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3534013155425778","authorId":"3534013155425778","name":"交易学习ING","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"请告知以交易几月份合约比较合适?谢谢","text":"请告知以交易几月份合约比较合适?谢谢","html":"请告知以交易几月份合约比较合适?谢谢"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":290520907001872,"gmtCreate":1711950058047,"gmtModify":1712105402047,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"鲍威尔泼降息冷水,市场买账吗?","htmlText":"周四晚金价续创历史新高,新高表明市场对降息的充分预期。但当市场充分预期时,美联储主席鲍威尔就会出来泼市场冷水,毕竟预期管理是美联储的重要工作之一,所以甭管他怎么说,关键看美联储后续动作怎么做。即便真的延迟降息,那也只是调整重新再炒作一次降息预期而已,市场现在并不认为你真的会有超预期行动,除非本周非农数据能够超预期利好,或许会对资产价格带来一定调整。 一、关注美股指强弱分化自去年底美股一路上涨以来,上周开始首次出现了不同指数间的强弱分化,这点是值得大家注意的。一般来说科技龙头纳指是强于小盘股罗素2000指数的,但上周一改常态纳指非但没创新高,还略微下跌,而中小盘指数罗素2000则创近期新高,意味着现阶段开始,美股市场可能进入补涨行情。补涨行情是指龙头个股不怎么涨(当然也不怎么跌),而中小盘个股轮番强势的时候,而补涨行情的出现往往是阶段行情的尾声(一般情况下会持续2-3周时间),所以如果后续几周出现罗素2000持续强势而纳指高位震荡的情况,市场出现大调整的概率就会增加,需要做好相应准备。 二、油价继续强势原油突破80以后,80就成为了它的阶段性支撑位置,尽管认为当下的油价仍是磨蹭状态,但底部逐步抬升已较明确,下个阶段就是看80-90区间内,油价如何折腾,下周月初的OPEC+会议看看有没有新消息点,如果没有,就只能等到6月份沙特自愿减产到期后的政策而定,如果沙特放弃自愿减产,对油价来说会是一定程度的利空,不过估计概率不会太高,当前油价距离沙特期望的90美元以上仍有些许距离,较难轻易改变其当前态度。而且俄乌冲突仍在持续,乌克兰前阵子用无人机摧毁了俄罗斯的一个炼油厂,该油厂占俄罗斯成品油产能的11%,这也被动迫使俄罗斯减少原油产量(产出来也没法炼油,还不如顺势减产),所以当下原油除非有大量产量增加,不然供应端方面还是利多因素偏多。技术上,20日均线跟踪","listText":"周四晚金价续创历史新高,新高表明市场对降息的充分预期。但当市场充分预期时,美联储主席鲍威尔就会出来泼市场冷水,毕竟预期管理是美联储的重要工作之一,所以甭管他怎么说,关键看美联储后续动作怎么做。即便真的延迟降息,那也只是调整重新再炒作一次降息预期而已,市场现在并不认为你真的会有超预期行动,除非本周非农数据能够超预期利好,或许会对资产价格带来一定调整。 一、关注美股指强弱分化自去年底美股一路上涨以来,上周开始首次出现了不同指数间的强弱分化,这点是值得大家注意的。一般来说科技龙头纳指是强于小盘股罗素2000指数的,但上周一改常态纳指非但没创新高,还略微下跌,而中小盘指数罗素2000则创近期新高,意味着现阶段开始,美股市场可能进入补涨行情。补涨行情是指龙头个股不怎么涨(当然也不怎么跌),而中小盘个股轮番强势的时候,而补涨行情的出现往往是阶段行情的尾声(一般情况下会持续2-3周时间),所以如果后续几周出现罗素2000持续强势而纳指高位震荡的情况,市场出现大调整的概率就会增加,需要做好相应准备。 二、油价继续强势原油突破80以后,80就成为了它的阶段性支撑位置,尽管认为当下的油价仍是磨蹭状态,但底部逐步抬升已较明确,下个阶段就是看80-90区间内,油价如何折腾,下周月初的OPEC+会议看看有没有新消息点,如果没有,就只能等到6月份沙特自愿减产到期后的政策而定,如果沙特放弃自愿减产,对油价来说会是一定程度的利空,不过估计概率不会太高,当前油价距离沙特期望的90美元以上仍有些许距离,较难轻易改变其当前态度。而且俄乌冲突仍在持续,乌克兰前阵子用无人机摧毁了俄罗斯的一个炼油厂,该油厂占俄罗斯成品油产能的11%,这也被动迫使俄罗斯减少原油产量(产出来也没法炼油,还不如顺势减产),所以当下原油除非有大量产量增加,不然供应端方面还是利多因素偏多。技术上,20日均线跟踪","text":"周四晚金价续创历史新高,新高表明市场对降息的充分预期。但当市场充分预期时,美联储主席鲍威尔就会出来泼市场冷水,毕竟预期管理是美联储的重要工作之一,所以甭管他怎么说,关键看美联储后续动作怎么做。即便真的延迟降息,那也只是调整重新再炒作一次降息预期而已,市场现在并不认为你真的会有超预期行动,除非本周非农数据能够超预期利好,或许会对资产价格带来一定调整。 一、关注美股指强弱分化自去年底美股一路上涨以来,上周开始首次出现了不同指数间的强弱分化,这点是值得大家注意的。一般来说科技龙头纳指是强于小盘股罗素2000指数的,但上周一改常态纳指非但没创新高,还略微下跌,而中小盘指数罗素2000则创近期新高,意味着现阶段开始,美股市场可能进入补涨行情。补涨行情是指龙头个股不怎么涨(当然也不怎么跌),而中小盘个股轮番强势的时候,而补涨行情的出现往往是阶段行情的尾声(一般情况下会持续2-3周时间),所以如果后续几周出现罗素2000持续强势而纳指高位震荡的情况,市场出现大调整的概率就会增加,需要做好相应准备。 二、油价继续强势原油突破80以后,80就成为了它的阶段性支撑位置,尽管认为当下的油价仍是磨蹭状态,但底部逐步抬升已较明确,下个阶段就是看80-90区间内,油价如何折腾,下周月初的OPEC+会议看看有没有新消息点,如果没有,就只能等到6月份沙特自愿减产到期后的政策而定,如果沙特放弃自愿减产,对油价来说会是一定程度的利空,不过估计概率不会太高,当前油价距离沙特期望的90美元以上仍有些许距离,较难轻易改变其当前态度。而且俄乌冲突仍在持续,乌克兰前阵子用无人机摧毁了俄罗斯的一个炼油厂,该油厂占俄罗斯成品油产能的11%,这也被动迫使俄罗斯减少原油产量(产出来也没法炼油,还不如顺势减产),所以当下原油除非有大量产量增加,不然供应端方面还是利多因素偏多。技术上,20日均线跟踪","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a547442f3e607787f23f113a8b32e377","width":"1002","height":"667"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05a5ed2428b684c15586e48d96a295e1","width":"1357","height":"1529"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e61db4e9e42f0ddbc72350b863d20b16","width":"988","height":"668"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":10,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/290520907001872","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":15249,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4131409357956500","authorId":"4131409357956500","name":"ruan_7128","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ad7f9c1716c3dead55c9cc240346dcb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"content":"甘老师,近期美元指数强劲上冲今晚更是到达105处,而贵金属今早也强劲攀升,而且还无视利空,鲍威尔放鹰了,贵金属视而不见,问一下贵金属还能继续上冲吗?","text":"甘老师,近期美元指数强劲上冲今晚更是到达105处,而贵金属今早也强劲攀升,而且还无视利空,鲍威尔放鹰了,贵金属视而不见,问一下贵金属还能继续上冲吗?","html":"甘老师,近期美元指数强劲上冲今晚更是到达105处,而贵金属今早也强劲攀升,而且还无视利空,鲍威尔放鹰了,贵金属视而不见,问一下贵金属还能继续上冲吗?"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":289512911171600,"gmtCreate":1711703965315,"gmtModify":1712040844796,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第9讲:农产品的报告如何跟踪?","htmlText":"\n \n \n 2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第8讲:农产品的报告如何查看?<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZCmain\">$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZSmain\">$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZWmain\">$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZMmain\">$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a>\n \n","listText":"2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第8讲:农产品的报告如何查看?<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZCmain\">$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZSmain\">$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZWmain\">$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZMmain\">$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a>","text":"2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第8讲:农产品的报告如何查看?$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$ $大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$ $小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$ $豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$ $黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$ $SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$ $NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/289512911171600","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"740b72d4d1c548d4a60788d30a82df73","tweetId":"289512911171600","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/e2ad4227vodcq1254107296/1ee224501397757887999469357/OrJAj3aZuAwA.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c669b37b0703cf0b4a301bb122f52be"},"viewCount":10847,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":289498790113320,"gmtCreate":1711700632180,"gmtModify":1712040842974,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第8讲:农产品行情如何择时?","htmlText":"\n \n \n 2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第8讲:农产品行情如何把握农产品价格波动的规律如何把握?如何择时?<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZCmain\">$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZSmain\">$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZWmain\">$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZMmain\">$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a>\n \n","listText":"2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第8讲:农产品行情如何把握农产品价格波动的规律如何把握?如何择时?<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZCmain\">$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZSmain\">$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZWmain\">$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZMmain\">$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a>","text":"2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第8讲:农产品行情如何把握农产品价格波动的规律如何把握?如何择时?$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$ $大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$ $小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$ $豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$ $黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$ $SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$ $NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/289498790113320","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"fb1a9537d5fc47708993e6ba14682382","tweetId":"289498790113320","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/e2ad4227vodcq1254107296/83cb88a61397757887973910949/uXhK2FALjSgA.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b695c54c842a386c8e32cd6171ac40c8"},"viewCount":9556,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":289487151693840,"gmtCreate":1711697676380,"gmtModify":1712040888364,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第7讲:农产品价格波动核心影响因素有哪些?","htmlText":"\n \n \n 2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第7讲:农产品价格的影响核心三个要素都有哪些?<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZCmain\">$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZSmain\">$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZWmain\">$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZMmain\">$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a>\n \n","listText":"2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第7讲:农产品价格的影响核心三个要素都有哪些?<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZCmain\">$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZSmain\">$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZWmain\">$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZMmain\">$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a>","text":"2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第7讲:农产品价格的影响核心三个要素都有哪些?$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$ $大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$ $小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$ $豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$ $黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$ $SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$ $NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/289487151693840","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"84d254fb5a50446fb085953b05c156fd","tweetId":"289487151693840","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/e2ad4227vodcq1254107296/cfb4426c1397757887998384709/VCyhhN3mHRMA.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb77b447f82ccaac3a8a12c7f713dd16"},"viewCount":9238,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000222","authorId":"9000000000000222","name":"七色祥云6","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1fa5d9ceb6a8fc80f198e797e2994a9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"看完你的帖子之后我好像也看懂了一点点农产品","text":"看完你的帖子之后我好像也看懂了一点点农产品","html":"看完你的帖子之后我好像也看懂了一点点农产品"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":287993373343792,"gmtCreate":1711340407827,"gmtModify":1711340420468,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"联储鸽派依旧,但行情开始分化","htmlText":"上周美联储议息会议结果无悬念,会后鲍威尔的讲话也是鸽派作风,目前市场预期美联储本年度降息三次,同时减少QT节奏。先勿论美联储是否会如市场预期的降息,最少当前的鸽派预期已经有较为充分的定价,因此后续行情对降息消息的敏感度会相对下降。资本市场的整体性将比此前有所减弱。 当降息预期变得越来越近的时候,市场对该消息的反应就会越平淡,甚至反向波动(利好出尽是利空),所以金融市场将进入分化阶段,个别事件和消息强的品种,继续趋势走势,没有新增消息及预期的品种则波动相对平缓。一、贵金属到了减速的时候周四直播课跟大家聊过,金价今年来10-3月份是其高波动的上涨时节,过了这个时间段,近三年走势都是偏弱势的,有利空消息(如22年美联储大幅加息)则跌幅较大,没有大利空消息则震荡盘整。过完本周3月就会过去,上周金价冲高回落就预示了后续行情将会降速,甚至会有一定调整。技术上,金价上周的长上影要注意,若本周不能上冲上周高点,则只能下破20日均线,形成阶段性高点,或许走势与去年3月后的走势极其雷同,短线注意2150附近的支撑位置。而白银则更为技术性,当前银价刚好碰到长期趋势线后出现的调整,若后续突破则此处调整可能需要2-3个月,虽然白银波动略大,但投机性比黄金更好,大家关注。 二、原油底部震荡特征依旧上半年原油仍是底部震荡,在今年1月份的前瞻帖子里已经充分预期,当下一季度的走势也符合预期,70-90区间上半年估计不会轻易突破的,目前基本面没有太多需要修正的地方。至于周末俄罗斯遭遇恐袭的消息,确实有点突发,或许对黄金有一定提振作用,但对原油格局并不会改变太多,毕竟俄罗斯目前与乌克兰正在冲突,除非该事件牵涉到第三方,即矛盾扩大化,若非如此,原油市场并不会对其过分定价,该怎么走还是怎么走,所以多头们也别太激动,拿着便是。跟踪技术仍以20周均线作为参考,也即75美元附近,观察该价位","listText":"上周美联储议息会议结果无悬念,会后鲍威尔的讲话也是鸽派作风,目前市场预期美联储本年度降息三次,同时减少QT节奏。先勿论美联储是否会如市场预期的降息,最少当前的鸽派预期已经有较为充分的定价,因此后续行情对降息消息的敏感度会相对下降。资本市场的整体性将比此前有所减弱。 当降息预期变得越来越近的时候,市场对该消息的反应就会越平淡,甚至反向波动(利好出尽是利空),所以金融市场将进入分化阶段,个别事件和消息强的品种,继续趋势走势,没有新增消息及预期的品种则波动相对平缓。一、贵金属到了减速的时候周四直播课跟大家聊过,金价今年来10-3月份是其高波动的上涨时节,过了这个时间段,近三年走势都是偏弱势的,有利空消息(如22年美联储大幅加息)则跌幅较大,没有大利空消息则震荡盘整。过完本周3月就会过去,上周金价冲高回落就预示了后续行情将会降速,甚至会有一定调整。技术上,金价上周的长上影要注意,若本周不能上冲上周高点,则只能下破20日均线,形成阶段性高点,或许走势与去年3月后的走势极其雷同,短线注意2150附近的支撑位置。而白银则更为技术性,当前银价刚好碰到长期趋势线后出现的调整,若后续突破则此处调整可能需要2-3个月,虽然白银波动略大,但投机性比黄金更好,大家关注。 二、原油底部震荡特征依旧上半年原油仍是底部震荡,在今年1月份的前瞻帖子里已经充分预期,当下一季度的走势也符合预期,70-90区间上半年估计不会轻易突破的,目前基本面没有太多需要修正的地方。至于周末俄罗斯遭遇恐袭的消息,确实有点突发,或许对黄金有一定提振作用,但对原油格局并不会改变太多,毕竟俄罗斯目前与乌克兰正在冲突,除非该事件牵涉到第三方,即矛盾扩大化,若非如此,原油市场并不会对其过分定价,该怎么走还是怎么走,所以多头们也别太激动,拿着便是。跟踪技术仍以20周均线作为参考,也即75美元附近,观察该价位","text":"上周美联储议息会议结果无悬念,会后鲍威尔的讲话也是鸽派作风,目前市场预期美联储本年度降息三次,同时减少QT节奏。先勿论美联储是否会如市场预期的降息,最少当前的鸽派预期已经有较为充分的定价,因此后续行情对降息消息的敏感度会相对下降。资本市场的整体性将比此前有所减弱。 当降息预期变得越来越近的时候,市场对该消息的反应就会越平淡,甚至反向波动(利好出尽是利空),所以金融市场将进入分化阶段,个别事件和消息强的品种,继续趋势走势,没有新增消息及预期的品种则波动相对平缓。一、贵金属到了减速的时候周四直播课跟大家聊过,金价今年来10-3月份是其高波动的上涨时节,过了这个时间段,近三年走势都是偏弱势的,有利空消息(如22年美联储大幅加息)则跌幅较大,没有大利空消息则震荡盘整。过完本周3月就会过去,上周金价冲高回落就预示了后续行情将会降速,甚至会有一定调整。技术上,金价上周的长上影要注意,若本周不能上冲上周高点,则只能下破20日均线,形成阶段性高点,或许走势与去年3月后的走势极其雷同,短线注意2150附近的支撑位置。而白银则更为技术性,当前银价刚好碰到长期趋势线后出现的调整,若后续突破则此处调整可能需要2-3个月,虽然白银波动略大,但投机性比黄金更好,大家关注。 二、原油底部震荡特征依旧上半年原油仍是底部震荡,在今年1月份的前瞻帖子里已经充分预期,当下一季度的走势也符合预期,70-90区间上半年估计不会轻易突破的,目前基本面没有太多需要修正的地方。至于周末俄罗斯遭遇恐袭的消息,确实有点突发,或许对黄金有一定提振作用,但对原油格局并不会改变太多,毕竟俄罗斯目前与乌克兰正在冲突,除非该事件牵涉到第三方,即矛盾扩大化,若非如此,原油市场并不会对其过分定价,该怎么走还是怎么走,所以多头们也别太激动,拿着便是。跟踪技术仍以20周均线作为参考,也即75美元附近,观察该价位","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/182c8377b616926b2981297f6b9f5bfe","width":"1094","height":"670"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/205fbee4923515055a3f9e740960c8c4","width":"1082","height":"729"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad97b7ae15df58dbefe978a8adcff8fc","width":"1080","height":"727"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/287993373343792","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12832,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000304","authorId":"9000000000000304","name":"港谷小子","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89668c2f568ee7c6efa0d54bee6b9773","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"老鲍头的话很多人解读不出来鸽派","text":"老鲍头的话很多人解读不出来鸽派","html":"老鲍头的话很多人解读不出来鸽派"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":286352464584720,"gmtCreate":1710927679657,"gmtModify":1712040841220,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第6讲:农产品的影响因素都那些?","htmlText":"\n \n \n 2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第6讲:带你了解不同品种的农产品期货价格走势的影响因素<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZCmain\">$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZSmain\">$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZWmain\">$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZMmain\">$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a>\n \n","listText":"2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第6讲:带你了解不同品种的农产品期货价格走势的影响因素<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZCmain\">$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZSmain\">$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZWmain\">$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZMmain\">$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a>","text":"2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第6讲:带你了解不同品种的农产品期货价格走势的影响因素$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$ $大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$ $小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$ $豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$ $黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$ $SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$ $NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/286352464584720","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"32c9d248d66545bb9f994e61112203c2","tweetId":"286352464584720","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/e2ad4227vodcq1254107296/c3fe41771397757887410575626/ZBMr1YBRABYA.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fcbfe6581fd46087a63c03d4e7795233"},"viewCount":14249,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":286344936628240,"gmtCreate":1710925841776,"gmtModify":1710925849683,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第五讲:农产品趋势规律如何把握","htmlText":"\n \n \n 2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第五讲:带你了解不同品种的农产品期货的特点和走势规律<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZCmain\">$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZSmain\">$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZWmain\">$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZMmain\">$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a>\n \n","listText":"2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第五讲:带你了解不同品种的农产品期货的特点和走势规律<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZCmain\">$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZSmain\">$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZWmain\">$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZMmain\">$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a>","text":"2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第五讲:带你了解不同品种的农产品期货的特点和走势规律$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$ $大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$ $小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$ $豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$ $黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$ $SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$ $NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/286344936628240","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"26b09e7c933345cb91922f22c0765af1","tweetId":"286344936628240","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/73ba5544vodgzp1254107296/939916851397757887409883981/moXVthBnzBEA.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c0c2f1b8fed356c8bf4993e0be2235c"},"viewCount":10849,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000255","authorId":"9000000000000255","name":"森林之王伍德","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b281a4dbc6b48ecea5562613495fa83","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"太厉害了👍!非常感谢你分享这些有价值又实用的信息!","text":"太厉害了👍!非常感谢你分享这些有价值又实用的信息!","html":"太厉害了👍!非常感谢你分享这些有价值又实用的信息!"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":286336824827920,"gmtCreate":1710923861356,"gmtModify":1710923907838,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第四讲:农产品期货如何选择","htmlText":"\n \n \n 2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第三讲:带你了解不同品种的农产品期货的特点和交易要素,新入门的朋友该如何选择农产品期货来上车这轮预期中的上涨行情?<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZCmain\">$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZSmain\">$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZWmain\">$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZMmain\">$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a>\n \n","listText":"2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第三讲:带你了解不同品种的农产品期货的特点和交易要素,新入门的朋友该如何选择农产品期货来上车这轮预期中的上涨行情?<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZCmain\">$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZSmain\">$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZWmain\">$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZMmain\">$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a>","text":"2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第三讲:带你了解不同品种的农产品期货的特点和交易要素,新入门的朋友该如何选择农产品期货来上车这轮预期中的上涨行情?$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$ $大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$ $小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$ $豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$ $黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$ $SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$ $NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/286336824827920","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"e24f1278d08d45b6b9b796ad868da4cc","tweetId":"286336824827920","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/e2ad4227vodcq1254107296/3cdfd4d61397757887408427910/5HeTcfff4O4A.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/499b9b483f87997a64c2973c17c25bec"},"viewCount":9600,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":285616781291552,"gmtCreate":1710737624451,"gmtModify":1710830380325,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"当心降息预期的反转,计价过足的品种动荡再起","htmlText":"随着美国各项经济数据出台,以及美联储主席及各大官员讲话后,市场对美联储6月降息的预期已经非常极致,当利好习以为常的时候,那么微小的利空也会显得格外刺眼,而当下市场正是如此。3-5月是市场对美联储降息路径的再一次定价,降息速度不如预期,市场也将陷入震荡,对各种商品的影响也不尽相同。 状况一、降息预期足的品种,价格开始动荡价格波动与降息预期息息相关的品种,就是此前对降息预期充分定价的品种足,如美股指、黄金、美债及BTC。由于这几类品种对利率比较敏感,因此它们是先于大宗商品上涨的,而当降息预期下降时,价格也就没有之前那种快速。最近美债的走势震荡下跌,说明市场开始逐步降低降息次数的预期,3月份是美债近年来的一个价格高点,通常回调至5-6月份或10月份(这两个时点是投机者炒美联储政策的关键时点),因此美债价格近期表现会比较乏力(即美债收益率回升)。而黄金创历史新高后,短期趋势仍未破坏,值得注意的是,22年、23年的黄金高点都出现在3月份左右的时间点,所以即使金价不下跌,上涨速度也会有所减速,注意短线节奏。而币就不多说了,剧烈版的黄金,趋向雷同,但波动巨大。而美股指预期短线调整会有,大顶或大跌估计会磨蹭到5月份才出现,边走边看跟随即可。 状况二、通胀预期再起,商品轮番启动另一边厢,大宗商品迎来了久违的集体躁动,尽管幅度不大,但动作有点一致。原油、铜、棕榈油等通胀品种同步上涨,说明资金开始炒作通胀再临的预期,通胀属性强的品种在未来行情中又可以大显身手了。原油就不多说了,仍是长期看涨,目前该折腾还是折腾,速度不会太快,就是个长期底部盘升的过程,目前来说虽然价格墨迹一点,但是胜在有足够时间去介入,当油价飙升时,您会发现当下的价格实在是相对便宜。而农产品虽然也属于通胀商品,但并非每个农产品的价格波动都容易交易,相对来说大豆、豆油等商品更贴近通胀属性,","listText":"随着美国各项经济数据出台,以及美联储主席及各大官员讲话后,市场对美联储6月降息的预期已经非常极致,当利好习以为常的时候,那么微小的利空也会显得格外刺眼,而当下市场正是如此。3-5月是市场对美联储降息路径的再一次定价,降息速度不如预期,市场也将陷入震荡,对各种商品的影响也不尽相同。 状况一、降息预期足的品种,价格开始动荡价格波动与降息预期息息相关的品种,就是此前对降息预期充分定价的品种足,如美股指、黄金、美债及BTC。由于这几类品种对利率比较敏感,因此它们是先于大宗商品上涨的,而当降息预期下降时,价格也就没有之前那种快速。最近美债的走势震荡下跌,说明市场开始逐步降低降息次数的预期,3月份是美债近年来的一个价格高点,通常回调至5-6月份或10月份(这两个时点是投机者炒美联储政策的关键时点),因此美债价格近期表现会比较乏力(即美债收益率回升)。而黄金创历史新高后,短期趋势仍未破坏,值得注意的是,22年、23年的黄金高点都出现在3月份左右的时间点,所以即使金价不下跌,上涨速度也会有所减速,注意短线节奏。而币就不多说了,剧烈版的黄金,趋向雷同,但波动巨大。而美股指预期短线调整会有,大顶或大跌估计会磨蹭到5月份才出现,边走边看跟随即可。 状况二、通胀预期再起,商品轮番启动另一边厢,大宗商品迎来了久违的集体躁动,尽管幅度不大,但动作有点一致。原油、铜、棕榈油等通胀品种同步上涨,说明资金开始炒作通胀再临的预期,通胀属性强的品种在未来行情中又可以大显身手了。原油就不多说了,仍是长期看涨,目前该折腾还是折腾,速度不会太快,就是个长期底部盘升的过程,目前来说虽然价格墨迹一点,但是胜在有足够时间去介入,当油价飙升时,您会发现当下的价格实在是相对便宜。而农产品虽然也属于通胀商品,但并非每个农产品的价格波动都容易交易,相对来说大豆、豆油等商品更贴近通胀属性,","text":"随着美国各项经济数据出台,以及美联储主席及各大官员讲话后,市场对美联储6月降息的预期已经非常极致,当利好习以为常的时候,那么微小的利空也会显得格外刺眼,而当下市场正是如此。3-5月是市场对美联储降息路径的再一次定价,降息速度不如预期,市场也将陷入震荡,对各种商品的影响也不尽相同。 状况一、降息预期足的品种,价格开始动荡价格波动与降息预期息息相关的品种,就是此前对降息预期充分定价的品种足,如美股指、黄金、美债及BTC。由于这几类品种对利率比较敏感,因此它们是先于大宗商品上涨的,而当降息预期下降时,价格也就没有之前那种快速。最近美债的走势震荡下跌,说明市场开始逐步降低降息次数的预期,3月份是美债近年来的一个价格高点,通常回调至5-6月份或10月份(这两个时点是投机者炒美联储政策的关键时点),因此美债价格近期表现会比较乏力(即美债收益率回升)。而黄金创历史新高后,短期趋势仍未破坏,值得注意的是,22年、23年的黄金高点都出现在3月份左右的时间点,所以即使金价不下跌,上涨速度也会有所减速,注意短线节奏。而币就不多说了,剧烈版的黄金,趋向雷同,但波动巨大。而美股指预期短线调整会有,大顶或大跌估计会磨蹭到5月份才出现,边走边看跟随即可。 状况二、通胀预期再起,商品轮番启动另一边厢,大宗商品迎来了久违的集体躁动,尽管幅度不大,但动作有点一致。原油、铜、棕榈油等通胀品种同步上涨,说明资金开始炒作通胀再临的预期,通胀属性强的品种在未来行情中又可以大显身手了。原油就不多说了,仍是长期看涨,目前该折腾还是折腾,速度不会太快,就是个长期底部盘升的过程,目前来说虽然价格墨迹一点,但是胜在有足够时间去介入,当油价飙升时,您会发现当下的价格实在是相对便宜。而农产品虽然也属于通胀商品,但并非每个农产品的价格波动都容易交易,相对来说大豆、豆油等商品更贴近通胀属性,","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/713d3296708a67538339be3285774ab2","width":"1169","height":"654"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a448a94f3bed66ddc8d88fd5c48d368b","width":"1078","height":"724"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f816d82f4e6d65a8f734420491c985b2","width":"1070","height":"717"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":16,"commentSize":10,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/285616781291552","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":16505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3550003982070902","authorId":"3550003982070902","name":"超越小我","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d4c1493c344f52188522620590bf422","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"甘老师: 还有一个极至预期——那就是大家都把联储降息作为做多的后盾。 那么,真到降息时,会不会适得其反?","text":"甘老师: 还有一个极至预期——那就是大家都把联储降息作为做多的后盾。 那么,真到降息时,会不会适得其反?","html":"甘老师: 还有一个极至预期——那就是大家都把联储降息作为做多的后盾。 那么,真到降息时,会不会适得其反?"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":283879015944232,"gmtCreate":1710322884944,"gmtModify":1710397447178,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第三讲:农产品交易须知","htmlText":"\n \n \n 2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第二讲:带你了解农产品期货的交易特点,用期货把握农产品行情需要注意哪些关键点?<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZCmain\">$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZSmain\">$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZWmain\">$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZMmain\">$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a>\n \n","listText":"2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第二讲:带你了解农产品期货的交易特点,用期货把握农产品行情需要注意哪些关键点?<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZCmain\">$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZSmain\">$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZWmain\">$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZMmain\">$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a>","text":"2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第二讲:带你了解农产品期货的交易特点,用期货把握农产品行情需要注意哪些关键点?$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$ $大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$ $小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$ $豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$ $黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$ $SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$ $NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/283879015944232","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"ee2c29bf361047c094472bf7ce5a0acf","tweetId":"283879015944232","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/e2ad4227vodcq1254107296/986d0c3b1397757887036574771/OuU99Dcs7PAA.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95af91f3fe342593f2213faaeb577b7b"},"viewCount":10483,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000266","authorId":"9000000000000266","name":"哪儿来回哪儿去","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d01265730fbb9a0b9e195d51c4c1680","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"感谢你分享的关于农产品交易的内容,如此具体详细,赞!👍","text":"感谢你分享的关于农产品交易的内容,如此具体详细,赞!👍","html":"感谢你分享的关于农产品交易的内容,如此具体详细,赞!👍"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":283872950726672,"gmtCreate":1710321295604,"gmtModify":1710397439967,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"2024农产品爆发行情前瞻,第二讲:农产品的要素","htmlText":"\n \n \n 2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第二讲:带你认识农产品期货合约的关键要素,哪些合约会是把握这轮行情的主力合约? <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZCmain\">$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZSmain\">$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZWmain\">$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZMmain\">$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a>\n \n","listText":"2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第二讲:带你认识农产品期货合约的关键要素,哪些合约会是把握这轮行情的主力合约? <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZCmain\">$玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZSmain\">$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZWmain\">$小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZMmain\">$豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a>","text":"2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第二讲:带你认识农产品期货合约的关键要素,哪些合约会是把握这轮行情的主力合约? $玉米主连 2405(ZCmain)$ $大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$ $小麦主连 2405(ZWmain)$ $豆粕主连 2405(ZMmain)$ $黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$ $SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$ $NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/283872950726672","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"1d60246c931044f69d8a942f3f06ba31","tweetId":"283872950726672","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/e2ad4227vodcq1254107296/98924cbe1397757887036596518/O5zIUIBzxlEA.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d062669b53d4c7721057bc87de50c96"},"viewCount":8163,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3468753182818390","authorId":"3468753182818390","name":"麦田捕手","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"甘老师,美豆是不是可以建仓了","text":"甘老师,美豆是不是可以建仓了","html":"甘老师,美豆是不是可以建仓了"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":283861158227984,"gmtCreate":1710318416576,"gmtModify":1710397431074,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第一讲:","htmlText":"\n \n \n 2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第一讲:带你走进农产品期货的世界,为什么我们要着重关注2024年的农产品行情?有问题可以提问到视频帖子下面。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/YMmain\">$道琼斯指数主连 2406(YMmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZSmain\">$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$</a>\n \n","listText":"2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第一讲:带你走进农产品期货的世界,为什么我们要着重关注2024年的农产品行情?有问题可以提问到视频帖子下面。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ESmain\">$SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/YMmain\">$道琼斯指数主连 2406(YMmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/ZSmain\">$大豆主连 2405(ZSmain)$</a>","text":"2024年,农产品爆发行情前瞻,第一讲:带你走进农产品期货的世界,为什么我们要着重关注2024年的农产品行情?有问题可以提问到视频帖子下面。$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$ $SP500指数主连 2406(ESmain)$ $道琼斯指数主连 2406(YMmain)$ $黄金主连 2404(GCmain)$ $大豆主连 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