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人生如戏戏人生
这就是春天
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人生如戏戏人生
07-22
拜登退选,到底对股市的利空还是利好
人生如戏戏人生
2023-08-22
世上无难事,只怕肯折腾//
@衣公子
:衣公子的剑——从商业的角度,看看这个世界碧桂园也想过自救,那就是——搞机器人。2018年,房地产已近黄昏。地产商们纷纷仗着钱多想攀一攀高科技的列车,比如,恒大选择造车。而碧桂园更是窘迫地寻找新故事——长期“高周转”导致安全事故频出,半年就吞噬了8条人命。于是,碧桂园决定搞机器人。这是中国女首富杨小姐接班时要完成的大任务。碧桂园机器人公司叫博智林,寓意便是“博士成林”。不久碧桂园真以为自己从房地产公司转型成了机器人公司。2021年,杨老板豪言壮语,明年全部用机器人建房子。除了造房子,碧桂园还开了很多“智能餐饮”,从厨师到服务员都是机器人。碧桂园的机器人梦,号称5年投资800亿。可惜,2023年,这家中国机器人高科技公司暴雷。出师未捷身先死。碧桂园机器人的高管,不论是来自“机器人四大家族”发那科的沈,还是来自西门子的周,亦或者碧桂园西北区总裁张,外来专家或嫡系亲信,都干超不过一年。所谓的机器人造房、机器人餐厅,更是无力吐槽。机器人没拯救碧桂园。中国女首富最轰动的新闻是当年入籍塞浦路斯。衣公子身边的朋友惊呼,这个岛在哪里?一查,原来是移民欧洲的黄金路径,门槛低效率高内容好。商战就是那么残酷,如果当初不是押注机器人,而是早早all in自己能带货的移民,结局也许就不一样了。01机器人,日本首富中的毒要深得多。互联网曾经让孙正义超越比尔·盖茨,当了世界首富。互联网泡沫破裂,孙损失90%的资产,又靠投资中国阿里巴巴,东山再起。大起大落,够风光了吧,但是首富心里也有隐痛。日本人管孙正义的成功,叫“时光机经营”,意思是利用美国和东方的“时差”,把美国已经成功的东西搬到东亚,仅此而已。数一数给孙正义赚了大钱的买卖,投资阿里巴巴,独家代理日本iPhone,
@衣公子:首富的机器人 | 衣公子
人生如戏戏人生
2022-03-05
股价跌了,狗都菜踩一脚
@不二说价值:📢请关注我的Youtube频道:不二说价值。以确保收看所有完整的节目。📢 我会持续对优质公司进行估价,帮助虎友做出更合理的交易决策。欢迎评论留下自己想估价的股票,热门留言我会优先估价。$Sea Ltd(SE)$ $阿里巴巴(BABA)$ $百度(BIDU)$ $腾讯控股(00700)$ $亚马逊(AMZN)$
人生如戏戏人生
2021-06-30
不错哦,生意看上去不错
@贫穷小田:
$瑞幸咖啡(LKNCY)$
打卡021杯 新尝试“陨石拿铁” 特殊时期一天要喝两杯。[无语] [无语] 问题一:你们家附近的瑞幸生意好吗?问题二:高考出分后你们觉得最不值得报考的专业是什么?
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
$富途控股(FUTU)$
$奈雪的茶(02150)$
人生如戏戏人生
2021-04-26
你说的我都懂,但是你发美女图片是几个意思,专杀lsp吗
@LIULIULIU:下一个蔚来,优信
人生如戏戏人生
2021-02-18
是美少女吗,不是的话说话不可信
抱歉,原内容已删除
人生如戏戏人生
2021-01-31
身价也一度突破11600亿人民币,这个错误要不得,全球首富加起来有这么多身价吗
@景辰财经:新晋80后女首富身价1600亿,咱们老百姓远远欣赏一下就得了
人生如戏戏人生
2021-01-29
你们老虎不也限制的,一丘之貉
@小虎AV: 【必看!「Robinhood老板回应“拔网线”霸凌散户的真正原因」完整双语视频】Robinhood的首席执行官接受CNBC采访,谈论了Robinhood为何决定限制交易GameStop、AMC和其他被Reddit交易者锁定的目标股票。朋友们,这期可是CNBC的付费视频,昨天那期大家都说翻译太渣,今天两期视频都是A酱自掏腰包翻译的,希望各位虎友多给A酱转发点赞![爱你][哟哟] $AMC院线(AMC)$ $游戏驿站(GME)$
人生如戏戏人生
2021-01-29
稳了
抱歉,原内容已删除
人生如戏戏人生
2020-11-18
我来吧
@空军大队长:兄弟们招聘四个操盘手
人生如戏戏人生
2020-10-31
为何不说女的奇葩,反说男的,报道的人才奇葩
@Lady_Susu:男子相亲不愿付203元饭钱,坚持要等女方来AA,店家气到报警!
人生如戏戏人生
2020-10-20
[龇牙] [难过] [龇牙] [难过] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [白眼] [财迷] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [呆住] [龇牙] [呆住] [呆住]
人生如戏戏人生
2020-10-19
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人生如戏戏人生
2020-10-18
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人生如戏戏人生
2020-10-17
理由呢
抱歉,原内容已删除
人生如戏戏人生
2020-10-17
[龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [白眼] [无语] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [愤怒] [龇牙] [愤怒] [龇牙] [龇牙] [愤怒] [龇牙] [愤怒] [龇牙] [愤怒] [龇牙] [愤怒] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [愤怒] [龇牙] [愤怒] [龇牙] [愤怒] [龇牙] [愤怒] [龇牙] [愤怒]
人生如戏戏人生
2020-10-16
[惊讶] [难过] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [难过] [鬼脸] [冷漠] [鬼脸] [冷漠] [龇牙] [冷漠] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [贱笑] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [鬼脸] [无语] [鬼脸] [无语] [鬼脸] [无语] [鬼脸] [无语] [龇牙] [无语] [无语] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [流泪] [无语] [流泪] [无语] [鬼脸] [无语] [龇牙] [财迷] [流泪]
人生如戏戏人生
2020-10-15
[龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [愤怒] [愤怒] [惊讶] [惊讶] [愤怒] [惊讶] [愤怒] [惊讶] [愤怒] [惊讶] [愤怒] [惊讶] [愤怒] [惊讶] [愤怒] [惊讶] [愤怒] [惊讶] [愤怒] [惊讶] [惊讶] [愤怒] [惊讶] [愤怒] [惊讶] [愤怒] [惊讶] [愤怒] [惊讶] [愤怒] [惊讶] [愤怒] [惊讶] [愤怒] [惊讶] [愤怒] [惊讶] [愤怒] [惊讶] [愤怒] [惊讶] [惊讶] [愤怒]
人生如戏戏人生
2020-10-14
[龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [无语] [龇牙] [愤怒] [龇牙] [龇牙] [愤怒] [龇牙] [愤怒] [龇牙] [愤怒] [龇牙] [呆住] [惊讶] [惊讶] [呆住] [惊讶] [呆住] [惊讶] [愤怒] [惊讶] [呆住] [惊讶] [呆住] [惊讶] [呆住] [惊讶] [惊讶] [呆住] [惊讶] [呆住] [惊讶] [呆住] [惊讶] [呆住] [惊讶] [呆住] [惊讶] [呆住] [惊讶] [呆住] [惊讶]
人生如戏戏人生
2020-10-14
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衣公子","htmlText":"衣公子的剑——从商业的角度,看看这个世界碧桂园也想过自救,那就是——搞机器人。2018年,房地产已近黄昏。地产商们纷纷仗着钱多想攀一攀高科技的列车,比如,恒大选择造车。而碧桂园更是窘迫地寻找新故事——长期“高周转”导致安全事故频出,半年就吞噬了8条人命。于是,碧桂园决定搞机器人。这是中国女首富杨小姐接班时要完成的大任务。碧桂园机器人公司叫博智林,寓意便是“博士成林”。不久碧桂园真以为自己从房地产公司转型成了机器人公司。2021年,杨老板豪言壮语,明年全部用机器人建房子。除了造房子,碧桂园还开了很多“智能餐饮”,从厨师到服务员都是机器人。碧桂园的机器人梦,号称5年投资800亿。可惜,2023年,这家中国机器人高科技公司暴雷。出师未捷身先死。碧桂园机器人的高管,不论是来自“机器人四大家族”发那科的沈,还是来自西门子的周,亦或者碧桂园西北区总裁张,外来专家或嫡系亲信,都干超不过一年。所谓的机器人造房、机器人餐厅,更是无力吐槽。机器人没拯救碧桂园。中国女首富最轰动的新闻是当年入籍塞浦路斯。衣公子身边的朋友惊呼,这个岛在哪里?一查,原来是移民欧洲的黄金路径,门槛低效率高内容好。商战就是那么残酷,如果当初不是押注机器人,而是早早all 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in自己能带货的移民,结局也许就不一样了。01机器人,日本首富中的毒要深得多。互联网曾经让孙正义超越比尔·盖茨,当了世界首富。互联网泡沫破裂,孙损失90%的资产,又靠投资中国阿里巴巴,东山再起。大起大落,够风光了吧,但是首富心里也有隐痛。日本人管孙正义的成功,叫“时光机经营”,意思是利用美国和东方的“时差”,把美国已经成功的东西搬到东亚,仅此而已。数一数给孙正义赚了大钱的买卖,投资阿里巴巴,独家代理日本iPhone,都是抄美国作业。日本人话里话外的意思——孙正义不是真英雄。男人一旦有了钱,哪受得了这样的委屈。孙正义的回击就是——搞机器人。日本被称作“机器","text":"衣公子的剑——从商业的角度,看看这个世界碧桂园也想过自救,那就是——搞机器人。2018年,房地产已近黄昏。地产商们纷纷仗着钱多想攀一攀高科技的列车,比如,恒大选择造车。而碧桂园更是窘迫地寻找新故事——长期“高周转”导致安全事故频出,半年就吞噬了8条人命。于是,碧桂园决定搞机器人。这是中国女首富杨小姐接班时要完成的大任务。碧桂园机器人公司叫博智林,寓意便是“博士成林”。不久碧桂园真以为自己从房地产公司转型成了机器人公司。2021年,杨老板豪言壮语,明年全部用机器人建房子。除了造房子,碧桂园还开了很多“智能餐饮”,从厨师到服务员都是机器人。碧桂园的机器人梦,号称5年投资800亿。可惜,2023年,这家中国机器人高科技公司暴雷。出师未捷身先死。碧桂园机器人的高管,不论是来自“机器人四大家族”发那科的沈,还是来自西门子的周,亦或者碧桂园西北区总裁张,外来专家或嫡系亲信,都干超不过一年。所谓的机器人造房、机器人餐厅,更是无力吐槽。机器人没拯救碧桂园。中国女首富最轰动的新闻是当年入籍塞浦路斯。衣公子身边的朋友惊呼,这个岛在哪里?一查,原来是移民欧洲的黄金路径,门槛低效率高内容好。商战就是那么残酷,如果当初不是押注机器人,而是早早all in自己能带货的移民,结局也许就不一样了。01机器人,日本首富中的毒要深得多。互联网曾经让孙正义超越比尔·盖茨,当了世界首富。互联网泡沫破裂,孙损失90%的资产,又靠投资中国阿里巴巴,东山再起。大起大落,够风光了吧,但是首富心里也有隐痛。日本人管孙正义的成功,叫“时光机经营”,意思是利用美国和东方的“时差”,把美国已经成功的东西搬到东亚,仅此而已。数一数给孙正义赚了大钱的买卖,投资阿里巴巴,独家代理日本iPhone,都是抄美国作业。日本人话里话外的意思——孙正义不是真英雄。男人一旦有了钱,哪受得了这样的委屈。孙正义的回击就是——搞机器人。日本被称作“机器","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b94a26a9f91c49c0bb378da14563e3c9"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c329eeee36b4fc1ba7e2879d816595b"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/554dcfa8d8ea47e6a147ea3055f451c5"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/211428926939176","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1399,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":632291370,"gmtCreate":1646437624090,"gmtModify":1646445803783,"author":{"id":"3489488027523471","authorId":"3489488027523471","authorIdStr":"3489488027523471","name":"人生如戏戏人生","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e24058bf84760fe386a99ab80940287e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"股价跌了,狗都菜踩一脚","listText":"股价跌了,狗都菜踩一脚","text":"股价跌了,狗都菜踩一脚","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/632291370","repostId":"632173262","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":632173262,"gmtCreate":1646316713473,"gmtModify":1646447430710,"author":{"id":"3545995761422355","authorId":"3545995761422355","authorIdStr":"3545995761422355","name":"不二说价值","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56fa489972246881ba23cfecebfd4c45","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"SEA财报分析+估值测算 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","text":"📢请关注我的Youtube频道:不二说价值。以确保收看所有完整的节目。📢 我会持续对优质公司进行估价,帮助虎友做出更合理的交易决策。欢迎评论留下自己想估价的股票,热门留言我会优先估价。$Sea Ltd(SE)$ $阿里巴巴(BABA)$ $百度(BIDU)$ $腾讯控股(00700)$ 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问题一:你们家附近的瑞幸生意好吗?问题二:高考出分后你们觉得最不值得报考的专业是什么?$老虎证券(TIGR)$$富途控股(FUTU)$$奈雪的茶(02150)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4105083c3eedd878cb76a020015cd1bd","width":"1080","height":"1324"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c97bb9e42f205f43b2882177bf144987","width":"4624","height":"3472"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f137ec56e5a238052c798f1adce09da8","width":"4624","height":"3472"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159124920","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1816,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":374163777,"gmtCreate":1619429038999,"gmtModify":1619429038999,"author":{"id":"3489488027523471","authorId":"3489488027523471","authorIdStr":"3489488027523471","name":"人生如戏戏人生","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e24058bf84760fe386a99ab80940287e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"你说的我都懂,但是你发美女图片是几个意思,专杀lsp吗","listText":"你说的我都懂,但是你发美女图片是几个意思,专杀lsp吗","text":"你说的我都懂,但是你发美女图片是几个意思,专杀lsp吗","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374163777","repostId":"372221727","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":372221727,"gmtCreate":1619222528669,"gmtModify":1710134500145,"author":{"id":"3535864168116962","authorId":"3535864168116962","authorIdStr":"3535864168116962","name":"LIULIULIU","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ccda2b82474dfe0a8c474303d169c67","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"下一个蔚来,优信","htmlText":"从不轻言放弃,不断摸索行业发展路径,全国购模式开启新征程。二手车行业随着新能源汽车的席卷,换车潮也加速来临。飞轮效应已逐步显现,每天上架,销售的车越来越多,二手车销售信任度可靠度逐步建立,口碑相传,朋友圈效应,会使飞轮越转越快,收入利润良性循环,指数型增长。最近一直在跟踪APP,观察上架,销售情况,系统中有浏览历史,保留最近浏览的100条信息,4月22日保有量5711台,4月23日保有量5661台,4月23日新上架246台,4月22日浏览的100台车中有10台车显示为销售中或已售,其实可以大体估算4月22日的销售量(5711+246-5661)/2=148台(假设减少中一半为下架,而非销售),每月销售量148*30=4440台,对应佣金收入1800*4440=7992000元,运费收入暂且不考虑(成本高,毛利低),按每月20%的增长,7992000+7992000*(1+20%)+。。。。大家可以自行动手算一下,这里20%的增长率很可能低估了,因为飞轮效应是指数型增长,而非线性增长。从去年到现在一直在跟踪,4月份的销售量确实大超我的预期,说明这个模式已经跑通,坚持用户第一,打造无忧线上购车第一品牌确定性毋庸置疑。二手车行业市场巨大,大浪淘沙,剩者为王,优信与京东都是用户信任,质量保证的王者,优信入驻京东,后续销量值得足够想象,京东的认可合作是对优信二手车车质量体系的极大背书认可。行业第一,优信无疑。同行业对比美国二手车上市公司市值,优信二手车5到10年百倍都有可能。行业优秀,优信作为二手车中优秀的龙头必将破茧成蝶。人生的投资不在于多,抓住一个就够了,我想优信就是最具确定性的一个。同样分享一个小故事,昨天朋友群里发的,说一位老太太跑来证券营业部销户,说08年的时候5元左右买了5万多的长春高新,结果现在变成了500多万,老太太都站不稳了,值得我们深思呀,发现价值,拥抱价值,给予","listText":"从不轻言放弃,不断摸索行业发展路径,全国购模式开启新征程。二手车行业随着新能源汽车的席卷,换车潮也加速来临。飞轮效应已逐步显现,每天上架,销售的车越来越多,二手车销售信任度可靠度逐步建立,口碑相传,朋友圈效应,会使飞轮越转越快,收入利润良性循环,指数型增长。最近一直在跟踪APP,观察上架,销售情况,系统中有浏览历史,保留最近浏览的100条信息,4月22日保有量5711台,4月23日保有量5661台,4月23日新上架246台,4月22日浏览的100台车中有10台车显示为销售中或已售,其实可以大体估算4月22日的销售量(5711+246-5661)/2=148台(假设减少中一半为下架,而非销售),每月销售量148*30=4440台,对应佣金收入1800*4440=7992000元,运费收入暂且不考虑(成本高,毛利低),按每月20%的增长,7992000+7992000*(1+20%)+。。。。大家可以自行动手算一下,这里20%的增长率很可能低估了,因为飞轮效应是指数型增长,而非线性增长。从去年到现在一直在跟踪,4月份的销售量确实大超我的预期,说明这个模式已经跑通,坚持用户第一,打造无忧线上购车第一品牌确定性毋庸置疑。二手车行业市场巨大,大浪淘沙,剩者为王,优信与京东都是用户信任,质量保证的王者,优信入驻京东,后续销量值得足够想象,京东的认可合作是对优信二手车车质量体系的极大背书认可。行业第一,优信无疑。同行业对比美国二手车上市公司市值,优信二手车5到10年百倍都有可能。行业优秀,优信作为二手车中优秀的龙头必将破茧成蝶。人生的投资不在于多,抓住一个就够了,我想优信就是最具确定性的一个。同样分享一个小故事,昨天朋友群里发的,说一位老太太跑来证券营业部销户,说08年的时候5元左右买了5万多的长春高新,结果现在变成了500多万,老太太都站不稳了,值得我们深思呀,发现价值,拥抱价值,给予","text":"从不轻言放弃,不断摸索行业发展路径,全国购模式开启新征程。二手车行业随着新能源汽车的席卷,换车潮也加速来临。飞轮效应已逐步显现,每天上架,销售的车越来越多,二手车销售信任度可靠度逐步建立,口碑相传,朋友圈效应,会使飞轮越转越快,收入利润良性循环,指数型增长。最近一直在跟踪APP,观察上架,销售情况,系统中有浏览历史,保留最近浏览的100条信息,4月22日保有量5711台,4月23日保有量5661台,4月23日新上架246台,4月22日浏览的100台车中有10台车显示为销售中或已售,其实可以大体估算4月22日的销售量(5711+246-5661)/2=148台(假设减少中一半为下架,而非销售),每月销售量148*30=4440台,对应佣金收入1800*4440=7992000元,运费收入暂且不考虑(成本高,毛利低),按每月20%的增长,7992000+7992000*(1+20%)+。。。。大家可以自行动手算一下,这里20%的增长率很可能低估了,因为飞轮效应是指数型增长,而非线性增长。从去年到现在一直在跟踪,4月份的销售量确实大超我的预期,说明这个模式已经跑通,坚持用户第一,打造无忧线上购车第一品牌确定性毋庸置疑。二手车行业市场巨大,大浪淘沙,剩者为王,优信与京东都是用户信任,质量保证的王者,优信入驻京东,后续销量值得足够想象,京东的认可合作是对优信二手车车质量体系的极大背书认可。行业第一,优信无疑。同行业对比美国二手车上市公司市值,优信二手车5到10年百倍都有可能。行业优秀,优信作为二手车中优秀的龙头必将破茧成蝶。人生的投资不在于多,抓住一个就够了,我想优信就是最具确定性的一个。同样分享一个小故事,昨天朋友群里发的,说一位老太太跑来证券营业部销户,说08年的时候5元左右买了5万多的长春高新,结果现在变成了500多万,老太太都站不稳了,值得我们深思呀,发现价值,拥抱价值,给予","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc61b2153bee5eccdf73c7ca78dcccef","width":"1080","height":"1441"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372221727","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2739,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":384804858,"gmtCreate":1613634875074,"gmtModify":1613634875074,"author":{"id":"3489488027523471","authorId":"3489488027523471","authorIdStr":"3489488027523471","name":"人生如戏戏人生","avatar":"https://static.tiger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target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$理想汽车(LI)$</a> 收益率曲线也要给我看,正儿八经的高手来,非诚勿扰","listText":"我准备在老虎上招聘四个操盘手,一定要给我看实盘,我看看你的水平,然后我会每个人给50万帮**盘,盈利了对半分,具体面谈,忽悠我的就不要来了我的联系方式看我的头像,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$理想汽车(LI)$</a> 收益率曲线也要给我看,正儿八经的高手来,非诚勿扰","text":"我准备在老虎上招聘四个操盘手,一定要给我看实盘,我看看你的水平,然后我会每个人给50万帮**盘,盈利了对半分,具体面谈,忽悠我的就不要来了我的联系方式看我的头像,$蔚来(NIO)$ $特斯拉(TSLA)$ $理想汽车(LI)$ 收益率曲线也要给我看,正儿八经的高手来,非诚勿扰","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/390075157","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1649,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":306028172,"gmtCreate":1604115349796,"gmtModify":1703832120896,"author":{"id":"3489488027523471","authorId":"3489488027523471","authorIdStr":"3489488027523471","name":"人生如戏戏人生","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e24058bf84760fe386a99ab80940287e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"为何不说女的奇葩,反说男的,报道的人才奇葩","listText":"为何不说女的奇葩,反说男的,报道的人才奇葩","text":"为何不说女的奇葩,反说男的,报道的人才奇葩","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/306028172","repostId":"308421828","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":308421828,"gmtCreate":1604052736155,"gmtModify":1703831857197,"author":{"id":"3494420044734025","authorId":"3494420044734025","authorIdStr":"3494420044734025","name":"Lady_Susu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7655df6b0f443f50fb6475e358d661c0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"男子相亲不愿付203元饭钱,坚持要等女方来AA,店家气到报警!","htmlText":"哎,最近赔惨了,还是挖篇八卦聊聊天,换换心情吧! 最近,陕西西安一名男子相亲不愿付203元饭钱,惹店家愤怒报警,引发了热议。 据了解,该名男子因坚持要和相亲对象\"AA\"付款,不肯支付203元饭钱,逼得店家无奈报警,最后民警苦劝无果,只好替他担负了一半的饭钱。 说好要AA,她却先走了 10月26日,该男子和一女性相亲,二人选了一家餐厅吃饭,席间该男子提出这顿饭钱需要由两人共同支付,对方也同意了。谁料酒足饭饱后,相亲对象提出饭钱先由该男子支付,回家后再转账,转身就走了。 男子称,相亲女子还带了一个陌生人,点了一桌子菜,一共花了203元。两人说好AA,女子先行离开后就联系不上了,男子便死活不肯结账。 在多次联系这名女子未果后,他认定该名女子是想赖账,他也拒绝支付这203元的饭钱。僵持之下,商家只好报警。 苦劝无果,民警从中调解 接到报警后,面对该男子的行为,民警也显得有些无奈。民警向该男子承诺,该男子先付他的那一半,剩下那一半由民警联系该女子支付。面对民警的提议,男子欣然应允,\"大手一挥\"表示他多出一点,付个102元。 这时早看不惯该男子所作所为的商家直接出言嘲讽:\"别多付,你付你的,就101.5元!省的晚上你睡不着觉。\"面对店家的讽刺,这名男子丝毫不在意,真就付了101.5元。 目前,善后事宜正在进一步处理中。 小气还是有原则?对于该男子的行为,网友产生了两种截然不同的看法。 一部分网友认为,根据民俗,男女相亲理应由男子支付饭钱,但该男子却对几百块的饭钱耿耿于怀,就连5角钱也要斤斤计较,不免太吝啬,难怪找不到对象。 还有一部分网友认为,现在讲究男女平等,何况相亲本就是两个陌生人坐在一起吃顿饭,AA理所应当。这名男子一开始就提出了AA,对方也答应了,却在结账时溜走,该男子不肯妥协很有原则。 现如今,相亲已成为单身男女难以避免的人生经历,而饭桌也成了相亲对象间初见考验彼此的第一","listText":"哎,最近赔惨了,还是挖篇八卦聊聊天,换换心情吧! 最近,陕西西安一名男子相亲不愿付203元饭钱,惹店家愤怒报警,引发了热议。 据了解,该名男子因坚持要和相亲对象\"AA\"付款,不肯支付203元饭钱,逼得店家无奈报警,最后民警苦劝无果,只好替他担负了一半的饭钱。 说好要AA,她却先走了 10月26日,该男子和一女性相亲,二人选了一家餐厅吃饭,席间该男子提出这顿饭钱需要由两人共同支付,对方也同意了。谁料酒足饭饱后,相亲对象提出饭钱先由该男子支付,回家后再转账,转身就走了。 男子称,相亲女子还带了一个陌生人,点了一桌子菜,一共花了203元。两人说好AA,女子先行离开后就联系不上了,男子便死活不肯结账。 在多次联系这名女子未果后,他认定该名女子是想赖账,他也拒绝支付这203元的饭钱。僵持之下,商家只好报警。 苦劝无果,民警从中调解 接到报警后,面对该男子的行为,民警也显得有些无奈。民警向该男子承诺,该男子先付他的那一半,剩下那一半由民警联系该女子支付。面对民警的提议,男子欣然应允,\"大手一挥\"表示他多出一点,付个102元。 这时早看不惯该男子所作所为的商家直接出言嘲讽:\"别多付,你付你的,就101.5元!省的晚上你睡不着觉。\"面对店家的讽刺,这名男子丝毫不在意,真就付了101.5元。 目前,善后事宜正在进一步处理中。 小气还是有原则?对于该男子的行为,网友产生了两种截然不同的看法。 一部分网友认为,根据民俗,男女相亲理应由男子支付饭钱,但该男子却对几百块的饭钱耿耿于怀,就连5角钱也要斤斤计较,不免太吝啬,难怪找不到对象。 还有一部分网友认为,现在讲究男女平等,何况相亲本就是两个陌生人坐在一起吃顿饭,AA理所应当。这名男子一开始就提出了AA,对方也答应了,却在结账时溜走,该男子不肯妥协很有原则。 现如今,相亲已成为单身男女难以避免的人生经历,而饭桌也成了相亲对象间初见考验彼此的第一","text":"哎,最近赔惨了,还是挖篇八卦聊聊天,换换心情吧! 最近,陕西西安一名男子相亲不愿付203元饭钱,惹店家愤怒报警,引发了热议。 据了解,该名男子因坚持要和相亲对象\"AA\"付款,不肯支付203元饭钱,逼得店家无奈报警,最后民警苦劝无果,只好替他担负了一半的饭钱。 说好要AA,她却先走了 10月26日,该男子和一女性相亲,二人选了一家餐厅吃饭,席间该男子提出这顿饭钱需要由两人共同支付,对方也同意了。谁料酒足饭饱后,相亲对象提出饭钱先由该男子支付,回家后再转账,转身就走了。 男子称,相亲女子还带了一个陌生人,点了一桌子菜,一共花了203元。两人说好AA,女子先行离开后就联系不上了,男子便死活不肯结账。 在多次联系这名女子未果后,他认定该名女子是想赖账,他也拒绝支付这203元的饭钱。僵持之下,商家只好报警。 苦劝无果,民警从中调解 接到报警后,面对该男子的行为,民警也显得有些无奈。民警向该男子承诺,该男子先付他的那一半,剩下那一半由民警联系该女子支付。面对民警的提议,男子欣然应允,\"大手一挥\"表示他多出一点,付个102元。 这时早看不惯该男子所作所为的商家直接出言嘲讽:\"别多付,你付你的,就101.5元!省的晚上你睡不着觉。\"面对店家的讽刺,这名男子丝毫不在意,真就付了101.5元。 目前,善后事宜正在进一步处理中。 小气还是有原则?对于该男子的行为,网友产生了两种截然不同的看法。 一部分网友认为,根据民俗,男女相亲理应由男子支付饭钱,但该男子却对几百块的饭钱耿耿于怀,就连5角钱也要斤斤计较,不免太吝啬,难怪找不到对象。 还有一部分网友认为,现在讲究男女平等,何况相亲本就是两个陌生人坐在一起吃顿饭,AA理所应当。这名男子一开始就提出了AA,对方也答应了,却在结账时溜走,该男子不肯妥协很有原则。 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这次我顶大队长!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374958","repostId":"373693","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":373693,"gmtCreate":1547002788752,"gmtModify":1704786161110,"author":{"id":"74125836878304","authorId":"74125836878304","authorIdStr":"74125836878304","name":"空军大队长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/491ac6b2de4e6f00b0c07853ca1c186b","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"雷军一年不抛售,我一年不卖小米,","htmlText":"$小米集团-W(01810)$ 今天小米翻红,你们信不信???","listText":"$小米集团-W(01810)$ 今天小米翻红,你们信不信???","text":"$小米集团-W(01810)$ 今天小米翻红,你们信不信???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373693","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":225,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3494453283552791","authorId":"3494453283552791","authorIdStr":"3494453283552791","name":"随缘补刀","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f340eb0e2002a62c02a115c375d3950","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"不看好的,卖,做空,都无所谓; 看好的,买,持仓,观望,都无所谓; 只要不谣言不起哄不骂娘,(股票可是你自己买的。) 做好自己的决定,愿赌服输,落子无悔,即可。","text":"不看好的,卖,做空,都无所谓; 看好的,买,持仓,观望,都无所谓; 只要不谣言不起哄不骂娘,(股票可是你自己买的。) 做好自己的决定,愿赌服输,落子无悔,即可。","html":"不看好的,卖,做空,都无所谓; 看好的,买,持仓,观望,都无所谓; 只要不谣言不起哄不骂娘,(股票可是你自己买的。) 做好自己的决定,愿赌服输,落子无悔,即可。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":994392837,"gmtCreate":1566469734229,"gmtModify":1704714483403,"author":{"id":"3489488027523471","authorId":"3489488027523471","authorIdStr":"3489488027523471","name":"人生如戏戏人生","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e24058bf84760fe386a99ab80940287e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WUBA\">$58同城(WUBA)$</a> 空他","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WUBA\">$58同城(WUBA)$</a> 空他","text":"$58同城(WUBA)$ 空他","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/994392837","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":177,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":906936341,"gmtCreate":1558557314183,"gmtModify":1704696846006,"author":{"id":"3489488027523471","authorId":"3489488027523471","authorIdStr":"3489488027523471","name":"人生如戏戏人生","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e24058bf84760fe386a99ab80940287e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"不睬,你告诉我多少股//@正道至简Fisher:开盘就做空$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$ ,猜猜赚了多少。[得意][得意][得意][得意]","listText":"不睬,你告诉我多少股//@正道至简Fisher:开盘就做空$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$ ,猜猜赚了多少。[得意][得意][得意][得意]","text":"不睬,你告诉我多少股//@正道至简Fisher:开盘就做空$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$ ,猜猜赚了多少。[得意][得意][得意][得意]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/906936341","repostId":"1122789805","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122789805","pubTimestamp":1558511805,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122789805?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2019-05-22 15:56","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"瑞幸才是真正的牛X民族企业","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122789805","media":"半佛仙人","summary":"这篇文章,来教你们如何正确认识瑞幸,这是一家具有国际主义精神的爱国企业,你们不要乱联想。","content":"<p><b>注:瑞幸咖啡<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LK\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LK\">$(LK)$</a></a>上市第四个交易日跌破发行价17美元。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e258482f495f7140969460b4bc2c006\"></p>\n<p><b>来源:仙人JUMP</b></p>\n<p><b>作者:半佛仙人</b></p>\n<p><b>0</b></p>\n<p>最近很多朋友让我谈谈瑞幸咖啡<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LK\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LK\">$(LK)$</a></a>,而且字里行间都是对瑞幸咖啡的不认同和不屑,说什么资本游戏云云。</p>\n<p>我觉得这种态度很有问题,大家都是成年人了,看破不说破是基础美德,你们的语言表达还是不妥,建议加大力度。</p>\n<p>瑞幸不好吗?</p>\n<p>好不好,主要看你从什么角度来看这件事儿,我其实觉得瑞幸还挺好。</p>\n<p>在我眼中,作为一个消费者,能够低成本的喝到咖啡,而且公司还是烧的资本方的钱,这种劫富济贫的好事儿,有什么可BB的</p>\n<p>而且和大多数圈钱企业比起来,瑞幸已经做的很好了。</p>\n<p>这篇文章,来教你们如何正确认识瑞幸,这是一家具有国际主义精神的爱国企业,你们不要乱联想。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26a3b39bfb275ad34c85cfba7b9a9597\"><span>1</span></p>\n<p>一般来说,互联网企业依照业务划分,分为toB(面向企业用户)和toC(面向个人用户)。</p>\n<p>ToB的产品主要为企业提供服务,例如阿里云。</p>\n<p>ToC的产品主要直接接触用户个体,例如微信。</p>\n<p>众所周知的是,大多数互联网企业本身不怎么赚钱,要靠风险投资人(VC)的投资活着。</p>\n<p>所以不管业务本身toBtoC,只有toVC的企业,才能有资本参与这个游戏。</p>\n<p>如何才能说服资本给你投资?</p>\n<p>很简单,讲故事,告诉资本你看这个市场他又大又圆,就像这张钞票他又长又宽。</p>\n<p>投资人一看你的free style,他就pick你了。</p>\n<p>所以讲故事,才是很多国内互联网企业的核心竞争力,真正牛逼的企业都是toBtoC一起上,做成toSBVC,大家都非常real。</p>\n<p>而瑞幸,则是当前国内互联网公司的故事大王,可惜没有生在乐视的年代,不然一场故事大王争夺战怕是在所难免。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c7f3ab42086e2b82085bc40ac1e85b7\"></p>\n<p><b>2</b></p>\n<p>瑞幸的故事本身非常简单,就1个点。</p>\n<p><b>中国是世界上最大的消费市场之一,但咖啡在这里还是一片蓝海,所以有机会。</b></p>\n<p>客观来说,中国人的人均咖啡消费量极低,即使在存在星巴克的基础上,依然消费量极低,人们去星巴克多数时候不是喝咖啡的,而是装逼的。</p>\n<p>正所谓咖啡难喝逼好装,很多人要的就是那种高大上的感觉,一个星巴克的杯子搭配Macbook以及正午的阳光外加莱卡摄像头配合美图秀秀五档美颜,啧啧啧,office,office。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3028cf1bf06ee43218b640aa0fd70999\"></p>\n<p>但在欧美日韩这种成熟咖啡市场,咖啡=豆浆。</p>\n<p>人人都喝,像喝水一样,人均年消费咖啡杯数在300,这就是巨大的增量。</p>\n<p>并且咖啡本身是具有成瘾性的消费品,完全可以和香烟媲美,粘度高;</p>\n<p>咖啡工艺还可以标准化制作,且毛利丰厚;</p>\n<p>国内的O2O及其发达,用户习惯使用APP下单,基础设施完善;</p>\n<p>星巴克多年耕耘,为后来者踩平了认知界限,大家知道是什么;</p>\n<p>中国市场什么都有了,就缺一家真正的互联网咖啡巨头,这里存在巨大的想象空间。</p>\n<p>平心而论,实事求是的讲,这确实是一个好故事,从逻辑上是可以闭环的。</p>\n<p>逻辑很重要,逻辑闭环更重要,VC就喜欢这些道道,所以他们很容易被坑。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/022b8343f2fa1941cbb1153dcf0131bf\"></p>\n<p><b>3</b></p>\n<p>瑞幸的故事本身没有什么问题,他们说的都是实话。</p>\n<p>但问题在于,瑞幸的玩法和他们的说法不太一致。</p>\n<p>按照道理来说,培养国人的咖啡审美也好,喝咖啡的习惯也好,Diss豆浆也好,起码得有一个像样的味道吧。</p>\n<p>但是瑞幸的咖啡,在味道层面,确实是有点弯道超车星巴克的感觉,星巴克够难喝了,瑞幸还要难喝。</p>\n<p>当然瑞幸咖啡好喝不好喝这件事儿,重要吗?</p>\n<p>虽然我觉得瑞幸的咖啡口味像刷锅水,但是别人未必这么想。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5e1271f16ef66c6dfa2ee913d96ccd8\"></p>\n<p>起码我就在后台看到了诸如泔水,王水,白花蛇草水,黑松沙士水等多样性的描述。</p>\n<p>花一样钱买5样,你们这些消费者怎么就这么难伺候?</p>\n<p>要多从自己身上找原因知道吗,你的舌头比得上意大利金奖咖啡豆吗,你的舌头开过光吗?</p>\n<p>你知道绝大多数人喝瑞幸和星巴克(这俩差不多难喝)的都是喝牛奶的吗,各种星冰乐拿铁瑞纳冰之类的才是卖的最好的,本质上这俩都不算卖咖啡的,而是卖牛奶的。</p>\n<p>质疑牛奶销售巨头的咖啡好不好喝,我觉得很荒谬。</p>\n<p>所以大家不要质疑瑞幸咖啡难喝了,我觉得这对于瑞幸是不公平的。</p>\n<p>起码人家的牛奶还不错嘛。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb38fb283c5a85d75f9112227294f258\"></p>\n<p><b>4</b></p>\n<p>不说口味了,说说瑞幸的打法。</p>\n<p>瑞幸的运营打法比其口味还要一言难尽。</p>\n<p>他们的打法简单来说就是,烧钱,扩张,拿融资,继续烧钱扩张。</p>\n<p>这条路非常熟悉,羊毛党了解下。</p>\n<p>说道烧钱,互联网公司烧钱本身不是问题,百团大战,打车大战,O2O之战,共享单车之战,我们见识过烧钱的公司,烧钱背后必然有一定的逻辑。</p>\n<p>烧钱也分为正经烧钱和SB烧钱。</p>\n<p>区别在于烧钱,能换回什么?</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/faedd7ed6ee9dbd226e171301a6676a4\"></p>\n<p>正经烧钱就是滴滴美团这种,在烧钱的同时,换回足够的GMV和现金流,可以把雪球滚大。</p>\n<p>支付宝,亚马逊也都是正经烧钱,烧掉的是利润,获得的是现金和市场份额,这种烧钱是可以理解的,是低碳环保可持续的。</p>\n<p>而SB烧钱,就是钱烧出去了,但是什么都没有换回来,例如共享单车,烧了这么多钱,连根毛都没赚回来。</p>\n<p>当然OFO这种从押金上大赚一笔的公司是真的骚,OFO破了我投资生涯的不败金身,连P2P都没做到这一点。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1bbf1369140bf63aef21dd7449e94485\"></p>\n<p>那么瑞幸是哪一种的?</p>\n<p>瑞幸是二者的结合版,客观来说,瑞幸烧钱烧出了GMV,不能说是SB烧钱;</p>\n<p>但与此同时,从财报上看,瑞幸又没烧出现金,不能说是正经烧钱。</p>\n<p>这种烧钱,叫做正经SB烧钱。</p>\n<p>具有创新意义。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3bc396ef8e45a1efa7e1564f6d81e0b\"><span>5</span></p>\n<p>多亏瑞幸上市了,财报公开了,我们才能看到瑞幸这种神奇的烧钱到底怎么玩儿的。</p>\n<p>财报显示,瑞幸2018年亏了16亿,基本上融资的钱都赔进去了。</p>\n<p>咖啡单价与亏损作对比,基本算是卖1杯赔2杯的水准,这比买一送二可猛多了。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c359d6f4bc1043ec415c631cfa4d4586\"></p>\n<p>星巴克本身只是被瑞幸拿来蹭蹭估值的,并不进去。</p>\n<p>截止2019年3月31日,瑞幸在开店上,支出1.26亿,平均每间店60.8万。</p>\n<p>嗯,那种10平米的犄角旮旯的外卖店,一家60万,这个数字比较值得玩味。</p>\n<p>这种数字属于看表看不出问题但是个人都觉得有问题,除非是把咖啡店的地皮也一起买了。</p>\n<p>当然,瑞幸是把广告费算进去了,但是分众也好,新潮也好,其广告费的水分和折扣都是很有趣的,作为专业反商业作弊的,我有很多不能说的故事。</p>\n<p>你们气不气?</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e8f26bd8a23cada5ad2778c3e23c756\"></p>\n<p>获客成本方面,2018Q1的获客成本高达103.5元,其中赠饮成本为15.8元/人,超过了三亿人都在砍的拼多多(90+元),Q2.Q3逐渐下降,降到54.7元和51.6元,到了2019年,获客成本降到了16.9元/人,其中赠饮成本为6.9元/人。</p>\n<p>总体成本上来看,瑞幸控制住了,这又是一个看起来没问题但其实哪里不对的数字。</p>\n<p>为什么单杯咖啡赠饮成本降低了?</p>\n<p>咖啡豆本身的价格是稳定的,难道是把咖啡机折旧也算进去了?</p>\n<p>OK,折旧算进去没问题,但是反过来说,2018年的成本里,是不是虚高的?</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ddddf3db5df1c84dff3a5d251de15b45\"></p>\n<p>那么所谓的16亿亏损里,到底多少是刻意做出来的,多少是给后面降低成本做的铺垫?</p>\n<p>再仔细看看财报,你会发现,财报里多处有这个明显的趋势。</p>\n<p>这个叫做欲扬先抑,把早期财报做差,近期财报做好,整个曲线就很好看。</p>\n<p>作为一家从创立开始就奔着华尔街去的公司,瑞幸很清楚,华尔街就喜欢这种财报。</p>\n<p>只能感叹其操盘手的牛逼。</p>\n<p>互利网咖啡牛逼。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/134112e595c683066a31551f80976f3d\"><span>6</span></p>\n<p>作为一家正常的企业,即使是互联网烧钱toSBVC企业,烧钱的前提依然是能够在未来以某种形式回本。</p>\n<p>滴滴在这点上做的很成功。</p>\n<p>他烧秃了,也变强了。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9beff36068a73c02dc512b63cd25305\"></p>\n<p>但是瑞幸的亏损与其他公司不太一样,你可以从财报里看到他们的亏损虽然下降,但是整体业务趋势依然是现金流不涨反降的。</p>\n<p>这是一种烧到连现金流都干了的那种烧钱。</p>\n<p>并且瑞幸很麻烦的一个问题是,按照他们当前的节奏,如果在停止补贴后,消费者是不会再选择他们的,因为味道和便利店一样(咖啡机用的确实也是一样的型号),价格却高很多,甚至都和星巴克差不多了。</p>\n<p>所以瑞幸的烧钱是停不下来的,一旦停下来,顾客粘性是一个问题。</p>\n<p>如果价格和星巴克一样了,我为什么不能去装逼顺道获得一杯刷锅水呢?</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17c6bc4142262e903fa63c805ed5ee4d\"></p>\n<p>如果说瑞幸背后有几个巨大的金主支持,那么烧起来也没什么问题,投个几百亿美金进来,可劲儿烧,烧出一片天。</p>\n<p>但瑞幸本身又是极度缺钱缺现金的,他们甚至把所有咖啡机都做了动产质押换4500万人民币现金,一家号称要烧几十亿教育中国13亿人民的咖啡教父,把自己的核心生产资料去换了这么点钱,很魔幻,真的。</p>\n<p>而瑞幸本次上市,其真实原因就是一级市场找不到钱了(VC不给他们加价了或者烧不起了),只能去韭菜更多的二级市场去找钱。</p>\n<p>而且还是美国韭菜的钱,真是一家伟大的公司。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed1a2d6b20e25411586230ee550ab7fb\"></p>\n<p><b>7</b></p>\n<p>OK,同学们我们敲一下黑板,总结下。</p>\n<p>第一个是瑞幸的财报中出现了很多刻意的痕迹。</p>\n<p>第二个是瑞幸的烧钱是深不见底的烧钱,连现金流都没有换回来,现金极度饥渴。</p>\n<p>第三个是瑞幸的烧钱停不下来,停下来就没有了增长的故事。</p>\n<p>第四个是瑞幸本身的产品对比便利店咖啡没有突出优势(一样的机器,甚至便利店还是冷鲜奶,瑞幸是盒装奶)。</p>\n<p>第五个是注意看瑞幸的股东结构,前几轮投资人,都是那一个圈子里的人,属于互相接盘。</p>\n<p>做咖啡,但是咖啡不好喝;</p>\n<p>烧钱,但是也没烧出什么真正刚需;</p>\n<p>有融资,但都是同一批人传来传去;</p>\n<p>对标星巴克,但除了味道一样难喝外并不能提供装逼功能;</p>\n<p>瑞幸到底在干什么?</p>\n<p>很多人在后台说什么瑞幸给资本家洗钱,通过烧钱创业把外汇外流之类的阴谋论,我看的笔记都停不下来。</p>\n<p>群众的想象力真的魔幻,我得记下来。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/094cf74471dbdcec906e6cbd7cb7edb5\"></p>\n<p>请你们停止阴谋论,不要在这种时候乱联想。</p>\n<p>作为做过反洗钱的人,这种方法洗钱效率又低,还容易惹麻烦,而且资产折现率也不高,并不是好方法,内保外贷和地下钱庄才是最好的洗钱手段。</p>\n<p>排除所有不可能的答案,真相只有一个。</p>\n<p>其实真实的瑞幸是一家不赚钱的公益企业。</p>\n<p>他们诞生的目的就是用投资人的钱让我们喝到便宜的咖啡,一开始就不想赚钱。</p>\n<p>首先是割资本的韭菜肥了我们平民。</p>\n<p>然后他们上市,割美国韭菜补贴我们平民。</p>\n<p>堪称美股市场里的中华良心杯,其他企业都该学学。</p>\n<p>最后可能是卖给资本市场著名的接盘侠软银孙正义(注意另一个烧钱大神OYO,都是一批),抗日先锋。</p>\n<p>甚至还可能美股退市,回归A股,让每一个人不仅能喝到咖啡,还能买到更好的股票,买1赔2的那种高潜力股票。</p>\n<p>这才是真正的公益!</p>\n<p>至于你信不信,我反正是信了。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>瑞幸才是真正的牛X民族企业</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n瑞幸才是真正的牛X民族企业\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2019-05-22 15:56 北京时间 <a href=http://tech.sina.com.cn/csj/2019-05-22/doc-ihvhiqay0501098.shtml><strong>半佛仙人</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>注:瑞幸咖啡$(LK)$上市第四个交易日跌破发行价17美元。\n\n来源:仙人JUMP\n作者:半佛仙人\n0\n最近很多朋友让我谈谈瑞幸咖啡$(LK)$,而且字里行间都是对瑞幸咖啡的不认同和不屑,说什么资本游戏云云。\n我觉得这种态度很有问题,大家都是成年人了,看破不说破是基础美德,你们的语言表达还是不妥,建议加大力度。\n瑞幸不好吗?\n好不好,主要看你从什么角度来看这件事儿,我其实觉得瑞幸还挺好。\n在我眼中...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://tech.sina.com.cn/csj/2019-05-22/doc-ihvhiqay0501098.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65c6455ef80d23573ed85d61bbc37d01","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"http://tech.sina.com.cn/csj/2019-05-22/doc-ihvhiqay0501098.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122789805","content_text":"注:瑞幸咖啡$(LK)$上市第四个交易日跌破发行价17美元。\n\n来源:仙人JUMP\n作者:半佛仙人\n0\n最近很多朋友让我谈谈瑞幸咖啡$(LK)$,而且字里行间都是对瑞幸咖啡的不认同和不屑,说什么资本游戏云云。\n我觉得这种态度很有问题,大家都是成年人了,看破不说破是基础美德,你们的语言表达还是不妥,建议加大力度。\n瑞幸不好吗?\n好不好,主要看你从什么角度来看这件事儿,我其实觉得瑞幸还挺好。\n在我眼中,作为一个消费者,能够低成本的喝到咖啡,而且公司还是烧的资本方的钱,这种劫富济贫的好事儿,有什么可BB的\n而且和大多数圈钱企业比起来,瑞幸已经做的很好了。\n这篇文章,来教你们如何正确认识瑞幸,这是一家具有国际主义精神的爱国企业,你们不要乱联想。\n1\n一般来说,互联网企业依照业务划分,分为toB(面向企业用户)和toC(面向个人用户)。\nToB的产品主要为企业提供服务,例如阿里云。\nToC的产品主要直接接触用户个体,例如微信。\n众所周知的是,大多数互联网企业本身不怎么赚钱,要靠风险投资人(VC)的投资活着。\n所以不管业务本身toBtoC,只有toVC的企业,才能有资本参与这个游戏。\n如何才能说服资本给你投资?\n很简单,讲故事,告诉资本你看这个市场他又大又圆,就像这张钞票他又长又宽。\n投资人一看你的free style,他就pick你了。\n所以讲故事,才是很多国内互联网企业的核心竞争力,真正牛逼的企业都是toBtoC一起上,做成toSBVC,大家都非常real。\n而瑞幸,则是当前国内互联网公司的故事大王,可惜没有生在乐视的年代,不然一场故事大王争夺战怕是在所难免。\n\n2\n瑞幸的故事本身非常简单,就1个点。\n中国是世界上最大的消费市场之一,但咖啡在这里还是一片蓝海,所以有机会。\n客观来说,中国人的人均咖啡消费量极低,即使在存在星巴克的基础上,依然消费量极低,人们去星巴克多数时候不是喝咖啡的,而是装逼的。\n正所谓咖啡难喝逼好装,很多人要的就是那种高大上的感觉,一个星巴克的杯子搭配Macbook以及正午的阳光外加莱卡摄像头配合美图秀秀五档美颜,啧啧啧,office,office。\n\n但在欧美日韩这种成熟咖啡市场,咖啡=豆浆。\n人人都喝,像喝水一样,人均年消费咖啡杯数在300,这就是巨大的增量。\n并且咖啡本身是具有成瘾性的消费品,完全可以和香烟媲美,粘度高;\n咖啡工艺还可以标准化制作,且毛利丰厚;\n国内的O2O及其发达,用户习惯使用APP下单,基础设施完善;\n星巴克多年耕耘,为后来者踩平了认知界限,大家知道是什么;\n中国市场什么都有了,就缺一家真正的互联网咖啡巨头,这里存在巨大的想象空间。\n平心而论,实事求是的讲,这确实是一个好故事,从逻辑上是可以闭环的。\n逻辑很重要,逻辑闭环更重要,VC就喜欢这些道道,所以他们很容易被坑。\n\n3\n瑞幸的故事本身没有什么问题,他们说的都是实话。\n但问题在于,瑞幸的玩法和他们的说法不太一致。\n按照道理来说,培养国人的咖啡审美也好,喝咖啡的习惯也好,Diss豆浆也好,起码得有一个像样的味道吧。\n但是瑞幸的咖啡,在味道层面,确实是有点弯道超车星巴克的感觉,星巴克够难喝了,瑞幸还要难喝。\n当然瑞幸咖啡好喝不好喝这件事儿,重要吗?\n虽然我觉得瑞幸的咖啡口味像刷锅水,但是别人未必这么想。\n\n起码我就在后台看到了诸如泔水,王水,白花蛇草水,黑松沙士水等多样性的描述。\n花一样钱买5样,你们这些消费者怎么就这么难伺候?\n要多从自己身上找原因知道吗,你的舌头比得上意大利金奖咖啡豆吗,你的舌头开过光吗?\n你知道绝大多数人喝瑞幸和星巴克(这俩差不多难喝)的都是喝牛奶的吗,各种星冰乐拿铁瑞纳冰之类的才是卖的最好的,本质上这俩都不算卖咖啡的,而是卖牛奶的。\n质疑牛奶销售巨头的咖啡好不好喝,我觉得很荒谬。\n所以大家不要质疑瑞幸咖啡难喝了,我觉得这对于瑞幸是不公平的。\n起码人家的牛奶还不错嘛。\n\n4\n不说口味了,说说瑞幸的打法。\n瑞幸的运营打法比其口味还要一言难尽。\n他们的打法简单来说就是,烧钱,扩张,拿融资,继续烧钱扩张。\n这条路非常熟悉,羊毛党了解下。\n说道烧钱,互联网公司烧钱本身不是问题,百团大战,打车大战,O2O之战,共享单车之战,我们见识过烧钱的公司,烧钱背后必然有一定的逻辑。\n烧钱也分为正经烧钱和SB烧钱。\n区别在于烧钱,能换回什么?\n\n正经烧钱就是滴滴美团这种,在烧钱的同时,换回足够的GMV和现金流,可以把雪球滚大。\n支付宝,亚马逊也都是正经烧钱,烧掉的是利润,获得的是现金和市场份额,这种烧钱是可以理解的,是低碳环保可持续的。\n而SB烧钱,就是钱烧出去了,但是什么都没有换回来,例如共享单车,烧了这么多钱,连根毛都没赚回来。\n当然OFO这种从押金上大赚一笔的公司是真的骚,OFO破了我投资生涯的不败金身,连P2P都没做到这一点。\n\n那么瑞幸是哪一种的?\n瑞幸是二者的结合版,客观来说,瑞幸烧钱烧出了GMV,不能说是SB烧钱;\n但与此同时,从财报上看,瑞幸又没烧出现金,不能说是正经烧钱。\n这种烧钱,叫做正经SB烧钱。\n具有创新意义。\n5\n多亏瑞幸上市了,财报公开了,我们才能看到瑞幸这种神奇的烧钱到底怎么玩儿的。\n财报显示,瑞幸2018年亏了16亿,基本上融资的钱都赔进去了。\n咖啡单价与亏损作对比,基本算是卖1杯赔2杯的水准,这比买一送二可猛多了。\n\n星巴克本身只是被瑞幸拿来蹭蹭估值的,并不进去。\n截止2019年3月31日,瑞幸在开店上,支出1.26亿,平均每间店60.8万。\n嗯,那种10平米的犄角旮旯的外卖店,一家60万,这个数字比较值得玩味。\n这种数字属于看表看不出问题但是个人都觉得有问题,除非是把咖啡店的地皮也一起买了。\n当然,瑞幸是把广告费算进去了,但是分众也好,新潮也好,其广告费的水分和折扣都是很有趣的,作为专业反商业作弊的,我有很多不能说的故事。\n你们气不气?\n\n获客成本方面,2018Q1的获客成本高达103.5元,其中赠饮成本为15.8元/人,超过了三亿人都在砍的拼多多(90+元),Q2.Q3逐渐下降,降到54.7元和51.6元,到了2019年,获客成本降到了16.9元/人,其中赠饮成本为6.9元/人。\n总体成本上来看,瑞幸控制住了,这又是一个看起来没问题但其实哪里不对的数字。\n为什么单杯咖啡赠饮成本降低了?\n咖啡豆本身的价格是稳定的,难道是把咖啡机折旧也算进去了?\nOK,折旧算进去没问题,但是反过来说,2018年的成本里,是不是虚高的?\n\n那么所谓的16亿亏损里,到底多少是刻意做出来的,多少是给后面降低成本做的铺垫?\n再仔细看看财报,你会发现,财报里多处有这个明显的趋势。\n这个叫做欲扬先抑,把早期财报做差,近期财报做好,整个曲线就很好看。\n作为一家从创立开始就奔着华尔街去的公司,瑞幸很清楚,华尔街就喜欢这种财报。\n只能感叹其操盘手的牛逼。\n互利网咖啡牛逼。\n6\n作为一家正常的企业,即使是互联网烧钱toSBVC企业,烧钱的前提依然是能够在未来以某种形式回本。\n滴滴在这点上做的很成功。\n他烧秃了,也变强了。\n\n但是瑞幸的亏损与其他公司不太一样,你可以从财报里看到他们的亏损虽然下降,但是整体业务趋势依然是现金流不涨反降的。\n这是一种烧到连现金流都干了的那种烧钱。\n并且瑞幸很麻烦的一个问题是,按照他们当前的节奏,如果在停止补贴后,消费者是不会再选择他们的,因为味道和便利店一样(咖啡机用的确实也是一样的型号),价格却高很多,甚至都和星巴克差不多了。\n所以瑞幸的烧钱是停不下来的,一旦停下来,顾客粘性是一个问题。\n如果价格和星巴克一样了,我为什么不能去装逼顺道获得一杯刷锅水呢?\n\n如果说瑞幸背后有几个巨大的金主支持,那么烧起来也没什么问题,投个几百亿美金进来,可劲儿烧,烧出一片天。\n但瑞幸本身又是极度缺钱缺现金的,他们甚至把所有咖啡机都做了动产质押换4500万人民币现金,一家号称要烧几十亿教育中国13亿人民的咖啡教父,把自己的核心生产资料去换了这么点钱,很魔幻,真的。\n而瑞幸本次上市,其真实原因就是一级市场找不到钱了(VC不给他们加价了或者烧不起了),只能去韭菜更多的二级市场去找钱。\n而且还是美国韭菜的钱,真是一家伟大的公司。\n\n7\nOK,同学们我们敲一下黑板,总结下。\n第一个是瑞幸的财报中出现了很多刻意的痕迹。\n第二个是瑞幸的烧钱是深不见底的烧钱,连现金流都没有换回来,现金极度饥渴。\n第三个是瑞幸的烧钱停不下来,停下来就没有了增长的故事。\n第四个是瑞幸本身的产品对比便利店咖啡没有突出优势(一样的机器,甚至便利店还是冷鲜奶,瑞幸是盒装奶)。\n第五个是注意看瑞幸的股东结构,前几轮投资人,都是那一个圈子里的人,属于互相接盘。\n做咖啡,但是咖啡不好喝;\n烧钱,但是也没烧出什么真正刚需;\n有融资,但都是同一批人传来传去;\n对标星巴克,但除了味道一样难喝外并不能提供装逼功能;\n瑞幸到底在干什么?\n很多人在后台说什么瑞幸给资本家洗钱,通过烧钱创业把外汇外流之类的阴谋论,我看的笔记都停不下来。\n群众的想象力真的魔幻,我得记下来。\n\n请你们停止阴谋论,不要在这种时候乱联想。\n作为做过反洗钱的人,这种方法洗钱效率又低,还容易惹麻烦,而且资产折现率也不高,并不是好方法,内保外贷和地下钱庄才是最好的洗钱手段。\n排除所有不可能的答案,真相只有一个。\n其实真实的瑞幸是一家不赚钱的公益企业。\n他们诞生的目的就是用投资人的钱让我们喝到便宜的咖啡,一开始就不想赚钱。\n首先是割资本的韭菜肥了我们平民。\n然后他们上市,割美国韭菜补贴我们平民。\n堪称美股市场里的中华良心杯,其他企业都该学学。\n最后可能是卖给资本市场著名的接盘侠软银孙正义(注意另一个烧钱大神OYO,都是一批),抗日先锋。\n甚至还可能美股退市,回归A股,让每一个人不仅能喝到咖啡,还能买到更好的股票,买1赔2的那种高潜力股票。\n这才是真正的公益!\n至于你信不信,我反正是信了。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":256,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":933410295,"gmtCreate":1570029356617,"gmtModify":1704720356534,"author":{"id":"3489488027523471","authorId":"3489488027523471","authorIdStr":"3489488027523471","name":"人生如戏戏人生","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e24058bf84760fe386a99ab80940287e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我还是个孩子,你给我看什么","listText":"我还是个孩子,你给我看什么","text":"我还是个孩子,你给我看什么","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/933410295","repostId":"933496049","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":933496049,"gmtCreate":1570025833681,"gmtModify":1704720339018,"author":{"id":"74125836878304","authorId":"74125836878304","authorIdStr":"74125836878304","name":"空军大队长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/491ac6b2de4e6f00b0c07853ca1c186b","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"title":"哎,亏光了,以后估计只能找个男人过下辈子了","htmlText":"生活好艰辛,炒股太难了,找嫩模的钱都没有了,在泰国看了几个人妖,感觉金融圈的人以后混的不好找能找人妖或者是同性恋了,哎,哎 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