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haha12138
07-26
第三
haha12138
05-11
perplexity 就是垃圾
抱歉,原内容已删除
haha12138
01-27
所以联储说通胀不到2%也能降息,经济增长的时候通过通胀去杠杆。更何况之后居民和企业可以重新上杠杆
美国GDP超预期,意味着软着陆?未必,还有个大隐患
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就是垃圾 ","listText":"perplexity 就是垃圾 ","text":"perplexity 就是垃圾","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/304550567801016","repostId":"1107841533","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":630,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":267454650818696,"gmtCreate":1706321021727,"gmtModify":1706326285752,"author":{"id":"4142649482538640","authorId":"4142649482538640","name":"haha12138","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7455cef4a28a7f83e91685652d97ca8e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4142649482538640","idStr":"4142649482538640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"所以联储说通胀不到2%也能降息,经济增长的时候通过通胀去杠杆。更何况之后居民和企业可以重新上杠杆","listText":"所以联储说通胀不到2%也能降息,经济增长的时候通过通胀去杠杆。更何况之后居民和企业可以重新上杠杆","text":"所以联储说通胀不到2%也能降息,经济增长的时候通过通胀去杠杆。更何况之后居民和企业可以重新上杠杆","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/267454650818696","repostId":"2406752471","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2406752471","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1706267413,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2406752471?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-01-26 19:10","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美国GDP超预期,意味着软着陆?未必,还有个大隐患","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2406752471","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美国四季度1美元的GDP增长,是用1.55美元赤字、超2.50美元债务换来的。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p><strong>美国四季度1美元的GDP增长,是用1.55美元赤字、超2.50美元债务换来的。</strong></p></blockquote><p>高利率下美国GDP大超预期,是用赤字和债务堆出来的高速增长。</p><p>隔夜,美国商务部发布的数据显示,美国第四季度实际GDP年化季环比初值按年增长3.3%,远超出市场预期的2%,美国2023年全年经济增长2.5%,相比之下2022年为1.9%。</p><p>具体来看,美国第四季度GDP增加了3290亿美元至27.939万亿美元,有分析指出,增长的主要因素是库存去化不足,尽管美元飙升但出口激增,以及医疗支出和房车购买支出激增。</p><p>对于这一增速,美国总统在X发文称:</p><blockquote><p>去年经济增长了3.1%,同时又增加了270万个就业岗位,核心通胀回落至疫情前水平,这意味着现在的工资、财富和就业率都高于疫情前。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/161a3b69b4d1fcc70cb3c2e73cb54af1\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"270\"/></p></blockquote><p>美国经济背后的增长动力是什么?或者说实现拜登口中通胀回落,经济保持增长付出了什么?</p><p>下图显示了以名义美元计算的第四季度GDP的变化,以及相应的美国预算赤字增长和债务的增加。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22b6c624b91db5b285b12f464abb0d2b\" tg-width=\"861\" tg-height=\"578\"/></p><p>可以看出,在同一时期,美国预算赤字增加了50%以上,达到5100亿美元。在同一时期,美国公共债务增加了8340 亿美元,较GDP增幅高出了154%。</p><p><strong>这意味着,需要1.55美元的预算赤字、超过2.50美元的债务才能换来1美元的经济增长。</strong></p><p>分析指出,去年美国债务增长了2.581万亿美元,这意味着GDP每增长1美元就会新增1.69美元的债务,也意味着每新增一个工作岗位,就会使未来几代美国人损失957100.48美元。</p><p>此前文章指出,分析预测如果按照目前的速度发展下去,2024年的赤字将高于2万亿美元。FRED数据显示,联邦利息支出总额正呈指数级增长,有史以来首次超过1万亿美元。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40b2e3b0b97364fb783ebb932b75df22\" tg-width=\"919\" tg-height=\"526\"/></p><p>债务方面,美国财政部本月初发布的报告显示,美国联邦债务首次达到34万亿美元。规模庞大的债务引发担忧,美国财长耶伦表示:</p><blockquote><p>34万亿美元的债务是一个“可怕的数字”,但美国同时也拥有庞大的经济。实际偿债成本仍然“相当可控”,我们必须采取措施确保赤字可控。</p></blockquote></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_hot_news","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国GDP超预期,意味着软着陆?未必,还有个大隐患\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-01-26 19:10 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3707284><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美国四季度1美元的GDP增长,是用1.55美元赤字、超2.50美元债务换来的。高利率下美国GDP大超预期,是用赤字和债务堆出来的高速增长。隔夜,美国商务部发布的数据显示,美国第四季度实际GDP年化季环比初值按年增长3.3%,远超出市场预期的2%,美国2023年全年经济增长2.5%,相比之下2022年为1.9%。具体来看,美国第四季度GDP增加了3290亿美元至27.939万亿美元,有分析指出,增长...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3707284\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3018013d3bf52fd8a6ece6aac1593aec","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3707284","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2406752471","content_text":"美国四季度1美元的GDP增长,是用1.55美元赤字、超2.50美元债务换来的。高利率下美国GDP大超预期,是用赤字和债务堆出来的高速增长。隔夜,美国商务部发布的数据显示,美国第四季度实际GDP年化季环比初值按年增长3.3%,远超出市场预期的2%,美国2023年全年经济增长2.5%,相比之下2022年为1.9%。具体来看,美国第四季度GDP增加了3290亿美元至27.939万亿美元,有分析指出,增长的主要因素是库存去化不足,尽管美元飙升但出口激增,以及医疗支出和房车购买支出激增。对于这一增速,美国总统在X发文称:去年经济增长了3.1%,同时又增加了270万个就业岗位,核心通胀回落至疫情前水平,这意味着现在的工资、财富和就业率都高于疫情前。美国经济背后的增长动力是什么?或者说实现拜登口中通胀回落,经济保持增长付出了什么?下图显示了以名义美元计算的第四季度GDP的变化,以及相应的美国预算赤字增长和债务的增加。可以看出,在同一时期,美国预算赤字增加了50%以上,达到5100亿美元。在同一时期,美国公共债务增加了8340 亿美元,较GDP增幅高出了154%。这意味着,需要1.55美元的预算赤字、超过2.50美元的债务才能换来1美元的经济增长。分析指出,去年美国债务增长了2.581万亿美元,这意味着GDP每增长1美元就会新增1.69美元的债务,也意味着每新增一个工作岗位,就会使未来几代美国人损失957100.48美元。此前文章指出,分析预测如果按照目前的速度发展下去,2024年的赤字将高于2万亿美元。FRED数据显示,联邦利息支出总额正呈指数级增长,有史以来首次超过1万亿美元。债务方面,美国财政部本月初发布的报告显示,美国联邦债务首次达到34万亿美元。规模庞大的债务引发担忧,美国财长耶伦表示:34万亿美元的债务是一个“可怕的数字”,但美国同时也拥有庞大的经济。实际偿债成本仍然“相当可控”,我们必须采取措施确保赤字可控。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":969,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":331775873925152,"gmtCreate":1722006751785,"gmtModify":1722006879577,"author":{"id":"4142649482538640","authorId":"4142649482538640","name":"haha12138","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7455cef4a28a7f83e91685652d97ca8e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4142649482538640","authorIdStr":"4142649482538640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"第三","listText":"第三","text":"第三","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6351115b371b5823cbeca6b9f5c823ee"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/331775873925152","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":345,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":304550567801016,"gmtCreate":1715387678687,"gmtModify":1715388810666,"author":{"id":"4142649482538640","authorId":"4142649482538640","name":"haha12138","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7455cef4a28a7f83e91685652d97ca8e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4142649482538640","authorIdStr":"4142649482538640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"perplexity 就是垃圾 ","listText":"perplexity 就是垃圾 ","text":"perplexity 就是垃圾","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/304550567801016","repostId":"1107841533","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1107841533","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1715387087,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1107841533?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-05-11 08:24","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"意外!OpenAI:下周一不会发布GPT-5,也不发布AI搜索引擎","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107841533","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"OpenAI再一次没有像市场爆料的时间线那样,推出其万众瞩目的基于AI的搜索产品。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><strong>当地时间周五,OpenAI宣布,将于5月13日下周一太平洋时间10:00网络直播一些关于ChatGPT的演示。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c667ddf5f95aafa47f94cc0ee951d479\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"595\" tg-height=\"418\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>出乎市场意外,Sam Altman在X平台上引用上述消息,并表示下周一不会发布GPT-5,也不会发布AI搜索引擎。</strong>他还说,“我们一直在努力开发一些我们认为人们会喜欢的新东西,对我来说感觉就像魔法一样。”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/734fec3229b4f6578da2be9ba4dc62d8\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"276\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>也就是说,OpenAI再一次没有像市场爆料的时间线那样,推出其万众瞩目的基于AI的搜索产品。</strong>从公告来看,OpenAI下周一将围绕其火爆的聊天机器人ChatGPT及其人工智能模型的更新展开。距离OpenAI发布上一款旗舰模型GPT-4已有一年多的时间了,新模型的发布备受期待。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">有网友表示失望,毕竟这不是第一次了,对于OpenAI来说,谣言就是谣言,并不等于遥远的预言。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c27e20fe7e097ee33503a6ea44ef820\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"422\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"> 有网友直言,如果OpenAI还不推出AI搜索引擎,它将失去目前人工智能领域苹果的地位。感觉这进入了一个代理方向,也许是一些用于更复杂任务的新功能,创建一个任务,然后在几分钟后完成。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e97aeefe2b687db0de5ecad6f9bc308\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"> 也有网友注意到,<strong>谷歌的股价反应是积极的,消息出来后,日内出现明显一波拉升,跌幅收窄。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c36460a81bab5330f15165eb45dd00d4\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"536\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_1150194483\" style=\"text-align: start;\">OpenAI的搜索引擎难产</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>就在不到24小时前,当地时间周四,据报道,OpenAI计划于下周一5月13日宣布其基于AI的搜索产品,以期与谷歌搜索竞争。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">上周就有多方位消息证实,OpenAI将发布备受瞩目的ChatGPT搜索引擎产品。OpenAI将会在当地时间5月9日上午10点公布该消息,大约是北京时间周五的凌晨2点。据悉,OpenAI将推出搜索网页,search.chatgpt.com域名和相关的SSL证书已经被创建,预计会在本周5月9日上线。OpenAI官方未对相关消息发表回应。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">上述5月9日的时间表爆料后几天,就另有报道称,OpenAI考虑推迟本周的产品发布活动。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">业内人士指出,OpenAI原定的5月9日发布时间表挺有意思的,因为5月14日谷歌将举行一年一度的“Google I/O”大会,OpenAI不希望谷歌的技术大会抢了该产品的风头。<strong>周四爆料的5月13日就在谷歌重磅大会的前一天。不过从最新情况来看,OpenAI最终还是没有“抢跑”谷歌。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">华尔街见闻网站此前文章介绍过,有幸运儿已经拿到了ChatGPT搜索的内测资格,总体评价不错,但仍有瑕疵。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">OpenAI的AI搜索长这样:</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">当询问ChatGPT Search关于苹果发布会的内容时,它能给出较快且精准的答案。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ade94d7148bd8c6bf5db209a61b26854\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"545\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">可当询问比特币价格这类实时性的信息时,它的表现就没那么给力了,给出的价格是62204美元,而当时比特币实时价格是63500美元左右。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e858ad1c9227205877066c6dbace2cc\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"266\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">ChatGPT搜索引擎不仅能准确地找到对应帖文,还能答出内容主题、发文用户、评论量等信息。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3f892b3b3df6fb824bf31241759dedc\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"226\"/></p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">网友对OpenAI的AI搜索评价是,对于它不知道的信息,会去联网,但对于非常实时的信息,依然不能很好地处理。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2912db5ea93b4b215d04396cadab014\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"271\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"> 截至发稿,“search.chatgpt.com”这个网址显示Not Found,此前网友反馈是,它是存在的,虽然现在访问会报错,但也预示着OpenAI早晚会正式推出搜索功能。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9680bc70542efb7388674dc5a5446738\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"357\" tg-height=\"73\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">作为AI的领头者,OpenAI依然面临巨大的压力。分析称,要想在AI聊天机器人领域保持领先,AI搜索是绕不过去的,现在包括谷歌及AI搜索初创公司Perplexity等竞争对手也在快马加鞭赶工。Perplexity已经凭借精准的AI搜索和引用功能获得了10亿美元的估值。谷歌也在全面AI化它的搜索引擎业务,并计划在下周的开发者大会上公布Gemini AI模型的最新计划。</p></body></html>","source":"live_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>意外!OpenAI:下周一不会发布GPT-5,也不发布AI搜索引擎</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n意外!OpenAI:下周一不会发布GPT-5,也不发布AI搜索引擎\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-05-11 08:24 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3714579><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>当地时间周五,OpenAI宣布,将于5月13日下周一太平洋时间10:00网络直播一些关于ChatGPT的演示。出乎市场意外,Sam Altman在X平台上引用上述消息,并表示下周一不会发布GPT-5,也不会发布AI搜索引擎。他还说,“我们一直在努力开发一些我们认为人们会喜欢的新东西,对我来说感觉就像魔法一样。”也就是说,OpenAI再一次没有像市场爆料的时间线那样,推出其万众瞩目的基于AI的搜索...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3714579\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/760056d3ed9e8c1a595c0d9f2094cc4d","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3714579","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1107841533","content_text":"当地时间周五,OpenAI宣布,将于5月13日下周一太平洋时间10:00网络直播一些关于ChatGPT的演示。出乎市场意外,Sam Altman在X平台上引用上述消息,并表示下周一不会发布GPT-5,也不会发布AI搜索引擎。他还说,“我们一直在努力开发一些我们认为人们会喜欢的新东西,对我来说感觉就像魔法一样。”也就是说,OpenAI再一次没有像市场爆料的时间线那样,推出其万众瞩目的基于AI的搜索产品。从公告来看,OpenAI下周一将围绕其火爆的聊天机器人ChatGPT及其人工智能模型的更新展开。距离OpenAI发布上一款旗舰模型GPT-4已有一年多的时间了,新模型的发布备受期待。有网友表示失望,毕竟这不是第一次了,对于OpenAI来说,谣言就是谣言,并不等于遥远的预言。 有网友直言,如果OpenAI还不推出AI搜索引擎,它将失去目前人工智能领域苹果的地位。感觉这进入了一个代理方向,也许是一些用于更复杂任务的新功能,创建一个任务,然后在几分钟后完成。 也有网友注意到,谷歌的股价反应是积极的,消息出来后,日内出现明显一波拉升,跌幅收窄。OpenAI的搜索引擎难产就在不到24小时前,当地时间周四,据报道,OpenAI计划于下周一5月13日宣布其基于AI的搜索产品,以期与谷歌搜索竞争。上周就有多方位消息证实,OpenAI将发布备受瞩目的ChatGPT搜索引擎产品。OpenAI将会在当地时间5月9日上午10点公布该消息,大约是北京时间周五的凌晨2点。据悉,OpenAI将推出搜索网页,search.chatgpt.com域名和相关的SSL证书已经被创建,预计会在本周5月9日上线。OpenAI官方未对相关消息发表回应。上述5月9日的时间表爆料后几天,就另有报道称,OpenAI考虑推迟本周的产品发布活动。业内人士指出,OpenAI原定的5月9日发布时间表挺有意思的,因为5月14日谷歌将举行一年一度的“Google I/O”大会,OpenAI不希望谷歌的技术大会抢了该产品的风头。周四爆料的5月13日就在谷歌重磅大会的前一天。不过从最新情况来看,OpenAI最终还是没有“抢跑”谷歌。华尔街见闻网站此前文章介绍过,有幸运儿已经拿到了ChatGPT搜索的内测资格,总体评价不错,但仍有瑕疵。OpenAI的AI搜索长这样:当询问ChatGPT Search关于苹果发布会的内容时,它能给出较快且精准的答案。可当询问比特币价格这类实时性的信息时,它的表现就没那么给力了,给出的价格是62204美元,而当时比特币实时价格是63500美元左右。ChatGPT搜索引擎不仅能准确地找到对应帖文,还能答出内容主题、发文用户、评论量等信息。网友对OpenAI的AI搜索评价是,对于它不知道的信息,会去联网,但对于非常实时的信息,依然不能很好地处理。 截至发稿,“search.chatgpt.com”这个网址显示Not Found,此前网友反馈是,它是存在的,虽然现在访问会报错,但也预示着OpenAI早晚会正式推出搜索功能。作为AI的领头者,OpenAI依然面临巨大的压力。分析称,要想在AI聊天机器人领域保持领先,AI搜索是绕不过去的,现在包括谷歌及AI搜索初创公司Perplexity等竞争对手也在快马加鞭赶工。Perplexity已经凭借精准的AI搜索和引用功能获得了10亿美元的估值。谷歌也在全面AI化它的搜索引擎业务,并计划在下周的开发者大会上公布Gemini AI模型的最新计划。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":630,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":267454650818696,"gmtCreate":1706321021727,"gmtModify":1706326285752,"author":{"id":"4142649482538640","authorId":"4142649482538640","name":"haha12138","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7455cef4a28a7f83e91685652d97ca8e","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4142649482538640","authorIdStr":"4142649482538640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"所以联储说通胀不到2%也能降息,经济增长的时候通过通胀去杠杆。更何况之后居民和企业可以重新上杠杆","listText":"所以联储说通胀不到2%也能降息,经济增长的时候通过通胀去杠杆。更何况之后居民和企业可以重新上杠杆","text":"所以联储说通胀不到2%也能降息,经济增长的时候通过通胀去杠杆。更何况之后居民和企业可以重新上杠杆","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/267454650818696","repostId":"2406752471","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2406752471","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1706267413,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2406752471?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-01-26 19:10","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美国GDP超预期,意味着软着陆?未必,还有个大隐患","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2406752471","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美国四季度1美元的GDP增长,是用1.55美元赤字、超2.50美元债务换来的。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p><strong>美国四季度1美元的GDP增长,是用1.55美元赤字、超2.50美元债务换来的。</strong></p></blockquote><p>高利率下美国GDP大超预期,是用赤字和债务堆出来的高速增长。</p><p>隔夜,美国商务部发布的数据显示,美国第四季度实际GDP年化季环比初值按年增长3.3%,远超出市场预期的2%,美国2023年全年经济增长2.5%,相比之下2022年为1.9%。</p><p>具体来看,美国第四季度GDP增加了3290亿美元至27.939万亿美元,有分析指出,增长的主要因素是库存去化不足,尽管美元飙升但出口激增,以及医疗支出和房车购买支出激增。</p><p>对于这一增速,美国总统在X发文称:</p><blockquote><p>去年经济增长了3.1%,同时又增加了270万个就业岗位,核心通胀回落至疫情前水平,这意味着现在的工资、财富和就业率都高于疫情前。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/161a3b69b4d1fcc70cb3c2e73cb54af1\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"270\"/></p></blockquote><p>美国经济背后的增长动力是什么?或者说实现拜登口中通胀回落,经济保持增长付出了什么?</p><p>下图显示了以名义美元计算的第四季度GDP的变化,以及相应的美国预算赤字增长和债务的增加。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22b6c624b91db5b285b12f464abb0d2b\" tg-width=\"861\" tg-height=\"578\"/></p><p>可以看出,在同一时期,美国预算赤字增加了50%以上,达到5100亿美元。在同一时期,美国公共债务增加了8340 亿美元,较GDP增幅高出了154%。</p><p><strong>这意味着,需要1.55美元的预算赤字、超过2.50美元的债务才能换来1美元的经济增长。</strong></p><p>分析指出,去年美国债务增长了2.581万亿美元,这意味着GDP每增长1美元就会新增1.69美元的债务,也意味着每新增一个工作岗位,就会使未来几代美国人损失957100.48美元。</p><p>此前文章指出,分析预测如果按照目前的速度发展下去,2024年的赤字将高于2万亿美元。FRED数据显示,联邦利息支出总额正呈指数级增长,有史以来首次超过1万亿美元。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40b2e3b0b97364fb783ebb932b75df22\" tg-width=\"919\" tg-height=\"526\"/></p><p>债务方面,美国财政部本月初发布的报告显示,美国联邦债务首次达到34万亿美元。规模庞大的债务引发担忧,美国财长耶伦表示:</p><blockquote><p>34万亿美元的债务是一个“可怕的数字”,但美国同时也拥有庞大的经济。实际偿债成本仍然“相当可控”,我们必须采取措施确保赤字可控。</p></blockquote></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_hot_news","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国GDP超预期,意味着软着陆?未必,还有个大隐患\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-01-26 19:10 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3707284><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美国四季度1美元的GDP增长,是用1.55美元赤字、超2.50美元债务换来的。高利率下美国GDP大超预期,是用赤字和债务堆出来的高速增长。隔夜,美国商务部发布的数据显示,美国第四季度实际GDP年化季环比初值按年增长3.3%,远超出市场预期的2%,美国2023年全年经济增长2.5%,相比之下2022年为1.9%。具体来看,美国第四季度GDP增加了3290亿美元至27.939万亿美元,有分析指出,增长...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3707284\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3018013d3bf52fd8a6ece6aac1593aec","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3707284","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2406752471","content_text":"美国四季度1美元的GDP增长,是用1.55美元赤字、超2.50美元债务换来的。高利率下美国GDP大超预期,是用赤字和债务堆出来的高速增长。隔夜,美国商务部发布的数据显示,美国第四季度实际GDP年化季环比初值按年增长3.3%,远超出市场预期的2%,美国2023年全年经济增长2.5%,相比之下2022年为1.9%。具体来看,美国第四季度GDP增加了3290亿美元至27.939万亿美元,有分析指出,增长的主要因素是库存去化不足,尽管美元飙升但出口激增,以及医疗支出和房车购买支出激增。对于这一增速,美国总统在X发文称:去年经济增长了3.1%,同时又增加了270万个就业岗位,核心通胀回落至疫情前水平,这意味着现在的工资、财富和就业率都高于疫情前。美国经济背后的增长动力是什么?或者说实现拜登口中通胀回落,经济保持增长付出了什么?下图显示了以名义美元计算的第四季度GDP的变化,以及相应的美国预算赤字增长和债务的增加。可以看出,在同一时期,美国预算赤字增加了50%以上,达到5100亿美元。在同一时期,美国公共债务增加了8340 亿美元,较GDP增幅高出了154%。这意味着,需要1.55美元的预算赤字、超过2.50美元的债务才能换来1美元的经济增长。分析指出,去年美国债务增长了2.581万亿美元,这意味着GDP每增长1美元就会新增1.69美元的债务,也意味着每新增一个工作岗位,就会使未来几代美国人损失957100.48美元。此前文章指出,分析预测如果按照目前的速度发展下去,2024年的赤字将高于2万亿美元。FRED数据显示,联邦利息支出总额正呈指数级增长,有史以来首次超过1万亿美元。债务方面,美国财政部本月初发布的报告显示,美国联邦债务首次达到34万亿美元。规模庞大的债务引发担忧,美国财长耶伦表示:34万亿美元的债务是一个“可怕的数字”,但美国同时也拥有庞大的经济。实际偿债成本仍然“相当可控”,我们必须采取措施确保赤字可控。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":969,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}