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MarginKun
2023-09-01
$NQ100指数主连 2309(NQmain)$
纳斯达克两万见
MarginKun
2023-08-30
冲啊！纳斯达克四万见
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MarginKun
2022-09-30
高盛出来了，可以做多了，抄底梭哈
抱歉，原内容已删除
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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纳斯达克两万见","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/215188583682152","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":778,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":668860984,"gmtCreate":1664532163248,"gmtModify":1664532550747,"author":{"id":"4110076867535952","authorId":"4110076867535952","name":"MarginKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/913759ff05ce18e328ecdf53590246cf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110076867535952","authorIdStr":"4110076867535952"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"高盛出来了，可以做多了，抄底梭哈","listText":"高盛出来了，可以做多了，抄底梭哈","text":"高盛出来了，可以做多了，抄底梭哈","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/668860984","repostId":"2271728244","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2271728244","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1664530560,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2271728244?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-30 17:36","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美股超卖程度已超新冠疫情，不过高盛认为痛苦尚未结束","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2271728244","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"高盛的一名交易员认为，当前，美股无法掌握自己的命运。债券市场和英国危机是眼下最严重的问题，在这些问题解决之前，美股很难平静下来。美股市场跌到底了吗？在高盛交易员Matt Fleury看来，显然没有。他","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>的一名交易员认为，当前，美股无法掌握自己的命运。债券市场和英国危机是眼下最严重的问题，在这些问题解决之前，美股很难平静下来。</b></blockquote><p>美股市场跌到底了吗？</p><p>在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>交易员Matt Fleury看来，显然没有。他认为，当前尽管美股市场极度超卖，甚至已经超出2020年3月新冠疫情刚刚在美国爆发时的情形，但是多个指数中股价高于50日均线的股票占比仍然“低得惊人”，并且可能会继续下滑。</p><p>那到什么时候才会有所改观呢？他认为很可能要到英国当前的危机解决之后。</p><p>他认为：</p><blockquote>现在的情况非常困难，美股无法掌握自己的命运。债券市场和英国危机是眼下最严重的问题，在这些问题解决之前，美股很难平静下来。</blockquote><blockquote>周一英国央行发表声明称，将不必在11月的议息会议之前加息，但是我认为，在11月的会议之前，英国更严重的考验就会到来。</blockquote><blockquote>而且市场一度期望英国央行紧急购债计划能够稳定美股市场。但是，反弹只持续了一天。</blockquote><blockquote>为什么？因为市场现在要求美联储做英国央行所做的事情，并对当前的政策做出调整。</blockquote><p>Fleury进一步解释，为什么美股已经极度超卖，但是仍然会继续走低。</p><p>首先，超过40%的标普500指数上市公司的相对强弱指标14天均线低于30。通常来说，这一指标低于30时就意味着超卖，换言之，近一半的标普500指数上市公司已经超卖。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b7b8a0b67d215309aaf85ff987e9709\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"351\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>如果将当前股价为52周高点的标普500指数上市公司数量减去那些当前股价为52周低点的公司数量，可以看到这一数据已经非常低，同样显示出美股当前处于超卖水平。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fabf4cb045730a09ed16a056982537e3\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>多个指数中，股价超过50天均线的公司数量的占比，当前是出奇地低。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c61fa84c269da5bb19e7dc8788822853\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>当周股价创下四周来股价新低的公司占标普500指数上市公司的比重，本周已经超过75%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e36de2de2dbee0569cbccd7d7b2b1437\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>对标普500指数的看跌期权的购买量达到历史第二高。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d40049cfbe6f98d5623a75519a00c7e\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"374\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>本周，标普500指数的滚动收益率为-12.5%，这么差的表现，在过去25年中，都是能排得上号的。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/882e10f75dbe31c83f6684b5a69ff872\" tg-width=\"409\" tg-height=\"589\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>利率波动率飙升，但是美股波动率相对平静。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4b2a785006c0254dfb25152fbb1a482\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>从账面来看，当前美股的流动性很不错，但是如果从风险指数的角度来看，当前的美股流动性压力正在变大。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f58c1e8c9648e5c197f01a10a37c90c\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>美股的交易量最近一直很低迷。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3bf20bd549456b93642e0e06fbfdf24\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"473\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>但是，令这位交易员更担忧的是，全世界依然在做多美股。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04ccea7ff6ea8df7580d913f206b76a6\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"384\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>根据他的说法，随着美股继续遭到抛售，下一次美股崩盘将很难寻找到支撑，换言之，交易量仍将下行，在美股下跌时，将没有人愿意“接盘”。此外，看跌期权的需求不足将导致这类衍生品的价格偏高。</p><p>此外，他还认为，美联储这次恐怕将不会出手相助美股。</p></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股超卖程度已超新冠疫情，不过高盛认为痛苦尚未结束\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-30 17:36 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3671562><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>高盛的一名交易员认为，当前，美股无法掌握自己的命运。债券市场和英国危机是眼下最严重的问题，在这些问题解决之前，美股很难平静下来。美股市场跌到底了吗？在高盛交易员Matt Fleury看来，显然没有。他认为，当前尽管美股市场极度超卖，甚至已经超出2020年3月新冠疫情刚刚在美国爆发时的情形，但是多个指数中股价高于50日均线的股票占比仍然“低得惊人”，并且可能会继续下滑。那到什么时候才会有所改观呢？他...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3671562\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d6a4572b675796b315e560ea7fe3401","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3671562","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2271728244","content_text":"高盛的一名交易员认为，当前，美股无法掌握自己的命运。债券市场和英国危机是眼下最严重的问题，在这些问题解决之前，美股很难平静下来。美股市场跌到底了吗？在高盛交易员Matt Fleury看来，显然没有。他认为，当前尽管美股市场极度超卖，甚至已经超出2020年3月新冠疫情刚刚在美国爆发时的情形，但是多个指数中股价高于50日均线的股票占比仍然“低得惊人”，并且可能会继续下滑。那到什么时候才会有所改观呢？他认为很可能要到英国当前的危机解决之后。他认为：现在的情况非常困难，美股无法掌握自己的命运。债券市场和英国危机是眼下最严重的问题，在这些问题解决之前，美股很难平静下来。周一英国央行发表声明称，将不必在11月的议息会议之前加息，但是我认为，在11月的会议之前，英国更严重的考验就会到来。而且市场一度期望英国央行紧急购债计划能够稳定美股市场。但是，反弹只持续了一天。为什么？因为市场现在要求美联储做英国央行所做的事情，并对当前的政策做出调整。Fleury进一步解释，为什么美股已经极度超卖，但是仍然会继续走低。首先，超过40%的标普500指数上市公司的相对强弱指标14天均线低于30。通常来说，这一指标低于30时就意味着超卖，换言之，近一半的标普500指数上市公司已经超卖。如果将当前股价为52周高点的标普500指数上市公司数量减去那些当前股价为52周低点的公司数量，可以看到这一数据已经非常低，同样显示出美股当前处于超卖水平。多个指数中，股价超过50天均线的公司数量的占比，当前是出奇地低。当周股价创下四周来股价新低的公司占标普500指数上市公司的比重，本周已经超过75%。对标普500指数的看跌期权的购买量达到历史第二高。本周，标普500指数的滚动收益率为-12.5%，这么差的表现，在过去25年中，都是能排得上号的。利率波动率飙升，但是美股波动率相对平静。从账面来看，当前美股的流动性很不错，但是如果从风险指数的角度来看，当前的美股流动性压力正在变大。美股的交易量最近一直很低迷。但是，令这位交易员更担忧的是，全世界依然在做多美股。根据他的说法，随着美股继续遭到抛售，下一次美股崩盘将很难寻找到支撑，换言之，交易量仍将下行，在美股下跌时，将没有人愿意“接盘”。此外，看跌期权的需求不足将导致这类衍生品的价格偏高。此外，他还认为，美联储这次恐怕将不会出手相助美股。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":749,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
