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2021-12-05

[Thinking]

Tesla's Musk over halfway through his pledge with nearly $11 bln stake sale

2021-12-01

[Eye]

Apple shares rose nearly 2% to a new high

2021-12-01

[Bless]

What Shareholders Can Expect From Musk’s New Tesla Roadmap

2021-11-26

[Facepalm]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-23

[Miser]

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2021-11-22

[Grin]

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2021-11-19

[Miser]

Tesla stock extends bounce after Wedbush boosts price target to match the Street high

2021-11-19

[Happy]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-15

[OMG]

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2021-11-14

[Thinking]

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2021-11-14

[Eye]

Shoppers Are Heading to Malls Again. These Stocks Are Good Bets.

2021-11-13

[Miser]

Tesla: $1 Trillion Of Speculation

2021-11-11

[Miser]

Palantir Stock: Teaching The Market A Lesson

2021-11-10

[Facepalm]

Kimbal Musk cashed out $109 million of Tesla stock just before Elon's tweets whacked the share price

2021-11-08

[Miser]

Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday

2021-11-05

[Surprised]

Tesla Stock Is Overvalued by $1 Trillion, Analyst Says. We Looked at the Math.

2021-11-03

[Miser]

Is It Too Late to Buy Tesla Stock?

2021-10-30

[Miser]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-29

[Facepalm]

Amazon badly misses on earnings and revenue, gives disappointing guidance

2021-10-24

[Cool]

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He owned a combination of about 244 million","content":"<p>Dec 3 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc&nbsp;Chief Executive Elon Musk has sold nearly $11 billion worth of shares since the world's richest person polled Twitter users about offloading 10% of his stake in the electric-car maker.</p>\n<p>He has sold a combined 10.1 million shares, which is over half of the stake that he had pledged to sell, and has acquired 10.7 million shares by exercising options, since Nov. 8.</p>\n<p>Here is a string of transactions he has done:</p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td>DATE</td>\n   <td>SHARES ACQUIRED</td>\n   <td>SHARES SOLD</td>\n   <td>GROSS PROCEEDS</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 8</td>\n   <td>2.2 mln</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 8</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>934,091</td>\n   <td>$1.10 bln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 9</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>3.1 mln</td>\n   <td>$3.35 bln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 10</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>500,000</td>\n   <td>$527.3 mln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 11</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>639,737</td>\n   <td>$687.3 mln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 12</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>1.2 mln</td>\n   <td>$1.24 bln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 15</td>\n   <td>2.1 mln</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 15</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>934,091</td>\n   <td>$930.7 mln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 16</td>\n   <td>2.1 mln</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 16</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>934,091</td>\n   <td>$973.4 mln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 23</td>\n   <td>2.15 mln</td>\n   <td>934,091</td>\n   <td>$1.05 bln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>DEC. 2</td>\n   <td>2.1 mln</td>\n   <td>934,091</td>\n   <td>$1.01 bln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Total</td>\n   <td>10.7 mln</td>\n   <td>10.1 mln</td>\n   <td>$10.87 bln</td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><b>HOW DID MUSK SELL?</b></p>\n<p>Musk said on Nov. 6 he would sell 10% of his stake if Twitter users agreed. He owned a combination of about 244 million shares through his trust and stock options, bringing his stake in Tesla to about 23% as of June 30. It included 170 million shares held by his trust.</p>\n<p>The tweet was vague. Musk did not outline if he was intending to offload 10% of his shares he indirectly owned through the trust or if his stock options were also part of the deal.</p>\n<p>Following a flurry of options exercise, Musk still has an option to buy about 10 million more shares at $6.24 each, which expires in August next year.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla's Musk over halfway through his pledge with nearly $11 bln stake sale</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla's Musk over halfway through his pledge with nearly $11 bln stake sale\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-12-03 23:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Dec 3 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc&nbsp;Chief Executive Elon Musk has sold nearly $11 billion worth of shares since the world's richest person polled Twitter users about offloading 10% of his stake in the electric-car maker.</p>\n<p>He has sold a combined 10.1 million shares, which is over half of the stake that he had pledged to sell, and has acquired 10.7 million shares by exercising options, since Nov. 8.</p>\n<p>Here is a string of transactions he has done:</p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td>DATE</td>\n   <td>SHARES ACQUIRED</td>\n   <td>SHARES SOLD</td>\n   <td>GROSS PROCEEDS</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 8</td>\n   <td>2.2 mln</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 8</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>934,091</td>\n   <td>$1.10 bln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 9</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>3.1 mln</td>\n   <td>$3.35 bln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 10</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>500,000</td>\n   <td>$527.3 mln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 11</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>639,737</td>\n   <td>$687.3 mln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 12</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>1.2 mln</td>\n   <td>$1.24 bln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 15</td>\n   <td>2.1 mln</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 15</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>934,091</td>\n   <td>$930.7 mln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 16</td>\n   <td>2.1 mln</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 16</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>934,091</td>\n   <td>$973.4 mln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 23</td>\n   <td>2.15 mln</td>\n   <td>934,091</td>\n   <td>$1.05 bln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>DEC. 2</td>\n   <td>2.1 mln</td>\n   <td>934,091</td>\n   <td>$1.01 bln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Total</td>\n   <td>10.7 mln</td>\n   <td>10.1 mln</td>\n   <td>$10.87 bln</td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><b>HOW DID MUSK SELL?</b></p>\n<p>Musk said on Nov. 6 he would sell 10% of his stake if Twitter users agreed. He owned a combination of about 244 million shares through his trust and stock options, bringing his stake in Tesla to about 23% as of June 30. It included 170 million shares held by his trust.</p>\n<p>The tweet was vague. Musk did not outline if he was intending to offload 10% of his shares he indirectly owned through the trust or if his stock options were also part of the deal.</p>\n<p>Following a flurry of options exercise, Musk still has an option to buy about 10 million more shares at $6.24 each, which expires in August next year.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158981658","content_text":"Dec 3 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc Chief Executive Elon Musk has sold nearly $11 billion worth of shares since the world's richest person polled Twitter users about offloading 10% of his stake in the electric-car maker.\nHe has sold a combined 10.1 million shares, which is over half of the stake that he had pledged to sell, and has acquired 10.7 million shares by exercising options, since Nov. 8.\nHere is a string of transactions he has done:\n\n\n\nDATE\nSHARES ACQUIRED\nSHARES SOLD\nGROSS PROCEEDS\n\n\nNOV. 8\n2.2 mln\n\n\n\n\nNOV. 8\n\n934,091\n$1.10 bln\n\n\nNOV. 9\n\n3.1 mln\n$3.35 bln\n\n\nNOV. 10\n\n500,000\n$527.3 mln\n\n\nNOV. 11\n\n639,737\n$687.3 mln\n\n\nNOV. 12\n\n1.2 mln\n$1.24 bln\n\n\nNOV. 15\n2.1 mln\n\n\n\n\nNOV. 15\n\n934,091\n$930.7 mln\n\n\nNOV. 16\n2.1 mln\n\n\n\n\nNOV. 16\n\n934,091\n$973.4 mln\n\n\nNOV. 23\n2.15 mln\n934,091\n$1.05 bln\n\n\nDEC. 2\n2.1 mln\n934,091\n$1.01 bln\n\n\nTotal\n10.7 mln\n10.1 mln\n$10.87 bln\n\n\n\nHOW DID MUSK SELL?\nMusk said on Nov. 6 he would sell 10% of his stake if Twitter users agreed. He owned a combination of about 244 million shares through his trust and stock options, bringing his stake in Tesla to about 23% as of June 30. It included 170 million shares held by his trust.\nThe tweet was vague. Musk did not outline if he was intending to offload 10% of his shares he indirectly owned through the trust or if his stock options were also part of the deal.\nFollowing a flurry of options exercise, Musk still has an option to buy about 10 million more shares at $6.24 each, which expires in August next year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":846,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603138763,"gmtCreate":1638372152745,"gmtModify":1638372211189,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Eye]&nbsp;","listText":"[Eye]&nbsp;","text":"[Eye]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603138763","repostId":"1143092770","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1143092770","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638370804,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1143092770?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-01 23:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple shares rose nearly 2% to a new high","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143092770","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Apple shares rose nearly 2% to a new high in morning trading.\nNeedham analyst Laura Martin said inve","content":"<p>Apple shares rose nearly 2% to a new high&nbsp;in morning trading.</p>\n<p><b>Needham</b>&nbsp;analyst Laura Martin said investors turned to Apple due to its prodigious cash flow capable of weathering the storm, not going bankrupt, not having financial distress.</p>\n<p>Martin said there are indications that Apple’s current products, especially its iPhone Pro models, are selling well, potentially leading to a big December quarter for the company.</p>\n<p>Tablets, especially the high-end iPhones, all of which say they’re going to have high margins and high revenue for the fourth quarter of this year, Martin added.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edc1b3fcbf75cefc8acb5fa15512530b\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple shares rose nearly 2% to a new high</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple shares rose nearly 2% to a new high\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-12-01 23:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple shares rose nearly 2% to a new high&nbsp;in morning trading.</p>\n<p><b>Needham</b>&nbsp;analyst Laura Martin said investors turned to Apple due to its prodigious cash flow capable of weathering the storm, not going bankrupt, not having financial distress.</p>\n<p>Martin said there are indications that Apple’s current products, especially its iPhone Pro models, are selling well, potentially leading to a big December quarter for the company.</p>\n<p>Tablets, especially the high-end iPhones, all of which say they’re going to have high margins and high revenue for the fourth quarter of this year, Martin added.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edc1b3fcbf75cefc8acb5fa15512530b\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143092770","content_text":"Apple shares rose nearly 2% to a new high in morning trading.\nNeedham analyst Laura Martin said investors turned to Apple due to its prodigious cash flow capable of weathering the storm, not going bankrupt, not having financial distress.\nMartin said there are indications that Apple’s current products, especially its iPhone Pro models, are selling well, potentially leading to a big December quarter for the company.\nTablets, especially the high-end iPhones, all of which say they’re going to have high margins and high revenue for the fourth quarter of this year, Martin added.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":485,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603138956,"gmtCreate":1638372119497,"gmtModify":1638372210370,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Bless]&nbsp;","listText":"[Bless]&nbsp;","text":"[Bless]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603138956","repostId":"1116584621","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116584621","pubTimestamp":1638366346,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116584621?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-01 21:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Shareholders Can Expect From Musk’s New Tesla Roadmap","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116584621","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Elon Musk tweeted early this week that he will be on Tesla’s next earnings call in January and provi","content":"<p>Elon Musk&nbsp;tweeted&nbsp;early this week that he will be on Tesla’s next earnings call in January and provide an “updated product roadmap.” He’ll also talk about this year’s “supply chain nightmare.”</p>\n<p>Musk sees everything that the company does — including building new factories in Austin, Texas, and near Berlin — as Tesla products. So while he will likely focus on vehicles on the horizon, I expect we’ll get an update on the progress of the factories, too. We could also hear&nbsp;about any number of other products, including&nbsp;Tesla Insurance; fans might even be able to get a&nbsp;$50 whistle&nbsp;shaped like the Cybertruck, assuming it’s ever back in stock.</p>\n<p>To review: Tesla currently makes the Model S, X, 3 and Y in Fremont, California, and the Model 3 and Y in Shanghai. Tesla also is building a new factory in Lathrop, California, for Megapack,&nbsp;its utility-scale battery product.</p>\n<p>Here’s a quick reminder of everything else that Tesla has unveiled and that customers and investors are eager for updates on.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35dc043d86f20335c3ce1e3d7ee1e5f9\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"599\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Elon Musk presents the Tesla Cybertruck.</span></p>\n<p><b>CYBERTRUCK</b></p>\n<p>Musk unveiled the Cybertruck two years ago, in November 2019. Of all the vehicles on Tesla’s plate, the Cybertruck is the one that has generated the most interest. The idea is to make it in Austin, Texas, after the Model Y. Tesla’s website, which still takes fully refundable $100 deposits for the Cybertruck, says “you will be able to complete your configuration as production nears in 2022.” I would not be surprised if this timeline slips further.</p>\n<p><b>SEMI</b></p>\n<p>Musk unveiled the Semi truck four years ago, in November 2017. Musk has suggested the Semi is on hold until Tesla can make or source a new type of battery cell in high volume. The new, larger 4680 battery cells were one of the big highlights of Tesla’s “Battery Day” last year. Tesla is making the 4680s on a pilot line in Fremont, but also plans to procure them from long-time supplier Panasonic. In its third quarter earnings release, Tesla said that “the 4680 in-house cell project continues to progress. We are producing an increasing number of battery packs for testing purposes, and so far, the test results meet our current expectations.” That sounds promising, but volume production remains a work in progress.</p>\n<p><b>ROADSTER</b></p>\n<p>The big reveal at the Semi event in November 2017 was chief designer Franz von Holzhausen driving the next-generation Roadster out of the back of the Semi. We haven’t heard about this vehicle in a while; Tesla’s most recent shareholder deck says it is still in development.</p>\n<p><b>FUTURE PRODUCT</b></p>\n<p>In his&nbsp;Master Plan, Part Deux, Musk said Tesla’s line up would “cover the major forms of terrestrial transport.” Most expect a cheaper, $25,000 car made in China. But what else?&nbsp;A bus? Minivan? Has&nbsp;Tesla ever considered an electric bike? Tesla’s 3Q&nbsp;investor deck&nbsp;(see page 7) lists a “Future Product” in development.</p>\n<p>There also are the Tesla Energy products, including the Solar Roof and Powerwall for homeowners.</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Shareholders Can Expect From Musk’s New Tesla Roadmap</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Shareholders Can Expect From Musk’s New Tesla Roadmap\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-01 21:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-12-01/what-shareholders-can-expect-from-musk-s-new-tesla-roadmap><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Elon Musk tweeted early this week that he will be on Tesla’s next earnings call in January and provide an “updated product roadmap.” He’ll also talk about this year’s “supply chain nightmare.”\nMusk ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-12-01/what-shareholders-can-expect-from-musk-s-new-tesla-roadmap\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-12-01/what-shareholders-can-expect-from-musk-s-new-tesla-roadmap","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116584621","content_text":"Elon Musk tweeted early this week that he will be on Tesla’s next earnings call in January and provide an “updated product roadmap.” He’ll also talk about this year’s “supply chain nightmare.”\nMusk sees everything that the company does — including building new factories in Austin, Texas, and near Berlin — as Tesla products. So while he will likely focus on vehicles on the horizon, I expect we’ll get an update on the progress of the factories, too. We could also hear about any number of other products, including Tesla Insurance; fans might even be able to get a $50 whistle shaped like the Cybertruck, assuming it’s ever back in stock.\nTo review: Tesla currently makes the Model S, X, 3 and Y in Fremont, California, and the Model 3 and Y in Shanghai. Tesla also is building a new factory in Lathrop, California, for Megapack, its utility-scale battery product.\nHere’s a quick reminder of everything else that Tesla has unveiled and that customers and investors are eager for updates on.\nElon Musk presents the Tesla Cybertruck.\nCYBERTRUCK\nMusk unveiled the Cybertruck two years ago, in November 2019. Of all the vehicles on Tesla’s plate, the Cybertruck is the one that has generated the most interest. The idea is to make it in Austin, Texas, after the Model Y. Tesla’s website, which still takes fully refundable $100 deposits for the Cybertruck, says “you will be able to complete your configuration as production nears in 2022.” I would not be surprised if this timeline slips further.\nSEMI\nMusk unveiled the Semi truck four years ago, in November 2017. Musk has suggested the Semi is on hold until Tesla can make or source a new type of battery cell in high volume. The new, larger 4680 battery cells were one of the big highlights of Tesla’s “Battery Day” last year. Tesla is making the 4680s on a pilot line in Fremont, but also plans to procure them from long-time supplier Panasonic. In its third quarter earnings release, Tesla said that “the 4680 in-house cell project continues to progress. We are producing an increasing number of battery packs for testing purposes, and so far, the test results meet our current expectations.” That sounds promising, but volume production remains a work in progress.\nROADSTER\nThe big reveal at the Semi event in November 2017 was chief designer Franz von Holzhausen driving the next-generation Roadster out of the back of the Semi. We haven’t heard about this vehicle in a while; Tesla’s most recent shareholder deck says it is still in development.\nFUTURE PRODUCT\nIn his Master Plan, Part Deux, Musk said Tesla’s line up would “cover the major forms of terrestrial transport.” Most expect a cheaper, $25,000 car made in China. But what else? A bus? Minivan? Has Tesla ever considered an electric bike? Tesla’s 3Q investor deck (see page 7) lists a “Future Product” in development.\nThere also are the Tesla Energy products, including the Solar Roof and Powerwall for homeowners.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":565,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":877883489,"gmtCreate":1637912682535,"gmtModify":1637912682535,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Facepalm]&nbsp;","listText":"[Facepalm]&nbsp;","text":"[Facepalm]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877883489","repostId":"1153168046","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":348,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":875526929,"gmtCreate":1637671798504,"gmtModify":1637671798645,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/875526929","repostId":"1165466420","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":648,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":875068535,"gmtCreate":1637589353716,"gmtModify":1637589353716,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Grin]&nbsp;","listText":"[Grin]&nbsp;","text":"[Grin]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/875068535","repostId":"1133441168","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":590,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":876559583,"gmtCreate":1637333780876,"gmtModify":1637333780960,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/876559583","repostId":"2184458408","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2184458408","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1637329380,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2184458408?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-19 21:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla stock extends bounce after Wedbush boosts price target to match the Street high","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2184458408","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"MW Tesla stock extends bounce after Wedbush boosts price target to match the Street high\n\n\n  By Tomi","content":"<html><body><font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\nMW Tesla stock extends bounce after Wedbush boosts price target to match the Street high\n</p>\n<p>\n  By Tomi Kilgore \n</p>\n<p>\n  Prolific analyst Dan Ives raised his price target to $1,400, saying the demand trend in China has reversed aggressively in a bullish way \n</p>\n<p>\n  Shares of Tesla Inc. headed toward a fourth-straight gain on Friday, after Wedbush analyst Dan Ives boosted his price target by 27% to match the highest on Wall Street, saying the \"EV revolution\" is playing out as expected. \n</p>\n<p>\n  The stock <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a> rose 0.4% in premarket trading, after bouncing 8.2% over the past three days. \n</p>\n<p>\n  The stock had tumbled 17.6% from its Nov. 4 record close of $1,229.91 through Monday's closing low of $1,013.39, as Chief Executive Elon Musk unloaded billions of dollars worth of Tesla stock after polling his <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> followers whether he should sell 10% of his holdings, to help pay taxes. \n</p>\n<p>\n  Wedbush's Ives reiterated the outperform rating he's had on Tesla since April, but raised his stock price target to $1,400 from $1,100. His target is now tied with Jefferies' Philippe Houchois for the highest of the 41 analysts surveyed by FactSet. \n</p>\n<p>\n  Ives said the \"linchpin\" of his bull stance on Tesla has been China, which he estimates will represent 40% of the electric vehicle <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EV\">$(EV)$</a> market leader's deliveries in 2022. \n</p>\n<p>\n  \"While PR/safety headwinds were front and center in China earlier this year, we have seen this demand trend reverse aggressively in a bullish way for Tesla into year-end, with the company now on a 50k monthly run-rate for China into 2022,\" the prolific Ives wrote in a note to clients. \n</p>\n<p>\n  Ives, who has now published no less than six notes on Tesla over the past couple of weeks, has been very bullish on the elective vehicle (EV) industry and Tesla's role as a \"disruptive technology vendor\" rather than a traditional auto vendor. He believes investors are continuing to digest the \"massive transformation\" coming to the auto industry around \"EV revolution,\" as the \"green tidal wave\" results in a $5 trillion market opportunity over the next decade with Tesla leading the way. \n</p>\n<p>\n  Ives said that while the semiconductor shortage that has plagued the auto industry this year remains a headwind for Tesla, he believes that is a \"transitory issue.\" His core focus is on Tesla Model 3 and Model Y demand, which he said is \"outstripping supply by roughly 15% as of today.\" \n</p>\n<p>\n  Tesla's stock has run up 62.8% over the past three months through Thursday, while the S&amp;P 500 index  has gained 6.8%. \n</p>\n<p>\n  -Tomi Kilgore \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/END\">$(END)$</a> Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  November 19, 2021 08:43 ET (13:43 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2021 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla stock extends bounce after Wedbush boosts price target to match the Street high</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla stock extends bounce after Wedbush boosts price target to match the Street high\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-11-19 21:43</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><body><font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\nMW Tesla stock extends bounce after Wedbush boosts price target to match the Street high\n</p>\n<p>\n  By Tomi Kilgore \n</p>\n<p>\n  Prolific analyst Dan Ives raised his price target to $1,400, saying the demand trend in China has reversed aggressively in a bullish way \n</p>\n<p>\n  Shares of Tesla Inc. headed toward a fourth-straight gain on Friday, after Wedbush analyst Dan Ives boosted his price target by 27% to match the highest on Wall Street, saying the \"EV revolution\" is playing out as expected. \n</p>\n<p>\n  The stock <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a> rose 0.4% in premarket trading, after bouncing 8.2% over the past three days. \n</p>\n<p>\n  The stock had tumbled 17.6% from its Nov. 4 record close of $1,229.91 through Monday's closing low of $1,013.39, as Chief Executive Elon Musk unloaded billions of dollars worth of Tesla stock after polling his <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> followers whether he should sell 10% of his holdings, to help pay taxes. \n</p>\n<p>\n  Wedbush's Ives reiterated the outperform rating he's had on Tesla since April, but raised his stock price target to $1,400 from $1,100. His target is now tied with Jefferies' Philippe Houchois for the highest of the 41 analysts surveyed by FactSet. \n</p>\n<p>\n  Ives said the \"linchpin\" of his bull stance on Tesla has been China, which he estimates will represent 40% of the electric vehicle <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EV\">$(EV)$</a> market leader's deliveries in 2022. \n</p>\n<p>\n  \"While PR/safety headwinds were front and center in China earlier this year, we have seen this demand trend reverse aggressively in a bullish way for Tesla into year-end, with the company now on a 50k monthly run-rate for China into 2022,\" the prolific Ives wrote in a note to clients. \n</p>\n<p>\n  Ives, who has now published no less than six notes on Tesla over the past couple of weeks, has been very bullish on the elective vehicle (EV) industry and Tesla's role as a \"disruptive technology vendor\" rather than a traditional auto vendor. He believes investors are continuing to digest the \"massive transformation\" coming to the auto industry around \"EV revolution,\" as the \"green tidal wave\" results in a $5 trillion market opportunity over the next decade with Tesla leading the way. \n</p>\n<p>\n  Ives said that while the semiconductor shortage that has plagued the auto industry this year remains a headwind for Tesla, he believes that is a \"transitory issue.\" His core focus is on Tesla Model 3 and Model Y demand, which he said is \"outstripping supply by roughly 15% as of today.\" \n</p>\n<p>\n  Tesla's stock has run up 62.8% over the past three months through Thursday, while the S&amp;P 500 index  has gained 6.8%. \n</p>\n<p>\n  -Tomi Kilgore \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/END\">$(END)$</a> Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  November 19, 2021 08:43 ET (13:43 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2021 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)"},"source_url":"http://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2184458408","content_text":"MW Tesla stock extends bounce after Wedbush boosts price target to match the Street high\n\n\n  By Tomi Kilgore \n\n\n  Prolific analyst Dan Ives raised his price target to $1,400, saying the demand trend in China has reversed aggressively in a bullish way \n\n\n  Shares of Tesla Inc. headed toward a fourth-straight gain on Friday, after Wedbush analyst Dan Ives boosted his price target by 27% to match the highest on Wall Street, saying the \"EV revolution\" is playing out as expected. \n\n\n  The stock $(TSLA)$ rose 0.4% in premarket trading, after bouncing 8.2% over the past three days. \n\n\n  The stock had tumbled 17.6% from its Nov. 4 record close of $1,229.91 through Monday's closing low of $1,013.39, as Chief Executive Elon Musk unloaded billions of dollars worth of Tesla stock after polling his Twitter followers whether he should sell 10% of his holdings, to help pay taxes. \n\n\n  Wedbush's Ives reiterated the outperform rating he's had on Tesla since April, but raised his stock price target to $1,400 from $1,100. His target is now tied with Jefferies' Philippe Houchois for the highest of the 41 analysts surveyed by FactSet. \n\n\n  Ives said the \"linchpin\" of his bull stance on Tesla has been China, which he estimates will represent 40% of the electric vehicle $(EV)$ market leader's deliveries in 2022. \n\n\n  \"While PR/safety headwinds were front and center in China earlier this year, we have seen this demand trend reverse aggressively in a bullish way for Tesla into year-end, with the company now on a 50k monthly run-rate for China into 2022,\" the prolific Ives wrote in a note to clients. \n\n\n  Ives, who has now published no less than six notes on Tesla over the past couple of weeks, has been very bullish on the elective vehicle (EV) industry and Tesla's role as a \"disruptive technology vendor\" rather than a traditional auto vendor. He believes investors are continuing to digest the \"massive transformation\" coming to the auto industry around \"EV revolution,\" as the \"green tidal wave\" results in a $5 trillion market opportunity over the next decade with Tesla leading the way. \n\n\n  Ives said that while the semiconductor shortage that has plagued the auto industry this year remains a headwind for Tesla, he believes that is a \"transitory issue.\" His core focus is on Tesla Model 3 and Model Y demand, which he said is \"outstripping supply by roughly 15% as of today.\" \n\n\n  Tesla's stock has run up 62.8% over the past three months through Thursday, while the S&P 500 index  has gained 6.8%. \n\n\n  -Tomi Kilgore \n\n\n \n\n\n$(END)$ Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  November 19, 2021 08:43 ET (13:43 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2021 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":384,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":876525379,"gmtCreate":1637333491995,"gmtModify":1637333492084,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Happy]&nbsp;","listText":"[Happy]&nbsp;","text":"[Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/876525379","repostId":"1111586448","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":584,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873446528,"gmtCreate":1636981628692,"gmtModify":1636981628838,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[OMG]&nbsp;","listText":"[OMG]&nbsp;","text":"[OMG]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873446528","repostId":"1172705595","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":677,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873196519,"gmtCreate":1636873408696,"gmtModify":1636873408696,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Thinking]&nbsp;","listText":"[Thinking]&nbsp;","text":"[Thinking]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873196519","repostId":"2183043548","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1203,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873196214,"gmtCreate":1636873338107,"gmtModify":1636873338107,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Eye]&nbsp;","listText":"[Eye]&nbsp;","text":"[Eye]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873196214","repostId":"1159096163","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159096163","pubTimestamp":1636851053,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1159096163?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-14 08:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Shoppers Are Heading to Malls Again. These Stocks Are Good Bets.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159096163","media":"Barrons","summary":"By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for Abercrombie & Fitch seemed dire.\nOnce","content":"<p>By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for&nbsp;Abercrombie &amp; Fitch&nbsp;seemed dire.</p>\n<p>Once a mall staple that captured the hearts and wallets of teenagers with stark, sexy advertising and dark, perfume-drenched stores, Abercrombie’s (ticker: ANF) stock price hit fresh lows in 2017. Shoppers’ distaste for the brand and a steady decrease in mall traffic clouded its future. Then, in March of 2020, the coronavirus began closing malls and stores across the country.</p>\n<p>The retail apocalypse, it seemed, was about to claim another victim.</p>\n<p>But something surprising happened on the way to the funeral: Abercrombie enjoyed one of its best years since its 2000s heyday. Under CEO Fran Horowitz, the company rebranded, putting out a more inclusive message and pivoting its focus toward young professionals while fine-tuning its Hollister brand for teenagers.</p>\n<p>Revenue increased 24% year over year in the company’s fiscal second quarter ended July 31, and 3% from prepandemic levels. Its stock is up 120% this year as shoppers flush with cash flock back to stores.</p>\n<p>“Perception of a brand is a hard thing to turn, and it takes time in order to build back trust with your consumer,” Horowitz says in an interview with <i>Barron’s</i>. “So, here we are happy to say in 2021 that we are seeing, obviously, the wonderful effects of all of that hard work.”</p>\n<p>Abercrombie isn’t the only retail brand that is coming into a new period of growth. Over the past year, many of America’s retailers have not only clawed their way out of the abyss, but have harnessed macroeconomic changes ushered in by the pandemic to propel themselves into an unexpected renaissance.</p>\n<p>Brands that successfully merged their bricks-and-mortar operations with digital strategies are seeing sales soar and stock prices rise, lifted by a strong market and consumers champing at the bit to spend their pandemic savings. The stock prices of many major mall-based retailers have soared, including&nbsp;Macy’s&nbsp;(M),Nordstrom&nbsp;(JWN), Famous Footwear parent Caleres&nbsp;(CAL), and&nbsp;Signet Jewelers (SIG), which all gained at least 100% in the past 12 months.</p>\n<p>These companies are now poised to reap the benefits of a potentially record-setting holiday season. Consumers could spend $851 billion, a 9.5% increase from last year’s record $777 billion and more than twice the 4.4% average increase over the past five years, according to the National Retail Federation.</p>\n<p>No one knows whether the party will last or whether these stores are simply capturing sales that would have happened in the future. Before retail sales normalize, companies need to navigate a host of supply-chain and inflationary pressures that could put a damper on holiday sales.</p>\n<p>But the unexpected revival has reaffirmed the faith of many brands in the power of the physical stores. While still heavily investing in online operations, they are continuing to bet big on a bricks-and-mortar future. And as investments in physical stores continue, the demise of the bricks-and-mortar retailer that many once expected no longer seems so certain.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57cd1db2ff23484eff85f5e6ad64d7c8\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Wealthy households plan to spend an average $2,624 this holiday season, 15% more than last year.</span></p>\n<p>The pandemic wasn’t exactly ideal for retailers, but it offered some unique opportunities. The problems were obvious. People were afraid to shop in person. Shoppers—even baby boomers—flocked online in unexpected numbers. Retail behemoths such as&nbsp;Amazon.com&nbsp;(AMZN) and&nbsp;Walmart (WMT) saw their best year ever.</p>\n<p>“The investor sentiment—especially from short term, hedge fund type investors—had just turned very negative on the group,” Columbia Threadneedle Investments retail analyst Mari Shor says. “I just think that investors weren’t really giving the companies, or the consumers, the benefit of the doubt.”</p>\n<p>Shor says the doubt among investors was rooted in the notion that traditional retailers, both prepandemic and postpandemic, wouldn’t make it out alive.</p>\n<p>But the pandemic gave retailers the rare chance to close poorly performing locations and focus on great ones. Many retailers also focused on getting better online, and shifted their sales strategies to target consumers wherever and whenever they wanted to shop—whether online, mobile, or in-store.</p>\n<p>In one example of a company looking to fuel growth while connecting digital and in-store operations, the parent company of Saks Fifth Avenue spun out its e-commerce arm, which is now expected to go public with a target valuation of $6 billion.</p>\n<p>Such approaches proved critical. Online and other non-store sales are expected to increase between 11% and 15% this holiday season, potentially reaching a high of $226 billion, according to National Retail Federation estimates.</p>\n<p>“We’d like to think that the pandemic not only accelerated the adoption of e-commerce around the world but also expanded the market,” says Pedro Palandrani, a research analyst at Global X who covers e-commerce.</p>\n<p>Abercrombie invested hundreds of millions of dollars in its digital strategy, emphasizing smooth transitions from digital to in-store experiences with initiatives such as improving the company’s website and instituting in-store returns and pickups for online purchases. The arrival of the pandemic prompted Abercrombie to close 130 stores worldwide and 50% of the brand’s flagships, bringing total store closures in the past 10 years to about 500, while strategically opening a few key new stores, Horowitz says.</p>\n<p>“Stores matter, but they have to be the right size, the right location, and the right economics,” she says. “You put that together with the digital and it equals magic.”</p>\n<p>Not only are physical stores cost-effective ways to draw in-person shoppers, but they also can serve as crucial distribution centers for online pickups and returns, as well as local shipping, says B. Riley Securities analyst Susan Anderson. In recent years, even online retailers such as Warby Parker (WRBY) have expanded their physical presence to accommodate shopper preferences. “The consumer wants to shop when and where they want to,” Anderson says.</p>\n<p>That behavior can evolve in unexpected ways. Malls and physical stores are growing in popularity among digitally savvy teenagers and young adults.</p>\n<p>According to a survey of 1,000 shoppers earlier this year commissioned by BHDP, a design firm that counts retail among its specialties, 55% of 14-to-17 year olds say they are now shopping at indoor malls, and 90% plan to head to a mall in the next year. The 18-to-24-year-old shoppers surveyed are also back at the mall, trying on products, using in-store promotions, and making returns. Such shifts have led retailers to ditch old views and assumptions about specific demographics, says Rod Sides, vice chairman of U.S. retail and distribution at Deloitte.</p>\n<p>The shifts in strategy during the pandemic put many retailers in a better position for the reopening of malls and downtowns this year—and shoppers were eager to open their wallets.</p>\n<p>During the pandemic, some consumers became unexpectedly flush. They got stimulus payments, saved up from a decline in travel expenses, and saw the markets soar. Today, consumer savings at all income levels are at or near a record. Wealthy households are planning to spend 15% more than last year this holiday season, averaging $2,624 per household and driving much of the season’s growth, an annual Deloitte study found.</p>\n<p>“You got a lot of cash and there’s a fair amount of pent-up demand,” says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.</p>\n<p>Retail and food-services sales increased to an estimated $625 billion in September, up 0.7% from October and 13.9% year over year, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Sales in retail alone rose 0.8% from August. “We were expecting that you’d see some pullback in September, and we didn’t,” says Citigroup economist Veronica Clark.</p>\n<p>Retailers are much healthier than they were a decade ago heading into the holiday season, Matthew Shay, president and CEO of the National Retail Federation, said in a media briefing in October. A yearly&nbsp;Mastercard&nbsp;spending index forecasts U.S. retail sales to increase 7.4% this season, with significant gains in apparel, department stores, jewelry, and luxury items.</p>\n<p>Luxury retailer&nbsp;Burberry Group&nbsp;(BRBY.UK), known for its tartan fabric and scarves, said this past week that comparable sales for its first half of fiscal 2022 rose 37%, and that full-price sales are growing at a double-digit rate. And&nbsp;Tapestry&nbsp;(TPR), the parent company of Coach, posted better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter earnings, raising its outlook for 2022 sales and profits.</p>\n<p>Some analysts are bullish on the retail sector, with Cowen saying that “many of the luxury brands have successfully been able to take price increases and will likely benefit from the historically strong consumer balance sheets in the U.S. and internationally.” Wolfe Research favors Nordstrom and Tapestry, among others, with analysts writing in a note that “nearly all the major drivers of U.S. consumer spending favor the high end.”</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, more Americans started coming out to the mall. Placer.ai mall-traffic statistics show that foot traffic for indoor malls was up 3% in October compared with 2019 levels, and traffic for outdoor malls was up 5%—one of the reasons mall stores are seeing their stocks soar. Simon Property Group (SPG), which owns the malls themselves, saw its stock gain about 90% in 2021.</p>\n<p>“With the combination of more individuals becoming fully vaccinated, paired with many shopping early for the coming holiday season due to supply-chain concerns, we have seen a steady rise in foot traffic since July,” says Lindsay Petak, senior marketing manager for Tysons Corner Center in the Washington region. The mall is owned by Macerich (MAC), which also has seen its share price nearly double this year.</p>\n<p>All of this added to a stock run-up for the ages for beaten-down retailers. Over the past year, the&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P Retail&nbsp;exchanged-trade fund (XRT) was up 85%, while the S&amp;P 500 rose 33%. The&nbsp;Invesco S&amp;P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary&nbsp;ETF (RCD) has outperformed the S&amp;P 500 by five percentage points this year, a sign that investors remain bullish on retail sales.</p>\n<p>“We’ve seen department stores and apparel and discretionary retailers really bounce back as soon as the economy reopened,” the NRF’s Shay says. “Department stores are always a popular destination for the holiday season, based on the consumer survey work we do....They continue to be at the top of the list of the places people shop this year.”</p>\n<p>All that said, analysts and investors alike remain confident of the role physical stores play, which might look different from their online counterparts, but they’re here to stay.</p>\n<p>The verdict on whether the retail renaissance is sustainable in the long term isn’t in yet. Retailers are operating in a macroeconomic environment far from the norm, making any guesses even more speculative.</p>\n<p>“I don’t think we have normal insight yet because there are just too many complexities throughout the business right now,” says Jefferies analyst Janine Stichter.</p>\n<p>Companies are struggling to manage ongoing supply-chain concerns, inflationary pressures, and a persistent labor shortage, which are likely to bite into earnings despite all signs pointing to a strong holiday quarter. “The supply-chain issues, they’re real,” Horowitz says.</p>\n<p>Abercrombie is assuming a modest impact on sales due to supply-chain constraints, with even bigger impacts coming from freight inflation, the company said in its second-quarter earnings call.</p>\n<p>To ease supply-chain pressures, retailers are encouraging consumers to start their shopping early—a trend that could skew end-of-year sales data, Citigroup’s Clark says. If shoppers pull their gift-buying forward, there could be a decline in November and December compared with previous years. “It’s not necessarily that spending is much weaker; it’s just that the distribution over months is different,” she says.</p>\n<p>On the flip side, low inventories will give retailers higher pricing power that can help offset supply-chain disruptions, Stichter says. While beneficial to retailers, this could drive prices up even more, says Sasha Tomic, an economist at Boston College.</p>\n<p>Whatever the risks, strong performance won’t last forever, says Matthew Forester, chief investment officer at BNY Mellon’s Lockwood Advisors. “The U.S. economy, overall, is clearly slowing down,” he says. “And we’re going to slow down into the next year. Plus, as we get back to trend growth, that’s just what’s likely to happen.”</p>\n<p>The economy will eventually exit its euphoria as stimulus continues to dwindle, he says. And while the comedown might not be “terrible,” he says, it will still be a decline from where consumer spending is now.</p>\n<p>Abercrombie, though, is powering through the headwinds with the help of its bricks-and-mortar stores. The company is planning to position more inventory in stores, and is routing e-commerce orders to stores as well as partnering with Uber, Shipt, and Postmates to offer same-day delivery.</p>\n<p>Other retailers have taken supply-chain solutions in their own hands. Specialty-apparel company American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) recently announced it was acquiring Quiet Logistics, an operator of automated distribution centers near city centers, just weeks after it bought AirTerra, which focuses on middle-mile logistics—the delivery of products from a warehouse to a retail store.</p>\n<p>“We’re going to just continue at it,” Horowitz says.</p>\n<p>As retailers forge ahead, doomsayers might have to hold off on heralding a retail apocalypse. For now, the sentiment is clear: Consumers are rediscovering the joys of bricks-and-mortar shopping. The mall has become cool again.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Shoppers Are Heading to Malls Again. These Stocks Are Good Bets.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShoppers Are Heading to Malls Again. These Stocks Are Good Bets.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-14 08:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/macys-abercrombie-simon-property-retail-stocks-51636674171?mod=hp_HERO><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for Abercrombie & Fitch seemed dire.\nOnce a mall staple that captured the hearts and wallets of teenagers with stark, sexy advertising and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/macys-abercrombie-simon-property-retail-stocks-51636674171?mod=hp_HERO\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WMT":"沃尔玛","M":"梅西百货","BRBY.UK":"巴宝莉","BBRYF":"Burberry Group Plc","RCD":"Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF","JWN":"诺德斯特龙","TPR":"Tapestry Inc.","CAL":"Caleres鞋业","AMZN":"亚马逊","ANF":"爱芬奇","SIG":"西格内特珠宝"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/macys-abercrombie-simon-property-retail-stocks-51636674171?mod=hp_HERO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159096163","content_text":"By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for Abercrombie & Fitch seemed dire.\nOnce a mall staple that captured the hearts and wallets of teenagers with stark, sexy advertising and dark, perfume-drenched stores, Abercrombie’s (ticker: ANF) stock price hit fresh lows in 2017. Shoppers’ distaste for the brand and a steady decrease in mall traffic clouded its future. Then, in March of 2020, the coronavirus began closing malls and stores across the country.\nThe retail apocalypse, it seemed, was about to claim another victim.\nBut something surprising happened on the way to the funeral: Abercrombie enjoyed one of its best years since its 2000s heyday. Under CEO Fran Horowitz, the company rebranded, putting out a more inclusive message and pivoting its focus toward young professionals while fine-tuning its Hollister brand for teenagers.\nRevenue increased 24% year over year in the company’s fiscal second quarter ended July 31, and 3% from prepandemic levels. Its stock is up 120% this year as shoppers flush with cash flock back to stores.\n“Perception of a brand is a hard thing to turn, and it takes time in order to build back trust with your consumer,” Horowitz says in an interview with Barron’s. “So, here we are happy to say in 2021 that we are seeing, obviously, the wonderful effects of all of that hard work.”\nAbercrombie isn’t the only retail brand that is coming into a new period of growth. Over the past year, many of America’s retailers have not only clawed their way out of the abyss, but have harnessed macroeconomic changes ushered in by the pandemic to propel themselves into an unexpected renaissance.\nBrands that successfully merged their bricks-and-mortar operations with digital strategies are seeing sales soar and stock prices rise, lifted by a strong market and consumers champing at the bit to spend their pandemic savings. The stock prices of many major mall-based retailers have soared, including Macy’s (M),Nordstrom (JWN), Famous Footwear parent Caleres (CAL), and Signet Jewelers (SIG), which all gained at least 100% in the past 12 months.\nThese companies are now poised to reap the benefits of a potentially record-setting holiday season. Consumers could spend $851 billion, a 9.5% increase from last year’s record $777 billion and more than twice the 4.4% average increase over the past five years, according to the National Retail Federation.\nNo one knows whether the party will last or whether these stores are simply capturing sales that would have happened in the future. Before retail sales normalize, companies need to navigate a host of supply-chain and inflationary pressures that could put a damper on holiday sales.\nBut the unexpected revival has reaffirmed the faith of many brands in the power of the physical stores. While still heavily investing in online operations, they are continuing to bet big on a bricks-and-mortar future. And as investments in physical stores continue, the demise of the bricks-and-mortar retailer that many once expected no longer seems so certain.\nWealthy households plan to spend an average $2,624 this holiday season, 15% more than last year.\nThe pandemic wasn’t exactly ideal for retailers, but it offered some unique opportunities. The problems were obvious. People were afraid to shop in person. Shoppers—even baby boomers—flocked online in unexpected numbers. Retail behemoths such as Amazon.com (AMZN) and Walmart (WMT) saw their best year ever.\n“The investor sentiment—especially from short term, hedge fund type investors—had just turned very negative on the group,” Columbia Threadneedle Investments retail analyst Mari Shor says. “I just think that investors weren’t really giving the companies, or the consumers, the benefit of the doubt.”\nShor says the doubt among investors was rooted in the notion that traditional retailers, both prepandemic and postpandemic, wouldn’t make it out alive.\nBut the pandemic gave retailers the rare chance to close poorly performing locations and focus on great ones. Many retailers also focused on getting better online, and shifted their sales strategies to target consumers wherever and whenever they wanted to shop—whether online, mobile, or in-store.\nIn one example of a company looking to fuel growth while connecting digital and in-store operations, the parent company of Saks Fifth Avenue spun out its e-commerce arm, which is now expected to go public with a target valuation of $6 billion.\nSuch approaches proved critical. Online and other non-store sales are expected to increase between 11% and 15% this holiday season, potentially reaching a high of $226 billion, according to National Retail Federation estimates.\n“We’d like to think that the pandemic not only accelerated the adoption of e-commerce around the world but also expanded the market,” says Pedro Palandrani, a research analyst at Global X who covers e-commerce.\nAbercrombie invested hundreds of millions of dollars in its digital strategy, emphasizing smooth transitions from digital to in-store experiences with initiatives such as improving the company’s website and instituting in-store returns and pickups for online purchases. The arrival of the pandemic prompted Abercrombie to close 130 stores worldwide and 50% of the brand’s flagships, bringing total store closures in the past 10 years to about 500, while strategically opening a few key new stores, Horowitz says.\n“Stores matter, but they have to be the right size, the right location, and the right economics,” she says. “You put that together with the digital and it equals magic.”\nNot only are physical stores cost-effective ways to draw in-person shoppers, but they also can serve as crucial distribution centers for online pickups and returns, as well as local shipping, says B. Riley Securities analyst Susan Anderson. In recent years, even online retailers such as Warby Parker (WRBY) have expanded their physical presence to accommodate shopper preferences. “The consumer wants to shop when and where they want to,” Anderson says.\nThat behavior can evolve in unexpected ways. Malls and physical stores are growing in popularity among digitally savvy teenagers and young adults.\nAccording to a survey of 1,000 shoppers earlier this year commissioned by BHDP, a design firm that counts retail among its specialties, 55% of 14-to-17 year olds say they are now shopping at indoor malls, and 90% plan to head to a mall in the next year. The 18-to-24-year-old shoppers surveyed are also back at the mall, trying on products, using in-store promotions, and making returns. Such shifts have led retailers to ditch old views and assumptions about specific demographics, says Rod Sides, vice chairman of U.S. retail and distribution at Deloitte.\nThe shifts in strategy during the pandemic put many retailers in a better position for the reopening of malls and downtowns this year—and shoppers were eager to open their wallets.\nDuring the pandemic, some consumers became unexpectedly flush. They got stimulus payments, saved up from a decline in travel expenses, and saw the markets soar. Today, consumer savings at all income levels are at or near a record. Wealthy households are planning to spend 15% more than last year this holiday season, averaging $2,624 per household and driving much of the season’s growth, an annual Deloitte study found.\n“You got a lot of cash and there’s a fair amount of pent-up demand,” says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.\nRetail and food-services sales increased to an estimated $625 billion in September, up 0.7% from October and 13.9% year over year, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Sales in retail alone rose 0.8% from August. “We were expecting that you’d see some pullback in September, and we didn’t,” says Citigroup economist Veronica Clark.\nRetailers are much healthier than they were a decade ago heading into the holiday season, Matthew Shay, president and CEO of the National Retail Federation, said in a media briefing in October. A yearly Mastercard spending index forecasts U.S. retail sales to increase 7.4% this season, with significant gains in apparel, department stores, jewelry, and luxury items.\nLuxury retailer Burberry Group (BRBY.UK), known for its tartan fabric and scarves, said this past week that comparable sales for its first half of fiscal 2022 rose 37%, and that full-price sales are growing at a double-digit rate. And Tapestry (TPR), the parent company of Coach, posted better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter earnings, raising its outlook for 2022 sales and profits.\nSome analysts are bullish on the retail sector, with Cowen saying that “many of the luxury brands have successfully been able to take price increases and will likely benefit from the historically strong consumer balance sheets in the U.S. and internationally.” Wolfe Research favors Nordstrom and Tapestry, among others, with analysts writing in a note that “nearly all the major drivers of U.S. consumer spending favor the high end.”\nMeanwhile, more Americans started coming out to the mall. Placer.ai mall-traffic statistics show that foot traffic for indoor malls was up 3% in October compared with 2019 levels, and traffic for outdoor malls was up 5%—one of the reasons mall stores are seeing their stocks soar. Simon Property Group (SPG), which owns the malls themselves, saw its stock gain about 90% in 2021.\n“With the combination of more individuals becoming fully vaccinated, paired with many shopping early for the coming holiday season due to supply-chain concerns, we have seen a steady rise in foot traffic since July,” says Lindsay Petak, senior marketing manager for Tysons Corner Center in the Washington region. The mall is owned by Macerich (MAC), which also has seen its share price nearly double this year.\nAll of this added to a stock run-up for the ages for beaten-down retailers. Over the past year, the SPDR S&P Retail exchanged-trade fund (XRT) was up 85%, while the S&P 500 rose 33%. The Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF (RCD) has outperformed the S&P 500 by five percentage points this year, a sign that investors remain bullish on retail sales.\n“We’ve seen department stores and apparel and discretionary retailers really bounce back as soon as the economy reopened,” the NRF’s Shay says. “Department stores are always a popular destination for the holiday season, based on the consumer survey work we do....They continue to be at the top of the list of the places people shop this year.”\nAll that said, analysts and investors alike remain confident of the role physical stores play, which might look different from their online counterparts, but they’re here to stay.\nThe verdict on whether the retail renaissance is sustainable in the long term isn’t in yet. Retailers are operating in a macroeconomic environment far from the norm, making any guesses even more speculative.\n“I don’t think we have normal insight yet because there are just too many complexities throughout the business right now,” says Jefferies analyst Janine Stichter.\nCompanies are struggling to manage ongoing supply-chain concerns, inflationary pressures, and a persistent labor shortage, which are likely to bite into earnings despite all signs pointing to a strong holiday quarter. “The supply-chain issues, they’re real,” Horowitz says.\nAbercrombie is assuming a modest impact on sales due to supply-chain constraints, with even bigger impacts coming from freight inflation, the company said in its second-quarter earnings call.\nTo ease supply-chain pressures, retailers are encouraging consumers to start their shopping early—a trend that could skew end-of-year sales data, Citigroup’s Clark says. If shoppers pull their gift-buying forward, there could be a decline in November and December compared with previous years. “It’s not necessarily that spending is much weaker; it’s just that the distribution over months is different,” she says.\nOn the flip side, low inventories will give retailers higher pricing power that can help offset supply-chain disruptions, Stichter says. While beneficial to retailers, this could drive prices up even more, says Sasha Tomic, an economist at Boston College.\nWhatever the risks, strong performance won’t last forever, says Matthew Forester, chief investment officer at BNY Mellon’s Lockwood Advisors. “The U.S. economy, overall, is clearly slowing down,” he says. “And we’re going to slow down into the next year. Plus, as we get back to trend growth, that’s just what’s likely to happen.”\nThe economy will eventually exit its euphoria as stimulus continues to dwindle, he says. And while the comedown might not be “terrible,” he says, it will still be a decline from where consumer spending is now.\nAbercrombie, though, is powering through the headwinds with the help of its bricks-and-mortar stores. The company is planning to position more inventory in stores, and is routing e-commerce orders to stores as well as partnering with Uber, Shipt, and Postmates to offer same-day delivery.\nOther retailers have taken supply-chain solutions in their own hands. Specialty-apparel company American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) recently announced it was acquiring Quiet Logistics, an operator of automated distribution centers near city centers, just weeks after it bought AirTerra, which focuses on middle-mile logistics—the delivery of products from a warehouse to a retail store.\n“We’re going to just continue at it,” Horowitz says.\nAs retailers forge ahead, doomsayers might have to hold off on heralding a retail apocalypse. For now, the sentiment is clear: Consumers are rediscovering the joys of bricks-and-mortar shopping. The mall has become cool again.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":368,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879536907,"gmtCreate":1636734716281,"gmtModify":1636734716281,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879536907","repostId":"1163118124","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163118124","pubTimestamp":1636726239,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1163118124?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-12 22:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: $1 Trillion Of Speculation","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163118124","media":"Forbes","summary":"Tesla’s  market cap surpassed the trillion-dollar mark, driven by a post-earnings rally that got a boost from the announcement of a 100,000-vehicle order from Hertz , which might not even happen.Even if it does come to pass, the Hertz order is a drop in the bucket of growth expectations baked into Tesla’s valuation. Tesla needs 155 Hertz-sized orders to justify the revenue expectations in its stock price. Put another way, the $1.2 trillion valuation implies Tesla owns 60%+ of the entire global p","content":"<p>Tesla’s (TSLA) market cap surpassed the trillion-dollar mark, driven by a post-earnings rally that got a boost from the announcement of a 100,000-vehicle order from Hertz (HTZ), which might&nbsp;not even happen.</p>\n<p>Even if it does come to pass, the Hertz order is a drop in the bucket of growth expectations baked into Tesla’s valuation. Tesla needs 155 Hertz-sized orders to justify the revenue expectations in its stock price. Put another way, the $1.2 trillion valuation implies Tesla owns 60%+ of the entire global passenger EV market and becomes more profitable than Apple (AAPL) by 2030.</p>\n<p>This report provides objective perspective on how outrageously high the valuation of Tesla stock is and the clear impracticality of the company meeting the expectations baked into its valuation.</p>\n<p><b>Tesla’s Valuation vs. Competitors Makes No Sense</b></p>\n<p>Tesla’s market cap is now greater than the next 10 largest (ranked by market cap) auto manufacturers combined.</p>\n<p><b>Figure 1:&nbsp;Tesla’s Market Cap Vs. Competitors</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb58977e39c2d0ce868e80de26d098d9\" tg-width=\"925\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>This valuation comes despite Tesla selling less than 1/50th&nbsp;of the vehicles than the combined total sold by the next 10 largest automakers over the trailing twelve months ended the first half of 2021. See Figure 2.</p>\n<p>I cannot conceive of a straight-faced argument for the disconnect between Tesla’s valuation and its vehicle sales compared to its competitors.</p>\n<p><b>Figure 2:&nbsp;Tesla’s Car Sales Vs. Competitors</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7fe8de12677dc13fe01f38fbafdcab27\" tg-width=\"946\" tg-height=\"397\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">* Stellantis sales estimated as Fiat Chrysler and PSA Group’s 2H20 sales and Stellantis’ 1H21 sales. Stellantis was formed as a merger between the two in January 2021.</p>\n<p><b>Is the Hertz Deal Really Worth $100 Billion+ in Market Cap?</b></p>\n<p>Even if Hertz eventually agrees to buy 100,000 Tesla Model 3s, I do not think it is worth the $100 billion in market cap, or $1 million per vehicle, that we saw investors give Tesla’s market cap after the Hertz deal made headlines. Even Elon Musk questioned the surge in share price, noting that the price movement was “strange” given that Tesla is “very much a production ramp problem, not a demand problem.”</p>\n<p>This $100 billion market cap jump makes even less sense in the context of Tesla’s&nbsp;sky-high valuation&nbsp;before the announcement. Clearly, the feasibility of Tesla meeting the sales expectations embedded in its market cap plays no role in its valuation. For those that do care about&nbsp;expectations investing, I did the math and Tesla needs to successfully deliver on 155 Hertz-sized deals to meet the sales implied by a $1.2 trillion market cap.</p>\n<p><b>Will the Hertz Deal Result in Any Profits – If It Goes Through?</b></p>\n<p>After Elon Musk&nbsp;tweeted&nbsp;on November 1, 2021 that “no contract has been signed yet”, the Hertz deal reminds me of another&nbsp;famous tweet: \"am considering taking Tesla private at $420. Funding secured.”</p>\n<p>Even if the deal does go through, the pricing terms are very unclear. Elon insists that no cars will be sold at a discount. Meanwhile, Hertz CEO Mark Fields has made it clear that he is playing the field and working on getting cars from all EV manufacturers on his lot.</p>\n<p>Either Tesla is selling cars at a (large or small) discount, the deal terms are wrong, or the deal does not get done. If the deal gets done, I do not expect it to be profitable. Rental car companies are accustomed to getting discounts for bulk orders, and I see no reason for Hertz to expect to pay list prices on a deal for so many cars.</p>\n<p>At the end of the day, I’m not sure pricing matters because I don't think the Hertz deal gets done. This affair is more about headlines and fueling speculation than doing any real business.</p>\n<p><b>Tesla’s Global Market Share Getting Smaller</b></p>\n<p>Tesla’s first-mover is already eroding, and its market share continues to decline. In the first half of 2021, Tesla sold 14.6% of the EVs&nbsp;sold worldwide&nbsp;compared to 18.8% over the same period in 2020.</p>\n<p>Rising volumes, and falling market share are to be expected in a nascent industry. The problem is that Tesla’s isn’t priced for declining market share. It is priced for massive market share gains, unheard of gains in nearly any industry across the globe, especially in an industry as large and competitive as passenger vehicles.</p>\n<p><b>Reverse DCF Math: Valuation Implies Tesla Will Own 60%+ of the Global Passenger EV Market</b></p>\n<p>At its current average selling price (ASP) of ~$51k, Tesla’s stock price of ~1,200/share implies the firm will sell 16 million vehicles in 2030 (versus ~800k TTM), or 60% of the&nbsp;projected base case global EV passenger vehicle market&nbsp;in 2030. For reference, Adam Jonas, a Morgan Stanley analyst with a price target of $1,600/share, projects Tesla will sell&nbsp;8.1 million vehicles&nbsp;in 2030.</p>\n<p>I think it is unlikely that Tesla will sell such a high volume of vehicles at a $51k ASP, yet the implied vehicle sales based on lower ASPs look even more impractical.</p>\n<p>As detailed in the next section, this analysis assumes Tesla achieves profit margins twice as high as Toyota (TM) and quadruples its current auto manufacturing efficiency. In other words, I aim to provide inarguably best-case scenarios for assessing the expectations reflected in Tesla’s stock price.</p>\n<p>Per Figure 3, Tesla’s current valuation implies that, in 2030, it will sell the following number of vehicles based on these ASP benchmarks:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>16 million vehicles – current ASP of $51k</li>\n <li>21 million vehicles – ASP of $38k (average new car price in the U.S. in 2020)</li>\n <li>46 million vehicles – ASP of $17k (equal to General Motors over the TTM)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>If Tesla achieves those EV sales, the implied market share for the company would be the following (assuming global passenger EV sales reach 25.8 million in 2030, the&nbsp;base case projection from the IEA):</p>\n<ul>\n <li>60% for 16 million vehicles</li>\n <li>80% for 21 million vehicles</li>\n <li>179% for 46 million vehicles</li>\n</ul>\n<p>If I assume the&nbsp;IEA’s best case&nbsp;for global passenger EV sales in 2030, 46.8 million vehicles, the above vehicle sales represent:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>33% for 16 million vehicles</li>\n <li>44% for 21 million vehicles</li>\n <li>98% for 46 million vehicles</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Figure 3:&nbsp;Tesla’s Implied Vehicle Sales in 2030 to Justify Current Valuation</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6d6230910209d16f55e6e527130d43\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>The Math Shows that Tesla Must be More Profitable Than Apple</b></p>\n<p>Here are the assumptions I use in my&nbsp;reverse discounted cash flow (DCF) model&nbsp;to calculate the implied production levels above.</p>\n<p>To justify its current price of ~$1,200/share, Tesla must:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>immediately achieve a 17.2% NOPAT margin (double Toyota’s margin, which is the highest of the large-scale automakers I cover), compared to Tesla’s TTM margin of 7.7%) and</li>\n <li>grow revenue by 38% compounded annually for the next decade.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>In this&nbsp;scenario, Tesla generates&nbsp;<b>$783 billion</b>&nbsp;in revenue in 2030, which is 102% of the combined revenues of Toyota, General Motors, Ford (F), Honda Motor Corp (HMC), and Stellantis (STLA) over the TTM.</p>\n<p>This scenario also implies Tesla generates $135 billion in net operating profit after-tax (NOPAT) in 2030, or 45% higher than Apple’s (AAPL) TTM NOPAT, which, at $93 billion, is the highest of all&nbsp;companies my firm covers.</p>\n<p><b>TSLA Has 60%+ Downside If Morgan Stanley Is Right About Sales</b></p>\n<p>If I assume Tesla reaches Morgan Stanley’s estimate of selling 8.1 million cars in 2030 (which implies a 31% share of the global passenger EV market in 2030), at an ASP of $38k, the stock is worth just $483/share. Details:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>NOPAT margin improves to 17.2% and</li>\n <li>revenue grows 27% compounded annually over the next decade, then</li>\n</ul>\n<p>the stock is worth just $483/share today – 60% downside to the current price.&nbsp;See the math behind this reverse DCF scenario. In this scenario, Tesla grows NOPAT to $60 billion, or nearly 17x its TTM NOPAT, and just 3% below Alphabet’s (GOOGL) TTM NOPAT.</p>\n<p><b>TSLA Has 88%+ Downside Even with 28% Market Share and Realistic Margins</b></p>\n<p>If I estimate more reasonable (but still very optimistic) margins and market share achievements for Tesla, the stock is worth just $148/share. Here’s the math:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>NOPAT margin improves to 8.5% (equal to General Motors’ TTM margin, compared to Tesla’s TTM margin of 7.7%) and</li>\n <li>revenue grows by consensus estimates from 2021-2023 and</li>\n <li>revenue grows 18% a year from 2024-2030, then</li>\n</ul>\n<p>the stock is worth just $148/share today – an 88% downside to the current price.</p>\n<p>In this&nbsp;scenario, Tesla sells 7.2 million cars (at an ASP of 38k) and owns 28% of the global passenger EV market in 2030. If Tesla fails to meet these expectations, then the stock is worth less than $148/share.</p>\n<p>Also, for this scenario, I assume a much more realistic NOPAT margin, 8.5%, for Tesla. Given the expansion required of the business, struggles to be profitable to date, and formidable competition, I think Tesla will be lucky to achieve and sustain a margin as high as 8.5% from 2021-2030.</p>\n<p>Figure 4 compares the firm’s historical NOPAT to the NOPAT implied by its current stock price, the 8.1 million vehicle sales scenario, and the 7.2 million vehicle sales scenario to illustrate just how high the expectations baked into Tesla’s stock price remain. For additional context, I show Toyota’s, General Motors’, and Apple’s TTM NOPAT.</p>\n<p><b>Figure 4: Tesla’s Historical and Implied NOPAT: DCF Valuation Scenarios</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25d334530f3477d58879490d628fa8ef\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"463\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Each of the above scenarios assumes Tesla’s&nbsp;invested capital&nbsp;grows 14% compounded annually through 2030. For reference, Tesla’s invested capital grew 53% compounded annually from 2010-2020 and 29% compounded annually from 2015-2020. Invested capital at the end of 3Q21 grew 21% YoY. Tesla’s property, plant, and equipment has grown even faster, at 58% compounded annually, since 2010.</p>\n<p>A 14% CAGR represents 1/4th&nbsp;the CAGR of Tesla’s property, plant, and equipment since 2010 and assumes the company can build future plants and produce cars 4x more efficiently than it has so far.</p>\n<p>In other words, I aim to provide inarguably best-case scenarios for assessing the expectations for future market share and profits reflected in Tesla’s stock market valuation.</p>\n<p><b>Why Tesla’s $1 Trillion Valuation Is Ridiculous</b></p>\n<p>Now that I’ve shown how high the expectations baked into Tesla’s valuation are, I’ll present some of the many challenges Tesla faces to meet those expectations.</p>\n<p><b>Tesla Remains “Just” a Car Company, Despite Bulls’ Arguments Otherwise.</b>One of the most common arguments bulls make to justify Tesla’s valuation is that the company is more than just a car company. Instead, the argument goes: Tesla is a software, tech, insurance, energy, transportation, “insert any other blank” company. However, the financials bear out a different picture and show the other businesses are more hype than substance. At this point, Tesla is a only car company and generates the entirety of its profits from vehicles.</p>\n<p>Per Figure 5, Tesla generated 88% of revenue from Automotive Sales in 3Q21, which is up from 87% in 3Q20, and above the quarterly average of 86% since 3Q19. For reference, automotive sales made up 87% and 93% of General Motors’ and Ford’s 3Q21 revenue respectively.</p>\n<p><b>Figure 5:&nbsp;Tesla’s Revenue Breakdown: 3Q19 – 3Q21</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b77f52dfd7a9cb05f19a91ac8811919\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Tesla’s two other segments, Energy generation and storage and Services and other, which make up 12% of revenue in 3Q21, are unprofitable. Over the TTM, Tesla generated $10.8 billion in gross profit. $11.2 billion came from its Automotive segment while Energy generation and storage and Services and other racked up gross losses of $113 million and $263 million. Despite many claims and promises to the contrary over the years, Tesla doesn’t generate gross profit doing anything but selling cars.</p>\n<p><b>Insurance Business Is Not Material.</b>&nbsp;Tesla bulls will also point to Tesla’s insurance business as another way to drive profit growth. I’ve&nbsp;previously covered&nbsp;how Tesla insurance does not have the competitive advantages that bulls ascribe to it and has a long way to go before it can get meaningfully off the ground.</p>\n<p>Even if Tesla’s insurance business gets off the ground, I would not expect it to make much money. For example, from 2004-2006, General Motors generated about $70 per car sold in GAAP net income from its insurance business. If I assume Tesla can generate the same level of business, Tesla insurance would result in just $57 million in GAAP net income based on TTM vehicles sold.</p>\n<p>Bulls will counter that Tesla will be so much better at insurance than GM and that GM is not a good comp. There is no way to know for sure. Nevertheless, I concede that anything is possible, but the likelihood of Tesla’s insurance business being material profit producer is extremely low.</p>\n<p>Regardless of how successful Tesla insurance is, the potential profits from it are nowhere near enough to help to justify the expectations baked into Tesla’s stock price.</p>\n<p><b>Production Capacity Growth Will Require Billions of $.</b>Current and expected production capacities of all known Tesla factories equals ~2.7 million vehicles, or 12.9 million short of the 2030 production implied by its stock price. See Figure 6.</p>\n<p>In other words, despite the new factories coming online, Tesla must spend billions and build many new manufacturing plants before it can approach the capacity needed to sell the number of cars implied by its valuation.</p>\n<p>Given the&nbsp;many issues&nbsp;in ramping production in the past, investors should not assume Tesla can increase its production by 5x without any problems.</p>\n<p><b>Figure 6:&nbsp;Tesla’s Pending Production Shortfall</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d0c946fecb2fd037adac367c7c5b7c2\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">*Projection based on&nbsp;InsideEVs estimate&nbsp;of 600,000 vehicles per year</p>\n<p>**Optimistic assumption based on Texas being Tesla’s biggest factory and&nbsp;possibly the largest factory&nbsp;in the United States</p>\n<p><b>Incumbents Must Fail for Tesla to Meet Growth Expectations.</b>For many years now, incumbent automakers have spent billions of dollars building out their EV offerings. Automakers other than Tesla already account for 85% of&nbsp;global EV sales&nbsp;through the first half of 2021.</p>\n<p>The global EV market is simply not big enough for Tesla to achieve the sales expectations in its valuation unless nearly all of the incumbents reverse course and completely fail to sell EVs.</p>\n<p>Here are the projections from the large incumbent automakers that have provided specific goals for future EV production.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Volkswagen Group projects that&nbsp;50% of its global sales&nbsp;will be fully electric by 2030</li>\n <li>Stellantis projects&nbsp;70%&nbsp;and&nbsp;40%&nbsp;of its European and North American sales, respectively, will be fully electric by 2030</li>\n <li>Ford&nbsp;projects&nbsp;that 40% of its sales will be fully electric by 2030.</li>\n <li>Toyota&nbsp;projects&nbsp;that it will sell 2 million EVs by 2030</li>\n <li>Honda&nbsp;plans&nbsp;to sell only EVs in China by 2030</li>\n <li>BMW&nbsp;expects&nbsp;at least half its sales to be zero-emission vehicles by 2030</li>\n <li>Daimler, manufacturer of Mercedes Benz,&nbsp;expects&nbsp;half its sales to be “EV and hybrid by 2025”</li>\n <li>General Motors is&nbsp;targeting&nbsp;EV sales of “more than 1 million” by 2025</li>\n <li>Volvo&nbsp;plans&nbsp;to sell only fully electric vehicles by 2030</li>\n <li>Nissan&nbsp;projects&nbsp;40% of U.S. sales to be EVs by 2030</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Based on these projections, I estimate how many EVs each company aims to produce[1]&nbsp;by 2030 and the market share implied by that production as a percentage of&nbsp;base-case global passenger EV sales in 2030.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Volkswagen Group: 5.5 million, 21% market share</li>\n <li>Stellantis: 3.6 million[2], 14% market share</li>\n <li>Ford: 2.2 million, 9% market share</li>\n <li>Toyota: 2 million, 8% market share</li>\n <li>Honda (in China): 1.5 million, 6% market share</li>\n <li>BMW: 1.3 million, 5% market share</li>\n <li>Mercedes Benz: 1.2+ million, 5% market share</li>\n <li>General Motors: 1+ million, 4% market share</li>\n <li>Volvo: 700,000, 3% market share</li>\n <li>Nissan (in U.S.): 500,000, 2% market share</li>\n <li><b>Total = 19+ million vehicles and 75% market share</b></li>\n</ul>\n<p>These estimates do not include other incumbents and new entrants (e.g. Jaguar Land Rover, NIO Inc. [NIO], Rivian [RIVN], Ludic [LCID] and more) or other Chinese EV makers because I could not find specific projections for EV production. Nevertheless, I am confident that their combined market share will be more than zero.</p>\n<p>The point is that the rest of the world is not planning to stand by, give up existing market share, and let Tesla own majority of the EV market. Many very experienced and successful automakers are spending many multiples of what Tesla is spending to compete in the EV market.</p>\n<p>The bottom line is that it is hard to make a straight-faced argument that Tesla can achieve the sales implied by its valuation in a competitive market.</p>\n<p><b>Incumbents Can Afford to Spend More than Tesla.</b>Incumbents already have infrastructure to produce and sell vehicles at scale, and they are spending billions of dollars to compete in the EV market. Ford, Volkswagen, General Motors, and Stellantis alone are planning to spend at least $280 billion through 2025 and produce over 12 million EVs by 2030.</p>\n<p>Given the huge investments from multiple competitors, I expect the EV market will be extremely competitive, as manufacturers fight for profits and market share. The “winner take all” outcome implied by Tesla’s valuation is extremely unlikely. Perhaps, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi&nbsp;said it best, “the automotive industry is an increasingly global and hypercompetitive industry and I believe that surplus profits and technology innovation will likely be competed away over time, as has been the case historically.\" In such a market, Tesla cannot achieve the market share implied by its valuation.</p>\n<p>Unlike Tesla, the incumbents generate plenty of free cash flow (FCF) to fund their EV investments and don’t have to dilute existing shareholders to expand EV capacity as Tesla does. For instance, over the last five years, General Motors, Stellantis, and Ford generated a cumulative $12.4 billion, $7.1, and $6.1 billion in free cash flow while Tesla burned -$19.5 billion.</p>\n<p><b>FSD Continues to Overpromise And Underdeliver.</b>Full-self driving (FSD) has been consistently plagued by issues that, unfortunately, have deadly consequences. Industry research provider Guidehouse Insights ranks Tesla last in its&nbsp;2021 ranking&nbsp;of Automated Driver Systems (ADS), and states flatly, “Tesla needs a thorough rethink of its approach to developing ADS. It has overpromised with its marketing for nearly 5 years and severely underdelivered.”</p>\n<p>Per Figure 7, Tesla lags the competition by quite a large margin, as it’s the only company that falls into the \"Followers\" category.</p>\n<p>The most recent problems with Tesla’s FSD version 10.3 forced the company to&nbsp;roll back the update&nbsp;as users reported false crash warnings and other problems with autosteer and cruise control. These issues resulted in Tesla recalling nearly 12,000 vehicles because “a communication error may cause a false forward-collision warning or unexpected activation of the emergency brakes,”&nbsp;according&nbsp;to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA).</p>\n<p>While the roll out of an updated 10.3.1 has restarted, Tesla’s haphazard approach to deploying FSD remains unsettling and led Guidehouse Insights to&nbsp;note, “Tesla’s approach to testing its system is fundamentally at odds with virtually every other company in this industry.”</p>\n<p><b>Figure 7:&nbsp;Tesla Ranks Last Amongst Automated Driver Systems</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ddd92d3ed67347fa0741599f91ce31d\" tg-width=\"919\" tg-height=\"739\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Alphabet’s Waymo&nbsp;routinely&nbsp;ranks as the best automated driving system. Importantly, many of the firms ranked ahead of Tesla are focused solely on building automated driving systems and are not distracted by scaling up automobile production, delivery logistics, and the general day-to-day operations of producing cars. Even so, other direct competitors such as GM Super Cruise also get&nbsp;better scores&nbsp;from&nbsp;third-party organizations.</p>\n<p><b>Increased Regulatory Risk.</b>While Tesla has mysteriously avoided regulatory crackdown on its sales of FSD and practice of beta testing software on live drivers and roads, renewed requests from the NHTSA/National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) signal that Tesla might be held accountable for practices that many find highly misleading and dangerous to citizens.</p>\n<p>Missy Cummings, recently&nbsp;appointed&nbsp;as senior advisor for safety at the NHTSA, has expressed concerns about Tesla’s FSD in the past, tweeting as far back as 2019 that Tesla’s “autopilot easily cause mode confusion, is unreliable and unsafe” and that “NHTSA should require Tesla turn it off.”</p>\n<p>More recently, Tesla requested “confidential business information treatment” on its responses to a litany of information requests the NHTSA made as part of its investigation into FSD. If approved, the public would likely never see Tesla’s responses to key questions pertaining to Tesla not issuing a recall for Autopilot after multiple accidents involving parked emergency vehicles, the selection criteria for Tesla’s FSD beta testing program, and the non-disclosure agreements Tesla was making drivers sign before they could use the beta system.</p>\n<p>The NHTSA is not alone in criticizing Tesla and its FSD rollout. On October 26, 2021, the head of the U.S. NTSB, Jennifer Homendy, said that Tesla has not yet officially responded to the NTSB regarding its safety recommendations while calling the use of full self-driving ”misleading.” She stated, “my biggest concern is that Tesla is rolling out full self-driving technology in beta on city streets with untrained drivers and they have not addressed our recommendations that we’ve issued as a result of numerous investigations of Tesla crashes.”</p>\n<p><b>Battery Technologies Are Nothing Special.</b>Tesla announced it will be switching to a lithium iron phosphate (LFP) battery in all standard range cars. These batteries are already being used in vehicles built in the Shanghai factory, and this switch is expected to bring down costs. The timing of this change comes as other battery producers, in partnership with incumbent auto manufacturers, are ramping up production, which should drive down battery costs for all EV makers. In other words, the competitive advantages of a cheaper battery may be short-lived, as incumbents build economies of scale in their own supply chain in the coming years.</p>\n<p>Additionally, while the much heralded 4680 cylindrical battery, produced by Panasonic for Tesla, and&nbsp;nearly ready for production, should bring a higher energy density in a more efficient package, competitors’ offerings all aim to provide the same.</p>\n<p>General Motor’s Ultium platform will enable up to 400-450 miles of range, and the firm is building a new battery research facility aimed at building batteries capable of 600 miles on a single charge. General Motors recently announced a joint venture with LG Chem to build a second U.S. battery cell plant, which is&nbsp;expected&nbsp;to have an annual capacity of 35 gigawatt hours, or slightly above the 30 gigawatt hour capacity of its first Lordstown battery plant. Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas&nbsp;noted&nbsp;that the “formation of Ultium/Ultium Cells LLC will prove to be a critical point of strategic differentiation that will ultimately drive value creation for [GM] shareholders.”</p>\n<p>Ford’s Mustang Mach-E became the&nbsp;first electric SUV&nbsp;not made by Tesla to reach an EPA-rated range of up to 300 miles, and the company recently entered a partnership with SK Innovation to build three U.S.-based battery plants to power 1 million EVs annually.</p>\n<p>On its own, LG Chem plans to expand its existing U.S. facilities and build two more plants that will produce both pouch cells used by General Motors, Ford, Jaguar, Audi, Porsche, and more, as well as the cylindrical cells used by Tesla.</p>\n<p>Ultimately, the race for the “perfect” battery is less important than the race to procure battery supplies to build the number of EVs each manufacturer aims to produce in the coming years. The incumbents have proven they can maintain and win a race to procure supplies, and they’ve only been doing it for multiple decades now.</p>\n<p><b>Not All Supply Issues Can Be Coded Away.</b>To its credit, Tesla managed the global chip shortage relatively well by re-writing software to allow the use of alternative chips. However, not all supply issues can be solved via software, as evidenced by the growing wait times for Tesla’s vehicles. As Electrek&nbsp;notes, Tesla recently updated its delivery timelines for new orders, and depending upon specs, some vehicles won’t be delivered until September 2022 if ordered today. New orders for the Model 3 Standard Range Plus, which is Tesla’s cheapest vehicle, are currently on pace to be delivered in May 2022, or seven months from now.</p>\n<p>While certainly not unique to Tesla, extended delivery/wait times give consumers ample time to comparison shop and possibly switch orders to a competitor’s EV that would be available sooner.</p>\n<p>Delivery delays aren’t exclusive to in-production vehicles, but Tesla’s future vehicles as well. The much-hyped Cybertruck has recently been delayed again, this time until at least 2023 (compared to an original late 2021 release), which ultimately gives competitors more time to establish a presence in the EV truck market. I recently outlined the many competitors in the EV truck market in my&nbsp;report on Rivian.</p>\n<p><b>Putting It All Together: Tesla Provides Poor Risk/Reward</b></p>\n<p>Given the challenges ahead for Tesla, coupled with a valuation that implies it will take 60%+ of the global EV market share, I think it is clear: Tesla’s stock offers poor risk/reward.</p>\n<p>Tesla has proven risky to short, but investors need not buy shares today at such an elevated price.</p>\n<p>If you’re buying Tesla at its current valuation, you’re not only betting that it will be the only winner of the electrification of the global automotive fleet, but that it will somehow be twice as profitable as Toyota and achieve at least 60% market share. With anything less than total market domination, TSLA presents large downside risk.</p>","source":"fors","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: $1 Trillion Of Speculation</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: $1 Trillion Of Speculation\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-12 22:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2021/11/09/tesla-1-trillion-of-speculation/?sh=34ca1f2f77eb><strong>Forbes</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla’s (TSLA) market cap surpassed the trillion-dollar mark, driven by a post-earnings rally that got a boost from the announcement of a 100,000-vehicle order from Hertz (HTZ), which might not even ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2021/11/09/tesla-1-trillion-of-speculation/?sh=34ca1f2f77eb\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2021/11/09/tesla-1-trillion-of-speculation/?sh=34ca1f2f77eb","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163118124","content_text":"Tesla’s (TSLA) market cap surpassed the trillion-dollar mark, driven by a post-earnings rally that got a boost from the announcement of a 100,000-vehicle order from Hertz (HTZ), which might not even happen.\nEven if it does come to pass, the Hertz order is a drop in the bucket of growth expectations baked into Tesla’s valuation. Tesla needs 155 Hertz-sized orders to justify the revenue expectations in its stock price. Put another way, the $1.2 trillion valuation implies Tesla owns 60%+ of the entire global passenger EV market and becomes more profitable than Apple (AAPL) by 2030.\nThis report provides objective perspective on how outrageously high the valuation of Tesla stock is and the clear impracticality of the company meeting the expectations baked into its valuation.\nTesla’s Valuation vs. Competitors Makes No Sense\nTesla’s market cap is now greater than the next 10 largest (ranked by market cap) auto manufacturers combined.\nFigure 1: Tesla’s Market Cap Vs. Competitors\n\nThis valuation comes despite Tesla selling less than 1/50th of the vehicles than the combined total sold by the next 10 largest automakers over the trailing twelve months ended the first half of 2021. See Figure 2.\nI cannot conceive of a straight-faced argument for the disconnect between Tesla’s valuation and its vehicle sales compared to its competitors.\nFigure 2: Tesla’s Car Sales Vs. Competitors\n* Stellantis sales estimated as Fiat Chrysler and PSA Group’s 2H20 sales and Stellantis’ 1H21 sales. Stellantis was formed as a merger between the two in January 2021.\nIs the Hertz Deal Really Worth $100 Billion+ in Market Cap?\nEven if Hertz eventually agrees to buy 100,000 Tesla Model 3s, I do not think it is worth the $100 billion in market cap, or $1 million per vehicle, that we saw investors give Tesla’s market cap after the Hertz deal made headlines. Even Elon Musk questioned the surge in share price, noting that the price movement was “strange” given that Tesla is “very much a production ramp problem, not a demand problem.”\nThis $100 billion market cap jump makes even less sense in the context of Tesla’s sky-high valuation before the announcement. Clearly, the feasibility of Tesla meeting the sales expectations embedded in its market cap plays no role in its valuation. For those that do care about expectations investing, I did the math and Tesla needs to successfully deliver on 155 Hertz-sized deals to meet the sales implied by a $1.2 trillion market cap.\nWill the Hertz Deal Result in Any Profits – If It Goes Through?\nAfter Elon Musk tweeted on November 1, 2021 that “no contract has been signed yet”, the Hertz deal reminds me of another famous tweet: \"am considering taking Tesla private at $420. Funding secured.”\nEven if the deal does go through, the pricing terms are very unclear. Elon insists that no cars will be sold at a discount. Meanwhile, Hertz CEO Mark Fields has made it clear that he is playing the field and working on getting cars from all EV manufacturers on his lot.\nEither Tesla is selling cars at a (large or small) discount, the deal terms are wrong, or the deal does not get done. If the deal gets done, I do not expect it to be profitable. Rental car companies are accustomed to getting discounts for bulk orders, and I see no reason for Hertz to expect to pay list prices on a deal for so many cars.\nAt the end of the day, I’m not sure pricing matters because I don't think the Hertz deal gets done. This affair is more about headlines and fueling speculation than doing any real business.\nTesla’s Global Market Share Getting Smaller\nTesla’s first-mover is already eroding, and its market share continues to decline. In the first half of 2021, Tesla sold 14.6% of the EVs sold worldwide compared to 18.8% over the same period in 2020.\nRising volumes, and falling market share are to be expected in a nascent industry. The problem is that Tesla’s isn’t priced for declining market share. It is priced for massive market share gains, unheard of gains in nearly any industry across the globe, especially in an industry as large and competitive as passenger vehicles.\nReverse DCF Math: Valuation Implies Tesla Will Own 60%+ of the Global Passenger EV Market\nAt its current average selling price (ASP) of ~$51k, Tesla’s stock price of ~1,200/share implies the firm will sell 16 million vehicles in 2030 (versus ~800k TTM), or 60% of the projected base case global EV passenger vehicle market in 2030. For reference, Adam Jonas, a Morgan Stanley analyst with a price target of $1,600/share, projects Tesla will sell 8.1 million vehicles in 2030.\nI think it is unlikely that Tesla will sell such a high volume of vehicles at a $51k ASP, yet the implied vehicle sales based on lower ASPs look even more impractical.\nAs detailed in the next section, this analysis assumes Tesla achieves profit margins twice as high as Toyota (TM) and quadruples its current auto manufacturing efficiency. In other words, I aim to provide inarguably best-case scenarios for assessing the expectations reflected in Tesla’s stock price.\nPer Figure 3, Tesla’s current valuation implies that, in 2030, it will sell the following number of vehicles based on these ASP benchmarks:\n\n16 million vehicles – current ASP of $51k\n21 million vehicles – ASP of $38k (average new car price in the U.S. in 2020)\n46 million vehicles – ASP of $17k (equal to General Motors over the TTM)\n\nIf Tesla achieves those EV sales, the implied market share for the company would be the following (assuming global passenger EV sales reach 25.8 million in 2030, the base case projection from the IEA):\n\n60% for 16 million vehicles\n80% for 21 million vehicles\n179% for 46 million vehicles\n\nIf I assume the IEA’s best case for global passenger EV sales in 2030, 46.8 million vehicles, the above vehicle sales represent:\n\n33% for 16 million vehicles\n44% for 21 million vehicles\n98% for 46 million vehicles\n\nFigure 3: Tesla’s Implied Vehicle Sales in 2030 to Justify Current Valuation\nThe Math Shows that Tesla Must be More Profitable Than Apple\nHere are the assumptions I use in my reverse discounted cash flow (DCF) model to calculate the implied production levels above.\nTo justify its current price of ~$1,200/share, Tesla must:\n\nimmediately achieve a 17.2% NOPAT margin (double Toyota’s margin, which is the highest of the large-scale automakers I cover), compared to Tesla’s TTM margin of 7.7%) and\ngrow revenue by 38% compounded annually for the next decade.\n\nIn this scenario, Tesla generates $783 billion in revenue in 2030, which is 102% of the combined revenues of Toyota, General Motors, Ford (F), Honda Motor Corp (HMC), and Stellantis (STLA) over the TTM.\nThis scenario also implies Tesla generates $135 billion in net operating profit after-tax (NOPAT) in 2030, or 45% higher than Apple’s (AAPL) TTM NOPAT, which, at $93 billion, is the highest of all companies my firm covers.\nTSLA Has 60%+ Downside If Morgan Stanley Is Right About Sales\nIf I assume Tesla reaches Morgan Stanley’s estimate of selling 8.1 million cars in 2030 (which implies a 31% share of the global passenger EV market in 2030), at an ASP of $38k, the stock is worth just $483/share. Details:\n\nNOPAT margin improves to 17.2% and\nrevenue grows 27% compounded annually over the next decade, then\n\nthe stock is worth just $483/share today – 60% downside to the current price. See the math behind this reverse DCF scenario. In this scenario, Tesla grows NOPAT to $60 billion, or nearly 17x its TTM NOPAT, and just 3% below Alphabet’s (GOOGL) TTM NOPAT.\nTSLA Has 88%+ Downside Even with 28% Market Share and Realistic Margins\nIf I estimate more reasonable (but still very optimistic) margins and market share achievements for Tesla, the stock is worth just $148/share. Here’s the math:\n\nNOPAT margin improves to 8.5% (equal to General Motors’ TTM margin, compared to Tesla’s TTM margin of 7.7%) and\nrevenue grows by consensus estimates from 2021-2023 and\nrevenue grows 18% a year from 2024-2030, then\n\nthe stock is worth just $148/share today – an 88% downside to the current price.\nIn this scenario, Tesla sells 7.2 million cars (at an ASP of 38k) and owns 28% of the global passenger EV market in 2030. If Tesla fails to meet these expectations, then the stock is worth less than $148/share.\nAlso, for this scenario, I assume a much more realistic NOPAT margin, 8.5%, for Tesla. Given the expansion required of the business, struggles to be profitable to date, and formidable competition, I think Tesla will be lucky to achieve and sustain a margin as high as 8.5% from 2021-2030.\nFigure 4 compares the firm’s historical NOPAT to the NOPAT implied by its current stock price, the 8.1 million vehicle sales scenario, and the 7.2 million vehicle sales scenario to illustrate just how high the expectations baked into Tesla’s stock price remain. For additional context, I show Toyota’s, General Motors’, and Apple’s TTM NOPAT.\nFigure 4: Tesla’s Historical and Implied NOPAT: DCF Valuation Scenarios\n\nEach of the above scenarios assumes Tesla’s invested capital grows 14% compounded annually through 2030. For reference, Tesla’s invested capital grew 53% compounded annually from 2010-2020 and 29% compounded annually from 2015-2020. Invested capital at the end of 3Q21 grew 21% YoY. Tesla’s property, plant, and equipment has grown even faster, at 58% compounded annually, since 2010.\nA 14% CAGR represents 1/4th the CAGR of Tesla’s property, plant, and equipment since 2010 and assumes the company can build future plants and produce cars 4x more efficiently than it has so far.\nIn other words, I aim to provide inarguably best-case scenarios for assessing the expectations for future market share and profits reflected in Tesla’s stock market valuation.\nWhy Tesla’s $1 Trillion Valuation Is Ridiculous\nNow that I’ve shown how high the expectations baked into Tesla’s valuation are, I’ll present some of the many challenges Tesla faces to meet those expectations.\nTesla Remains “Just” a Car Company, Despite Bulls’ Arguments Otherwise.One of the most common arguments bulls make to justify Tesla’s valuation is that the company is more than just a car company. Instead, the argument goes: Tesla is a software, tech, insurance, energy, transportation, “insert any other blank” company. However, the financials bear out a different picture and show the other businesses are more hype than substance. At this point, Tesla is a only car company and generates the entirety of its profits from vehicles.\nPer Figure 5, Tesla generated 88% of revenue from Automotive Sales in 3Q21, which is up from 87% in 3Q20, and above the quarterly average of 86% since 3Q19. For reference, automotive sales made up 87% and 93% of General Motors’ and Ford’s 3Q21 revenue respectively.\nFigure 5: Tesla’s Revenue Breakdown: 3Q19 – 3Q21\nTesla’s two other segments, Energy generation and storage and Services and other, which make up 12% of revenue in 3Q21, are unprofitable. Over the TTM, Tesla generated $10.8 billion in gross profit. $11.2 billion came from its Automotive segment while Energy generation and storage and Services and other racked up gross losses of $113 million and $263 million. Despite many claims and promises to the contrary over the years, Tesla doesn’t generate gross profit doing anything but selling cars.\nInsurance Business Is Not Material. Tesla bulls will also point to Tesla’s insurance business as another way to drive profit growth. I’ve previously covered how Tesla insurance does not have the competitive advantages that bulls ascribe to it and has a long way to go before it can get meaningfully off the ground.\nEven if Tesla’s insurance business gets off the ground, I would not expect it to make much money. For example, from 2004-2006, General Motors generated about $70 per car sold in GAAP net income from its insurance business. If I assume Tesla can generate the same level of business, Tesla insurance would result in just $57 million in GAAP net income based on TTM vehicles sold.\nBulls will counter that Tesla will be so much better at insurance than GM and that GM is not a good comp. There is no way to know for sure. Nevertheless, I concede that anything is possible, but the likelihood of Tesla’s insurance business being material profit producer is extremely low.\nRegardless of how successful Tesla insurance is, the potential profits from it are nowhere near enough to help to justify the expectations baked into Tesla’s stock price.\nProduction Capacity Growth Will Require Billions of $.Current and expected production capacities of all known Tesla factories equals ~2.7 million vehicles, or 12.9 million short of the 2030 production implied by its stock price. See Figure 6.\nIn other words, despite the new factories coming online, Tesla must spend billions and build many new manufacturing plants before it can approach the capacity needed to sell the number of cars implied by its valuation.\nGiven the many issues in ramping production in the past, investors should not assume Tesla can increase its production by 5x without any problems.\nFigure 6: Tesla’s Pending Production Shortfall\n*Projection based on InsideEVs estimate of 600,000 vehicles per year\n**Optimistic assumption based on Texas being Tesla’s biggest factory and possibly the largest factory in the United States\nIncumbents Must Fail for Tesla to Meet Growth Expectations.For many years now, incumbent automakers have spent billions of dollars building out their EV offerings. Automakers other than Tesla already account for 85% of global EV sales through the first half of 2021.\nThe global EV market is simply not big enough for Tesla to achieve the sales expectations in its valuation unless nearly all of the incumbents reverse course and completely fail to sell EVs.\nHere are the projections from the large incumbent automakers that have provided specific goals for future EV production.\n\nVolkswagen Group projects that 50% of its global sales will be fully electric by 2030\nStellantis projects 70% and 40% of its European and North American sales, respectively, will be fully electric by 2030\nFord projects that 40% of its sales will be fully electric by 2030.\nToyota projects that it will sell 2 million EVs by 2030\nHonda plans to sell only EVs in China by 2030\nBMW expects at least half its sales to be zero-emission vehicles by 2030\nDaimler, manufacturer of Mercedes Benz, expects half its sales to be “EV and hybrid by 2025”\nGeneral Motors is targeting EV sales of “more than 1 million” by 2025\nVolvo plans to sell only fully electric vehicles by 2030\nNissan projects 40% of U.S. sales to be EVs by 2030\n\nBased on these projections, I estimate how many EVs each company aims to produce[1] by 2030 and the market share implied by that production as a percentage of base-case global passenger EV sales in 2030.\n\nVolkswagen Group: 5.5 million, 21% market share\nStellantis: 3.6 million[2], 14% market share\nFord: 2.2 million, 9% market share\nToyota: 2 million, 8% market share\nHonda (in China): 1.5 million, 6% market share\nBMW: 1.3 million, 5% market share\nMercedes Benz: 1.2+ million, 5% market share\nGeneral Motors: 1+ million, 4% market share\nVolvo: 700,000, 3% market share\nNissan (in U.S.): 500,000, 2% market share\nTotal = 19+ million vehicles and 75% market share\n\nThese estimates do not include other incumbents and new entrants (e.g. Jaguar Land Rover, NIO Inc. [NIO], Rivian [RIVN], Ludic [LCID] and more) or other Chinese EV makers because I could not find specific projections for EV production. Nevertheless, I am confident that their combined market share will be more than zero.\nThe point is that the rest of the world is not planning to stand by, give up existing market share, and let Tesla own majority of the EV market. Many very experienced and successful automakers are spending many multiples of what Tesla is spending to compete in the EV market.\nThe bottom line is that it is hard to make a straight-faced argument that Tesla can achieve the sales implied by its valuation in a competitive market.\nIncumbents Can Afford to Spend More than Tesla.Incumbents already have infrastructure to produce and sell vehicles at scale, and they are spending billions of dollars to compete in the EV market. Ford, Volkswagen, General Motors, and Stellantis alone are planning to spend at least $280 billion through 2025 and produce over 12 million EVs by 2030.\nGiven the huge investments from multiple competitors, I expect the EV market will be extremely competitive, as manufacturers fight for profits and market share. The “winner take all” outcome implied by Tesla’s valuation is extremely unlikely. Perhaps, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi said it best, “the automotive industry is an increasingly global and hypercompetitive industry and I believe that surplus profits and technology innovation will likely be competed away over time, as has been the case historically.\" In such a market, Tesla cannot achieve the market share implied by its valuation.\nUnlike Tesla, the incumbents generate plenty of free cash flow (FCF) to fund their EV investments and don’t have to dilute existing shareholders to expand EV capacity as Tesla does. For instance, over the last five years, General Motors, Stellantis, and Ford generated a cumulative $12.4 billion, $7.1, and $6.1 billion in free cash flow while Tesla burned -$19.5 billion.\nFSD Continues to Overpromise And Underdeliver.Full-self driving (FSD) has been consistently plagued by issues that, unfortunately, have deadly consequences. Industry research provider Guidehouse Insights ranks Tesla last in its 2021 ranking of Automated Driver Systems (ADS), and states flatly, “Tesla needs a thorough rethink of its approach to developing ADS. It has overpromised with its marketing for nearly 5 years and severely underdelivered.”\nPer Figure 7, Tesla lags the competition by quite a large margin, as it’s the only company that falls into the \"Followers\" category.\nThe most recent problems with Tesla’s FSD version 10.3 forced the company to roll back the update as users reported false crash warnings and other problems with autosteer and cruise control. These issues resulted in Tesla recalling nearly 12,000 vehicles because “a communication error may cause a false forward-collision warning or unexpected activation of the emergency brakes,” according to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA).\nWhile the roll out of an updated 10.3.1 has restarted, Tesla’s haphazard approach to deploying FSD remains unsettling and led Guidehouse Insights to note, “Tesla’s approach to testing its system is fundamentally at odds with virtually every other company in this industry.”\nFigure 7: Tesla Ranks Last Amongst Automated Driver Systems\n\nAlphabet’s Waymo routinely ranks as the best automated driving system. Importantly, many of the firms ranked ahead of Tesla are focused solely on building automated driving systems and are not distracted by scaling up automobile production, delivery logistics, and the general day-to-day operations of producing cars. Even so, other direct competitors such as GM Super Cruise also get better scores from third-party organizations.\nIncreased Regulatory Risk.While Tesla has mysteriously avoided regulatory crackdown on its sales of FSD and practice of beta testing software on live drivers and roads, renewed requests from the NHTSA/National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) signal that Tesla might be held accountable for practices that many find highly misleading and dangerous to citizens.\nMissy Cummings, recently appointed as senior advisor for safety at the NHTSA, has expressed concerns about Tesla’s FSD in the past, tweeting as far back as 2019 that Tesla’s “autopilot easily cause mode confusion, is unreliable and unsafe” and that “NHTSA should require Tesla turn it off.”\nMore recently, Tesla requested “confidential business information treatment” on its responses to a litany of information requests the NHTSA made as part of its investigation into FSD. If approved, the public would likely never see Tesla’s responses to key questions pertaining to Tesla not issuing a recall for Autopilot after multiple accidents involving parked emergency vehicles, the selection criteria for Tesla’s FSD beta testing program, and the non-disclosure agreements Tesla was making drivers sign before they could use the beta system.\nThe NHTSA is not alone in criticizing Tesla and its FSD rollout. On October 26, 2021, the head of the U.S. NTSB, Jennifer Homendy, said that Tesla has not yet officially responded to the NTSB regarding its safety recommendations while calling the use of full self-driving ”misleading.” She stated, “my biggest concern is that Tesla is rolling out full self-driving technology in beta on city streets with untrained drivers and they have not addressed our recommendations that we’ve issued as a result of numerous investigations of Tesla crashes.”\nBattery Technologies Are Nothing Special.Tesla announced it will be switching to a lithium iron phosphate (LFP) battery in all standard range cars. These batteries are already being used in vehicles built in the Shanghai factory, and this switch is expected to bring down costs. The timing of this change comes as other battery producers, in partnership with incumbent auto manufacturers, are ramping up production, which should drive down battery costs for all EV makers. In other words, the competitive advantages of a cheaper battery may be short-lived, as incumbents build economies of scale in their own supply chain in the coming years.\nAdditionally, while the much heralded 4680 cylindrical battery, produced by Panasonic for Tesla, and nearly ready for production, should bring a higher energy density in a more efficient package, competitors’ offerings all aim to provide the same.\nGeneral Motor’s Ultium platform will enable up to 400-450 miles of range, and the firm is building a new battery research facility aimed at building batteries capable of 600 miles on a single charge. General Motors recently announced a joint venture with LG Chem to build a second U.S. battery cell plant, which is expected to have an annual capacity of 35 gigawatt hours, or slightly above the 30 gigawatt hour capacity of its first Lordstown battery plant. Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas noted that the “formation of Ultium/Ultium Cells LLC will prove to be a critical point of strategic differentiation that will ultimately drive value creation for [GM] shareholders.”\nFord’s Mustang Mach-E became the first electric SUV not made by Tesla to reach an EPA-rated range of up to 300 miles, and the company recently entered a partnership with SK Innovation to build three U.S.-based battery plants to power 1 million EVs annually.\nOn its own, LG Chem plans to expand its existing U.S. facilities and build two more plants that will produce both pouch cells used by General Motors, Ford, Jaguar, Audi, Porsche, and more, as well as the cylindrical cells used by Tesla.\nUltimately, the race for the “perfect” battery is less important than the race to procure battery supplies to build the number of EVs each manufacturer aims to produce in the coming years. The incumbents have proven they can maintain and win a race to procure supplies, and they’ve only been doing it for multiple decades now.\nNot All Supply Issues Can Be Coded Away.To its credit, Tesla managed the global chip shortage relatively well by re-writing software to allow the use of alternative chips. However, not all supply issues can be solved via software, as evidenced by the growing wait times for Tesla’s vehicles. As Electrek notes, Tesla recently updated its delivery timelines for new orders, and depending upon specs, some vehicles won’t be delivered until September 2022 if ordered today. New orders for the Model 3 Standard Range Plus, which is Tesla’s cheapest vehicle, are currently on pace to be delivered in May 2022, or seven months from now.\nWhile certainly not unique to Tesla, extended delivery/wait times give consumers ample time to comparison shop and possibly switch orders to a competitor’s EV that would be available sooner.\nDelivery delays aren’t exclusive to in-production vehicles, but Tesla’s future vehicles as well. The much-hyped Cybertruck has recently been delayed again, this time until at least 2023 (compared to an original late 2021 release), which ultimately gives competitors more time to establish a presence in the EV truck market. I recently outlined the many competitors in the EV truck market in my report on Rivian.\nPutting It All Together: Tesla Provides Poor Risk/Reward\nGiven the challenges ahead for Tesla, coupled with a valuation that implies it will take 60%+ of the global EV market share, I think it is clear: Tesla’s stock offers poor risk/reward.\nTesla has proven risky to short, but investors need not buy shares today at such an elevated price.\nIf you’re buying Tesla at its current valuation, you’re not only betting that it will be the only winner of the electrification of the global automotive fleet, but that it will somehow be twice as profitable as Toyota and achieve at least 60% market share. With anything less than total market domination, TSLA presents large downside risk.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":870516957,"gmtCreate":1636632846294,"gmtModify":1636632846384,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870516957","repostId":"1198342851","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198342851","pubTimestamp":1636623624,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198342851?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-11 17:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir Stock: Teaching The Market A Lesson","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198342851","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPalantir submitted a strong earnings card for the third quarter.\nThe analytics firm is rais","content":"<p>Summary</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Palantir submitted a strong earnings card for the third quarter.</li>\n <li>The analytics firm is raising its revenue and free cash flow forecast for FY 2021 materially due to accelerating business momentum.</li>\n <li>Revenue estimates should continue to go up.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Shares of Palantir (PLTR) cratered 10% after the submission of the firm's Q3'21 earnings sheet on&nbsp;Tuseday, although the data analytics firm raised its revenue and cash flow outlook. The drop in pricing presents a buying opportunity because revenue growth is accelerating and customer monetization is improving!</p>\n<p><b>Why Palantir is a buy on the drop (again)</b></p>\n<p>With the presentation of Palantir's third-quarter earnings card yesterday, the software and analytics business demonstrates that the market may still be underestimating the firm's potential for revenue growth, especially in the commercial segment which is gaining continual momentum. In the third quarter, Palantir generated revenues of $392.1M, showing an increase of 36% year over year. Third-quarter sales surpassed Palantir's guidance of $385M in revenues and Palantir's commercial business is crushing it. The segment grew commercial customers by 46% year over year and US commercial revenues by 103% compared to the year-earlier period. Government revenues (56% share) contributed $217.8M in sales in the third quarter and the private enterprise segment was responsible for $174.3M in sales (44% revenue share). Palantir's commercial business is getting more important regarding client and revenue growth. The firm's year-to-date revenues are $1.1B, showing 44% growth compared to the year-earlier period.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ada3b189376589e0db5cd9327e897664\" tg-width=\"1255\" tg-height=\"374\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>(Source:Palantir)</span></p>\n<p>Palantir is not only growing revenues but also improving monetization of existing customers that sign on to its analytics platform. Palantir added 34 new customers to its client pool in the third quarter and managed to improve customer monetization by generating higher revenues per average customer. The average revenue per top 20 customer grew to $41M in the third quarter... that's equal to a growth rate of 35% year over year.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7dc262f8cb5aa1b1fa15ffdc3453619\" tg-width=\"1498\" tg-height=\"568\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>(Source:Palantir)</span></p>\n<p>Turning to free cash flow.</p>\n<p>Palantir generated free cash flow of $119M in third quarter. This free cash flow, using revenues of $392M, calculates to an impressive and growing margin of 30%. The free cash flow margin in the second quarter was just 13%, so Palantir's profitability is rapidly improving. The third quarter was the fourth straight quarter of positive FCF margins for Palantir…</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df5216ead75d7f97bc953ecaa242a8a2\" tg-width=\"1722\" tg-height=\"547\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>(Source: Palantir)</span></p>\n<p>Because Palantir's software and analytics business is gaining momentum, the firm is raising its full year free cash flow forecast again. The firm expected adjusted free cash flow in excess of$150M in the first quarter, FCF in excess of$300M in the second quarter, and now raised its free cash expectation tomore than $400M for FY 2021.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eae68bb14ff450e32e95d2637eba6b04\" tg-width=\"1196\" tg-height=\"562\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>(Source: Palantir)</span></p>\n<p>Palantir also raised its revenue forecast for FY 2021 from 30% to 40% due to accelerating business growth and better customer acquisition. Since the software firm generated $1.1B in revenues in FY 2020, the new guidance implies revenues of $1.54B and a free cash flow margin of 26% in FY 2021. Because of the raised revenue forecast, I estimate that Palantir's revenues could top $2.0B next year and $5.0B by 2025. A margin of 30% implies free cash flow of $1.5B by 2025, but I consider a 30% FCF margin low. Accelerating customer uptake of Palantir's analytics services and growing revenues per customer show progress in customer monetization, so the free cash flow margin could grow to, say, 40% by 2025. A 40% margin implies free cash flow of $2.0B. Based off of Palantir's Q3'21 FCF guidance for the full year, this estimate represents a 5 X factor increase in free cash flow within four years for Palantir.</p>\n<p>Palantir's sales growth was discounted by 10% yesterday and revenue estimates should continue to rise...</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9529e1572da320d87b443aa9f9a45ca6\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"599\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Because of stronger than expected sales and free cash flow growth, shares of Palantir can power higher. But they dropped 10% drop because Palantir also projected an adjusted operating margin of 22% in the fourth quarter, which is below the 30% margin achieved in Q3'21. What people may forget here: Palantir also guided for a 22% margin in the last quarter (out of caution) and beat its own guidance by 8 PP. The drop in pricing never should have happened...</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b407a4b8011c75f1b6ace0675b5f220\" tg-width=\"856\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p><b>Two problems with Palantir</b></p>\n<p>Palantir has one big problem: The firm spends too much money on executive compensation. Issuing new shares as part of compensation packages for managers dilutes shareholders and their shares of future profits. Since the end of FY 2020, Palantir's share count increased by 11% and will likely continue to increase.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45061d4d1dd4c9eaeacf0bc0efc9f4bb\" tg-width=\"1725\" tg-height=\"301\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>(Source: Palantir)</span></p>\n<p>Besides dilution, a slowdown in Palantir's revenue and free cash flow growth is a risk for the stock… because it trades chiefly on expectations of sales growth. If Palantir fails to deliver 30% sales growth annually, the stock could revalue lower.</p>\n<p><b>Final thoughts</b></p>\n<p>Palantir's 10% after-earnings drop presents a golden opportunity to buy the firm's robust revenue and free cash flow growth. The Q3'21 earnings card is teaching the market a lesson because it still undervalues the firm's material revenue and free cash flow ramp until FY 2025. While shares of Palantir are not cheap, they should not have dropped yesterday, given the strength of the outlook!</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir Stock: Teaching The Market A Lesson</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir Stock: Teaching The Market A Lesson\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-11 17:40 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4467867-palantir-q3-earnings-pltr-stock-buy-on-drop><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nPalantir submitted a strong earnings card for the third quarter.\nThe analytics firm is raising its revenue and free cash flow forecast for FY 2021 materially due to accelerating business ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4467867-palantir-q3-earnings-pltr-stock-buy-on-drop\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4467867-palantir-q3-earnings-pltr-stock-buy-on-drop","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1198342851","content_text":"Summary\n\nPalantir submitted a strong earnings card for the third quarter.\nThe analytics firm is raising its revenue and free cash flow forecast for FY 2021 materially due to accelerating business momentum.\nRevenue estimates should continue to go up.\n\nShares of Palantir (PLTR) cratered 10% after the submission of the firm's Q3'21 earnings sheet on Tuseday, although the data analytics firm raised its revenue and cash flow outlook. The drop in pricing presents a buying opportunity because revenue growth is accelerating and customer monetization is improving!\nWhy Palantir is a buy on the drop (again)\nWith the presentation of Palantir's third-quarter earnings card yesterday, the software and analytics business demonstrates that the market may still be underestimating the firm's potential for revenue growth, especially in the commercial segment which is gaining continual momentum. In the third quarter, Palantir generated revenues of $392.1M, showing an increase of 36% year over year. Third-quarter sales surpassed Palantir's guidance of $385M in revenues and Palantir's commercial business is crushing it. The segment grew commercial customers by 46% year over year and US commercial revenues by 103% compared to the year-earlier period. Government revenues (56% share) contributed $217.8M in sales in the third quarter and the private enterprise segment was responsible for $174.3M in sales (44% revenue share). Palantir's commercial business is getting more important regarding client and revenue growth. The firm's year-to-date revenues are $1.1B, showing 44% growth compared to the year-earlier period.\n(Source:Palantir)\nPalantir is not only growing revenues but also improving monetization of existing customers that sign on to its analytics platform. Palantir added 34 new customers to its client pool in the third quarter and managed to improve customer monetization by generating higher revenues per average customer. The average revenue per top 20 customer grew to $41M in the third quarter... that's equal to a growth rate of 35% year over year.\n(Source:Palantir)\nTurning to free cash flow.\nPalantir generated free cash flow of $119M in third quarter. This free cash flow, using revenues of $392M, calculates to an impressive and growing margin of 30%. The free cash flow margin in the second quarter was just 13%, so Palantir's profitability is rapidly improving. The third quarter was the fourth straight quarter of positive FCF margins for Palantir…\n(Source: Palantir)\nBecause Palantir's software and analytics business is gaining momentum, the firm is raising its full year free cash flow forecast again. The firm expected adjusted free cash flow in excess of$150M in the first quarter, FCF in excess of$300M in the second quarter, and now raised its free cash expectation tomore than $400M for FY 2021.\n(Source: Palantir)\nPalantir also raised its revenue forecast for FY 2021 from 30% to 40% due to accelerating business growth and better customer acquisition. Since the software firm generated $1.1B in revenues in FY 2020, the new guidance implies revenues of $1.54B and a free cash flow margin of 26% in FY 2021. Because of the raised revenue forecast, I estimate that Palantir's revenues could top $2.0B next year and $5.0B by 2025. A margin of 30% implies free cash flow of $1.5B by 2025, but I consider a 30% FCF margin low. Accelerating customer uptake of Palantir's analytics services and growing revenues per customer show progress in customer monetization, so the free cash flow margin could grow to, say, 40% by 2025. A 40% margin implies free cash flow of $2.0B. Based off of Palantir's Q3'21 FCF guidance for the full year, this estimate represents a 5 X factor increase in free cash flow within four years for Palantir.\nPalantir's sales growth was discounted by 10% yesterday and revenue estimates should continue to rise...\nData by YCharts\nBecause of stronger than expected sales and free cash flow growth, shares of Palantir can power higher. But they dropped 10% drop because Palantir also projected an adjusted operating margin of 22% in the fourth quarter, which is below the 30% margin achieved in Q3'21. What people may forget here: Palantir also guided for a 22% margin in the last quarter (out of caution) and beat its own guidance by 8 PP. The drop in pricing never should have happened...\nData by YCharts\nTwo problems with Palantir\nPalantir has one big problem: The firm spends too much money on executive compensation. Issuing new shares as part of compensation packages for managers dilutes shareholders and their shares of future profits. Since the end of FY 2020, Palantir's share count increased by 11% and will likely continue to increase.\n(Source: Palantir)\nBesides dilution, a slowdown in Palantir's revenue and free cash flow growth is a risk for the stock… because it trades chiefly on expectations of sales growth. If Palantir fails to deliver 30% sales growth annually, the stock could revalue lower.\nFinal thoughts\nPalantir's 10% after-earnings drop presents a golden opportunity to buy the firm's robust revenue and free cash flow growth. The Q3'21 earnings card is teaching the market a lesson because it still undervalues the firm's material revenue and free cash flow ramp until FY 2025. While shares of Palantir are not cheap, they should not have dropped yesterday, given the strength of the outlook!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":366,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":847135200,"gmtCreate":1636500629903,"gmtModify":1636500630036,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Facepalm]&nbsp;","listText":"[Facepalm]&nbsp;","text":"[Facepalm]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/847135200","repostId":"1127189501","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127189501","pubTimestamp":1636470995,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127189501?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-09 23:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Kimbal Musk cashed out $109 million of Tesla stock just before Elon's tweets whacked the share price","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127189501","media":"businessinsider","summary":"Tesla board member Kimbal Musk sold around $109 million of the electric-car maker's stock shortly be","content":"<p>Tesla&nbsp;board member Kimbal Musk sold around $109 million of the electric-car maker's stock shortly before his brother Elon knocked the share price by asking Twitter if he should sell a big chunk of his holdings.</p>\n<p>Kimbal, an entrepreneur who sits on Tesla's board of directors, made a number of transactions on Friday according to a Securities and Exchange Commission&nbsp;filing.</p>\n<p>He exercised his stock options to buy 25,000 shares at just $74.17 a pop. Kimbal then sold 88,500 shares in a number of tranches at an average price of around $1,230, making him roughly $108.9 million.</p>\n<p>Elon's younger brother also donated 25,000 shares - which closed at $1,222.09 on Friday - to charity.</p>\n<p>Kimbal has not been the only director to take advantage of the Tesla's blistering rally, which has seen the stock price rise around 1,600% over the last two years.</p>\n<p>Filings&nbsp;from the end of October showed that directors Ira Ehrenpreis, Robyn Denholm and Antonio Gracias sold shares worth hundreds of millions of dollars.</p>\n<p>Tesla&nbsp;shares&nbsp;once&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;10%&nbsp;in&nbsp;morning&nbsp;trading.</p>","source":"lsy1636471102575","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Kimbal Musk cashed out $109 million of Tesla stock just before Elon's tweets whacked the share price</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nKimbal Musk cashed out $109 million of Tesla stock just before Elon's tweets whacked the share price\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-09 23:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/kimbal-musk-elon-tesla-stock-share-sale-twitter-poll-2021-11><strong>businessinsider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla board member Kimbal Musk sold around $109 million of the electric-car maker's stock shortly before his brother Elon knocked the share price by asking Twitter if he should sell a big chunk of his...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/kimbal-musk-elon-tesla-stock-share-sale-twitter-poll-2021-11\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/kimbal-musk-elon-tesla-stock-share-sale-twitter-poll-2021-11","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127189501","content_text":"Tesla board member Kimbal Musk sold around $109 million of the electric-car maker's stock shortly before his brother Elon knocked the share price by asking Twitter if he should sell a big chunk of his holdings.\nKimbal, an entrepreneur who sits on Tesla's board of directors, made a number of transactions on Friday according to a Securities and Exchange Commission filing.\nHe exercised his stock options to buy 25,000 shares at just $74.17 a pop. Kimbal then sold 88,500 shares in a number of tranches at an average price of around $1,230, making him roughly $108.9 million.\nElon's younger brother also donated 25,000 shares - which closed at $1,222.09 on Friday - to charity.\nKimbal has not been the only director to take advantage of the Tesla's blistering rally, which has seen the stock price rise around 1,600% over the last two years.\nFilings from the end of October showed that directors Ira Ehrenpreis, Robyn Denholm and Antonio Gracias sold shares worth hundreds of millions of dollars.\nTesla shares once fell nearly 10% in morning trading.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844070536,"gmtCreate":1636380632161,"gmtModify":1636380632248,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844070536","repostId":"1131917085","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131917085","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1636376913,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1131917085?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-08 21:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131917085","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Monday as big industrial firms were supported by the passag","content":"<p>U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Monday as big industrial firms were supported by the passage of a $1 trillion infrastructure bill, while Tesla fell on Chief Executive Elon Musk's plan to sell about a tenth of his stake.</p>\n<p>At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 68 points, or 0.19%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were up 2.5 points, or 0.05% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 5.75 points, or 0.04%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39e9eaf5f0fc5df926abfe4ce104b612\" tg-width=\"973\" tg-height=\"304\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:00</span></p>\n<p>Caterpillar Inc&nbsp;, Boeing Co&nbsp;and 3M Co&nbsp;rose between 0.5% and 3% in premarket trading after the Congress passed a long-delayed infratructure bill, hailed by President Joe Biden as a \"once in a generation\" investment.</p>\n<p>Steel and aluminum producers also gained, with Nucor Corp&nbsp;up 2.6% and United States Steel Corp&nbsp;adding 4.9%.</p>\n<p>\"The news that Joe Biden is on the cusp of signing off a $1 trillion infrastructure package does provide a boost for industrial names that have largely enjoyed a strong third quarter in any case,\" Joshua Mahony, senior market analyst at IG, said in a client note.</p>\n<p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a> (TSLA) &nbsp;– Shares of the automaker slumped 4.3% in premarket trading after CEO Elon Musk asked his followers on Twitter if he shouldsell 10% of his stock in the company.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REGN\">Regeneron Pharmaceuticals</a> (REGN) – Shares of the pharmaceutical company rose 2% after Regeneron said that a single dose of its antibody cocktail could provide long-term protection against Covid-19.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">Caterpillar</a> (CAT) – The industrial stock jumped more than 4% in premarket trading after it was announced a fresh pick at investment firm Baird. Caterpillar could see strong earnings in the next few years as the newly passed infrastructure bill adds to a strong demand environment, Baird said in a note to clients.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AUTL\">Autolus Therapeutics PLC</a> (AUTL) – The biotech stock surged 25% after Blackstone said it would invest up to $250 million in Autolus. The investment will help Autolus continue to build on a treatment for leukemia, the companies said in a release.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COTY\">Coty</a> (COTY) – The makeup and beauty stock rose 6.5% after the company reported better-than-expected results for its fiscal first quarter, according to estimates from StreetAccount. Coty also announced that it was selling more of its stake in Wella to KKR.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\">Krispy Kreme, Inc.</a> (DNUT) – Shares of the doughnut chain dipped in premarket trading following a&nbsp;downgrade from Truist. The investment firm said that the tight labor market could hold back Krispy Kreme’s expansion plans.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CGC\">Canopy Growth Corporation</a> (CGC) – The pot stock was under pressure in premarket trading following a pair of downgrades from Cowen and Canaccord Genuity. Canopy reported its fiscal second-quarter results last week, and revenue missed expectations.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SFTBY\">Softbank Group Corp</a> – Shares of the Japanese bank fell less than 1% in Tokyo trading after SoftBank reported a loss for its fiscal second quarter. The company took a$10 billion loss from its Vision Fund, weighed down by losses in Chinese tech stocks, according to Reuters.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LYV\">Live Nation Entertainment</a> (LYV) – The entertainment promotion company saw its stock fall nearly 4% in premarket trading on Monday after&nbsp;multiple people died at a Travis Scott concert&nbsp;over the weekend. Live Nation has reportedly been named a defendant in lawsuits about the event.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Monday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-11-08 21:08</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Monday as big industrial firms were supported by the passage of a $1 trillion infrastructure bill, while Tesla fell on Chief Executive Elon Musk's plan to sell about a tenth of his stake.</p>\n<p>At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 68 points, or 0.19%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were up 2.5 points, or 0.05% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 5.75 points, or 0.04%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39e9eaf5f0fc5df926abfe4ce104b612\" tg-width=\"973\" tg-height=\"304\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:00</span></p>\n<p>Caterpillar Inc&nbsp;, Boeing Co&nbsp;and 3M Co&nbsp;rose between 0.5% and 3% in premarket trading after the Congress passed a long-delayed infratructure bill, hailed by President Joe Biden as a \"once in a generation\" investment.</p>\n<p>Steel and aluminum producers also gained, with Nucor Corp&nbsp;up 2.6% and United States Steel Corp&nbsp;adding 4.9%.</p>\n<p>\"The news that Joe Biden is on the cusp of signing off a $1 trillion infrastructure package does provide a boost for industrial names that have largely enjoyed a strong third quarter in any case,\" Joshua Mahony, senior market analyst at IG, said in a client note.</p>\n<p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a> (TSLA) &nbsp;– Shares of the automaker slumped 4.3% in premarket trading after CEO Elon Musk asked his followers on Twitter if he shouldsell 10% of his stock in the company.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REGN\">Regeneron Pharmaceuticals</a> (REGN) – Shares of the pharmaceutical company rose 2% after Regeneron said that a single dose of its antibody cocktail could provide long-term protection against Covid-19.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">Caterpillar</a> (CAT) – The industrial stock jumped more than 4% in premarket trading after it was announced a fresh pick at investment firm Baird. Caterpillar could see strong earnings in the next few years as the newly passed infrastructure bill adds to a strong demand environment, Baird said in a note to clients.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AUTL\">Autolus Therapeutics PLC</a> (AUTL) – The biotech stock surged 25% after Blackstone said it would invest up to $250 million in Autolus. The investment will help Autolus continue to build on a treatment for leukemia, the companies said in a release.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COTY\">Coty</a> (COTY) – The makeup and beauty stock rose 6.5% after the company reported better-than-expected results for its fiscal first quarter, according to estimates from StreetAccount. Coty also announced that it was selling more of its stake in Wella to KKR.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\">Krispy Kreme, Inc.</a> (DNUT) – Shares of the doughnut chain dipped in premarket trading following a&nbsp;downgrade from Truist. The investment firm said that the tight labor market could hold back Krispy Kreme’s expansion plans.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CGC\">Canopy Growth Corporation</a> (CGC) – The pot stock was under pressure in premarket trading following a pair of downgrades from Cowen and Canaccord Genuity. Canopy reported its fiscal second-quarter results last week, and revenue missed expectations.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SFTBY\">Softbank Group Corp</a> – Shares of the Japanese bank fell less than 1% in Tokyo trading after SoftBank reported a loss for its fiscal second quarter. The company took a$10 billion loss from its Vision Fund, weighed down by losses in Chinese tech stocks, according to Reuters.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LYV\">Live Nation Entertainment</a> (LYV) – The entertainment promotion company saw its stock fall nearly 4% in premarket trading on Monday after&nbsp;multiple people died at a Travis Scott concert&nbsp;over the weekend. Live Nation has reportedly been named a defendant in lawsuits about the event.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131917085","content_text":"U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Monday as big industrial firms were supported by the passage of a $1 trillion infrastructure bill, while Tesla fell on Chief Executive Elon Musk's plan to sell about a tenth of his stake.\nAt 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 68 points, or 0.19%, S&P 500 E-minis were up 2.5 points, or 0.05% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 5.75 points, or 0.04%.\n*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:00\nCaterpillar Inc , Boeing Co and 3M Co rose between 0.5% and 3% in premarket trading after the Congress passed a long-delayed infratructure bill, hailed by President Joe Biden as a \"once in a generation\" investment.\nSteel and aluminum producers also gained, with Nucor Corp up 2.6% and United States Steel Corp adding 4.9%.\n\"The news that Joe Biden is on the cusp of signing off a $1 trillion infrastructure package does provide a boost for industrial names that have largely enjoyed a strong third quarter in any case,\" Joshua Mahony, senior market analyst at IG, said in a client note.\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:\nTesla Motors (TSLA)  – Shares of the automaker slumped 4.3% in premarket trading after CEO Elon Musk asked his followers on Twitter if he shouldsell 10% of his stock in the company.\nRegeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN) – Shares of the pharmaceutical company rose 2% after Regeneron said that a single dose of its antibody cocktail could provide long-term protection against Covid-19.\nCaterpillar (CAT) – The industrial stock jumped more than 4% in premarket trading after it was announced a fresh pick at investment firm Baird. Caterpillar could see strong earnings in the next few years as the newly passed infrastructure bill adds to a strong demand environment, Baird said in a note to clients.\nAutolus Therapeutics PLC (AUTL) – The biotech stock surged 25% after Blackstone said it would invest up to $250 million in Autolus. The investment will help Autolus continue to build on a treatment for leukemia, the companies said in a release.\nCoty (COTY) – The makeup and beauty stock rose 6.5% after the company reported better-than-expected results for its fiscal first quarter, according to estimates from StreetAccount. Coty also announced that it was selling more of its stake in Wella to KKR.\nKrispy Kreme, Inc. (DNUT) – Shares of the doughnut chain dipped in premarket trading following a downgrade from Truist. The investment firm said that the tight labor market could hold back Krispy Kreme’s expansion plans.\nCanopy Growth Corporation (CGC) – The pot stock was under pressure in premarket trading following a pair of downgrades from Cowen and Canaccord Genuity. Canopy reported its fiscal second-quarter results last week, and revenue missed expectations.\nSoftbank Group Corp – Shares of the Japanese bank fell less than 1% in Tokyo trading after SoftBank reported a loss for its fiscal second quarter. The company took a$10 billion loss from its Vision Fund, weighed down by losses in Chinese tech stocks, according to Reuters.\nLive Nation Entertainment (LYV) – The entertainment promotion company saw its stock fall nearly 4% in premarket trading on Monday after multiple people died at a Travis Scott concert over the weekend. Live Nation has reportedly been named a defendant in lawsuits about the event.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":288,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":842077709,"gmtCreate":1636122899765,"gmtModify":1636122899845,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Surprised]&nbsp;","listText":"[Surprised]&nbsp;","text":"[Surprised]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/842077709","repostId":"1180620689","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180620689","pubTimestamp":1636112077,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180620689?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-05 19:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock Is Overvalued by $1 Trillion, Analyst Says. We Looked at the Math.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180620689","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla‘s market capitalization recently moved well past $1 trillion, but the independent investment-r","content":"<p>Tesla‘s market capitalization recently moved well past $1 trillion, but the independent investment-research firm New Constructs believes the company is overvalued by roughly $1 trillion of that. The firm’s CEO, David Trainer, says Tesla shares could fall as much as 88%, to roughly $150 a share.</p>\n<p>His argument, which isn’t the first extreme bear or bull case Tesla (ticker: TSLA) investors have had to weigh, is mainly based on math.</p>\n<p>Tesla stock, which has risen about 57% over the past month, was little changed in premarket trading Friday after gaining up 1.3% Thursday afternoon, while the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;advanced 0.4% and the&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;finished off 0.1%. Strong third-quarter deliveries, earnings, and a sale of 100,000 vehicles to the rental-car company&nbsp;Hertz&nbsp;(HTZZ) have sent the stock through the roof.</p>\n<p>Today, Tesla is worth roughly $1.2 trillion–a figure Trainer says makes no sense. Tesla didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.</p>\n<p>“The $1.2 trillion valuation implies Tesla owns 118% of the entire global passenger EV market and becomes more profitable than&nbsp;Apple&nbsp;[AAPL] by 2030,” wrote Trainer in a Thursday report. His work looked at what kind of sales and earnings the company would have to achieve to be worth that much.</p>\n<p>Trainer believes Tesla would have to sell almost 31 million vehicles in 2030 to justify the current valuation. That is more than he expects the entire industry to produce, based on figures from the International Energy Agency. The base case in the IEA’s 2021 outlook for electric vehicles projects annual global sales of about 28 million EVs at the end of the decade.</p>\n<p>To be sure, that IEA report was published in April, before many auto makers committed to spending billions of dollars on vehicle electrification and battery-production capacity. It was in August that President Joe Biden announced his <a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/tesla-musk-biden-ev-stock-51628202850\" target=\"_blank\">goal for EVs</a> to account for 50% of new-car sales by 2030. And the IEA report includes a best-case scenario with about 47 million EVs sold around the world annually by 2030.</p>\n<p>There are, of course, Tesla bulls, and most of them don’t believe Tesla is going to sell 31 million cars a year by 2030. Morgan Stanley’s Adam Jonas, who rates the stock at Buy and has a $1,200 price target for shares, predicts annual sales of about 8 million units by then.</p>\n<p>Jonas believes Tesla will be more profitable than traditional auto makers. But Trainer assumes that Tesla will have operating profit margins in line with those of General Motors&nbsp;(GM). With 31 million vehicles sold, that might mean Tesla earns $131 billion in 2030 operating profit, higher than the $100 billion-plus Apple is pulling in now, he said.</p>\n<p>But if Jonas’s call for Tesla to sell 8 million vehicles in 2030 is correct, Trainer said, that would yield earnings of about $30 billion annually, assuming Elon Musk’s company only matches GM’s net operating after-tax profit margin of 8.5%.</p>\n<p>Recently, of course, some of Tesla’s profit margins have been industry-leading, which is no surprise given the popularity of the vehicles and the fact that the company doesn’t have the pension obligations its older rivals face. Third-quarter gross margins exceeded GM’s,Ford Motor‘s (F), and&nbsp;Volkswagen’s&nbsp;(VOW3. Germany), to name a few.</p>\n<p>Longer-term margins are hard to predict, though Trainer told <i>Barron’s</i> he thinks his assumption is fair. They depend on factors such as software sales—all auto makers are offering software-enabled features that can be sold on subscriptions—as well as battery costs.</p>\n<p>“Putting it all together: Tesla provides poor risk/reward,” Trainer wrote.</p>\n<p>His arguments are unlikely to sway the many bulls who follow the stock. There are 14 analysts, almost one-third of the 44 Bloomberg tracks, with target prices that value Tesla at $1 trillion or more.</p>\n<p>The bulls believe Tesla is the EV leader and will increase its sales and production volume at 50% a year on average for the foreseeable future. They also believe EVs will be more profitable than traditional vehicles and that Tesla will maintain its cost leadership. Many bulls also believe that Tesla’s power-storage business, plus a robotaxi operation it could launch if it succeeds in developing self-driving cars, will generate significant sales.</p>\n<p>Time will tell who is right. The bulls are feeling good these days given Tesla’s strong results. And the bears are staring agape at the stock’s valuation, which essentially matches all of the world’s traditional auto makers combined.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock Is Overvalued by $1 Trillion, Analyst Says. We Looked at the Math.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock Is Overvalued by $1 Trillion, Analyst Says. We Looked at the Math.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-05 19:34 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-overvalued-1-trillion-51636053056?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla‘s market capitalization recently moved well past $1 trillion, but the independent investment-research firm New Constructs believes the company is overvalued by roughly $1 trillion of that. The ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-overvalued-1-trillion-51636053056?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-overvalued-1-trillion-51636053056?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180620689","content_text":"Tesla‘s market capitalization recently moved well past $1 trillion, but the independent investment-research firm New Constructs believes the company is overvalued by roughly $1 trillion of that. The firm’s CEO, David Trainer, says Tesla shares could fall as much as 88%, to roughly $150 a share.\nHis argument, which isn’t the first extreme bear or bull case Tesla (ticker: TSLA) investors have had to weigh, is mainly based on math.\nTesla stock, which has risen about 57% over the past month, was little changed in premarket trading Friday after gaining up 1.3% Thursday afternoon, while the S&P 500 advanced 0.4% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average finished off 0.1%. Strong third-quarter deliveries, earnings, and a sale of 100,000 vehicles to the rental-car company Hertz (HTZZ) have sent the stock through the roof.\nToday, Tesla is worth roughly $1.2 trillion–a figure Trainer says makes no sense. Tesla didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.\n“The $1.2 trillion valuation implies Tesla owns 118% of the entire global passenger EV market and becomes more profitable than Apple [AAPL] by 2030,” wrote Trainer in a Thursday report. His work looked at what kind of sales and earnings the company would have to achieve to be worth that much.\nTrainer believes Tesla would have to sell almost 31 million vehicles in 2030 to justify the current valuation. That is more than he expects the entire industry to produce, based on figures from the International Energy Agency. The base case in the IEA’s 2021 outlook for electric vehicles projects annual global sales of about 28 million EVs at the end of the decade.\nTo be sure, that IEA report was published in April, before many auto makers committed to spending billions of dollars on vehicle electrification and battery-production capacity. It was in August that President Joe Biden announced his goal for EVs to account for 50% of new-car sales by 2030. And the IEA report includes a best-case scenario with about 47 million EVs sold around the world annually by 2030.\nThere are, of course, Tesla bulls, and most of them don’t believe Tesla is going to sell 31 million cars a year by 2030. Morgan Stanley’s Adam Jonas, who rates the stock at Buy and has a $1,200 price target for shares, predicts annual sales of about 8 million units by then.\nJonas believes Tesla will be more profitable than traditional auto makers. But Trainer assumes that Tesla will have operating profit margins in line with those of General Motors (GM). With 31 million vehicles sold, that might mean Tesla earns $131 billion in 2030 operating profit, higher than the $100 billion-plus Apple is pulling in now, he said.\nBut if Jonas’s call for Tesla to sell 8 million vehicles in 2030 is correct, Trainer said, that would yield earnings of about $30 billion annually, assuming Elon Musk’s company only matches GM’s net operating after-tax profit margin of 8.5%.\nRecently, of course, some of Tesla’s profit margins have been industry-leading, which is no surprise given the popularity of the vehicles and the fact that the company doesn’t have the pension obligations its older rivals face. Third-quarter gross margins exceeded GM’s,Ford Motor‘s (F), and Volkswagen’s (VOW3. Germany), to name a few.\nLonger-term margins are hard to predict, though Trainer told Barron’s he thinks his assumption is fair. They depend on factors such as software sales—all auto makers are offering software-enabled features that can be sold on subscriptions—as well as battery costs.\n“Putting it all together: Tesla provides poor risk/reward,” Trainer wrote.\nHis arguments are unlikely to sway the many bulls who follow the stock. There are 14 analysts, almost one-third of the 44 Bloomberg tracks, with target prices that value Tesla at $1 trillion or more.\nThe bulls believe Tesla is the EV leader and will increase its sales and production volume at 50% a year on average for the foreseeable future. They also believe EVs will be more profitable than traditional vehicles and that Tesla will maintain its cost leadership. Many bulls also believe that Tesla’s power-storage business, plus a robotaxi operation it could launch if it succeeds in developing self-driving cars, will generate significant sales.\nTime will tell who is right. The bulls are feeling good these days given Tesla’s strong results. And the bears are staring agape at the stock’s valuation, which essentially matches all of the world’s traditional auto makers combined.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":84,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":841197114,"gmtCreate":1635895029447,"gmtModify":1635895087673,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/841197114","repostId":"2180643782","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2180643782","pubTimestamp":1635867097,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2180643782?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-02 23:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is It Too Late to Buy Tesla Stock?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2180643782","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Can the electric vehicle pioneer disrupt the auto sector once again with full self-driving vehicles? If so, the price can rise further.","content":"<p>In October, <b>Tesla's </b>(NASDAQ:TSLA) stock price rose above the $1,000 mark and its market capitalization zoomed past $1 trillion. It's a situation that likely had many Tesla investors rejoicing about the rise and many of those investors who have so far missed the bus wondering if it is now too late for them to benefit from this high-flying stock.</p>\n<p>Let's discuss if buying Tesla stock at this point still makes long-term sense or not.</p>\n<h2>Tesla's stock price soars</h2>\n<p>A lot of traditional market watchers find Tesla's valuation bewildering. At $1 trillion, the stock's market capitalization exceeds the combined valuation of the next half-dozen or so top auto stocks. In fact, it is more than 1.5 times the combined market capitalization of the next five automakers.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/508d358dbdfcf269347a11600500b1db\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"387\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>TSLA Market Cap data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Tesla's P/E and price-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratios look exorbitant compared to those of legacy automakers.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f0e559f81f3f9312375ef429dd0484d\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"387\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>TSLA PE Ratio data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Add to this evaluation the fact that the five largest automakers together sold nearly 40 million vehicles in 2020 compared to the roughly 500,000 that Tesla sold, and the market analysts' bewilderment looks understandable. So, what should you as an investor take from Tesla stock's spectacular rise, and more importantly, how is Tesla's stock likely to perform going forward?</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F649281%2Frelaxed-man-drinks-coffee-while-riding-an-autonomous-self-driving-car-on-road.jpg&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"369\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2>Why Tesla is different</h2>\n<p>One of the common arguments made to justify Tesla's valuation is that it is more of a technology company than an automaker and should thus be valued as such. This reasoning indeed holds some water. Electric vehicles (EVs) aren't new. They have been around for more than a century. But the abundance of gasoline and continued improvement in internal combustion engines hindered the commercialization of EVs. Electric cars are widely considered to have begun making a comeback in 1997 with <b>Toyota's</b> (NYSE:TM) Prius.</p>\n<p>Yet, even after that, for nearly two decades, no major automaker was able to produce (or even interested in producing) EVs at scale. In 2003, as a start-up, Tesla took up this formidable task. The company can be credited for making EVs mainstream through its improved technology. If we look at Tesla as a technology stock, its valuation makes some sense.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39e28f07f37a399a53d165bb43905b94\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"387\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>TSLA Market Cap data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Though Tesla's forward P/E ratio is higher than even the top technology stocks, its forward PEG ratio seems more reasonable. The forward PEG ratio considers a company's expected growth, in addition to earnings. So, it paints a better picture when comparing companies growing at different rates. That brings us to the next factor that is supporting Tesla stock's rise.</p>\n<h2>Tesla is growing at a faster pace than other automakers</h2>\n<p>Tesla expects to continue growing its vehicle deliveries at an average annual rate of 50% over a \"multi-year horizon.\" Indeed, Tesla's growth rate is achievable as it is starting at a much smaller base. In this latest quarter, it grew revenue by about 98%, which wasn't even the fastest growth last quarter. But in three years up to second-quarter 2021, it grew its quarterly revenue at an average year-over-year growth rate of more than 50%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6b5d25155600e525be3a9064d5ab466\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"387\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>TSLA Revenue (Quarterly YoY Growth) data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>By comparison, over the same timeframe, the highest average growth rate among the top automakers is 6.4% for <b>Volkswagen</b> (OTC:VWAGY). Similarly, in the third quarter, Tesla's revenue grew 57% year over year. In comparison, Q3 revenue for <b>Ford</b> (NYSE:F), <b>General Motors</b> (NYSE:GM), and Volkswagen fell year over year. What's more, Tesla's operating margins in recent quarters are also higher than those of most of its rivals.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f25973ba829fa291255c2eadc6994ec4\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"387\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>TSLA Operating Margin (Quarterly) data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>In Q3, Tesla's operating margin rose to 14.6%. Tesla looks well-placed to continue growing its revenue over the coming several quarters. It is expanding its production capacity to meet the increasing demand. That should, in turn, support its stock's price in the coming quarters.</p>\n<p>In the long run, however, Tesla's stock price may depend on its ability to make money apart from selling cars. The biggest potential avenue, of course, is Full Self-Driving (FSD) software.</p>\n<h2>Not just another car company</h2>\n<p>Despite all that Tesla has achieved in car-making, its stock's valuation considers what the company can potentially accomplish, especially in the field of autonomous driving. Tesla enthusiasts see several other growth avenues -- auto insurance, battery and power supply, to name a few. But none seems to be potentially as big as FSD.</p>\n<p>Tesla buyers can now join the beta test of the company's FSD software. The company plans to offer this only to selected buyers based on their past driving performance. It has a treasure trove of data on Tesla drivers, covering things like hard braking, aggressive turning, and so on. Tesla continues to improve its autopilot and FSD features incrementally. As it rolls out features to more customers, it gets more data that gets fed into its machine learning models, thereby further improving the software.</p>\n<p>If Tesla can roll out self-driving features that are better than its competitors, its stock price may see further gains in the long term too. Looking at its track record so far, I'm inclined to believe that Tesla has a fair chance of accomplishing this feat.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is It Too Late to Buy Tesla Stock?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs It Too Late to Buy Tesla Stock?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-02 23:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/02/is-it-too-late-to-buy-tesla-stock/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In October, Tesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock price rose above the $1,000 mark and its market capitalization zoomed past $1 trillion. It's a situation that likely had many Tesla investors rejoicing about ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/02/is-it-too-late-to-buy-tesla-stock/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/02/is-it-too-late-to-buy-tesla-stock/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2180643782","content_text":"In October, Tesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock price rose above the $1,000 mark and its market capitalization zoomed past $1 trillion. It's a situation that likely had many Tesla investors rejoicing about the rise and many of those investors who have so far missed the bus wondering if it is now too late for them to benefit from this high-flying stock.\nLet's discuss if buying Tesla stock at this point still makes long-term sense or not.\nTesla's stock price soars\nA lot of traditional market watchers find Tesla's valuation bewildering. At $1 trillion, the stock's market capitalization exceeds the combined valuation of the next half-dozen or so top auto stocks. In fact, it is more than 1.5 times the combined market capitalization of the next five automakers.\nTSLA Market Cap data by YCharts\nTesla's P/E and price-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratios look exorbitant compared to those of legacy automakers.\nTSLA PE Ratio data by YCharts\nAdd to this evaluation the fact that the five largest automakers together sold nearly 40 million vehicles in 2020 compared to the roughly 500,000 that Tesla sold, and the market analysts' bewilderment looks understandable. So, what should you as an investor take from Tesla stock's spectacular rise, and more importantly, how is Tesla's stock likely to perform going forward?\nImage source: Getty Images.\nWhy Tesla is different\nOne of the common arguments made to justify Tesla's valuation is that it is more of a technology company than an automaker and should thus be valued as such. This reasoning indeed holds some water. Electric vehicles (EVs) aren't new. They have been around for more than a century. But the abundance of gasoline and continued improvement in internal combustion engines hindered the commercialization of EVs. Electric cars are widely considered to have begun making a comeback in 1997 with Toyota's (NYSE:TM) Prius.\nYet, even after that, for nearly two decades, no major automaker was able to produce (or even interested in producing) EVs at scale. In 2003, as a start-up, Tesla took up this formidable task. The company can be credited for making EVs mainstream through its improved technology. If we look at Tesla as a technology stock, its valuation makes some sense.\nTSLA Market Cap data by YCharts\nThough Tesla's forward P/E ratio is higher than even the top technology stocks, its forward PEG ratio seems more reasonable. The forward PEG ratio considers a company's expected growth, in addition to earnings. So, it paints a better picture when comparing companies growing at different rates. That brings us to the next factor that is supporting Tesla stock's rise.\nTesla is growing at a faster pace than other automakers\nTesla expects to continue growing its vehicle deliveries at an average annual rate of 50% over a \"multi-year horizon.\" Indeed, Tesla's growth rate is achievable as it is starting at a much smaller base. In this latest quarter, it grew revenue by about 98%, which wasn't even the fastest growth last quarter. But in three years up to second-quarter 2021, it grew its quarterly revenue at an average year-over-year growth rate of more than 50%.\nTSLA Revenue (Quarterly YoY Growth) data by YCharts\nBy comparison, over the same timeframe, the highest average growth rate among the top automakers is 6.4% for Volkswagen (OTC:VWAGY). Similarly, in the third quarter, Tesla's revenue grew 57% year over year. In comparison, Q3 revenue for Ford (NYSE:F), General Motors (NYSE:GM), and Volkswagen fell year over year. What's more, Tesla's operating margins in recent quarters are also higher than those of most of its rivals.\nTSLA Operating Margin (Quarterly) data by YCharts\nIn Q3, Tesla's operating margin rose to 14.6%. Tesla looks well-placed to continue growing its revenue over the coming several quarters. It is expanding its production capacity to meet the increasing demand. That should, in turn, support its stock's price in the coming quarters.\nIn the long run, however, Tesla's stock price may depend on its ability to make money apart from selling cars. The biggest potential avenue, of course, is Full Self-Driving (FSD) software.\nNot just another car company\nDespite all that Tesla has achieved in car-making, its stock's valuation considers what the company can potentially accomplish, especially in the field of autonomous driving. Tesla enthusiasts see several other growth avenues -- auto insurance, battery and power supply, to name a few. But none seems to be potentially as big as FSD.\nTesla buyers can now join the beta test of the company's FSD software. The company plans to offer this only to selected buyers based on their past driving performance. It has a treasure trove of data on Tesla drivers, covering things like hard braking, aggressive turning, and so on. Tesla continues to improve its autopilot and FSD features incrementally. As it rolls out features to more customers, it gets more data that gets fed into its machine learning models, thereby further improving the software.\nIf Tesla can roll out self-driving features that are better than its competitors, its stock price may see further gains in the long term too. Looking at its track record so far, I'm inclined to believe that Tesla has a fair chance of accomplishing this feat.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":95,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840023327,"gmtCreate":1635570227981,"gmtModify":1635570227981,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840023327","repostId":"2179241322","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":363,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":854245059,"gmtCreate":1635465371734,"gmtModify":1635465371807,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Facepalm]&nbsp;","listText":"[Facepalm]&nbsp;","text":"[Facepalm]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/854245059","repostId":"1197599551","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1197599551","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1635461289,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1197599551?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-29 06:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon badly misses on earnings and revenue, gives disappointing guidance","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197599551","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Amazon shares dropped more than 4% in extended trading on Thursday after the company reported weaker","content":"<p>Amazon&nbsp;shares dropped more than 4% in extended trading on Thursday after the company&nbsp;reported&nbsp;weaker-than-expected results for the third quarter and delivered disappointing guidance for the critical holiday period.</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Earnings:</b>$6.12 vs $8.92 per share expected, according to analysts surveyed by Refinitiv</li>\n <li><b>Revenue:</b>$110.81 billion vs $111.6 billion expected, according to analysts surveyed by Refinitiv</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33b2c00e116cbf6cb68edeaf56f48177\" tg-width=\"847\" tg-height=\"621\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Amazon&nbsp;is reckoning with decelerating sales growth as consumers go back to physical stores and the company faces supply chain challenges. Revenue in the third quarter rose 15%, down from 37% growth in the same period a year ago.</p>\n<p>For the fourth quarter, Amazon forecast sales between $130 billion and $140 billion, representing growth between 4% and 12%. Analysts surveyed by FactSet were expecting revenue to rise 13.2% year-over-year to $142.1 billion.</p>\n<p>Amazon.com Inc&nbsp;on Thursday reported a slump in profit that it expects will continue through the holiday quarter, as higher wages and spending to attract workers diminish the company's windfall from online shopping.</p>\n<p>After a year of blockbuster results, the world's largest online retailer is facing a tougher outlook. In a tight labor market, it has boosted average U.S. warehouse pay to $18 per hour and marketed ever bigger signing bonuses to attract blue-collar staff it needs to keep its high-turnover operation humming.</p>\n<p>The company meanwhile is contending with global supply chain disruptions. It has doubled its container processing ability, expanded its delivery service partner program and has ramped up its warehouse investments - all at a noteworthy cost.</p>\n<p>The company said it expects operating profit for the current quarter to be between $0 and $3.0 billion, short of $6.9 billion Amazon posted the year prior. In the just-ended third quarter, net income fell by about 50% to $3.16 billion, a first since the start of the coronavirus pandemic in the United States.</p>\n<p>Andy Jassy, who took the helm of Amazon as CEO in July, said in a statement the company would incur several billion dollars of extra expenses in its consumer business to deal with higher shipping costs, increased wages and labor shortages.</p>\n<p>Amazon is \"doing whatever it takes to minimize the impact on customers and selling partners this holiday season,\" he said. \"It'll be expensive for us in the short term, but it's the right prioritization for our customers and partners.\"</p>\n<p>The retailer has strived to prevent a repeat of the 2013 season when delays left some without presents on Christmas Day.</p>\n<p>Retailers are facing supply constraints on everything from toys and Nike sneakers to laptops, making it difficult for them to stock their shelves.</p>\n<p>Supply chain woes are also costing Apple Inc&nbsp;- $6 billion in sales during the company's fiscal fourth quarter according to results released on Thursday. Apple Chief Executive Tim Cook said that the impact will be even worse during the holiday sales quarter.</p>\n<p>Some analysts like Nicholas Hyett of Hargreaves Lansdown gave Amazon a pass, recognizing the company's track record of high spending to deliver for customers has paid off in the long run.</p>\n<p>\"Amazon has never been overly focused on the bottom line,\" Hyett said. \"That willingness to invest in what the group hopes will be long term success at the expense of short term profits is on display again in these results.\"</p>\n<p><b>LABOR SHORTAGE</b></p>\n<p>Guru Hariharan, a former Amazon manager who is now CEO of CommerceIQ, said out-of-stocks were at an all time high for the company.</p>\n<p>\"The online marketplace will need to continue to address fill rates to meet demand before the holiday shopping season,\" he said.</p>\n<p>Amazon CFO Brian Olsavsky said on a call with reporters that the labor shortage had been a challenge, leading to inconsistent staffing levels. Workers, not physical space, became its primary capacity constraint in the third quarter, he said.</p>\n<p>And that has had a ripple effect.</p>\n<p>\"Inventory placement is frequently redirected to fulfillment centers that have labor to receive this product, which results in less optimal placement, which leads to longer and more expensive transportation routes,\" he said.</p>\n<p>Amazon faced an extra $2 billion in costs from labor, inflation and operational disruptions, an amount that is supposed to rise to $4 billion in the current period, Olsavsky said.</p>\n<p>Staff are pushing for more, too. Around 2,000 workers in New York City petitioned this week for a vote on whether to make their warehouse the company's first unionized facility in the United States.</p>\n<p>To juice sales, the company began encouraging customers to shop holiday deals as early as Oct. 4 this year. Still, consumers have begun returning to pre-pandemic shopping levels, spending more on travel and services, Olsavsky said.</p>\n<p>The company forecast fourth-quarter sales to be between $130 billion and $140 billion. Analysts were expecting $142.05 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv. It missed expectations for third-quarter sales as well, witnessing its slowest growth since the COVID-19 outbreak.</p>\n<p>Amazon's cloud computing division was a bright spot. Olsavsky said revenue growth re-accelerated for that business, and the company beat analysts' expectations with net sales of $16.1 billion in the quarter. Amazon Web Services has seen sales rise with demand for gaming and remote work during the pandemic.</p>\n<p>Total net sales rose to $110.81 billion in the third quarter ended Sept. 30, from $96.15 billion, a year earlier.</p>\n<p>Analysts had predicted $111.60 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon badly misses on earnings and revenue, gives disappointing guidance</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon badly misses on earnings and revenue, gives disappointing guidance\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-10-29 06:48</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Amazon&nbsp;shares dropped more than 4% in extended trading on Thursday after the company&nbsp;reported&nbsp;weaker-than-expected results for the third quarter and delivered disappointing guidance for the critical holiday period.</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Earnings:</b>$6.12 vs $8.92 per share expected, according to analysts surveyed by Refinitiv</li>\n <li><b>Revenue:</b>$110.81 billion vs $111.6 billion expected, according to analysts surveyed by Refinitiv</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33b2c00e116cbf6cb68edeaf56f48177\" tg-width=\"847\" tg-height=\"621\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Amazon&nbsp;is reckoning with decelerating sales growth as consumers go back to physical stores and the company faces supply chain challenges. Revenue in the third quarter rose 15%, down from 37% growth in the same period a year ago.</p>\n<p>For the fourth quarter, Amazon forecast sales between $130 billion and $140 billion, representing growth between 4% and 12%. Analysts surveyed by FactSet were expecting revenue to rise 13.2% year-over-year to $142.1 billion.</p>\n<p>Amazon.com Inc&nbsp;on Thursday reported a slump in profit that it expects will continue through the holiday quarter, as higher wages and spending to attract workers diminish the company's windfall from online shopping.</p>\n<p>After a year of blockbuster results, the world's largest online retailer is facing a tougher outlook. In a tight labor market, it has boosted average U.S. warehouse pay to $18 per hour and marketed ever bigger signing bonuses to attract blue-collar staff it needs to keep its high-turnover operation humming.</p>\n<p>The company meanwhile is contending with global supply chain disruptions. It has doubled its container processing ability, expanded its delivery service partner program and has ramped up its warehouse investments - all at a noteworthy cost.</p>\n<p>The company said it expects operating profit for the current quarter to be between $0 and $3.0 billion, short of $6.9 billion Amazon posted the year prior. In the just-ended third quarter, net income fell by about 50% to $3.16 billion, a first since the start of the coronavirus pandemic in the United States.</p>\n<p>Andy Jassy, who took the helm of Amazon as CEO in July, said in a statement the company would incur several billion dollars of extra expenses in its consumer business to deal with higher shipping costs, increased wages and labor shortages.</p>\n<p>Amazon is \"doing whatever it takes to minimize the impact on customers and selling partners this holiday season,\" he said. \"It'll be expensive for us in the short term, but it's the right prioritization for our customers and partners.\"</p>\n<p>The retailer has strived to prevent a repeat of the 2013 season when delays left some without presents on Christmas Day.</p>\n<p>Retailers are facing supply constraints on everything from toys and Nike sneakers to laptops, making it difficult for them to stock their shelves.</p>\n<p>Supply chain woes are also costing Apple Inc&nbsp;- $6 billion in sales during the company's fiscal fourth quarter according to results released on Thursday. Apple Chief Executive Tim Cook said that the impact will be even worse during the holiday sales quarter.</p>\n<p>Some analysts like Nicholas Hyett of Hargreaves Lansdown gave Amazon a pass, recognizing the company's track record of high spending to deliver for customers has paid off in the long run.</p>\n<p>\"Amazon has never been overly focused on the bottom line,\" Hyett said. \"That willingness to invest in what the group hopes will be long term success at the expense of short term profits is on display again in these results.\"</p>\n<p><b>LABOR SHORTAGE</b></p>\n<p>Guru Hariharan, a former Amazon manager who is now CEO of CommerceIQ, said out-of-stocks were at an all time high for the company.</p>\n<p>\"The online marketplace will need to continue to address fill rates to meet demand before the holiday shopping season,\" he said.</p>\n<p>Amazon CFO Brian Olsavsky said on a call with reporters that the labor shortage had been a challenge, leading to inconsistent staffing levels. Workers, not physical space, became its primary capacity constraint in the third quarter, he said.</p>\n<p>And that has had a ripple effect.</p>\n<p>\"Inventory placement is frequently redirected to fulfillment centers that have labor to receive this product, which results in less optimal placement, which leads to longer and more expensive transportation routes,\" he said.</p>\n<p>Amazon faced an extra $2 billion in costs from labor, inflation and operational disruptions, an amount that is supposed to rise to $4 billion in the current period, Olsavsky said.</p>\n<p>Staff are pushing for more, too. Around 2,000 workers in New York City petitioned this week for a vote on whether to make their warehouse the company's first unionized facility in the United States.</p>\n<p>To juice sales, the company began encouraging customers to shop holiday deals as early as Oct. 4 this year. Still, consumers have begun returning to pre-pandemic shopping levels, spending more on travel and services, Olsavsky said.</p>\n<p>The company forecast fourth-quarter sales to be between $130 billion and $140 billion. Analysts were expecting $142.05 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv. It missed expectations for third-quarter sales as well, witnessing its slowest growth since the COVID-19 outbreak.</p>\n<p>Amazon's cloud computing division was a bright spot. Olsavsky said revenue growth re-accelerated for that business, and the company beat analysts' expectations with net sales of $16.1 billion in the quarter. Amazon Web Services has seen sales rise with demand for gaming and remote work during the pandemic.</p>\n<p>Total net sales rose to $110.81 billion in the third quarter ended Sept. 30, from $96.15 billion, a year earlier.</p>\n<p>Analysts had predicted $111.60 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197599551","content_text":"Amazon shares dropped more than 4% in extended trading on Thursday after the company reported weaker-than-expected results for the third quarter and delivered disappointing guidance for the critical holiday period.\n\nEarnings:$6.12 vs $8.92 per share expected, according to analysts surveyed by Refinitiv\nRevenue:$110.81 billion vs $111.6 billion expected, according to analysts surveyed by Refinitiv\n\n\nAmazon is reckoning with decelerating sales growth as consumers go back to physical stores and the company faces supply chain challenges. Revenue in the third quarter rose 15%, down from 37% growth in the same period a year ago.\nFor the fourth quarter, Amazon forecast sales between $130 billion and $140 billion, representing growth between 4% and 12%. Analysts surveyed by FactSet were expecting revenue to rise 13.2% year-over-year to $142.1 billion.\nAmazon.com Inc on Thursday reported a slump in profit that it expects will continue through the holiday quarter, as higher wages and spending to attract workers diminish the company's windfall from online shopping.\nAfter a year of blockbuster results, the world's largest online retailer is facing a tougher outlook. In a tight labor market, it has boosted average U.S. warehouse pay to $18 per hour and marketed ever bigger signing bonuses to attract blue-collar staff it needs to keep its high-turnover operation humming.\nThe company meanwhile is contending with global supply chain disruptions. It has doubled its container processing ability, expanded its delivery service partner program and has ramped up its warehouse investments - all at a noteworthy cost.\nThe company said it expects operating profit for the current quarter to be between $0 and $3.0 billion, short of $6.9 billion Amazon posted the year prior. In the just-ended third quarter, net income fell by about 50% to $3.16 billion, a first since the start of the coronavirus pandemic in the United States.\nAndy Jassy, who took the helm of Amazon as CEO in July, said in a statement the company would incur several billion dollars of extra expenses in its consumer business to deal with higher shipping costs, increased wages and labor shortages.\nAmazon is \"doing whatever it takes to minimize the impact on customers and selling partners this holiday season,\" he said. \"It'll be expensive for us in the short term, but it's the right prioritization for our customers and partners.\"\nThe retailer has strived to prevent a repeat of the 2013 season when delays left some without presents on Christmas Day.\nRetailers are facing supply constraints on everything from toys and Nike sneakers to laptops, making it difficult for them to stock their shelves.\nSupply chain woes are also costing Apple Inc - $6 billion in sales during the company's fiscal fourth quarter according to results released on Thursday. Apple Chief Executive Tim Cook said that the impact will be even worse during the holiday sales quarter.\nSome analysts like Nicholas Hyett of Hargreaves Lansdown gave Amazon a pass, recognizing the company's track record of high spending to deliver for customers has paid off in the long run.\n\"Amazon has never been overly focused on the bottom line,\" Hyett said. \"That willingness to invest in what the group hopes will be long term success at the expense of short term profits is on display again in these results.\"\nLABOR SHORTAGE\nGuru Hariharan, a former Amazon manager who is now CEO of CommerceIQ, said out-of-stocks were at an all time high for the company.\n\"The online marketplace will need to continue to address fill rates to meet demand before the holiday shopping season,\" he said.\nAmazon CFO Brian Olsavsky said on a call with reporters that the labor shortage had been a challenge, leading to inconsistent staffing levels. Workers, not physical space, became its primary capacity constraint in the third quarter, he said.\nAnd that has had a ripple effect.\n\"Inventory placement is frequently redirected to fulfillment centers that have labor to receive this product, which results in less optimal placement, which leads to longer and more expensive transportation routes,\" he said.\nAmazon faced an extra $2 billion in costs from labor, inflation and operational disruptions, an amount that is supposed to rise to $4 billion in the current period, Olsavsky said.\nStaff are pushing for more, too. Around 2,000 workers in New York City petitioned this week for a vote on whether to make their warehouse the company's first unionized facility in the United States.\nTo juice sales, the company began encouraging customers to shop holiday deals as early as Oct. 4 this year. Still, consumers have begun returning to pre-pandemic shopping levels, spending more on travel and services, Olsavsky said.\nThe company forecast fourth-quarter sales to be between $130 billion and $140 billion. Analysts were expecting $142.05 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv. It missed expectations for third-quarter sales as well, witnessing its slowest growth since the COVID-19 outbreak.\nAmazon's cloud computing division was a bright spot. Olsavsky said revenue growth re-accelerated for that business, and the company beat analysts' expectations with net sales of $16.1 billion in the quarter. Amazon Web Services has seen sales rise with demand for gaming and remote work during the pandemic.\nTotal net sales rose to $110.81 billion in the third quarter ended Sept. 30, from $96.15 billion, a year earlier.\nAnalysts had predicted $111.60 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":858628513,"gmtCreate":1635047103667,"gmtModify":1635047103667,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Cool]&nbsp;","listText":"[Cool]&nbsp;","text":"[Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858628513","repostId":"2177984491","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":251,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":873196214,"gmtCreate":1636873338107,"gmtModify":1636873338107,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Eye]&nbsp;","listText":"[Eye]&nbsp;","text":"[Eye]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873196214","repostId":"1159096163","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159096163","pubTimestamp":1636851053,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1159096163?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-14 08:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Shoppers Are Heading to Malls Again. These Stocks Are Good Bets.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159096163","media":"Barrons","summary":"By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for Abercrombie & Fitch seemed dire.\nOnce","content":"<p>By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for&nbsp;Abercrombie &amp; Fitch&nbsp;seemed dire.</p>\n<p>Once a mall staple that captured the hearts and wallets of teenagers with stark, sexy advertising and dark, perfume-drenched stores, Abercrombie’s (ticker: ANF) stock price hit fresh lows in 2017. Shoppers’ distaste for the brand and a steady decrease in mall traffic clouded its future. Then, in March of 2020, the coronavirus began closing malls and stores across the country.</p>\n<p>The retail apocalypse, it seemed, was about to claim another victim.</p>\n<p>But something surprising happened on the way to the funeral: Abercrombie enjoyed one of its best years since its 2000s heyday. Under CEO Fran Horowitz, the company rebranded, putting out a more inclusive message and pivoting its focus toward young professionals while fine-tuning its Hollister brand for teenagers.</p>\n<p>Revenue increased 24% year over year in the company’s fiscal second quarter ended July 31, and 3% from prepandemic levels. Its stock is up 120% this year as shoppers flush with cash flock back to stores.</p>\n<p>“Perception of a brand is a hard thing to turn, and it takes time in order to build back trust with your consumer,” Horowitz says in an interview with <i>Barron’s</i>. “So, here we are happy to say in 2021 that we are seeing, obviously, the wonderful effects of all of that hard work.”</p>\n<p>Abercrombie isn’t the only retail brand that is coming into a new period of growth. Over the past year, many of America’s retailers have not only clawed their way out of the abyss, but have harnessed macroeconomic changes ushered in by the pandemic to propel themselves into an unexpected renaissance.</p>\n<p>Brands that successfully merged their bricks-and-mortar operations with digital strategies are seeing sales soar and stock prices rise, lifted by a strong market and consumers champing at the bit to spend their pandemic savings. The stock prices of many major mall-based retailers have soared, including&nbsp;Macy’s&nbsp;(M),Nordstrom&nbsp;(JWN), Famous Footwear parent Caleres&nbsp;(CAL), and&nbsp;Signet Jewelers (SIG), which all gained at least 100% in the past 12 months.</p>\n<p>These companies are now poised to reap the benefits of a potentially record-setting holiday season. Consumers could spend $851 billion, a 9.5% increase from last year’s record $777 billion and more than twice the 4.4% average increase over the past five years, according to the National Retail Federation.</p>\n<p>No one knows whether the party will last or whether these stores are simply capturing sales that would have happened in the future. Before retail sales normalize, companies need to navigate a host of supply-chain and inflationary pressures that could put a damper on holiday sales.</p>\n<p>But the unexpected revival has reaffirmed the faith of many brands in the power of the physical stores. While still heavily investing in online operations, they are continuing to bet big on a bricks-and-mortar future. And as investments in physical stores continue, the demise of the bricks-and-mortar retailer that many once expected no longer seems so certain.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57cd1db2ff23484eff85f5e6ad64d7c8\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Wealthy households plan to spend an average $2,624 this holiday season, 15% more than last year.</span></p>\n<p>The pandemic wasn’t exactly ideal for retailers, but it offered some unique opportunities. The problems were obvious. People were afraid to shop in person. Shoppers—even baby boomers—flocked online in unexpected numbers. Retail behemoths such as&nbsp;Amazon.com&nbsp;(AMZN) and&nbsp;Walmart (WMT) saw their best year ever.</p>\n<p>“The investor sentiment—especially from short term, hedge fund type investors—had just turned very negative on the group,” Columbia Threadneedle Investments retail analyst Mari Shor says. “I just think that investors weren’t really giving the companies, or the consumers, the benefit of the doubt.”</p>\n<p>Shor says the doubt among investors was rooted in the notion that traditional retailers, both prepandemic and postpandemic, wouldn’t make it out alive.</p>\n<p>But the pandemic gave retailers the rare chance to close poorly performing locations and focus on great ones. Many retailers also focused on getting better online, and shifted their sales strategies to target consumers wherever and whenever they wanted to shop—whether online, mobile, or in-store.</p>\n<p>In one example of a company looking to fuel growth while connecting digital and in-store operations, the parent company of Saks Fifth Avenue spun out its e-commerce arm, which is now expected to go public with a target valuation of $6 billion.</p>\n<p>Such approaches proved critical. Online and other non-store sales are expected to increase between 11% and 15% this holiday season, potentially reaching a high of $226 billion, according to National Retail Federation estimates.</p>\n<p>“We’d like to think that the pandemic not only accelerated the adoption of e-commerce around the world but also expanded the market,” says Pedro Palandrani, a research analyst at Global X who covers e-commerce.</p>\n<p>Abercrombie invested hundreds of millions of dollars in its digital strategy, emphasizing smooth transitions from digital to in-store experiences with initiatives such as improving the company’s website and instituting in-store returns and pickups for online purchases. The arrival of the pandemic prompted Abercrombie to close 130 stores worldwide and 50% of the brand’s flagships, bringing total store closures in the past 10 years to about 500, while strategically opening a few key new stores, Horowitz says.</p>\n<p>“Stores matter, but they have to be the right size, the right location, and the right economics,” she says. “You put that together with the digital and it equals magic.”</p>\n<p>Not only are physical stores cost-effective ways to draw in-person shoppers, but they also can serve as crucial distribution centers for online pickups and returns, as well as local shipping, says B. Riley Securities analyst Susan Anderson. In recent years, even online retailers such as Warby Parker (WRBY) have expanded their physical presence to accommodate shopper preferences. “The consumer wants to shop when and where they want to,” Anderson says.</p>\n<p>That behavior can evolve in unexpected ways. Malls and physical stores are growing in popularity among digitally savvy teenagers and young adults.</p>\n<p>According to a survey of 1,000 shoppers earlier this year commissioned by BHDP, a design firm that counts retail among its specialties, 55% of 14-to-17 year olds say they are now shopping at indoor malls, and 90% plan to head to a mall in the next year. The 18-to-24-year-old shoppers surveyed are also back at the mall, trying on products, using in-store promotions, and making returns. Such shifts have led retailers to ditch old views and assumptions about specific demographics, says Rod Sides, vice chairman of U.S. retail and distribution at Deloitte.</p>\n<p>The shifts in strategy during the pandemic put many retailers in a better position for the reopening of malls and downtowns this year—and shoppers were eager to open their wallets.</p>\n<p>During the pandemic, some consumers became unexpectedly flush. They got stimulus payments, saved up from a decline in travel expenses, and saw the markets soar. Today, consumer savings at all income levels are at or near a record. Wealthy households are planning to spend 15% more than last year this holiday season, averaging $2,624 per household and driving much of the season’s growth, an annual Deloitte study found.</p>\n<p>“You got a lot of cash and there’s a fair amount of pent-up demand,” says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.</p>\n<p>Retail and food-services sales increased to an estimated $625 billion in September, up 0.7% from October and 13.9% year over year, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Sales in retail alone rose 0.8% from August. “We were expecting that you’d see some pullback in September, and we didn’t,” says Citigroup economist Veronica Clark.</p>\n<p>Retailers are much healthier than they were a decade ago heading into the holiday season, Matthew Shay, president and CEO of the National Retail Federation, said in a media briefing in October. A yearly&nbsp;Mastercard&nbsp;spending index forecasts U.S. retail sales to increase 7.4% this season, with significant gains in apparel, department stores, jewelry, and luxury items.</p>\n<p>Luxury retailer&nbsp;Burberry Group&nbsp;(BRBY.UK), known for its tartan fabric and scarves, said this past week that comparable sales for its first half of fiscal 2022 rose 37%, and that full-price sales are growing at a double-digit rate. And&nbsp;Tapestry&nbsp;(TPR), the parent company of Coach, posted better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter earnings, raising its outlook for 2022 sales and profits.</p>\n<p>Some analysts are bullish on the retail sector, with Cowen saying that “many of the luxury brands have successfully been able to take price increases and will likely benefit from the historically strong consumer balance sheets in the U.S. and internationally.” Wolfe Research favors Nordstrom and Tapestry, among others, with analysts writing in a note that “nearly all the major drivers of U.S. consumer spending favor the high end.”</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, more Americans started coming out to the mall. Placer.ai mall-traffic statistics show that foot traffic for indoor malls was up 3% in October compared with 2019 levels, and traffic for outdoor malls was up 5%—one of the reasons mall stores are seeing their stocks soar. Simon Property Group (SPG), which owns the malls themselves, saw its stock gain about 90% in 2021.</p>\n<p>“With the combination of more individuals becoming fully vaccinated, paired with many shopping early for the coming holiday season due to supply-chain concerns, we have seen a steady rise in foot traffic since July,” says Lindsay Petak, senior marketing manager for Tysons Corner Center in the Washington region. The mall is owned by Macerich (MAC), which also has seen its share price nearly double this year.</p>\n<p>All of this added to a stock run-up for the ages for beaten-down retailers. Over the past year, the&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P Retail&nbsp;exchanged-trade fund (XRT) was up 85%, while the S&amp;P 500 rose 33%. The&nbsp;Invesco S&amp;P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary&nbsp;ETF (RCD) has outperformed the S&amp;P 500 by five percentage points this year, a sign that investors remain bullish on retail sales.</p>\n<p>“We’ve seen department stores and apparel and discretionary retailers really bounce back as soon as the economy reopened,” the NRF’s Shay says. “Department stores are always a popular destination for the holiday season, based on the consumer survey work we do....They continue to be at the top of the list of the places people shop this year.”</p>\n<p>All that said, analysts and investors alike remain confident of the role physical stores play, which might look different from their online counterparts, but they’re here to stay.</p>\n<p>The verdict on whether the retail renaissance is sustainable in the long term isn’t in yet. Retailers are operating in a macroeconomic environment far from the norm, making any guesses even more speculative.</p>\n<p>“I don’t think we have normal insight yet because there are just too many complexities throughout the business right now,” says Jefferies analyst Janine Stichter.</p>\n<p>Companies are struggling to manage ongoing supply-chain concerns, inflationary pressures, and a persistent labor shortage, which are likely to bite into earnings despite all signs pointing to a strong holiday quarter. “The supply-chain issues, they’re real,” Horowitz says.</p>\n<p>Abercrombie is assuming a modest impact on sales due to supply-chain constraints, with even bigger impacts coming from freight inflation, the company said in its second-quarter earnings call.</p>\n<p>To ease supply-chain pressures, retailers are encouraging consumers to start their shopping early—a trend that could skew end-of-year sales data, Citigroup’s Clark says. If shoppers pull their gift-buying forward, there could be a decline in November and December compared with previous years. “It’s not necessarily that spending is much weaker; it’s just that the distribution over months is different,” she says.</p>\n<p>On the flip side, low inventories will give retailers higher pricing power that can help offset supply-chain disruptions, Stichter says. While beneficial to retailers, this could drive prices up even more, says Sasha Tomic, an economist at Boston College.</p>\n<p>Whatever the risks, strong performance won’t last forever, says Matthew Forester, chief investment officer at BNY Mellon’s Lockwood Advisors. “The U.S. economy, overall, is clearly slowing down,” he says. “And we’re going to slow down into the next year. Plus, as we get back to trend growth, that’s just what’s likely to happen.”</p>\n<p>The economy will eventually exit its euphoria as stimulus continues to dwindle, he says. And while the comedown might not be “terrible,” he says, it will still be a decline from where consumer spending is now.</p>\n<p>Abercrombie, though, is powering through the headwinds with the help of its bricks-and-mortar stores. The company is planning to position more inventory in stores, and is routing e-commerce orders to stores as well as partnering with Uber, Shipt, and Postmates to offer same-day delivery.</p>\n<p>Other retailers have taken supply-chain solutions in their own hands. Specialty-apparel company American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) recently announced it was acquiring Quiet Logistics, an operator of automated distribution centers near city centers, just weeks after it bought AirTerra, which focuses on middle-mile logistics—the delivery of products from a warehouse to a retail store.</p>\n<p>“We’re going to just continue at it,” Horowitz says.</p>\n<p>As retailers forge ahead, doomsayers might have to hold off on heralding a retail apocalypse. For now, the sentiment is clear: Consumers are rediscovering the joys of bricks-and-mortar shopping. The mall has become cool again.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Shoppers Are Heading to Malls Again. 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These Stocks Are Good Bets.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-14 08:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/macys-abercrombie-simon-property-retail-stocks-51636674171?mod=hp_HERO><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for Abercrombie & Fitch seemed dire.\nOnce a mall staple that captured the hearts and wallets of teenagers with stark, sexy advertising and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/macys-abercrombie-simon-property-retail-stocks-51636674171?mod=hp_HERO\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WMT":"沃尔玛","M":"梅西百货","BRBY.UK":"巴宝莉","BBRYF":"Burberry Group Plc","RCD":"Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF","JWN":"诺德斯特龙","TPR":"Tapestry Inc.","CAL":"Caleres鞋业","AMZN":"亚马逊","ANF":"爱芬奇","SIG":"西格内特珠宝"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/macys-abercrombie-simon-property-retail-stocks-51636674171?mod=hp_HERO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159096163","content_text":"By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for Abercrombie & Fitch seemed dire.\nOnce a mall staple that captured the hearts and wallets of teenagers with stark, sexy advertising and dark, perfume-drenched stores, Abercrombie’s (ticker: ANF) stock price hit fresh lows in 2017. Shoppers’ distaste for the brand and a steady decrease in mall traffic clouded its future. Then, in March of 2020, the coronavirus began closing malls and stores across the country.\nThe retail apocalypse, it seemed, was about to claim another victim.\nBut something surprising happened on the way to the funeral: Abercrombie enjoyed one of its best years since its 2000s heyday. Under CEO Fran Horowitz, the company rebranded, putting out a more inclusive message and pivoting its focus toward young professionals while fine-tuning its Hollister brand for teenagers.\nRevenue increased 24% year over year in the company’s fiscal second quarter ended July 31, and 3% from prepandemic levels. Its stock is up 120% this year as shoppers flush with cash flock back to stores.\n“Perception of a brand is a hard thing to turn, and it takes time in order to build back trust with your consumer,” Horowitz says in an interview with Barron’s. “So, here we are happy to say in 2021 that we are seeing, obviously, the wonderful effects of all of that hard work.”\nAbercrombie isn’t the only retail brand that is coming into a new period of growth. Over the past year, many of America’s retailers have not only clawed their way out of the abyss, but have harnessed macroeconomic changes ushered in by the pandemic to propel themselves into an unexpected renaissance.\nBrands that successfully merged their bricks-and-mortar operations with digital strategies are seeing sales soar and stock prices rise, lifted by a strong market and consumers champing at the bit to spend their pandemic savings. The stock prices of many major mall-based retailers have soared, including Macy’s (M),Nordstrom (JWN), Famous Footwear parent Caleres (CAL), and Signet Jewelers (SIG), which all gained at least 100% in the past 12 months.\nThese companies are now poised to reap the benefits of a potentially record-setting holiday season. Consumers could spend $851 billion, a 9.5% increase from last year’s record $777 billion and more than twice the 4.4% average increase over the past five years, according to the National Retail Federation.\nNo one knows whether the party will last or whether these stores are simply capturing sales that would have happened in the future. Before retail sales normalize, companies need to navigate a host of supply-chain and inflationary pressures that could put a damper on holiday sales.\nBut the unexpected revival has reaffirmed the faith of many brands in the power of the physical stores. While still heavily investing in online operations, they are continuing to bet big on a bricks-and-mortar future. And as investments in physical stores continue, the demise of the bricks-and-mortar retailer that many once expected no longer seems so certain.\nWealthy households plan to spend an average $2,624 this holiday season, 15% more than last year.\nThe pandemic wasn’t exactly ideal for retailers, but it offered some unique opportunities. The problems were obvious. People were afraid to shop in person. Shoppers—even baby boomers—flocked online in unexpected numbers. Retail behemoths such as Amazon.com (AMZN) and Walmart (WMT) saw their best year ever.\n“The investor sentiment—especially from short term, hedge fund type investors—had just turned very negative on the group,” Columbia Threadneedle Investments retail analyst Mari Shor says. “I just think that investors weren’t really giving the companies, or the consumers, the benefit of the doubt.”\nShor says the doubt among investors was rooted in the notion that traditional retailers, both prepandemic and postpandemic, wouldn’t make it out alive.\nBut the pandemic gave retailers the rare chance to close poorly performing locations and focus on great ones. Many retailers also focused on getting better online, and shifted their sales strategies to target consumers wherever and whenever they wanted to shop—whether online, mobile, or in-store.\nIn one example of a company looking to fuel growth while connecting digital and in-store operations, the parent company of Saks Fifth Avenue spun out its e-commerce arm, which is now expected to go public with a target valuation of $6 billion.\nSuch approaches proved critical. Online and other non-store sales are expected to increase between 11% and 15% this holiday season, potentially reaching a high of $226 billion, according to National Retail Federation estimates.\n“We’d like to think that the pandemic not only accelerated the adoption of e-commerce around the world but also expanded the market,” says Pedro Palandrani, a research analyst at Global X who covers e-commerce.\nAbercrombie invested hundreds of millions of dollars in its digital strategy, emphasizing smooth transitions from digital to in-store experiences with initiatives such as improving the company’s website and instituting in-store returns and pickups for online purchases. The arrival of the pandemic prompted Abercrombie to close 130 stores worldwide and 50% of the brand’s flagships, bringing total store closures in the past 10 years to about 500, while strategically opening a few key new stores, Horowitz says.\n“Stores matter, but they have to be the right size, the right location, and the right economics,” she says. “You put that together with the digital and it equals magic.”\nNot only are physical stores cost-effective ways to draw in-person shoppers, but they also can serve as crucial distribution centers for online pickups and returns, as well as local shipping, says B. Riley Securities analyst Susan Anderson. In recent years, even online retailers such as Warby Parker (WRBY) have expanded their physical presence to accommodate shopper preferences. “The consumer wants to shop when and where they want to,” Anderson says.\nThat behavior can evolve in unexpected ways. Malls and physical stores are growing in popularity among digitally savvy teenagers and young adults.\nAccording to a survey of 1,000 shoppers earlier this year commissioned by BHDP, a design firm that counts retail among its specialties, 55% of 14-to-17 year olds say they are now shopping at indoor malls, and 90% plan to head to a mall in the next year. The 18-to-24-year-old shoppers surveyed are also back at the mall, trying on products, using in-store promotions, and making returns. Such shifts have led retailers to ditch old views and assumptions about specific demographics, says Rod Sides, vice chairman of U.S. retail and distribution at Deloitte.\nThe shifts in strategy during the pandemic put many retailers in a better position for the reopening of malls and downtowns this year—and shoppers were eager to open their wallets.\nDuring the pandemic, some consumers became unexpectedly flush. They got stimulus payments, saved up from a decline in travel expenses, and saw the markets soar. Today, consumer savings at all income levels are at or near a record. Wealthy households are planning to spend 15% more than last year this holiday season, averaging $2,624 per household and driving much of the season’s growth, an annual Deloitte study found.\n“You got a lot of cash and there’s a fair amount of pent-up demand,” says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.\nRetail and food-services sales increased to an estimated $625 billion in September, up 0.7% from October and 13.9% year over year, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Sales in retail alone rose 0.8% from August. “We were expecting that you’d see some pullback in September, and we didn’t,” says Citigroup economist Veronica Clark.\nRetailers are much healthier than they were a decade ago heading into the holiday season, Matthew Shay, president and CEO of the National Retail Federation, said in a media briefing in October. A yearly Mastercard spending index forecasts U.S. retail sales to increase 7.4% this season, with significant gains in apparel, department stores, jewelry, and luxury items.\nLuxury retailer Burberry Group (BRBY.UK), known for its tartan fabric and scarves, said this past week that comparable sales for its first half of fiscal 2022 rose 37%, and that full-price sales are growing at a double-digit rate. And Tapestry (TPR), the parent company of Coach, posted better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter earnings, raising its outlook for 2022 sales and profits.\nSome analysts are bullish on the retail sector, with Cowen saying that “many of the luxury brands have successfully been able to take price increases and will likely benefit from the historically strong consumer balance sheets in the U.S. and internationally.” Wolfe Research favors Nordstrom and Tapestry, among others, with analysts writing in a note that “nearly all the major drivers of U.S. consumer spending favor the high end.”\nMeanwhile, more Americans started coming out to the mall. Placer.ai mall-traffic statistics show that foot traffic for indoor malls was up 3% in October compared with 2019 levels, and traffic for outdoor malls was up 5%—one of the reasons mall stores are seeing their stocks soar. Simon Property Group (SPG), which owns the malls themselves, saw its stock gain about 90% in 2021.\n“With the combination of more individuals becoming fully vaccinated, paired with many shopping early for the coming holiday season due to supply-chain concerns, we have seen a steady rise in foot traffic since July,” says Lindsay Petak, senior marketing manager for Tysons Corner Center in the Washington region. The mall is owned by Macerich (MAC), which also has seen its share price nearly double this year.\nAll of this added to a stock run-up for the ages for beaten-down retailers. Over the past year, the SPDR S&P Retail exchanged-trade fund (XRT) was up 85%, while the S&P 500 rose 33%. The Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF (RCD) has outperformed the S&P 500 by five percentage points this year, a sign that investors remain bullish on retail sales.\n“We’ve seen department stores and apparel and discretionary retailers really bounce back as soon as the economy reopened,” the NRF’s Shay says. “Department stores are always a popular destination for the holiday season, based on the consumer survey work we do....They continue to be at the top of the list of the places people shop this year.”\nAll that said, analysts and investors alike remain confident of the role physical stores play, which might look different from their online counterparts, but they’re here to stay.\nThe verdict on whether the retail renaissance is sustainable in the long term isn’t in yet. Retailers are operating in a macroeconomic environment far from the norm, making any guesses even more speculative.\n“I don’t think we have normal insight yet because there are just too many complexities throughout the business right now,” says Jefferies analyst Janine Stichter.\nCompanies are struggling to manage ongoing supply-chain concerns, inflationary pressures, and a persistent labor shortage, which are likely to bite into earnings despite all signs pointing to a strong holiday quarter. “The supply-chain issues, they’re real,” Horowitz says.\nAbercrombie is assuming a modest impact on sales due to supply-chain constraints, with even bigger impacts coming from freight inflation, the company said in its second-quarter earnings call.\nTo ease supply-chain pressures, retailers are encouraging consumers to start their shopping early—a trend that could skew end-of-year sales data, Citigroup’s Clark says. If shoppers pull their gift-buying forward, there could be a decline in November and December compared with previous years. “It’s not necessarily that spending is much weaker; it’s just that the distribution over months is different,” she says.\nOn the flip side, low inventories will give retailers higher pricing power that can help offset supply-chain disruptions, Stichter says. While beneficial to retailers, this could drive prices up even more, says Sasha Tomic, an economist at Boston College.\nWhatever the risks, strong performance won’t last forever, says Matthew Forester, chief investment officer at BNY Mellon’s Lockwood Advisors. “The U.S. economy, overall, is clearly slowing down,” he says. “And we’re going to slow down into the next year. Plus, as we get back to trend growth, that’s just what’s likely to happen.”\nThe economy will eventually exit its euphoria as stimulus continues to dwindle, he says. And while the comedown might not be “terrible,” he says, it will still be a decline from where consumer spending is now.\nAbercrombie, though, is powering through the headwinds with the help of its bricks-and-mortar stores. The company is planning to position more inventory in stores, and is routing e-commerce orders to stores as well as partnering with Uber, Shipt, and Postmates to offer same-day delivery.\nOther retailers have taken supply-chain solutions in their own hands. Specialty-apparel company American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) recently announced it was acquiring Quiet Logistics, an operator of automated distribution centers near city centers, just weeks after it bought AirTerra, which focuses on middle-mile logistics—the delivery of products from a warehouse to a retail store.\n“We’re going to just continue at it,” Horowitz says.\nAs retailers forge ahead, doomsayers might have to hold off on heralding a retail apocalypse. For now, the sentiment is clear: Consumers are rediscovering the joys of bricks-and-mortar shopping. The mall has become cool again.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":368,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":875068535,"gmtCreate":1637589353716,"gmtModify":1637589353716,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Grin]&nbsp;","listText":"[Grin]&nbsp;","text":"[Grin]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/875068535","repostId":"1133441168","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1133441168","pubTimestamp":1637588664,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1133441168?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-22 21:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Google Stock A Buy? Internet Search Giant Tops Among FANG Stocks In 2021","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133441168","media":"Investors","summary":"Will this be the year that Google stock finally outperforms other FANG stocks? Google-parent Alphabe","content":"<p>Will this be the year that Google stock finally outperforms other FANG stocks? Google-parent&nbsp;<b>Alphabet</b>(GOOGL) has so far done better than&nbsp;<b>Facebook</b>(FB),&nbsp; renamed Meta,&nbsp;<b>Amazon.com</b>(AMZN) and&nbsp;<b>Netflix</b>(NFLX).</p>\n<p>Google stock has jumped nearly 70% in 2021. GOOGL stock has approached a $2 trillion market cap. It would be the third company to reach the milestone.</p>\n<p>\"GOOGL stock has clearly been the most liked, best owned, and least debated megacap internet name,\" JPMorgan analyst Doug Anmuth said in a report to clients.</p>\n<p>Alphabet reported September-quarter earnings and revenue that topped analyst estimates. While internet search advertising revenue came in above expectations, YouTube and cloud computing sales were light in the Google earnings report. Still, Google cloud is&nbsp;picking up traction in the enterprise market.</p>\n<p>Google investments continue to ramp. Morgan Stanley forecasts that hiring will increase significantly in 2022. GOOGL stock will also face more difficult year-over-year growth comparisons in 2022 as the coronavirus emergency fades.</p>\n<p>Alphabet repurchased $12.6 billion of GOOGL stock in the September quarter vs. $12.8 billion in the second quarter.</p>\n<p>Google stock bulls trumpet a rebound in digital advertising as Covid-19 vaccinations expand, boosting global economies as industries normalize.</p>\n<p>GOOGL stock belongs to the&nbsp;IBD Leaderboard. The Leaderboard is IBD's curated list of leading stocks that stand out on technical and fundamental metrics.</p>\n<p>Google Stock: Play Store Revenue To Fall</p>\n<p>With the Android mobile operating system built into devices sold worldwide, revenue growth from the Play Store continues to be a bright spot.</p>\n<p>But a federal judge ruled Sept. 10 that&nbsp;<b>Apple</b>(AAPL) must allow mobile app developers to steer consumers to outside payment methods, granting an injunction sought by Epic Games in a year-long court battle.</p>\n<p>Google's policies have also been under scrutiny.&nbsp; Google in October said service fees at its Play Store would drop to 15% from 30% in the first year. The move will reduce revenue.</p>\n<p>Large-cap internet stocks face regulatory headwinds. In a surprise move, President Joe Biden on June 15 named Lina Khan as chairwoman of the Federal Trade Commission. Khan has been a critic of supersized technology companies. On July 20, Biden nominated Jonathan Kanter, a long-time critic of Big Tech, to lead the antitrust division at the Justice Department.</p>\n<p>Further, Biden issued an&nbsp;executive order targeting Big Tech.</p>\n<p>Under new Alphabet Chief Executive Sundar Pichai, Google has improved transparency. In its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings report, Google disclosed that its fast-growing cloud computing business is unprofitable amid high investments.&nbsp;Still, cloud computing operating margins are expected to improve.</p>\n<p>GOOGL Stock: U.S. Supreme Court Rules Against Oracle</p>\n<p>GOOGL stock broke out on April 5 after theU.S. Supreme Court ruled in Alphabet's favor&nbsp;in a copyright dispute with&nbsp;<b>Oracle</b>(ORCL) involving Android mobile software.&nbsp;But Google stock bears point to tougher regulation aimed at the search giant.</p>\n<p>The Justice Department in October 2020 filed an&nbsp;antitrust lawsuit against Google.&nbsp;The Justice Department charged that Google has harmed competition and consumers by monopolizing internet search and search-related advertising. Due to its huge cash holdings, GOOGL stock has shrugged off three fines totaling $9.3 billion levied by the European Union on antitrust grounds.</p>\n<p>The Justice Department, though, could force Google to restructure if it wins in court. Some analysts say Google stock will be worth more if the company is broken up. A legal battle likely will drag on for years.</p>\n<p>Most investors still know the company as Google, even though the internet search giant reorganized as holding company Alphabet in 2015. The restructuring move separated Google's core internet advertising business from so-called moonshots, such as autonomous vehicles and the Verily Life Sciences unit. Google stock could get a boost if Verily files an initial public offering.</p>\n<p>In a cost-savings move, Google has shut down Loon, its internet balloon project.</p>\n<p>Google stock's strength in artificial intelligence spans digital advertising, the Google Cloud Platform, YouTube and consumer hardware products. GOOGL stock is just one&nbsp;artificial intelligence stock&nbsp;to watch.</p>\n<p>At a Google developers conference in mid-May, the company demonstrated how it uses AI tools in a wide range of applications, including Google Workspace, Google Maps, virtual reality, voice-based search and photos.</p>\n<p>Google Stock: Advertising Core Business</p>\n<p>While Google has expanded into cloud computing and consumer hardware, digital advertising still makes up the lion's share of revenue. Google on June 24 said it would&nbsp;delay plans&nbsp;to have its Chrome internet browser stop supporting third-party cookies by late 2023, two years later than its initial timeframe.</p>\n<p>Amazon is taking market share from Google stock in&nbsp;internet search-related advertising, said a report from market research firm eMarketer. With Amazon gaining ground in digital advertising, Google in 2020 made a big change in how it&nbsp;handles e-commerce listings. Google has also deepened ties to&nbsp;<b>Shopify</b>(SHOP), a&nbsp;provider of e-commerce software.</p>\n<p>In December, 2019, Google co-founder Larry Page stepped down as Alphabet's CEO. Pichai, who headed the Google unit, replaced him. Google co-founder Sergey Brin stepped down as Alphabet's president.</p>\n<p>Google's profit margins remain an issue amid high investments in data centers for&nbsp;cloud computing, artificial intelligence, YouTube and consumer products.&nbsp;In early 2018, Google changed accounting methods. It switched to reporting&nbsp;GAAP earnings, or generally accepted accounting principles. GAAP earnings include stock-based compensation.</p>\n<p>Bank of America forecasts that YouTube's subscription business will reach $18 billion in revenue by 2025, up from $5 billion in 2020. In addition, YouTube is benefiting as major brands shift ad budgets from linear TV to digital channels.&nbsp;Late last year, Google reported that YouTube has more than 30 million music and premium paid subscribers, while YouTube TV has more than 3 million subscribers.</p>\n<p>GOOGL Stock: Fundamental Analysis</p>\n<p>Alphabet reported September-quarter earnings and revenue that topped analyst estimates. While internet search advertising revenue came in above expectations, YouTube and cloud computing sales missed views.</p>\n<p>Google's third quarter earnings under generally accepted accounting principles, also known as GAAP, jumped 71% to $27.99 per share, including gains on equity investments.</p>\n<p>Gross revenue rose 41% to $65.12 billion in the quarter ended Sept. 30. Analysts had estimated Google earnings of $23.73 per share on gross revenue of $63.5 billion.</p>\n<p>The company said net revenue, minus traffic acquisition costs, came in at $53.63 billion vs. estimates of $52.07 billion. Traffic acquisition costs jumped 40% to $11.49 billion.</p>\n<p>Internet search and other revenue rose 44% to $37.93 billion vs. estimates of $36.41 billion. Google said cloud-computing revenue rose 45% to $4.99 billion vs. estimates of $5.17 billion. Despite the revenue miss, Google cloud cut its operating loss almost in half to $644 million.</p>\n<p>YouTube advertising revenue rose 43% to $7.2 billion. Analysts had estimated YouTube ad revenue of $7.42 billion.</p>\n<p>Waymo Autonomous Vehicle Business</p>\n<p>A key question for investors is how much should Google's self-driving-car project Waymo and \"Other Bets\" such as the Verily Life Sciences unit figure into valuation.</p>\n<p>In early 2018, some analysts projected Waymo's long-term valuation in a range of anywhere from $75 billion to $125 billion.Expectations for autonomous vehicles, though, have been lowered recently.</p>\n<p>Waymo in early March raised $2.25 billion in funding from outside investors. including private equity firm Silver Lake, the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board and Abu Dhabi's Mubadala investment arm.</p>\n<p>While Google did not disclose Waymo's valuation in the funding round, reports said it was only $30 billion.</p>\n<p>Waymo CEO John Krafcik, head of the autonomous vehicle unit since 2015, resigned in early April. Alphabet said he would be replaced by two co-CEOs — Tekedra Mawakana and Dmitri Dolgov. Mawakana had been Waymo's chief operating officer while Dolgov was Waymo's chief technology officer.</p>\n<p>Another question is the performance of Google's hardware business. It's battling Apple&nbsp;in smartphones and Amazon in smart-home appliances.</p>\n<p>In addition, Google's new&nbsp;cloud gaming service, Stadia, launched in late 2019. However, Stadia has&nbsp;pulled back on investments&nbsp;in game creation.</p>\n<p>Also, Google in late 2019 agreed to buy smartwatch maker Fitbit for $2.1 billion. The purchase could help Google make a push into the health and fitness market, analysts say. The Fitbit deal finally closed on Jan. 14.</p>\n<p>GOOGL Stock: Technical Analysis</p>\n<p>Google's cloud computing business, meanwhile, faces tough rivals in Amazon and&nbsp;<b>Microsoft</b>(MSFT). Google brought in Thomas Kurian, a former&nbsp;<b>Oracle</b>(ORCL) executive, to improve performance in the corporate market. Bulls say Google Cloud Platform is beginning to take share as it focuses on security, open source software and data analytics.</p>\n<p>In June 2019, Google&nbsp;purchased data analytics firm Looker&nbsp;for $2.6 billion in cash. Santa Cruz, Calif.-based Looker's analytics platform uses business intelligence and data visualization tools. More acquisitions to boost Google's cloud business could be coming, analysts say.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Google'sRelative Strength Rating&nbsp;is 89 out of a best possible 90, according to&nbsp;IBD Stock Checkup. The best stocks tend to have an RS rating of 80 or better.</p>\n<p>Google Stock: Is It A Buy Now?</p>\n<p>Google stock owns an Accumulation/Distribution Rating of B-minus. That rating analyzes price and volume changes in a stock over the past 13 weeks of trading.</p>\n<p>The rating, on an A+ to E scale, measures institutional buying and selling in a stock. A+ signifies heavy institutional buying; E means heavy selling. Think of the C grade as neutral.</p>\n<p>GOOGL stock holds an IBD Composite Rating of 98 out of a best possible 99.</p>\n<p>IBD's Composite Rating combines five separate proprietary ratings into one easy-to-use rating. The best growth stocks have a Composite Rating of 90 or better.</p>\n<p>According to&nbsp;IBD MarketSmith analysis, Google stock has a flat base entry point of 2,925.17. As of&nbsp; Nov. 22, GOOGL stock trades in a buy zone, which extends to 3,071.44.</p>","source":"lsy1610449120050","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Google Stock A Buy? Internet Search Giant Tops Among FANG Stocks In 2021</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Google Stock A Buy? Internet Search Giant Tops Among FANG Stocks In 2021\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-22 21:44 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.investors.com/news/technology/google-stock-buy-now/?src=A00220><strong>Investors</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Will this be the year that Google stock finally outperforms other FANG stocks? Google-parent Alphabet(GOOGL) has so far done better than Facebook(FB),  renamed Meta, Amazon.com(AMZN) and Netflix(NFLX)...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.investors.com/news/technology/google-stock-buy-now/?src=A00220\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"谷歌A","GOOG":"谷歌"},"source_url":"https://www.investors.com/news/technology/google-stock-buy-now/?src=A00220","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133441168","content_text":"Will this be the year that Google stock finally outperforms other FANG stocks? Google-parent Alphabet(GOOGL) has so far done better than Facebook(FB),  renamed Meta, Amazon.com(AMZN) and Netflix(NFLX).\nGoogle stock has jumped nearly 70% in 2021. GOOGL stock has approached a $2 trillion market cap. It would be the third company to reach the milestone.\n\"GOOGL stock has clearly been the most liked, best owned, and least debated megacap internet name,\" JPMorgan analyst Doug Anmuth said in a report to clients.\nAlphabet reported September-quarter earnings and revenue that topped analyst estimates. While internet search advertising revenue came in above expectations, YouTube and cloud computing sales were light in the Google earnings report. Still, Google cloud is picking up traction in the enterprise market.\nGoogle investments continue to ramp. Morgan Stanley forecasts that hiring will increase significantly in 2022. GOOGL stock will also face more difficult year-over-year growth comparisons in 2022 as the coronavirus emergency fades.\nAlphabet repurchased $12.6 billion of GOOGL stock in the September quarter vs. $12.8 billion in the second quarter.\nGoogle stock bulls trumpet a rebound in digital advertising as Covid-19 vaccinations expand, boosting global economies as industries normalize.\nGOOGL stock belongs to the IBD Leaderboard. The Leaderboard is IBD's curated list of leading stocks that stand out on technical and fundamental metrics.\nGoogle Stock: Play Store Revenue To Fall\nWith the Android mobile operating system built into devices sold worldwide, revenue growth from the Play Store continues to be a bright spot.\nBut a federal judge ruled Sept. 10 that Apple(AAPL) must allow mobile app developers to steer consumers to outside payment methods, granting an injunction sought by Epic Games in a year-long court battle.\nGoogle's policies have also been under scrutiny.  Google in October said service fees at its Play Store would drop to 15% from 30% in the first year. The move will reduce revenue.\nLarge-cap internet stocks face regulatory headwinds. In a surprise move, President Joe Biden on June 15 named Lina Khan as chairwoman of the Federal Trade Commission. Khan has been a critic of supersized technology companies. On July 20, Biden nominated Jonathan Kanter, a long-time critic of Big Tech, to lead the antitrust division at the Justice Department.\nFurther, Biden issued an executive order targeting Big Tech.\nUnder new Alphabet Chief Executive Sundar Pichai, Google has improved transparency. In its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings report, Google disclosed that its fast-growing cloud computing business is unprofitable amid high investments. Still, cloud computing operating margins are expected to improve.\nGOOGL Stock: U.S. Supreme Court Rules Against Oracle\nGOOGL stock broke out on April 5 after theU.S. Supreme Court ruled in Alphabet's favor in a copyright dispute with Oracle(ORCL) involving Android mobile software. But Google stock bears point to tougher regulation aimed at the search giant.\nThe Justice Department in October 2020 filed an antitrust lawsuit against Google. The Justice Department charged that Google has harmed competition and consumers by monopolizing internet search and search-related advertising. Due to its huge cash holdings, GOOGL stock has shrugged off three fines totaling $9.3 billion levied by the European Union on antitrust grounds.\nThe Justice Department, though, could force Google to restructure if it wins in court. Some analysts say Google stock will be worth more if the company is broken up. A legal battle likely will drag on for years.\nMost investors still know the company as Google, even though the internet search giant reorganized as holding company Alphabet in 2015. The restructuring move separated Google's core internet advertising business from so-called moonshots, such as autonomous vehicles and the Verily Life Sciences unit. Google stock could get a boost if Verily files an initial public offering.\nIn a cost-savings move, Google has shut down Loon, its internet balloon project.\nGoogle stock's strength in artificial intelligence spans digital advertising, the Google Cloud Platform, YouTube and consumer hardware products. GOOGL stock is just one artificial intelligence stock to watch.\nAt a Google developers conference in mid-May, the company demonstrated how it uses AI tools in a wide range of applications, including Google Workspace, Google Maps, virtual reality, voice-based search and photos.\nGoogle Stock: Advertising Core Business\nWhile Google has expanded into cloud computing and consumer hardware, digital advertising still makes up the lion's share of revenue. Google on June 24 said it would delay plans to have its Chrome internet browser stop supporting third-party cookies by late 2023, two years later than its initial timeframe.\nAmazon is taking market share from Google stock in internet search-related advertising, said a report from market research firm eMarketer. With Amazon gaining ground in digital advertising, Google in 2020 made a big change in how it handles e-commerce listings. Google has also deepened ties to Shopify(SHOP), a provider of e-commerce software.\nIn December, 2019, Google co-founder Larry Page stepped down as Alphabet's CEO. Pichai, who headed the Google unit, replaced him. Google co-founder Sergey Brin stepped down as Alphabet's president.\nGoogle's profit margins remain an issue amid high investments in data centers for cloud computing, artificial intelligence, YouTube and consumer products. In early 2018, Google changed accounting methods. It switched to reporting GAAP earnings, or generally accepted accounting principles. GAAP earnings include stock-based compensation.\nBank of America forecasts that YouTube's subscription business will reach $18 billion in revenue by 2025, up from $5 billion in 2020. In addition, YouTube is benefiting as major brands shift ad budgets from linear TV to digital channels. Late last year, Google reported that YouTube has more than 30 million music and premium paid subscribers, while YouTube TV has more than 3 million subscribers.\nGOOGL Stock: Fundamental Analysis\nAlphabet reported September-quarter earnings and revenue that topped analyst estimates. While internet search advertising revenue came in above expectations, YouTube and cloud computing sales missed views.\nGoogle's third quarter earnings under generally accepted accounting principles, also known as GAAP, jumped 71% to $27.99 per share, including gains on equity investments.\nGross revenue rose 41% to $65.12 billion in the quarter ended Sept. 30. Analysts had estimated Google earnings of $23.73 per share on gross revenue of $63.5 billion.\nThe company said net revenue, minus traffic acquisition costs, came in at $53.63 billion vs. estimates of $52.07 billion. Traffic acquisition costs jumped 40% to $11.49 billion.\nInternet search and other revenue rose 44% to $37.93 billion vs. estimates of $36.41 billion. Google said cloud-computing revenue rose 45% to $4.99 billion vs. estimates of $5.17 billion. Despite the revenue miss, Google cloud cut its operating loss almost in half to $644 million.\nYouTube advertising revenue rose 43% to $7.2 billion. Analysts had estimated YouTube ad revenue of $7.42 billion.\nWaymo Autonomous Vehicle Business\nA key question for investors is how much should Google's self-driving-car project Waymo and \"Other Bets\" such as the Verily Life Sciences unit figure into valuation.\nIn early 2018, some analysts projected Waymo's long-term valuation in a range of anywhere from $75 billion to $125 billion.Expectations for autonomous vehicles, though, have been lowered recently.\nWaymo in early March raised $2.25 billion in funding from outside investors. including private equity firm Silver Lake, the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board and Abu Dhabi's Mubadala investment arm.\nWhile Google did not disclose Waymo's valuation in the funding round, reports said it was only $30 billion.\nWaymo CEO John Krafcik, head of the autonomous vehicle unit since 2015, resigned in early April. Alphabet said he would be replaced by two co-CEOs — Tekedra Mawakana and Dmitri Dolgov. Mawakana had been Waymo's chief operating officer while Dolgov was Waymo's chief technology officer.\nAnother question is the performance of Google's hardware business. It's battling Apple in smartphones and Amazon in smart-home appliances.\nIn addition, Google's new cloud gaming service, Stadia, launched in late 2019. However, Stadia has pulled back on investments in game creation.\nAlso, Google in late 2019 agreed to buy smartwatch maker Fitbit for $2.1 billion. The purchase could help Google make a push into the health and fitness market, analysts say. The Fitbit deal finally closed on Jan. 14.\nGOOGL Stock: Technical Analysis\nGoogle's cloud computing business, meanwhile, faces tough rivals in Amazon and Microsoft(MSFT). Google brought in Thomas Kurian, a former Oracle(ORCL) executive, to improve performance in the corporate market. Bulls say Google Cloud Platform is beginning to take share as it focuses on security, open source software and data analytics.\nIn June 2019, Google purchased data analytics firm Looker for $2.6 billion in cash. Santa Cruz, Calif.-based Looker's analytics platform uses business intelligence and data visualization tools. More acquisitions to boost Google's cloud business could be coming, analysts say.\nMeanwhile, Google'sRelative Strength Rating is 89 out of a best possible 90, according to IBD Stock Checkup. The best stocks tend to have an RS rating of 80 or better.\nGoogle Stock: Is It A Buy Now?\nGoogle stock owns an Accumulation/Distribution Rating of B-minus. That rating analyzes price and volume changes in a stock over the past 13 weeks of trading.\nThe rating, on an A+ to E scale, measures institutional buying and selling in a stock. A+ signifies heavy institutional buying; E means heavy selling. Think of the C grade as neutral.\nGOOGL stock holds an IBD Composite Rating of 98 out of a best possible 99.\nIBD's Composite Rating combines five separate proprietary ratings into one easy-to-use rating. The best growth stocks have a Composite Rating of 90 or better.\nAccording to IBD MarketSmith analysis, Google stock has a flat base entry point of 2,925.17. As of  Nov. 22, GOOGL stock trades in a buy zone, which extends to 3,071.44.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":590,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873196519,"gmtCreate":1636873408696,"gmtModify":1636873408696,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Thinking]&nbsp;","listText":"[Thinking]&nbsp;","text":"[Thinking]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873196519","repostId":"2183043548","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2183043548","pubTimestamp":1636852012,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2183043548?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-14 09:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"If inflation is more than transitory, consumer prices and stocks could both keep climbing","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2183043548","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The stock market is a good inflation hedge\nAgence France-Presse/Getty Images\n\nConventional wisdom sa","content":"<p>The stock market is a good inflation hedge</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd7f220695081ff57f1ed561e56d2713\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Agence France-Presse/Getty Images</span></p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Conventional wisdom says that inflation is bad for the stock market. Yet the U.S. stock market this year has remained strong in the face of unexpectedly high inflation.</p>\n<p>Since mid-May, when it was first reported that the CPI’s 12-month rate of change had spiked, the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;has gained more than 15% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index&nbsp;is up almost 23%.</p>\n<p>Does that mean the stock market is living on borrowed time, and will soon succumb to the gravitational pull exerted by higher inflation? Or is the conventional wisdom on this subject just wrong?</p>\n<p>Now is a good time to investigate these questions, since the U.S. government reported this week that the CPI over the latest 12 months has risen at its fastest rate in over 30 years.</p>\n<p>My analysis of the historical record reveals that the relationship between equities and inflation is far more complex than it initially appears. That’s because there are both plusses and minuses to inflation’s impact, and it’s difficult to predict the net impact of inflation’s various consequences.</p>\n<p>Consider first inflation’s impact on earnings: Because companies often are able to charge higher prices when inflation heats up — they have “pricing power,” in other words — their earnings do not suffer as much as you might think. In fact, according to data back to 1871 provided by Yale University’s Robert Shiller, the S&amp;P 500’s nominal earnings per share have grown faster, on average, when inflation has been higher.</p>\n<p>This tendency is why the stock market is a good inflation hedge. Yet investors all too often overlook this valuable tendency, since they focus on nominal earnings growth rates rather than real growth rates. They extrapolate the slower nominal earnings growth rate of a low-inflation period even when inflation heats up. Economists often refer to this mistake as “money illusion” or “inflation illusion.”</p>\n<p>Corporate earnings’ ability to hedge inflation is the good news. The bad news is that inflation causes P/E ratios to decline, since inflation reduces the discounted value of future years’ earnings.</p>\n<p>These two distinct impacts are summarized in the chart below. To construct the chart, I segregated the period since 1871 into two subsets according to the CPI’s trailing 2-year rate of change. Notice that the EPS growth rate has tended to be higher when inflation is higher, but the P/E ratio has tended to be lower.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/370baeb3b581e82486aa533711b4363e\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"482\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>What to watch for — and watch out for</b></p>\n<p></p>\n<p>How do these countervailing factors interact in practice? The answer depends on whether you focus on the near-term or the long-term. Over the near-term — up to a year, or so — inflation historically has been a net negative for stocks. That’s because inflation’s negative impact on the P/E ratio is immediate, while its positive impact on earnings doesn’t kick in for a couple of years. Once your time horizon extends two or three years, these effects on average cancel each other out.</p>\n<p>The investment implication: If inflation proves to be more than transitory and the stock market declines significantly, you might want to treat the selloff as a buying opportunity.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>If inflation is more than transitory, consumer prices and stocks could both keep climbing</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIf inflation is more than transitory, consumer prices and stocks could both keep climbing\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-14 09:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/inflation-is-boosting-prices-and-stocks-heres-why-that-isnt-a-surprise-11636672378?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The stock market is a good inflation hedge\nAgence France-Presse/Getty Images\n\nConventional wisdom says that inflation is bad for the stock market. Yet the U.S. stock market this year has remained ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/inflation-is-boosting-prices-and-stocks-heres-why-that-isnt-a-surprise-11636672378?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","NDX":"纳斯达克100指数",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/inflation-is-boosting-prices-and-stocks-heres-why-that-isnt-a-surprise-11636672378?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2183043548","content_text":"The stock market is a good inflation hedge\nAgence France-Presse/Getty Images\n\nConventional wisdom says that inflation is bad for the stock market. Yet the U.S. stock market this year has remained strong in the face of unexpectedly high inflation.\nSince mid-May, when it was first reported that the CPI’s 12-month rate of change had spiked, the S&P 500 has gained more than 15% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index is up almost 23%.\nDoes that mean the stock market is living on borrowed time, and will soon succumb to the gravitational pull exerted by higher inflation? Or is the conventional wisdom on this subject just wrong?\nNow is a good time to investigate these questions, since the U.S. government reported this week that the CPI over the latest 12 months has risen at its fastest rate in over 30 years.\nMy analysis of the historical record reveals that the relationship between equities and inflation is far more complex than it initially appears. That’s because there are both plusses and minuses to inflation’s impact, and it’s difficult to predict the net impact of inflation’s various consequences.\nConsider first inflation’s impact on earnings: Because companies often are able to charge higher prices when inflation heats up — they have “pricing power,” in other words — their earnings do not suffer as much as you might think. In fact, according to data back to 1871 provided by Yale University’s Robert Shiller, the S&P 500’s nominal earnings per share have grown faster, on average, when inflation has been higher.\nThis tendency is why the stock market is a good inflation hedge. Yet investors all too often overlook this valuable tendency, since they focus on nominal earnings growth rates rather than real growth rates. They extrapolate the slower nominal earnings growth rate of a low-inflation period even when inflation heats up. Economists often refer to this mistake as “money illusion” or “inflation illusion.”\nCorporate earnings’ ability to hedge inflation is the good news. The bad news is that inflation causes P/E ratios to decline, since inflation reduces the discounted value of future years’ earnings.\nThese two distinct impacts are summarized in the chart below. To construct the chart, I segregated the period since 1871 into two subsets according to the CPI’s trailing 2-year rate of change. Notice that the EPS growth rate has tended to be higher when inflation is higher, but the P/E ratio has tended to be lower.\n\nWhat to watch for — and watch out for\n\nHow do these countervailing factors interact in practice? The answer depends on whether you focus on the near-term or the long-term. Over the near-term — up to a year, or so — inflation historically has been a net negative for stocks. That’s because inflation’s negative impact on the P/E ratio is immediate, while its positive impact on earnings doesn’t kick in for a couple of years. Once your time horizon extends two or three years, these effects on average cancel each other out.\nThe investment implication: If inflation proves to be more than transitory and the stock market declines significantly, you might want to treat the selloff as a buying opportunity.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1203,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603138763,"gmtCreate":1638372152745,"gmtModify":1638372211189,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Eye]&nbsp;","listText":"[Eye]&nbsp;","text":"[Eye]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603138763","repostId":"1143092770","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1143092770","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638370804,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1143092770?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-01 23:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple shares rose nearly 2% to a new high","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143092770","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Apple shares rose nearly 2% to a new high in morning trading.\nNeedham analyst Laura Martin said inve","content":"<p>Apple shares rose nearly 2% to a new high&nbsp;in morning trading.</p>\n<p><b>Needham</b>&nbsp;analyst Laura Martin said investors turned to Apple due to its prodigious cash flow capable of weathering the storm, not going bankrupt, not having financial distress.</p>\n<p>Martin said there are indications that Apple’s current products, especially its iPhone Pro models, are selling well, potentially leading to a big December quarter for the company.</p>\n<p>Tablets, especially the high-end iPhones, all of which say they’re going to have high margins and high revenue for the fourth quarter of this year, Martin added.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edc1b3fcbf75cefc8acb5fa15512530b\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple shares rose nearly 2% to a new high</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple shares rose nearly 2% to a new high\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-12-01 23:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple shares rose nearly 2% to a new high&nbsp;in morning trading.</p>\n<p><b>Needham</b>&nbsp;analyst Laura Martin said investors turned to Apple due to its prodigious cash flow capable of weathering the storm, not going bankrupt, not having financial distress.</p>\n<p>Martin said there are indications that Apple’s current products, especially its iPhone Pro models, are selling well, potentially leading to a big December quarter for the company.</p>\n<p>Tablets, especially the high-end iPhones, all of which say they’re going to have high margins and high revenue for the fourth quarter of this year, Martin added.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edc1b3fcbf75cefc8acb5fa15512530b\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143092770","content_text":"Apple shares rose nearly 2% to a new high in morning trading.\nNeedham analyst Laura Martin said investors turned to Apple due to its prodigious cash flow capable of weathering the storm, not going bankrupt, not having financial distress.\nMartin said there are indications that Apple’s current products, especially its iPhone Pro models, are selling well, potentially leading to a big December quarter for the company.\nTablets, especially the high-end iPhones, all of which say they’re going to have high margins and high revenue for the fourth quarter of this year, Martin added.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":485,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":876525379,"gmtCreate":1637333491995,"gmtModify":1637333492084,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Happy]&nbsp;","listText":"[Happy]&nbsp;","text":"[Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/876525379","repostId":"1111586448","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111586448","pubTimestamp":1637329309,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1111586448?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-19 21:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"10 Biggest Price Target Changes For Friday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111586448","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Wedbush raised Tesla, Inc.(NASDAQ:TSLA) price target from $1,100 to $1,400. Tesla shares rose 0.4% t","content":"<ul>\n <li>Wedbush raised&nbsp;<b>Tesla, Inc.</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA) price target from $1,100 to $1,400. Tesla shares rose 0.4% to $1,100.50 in pre-market trading.</li>\n <li>Credit Suisse lifted&nbsp;<b>Macy's, Inc.</b>(NYSE:M) price target from $19 to $32. Macy's shares fell 2.2% to $36.54 in pre-market trading.</li>\n <li>JMP Securities boosted&nbsp;<b>Palo Alto Networks, Inc.</b>(NYSE:PANW) price target from $550 to $585. Palo Alto shares gained 3.8% to $539.89 in pre-market trading.</li>\n <li>Barclays lifted the price target for&nbsp;<b>Workday, Inc.</b>(NASDAQ:WDAY) from $340 to $345. Workday shares dipped 7.8% to $275.79 in pre-market trading.</li>\n <li>Wedbush boosted the price target on&nbsp;<b>Globant S.A.</b>(NYSE:GLOB) from $300 to $330. Globant shares rose 2.7% to $319.00 in pre-market trading.</li>\n <li>Oppenheimer raised the price target on&nbsp;<b>Analog Devices, Inc.</b>(NASDAQ:ADI) from $200 to $210. Analog Devices shares rose 0.5% to $189.00 in pre-market trading.</li>\n <li>Mizuho lifted the price target for&nbsp;<b>JD.com, Inc.</b>(NASDAQ:JD) from $95 to $100. JD.com shares rose 1.4% to $89.29 in pre-market trading.</li>\n <li>Needham boosted&nbsp;<b>Applied Materials, Inc.</b>(NASDAQ:AMAT) price target from $153 to $166. Applied Materials shares fell 6.6% to $148.35 in pre-market trading.</li>\n <li>Telsey Advisory Group boosted the price target on&nbsp;<b>Williams-Sonoma, Inc.</b>(NYSE:WSM) from $220 to $250. Williams-Sonoma shares fell 7.5% to $202.99 in pre-market trading.</li>\n <li>MKM Partners raised&nbsp;<b>Walmart Inc.</b>(NYSE:WMT) price target from $156 to $166. Walmart shares rose 0.3% to $143.65 in pre-market trading.</li>\n</ul>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>10 Biggest Price Target Changes For Friday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n10 Biggest Price Target Changes For Friday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-19 21:41 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/price-target/21/11/24191516/10-biggest-price-target-changes-for-friday><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Wedbush raised Tesla, Inc.(NASDAQ:TSLA) price target from $1,100 to $1,400. Tesla shares rose 0.4% to $1,100.50 in pre-market trading.\nCredit Suisse lifted Macy's, Inc.(NYSE:M) price target from $19 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/price-target/21/11/24191516/10-biggest-price-target-changes-for-friday\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"M":"梅西百货","JD":"京东","TSLA":"特斯拉","WMT":"沃尔玛","PANW":"Palo Alto Networks","WSM":"Williams-Sonoma Inc","GLOB":"Globant","ADI":"亚德诺","WDAY":"Workday","AMAT":"应用材料"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/price-target/21/11/24191516/10-biggest-price-target-changes-for-friday","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111586448","content_text":"Wedbush raised Tesla, Inc.(NASDAQ:TSLA) price target from $1,100 to $1,400. Tesla shares rose 0.4% to $1,100.50 in pre-market trading.\nCredit Suisse lifted Macy's, Inc.(NYSE:M) price target from $19 to $32. Macy's shares fell 2.2% to $36.54 in pre-market trading.\nJMP Securities boosted Palo Alto Networks, Inc.(NYSE:PANW) price target from $550 to $585. Palo Alto shares gained 3.8% to $539.89 in pre-market trading.\nBarclays lifted the price target for Workday, Inc.(NASDAQ:WDAY) from $340 to $345. Workday shares dipped 7.8% to $275.79 in pre-market trading.\nWedbush boosted the price target on Globant S.A.(NYSE:GLOB) from $300 to $330. Globant shares rose 2.7% to $319.00 in pre-market trading.\nOppenheimer raised the price target on Analog Devices, Inc.(NASDAQ:ADI) from $200 to $210. Analog Devices shares rose 0.5% to $189.00 in pre-market trading.\nMizuho lifted the price target for JD.com, Inc.(NASDAQ:JD) from $95 to $100. JD.com shares rose 1.4% to $89.29 in pre-market trading.\nNeedham boosted Applied Materials, Inc.(NASDAQ:AMAT) price target from $153 to $166. Applied Materials shares fell 6.6% to $148.35 in pre-market trading.\nTelsey Advisory Group boosted the price target on Williams-Sonoma, Inc.(NYSE:WSM) from $220 to $250. Williams-Sonoma shares fell 7.5% to $202.99 in pre-market trading.\nMKM Partners raised Walmart Inc.(NYSE:WMT) price target from $156 to $166. Walmart shares rose 0.3% to $143.65 in pre-market trading.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":584,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879536907,"gmtCreate":1636734716281,"gmtModify":1636734716281,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879536907","repostId":"1163118124","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163118124","pubTimestamp":1636726239,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1163118124?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-12 22:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: $1 Trillion Of Speculation","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163118124","media":"Forbes","summary":"Tesla’s  market cap surpassed the trillion-dollar mark, driven by a post-earnings rally that got a boost from the announcement of a 100,000-vehicle order from Hertz , which might not even happen.Even if it does come to pass, the Hertz order is a drop in the bucket of growth expectations baked into Tesla’s valuation. Tesla needs 155 Hertz-sized orders to justify the revenue expectations in its stock price. Put another way, the $1.2 trillion valuation implies Tesla owns 60%+ of the entire global p","content":"<p>Tesla’s (TSLA) market cap surpassed the trillion-dollar mark, driven by a post-earnings rally that got a boost from the announcement of a 100,000-vehicle order from Hertz (HTZ), which might&nbsp;not even happen.</p>\n<p>Even if it does come to pass, the Hertz order is a drop in the bucket of growth expectations baked into Tesla’s valuation. Tesla needs 155 Hertz-sized orders to justify the revenue expectations in its stock price. Put another way, the $1.2 trillion valuation implies Tesla owns 60%+ of the entire global passenger EV market and becomes more profitable than Apple (AAPL) by 2030.</p>\n<p>This report provides objective perspective on how outrageously high the valuation of Tesla stock is and the clear impracticality of the company meeting the expectations baked into its valuation.</p>\n<p><b>Tesla’s Valuation vs. Competitors Makes No Sense</b></p>\n<p>Tesla’s market cap is now greater than the next 10 largest (ranked by market cap) auto manufacturers combined.</p>\n<p><b>Figure 1:&nbsp;Tesla’s Market Cap Vs. Competitors</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb58977e39c2d0ce868e80de26d098d9\" tg-width=\"925\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>This valuation comes despite Tesla selling less than 1/50th&nbsp;of the vehicles than the combined total sold by the next 10 largest automakers over the trailing twelve months ended the first half of 2021. See Figure 2.</p>\n<p>I cannot conceive of a straight-faced argument for the disconnect between Tesla’s valuation and its vehicle sales compared to its competitors.</p>\n<p><b>Figure 2:&nbsp;Tesla’s Car Sales Vs. Competitors</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7fe8de12677dc13fe01f38fbafdcab27\" tg-width=\"946\" tg-height=\"397\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">* Stellantis sales estimated as Fiat Chrysler and PSA Group’s 2H20 sales and Stellantis’ 1H21 sales. Stellantis was formed as a merger between the two in January 2021.</p>\n<p><b>Is the Hertz Deal Really Worth $100 Billion+ in Market Cap?</b></p>\n<p>Even if Hertz eventually agrees to buy 100,000 Tesla Model 3s, I do not think it is worth the $100 billion in market cap, or $1 million per vehicle, that we saw investors give Tesla’s market cap after the Hertz deal made headlines. Even Elon Musk questioned the surge in share price, noting that the price movement was “strange” given that Tesla is “very much a production ramp problem, not a demand problem.”</p>\n<p>This $100 billion market cap jump makes even less sense in the context of Tesla’s&nbsp;sky-high valuation&nbsp;before the announcement. Clearly, the feasibility of Tesla meeting the sales expectations embedded in its market cap plays no role in its valuation. For those that do care about&nbsp;expectations investing, I did the math and Tesla needs to successfully deliver on 155 Hertz-sized deals to meet the sales implied by a $1.2 trillion market cap.</p>\n<p><b>Will the Hertz Deal Result in Any Profits – If It Goes Through?</b></p>\n<p>After Elon Musk&nbsp;tweeted&nbsp;on November 1, 2021 that “no contract has been signed yet”, the Hertz deal reminds me of another&nbsp;famous tweet: \"am considering taking Tesla private at $420. Funding secured.”</p>\n<p>Even if the deal does go through, the pricing terms are very unclear. Elon insists that no cars will be sold at a discount. Meanwhile, Hertz CEO Mark Fields has made it clear that he is playing the field and working on getting cars from all EV manufacturers on his lot.</p>\n<p>Either Tesla is selling cars at a (large or small) discount, the deal terms are wrong, or the deal does not get done. If the deal gets done, I do not expect it to be profitable. Rental car companies are accustomed to getting discounts for bulk orders, and I see no reason for Hertz to expect to pay list prices on a deal for so many cars.</p>\n<p>At the end of the day, I’m not sure pricing matters because I don't think the Hertz deal gets done. This affair is more about headlines and fueling speculation than doing any real business.</p>\n<p><b>Tesla’s Global Market Share Getting Smaller</b></p>\n<p>Tesla’s first-mover is already eroding, and its market share continues to decline. In the first half of 2021, Tesla sold 14.6% of the EVs&nbsp;sold worldwide&nbsp;compared to 18.8% over the same period in 2020.</p>\n<p>Rising volumes, and falling market share are to be expected in a nascent industry. The problem is that Tesla’s isn’t priced for declining market share. It is priced for massive market share gains, unheard of gains in nearly any industry across the globe, especially in an industry as large and competitive as passenger vehicles.</p>\n<p><b>Reverse DCF Math: Valuation Implies Tesla Will Own 60%+ of the Global Passenger EV Market</b></p>\n<p>At its current average selling price (ASP) of ~$51k, Tesla’s stock price of ~1,200/share implies the firm will sell 16 million vehicles in 2030 (versus ~800k TTM), or 60% of the&nbsp;projected base case global EV passenger vehicle market&nbsp;in 2030. For reference, Adam Jonas, a Morgan Stanley analyst with a price target of $1,600/share, projects Tesla will sell&nbsp;8.1 million vehicles&nbsp;in 2030.</p>\n<p>I think it is unlikely that Tesla will sell such a high volume of vehicles at a $51k ASP, yet the implied vehicle sales based on lower ASPs look even more impractical.</p>\n<p>As detailed in the next section, this analysis assumes Tesla achieves profit margins twice as high as Toyota (TM) and quadruples its current auto manufacturing efficiency. In other words, I aim to provide inarguably best-case scenarios for assessing the expectations reflected in Tesla’s stock price.</p>\n<p>Per Figure 3, Tesla’s current valuation implies that, in 2030, it will sell the following number of vehicles based on these ASP benchmarks:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>16 million vehicles – current ASP of $51k</li>\n <li>21 million vehicles – ASP of $38k (average new car price in the U.S. in 2020)</li>\n <li>46 million vehicles – ASP of $17k (equal to General Motors over the TTM)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>If Tesla achieves those EV sales, the implied market share for the company would be the following (assuming global passenger EV sales reach 25.8 million in 2030, the&nbsp;base case projection from the IEA):</p>\n<ul>\n <li>60% for 16 million vehicles</li>\n <li>80% for 21 million vehicles</li>\n <li>179% for 46 million vehicles</li>\n</ul>\n<p>If I assume the&nbsp;IEA’s best case&nbsp;for global passenger EV sales in 2030, 46.8 million vehicles, the above vehicle sales represent:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>33% for 16 million vehicles</li>\n <li>44% for 21 million vehicles</li>\n <li>98% for 46 million vehicles</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Figure 3:&nbsp;Tesla’s Implied Vehicle Sales in 2030 to Justify Current Valuation</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6d6230910209d16f55e6e527130d43\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>The Math Shows that Tesla Must be More Profitable Than Apple</b></p>\n<p>Here are the assumptions I use in my&nbsp;reverse discounted cash flow (DCF) model&nbsp;to calculate the implied production levels above.</p>\n<p>To justify its current price of ~$1,200/share, Tesla must:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>immediately achieve a 17.2% NOPAT margin (double Toyota’s margin, which is the highest of the large-scale automakers I cover), compared to Tesla’s TTM margin of 7.7%) and</li>\n <li>grow revenue by 38% compounded annually for the next decade.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>In this&nbsp;scenario, Tesla generates&nbsp;<b>$783 billion</b>&nbsp;in revenue in 2030, which is 102% of the combined revenues of Toyota, General Motors, Ford (F), Honda Motor Corp (HMC), and Stellantis (STLA) over the TTM.</p>\n<p>This scenario also implies Tesla generates $135 billion in net operating profit after-tax (NOPAT) in 2030, or 45% higher than Apple’s (AAPL) TTM NOPAT, which, at $93 billion, is the highest of all&nbsp;companies my firm covers.</p>\n<p><b>TSLA Has 60%+ Downside If Morgan Stanley Is Right About Sales</b></p>\n<p>If I assume Tesla reaches Morgan Stanley’s estimate of selling 8.1 million cars in 2030 (which implies a 31% share of the global passenger EV market in 2030), at an ASP of $38k, the stock is worth just $483/share. Details:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>NOPAT margin improves to 17.2% and</li>\n <li>revenue grows 27% compounded annually over the next decade, then</li>\n</ul>\n<p>the stock is worth just $483/share today – 60% downside to the current price.&nbsp;See the math behind this reverse DCF scenario. In this scenario, Tesla grows NOPAT to $60 billion, or nearly 17x its TTM NOPAT, and just 3% below Alphabet’s (GOOGL) TTM NOPAT.</p>\n<p><b>TSLA Has 88%+ Downside Even with 28% Market Share and Realistic Margins</b></p>\n<p>If I estimate more reasonable (but still very optimistic) margins and market share achievements for Tesla, the stock is worth just $148/share. Here’s the math:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>NOPAT margin improves to 8.5% (equal to General Motors’ TTM margin, compared to Tesla’s TTM margin of 7.7%) and</li>\n <li>revenue grows by consensus estimates from 2021-2023 and</li>\n <li>revenue grows 18% a year from 2024-2030, then</li>\n</ul>\n<p>the stock is worth just $148/share today – an 88% downside to the current price.</p>\n<p>In this&nbsp;scenario, Tesla sells 7.2 million cars (at an ASP of 38k) and owns 28% of the global passenger EV market in 2030. If Tesla fails to meet these expectations, then the stock is worth less than $148/share.</p>\n<p>Also, for this scenario, I assume a much more realistic NOPAT margin, 8.5%, for Tesla. Given the expansion required of the business, struggles to be profitable to date, and formidable competition, I think Tesla will be lucky to achieve and sustain a margin as high as 8.5% from 2021-2030.</p>\n<p>Figure 4 compares the firm’s historical NOPAT to the NOPAT implied by its current stock price, the 8.1 million vehicle sales scenario, and the 7.2 million vehicle sales scenario to illustrate just how high the expectations baked into Tesla’s stock price remain. For additional context, I show Toyota’s, General Motors’, and Apple’s TTM NOPAT.</p>\n<p><b>Figure 4: Tesla’s Historical and Implied NOPAT: DCF Valuation Scenarios</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25d334530f3477d58879490d628fa8ef\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"463\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Each of the above scenarios assumes Tesla’s&nbsp;invested capital&nbsp;grows 14% compounded annually through 2030. For reference, Tesla’s invested capital grew 53% compounded annually from 2010-2020 and 29% compounded annually from 2015-2020. Invested capital at the end of 3Q21 grew 21% YoY. Tesla’s property, plant, and equipment has grown even faster, at 58% compounded annually, since 2010.</p>\n<p>A 14% CAGR represents 1/4th&nbsp;the CAGR of Tesla’s property, plant, and equipment since 2010 and assumes the company can build future plants and produce cars 4x more efficiently than it has so far.</p>\n<p>In other words, I aim to provide inarguably best-case scenarios for assessing the expectations for future market share and profits reflected in Tesla’s stock market valuation.</p>\n<p><b>Why Tesla’s $1 Trillion Valuation Is Ridiculous</b></p>\n<p>Now that I’ve shown how high the expectations baked into Tesla’s valuation are, I’ll present some of the many challenges Tesla faces to meet those expectations.</p>\n<p><b>Tesla Remains “Just” a Car Company, Despite Bulls’ Arguments Otherwise.</b>One of the most common arguments bulls make to justify Tesla’s valuation is that the company is more than just a car company. Instead, the argument goes: Tesla is a software, tech, insurance, energy, transportation, “insert any other blank” company. However, the financials bear out a different picture and show the other businesses are more hype than substance. At this point, Tesla is a only car company and generates the entirety of its profits from vehicles.</p>\n<p>Per Figure 5, Tesla generated 88% of revenue from Automotive Sales in 3Q21, which is up from 87% in 3Q20, and above the quarterly average of 86% since 3Q19. For reference, automotive sales made up 87% and 93% of General Motors’ and Ford’s 3Q21 revenue respectively.</p>\n<p><b>Figure 5:&nbsp;Tesla’s Revenue Breakdown: 3Q19 – 3Q21</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b77f52dfd7a9cb05f19a91ac8811919\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Tesla’s two other segments, Energy generation and storage and Services and other, which make up 12% of revenue in 3Q21, are unprofitable. Over the TTM, Tesla generated $10.8 billion in gross profit. $11.2 billion came from its Automotive segment while Energy generation and storage and Services and other racked up gross losses of $113 million and $263 million. Despite many claims and promises to the contrary over the years, Tesla doesn’t generate gross profit doing anything but selling cars.</p>\n<p><b>Insurance Business Is Not Material.</b>&nbsp;Tesla bulls will also point to Tesla’s insurance business as another way to drive profit growth. I’ve&nbsp;previously covered&nbsp;how Tesla insurance does not have the competitive advantages that bulls ascribe to it and has a long way to go before it can get meaningfully off the ground.</p>\n<p>Even if Tesla’s insurance business gets off the ground, I would not expect it to make much money. For example, from 2004-2006, General Motors generated about $70 per car sold in GAAP net income from its insurance business. If I assume Tesla can generate the same level of business, Tesla insurance would result in just $57 million in GAAP net income based on TTM vehicles sold.</p>\n<p>Bulls will counter that Tesla will be so much better at insurance than GM and that GM is not a good comp. There is no way to know for sure. Nevertheless, I concede that anything is possible, but the likelihood of Tesla’s insurance business being material profit producer is extremely low.</p>\n<p>Regardless of how successful Tesla insurance is, the potential profits from it are nowhere near enough to help to justify the expectations baked into Tesla’s stock price.</p>\n<p><b>Production Capacity Growth Will Require Billions of $.</b>Current and expected production capacities of all known Tesla factories equals ~2.7 million vehicles, or 12.9 million short of the 2030 production implied by its stock price. See Figure 6.</p>\n<p>In other words, despite the new factories coming online, Tesla must spend billions and build many new manufacturing plants before it can approach the capacity needed to sell the number of cars implied by its valuation.</p>\n<p>Given the&nbsp;many issues&nbsp;in ramping production in the past, investors should not assume Tesla can increase its production by 5x without any problems.</p>\n<p><b>Figure 6:&nbsp;Tesla’s Pending Production Shortfall</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d0c946fecb2fd037adac367c7c5b7c2\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">*Projection based on&nbsp;InsideEVs estimate&nbsp;of 600,000 vehicles per year</p>\n<p>**Optimistic assumption based on Texas being Tesla’s biggest factory and&nbsp;possibly the largest factory&nbsp;in the United States</p>\n<p><b>Incumbents Must Fail for Tesla to Meet Growth Expectations.</b>For many years now, incumbent automakers have spent billions of dollars building out their EV offerings. Automakers other than Tesla already account for 85% of&nbsp;global EV sales&nbsp;through the first half of 2021.</p>\n<p>The global EV market is simply not big enough for Tesla to achieve the sales expectations in its valuation unless nearly all of the incumbents reverse course and completely fail to sell EVs.</p>\n<p>Here are the projections from the large incumbent automakers that have provided specific goals for future EV production.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Volkswagen Group projects that&nbsp;50% of its global sales&nbsp;will be fully electric by 2030</li>\n <li>Stellantis projects&nbsp;70%&nbsp;and&nbsp;40%&nbsp;of its European and North American sales, respectively, will be fully electric by 2030</li>\n <li>Ford&nbsp;projects&nbsp;that 40% of its sales will be fully electric by 2030.</li>\n <li>Toyota&nbsp;projects&nbsp;that it will sell 2 million EVs by 2030</li>\n <li>Honda&nbsp;plans&nbsp;to sell only EVs in China by 2030</li>\n <li>BMW&nbsp;expects&nbsp;at least half its sales to be zero-emission vehicles by 2030</li>\n <li>Daimler, manufacturer of Mercedes Benz,&nbsp;expects&nbsp;half its sales to be “EV and hybrid by 2025”</li>\n <li>General Motors is&nbsp;targeting&nbsp;EV sales of “more than 1 million” by 2025</li>\n <li>Volvo&nbsp;plans&nbsp;to sell only fully electric vehicles by 2030</li>\n <li>Nissan&nbsp;projects&nbsp;40% of U.S. sales to be EVs by 2030</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Based on these projections, I estimate how many EVs each company aims to produce[1]&nbsp;by 2030 and the market share implied by that production as a percentage of&nbsp;base-case global passenger EV sales in 2030.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Volkswagen Group: 5.5 million, 21% market share</li>\n <li>Stellantis: 3.6 million[2], 14% market share</li>\n <li>Ford: 2.2 million, 9% market share</li>\n <li>Toyota: 2 million, 8% market share</li>\n <li>Honda (in China): 1.5 million, 6% market share</li>\n <li>BMW: 1.3 million, 5% market share</li>\n <li>Mercedes Benz: 1.2+ million, 5% market share</li>\n <li>General Motors: 1+ million, 4% market share</li>\n <li>Volvo: 700,000, 3% market share</li>\n <li>Nissan (in U.S.): 500,000, 2% market share</li>\n <li><b>Total = 19+ million vehicles and 75% market share</b></li>\n</ul>\n<p>These estimates do not include other incumbents and new entrants (e.g. Jaguar Land Rover, NIO Inc. [NIO], Rivian [RIVN], Ludic [LCID] and more) or other Chinese EV makers because I could not find specific projections for EV production. Nevertheless, I am confident that their combined market share will be more than zero.</p>\n<p>The point is that the rest of the world is not planning to stand by, give up existing market share, and let Tesla own majority of the EV market. Many very experienced and successful automakers are spending many multiples of what Tesla is spending to compete in the EV market.</p>\n<p>The bottom line is that it is hard to make a straight-faced argument that Tesla can achieve the sales implied by its valuation in a competitive market.</p>\n<p><b>Incumbents Can Afford to Spend More than Tesla.</b>Incumbents already have infrastructure to produce and sell vehicles at scale, and they are spending billions of dollars to compete in the EV market. Ford, Volkswagen, General Motors, and Stellantis alone are planning to spend at least $280 billion through 2025 and produce over 12 million EVs by 2030.</p>\n<p>Given the huge investments from multiple competitors, I expect the EV market will be extremely competitive, as manufacturers fight for profits and market share. The “winner take all” outcome implied by Tesla’s valuation is extremely unlikely. Perhaps, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi&nbsp;said it best, “the automotive industry is an increasingly global and hypercompetitive industry and I believe that surplus profits and technology innovation will likely be competed away over time, as has been the case historically.\" In such a market, Tesla cannot achieve the market share implied by its valuation.</p>\n<p>Unlike Tesla, the incumbents generate plenty of free cash flow (FCF) to fund their EV investments and don’t have to dilute existing shareholders to expand EV capacity as Tesla does. For instance, over the last five years, General Motors, Stellantis, and Ford generated a cumulative $12.4 billion, $7.1, and $6.1 billion in free cash flow while Tesla burned -$19.5 billion.</p>\n<p><b>FSD Continues to Overpromise And Underdeliver.</b>Full-self driving (FSD) has been consistently plagued by issues that, unfortunately, have deadly consequences. Industry research provider Guidehouse Insights ranks Tesla last in its&nbsp;2021 ranking&nbsp;of Automated Driver Systems (ADS), and states flatly, “Tesla needs a thorough rethink of its approach to developing ADS. It has overpromised with its marketing for nearly 5 years and severely underdelivered.”</p>\n<p>Per Figure 7, Tesla lags the competition by quite a large margin, as it’s the only company that falls into the \"Followers\" category.</p>\n<p>The most recent problems with Tesla’s FSD version 10.3 forced the company to&nbsp;roll back the update&nbsp;as users reported false crash warnings and other problems with autosteer and cruise control. These issues resulted in Tesla recalling nearly 12,000 vehicles because “a communication error may cause a false forward-collision warning or unexpected activation of the emergency brakes,”&nbsp;according&nbsp;to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA).</p>\n<p>While the roll out of an updated 10.3.1 has restarted, Tesla’s haphazard approach to deploying FSD remains unsettling and led Guidehouse Insights to&nbsp;note, “Tesla’s approach to testing its system is fundamentally at odds with virtually every other company in this industry.”</p>\n<p><b>Figure 7:&nbsp;Tesla Ranks Last Amongst Automated Driver Systems</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ddd92d3ed67347fa0741599f91ce31d\" tg-width=\"919\" tg-height=\"739\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Alphabet’s Waymo&nbsp;routinely&nbsp;ranks as the best automated driving system. Importantly, many of the firms ranked ahead of Tesla are focused solely on building automated driving systems and are not distracted by scaling up automobile production, delivery logistics, and the general day-to-day operations of producing cars. Even so, other direct competitors such as GM Super Cruise also get&nbsp;better scores&nbsp;from&nbsp;third-party organizations.</p>\n<p><b>Increased Regulatory Risk.</b>While Tesla has mysteriously avoided regulatory crackdown on its sales of FSD and practice of beta testing software on live drivers and roads, renewed requests from the NHTSA/National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) signal that Tesla might be held accountable for practices that many find highly misleading and dangerous to citizens.</p>\n<p>Missy Cummings, recently&nbsp;appointed&nbsp;as senior advisor for safety at the NHTSA, has expressed concerns about Tesla’s FSD in the past, tweeting as far back as 2019 that Tesla’s “autopilot easily cause mode confusion, is unreliable and unsafe” and that “NHTSA should require Tesla turn it off.”</p>\n<p>More recently, Tesla requested “confidential business information treatment” on its responses to a litany of information requests the NHTSA made as part of its investigation into FSD. If approved, the public would likely never see Tesla’s responses to key questions pertaining to Tesla not issuing a recall for Autopilot after multiple accidents involving parked emergency vehicles, the selection criteria for Tesla’s FSD beta testing program, and the non-disclosure agreements Tesla was making drivers sign before they could use the beta system.</p>\n<p>The NHTSA is not alone in criticizing Tesla and its FSD rollout. On October 26, 2021, the head of the U.S. NTSB, Jennifer Homendy, said that Tesla has not yet officially responded to the NTSB regarding its safety recommendations while calling the use of full self-driving ”misleading.” She stated, “my biggest concern is that Tesla is rolling out full self-driving technology in beta on city streets with untrained drivers and they have not addressed our recommendations that we’ve issued as a result of numerous investigations of Tesla crashes.”</p>\n<p><b>Battery Technologies Are Nothing Special.</b>Tesla announced it will be switching to a lithium iron phosphate (LFP) battery in all standard range cars. These batteries are already being used in vehicles built in the Shanghai factory, and this switch is expected to bring down costs. The timing of this change comes as other battery producers, in partnership with incumbent auto manufacturers, are ramping up production, which should drive down battery costs for all EV makers. In other words, the competitive advantages of a cheaper battery may be short-lived, as incumbents build economies of scale in their own supply chain in the coming years.</p>\n<p>Additionally, while the much heralded 4680 cylindrical battery, produced by Panasonic for Tesla, and&nbsp;nearly ready for production, should bring a higher energy density in a more efficient package, competitors’ offerings all aim to provide the same.</p>\n<p>General Motor’s Ultium platform will enable up to 400-450 miles of range, and the firm is building a new battery research facility aimed at building batteries capable of 600 miles on a single charge. General Motors recently announced a joint venture with LG Chem to build a second U.S. battery cell plant, which is&nbsp;expected&nbsp;to have an annual capacity of 35 gigawatt hours, or slightly above the 30 gigawatt hour capacity of its first Lordstown battery plant. Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas&nbsp;noted&nbsp;that the “formation of Ultium/Ultium Cells LLC will prove to be a critical point of strategic differentiation that will ultimately drive value creation for [GM] shareholders.”</p>\n<p>Ford’s Mustang Mach-E became the&nbsp;first electric SUV&nbsp;not made by Tesla to reach an EPA-rated range of up to 300 miles, and the company recently entered a partnership with SK Innovation to build three U.S.-based battery plants to power 1 million EVs annually.</p>\n<p>On its own, LG Chem plans to expand its existing U.S. facilities and build two more plants that will produce both pouch cells used by General Motors, Ford, Jaguar, Audi, Porsche, and more, as well as the cylindrical cells used by Tesla.</p>\n<p>Ultimately, the race for the “perfect” battery is less important than the race to procure battery supplies to build the number of EVs each manufacturer aims to produce in the coming years. The incumbents have proven they can maintain and win a race to procure supplies, and they’ve only been doing it for multiple decades now.</p>\n<p><b>Not All Supply Issues Can Be Coded Away.</b>To its credit, Tesla managed the global chip shortage relatively well by re-writing software to allow the use of alternative chips. However, not all supply issues can be solved via software, as evidenced by the growing wait times for Tesla’s vehicles. As Electrek&nbsp;notes, Tesla recently updated its delivery timelines for new orders, and depending upon specs, some vehicles won’t be delivered until September 2022 if ordered today. New orders for the Model 3 Standard Range Plus, which is Tesla’s cheapest vehicle, are currently on pace to be delivered in May 2022, or seven months from now.</p>\n<p>While certainly not unique to Tesla, extended delivery/wait times give consumers ample time to comparison shop and possibly switch orders to a competitor’s EV that would be available sooner.</p>\n<p>Delivery delays aren’t exclusive to in-production vehicles, but Tesla’s future vehicles as well. The much-hyped Cybertruck has recently been delayed again, this time until at least 2023 (compared to an original late 2021 release), which ultimately gives competitors more time to establish a presence in the EV truck market. I recently outlined the many competitors in the EV truck market in my&nbsp;report on Rivian.</p>\n<p><b>Putting It All Together: Tesla Provides Poor Risk/Reward</b></p>\n<p>Given the challenges ahead for Tesla, coupled with a valuation that implies it will take 60%+ of the global EV market share, I think it is clear: Tesla’s stock offers poor risk/reward.</p>\n<p>Tesla has proven risky to short, but investors need not buy shares today at such an elevated price.</p>\n<p>If you’re buying Tesla at its current valuation, you’re not only betting that it will be the only winner of the electrification of the global automotive fleet, but that it will somehow be twice as profitable as Toyota and achieve at least 60% market share. With anything less than total market domination, TSLA presents large downside risk.</p>","source":"fors","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: $1 Trillion Of Speculation</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: $1 Trillion Of Speculation\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-12 22:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2021/11/09/tesla-1-trillion-of-speculation/?sh=34ca1f2f77eb><strong>Forbes</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla’s (TSLA) market cap surpassed the trillion-dollar mark, driven by a post-earnings rally that got a boost from the announcement of a 100,000-vehicle order from Hertz (HTZ), which might not even ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2021/11/09/tesla-1-trillion-of-speculation/?sh=34ca1f2f77eb\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2021/11/09/tesla-1-trillion-of-speculation/?sh=34ca1f2f77eb","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163118124","content_text":"Tesla’s (TSLA) market cap surpassed the trillion-dollar mark, driven by a post-earnings rally that got a boost from the announcement of a 100,000-vehicle order from Hertz (HTZ), which might not even happen.\nEven if it does come to pass, the Hertz order is a drop in the bucket of growth expectations baked into Tesla’s valuation. Tesla needs 155 Hertz-sized orders to justify the revenue expectations in its stock price. Put another way, the $1.2 trillion valuation implies Tesla owns 60%+ of the entire global passenger EV market and becomes more profitable than Apple (AAPL) by 2030.\nThis report provides objective perspective on how outrageously high the valuation of Tesla stock is and the clear impracticality of the company meeting the expectations baked into its valuation.\nTesla’s Valuation vs. Competitors Makes No Sense\nTesla’s market cap is now greater than the next 10 largest (ranked by market cap) auto manufacturers combined.\nFigure 1: Tesla’s Market Cap Vs. Competitors\n\nThis valuation comes despite Tesla selling less than 1/50th of the vehicles than the combined total sold by the next 10 largest automakers over the trailing twelve months ended the first half of 2021. See Figure 2.\nI cannot conceive of a straight-faced argument for the disconnect between Tesla’s valuation and its vehicle sales compared to its competitors.\nFigure 2: Tesla’s Car Sales Vs. Competitors\n* Stellantis sales estimated as Fiat Chrysler and PSA Group’s 2H20 sales and Stellantis’ 1H21 sales. Stellantis was formed as a merger between the two in January 2021.\nIs the Hertz Deal Really Worth $100 Billion+ in Market Cap?\nEven if Hertz eventually agrees to buy 100,000 Tesla Model 3s, I do not think it is worth the $100 billion in market cap, or $1 million per vehicle, that we saw investors give Tesla’s market cap after the Hertz deal made headlines. Even Elon Musk questioned the surge in share price, noting that the price movement was “strange” given that Tesla is “very much a production ramp problem, not a demand problem.”\nThis $100 billion market cap jump makes even less sense in the context of Tesla’s sky-high valuation before the announcement. Clearly, the feasibility of Tesla meeting the sales expectations embedded in its market cap plays no role in its valuation. For those that do care about expectations investing, I did the math and Tesla needs to successfully deliver on 155 Hertz-sized deals to meet the sales implied by a $1.2 trillion market cap.\nWill the Hertz Deal Result in Any Profits – If It Goes Through?\nAfter Elon Musk tweeted on November 1, 2021 that “no contract has been signed yet”, the Hertz deal reminds me of another famous tweet: \"am considering taking Tesla private at $420. Funding secured.”\nEven if the deal does go through, the pricing terms are very unclear. Elon insists that no cars will be sold at a discount. Meanwhile, Hertz CEO Mark Fields has made it clear that he is playing the field and working on getting cars from all EV manufacturers on his lot.\nEither Tesla is selling cars at a (large or small) discount, the deal terms are wrong, or the deal does not get done. If the deal gets done, I do not expect it to be profitable. Rental car companies are accustomed to getting discounts for bulk orders, and I see no reason for Hertz to expect to pay list prices on a deal for so many cars.\nAt the end of the day, I’m not sure pricing matters because I don't think the Hertz deal gets done. This affair is more about headlines and fueling speculation than doing any real business.\nTesla’s Global Market Share Getting Smaller\nTesla’s first-mover is already eroding, and its market share continues to decline. In the first half of 2021, Tesla sold 14.6% of the EVs sold worldwide compared to 18.8% over the same period in 2020.\nRising volumes, and falling market share are to be expected in a nascent industry. The problem is that Tesla’s isn’t priced for declining market share. It is priced for massive market share gains, unheard of gains in nearly any industry across the globe, especially in an industry as large and competitive as passenger vehicles.\nReverse DCF Math: Valuation Implies Tesla Will Own 60%+ of the Global Passenger EV Market\nAt its current average selling price (ASP) of ~$51k, Tesla’s stock price of ~1,200/share implies the firm will sell 16 million vehicles in 2030 (versus ~800k TTM), or 60% of the projected base case global EV passenger vehicle market in 2030. For reference, Adam Jonas, a Morgan Stanley analyst with a price target of $1,600/share, projects Tesla will sell 8.1 million vehicles in 2030.\nI think it is unlikely that Tesla will sell such a high volume of vehicles at a $51k ASP, yet the implied vehicle sales based on lower ASPs look even more impractical.\nAs detailed in the next section, this analysis assumes Tesla achieves profit margins twice as high as Toyota (TM) and quadruples its current auto manufacturing efficiency. In other words, I aim to provide inarguably best-case scenarios for assessing the expectations reflected in Tesla’s stock price.\nPer Figure 3, Tesla’s current valuation implies that, in 2030, it will sell the following number of vehicles based on these ASP benchmarks:\n\n16 million vehicles – current ASP of $51k\n21 million vehicles – ASP of $38k (average new car price in the U.S. in 2020)\n46 million vehicles – ASP of $17k (equal to General Motors over the TTM)\n\nIf Tesla achieves those EV sales, the implied market share for the company would be the following (assuming global passenger EV sales reach 25.8 million in 2030, the base case projection from the IEA):\n\n60% for 16 million vehicles\n80% for 21 million vehicles\n179% for 46 million vehicles\n\nIf I assume the IEA’s best case for global passenger EV sales in 2030, 46.8 million vehicles, the above vehicle sales represent:\n\n33% for 16 million vehicles\n44% for 21 million vehicles\n98% for 46 million vehicles\n\nFigure 3: Tesla’s Implied Vehicle Sales in 2030 to Justify Current Valuation\nThe Math Shows that Tesla Must be More Profitable Than Apple\nHere are the assumptions I use in my reverse discounted cash flow (DCF) model to calculate the implied production levels above.\nTo justify its current price of ~$1,200/share, Tesla must:\n\nimmediately achieve a 17.2% NOPAT margin (double Toyota’s margin, which is the highest of the large-scale automakers I cover), compared to Tesla’s TTM margin of 7.7%) and\ngrow revenue by 38% compounded annually for the next decade.\n\nIn this scenario, Tesla generates $783 billion in revenue in 2030, which is 102% of the combined revenues of Toyota, General Motors, Ford (F), Honda Motor Corp (HMC), and Stellantis (STLA) over the TTM.\nThis scenario also implies Tesla generates $135 billion in net operating profit after-tax (NOPAT) in 2030, or 45% higher than Apple’s (AAPL) TTM NOPAT, which, at $93 billion, is the highest of all companies my firm covers.\nTSLA Has 60%+ Downside If Morgan Stanley Is Right About Sales\nIf I assume Tesla reaches Morgan Stanley’s estimate of selling 8.1 million cars in 2030 (which implies a 31% share of the global passenger EV market in 2030), at an ASP of $38k, the stock is worth just $483/share. Details:\n\nNOPAT margin improves to 17.2% and\nrevenue grows 27% compounded annually over the next decade, then\n\nthe stock is worth just $483/share today – 60% downside to the current price. See the math behind this reverse DCF scenario. In this scenario, Tesla grows NOPAT to $60 billion, or nearly 17x its TTM NOPAT, and just 3% below Alphabet’s (GOOGL) TTM NOPAT.\nTSLA Has 88%+ Downside Even with 28% Market Share and Realistic Margins\nIf I estimate more reasonable (but still very optimistic) margins and market share achievements for Tesla, the stock is worth just $148/share. Here’s the math:\n\nNOPAT margin improves to 8.5% (equal to General Motors’ TTM margin, compared to Tesla’s TTM margin of 7.7%) and\nrevenue grows by consensus estimates from 2021-2023 and\nrevenue grows 18% a year from 2024-2030, then\n\nthe stock is worth just $148/share today – an 88% downside to the current price.\nIn this scenario, Tesla sells 7.2 million cars (at an ASP of 38k) and owns 28% of the global passenger EV market in 2030. If Tesla fails to meet these expectations, then the stock is worth less than $148/share.\nAlso, for this scenario, I assume a much more realistic NOPAT margin, 8.5%, for Tesla. Given the expansion required of the business, struggles to be profitable to date, and formidable competition, I think Tesla will be lucky to achieve and sustain a margin as high as 8.5% from 2021-2030.\nFigure 4 compares the firm’s historical NOPAT to the NOPAT implied by its current stock price, the 8.1 million vehicle sales scenario, and the 7.2 million vehicle sales scenario to illustrate just how high the expectations baked into Tesla’s stock price remain. For additional context, I show Toyota’s, General Motors’, and Apple’s TTM NOPAT.\nFigure 4: Tesla’s Historical and Implied NOPAT: DCF Valuation Scenarios\n\nEach of the above scenarios assumes Tesla’s invested capital grows 14% compounded annually through 2030. For reference, Tesla’s invested capital grew 53% compounded annually from 2010-2020 and 29% compounded annually from 2015-2020. Invested capital at the end of 3Q21 grew 21% YoY. Tesla’s property, plant, and equipment has grown even faster, at 58% compounded annually, since 2010.\nA 14% CAGR represents 1/4th the CAGR of Tesla’s property, plant, and equipment since 2010 and assumes the company can build future plants and produce cars 4x more efficiently than it has so far.\nIn other words, I aim to provide inarguably best-case scenarios for assessing the expectations for future market share and profits reflected in Tesla’s stock market valuation.\nWhy Tesla’s $1 Trillion Valuation Is Ridiculous\nNow that I’ve shown how high the expectations baked into Tesla’s valuation are, I’ll present some of the many challenges Tesla faces to meet those expectations.\nTesla Remains “Just” a Car Company, Despite Bulls’ Arguments Otherwise.One of the most common arguments bulls make to justify Tesla’s valuation is that the company is more than just a car company. Instead, the argument goes: Tesla is a software, tech, insurance, energy, transportation, “insert any other blank” company. However, the financials bear out a different picture and show the other businesses are more hype than substance. At this point, Tesla is a only car company and generates the entirety of its profits from vehicles.\nPer Figure 5, Tesla generated 88% of revenue from Automotive Sales in 3Q21, which is up from 87% in 3Q20, and above the quarterly average of 86% since 3Q19. For reference, automotive sales made up 87% and 93% of General Motors’ and Ford’s 3Q21 revenue respectively.\nFigure 5: Tesla’s Revenue Breakdown: 3Q19 – 3Q21\nTesla’s two other segments, Energy generation and storage and Services and other, which make up 12% of revenue in 3Q21, are unprofitable. Over the TTM, Tesla generated $10.8 billion in gross profit. $11.2 billion came from its Automotive segment while Energy generation and storage and Services and other racked up gross losses of $113 million and $263 million. Despite many claims and promises to the contrary over the years, Tesla doesn’t generate gross profit doing anything but selling cars.\nInsurance Business Is Not Material. Tesla bulls will also point to Tesla’s insurance business as another way to drive profit growth. I’ve previously covered how Tesla insurance does not have the competitive advantages that bulls ascribe to it and has a long way to go before it can get meaningfully off the ground.\nEven if Tesla’s insurance business gets off the ground, I would not expect it to make much money. For example, from 2004-2006, General Motors generated about $70 per car sold in GAAP net income from its insurance business. If I assume Tesla can generate the same level of business, Tesla insurance would result in just $57 million in GAAP net income based on TTM vehicles sold.\nBulls will counter that Tesla will be so much better at insurance than GM and that GM is not a good comp. There is no way to know for sure. Nevertheless, I concede that anything is possible, but the likelihood of Tesla’s insurance business being material profit producer is extremely low.\nRegardless of how successful Tesla insurance is, the potential profits from it are nowhere near enough to help to justify the expectations baked into Tesla’s stock price.\nProduction Capacity Growth Will Require Billions of $.Current and expected production capacities of all known Tesla factories equals ~2.7 million vehicles, or 12.9 million short of the 2030 production implied by its stock price. See Figure 6.\nIn other words, despite the new factories coming online, Tesla must spend billions and build many new manufacturing plants before it can approach the capacity needed to sell the number of cars implied by its valuation.\nGiven the many issues in ramping production in the past, investors should not assume Tesla can increase its production by 5x without any problems.\nFigure 6: Tesla’s Pending Production Shortfall\n*Projection based on InsideEVs estimate of 600,000 vehicles per year\n**Optimistic assumption based on Texas being Tesla’s biggest factory and possibly the largest factory in the United States\nIncumbents Must Fail for Tesla to Meet Growth Expectations.For many years now, incumbent automakers have spent billions of dollars building out their EV offerings. Automakers other than Tesla already account for 85% of global EV sales through the first half of 2021.\nThe global EV market is simply not big enough for Tesla to achieve the sales expectations in its valuation unless nearly all of the incumbents reverse course and completely fail to sell EVs.\nHere are the projections from the large incumbent automakers that have provided specific goals for future EV production.\n\nVolkswagen Group projects that 50% of its global sales will be fully electric by 2030\nStellantis projects 70% and 40% of its European and North American sales, respectively, will be fully electric by 2030\nFord projects that 40% of its sales will be fully electric by 2030.\nToyota projects that it will sell 2 million EVs by 2030\nHonda plans to sell only EVs in China by 2030\nBMW expects at least half its sales to be zero-emission vehicles by 2030\nDaimler, manufacturer of Mercedes Benz, expects half its sales to be “EV and hybrid by 2025”\nGeneral Motors is targeting EV sales of “more than 1 million” by 2025\nVolvo plans to sell only fully electric vehicles by 2030\nNissan projects 40% of U.S. sales to be EVs by 2030\n\nBased on these projections, I estimate how many EVs each company aims to produce[1] by 2030 and the market share implied by that production as a percentage of base-case global passenger EV sales in 2030.\n\nVolkswagen Group: 5.5 million, 21% market share\nStellantis: 3.6 million[2], 14% market share\nFord: 2.2 million, 9% market share\nToyota: 2 million, 8% market share\nHonda (in China): 1.5 million, 6% market share\nBMW: 1.3 million, 5% market share\nMercedes Benz: 1.2+ million, 5% market share\nGeneral Motors: 1+ million, 4% market share\nVolvo: 700,000, 3% market share\nNissan (in U.S.): 500,000, 2% market share\nTotal = 19+ million vehicles and 75% market share\n\nThese estimates do not include other incumbents and new entrants (e.g. Jaguar Land Rover, NIO Inc. [NIO], Rivian [RIVN], Ludic [LCID] and more) or other Chinese EV makers because I could not find specific projections for EV production. Nevertheless, I am confident that their combined market share will be more than zero.\nThe point is that the rest of the world is not planning to stand by, give up existing market share, and let Tesla own majority of the EV market. Many very experienced and successful automakers are spending many multiples of what Tesla is spending to compete in the EV market.\nThe bottom line is that it is hard to make a straight-faced argument that Tesla can achieve the sales implied by its valuation in a competitive market.\nIncumbents Can Afford to Spend More than Tesla.Incumbents already have infrastructure to produce and sell vehicles at scale, and they are spending billions of dollars to compete in the EV market. Ford, Volkswagen, General Motors, and Stellantis alone are planning to spend at least $280 billion through 2025 and produce over 12 million EVs by 2030.\nGiven the huge investments from multiple competitors, I expect the EV market will be extremely competitive, as manufacturers fight for profits and market share. The “winner take all” outcome implied by Tesla’s valuation is extremely unlikely. Perhaps, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi said it best, “the automotive industry is an increasingly global and hypercompetitive industry and I believe that surplus profits and technology innovation will likely be competed away over time, as has been the case historically.\" In such a market, Tesla cannot achieve the market share implied by its valuation.\nUnlike Tesla, the incumbents generate plenty of free cash flow (FCF) to fund their EV investments and don’t have to dilute existing shareholders to expand EV capacity as Tesla does. For instance, over the last five years, General Motors, Stellantis, and Ford generated a cumulative $12.4 billion, $7.1, and $6.1 billion in free cash flow while Tesla burned -$19.5 billion.\nFSD Continues to Overpromise And Underdeliver.Full-self driving (FSD) has been consistently plagued by issues that, unfortunately, have deadly consequences. Industry research provider Guidehouse Insights ranks Tesla last in its 2021 ranking of Automated Driver Systems (ADS), and states flatly, “Tesla needs a thorough rethink of its approach to developing ADS. It has overpromised with its marketing for nearly 5 years and severely underdelivered.”\nPer Figure 7, Tesla lags the competition by quite a large margin, as it’s the only company that falls into the \"Followers\" category.\nThe most recent problems with Tesla’s FSD version 10.3 forced the company to roll back the update as users reported false crash warnings and other problems with autosteer and cruise control. These issues resulted in Tesla recalling nearly 12,000 vehicles because “a communication error may cause a false forward-collision warning or unexpected activation of the emergency brakes,” according to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA).\nWhile the roll out of an updated 10.3.1 has restarted, Tesla’s haphazard approach to deploying FSD remains unsettling and led Guidehouse Insights to note, “Tesla’s approach to testing its system is fundamentally at odds with virtually every other company in this industry.”\nFigure 7: Tesla Ranks Last Amongst Automated Driver Systems\n\nAlphabet’s Waymo routinely ranks as the best automated driving system. Importantly, many of the firms ranked ahead of Tesla are focused solely on building automated driving systems and are not distracted by scaling up automobile production, delivery logistics, and the general day-to-day operations of producing cars. Even so, other direct competitors such as GM Super Cruise also get better scores from third-party organizations.\nIncreased Regulatory Risk.While Tesla has mysteriously avoided regulatory crackdown on its sales of FSD and practice of beta testing software on live drivers and roads, renewed requests from the NHTSA/National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) signal that Tesla might be held accountable for practices that many find highly misleading and dangerous to citizens.\nMissy Cummings, recently appointed as senior advisor for safety at the NHTSA, has expressed concerns about Tesla’s FSD in the past, tweeting as far back as 2019 that Tesla’s “autopilot easily cause mode confusion, is unreliable and unsafe” and that “NHTSA should require Tesla turn it off.”\nMore recently, Tesla requested “confidential business information treatment” on its responses to a litany of information requests the NHTSA made as part of its investigation into FSD. If approved, the public would likely never see Tesla’s responses to key questions pertaining to Tesla not issuing a recall for Autopilot after multiple accidents involving parked emergency vehicles, the selection criteria for Tesla’s FSD beta testing program, and the non-disclosure agreements Tesla was making drivers sign before they could use the beta system.\nThe NHTSA is not alone in criticizing Tesla and its FSD rollout. On October 26, 2021, the head of the U.S. NTSB, Jennifer Homendy, said that Tesla has not yet officially responded to the NTSB regarding its safety recommendations while calling the use of full self-driving ”misleading.” She stated, “my biggest concern is that Tesla is rolling out full self-driving technology in beta on city streets with untrained drivers and they have not addressed our recommendations that we’ve issued as a result of numerous investigations of Tesla crashes.”\nBattery Technologies Are Nothing Special.Tesla announced it will be switching to a lithium iron phosphate (LFP) battery in all standard range cars. These batteries are already being used in vehicles built in the Shanghai factory, and this switch is expected to bring down costs. The timing of this change comes as other battery producers, in partnership with incumbent auto manufacturers, are ramping up production, which should drive down battery costs for all EV makers. In other words, the competitive advantages of a cheaper battery may be short-lived, as incumbents build economies of scale in their own supply chain in the coming years.\nAdditionally, while the much heralded 4680 cylindrical battery, produced by Panasonic for Tesla, and nearly ready for production, should bring a higher energy density in a more efficient package, competitors’ offerings all aim to provide the same.\nGeneral Motor’s Ultium platform will enable up to 400-450 miles of range, and the firm is building a new battery research facility aimed at building batteries capable of 600 miles on a single charge. General Motors recently announced a joint venture with LG Chem to build a second U.S. battery cell plant, which is expected to have an annual capacity of 35 gigawatt hours, or slightly above the 30 gigawatt hour capacity of its first Lordstown battery plant. Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas noted that the “formation of Ultium/Ultium Cells LLC will prove to be a critical point of strategic differentiation that will ultimately drive value creation for [GM] shareholders.”\nFord’s Mustang Mach-E became the first electric SUV not made by Tesla to reach an EPA-rated range of up to 300 miles, and the company recently entered a partnership with SK Innovation to build three U.S.-based battery plants to power 1 million EVs annually.\nOn its own, LG Chem plans to expand its existing U.S. facilities and build two more plants that will produce both pouch cells used by General Motors, Ford, Jaguar, Audi, Porsche, and more, as well as the cylindrical cells used by Tesla.\nUltimately, the race for the “perfect” battery is less important than the race to procure battery supplies to build the number of EVs each manufacturer aims to produce in the coming years. The incumbents have proven they can maintain and win a race to procure supplies, and they’ve only been doing it for multiple decades now.\nNot All Supply Issues Can Be Coded Away.To its credit, Tesla managed the global chip shortage relatively well by re-writing software to allow the use of alternative chips. However, not all supply issues can be solved via software, as evidenced by the growing wait times for Tesla’s vehicles. As Electrek notes, Tesla recently updated its delivery timelines for new orders, and depending upon specs, some vehicles won’t be delivered until September 2022 if ordered today. New orders for the Model 3 Standard Range Plus, which is Tesla’s cheapest vehicle, are currently on pace to be delivered in May 2022, or seven months from now.\nWhile certainly not unique to Tesla, extended delivery/wait times give consumers ample time to comparison shop and possibly switch orders to a competitor’s EV that would be available sooner.\nDelivery delays aren’t exclusive to in-production vehicles, but Tesla’s future vehicles as well. The much-hyped Cybertruck has recently been delayed again, this time until at least 2023 (compared to an original late 2021 release), which ultimately gives competitors more time to establish a presence in the EV truck market. I recently outlined the many competitors in the EV truck market in my report on Rivian.\nPutting It All Together: Tesla Provides Poor Risk/Reward\nGiven the challenges ahead for Tesla, coupled with a valuation that implies it will take 60%+ of the global EV market share, I think it is clear: Tesla’s stock offers poor risk/reward.\nTesla has proven risky to short, but investors need not buy shares today at such an elevated price.\nIf you’re buying Tesla at its current valuation, you’re not only betting that it will be the only winner of the electrification of the global automotive fleet, but that it will somehow be twice as profitable as Toyota and achieve at least 60% market share. With anything less than total market domination, TSLA presents large downside risk.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608181423,"gmtCreate":1638665791563,"gmtModify":1638665791563,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Thinking]&nbsp;","listText":"[Thinking]&nbsp;","text":"[Thinking]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608181423","repostId":"1158981658","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158981658","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1638545456,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1158981658?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-03 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla's Musk over halfway through his pledge with nearly $11 bln stake sale","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158981658","media":"Reuters","summary":"Dec 3  - Tesla Inc Chief Executive Elon Musk has sold nearly $11 billion worth of shares since the world's richest person polled Twitter users about offloading 10% of his stake in the electric-car maker.He has sold a combined 10.1 million shares, which is over half of the stake that he had pledged to sell, and has acquired 10.7 million shares by exercising options, since Nov. 8.Musk said on Nov. 6 he would sell 10% of his stake if Twitter users agreed. He owned a combination of about 244 million","content":"<p>Dec 3 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc&nbsp;Chief Executive Elon Musk has sold nearly $11 billion worth of shares since the world's richest person polled Twitter users about offloading 10% of his stake in the electric-car maker.</p>\n<p>He has sold a combined 10.1 million shares, which is over half of the stake that he had pledged to sell, and has acquired 10.7 million shares by exercising options, since Nov. 8.</p>\n<p>Here is a string of transactions he has done:</p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td>DATE</td>\n   <td>SHARES ACQUIRED</td>\n   <td>SHARES SOLD</td>\n   <td>GROSS PROCEEDS</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 8</td>\n   <td>2.2 mln</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 8</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>934,091</td>\n   <td>$1.10 bln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 9</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>3.1 mln</td>\n   <td>$3.35 bln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 10</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>500,000</td>\n   <td>$527.3 mln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 11</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>639,737</td>\n   <td>$687.3 mln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 12</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>1.2 mln</td>\n   <td>$1.24 bln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 15</td>\n   <td>2.1 mln</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 15</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>934,091</td>\n   <td>$930.7 mln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 16</td>\n   <td>2.1 mln</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 16</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>934,091</td>\n   <td>$973.4 mln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 23</td>\n   <td>2.15 mln</td>\n   <td>934,091</td>\n   <td>$1.05 bln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>DEC. 2</td>\n   <td>2.1 mln</td>\n   <td>934,091</td>\n   <td>$1.01 bln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Total</td>\n   <td>10.7 mln</td>\n   <td>10.1 mln</td>\n   <td>$10.87 bln</td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><b>HOW DID MUSK SELL?</b></p>\n<p>Musk said on Nov. 6 he would sell 10% of his stake if Twitter users agreed. He owned a combination of about 244 million shares through his trust and stock options, bringing his stake in Tesla to about 23% as of June 30. It included 170 million shares held by his trust.</p>\n<p>The tweet was vague. Musk did not outline if he was intending to offload 10% of his shares he indirectly owned through the trust or if his stock options were also part of the deal.</p>\n<p>Following a flurry of options exercise, Musk still has an option to buy about 10 million more shares at $6.24 each, which expires in August next year.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla's Musk over halfway through his pledge with nearly $11 bln stake sale</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla's Musk over halfway through his pledge with nearly $11 bln stake sale\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-12-03 23:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Dec 3 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc&nbsp;Chief Executive Elon Musk has sold nearly $11 billion worth of shares since the world's richest person polled Twitter users about offloading 10% of his stake in the electric-car maker.</p>\n<p>He has sold a combined 10.1 million shares, which is over half of the stake that he had pledged to sell, and has acquired 10.7 million shares by exercising options, since Nov. 8.</p>\n<p>Here is a string of transactions he has done:</p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td>DATE</td>\n   <td>SHARES ACQUIRED</td>\n   <td>SHARES SOLD</td>\n   <td>GROSS PROCEEDS</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 8</td>\n   <td>2.2 mln</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 8</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>934,091</td>\n   <td>$1.10 bln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 9</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>3.1 mln</td>\n   <td>$3.35 bln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 10</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>500,000</td>\n   <td>$527.3 mln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 11</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>639,737</td>\n   <td>$687.3 mln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 12</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>1.2 mln</td>\n   <td>$1.24 bln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 15</td>\n   <td>2.1 mln</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 15</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>934,091</td>\n   <td>$930.7 mln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 16</td>\n   <td>2.1 mln</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 16</td>\n   <td></td>\n   <td>934,091</td>\n   <td>$973.4 mln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>NOV. 23</td>\n   <td>2.15 mln</td>\n   <td>934,091</td>\n   <td>$1.05 bln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>DEC. 2</td>\n   <td>2.1 mln</td>\n   <td>934,091</td>\n   <td>$1.01 bln</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Total</td>\n   <td>10.7 mln</td>\n   <td>10.1 mln</td>\n   <td>$10.87 bln</td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p><b>HOW DID MUSK SELL?</b></p>\n<p>Musk said on Nov. 6 he would sell 10% of his stake if Twitter users agreed. He owned a combination of about 244 million shares through his trust and stock options, bringing his stake in Tesla to about 23% as of June 30. It included 170 million shares held by his trust.</p>\n<p>The tweet was vague. Musk did not outline if he was intending to offload 10% of his shares he indirectly owned through the trust or if his stock options were also part of the deal.</p>\n<p>Following a flurry of options exercise, Musk still has an option to buy about 10 million more shares at $6.24 each, which expires in August next year.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158981658","content_text":"Dec 3 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc Chief Executive Elon Musk has sold nearly $11 billion worth of shares since the world's richest person polled Twitter users about offloading 10% of his stake in the electric-car maker.\nHe has sold a combined 10.1 million shares, which is over half of the stake that he had pledged to sell, and has acquired 10.7 million shares by exercising options, since Nov. 8.\nHere is a string of transactions he has done:\n\n\n\nDATE\nSHARES ACQUIRED\nSHARES SOLD\nGROSS PROCEEDS\n\n\nNOV. 8\n2.2 mln\n\n\n\n\nNOV. 8\n\n934,091\n$1.10 bln\n\n\nNOV. 9\n\n3.1 mln\n$3.35 bln\n\n\nNOV. 10\n\n500,000\n$527.3 mln\n\n\nNOV. 11\n\n639,737\n$687.3 mln\n\n\nNOV. 12\n\n1.2 mln\n$1.24 bln\n\n\nNOV. 15\n2.1 mln\n\n\n\n\nNOV. 15\n\n934,091\n$930.7 mln\n\n\nNOV. 16\n2.1 mln\n\n\n\n\nNOV. 16\n\n934,091\n$973.4 mln\n\n\nNOV. 23\n2.15 mln\n934,091\n$1.05 bln\n\n\nDEC. 2\n2.1 mln\n934,091\n$1.01 bln\n\n\nTotal\n10.7 mln\n10.1 mln\n$10.87 bln\n\n\n\nHOW DID MUSK SELL?\nMusk said on Nov. 6 he would sell 10% of his stake if Twitter users agreed. He owned a combination of about 244 million shares through his trust and stock options, bringing his stake in Tesla to about 23% as of June 30. It included 170 million shares held by his trust.\nThe tweet was vague. Musk did not outline if he was intending to offload 10% of his shares he indirectly owned through the trust or if his stock options were also part of the deal.\nFollowing a flurry of options exercise, Musk still has an option to buy about 10 million more shares at $6.24 each, which expires in August next year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":846,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":877883489,"gmtCreate":1637912682535,"gmtModify":1637912682535,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Facepalm]&nbsp;","listText":"[Facepalm]&nbsp;","text":"[Facepalm]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877883489","repostId":"1153168046","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153168046","pubTimestamp":1637907356,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1153168046?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-26 14:15","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Singapore stocks resume Friday afternoon down 1.4% amid new Covid-19 variant fears","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153168046","media":"businesstimes","summary":"SINGAPORE shares resumed trading battered on Friday (Nov 26) afternoon, asAsian markets tumbledamid ","content":"<div>\n<p>SINGAPORE shares resumed trading battered on Friday (Nov 26) afternoon, asAsian markets tumbledamid fears of a new Covid-19 variant spreading in South Africa.\nScientists have warned that the new B.1....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/stocks/singapore-stocks-resume-friday-afternoon-down-14-amid-new-covid-19-variant-fears\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1607307803821","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Singapore stocks resume Friday afternoon down 1.4% amid new Covid-19 variant fears</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSingapore stocks resume Friday afternoon down 1.4% amid new Covid-19 variant fears\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-26 14:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/stocks/singapore-stocks-resume-friday-afternoon-down-14-amid-new-covid-19-variant-fears><strong>businesstimes</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SINGAPORE shares resumed trading battered on Friday (Nov 26) afternoon, asAsian markets tumbledamid fears of a new Covid-19 variant spreading in South Africa.\nScientists have warned that the new B.1....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/stocks/singapore-stocks-resume-friday-afternoon-down-14-amid-new-covid-19-variant-fears\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/stocks/singapore-stocks-resume-friday-afternoon-down-14-amid-new-covid-19-variant-fears","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153168046","content_text":"SINGAPORE shares resumed trading battered on Friday (Nov 26) afternoon, asAsian markets tumbledamid fears of a new Covid-19 variant spreading in South Africa.\nScientists have warned that the new B.1.1.529 strain could be more infectious than Delta and more resistant to vaccines.\nThe Straits Times Index was down 1.4 per cent or 45.22 points to 3,176.30 as at 1.03 pm. Decliners outnumbered gainers 290 to 132, after 878.9 million securities worth S$704.2 million changed hands.\nGenting Singapore was among the most heavily traded counters by volume, slipping 3 per cent or S$0.025 to S$0.805, with 28.4 million shares changing hands. The operator of Resorts World Sentosa joined other travel and aviation-related stocks in a sea of red.\nNational carrier Singapore Airlines fell 2.3 per cent or S$0.12 to S$5.13, SATS was down 1.2 per cent or S$0.05 at S$4.02, while SIA Engineering dropped 1.7 per cent or S$0.04 to S$2.31.\nHospitality-related stapled groups also lost some ground in afternoon trading. CDL Hospitality Trusts was down 0.8 per cent or S$0.01 at S$1.19, while Frasers Hospitality Trust lost 1 per cent or S$0.005 to S$0.485.\nBanking stocks continued to falter after opening weaker in the morning. DBS was down 1.6 per cent or S$0.51 at S$31.60, UOB lost 1.9 per cent or S$0.51 to S$27.05, while OCBC declined 1.3 per cent or S$0.15 to S$11.59.\nOther active index counters include Thai Beverage, which dropped 2.1 per cent or S$0.015 to S$0.70, and Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, which slipped 3 per cent or S$0.04 to S$1.28.\nAsian markets and oil prices also sank on Friday, with Japan,Hong Kong,Malaysia,Australia and New Zealandin a sea of red. Tokyo dived more than 2 per cent, while Hong Kong, Sydney and Wellington were off by more than 1 per cent.\n\"All we know so far is the B.1.1.529 is heavily mutated but markets are taking no chances,\" said OANDA Asia-Pacific senior market analyst Jeffrey Halley, adding that with the Delta wave in mind from earlier this year, investors are likely to \"shoot first and ask questions later\" until more is known about it.\nHalley expects haven currencies to outperform, while emerging market FX and commodity or risk-sentiment currencies are likely to have a tough day at the office.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":348,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603138956,"gmtCreate":1638372119497,"gmtModify":1638372210370,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Bless]&nbsp;","listText":"[Bless]&nbsp;","text":"[Bless]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603138956","repostId":"1116584621","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116584621","pubTimestamp":1638366346,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116584621?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-01 21:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Shareholders Can Expect From Musk’s New Tesla Roadmap","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116584621","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Elon Musk tweeted early this week that he will be on Tesla’s next earnings call in January and provi","content":"<p>Elon Musk&nbsp;tweeted&nbsp;early this week that he will be on Tesla’s next earnings call in January and provide an “updated product roadmap.” He’ll also talk about this year’s “supply chain nightmare.”</p>\n<p>Musk sees everything that the company does — including building new factories in Austin, Texas, and near Berlin — as Tesla products. So while he will likely focus on vehicles on the horizon, I expect we’ll get an update on the progress of the factories, too. We could also hear&nbsp;about any number of other products, including&nbsp;Tesla Insurance; fans might even be able to get a&nbsp;$50 whistle&nbsp;shaped like the Cybertruck, assuming it’s ever back in stock.</p>\n<p>To review: Tesla currently makes the Model S, X, 3 and Y in Fremont, California, and the Model 3 and Y in Shanghai. Tesla also is building a new factory in Lathrop, California, for Megapack,&nbsp;its utility-scale battery product.</p>\n<p>Here’s a quick reminder of everything else that Tesla has unveiled and that customers and investors are eager for updates on.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35dc043d86f20335c3ce1e3d7ee1e5f9\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"599\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Elon Musk presents the Tesla Cybertruck.</span></p>\n<p><b>CYBERTRUCK</b></p>\n<p>Musk unveiled the Cybertruck two years ago, in November 2019. Of all the vehicles on Tesla’s plate, the Cybertruck is the one that has generated the most interest. The idea is to make it in Austin, Texas, after the Model Y. Tesla’s website, which still takes fully refundable $100 deposits for the Cybertruck, says “you will be able to complete your configuration as production nears in 2022.” I would not be surprised if this timeline slips further.</p>\n<p><b>SEMI</b></p>\n<p>Musk unveiled the Semi truck four years ago, in November 2017. Musk has suggested the Semi is on hold until Tesla can make or source a new type of battery cell in high volume. The new, larger 4680 battery cells were one of the big highlights of Tesla’s “Battery Day” last year. Tesla is making the 4680s on a pilot line in Fremont, but also plans to procure them from long-time supplier Panasonic. In its third quarter earnings release, Tesla said that “the 4680 in-house cell project continues to progress. We are producing an increasing number of battery packs for testing purposes, and so far, the test results meet our current expectations.” That sounds promising, but volume production remains a work in progress.</p>\n<p><b>ROADSTER</b></p>\n<p>The big reveal at the Semi event in November 2017 was chief designer Franz von Holzhausen driving the next-generation Roadster out of the back of the Semi. We haven’t heard about this vehicle in a while; Tesla’s most recent shareholder deck says it is still in development.</p>\n<p><b>FUTURE PRODUCT</b></p>\n<p>In his&nbsp;Master Plan, Part Deux, Musk said Tesla’s line up would “cover the major forms of terrestrial transport.” Most expect a cheaper, $25,000 car made in China. But what else?&nbsp;A bus? Minivan? Has&nbsp;Tesla ever considered an electric bike? Tesla’s 3Q&nbsp;investor deck&nbsp;(see page 7) lists a “Future Product” in development.</p>\n<p>There also are the Tesla Energy products, including the Solar Roof and Powerwall for homeowners.</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Shareholders Can Expect From Musk’s New Tesla Roadmap</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Shareholders Can Expect From Musk’s New Tesla Roadmap\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-01 21:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-12-01/what-shareholders-can-expect-from-musk-s-new-tesla-roadmap><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Elon Musk tweeted early this week that he will be on Tesla’s next earnings call in January and provide an “updated product roadmap.” He’ll also talk about this year’s “supply chain nightmare.”\nMusk ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-12-01/what-shareholders-can-expect-from-musk-s-new-tesla-roadmap\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-12-01/what-shareholders-can-expect-from-musk-s-new-tesla-roadmap","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116584621","content_text":"Elon Musk tweeted early this week that he will be on Tesla’s next earnings call in January and provide an “updated product roadmap.” He’ll also talk about this year’s “supply chain nightmare.”\nMusk sees everything that the company does — including building new factories in Austin, Texas, and near Berlin — as Tesla products. So while he will likely focus on vehicles on the horizon, I expect we’ll get an update on the progress of the factories, too. We could also hear about any number of other products, including Tesla Insurance; fans might even be able to get a $50 whistle shaped like the Cybertruck, assuming it’s ever back in stock.\nTo review: Tesla currently makes the Model S, X, 3 and Y in Fremont, California, and the Model 3 and Y in Shanghai. Tesla also is building a new factory in Lathrop, California, for Megapack, its utility-scale battery product.\nHere’s a quick reminder of everything else that Tesla has unveiled and that customers and investors are eager for updates on.\nElon Musk presents the Tesla Cybertruck.\nCYBERTRUCK\nMusk unveiled the Cybertruck two years ago, in November 2019. Of all the vehicles on Tesla’s plate, the Cybertruck is the one that has generated the most interest. The idea is to make it in Austin, Texas, after the Model Y. Tesla’s website, which still takes fully refundable $100 deposits for the Cybertruck, says “you will be able to complete your configuration as production nears in 2022.” I would not be surprised if this timeline slips further.\nSEMI\nMusk unveiled the Semi truck four years ago, in November 2017. Musk has suggested the Semi is on hold until Tesla can make or source a new type of battery cell in high volume. The new, larger 4680 battery cells were one of the big highlights of Tesla’s “Battery Day” last year. Tesla is making the 4680s on a pilot line in Fremont, but also plans to procure them from long-time supplier Panasonic. In its third quarter earnings release, Tesla said that “the 4680 in-house cell project continues to progress. We are producing an increasing number of battery packs for testing purposes, and so far, the test results meet our current expectations.” That sounds promising, but volume production remains a work in progress.\nROADSTER\nThe big reveal at the Semi event in November 2017 was chief designer Franz von Holzhausen driving the next-generation Roadster out of the back of the Semi. We haven’t heard about this vehicle in a while; Tesla’s most recent shareholder deck says it is still in development.\nFUTURE PRODUCT\nIn his Master Plan, Part Deux, Musk said Tesla’s line up would “cover the major forms of terrestrial transport.” Most expect a cheaper, $25,000 car made in China. But what else? A bus? Minivan? Has Tesla ever considered an electric bike? Tesla’s 3Q investor deck (see page 7) lists a “Future Product” in development.\nThere also are the Tesla Energy products, including the Solar Roof and Powerwall for homeowners.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":565,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":875526929,"gmtCreate":1637671798504,"gmtModify":1637671798645,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/875526929","repostId":"1165466420","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165466420","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1637668030,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1165466420?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-23 19:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla shares gained in premarket trading as the company had a backlog of over 1.2 million Cybertruck reservations worth over $80 billion","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165466420","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla shares gained in premarket trading as the company had a backlog of over 1.2 million Cybertruck reservations worth over $80 billion.Based on the latest tally, Tesla has a backlog of over 1.2 million Cybertruck reservations worth over $80 billion.But there’s still no production in sight.Tesla unveiled the Cybertruck almost two years ago to the day.The electric pickup truck was supposed to be in production already, but the automaker delayed the program as it focused on growing Model Y product","content":"<p>Tesla&nbsp;shares&nbsp;gained&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading&nbsp;as&nbsp;the&nbsp;company&nbsp;had a backlog of over 1.2 million Cybertruck reservations worth over $80 billion.&nbsp;</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e7342df0ead872b935b3a529400724e\" tg-width=\"879\" tg-height=\"642\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Based on the latest tally, Tesla has a backlog of over 1.2 million Cybertruck reservations worth over $80 billion.</p>\n<p>But there’s still no production in sight.</p>\n<p>Tesla unveiled the Cybertruck almost two years ago to the day.</p>\n<p>The electric pickup truck was supposed to be in production already, but the automaker delayed the program as it focused on growing Model Y production.</p>\n<p>Tesla’s best estimate now puts the start of Cybertruck production in late 2022.</p>\n<p>In the meantime, Tesla is still taking reservations for the electric pickup truck.</p>\n<p>The Cybertruck reservation program has been quite successful.</p>\n<p>CEO Elon Musk announced that&nbsp;Tesla received over 250,000 reservations for the Cybertruck&nbsp;within a week of unveiling the vehicle.</p>\n<p>Generally, Tesla receives a lot of reservations early after an unveiling, and then it tapers off — but that wasn’t the case with the Cybertruck.</p>\n<p>Even throughout the pandemic, sources told us that some&nbsp;Tesla stores were getting hundreds of Cybertruck reservations per week, and&nbsp;Cybertruck pre-orders even helped boost sales.</p>\n<p>The number was last updated in June 2020, and at that point,&nbsp;the number had risen to over 650,000 Cybertruck reservations.</p>\n<p>A crowdsourced Cybertruck reservation tally&nbsp;by the Cybertruck forum with over 28,000 entries put&nbsp;reservations at over 1 million&nbsp;back in May 2021.</p>\n<p>Now the tally estimates that Tesla has over 1,270,000 reservations for the electric pickup truck.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla shares gained in premarket trading as the company had a backlog of over 1.2 million Cybertruck reservations worth over $80 billion</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla shares gained in premarket trading as the company had a backlog of over 1.2 million Cybertruck reservations worth over $80 billion\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-11-23 19:47</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla&nbsp;shares&nbsp;gained&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading&nbsp;as&nbsp;the&nbsp;company&nbsp;had a backlog of over 1.2 million Cybertruck reservations worth over $80 billion.&nbsp;</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e7342df0ead872b935b3a529400724e\" tg-width=\"879\" tg-height=\"642\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Based on the latest tally, Tesla has a backlog of over 1.2 million Cybertruck reservations worth over $80 billion.</p>\n<p>But there’s still no production in sight.</p>\n<p>Tesla unveiled the Cybertruck almost two years ago to the day.</p>\n<p>The electric pickup truck was supposed to be in production already, but the automaker delayed the program as it focused on growing Model Y production.</p>\n<p>Tesla’s best estimate now puts the start of Cybertruck production in late 2022.</p>\n<p>In the meantime, Tesla is still taking reservations for the electric pickup truck.</p>\n<p>The Cybertruck reservation program has been quite successful.</p>\n<p>CEO Elon Musk announced that&nbsp;Tesla received over 250,000 reservations for the Cybertruck&nbsp;within a week of unveiling the vehicle.</p>\n<p>Generally, Tesla receives a lot of reservations early after an unveiling, and then it tapers off — but that wasn’t the case with the Cybertruck.</p>\n<p>Even throughout the pandemic, sources told us that some&nbsp;Tesla stores were getting hundreds of Cybertruck reservations per week, and&nbsp;Cybertruck pre-orders even helped boost sales.</p>\n<p>The number was last updated in June 2020, and at that point,&nbsp;the number had risen to over 650,000 Cybertruck reservations.</p>\n<p>A crowdsourced Cybertruck reservation tally&nbsp;by the Cybertruck forum with over 28,000 entries put&nbsp;reservations at over 1 million&nbsp;back in May 2021.</p>\n<p>Now the tally estimates that Tesla has over 1,270,000 reservations for the electric pickup truck.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165466420","content_text":"Tesla shares gained in premarket trading as the company had a backlog of over 1.2 million Cybertruck reservations worth over $80 billion. \n\nBased on the latest tally, Tesla has a backlog of over 1.2 million Cybertruck reservations worth over $80 billion.\nBut there’s still no production in sight.\nTesla unveiled the Cybertruck almost two years ago to the day.\nThe electric pickup truck was supposed to be in production already, but the automaker delayed the program as it focused on growing Model Y production.\nTesla’s best estimate now puts the start of Cybertruck production in late 2022.\nIn the meantime, Tesla is still taking reservations for the electric pickup truck.\nThe Cybertruck reservation program has been quite successful.\nCEO Elon Musk announced that Tesla received over 250,000 reservations for the Cybertruck within a week of unveiling the vehicle.\nGenerally, Tesla receives a lot of reservations early after an unveiling, and then it tapers off — but that wasn’t the case with the Cybertruck.\nEven throughout the pandemic, sources told us that some Tesla stores were getting hundreds of Cybertruck reservations per week, and Cybertruck pre-orders even helped boost sales.\nThe number was last updated in June 2020, and at that point, the number had risen to over 650,000 Cybertruck reservations.\nA crowdsourced Cybertruck reservation tally by the Cybertruck forum with over 28,000 entries put reservations at over 1 million back in May 2021.\nNow the tally estimates that Tesla has over 1,270,000 reservations for the electric pickup truck.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":648,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873446528,"gmtCreate":1636981628692,"gmtModify":1636981628838,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[OMG]&nbsp;","listText":"[OMG]&nbsp;","text":"[OMG]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873446528","repostId":"1172705595","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1172705595","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1636967300,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1172705595?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-15 17:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla slid over 2% in premarket trading as Musk sold $6.9 billion in stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1172705595","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla slid over 2% in premarket trading as Musk sold $6.9 billion in stocks.According to the SEC doc","content":"<p>Tesla slid over 2% in premarket trading as&nbsp;Musk&nbsp;sold&nbsp;$6.9 billion in stocks.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a221e68493f92069795f4cb1ba56aa5\" tg-width=\"765\" tg-height=\"566\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">According to the SEC documents,Tesla&nbsp;CEO Musk sold 1.2 million Tesla Motors shares held by his trust fund on November 12, worth more than $1.2 billion.</p>\n<p>According to media statistics, up to now, Musk has sold about 6.36 million Tesla Motors shares in the week since November 8, with a total value of nearly 6.9 billion US dollars (equivalent to about 44 billion yuan), and Tesla Motors's share price has also dropped by more than 15% in three days.</p>\n<p>Just before selling Tesla Motors shares, on November 6, Musk was in&nbsp;Twitter&nbsp;To ask 62.7 million fans whether they should sell 10% of Tesla Motors shares (worth $21 billion). He also said that regardless of the outcome, he would \"abide by the voting results\". The final vote showed that about 58% of the participants supported the sale.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla slid over 2% in premarket trading as Musk sold $6.9 billion in stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla slid over 2% in premarket trading as Musk sold $6.9 billion in stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-11-15 17:08</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla slid over 2% in premarket trading as&nbsp;Musk&nbsp;sold&nbsp;$6.9 billion in stocks.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a221e68493f92069795f4cb1ba56aa5\" tg-width=\"765\" tg-height=\"566\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">According to the SEC documents,Tesla&nbsp;CEO Musk sold 1.2 million Tesla Motors shares held by his trust fund on November 12, worth more than $1.2 billion.</p>\n<p>According to media statistics, up to now, Musk has sold about 6.36 million Tesla Motors shares in the week since November 8, with a total value of nearly 6.9 billion US dollars (equivalent to about 44 billion yuan), and Tesla Motors's share price has also dropped by more than 15% in three days.</p>\n<p>Just before selling Tesla Motors shares, on November 6, Musk was in&nbsp;Twitter&nbsp;To ask 62.7 million fans whether they should sell 10% of Tesla Motors shares (worth $21 billion). He also said that regardless of the outcome, he would \"abide by the voting results\". The final vote showed that about 58% of the participants supported the sale.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1172705595","content_text":"Tesla slid over 2% in premarket trading as Musk sold $6.9 billion in stocks.According to the SEC documents,Tesla CEO Musk sold 1.2 million Tesla Motors shares held by his trust fund on November 12, worth more than $1.2 billion.\nAccording to media statistics, up to now, Musk has sold about 6.36 million Tesla Motors shares in the week since November 8, with a total value of nearly 6.9 billion US dollars (equivalent to about 44 billion yuan), and Tesla Motors's share price has also dropped by more than 15% in three days.\nJust before selling Tesla Motors shares, on November 6, Musk was in Twitter To ask 62.7 million fans whether they should sell 10% of Tesla Motors shares (worth $21 billion). He also said that regardless of the outcome, he would \"abide by the voting results\". The final vote showed that about 58% of the participants supported the sale.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":677,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":870516957,"gmtCreate":1636632846294,"gmtModify":1636632846384,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870516957","repostId":"1198342851","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":366,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844070536,"gmtCreate":1636380632161,"gmtModify":1636380632248,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844070536","repostId":"1131917085","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":288,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840023327,"gmtCreate":1635570227981,"gmtModify":1635570227981,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840023327","repostId":"2179241322","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2179241322","pubTimestamp":1635561980,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2179241322?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-30 10:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Tesla Stock Jumped This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2179241322","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Investors loved the electric-car maker's big third quarter and Hertz's move to order 100,000 Tesla vehicles.","content":"<h2>What happened</h2>\n<p>Shares of <b>Tesla</b> (NASDAQ:TSLA) surged higher this week, rising as much as 20.9%, according to data from S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence. As of this writing on Friday morning, the stock is up a total of 20% this week.</p>\n<p>The growth stock's gain was fueled by the continued momentum of its shares since the company reported strong third-quarter earnings earlier this month, a big order of Tesla vehicles from <b>Hertz</b>,&nbsp;and a number of analyst upgrades for the electric-car maker's stock.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F649348%2Fwhy-tesla-stock-is-rising.jpg&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Tesla's factory in California. Image source: The Motley Fool.</p>\n<h2>So what</h2>\n<p>Capturing the stock's momentum for the full month, Tesla shares are up more than 40% since the beginning of October. Much of this gain has come since the company reported third-quarter revenue and earnings per share that exceeded analyst expectations on Oct. 20.</p>\n<p>Adding to the stock's momentum, Hertz announced it would order 100,000 Tesla vehicles by the end of next year. A few days after this announcement, <b>Uber</b> said it would use 50,000 of those vehicles as rentals for its drivers beginning Monday.</p>\n<p>Analysts have been cheering the company's performance, with many of them increasing their 12-month price targets for the stock. Perhaps the most bullish call for Tesla shares came on Wednesday afternoon, when <b>Piper Sandler</b> analyst Alexander Potter said competition appears to be failing to curb Tesla's dominance. He gave shares a 12-month price target of $1,300.</p>\n<h2>Now what</h2>\n<p>This has been a huge year for Tesla as the company's revenue has soared and its operating margin has expanded significantly. Its third-quarter revenue increased 57% year over year, and operating margin was 14.6% -- up 534 basis points year over year. This helped net income increase 389% year over year to $1.6 billion.</p>\n<p>Looking ahead, Tesla is confident that its long-term profitability will improve further. \"We expect our operating margin will continue to grow over time,\" management explained in Tesla's third-quarter shareholder letter, \"continuing to reach industry-leading levels with capacity expansion and localization plans underway.\"</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Tesla Stock Jumped This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Tesla Stock Jumped This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-30 10:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/29/why-tesla-stock-jumped-this-week/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>What happened\nShares of Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) surged higher this week, rising as much as 20.9%, according to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence. As of this writing on Friday morning, the stock is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/29/why-tesla-stock-jumped-this-week/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/29/why-tesla-stock-jumped-this-week/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2179241322","content_text":"What happened\nShares of Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) surged higher this week, rising as much as 20.9%, according to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence. As of this writing on Friday morning, the stock is up a total of 20% this week.\nThe growth stock's gain was fueled by the continued momentum of its shares since the company reported strong third-quarter earnings earlier this month, a big order of Tesla vehicles from Hertz, and a number of analyst upgrades for the electric-car maker's stock.\n\nTesla's factory in California. Image source: The Motley Fool.\nSo what\nCapturing the stock's momentum for the full month, Tesla shares are up more than 40% since the beginning of October. Much of this gain has come since the company reported third-quarter revenue and earnings per share that exceeded analyst expectations on Oct. 20.\nAdding to the stock's momentum, Hertz announced it would order 100,000 Tesla vehicles by the end of next year. A few days after this announcement, Uber said it would use 50,000 of those vehicles as rentals for its drivers beginning Monday.\nAnalysts have been cheering the company's performance, with many of them increasing their 12-month price targets for the stock. Perhaps the most bullish call for Tesla shares came on Wednesday afternoon, when Piper Sandler analyst Alexander Potter said competition appears to be failing to curb Tesla's dominance. He gave shares a 12-month price target of $1,300.\nNow what\nThis has been a huge year for Tesla as the company's revenue has soared and its operating margin has expanded significantly. Its third-quarter revenue increased 57% year over year, and operating margin was 14.6% -- up 534 basis points year over year. This helped net income increase 389% year over year to $1.6 billion.\nLooking ahead, Tesla is confident that its long-term profitability will improve further. \"We expect our operating margin will continue to grow over time,\" management explained in Tesla's third-quarter shareholder letter, \"continuing to reach industry-leading levels with capacity expansion and localization plans underway.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":363,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":854245059,"gmtCreate":1635465371734,"gmtModify":1635465371807,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Facepalm]&nbsp;","listText":"[Facepalm]&nbsp;","text":"[Facepalm]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/854245059","repostId":"1197599551","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1197599551","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1635461289,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1197599551?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-29 06:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon badly misses on earnings and revenue, gives disappointing guidance","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197599551","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Amazon shares dropped more than 4% in extended trading on Thursday after the company reported weaker","content":"<p>Amazon&nbsp;shares dropped more than 4% in extended trading on Thursday after the company&nbsp;reported&nbsp;weaker-than-expected results for the third quarter and delivered disappointing guidance for the critical holiday period.</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Earnings:</b>$6.12 vs $8.92 per share expected, according to analysts surveyed by Refinitiv</li>\n <li><b>Revenue:</b>$110.81 billion vs $111.6 billion expected, according to analysts surveyed by Refinitiv</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33b2c00e116cbf6cb68edeaf56f48177\" tg-width=\"847\" tg-height=\"621\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Amazon&nbsp;is reckoning with decelerating sales growth as consumers go back to physical stores and the company faces supply chain challenges. Revenue in the third quarter rose 15%, down from 37% growth in the same period a year ago.</p>\n<p>For the fourth quarter, Amazon forecast sales between $130 billion and $140 billion, representing growth between 4% and 12%. Analysts surveyed by FactSet were expecting revenue to rise 13.2% year-over-year to $142.1 billion.</p>\n<p>Amazon.com Inc&nbsp;on Thursday reported a slump in profit that it expects will continue through the holiday quarter, as higher wages and spending to attract workers diminish the company's windfall from online shopping.</p>\n<p>After a year of blockbuster results, the world's largest online retailer is facing a tougher outlook. In a tight labor market, it has boosted average U.S. warehouse pay to $18 per hour and marketed ever bigger signing bonuses to attract blue-collar staff it needs to keep its high-turnover operation humming.</p>\n<p>The company meanwhile is contending with global supply chain disruptions. It has doubled its container processing ability, expanded its delivery service partner program and has ramped up its warehouse investments - all at a noteworthy cost.</p>\n<p>The company said it expects operating profit for the current quarter to be between $0 and $3.0 billion, short of $6.9 billion Amazon posted the year prior. In the just-ended third quarter, net income fell by about 50% to $3.16 billion, a first since the start of the coronavirus pandemic in the United States.</p>\n<p>Andy Jassy, who took the helm of Amazon as CEO in July, said in a statement the company would incur several billion dollars of extra expenses in its consumer business to deal with higher shipping costs, increased wages and labor shortages.</p>\n<p>Amazon is \"doing whatever it takes to minimize the impact on customers and selling partners this holiday season,\" he said. \"It'll be expensive for us in the short term, but it's the right prioritization for our customers and partners.\"</p>\n<p>The retailer has strived to prevent a repeat of the 2013 season when delays left some without presents on Christmas Day.</p>\n<p>Retailers are facing supply constraints on everything from toys and Nike sneakers to laptops, making it difficult for them to stock their shelves.</p>\n<p>Supply chain woes are also costing Apple Inc&nbsp;- $6 billion in sales during the company's fiscal fourth quarter according to results released on Thursday. Apple Chief Executive Tim Cook said that the impact will be even worse during the holiday sales quarter.</p>\n<p>Some analysts like Nicholas Hyett of Hargreaves Lansdown gave Amazon a pass, recognizing the company's track record of high spending to deliver for customers has paid off in the long run.</p>\n<p>\"Amazon has never been overly focused on the bottom line,\" Hyett said. \"That willingness to invest in what the group hopes will be long term success at the expense of short term profits is on display again in these results.\"</p>\n<p><b>LABOR SHORTAGE</b></p>\n<p>Guru Hariharan, a former Amazon manager who is now CEO of CommerceIQ, said out-of-stocks were at an all time high for the company.</p>\n<p>\"The online marketplace will need to continue to address fill rates to meet demand before the holiday shopping season,\" he said.</p>\n<p>Amazon CFO Brian Olsavsky said on a call with reporters that the labor shortage had been a challenge, leading to inconsistent staffing levels. Workers, not physical space, became its primary capacity constraint in the third quarter, he said.</p>\n<p>And that has had a ripple effect.</p>\n<p>\"Inventory placement is frequently redirected to fulfillment centers that have labor to receive this product, which results in less optimal placement, which leads to longer and more expensive transportation routes,\" he said.</p>\n<p>Amazon faced an extra $2 billion in costs from labor, inflation and operational disruptions, an amount that is supposed to rise to $4 billion in the current period, Olsavsky said.</p>\n<p>Staff are pushing for more, too. Around 2,000 workers in New York City petitioned this week for a vote on whether to make their warehouse the company's first unionized facility in the United States.</p>\n<p>To juice sales, the company began encouraging customers to shop holiday deals as early as Oct. 4 this year. Still, consumers have begun returning to pre-pandemic shopping levels, spending more on travel and services, Olsavsky said.</p>\n<p>The company forecast fourth-quarter sales to be between $130 billion and $140 billion. Analysts were expecting $142.05 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv. It missed expectations for third-quarter sales as well, witnessing its slowest growth since the COVID-19 outbreak.</p>\n<p>Amazon's cloud computing division was a bright spot. Olsavsky said revenue growth re-accelerated for that business, and the company beat analysts' expectations with net sales of $16.1 billion in the quarter. Amazon Web Services has seen sales rise with demand for gaming and remote work during the pandemic.</p>\n<p>Total net sales rose to $110.81 billion in the third quarter ended Sept. 30, from $96.15 billion, a year earlier.</p>\n<p>Analysts had predicted $111.60 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon badly misses on earnings and revenue, gives disappointing guidance</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon badly misses on earnings and revenue, gives disappointing guidance\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-10-29 06:48</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Amazon&nbsp;shares dropped more than 4% in extended trading on Thursday after the company&nbsp;reported&nbsp;weaker-than-expected results for the third quarter and delivered disappointing guidance for the critical holiday period.</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Earnings:</b>$6.12 vs $8.92 per share expected, according to analysts surveyed by Refinitiv</li>\n <li><b>Revenue:</b>$110.81 billion vs $111.6 billion expected, according to analysts surveyed by Refinitiv</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33b2c00e116cbf6cb68edeaf56f48177\" tg-width=\"847\" tg-height=\"621\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Amazon&nbsp;is reckoning with decelerating sales growth as consumers go back to physical stores and the company faces supply chain challenges. Revenue in the third quarter rose 15%, down from 37% growth in the same period a year ago.</p>\n<p>For the fourth quarter, Amazon forecast sales between $130 billion and $140 billion, representing growth between 4% and 12%. Analysts surveyed by FactSet were expecting revenue to rise 13.2% year-over-year to $142.1 billion.</p>\n<p>Amazon.com Inc&nbsp;on Thursday reported a slump in profit that it expects will continue through the holiday quarter, as higher wages and spending to attract workers diminish the company's windfall from online shopping.</p>\n<p>After a year of blockbuster results, the world's largest online retailer is facing a tougher outlook. In a tight labor market, it has boosted average U.S. warehouse pay to $18 per hour and marketed ever bigger signing bonuses to attract blue-collar staff it needs to keep its high-turnover operation humming.</p>\n<p>The company meanwhile is contending with global supply chain disruptions. It has doubled its container processing ability, expanded its delivery service partner program and has ramped up its warehouse investments - all at a noteworthy cost.</p>\n<p>The company said it expects operating profit for the current quarter to be between $0 and $3.0 billion, short of $6.9 billion Amazon posted the year prior. In the just-ended third quarter, net income fell by about 50% to $3.16 billion, a first since the start of the coronavirus pandemic in the United States.</p>\n<p>Andy Jassy, who took the helm of Amazon as CEO in July, said in a statement the company would incur several billion dollars of extra expenses in its consumer business to deal with higher shipping costs, increased wages and labor shortages.</p>\n<p>Amazon is \"doing whatever it takes to minimize the impact on customers and selling partners this holiday season,\" he said. \"It'll be expensive for us in the short term, but it's the right prioritization for our customers and partners.\"</p>\n<p>The retailer has strived to prevent a repeat of the 2013 season when delays left some without presents on Christmas Day.</p>\n<p>Retailers are facing supply constraints on everything from toys and Nike sneakers to laptops, making it difficult for them to stock their shelves.</p>\n<p>Supply chain woes are also costing Apple Inc&nbsp;- $6 billion in sales during the company's fiscal fourth quarter according to results released on Thursday. Apple Chief Executive Tim Cook said that the impact will be even worse during the holiday sales quarter.</p>\n<p>Some analysts like Nicholas Hyett of Hargreaves Lansdown gave Amazon a pass, recognizing the company's track record of high spending to deliver for customers has paid off in the long run.</p>\n<p>\"Amazon has never been overly focused on the bottom line,\" Hyett said. \"That willingness to invest in what the group hopes will be long term success at the expense of short term profits is on display again in these results.\"</p>\n<p><b>LABOR SHORTAGE</b></p>\n<p>Guru Hariharan, a former Amazon manager who is now CEO of CommerceIQ, said out-of-stocks were at an all time high for the company.</p>\n<p>\"The online marketplace will need to continue to address fill rates to meet demand before the holiday shopping season,\" he said.</p>\n<p>Amazon CFO Brian Olsavsky said on a call with reporters that the labor shortage had been a challenge, leading to inconsistent staffing levels. Workers, not physical space, became its primary capacity constraint in the third quarter, he said.</p>\n<p>And that has had a ripple effect.</p>\n<p>\"Inventory placement is frequently redirected to fulfillment centers that have labor to receive this product, which results in less optimal placement, which leads to longer and more expensive transportation routes,\" he said.</p>\n<p>Amazon faced an extra $2 billion in costs from labor, inflation and operational disruptions, an amount that is supposed to rise to $4 billion in the current period, Olsavsky said.</p>\n<p>Staff are pushing for more, too. Around 2,000 workers in New York City petitioned this week for a vote on whether to make their warehouse the company's first unionized facility in the United States.</p>\n<p>To juice sales, the company began encouraging customers to shop holiday deals as early as Oct. 4 this year. Still, consumers have begun returning to pre-pandemic shopping levels, spending more on travel and services, Olsavsky said.</p>\n<p>The company forecast fourth-quarter sales to be between $130 billion and $140 billion. Analysts were expecting $142.05 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv. It missed expectations for third-quarter sales as well, witnessing its slowest growth since the COVID-19 outbreak.</p>\n<p>Amazon's cloud computing division was a bright spot. Olsavsky said revenue growth re-accelerated for that business, and the company beat analysts' expectations with net sales of $16.1 billion in the quarter. Amazon Web Services has seen sales rise with demand for gaming and remote work during the pandemic.</p>\n<p>Total net sales rose to $110.81 billion in the third quarter ended Sept. 30, from $96.15 billion, a year earlier.</p>\n<p>Analysts had predicted $111.60 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197599551","content_text":"Amazon shares dropped more than 4% in extended trading on Thursday after the company reported weaker-than-expected results for the third quarter and delivered disappointing guidance for the critical holiday period.\n\nEarnings:$6.12 vs $8.92 per share expected, according to analysts surveyed by Refinitiv\nRevenue:$110.81 billion vs $111.6 billion expected, according to analysts surveyed by Refinitiv\n\n\nAmazon is reckoning with decelerating sales growth as consumers go back to physical stores and the company faces supply chain challenges. Revenue in the third quarter rose 15%, down from 37% growth in the same period a year ago.\nFor the fourth quarter, Amazon forecast sales between $130 billion and $140 billion, representing growth between 4% and 12%. Analysts surveyed by FactSet were expecting revenue to rise 13.2% year-over-year to $142.1 billion.\nAmazon.com Inc on Thursday reported a slump in profit that it expects will continue through the holiday quarter, as higher wages and spending to attract workers diminish the company's windfall from online shopping.\nAfter a year of blockbuster results, the world's largest online retailer is facing a tougher outlook. In a tight labor market, it has boosted average U.S. warehouse pay to $18 per hour and marketed ever bigger signing bonuses to attract blue-collar staff it needs to keep its high-turnover operation humming.\nThe company meanwhile is contending with global supply chain disruptions. It has doubled its container processing ability, expanded its delivery service partner program and has ramped up its warehouse investments - all at a noteworthy cost.\nThe company said it expects operating profit for the current quarter to be between $0 and $3.0 billion, short of $6.9 billion Amazon posted the year prior. In the just-ended third quarter, net income fell by about 50% to $3.16 billion, a first since the start of the coronavirus pandemic in the United States.\nAndy Jassy, who took the helm of Amazon as CEO in July, said in a statement the company would incur several billion dollars of extra expenses in its consumer business to deal with higher shipping costs, increased wages and labor shortages.\nAmazon is \"doing whatever it takes to minimize the impact on customers and selling partners this holiday season,\" he said. \"It'll be expensive for us in the short term, but it's the right prioritization for our customers and partners.\"\nThe retailer has strived to prevent a repeat of the 2013 season when delays left some without presents on Christmas Day.\nRetailers are facing supply constraints on everything from toys and Nike sneakers to laptops, making it difficult for them to stock their shelves.\nSupply chain woes are also costing Apple Inc - $6 billion in sales during the company's fiscal fourth quarter according to results released on Thursday. Apple Chief Executive Tim Cook said that the impact will be even worse during the holiday sales quarter.\nSome analysts like Nicholas Hyett of Hargreaves Lansdown gave Amazon a pass, recognizing the company's track record of high spending to deliver for customers has paid off in the long run.\n\"Amazon has never been overly focused on the bottom line,\" Hyett said. \"That willingness to invest in what the group hopes will be long term success at the expense of short term profits is on display again in these results.\"\nLABOR SHORTAGE\nGuru Hariharan, a former Amazon manager who is now CEO of CommerceIQ, said out-of-stocks were at an all time high for the company.\n\"The online marketplace will need to continue to address fill rates to meet demand before the holiday shopping season,\" he said.\nAmazon CFO Brian Olsavsky said on a call with reporters that the labor shortage had been a challenge, leading to inconsistent staffing levels. Workers, not physical space, became its primary capacity constraint in the third quarter, he said.\nAnd that has had a ripple effect.\n\"Inventory placement is frequently redirected to fulfillment centers that have labor to receive this product, which results in less optimal placement, which leads to longer and more expensive transportation routes,\" he said.\nAmazon faced an extra $2 billion in costs from labor, inflation and operational disruptions, an amount that is supposed to rise to $4 billion in the current period, Olsavsky said.\nStaff are pushing for more, too. Around 2,000 workers in New York City petitioned this week for a vote on whether to make their warehouse the company's first unionized facility in the United States.\nTo juice sales, the company began encouraging customers to shop holiday deals as early as Oct. 4 this year. Still, consumers have begun returning to pre-pandemic shopping levels, spending more on travel and services, Olsavsky said.\nThe company forecast fourth-quarter sales to be between $130 billion and $140 billion. Analysts were expecting $142.05 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv. It missed expectations for third-quarter sales as well, witnessing its slowest growth since the COVID-19 outbreak.\nAmazon's cloud computing division was a bright spot. Olsavsky said revenue growth re-accelerated for that business, and the company beat analysts' expectations with net sales of $16.1 billion in the quarter. Amazon Web Services has seen sales rise with demand for gaming and remote work during the pandemic.\nTotal net sales rose to $110.81 billion in the third quarter ended Sept. 30, from $96.15 billion, a year earlier.\nAnalysts had predicted $111.60 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":876559583,"gmtCreate":1637333780876,"gmtModify":1637333780960,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/876559583","repostId":"2184458408","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":384,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":847135200,"gmtCreate":1636500629903,"gmtModify":1636500630036,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Facepalm]&nbsp;","listText":"[Facepalm]&nbsp;","text":"[Facepalm]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/847135200","repostId":"1127189501","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":842077709,"gmtCreate":1636122899765,"gmtModify":1636122899845,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Surprised]&nbsp;","listText":"[Surprised]&nbsp;","text":"[Surprised]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/842077709","repostId":"1180620689","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180620689","pubTimestamp":1636112077,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180620689?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-05 19:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock Is Overvalued by $1 Trillion, Analyst Says. We Looked at the Math.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180620689","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla‘s market capitalization recently moved well past $1 trillion, but the independent investment-r","content":"<p>Tesla‘s market capitalization recently moved well past $1 trillion, but the independent investment-research firm New Constructs believes the company is overvalued by roughly $1 trillion of that. The firm’s CEO, David Trainer, says Tesla shares could fall as much as 88%, to roughly $150 a share.</p>\n<p>His argument, which isn’t the first extreme bear or bull case Tesla (ticker: TSLA) investors have had to weigh, is mainly based on math.</p>\n<p>Tesla stock, which has risen about 57% over the past month, was little changed in premarket trading Friday after gaining up 1.3% Thursday afternoon, while the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;advanced 0.4% and the&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;finished off 0.1%. Strong third-quarter deliveries, earnings, and a sale of 100,000 vehicles to the rental-car company&nbsp;Hertz&nbsp;(HTZZ) have sent the stock through the roof.</p>\n<p>Today, Tesla is worth roughly $1.2 trillion–a figure Trainer says makes no sense. Tesla didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.</p>\n<p>“The $1.2 trillion valuation implies Tesla owns 118% of the entire global passenger EV market and becomes more profitable than&nbsp;Apple&nbsp;[AAPL] by 2030,” wrote Trainer in a Thursday report. His work looked at what kind of sales and earnings the company would have to achieve to be worth that much.</p>\n<p>Trainer believes Tesla would have to sell almost 31 million vehicles in 2030 to justify the current valuation. That is more than he expects the entire industry to produce, based on figures from the International Energy Agency. The base case in the IEA’s 2021 outlook for electric vehicles projects annual global sales of about 28 million EVs at the end of the decade.</p>\n<p>To be sure, that IEA report was published in April, before many auto makers committed to spending billions of dollars on vehicle electrification and battery-production capacity. It was in August that President Joe Biden announced his <a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/tesla-musk-biden-ev-stock-51628202850\" target=\"_blank\">goal for EVs</a> to account for 50% of new-car sales by 2030. And the IEA report includes a best-case scenario with about 47 million EVs sold around the world annually by 2030.</p>\n<p>There are, of course, Tesla bulls, and most of them don’t believe Tesla is going to sell 31 million cars a year by 2030. Morgan Stanley’s Adam Jonas, who rates the stock at Buy and has a $1,200 price target for shares, predicts annual sales of about 8 million units by then.</p>\n<p>Jonas believes Tesla will be more profitable than traditional auto makers. But Trainer assumes that Tesla will have operating profit margins in line with those of General Motors&nbsp;(GM). With 31 million vehicles sold, that might mean Tesla earns $131 billion in 2030 operating profit, higher than the $100 billion-plus Apple is pulling in now, he said.</p>\n<p>But if Jonas’s call for Tesla to sell 8 million vehicles in 2030 is correct, Trainer said, that would yield earnings of about $30 billion annually, assuming Elon Musk’s company only matches GM’s net operating after-tax profit margin of 8.5%.</p>\n<p>Recently, of course, some of Tesla’s profit margins have been industry-leading, which is no surprise given the popularity of the vehicles and the fact that the company doesn’t have the pension obligations its older rivals face. Third-quarter gross margins exceeded GM’s,Ford Motor‘s (F), and&nbsp;Volkswagen’s&nbsp;(VOW3. Germany), to name a few.</p>\n<p>Longer-term margins are hard to predict, though Trainer told <i>Barron’s</i> he thinks his assumption is fair. They depend on factors such as software sales—all auto makers are offering software-enabled features that can be sold on subscriptions—as well as battery costs.</p>\n<p>“Putting it all together: Tesla provides poor risk/reward,” Trainer wrote.</p>\n<p>His arguments are unlikely to sway the many bulls who follow the stock. There are 14 analysts, almost one-third of the 44 Bloomberg tracks, with target prices that value Tesla at $1 trillion or more.</p>\n<p>The bulls believe Tesla is the EV leader and will increase its sales and production volume at 50% a year on average for the foreseeable future. They also believe EVs will be more profitable than traditional vehicles and that Tesla will maintain its cost leadership. Many bulls also believe that Tesla’s power-storage business, plus a robotaxi operation it could launch if it succeeds in developing self-driving cars, will generate significant sales.</p>\n<p>Time will tell who is right. The bulls are feeling good these days given Tesla’s strong results. And the bears are staring agape at the stock’s valuation, which essentially matches all of the world’s traditional auto makers combined.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock Is Overvalued by $1 Trillion, Analyst Says. We Looked at the Math.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock Is Overvalued by $1 Trillion, Analyst Says. We Looked at the Math.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-05 19:34 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-overvalued-1-trillion-51636053056?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla‘s market capitalization recently moved well past $1 trillion, but the independent investment-research firm New Constructs believes the company is overvalued by roughly $1 trillion of that. The ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-overvalued-1-trillion-51636053056?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-overvalued-1-trillion-51636053056?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180620689","content_text":"Tesla‘s market capitalization recently moved well past $1 trillion, but the independent investment-research firm New Constructs believes the company is overvalued by roughly $1 trillion of that. The firm’s CEO, David Trainer, says Tesla shares could fall as much as 88%, to roughly $150 a share.\nHis argument, which isn’t the first extreme bear or bull case Tesla (ticker: TSLA) investors have had to weigh, is mainly based on math.\nTesla stock, which has risen about 57% over the past month, was little changed in premarket trading Friday after gaining up 1.3% Thursday afternoon, while the S&P 500 advanced 0.4% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average finished off 0.1%. Strong third-quarter deliveries, earnings, and a sale of 100,000 vehicles to the rental-car company Hertz (HTZZ) have sent the stock through the roof.\nToday, Tesla is worth roughly $1.2 trillion–a figure Trainer says makes no sense. Tesla didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.\n“The $1.2 trillion valuation implies Tesla owns 118% of the entire global passenger EV market and becomes more profitable than Apple [AAPL] by 2030,” wrote Trainer in a Thursday report. His work looked at what kind of sales and earnings the company would have to achieve to be worth that much.\nTrainer believes Tesla would have to sell almost 31 million vehicles in 2030 to justify the current valuation. That is more than he expects the entire industry to produce, based on figures from the International Energy Agency. The base case in the IEA’s 2021 outlook for electric vehicles projects annual global sales of about 28 million EVs at the end of the decade.\nTo be sure, that IEA report was published in April, before many auto makers committed to spending billions of dollars on vehicle electrification and battery-production capacity. It was in August that President Joe Biden announced his goal for EVs to account for 50% of new-car sales by 2030. And the IEA report includes a best-case scenario with about 47 million EVs sold around the world annually by 2030.\nThere are, of course, Tesla bulls, and most of them don’t believe Tesla is going to sell 31 million cars a year by 2030. Morgan Stanley’s Adam Jonas, who rates the stock at Buy and has a $1,200 price target for shares, predicts annual sales of about 8 million units by then.\nJonas believes Tesla will be more profitable than traditional auto makers. But Trainer assumes that Tesla will have operating profit margins in line with those of General Motors (GM). With 31 million vehicles sold, that might mean Tesla earns $131 billion in 2030 operating profit, higher than the $100 billion-plus Apple is pulling in now, he said.\nBut if Jonas’s call for Tesla to sell 8 million vehicles in 2030 is correct, Trainer said, that would yield earnings of about $30 billion annually, assuming Elon Musk’s company only matches GM’s net operating after-tax profit margin of 8.5%.\nRecently, of course, some of Tesla’s profit margins have been industry-leading, which is no surprise given the popularity of the vehicles and the fact that the company doesn’t have the pension obligations its older rivals face. Third-quarter gross margins exceeded GM’s,Ford Motor‘s (F), and Volkswagen’s (VOW3. Germany), to name a few.\nLonger-term margins are hard to predict, though Trainer told Barron’s he thinks his assumption is fair. They depend on factors such as software sales—all auto makers are offering software-enabled features that can be sold on subscriptions—as well as battery costs.\n“Putting it all together: Tesla provides poor risk/reward,” Trainer wrote.\nHis arguments are unlikely to sway the many bulls who follow the stock. There are 14 analysts, almost one-third of the 44 Bloomberg tracks, with target prices that value Tesla at $1 trillion or more.\nThe bulls believe Tesla is the EV leader and will increase its sales and production volume at 50% a year on average for the foreseeable future. They also believe EVs will be more profitable than traditional vehicles and that Tesla will maintain its cost leadership. Many bulls also believe that Tesla’s power-storage business, plus a robotaxi operation it could launch if it succeeds in developing self-driving cars, will generate significant sales.\nTime will tell who is right. The bulls are feeling good these days given Tesla’s strong results. And the bears are staring agape at the stock’s valuation, which essentially matches all of the world’s traditional auto makers combined.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":84,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":841197114,"gmtCreate":1635895029447,"gmtModify":1635895087673,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/841197114","repostId":"2180643782","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":95,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":858628513,"gmtCreate":1635047103667,"gmtModify":1635047103667,"author":{"id":"4094449094178220","authorId":"4094449094178220","name":"Peithebest","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cccac1948bda49bf1970a525922fbe42","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Cool]&nbsp;","listText":"[Cool]&nbsp;","text":"[Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858628513","repostId":"2177984491","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":251,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}